Brazil’s Oil Riches: First found in people’s minds, again Presentation to the University of Houston C. T. Bauer College of Business Global Energy Management Institute Renato T Bertani October 2008 The Current Energy Matrix: fossil fuels are by far the largest source of energy Total Consumption: 462 quadrillion btu 125 World Energy Consumption Matrix (2005) Quadrillion btu Total Consumption: 462 quadrillion btu 100 Other Nuclear Coal N Gas Liquids 75 50 25 0 a ric me Liquids: Conventional (oil, condensate, natural gas plant liquids, refinery gains) Non-Conventional (oil sands, extra heavy oil, biofuels, GTL, CTL) SA C& st Ea ia ca NON OECD i ca Afr M ia As ras Eu ia As e ri me rop Eu NA OECD Source: EIA, Sept08 Fossil Fuels will continue as the main source of energy World Marketed Energy Use by Fuel Type Quadrillion btu 250 Liquids Natural Gas Coal Nuclear Renewables 200 150 Source: EIA, Sept 08 100 50 0 2028 2025 2022 2019 2016 2013 2010 2007 2004 2001 1998 1995 1992 1989 1986 1983 1980 Liquids: Conventional (oil, condensate, natural gas plant liquids, refinery gains) Non-Conventional (oil sands, extra heavy oil, biofuels, GTL, CTL) Long Term Price Scenarios $150?? OIL PRICE $/BO VOLATILITY STABILITY $80 GAS PRICE $/BOE $40 A journey towards the blue waters (where the big fish roam!!) Blue water, big fishes Pre salt source, post salt reservoirs Source: F. Nepomuceno, 2008 Petrobras Campos Basin Post Salt Giant Fields Source: F. Nepomuceno, 2008 Petrobras Upper Cretaceous Reservoirs ● Turbidites ● High porosity and permeability ● Heavy oil Tecnologies ● Semi submersibles and FPSOs ● Gravel packing ● Subsea completion Steady and steep reserves growth OIL AND GAS RESERVES – SPE CRITERIA Onshore Shallow water (0-300m) Deep water (>300m) Steady oil production growth Petrobras Oil Production – kb/day Lower Aptian Paleogeography (122 m.y.) Pre Salt Reservoirs and Recent Analog Source: José Formigli, 2008, Petrobras Pre Salt: seeing and believing Pre salt source, pre salt reservoirs Source: F. Nepomuceno, 2008 Petrobras The Santos Basin Pre Salt Cluster PRE SALT DISCOVERIES OFFSHORE BRAZIL Source: O Globo Sept 25,08 The Pre Salt Province Source: José Formigli, 2008, Petrobras Technologies Technological Challenges • Reservoir characterization • Well Drilling and Completion • Well deviation in salt zones • CO2 resistant materials • Highly deviated wells • Subsea Engineering • WD: 2,200m and deeper • High Pressure, CO2 • Flow assurance and artificial lifting • Floating Production Units • Mooring • Interaction with risers • Direct access to wells (SPARS, other alternatives Source: José Formigli, 2008, Petrobras Logistics Challenge Source: José Formigli, 2008, Petrobras Supply Challenges... ...and Opportunities Petrobras Contracting Program Tendered To be tendered Large Ships Supply Boats Production Units (FPSO/SS) Other (JackUps, TLWP) TOTAL Source: José Gabrielli, 2008, Petrobras Total Petrobras Technological Programs The key to success Many Thanks!