Green Industry Situation and Outlook 2008 Southern Region Agricultural Outlook Conference Ronald L. Rainey Associate Professor/Extension Economist What is the Green Industry? Greenhouse and Nursery Crops Greenhouse crops Nursery Crops Bedding/garden plants Potted flowering plants Foliage plants Bedding & garden plants Cut cultivated greens Propagative materials Broadleaf evergreens Coniferous evergreens Deciduous shade trees Deciduous flowering shrubs Fruit/nut plants Palms Ornamental grasses Other woody ornamentals Christmas trees Vegetable transplants Propagation materials U.S. Greenhouse and Nursery Grower Cash Receipts, 1993-date ($1,000). $18,000,000 $16,000,000 $14,000,000 $12,000,000 $10,000,000 $8,000,000 $6,000,000 $4,000,000 $2,000,000 19 93 19 94 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 p $0 U.S. Greenhouse and Nursery Grower Cash Receipts, 2000-date ($1,000). $14,000,000 $12,000,000 $10,000,000 $8,000,000 $6,000,000 $4,000,000 $2,000,000 Floriculture Christmas trees Nursery p 06 20 05 20 04 20 03 20 02 20 01 20 20 00 $0 U.S. Greenhouse and Nursery Grower Cash Receipts, Regions ($1,000). $8,000,000 $7,000,000 $6,000,000 $5,000,000 $4,000,000 $3,000,000 $2,000,000 $1,000,000 Northeast Midwest West 06 20 05 20 04 20 20 03 $0 South Top 10 Greenhouse and Nursery States in Terms of Grower Cash Receipts, 2006p ($1,000). 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. California Florida Texas Oregon North Carolina Michigan Ohio Pennsylvania New York Georgia Total Top 10 Total U.S. $3,804,453 1,753,399 * 1,496,345 * 1,040,452 1,026,509 * 642,393 604,438 411,441 408,976 400,000 * 11,588,406 $16,891,934 Greenhouse and nursery cash receipts, by Southern state, 2006p ($1,000). $1,800,000 $1,500,000 Southern region represents about 37% of total U.S. production. $1,200,000 $900,000 $600,000 $300,000 $0 AL AR FL GA KY LA MS NC OK SC TN TX VA Grower Cash Receipts • Annual growth is projected to be 0.3% for 2006. The market has slowed along with the economy. Even though the housing market is in a crisis, greenhouse and nursery product sales have remained fairly constant. • The Southern region contributes the largest share of sales (approximately 38%) but experienced a decrease of 2.9% in grower sales receipts for 2006. Floriculture Growers • Industry is continuing to transition with growers exiting the industry, increased concentration and consolidation. • Larger producers are getting bigger. • Automation, economies of scale and specialization continue, with this trend being pushed by mass marketers. • Finding quality, available labor continues to be a primary concern. Greenhouse and Nursery Consumption by household (Dollars). $170 $160 $150 $140 $130 $120 $110 $100 20 07 p 20 06 20 05 20 04 20 03 20 02 20 01 $90 Value of Greenhouse and Nursery Imports and Exports, 1994-date ($1,000). $1,600,000 $1,400,000 $1,200,000 $1,000,000 $800,000 $600,000 $400,000 $200,000 19 94 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 p $0 Exports Imports Imports • Cut flower and nursery stock continue to dominate the greenhouse and nursery imports, which were up 8.3% and 2.2% for 2006, respectively. • Cut flowers represent 53% of green industry imports. Summary • The green industry continues to be a major sector within U.S. agriculture (12%) and is of major importance to farmers, rural communities, and consumers. • Imports continue to trend upward driven by the demands for cut flowers and nursery stock. • Although the industry has maintained overall grower sales levels, the number of growers continues to decline. Summary • Higher Energy costs continue to dampen consumer spending including discretionary goods such as ornamentals, • Inflationary pressures subdued demand, so prices of greenhouse and nursery crops will be unable to rise enough to combat higher production costs. Summary • Niche branding along with value-added services and products are emerging strategies for small growers to gain market share. • Sustainability, certification products, and production systems are emerging as a method of market segmentation. Questions?