Managerial Ownership and Tax Planning: Evidence from Stock Ownership Plans Jaewoo Kim University of Rochester Phillip Quinn University of Washington Ryan Wilson University of Oregon April 2016 Abstract: Prior work examines and finds that a variety of ownership structures are associated with corporate tax avoidance (e.g., family ownership, private equity ownership, and dual-class ownership). Although diffuse ownership is a prevalent ownership structure of the U.S. public firms, there is limited evidence on the relation between managerial ownership and tax avoidance among firms with diffuse ownership. We address this question in two ways. First, we examine a set of firms with diffuse ownership for which boards of directors adopt target ownership plans. Using a difference-in-difference design for 3,321 firm-years, we find firms that adopt stock ownership plans that require increased managerial ownership are associated with lower cash effective tax rates following plan adoption relative to propensity-matched control firms. Firms that adopt plans that only constrain managerial selling, however, are not associated with lower cash effective tax rates following adoption. Our findings are consistent with improved incentive alignment between managers and shareholders leading to increased tax avoidance. * Jaewoo Kim is an Assistant Professor at the Simon Graduate School of Business at the University of Rochester and may be reached at jaewoo.kim@simon.rochester.edu. Phil Quinn is an Assistant Professor at Foster School of Business at the University of Washington and may be reached at philq@uw.edu. Ryan Wilson is an Associate Professor at the Lundquist College of Business at the University of Oregon and may be reached at rwilson3@uoregon.edu. We appreciate helpful comments from TJ Atwood, Terrence Blackburn, Asher Curtis, Jeffrey Hoopes (ATA Discussant), Patrick Hopkins, Dan Lynch, Jodi Permenter, Sarah Shaikh, Jonathan Shipman, Brian Williams, and workshop participants at the University of Arkansas, and the 2016 ATA Midyear Meeting. The authors gratefully acknowledge the generous financial support from their respective institutions. 1. Introduction In this paper we examine the effects of managerial ownership on corporate tax avoidance by focusing on public firms with diffuse ownership. Although previous research on tax avoidance examines and finds that various forms of corporate ownership structures are associated with corporate tax avoidance (e.g., family ownership (Chen et al. 2010), private equity ownership (Badertscher et al. 2013), and dual-class ownership (McGuire et al. 2014)), there is limited evidence on how managerial ownership is associated with tax avoidance amongst the U.S. public firms with diffuse ownership. Given that diffuse ownership is a dominant ownership structure of the U.S. public firms, our paper enhances our understanding of the nature of the relation between corporate ownership and tax avoidance. Studying the impact of managerial ownership on tax avoidance presents significant obstacles. Managerial ownership is likely endogenous to a variety of corporate policies including tax planning strategy as well as unobservable firm characteristics such as growth opportunities. To mitigate this issue, we follow Core and Larcker (2002) and examine a set of firms with diffuse ownership where boards of directors adopt target ownership plans when firms have a misalignment between managers and shareholders.1 Studying the adoption of stock ownership plans is advantageous relative to studying the level of managerial ownership or voluntary changes in ownership because managers could increase ownership levels in anticipation of improved performance, part of which may result from more effective tax planning. The adoption of a stock ownership plan will induce increases in managerial ownership that are unlikely to be related to changes in executive expectations about future firm performance (Core and Larcker 2002). 1 Core and Larcker (2002) find accounting returns are significantly higher in the two years following plan adoption and excess returns are significantly higher in the first six months in the year the plan is adopted. 1 Target ownership plans mandate that executives obtain a certain level of stock ownership within a given period of time, most often five years. The required level of ownership typically varies by executive, with plans most often requiring CEOs to own five times their annual salary and requiring other named executive officers to own two to three times their annual salary. Consequently, studying a sample of firms that adopt target stock ownership plans enables us to directly identify the remediation of agency problems (pre-adoption versus post-adoption of stock ownership plan) between managers and shareholders, and its impact on tax avoidance activities. The use of our setting is advantageous because the relation between managerial ownership and incentive alignment between managers and shareholders can be nonlinear (e.g., Himmelberg et al. 1999). The literature on tax avoidance has conflicting views on the nature of the relation between agency conflicts and tax avoidance. Armstrong et al. (2015) articulate a traditional view of the role of governance on tax avoidance. Under this traditional view, tax avoidance is a risky investment opportunity and unresolved agency conflicts can result in managers choosing a suboptimal level of tax avoidance. Empirical studies provide evidence consistent with this view (e.g., Rego and Wilson 2012), which we refer to as the incentive alignment hypothesis. In contrast to the traditional view of agency costs, Desai and Dharmapala (2006) argue that tax avoidance can be the outcome of agency conflicts between managers and shareholders. The authors posit that self-interested managers engage in aggressive tax planning to hide managerial diversion of corporate resources. Desai and Dharmapala (2006) predict a negative association between managerial incentives and aggressive tax planning, and we refer to their hypothesis as the rent extraction hypothesis. We build on Core and Larcker (2002), who document stock ownership plans improve incentive alignment between managers and outsider shareholders, and 2 we examine how the improvement in incentive alignment from ownership plans affects managers’ tax avoidance activities. Given the competing explanations of Armstrong et al. (2015) and Desai and Dharmapala (2006), it is unclear ex ante whether the increase in managerial ownership from the target ownership plans will lead to more or less tax avoidance. We begin our analysis by splitting adoption firms into two groups according to whether the stock ownership plan required an increase in ownership for at least one executive or required no executive to increase stock ownership. We measure the level of tax avoidance using the cash effective tax rate. Unlike the traditional GAAP effective tax rate, the cash effective tax rate is not biased by changes in tax accounting accruals and reflects tax avoidance activities related to the deferral of cash tax payments (Dyreng et al. 2008). When examining firms adopting target ownership plans that require an increase in managerial ownership, we observe an increase in the level of tax avoidance subsequent to plan adoption. For firms that adopt ownership plans not requiring additional managerial ownership, we observe no change in the level of tax avoidance. Next, we use the increase required and no increase required firms to implement a difference-indifferences design, and we control for known determinants of tax planning. Consistent with the incentive alignment hypothesis, we find the adoption firms that required at least one executive to increase stock ownership experience a 2.1 percentage point decrease in their cash ETR from the pre- to post-adoption period relative to adoption firms that do not require any executives to increase ownership. The 2.1 percentage point decrease represents an economically significant decrease of 8.0 percent of the pre-adoption cash effective tax rate of firms that require an increase in ownership. We also examine the sustainability of the observed increase in tax avoidance by examining ten-year cash effective tax rates following the adoption of target ownership plans. 3 Similar to our primary tests of cash effective tax rates over the four years before and after plan adoptions, we find the ten-year rates decline significantly following the adoption of the ownership plans requiring an increase in stock ownership. The reduced ten-year rates suggest the increased tax planning following plan adoption is a result of implementing sustainable tax strategies and not a reflection of managers implementing aggressive strategies that are later reversed upon examination. Overall, these findings are consistent with improved incentive alignment post-adoption leading managers to put more effort into tax planning resulting in increased tax avoidance. Next, we compare changes in tax avoidance activity for firms that adopt stock ownership plans for their named executive officers relative to a set of control firms. We use propensityscore matching to select control firms that exhibit similar likelihoods of adoption to our sample of adoption firms, but that did not actually adopt stock ownership plans. To isolate the effects of plan adoption, we use our treatment and control firms to implement an alternative difference-indifferences design. Again consistent with the incentive alignment hypothesis, we document that adoption firms decrease their cash effective tax rates by 2.4 percent, on average, from the pre-to post-adoption period relative to the matched control firms. Consistent with our primary analysis, we find this decrease is concentrated in the adoption firms requiring an increase in stock ownership. A 2.4 percent decrease in cash effective tax rates translates to an average cash savings of $20 thousand per executive team. Of course, the potential benefits of reduced tax rates to executives are likely greater than their portion of the tax savings based on their ownership. For example, executive bonuses may be a function of after-tax earnings. We conduct additional tests to rule out alternative explanations for our findings and to provide further corroborating evidence. First, we note that the firms adopting ownership plans 4 exhibit higher average cash effective tax rates prior to adoption than the propensity matched control firms. The higher cash effective tax rates raise the concern that our analysis is simply capturing a mean-reversion of cash effective tax rates. To mitigate this concern, we repeat our analysis by examining the four years before and after a false adoption date set four years prior to the actual adoption. The intuition underlying this test is that if changes in cash effective tax rates around the adoption of stock ownership are attributable to the mean-reversion, such a relation is likely a general pattern of the data, and thus should be observed in other time periods. We find no evidence of an increase in tax avoidance in the falsification test, which suggests our results are not an artifact of mean-reversion of cash effective tax rates. This test also provides evidence that the zero correlation, or parallel trends, assumption is not violated in our setting.2 Second, we include covariates from our propensity-score matching procedure to control for imbalance between treatment and control firms on variables affecting the likelihood of adoption, and we continue to find evidence of a statistically, and economically, significant decrease in cash effective tax rates for adoption firms that require an increase in ownership. A recent but growing literature examines the impact of agency conflicts on tax avoidance. Despite numerous recent studies in this area, the literature provides little insight into how managerial ownership influences tax avoidance for the majority of firms with diffuse ownership structures. Existing work in this area can be split into two separate lines of research. One line of research examines the association between various corporate governance structures (including equity compensation) and tax avoidance (Desai and Dharmapala 2006; Rego and Wilson 2012; Armstrong et al. 2012; and Armstrong et al. 2015). The other line of research investigates the impact of various ownership structures including family ownership (Chen et al. 2 The zero correlation assumption is an identifying assumption for the difference-in-differences estimators, and the zero correlation assumption states that in the absence of the treatment, the change in cash effective tax rates would have been the same between treatment and control groups. 5 2010), private equity ownership (Badertscher et al. 2013), and dual-class ownership (McGuire et al. 2014) on tax avoidance decisions. The studies examining the association between equity compensation and tax decisions provide mixed results 3 and the studies examining ownership structure focus on settings with unique agency concerns (e.g. family ownership or dual class stock). The differences-in-differences approach we employ in this study increases our confidence in drawing inferences on the relation between ownership structure and tax reporting policy.4 In doing so, the study complements and extends existing work on the relationship between stock ownership and tax avoidance in the cross-section of firms. The remainder of the paper is organized as follows. The next section develops the competing hypotheses. Section 3 describes sample selection procedures and provides descriptive statistics. Section 4 presents the empirical methods and results. Section 5 provides additional analysis, and Section 6 concludes. 2. Literature Review and Hypothesis Development 2.1 Literature review A growing line of research investigates the impact of various ownership structures on tax avoidance. Little evidence exists, however, on how manager-shareholder agency conflicts in diffuse-ownership firms affect tax avoidance. Rego and Wilson (2012) is among the few studies examining the effect of executives’ equity holdings on tax planning activity. Specifically, they examine the association between executives’ equity risk incentives and the amount of firms’ 3 Desai and Dharmapala (2006) find a negative association between equity incentives and tax sheltering among poorly governed firms. Rego and Wilson (2012) and Gaertner (2014) find a positive association between option vega and measures of tax aggressiveness. Armstrong et al. (2012) do not find an association between CEO variable compensation (including stock and options) and tax avoidance. We discuss these studies in more detail in Section 2. 4 We note that the adoption of the ownership plans is a decision made by the board of directors. Similar to Core and Larcker (2002), the goal of our study is not to address concerns about endogeneity, but rather to examine changes in corporate behavior around a setting in which boards re-contract with managers. 6 risky tax avoidance. Building on existing research in finance and accounting, they predict top executives’ appetite for risk will increase with equity risk incentives, which will lead to an increased willingness to engage in risky tax avoidance. Consistent with this prediction, they find a positive association between equity risk incentives of CFOs and CEOs and tax avoidance activity. In contrast, Desai and Dharmapala (2006) argue that tax avoidance can be the outcome of manager-shareholder agency conflicts. From this perspective, self-interested managers engage in aggressive tax planning to hide managerial diversion of corporate resources. Thus, they predict a negative association between managerial incentives and aggressive tax planning and provide evidence consistent with their prediction. Consequently, the exact nature of the relation between managerial equity incentives and tax avoidance remains unclear. Armstrong et al. (2015) offer an alternative view on tax avoidance. They maintain that tax avoidance is a risky investment project and unresolved agency conflicts between managers and shareholders result in suboptimal tax avoidance activities. Unlike Rego and Wilson (2012) and Desai and Dharmapala (2006), they predict that suboptimal tax avoidance can result in either “too little” or “too much” tax avoidance, and thus better corporate governance reduces “too extreme” tax avoidance in both directions. Consistent with this prediction, Armstrong et al. (2015) report a negative (positive) association between governance mechanisms and tax avoidance for firms with high (low) levels of tax avoidance. Although Armstrong et al. (2015) advance our understanding of the nature of the relation between tax avoidance and agency concerns, they do not directly speak to the association between the separation of ownership and control and tax avoidance. Understanding the nature of the relation between managerial equity ownership and tax avoidance is important, because the separation of ownership and control is a root cause of agency conflicts between shareholders and 7 managers (Jensen and Meckling 1976). This paper provides direct evidence on how the degree of the separation of ownership and control is associated with levels of corporate tax avoidance. Prior work examines the relation between various ownership structures and corporate tax avoidance (e.g., family ownership (Chen et al. 2010), private equity ownership (Badertscher et al. 2013), and dual-class ownership (McGuire et al. 2014)), but none of these existing studies directly examine the effects of the separation of ownership and control faced by most firms. The nature of agency conflicts among family firms, firms with dual-class shares, or firms with private equity ownership differs from the agency conflicts between managers and diffuse shareholders (Bebchuk and Weisback 2010). For example, the time horizon of the controlling shareholders in family firms or dual-class firms is much longer than that of managers in firms with diffuse ownership. If rent extraction activities decrease a firm’s long-term value, the longer time horizon possibly incentivizes the controlling shareholders not to engage in tax avoidance as a way of extracting rents from the minority shareholders (i.e., they prefer a “quiet life”). In contrast, it is possible the shorter time horizon of managers among firms with diffuse ownership incentivizes them to engage in tax avoidance as a way of extracting rents from diffuse shareholders, because it is difficult for shareholders to recoup wealth expropriation ex post from managers (Shleifer and Vishny 1997). The above discussion suggests that it is difficult to generalize findings of studies examining the impact of “unique” ownership structures on tax avoidance to firms with diffuse ownership. Our contribution to the literature is to provide evidence on the effects of the agency conflicts between managers and shareholders among firms with diffuse ownership on tax avoidance. 2.2. Hypotheses development 8 To understand the relation between separation of ownership and control and tax avoidance, we study the adoption of stock ownership plans. Boards of directors adopt stock ownership plans, which specify a minimum amount of stock that must be owned by executives within a minimum amount of time. Core and Larcker (2002) document that boards adopt ownership plans when managerial ownership is low relative to industry averages. The authors then document evidence consistent with the increase in ownership following adoption mitigating manager-shareholder agency conflicts. This research setting has several advantages relative to studying the level of managerial ownership or voluntary changes in ownership. First, studying ownership plans mitigates the possibility that managers increase ownership levels in anticipation of improvements in stock price performance, because improvements in stock performance may be associated with corporate tax avoidance. Second, our research setting allows us to directly examine the impact of the remediation of agency problems (pre-adoption versus post-adoption of target ownership plan) between managers and shareholders on tax avoidance activities. Finally, this approach also allows us to perform inter-temporal analyses so as to mitigate concerns of an endogenous relation between managerial ownership structure and tax avoidance, which potentially arises in cross-sectional research settings.5 It is ex ante unclear whether increases in managerial ownership result in more or less tax avoidance. The extant theory of corporate tax avoidance provides two opposing predictions about the impact of increases in managerial ownership on tax avoidance. Under the traditional view that managers engage in risky tax avoidance activities in an attempt to maximize shareholders’ value by diverting resources from the government to shareholders, increasing 5 This concern is particularly important when examining the relation between ownership and tax avoidance, because the relation between managerial equity ownership and agency conflicts is concave (McConnell and Servaes 1990). 9 managerial ownership results in more aggressive tax avoidance (e.g., Rego and Wilson 2012). In other words, as agency conflicts decrease from pre- to post-adoption period, managers are likely to engage in more aggressive level of tax avoidance in the interests of themselves and shareholders. We refer to this hypothesis as the incentive alignment hypothesis. In contrast, Desai and Dharmapala (2006) posit that managers can structure complex tax avoidance transactions in a bid to extract rents from shareholders. Under this alternative view, increasing managerial ownership results in less aggressive tax avoidance. Stated differently, as agency conflicts decrease post-adoption, managers are likely to engage in less tax avoidance. We refer to this competing hypothesis as the rent extraction hypothesis. 3. Sample Selection We hand-collect a sample of stock ownership plan adoptions that spans from 1993 to 2013. This sample extends the sample used by Quinn (2015). Starting with a sample of S&P 1500 firms as of January 1, 1995, we identify firms that adopt stock ownership plans using a Python script that searches EDGAR filings for “ownership plan”.6 We also classify adoption firms into two groups depending upon whether the stock ownership plan requires an increase in ownership for at least one named executive officer.7 We refer to the former as the increaserequired sample and the latter as the no-action-required sample, and we use the no-actionrequired sample as a control sample against which we benchmark the increase-required sample. We obtain financial statement information from Compustat, managerial ownership data from Execucomp, and governance data from Institutional Shareholder Services. Stock return data 6 To eliminate false positive matches, we hand check each firm’s first match to ensure that plan is a stock ownership plan for executives, rather than a plan for directors or non-executive employees. To eliminate false negative matches, we check the proxy statement prior to the first match. For non-adoption firms, we read the most recent proxy to verify the firm is a non-adoption firm. 7 Companies most commonly report five named executive officers, but some firms report more. 10 come from CRSP. Figure 1 shows the frequency of adoption firms separately for the increaserequired and no-action-required subsamples. We observe some variation in the number of firms that adopted the stock ownership plans over time. We find, though, that patterns are similar between the increase-required and no-action-required subgroups. A natural question regarding stock ownership plans is whether managers actually increase their ownership to meet plan guidelines, and a potential concern with examining stock ownership plans is that the requirements may be disregarded by managers. Core and Larcker (2002) report that for their sample of firms that adopt stock ownership plans, managerial ownership increases in the two years following the plan adoption.8 Quinn (2015) focuses on a randomly-selected subset of 50 firms that adopt plans that require an increase in managerial ownership for one or more executives. Quinn (2015) then hand-collects ownership data for each of the named executive officers over the five years subsequent to adoption, and he finds evidence consistent with managers following plan requirements. 9 For our sample of adoptions, the maximum CEO ownership multiple is 25, and the maximum multiple for a non-CEO is 10. The most common CEO ownership multiple is five, and the most common non-CEO ownership multiple is three. Consistent with the survey of Ayco (2012), the multiple for the CEO is typically much higher than the multiple for other named executive officers in our sample. 4. Empirical Approach 8 Core and Larcker (2002) do not distinguish between firms that require one or more executives to increase their ownership and firms that require no increase in ownership. 9 Specifically, Quinn (2015) collects data for 255 executives, and finds 251 executives were in compliance by the five-year window or had left the firm. Of the four executives that were not in compliance within five years, the first executive was in compliance during the sixth year, the second executive retired in the sixth year, the third executive was at a firm that was acquired during the sixth year and stopped filing proxy statements, and the fourth executive was promoted to CEO during the five-year window, which increased his ownership level. We extend the verification of compliance process of Quinn (2015) by sampling an additional 10 firms, and our sample provides evidence that managers indeed increase their ownership to meet plan requirements. 11 To test whether tax avoidance changes from the pre- to post-adoption period, we employ several research designs that complement each other. The alternative designs employed in this paper are concerned primarily with how to select counterfactuals. Counterfactuals play a critical role in drawing inferences in non-random observational studies. In this section, we explain our research designs and discuss the merits and limitations of each design. 4.1. Using firms that adopted stock ownership plans that required no named executive officer to increase their stock ownership as control firms In our primary research design, we focus on firms that adopt stock ownership plans. We then use firms that adopted stock ownership plans that required no named executive officer to increase their stock ownership as control firms (i.e., the no-action-required sample) as control firms. The treatment firms are those that adopted stock ownership plans that required at least one named executive officer to increase stock ownership (i.e., the increase-required sample). Thus, we compare the differential shift in tax planning between the two subsamples around the adoption of stock ownership plans. Specifically, we estimate the following equation: πΆπΈππ %,' = π½* ππ πΈπ΄π%,' + π½- ππππ%,' + π½1 ππ πΈπ΄π%,' ∗ ππππ%,' + π ∗ πΆππππ ππΏ%,' + π%,' (1) where CETR is the firm-year cash effective tax rate with pretax income adjusted for special items.10 While CETR is a common measure of tax planning, Hanlon and Heitzman (2010) note that several measures of tax planning exist, and the authors also emphasize that the appropriate measure of tax planning depends on the setting. In our setting, we posit that managers increase firm value through improved tax planning subsequent to the adoption of stock ownership plans. 10 Following Dyreng et al. (2008), we adjust for special items to remove the effect of GAAP only items, such as goodwill write-downs, that do not affect taxes. Our results are qualitatively similar when we do not adjust cash effective tax rates for special items. 12 Reducing cash paid to tax authorities through tax planning directly increases cash flows available to the firm.11 TREAT is an indicator variable that equals one for the adoption firms that required an increase in ownership for at least one named executive, and zero for the adoption firms that require an increase in ownership for none of the named executive officers. POST is an indicator variable that equals one (zero) for firm-years that occur (before) after a plan adoption. The preadoption and post-adoption period include four years each. The pre-adoption period encompasses the three years prior to plan adoption and the year of adoption, and the post-adoption period encompasses four years following a plan adoption.12 Our independent variable of interest is the interaction between TREAT and POST, and the coefficient estimate on the interaction represents the average treatment effect for adoption firms that required an increase in ownership for at least one executive. Under the incentive alignment hypothesis (rent extraction hypothesis), the coefficient estimate on the interaction between TREAT and POST should be negative (positive), consistent with more (less) tax planning subsequent to plan adoption. We also control for potential determinants of cash effective tax rates. We control for pretax profitability (PT_ROA), which we compute as pre-tax income divided by average total assets. We control for the extent of net operating losses, which we compute as tax loss carry forwards 11 We use a one-year measure of cash ETR. Hanlon and Heitzman (2010) note that the one-year cash ETR measure is more volatile than one-year GAAP ETR and one-year current ETR measures. The authors also note that the denominator and numerator of the one-year cash ETR measure may be mismatched. Dyreng et al. (2008) use a longrun cash ETR measure, which is less volatile than the one-year cash ETR measure and also improves matching between the numerator and denominator. We do not use long-run cash ETRs in our setting because such a measure would, for some years in the post period, be estimated over both the pre-adoption and post-adoption years. Furthermore, our tests examine change in cash effective tax rates over the four years following adoption, which also mitigates concerns about the volatility and mismatching in the one-year measure. Nevertheless, our inferences are unchanged when we use multi-year cash effective tax rate measures. 12 We include the year of adoption as the pre-adoption period because stock ownership plans effectively begin to affect managerial ownership in the year following adoption. Inferences are unchanged when we delete the year of adoption and compare the four years prior to the year of adoption to the four years subsequent to the year of adoption. 13 divided by average total assets.13 Zimmerman (1983) argues political costs lead larger firms to pay higher tax rates, and we control for SIZE. We define SIZE as the natural logarithm of average total assets. Rego (2003) finds that multinational corporations exhibit lower worldwide GAAP ETRs, and we control for whether the firm is a multinational corporation. MNC is an indicator variable equal to one when a firm reports a non-missing value for foreign pre-tax income, and zero otherwise. Interest expenses from debt are a qualified business expense, and we control for leverage (LEV) by including total liabilities divided by average total assets. The Economic Recovery Act of 1981 provides tax credits to firms that engage in certain types of research and development (R&D), and we control for R&D as research and development expense scaled by average total assets. Dyreng et al. (2014) find that average corporate taxes have decreased over the past 25 years, and we include year fixed effects to mitigate concerns that our results simply reflect the downward trend that Dyreng et al. (2014) document.14 Following Rego and Wilson (2012), we control for the effect of equity risk incentives (VEGA) on tax avoidance. As with Armstrong et al. (2015) we include board independence (BOARD_IND) and voting power of directors (DIR_VOTING). If VEGA and DIR_VOTING are missing, we set these variable to be zero and include an indicator variable (GOV_MISSING) that equals one, denoting that these variables are missing. GOV_MISSING is zero otherwise (Cassell, Dreher, and Myers 2013). To control for the potential confounding effect of executive turnover around adoptions, we include a variable that equals the proportion of the named executive officers that disappeared from Execucomp over the most recent year (EXEC TURNOVER). In addition to the above 13 We set net operating losses equal to zero for firms with missing TLCF. By comparing changes in effective tax rates in our treatment firms to changes at adoption-year-matched control firms, our difference-in-differences research design also mitigates concerns that our results simply reflect the downward trend in effective tax rates. 14 14 mentioned control variables, we include variables used in the first-stage model of a propensityscore matching procedure, which we explain below. 4.2. Using propensity-score-matched firms as control firms As a second research design, we employ a propensity-score matching procedure (Rosenbaum and Rubin 1983). Specifically, we examine the differential shift in tax avoidance (i.e., cash ETR) between adoption firms and propensity-score-matched firms from the pre- to post-adoption. To obtain propensity scores, we estimate a logistic model with variables that prior work suggests affect the probability of ownership plan adoption. Consistent with boards adopting plans to mitigate perceived governance problems, Core and Larcker (2002) find executives at adoption firms exhibit low equity ownership prior to adoption. We include lagged CEO equity ownership scaled by the market value of equity and the mean of the lagged equity ownership of the other named executive officers, also scaled by the market value of equity. 15 With more resources to implement governance reforms, large firms may be more likely to adopt an ownership plan, and we included the lagged value of total assets. Because plans require managers to retain a certain level of ownership, boards of firms with volatile stock prices may be less likely to adopt an ownership plan. We include stock volatility as a determinant of plan adoption. The series of accounting scandals in 2000 and 2001, and the passage of SarbanesOxley Act of 2002 (SOX), lead to several governance reforms, and we include a SOX indicator variable in our prediction model. Finally, Core and Larcker (2002) document that adoption firms exhibit poor price and accounting performance relative to their industry peers. As such, we include stock returns and industry-adjusted performance as additional determinants of adoption. The results of the propensity-score matching procedure are presented in Appendix B. 15 Appendix A lists and defines all covariates that we use in the propensity-score matching procedure. 15 To examine changes in tax planning around the adoption of stock ownership plans, we estimate the following regression: πΆπΈππ %,' = π* ππ πΈπ΄π%,' + π- ππππ%,' + π1 ππ πΈπ΄π ∗ ππππ%,' + π½ ∗ ππΈπ΄π ' + π%,' , π ∗ πΆππππ ππΏ8,%,' + (2) where TREAT is an indicator variable that equals one for the firms that adopted stock ownership plans and zero for propensity-score-matched firms. Note that unlike equation (1), where TREAT represents the adoption firms that required an increase in ownership for at least one named executive, in equation (2) TREAT refers to all adoption firms. POST is an indicator variable that equals one for firm-years that occur after a plan adoption. For the control firms, POST equals one for firm-years that occur after the pseudo plan adoption. All other variables are defined as in equation (1). Our independent variable of interest is the interaction between TREAT and POST, and the coefficient estimate on the interaction represents the average treatment effect for adoption firms relative to propensity-score-matched control firms. The incentive alignment hypothesis (rent extraction hypothesis) predicts that TREAT*POST will be negative (positive), consistent with tax planning increasing (decreasing) subsequent to adoption. 4.3. Using entropy-balanced firms as control firms To complement the aforementioned research designs, we use entropy balancing to construct counterfactuals (Hainmueller 2012). The crux of entropy balancing reweights a control sample so the distributional characteristics (i.e., mean, variance, and skewness) are similar between that control sample and the treatment sample (i.e., firms that adopted stock ownership plans). To obtain entropy-balanced control firms, we use the same set of variables as in the propensity-score matching procedure described above. Importantly, we also include the preadoption cash effective tax rate as an additional variable. This helps mitigate the potential that 16 changes in cash effective tax rates from the pre- to post-adoption period are an artifact of the mean-reverting nature of cash effective rate rates. Using entropy-balanced firms as counterfactuals, we estimate the following regression: πΆπΈππ %,' = πΏ* ππ πΈπ΄π%,' + π ∗ πΆππππ ππΏ%,' + π%,' (3) where TREAT is an indicator variable that equals one for firms that adopted stock ownership plans that required at least one named executive officer to increase stock ownership (i.e., the increase-required sample) and zero for the associated entropy-balanced firms. All other variables are defined as in equations (1) and (2). Unlike equations (1) and (2), we estimate equation (3) for firm-years after a plan (pseudo) adoption. Our independent variable of interest is the TREAT. Under the incentive alignment hypothesis (rent extraction hypothesis), the coefficient estimate on TREAT should be negative (positive), consistent with tax planning increasing (decreasing) post-adoption. It is worth discussing the merits and limitations of the above research design choices. Recent research points out the limitations of propensity score matching (PSM) (Shipman et al. 2015; DeFond et al. 2015). For example, Shipman et al. (2015) provide evidence suggesting that design choices involved with PSM can influence the composition of propensity-score-matched control samples and thus inferences about the treatment effect of interest. DeFond et al. (2015) also echo that PSM is sensitive to several design choices that include (1) the number of control firms per treatment firm, (2) the level of pruning, and (3) the inclusion of non-linear covariate terms. A key takeaway from these papers is that inferences drawn from PSM can be sensitive to innocuous (or potentially intentional) design choices. Entropy balancing mitigates some concerns with PSM. For example, entropy balancing does not require researchers to choose the number of 17 control firms per treatment firm and the level of pruning. Entropy balancing, however, results in a small number of control firms receiving unusually large weights. Conversely, comparing the increase-required sample with the no-action-required sample is free from potentially arbitrary research design choices that are inherent in both PSM and entropy balancing. For example, it is somewhat arbitrary what variables are included in PSM and entropy balancing. Thus, the results obtained from the two methods can be sensitive to unobservable (excluded) correlated omitted variables. However, such benefits do not come without costs. Firms that decided to adopt stock ownership plans are not likely to be a random sample, creating a self-selection problem. To mitigate this problem, we estimate the Inverse Mills ratio by estimating the prediction model of the adoption of the stock ownership plans and include it in the second stage, equation (1). Nonetheless, we do not explicitly model firms’ decisions to require executives to increase ownership or not conditional on adopting the plans. This concern can be mitigated partially by constructing entropy-balanced control firms for the increase-required sample. In summary, we do not view any of the three research designs as clearly superior to the others along all dimensions. Rather, we believe that the three methods complement each other. Obtaining consistent results across alternative research designs gives us more comfort in drawing inferences about the effect of managerial ownership on tax planning. 5. Estimation Results 5.1. Using firms that adopted stock ownership plans that required no named executive officer to increase their stock ownership as control firms 5.1.1 Descriptive Statistics Panels A and B of Table 1 provide descriptive statistics for our sample of firms that adopted stock ownership plans between 1993 and 2012. The mean CETR for our sample is 25.6 18 percent pre-adoption and 24.6 percent post-adoption, which are below the U.S. federal statutory rate of 35 percent for our sample period. The interquartile range of CETR ranges from 15.2 to 33.8 percent pre-adoption and from 13.7 to 32.7 percent post-adoption, which suggest the firms in our sample exhibit varying degrees of tax planning. In Panels C and D, we break the pre- and post-adoption sample of adoption firms into two subsamples: (1) the increase-required and (2) no-action-required samples. To save space, we only report the means of variables and differences therein along with p-values of t-tests of the equality of the means of the two subsamples. Focusing on the pre-adoption sample (Panel C), the two subsamples are different across some dimensions. The increase-required firms tend to be smaller than the no-action-required firms (SIZE). Equity risk incentives (VEGA) are lower on average for the increase-required sample than the no-action-required subsample, while directors’ voting power (DIR_VOTING) is higher on average for the increase-required sample than the noaction-required subsample. Relative to the no-increase-required firms, the increase-required firms tend to be domestic firms (MNC) and experience a 1.6 percentage point higher executive turnover. Evident in Panel D, some of pre-adoption differences between the two subsamples vanish post-adoption. The two subgroups no longer exhibit statistically significant differences in equity risk incentives (VEGA) or CEO turnovers (EXEC TURNOVER). Additionally, we do not find statistically significant differences in CETR between the two subsamples in either the preadoption period or the post-adoption period. 5.1.2 Multiple Regressions Results We begin by examining changes in cash effective tax rates for all adoption firms and separately for the increase-required and no-action required subsamples. The results reported in Panel A of Table 2 support the incentive alignment hypothesis. Focusing on all adoption firms in 19 Model (1), we find that the coefficient estimate on POST is -0.022 and statistically different from zero (t-statistic = -2.58), suggesting that adoption firms exhibit a 2.2 percentage point decrease in CETR from the pre- to post-adoption. As evident in Models (2) and (3), such decline in CETR is attributable primarily to the increase-required subsample. The coefficient estimate on POST is significantly negative (coefficient estimate = -0.028; t-statistic = -2.75) for the increase-required subsample, while the corresponding coefficient estimate is insignificant for the no-actionrequired subsample (coefficient estimate = -0.015; t-statistic = -1.24). The coefficient estimate of -0.028 indicates that the increase-required subsample experiences a 2.8 percentage point decrease in CETR from the pre- to post-adoption.16 A 2.8 percentage point decline accounts for 11 percent of the pre-adoption mean CETR of the increase-required firms (11 percent = 0.028/0.256). The negative coefficient estimate on POST provides initial evidence in favor of the incentive alignment hypothesis. A benefit of this result is that we are using each firm as its own control, which mitigates concerns that time invariant firm characteristics drive our results. A concern with this result, however, is that we may simply be capturing decreasing cash effective tax rates through time. Our test in Panel B of Table 2 addresses this concern. The results of estimating equation (1) are reported in Panel B of Table 2. The results confirm the inference from Panel A. The coefficient estimate on TREAT*POST is significantly negative (coefficient estimate = -0.021; t-statistic = -2.00). This suggests that adoption firms that required at least one executive to increase stock ownership experience a 2.1 percentage point decrease in CETR from the pre- to post-adoption period relative to adoption firms that do not 16 Estimating the effect of plan adoptions requires us to have observations in both the pre-adoption and postadoption period. Because we limit the sample in Panel A of Table 2 to include just firms that adopted plans, we exclude year fixed effects because including year fixed effects would subsume the effect on POST during both the beginning of our sample, when POST = 0, and the end of our sample, when POST = 1. In latter tests, we include year fixed effects, because we also include a set of control variables and because TREAT*POST, rather than POST, is our coefficient of interest in later tests. Inferences are unchanged when we exclude year fixed effects from later tests. 20 require any executives to increase ownership. Overall, the results in Table 2 support the incentive alignment hypothesis that managerial ownership is negatively associated with corporate tax avoidance. Our primary findings thus far document that adoption firms that require an increase in stock ownership for at least one executive exhibit, on average, lower cash effective tax rates in the four years following plan adoption. A natural question is whether firms sustain the cash tax savings or whether the cash tax savings reverse. To investigate whether adoption firms maintain the reduced cash effective tax rates beyond our sample period, we extend our sample to ten years after plan adoption and re-estimate equation (1). Table 3 presents the results. The negative coefficient estimate on the interaction between TREAT and POST is statistically significant (coefficient estimate = -0.023, t-statistic = -2.09). The economic magnitude in Table 3 is similar to the estimate on the TREAT*POST interaction in Panel B of Table 2 (i.e., -0.021), which suggests that the reduction in cash tax savings persist after the adoption of plans that require ownership increases. The results in Table 3 suggest that managers are implementing tax planning strategies that are sustained upon audit. 5.2. Using propensity-score-matched firms as control firms In this section, we present the results of estimating equation (2) in which we use propensity-score-matched firms as control firms. Table 4 presents the results of estimating equation (2). The results are consistent with the findings reported in the previous section. Model 1 presents the results for all adoption firms. The coefficient estimate on TREAT*POST is -0.024, which is statistically significant. This coefficient estimate indicates that an average treatment effect of a 2.4 percentage point reduction in cash effective tax rate from the pre- to post-adoption period relative to propensity-score-matched control firms. 21 Next, we split our sample into adoption firms that require one or more executives to increase ownership in the firm and those that require an ownership floor for executives, but set the ownership floor below all executives’ current ownership. Model 2 presents the results for the firms that require an increase in managerial ownership. In Model 2, the coefficient estimate on the interaction between TREAT and POST is -0.029, which is statistically significant (t-statistic = -2.72). A 2.9 percentage point reduction represents an economically significant 11.1 percent reduction relative to the pre-adoption mean CETR for that sample (11.1 percent = 0.029/0.261). Model 3 presents the results for the firms that require no increase in managerial ownership. In Model 3, the coefficient estimate on TREAT*POST is statistically insignificant (t-statistic = 1.31). Overall, the stronger reduction in cash effective tax rates in adoption firms that require an increase in ownership is consistent with the findings in the previous section. Although we find statistically significant results using PSM, it is also possible that unobservable correlated omitted variables confound our inference. This problem is often referred to as “hidden bias.” Following Rosenbaum (2002), we compute Γ, the odds ratio, to assess how sensitive our results are to hidden bias. We find that depending on specification, Γ is 1.45 to 1.85 for our results. These estimates suggest that our results are sensitive to an unobserved variable that makes adoption 45 to 85 percent more likely, but we are robust to an unobserved variable that makes adoption 44 percent more likely. Thus, while our propensity-score matching results are statistically significant, they should be interpreted with caution. We provide additional support for our inferences to mitigate concerns regarding selection on unobserved variables. Specifically, we mitigate concerns regarding selection on unobservable variables by controlling for the Inverse Mills ratio when using adoption firms that require no executive to increase stock ownership as a control sample. 22 To address the sustainability of the cash tax savings relative to propensity-score-matched control firms, we extend our sample to ten years after plan (pseudo) adoption and re-estimate equation (2). The results in Table 5 suggest that aggressive tax strategies that are implemented post-adoption are sustained for an extended period. We find significant negative coefficient estimates on the interaction between TREAT and POST for all adoption firms in Model 1 (coefficient estimate = -0.027; t-statistic = -2.56). Model 2 shows such a decrease is attributable to adoption firms that required ownership increases. Overall, we conclude that managers do not seem to engage in overly aggressive tax planning after a plan adoption relative to propensityscore-matched control firms. One concern with PSM analyses is that the changes in cash effective tax rates that we have documented thus far can be an artifact of the mean-reverting nature of cash ETRs. If so, one would expect to observe changes in cash ETRs without a treatment effect. In the context of our setting, changes in cash effective tax rates may not be due to the remediation of agency conflicts, but to the data-generation process. Another concern is whether the difference-in-differences estimator maintains a zero-correlation assumption. The assumption requires that the coefficient estimate on the interaction between TREAT and POST results from the treatment effect, rather than from preexisting trend differences between treatment and control firms (Roberts and Whited 2012). To address these concerns, we examine changes in cash effective tax rates around a false adoption date. For the false adoption date, we use four years prior to the actual adoption. The choice of this date prevents any true post years from being in the post group and maximizes the nearness to the true adoption. Documenting a reduction in cash effective tax rates for treatment 23 firms in this test would suggest the confounding effect of the mean-reversion of cash effective tax rates or pre-existing trends bias our results. Table 6 presents the falsification results. Rather than only examine falsification results for the adoption firms that require an increase in ownership, we also examine results for all adoption firms and adoption firms that require no action on the part of executives. We examine each of the three samples because we draw inferences on each sample. Mean-reversion of cash effective tax rates, or a violation of the zero-correlation assumption, could bias the inferences we draw for an individual sample without necessarily appearing in the other samples. In Model 1, we find no evidence of a statistically significant negative coefficient on the TREAT*POST interaction term (t-statistics = -0.18). When we split the sample into firms that require an ownership increase (Model 2) and firms that require no action (Model 3), we again find no evidence that pre-existing trends in the pre-event period bias our results. For the firms that are the focus of our study, firms that require an ownership increase, the coefficient estimate on TREAT*POST is an economically and statistically insignificant (coefficient estimate = 0.000; tstatistics = 0.03). Overall, the results of our falsification tests mitigate concerns that our results are artifacts of data-generating process (i.e., mean-reversion of cash effective tax rates) or driven by a violation of the zero-correlation assumption. 5.3. Using entropy-balanced firms as control firms As a final set of analyses, we present the results of using entropy-balanced firms as counterfactuals in Table 7. Note that the treatment firms are those that adopted stock ownership plans that required at least one named executive officer to increase stock ownership (i.e., the increase-required sample), while the control firms are the associated entropy-balanced control firms. In a nutshell, the results confirm the previous findings. The coefficient estimate on TREAT 24 is -0.016 and statistically significant (t-statistic = -2.52). This indicates that the increase-required sample firms exhibit a 1.6 percent point decrease in cash ETR post-adoption relative to entropybalanced control firms. A 1.6 percentage point reduction represents an economically significant 11.1 percent reduction relative to the pre-adoption mean CETR for that sample (6.3 percent = 0.016/0.256). As noted previously, we include the pre-adoption CETR as a variable on which the treatment and control samples are entropy balanced. This result helps attenuate the alternative explanation that post-adoption differences in cash effective tax rates between the treatment and control samples can be an artifact of the mean-reverting nature of cash effective tax rates, i.e., the pre-adoption levels of cash effective tax rates. 6. Conclusion This paper contributes to the literature in several ways. First, we provide evidence on the relation between managerial ownership and tax avoidance by employing a difference-indifferences approach. Prior work provides evidence on the cross-sectional relation between various ownership structures and tax avoidance. The difference-in-differences approach increases our confidence in drawing inferences on a relation between the ownership structure and firms’ tax planning strategies. Second, this paper sheds light on the literature that examines the determinants of tax avoidance by providing evidence on the impact of the remediation of agency problems between managers and shareholders on tax avoidance activities. We find that following the adoption of a stock ownership plan, adoption firms increase their tax planning, and on average, exhibit a lower cash effective tax rate. Upon splitting adoption firms into firms that require an increase in managerial ownership and firms that require no such increase, our results cluster in the firms that require increases in managerial ownership. 25 Additional analysis reveals that our results are neither attributable to mean-reversion of cash effective tax rates, nor are our results attributable to pre-existing trends in cash effective tax rates prior to the adoption. We also find that our results are not due to covariate imbalance between the treatment and control firms. Overall, our results suggest that improved incentive alignment is associated with an increase in tax avoidance consistent with reduced agency conflicts mitigating under-investment in tax avoidance, consistent with the incentive alignment hypothesis. Our analysis is subject to caveats. 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Journal of Accounting and Economics 5(1): 119-149, 1983. 28 Appendix A: Variable definitions Definition Matching variables CEO_OWN CEO equity ownership scaled by market value of equity IND_ADJ_ROA RETURNS Income before special items scaled by average assets, minus the median ROA of firms in the same two-digit SIC industry that year Mean equity ownership of other (i.e., non-CEO) named executive officers scaled by market value of equity Buy-and-hold stock returns over the prior calendar year SIZE Log of total assets SOX Indicator variable equal to one for fiscal years ending after 2002, zero otherwise Standard deviation of daily stock returns over the prior calendar year NEO_OWN STD Test variables CETR LEV MNC Cash effective cash rate, measured as cash taxes paid divided by pretax income minus special items Leverage, measured as total liabilities divided by average total assets R&D Multinational indicator equal to one for firms with non-missing foreign income, zero otherwise Net operating loss, measured as Tax Loss Carry Forwards divided by average total assets Post indicator variable that equals one for firm-years that occur after a plan adoption. For the control firms, POST equals one for firm-years that occur after the pseudo plan adoption Pre-tax profitability, measured as pre-tax income divided by average total assets Research and development divided by average total assets SIZE Natural logarithm of average total assets TREAT BOARD_IND Treatment indicator variable that equals one for adoption firms that require at least one executive to increase stock ownership, and zero otherwise for equation (1); Treatment indicator variable that equals one for firms that adopt stock ownership plans, and zero otherwise for equations (2) and (3) The percentage of independent directors DIR_VOTING Percent control of voting power for all directors EXEC TURNOVER Variable equal to the proportion of executive officers that appear in Execucomp in the prior year, but do not appear in the current year NOL POST PT_ROA 29 Appendix B: Matching Model Panel A: Prediction Model Dep. variable = adopt CONSTANT Model -2.289*** (0.00) -5.593*** (0.00) -7.396*** (0.01) 0.113*** (0.00) -10.797*** (0.00) 1.0153*** (0.00) 0.355 (0.24) 0.084** (0.02) CEO_OWN NEO_OWN SIZE STD SOX IND_ADJ_ROA RETURNS Year matching Y Observations Adjusted R-squared 7109 0.16 Panel B: Covariate Balance VARIABLES Control Treatment Difference p-value 0.001 0.000 -0.257 0.002 0.010 0.092 0.661 0.938 0.056 0.063 0.133 0.021 -0.002 0.000 -0.524 0.000 -0.001 -0.095 0.232 0.860 0.003 0.748 0.872 0.573 Increased-required firms CEO_OWN NEO_OWN SIZE STD IND_ADJ_ROA RETURNS 0.007 0.002 7.842 0.024 0.030 0.201 0.007 0.002 8.098 0.022 0.021 0.109 No-increased-required firms CEO_OWN NEO_OWN SIZE STD IND_ADJ_ROA RETURNS 0.005 0.002 8.184 0.023 0.037 0.295 0.007 0.002 8.708 0.022 0.038 0.390 Panel A provides coefficient estimates on the variables that we use to estimate propensity scores. p-values are in parentheses. Panel B presents covariate balance. See Appendix A for variable definitions. 30 Figure 1 Frequency of Stock Ownership Plan Adoptions by Year 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 INC_REQ=0 INC_REQ=1 This figure provides the number of firms that adopted stock ownership plans by year. The left bar (i.e., INC_REQ = 0) of each year represents firms that adopted stockownership plans that required at least one named executive officer to increase stock ownership. The right bar (i.e., INC_REQ = 1) of each year represents firms that adopted stock ownership plans that required no named executive officer to their increase stock ownership. 31 Table 1 Descriptive Statistics Panel A: Descriptive Statistics of Adoption Firms (Pre-adoption) CETR PT_ROA NOL βNOL SIZE MNC LEV R&D VEGA BOARD_IND DIR_VOTING GOV_MISSING EXEC TURNOVER N 1500 1500 1500 1500 1500 1500 1500 1500 1500 1500 1500 1500 1500 MEAN 0.256 0.099 0.019 0.001 8.313 0.555 0.621 0.018 4.338 0.526 0.034 0.411 0.121 STD 0.176 0.085 0.083 0.021 1.619 0.497 0.209 0.036 1.517 0.330 0.100 0.492 0.142 p25 0.152 0.042 0.000 0.000 7.192 0.000 0.486 0.000 3.438 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 p50 0.256 0.082 0.000 0.000 8.220 1.000 0.616 0.000 4.463 0.667 0.000 0.000 0.125 p75 0.338 0.136 0.001 0.000 9.498 1.000 0.747 0.019 5.375 0.778 0.021 1.000 0.200 Panel B: Descriptive Statistics of Adoption Firms (Post-adoption) CETR PT_ROA NOL βNOL SIZE MNC LEV R&D VEGA BOARD_IND DIR_VOTING GOV_MISSING EXEC TURNOVER N 1229 1229 1229 1229 1229 1229 1229 1229 1229 1229 1229 1229 1229 MEAN 0.246 0.099 0.028 0.001 8.621 0.601 0.630 0.019 4.332 0.688 0.031 0.314 0.125 STD 0.164 0.081 0.099 0.037 1.578 0.490 0.199 0.038 10.640 0.257 0.091 0.464 0.146 32 p25 0.137 0.043 0.000 0.000 7.459 0.000 0.503 0.000 3.770 0.636 0.000 0.000 0.000 p50 0.247 0.082 0.000 0.000 8.535 1.000 0.631 0.000 4.790 0.778 0.000 0.000 0.125 p75 0.327 0.135 0.013 0.000 9.780 1.000 0.756 0.021 5.656 0.857 0.021 1.000 0.200 Table 1 (cont’d) Descriptive Statistics Panel C: Differences in Means across Adoption Firms (Pre-adoption) CETR PT_ROA NOL βNOL SIZE MNC LEV R&D VEGA BOARD_IND DIR_VOTING GOV_MISSING EXEC TURNOVER No Action required 0.248 0.103 0.022 0.000 8.733 0.582 0.629 0.019 4.614 0.535 0.026 0.423 0.112 Increase Required 0.261 0.096 0.017 0.002 8.033 0.537 0.616 0.017 4.153 0.521 0.039 0.402 0.128 Diff. p-value -0.014 0.007 0.004 -0.002 0.700 0.045 0.014 0.003 0.461 0.014 -0.013 0.021 -0.016 0.139 0.114 0.307 0.156 0.000*** 0.086* 0.220 0.178 0.000*** 0.416 0.012** 0.416 0.031** Panel D: Differences in Means across Adoption Firms (Post-adoption) CETR PT_ROA NOL βNOL SIZE MNC LEV R&D VEGA BOARD_IND DIR_VOTING GOV_MISSING EXEC TURNOVER No Action required 0.251 0.105 0.024 0.003 9.134 0.620 0.640 0.019 4.274 0.692 0.022 0.330 0.122 Increase Required 0.243 0.096 0.030 0.000 8.265 0.588 0.624 0.019 4.372 0.685 0.037 0.303 0.126 Diff. p-value 0.008 0.009 -0.006 0.003 0.869 0.032 0.016 0.000 -0.098 0.007 -0.015 0.027 -0.004 0.386 0.049** 0.291 0.118 0.000*** 0.249 0.156 0.858 0.871 0.638 0.004*** 0.310 0.618 This table presents descriptive statistics for variables used in our analyses for adoption firms. Panels A and B display descriptive statistics for the pre- and post-adoption period. Panels C and D present descriptive statistics for firms that adopted stockownership plans that required at least one named executive officer to increase stock ownership (i.e., the increase-required sample) and firms that adopted stock ownership plans that required no named executive officer to their increase stock ownership (i.e., the no-action-required sample) for the pre- and post-adoption period. See Appendix A for variable definitions. 33 Table 2 The Effect of Stock Ownership Plans on Tax Avoidance: Within-Adoption Firms Panel A: Changes analyses from the pre- to post-adoption Dep. variable = CETR POST PT_ROA NOL ΔNOL SIZE MNC LEV R&D VEGA BOARD_IND DIR_VOTING EXEC TURNOVER Cluster by firm Cluster by year Year fixed effects Industry fixed effects Covariate controls Observations Adjusted R-squared (1) All -0.022*** (-2.58) 0.074 (0.85) -0.127 (-1.45) 0.017 (0.11) 0.037*** (3.17) 0.022* (1.88) -0.064** (-2.48) -0.352** (-2.47) -0.000 (-0.75) 0.006 (0.39) 0.021 (0.66) 0.017 (0.86) Y Y N Y Y 2,779 0.135 (2) Increase required -0.028*** (-2.75) 0.050 (0.48) -0.102 (-0.93) -0.022 (-0.12) 0.044** (2.56) 0.016 (0.94) -0.106*** (-3.23) -0.369* (-1.88) -0.012*** (-2.78) -0.007 (-0.30) 0.020 (0.54) 0.023 (1.22) Y Y N Y Y 1,655 0.183 (3) No action required -0.015 (-1.24) 0.051 (0.25) -0.215*** (-4.55) 0.304 (1.34) 0.032 (1.22) 0.042** (2.54) -0.028 (-0.62) -0.413** (-2.17) -0.000 (-0.30) 0.036 (1.39) -0.012 (-0.35) 0.009 (0.18) Y Y N Y Y 1,124 0.153 Panel A presents the results of examining the changes in cash effective tax rates for firms that adopted stock ownership plans. Column (1) shows the results for all adoption firms. Column (2) reports the results for firms that adopted stockownership plans that required at least one named executive officer to increase stock ownership. Column (3) displays the results for firms that adopted stock ownership plans that required no named executive officer to their increase stock ownership. Variable definitions are in Appendix A. t-statistics are in parentheses, *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1. 34 Table 2 (cont’d) Panel B: Difference-in-differences analyses from the pre- to post-adoption period Dep. variable = CETR TREAT (1) 0.015 (1.33) 0.002 (0.16) -0.021** (-2.00) 0.015 (0.18) -0.084 (-0.96) 0.031 (0.21) 0.034** (2.54) 0.016 (1.31) -0.062*** (-2.60) -0.446*** (-3.02) 0.000 (0.00) 0.025 (1.46) 0.027 (1.03) -0.002 (-0.07) -0.046** (-2.01) Y Y Y Y Y Y 2,779 0.167 POST TREAT*POST PT_ROA NOL ΔNOL SIZE MNC LEV R&D VEGA BOARD_IND BOARD_VOTING EXEC TURNOVER INVERSE MILLS RATIO Gov_missing Cluster by firm Cluster by year Year fixed effects Industry fixed effects Covariate controls Observations Adjusted R-squared Panel B displays the results of exploring the shift in cash effective tax rates between firms that adopted stockownership plans that required at least one named executive officer to increase stock ownership and those that adopted stock ownership plans that required no named executive officer to their increase stock ownership from the pre- to post-adoption period. Variable definitions are in Appendix A. t-statistics are in parentheses, *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1. 35 Table 3 Does Tax Avoidance Reverse? Within-Adoption Firms Dep. variable = CETR TREAT (1) 0.018 (1.63) 0.008 (0.65) -0.023** (-2.09) 0.058 (0.80) -0.072 (-0.92) 0.100 (0.90) 0.019* (1.88) 0.019* (1.91) -0.066*** (-3.10) -0.533*** (-3.96) 0.000 (1.12) 0.015 (0.93) 0.023 (0.87) 0.014 (0.86) -0.059*** (-2.88) Y Y Y Y Y Y 3,780 0.153 POST TREAT*POST PT_ROA NOL ΔNOL SIZE MNC LEV R&D VEGA BOARD_IND BOARD_VOTING EXEC TURNOVER INVERSE MILLS RATIO Gov_missing Cluster by firm Cluster by year Year fixed effects Industry fixed effects Covariate controls Observations Adjusted R-squared This table presents the results of examining whether tax avoidance reverses between firms that adopted stockownership plans that required at least one named executive officer to increase stock ownership and those that adopted stock ownership plans that required no named executive officer to their increase stock ownership from the pre- to post-adoption period. The pre- and post-adoption periods span four years and ten years respectively. Variable definitions are in Appendix A. t-statistics are in parentheses, *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1. 36 Table 4 The Effect of Stock Ownership Plans on Tax Avoidance: Propensity Score Matching Dep. variable = CETR Gov_missing Cluster by firm Cluster by year Year fixed effects Industry fixed effects Covariate controls (1) All 0.014 (1.30) 0.010 (0.91) -0.024** (-2.17) -0.014 (-0.22) -0.109*** (-2.60) 0.202* (1.90) 0.033*** (2.87) 0.014 (1.48) -0.078** (-2.54) -0.497*** (-3.23) -0.000 (-0.66) -0.001 (-0.05) 0.009 (0.22) 0.028** (2.31) Y Y Y Y Y Y (2) Increase required 0.029*** (2.67) 0.004 (0.39) -0.029*** (-2.72) -0.033 (-0.49) -0.119** (-2.40) 0.167 (1.44) 0.040*** (2.75) 0.017 (1.32) -0.116*** (-3.58) -0.451** (-2.37) -0.010** (-2.45) 0.001 (0.04) 0.031 (0.70) 0.030* (1.90) Y Y Y Y Y Y (3) No action required -0.015 (-0.99) 0.019 (0.86) -0.025 (-1.31) -0.049 (-0.50) -0.077 (-1.54) 0.301 (1.60) 0.032 (1.41) 0.019 (1.18) -0.023 (-0.56) -0.663*** (-3.75) 0.000 (0.17) 0.010 (0.36) -0.014 (-0.22) 0.015 (0.93) Y Y Y Y Y Y Observations Adjusted R-squared 5,164 0.197 3,084 0.233 2,080 0.213 TREAT POST TREAT*POST PT_ROA NOL ΔNOL SIZE MNC LEV R&D VEGA BOARD_IND BOARD_VOTING EXEC TURNOVER This table presents the results of examining the shift in cash effective tax rates between firms that adopted stock ownership plans and the propensity-matched control firms from the pre- to post-adoption period. Column (1) shows the results for all firms. Column (2) reports the results for firms that adopted stockownership plans that required at least one named executive officer to increase stock ownership and the associated set of propensity-score-matched control firms. Column (3) displays the results for firms that adopted stock ownership plans that required no named executive officer to their increase stock ownership and the associated set of propensity-score-matched control firms. Variable definitions are in Appendix A. t-statistics are in parentheses, *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1. 37 Table 5 Does Tax Avoidance Reverse? Propensity-score matching results Dep. variable = CETR (1) All 0.017 (1.53) 0.010 (1.04) -0.027** (-2.56) 0.002 (0.03) -0.112*** (-2.80) 0.187** (2.08) 0.015 (1.57) 0.012 (1.38) -0.088*** (-3.38) -0.562*** (-4.08) -0.000 (-0.74) -0.002 (-0.13) 0.005 (0.13) 0.039*** (3.61) (2) Increase required 0.031*** (2.81) 0.006 (0.60) -0.032*** (-3.04) -0.003 (-0.04) -0.124** (-2.56) 0.133 (1.33) 0.020* (1.86) 0.015 (1.33) -0.110*** (-4.19) -0.545*** (-3.34) -0.007* (-1.80) -0.001 (-0.08) 0.021 (0.47) 0.041*** (2.87) (3) No action required -0.011 (-0.76) 0.014 (0.78) -0.028 (-1.61) -0.034 (-0.39) -0.086* (-1.77) 0.321** (2.01) 0.020 (1.31) 0.013 (0.80) -0.052 (-1.29) -0.691*** (-4.55) -0.000 (-0.19) -0.002 (-0.08) -0.018 (-0.30) 0.024 (1.37) Cluster by firm Cluster by year Year fixed effects Industry fixed effects Covariate controls Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Observations Adjusted R-squared 6,799 0.177 4,062 0.211 2,737 0.187 TREAT POST TREAT*POST PT_ROA NOL ΔNOL SIZE MNC LEV R&D VEGA BOARD_IND BOARD_VOTING EXEC TURNOVER This table presents the results of examining whether tax avoidance reverses. The pre- and post-adoption periods span four years and ten years respectively. Column (1) shows the results for all firms. Column (2) reports the results for firms that adopted stockownership plans that required at least one named executive officer to increase stock ownership and the associated set of propensity-score-matched control firms. Column (3) displays the results for firms that adopted stock ownership plans that required no named executive officer to their increase stock ownership and the associated set of propensity-score-matched control firms. Variable definitions are in Appendix A. t-statistics are in parentheses, *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1. 38 Table 6 Falsification Test Dep. variable = CETR (1) All 0.020* (1.70) -0.013 (-1.24) -0.002 (-0.18) -0.052 (-0.77) -0.188*** (-3.81) 0.332** (2.57) 0.031*** (2.98) 0.019** (2.30) -0.060* (-1.83) -0.488*** (-4.37) -0.006** (-2.01) -0.013 (-0.53) 0.021 (0.52) 0.025 (1.16) (2) Increase required 0.034** (2.48) -0.017 (-1.09) 0.000 (0.03) -0.050 (-0.76) -0.218*** (-3.28) 0.447*** (3.04) 0.039*** (2.94) 0.027** (2.06) -0.076* (-1.79) -0.440*** (-3.29) -0.009*** (-2.66) -0.001 (-0.05) 0.063 (1.41) 0.018 (0.78) (3) No action required -0.002 (-0.11) -0.005 (-0.25) -0.009 (-0.46) -0.079 (-0.86) -0.177*** (-2.78) 0.267* (1.70) 0.020 (1.12) 0.006 (0.38) -0.029 (-0.65) -0.636*** (-3.82) -0.002 (-0.45) -0.015 (-0.40) -0.010 (-0.18) 0.033 (0.81) Gov_missing Cluster by firm Cluster by year Year fixed effects Industry fixed effects Covariate controls Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Observations Adjusted R-squared 4,105 0.259 2,443 0.279 1,662 0.299 TREAT POST TREAT*POST PT_ROA NOL ΔNOL SIZE MNC LEV R&D VEGA BOARD_IND BOARD_VOTING EXEC TURNOVER This table presents the results of conducting falsification tests (i.e., parallel shift). Column (1) shows the results for all firms. Column (2) reports the results for firms that adopted stockownership plans that required at least one named executive officer to increase stock ownership and the associated set of propensity-score-matched control firms. Column (3) displays the results for firms that adopted stock ownership plans that required no named executive officer to their increase stock ownership and the associated set of propensity-score-matched control firms. Variable definitions are in Appendix A. t-statistics are in parentheses, *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1. 39 Table 7 The Effect of Stock Ownership Plans on Tax Avoidance: Entropy Balancing Dep. variable = CETR TREAT (1) -0.016** -2.52 0.208*** 4.58 -0.061*** -2.77 0.037 0.64 0.001 0.33 -0.003 -0.38 0.001 0.04 -0.378*** -4.25 -0.005 -1.47 0.011 0.84 -0.003*** -3.27 0.051** 2.27 N/A N/A Y Y 1866 0.1653 PT_ROA NOL ΔNOL SIZE MNC LEV R&D VEGA BOARD_IND BOARD_VOTING EXEC TURNOVER Cluster by firm Cluster by year Year fixed effects Industry fixed effects Observations R-squared This table presents the results of examining the shift in cash effective tax rates between firms that adopted stockownership plans that required at least one named executive officer to increase stock ownership and the associated set of entropy-balanced control firms from the pre- to post-adoption period. Variable definitions are in Appendix A. t-statistics are in parentheses, *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1. 40