Procurement Manual: Good Practice 2 2. Risk Management and Handling Change A. Risk Management and Handling Changes B. Supplier performance and risk management A. Risk Management and Handling Changes Changes are almost inevitable during the period of a contract, particularly in the case of large, complex construction and service contracts. They should not necessarily be seen as causes for concern but, when effectively managed, as opportunities to improve the contract outputs. It is important, therefore, to understand the implication of change for both parties. Significant changes will affect the scope and potentially the viability of the contract for either party. If a change results in a reduction in the value or scope of the contract, the organisation could be faced with claims for increases in charges and/or legal claims that there was, for example, misrepresentation in relation to the likely volumes required over the period of the contract. If the change results in a substantial increase in the value or scope, it is important that the organisation continues to ensure that value for money is secured. Public sector organisations should also be aware that the requirements of the EC procurement directives may affect what changes can be made. Change can be driven by a number of factors such as: C. Apportioning Risk D. Tracking Changes Amendments to the parties’ strategies and objectives; Changing business needs of the organisation; Market changes; Technological developments; Economic trends that affect the viability of the contract; Legislative change. These, in turn, can lead to changes in the service required, the metrics needed, service infrastructure and workload. Changes are easier to manage when planned. Even the effects of an unexpected, externally driven change can often be mitigated through, for example, ongoing risk assessment and the phasing-in of any implementation. Changes will require negotiation with the provider and the introduction of amendments scheduled to avoid workload peaks and year-end activities where possible. Changes should be managed using change control procedures. Wherever possible, the outcome should be agreed with the supplier before instructing a change. It is generally expected that you cannot allow for every possible eventuality but you can hedge your bets! Procurement Team: University of Exeter August 2010 B. Supplier Performance and Risk Management Supplier performance and the status of supplier relationships have a direct bearing on a buyer’s risk profile. This is one of the main reasons why supplier performance and contract management is necessary. In this respect, risk management can be seen a dynamic process. The risk profile you face should reflect: the importance of the contract; the stability of the relationship with the supplier; any change in circumstances that will affect the position of the supplier or your dependency on the product or service being supplied. Risk management is an established profession in its own right and there are various risk tools and models that can predict and manage risk. Even if there is a Risk Manager on board, the contracts professional will still be key to any risk strategy because understanding the contract and the implications of failure is an important part of the risk process. C. Apportioning Risk As risk and reward is all about understanding the consequences of agreeing to contract for something in a certain way, good practice is for the Contract Manager and pre-planning group to ask: Is asking your supplier to take all the risk the right thing to do? Are they sufficiently equipped to shoulder this burden and will you be inflating the price you pay due to the risk premium the supplier is attaching to a risk, which, by its very nature, may not occur? Contract managers need to understand how deals are put together and the implications of how commercial tensions can alter the shape of the deal and affect risk and reward. Being able to assess opportunities and threats while staying aware of the bigger picture is essential. Best practice would be to: Include risk management obligations on the parties in the contract Insist on regular risk meetings and the frequency and format of the reporting as contractual commitments. Fully understand the contract and the deliverables of both parties to be able to monitor the likelihood of a risk. D. Tracking Changes Tracking the obligations due over the term of the contract (especially in the first 6 months) you should be able to monitor see what is on track and what is slipping. By adding a ‘traffic light’ ranking system this can easily be distilled into a summary for reporting purposes. If a potential risk has been identified as particularly problematic, it may be possible to put steps in place that could be implemented if the worst did happen. For example, it is common for IT contracts to contain business continuity obligations and disaster recovery provisions. Procurement Team: University of Exeter August 2010 A contracts professional can’t use a crystal ball to predict and guard against every possible risk – but the key is knowing what to do when a risk presents itself and understanding the potential risks Other useful references Procurement Manual: Good Practice 1: Contract Management Responsibilities and Duties Procurement Manual: Good Practice 3: Supplier Appraisal Procurement Manual: Good Practice 4: Assessing Supplier Performance Procurement Team: University of Exeter August 2010