The Regional Emerging Strategic Marine Industries Evaluation: Jian Li

advertisement
The Regional Emerging Strategic Marine Industries Evaluation:
A case of Tianjin Binhai New Area
Jian Li1, Ying Wang2
1,2
School of Management, Tianjin University of Technology, Tianjin, China
(lijian631219@163.com, wangying_886@126.com)
Abstract -1 Development of strategic marine industries is
China's "12th Five-Year" period vigorously implement
marine development strategy, it is the development
direction of China's marine economy, therefore the proper
selection and development of strategic marine industries is
great significance. This paper based on the analytic
hierarchy process and fuzzy evaluation method evaluation
weather suitable for the development of strategic marine
industries in Tianjin Binhai New Area and had an
empirical research to the comprehensive utilization of
seawater industry .To draw the comprehensive utilization
of seawater industry rating of 84.6868. Concluded that
Tianjin suitable for the development of seawater utilization
industry as a strategic emerging industry.
.Key words - AHP, Binhai New Area , Emerging industries
of strategic marine, Industry evaluation
I INTRODUCTION
In recent years, China vigorously promote marine
development strategy,The marine economy developed
rapidly and made great achievements. In 2010, China's
marine industry overall to maintain steady growth.
Among them, the major marine industry was 1.5531
billion yuan, up 13.1 percent over the previous year;
Marine scientific research education management service
was 683.9 billion yuan, up 10.7 percent over the previous
year. Offshore oil and gas industry was 2.8 billion yuan,
up 30.1percent over the previous year. Marine
bio-pharmaceutical industry was 6.7 billion yuan, up 25.0
percent over the previous year. Marine shipbuilding
industry was 118.2 billion yuan, up 19.5 percent over the
previous year. The development of marine economy is
much faster than the growth rate of the national economy
so the development of marine economy has become a
global strategic choice, The Ocean will also become the
main battlefield of China's Strategic emerging industries.
China Ocean Development Report pointed out in the"12
Five-Year" period, China will be initially formed the
marine industries system, priority support Marine
engineering equipment manufacturing, Marine biological
products, ocean health farming, Polar marine living
resources development and utilization, Utilization of
seawater, New marine energy and Modern marine
Fund Project: Tianjin Education Commission, the major
project of Social Sciences (2011ZD031,), Tianjin Science
and Technology Plan Project (11ZLZLZT08100), the
Ministry of Education Humanities and social science
research projects (11YJA630046)
services and made these High-tech achievements
industrialization which drive the traditional marine
economy pillar industry in technological upgrading and
develop the regional economic.
II.EMERGING STRATEGIC MARINE
INDUSTRIES
U.S. economist A.O.Hirschman first proposed the
concept of strategic industries, he call the economic
system which has the most closest associated with input output relations[1]. Zhao Yulin see Emerging industries as
a sunrise industry [2][10].Chen gang think Emerging
industries take on new social production division and
have certain size and influence, Represents a new
requirements of the market economic system overall
output and a new direction for the industrial structure
transformation also represents a new level of new science
and technology industrialization, and it Is in the
formative stages of the life cycle[3]. Jiang Shiyin pointed
out strategic industries is the key, global and long-term
industry which related to national economic development
and regional strategic rationalization of industrial
structure[4].Xiang Xiaomei pointed out Regional strategic
industry means to which can reflect regional economic
development strategy needs and adapt to medium-and
long-term demand structure change trends and represent
the future direction of economic development and
direction of technological progress and support economic
growth and have a significant impact and a leading role
to the regional economic development. These industries
have the characteristics. Of high growth, high relevance,
high permeability, high innovative and high-strategic[5].
Zhou fei, Wang ning pointed out that the emerging
strategic industries is a breakthrough after the traditional
industries, either can play a supporting role on the current
industrial structure adjustment or can lead the green
development of the socio-economic, Gradually become
the leading force of economic and social
development[6].The economic impact of the marine
economy is poorly understood at both national and
regional levels in Ireland[13]. Colombia’s marine fisheries
are limited by the relatively small size of commercially
important stocks[11].
III.THE CHOICE OF EMERGING
STRATEGIC MARINE INDUSTRIES
“Strategy emerging” Consider the industry of choice
to meet the principle of strategic emerging. The emerging
strategic industries have a group of related and
supporting industries, including the opportunity bring by
traditional industries and new industries and involves the
degree of industrial relevance. Second is the leading, they
are the direction guide for national economic
development, Represents the direction of technology
development and the evolution of industrial structure[7].
The choice of strategic industries must seriously consider
whether the selected industry bring many jobs. Finally,
selected industries must take into account the global
economic development, including the optimization of
industrial
economic
structure,
Led
economic
development[8]. Select strategic marine industries either
consider the above factors or consider whether the
industry can bring social and environmental benefits to
achieve the sustainable development of marine economy.
Strategic marine industries choice is a relatively
vague concept, generally difficult to precise positioning,
so this paper takes the AHP and fuzzy evaluation method
for the quantification of qualitative issues.
This paper from the government support, the degree
of environmental pollution, resources environment,
market demand, technology research, strategic emerging
six indicators begin to choose the strategic marine
industries.
Emerging Strategic
Marine Industries
the degree of
environmental
pollution
government
support
State government
regulations
Hardware
facilities
Wastewater
discharge
Local Government
Code
Solid
waste
Core
technology
substitute
market
Port
logistics
Government
regulation and
control capabilities
strategic
emerging
technology
research
market demand
potential
market
Financial
environment
Emissions
government system
innovation
resources
environment
Industrial
relevance
Industrial
guiding
Research
institutions
complements
markets
Employment
spill-over
Professional
Material
resources
Industrial
overall
Figure 1 Emerging strategic marine industries evaluation index system
IV THE EVALUATION OF TIANJIN EMERGING
STRATEGIC MARINE INDUSTRIES
This paper from the Tianjin to the development of
Emerging strategic marine industries may bring benefit
point of view, objective scientific analysis of the marine
industry of Binhai New Area, Specific indicators of the
evaluation method is to invite the authority of experts to
make an objective evaluation of the actual situation and
the various types of statistics and according to personal
views.
Binhai New Area according to its industry and
location advantages focus on the development of marine
fisheries, offshore oil and gas industry, marine chemical
industry, coastal tourism, marine transportation, marine
engineering construction, Which initially identified the
development of seawater utilization industry, marine
high-end equipment manufacturing, marine engineering,
construction, marine renewable energy industry and the
marine biopharmaceutical as Emerging strategic and
emerging industries. Analysis to see whether it can
develop the preliminarily determined emphasis develops
industry. Below take the Seawater utilization industry for
example.
TABLE 1 LEVEL INDICATORS JUDGEMENT MATRX
U
u
u
u
u
u
u
u
u
1
u
u
2/5
2/5
5/2
1
5/2
W
u
u
2/3
3/5
2/3
0.280
1
3/2
2
3/2
0.238
1
1
3/2
2
3/2
0.212
3/2
3/2
2/3
1
5/4
1
0.102
5/3
1/2
1/2
4/5
1
4/5
0.097
3/2
2/3
2/3
1
5/4
1
0.072
1
2
3
4
5
Weights
6
1
2
3
4
5
6
i
Using AHP software to calculate CR =0.090, According to evaluation and analysis sorted the second indicators
of fuzzy evaluation matrix as shown in Table 2.
TABLE 2 COMPREHENSIVE FUZZY EVALUATION MATRIXES OF THE SECOND IN INDICATORS
Wi
Level indicators
evaluation matrix
Ui
Second indicators
Good
middle
Poor
0.7
0.3
0
0
0.8
0.2
0
0
0.5
0.3
0.2
0
0.7
0.2
0.1
0
0.6
0.3
0.2
0
0.7
0.3
0
0
0.5
0.3
0.2
0
0.4
0.4
0.2
0
0.6
0.4
0
0
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.4
0.4
0.2
0
0.4
0.3
0.3
0
0.5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.5
0.3
0.2
0
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.3
0
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.4
0.4
0.2
0
u
Local Government Code u
government system innovation u
State government regulations
11
12
government support
u
1
R
Excellent
13
Government regulation and control
capabilities
the degree of
environmental pollution
u
2
u
14
u
Wastewater discharge
u
Solid waste u
Emissions
22
23
u
Financial environment u
Port logistics u
Material resources u
potential market u
substitute market u
complements markets u
Core technology u
Research institutions u
Professional u
Industrial relevance u
Industrial guiding u
Employment spill-over u
Industrial overall u
Hardware facilities
resources environment
21
31
32
u
3
33
34
41
u
market demand
42
4
43
51
technology research
u
5
52
53
61
strategic emerging
u
62
6
63
64
Calculate
out
the
weight
coefficient W 1 j =  0.551,0.265,0.089,0.095 , calculate the
membership degree vector of the comprehensive
evaluation,
J  W  R   0.7087, 0.264, 0.0273, 0 
1
1j
1
J  0.6212,0.2997,0.1224, 0 J  0.447,0.384,0,1524,0.081
J  0.3971,0.254,0.2703,0.0786 J  0.1516,0.1542,0.1488,0.0594
J  0.4,0.3087,0.2,0.0913
2
4
3
5
6
Calculate
the
comprehensive
evaluation
membership matrix of the marine biopharmaceutical
industry A : obtained A   0.5248, 0.2897, 0.1255, 0.03752 ,
V  100,
80,60,40  . C= A V=84.6868 .
T
V CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
The oceans are in trouble[12],Tianjin in the
development of marine economy at the same time
emphasis on sustainable development, save resources and
reduce energy and protect the environment to achieve a
sea of harmonious development[9]. Fine sea management,
lead to introduce the use of sea-standard system in the
country, to retain the waters and shoreline resources, and
leave space for future development. Strengthen
environmental protection, strict control of pollutants into
the sea, Focus on ecological restoration, to carry out
comprehensive marine remediation and artificial
reproduction and releasing. Positive election of special
marine protected areas, and vigorously develop the
circular economy, rational use of marine resources.
This paper explores the development of emerging
strategic marine industries in Tianjin. At the support of
the national "12th Five-Year" Planning Policy, according
to the maritime economy and social conditions as well as
local policies, valuate and score to may develop into the
emerging strategic marine industries. Make the macro and
micro conditions of the region to the qualitative and
quantitative, to reduce the subjectivity of the person to
make the evaluation more objective and scientific.
According to conditions of Tianjin development of
emerging strategic marine industries we can conclude that
focus on developing of seawater utilization industry is
feasible.
REFERENCES
[1] Albert Hirschman. Economic development strategy (Book
style) Beijing: Economic Science Press, 1991
[2] Zhao Yulin. Industrial economics (Book style). University of
technology Press, 2004
[3] Chen gang, Emerging industries mechanism between the
formation and development (in Chinese). Explore and
contention. 2004 (2)
[4] Jiang Shiyin, Model and Index System of Strategic Industrial
Structure Distribution in Region——The Case from
Eastern,Middle and Western China(Periodical style: in
Chinese). Journal of Yunnan University of Finance and
Economics. 2005(2)
[5] Xiang Xiaomei. Characteristics of regional strategic industry
and formation mechanism(Periodical style: in Chinese).
Social Sciences in Guangdong, 2006(5)
[6] Zhou fei, Wang ning, The development of strategic
emerging industries experience and enlightenment in
Finland(Periodical style: in Chinese). Practice in Foreign
Economic Relations and Trade. 2010(2)
[7] Zhao gang. International experience of strategic emerging
industries and China's countermeasures ( in Chinese).
Scientific and Technological Achievement, 2010 (1) 5-6
[8] He Zhengcu, Zhang xun, Zhou Zhenhong. The Study of
strategic emerging industries selection system and model.
Science of Science and Management of S.& T(in Chinese).
2010(12)
[9] Fu Jiafeng, Zhuang Guiyang, Gao Qingxian, Conceptual
identification and evaluation index system for low carbon
economy, China Population,Resources and Environment
(Periodical style: in Chinese).2010
[10] Zhao Yulin, Zhang Qiannan. A study on the valuation and
selection of leading high-tech industries(Periodical style: in
Chinese). Studies in Science of Science. 2007 (6)
[11] Jeffrey Wielgus, Dirk Zeller, Dalila Caicedo-Herrera,
Rashid Sumaila. Estimation of fisheries removals and
primary economic impact of the small-scale and industrial
marine fisheries in Colombia. Marine Policy, Marine Policy
34 (2010)
[12] J.T. Kildow , McIlgorm. The importance of estimating the
contribution of the oceans to national economies,Marine
Policy 34 (2010)
[13] Karyn Morrissey , Cathal O’Donoghue . The Irish marine
economy and regional development. Marine Policy 36
(2012)
Download