Yizhou Xiao Stanford Graduate School of Business 655 Knight Way Phone: (650) 704-2441 Stanford, CA 94305 Email: yizhoux@stanford.edu Education 2016 Ph.D. in Finance, Stanford Graduate School of Business (Expected) 2010 M.A. in Economics, CCER, Peking University 2007 B.A. in Finance, Renmin University of China Research Interests Market Microstructure, Dynamic Corporate Theory, Entrepreneurial Finance, Banking Research Working Papers Informed Trading and Intertemporal Substitution: The Limits of the No-Trade Theorem (Job Market Paper) Presented at the 26th International Conference on Game Theory 2015 I examine the conditions for the no-trade theorem to hold in multiperiod consumption settings and show it no longer holds in many reasonable scenarios. In situations where agents have different concerns for intertemporal substitution, information-based trade can be mutually acceptable because it enables agents to readjust their consumption profiles based on future consumption shocks. I show that the existing literature that finds no-trade results in various multiperiod consumption settings crucially depends on specific preference assumptions that lead to risk aversion dominating concerns for intertemporal substitution. The no-trade theorem fails to hold when a wider range of utility functions with a more important role for intertemporal substitution are considered. Intertemporal substitution bridges information-based trading and consumption-based asset pricing. Consumption-based asset pricing models are natural candidates to analyze information-based trading, and information-based Yizhou Xiao 2 trading affects the volatility of individual consumption processes. Quantitative analysis demonstrates that besides asset pricing implications, information-based trading related to intertemporal consumption smoothing can also explain a significant part of the trading volume observed in financial markets. Collateral Constraints, Access to Debt Financing and Firm Growth Presented at the 11th World Congress of the Econometric Society 2015 This paper studies how a firm’s growth is affected by the evolution of its external debt financing environment. Asymmetric information about the qualities of projects the firm can undertake makes external financing costly. Collateral can mitigate this problem, but its availability is limited by the size of the firm. As a firm grows, more collateral becomes available, broadening the firm‘s access to external debt financing channels and lowering its cost of capital. The firm‘s growth decision is affected by how effective additional collateral can be in lowering its cost of capital and the amount of assets it needs to accumulate to broaden its access to potential lending channels. A small firm may optimally choose to stay small when it is financially constrained and far from the size necessary to have access to formal lending. When the size of a small firm approaches the level needed to have access to formal lending there arises a strong incentive to expand, making the firm locally risk loving. The framework I study also raises some questions about the frequent use of a firm’s growth rate as an empirical proxy for firm value. I show that a high growth rate is not necessarily associated with high firm value. Pessimistic Leverage In the literature on trading involving leveraged positions when there are heterogeneous beliefs, people take it as granted that it must be the optimists who take leverage to buy risky assets. However, many studies on the recent housing bubble find that the lenders, such as banks and investors in the mortgage loan market, might be the optimists. This paper studies the possibility of the pessimistic agents taking on leverage. Pessimistic leverage is possible because the leverage trading can be viewed as a joint investment in which the lender takes the upper part of the asset payoff while the borrower takes the bottom part. When the optimists are relatively more optimistic about the downside payments, it is optimal for the pessimists to purchase the asset and take leverage. In pessimistic leverage, traders may take leverage even when their cash constraints are not binding, and buying the asset is not profitable. Working in Progress Lending Constraints for Banks and the Chinese Loan Quota System (With Lin William Cong) VC Fund as a Portfolio Yizhou Xiao 3 Awards and Distinctions 2010-2015 Stanford Graduate School of Business Fellowship 2013-2014 George P. Shultz Scholar, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research 2007-2009 Guanghua Prize 2007 Graduate Merit Awards (Top 1%) Teaching and Research Assistantships 2014 Finance for Non-MBAs, TA to Prof. Joy Ishii 2012-2014 Finance for Non-MBAs, TA to Prof. Anat Admati 2013 Financial Market I (Ph.D. Level), TA to Prof. Bradyn Breon-Drish 2012 Accelerated Corporate Finance, TA to Prof. Jeffrey Zwiebel 2009 Topics in Econometrics (Ph.D. Level), TA to Prof. Han Hong 2009 Game Theory (Undergraduate Level), TA to Prof. Ho-Mou Wu 2008-2009 Financial Economics (Ph.D. Level), TA to Prof. Henry Cao 2013 RA to Prof. Bradyn Breon-Drish References Paul Pfleiderer (Advisor) Peter M. DeMarzo C.O.G. Miller Distinguished Professor of Finance Mizuho Financial Group Professor of Finance Stanford Graduate School of Business Stanford Graduate School of Business Phone: (650) 723-4495 Phone: (650) 736-1082 Email: pfleider@stanford.edu Email: pdemarzo@stanford.edu Bradyn Breon-Drish Timothy James McQuade Assistant Professor of Finance Assistant Professor of Finance Stanford Graduate School of Business Stanford Graduate School of Business Phone: (650) 725-1901 Phone: (650) 725-5929 Email: breon@stanford.edu Email: tmcquade@stanford.edu