THE PATH FORWARD BUILDING THE BRIDGE OVER TROUBLED WATERS WHAT’S WRONG WITH THE OLD BRIDGE ? DECREASING TRAFFIC POTHOLES ROADKILL ROAD RAGE SOFT SHOULDERS PwC’s TOP 100 COMPANIES Year 2002 Sales U$ b 300.7 302.2 308.2 289.4 273.1 277.0 284.3 Net Inc. U$ b 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 3.1 6.3 15.2 11.6 6.5 4.0 10.0 % ROE < 5 6.7 12.0 9.2 5.9 0.7 2.0 % ROCE 4.1 4.4 6.6 5.4 4.1 3.0 4.8 Top 100 – Results by Area AREA # % Global Tot.Sales Sales U$ b Net Inc. U$ b %NI/S EUROPE 29 27 80.1 2.0 2.50 USA 28 46 139.2 0.8 0.57 JAPAN 14 12 36.9 -.015 -.04 CANADA 11 6 17.5 0.24 1.37 ROW 18 9 27.0 .025 0.09 TOTAL 100 100 300.7 3.1 1.03 The Path Forward While building the new bridge and road, widen the river and throw in a few “Morningstar” Moat Monsters: z z z z Be the low cost producer in the industry Have high customer switching costs Own valuable intangible assets such as patents and trademarks Become the center of attention and benefit from the network effect THE PATH FORWARD LEAVE THE INDUSTRY TAKE BIG STEPS DISCOVER & GET TO KNOW CONSUMERS FIND PARTNERS GO FAST BUILD ! USING THE NEW BRIDGE WHO’s ON THE BUS ? CONTRARIANS CHAMELEONS CONSUMERS PARTNERS SPEEDSTERS BUILDERS LOVERS CONTRARIANS Can live and work in a marketing environment Comfortable “leaving” the traditional industry Believe Technology Develop. is marketing’s slave Hate waste of any kind Love tackling what others try to avoid Love taking big steps, acceleration & speed Love product platforms, many & diversified grades, hybrid products Love the challenge to do business differently CHAMELEONS Are flexible Can quickly detect and assess changes in their environment …. and adjust Don’t like being just one color all the time THE REST OF THE BUS CONSUMERS – only way to be marketing driven PARTNERS – provide knowledge & expertise SPEEDSTERS – the world won’t wait for us BUILDERS z z Only builders create sustainable wealth for society Only builders can (re)capture attention & importance LOVERS z z z Are passionate Care for others more than themselves Have the necessary seat belts and life preservers for the journey WHAT ABOUT US ? ON WHICH BUS DO WE CHOOSE TO BE ? WHAT CAN WE CONTRIBUTE TO MERIT AN INVITATION TO JOIN ? CAN WE BE LOUSY MATHEMATICIANS z z Add but never subtract ? Multiply but never divide ?