&KDOOHQJHV#DQG#3URVSHFWV#IRU#WKH#-DSDQHVH#3), Nobuhiro MORI General Manager, Research Department, KRI International Corp. T he use of a private finance progress towards implementation. all appropriate areas. initiative (or “PFI”) as a new The increase in public works A clear delineation should be vehicle for building infrastructure projects in general under the com- made of roles to be filled by the has recently become a focus of prehensive economic policy, as well national attention. In May 1998 the Liberal as the promotion of a private sector governments and by the private Democratic Party submitted a “Bill lead PFI vehicle, have the potential sector, and the public sector’s to Enact the PFI Promotion Act” to to forge major changes in Japan’s involvement in the private sector the Diet in the form of a legislator’s approach to improving its infra- bill. Whereupon the Ministry of structure. should be kept to a minimum. Project Selection: Construction published its Guide- therefore discusses the challenges lines for the Japanese PFI (MOC and prospects for the Japanese PFI. The present paper government, by local The selection process is to be made transparent through means such as open competition. Guidelines), which was followed by a similar promotional proposal by SUMMARY OF PFI BILL the Ministry of International Trade Core Concept: Objective evaluations will be made and published of particulars and Industry, thereby bringing Ja- The private sector should be pan’s PFI into its first stage in relied upon as much as possible in 3 such as the benefits and efficiency of the projects. %DVLF#6WUXFWXUH#IRU#D#3), Assistance by Government: The national government and local governments may allow public National and Local Governments property to be used free of charge or for a consideration that is lower than the market rate. The national government and Contracting of Construction and Operation Provision of Facilities and Services Financial Institution local governments may make equity Financing investments or guarantee the obliCorporate Group gations of the project entity. Government affiliated financial institutions may make no interest loans. Contracting Contracting 1. What is the Japanese PFI The PFI concept was introduced in the United Kingdom in 1992, and has been used as a mechanism to Construction Company Operating and Management Company procure public services from administrative entities, and to exploit By introducing the PFI concept, the expertise of the private sector in Japan will be able to reduce the areas of financing, design, con- financial burden of the national and As a result of (i) and (ii) shown struction and operation in the course local governments, while at the in the diagram, public investment of providing public services. The same time improving the country’s must be cut. PFI vehicle differs from privatiza- infrastructure. The Japanese PFI tion, in which the private sector is will also offer the possibility for Current Level of Public Investment liable for providing services. Instead increased business possibilities for ¥44 trillion (8.5% of GDP) this vehicle mainly involves a the private sector. The government structure in which the government is also placing emphasis on putting to ¥30-¥35 trillion purchases services such as the con- this vehicle into practice, as it will 4% of GDP at year 2010 struction and operation of public also help stimulate the country’s facilities from the private sector, economy. and provides administrative services for general public use. administrative, as set forth in the diagram on page 6. Japan, however, will have a sub- Several issues are presented by a stantial need for infrastructure in the comparison between the Japanese future, and the country’s existing The Japanese PFI utilizes the PFI and the PFI in the United infrastructure needs to be improved. concept of the British PFI, and en- Kingdom, the country of origin. This means that investment from the hances it with mechanisms such as These have been organized into private sector must be introduced Japanese style subsidies. The legis- three categories, i.e,. the scope of into infrastructure projects, in order lative under eligibility, standards for approval to cover the resulting funding gap deliberation in the Diet, and will and auditing mechanism, and have (which is projected to be from ¥9 to likely be put into force in the Spring been summarized in Table 1. ¥14 trillion). It is also true, however, bill is currently of 1999. This comes six years after the British version was put into that simply using private sector 2. Why Does Japan Need the PFI financing for the public sector will effect, and the impact of this vehicle PFI can be seen as an extension not allow the market mechanism to in the UK is beginning to become of Japan’s administrative and fiscal work and will be inefficient, which apparent, with approved projects reform. The administrative and would contradict the purpose of substantially exceeding 10% of total fiscal reform consists of two ele- expenditures for public works. ments, both fiscal 4 and Table 1. Comparison of PFI in Japan and the United Kingdom Japanese PFI (PFI Promotion Bill) British PFI Limited Application Scope of Application Construction, Management, Maintenance and Construction of Public and Similar Facilities Public and Similar Facilities Covered Public Facilities Facilities such as roads, railroads, airports, rivers and streams, parks, and water and sewer lines Facilities Provided for Public Use Government offices and lodging facilities, etc. Facilities Offering a Public Benefit Public housing, educational and cultural facilities, waste disposal facilities, medical facilities, social welfare facilities, correction and custody facilities, parking lots and underground arcades. Information and Telecommunications Facilities New energy, recycling, tourism and research facilities Other Such other facilities as are designated by Cabinet Order as being equivalent to the above Lack of Clarity in Project Approval Standards, and Incompleteness of Rules for Fiscal and Financial Efficiency Projects that are appropriate for implementation by the private sector should be contracted to the private sector to the extent possible. Standards for Determining Whether a Project is Appropriate Standards included the following: Consideration is to be given to the proper allocation of roles between the national and local governments, and the private sector, as well as efficient use of fiscal funds; while at the same time, Support for expenses will be possible from sources such as revenues to be earned from the project. Main Incentives No Interest Loans Loans at no interest shall be permitted within budgetary constraints for funding of those selected projects that can be recognized to be particularly in the public interest. Fiscal and Financial Support In order to promote implementation of identified projects, national and local governments will implement the necessary legal regulations and tax incentives and provide support in the form of fiscal policy and financing in accordance with the basic policy and policy of implementation. Application Public service projects requiring the formation of public assets which would be difficult to privatize or outsource. Standards for Project Approval, Etc. Standards for Eligibility All projects for which greater VFM can be expected than would be the case if the project were to be implemented using a traditional structure are to be carried out through a PFI. Standards Set Forth by the Ministry of the Treasury The services must be needed, and there must be a need for these services to be provided by the public sector. The possibility of a PFI is to be considered without exception when providing public services requires the need to create capital assets. Reasons must be stated if a study determines that pursuit of a PFI is difficult. Incompleteness of Auditing Mechanisms Auditing The Commission to Promote Private Sector Funded Projects Etc., Is to Be Created Under the Prime Minister’s Office Particulars to Be Deliberated by the Commission Particulars for which authority is to be delegated to the Commission under the PFI Promotion Law Status for determining implementation guidelines to be put in place in accordance with the Basic Guidelines Status for selection of specified projects as well as the use of vehicles such as private sector financing to improve public facilities, etc., in Japan. The National Audit Office (NATO, the equivalent of Japan’s Board of Audit) Definition of Capital Assets Capital assets are long term assets. In addition to tangible fixed assets, capital assets also include intangible assets such as computer software and patents. Source Documents Presented at a Symposium of the PFI Symposium Committee on New Energy and Recycling (June 15, 1998) 5 administrative reform. The private sector must participate not only in 3. Sectors Suited to the PFI Vehicle computer systems, government buildings, office facilities, urban transit, subways, hospitals, schools financing, but also in all areas of For the public sector, a PFI proj- design, construction, operation and ect would be any project through management. Thus in the future the which it can enter into a partnership In Japan, many local govern- private sector is to be relied upon to with the private sector and thereby ments are beginning to consider the implement of achieve a means for providing pub- PFI vehicle as they face an increase infrastructure of which it is capable, lic services of the nature described in obligations for prefectural bonds and those areas and social insurance services. will above at a lower cost than has pre- issued during the country’s bubble meticulously carry out its role as a viously been the case. Theoretically economy, and are in a period of purchaser of services. Moreover, therefore, the PFI vehicle could fiscal restructuring. existing the must public sector administrative services apply to any type of public service - The Osaka Municipal Govern- streamlined through that the government provides. ment has decided to introduce PFI be In the United Kingdom PFI has in their civil engineering division on thereby been adopted by all sectors of gov- a test basis. The government has sector ernment and has spread to each identified pay parks (renovating economy. Consequently the PFI agency and local government. A PFI pools in municipal parks), parking structure constitutes a policy vehicle may be used for any public service lots (replacing municipal parking for administrative and fiscal reform, involving the provision of buildings, lots), and toll roads, and is consid- as well as a means for outsourcing facilities or services. Actual projects ering the possibility of employing to the private sector and privatizing extend across many sectors and PFI as well as reviewing case studi- entities such as special corporations. include es to extract issues. contracting to the private sector and through privatization, stimulating the private roads, bridges, prisons, Proposed Fiscal Restructuring (i) Fiscal Collapse Reducing the fiscal deficit to 3% of GNP by 2003 (Currently this stands at 4.5%) Fiscal Structural Reform Law (Enacted in November 1997) National and local governments have a combined debt of ¥5 trillion. Tax revenues are being consumed in paying the interest to service this debt (ii) Bloated Government Eliminating government deficit financing issues by 2003 Government Downsizing Basic Law for Reform of Central Government Agencies (Enacted in June 1998) Streamlining Organizations 1.2 million employees in the national government. 3.6 million employees in local governments. Reduction in Government Workers Outsourcing Use of Private Sector 3), 3), Spin Offs and Privatization 6 businesses); and - Saitama Prefecture has decided to can only be made at a later date, make a public offering using a PFI, once the details of the project have financiers must exist in financial in addition to the former land read- been clarified, market tests have markets who are willing to finance justment project vehicle, as a means been completed, the project has the project in question (capacity of for exploiting the vacant site of the been placed up for bidding and financial markets). former Musashino Line train depot contract negotiations are close to (83.8 ha). completion. - The Tokyo Metropolitan Govern- VFM 5. Project Types and Implementwill need to be ing Procedures for the Japanese PFI ment has decided to use a PFI for a demonstrated by comparison of 12 MW generator at its Kanamachi private sector PFI bids with a The Guidelines issued by the water treatment plant. The govern- detailed public sector comparator Ministry of Construction classify ment also plans to use the same (PSC). The PSC describes the PFIs into three types depending on vehicle at its water treatment plants option of what it would cost the the roles fulfilled by government in Asaka, Misato, and Misono. public sector to provide the needed and the private sector. - Mie Prefecture has started a pub- services using a traditional vehicle. lic to The following conditions must be participate in a study of the possi- satisfied in order for VFM to be This is a vehicle in which the bility of utilizing a PFI in tourism demonstrated and for a PFI to exist private sector can earn profits. The and as a practical option: private sector builds the facilities, offering for companies leisure facilities (including Type 1: Fee Payable Type sanitary facilities using seawater, the government must have a and operates the enterprise. The golf courses, and a business incuba- need for the relevant services (need project achieves profitability inde- tion center in the Eastern Kishu on the part of the government for a pendently, as tariffs are collected region) for the purpose of revitaliz- PFI); from customers for their use of the ing areas that are losing their the private sector must be able facilities. The role of government to operate the project both under would be limited to initial plan As discussed below, PFI projects law and regulation (deregulation design, approval of the project for local governments offer a sub- and opening of markets to the pri- (which in some cases would also stantial market potential, depending vate sector); involve procuring the necessary populations. on the results of the various questionnaire surveys. 4. Requirements for Achieving a PIF the private sector must possess land), and acquiring the facilities the necessary management capabil- after a certain time has elapsed. The ity and expertise (private sector private sector will bear almost all of capability and expertise); the project risk: Current Projects: the contract conditions must The following lessons can be properly allocate to the private sec- Trans-Tokyo Bay Highway learned from Britain’s experiences tor those risks that the private sector Multipurpose with its PFI. can control in order to exploit the museum, amusement facilities and park facilities. Projects Under Consideration: sports stadium, Achieving solutions with a PFI private sector’s technical innovation, should be sought where there is a management capacity, and creativity high possibility of achieving value (existence of conditions for cost Toll roads for money (VFM). It is important to reduction and improved efficiency Projects to convert sewage to clearly assess the possibility of through utilizing the dynamism of obtaining VFM in a visible sense the private sector); within the early stages of the PFI private sector operatives must resources (recycling project) Type 2: Combined Public and Private Project will exist that are capable of providing enable some evaluation of the pos- the services of the project in ques- This is a vehicle in which public sibility of reducing costs with a PFI. tion, and are fully willing to accept facilities and private facilities are The final assessment of whether a the risks involved (desire to partici- combined into one unit, where the PFI will generate VFM, however, pate project needs of the public sector procurement process. This on the part 7 of private Table 2. Project Flow for a Japanese PFI Government 1. Announcement of Proposed PFI Project Private Sector Announcement of Intention to Implement Project (2)Statement of Interest in Participating (1)Public Notice 2. Recruiting Businesses (2) Prequalification Examination (3)Guidelines for Recruiting Businesses 3. Selection of Businesses (4)Submission of Proposal (1)Selection and Negotiation With Businesses Having Preferred Negotiating Rights (2)Evaluation of Proposals (3)Determination of Business That Will Implement the Project 4. Conclusion of Agreement in Connection With Project (1)Establishment of Company to Implement the Project (2) Conclusion of Agreement in Connection With Project Obtaining Financing 5. Financing Construction 6. Construction Operation, Maintenance and Management 7. Operation, Maintenance and Management (1)Project Restructuring by the Private Sector 8. Countermeasures in the Event of Project Failure (2) Countermeasures by the Public Sector in the Event of Project Failure 9.Transfer of Facilities Transfer of Facilities 8 and the private sector are in concord, structure to be designed, built and projects involving the improvement and the public sector can reduce its operated efficiently and effectively. Current Projects: and operation of infrastructure, in None. Projects Under Consideration: projects, with the public sector here costs for the project below what would be the case if it pursued the public sector component on its own. its position as the manager of these including the national government, An agreement is concluded which Housing welfare services, waste local governments, as well as gov- clearly classifies the project into its disposal and recycling projects, ernment corporations and associa- public and private divisions, and water sewage tions. Deregulation and liberaliza- also sets forth the allocation of risk treatment plants, government of- tion of current legal regulations is between the public and private fices, art museums and sports urgently needed in order to encour- sectors. Current Projects: facilities. age broad based participation in PFI treatment plants, Under the Guidelines from the projects by businesses that are in- Ministry of Construction, PFI pro- fused with the entrepreneurial spirit. jects implemented Specific changes required involve comprehensive housing and urban according to the project flow set amendment to the Highways Act, development projects, projects to forth in Table 2. the Harbor Act, the Airport Im- Land readjustment projects, urban redevelopment projects, are to be provement Act, the Rivers and use free space over sewage treatment plants, and rebuilding of 6. Issues at Present Streams Act, the Metropolitan Parks public housing projects to include Japan faces many challenges in Act, the Water Supply Act and the private sector facilities, as well as promoting the PFI and enabling it to Sewage Act, to include the PFI projects to use available land around be accepted to the extent that has business entity within the definition large levies and expressways. Project Under Consideration: been the case in the United King- of “manager.” (3) Creating an Organization to Public park over recycling facili- dom. (1) Steady Implementation of the ties, combined public park and Comprehensive Economic Policy Promote PFIs from the Perspective of the Private Sector Japan’s recent “Comprehensive - In order to promote the PFI con- operated Economic Policy” has included the cept in Japan, the country must deal facilities in central urban areas, following provisions in connection with the complexity of its proce- improving public walking areas with the Japanese PFI (see Table 3), dures resulting from the large through rehabilitating and the content of this policy should quantity of permits required, the building optical be persistently put into effect. extent of discretion available to cemetery, public parking lot combined with privately fiber buildings, networks bureaucrats, and the bifurcation of using the space around rivers and streams, and using the area over - Prompt enactment of the “PFI the country’s bureaucracy into ver- flood retention ponds associated Promotion Act.” tical units that lack coordination. At with housing developments. - Building organizational the present time a private company structure within the government to must compile a veritable mountain Purchasing of Public promote the PFI (PFI Promotion of documents if it wishes to begin a Services Committee). PFI, and must make repeated visits This is a vehicle in which the - Support measures (study coordi- to government offices in Kasumi- private sector builds a facility and nation expenses and creating a gaseki, the relevant prefecture, as recovers its investment cost by re- facility to extend financing to PFIs). (2) Liberalization of Legal Regu- well as the local municipality. This ceiving payments from the public sector (generally in the form of lations in Order to Encourage companies concerned. It is also true, lease payments). Since the private Participation by the Public Sector however that PFIs do involve public sector has expertise in management on a Broad Scale services even if they are led by the Type 3: an places a substantial burden on the and operations, this is an area in In many cases under present law private sector and in many cases which relying on the private sector only the public sector can function require public assistance in order to can be projected to enable infra- as the core entity implementing assure project viability. These ele- 9 ments require some type of approval which Japan operates. Two per- and a market orientation. Thus the mechanism for the private busi- spectives are essential for the PPO must in all senses serve to nesses that will implement the PFI establishment of this organization: clarify the position of the private project. first the PPO must be given a high sector of promoting participation by To that end a PFI Promotion status that is not limited by the dis- private businesses into PFI projects. Organization (“PPO”) is required in cretion or territory of a particular Approval of private sector pro- order to provide qualification for agency or local government, and the jects requires the full integration of projects and to facilitate permits, in second is that the PPO must have a bidding system that accommo- view of the business environment in objective standards for evaluation, dates this shift from the public Table 3. Summary of the Comprehensive Economic Policy Relevant to PFI’s 1. Enactment of the Draft Law in Connection With Promoting the Improvement, Etc., of Public Facilities, Etc. Through the Use of Private Finance, Etc. (PFI Promotion Bill) at This Ordinary Session of the Diet Summary of Bill - A broad category of public facilities, etc., are eligible (including roads, harbors, airports, water and sewage lines, industrial water, waste treatment plants, new energy resources, recycling facilities, heat supply facilities, and information processing facilities) - Compiling of Basic Guidelines for the Entire Government - Compiling of Guidelines for Implementation (in the form of requirements for seeking offers) on the part of each agency in the central government and by local governments - Legal measures (including deregulation), assistance packages (fiscal, financial and tax incentives), allowing government investment, credit guarantees, no interest loans, use of government property for no consideration or at reduced cost, and acceptance of long term government obligations - Establishment of the Commission to Promote Private Sector Funded Projects Etc., as the promotion organ within the national government 2. Fiscal Measures Establishment of a PFI Financing Vehicle Based on the Concept of Project Finance, Within Government Affiliated Organizations Such as the Japan Development Bank Summary of System - Facilities to Be Covered: Facilities such as Refuse Derived Fuel Powered Generators, recycling facilities, heating facilities, general waste treatment facilities, and circuit facilities to test mobile communications - Interest: To Be Determined - Ratio Eligible for Financing Through Debt: 50% Projected Provided that this is to be applied flexibly within 1998 3. Budget The cost of studies and coordination in connection with PFIs is to be placed in the account of the government as a whole. 10 - Moreover, a suitable organization bringing down construction costs. Use of this type of performance - Public Assistance Involving Project Coordination, Acquiring to promote PFIs is also needed at contracting will also contribute to Land, and Improvement of Public the local government level, since a prompt revision of technical stan- Infrastructure considerable number of PFI projects dards determined by the purchasing As stated in the MOC Guidelines, are likely to be pursued at the local agency, to prevent designs by the the following support policies are level. This specifically involves: contractor that contain specifica- needed in addition to public finan- Disclosure of information that tions in excess of what is truly cial assistance, to achieve profit- publishes an evaluation of the cost needed. Work quality, safety and and performance of each project; performance on the contract after ability for private sector projects: (a) Project Coordination sector to the private sector. Using structures such as the PFI the bid is awarded will be secured PFI projects are for the purpose Creation Fund, to seek out local PFI by thorough project management of improving public facilities, and projects; (PM) in cooperation with consult- thus must be coordinated with infra- ants. - Public Financial Assistance structure development plans on the Establishing a local PFI task force; and part of the public sector. It would be Execution of responsibility to The services that are likely to be desirable for the public sector to provide explanations to the taxpayer, covered under the PFI have hereto- handle tasks such as determining the and ensure transparency (to that end fore been provided by the public position of the PFI project within it is essential that thorough project sector and in many cases have a public development plans as well as management be implemented over lower profitability than products handling studies and environmental PFI projects). (4) Putting a System Into Place to and services offered by the private assessments at the time this takes sector. Consequently some public Reduce Risk and Improve Prof- assistance will be required in many place. (b) Acquiring Land itability cases, even though the project is Although PFI projects may in- in Connection With Projects being shifted to the private sector. In volve instances in which the private Some policy measures are re- this case it is essential to consider sector acquires land for a project, quired to reduce the risk and assistance policies with a goal of and instances in which the public improve profitability for private creating sound and healthy private sector provides the land either on a businesses, in order to promote PFI sector operatives. fee payable basis or for free, in In the UK public assistance has many cases the proper course will been approved in the form of issu- be for the public sector to handle the This involves revising Japan’s ing government guaranteed bonds, actual work involved in acquiring traditionally rigid contracting sys- in France this takes the form of the land, given factors that include tem and introducing a bidding subsidies, while in the US this is the accumulated expertise that the system based on output specifica- provided through tax exempt mu- tions in order to encourage cost nicipal bonds. public sector has at its disposal. (c) Improvement of Public projects. - Simplification of Contracting Infrastructure reductions by exploiting the cre- A similar financial assistance is ativity and inventiveness of the needed in Japan, as it will be diffi- In many instances it would be private sector. One example would cult for the private sector to commit desirable that the building of access be to take bidding for a bridge itself to the PFI vehicle unless the roads and other relevant infrastruc- solely on the basis of essential con- possibility of funding is introduced through unsecured loans or credit ture to support a project is performed ditions such as the number of lanes and loading conditions, leaving the guarantees using the fiscal invest- type of the bridge, its structure, Fails materials and method of construc- ment and loan program, or through local government bonds, including tion to the discretion of the private community bonds (bonds that are forth rules for allocation of liability sector. This will allow the principle mainly subscribed by local residents between the public and private sec- of competition to work, thereby or companies). tor in the event of project failure, 11 at the public expense. - Public Assistance if a Project Whilst the MOC Guidelines set contracts must be permitted that term debt contracts (meaning com- essential allow for the national government mitments to bearing obligations by implementation and management of or a local government to take over a the national treasury). Currently bidding, evaluation and selection of project, or to provide temporary these contracts are limited to a peri- private funding, provided that the project od of five years. Accounting on an designs for facilities, and manage- has a high public interest compo- annual basis is a fundamental pre- nent. Required assistance would mise set forth in law, and is ment of projects. These are the activities covered under project involve permitting the national or therefore difficult to overturn. Nev- management (PM) and they re- local government to buy out a proj- ertheless, exception quire both specialized capabilities ect in which the public has a strong needs to be put in place to cover PFI and expertise, and capital outlay. interest, and which would have a projects. The PFI Promotion Bill in Construction consultants constitute major impact on users if there is no fact does set forth a special excep- the only organization of specialists means for payment in substitution tion that extends long term debt that can take responsibility for proj- or if services are interrupted. It ect management, and these activities would probably also be necessary contracts from five years to thirty. (5) Consultant Activities in the for local governments to continue Course of Project Management sector to the private sector, as envi- a statutory performance businesses, required, approval of should be contracted by the public sioned by the policy of projects in the event of failures Since the private sector takes the caused by natural disasters or other lead in a PFI structure, in principle administrative reform. As downsiz- acts of God. - Putting a Comprehensive the private sector should bear the ing in the public sector progresses, risk. Nevertheless, some involve- contracting to project management Insurance Bonding System for ment by the public sector is also consultants will contribute to re- PFIs into Place needed. The role played by the pub- ducing lic sector extends across many areas, the burden on the a including drawing up plans for PFI government employees who remain. (6) Promoting Administrative considerable amount of project risk, projects, compiling bidding docu- Reform which normally will be covered by ments and contracts to achieve the Under the PFI structure the private sector will take on insurance. This requires that a comprehensive system for insuring PFIs be put in place to cover the various risks that may be incurred over long term operation of the project, and not just during the period of design and construction. It will also be necessary to introduce a minimum guarantee system in which the public sector guarantees minimum traffic or fees for public facilities in the event that the private sector cannot cover demand risk. This type of mechanism is demanded by lenders to secure their claims in the course of project finance schemes. - Special Exceptions for Project Agreements Between the Public and Private Sector The biggest obstacle facing full implementation of the PFI structure is the maximum time limit on long 12 The principle objective of the PFI structure is the use of private sector The PFI approach was initially and 20 local governments gave funding, technology and expertise to introduced in the UK in 1992 and specific examples of project sectors. improve and operate infrastructure became fully operational 1996, after These areas of infrastructure devel- in an efficient manner. Changing the a three year trial period. In the opments allocation of roles between the pub- fourth year after introduction (1996), below: lic and PFIs accounted for 6% of total in- Twenty local governments are administrative vestment in infrastructure, which planning to pursue PFI projects in reform to achieve efficient govern- rose to 14% in the sixth year, and is 101 sectors, and the number of proj- ment is indispensable to successful expected to reach 19% in the sev- ects could be larger than this since it implementation of the Japanese PFI. enth year, or 1999. is likely that more than one project and private implementing an sector, have been organized In June of this year the Basic In contrast with the UK, Japan is being considered in each sector. Law to Reform Government Agen- faces many restrictions and chal- Nevertheless, the private sector will cies was enacted. An agency system lenges in introducing its PFI, and not show interest in small scale was introduced to streamline the cannot expect PFIs to catch on as projects and consequently these government bureaucracy, and a quickly as was the case in Britain. must be packaged into a project that decision was made to reduce the Nevertheless, disclosure of infor- is of a suitable size. In general it is number of full-time government mation, and difficult to utilize a project finance employees by ten percent. With this opportunities for the private sector structure unless the project is at streamlining of government func- to expand into areas of public sector least ¥10 billion in scale. tions and the movement to increase investment will grow, and contrib- the assumption is made that twenty efficiency in fiscal disbursements ute to systemic reform when PFIs local governments have 100 PFI has come a need to aggressively are introduced in full. Whilst the projects at ¥10 billion per project, pursue the transfer of operations to pace for introduction may be some- this would yield ¥1 trillion in total the private sector. what slower in Japan than in the UK, PFI projects. Moreover, in the sur- there is a strong possibility that PFIs vey 45 local governments indicated in Japan will gradually approach the that they wished to consider intro- results that Britain has achieved. (2) Micro-Level Prospects ducing PFI projects in the future, 7. Prospects for the PFI Market Below we consider the prospects for the PFI market in Japan from a deregulation, Thus if and consequently if this ¥1 trillion variety of perspectives, including The following discussion makes figure is multiplied by 2.5 times, the macro-policy level as well as the projections based on the results of this gives a PFI market of ¥2.5 tril- micro-level of businesses within the the Survey on Intention to Introduce lion for 250 projects in the course of market. (1) Macro-Prospects PFIs that was given in early July of two to three years. In addition, Ja- this year to the 47 Prefectures and pan has 600 cities and at least 100 The following discussion refers 12 cities designated by cabinet order cities with a population of at least to the results presented in Table 4 (for a total of 59 local governments). 200,000, which makes these mu- for PFIs in the UK, on which the Out of the 59 local governments, nicipalities suited for the PFI market. Japanese PFIs are modeled, to pro- 45 stated that they intended to con- These figures make it likely that the ject macro trends for Japan. sider introducing the PFI vehicle, market for PFIs involving Table 4. Trends and Plans for Capital Expenditures in the United Kingdom (Unit: ¥100 Million) Fiscal Year 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 Central Government 98 91 86 65 60 60 60 Local Government 67 73 72 64 64 70 70 National Corporations, etc. 34 42 42 44 46 46 46 Public Sector Accounts 199 206 200 173 170 179 179 PFI 1 2 4 11 15 30 42 Total 200 208 204 184 185 209 221 (Note) The Fiscal Year in the United Kingdom extends from April of each year to March of the next (Source) Financial Statement and Budget Report (March 1998) Values for 1997 are estimates, and figures for 1998 - 1999 are projected figures. 13 Table 5. Responses to Survey of Local Governments Q1 Q1-1 Q1–1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Hokkaido Hokkaido Q1 Q1-1 Q1–1 Q2 Q2 Q3 Q3 Hokkaido Aomori ◎ ◎ A, B, D B, C ◎ ◎ ◎ ○ Iwate ○ B × ○ Miyagi Akita Yamagata Fukushima Ibaragi Tochigi Gunma ◎ ○ ◎ ◎ ◎ ○ ○ A, B B C B B, C C D ◎ × × × ◎ × × ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ × To be considered To be considered 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22 To be considered 9, 12, 20, 21 Undetermined Undetermined Under examination To be considered None Kumamoto Oita Miyazaki Kagoshima Okinawa Sapporo Sendai Chiba Yokohama Kawasaki Nagoya ○ ◎ ◎ ◎ ○ ◎ ◎ ◎ ○ ◎ ○ D A, D A, B D B B B A, B, C D A, B, C D × △ × × × △ ○ ◎ × × × × ◎ ○ × ○ ◎ ○ ◎ ◎ ◎ × Saitama ◎ A, B ○ ◎ Undetermined Kyoto ○ A × ○ Chiba ○ A, D × × None Osaka ○ D △ × Tokyo Kanagawa Niigata ○ ◎ ○ D A, B B, C × △ × × ○ ○ None 9, 10, 11, 23 9, 11, 18 Kobe ◎ B, C ◎ ◎ Hiroshima ◎ A, B △ ○ Toyama ○ A, B × ○ Undetermined Ishikawa ◎ B △ ◎ None ○ B, D △ ○ 22 Yamanashi ○ A, B, C × ○ None Nagano ○ B, C × × Gifu ◎ B, C △ ◎ Not identified at present 1, 6, 7, 8, 9, 11, 12, 13, 16, 18, 20, 21, 22, 23 Shizuoka ◎ A ○ ○ Undetermined Aichi ○ C × × 1, 9 Mie ◎ B, C ◎ ◎ 11, 12, 24 Shiga ◎ B × × Not identified at present Undetermined Currently Under Consideration To be considered None Cannot reply 12, 21 Kyoto ○ B, D × × Osaka ◎ D ◎ ○ Hyogo Nara Wakayama Tottori ◎ ○ ○ ○ B, C, D B B B, D × × × × ○ ○ ○ ○ Shimane ○ A, B △ ○ 7, 9, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 19, 20, 21, 22 Okayama Hiroshima ◎ ◎ B B, D △ △ ○ ○ Yamaguchi ○ A, B △ ○ Tokushima Kagawa Ehime Kochi ◎ ○ ○ × A, B A, B, C A D × × × × ○ ○ ○ × Fukuoka ○ B, D × ○ Saga Nagasaki ○ △ B D × × × × To be considered 9 1, 3, 4, 6, 7, 10, 12, 16 To be considered None Not yet considered Cannot identify Not yet under consideration 12 1, 10 Q4 Q4 12, 21, 22 None Not identified at present None Cannot be answered 9, 10, 11, 12, 14, 20 Cannot be answered 9, 10, 11, 16, 19, 20, 21 Not yet considered 2, 7, 9, 11, 12, 13, 19, 21 Not identified at present Not yet at a stage for consideration Difficult to reach a decision None 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 19, 20, 22 Kita A, B ○ × ○ 1, 22 Kyushu Fukuoka B, C, D ◎ ◎ ◎ To be considered Q1What level of interest do you have in the PFI Bill? ◎=Strong interest ○=Some interest △=No interest at present ×=Other Q1-1= Reason for interest in PFI Bill A= Expectation that it will stimulate the economy B= Expectation that it will contribute to administrative and fiscal reform in local governments C= Expectation that it will clarify the allocation of risks and responsibilities between the government and the private sector D= Other Q2= Have you established an organizat ion to consider the PFI Bill within your agency? ◎= Yes we already have an organization in place ○= We plan to establish an organization in the near future △= We will consider creating an organization in the near future ×= No organization has been established Q3= Will you consider introducing the PFI in the future? ◎= Yes ○= As of the present we are not sure, but we are interested in considering the PFI △= We do not intend to introduce the PFI even in the future ×= Other Q4= What Facilities do you forese e as being suited to introducing the PFI? 1=Roads 17=Underground walkways 2=Railroads 18=Communications 3=Harbors 19=Heating facilities 4=Airports 20=New energy 5=Rivers and Streams 13=Medical 6=Parks 14=Social welfare 7=Water and sewage 15=Corrections and custody 8=Industrial water 16=Parking lot 9=Offices, Offices,lodging lodging and similar and similar public public facilities 21=Recycling 10=Public housing 22=Tourism 11=Educational and cultural 23=Research 12=Waste treatment plants 24=Other (Source)Nikkei Chi-Iki Jouhou (Nikkei Regional Information) (July 30, 1998)“Tokushu/Ugokidasu Nihonban PFI” (Feature—Putting the Japanese PFI Into Practice) 14 local governments several will reach trillion yen, in several Sector years, which exceeds 10% of total expenditures on public works by a considerable margin. There are several trends that should be noted. Kanagawa Prefecture has changed its policy so that leasing is to be used for all financing of public facilities to be built. A source with the Prefecture has commented that in principle all improvement of facilities is to be done through a leasing vehicle which uses private sector funds, and the prefecture will also consider PFIs where permitted by law. This source further stated that the private sector has superior financial capacity and expertise in building facilities, and that where possible the public sector should rely on the private sector in this field. The Osaka Metropolitan Government has embarked on a 50% cost reduction in separate projects for which subsidies are not received from the national government, and a 10% reduction for those that are eligible for subsidies, under a fiscal restructuring program. Consquently PFIs have attracted attention as an effective means to achieve the purposes of public works projects, at low cost, and in the future the pace for implementing PFIs will accelerate in projects pursued independently by municipalities. 8. Responses by Construction Businesses Our research has revealed that many local governments are considering PFIs and that PFIs will increase in the future. We were able to confirm that the PFI approach would be applied to a wide range of sectors involving public works to Roads and railroads Airport and port facilities Rivers and streams Parks Water and sewage services, and industrial water service Public facilities such as government offices and lodging facilities Public housing Educational and cultural facilities Waste treatment facilities Medical facilities Social welfare facilities Juvenile custody institutions Parking lots Telecommunications facilities Heating facilities New energy facilities Recycling facilities Tourism facilities Research facilities Total Number of Local Governments Responding That They Wished to Introduce the PFI in this Sector 6 2 0 2 5 11 8 8 12 5 4 3 3 3 5 7 8 7 2 101 provide public buildings, facilities ting them in place during the 1999 and services in many areas. For the fiscal year. construction industry this offers As of the present, many local encouraging prospects as local gov- governments are searching for sec- ernments are considering employing tors in which PFIs can be utilized, PFIs in areas that are the forte of a while continuing to monitor trends construction company (please see in the PFI Promotion Bill, and its Table 6). effectiveness. Some governments Legal regulations are also being have begun deliberation of projects put into place for promoting the PFI for PFIs on a test basis. Moreover, vehicle. In May of 1998 the PFI the private sector is also searching Promotion Bill was put before the for projects for PFIs to be funded by Diet in the form of a legislator's bill, fiscal finance, mainly through the and was projected to be approved at Japan Development Bank, and enti- an extraordinary session in Autumn ties such as general contractors, of 1998. The PFI Promotion Bill financial institutions, consultants would be the basic law for the Ja- and think tanks are also pursuing panese PFI, and the government planning and marketing activities agencies, as well as the local gov- vis-a-vis local governments and ernments that would be the main other agencies for the purpose of promoters for the projects, are pre- implementing PFI projects. paring specific guidelines and other The Japanese PFI is also open for particulars for implementation, in participation by foreign businesses, anticipation that this law will be and we anticipate that foreign con- passed. struction Moreover, supporting companies will measures from a fiscal and tax per- aggressively pursue PFI projects spective are entering the stage of within Japan. actual planning, with a goal of put- 15 Table 6. Summary of Replies to Survey of Local Governments Local Governments With a PFI Study Committee Already in Place The prefectures of Hokkaido, Aomori, Miyagi, Ibaragi, Mie, Osaka, Chiba, and Fukuoka; and the city of Kobe Local Governments Currently Considering the Establishment of a PFI Study Committee The prefectures of Saitama, Kanagawa, Ishikawa, Fukui, Gifu, Shizuoka, Shimane, Okayama, Hiroshima, Yamaguchi, Oita; and the cities of Sapporo, Sendai, Osaka, and Hiroshima Sectors to Be Considered Local Governments Interested in Considering the Introduction of a PFI in the Relevant Sector Roads The Prefectures of Gifu, Aichi, Yamaguchi, and Nagasaki; and the City of Kitakyushu Airports and Harbors Yamaguchi Prefecture Rivers and Streams None Parks Gifu and Yamaguchi Prefectures Water and Sewage, and Industrial Waste The Prefectures of Gifu, Shimane and Yamaguchi, and the City of Kawasaki Waste Treatment The Prefectures of Iwate, Akita, Gifu, Mie, Tottori, Shimane, Yamaguchi, Saga, and Kumamoto; and the Cities of Sapporo, Kawasaki and Hiroshima Parking Lots The Prefectures of Gifu and Yamaguchi, and the City of Chiba Recycling Facilities The Prefectures of Iwate, Akita, Gifu, Tottori, Shimane and Kumamoto, and the Cities of Chiba and Kawasaki Tourism The Prefectures of Iwate, Fukui, Gifu, Shimane, Kumamoto and Hiroshima, and the City of Kitakyushu 16