CHARTERED INSTITUTE OF STOCKBROKERS ANSWERS Examination Paper 2.2 Corporate Finance Equity Valuation and Analysis Fixed Income Valuation and Analysis Professional Examination September 2012 Level 2 1 SECTION A: MULTI CHOICE QUESTIONS 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 A C A B D A A B A C D D C C A 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 A A A C B D C B C A C C A A B 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 C D B B C C D B D D (40 marks) SECTION B: SHORT ANSWER QUESTIONS Question 2 – Corporate Finance An MBO is a form of acquisition where a company’s existing managers acquire a large part of all the company from either the parent company or from the private owners. (1 mark) Advantages i. It ensures smooth continuation of the business since the new owners understand the business. ii. Employees – turned owners often demonstrate increased motivation and commitment. iii. The new managers/owners are often better accepted by the employees. iv. Financial partners such as banks are generally reassured by the expertise of the management in place. v. Employees turned owners have a good idea of what they are buying. 1 mark each (any 3 points) (3 marks) Total = 4 marks 2 Question 3 – Equity Valuation and Analysis i. The approach to valuation is simplistic and does not analyse critical factors that drive value. ii. It is static as it represents a snapshot of where a firm is at a point in time but fails to capture the dynamic nature of business and competition. iii. It is difficult to compare two companies because there are so many reasons why multiples can differ. For example, different accounting policies resulting in different reported earnings. iv. If the peer group as a whole is incorrectly valued (e.g. during a stock market bubble), the resulting multiples will also not be realistic. v. Multiples are based on historic data or forecasts, they therefore have a short-term focus. 1 mark each for any 3 points (3 marks) Question 4 – Fixed Income Valuation and Analysis Bonds issued by government are backed by the full faith and credit of the government (1 mark) and therefore considered to have no credit risk. (1 mark) However all types of bonds are faced with several other types of risks such as: Interest rate risk Re-investment risk Inflation risk Market risk Selection risk e.t.c (1 mark) Therefore an investor who buys government bonds can still lose money through exposure to some of the risks listed above. (1 mark) Total = 4 marks 3 SECTION C: ESSAY TYPE/CALCULATIONS Question 5 – Corporate Finance 5(a) Cost of debt = 4% Cost of Equity (using CAPM) Kε = Rf + (Rm – Rf) β = 4% + 5% X 1.2 = 10% WACC = Ve Ve + Vd x = 10 x 10% 20 = Ke + + (1 mark) Vd Ve + Vd x Kd (1-t) 10 x 4% (1 - 0.3) 20 5% + 1.4% = 6.4% (1 mark) (1 mark) (1 mark) 5(b1) 901 + 955 + 1012 + 1073 + 1137 (1.064)1 (1.064)2 (1.064)3 (1.064)4 (1.064)5 = Yr 2012 C/F 901 D/F @ 6.4% 0.9398 PV 846.76 2013 955 0.8833 843.55 2014 1012 0.8302 840.16 2015 1073 0.7802 837.15 2016 1137 0.7333 833.76 4, 201.38 (2 marks) 5(b2) T.V = FCF2016 (1 + g) WACC - g = 1137 (1 + 0.03) = 1171.11 0.064 – 0.03 0.034 = 34, 444.41 (2 marks) 4 5(b3) = PV of free cash flows from 2012 to 2016 + PV of Terminal value = 4, 201.38 + 34,444.41 (1.064)5 = 4,201.38 + 25,258.09 = N29, 459.47 (2 marks) 5(c) Ungear the Equity beta to determine the asset beta Β asset = = = β equity D [1 + (1-t) /E] 1.2 [1 + (1 – 0.3) x 1] (1/2 mark) (1/2 mark) = 1.2 1.7 0.71 (1 mark) (1 mark) D Regear the asset beta based on the new /E ratio (1 mark) D New β equity = β asset x [1 + (1-t) /E] = 0.71 x [1 + (1 - 0.3) 0.5] (1 mark) = 0.71 x 1.35 = 0.96 (1 mark) 5 Question 6 – Equity Valuation and Analysis 6(a1) Price = 10 Earning (1 mark) Price = 10 x Earnings (1 mark) = 10 x N4 x 5 million shares = N 200 million (2 marks) 6(a2) Compute g Current dividend = 60% x N4 = N2.4 2.00 (1 + g) 2 = 2.4 (1 + g) 2 = 2.4 2.0 g = (√2.4/2.0) – 1 = 0.095445 Ω 9.5% (2 marks) Compute cost of Equity KE = Rf + (Rm – Rf) β = 4.6% + (10.6 – 4.6)1.4 = 13% (2 marks) VE = D0 (1 + g) KE – g = 2.628 0.035 = = 2.4 (1.095) 0.13 – 0.095 N75 N 75 x 5million shares = N375 million (2 marks) 6 6(b) The current market price of Newday is (N33 x 5million shares) = N165 million, while P/E ratio and dividend discount valuation models give a figure of N200 million and N375 million respectively. This may suggest that Newday is currently undervalued. Perhaps the market is yet to discover the hidden potentials of the company. Because the valuation based on dividend growth model is significantly higher than the current market value, it is advisable to revisit the cost of equity and expected dividend growth rate used in the computation as they could be inaccurate. The price earnings ratio valuation appears to be closer to the amount Tigerlinks would likely pay to acquire Newday Plc, as the shareholders would want some inducement to sell. P A premium of about N35 million is reflected by the /E valuation model. (6 marks) Question 7 – Fixed Income Valuation and Analysis 7(a) 98 x N1, 000,000 = N980, 000 100 (2 marks) 7(b) 4.5 + 4.5 + 4.5 + 4.5 + 100 (1 + YTM) (1 +YTM)2 (1 + YTM)3 (1 + YTM)4 Using the trial and error method or financial calculator, calculate the IRR of this cash flow. YTM = 5.065% (4 marks) 7(c) There is no direct relationship with the term structure of interest rates. The sudden jump is as a result of the widening of the credit spread because the market is reacting to the situation of the company. In order words, the market perceives an increase in credit risk and therefore requires a higher YTM. (4 marks) 7 7(d) The bond now has 3 years to maturity and a new YTM at 14%. 4.5 (1.14)1 + 4.5 + (1.14)2 104.5 (1.14)3 = 77.94 (3 marks) 7(e) The bond is being sold, so we must use the bid price (most unfavourable price) which in this case, is 70. (2 marks) 7(f) Let x = proportion invested in Bond A X. 2 + (1-X) 3 1.025 1.027 = 2.34 X = 59.92% 1 – X = 40.08% i.e invest 59.92% in Bond A and 40.08% in Bond B (2 marks) 8