CHARTERED INSTITUTE OF STOCKBROKERS ANSWERS Examination Paper 2.2 Corporate Finance Equity Valuation and Analysis Fixed Income Valuation and Analysis Professional Examination September 2011 Level 2 1 SECTION A: MULTI CHOICE QUESTIONS 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 C B D C A C C C B B C D D C D 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 C A A C C B B B A D B D C B B 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 A D D A B A D B C D (40 marks) SECTION B: SHORT ANSWER QUESTIONS Question 2 – Corporate Finance The use of cash flow to evaluate investment projects is more consistent with the objective of the firm, which is the maximization of shareholders’ wealth. In other words, the higher the net cash surplus from a project, the greater the increase in shareholders’ wealth. Total = 3 marks Question 3 – Equity Valuation and Analysis There are three primary ways that analysts assess the quality and depth of a company’s management. i) ii) iii) First, the analyst examines management’s performance record. Management receives a positive assessment if the firm has prospered under the current management. Second, the analyst meets directly with management, conducting interviews and attending presentations by managers. Third, the analyst evaluates evidence of management’s strategic planning and attempts to determine the ability of management to achieve its stated goals. (1 mark each for each points) Total = 3 marks 2 Question 4 – Fixed Income Valuation and Analysis The price of the bond will change for one or more of the following three reasons: i) There is a change in the required yield that is tied to changes in the credit quality of the issuers. ii) There is a change in the price of the bond selling at a premium or a discount without any change in required yields, simply because the bond is moving toward maturity. iii) There is a change in the required yield owing to a change in comparable bonds (i.e. a change in the yield required by the market). (1 ½ marks for each point) Maximum = 4 marks SECTION C: ESSAY TYPE/CALCULATIONS Question 5 – Corporate Finance 5(a1) Project 1 – Net cash flow Cash flow 12% discount factor Net cash flow Year 0 (Initial investment) -300,000 1 -300,000 Year 1 85,000 0.893 75,905 Year 2 90,000 0.797 71,730 Year 3 95,000 0.712 67,640 Year 4 100,000 0.636 63,600 Year 5 95,000 0.567 53,865 NPV 32,740 (2 marks) Project 2 – Net cash flow Cash flow 12% discount factor Net cash flow Year 0 (Initial investment) -450,000 1 -450,000 Year 1 140,800 0.893 125,734 Year 2 140,800 0.797 112,218 Year 3 140,800 0.712 100,250 Year 4 140,800 0.636 89,549 Year 5 140,800 0.567 79,834 NPV 57,584 (2 marks) 3 5(a2) Since the projects are divisible use the profitability index method to rank the projects. Project Profitability Index Ranking Investment 3rd 0 NPV N‘000 32,740/300,000 1 = 0.109 400,000 57,584/450,000 2 = 0.128 2nd 3 77,791/400,000 =0.194 1st (89% of project) 400,000 400/450* 57,585= 51,187 (100% of project) 77,791 Total NPV 128,978 (4 marks) 5(a3) Capital rationing is a situation in which a company has a limited amount to invest in potential projects, such that the different possible investments need to be compared with one another in order to allocate the capital available most effectively. If an organization is in a capital rationing situation, it will not be able to undertake all available positive NPV projects. There are two forms of capital rationing: Hard capital rationing: This is brought about by external factors. For example, the recent global economic meltdown. This makes it difficult for firms to access funds. Hard capital rationing may arise for one of the following reasons: i. Raising money through the stock market may not be possible if share prices are depressed. ii. There may be restriction on bank lending due to government control. iii. Lending institutions may consider an organization to be too risky(e.g too highly geared, poor prospects) to be granted further loan facilities. iv. The costs associated with making small issues of capital may be too great 4 Soft capital rationing This is internally imposed for various reasons: i. ii. iii. iv. v. Management may be reluctant to issue additional share capital because of concern that this may lead to outsiders gaining control of the business. Management may be unwilling to issue additional share capital if it will lead to a dilution of earnings per share. Management may not want to raise additional debt capital because they do not wish to be committed to large fixed interest payments. Management may wish to limit investment to a level that can be financed solely from retained earnings. They may not want to grow the company too quickly. (4 marks) 5(b1) 80% (1.2) + 15% (1.4) + 5% (0.9) = 1.215 (2 marks) 5(b2) Based on the asset beta of 1.1, I would advise that the company goes ahead with the new line on business. This is because with a lower beta than the current operations (1.205), an overall reduction in the cost of equity would result. However, if the existing business has a rate of return above 10% then incorporating the new venture would dilute the return on investment, and is therefore not recommended. (2 marks) Question 6 – Equity Valuation and Analysis 6(a1) Sales Operating cost Depreciation Interest expense Profit before tax Taxes @ 30% Profit after tax Add back Depreciation Operating cash flow Increase in Current Assets Increase in Current Liabs Investment in fixed assets Free Cash Flow to Equity Multiproduct Megabucks 5,500 5,000 1,000 2,400 3,300 1,000 300 250 900 1,350 270 405 630 945 3300 3,930 2500 2500 2500 1,430 1000 1,945 1500 1500 500 1,445 (3 marks) 5 6(a2) Computation of equity Beta = Levered Beta Multiproduct 0.4. [1 +(1-0.3)2/1] = 0.96 (1 mark) Megabucks 0.45 [1 +(1-0.3)2/1] = 1.08 (1 mark) Computation of cost of equity capital KE = Rf + (Rm – Rf) β Multiproduct 4% + 0.96(7%) = 10.72% (1 marks) Megabucks 4% +1.08(7%) = 11.56 % (1 marks) 6(a3) Computation of market value of equity Assume no growth of cash flow: Multiproduct MV = 1,430,000/0.1072 = N13,339,552.24 Megabucks MV = 1,445,000/0.1156 (2 marks) = N12,500,000 (2 marks) 6(b1) Market value of DEF Market to sales ratio Price to book ratio Price earnings ratio (2.0+2.2+1.7)/3 X 12 million = (2.5+2.5+2.3)/3 X 9 million = (20+18+1.7)/3 X 1.5 million = N 23.6 million N21.9 million N27.5 million (1 mark each = 3 marks) 6 6(b2) The comparative valuation models have the following strengths: i) ii) iii) iv) They are market-based. Convenience - simple and easy to use. No complicated computations and forecasting required. Have a direct link with the Operating Statement and Statement of Financial Position. (Any three points for 1 mark each = 3 marks) Total = 16 marks Question 7 – Fixed Income Valuation and Analysis 7(a1) The price of the 5-year 10% coupon bond is: B5 = 100 + 100 + 100 + 100 + 1,100 1.08 (1.08)2 (1.08)3 (1.08)4 (1.08)5 = N1079.85 (2 marks) The price of the 10-year zero coupon bond is: B30 = 1000 = N463.19 10 (1.08) (2 marks) 7(a2) The duration of the 5-year 10% coupon bond is: Computation of Duration 1 2 3 PV factor @ 8% 4 PV of coupon payment = (2 X 3) Time Cash flow 1 5 Time weighted PV= (1 x4) 100 0.926 92.593 92.592593 2 100 0.857 85.734 171.46776 3 100 0.794 79.383 238.14967 4 100 0.735 73.503 294.01194 5 1100 0.681 748.642 3743.2076 1,079.854 4,539.4296 Duration =4,539.4296/1,079.854 = 4.204 (4 marks) The duration of the zero coupon bond is equal to its maturity or 10 years. (1 mark) 7 7(a3) You need to choose your weights in the two securities such that your portfolio duration equals the duration of your liability or 7 years. 7 = wA (4.2035) + (1- wA)(10) (1 mark) or wA =51.755% and wB =48.245% (1 mark) Our total investment must equal the present value of the N1 million liabilities, or: 1,000,000 (1.08)7 = N583,490.40 (1 mark) We therefore need to invest as follows: N301,987.79 [(583,490.40)(.51755)] in the 5-year bonds, and (1 mark) N281, 502.61 [(583,490.40)(.48245)[ in the 10-year zero coupon bonds. (1 mark) Given these investment requirements, we need to purchase 279.66, 5-year bonds (or N301, 987.79/N1, 079.85) (½ mark) and 607.75, 10-year bonds (or N281,502.61/N463.19). (½ mark) This position will provide us with a value of approximately N1,000,000 seven years from today regardless of what happens to interest rates. 7(b) You should select portfolio A for the following reasons: i) It has a longer duration (5.7 versus 4.9 years), thereby offering greater price appreciation. ii) It has greater convexity (125.18 versus 40.30), thereby having potential for greater price appreciation. iii) It is non-callable, therefore there is no call risk (and consequently re-investment risk) when interest rates decline. (1 mark for each point = 3 marks) Total = 18 marks 8