Hopfe CALIFORNIA STATE UNIVERSITY, SACRAMENTO College of Business Administration MIS 101 - Data Analysis for Managers Mini-Case Herr Andres Lüthi owns a bank in Bern, Switzerland. One of Herr Lüthi’s requirements of his employees is they must continually solicit unnumbered accounts from foreign investors. Herr Lüthi prefers to call such accounts “CDs” because they have time limits similar to certificates of deposits used in the United States. Being very computer literate, Herr Lüthi created a file, CD, to store his data. In this historical file, he maintains data of the sales volume of CDs, volume, for his bank. All the data is maintained on a monthly basis. Included in the data set is call (the number of cold calls Herr Lüthi’s employees made each month during the period January 1987 through July 1992), rate (the average rate for a CD), and mail (the number of mailings Herr Lüthi sent out to potential customers). Because of the excellent services provided by the bank, it is the norm for customers roll their CDs over into new CDs when their original CDs expire. It should be noted that several years ago Herr Lüthi took many of his employees on an extended ski vacation. Records show that the ski vacation was in 1989, February through May. The few non-skiers, who opted to take their holidays in Spain, continued soliciting CDs. They were, of course, credited with any walk-in traffic and any roll over accounts. You were recently offered a position at Herr Lüthi’s bank. As part of your responsibilities, you are to construct a regression model that can be used to analyze the bank’s performance with regards to selling CDs. When the Board of Directors met last week, they projected the following for next month: Number of Cold Calls Average Rate for a CD Number of Mailings Prepare your analysis for Herr Lüthi. 900 3.50 4,500 CD.SF - year 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1991 month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 rate 5.87 6.10 6.17 6.52 6.99 6.94 6.70 6.75 7.37 8.02 7.24 7.66 6.92 6.60 6.63 6.92 7.24 7.51 7.94 8.35 8.23 8.36 8.78 9.25 9.20 9.51 10.09 9.94 9.59 9.20 8.76 8.64 8.78 8.60 8.39 8.32 8.16 8.22 8.35 8.42 8.35 8.23 8.10 7.97 8.06 8.06 8.03 7.82 7.17 call 931 606 332 766 670 767 707 683 605 387 542 437 614 597 801 805 846 876 356 225 378 227 457 596 630 0 0 0 0 848 884 522 533 287 851 604 476 937 418 806 263 903 634 929 910 211 205 336 266 mail 4522 2614 1160 1626 1409 4612 3636 2945 2952 1502 1796 4453 3044 3704 1421 3576 2037 2766 4064 1382 3575 4837 4860 4579 3293 3829 4030 1525 2353 4923 3777 1663 4576 4971 3245 4382 2220 4384 4854 3326 4151 1369 2510 3997 2297 1893 2100 1834 4669 volume 106650.8 91089.58 66363.55 144360.4 76434.95 86032.58 95308.45 100874 100826.8 90799.86 102482.6 81090.15 108813.6 79515.48 118591.2 155930.2 114764.4 107752.3 93873.78 69572.72 90620.77 93301.47 110208.5 116815.9 120235.3 88549.9 91179.16 143765.5 89616.82 137440.5 139191.2 124313.5 127095.9 131723.4 116889.7 132792.2 137976.5 131292.3 114876.1 180894.6 112812.7 163731.6 141467.7 135076.2 150287.8 120694.6 93125.83 132174.5 114890.1 April 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 skiing 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 6.52 6.45 6.06 5.91 6.07 5.98 5.65 5.47 5.33 4.94 4.47 4.05 4.07 4.25 4.00 3.82 3.86 3.37 516 241 544 355 206 210 759 670 729 951 489 430 877 625 356 386 659 863 1309 1176 2526 1458 3998 3826 4464 1315 4207 3148 1190 2140 3748 3138 3288 4700 4427 1285 end 124861.4 113737.5 174417.7 95490.59 106215 98223.43 147073.2 131774.6 151458.4 136792.4 120353.2 108850.2 142384.9 142380.6 173577.4 126972.6 124831 138191.9 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0