CONSERVATION SC 208 Our Energy Future April 21, 2006 John Bush DEFINITIONS OF CONSERVATION • Preservation (OED) – From waste – Of existing conditions – Of the environment, especially natural resources • Deliberate, planned or thoughtful preserving, guarding, or protecting (Webster’s) – The planned management of a natural resource to prevent exploitation, destruction, or neglect – The wise utilization of a natural product so as to prevent waste and ensure future use of resources that have been depleted • What are we trying to conserve? • What reasons are offered to conserve it? WHAT? • Petroleum conservation—PC • Energy conservation—EC • Resource conservation—RC WHY? WHAT ARE WE TRYING TO PRESERVE? • To preserve the capitalist economic system (the global economy as presently defined) by achieving economic goals as they are being presently defined--CP • To preserve the degree of freedom Americans have (subject primarily to economic constraints) with regard to the places they live and the lifestyles they adopt—SP • To preserve for future generations the resources they may need (waste is morally bad)—GP • To preserve the biosphere by minimizing the impacts of human action—EP • To transform the capitalist economic system into one that more fairly distributes the costs and benefits of human activity --CT NATURAL CAPITALISM • Paul Hawken, Amory Lovens, Hunter Lovens • “To harness the talent of business to solve the world’s deepest environmental and social problems” • “People could live twice as well but use half as much material and energy” by “combining innovations in business practice and public policy” NATURAL CAPITALISM ASSUMPTIONS • Natural capital (resources, living systems, and ecosystem services) is the limiting factor in economic development • For a sustainable economy must deal with badly designed business systems, population growth, and wasteful consumption • All forms of capital must be fully valued: human, manufactured, financial, natural • Sustainability depends on redressing global inequities of income and material well-being • Democratic systems of government based on the needs of people rather than of business are required. RESOURCE PRODUCTIVITY • Doing more with less (differs from economic efficiency) – Only 6% of materials end up in products – The economy operates at 10% of theoretical energy-use efficiency • Waste and noise are signs of inefficiency • Many government programs encourage inefficiency OPPORTUNITY • Americans waste or cause the waste of one million pounds of materials/year • US Energy consumption in 2003: 98,156 Trillion Btu – – – – Transportation 27% Residential 22% Commercial 18% Industrial 33% • US Energy intensity Btu/$ of goods and services produced – – – – 1970: 9130 Btu 2003: 4320 Btu About ½ of reduction is due to efficiency improvements Rest is due to service economy and offshore manufacturing IS CONSERVATION A RATIONAL GOAL? • Jevon’s Paradox: as technological improvements increase the efficiency with which a resource is used the consumption of that resource may increase rather than decrease • Huber and Mills: “the virtue of waste” • In what parts of the US are the opportunities greatest? • What are the opportunities by sector? SECTORS • Agricultural/Food system • Industrial • Power generation/distribution FOOD • More than 15% of the energy used in the US goes to provide, process, and distribute food – Food processing, packaging and distribution 40% – Refrigeration and cooking 40% – Farming 20% (about ½ is for chemicals) • US Farms use about ten times the energy from fossil fuel that they return in food energy • There are many small opportunities e.g. crop drying, heat recovery, reuse farm wastes that can aggregate if widely employed INDUSTRIAL SECTOR • Economics driven conservation always operates—but not usually at the systems level • There are some commonalities but many programs are industry specific • All industries react to energy cost • Materials processing industries: steel, chemicals , glass use energy intensive raw materials DOE PROGRAMS EMPHASIS • • • • • • • • Specific industries Combined heat and power systems Motors Steam systems Compressed air systems Continuous fiber composites Combustion Sensors and controls ELECTRIC POWER • • • • • Generation efficiency Transmission Storage Distribution Control DOE PROGRAMS EMPHASES • • • • • • Superconductivity Energy storage Demand management systems Distributed generation Electric industry restructuring Electricity reliability