Matakuliah Tahun Versi : I0262 – Statistik Probabilitas : 2007 : Revisi Pertemuan 06 Sebaran Penarikan Contoh 1 Learning Outcomes Pada akhir pertemuan ini, diharapkan mahasiswa akan mampu : • Mahasiswa akan dapat menghitungdalil lianit pusat, sebaran X2, t dan F. 2 Outline Materi • • • • • • Sebaran nilai tengah contoh Dalil limit pusat Sebaran Khi-kuadrat Sebaran ragam contoh Sebaran t, standar Sebaran F 3 Sampling and Sampling Distributions • • • • • • • Simple Random Sampling Point Estimation Introduction to Sampling Distributions n = 100 Sampling Distribution of x Sampling Distribution of p Properties of Point Estimators Other Sampling Methods n = 30 4 Statistical Inference • The purpose of statistical inference is to obtain information about a population from information contained in a sample. • A population is the set of all the elements of interest. • A sample is a subset of the population. • The sample results provide only estimates of the values of the population characteristics. • A parameter is a numerical characteristic of a population. • With proper sampling methods, the sample results will provide “good” estimates of the population characteristics. 5 Simple Random Sampling • Finite Population – Replacing each sampled element before selecting subsequent elements is called sampling with replacement. – A simple random sample from a finite population of size N is a sample selected such that each possible sample of size n has the same probability of being selected. – Sampling without replacement is the procedure used most often. – In large sampling projects, computer-generated random numbers are often used to automate the sample selection process. 6 Simple Random Sampling • Infinite Population – A simple random sample from an infinite population is a sample selected such that the following conditions are satisfied. • Each element selected comes from the same population. • Each element is selected independently. – The population is usually considered infinite if it involves an ongoing process that makes listing or counting every element impossible. – The random number selection procedure cannot be used for infinite populations. 7 Point Estimation • In point estimation we use the data from the sample to compute a value of a sample statistic that serves xas an estimate of a population parameter. • We refer to as the point estimator of the population mean . p the point estimator of the population • s is standard deviation . • is the point estimator of the population proportion p. 8 Sampling Distribution of x • Process of Statistical Inference Population with mean =? The value of x is used to make inferences about the value of . A simple random sample of n elements is selected from the population. The sample data provide a value for the sample mean x. 9 Sampling Distribution of x • The sampling distribution of x is the probability distribution of all possible values of the sample mean . • Expected Value of x E( x ) = where: = the population mean x 10 Sampling Distribution of Standard Deviation of x x Finite Population N n x ( ) n N 1 Infinite Population x n • A finite population is treated as being infinite if n/N < .05. • ( N n) / ( N 1) is the finite correction factor. • x is referred to as the standard error of the mean. 11 Sampling Distribution of • If we use a large (n > 30) simple random sample, the central limit theorem enables us to conclude that the sampling distribution of x can be approximated by a normal probability distribution. • When the simple random sample is small (n < 30), the sampling distribution of x can be considered normal only if we assume the population has a normal probability distribution. 12 Sampling Distribution of • The sampling distribution of p is the probability distribution of all possible values of the sample proportion E ( p) p • Expected Value of p where: p = the population proportion 13 Sampling Distribution of p • Standard Deviation of p Finite Population p p – p(1 p) N n n N 1 Infinite Population p p(1 p) n is referred to as the standard error of the proportion. 14 • Selamat Belajar Semoga Sukses. 15