ST 524 NCSU - Fall 2007 Augmented Analysis Augmented designs Augmented designs also use grids or incomplete blocks to remove some field variation from the plot residuals. In an augmented design, a large set of experimental lines is divided into small incomplete blocks. In each incomplete block, a set of checks is included; every check occurs in each incomplete block, but the experimental lines are included in only one block. Because the design is unreplicated, the repeated checks are used to estimate the error mean square and the block effect. The block effect is estimated from the repeated check means and then removed from the means of the test varieties. This reduces error and increases precision somewhat. However, the repeated checks used to estimate block effects add a substantial number of plots to the trial. Block effects could also be estimated as effectively from the means of the test varieties in each block. This would save considerable space and labor. In general, augmented designs have few advantages over unreplicated nurseries in which block effects are estimated without repeated checks ( ). Check: Stork (St), Cimmarron (Ci), Waha (Wa) - Durum Wheat species – replicated in each block 6 Blocks – 30 selection lines – 3 checks – 8 plots per block Number of observations: 30 + 6*3 = 48 Check y. j y.St Y. j b1 b2 b3 b4 b5 b6 j 6 6 b b b b b b Y .St 1 2 3 4 5 6 St 6 6 Var Y .st b2 6 e2 6 Selection Y. j ' b j ' j ' 1 1 Y.1 b6 1 Var Y.1 b2 e2 y. j ' Mean difference Y.1 y.St Y.1 b b 1 2 b b b b b b Y.St b6 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 St 6 6 b3 b4 b5 b6 6 1 6 1 St 6 Var y. j . ? b2( L ) 6 12 e2 ? 6 Block as random effect – PROC GLM proc glm data=a; class block check selection; model yield =block selection ; random block /test; lsmeans selection/stderr; run; The GLM Procedure Class Level Information Class Levels Values block 6 I II III IV V VI check 2 check lines Thursday November 15, 2007 Augmented Analysis 1 ST 524 NCSU - Fall 2007 Augmented Analysis selection 33 1 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 2 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 3 30 4 5 6 7 8 9 Ci St Wa Number of Observations Read Number of Observations Used 48 48 The GLM Procedure Dependent Variable: yield Source DF Sum of Squares Mean Square F Value Pr > F Model 37 19594659.36 529585.39 5.81 0.0027 Error 10 911026.56 91102.66 Corrected Total 47 20505685.92 R-Square Coeff Var Root MSE yield Mean 0.955572 11.71349 301.8322 2576.792 Source DF Type I SS Mean Square F Value Pr > F block selection 5 32 15498754.42 4095904.94 3099750.88 127997.03 34.02 1.40 <.0001 0.2930 Source DF Type III SS Mean Square F Value Pr > F block selection 5 32 6968486.444 4095904.944 1393697.289 127997.030 15.30 1.40 0.0002 0.2930 The SAS System 10:02 Thursday, November 15, 2007 83 The GLM Procedure Source Type III Expected Mean Square block Var(Error) + 3 Var(block) selection Var(Error) + Q(selection) The GLM Procedure Tests of Hypotheses for Mixed Model Analysis of Variance Dependent Variable: yield Source DF Type III SS Mean Square F Value Pr > F block selection 5 32 6968486 4095905 1393697 127997 15.30 1.40 0.0002 0.2930 Error: MS(Error) 10 911027 91103 Thursday November 15, 2007 Augmented Analysis 2 ST 524 NCSU - Fall 2007 Augmented Analysis Least Squares Means selection 1 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 2 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 3 30 4 5 6 7 8 9 Ci St Wa yield LSMEAN Standard Error Pr > |t| 2260.22222 2567.88889 3054.88889 1632.22222 2387.88889 2401.88889 2323.88889 2769.88889 2568.88889 2562.22222 2890.22222 2329.88889 2344.88889 2962.88889 2701.88889 2444.88889 2629.88889 2784.22222 2851.88889 2816.22222 1862.22222 2162.22222 2901.88889 2801.88889 2864.88889 2024.22222 1822.88889 2512.22222 2527.88889 1942.88889 2725.66667 2759.16667 2677.83333 341.18756 341.18756 341.18756 341.18756 341.18756 341.18756 341.18756 341.18756 341.18756 341.18756 341.18756 341.18756 341.18756 341.18756 341.18756 341.18756 341.18756 341.18756 341.18756 341.18756 341.18756 341.18756 341.18756 341.18756 341.18756 341.18756 341.18756 341.18756 341.18756 341.18756 123.22247 123.22247 123.22247 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.0007 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.0003 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.0001 0.0003 <.0001 <.0001 0.0002 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 Thursday November 15, 2007 Augmented Analysis 3 ST 524 NCSU - Fall 2007 Augmented Analysis Proc Mixed – Block random effect KR correction degrees of freedom and standard errors. proc mixed data=a method=reml; ; class block check selection idchk; model yield = selection /ddfm=kr; random block; lsmeans selection ; estimate "1 lsmn n" intercept 1 selection 1 0 0 ; estimate "1 lsmn n" intercept 1 selection 1 0 0|block 0 0 0 0 0 1 ; estimate "St lsmn" intercept 1 selection 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0/divisor=1 ; estimate "St lsmn n" intercept 6 selection 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 |block 1 1 1 1 1 1 /divisor=6 ; ; estimate "1 vs 12" selection 1 0 0 -1; estimate "1 vs 10" selection 1 -1; estimate "1 vs 10 n" selection 1 -1 | block 0 0 0 0 -1 1 ; estimate "1 vs St broad" selection 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6 0 /divisor=6 ; estimate "1 vs St narrow" selection 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6 0 |block -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 5/divisor=6; estimate "Wa vs St broad" selection 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6 6/divisor=6 ; run; OUTPUT The Mixed Procedure Model Information Data Set Dependent Variable Covariance Structure Estimation Method Residual Variance Method Fixed Effects SE Method Degrees of Freedom Method WORK.A yield Variance Components REML Profile Prasad-Rao-JeskeKackar-Harville Kenward-Roger Class Level Information Class Levels block check selection idchk 6 2 33 2 Values I II III IV V VI check lines 1 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 2 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 3 30 4 5 6 7 8 9 Ci St Wa 0 1 Dimensions Covariance Parameters Columns in X Columns in Z Thursday November 15, 2007 Augmented Analysis 2 34 6 4 ST 524 NCSU - Fall 2007 Augmented Analysis Subjects Max Obs Per Subject 1 48 Number of Observations Number of Observations Read Number of Observations Used Number of Observations Not Used 48 48 0 Iteration History Iteration Evaluations -2 Res Log Like Criterion 0 1 1 1 245.51933126 232.87821020 0.00000000 The Mixed Procedure Convergence criteria met. Covariance Parameter Estimates Cov Parm Estimate block Residual 434198 91103 Fit Statistics -2 Res Log Likelihood AIC (smaller is better) AICC (smaller is better) BIC (smaller is better) Effect 232.9 236.9 237.9 236.5 Type 3 Tests of Fixed Effects Num Den DF DF F Value selection 32 10.1 Pr > F 1.38 0.3022 DF t Value Estimates Label Estimate 1 lsmn b 1 lsmn n St lsmn St lsmn n 1 vs 12 1 vs 10 1 vs 10 n 1 vs St broad 1 vs St narrow Wa vs St broad 2309.43 3013.00 2759.17 2759.17 628.00 -175.12 1720.00 -449.74 253.83 -81.3333 Standard Error 434.86 301.83 295.89 123.22 426.86 493.69* 426.86 363.21 326.02 174.26 14.5 10 6.34 10 10 10.3 10 10.3 10 10 5.31 9.98 9.33 22.39 1.47 -0.35 4.03 -1.24 0.78 -0.47 Pr > |t| <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.1720 0.7299 0.0024 0.2432 0.4542 0.6507 > sqrt((0*434198+91103)/6) [1] 123.2227 > sqrt(2*91103/1) [1] 426.8559 > sqrt(8*91103/3) * See formula in handout [1] 492.8908 > sqrt(7*91103/6) [1] 326.0166 > sqrt(19*91103/18) [1] 310.1037 > sqrt(28*91103/18) [1] 376.4516 * difference between an adjusted selection mean and a check mean. See formula in handout Thursday November 15, 2007 Augmented Analysis 5 ST 524 NCSU - Fall 2007 Augmented Analysis Least Squares Means The Mixed Procedure Least Squares Means Effect selection selection selection selection selection selection selection selection selection selection selection selection selection selection selection selection selection selection selection selection selection selection selection selection selection selection selection selection selection selection selection selection 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 2 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 3 30 4 5 6 7 8 9 Ci St Wa Estimate Standard Error DF t Value Pr > |t| 3076.14 1681.43 2388.09 2402.09 2333.90 2686.55 2569.09 2564.89 2939.43 2246.55 2366.14 2879.55 2702.09 2466.14 2639.90 2786.89 2852.09 2818.89 1864.89 2211.43 2911.90 2811.90 2874.90 2026.89 1844.14 2561.43 2444.55 1964.14 2725.67 2759.17 2677.83 434.86 434.86 434.86 434.86 434.86 434.86 434.86 434.86 434.86 434.86 434.86 434.86 434.86 434.86 434.86 434.86 434.86 434.86 434.86 434.86 434.86 434.86 434.86 434.86 434.86 434.86 434.86 434.86 295.89 295.89 295.89 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 6.34 6.34 6.34 7.07 3.87 5.49 5.52 5.37 6.18 5.91 5.90 6.76 5.17 5.44 6.62 6.21 5.67 6.07 6.41 6.56 6.48 4.29 5.09 6.70 6.47 6.61 4.66 4.24 5.89 5.62 4.52 9.21 9.33 9.05 <.0001 0.0016 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.0007 0.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.0003 0.0008 <.0001 <.0001 0.0004 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 > sqrt((1*434198+91103)/6) [1] 295.8888 Thursday November 15, 2007 Augmented Analysis 6 ST 524 NCSU - Fall 2007 Augmented Analysis Alpha-lattice designs Alpha-lattice designs are replicated designs that divide the replicate into incomplete blocks that contain a fraction of the total number of entries. Genotypes are distributed among the blocks so that all pairs occur in the same incomplete-block in nearly equal frequency. The design permits removal of incomplete-block effects from the plot residuals and maximizes the use of comparisons between genotypes in the same incomplete-block. How effective are alpha-lattice designs in increasing the precision of genotype means estimated from rainfed rice variety trials? There are several ways to address this question. One way is to compare the SEM or a related statistic like the LSD for trials laid out as alpha-lattices, and analyzed both as alpha-lattices and RCBDs. Thursday November 15, 2007 Augmented Analysis 7 ST 524 NCSU - Fall 2007 Augmented Analysis ( ). Thursday November 15, 2007 Augmented Analysis 8