China Seminar
Boulder, Colorado 2010
David Lampton
John Hopkins University
Version 2
Are American days

Is China the world’s next
Superpower?

Power is moving from the
U.S. to Asia- China.
behind us?
National Intelligence
Report of 2008 (16
agencies agreed)

The U.S. will be less
dominant, but not
necessarily in a decline.

China sees the U.S on the
decline, although less
drastic than in Russia and
our allies.
Who changed China’s
Economic System?
Deng Xiaoping
Capitalism in China?
Why is China considered to
be the next World power?

In last 3 decades, China has
moved 300 million people out of
poverty & quadrupled the
average person’s income

Exports to the U.S. increased by
1600% in past 15 years.

China is considered to be the
“Workshop of the World”!
China is world

China does not want to
be “ world leaders” or
“police of the world.”

They want to be
recognized as a powerful
country & are very
proud of their
accomplishments!

They want to continue
their own economic
growth and
development of their
country!!
power but does not
want…..
Powerful just like the United
States!

Nuclear Power

Permanent Member of Security
Council & Veto Power.
Second Largest economy in
the World!
World’s largest army & largest
pop- 1.3 billion
Largest army but still spends
less then U.S. on military
China’s government

Will China use it’s power
in a way that is
constructive towards U.S.,
good chance but not
guaranteed.

The U.S. national policy
towards China will help to
create either a positive or
negative environment.

U.S. can influence China’s
rise but not control it.

China has a present
strategy that many say the
U.S can learn from.
says they want a
“Peaceful Rise”.
Brain/Intellectual Power
Intellectual Power

Education

Chinese are sending more students to the west for training.

In 1978 the education was at the level of Cambodia

Chinese government has quadrupled education (for higher
education); many new universities cities have been developed
in just 1 decade.

The government has doubled the % of the GDP in research
and development
Infrastructure
Intellectual Power!
Infrastructure

Chinese government is using its money to invest in
intelligent ways- infrastructure over military.

Major investments in railroad systems, luxurious
train system. Investment in roads, and all other
forms of transportation.

GDP- China’s debt is very low about 15% of GDP,
the U.S. is much higher, 89-90% of debt.

Major investments in Green Technology!!
China’s High Speed Train
Chinese Premier-Hu
Jintao- 2004

Harmonious Society

The State will do more for
society, more social programs

In return, people should trust &
support the govern.

Revitalization of philosophies &
religions

Continues economic policies of
Deng Xiaoping.
Top leaders in China are all
engineers!

1997 Internet starts
in China, by 2008
most internet users
in the world!

Internet has created
active citizenship
participation-blogs,
chat rooms- social
mobilization

Internet is filtered,
censored.
Internet in China =
political expression
Stop here
If classes are doing projects on
Human Rights Issues,
Environmental Issues and or
Infrastructure we can use the last
two slides.
Freedom of Expression?
Sometimes?
 Liu
Xiaobo-Charter O8- calls for political
reform.
 Religion
is still officially illegal, but is
tolerated today as long as not a threat to CCP!
 Falun
Gong (religion)- 1999 CCP banned
religion & began national crackdown.
Freedom of Expression

Nail House- Communist propaganda machine
said don’t report on story, but bloggers got a hold
of story and reported!

Xiamen protest- (industrial pollution)- river
water pollutants.

2008 Weng’an riots-alleged police cover-up of
girls murder.
Industrial waste of the
world!

China is making everything for
the world- industrial world.

We outsourced all our jobs and
outsourced all the pollution too!

They get the blame but they are
suffering from pollution on their
own population!