Thomas McKenna Assistant Director of Aviation - Marketing FAA Economic Forecast • 2.0 percent increase in domestic enplanements for 2003 • 3.5 percent increase in domestic enplanements in long run (2004-2014) • Traffic returns to Pre-911 totals by 2006 • Low fare carriers increase market share == falling fares • 5.0 percent increase in air cargo for 2003 and beyond Industry Overview - Airlines • Bankruptcy – Chapter 7 or 11 • Vanguard • US Airways • United • “Who’s Next??” • • • • American Delta Midwest Northwest • Capacity Cuts • • • • Layoffs/Unions Reduction of flights/destinations Regional Jets/Low-cost carriers Alliances/Partnerships/Merges Regional Jets • 91 Regional Jet Airlines • 1/3 of U.S. commercial airline fleet • Fastest growing segment in commercial aviation • 1 out 8 domestic airline passengers flies on a regional airline • 82.8 million passengers boarded in 2001; double 1991 totals Source: Regional Airline Association; April 2002 Industry Overview - Airports • AIR-3 Reauthorization • • • • Establish a new federal – airport partnership Protect capacity investments Increase airport financial flexibility PFC streamlining • Essential Air Service • Small Airports – affordable access to Air Service • Security Mandates • Expand federal reimbursement Economic Impact of KCI • $3.2 billion to the Kansas City Economy • 67,400 total employment • $1.5 million in total payroll expenses • Headquarter Relocation Program • Geographic Location • Life Style • Air Service SEA SEA SEA PDX PDX PDX M M MSP SP SP M M MHT HT HT BOS BOS BOS PVD PVD PVD YYZ YYZ YYZ M M MKE KE KE OM OM OMA A A SLC SLC SLC SM SM SMF F F OAK OAK OAK SFO SFO SFO DSM DSM DSM Kansas Kansas City City DEN DEN DEN SJC SJC SJC LAS LAS LAS ABQ ABQ ABQ SAN SAN SAN BWI BWI BWI DCA DCA DCA CVG CVG CVG STL STL STL FOE FOE FOE SGF SGF SGF RDU RDU RDU BNA BNA BNA TUL TUL TUL LAX LAX LAX OKC OKC OKC PHL PHL PHL PIT PIT PIT IND IND IND M M MHK HK HK GBD GBD GBD DDC DDC DDC EWR EWR EWR LGA LGA LGA DTW DTW DTW CLE CLE CLE ORD ORD ORD M DW M MDW DW LIT LIT LIT CLT CLT CLT M M MEM EM EM ATL ATL ATL PHX PHX PHX DFW DFW DFW Nonstop Destinations Daily Nonstop Departures Daily Nonstop Seats 55 SAT SAT SAT AUS AUS AUS M M MSY SY SY IAH IAH IAH 212 23,811 Source: Official Airline Guide, schedules for the week of March 10 – 16, 2003, February 2003, Max edition and announced new service. M CO M MCO CO TPA TPA TPA RSW RSW RSW IOWA NEBRASKA Sioux City Dubuque Waterloo Cedar Rapids Des Moines Davenport Iowa City Omaha Lincoln KCI KANSAS Columbia St. Louis Wichita Springfield Joplin MISSOURI Enid Tulsa Oklahoma City Fayetteville Ft. Smith Memphis Little Rock Lawton OKLAHOMA Pine Bluff DMA Populations = 2,780.0 Texarkana ARKANSAS DMA’s of Kansas City, St. Joseph and Topeka DMA = Designated Market Area. Source: Sales & Marketing Management, Survey of Buying Power, September 2002 Income (EBI in billions) = $49.9 Approximate Population of San Diego KANSAS CITY IS NOT DOMINATED BY A HUB CARRIER Year Ended March 2002, Enplanements America West 3% Continental 5% Frontier 2% Midwest Express 5% Southwest 35% US Airways 7% Northwest 8% United 9% Delta 11% Note: Includes only U.S. carriers reporting T-100 data. Source: U.S. DOT, T-100 data, via Data Base Products. American 15% PROFILE OF THE KANSAS CITY DOMESTIC MARKET (Year Ended March 2002) Domestic O&D passengers Average yield Average passenger haul Sources: U.S. DOT Origination-Destination Passenger Survey, year ended March 2002, via Data Base Products, 8,885,500 13.0¢ 930 miles Seats/Passengers 20,000,000 Load factor has improved by 6 points to 64% over the last ten years Seats 18,000,000 16,000,000 14,000,000 Passengers 12,000,000 10,000,000 8,000,000 6,000,000 4,000,000 2,000,000 Year Ended 0 92Q1 92Q3 93Q1 93Q3 94Q1 94Q3 95Q1 95Q3 96Q1 96Q3 97Q1 97Q3 98Q1 98Q3 99Q1 99Q3 00Q1 00Q3 01Q1 01Q3 02Q1 Source: U.S. DOT, T-100 Data, via Data Base Products. Canada/Greenland Over 430,000 international passengers in YE June 2001 Asia Nearly 50,000 KCI Mexico Source: U.S. DOT Origination-Destination Passenger Survey via Data Base Products, YE June 2001. Over 150,000 Caribbean/ Central America/ South America Europe KCI PROJECTS • Terminal Improvement Project • Consolidated Rental Car Facility • Economy Lot TERMINAL IMPROVEMENT PROJECT • KCI’s $258 million Terminal Improvement Project will: – Better distribute passenger traffic among the three terminals – Widen walkways in all terminals – Improve information displays for flights and baggage • The short curb-to-gate distance of 75 feet will not change • KCI’s $258 million Terminal Improvement Project will: – Provide unique baggage claims areas for all airlines – Add many PC outlets and establish a new business center – 50% more concession space • Expected completion: 2004 Economy Lot KCI’s $62 million Economy Lot will provide: – Dedicated terminal lots & shuttles – Real time parking& airport information (Kiosks) – 15,000 new low cost parking spaces – Additional security cameras for patrons’ safety – Faster travel time from new lots to terminal New Employee Lot C B • Expected completion: 2003 A Consolidated Rental Car Facility Benefits to the airport user: – Customer convenience – Closer to the terminals – Flight information display – Additional on-airport rental choices • Expected cost: $86 million • Expected completion: 2005 Air Cargo Air Cargo means business at KCI ! • All Cargo Carriers (20 flights per day) – Airborne, BAX Global, DHL Worldwide, Emery Worldwide, FedEx, Kitty Hawk, UPS, and United States Post Office • Largest cargo airport in six-states – (NE,IA,MO,KS,OK,AR) • Air cargo buildings on airport - 6 89% of all air freight is processed by the eight all-cargo carriers FTZ Attributes at KCI • Zone No. 15 - Site 3 • One of Largest FTZ airports in the US • Benefits including: Deferral payment of duties until goods are entered in the commerce of the United States • Works with Greater Kansas City Foreign Trade Zone, Inc to attract companies that need airport location and FTZ benefits. Types / Modes of Distribution • Pipeline • Water • Rail • Truck • Air Cost of Modes • Pipeline 0.02 per ton mile • Water 0.02 per ton mile • Rail 0.03 per ton mile • Truck 0.40 per ton mile • Air 0.90 per ton mile What percentage of World Commerce goes by Air? • About 2% of World Trade by Volume • About 40% of World Trade by Value – About 2.5 trillion dollars of goods are uplifted by aircraft each year What types of commodities move by Air? Limits of Air Cargo • History • Belly Cargo • Weight • Size – 747 today = 100 tons (total Aircraft load) (118 inches high, 96 inches wide, 240 inches long) Intermodal Air Cargo • Air - Truck • Sea - Air • Air - Rail Air Cargo Information Flow Freight Fowarder Custom Hose Broker Air Carrier Banks Customs Service Dept. of Agriculture Shipper Consignee ACS (Automated Customs System) Not Just Jets Remote location (Helicopter) Airships (lighter than Air) Rockets (Satelitte Delivery) DISCUSSION