PDSA “The simple truth is that truth is hard to come by, and once found it may easily be lost again. Erroneous beliefs may have an astonishing power to survive.” Conjectures and refutations: the growth of scientific knowledge. Karl Popper, 1959. PDSA – Plan, Do, Study, Act – is the single most important element of continuous improvement. Everything else is just a refinement of ‘how to’ do PDSA, or an element of enabling PDSA to take place. We start with P for Plan. A plan is an expression of a theory of the form ‘if we do X, then we expect the result Y’. We always have a theory – but sometimes (often) it is not conscious. PDSA forces us to articulate our theory, to bring it into consciousness. What are we trying to accomplish? And, importantly, how will we know if we have succeeded? The latter question implies that we have some sort of way of measuring our present situation. The theory can range from the very simple, that might take seconds to test (for example ‘if I ask the operator what is the biggest problem, I’ll get some insight into an improvement opportunity’) through to the very complex (‘if we migrate our legacy IT systems into a web based SOA platform, we’ll improve our flexibility and reduce our IT administration costs’) that may take years to resolve. D is for Do. It is the stage for testing our theory. As far as possible, we want to test our theory before committing to large scale action. This involves some classic quality tools that help us to understand our processes, and the analysis tools that can help us to discriminate between assignable and common cause variation, and to stratify and tease apart the various contributory factors to our outcomes. S is for Study. Study is where we process the information we have gathered. We are looking to see whether our theory holds water. Noting the quote from Popper at the top of this page, it is powerful (but difficult) to focus our energies on trying disprove our theories. Psychologically, we all have a tendency to look for evidence that confirms our theories. This can lead to very costly errors when we come to implementation. Freedom of expression in this stage is invaluable, but in most organisations it is a scarce resource. The IT analytics folks refer to phenomenon of the HIPPO – the highest paid person’s opinion. The recent revelations around Toyota’s woes points out that whilst Toyota espoused the credo that ‘No Problem’ is a problem, somehow the problem persisted until they had to recall millions of vehicles. A is for Act. Act is the implementation point. We can apply a triage here to Adopt (theory validated, proceed with diligence), Adapt (in the ball park, but needs refinement, cycle through and retest) or Abandon (oops, we got that one wrong, back to square one). All of these outcomes are meaningful and honourable. What is dishonourable though, is to adopt and invalidated theory, or to ignore the possibility to test the theory. Further PDSA considerations No one is saying you have to PDSA. There are no laws here. But if you don’t PDSA, you make it very hard to learn, because you won’t be able to weed the beliefs out from your garden of truth. Consider the following profoundly important implications for PDSA. We will plan as well as we can, but we will inevitably miss things and make mistakes. PDSA is a commitment to learn from things gone wrong. PDSA creates a learning organisation. It is a system of continual study and adjustment. PDSA forgives a mistake and prevents it from occurring over and over. When studying a process that really exists, start with ‘Study’: How well is this working? What do the customers say? What do the employees say? What does the data say? PDSA can be applied to large efforts (annual strategic planning) or small efforts (purchasing office supplies). It can be used on frequently turning cycles (opening up the building each day) to slow turning cycles (reacting to a once-in-a-hundred-years flood. PDSA - CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT ACT Act PLAN ACT Stud STUDY Do DO THIS APPLIES TO EVERYTHING WE DO 28/02/2013 PDSA - Tools and Techniques-05062011.pptx The PDSA Approach To Continuous Process Improvement 1 Select an improvement opportunity - Select, prioritise improvement opportunity - Review existing process goals - Ensure process goal linked to business strategy 2 4 3 Analyse the current situation Form a team - Select team members - Establish rules - Agree roles and responsibilities - Adopt strategy - Develop improvement plan - Set objectives and measures Take improvement action - Develop action plan - Re-design process - Plan and implement action - Agree and make process changes - Create draft ‘To Be’ process map - Select monitoring measures - Describe (re-define) problemopportunity - Identify immediate improvement - Collect, analyse available data - Develop ‘As Is’ process map - Identify customer requirements - Identify constraints P D A S 8 Plan for the future - Plan to address any further opportunities - Review lessons learned 5 No 7 Review 7 improvement strategy - Review outcomes against objectives - Review team and task processes - Results documented - Feedback given 6 Standardise and monitor Yes - Standardise procedures - Plan for change and make it stick - Establish clear process measures - Everyone understands new process - Establish periodic review points Were actions taken effective? Study the results - Confirm actions achieved target - Has process been improved? - Degree of effectiveness? - Reasons target not met understood - Actions to be taken Adapted from NIES Total Quality Management The PDSA Approach To Continuous Process Improvement – Tools and Techniques 1 2 3 4 5 6 Identify -define (redefine) the problem Collect data - Select team members - Establish rules - Adopt strategy - Establish purpose - Understand objectives Analyse data Establish causes - Customer surveys - Process map - Pareto chart - Check sheet - Establish monitoring - Pareto chart - Control chart - Cause and effect diagram Prepare Action plan(s) Implement Action plan(s) - Action plan - Force field analysis - Cost-benefit analysis - Training - Cause & effect diagram - Histogram - Scatter diagram P D A S 7 11 Collect data Review outcomes - Action plan - Brainstorming - Pareto chart - Histogram - Control chart - Check sheet - Standardise procedures - Review team and Task processes - Run chart - Control system No 10 Standardise and Monitor solution 8 9 Yes Were actions taken effective? Analyse data 1/03/2013 PDSA - Tools and Techniques-06192012.pptx Act We integrate the lessons learned from our Study. We reformulate our theory. We adjust our methods. We identify what more we need to learn. Study We monitor the outcomes, testing the validity of our theory and plan. We study the results for signs of progress or success or unexpected outcomes. We look for new lessons to learn and problems to solve. 28/02/2013 Plan We identify our purpose and goals We formulate our theory. We define how we will measure success. We plan our activities. Do We execute our plan. We undertaking the activities, introducing the interventions, applying our best knowledge to the pursuit of our purpose and goals. PDSA - Tools and Techniques-06192012.pptx