GEOG 135 – Economic Geography Professor: Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Topic 5 – Location Theory A – Factors of Location B – Scale and Organization C – Business and Product Cycles Hofstra Department of Global Studies & Geography HofstraUniversity, University, Department of Global Studies & Geography A – FACTORS OF LOCATION 1. 2. 3. 4. Labor Land Capital The Weberian Representation © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Factors Affecting Location Decisions Country Factors Region Factors Local Factors •Government rules, attitudes, political risk, incentives •Culture & economy •Market location •Labor availability, attitudes, productivity, and cost •Availability of supplies, communications, energy •Exchange rates and currency risks •Attractiveness of region (culture, taxes, climate, etc.) •Labor, availability & costs •Costs and availability of utilities •Environmental regulations of state and town •Government incentives •Proximity to raw materials & customers •Land/construction costs •Site size and cost •Air, rail, highway, and waterway systems •Zoning restrictions •Nearness of services / supplies needed •Environmental impact issues © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue 1. Labor ■ Factor • One of the most important cost factors. • Geography of labor: • • • • Availability. Productivity. Skills. Militancy. ■ Labor demand: • Large variations by type of activity. • Labor intensive versus capital intensive. • A shift towards capital intensiveness in most industries. © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue 1. Labor ■ Labor supply: • High birth rates involve high supply and low wages. • Low birth rates involve low supply and higher wage. • Inciting to shift towards capital intensiveness. ■ Labor mobility: • • • • • Attractiveness of high wage areas. Immigration control on labor mobility. Cost of living impacts (e.g. housing and food). A shift towards an equilibrium. Relative inertia. ■ Labor productivity: • Human capital. • Skill level. © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Hourly Compensation in Manufacturing, 1997-2010 ($US) 0 Germany France United States Japan UK Singapore South Korea Brazil Taiwan Poland Mexico India China Philippines 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 $43.76 $40.55 $34.74 $31.99 $29.40 $19.10 $16.62 $10.08 $8.36 $8.01 $6.23 $2.68 $2.51 2010 1997 $1.90 © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue 2. Land ■ Most important local location factor • Activity and size specific: • Some activities seeking low land costs (e.g. manufacturing). • Some activities seeking high land costs (e.g. retailing). • Accessibility (transport) most determining element in land cost. • Trade-off between land and transport costs. Land cost Suburbanization / Offshoring Transport cost © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Land Rent and Land Use 2 – Overlay of bid rent curves 1 – Bid rent curves Rent A- Retailing B- Industry/ commercial City limits Distance C - Apartments D - Single houses 3- Land use © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue 3. Capital ■ Capital • Fixed capital (infrastructure and equipment). • Financial capital (savings and other mobile forms of capital). • Many activities require large amounts of fixed capital to operate, maintain and be expanded. • Requires investment capital (banks, funds, stocks, bonds). • The challenge of securing capital: • Available surplus. • Interest rates. • Confidence. © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue 3. Capital ■ Capital intensification • • • • Substitute capital for labor (often involves job losses). Linked with technological innovations. Increase in productivity. Cope with labor scarcity. Labor per unit of output Mechanization Capital per unit of output © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue 4. The Weberian Representation ■ Classic location theory • Firms will chose a location to minimize their costs. • Transportation costs the most significant factor: • Linear function of distance. • Material and market oriented industries: • Heavy industries oriented towards raw material sources. • Market industries (e.g. soft drinks) oriented towards main consumption markets. © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Weber’s Location Triangle w(M) M d(M) P d(S2) w(S2) S2 d(S1) S1 w(S1) © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Transport Costs Surfaces and Location M 2,000 $ 1,000 $ P S2 S1 © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue 4. The Weberian Representation ■ Contemporary relevance • Decline in transport costs: • More locational flexibility. • Terminal costs and non-linear transport costs function. • Importance of intermediary (load break) locations. • Level of dematerialization of the economy: • Smaller and lighter products. • More added value. • Inertia and cluster formation: • Real world decisions are not the outcome of optimization. • Accumulation of related firms. © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Share of Transport Costs in Product Prices and Average Haul Length 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Leather products Electronics Printing and publishing Apparel Instruments Machinery Tobacco Rubber and plastics Transport equipment Fabricated metals Textiles Primary metals Paper products Furniture Food Lumber and wood Petroleum Stone, clay and glass 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 Haul length (miles) © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue B – SCALE AND ORGANIZATION 1. 2. 3. Scale Economies Agglomeration Economies Vertical and Horizontal Integration © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue 1. Scale Economies ■ A Fundamental Principle • The division of labor favors productivity (easier to train workers to perform a single task). • The division of labor incites a higher scale of operation. • Reduction in production costs in relation to the increase of outputs. A- Small industry (restaurants, personal services) B- Large industry (banks, manufacturing) C- Very large industry (aircraft manufacturer, refinery) Cost per unit B A C Plant size © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue $1,000 2.25 $900 2.00 $800 1.75 $700 Millions Cost and Production of Ford Vehicles, 1908-1924 1.50 $600 1.25 $500 1.00 $400 Cost $300 Production 0.75 $200 0.50 $100 0.25 $0 0.00 © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue 1. Scale Economies ■ Diseconomies of scale • Size level after which the cost per unit increases. • Often linked with growing complexity and difficulties to manage. • The ideal firm size is when diseconomies of scale start to emerge. © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue 2. Agglomeration Economies ■ Agglomeration of firms • Clustering of firms creates advantages: • Positive external economies of scale. • Production linkages: • Reduction of input costs through proximity and common purchase of input. • Share similar materials and parts. • Service linkages: • Specialized services. • Creates an environment prone to innovation. © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue 2. Agglomeration Economies ■ Types of agglomeration economies • Urbanization economies: • Agglomeration of population, namely common infrastructures (e.g. utilities or public transit), the availability and diversity of labor and market size. • Industrialization economies: • Agglomeration of industrial activities, such as being their respective suppliers or customers. • This favors the emergence of industrial clusters. • Localization economies: • Agglomeration of a set of activities near a specific facility. • A transport terminal (logistics parks), a seat of government (lobbying, consulting, law) or a large university (technology parks). © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Transport and Co-Location Co-Location Zone Activity Terminal © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue 3. Vertical and Horizontal Integration Vertical Integration Horizontal Integration Outsourcing Nature Expand backward (suppliers) or forward (customers) along the supply chain. Acquiring or merging with competitors. Some activities performed by another corporation. Goal Lower costs. Enhance and protect product quality. Improve supply chain efficiency. Economies of scale. Product differentiation. Business model replication. Oligopoly. Reduce costs. Focus on core competencies. Issues Higher cost structure of suppliers. More difficult to adapt to changes. Different business cultures. Anti-monopolistic responses. Dependency. Loss of competency. Coal Extraction Iron Ore Steel Making Corporation A Corporation B Corporation C Metallic Products Mechanical Products © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Main Types of Economies in Production, Distribution and Consumption Production Distribution Consumption Economies of transportation Lower unit costs through accessibility to suppliers and customers Lower unit distribution costs through transport chains management Lower unit output costs through accessibility to suppliers and customers Economies of scale Lower unit costs with larger plants Lower unit transport costs through larger modes and terminals Lower unit costs with larger retail outlets Economies of scope Lower unit output costs with more product types Lower transport costs with bundling of different loads Product diversification attracts more customers Economies of agglomeration Industrial and service linkages with manufacturing clusters Lower input costs with clustering of distribution activities Lower input costs with clustering of retail activities Economies of density Increased accessibility to labor (skills) with higher densities Lower unit distribution costs with higher densities Increased accessibility to goods and services with higher densities © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue C – BUSINESS AND PRODUCT CYCLES 1. 2. Geographic Organization of Corporations The Product Cycle © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue 1. Geographic Organization of Corporations ■ Location in a real world context • Firms have several location factors. • Several locations are suitable. • Costs and advantages cannot be readily calculated / evaluated. • The importance of inertia (unwilling to change existing behavior). • Impact of public policy / incentives (taxes, loans, subsidies). © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue 1. Geographic Organization of Corporations ■ Growth strategies • • • • • • • • • Very few firms grow beyond a certain size. Access to capital a restraining factor. Market potential. Ability to be productive and competitive in a wider market. Continue to maintain innovation. Ability to expand geographically (e.g. franchising). Internal growth; investing in new capacities. External growth; acquiring other firms: Means: • Horizontal integration. • Vertical integration (forward and backward). © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue • Less innovative sectors • Mostly financial (holdings) • Outsourcing State support • Resource, technology, product • Technology and Innovation Better management New market opportunity The Growth of Large Multinationals • Large government contracts (e.g. defense corporations) • Corporate socialism (private profits / socialized losses) © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Locational Changes and Production Strategies Employment Production X 3 1 Intensification Concentration Specialization Rationalization and relocation 2 4 X X X X Product A Product B Product C Product D X Closing © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Product Life Cycle Sales Monopoly Idea Competition Promotion First competitors Mass production Obsolescence Research and development Growth Maturity Decline Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage 4 © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Pace of innovation Long Wave Cycles of Innovation Water power Textiles Iron 1785 Steam Rail Steel 1st Wave 60 years Electricity Chemicals Internal-combustion engine 2nd Wave 1845 55 years Petrochemicals Electronics Aviation 3rd Wave 1900 50 years Digital networks Software New Media 4th Wave 1950 40 years 5th Wave 1990 30 years (?) © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Main Stages in a Bubble “New Paradigm”!!! Valuation Delusion Denial Return to “normal” Greed Institutional investors Smart Money Public Enthusiasm Bull trap Fear Capitulation Media attention Return to the mean First Sell off Take off Stealth Phase Bear trap Awareness Phase Despair Mania Phase Blow off Phase Time © Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue