ST361: Ch1.4 Distribution of Continuous R.V.: Normal Distribution Topics: §1.4 Normal Distribution, and its density function, mean, variance Standard Normal Distribution: (a) Calculating Probability (b) Calculating Percentile General Normal Distribution: (a) Calculating Probability (b) Calculating Percentile ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------I. Normal random variable/Normal Distribution A distribution for describing ______________ random variables 1. Normal density plot Shape: ______________________________, centering at ______________; also median ____ mean Can be fully specified via two parameters: _______________ and _______________. The distribution is denoted by ________________ Ex. A B D C 1 2. Normal density function (for your reference): f ( x; , ) 1 2 exp{ (x )2 } 2 2 Ex. If X ~ N (0,1) then f(x) is II. Standard Normal Distribution Normal distribution with ________________________. Denoted by ______________ Usually use _____ to denote a standard normal r.v. Why learn the standard normal distribution? o Area under the normal curve can only be calculated numerically. So statisticians have established a table that shows the left tail area under the standard normal curve of any given number (see the very first page of the textbook). o Later we can use such table to solve for all normal distribution. Use the area table of standard normal curve (1) Calculate probability Ex. A variable Z ~ N(0, 1). Calculating the following probabilities: 1. P(Z 1.25) = 2. P(Z -1.25) = 3. P(Z -1.25) = 4. P(Z 2) = ► In general, _______________________________________ 2 5. P(-.38 Z .25) = In general, ______________________________________________________ 6. P(Z -6) = (2) Obtain extreme values Ex1. A variable Z ~ N(0, 1). Find the following z* that fulfills the probability: 1. P(Z z*) = 0.1 2. P(Z z*) = 0.5 3. P(Z z* or Z -z*) = 0.1 3 Ex2. Consider a standard Normal r.v. Z~N(0,1). At what value of z*, the area to the right is 2.5%? Ex3. Consider a standard Normal r.v . Z~N(0,1). At what value of z*, the area between –z* and z* is 68%? III. General Normal Distribution If X has a normal distribution with mean and SD , then we can standardize X to Z by Therefore, P a X b 4 Calculating probability and percentiles Ex. A variable X ~ N(100, 5). Calculating the following probabilities: 1. P(90 X 125) = 2. P( X 98 ) = 3. Find the x* such that P( X x* )=0.1 ► In general, _______________________________________ 4. Find the range that contains the MIDDLE 90% of the observations Ex. X is the diameter of tires, normally distributed with mean 575 and SD 5. 1. P(575 < X < 579)= 2. P(575 X 579)= 5 3. Find the diameter x* such that there are only 1% tires longer than this diameter 4. Find the tires that have most extreme 5% diameters. IV. Putting everything together…. An overall example: The diameter of a tire follows normally distribution with mean 575 and SD 5. We have 4 tires, and the diameters of these tires are independent of each other. (a) What is the probability that a tire has its diameter between 570 and 580? (b) What is the probability that all 4 tires have diameters between 570 and 580? (c) What is the probability that at least one tire is not between 570 and 580? 6