From Legislation to Regulation Jason Webb Yackee UW Law School Susan Webb Yackee UW-Madison S 2/2015: Preliminary Work; Please Do Not Cite Without Permission Delegation S Widely Studied S Lack of Research Matching the Congress-Bureaucracy (Ex Ante) A. Admin. Procedures (MNW) B. Statutory Specification (Huber and Shipan) (1) Demand for Delegated Policy with (2) Supply of that Policy S Agency Perspective is Often Missing S Implications for Congress, Bureaucracy, Law, and Policymaking Research Question: Why Why doare agencies some congressional fail to regulate when laws commanded not acted upon to do by so? government agencies? S Why? Why “Respond”? Why “Ignore”? S Substantive Statute S Workload/Resources S Member/Voting S Other Priorities S External Political Environment S Ex Post Oversight Weak Measurement Demand Supply S All Statutes giving Rule- S All DOI NPRMs (and FRs) Writing Authority to Secretary of Interior (DOI) S 1900-90 (1,058 Stat.) S 1947-87 (392 Stat.) MATCH S 1950-90 (3,086 NPRMs) S Why DOI? S Authority Citation S One Would Expect… Demand, 1900-1990 40 Average=11.5 New Statutes Per Year 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 1900 1905 1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 Demand, 1947-1987 Mandatory 19% Discretionary 35% Intermediate 46% Demand, 1947-1987 60% 50% Yearly Percent of Statutes with Deadlines 40% Overall, 7% of All Statutes have Deadlines 30% 20% 10% 0% 1947 1952 1957 1962 1967 1972 1977 1982 1987 0 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 Supply, 1950-1990 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 Final Rule Count DOI NPRMs The Match Data S 36% of Statutes Match with NPRMs S 59% of Mandatory Statutes Match S EX) In 1987, at least 5 NPRMs were issued using only Discretionary Statutes, while 31 Mandatory Statutes (in the data) had not yet resulted in an NPRM. S 68% Deadline Statutes Match Statutes w/1+ 1. Descriptives S Mode 1 S Median= 3 S Range= 1 to 593 2. Time to 1st NPRM S Median= 1.76 years S Range= <1 to 32 years Demand and Supply FWS 80% Matched BIA 47% Matched NPS 62% Matched BLM 47% Matched S Substantive Statute S Mandatory (+)* S Deadline (+)* S Statute Significance (+)* S Multiple Authority (+) S Statute Specificity (+) First Look Logit Model DV = Any NPRM Indicators = Agency & Decades Fit = Solid S Member/Voting S Conference Committee (-) S Vote Unanimity (+) S External Political Environment S Divided Gov’t (+/-)* S CQ Story (+)* S SOU (+)* S Senate Hearings (+)* S DC Court of Appeals (+) S Presidential Party (-) S Workload/Resources S Final Rules (-) S Employees (+)/(-)* S Budgets (+) Conclusion S Next Steps S P1) Adding Committee Info, Hearing Reports, and Co- Sponsors S P2) Event History Modeling S P3) Regulation Based Analyses S Implications S Delegation and Discretion S Are These “Closely” Linked? S How Much Slippage is Acceptable? S How “Long” is too “Long” for Responsiveness? Thank you! Jason Webb Yackee Associate Professor UW Law School Susan Webb Yackee Professor UW-Madison Demand, 1947-1987 6.0% Standardized by Total # of Public Laws 5.0% Standardized = 2.5% 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% 1947 1950 1953 1956 1959 1962 1965 1968 1971 1974 1977 1980 1983 1986 Demand, 1900-1990 FWS NPS BIA BLM Demand, 1947-1987 25 Statutes with Multiple Grants of Rulemaking 20 15 10 5 0 1947 1950 1953 1956 1959 1962 1965 1968 1971 1974 1977 1980 1983 1986 Mandatory Intermediate Discretionary 1990 1988 1986 1984 1982 1980 1978 1976 1974 1972 1970 1968 1966 1964 1962 1960 1958 1956 1954 1952 1950 1948 35 1946 40 1944 1942 1940 1938 1936 1934 1932 1930 1928 1926 1924 1922 1920 1918 1916 1914 1912 1910 1908 1906 1904 1902 1900 Demand, 1900-1990 45 Frequency of Authorizing Words in Statutes by Year 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Policymaking in Agencies Textbook Treatment Congress President Do These “Details” Matter? 1. Outcome is Important 2. Process is Important Administrative Agency = Substance = Implement Policy Administrative Procedure Act of 1946 The Notice and Comment Rulemaking Draft Rule (NPRM) • • Public Comment Final Rule General Policy Decisions (Legally-Binding) Clearest Ex. of Delegated Policymaking Demand and Supply FWS 67% Matched; 80% Matched NPS 50% Matched; 62% Matched BLM 38% Matched; 47% Matched BIA 20% Matched; 47% Matched