J0444 OPERATION MANAGEMENT Desain Kapasitas Universitas Bina Nusantara Kapasitas Outline Kapasitas hasil produksi atau jumlah unit yang dapat ditahan, diterima, disimpan, atau diproduksi oleh sebuh fasilitas dalam suatu periode waktu tertentu Perencanaan Fasilitas Facility Planning Facility planning answers: • How much long-range capacity is needed • When more capacity is needed • Where facilities should be located (location) • How facilities should be arranged (layout) Proses Perencanaan Kapasitas Capacity Planning Process Forecast Demand Develop Alternative Plans Quantitative Factors (e.g., Cost) Compute Rated Capacity Evaluate Capacity Plans Qualitative Factors (e.g., Skills) Compute Needed Capacity Select Best Capacity Plan Implement Best Plan Perencaanaan Kapasitas Berdasarkan Types of Planning Over a Horison Waktu Time Horizon Long Range Planning Intermediate Range Planning Add Facilities Add long lead time equipment Sub-Contract Add Equipment Add Shifts *Limited options exist Add Personnel Build or Use Inventory * Short Range Planning Modify Capacity * Schedule Jobs Schedule Personnel Allocate Machinery Use Capacity Konsep dan Pengukuran Kapasitas Definition and Measures of Capacity Capacity: Output maksimum sistem secara teoritis dalam suatu periode waktu tertentu Effective capacity: Kapasitas yang diharapkan dapat dicapai oleh sebuah perusahaan dengan baruran produk, metode penjadwalan, dan standar kualitas yang diberikan. Utilization: Output aktual sebagai persentase kapasitas desain Efficiency: Output aktual sebagai persentase kapasitas efektif Actual or Expected Output Actual (or Expected) Output = (Effective Capacity)(Efficiency) Utilisasi Utilization Measure of planned or actual capacity usage of a facility, work center, or machine Utilization = = Actual Output Design Capacity Planned hours to be used Total hours available Efisiensi Efficiency Measure of how well a facility or machine is performing when used Efficiency Actual output = Effective Capacity Actual output in units = Standard output in units Average actual time = Standard time Imlikasi terhadap Perubahan Kapasitas Implications of Capacity Changes Changes in: • Sales • Cash flow • Quality • Supply chain • Human resources • Maintenance Special Requirements Making Special Requirements for for Making GoodGood Capacity Decisions Capacity Decisions • Forecast demand accurately • Understanding the technology and capacity increments • Finding the optimal operating level (volume) • Build for change Struktur Biaya untuk Roadside Motel Cost Structure for a Roadside Motel 25 room roadside motel 50 room roadside motel Economies of Scale 75 room roadside motel Diseconomies of Scale Number of Rooms Strategies for for Matching Strategies MatchingCapacity Capacity to to Demand Demand 1. Making staffing changes (increasing or decreasing the number of employees) 2. Adjusting equipment and processes – which might include purchasing additional machinery or selling or leasing out existing equipment 3. Improving methods to increase throughput; and/or 4. Redesigning the product to facilitate more throughput Pendekatan Terhdap Approaches to Ekspansi Capacity Kapasitas Expansion Expected Demand Expected Demand New Capacity Demand Demand New Capacity Time in Years Time in Years Capacity leads demand with an incremental expansion Capacity leads demand with a one-step expansion Expected Demand Expected Demand New Capacity Demand Demand New Capacity Time in Years Capacity lags demand with an incremental expansion Time in Years Attempts to have an average capacity, with an incremental expansion Approaches to Capacity Expansion Expected Demand Demand New Capacity Time in Years Capacity leads demand with an incremental expansion Approaches to Capacity Expansion Expected Demand Demand New Capacity Time in Years Capacity leads demand with a one-step expansion Breakeven Analysis • Technique for evaluating process & equipment alternatives • Objective: Find the point ($ or units) at which total cost equals total revenue • Assumptions – Revenue & costs are related linearly to volume – All information is known with certainty – No time value of money Break-Even Analysis • Fixed costs: costs that continue even if no units are produced: depreciation, taxes, debt, mortgage payments • Variable costs: costs that vary with the volume of units produced: labor, materials, portion of utilities Breakeven Chart Total revenue line Profit Cost in Dollars Breakeven point Total cost = Total revenue Total cost line Variable cost Loss Fixed cost Volume (units/period) Decision Tree and Capacity Decision -$14,000 Market favorable (0.4) Market unfavorable (0.6) $18,000 Market favorable (0.4) Market unfavorable (0.6) $13,000 Market favorable (0.4) Market unfavorable (0.6) $100,000 -$90,000 $60,000 -10,000 -5,000 $40,000 $0 Strategy Driven Investment • Select investments as part of a coordinated strategic plan • Choose investments yielding competitive advantage • Consider product life cycles • Include a variety of operating factors in the financial return analysis • Test investments in light of several revenue projections Net Present Value F = future value P = present value F P N I = interest rate (i 1) N = number of years NPV in a More Convenient Form Present value of $1.00 P Year F (i 1) N 5% 6% 7% 8% 1 0.952 0.943 0.935 0.857 2 0.907 0.890 0.873 0.857 3 0.864 0.840 0.816 0.794 4 0.823 0.792 0.763 0.735 5 0.784 0.747 0.713 0.681 6 0.746 0.705 0.666 0.630 7 0.711 0.665 0.623 0.583 8 0.677 0.627 0.582 0.540 9 0.645 0.592 0.544 0.500 P FX 1 where X N (i 1 ) Present Value of an Annuity (S) • X = Factor from Table • S = present value of a series of uniform annual receipts • R = receipts that are received every year for the life of the investment S RX Year 5% 6% 7% 8% 1 0.952 0.943 0.935 0.926 2 1.859 1.833 1.808 1.783 3 2.723 2.673 2.624 2.577 4 3.546 3.465 3.387 3.312 5 4.329 4.212 4.100 3.993 6 5.076 4.917 4.766 4.623 7 5.786 5.582 5.389 5.206 8 6.843 6.210 5.971 5.747 9 7.108 6.802 7.024 6.247