NOR ANY DROP TO DRINK: An Analysis of The Jordan Red Sea Project and Reconciling Environmental Concerns with the Human Right to Water SIREE ALLERS INDEPENDENT STUDY PROJECT, SIT JORDAN FALL 2009 UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AT AUSTIN Water, water, every where, And all the boards did shrink ; Water, water, every where, Nor any drop to drink. Rime of the Ancient Mariner, Coleridge Outline ! " Socioeconomic Background Land " The Issue " The Project Considerations " Cultural considerations " The Reconciling the Ideals ! Environmental Concerns ! Economic Feasibility " Dead Sea ! Conclusion " Red Sea ! Points of Interest ! Water and the People ! Works Cited " Human Right " Demographic ! Background: The Land One of the top ten driest countries in the world ! 3% Arable Land ! Precipitation Average 9.4 cm/yr ! Jordan River 1950s ! 1.3 BCM/yr FOA - UN Amman Highlands AlGhor / Jordan Valley/ Wadi Araba Badia Dead Sea (417m below sealevel) Red Sea Background: The Issue Population 5.87 million # 7.8 million in 2022 ! Groundwater extracted at 2x rate of recharge ! Energy & Economic Dependence ! Water as a casus belli ! Dead Sea shrinking by a meter a year ! Jordan’s Water Strategy 08-22 Jordan’s Water Strategy 08-22 Water for the Future http://www.greenprophet.com/2009/04/26/8550/dead-sea-sink-hole/ Background: The Project Origins ! Reasons ! 5 Phases ! Phase 1 “fully operational and financially viable as a stand-alone project” Al-Qimish 2:14-2:36 • 50 MCM # Amman • 20 MCM # Aqaba, Wadi Araba • 5 MCM # economic zone • 50 MCM # “regional neighbors” • expected start-date: 2014 Amman Highlands AlGhor / Jordan Valley/ Wadi Araba Badia Dead Sea (417m below sealevel) Red Sea Phase 2 • 80 MCM # nuclear plant Phase 3 • 200 MCM annually # Amman Phase 4 • Disi aquifer # 2nd nuclear Phase 5 • 380 MCM # Amman • ? # 3rd nuclear The Project ! ! ! Phase I & II 960 MCM to Jordan and 100 for “regional uses” “create confidence and momentum for the development of the JRSP grand vision of saving the Dead Sea and sustaining Jordan’s future economic growth and development” Environmental Concerns: The Dead Sea ! ! ! ! ! Stratification Alter the limnology, geochemistry, and biology Calcium-rich waters of the Dead Sea + Sulfates of brine # whitish discoloration Microbial blooms unpredictable Leaks/fault line FoEME Environmental Concerns: The Red Sea Benthic habitat /corals up to 3km ! > surface temp ! < salinity ! construction ! FoEME Water and the People: Human Right ! “access to water is a fundamental human need and a basic human right” Kofi Annan ! 500 CM/yr poverty line Water and the People: Demographics Regional conflict is unpredictable ! 2.5% of 3.4% growth rate ! " Approximately 1 million Palestinians from 1948/1967 " 300,000 from Gulf War 1990 " 700,000- 1million Iraqis Water and the People: Socioeconomics ! Tank sizes in Amman Tariffs ! Ancient Bedouin Wells ! Water and the People: Cultural Jordan’s Water Strategy 08-22 Agriculture as a part of life ! Food ! Reconciling the Ideals ! conservation & efficiency “ appropriate water tariffs and incentives will be introduced in order to promote water efficiency in irrigation” Jordan’s Water Strategy " Voluntary measures " w/o water-saving devices = 42 CM " w/ water-saving devices = 16-19.5 CM … 62% " " Nonrevenue ! water loss wait for feasibility reports " World Bank – 6/7 2011 Water for the Future Economic Feasibility P1 & P2 alone is $18.2 billion ! “recruit and select … financiers and investors within 8 months” ! " Dependence on financiers/investors? Environmental Degradation # Loss of Tourism $ ! International Funding for Green Technology ! “BBC once interviewed me and they asked me how much would the project cost? And I said something like $5billion dollars, they said oh this is too much. I said you and your allies like America are spending $5billion a month to destroy Iraq. I am proposing 5 billion over 10 years to make life… and you say it is too much, what kind of ethics do you guys have? It’s okay to spend $5billion a month to turn Iraq into what it is today? And it is too much to pay $5billion in ten years to -Munther Haddadin make life in the desert?” Conclusion 1. 2. Return to project’s original intentions Slow down $ 3. Focus on other internal initiatives for now " " 4. 5. Expressions of Interest Comprehensive infrastructural review Agricultural endeavors Political Transparency Green technologies # Energy independence " " " Wind Solar USAID’s new office fore Energy Research and Application “suppose the people in Texas are swimming [in the sea] and there is no drop of water to drink, to have a bath, to clean yourself, to protect yourself from disease. Will you say no, no, no I will keep the sea for the people to come and relax?” –Fayyez Butaineh Points of Interest ! ! ! ! ! ! Nuclear Energy? … on Fault Lines Water and Regional Relations Climate Change, desertification Jordan, Oil, Iraq Generational Environmentalism Environmentalism and Religion Acknowledgements Dr. Raed AlTabini ! SIT Jordan ! Geography Department of the University of Texas at Austin !