The Doha Round of the World Trade Organization:
Appraising Further Liberalization of Agricultural Markets
Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute
Iowa State University and University of Missouri-Columbia
Working Paper 02-WP 317
November 2002
Center for Agricultural and Rural Development
Iowa State University
Ames, Iowa 50011-1070
www.card.iastate.edu
The authors thank participants at the World Outlook Conference, May 2002 in Washington, D.C., and at
the Congress of the European Association of Agricultural Economists, August 2002 in Zaragoza, Spain,
and Pierre Bascou for their comments.
This publication is available online on the CARD website: www.card.iastate.edu. Permission is
granted to reproduce this information with appropriate attribution to the authors and the Center for
Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa 50011-1070.
For questions or comments about the contents of this paper, please contact John Beghin, 568E
Heady Hall, Iowa State University, Ames, IA 50011-1070; Ph: 515-294-5811; Fax: 515-294-6336;
E-mail: beghin@iastate.edu; or Jay Fabiosa, 579 Heady Hall, Iowa State University, Ames, IA
50011-1070; Ph: 515-294-6183; Fax: 515-294-6336; E-mail:jfabiosa@iastate.edu.
Iowa State University does not discriminate on the basis of race, color, age, religion, national origin, sexual
orientation, sex, marital status, disability, or status as a U.S. Vietnam Era Veteran. Any persons having
inquiries concerning this may contact the Office of Equal Opportunity and Diversity, 1031 Wallace Road
Office Building, Room 101, 515-294-7612.
Abstract
Using the Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) modeling system, we
investigate the multilateral removal of border taxes and farm programs and their distortion of
world agricultural markets. We find that agricultural and trade distortions have significant
terms-of-trade effects. Terms-of-trade effects caused by trade barriers are much larger than
those caused by domestic farm programs. World trade is also significantly impacted. Trade
expansion is substantial for most commodities, especially dairy, meats, and vegetable oils. Net
agricultural and food exporters, such as Brazil, Australia, and Argentina, emerge with
expanded exports, whereas net importing countries with limited distortions before liberalization
are penalized by higher world markets prices and reduced imports. The United States gains
significant export shares in livestock products and imports more dairy products. Without
protection and domestic subsidies, the European Union loses many of its livestock and dairy
export markets. The increase in world market prices would offset at least a portion of the
subsidies foregone by U.S. producers.
Keywords: Doha Round, domestic farm program, liberalization, partial equilibrium, trade
distortion, World Trade Organization.
THE DOHA ROUND OF THE WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION:
APPRAISING FURTHER LIBERALIZATION OF
AGRICULTURAL MARKETS
Introduction
Many developing countries became disappointed with the limited accomplishments
achieved by the Uruguay Round Agreement on Agriculture (URAA) of the World Trade
Organization (WTO). This disappointment led them to express their concerns during the
agricultural agenda debate preceding the Doha Declaration of the WTO (Kennedy et al.
2001; Matthews 2002; WTO 2001). These concerns were largely reflected in the policy
challenges included in the Doha Declaration. The first concern is that there is a lack of
market access in high-income countries. Tariff rate quotas (TRQs) and other trade
barriers block access to markets in which developing economies are competitive
(Anderson et al. 2001; Martin and Winters 1996). The lack of market access constrains
trading opportunities for exporting developing-country members. It is important to keep
in mind that many developing countries, especially net-importing ones, have also kept
high border distortions, a fact that is sometimes overlooked in the current policy debate.
Hence, this first contention about the lack of market access shows the heterogeneity of
interests among WTO members, and even among developing-country members.
A second contention is that agricultural subsidies in high-income countries gained
through domestic farm and trade policies depress world market prices. Exports from
some of the high-income countries are subsidized explicitly or implicitly through
production subsidies and are often “dumped” on world markets. The objective of income
transfer to domestic farmers is not in question; rather, the argument is with the way this is
accomplished using coupled policies, which frustrates the mercantilist aspirations of
competitive exporting partners on world markets. The international political economy of
these domestic programs is interesting. Many developing countries do not have the fiscal
resources to sustain such domestic farm programs; alternatively, they tend to use border
2 / FAPRI Staff
measures to protect their farmers when they are pressed to do so politically. These border
measures are blunt ways to subsidize agriculture: they harm poor consumers and
potentially depress world prices.
Among developing countries, policy interests also are heterogeneous. Some
countries, such as Brazil and Argentina, are natural exporters of many commodities; they
would benefit from trade liberalization and a multilateral removal of domestic farm
programs. By contrast, some net-importing countries, such as Egypt, actually benefit
from depressed world prices and the resulting cheaper food imports. Many countries fall
in between these two extremes, importing some commodities and exporting others with
varying degrees of domestic or border distortion. Again, the range of policy interests is
large, extending beyond a unified front against E.U. and U.S. farm policies. The Doha
Declaration was eventually agreed upon and the agricultural component of the document
includes objectives directly addressing greater market access, reductions of export
subsidies, and substantial reductions of trade-distorting domestic support (WTO 2001).
Beyond the ruckus of the negotiations, it is important to note that even with the
URAA nearly fully implemented, heterogeneous market interventions in high-income
economies still distort resource allocation and trade in agriculture. European countries
rely heavily on export subsidies and domestic support (Tangermann 2001). The United
States has been increasing domestic production subsidies to implicitly subsidize crop
exports. Both the European Union and the United States have kept prohibitive border
measures that protect domestic sugar and dairy. Net-importing, high-income Asian
countries (e.g., Korea and Japan) use prohibitive border measures to protect their
agriculture and some food sectors. Developing countries exhibit a heterogeneous set of
policies, but when they subsidize their farmers, they often rely on strict border
measures when they are less competitive but successful rent seekers. Overall, the scope
for relocation of production, efficiency gains, and terms-of-trade effects remains in
agriculture, and it is worth asking what would happen in unfettered agricultural and
food markets.
This report describes an investigation that uses the FAPRI modeling system to
analyze the impact of trade and farm policies on world trade flows, prices, and market
equilibrium. The analysis considers two scenarios. The first represents a removal of “all”
The Doha Round of the WTO: Appraising Further Liberalization of Agricultural Markets / 3
distortions directly affecting agriculture (domestic farm programs and border measures, e.g.,
TRQs and tariffs), hereafter referred to as full liberalization. In the second scenario, only trade
liberalization (the elimination of border measures) is implemented. This second scenario,
although somewhat contrived, allows us to gauge the respective contribution of each type of
distortion (domestic versus trade) on terms of trade and market outcomes (such as trade flows
and location of production). We hereafter refer to this scenario as trade-only liberalization.
With these two scenarios, we assess the policy claims mentioned in the previous
sections and elucidate on the empirical evidence contested between the developing
members and high-income members of the WTO. We also identify outcomes for clusters
of developing countries (including high-protection countries, net-importing countries, net
exporters, and low-protection importing countries). We quantify the impact of trade and
domestic agricultural distortions on terms of trade, trade flows of developing economies
and their partners, and location of production. We consider the removal of tariffs and
TRQ schemes, export subsidies, and output and input subsidies affecting production
decisions for all major players in these markets. The modeling approach covers all
temperate crops, many livestock products, poultry, and dairy products, for more than 25
countries including all major exporters and importers in these markets.
Our report contributes to the new literature analyzing agricultural negotiation issues
in the Doha Round of the WTO (Beghin, Roland-Holst, and van der Mensbrugghe
forthcoming; Burfisher 2001; Diao, Roe, and Somwaru 2002; Francois 2000; Hoekman
and Anderson 2000; and World Bank 2001). The departure of our analysis from the
literature resides in its unique coverage of countries, rich disaggregation of commodities,
and in the incorporation of the most recent policy information within a realistic baseline.
The limitations of the analysis are numerous. First, the FAPRI modeling system is not well
suited to analysis of economywide trade liberalization. The analysis does not take into account
feedback effects from potential trade liberalization in other sectors such as textiles or food
processing. Hence, the report addresses in depth a more specific but nonetheless interesting
agricultural policy question. Second, the removal of some policies tests the limits of the
modeling approach. Supply responses have to be assumed in markets currently constrained by
supply management schemes in order to show what would happen when these schemes are
removed. No one knows the “true” magnitude of these future supply responses. Furthermore,
4 / FAPRI Staff
this analysis should be viewed as an academic exercise where the objective is to observe the
results generated with the FAPRI modeling system. If FAPRI were asked to examine the same
issues for policymakers, the institute would seek further comments from industry experts and
would make appropriate revisions to the analysis in light of the information obtained. The
paper points out some of the results most likely to induce disagreement among agricultural
policy experts.
The remainder of the report presents the policy scenarios, the major assumptions
incorporated into the FAPRI model, the baseline used in the investigation, and the
simulation results. This is followed by concluding comments. Appendix A gives tables
with results under the full liberalization scenario. Appendix B gives tables with results
under the trade-only liberalization scenario.
Policy Scenarios and Baseline Assumptions
Scenarios
We start from a reference baseline or a business-as-usual scenario, which is the 2002–2011
baseline established for the FAPRI 2002 World Agricultural Outlook (FAPRI 2002). This
baseline incorporates most major actual policies and policy commitments such as the URAA,
the Berlin Accord on Agenda 2000 reforms to the E.U. Common Agricultural Policy (CAP),
the 1996 U.S. Federal Agriculture Improvement and Reform (FAIR) Act, and China’s
accession to the WTO, as will be explained in more detail. However, as the baseline was
prepared in January 2002, it does not incorporate provisions of the U.S. Food Security and
Rural Investment Act, but rather, it assumes a simple extension of 1996 farm legislation. The
baseline also includes important macro policy developments such as Argentina’s current crisis.
The FAPRI baseline assumes that all government programs and international
agreements currently in effect will remain in place over the period. The baseline includes
most major policy changes that occurred recently and are currently in place. Specifically,
China became a member of the WTO in December 2001, followed by Taiwan in January
2002. China implements a “tariff only” regime in livestock. Tariff rates for fluid milk,
skim milk powder (SMP), whole milk powder (WMP), cheese, and butter are reduced by
about 55 percent in three equal steps. For wheat, corn, and rice, in-quota tariffs are set to
1 percent throughout the baseline, while the out-of-quota rate is 71 percent in 2002/03,
The Doha Round of the WTO: Appraising Further Liberalization of Agricultural Markets / 5
decreasing to 68 percent in 2003/04. TRQs for grains increase in two equal increments
and are held constant beginning in 2004/05. TRQs for soybeans, rapeseed, and palm oil
increase annually until eliminated in 2006. The in-quota rate is 9 percent while the outquota rate is 52.4 percent.
The baseline also includes provisions of the 1996 FAIR Act. Although the FAIR Act
included provisions only through 2002, these provisions are extended at 2002 levels to
the end of the baseline period. Loan rates are fixed in the baseline at the maximum levels
allowed, and the Export Enhancement Program, though available, is not used in the
projection period. The baseline assumes no emergency spending package for 2002 or
thereafter. NAFTA (North American Free Trade Agreement) provisions are included in
the FAPRI baseline. Tariffs on cereals and sugar have been decreasing and will be phased
out by 2008. Mexico has been flexible with the management of its meat TRQs to
accommodate demand for imports.
Regarding the E.U. CAP, the provisions of the Agenda 2000 reforms are implemented in the baseline as outlined in the Berlin Accord, including the dairy sector
reforms from 2005 to 2007. The CAP reform decreases the intervention support price for
cereals, beef, and dairy, and producers are compensated with higher direct payments.
Commercial cereal and oilseed producers are required to set aside 10 percent of their
area. The set-aside program is accompanied by intervention prices (€101.3 per metric
ton) and by compensatory payments for grains (€63 per metric ton based on reference
yields). Starting in 2002/03, the compensatory payments are the same for grains and
oilseeds. A voluntary set-aside program, in which farmers are allowed to set aside area
above the 10 percent threshold, is also accounted for in the model. Although interrupted
by the recent Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE) crisis, Agenda 2000 reforms in
the beef regime will continue. Several temporary support schemes were introduced,
including Purchase for Destruction, which was later replaced by the Special Purchase
Scheme, in effect until the end of 2001. The Over Thirty Month Slaughter (OTMS)
Scheme in the United Kingdom is scheduled for termination by 2002. Only private
storage aid and a safety net intervention at a low price of €1,560 per metric ton is
envisioned in the long run. The pre–Berlin Accord E.U. milk quota system is retained
under the new regime. Quotas are increased by an average of 1.5 percent over the three-
6 / FAPRI Staff
year period beginning in 2005. Butter and SMP intervention prices are reduced by 15
percent in three equal steps beginning in 2005.
Among the multilateral trade agreements, the URAA of the WTO has had the largest
impact on agricultural trade, with provisions for developing members being implemented
until 2004. After 2004, all WTO provisions are held constant until 2011/12 in the
baseline run.
The two policy scenarios are then presented in deviations from this baseline. FAPRI
(2002, pp. 28-35) provides a detailed list of policies incorporated in the baseline that are
changed in the two scenarios. Tables A.1 and A.2 summarize the main policy changes
considered in both scenarios for selected countries. All policy changes are assumed to
occur simultaneously and instantaneously beginning in 2002.
The first scenario, the full liberalization scenario, investigates the removal of all
agricultural distortions: domestic farm programs and border measures—including all TRQ
schemes, tariffs, and direct export subsidies such as in the E.U. CAP. The second scenario, the
trade-only scenario, considers the removal of border measures only. With this latter scenario,
we can assess the contention that domestic programs depress world market prices. The scenario
raises the issue of how domestic programs would hold in the absence of border restrictions. For
example, dairy policies in many countries rely on border protection to maintain domestic prices
above world prices but also above some reference price floor. For the domestic program in the
European Union, we assume that with the removal of the border measures, the domestic price
floor eventually would be reached as domestic prices fall. If trade liberalization results in
market prices falling below current domestic price floors, we assume that governments would
make payments to producers in an amount equal to the difference between the current domestic
price floor and the market price (in many respects, this would be similar to the manner in which
the U.S. loan deficiency payment program operates). Again, the objective is to identify the
relative contribution of trade and farm policies. Other assumptions are also plausible.
In dairy markets, the removal of domestic policies includes the following by country: in
the European Union, elimination of intervention for butter and SMP, and the removal of
milk production quotas; in Canada, removal of milk marketing quotas and support prices
for milk, butter, and SMP; in the United States, elimination of milk support prices and
Commodity Credit Corporation (CCC) stocks for butter and SMP; in Hungary, Japan, and
The Doha Round of the WTO: Appraising Further Liberalization of Agricultural Markets / 7
Slovakia, elimination of milk marketing quotas; and in Poland, elimination of milk
marketing quotas, milk support prices, and intervention stocks for butter and SMP.
In the meat market, limited TRQs, high border duties, subsidized exports, and price
support intervention schemes are employed by many countries to protect their domestic
producers. For example, with limited productive potential in meat, many Asian countries
protect their domestic producers primarily with high border duties. All these were
dropped to zero in the full liberalization scenario, including, among others, the 38.5
percent beef duty and the specific duty implied by the “gate price” policy of pork in
Japan, and the 40 percent beef duty in South Korea and the Philippines. Accession to the
WTO by China and Taiwan is already in the 2002 baseline; their respective duties for
meats, which are dropped in the full liberalization scenario, are 12 to 20 percent and 12 to
15 percent. South America, a natural exporter of meat, has a zero duty for intraMERCOSUR (the Common Market of the Southern Cone of South America) trade,
which is the dominant share in their meat imports. Policy changes for the European
Union include removal of TRQ, out-quota duties, and subsidized exports. Also, the E.U.
beef intervention scheme is terminated, with its stocks released to the market.1 Canada’s
poultry TRQ and out-of-quota duties in poultry are removed.
For rapeseed production in the European Union under the full liberalization scenario, our
analysis assumes that the industrial rapeseed production on the set-aside land is cancelled and
the set-aside land is returned to regular production. Without subsidies, it is assumed that crush
demand for industrial rapeseeds is eliminated. The assumptions on the liberalization of the
domestic market for the E.U. sunflower sector are similar to those of the rapeseed sector. The
demand for sunflower oil is reduced by the quantity of oil produced from sunflowers grown on
set-aside area in the baseline. This, however, covers only about 50 percent of the industrial oil
consumption. Therefore, our analysis assumes that 50 percent of the baseline industrial oil
consumption is an unsubsidized market demand. All barrier protection and domestic support
policies that affect the world grain markets are eliminated, including the E.U. set-aside
program. We assume that the mandatory set-aside program is removed. When
exemptions for small farms are taken into account, the mandatory set-aside area
represents 7.6 percent of the total potential cereal and oilseed area that is released for
production under the no-barrier scenario. The removal of support to rice farmers also is
8 / FAPRI Staff
an important feature in our scenario. Rice is not part of the set-aside program. The E.U.
policy regime includes a mix of intervention prices, tariffs, export subsidies, and direct
payments, which results in domestic prices that can be twice as high as world prices. All
of these domestic programs, as well as border protection and export subsidies, are eliminated in
the full liberalization scenario. This results in lower returns for grains and a more
straightforward link between E.U. domestic prices and world prices. Two forces are thus at
play in the full liberalization scenario. The removal of the set-aside area leads to a significant
potential increase of the total E.U. crop area while at the same time crop returns are reduced
because of the removal of trade protection and domestic support. The set-aside area has lower
yield potential than does current planted area, thus limiting the impact on supply of the removal
of the set-aside program. Although it is difficult to get a precise idea of the magnitude of the
yield differentials, we try to capture this in the scenario by assuming lower yields (10 percent
lower than the baseline projection for all crops) on the area that returns to production.
As for grains in China, we include TRQs reaching 7.2 million metric tons (mmt) in corn,
5.3 mmt in rice, and 9.6 mmt in wheat with in-quota rates of 1 percent and out-quota rates of 68
percent. In-quota imports of wheat, corn, and rice are already subject to a low 1 percent
tariff. The elimination of the TRQ system in the full liberalization scenario thus has a
limited direct impact on Chinese grain imports. In addition to border protection,
procurement prices for wheat, corn, and rice also are eliminated. This impacts
significantly the Chinese farm price for these commodities.
Mexican corn farmers are still protected under the NAFTA regime by a combined
system of TRQ and tariff but with a phasing out of tariffs by 2007. This significantly
impacts the balance between corn and sorghum in Mexican imports, as sorghum is
already liberalized. The NAFTA tariffs are brought back to zero as of 2002.
India has used export subsidies widely in recent years to reduce its large amount of stocks.
These export subsidy programs are terminated in both scenarios, leading to higher net imports
of grains by India.
On the U.S. crop side, domestic farm policy is administered through two main channels:
price-conditioned payments (loan deficiency payments [LDPs]) and so-called fixed
(decoupled) payments based on historical production on an individual farm. Under LDP
programs, producers receive the difference between the set price (loan rate) and the actual
The Doha Round of the WTO: Appraising Further Liberalization of Agricultural Markets / 9
price. Therefore, the amount of support differs for different crops depending on the level of the
loan rate for an individual crop. In the baseline, soybeans, cotton, and rice are the only crops for
which LDP programs provided any benefits. These are the crops that experience a decrease in
area when exposed to international market prices in the full liberalization scenario given a
reduction in marginal production incentives.
The international cotton trade is relatively free, but domestic markets are distorted
in many countries. While cotton trade is relatively free, textile and clothing trade is
highly distorted. Our analysis does not consider textile and apparel liberalization. We
consider the following domestic distortions. In the European Union, under the CAP,
support payments are made to ginners who are required to pass the subsidy on in the
form of higher prices to growers. In the United States, LDPs and production flexibility
contract (PFC) payments are paid to cotton growers. Other payments to growers include
export and consumption subsidy programs known as Step 2. U.S. cotton producers are
expected to receive a total of U.S.$3.7 billion in government subsidies in 2001/02. In
Turkey, all growers are entitled to a premium payment calculated on the basis of seed
cotton deliveries to either cooperatives or private gins. The Turkish government support
was U.S.$106 million in 2000/01; it has been reduced to U.S.$59 million in 2001/02, as
the premium was lowered from U.S.$90 to $50 per metric ton of seed cotton. In Egypt,
the government disbursed U.S.$20 million in 1999/00 in order to pay for the difference
between selling and purchase prices. Support increased to U.S.$23 million in 2000/01.
It is estimated that the government of Egypt will offer the same amount of support this
season. In Brazil, for 2001/02, the government has set a support price of U.S.$.0396
cents per pound. Finally, in Mexico, assistance to growers was given in 2000/01 at a
rate of U.S.$194 per hectare, for a total of U.S.$14 million in government assistance.
Modeling Approach and Further Assumptions
The FAPRI modeling system is a multimarket, world agricultural model. The model
is extensive in terms of both its geographic and commodity coverage. Functionally, the
modeling system is organized into modules according to major commodity groupings—
grains, other crops, oilseeds, livestock, and dairy—with country submodels. The system
captures important linkages between dairy, livestock, grain, and oilseed markets. Feed
10 / FAPRI Staff
prices impact dairy and livestock supply decisions, and animal inventories have an
impact on milk and meat production. Both dairy and livestock animal numbers are used
to determine demands for feed, which ultimately influence feed prices. Oilseed markets
are linked to livestock markets through oilseed meal demand. Vegetable oils are
substitutes in consumption and compete in final consumption for consumers’ income.
The FAPRI model solves for world prices by equating excess supply and demand in
the world market. As explained in the scenario section, the FAPRI model is driven by
two major groups of exogenous shifters. First, policy instruments are parameterized in the
model and can be altered for policy analysis. Second, the model incorporates forecasts of
macroeconomic variables, such as gross domestic product, inflation rates, exchange rates,
and population. For each scenario, policy parameters are changed and a new baseline is
computed for the outlook period. The two trajectories are then compared.
Results
Results are reported as average annual changes over the outlook period (2002–2011)
in deviation from the baseline, unless otherwise noted. Tables A.3 through A.46 show the
principal results regarding prices, trade, production, and consumption for the full
liberalization scenario for each year of the outlook period. The average annual change is
reported in the last column of each table. Corresponding information for the trade-only
liberalization scenario is given in Tables B.1 through B.44.
Grains
Wheat. The wheat price (U.S FOB Gulf) is up 4.8 percent in the full liberalization
scenario (removal of all distortions) and 7.6 percent in the trade-only liberalization
scenario, relative to the baseline (Tables A.3 and A.4). World net trade increases by 7.9
percent following the removal of all distortions and by 5.0 percent with trade
liberalization alone. Under this scenario, the increase in world price is tempered by larger
E.U. and U.S. net exports and to a lesser extent by larger exports from Russia, Canada,
and Argentina. A different picture emerges with the removal of all distortions. The
removal of set-aside requirements in the European Union frees a much larger expansion
of E.U. wheat and induces a substantial increase in E.U. wheat exports of 6.4 mmt.
Russia’s export expansion under the full liberalization scenario withers to a modest 3.7
The Doha Round of the WTO: Appraising Further Liberalization of Agricultural Markets / 11
percent increase because of the more moderate relative price increase, and Canada and
Argentina still expand their wheat exports relative to the baseline. To a lesser extent,
Australia increases its exports under both scenarios.
The FAPRI baseline assumes that liberalization would force the E.U. price to follow
the world price. The reduction in trade barriers causes the E.U. price to increase,
prompting more exports. This is reinforced by a lower domestic feed demand in the
European Union. The overall E.U. grain area increase is less than the area previously put
into mandatory set-aside, suggesting that payments had been holding at least some land in
production, all else being equal.
In Eastern Europe and Other Former Soviet Union (FSU) (all except Russia), the
removal of tariffs leads to a decrease of net exports (Czech Republic, Ukraine) and an
increase in net imports (Other FSU, Poland) under both scenarios. In the baseline, wheat
imports in China were already subject to a low tariff within the TRQ, and no imports
were projected beyond the TRQ. With world prices increasing under both policy reform
scenarios, Chinese imports decrease in both scenarios.
Because of the removal of the export subsidy, Indian exports decrease and India
becomes a net importer in 2003/04 with the full removal of all distortions (a year later
with trade-only liberalization). The increase in net trade averages 3.9 mmt above baseline
levels in the full liberalization scenario.
Corn. The corn price goes up by 5.7 percent with the removal of all distortions and
goes slightly higher (6.2 percent) with trade-only liberalization relative to the baseline
(Tables A.5 and A.6). World net trade increases by 3.5 mmt with the full removal of all
distortions. With trade-only liberalization, net trade increases until 2008, and then falls
slightly below baseline levels. The decrease in world net corn trade is driven by lower
animal numbers in key countries, such as Japan, the European Union, and China. In both
scenarios, the increase in the corn price is sustained by increased demand for feed in the
United States and from other major (feed-intensive) exporters.
With trade-only liberalization, U.S. corn exports decrease but the feed content of
U.S. meat exports increases. With the full removal of all distortions, U.S. exports expand
by an average annual 2.9 mmt, with the increase peaking in 2004 at 5.7 mmt and then
decreasing progressively over the remaining period.
12 / FAPRI Staff
As for China, net corn imports increase when all distortions are removed. The world
price increases moderately, and the net effect of tariff removal and a higher world price
induces an increase in imports and a decrease in domestic production. However, net
imports decrease in the trade-only liberalization scenario. The drop in imports is due to
the already low tariff in the baseline brought about by WTO accession, a higher world
price, and lower animal numbers.
With both policy reform scenarios, and despite lower animal numbers and a higher
world price, E.U. imports increase because of a much lower return for farmers. Current
policies sustain E.U. corn prices at a greater premium compared to world prices than E.U.
prices for other grains. The average annual increase in E.U. corn imports is 1.7 mmt
under the full liberalization scenario.
The impact of this scenario on Mexican imports is the strongest in the first half of the
projection period when the NAFTA tariff is still important. As this trade barrier vanishes
over time in the baseline, Mexican trade is impacted only by the world price and
increasing animal numbers. Corn imports increase by an average of 900 thousand metric
tons (tmt) annually in the full liberalization scenario.
Rice. The increase in world rice prices is the highest among the grains. Under the full
liberalization scenario, the price for rice goes up 10.3 percent on average compared to the
baseline and it goes up a bit higher in the trade-only liberalization scenario (10.6 percent)
(Tables A.7 and A.8). This price increase can be explained by high tariffs on rice and a
thin and reactive world market.
Rice trade increases by around 29 percent in the full liberalization scenario and by 27
percent with trade-only liberalization. Trade barriers are the main driver in the rice
market. Most of this trade increase is captured by China, India, and Vietnam, followed by
Thailand. Under the full liberalization scenario, U.S. exports decrease by an average of
98.3 percent, eventually turning the United States into a net importer as domestic support
for rice vanishes.
The removal of tariffs and other trade barriers in Japan, Korea, the Philippines, and
the Rest of World (ROW) leads to higher imports despite higher world prices. Brazilian
imports decrease as a result of the higher world price. As Brazil is the main export market
for Argentine rice, Argentine exports decrease compared to the baseline in both
The Doha Round of the WTO: Appraising Further Liberalization of Agricultural Markets / 13
scenarios. The latter outcome results from the specific grain trade flow between the two
neighboring countries.
As for the European Union, the removal of border protection results in a significant
increase in both consumption and stocks. When intervention prices and direct subsidies
are still in place, consumption is driven up by the decrease in price while area remains
roughly at its baseline level. Trade-only liberalization thus results in an increase of both
stocks and imports. Imports increase by an average of 700 tmt a year while stocks range
from 1.3 mmt to 1.6 mmt (compared to below 0.8 mmt in the baseline). As rice
production is not competitive on world markets, the removal of domestic support results
in a drop in area. Rice area in the European Union thus drops dramatically from 400 to 25
thousand hectares. As a result, in the full liberalization scenario, E.U. imports range from
2.2 to 2.6 mmt, supplying most of the E.U. consumption.
Oilseeds
Soybean Complex. Soybean world price increases by an average of 3.1 percent in
the full liberalization scenario relative to the baseline (Tables A.9 through A.14). The
price increase is stronger in early years and tapers off in later years. In the trade-only
scenario, similar patterns emerge, and the average price increase is 2.8 percent for the
decade. The removal of price supports in the United States, South Korea, and Japan
boosts the price another 0.3 percent annually (relative to the trade liberalization scenario).
In the conclusion section, we revisit this last finding, which is quite important in the
context of the WTO debate.
Soybean world production remains virtually unchanged, but the full-liberalization
scenario causes shifts in production and processing locations. The liberalization of world
soybean trade causes Argentina and Brazil to expand their areas. Natural importers with
tariffs to protect domestic production, such as China, Japan, and India, reduce their
production and crush. India did not import soybeans during the baseline period.
The loss of domestic support reduces the U.S. soybean area by 4.2 percent in
2002/03. As the loan rate becomes less important relative to price, the area reduction
becomes smaller; in 2011/12 it is only 1 percent compared to the baseline. Brazil expands
its production by an average of 3.5 percent. Of this 1.8 mmt production expansion, about
1 mmt is crushed domestically and 0.8 mmt is exported. Brazil also consumes more meal
14 / FAPRI Staff
(7.3 percent); the additional domestic production does not cover this increase entirely,
and meal exports are reduced slightly (0.7 percent). Because of the increase in the
soybean oil price, domestic consumption goes down slightly (0.3 percent). Together with
the increased supply, this boosts Brazilian soybean oil exports by 11 percent.
The opening of soybean markets through trade-only liberalization has similar
impacts on the Brazilian market, with a slightly smaller impact on area and production
(2.8 percent). Hence, the multilateral elimination of farm programs has a small effect on
Brazilian production.
In contrast, in Argentina, the additional production of 1.2 mmt in the full liberalization scenario is exported entirely. The removal of the export tax mostly boosts bean
exports in Argentina. The main policy impact in Argentina is from the tariff and export
tax removal; the domestic support removal has only a small effect. Soybean area and
exports respond only slightly to the soybean price increase caused by the reduction in
U.S. supply. Changes in utilization and trade of soybean meal and oil are also
insignificant. Comparing the impacts in Brazil and Argentina, the former would alter its
export composition in favor of value-added products (oil) while the latter would do the
opposite and export more primary commodity exports (beans).
China’s soybean production and demand from crush under the full liberalization
scenario is slightly reduced, leading to marginally lower imports of beans (down 0.1
percent). On the meal side, production is reduced and utilization expands because of lower
domestic prices, so more imports (32 percent) are needed. The Chinese oil sector exhibits
similar patterns, as domestic consumers use more of a cheaper product and oil imports are
increased (6 percent). Under the trade-only liberalization scenario, China decreases its area
by 1.7 percent and its crush consumption by 0.2 percent. The reduction in production is
larger than the slowdown in crush, leading to higher imports of beans. Soybean meal
production is reduced and use expands, so more imports (22 percent) are needed. In the
soybean oil market, more of a cheaper product is consumed and imports are increased.
The full liberalization scenario reduces the Japanese soybean production significantly
(16.3 percent), but the impact on crush consumption (down 2.4 percent) and imports (down
1.9 percent) is limited given the small level of Japanese production relative to consumption.
A higher soybean world price in the trade liberalization scenario is the dominant factor for
The Doha Round of the WTO: Appraising Further Liberalization of Agricultural Markets / 15
Japan; imports fall about 2 percent because of reduced crush demand (lower crush margin).
When Japan’s domestic subsidies are removed in the full liberalization scenario, its area is
reduced by 16.6 percent relative to the trade liberalization scenario. The main impact on the
Japanese meal sector is from the tariff reduction, which reduces livestock production and
increases meal prices so that Japanese feed demand for soybean meal is reduced by 3.8
percent and imports decline by 10.8 percent. The removal of domestic support results in
lower production and higher feed demand than in the scenario focusing only on border
measures. Trade liberalization and removal of domestic support have opposing impacts on
the Japanese soybean oil market, with trade liberalization having the dominant effect. Trade
distortion removal leads to lower prices and higher consumption and imports, but the
elimination of domestic subsidies partially reverses these changes.
Korea is the other Asian country with strong domestic support for soybeans. Overall,
production falls by 23 percent, and utilization decreases 9 percent, leading to an 11
percent increase in imports. World trade liberalization plays only a small role, decreasing
imports by 1.7 percent because of a lower crush demand (lower crush margins). The
removal of all distortions reduces domestic production (by 23 percent), leaves crush
almost constant, but increases domestic food consumption. This results in a 13 percent
increase in imports. The soybean meal and oil sectors are less affected by trade and
subsidy eliminations. Korea experiences a small substitution of domestic production with
imports of both products (3 percent).
World exports in meal decrease because the United States and Brazil consume more
domestically, and Argentina and India crush less. Consumption decreases in most
importing countries (European Union, FSU, Eastern Europe, Japan, Korea, Taiwan),
lowering their imports. Total world production and consumption increase slightly (0.4
percent). Trade-only liberalization boosts world meal production and consumption; the
removal of all distortions depresses them.
World trade in oil increases by 4.8 percent in the full liberalization scenario. China,
Japan, India, Korea, FSU, Eastern Europe, and ROW import more (due to substitution of
domestic production), while the United States and Brazil export more. Argentina’s
production and export contract, because its crushing industry loses protection from the
export tax on beans.
16 / FAPRI Staff
Rapeseed Complex. The total E.U. rapeseed area (food and industrial) decreases by 21
percent, and total crush is reduced by 25 percent in the full liberalization scenario (Tables A.15
and A.16). These changes turn the European Union into a net exporter of rapeseeds for the first
half of the outlook and reduce imports later on. In the trade-only liberalization scenario,
rapeseed prices increase 8 percent, resulting in higher production and a decrease in crush. This
reduces the European Union’s import needs. The removal of all domestic distortions has a
more severe impact on this sector. Industrial rapeseed production on the set-aside land and its
crush are eliminated; the set-aside land is returned to regular production, and area subsidies are
cancelled, decreasing returns of rapeseed by 25 percent with respect to the trade-only
liberalization scenario. These assumptions result in a 21 percent reduction in area, a 23 percent
crush decline, but a 58 percent increase in net trade (relative to the trade liberalization scenario).
Net exports expand because despite the reduction in total area, the food rapeseed area is
expanded by 1.2 percent out of the former set-aside area (relative to the trade liberalization
scenario). This increases food production relative to domestic demand.
The E.U. rapemeal sector also is severely influenced by the changes in rapeseed
because industrial crush residue that could be used as feed is no longer available. The
cancellation of the industrial oilseed program reduces E.U. rapemeal output by about 1
million tons (Tables A.17 and A.18). Trade-only liberalization causes just a moderate
reduction (3 percent) in rapemeal production. In the full liberalization scenario, meal
production is reduced by 20 percent, consumption shrinks by 1.9 percent, leaving the
need for more imports (215 percent).
On the E.U. rapeseed oil side, production is exogenously reduced by the amount
of the industrial production. Consumption is decreased by the same amount. This covers
all of the industrial oil demand in the baseline (we assume no unsubsidized industrial
demand for rapeseed oil). Since the crush margin is reduced, food oil production
decreases as well. As a result, oil exports are lowered by 11.6 percent. Trade
liberalization is the dominant influence on E.U. oil trade. Oil production falls (with a
lower crush margin because of the falling meal price) more than does utilization (higher
price), reducing exports by 13 percent in the trade-only liberalization scenario.
The removal of domestic distortions influences world price only slightly, leaving
trade almost unchanged compared to the trade-only liberalization scenario. All traditional
The Doha Round of the WTO: Appraising Further Liberalization of Agricultural Markets / 17
rapeseed exporters expand area, benefiting from the higher world market prices. The
ROW (an importer with a low tariff) has a higher domestic price and increases area. India
and China lose rapeseed acreage because of lower domestic prices.
Crush margins fall in countries that have protective tariffs on rapeseed meal and/or
oil (European Union, FSU, and Japan) and their crush consumption falls. As a result, the
FSU exports more rapeseed and the European Union and Japan import less. Canada and
Australia’s additional production goes mostly into exports. China decreases domestic
production by 0.6 percent but increases crush 0.8 percent, requiring 8.5 percent of
additional imports. India did not trade rapeseed in the baseline but averages imports of
287 tmt in the full liberalization scenario.
Domestic meal prices fall in all countries. Canada, India, and China increase their
use of rapeseed meal; all other countries decrease their use (driven by animal numbers
and cross-price effects). Rapeseed meal trade development is driven by the relative
movements of domestic crush and use in the individual countries. World trade expands
by 26 percent.
The rapeseed oil world price increases strongly (11 percent), driven by strong
demand growth in India. Domestic prices fall in the FSU, Japan, and India, boosting their
domestic consumption by 1.4 percent, 1.8 percent, and 11.9 percent, respectively (Tables
A.19 and A.20). In all the other countries, consumption shrinks because these countries’
domestic prices rise along with the world price. However, world consumption does rise
by 0.7 percent.
The increased rapeseed oil demand in India and Japan requires additional imports of
about 177 tmt and 53 tmt annually, respectively. E.U. exports shrink by 11.6 percent.
Fewer imports by the ROW and China and additional Eastern European, Australian, and
Canadian exports provide a market adjustment for rapeseed oil. The removal of
distortions has a big impact on the Indian rapeseed complex: the domestic price falls by
26 percent, production decreases by 5.2 percent, the crush margin improves, and crush
expands, resulting in imports. Domestic consumption of meal increases by 9.4 percent,
and there is a trade reversal from export to import of meal. The domestic oil price
declines 26 percent, while domestic consumption increases 12 percent. There is a small
boost in oil production, and imports increase 364 percent. Almost all of these effects are
18 / FAPRI Staff
due to trade liberalization. Elimination of domestic policies in Europe, the United States,
Japan, and South Korea amplifies the latter results slightly.
Sunflower Complex. The world sunflower price rises 4.3 percent in the full liberalization
scenario (Tables A.21 through A.26). World production responds by increasing 1.2 percent,
and crush consumption in the world rises 1.9 percent. Production and consumption locations
shift in the scenario, causing a 21.7 percent expansion of sunflower seed trade in the world.
E.U. sunflower production decreases by 4.4 percent because of the elimination of trade
and domestic distortions. Crush declines by 18 percent, reducing imports by 56 percent. The
decreases in crush and imports are caused by trade liberalization. The aggregate reduction of
tariffs is much more severe for oil than for meal, driving world oil demand up disproportionately. Crush responds to this increased oil demand and, because of the fixed-proportion
technology, meal is “overproduced,” driving its price down. In the trade-only liberalization
scenario, the sunflower price inreases 4.7 percent, the oil price increases 7.3 percent, and the
meal price drops 8.7 percent. Figuring in the elimination of tariffs in the European Union, the
domestic crush margin decreases 33 percent, reducing crush by 14 percent.
As with the rapeseed sector, the elimination of domestic subsidies is assumed to result in
the elimination of the production and crush of E.U. sunflowers for industrial purposes. The
demand for oil is reduced by the resulting oil quantity, which covers only about 50 percent of
industrial oil consumption. The remaining industrial oil consumption is assumed to be
unsubsidized. While total sunflower area shrinks (4.6 percent) because of the elimination of
industrial production on set-aside land, food area expands slightly (0.3 percent) (both relative to
the trade-only liberalization scenario), because of the return of some set-aside area to regular
production. Because the reductions in supply and demand are almost equal, the removal of all
distortions does not have a significant impact on E.U. sunflower seed trade (down 0.4 percent)
or the world price (down 0.5 percent) relative to the trade-only liberalization scenario. Because
of the deterioration of the crush margin and removal of industrial production, sunflower meal
production falls by 18 percent in the European Union. The domestic price falls along with the
world price by 9.7 percent, boosting consumption by 2.9 percent. This requires 35 percent
additional net imports of sunflower meal into the European Union. The trade-only liberalization
scenario has a dominating influence in the sunflower meal market. The domestic price falls by
9 percent. Low crush margins cause production to decline by 14 percent. The elimination of
The Doha Round of the WTO: Appraising Further Liberalization of Agricultural Markets / 19
industrial oilseed production affects the sunflower meal sector less than it does the rapeseed
meal sector; less than 100 tmt are taken out of the market.
Because of the deterioration of the E.U. crush margin and the elimination of the
industrial crush, sunflower oil production falls by 18 percent. The increase in the world
price (7 percent) is almost offset by the elimination of the tariff, but the domestic price
still rises by 0.6 percent. Therefore, total E.U. consumption is reduced by the industrial
share, but food consumption remains stable. Stable demand and falling production
require imports to more than double (133 percent) in the full liberalization scenario.
Except for the reduction of about 4 percent in production and consumption due to the
elimination of the industrial support program, the elimination of domestic support
programs does not affect the sunflower oil sector significantly in the European Union.
The changes are overwhelmingly caused by the trade liberalization.
World sunflower production changes according to the resulting movements of
domestic prices. Production increases in Argentina and the FSU because of the increase
in world prices. Countries with high tariffs (Eastern Europe, China, the ROW) have lower
domestic prices and lower area when the tariff is removed. Overall, production increases
profits from the increased demand and higher prices. Production locations shift from
importers to exporters. The crush consumption increases in the ROW and Eastern Europe
because of high tariffs on seeds. All other countries decease their crush because of lower
crush margins. The counties with lower production import more (the ROW) or export less
(Canada, Eastern Europe).
Argentina and the FSU pick up the slack. These big exporters substitute raw
material exports for domestic crush. The domestic prices of sunflower meal are
depressed everywhere. Consumption expands in all countries except Eastern Europe,
where animal numbers decrease 6.4 percent. The movements in meal trade depend on
the relative magnitude of production and consumption: in Argentina, the decrease in
crush is equal to meal production; the increase in use leads to lower meal exports. As a
result, there is a shift into seed exports from meal exports. In the ROW, the
corresponding response occurs: reduced area, and increased crush and seed imports.
There is a shift into imports from domestic seed production and then fewer meal
imports as domestic crush substitutes for imported meal. In the European Union, the
20 / FAPRI Staff
markets are characterized by less crush, fewer seed imports, and higher meal use,
requiring more meal imports. This constitutes a shift into processed product imports
from raw material imports.
Domestic sunflower oil prices in Canada, Eastern Europe, and the ROW (countries
with high protection) fall, and so their domestic consumption increases. Eastern Europe
and the ROW also produce more. The production gain outweighs the consumption
increase, so they import less. China did not trade sun oil in the baseline; it becomes an
importer in the full liberalization scenario. The traditional exporters export less oil; with
reduced crush, they export more seeds. Overall, oil trade is down. Consuming countries
shift into the trade of raw material and crush.
Peanuts. All countries except India and the United States face higher domestic
prices because of the tariff elimination and domestic policy changes (Tables A.27 and
A.28). World production expands by 1.2 percent and the world price climbs 19.2 percent.
Nearly all of this rise in price is due to the tariff elimination. The termination of peanut
support in the United States boosts the world price by only 2.3 percent relative to the
trade-only liberalization scenario. World peanut area expands 0.6 percent, consumption
rises by about the same amount, but world trade falls 14.4 percent. The reduction in trade
is mainly due to the 78 percent falloff in U.S. exports (all relative to the trade-only
liberalization scenario).
In the baseline, the U.S. peanut program consists of the domestic production quota,
a high price support for the production under quota, and import restrictions
administered through a TRQ. Peanuts that can be sold for edible uses (Segregation 1
peanuts) grown under the allotted quota poundage receive a guaranteed price floor that
significantly exceeds the world price. Any peanuts grown outside of the quota
(“additional” peanuts) cannot be sold for domestic edible consumption and must be
exported or crushed to produce peanut oil or peanut meal. In the trade-only
liberalization scenario, it is assumed that only Segregation 2 and 3 peanuts (non-edible
use) can be imported. Because the domestic program targets primarily Segregation 1
(edible use) peanuts trade liberalization does not interfere with the program
administration. As a result, the U.S. peanut imports fall to zero because the price
support in the market for additional peanuts that cannot be marketed for domestic use in
The Doha Round of the WTO: Appraising Further Liberalization of Agricultural Markets / 21
food is set on par with the world price. In the trade-only liberalization scenario, this
allows the U.S. to support a domestic peanut price that is significantly higher than the
world price.
Because of higher domestic prices, all countries except India expand peanut area.
Because Argentina does not have any tariffs, it can take full advantage of the world price
increase, expanding its area by 11.2 percent. In absolute terms, China has the largest area
expansion, growing 276,000 additional hectares. The high tariffs in India lead to a
reduction in domestic price and production. Crush consumption is the dominant
component of Indian peanut demand. Therefore, despite the lower domestic price,
consumption decreases by 1.4 percent because the peanut crush margin is also reduced,
depressing crush consumption. The production reduction outweighs the consumption
decrease, resulting in lower exports (an 11.1 percent decrease).
China’s domestic price increases 3.1 percent, and area expands by 1.0 percent.
Domestic use grows 1.9 percent, resulting in a 24 percent reduction of exports. Domestic
consumption expands despite the price increase because the crush margin improves by
nearly 17 percent, boosting crush consumption by 3.4 percent. The increase in domestic
consumption is larger than the production expansion, reducing peanut exports by 24 percent.
In the trade-only liberalization scenario, Argentina is the only country that increases
exports. The other exporters, the United States, China, and India, either decrease their
domestic production or increase their domestic consumption, resulting in lower exports.
All peanut importers reduce their imports. Canada, Mexico, and the European Union
have lower consumption because the increase in world price affects them directly. The
ROW consumes more but also has a strong production increase because of the higher
prices reducing the need for imports.
Palm Oil. The world palm oil price increases by 4.6 percent because of the removal
of all distortions (Tables A.29 and A.30). Trade liberalization accounts for the entire
price change. The cancellation of domestic supports for oil crops in the European Union
and United States does not have any net impact on the palm oil price. Production expands
in the producer/exporter countries (Indonesia, 1.4 percent; Malaysia: 1.1 percent). The
consumption in these countries declines because domestic prices increase; therefore,
exports increase more than production (Indonesia, 3.4 percent; Malaysia, 1.4 percent).
22 / FAPRI Staff
Domestic prices fall in the importer countries (China, India, and the ROW).
Domestic consumption rises accordingly. The domestic price rises slightly in the
European Union. Because prices of competing oils rise significantly more, consumption
of palm oil increases marginally. Along with consumption, imports rise everywhere.
World trade volume expands 2.1 percent. India has the strongest increase in imports (6.3
percent), corresponding to its removal of a high tariff. Overall, palm oil becomes cheaper
for consumers in importing countries, and they consume more. Producers in exporting
countries realize a higher price, and they produce more, but consumers in these countries,
faced with the higher price, reduce their consumption, adding to the growth in exports.
Total world oilseed production falls by almost 900 tmt because of the elimination of
E.U. non-food oilseed production, and an exogenous reduction in rapeseed and sunflower
production. The reduction of about 2.3 mmt annually of E.U. rapeseed and sunflower
production cannot be fully compensated by production expansions in other oilseeds.
Correcting for this exogenous change, we find that the world production of soybeans,
rapeseed, and sunflowers expands by 1.5 mmt. Soybean production expands 0.3 percent
on average, accounting for about 700 tmt per year of additional production. Sunflower
food production increases 480 tmt, a 1.9 percent growth. Despite the absolute decline in
world rapeseed production of 4.5 percent, food production grows by 293 tmt, an increase
of 0.7 percent. Because of lower baseline tariffs in the soybean sector, its production and
price increase is lower than for the other seeds. Rapeseed and sunflower gain relative to
soybeans, not counting the exogenous reductions in the European Union.
Total consumption of the major vegetable oils (soybean, rapeseed, sunflower, palm)
falls nominally by 329 tmt on average. However, the exogenous elimination of the nonfood sector in the European Union accounts for 961 tmt. Vegetable oil food consumption
rises by 632 tmt, or 0.8 percent of total world consumption. This expansion of vegetable
oil consumption is driven by lower domestic prices in many importing countries caused
by tariff elimination. Palm oil captures the largest absolute increase, expanding about 247
tmt, followed by sunflower oil with 164 tmt. Soybean oil tariffs in the baseline are
relatively low, limiting the growth in this sector to 130 tmt. Total rapeseed oil
consumption falls, but food consumption rises by 90 tmt.
The Doha Round of the WTO: Appraising Further Liberalization of Agricultural Markets / 23
Cotton
With the removal of all agricultural distortions in the full liberalization scenario,
world cotton prices increase about 15 percent above baseline levels (Tables A.31 and
A.32). The United States suffers a substantial impact in this scenario as the loan program,
step 2 payments, and export subsidies are removed. U.S. cotton production, consumption,
and net export decline by 11 percent, 2 percent, and 13 percent, respectively.
The removal of all distortions also has a significant impact on E.U. cotton production and
trade. E.U. cotton production falls by about 79.0 percent, and cotton net import increases by
143.1 percent. As world cotton prices rise, Africa, a large cotton exporting region, increases its
cotton exports by 12.3 percent above baseline. Benefiting from both types of reforms, cotton
exports from Uzbekistan increase by 5 percent in the full liberalization scenario. A similar story
arises in the FSU. Both are natural exporters of cotton. In this scenario, China’s cotton imports
decline by 25 percent because of low protection assumed in the baseline with China’s WTO
accession. India cotton producers also benefit from the removal of distortions with the policy
reforms. India’s cotton net imports decline by 14 percent.
Under agricultural trade-only liberalization, nothing major happens in cotton
markets. This result is in sharp contrast to what would happen with trade liberalization in
textiles and apparel, which is a different issue. The world raw cotton market is generally
liberalized, with only 2 percent of world imports in TRQs and 2 percent purchased by
countries that apply tariffs. The world cotton price increases by about 4 percent compared
to the baseline because of the removal of trade distortions. Importing countries with
relatively higher duties removed increase their excess demand for cotton. These countries
include Brazil, India, and Other Latin America. Importing countries with relatively lower
duties removed (or duty free) slightly decrease their excess demand of cotton. These
countries include China, the European Union, Turkey, Taiwan, and Japan. Major cotton
exporting countries, such as South Africa, Uzbekistan, the United States, and Australia,
increase their exports as world cotton price rises. Pakistan suffers the largest impact from
trade liberalization because of the removal of its 15 percent duty. It becomes a net
importer. Under trade liberalization, the U.S. farm price increases slightly less than the
world cotton price. U.S. cotton exports also increase slightly.
24 / FAPRI Staff
Dairy
With the removal of all distortions in the full liberalization scenario, net trade of all
dairy products (butter, cheese, SMP, and WMP) increases relative to baseline levels.
Argentina, Australia, and New Zealand gain market share but would gain even more
under trade-only liberalization. India is likely to gain significant market share in butter
and SMP markets. The European Union loses market share in all dairy products
compared to the baseline. E.U. butter and SMP exports decrease significantly as the
elimination of milk production quotas and intervention buying results in lower milk
production, lower domestic prices, less butter and SMP production, and more domestic
consumption of all dairy products.
In the trade-only liberalization scenario, net trade increases for all dairy products
except cheese. World dairy product prices increase by 27 to 34 percent. Canada becomes
a net importer of all dairy products and is one of the countries that loses more market
share under the scenario, but its consumers benefit greatly. Similar patterns emerge in
South Korea, Japan, and Indonesia. The United States increases its imports of butter.
However, it reduces its imports of cheese significantly and increases its exports of SMP.
Still, under this trade-only liberalization scenario, the European Union loses market share
in all the dairy products except SMP, in which it increases its exports by 5 percent. E.U.
butter, cheese, and WMP exports decrease significantly because of the elimination of
export subsidies and slight increase in domestic consumption. Domestic prices of these
three products also decrease compared to the baseline, increasing domestic consumption.
E.U. SMP is more internationally competitive than other dairy products, and so E.U.
domestic SMP prices increase relative to prices for other products. The result is an
increase in E.U. production of SMP, a reduction in domestic consumption, and an
increase in E.U. SMP exports.
Butter. World butter prices increase by 39.6 percent with the removal of all distortions
(about 33.4 percent with trade-only liberalization) (Tables A.33 and A.34). World total
butter trade increases by 8.7 percent with the removal of all distortions (6.0 percent with
trade-only liberalization). E.U. net exports decrease dramatically, by 96.4 percent (107 tmt)
with some trade reversals occurring between 2003 and 2007. Trade-only liberalization also
induces a sharp drop in exports (44.9 percent) due to the elimination of export subsidies.
The Doha Round of the WTO: Appraising Further Liberalization of Agricultural Markets / 25
The United States and Canada increase their imports of butter. U.S. and Canadian imports
increase by 8.7 percent (47.8 tmt) and 2,033 percent (41.7 tmt) respectively, because of the
removal of tariffs and domestic support. Trade-only liberalization induces the largest impact
on these imports. Canadian butter imports increase as well, because of the removal of butter
support prices, while U.S. net trade increases because of the elimination of CCC stocks and
decreased domestic prices.
With the removal of all distortions, Argentina, Australia, and New Zealand
increase their net exports of butter by 128.8 percent, 27.6 percent, and 9.1 percent,
respectively. Most of the increase comes from trade liberalization (101 percent, 24.5
percent, and 6 percent, respectively), as these exporters take advantage of increased
import demand from countries where high tariffs were in place. The removal of all
distortions causes a sharp drop in E.U. butter exports and further expands trading
opportunities for other exporters.
With trade liberalization, South Korean and Indonesian butter imports increase by
565 percent and 15 percent, respectively, because of the elimination of import tariffs.
With the removal of all distortions, these imports decrease slightly because of higher
world butter prices. Japanese imports increase under both scenarios, by 15 tmt in the
removal of all distortions and by 13 tmt under trade-only liberalization. The major impact
is explained by the elimination of both import tariffs and support provided through
domestic milk marketing quotas, which accounts for the larger import penetration under
the full liberalization scenario.
India becomes a net exporter in both scenarios—a trade pattern reversal, from about
20 tmt annual net imports in the baseline to 54 tmt net exports in the full liberalization
scenario and about 17 tmt net exports for trade-only liberalization. This trend decreases
over time with the largest changes occurring in the early years. The pattern is caused by
higher world prices, decreased domestic consumption, and the European Union’s
diminished presence in the full liberalization scenario.
Under both scenarios, E.U. and U.S. butter consumers benefit from lower prices
(down 6 percent and 21 percent respectively in the main scenario) while consumers in net
exporting countries such as Australia and New Zealand are penalized by higher prices (up
27 percent in the full liberalization scenario).
26 / FAPRI Staff
Cheese. World cheese prices increase about 22 percent with full removal of trade
distortions and by 28 percent with trade-only liberalization (Tables A.35 and A.36).
World cheese trade increases 5.6 percent in the full liberalization scenario but decreases
4.7 percent in the trade-only liberalization scenario. Total trade starts to grow in 2010
under the trade-only liberalization scenario.
With trade liberalization, U.S. imports of cheese decrease by 65 percent because
of increases in world and domestic prices, which reduce domestic consumption. This
pattern is less pronounced in the full liberalization scenario, but cheese imports still
decrease. While this model result is possible under all the assumptions of this
analysis, it does not represent a consensus view on what would happen to U.S. cheese
markets under full market liberalization. Issues include policy and market responses
in the European Union and the substitutability of domestic and imported cheeses in
the United States.
With trade-only liberalization, the European Union decreases net exports by 59
percent, although it continues to be a major cheese exporter. In the trade-only
liberalization scenario, fixed milk production quotas and lower E.U. cheese prices but
fixed producer support prices for butter and SMP result in reduced E.U. cheese
production and higher E.U. cheese consumption. However, with the full removal of all
distortions, E.U. net exports decrease much less, by only 40 percent, as the European
Union uses more milk for cheese because of the elimination of intervention buying for
butter and SMP.
Exports from Eastern Europe increase for Romania, the Slovak Republic, and the
Czech Republic, while Poland’s exports decrease. The quality of dairy products in these
countries has improved, including in Poland. Hence, these predictions are tentative.
Canadian and Japanese net imports increase by 64 tmt and 11 tmt respectively in the full
liberalization scenario, because of the elimination of import tariffs. With the full removal
of all distortions, Argentina and Australia increase their exports by 258 and 13 percent
respectively because of the decreased domestic consumptions.
New Zealand exports increase by only 3 percent. Finally, the European Union cheese
price decreases by 10 percent, while U.S., Australian, and New Zealand prices increase
by about 4 percent, 13 percent, and 13 percent, respectively.
The Doha Round of the WTO: Appraising Further Liberalization of Agricultural Markets / 27
Nonfat Dry Milk. World SMP prices increase about 30 percent in the full liberaliza-
tion scenario and by 28 percent with trade-only liberalization (Tables A.37 and A.38).
World total SMP trade increases by 6 percent in the full liberalization scenario and by 12
percent with trade-only liberalization. The main source of the difference is the lower level
of E.U. exports in the full liberalization scenario, as the elimination of intervention results
in lower E.U. production and exports.
With the removal of all distortions, exports increase in Argentina (32 percent),
Australia (29 percent), New Zealand (16 percent), and the United States (62 percent).
Under trade-only liberalization, exports increase in Argentina (24 percent), Australia (26
percent), New Zealand (8 percent), and India (13 percent). Exports increase in the
European Union and the United States by 4 percent and 48 percent, respectively.
With the additional elimination of intervention, E.U. net exports disappear. The
difference in outcomes in the European Union is striking. Without domestic support and
despite higher world prices, the Europen Union becomes a marginal exporter of SMP.
Under both scenarios, Canada becomes a net importer, with import levels of about 46 tmt
in the full liberalization scenario and 30 tmt in the trade-only liberalization scenario. Brazil
decreases its net imports under trade-only liberalization by 76 percent and even becomes a
marginal exporter with the removal of all distortions. Imports in South Korea and Indonesia
increase under both scenarios (21 tmt and 14.8 tmt respectively in the full liberalization
scenario), because of the elimination of import tariffs offsetting higher world SMP prices.
Domestic prices of SMP increase in the European Union (6 percent), Australia (28
percent), and New Zealand (28 percent) in the full liberalization scenario and by comparable
magnitudes in the trade-only liberalization scenario (6.6 percent, 16.2 percent, and 16.2 percent,
respectively).
Whole Milk Powder. With the removal of all distortions, world WMP prices increase
by about 26 percent above baseline levels under both scenarios. World total WMP trade
increases by 6 percent with the full removal of all distortions while with trade-only
liberalization, aggregate WMP trade increases by 4 percent (Tables A.39 and A.40).
Under the full liberalization scenario, exports increase in Argentina (16 percent),
Australia (14 percent), and New Zealand (3 percent). Trade-only liberalization provides
comparable export outcomes.
28 / FAPRI Staff
E.U. exports decrease by 13 percent with the removal of all distortions because of
the elimination of export subsidies and intervention support for butter and SMP and other
domestic programs. China becomes a net exporter of WMP. Its 37 tmt of net imports in
the baseline become 126 tmt of net exports under full liberalization and 34 tmt of net
exports under trade-only liberalization. This obviously is a large number compared to
current levels. Future development of the Chinese dairy industry and trade negotiations
will help assess this conjecture on expansion.
The E.U. WMP price decreases by 7 percent, while Australian and New Zealand
prices increase 12 percent and 29 percent respectively under the full liberalization
scenario. Trade-only liberalization brings comparable price changes.
Livestock Markets
In livestock markets, higher prices result from both scenarios, as tariff elimination
results in an expansion in demand. Price impacts are smaller under the full liberalization
scenario than under the trade-only liberalization scenario, as the lower feed prices in the
full liberalization scenario reduce livestock production costs, stimulating livestock
production. In the full liberalization scenario, the removal of beef intervention stocks in
the European Union further limits potential livestock price increases in the short run.
Some of the beef stock ends up in the export market, increasing the excess supply of beef.
Consequently, the world beef price decreases in 2002 by 1.6 percent. This triggers a beef
price path that reflects the cycles inherent in this sector.
World trade levels in both scenarios are higher than baseline levels. Over the 2002–
2011 period, trade in all three meats increases; pork has the largest increase, at 28.4
percent, followed by poultry at 18.9 percent, and beef at 9.1 percent in the main scenario.
Average trade levels in the trade-only liberalization scenario are almost identical,
suggesting that the trade impacts of domestic programs on the meat sector are small.
Traditional exporters such as Argentina, Brazil, and the United States increase meat
exports because of higher world prices. In the full liberalization scenario, E.U. exports
increase slightly in 2002 as beef intervention stock is released to the export market.
Thereafter, E.U. exports decline by around 500 tmt annually as support both in the beef
and dairy sectors is terminated. Removing border distortions results in lower domestic
prices in most high-cost exporting countries, leading to a reduction in domestic
The Doha Round of the WTO: Appraising Further Liberalization of Agricultural Markets / 29
production and an increase in domestic consumption of meat products. Importing
countries (Japan, Korea, and the Philippines) increase their demand for meat products as
domestic production declines, while consumption increases with the decrease in domestic
prices resulting from the removal of border distortions. Some importing countries (e.g.,
Mexico and Hong Kong) with already low duties reduce their meat imports, as the
increase in world prices more than offsets the reduction of their duties.
In the full liberalization scenario, the average annual increase in the Nebraska fed
steer price is 3.8 percent, with the largest increases occurring in the early years of the
baseline because of high excess demand together with lower excess supply. In the
following years, buildup of inventory caused by the price increases eventually pushes
the beef price down below baseline levels in 2007–09. The beef price rises again and
ends at 2.8 percent above the reference level in 2011. In the trade-only liberalization
scenario, the same patterns emerge, although slightly more pronounced. The pork price
increases relative to the baseline throughout the simulation period, with an average
annual increase of 10.3 percent. The broiler price (U.S. 12-city price) also increases
throughout the simulation period, with an average annual increase of 7.46 percent
above baseline levels.
Beef. U.S. beef sector exports increase by 626 tmt (average annual increase above
baseline) (Tables A.41 and A.42). Other big “winners” are Argentina, with an expansion
of 40.3 percent (135 tmt) and Australia, whose exports increase 9.5 percent (138 tmt). In
the trade-only liberalization scenario, the export winners in the beef market remain the
same, but the magnitudes of the export expansion differ, with Argentina at 35.0 percent,
Australia at 7.9 percent, Brazil at 7.2 percent, and New Zealand at 4.4 percent. Except for
the first year (2002), the U.S. is a net exporter throughout the simulation period, reaching
a peak of 743 tmt in 2009.
The European Union loses significant market share, with a reversal of trade
pattern from exporter to major importer starting in 2004. The average annual increase
in E.U. net imports is 467 tmt above baseline levels. Under the trade-only
liberalization scenario, E.U. net exports decline on average by 55.5 percent; however,
no trade reversal occurs because only duties on imports and subsidized exports are
eliminated but domestic support remains in place for beef and dairy sectors. Without
30 / FAPRI Staff
the current large government payments, E.U. beef production falls more dramatically
in the full liberalization scenario. A significant number of beef cattle come from the
dairy sector.
Under the full liberalization scenario, China increases its imports of beef by 165 tmt
on average over the projection period. Japan and the Philippines increase imports of beef
as their respective 39 percent and 40 to 44 percent duties are removed. Japan’s imports
increase by 20 percent (21 percent for the trade-only liberalization scenario) and the
Philippines’ imports increase by 72 percent (74 percent in the trade-only liberalization
scenario). Mexico’s beef imports decline by 18 percent in the full liberalization scenario
(15 percent in the trade-only liberalizationscenario) because its beef sector is already
liberalized in the baseline and it faces a higher world beef price. The tariff-only scenario
induces higher beef prices and higher feed prices.
Pork. Under the full liberalization scenario, aggregate exports of pork increase by 28
percent. Brazil, Canada, and the United States gain market shares in this sector, as their
respective net exports increase by 61 percent, 41 percent, and 188 percent (Tables A.43
and A.44). With its very large domestic swine-pork sector, China increases its imports
significantly with removal of a modest import duty (average annual increase of 311 tmt
above baseline). This tendency is accentuated under the trade-only liberalization scenario
because feed prices are higher. Chinese pork imports reach 725 tmt in 2011 in the latter
scenario compared to 229 tmt in the baseline.
Removal of safeguard provisions limiting Japan’s pork imports results in a 26
percent increase in pork imports relative to the baseline under both scenarios. With the
removal of high tariffs, South Korea increases its imports by 77 percent above baseline
levels. Mexico’s imports decline by 11 percent as it faces higher world pork prices.
Poultry. The United States, Brazil, and Thailand make significant gains in the export
market in both scenarios. Their net exports increase by 25 percent, 24 percent, and 42
percent respectively in the full liberalization scenario (Tables A.45 and A.46). Similar
figures emerge for the trade-only scenario.
The removal of duties and subsidization results in a decline of 47 percent in net
exports from the European Union. Net exports relative to the baseline drop to 459 tmt in
2011 in the full liberalization scenario.
The Doha Round of the WTO: Appraising Further Liberalization of Agricultural Markets / 31
The removal of prohibitive duties on imports outside the NAFTA TRQ turns Canada
into a large net importer of poultry; it reaches 298 tmt in 2011 compared to 25 tmt in the
baseline. Japan’s broiler imports decline by 12 percent under both scenarios, as the
removal of its already low duties is offset by the rise in the world poultry price. Also,
much higher duties are removed in beef and pork, causing a drop in their relative prices
and hence a decrease in poultry consumption. The removal of a 45 percent duty in the
Philippines increases its imports, with totals reaching 216 tmt in the full liberalization
scenario in 2011 compared to 86 tmt in the baseline.
Conclusions
Terms-of-trade effects are quite substantial but heterogeneous, with big and small
changes. Most world prices increase under both scenarios, except for oilseed meals.
Dairy prices exhibit the highest increases, followed by those in the meat and crops
categories. A striking pattern is that the removal of domestic farm programs in aggregate
does not have much impact on world prices with the exception of butter and cotton under
free trade. Therefore, the contention that domestic farm programs depress world prices
should be qualified carefully in light of this important result (much of which is due to the
effect of set-aside on E.U. grain production).
Trade flows are significantly affected by both domestic and trade distortions.
Domestic distortions have the strongest effects in dairy markets, in which protection and
production subsidies are substantial in many countries. Other markets are also affected.
Immense changes in trade occur in highly protected markets such as oilseed and oil
markets in India and meat markets in the Philippines, resulting in big gains for
consumers.
Significant production expansions occur in countries that are natural exporters, such
as Brazil, Argentina, Australia, and other countries competing with the United States on
world markets. Under both scenarios, there is a shift from feed-grain trade to feedintensive, value-added product trade and to increased feed use among traditional meat
exporters. Under both scenarios, the United States emerges as a major winner in terms of
meat export markets. The removal of domestic programs mitigates the feed price increase
brought about by trade liberalization alone and provides an additional stimulus to
32 / FAPRI Staff
livestock and poultry production. In addition to the United States, Argentina, Brazil,
Canada, and Thailand expand their meat and/or poultry product and exports significantly.
Net trade of all dairy products increases under both scenarios except for cheese under
the trade-only liberalization scenario. Argentina, Australia, and New Zealand expand
exports. E.U. exports of all dairy products decrease drastically under the full removal of
all distortions. The United States reduces its imports of cheese significantly under trade
liberalization and increases its exports of SMP. Canada becomes a net importer of all
dairy products under both scenarios because of the increased consumption and decreased
milk production. Dairy producers in the European Union, Canada, and, to some extent,
the United States lose from the removal of domestic programs.
Given the computed impacts in our full liberalization scenario modeling exercise,
the U.S. livestock sector gains, as livestock prices increase (by 3.2 percent in beef, 10.3
percent in pork, and 7.5 percent in poultry) more than do feed prices (5.7 percent in
corn and 3.8 percent in soymeal). Expansion in production by 4 to 5 percent in response
to favorable prices also contributes to livestock revenue expansion. The dairy sector
also gains as the increase in world dairy product prices (at 39.5 percent in butter, 22.3
percent in cheese, 30.5 percent in nonfat dry milk, and 25.6 percent in WMP) mutes the
impact of the removal of the milk support price in the United States. The milk price
increases slightly while milk production remains almost unchanged. The higher value
of beef products coming from the dairy sector also contributes to the sector’s favorable
revenue effect. On the crop side, though, the modest price increases are not enough to
offset lost payments for most producers. The share of combined PFC and LDP
payments to revenue varies across crops, from a low 2 percent share in oats, a 6 to 10
percent share for most of the other grains and soybeans, to a high 20 to 45 percent share
in cotton and rice. As expected, total revenue drops for wheat, corn, sorghum, barley,
peanuts, soybeans, cotton, and rice. Higher prices for wheat (up 4.7 percent), corn (up
5.7 percent), sorghum (up 6.8 percent), barley (up 6.5 percent), and oats (up 4.5
percent) and production adjustments for crops less affected by the removal of program
payments increase their revenue from marketing, thereby moderating the drop in total
gross revenue in the crop sector. A major caveat is that although the direction of these
hypothetical changes in returns and income is meaningful, their magnitudes are
The Doha Round of the WTO: Appraising Further Liberalization of Agricultural Markets / 33
inadequate for policy debate purposes since our analysis does not include the provisions
of new U.S. farm legislation.
Net agricultural consumers in low-duty countries are worse off because price
increases are substantial. Their net agricultural consumption is taxed under the new terms
of trade. However, the many consumers in highly protected net-importing countries (e.g.,
the Philippines, Japan, and Korea) are better off, as the unit cost of most food items
decreases. Under full integration of food markets and trade in these countries, consumers’
gains would be even greater. However, there remain large transaction costs between
world prices and domestic prices, created by uncompetitive practices and market
structures in importing and retailing sectors.
Finally, we want to re-emphasize the “academic” nature of our modeling exercise; it
is useful primarily in identifying issues of contention for further analysis and model
development. We are posing questions to our model—about full removal of distortions—
which are much beyond the usual scope of more modest deviations implied by limited
policy changes. Thus, in the context of information provision to negotiators and other
policymakers, this report is only a first step in a larger research effort that will require
more consultation, model adjustment, and refinement.
Endnote
1.
In the FAPRI 2002 baseline, public intervention stacks and special purchase scheme
in storage increased mostly in 2002, with another small increase in 2003 to offset the
termination of the OTMS.
References
Anderson, K., B. Dimaran, J. Francois, T. Hertel, B. Hoekman, and W. Martin. 2001. “The Cost of Rich
(and Poor) Country Protection to Developing Countries.” CIES Discussion Paper No. 136, Centre for
International Economic Studies, Adelaide, September.
Beghin J., D. Roland-Holst, and D. van der Mensbrugghe. Forthcoming. “How Will Agricultural Trade
Reforms in High-Income Countries Affect the Trading Relationships of Developing Countries?” In
Agriculture, Trade, and Poverty: Making Policy Analysis Count. Paris: Organization for Economic
Cooperation and Development Publications.
Burfisher, M.E., ed. 2001. Agricultural Policy Reform in the WTO—The Road Ahead. Washington, D.C.:
U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, Market and Trade Economics Division,
AER 802, May.
Diao, X., T. Roe, and A. Somwaru. 2002. “Developing Country Interests in Agricultural Reforms under the
World Trade Organization.” TMD Discussion Paper No 85, International Food Policy Research
Institute, Washington, D.C., January.
Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) 2002. FAPRI 2002 World Agricultural Outlook.
Ames, IA: Iowa State University and University of Missouri-Columbia, Staff Report 1-02, January.
Francois, J. 2000. “Modelling the Impact of WTO Negotiations on EU Agriculture: An Application of the
GTAP Model.” Mimeo, Erasmus University, Rotterdam, September.
Hoekman, B., and K. Anderson. 2000. “Developing Country Agriculture and the New Trade Agenda.”
Economic Development and Cultural Change 48(3, April): 171-80.
Kennedy, L., J. Dyck, L. Brink, and D. MacLaren. 2001. “Domestic Support: Issues and Options in the
Agricultural Negotiations.” IATRC Commissioned Paper No. 16, International Agricultural Trade
Research Consortium, University of Minnesota, May.
Martin, W., and A. Winters, eds. 1996. The Uruguay Round and the Developing Countries. New York:
Cambridge University Press.
Matthews, A. 2002. Les Pays en développement et les négociations de l’OMC sur la libéralisation des
échanges agricoles.” Économie Rurale 267(January-February): 5-18.
Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). 2001. Agricultural Policies in OECD
Countries: Monitoring and Evaluation 2001. Paris: OECD Publications.
Tangermann, S. 2001. “L’Accord sur l’Agriculture de l’Uruguay Round fonctionne-t-il?” Economie
Internationale 87(3): 15-44.
World Bank. 2001. Global Economic Prospects and the Developing Countries 2002. Washington, D.C.:
The World Bank, October.
36 / FAPRI Staff
World Trade Organization (WTO) 2001. Ministerial Conference, Fourth Session, Doha, Qatar, 9–14
November 2001. Ministerial Declaration, WT/MIN(01)/DEC/120. November.
———. Various. “Notification.” Various issues (G/AG/N/series). Committee on Agriculture.
http://docsonline.wto.org/ (accessed October 2002).
Appendix A
Impacts of the Full Liberalization Scenario
Tables A.1 and A.2 give selected policies in selected countries. Tables A.3 through
A.46 present the impacts of the full liberalization scenario on price, trade, production,
and consumption.
Table A.1. Agricultural Policy Assumptions for Crops
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
United States
Policy Prices
Corn Loan
Wheat Loan
Barley Loan
Rice Loan
Cotton Loan
Soybean Loan
Cane Loan
74
95
79
143
1,145
193
397
74
95
81
143
1,145
193
397
74
95
81
143
1,145
193
397
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
74
74
74
74
95
95
95
95
79
78
77
76
143
143
143
143
1,145
1,145
1,145
1,145
193
193
193
193
397
397
397
397
74
95
76
143
1,145
193
397
74
95
76
143
1,145
193
397
74
95
76
143
1,145
193
397
European Union
Policy Prices
Cereal Intervention
Rice Intervention
White Sugar Intervention
Sugar Beet Basic Price
101.3
315.9
631.9
47.7
101.3
315.9
631.9
47.7
101.3
315.9
631.9
47.7
101.3
315.9
631.9
47.7
101.3
315.9
631.9
47.7
101.3
315.9
631.9
47.7
101.3
315.9
631.9
47.7
101.3
315.9
631.9
47.7
63.0
63.0
63.0
63.0
63.0
63.0
63.0
63.0
14,438
10,843
14,438
10,843
14,438
10,843
(Thousand Metric Tons)
14,438
14,438
14,438
14,438
10,843
10,843
10,843
10,843
14,438
10,843
14,438
10,843
14,438
10,843
63.0
63.0
63.0
63.0
63.0
63.0
63.0
63.0
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
5,850
3,990
8,468
2,518
878
2,400
6,525
4,655
9,052
2,818
1,019
2,600
7,200
5,320
9,636
3,118
1,127
2,700
7,200
5,320
9,636
3,587
1,243
3,168
7,200
5,320
9,636
3,587
1,243
3,168
7,200
5,320
9,636
3,587
1,243
3,168
7,200
5,320
9,636
3,587
1,243
3,168
1
77
1
74
1
71
1
68
1
68
1
68
1
68
1
68
Wheat - in quota
Wheat - out quota
1
77
1
74
1
71
1
68
1
68
1
68
1
68
1
68
1
68
1
68
Rice - in quota
Rice - out quota
1
77
1
74
1
71
1
68
1
68
1
68
1
68
1
68
1
68
1
68
Barley
15
13
12
10
9
9
9
9
9
9
Soybean Oil - in quota
Soybean Oil - out quota
9
52
9
52
9
52
9
52
9
52
9
52
9
52
9
52
9
52
9
52
Rapeseed Oil - in quota
Rapeseed Oil - out quota
9
52
9
52
9
52
9
52
9
52
9
52
9
52
9
52
9
52
9
52
Palm Oil - in quota
Palm Oil - out quota
9
52
9
52
9
52
9
52
9
52
9
52
9
52
9
52
9
52
9
52
Cereals Compensatory Payment
Subsidized Export Limits
Wheat
Coarse Grains
Production Aid
Oilseeds
Set-aside Rate *
Crops
China
Tariff Rate Quotas
Corn
Rice
Wheat
Soybean Oil
Rapeseed Oil
Palm Oil
Tariffs
Corn - in quota
Corn - out quota
06/07
07/08
(Euro per Metric Ton)
101.3
101.3
315.9
315.9
631.9
631.9
47.7
47.7
63.0
63.0
(Euro per Ton)
63.0
63.0
(Percent)
10
10
(Thousand Metric Tons)
7,200
7,200
7,200
5,320
5,320
5,320
9,636
9,636
9,636
3,587
3,587
3,587
1,243
1,243
1,243
3,168
3,168
3,168
Sources: major sources are OECD 2001, and WTO various.
(Percent ad valorem)
1
1
68
68
Table A.2. Agricultural Policy Assumptions for Livestock and Dairy Products
2002
2003
2004
2005
2008
2009
2010
2011
1,560
1,510
1,560
1,510
1,560
1,510
1,560
1,510
1,560
1,510
1,560
1,510
1,560
1,510
1,560
1,510
Tariff Rate Quota
Beef
Pork
Poultry
144
76
30
144
76
30
144
76
30
(Thousand Metric Tons)
144
144
144
76
76
76
30
30
30
144
76
30
144
76
30
144
76
30
144
76
30
GATT Maximum
Subsidized Exports
Beef
Pork
Poultry
822
444
286
822
444
286
822
444
286
822
444
286
822
444
286
822
444
286
822
444
286
822
444
286
822
444
286
Milk Delivery Quota: E-15
119
119
119
119
(Million Metric Tons)
120
120
120
120
120
120
310
3,282
2,055
310
3,282
2,055
310
3,282
2,055
301
3,118
1,952
(Euro per Metric Ton)
284
266
2,954
2,790
1,850
1,747
257
2,790
1,747
257
2,790
1,747
257
2,790
1,747
257
2,790
1,747
399
273
321
958
399
273
321
958
399
273
321
958
399
273
321
958
399
273
321
958
399
273
321
958
399
273
321
958
Japan
Beef
Pork
Poultry
39
4
9
39
4
9
39
4
9
39
4
9
39
4
9
39
4
9
39
4
9
39
4
9
China
Beef
Pork
Poultry
Lamb-Mutton
Egg
34
17
17
20
23
23
15
13
18
22
12
12
10
15
20
12
12
10
15
20
12
12
10
15
20
12
12
10
15
20
12
12
10
15
20
12
12
10
15
20
12
12
10
15
20
12
12
10
15
20
South Korea
Beef
Pork
Broiler
41
25
20
41
25
20
40
25
20
40
25
20
40
25
20
40
25
20
40
25
20
40
25
20
40
25
20
40
25
20
Philippines
Beef
Pork
Poultry
44
30
45
42
30
45
40
30
45
40
30
45
40
30
45
40
30
45
40
30
45
40
30
45
40
30
45
40
30
45
European Union
Policy Prices
Safety Net Intervention
Pork Basic
Target Price for Milk
Intervention Price for Butter
Intervention Price for SMP
GATT Maximum
Subsidized Exports
Butter
SMP
Cheese
Other Milk Products
2006
2007
(Euro per Metric Ton)
1,560
1,510
822
444
286
1,560
1,510
(Thousand Metric Tons)
399
399
399
273
273
273
321
321
321
958
958
958
Import Tariffs
Sources: major sources are OECD 2001, and WTO various.
(Percent ad valorem)
39
39
4
4
9
9
Table A.3. Wh
heat Price and Trade
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
130.98
3.8
2.90%
133.09
5.5
4.16%
137.41
6.1
4.45%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
89,345
5,445.0
6.09%
91,166
9,539.8
10.46%
ountries
Exports of Selected Cou
Argentina
13,619
Baseline
16.4
Change
0.12%
% chg
Australia
Baseline
Change
% chg
Canada
Baseline
Change
% chg
08/09
09/10
10/11
138.10
7.4
5.39%
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
142.66
144.79
148.05
6.2
7.7
6.9
4.32%
5.34%
4.63%
150.12
8.1
5.37%
154.39
7.9
5.12%
156.22
9.3
5.97%
6.89
4.77%
94,140
8,918.7
9.47%
97,724
8,257.8
8.45%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
100,537 103,208
105,882
8,273.9
8,149.0
8,159.7
8.23%
7.90%
7.71%
108,856
7,995.8
7.35%
112,441
7,913.4
7.04%
115,312
7,634.3
6.62%
8,028.73
7.93%
14,507
84.4
0.58%
15,048
275.3
1.83%
15,608
230.7
1.48%
15,937
328.1
2.06%
16,503
241.9
1.47%
16,903
353.7
2.09%
17,400
293.4
1.69%
17,808
372.7
2.09%
18,354
351.3
1.91%
254.80
1.53%
16,743
47.6
0.28%
16,812
2.0
0.01%
17,108
92.1
0.54%
17,528
79.3
0.45%
17,954
94.0
0.52%
18,342
78.9
0.43%
18,703
96.0
0.51%
19,103
86.6
0.45%
19,518
94.8
0.49%
19,954
91.1
0.46%
76.25
0.41%
17,595
122.6
0.70%
17,645
213.1
1.21%
17,968
239.7
1.33%
18,135
303.9
1.68%
18,348
262.6
1.43%
18,490
290.2
1.57%
18,663
253.4
1.36%
18,753
284.4
1.52%
18,854
286.1
1.52%
18,906
338.3
1.79%
259.43
1.41%
11,525
5,225.0
45.34%
12,727
6,769.1
53.19%
13,691
5,925.6
43.28%
15,749
5,773.6
36.66%
16,586
6,383.0
38.49%
17,574
6,517.9
37.09%
18,478
6,912.3
37.41%
19,944
6,947.6
34.84%
21,519
7,055.4
32.79%
22,756
6,924.1
30.43%
6,443.37
38.95%
Hungary
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,035
18.6
0.91%
2,006
78.2
3.90%
1,991
64.4
3.23%
2,013
40.8
2.03%
2,041
33.5
1.64%
2,072
21.5
1.04%
2,099
12.0
0.57%
2,126
5.8
0.27%
2,157
8.3
0.38%
2,189
11.2
0.51%
29.43
1.45%
Russia
Baseline
Change
% chg
763
70.5
9.25%
695
-22.9
-3.30%
964
116.5
12.08%
990
69.0
6.97%
1,184
19.3
1.63%
1,291
-13.3
-1.03%
1,451
-18.2
-1.26%
1,527
11.9
0.78%
1,693
57.6
3.40%
1,742
140.3
8.05%
43.06
3.66%
Ukraine
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,570
-98.8
-3.84%
2,551
-88.4
-3.46%
2,822
-91.6
-3.24%
3,019
-127.6
-4.23%
3,120
-129.6
-4.15%
3,191
-144.2
-4.52%
3,242
-149.7
-4.62%
3,282
-152.6
-4.65%
3,376
-142.2
-4.21%
3,479
-262.6
-7.55%
-138.71
-4.45%
United States
Baseline
Change
% chg
23,840
139.8
0.59%
23,613
2,573.6
10.90%
23,983
2,340.1
9.76%
24,122
1,922.4
7.97%
24,830
1,317.5
5.31%
25,226
1,190.8
4.72%
25,843
742.5
2.87%
26,241
557.4
2.12%
27,041
214.9
0.79%
27,472
68.8
0.25%
1,106.78
4.53%
untries
Imports of Selected Cou
Japan
5,326
Baseline
-58.8
Change
-1.10%
% chg
5,327
-37.5
-0.70%
5,326
-67.4
-1.27%
5,323
-65.8
-1.24%
5,319
-73.4
-1.38%
5,313
-74.7
-1.41%
5,305
-77.1
-1.45%
5,295
-78.5
-1.48%
5,283
-82.4
-1.56%
5,268
-86.1
-1.63%
-70.17
-1.32%
European Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
06/07
07/08
11/12 Average
China
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,343
-54.9
-4.09%
2,303
-343.9
-14.93%
4,478
-590.9
-13.20%
5,336
-701.9
-13.16%
5,700
-585.9
-10.28%
5,465
-523.9
-9.59%
5,413
-420.8
-7.77%
5,084
-345.2
-6.79%
5,851
-217.8
-3.72%
5,340
-164.1
-3.07%
-394.95
-8.66%
India
Baseline
Change
% chg
-3,093
2,484.2
-80.31%
-2,724
4,782.1
-175.5%
-2,449
4,736.9
-193.5%
-2,245
4,406.8
-196.3%
-1,531
4,183.4
-273.3%
-1,087
4,019.5
-369.7%
-513
3,788.8
-739.2%
122
3,618.1
2953.7%
707
3,385.8
479.1%
1,295
3,161.7
244.10%
3,856.73
164.90%
Table A.4. Wh
heat Production and Consumption
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12 Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
Argentina
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
17,512
0.0
0.00%
18,311
53.0
0.29%
18,809
234.4
1.25%
19,365
182.5
0.94%
19,696
283.8
1.44%
20,270
194.9
0.96%
20,678
307.8
1.49%
21,184
241.1
1.14%
21,591
315.2
1.46%
22,141
283.1
1.28%
209.57
1.02%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
3,950
-5.8
-0.15%
3,820
-25.0
-0.65%
3,775
-38.5
-1.02%
3,762
-44.2
-1.17%
3,773
-47.3
-1.25%
3,776
-42.9
-1.14%
3,786
-47.9
-1.26%
3,792
-49.0
-1.29%
3,797
-57.6
-1.52%
3,795
-64.1
-1.69%
-42.24
-1.12%
Canada
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
25,745
0.0
0.00%
26,338
119.0
0.45%
26,933
282.4
1.05%
27,402
335.7
1.23%
27,535
432.2
1.57%
27,862
386.0
1.39%
28,068
440.8
1.57%
28,323
402.8
1.42%
28,491
442.2
1.55%
28,823
435.5
1.51%
327.67
1.17%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
8,359
7.9
0.09%
8,547
-0.2
0.00%
8,710
60.1
0.69%
8,949
66.2
0.74%
9,098
117.8
1.29%
9,250
128.6
1.39%
9,337
159.6
1.71%
9,480
150.9
1.59%
9,630
155.9
1.62%
9,828
142.1
1.45%
98.88
1.06%
105,143
6,250.3
5.94%
107,010
6,856.1
6.41%
108,194
5,505.9
5.09%
109,563
5,154.8
4.70%
111,227
4,934.2
4.44%
112,780
4,624.2
4.10%
114,131
4,310.8
3.78%
115,434
4,158.0
3.60%
117,126
3,896.5
3.33%
118,560
3,741.5
3.16%
4,943.22
4.45%
92,729
561.6
0.61%
93,049
245.8
0.26%
94,613
-429.8
-0.45%
94,341
-592.9
-0.63%
94,588
-1,257.1
-1.33%
94,758
-1,700.8
-1.79%
95,336
-2,371.3
-2.49%
95,424
-2,636.5
-2.76%
95,479
-3,034.1
-3.18%
95,579
-3,134.3
-3.28%
-1,434.96
-1.50%
China
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
105,357
0.0
0.00%
105,436
255.3
0.24%
107,919
708.9
0.66%
110,447
567.2
0.51%
111,415
617.0
0.55%
112,953
408.5
0.36%
113,467
474.9
0.42%
114,454
354.3
0.31%
115,317
373.8
0.32%
116,813
257.4
0.22%
401.73
0.36%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
113,439
-48.6
-0.04%
114,043
-257.0
-0.23%
114,464
-138.7
-0.12%
115,570
-137.5
-0.12%
116,217
39.7
0.03%
117,270
-17.2
-0.01%
118,063
70.9
0.06%
118,967
73.5
0.06%
119,530
190.2
0.16%
120,443
156.6
0.13%
-6.81
-0.01%
India
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
67,635
0.0
0.00%
68,744
-3,101.1
-4.51%
69,509
-2,968.6
-4.27%
70,876
-2,903.5
-4.10%
71,018
-2,519.5
-3.55%
71,878
-2,612.4
-3.63%
72,378
-2,292.1
-3.17%
73,062
-2,315.3
-3.17%
73,510
-2,056.4
-2.80%
74,309
-2,003.6
-2.70%
-2,277.25
-3.19%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
66,049
2,137.9
3.24%
67,193
1,740.3
2.59%
67,919
1,805.9
2.66%
69,254
1,553.4
2.24%
70,187
1,657.0
2.36%
71,415
1,454.4
2.04%
72,465
1,495.3
2.06%
73,734
1,339.8
1.82%
74,775
1,339.3
1.79%
76,095
1,195.3
1.57%
1,571.85
2.24%
United States
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
58,157
0.0
0.00%
59,107
2,976.8
5.04%
59,362
2,468.6
4.16%
60,417
1,703.5
2.82%
60,941
1,584.9
2.60%
62,007
1,061.8
1.71%
62,693
969.6
1.55%
63,706
484.4
0.76%
64,385
346.7
0.54%
65,409
-56.1
-0.09%
1,154.02
1.91%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
34,997
269.2
0.77%
35,664
-70.9
-0.20%
35,687
132.8
0.37%
36,300
-7.2
-0.02%
36,334
265.6
0.73%
36,828
34.2
0.09%
36,990
234.7
0.63%
37,502
71.4
0.19%
37,524
169.7
0.45%
37,969
18.6
0.05%
111.82
0.31%
European Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table A.5. Corrn Price and Trade
02/03
03/04
04/05
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
99
5.0
5.06%
101
2.7
2.67%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
64,307
1,380.9
2.15%
Exports of Selected Coun
untries
Argentina
Baseline
7,496
Change
41.3
% chg
0.55%
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12 Average
103
5.5
5.34%
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
104
105
107
108
5.2
6.0
6.3
6.7
5.02%
5.73%
5.85%
6.21%
110
7.1
6.45%
111
7.7
6.97%
113
8.4
7.42%
6.06
5.67%
66,829
5,947.4
8.90%
68,934
5,902.6
8.56%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
71,488
74,091
76,597
78,123
5,206.4 4,576.6 3,702.4 2,718.4
7.28%
6.18%
4.83%
3.48%
80,264
1,901
2.37%
82,067
1,771
2.16%
83,735
1,897
2.27%
3,500.32
4.82%
8,814
288.8
3.28%
9,433
142.5
1.51%
9,958
233.2
2.34%
10,431
187.8
1.80%
10,554
205.2
1.94%
10,754
227.7
2.12%
10,825
294.8
2.72%
10,929
387.0
3.54%
11,052
504.0
4.56%
251.22
2.44%
Hungary
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,112
-197.1
-9.33%
2,224
-554.2
-24.92%
2,217
-823.0
-37.12%
2,212
-973.5
-44.00%
2,196
-1,054.7
-48.02%
2,163
-1,095.8
-50.66%
2,129
-1,122.8
-52.74%
2,086
-1,119.9
-53.69%
2,056
-1,093.6
-53.18%
2,031
-1,057.0
-52.04%
-909.14
-42.57%
South Africa
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,373
165.1
12.03%
1,377
69.9
5.08%
1,524
189.9
12.46%
1,737
173.7
10.00%
1,996
216.4
10.84%
2,287
229.0
10.01%
2,541
252.9
9.96%
2,791
269.6
9.66%
3,027
297.2
9.82%
3,255
320.7
9.85%
218.44
9.97%
United States
Baseline
Change
% chg
51,856
831.5
1.60%
52,695
5,594.4
10.62%
53,973
5,678.9
10.52%
55,859
4,828.2
8.64%
57,817
4,120.0
7.13%
60,063
3,159.0
5.26%
61,285
2,132.0
3.48%
63,247
1,168
1.85%
64,781
824
1.27%
66,169
767
1.16%
2,910.37
5.15%
Imports of Selected Coun
ntries
Canada
1,918
Baseline
-60.9
Change
-3.17%
% chg
1,886
1.7
0.09%
2,056
52.9
2.57%
2,332
106.2
4.55%
2,549
154.9
6.08%
2,752
199.2
7.24%
2,867
228.6
7.97%
3,082
231.8
7.52%
3,359
223.3
6.65%
3,627
213.3
5.88%
135.10
4.54%
European Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,127
614.8
28.9%
2,176
2,513.5
115.5%
2,212
2,351.9
106.3%
2,184
2,161.2
99.0%
2,183
2,148.7
98.4%
2,149
1,967.7
91.6%
2,131
1,556.1
73.0%
2,104
1,158.3
55.1%
2,110
1,186.2
56.2%
2,114
1,539.3
72.8%
1,719.78
79.68%
Japan
Baseline
Change
% chg
15,162
630.3
4.16%
15,183
503.7
3.32%
15,040
249.6
1.66%
15,026
152.9
1.02%
15,076
91.4
0.61%
15,196
108.0
0.71%
15,271
118.8
0.78%
15,301
115.3
0.75%
15,284
63.6
0.42%
15,315
3.6
0.02%
203.71
1.34%
Brazil
Baseline
Change
% chg
-1,605
-280.2
17.46%
-1,383
-94.0
6.80%
-1,331
-86.7
6.52%
-1,184
-154.2
13.03%
-1,033
-150.6
14.57%
-926
-196.7
21.24%
-667
-176.7
26.5%
-581
-213.3
36.72%
-419
-233.8
55.76%
-383
-275.5
71.95%
-186.17
27.05%
Mexico
Baseline
Change
% chg
5,652
1,118.4
19.79%
5,658
2,207.0
39.01%
5,780
1,869.7
32.35%
5,950
1,471.2
24.73%
6,087
1,082.7
17.79%
6,263
688.9
11.00%
6,461
302.9
4.69%
6,707
79.3
1.18%
6,911
91.8
1.33%
7,153
89.7
1.25%
900.14
15.31%
China
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,105
-313.8
-28.4%
2,474
1,469.1
59.38%
3,317
2,283.1
68.83%
4,125
2,418.7
58.64%
5,574
2,384.1
42.77%
6,627
2,283.2
34.5%
6,708
2,185.9
32.59%
7,171
2,175.3
30.33%
7,278
2,220.8
30.51%
7,462
2,252.3
30.18%
1,935.86
35.93%
Taiwan
Baseline
Change
% chg
4,748
-145.8
-3.07%
4,811
-48.1
-1.00%
4,791
-133.5
-2.79%
4,803
-116.2
-2.42%
4,837
-144.8
-2.99%
4,900
-169.9
-3.47%
4,969
-204.4
-4.11%
5,000
-229.3
-4.59%
5,017
-240.0
-4.78%
5,036
-240.6
-4.78%
-167.26
-3.40%
Table A.6. Corrn Production and Consumption
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12 Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
Argentina
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
11,770
-15.9
-0.13%
13,086
272.2
2.08%
13,775
172.1
1.25%
14,388
351.6
2.44%
14,957
387.7
2.59%
15,168
468.2
3.09%
15,457
515.5
3.34%
15,582
570.6
3.66%
15,728
623.7
3.97%
15,879
693.9
4.37%
403.96
2.66%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
4,329
-32.3
-0.75%
4,305
-20.6
-0.48%
4,358
42.3
0.97%
4,442
120.9
2.72%
4,539
204.9
4.51%
4,629
265.7
5.74%
4,711
290.9
6.17%
4,769
278.7
5.84%
4,811
241.0
5.01%
4,840
194.4
4.02%
158.57
3.38%
Hungary
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
7,571
0.0
0.00%
7,735
-464.0
-6.00%
7,804
-763.0
-9.78%
7,817
-871.8
-11.15%
7,823
-935.1
-11.95%
7,824
-951.3
-12.16%
7,828
-956.3
-12.22%
7,831
-944.0
-12.05%
7,841
-929.0
-11.85%
7,849
-908.2
-11.57%
-772.27
-9.87%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
5,321
106.5
2.00%
5,452
62.2
1.14%
5,554
64.1
1.15%
5,589
104.0
1.86%
5,616
124.0
2.21%
5,653
147.8
2.61%
5,692
170.3
2.99%
5,740
179.0
3.12%
5,779
167.8
2.90%
5,813
151.9
2.61%
127.76
2.26%
Mexico
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
18,860
0.0
0.00%
19,374
-1,335.3
-6.89%
19,739
-1,196.7
-6.06%
20,029
-930.8
-4.65%
20,340
-691.8
-3.40%
20,674
-425.2
-2.06%
21,019
-158.3
-0.75%
21,313
120.1
0.56%
21,660
128.3
0.59%
21,981
141.9
0.65%
-434.78
-2.20%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
24,560
922.0
3.75%
25,038
896.2
3.58%
25,508
720.0
2.82%
25,971
577.1
2.22%
26,423
429.5
1.63%
26,935
299.4
1.11%
27,468
179.8
0.65%
28,016
200.1
0.71%
28,563
221.6
0.78%
29,129
233.0
0.80%
467.88
1.81%
European Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
39,183
1,698.6
4.33%
40,200
-1,367.7
-3.40%
40,353
-1,289.5
-3.20%
40,567
-1,801.5
-4.44%
40,878
-1,841.1
-4.50%
41,652
-2,291.5
-5.50%
41,930
-2,144.6
-5.11%
42,167
-2,172.3
-5.15%
42,364
-2,018.1
-4.76%
42,959
-2,326.5
-5.42%
-1,555.42
-3.72%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
41,351
1,857.7
4.49%
42,085
1,271.0
3.02%
42,505
1,031.2
2.43%
42,859
448.4
1.05%
42,856
324.2
0.76%
43,396
-205.7
-0.47%
43,774
-517.4
-1.18%
44,184
-917.4
-2.08%
44,231
-843.9
-1.91%
44,325
-789.9
-1.78%
165.81
0.43%
China
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
119,443
0.0
0.00%
122,440
-571.4
-0.47%
124,984
-1,614.1
-1.29%
129,403
-1,637.0
-1.27%
131,434
-1,810.0
-1.38%
133,640
-1,657.5
-1.24%
136,490
-1,704.2
-1.25%
138,636
-1,541.8
-1.11%
141,102
-1,647.6
-1.17%
143,410
-1,627.0
-1.13%
-1,381.06
-1.03%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
126,464
-404.6
-0.32%
129,060
759.3
0.59%
131,772
671.5
0.51%
134,420
761.9
0.57%
137,372
576.5
0.42%
140,101
635.8
0.45%
143,028
500.7
0.35%
145,718
619.0
0.42%
148,301
562.9
0.38%
150,769
625.3
0.41%
530.82
0.38%
United States
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
250,384
0.0
0.00%
256,021
13,500.6
5.27%
261,505 265,741
9,147.1 10,285.2
3.50%
3.87%
270,455
8,630.3
3.19%
275,225
8,428.3
3.06%
280,369
7,156.0
2.55%
284,217
6,471.3
2.28%
289,264
5,725.6
1.98%
292,933
5,843.1
1.99%
7,518.74
2.77%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
201,851
1,766.3
0.88%
204,158
5,616.2
2.75%
207,492
4,594.2
2.21%
212,785
4,947.1
2.32%
215,397
5,392.2
2.50%
218,875
5,351.9
2.45%
221,254
5,524.9
2.50%
224,502
5,224.3
2.33%
227,044
5,270.6
2.32%
4,903.72
2.28%
209,939
5,349.6
2.55%
Table A.7. Ric
ce Price and Trade
02/03
03/04
04/05
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
180.64
13.3
7.38%
185.84
20.5
11.01%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
19,307
4,672.6
24.20%
ountries
Exports of Selected Cou
China
Baseline
1,493
Change
3,510.1
% chg
235.03%
India
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,999
607.0
30.37%
05/06
06/07
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
191.30
19.1
9.98%
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
196.88
202.25
207.69
213.35
21.8
20.6
22.7
22.4
11.09% 10.19% 10.94% 10.49%
219.10
23.5
10.71%
225.17
23.5
10.46%
231.57
25.3
10.91%
21.27
10.32%
18,526
5,567.4
30.05%
18,620
5,567.8
29.90%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
19,010
19,437
19,974
20,585
5,843.5 5,850.1 6,039.7 6,028.0
30.74% 30.10% 30.24% 29.28%
21,658
6,196.3
28.61%
22,525
6,325.8
28.08%
23,849
6,489.7
27.21%
5,858.08
28.84%
1,348
5,340.9
396%
1,303
4,689.8
360.0%
1,339
5,508.6
411.5%
1,463
5,176.7
353.7%
1,815
5,448.5
300%
2,183
5,588.0
255.94%
2,699
5,858.3
217.0%
5,175.77
330.69%
1,331
1,064
1,073
1,052
1,204
1,355
1,419.3
1,752.8 1,343.4 1,480.7 1,392.1 1,545.7
106.65% 164.71% 125.15% 140.78% 115.61% 114.08%
1,657
1,403.4
84.71%
1,709
1,339.7
78.40%
2,027
1,180.4
58.2%
1,346.45
101.87%
1,387
5,178.6
373.4%
07/08
1,352
5,458.2
403.7%
Average
Myanmar (Burma)
Baseline
Change
% chg
756
0.0
0.00%
751
28.5
3.80%
755
55.4
7.34%
762
65.1
8.55%
770
75.5
9.81%
780
78.5
10.07%
790
83.4
10.55%
801
84.2
10.52%
814
85.4
10.49%
829
84.7
10.2%
64.08
8.14%
Thailand
Baseline
Change
% chg
7,226
139.0
1.92%
7,317
384.8
5.26%
7,571
611.3
8.07%
7,885
590.2
7.48%
8,136
643.1
7.90%
8,385
634.0
7.56%
8,642
672.6
7.78%
8,983
678.0
7.55%
9,315
698.5
7.50%
9,663
708.6
7.3%
576.00
6.84%
3,156
200.8
6.4%
3,117
-3,461.2
-111.1%
3,050
2,980
-3,668.4 -3,917.3
-120.3% -131.4%
2,921
-3,769.6
-129.0%
2,839
-3,791.5
-133.6%
2,753
-3,725.7
-135.3%
2,666
-3,686.1
-138.3%
2,578
-3,653.8
-141.7%
2,479
-3,636.7
-146.7%
-3,310.94
-118.10%
3,873
362.3
9.36%
3,877
882.7
22.77%
4,145
1,154.6
27.85%
4,316
1,191.9
27.62%
4,529
1,218.1
26.90%
4,659
1,247.4
26.77%
4,778
1,256.9
26.31%
4,921
1,271.5
25.84%
5,106
1,307.5
25.6%
1,098.85
24.59%
Imports of Selected Cou
ountries
Brazil
Baseline
386
Change
-119.0
% chg
-30.8%
278
-257.3
-92.5%
237
209
-310.8
-350.4
-131.3% -167.7%
190
-356.7
-187.9%
176
-374.8
-213%
166
-380.3
-230%
158
-390.9
-248%
151
-395.9
-263%
143
-413.0
-289%
-334.91
-185.29%
European Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
474
1,704.7
360%
509
2,032.0
399%
562
2,003.0
356%
569
1,975.9
347%
581
1,965.2
338%
596
1,948.5
327%
605
1,939.6
321%
619
1,927.6
311%
636
1,918.3
302%
653
1,904.3
292%
1,931.93
335%
Japan
Baseline
Change
% chg
805
534.6
66.43%
651
897.3
137.8%
575
989.8
172.2%
504
1,014.4
201.4%
437
1,025.9
234.8%
372
1,022.2
274.8%
306
1,016.8
332.7%
237
1,010.1
426.6%
160
1,006.9
630.7%
68
1,000.1
1465%
951.81
394.23%
Philippines
Baseline
Change
% chg
688
651.6
94.65%
727
765
833.0
881.5
114.59% 115.21%
803
882.5
110%
840
911.2
108%
877
921.8
105%
914
944.3
103%
950
961.7
101%
985
986.0
100%
1,020
999.6
98.0%
897.31
105.06%
64
879.2
1383.80%
41
85
1,124.9
1,157.5
2733.6% 1365.5%
135
1,154.8
855.5%
155
1,156.4
744.6%
174
1,169.2
670.1%
177
192
1,173.2 1,186.4
661.8% 616.46%
195
1,195.3
611.87%
205
1,208.2
589.6%
1,140.50
1023.28%
United States
Baseline
Change
% chg
Vietnam
Baseline
Change
% chg
South Korea
Baseline
Change
% chg
4,075
1,095.5
26.88%
Table A.8. Ric
ce Production and Consumption
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
China
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
130,044
1,281.3
0.99%
131,879
2,060.2
1.56%
133,046
1,904.8
1.43%
134,103
2,210.3
1.65%
134,763
2,151.0
1.60%
135,350
2,276.8
1.68%
135,993
2,228.6
1.64%
136,801
2,356.5
1.72%
137,597
2,440.3
1.77%
138,444
2,565.5
1.85%
1,890.99
1.40%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
132,443
-1,698
-1.28%
131,393
-2,887
-2.20%
132,018
-2,838
-2.15%
132,734
-3,203
-2.41%
133,779
-3,121
-2.33%
134,680
-3,152
-2.34%
135,297
-3,010
-2.23%
135,431
-3,086
-2.28%
135,413
-3,172
-2.34%
135,161
-3,259
-2.41%
-2,617
-1.96%
Thailand
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
17,241
0.0
0.00%
17,425
179.7
1.03%
17,711
427.5
2.41%
18,037
379.7
2.11%
18,288
448.3
2.45%
18,533
419.4
2.26%
18,781
465.1
2.48%
19,109
462.7
2.42%
19,419
486.6
2.51%
19,735
484.0
2.45%
326.91
1.77%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
10,115
-128.1
-1.27%
10,132
-197.1
-1.95%
10,147
-183.3
-1.81%
10,156
-208.4
-2.05%
10,155
-195.5
-1.93%
10,150
-213.4
-2.10%
10,140
-207.8
-2.05%
10,127
-214.8
-2.12%
10,104
-212.2
-2.10%
10,072
-223.8
-2.22%
-176.07
-1.74%
Vietnam
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
20,925
0.0
0.00%
21,253
303.6
1.43%
21,582
563.0
2.61%
21,869
563.8
2.58%
22,214
629.9
2.84%
22,600
607.8
2.69%
22,969
651.3
2.84%
23,308
642.2
2.76%
23,649
659.1
2.79%
24,008
656.1
2.73%
462.07
2.05%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
17,191
-362.3
-2.11%
17,308
-562.5
-3.25%
17,487
-523.7
-2.99%
17,702
-592.9
-3.35%
17,875
-559.3
-3.13%
18,074
-612.1
-3.39%
18,311
-594.2
-3.25%
18,530
-615.8
-3.32%
18,728
-611.8
-3.27%
18,904
-651.9
-3.45%
-503.47
-2.81%
India
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
89,078
0.0
0.00%
89,738
135.5
0.15%
90,927
1,177.3
1.29%
91,998
548.5
0.60%
93,218
847.6
0.91%
94,402
688.3
0.73%
95,518
887.0
0.93%
96,760
792.9
0.82%
97,902
808.6
0.83%
99,029
684.5
0.69%
588.57
0.63%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
87,370
-308.8
-0.35%
88,739
-1,122.4
-1.26%
90,260
-598.6
-0.66%
90,903
-749.0
-0.82%
92,211
-667.5
-0.72%
93,229
-667.8
-0.72%
94,183
-676.4
-0.72%
95,127
-598.1
-0.63%
96,218
-539.9
-0.56%
97,030
-472.5
-0.49%
-592.84
-0.65%
5,855
0
0.0%
6,001
-3,377
-56.3%
6,034
-2,584
-42.8%
6,073
-2,850
-46.9%
6,119
-2,607
-42.6%
6,141
-2,691
-43.8%
6,166
-2,621
-42.5%
6,192
-2,599
-42.0%
6,215
-2,592
-41.7%
6,229
-2,517
-40.4%
-2,192
-35.86%
3,802
-97.6
-2.57%
3,886
-95.6
-2.46%
3,968
-90.4
-2.28%
4,051
-91.9
-2.27%
4,132
-89.3
-2.16%
4,213
-89.2
-2.12%
4,296
-88.4
-2.06%
4,379
-87.1
-1.99%
4,461
-86.7
-1.94%
4,544
-43.0
-0.95%
-81.61
-1.98%
United States
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table A.9. Soy
ybean Price and Trade
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
160
3.7
2.31%
163
6.2
3.79%
169
6.7
3.98%
174
6.8
3.91%
199
5.2
2.62%
206
4.9
2.39%
211
5.7
2.72%
5.74
3.14%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
54,734
-671.4
-1.23%
55,871
-352.9
-0.63%
57,289
-368.4
-0.64%
58,814
-412.3
-0.70%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
60,299
61,923
63,461
-320.5
-156.6
42.1
-0.53%
-0.25%
0.07%
65,074
224.1
0.34%
66,667
331.1
0.50%
68,479
459.5
0.67%
-122.53
-0.24%
untries
Exports of Selected Cou
Argentina
Baseline
7,814
Change
179.3
% chg
2.30%
8,057
1,182.3
14.67%
8,346
1,347.3
16.14%
8,663
1,319.5
15.23%
8,941
1,343.1
15.02%
9,253
1,313.8
14.20%
9,587
1,315.4
13.72%
9,904
1,303.0
13.16%
10,214
1,289.2
12.62%
10,608
1,302.0
12.27%
1,189.49
12.93%
Brazil
Baseline
Change
% chg
18,734
-747.8
-3.99%
19,281
1,114.0
5.78%
20,054
1,177.2
5.87%
21,109
1,156.4
5.48%
22,080
1,050.7
4.76%
23,189
1,023.8
4.41%
24,295
951.0
3.91%
25,357
919.4
3.63%
26,394
845.7
3.20%
27,504
902.3
3.28%
839.27
3.63%
Canada
Baseline
Change
% chg
687
-20.2
-2.94%
682
-11.8
-1.73%
719
-12.7
-1.76%
751
-14.0
-1.87%
787
-19.2
-2.44%
817
-24.4
-2.99%
852
-31.1
-3.64%
885
-34.7
-3.92%
919
-39.5
-4.29%
951
-43.2
-4.54%
-25.08
-3.01%
United States
Baseline
Change
% chg
27,499
-82.7
-0.30%
27,851
-2,637.4
-9.47%
28,169
-2,880.2
-10.22%
28,291
-2,874.2
-10.16%
28,490
-2,695.1
-9.46%
28,663
-2,469.8
-8.62%
28,727
-2,193.3
-7.63%
28,927
-1,963.6
-6.79%
29,140
-1,764.3
-6.05%
29,416
-1,701.5
-5.78%
-2,126.20
-7.45%
Imports of Selected Coun
untries
Eastern Europe
Baseline
150
Change
-27.1
% chg
-18.02%
160
-46.1
-28.85%
160
-47.4
-29.62%
162
-46.4
-28.70%
163
-44.4
-27.27%
163
-40.6
-24.85%
164
-37.4
-22.78%
166
-34.8
-20.91%
168
-33.0
-19.60%
172
-30.8
-17.91%
-38.81
-23.85%
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
181
188
194
6.3
6.1
5.7
3.49%
3.25%
2.94%
Average
Former Soviet Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
249
-19.6
-7.88%
274
-17.5
-6.37%
280
-19.8
-7.06%
285
-17.0
-5.95%
292
-13.5
-4.61%
300
-7.6
-2.54%
306
-2.8
-0.91%
313
1.2
0.39%
320
4.3
1.35%
328
7.9
2.41%
-8.43
-3.12%
Japan
Baseline
Change
% chg
5,108
-133.3
-2.61%
5,127
-122.4
-2.39%
5,115
-117.3
-2.29%
5,114
-116.7
-2.28%
5,115
-104.3
-2.04%
5,114
-92.4
-1.81%
5,113
-79.5
-1.56%
5,111
-70.3
-1.38%
5,102
-62.5
-1.23%
5,100
-55.3
-1.09%
-95.39
-1.87%
China
Baseline
Change
% chg
15,043
-48.8
-0.32%
15,252
-28.3
-0.19%
16,022
-100.3
-0.63%
16,803
-62.4
-0.37%
17,472
-53.3
-0.31%
18,269
-19.4
-0.11%
18,980
10.6
0.06%
19,710
63.3
0.32%
20,508
74.0
0.36%
21,374
80.0
0.37%
-8.46
-0.08%
India
Baseline
Change
% chg
0
-39.7
N/A
0
468.9
N/A
0
366.1
N/A
0
327.6
N/A
0
265.4
N/A
0
236.7
N/A
0
201.3
N/A
0
186.0
N/A
0
180.8
N/A
0
180.4
N/A
237.35
N/A
South Korea
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,452
118.8
8.18%
1,461
102.4
7.01%
1,444
143.0
9.91%
1,443
141.5
9.81%
1,450
155.3
10.71%
1,458
167.5
11.49%
1,464
181.1
12.37%
1,471
189.9
12.91%
1,474
196.9
13.35%
1,485
204.9
13.80%
160.14
10.95%
2,312
-24.8
-1.07%
2,348
-49.9
-2.13%
2,323
-33.2
-1.43%
2,311
-33.6
-1.45%
2,306
-9.4
-0.41%
2,301
11.1
0.48%
2,296
33.9
1.48%
2,296
48.8
2.12%
2,286
61.3
2.68%
2,293
72.6
3.16%
7.69
0.34%
Taiwan
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table A.10. So
oybean Production and Consumption
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
Argentina
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
29,406
0.0
0.00%
29,899
1,055.4
3.53%
30,368
1,242.3
4.09%
30,889
1,228.7
3.98%
31,399
1,292.4
4.12%
31,939
1,306.2
4.09%
32,484
1,345.2
4.14%
33,012
1,359.8
4.12%
33,536
1,387.5
4.14%
34,073
1,429.5
4.20%
1,164.71
3.64%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
21,596
-176.5
-0.82%
21,844
-126.3
-0.58%
22,024
-104.8
-0.48%
22,228
-90.8
-0.41%
22,460
-50.7
-0.23%
22,688
-7.6
-0.03%
22,899
29.8
0.13%
23,111
56.8
0.25%
23,324
98.5
0.42%
23,466
127.7
0.54%
-24.41
-0.12%
Brazil
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
44,756
0.0
0.00%
45,959
1,977.4
4.30%
47,376
2,079.4
4.39%
49,104
2,090.9
4.26%
50,752
2,027.8
4.00%
52,544
2,048.2
3.90%
54,330
2,014.5
3.71%
56,064
2,019.0
3.60%
57,774
1,983.0
3.43%
59,548
2,059.8
3.46%
1,830.00
3.50%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
26,030
759.0
2.92%
26,690
868.6
3.25%
27,339
903.2
3.30%
28,011
933.6
3.33%
28,690
975.6
3.40%
29,373
1,023.2
3.48%
30,050
1,061.8
3.53%
30,723
1,098.1
3.57%
31,396
1,138.1
3.62%
32,048
1,158.8
3.62%
992.00
3.40%
United States
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
79,698
0.0
0.00%
80,341
-2,937.9
-3.66%
81,105
-2,751.3
-3.39%
82,191
-2,692.6
-3.28%
83,270
-2,275.0
-2.73%
84,273
-1,919.3
-2.28%
85,250
-1,441.1
-1.69%
86,402
-1,087.0
-1.26%
87,407
-814.3
-0.93%
88,771
-753.4
-0.85%
-1,667.19
-2.01%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
51,418
528.5
1.03%
52,548
76.5
0.15%
53,332
187.7
0.35%
54,241
196.0
0.36%
55,161
367.7
0.67%
56,037
528.6
0.94%
56,884
711.4
1.25%
57,762
835.5
1.45%
58,645
939.6
1.60%
59,610
1,026.6
1.72%
539.81
0.95%
European Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,012
34.5
3.40%
969
17.2
1.77%
964
15.6
1.61%
971
28.2
2.90%
979
21.6
2.21%
984
19.1
1.94%
992
10.2
1.02%
1,000
3.2
0.32%
1,006
-5.8
-0.58%
1,011
-11.9
-1.18%
13.18
1.34%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
19,684
-168.8
-0.86%
19,785
-299.7
-1.51%
19,744
-239.9
-1.22%
19,748
-243.0
-1.23%
19,802
-139.9
-0.71%
19,855
-54.7
-0.28%
19,919
40.9
0.21%
20,021
103.5
0.52%
20,062
156.5
0.78%
20,200
197.7
0.98%
-64.74
-0.33%
China
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
15,024
-1.4
-0.01%
15,515
-94.7
-0.61%
15,438
6.6
0.04%
15,387
-26.3
-0.17%
15,450
-11.2
-0.07%
15,398
-36.9
-0.24%
15,444
-53.3
-0.35%
15,543
-97.0
-0.62%
15,598
-101.4
-0.65%
15,635
-117.8
-0.75%
-53.35
-0.34%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
30,159
-61.5
-0.20%
30,822
-98.1
-0.32%
31,461
-90.4
-0.29%
32,171
-90.0
-0.28%
32,868
-71.9
-0.22%
33,600
-60.4
-0.18%
34,388
-47.6
-0.14%
35,233
-38.7
-0.11%
36,094
-30.9
-0.09%
36,984
-32.9
-0.09%
-62.24
-0.19%
5,827
0.0
0.00%
5,931
-555.0
-9.36%
6,103
-540.6
-8.86%
6,261
-567.0
-9.06%
6,450
-585.9
-9.08%
6,628
-622.1
-9.39%
6,806
-645.0
-9.48%
6,977
-676.4
-9.70%
7,132
-696.7
-9.77%
7,299
-726.4
-9.95%
-561.51
-8.46%
5,827
-48.3
-0.83%
5,931
-86.0
-1.45%
6,102
-174.3
-2.86%
6,262
-239.5
-3.82%
6,450
-320.6
-4.97%
6,628
-385.4
-5.82%
6,806
-443.8
-6.52%
6,977
-490.5
-7.03%
7,132
-516.0
-7.23%
7,299
-545.9
-7.48%
-325.03
-4.80%
India
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table A.11. So
oybean Meal Price and Trade
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
170
2.5
1.44%
176
3.9
2.23%
182
5.3
2.89%
187
5.4
2.91%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
36,608
-151.5
-0.41%
37,301
-821.2
-2.20%
37,830
-1,183.4
-3.13%
38,363
-1,407.4
-3.67%
Exports of Selected Cou
untries
Argentina
Baseline
16,445
Change
-138.1
% chg
-0.84%
16,632
-122.5
-0.74%
16,770
-110.1
-0.66%
16,928
-95.8
-0.57%
17,110
-63.3
-0.37%
17,287
-27.2
-0.16%
Brazil
Baseline
Change
% chg
10,911
296.1
2.71%
10,892
143.0
1.31%
10,930
49.1
0.45%
10,932
11.0
0.10%
10,956
-38.0
-0.35%
India
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,434
-70.4
-2.89%
2,555
-8.0
-0.31%
2,668
37.8
1.42%
2,802
100.9
3.60%
United States
Baseline
Change
% chg
6,883
-377.9
-5.49%
7,343
-912.1
-12.42%
7,575
-1,130.5
-14.92%
Imports of Selected Coun
untries
Eastern Europe
Baseline
3,037
Change
-85.6
% chg
-2.82%
3,079
-213.7
-6.94%
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
211
10.6
5.05%
216
11.6
5.37%
220
14.1
6.42%
7.77
3.83%
40,311
-1,434.9
-3.56%
40,790
-1,432.5
-3.51%
41,378
-1,425.0
-3.44%
-1,212.73
-3.08%
17,449
1.6
0.01%
17,612
23.4
0.13%
17,777
58.0
0.33%
17,880
81.0
0.45%
-39.30
-0.24%
10,916
-93.5
-0.86%
10,820
-183.7
-1.70%
10,738
-248.4
-2.31%
10,636
-293.3
-2.76%
10,783
-351.2
-3.26%
-70.88
-0.67%
2,928
149.1
5.09%
3,054
192.8
6.31%
3,172
225.8
7.12%
3,280
242.6
7.40%
3,393
260.0
7.66%
0
106.2
3.25%
106.25
-3.25%
7,835
-1,284.7
-16.40%
8,091
-1,250.0
-15.45%
8,299
-1,143.7
-13.78%
8,554
-1,030.8
-12.05%
8,789
-984.1
-11.20%
9,098
-954.5
-10.49%
9,322
-894.8
-9.60%
-996.31
-12.18%
3,120
-237.0
-7.60%
3,137
-254.1
-8.10%
3,178
-256.2
-8.06%
3,214
-279.0
-8.68%
3,245
-293.3
-9.04%
3,288
-306.0
-9.31%
3,333
-295.2
-8.85%
3,387
-289.7
-8.55%
-250.98
-7.79%
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
194
201
206
6.4
8.1
9.7
3.30%
4.05%
4.69%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
38,960
39,431
39,876
-1,452.2 -1,413.5 -1,405.7
-3.73%
-3.58%
-3.53%
Average
Former Soviet Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
523
18.2
3.49%
513
1.4
0.27%
510
-0.4
-0.08%
508
-2.7
-0.53%
503
-5.6
-1.10%
495
-13.4
-2.70%
490
-19.9
-4.07%
486
-24.2
-4.98%
484
-23.9
-4.94%
482
-22.8
-4.73%
-9.32
-1.94%
Japan
Baseline
Change
% chg
811
29.4
3.63%
747
-21.0
-2.82%
723
-50.5
-6.99%
723
-56.6
-7.83%
733
-54.0
-7.36%
730
-55.7
-7.63%
729
-59.3
-8.14%
718
-70.7
-9.85%
714
-83.1
-11.64%
734
-96.1
-13.08%
-51.76
-7.17%
Canada
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,157
15.9
1.37%
1,176
-38.2
-3.25%
1,200
-117.1
-9.76%
1,230
-176.9
-14.38%
1,301
-195.1
-14.99%
1,355
-183.7
-13.56%
1,398
-162.4
-11.61%
1,401
-163.2
-11.65%
1,427
-174.9
-12.26%
0
-117.6
-8.82%
-117.57
8.82%
China
Baseline
Change
% chg
99
51.4
51.70%
205
98.7
48.13%
357
132.2
37.06%
473
160.8
34.03%
667
180.9
27.11%
839
212.1
25.28%
942
234.3
24.87%
1,008
250.6
24.85%
1,067
255.2
23.92%
1,117
255.2
22.86%
183.12
31.98%
South Korea
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,320
99.9
7.56%
1,255
68.5
5.45%
1,283
36.7
2.86%
1,343
32.7
2.44%
1,403
13.4
0.95%
1,469
-20.6
-1.41%
1,528
-53.2
-3.48%
1,583
-73.8
-4.66%
1,626
-77.3
-4.76%
1,670
-83.1
-4.98%
-5.70
0.00%
Taiwan
Baseline
Change
% chg
83
-0.8
-0.9%
17
11.2
66.4%
23
-4.0
-17.7%
37
-9.7
-26.5%
48
-42.5
-88.8%
58
-75.1
-130.1%
58
-104.2
-178.3%
45
-117.3
-260.5%
41
-125.2
-306.0%
50
-139.0
-280.2%
-60.65
-122.27%
Table A.12. So
oybean Meal Production and Consumption
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
Argentina
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
16,655
-142.9
-0.86%
16,849
-129.9
-0.77%
16,989
-117.2
-0.69%
17,147
-105.3
-0.61%
17,328
-74.3
-0.43%
17,505
-39.5
-0.23%
17,668
-10.1
-0.06%
17,832
11.7
0.07%
17,998
44.9
0.25%
18,106
67.7
0.37%
-49.50
-0.30%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
221
-3.0
-1.37%
223
-6.1
-2.72%
225
-6.4
-2.87%
225
-9.0
-3.99%
224
-9.8
-4.38%
224
-10.9
-4.85%
225
-10.5
-4.68%
225
-10.8
-4.81%
226
-11.5
-5.08%
228
-12.1
-5.29%
-9.00
-4.00%
Brazil
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
19,125
601.2
3.14%
19,621
615.9
3.14%
20,101
640.3
3.19%
20,589
664.6
3.23%
21,087
700.5
3.32%
21,583
737.9
3.42%
22,076
770.1
3.49%
22,567
799.1
3.54%
23,060
832.6
3.61%
23,535
847.2
3.60%
720.94
3.37%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
8,216
306.6
3.73%
8,732
473.9
5.43%
9,174
591.7
6.45%
9,661
654.0
6.77%
10,135
739.4
7.30%
10,671
832.6
7.80%
11,259
954.7
8.48%
11,832
1,048.1
8.86%
12,427
1,127.1
9.07%
12,752
1,199.2
9.40%
792.72
7.33%
United States
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
37,122
483.0
1.30%
37,937
167.5
0.44%
38,497
251.4
0.65%
39,152
248.8
0.64%
39,836
370.7
0.93%
40,527
482.9
1.19%
41,205
612.8
1.49%
41,911
699.8
1.67%
42,589
776.7
1.82%
43,334
847.6
1.96%
494.12
1.21%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
30,207
857.0
2.84%
30,599
1,079.2
3.53%
30,924
1,382.9
4.47%
31,318
1,533.7
4.90%
31,748
1,622.2
5.11%
32,230
1,629.0
5.05%
32,652
1,645.7
5.04%
33,122
1,685.5
5.09%
33,492
1,732.4
5.17%
34,011
1,745.1
5.13%
1,491.27
4.63%
European Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
14,704
-141.3
-0.96%
14,787
-237.3
-1.61%
14,763
-188.3
-1.28%
14,769
-194.9
-1.32%
14,815
-111.0
-0.75%
14,862
-42.4
-0.29%
14,916
36.3
0.24%
15,000
88.0
0.59%
15,035
132.6
0.88%
15,147
168.0
1.11%
-49.04
-0.34%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
29,816
-646.0
-2.17%
30,200
-969.9
-3.21%
30,260
-1,295.8
-4.28%
30,331
-1,524.7
-5.03%
30,378
-1,525.5
-5.02%
30,329
-1,339.2
-4.42%
30,329
-1,194.5
-3.94%
30,400
-1,101.9
-3.62%
30,510
-1,072.5
-3.52%
30,706
-986.8
-3.21%
-1,165.68
-3.84%
China
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
17,599
-55.5
-0.32%
17,977
-69.8
-0.39%
18,317
-62.7
-0.34%
18,706
-62.5
-0.33%
19,065
-52.2
-0.27%
19,442
-45.1
-0.23%
19,888
-37.8
-0.19%
20,393
-33.6
-0.16%
20,918
-29.9
-0.14%
21,455
-27.5
-0.13%
-47.65
-0.25%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
17,699
-4.1
-0.02%
18,182
28.8
0.16%
18,673
69.5
0.37%
19,179
98.3
0.51%
19,732
128.7
0.65%
20,281
167.0
0.82%
20,830
196.5
0.94%
21,401
217.0
1.01%
21,985
225.3
1.02%
22,572
227.7
1.01%
135.48
0.65%
India
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
3,893
-54.4
-1.40%
3,962
-54.4
-1.37%
4,084
-113.2
-2.77%
4,200
-159.2
-3.79%
4,337
-220.3
-5.08%
4,467
-268.7
-6.02%
4,596
-312.9
-6.81%
4,720
-347.9
-7.37%
4,833
-366.7
-7.59%
4,955
-388.6
-7.84%
-228.62
-5.00%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,524
-122.7
-8.05%
1,528
-124.7
-8.16%
1,529
-121.3
-7.93%
1,532
-121.3
-7.92%
1,535
-119.3
-7.77%
1,538
-119.5
-7.77%
1,542
-120.1
-7.79%
1,548
-122.1
-7.88%
1,553
-124.1
-7.99%
1,562
-128.6
-8.23%
-122.38
-7.95%
Table A.13. So
oybean Oil Price and Trade
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
09/10
10/11
11/12
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
347
28.8
8.30%
348
32.4
9.32%
356
33.1
9.30%
364
33.1
9.07%
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
373
383
396
30.7
26.7
23.1
8.25%
6.97%
5.85%
408
20.1
4.91%
422
17.9
4.23%
437
15.6
3.56%
26.16
6.98%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
7,118
356.7
5.01%
7,253
277.8
3.83%
7,376
302.2
4.10%
7,508
306.1
4.08%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
7,647
7,781
7,903
341.1
368.6
404.2
4.46%
4.74%
5.11%
8,027
429.4
5.35%
8,157
456.1
5.59%
8,287
474.1
5.72%
371.62
4.80%
untries
Exports of Selected Cou
Argentina
Baseline
3,549
Change
-31.2
% chg
-0.88%
3,590
-27.4
-0.76%
3,620
-25.3
-0.70%
3,654
-22.5
-0.61%
3,694
-16.5
-0.45%
3,732
-9.0
-0.24%
3,768
-3.2
-0.08%
3,804
1.4
0.04%
3,841
8.3
0.22%
3,863
13.3
0.34%
-11.21
-0.31%
Brazil
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,366
175.9
12.88%
1,430
172.3
12.05%
1,502
176.8
11.77%
1,571
179.2
11.41%
1,643
181.1
11.02%
1,716
183.1
10.67%
1,786
185.2
10.37%
1,856
187.6
10.11%
1,926
191.5
9.94%
1,974
193.5
9.80%
182.61
11.00%
United States
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,032
243.0
23.54%
1,094
175.3
16.02%
1,138
185.4
16.29%
1,187
184.1
15.51%
1,224
198.2
16.19%
1,253
205.9
16.42%
1,274
222.4
17.46%
1,289
233.1
18.08%
1,321
243.5
18.44%
1,371
249.9
18.23%
214.09
17.62%
Imports of Selected Coun
untries
Eastern Europe
Baseline
188
Change
4.5
% chg
2.39%
191
3.8
2.01%
195
3.9
2.01%
199
3.8
1.93%
203
3.9
1.94%
208
3.9
1.86%
213
4.0
1.87%
217
4.0
1.83%
222
4.1
1.85%
227
4.1
1.80%
4.01
1.95%
Former Soviet Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
360
10.6
2.93%
365
7.1
1.94%
371
7.8
2.11%
378
7.4
1.95%
385
7.8
2.04%
393
7.8
1.99%
401
8.2
2.04%
409
8.2
2.00%
419
8.5
2.04%
428
8.6
2.00%
8.20
2.10%
Japan
Baseline
Change
% chg
1
50.6
3665%
0
39.6
15018%
2
39.2
1782%
3
38.4
1141%
4
38.4
1004%
4
37.9
1050%
4
37.6
840%
4
37.1
982%
3
36.8
1085%
5
35.8
726%
39.14
2729.28%
China
Baseline
Change
% chg
451
36.8
8.16%
500
20.4
4.08%
566
28.7
5.08%
637
27.9
4.37%
720
38.2
5.31%
802
45.1
5.62%
869
55.8
6.42%
931
62.2
6.68%
997
70.4
7.06%
1,061
76.0
7.17%
46.15
6.00%
India
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,339
40.1
3.00%
1,408
27.6
1.96%
1,459
40.8
2.80%
1,509
50.0
3.32%
1,557
68.0
4.37%
1,609
82.3
5.12%
1,663
98.0
5.90%
1,722
109.3
6.35%
1,786
118.1
6.61%
1,853
126.3
6.82%
76.08
4.62%
South Korea
Baseline
Change
% chg
144
7.9
5.47%
159
9.1
5.74%
172
7.3
4.25%
182
7.6
4.19%
192
6.1
3.18%
200
5.1
2.57%
209
3.8
1.81%
217
3.1
1.44%
225
2.5
1.10%
232
1.6
0.68%
5.41
3.04%
69
-0.7
-1.08%
68
3.9
5.71%
73
2.2
3.02%
81
2.7
3.38%
87
0.0
0.03%
91
-2.0
-2.14%
96
-4.9
-5.08%
99
-6.6
-6.68%
103
-8.3
-8.02%
105
-9.7
-9.23%
-2.33
-2.01%
Taiwan
Baseline
Change
% chg
06/07
07/08
08/09
Average
Table A.14. So
oybean Oil Production and Consumption
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
Argentina
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
3,701
-31.8
-0.86%
3,744
-28.9
-0.77%
3,775
-26.1
-0.69%
3,810
-23.4
-0.61%
3,851
-16.5
-0.43%
3,890
-8.8
-0.23%
3,926
-2.2
-0.06%
3,963
2.6
0.07%
4,000
10.0
0.25%
4,024
15.1
0.37%
-11.00
-0.30%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
153
0.0
-0.02%
154
-1.3
-0.87%
155
-0.7
-0.47%
156
-1.0
-0.64%
157
-0.2
-0.13%
158
0.1
0.06%
159
0.8
0.50%
159
1.1
0.66%
159
1.6
1.00%
161
1.7
1.05%
0.20
0.12%
4,600
144.6
3.14%
4,719
148.1
3.14%
4,834
154.0
3.19%
4,952
159.8
3.23%
5,072
168.5
3.32%
5,191
177.5
3.42%
5,309
185.2
3.49%
5,428
192.2
3.54%
5,546
200.2
3.61%
5,660
203.8
3.60%
173.39
3.37%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
3,238
-20.0
-0.62%
3,290
-22.9
-0.70%
3,336
-22.8
-0.68%
3,385
-20.3
-0.60%
3,433
-14.9
-0.43%
3,481
-8.3
-0.24%
3,530
-2.3
-0.06%
3,579
2.7
0.08%
3,628
7.2
0.20%
3,689
9.5
0.26%
-9.20
-0.28%
United States
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
8,785
114.3
1.30%
8,982
39.7
0.44%
9,118
59.5
0.65%
9,278
59.0
0.64%
9,444
87.9
0.93%
9,612
114.5
1.19%
9,777
145.4
1.49%
9,949
166.1
1.67%
10,114
184.4
1.82%
10,296
201.4
1.96%
117.22
1.21%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
7,710
-110.2
-1.43%
7,856
-125.4
-1.60%
7,963
-127.1
-1.60%
8,075
-125.6
-1.56%
8,201
-116.5
-1.42%
8,343
-100.9
-1.21%
8,491
-86.7
-1.02%
8,649
-74.6
-0.86%
8,784
-65.4
-0.74%
8,917
-56.2
-0.63%
-98.85
-1.21%
European Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
3,308
-31.8
-0.96%
3,327
-53.4
-1.61%
3,322
-42.4
-1.28%
3,323
-43.9
-1.32%
3,333
-25.0
-0.75%
3,344
-9.6
-0.29%
3,356
8.2
0.24%
3,375
19.8
0.59%
3,383
29.8
0.88%
3,408
37.8
1.11%
-11.04
-0.34%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,137
-0.5
-0.02%
2,187
-10.9
-0.50%
2,206
-7.7
-0.35%
2,227
-9.1
-0.41%
2,248
-3.4
-0.15%
2,265
1.5
0.06%
2,282
8.1
0.36%
2,298
12.3
0.54%
2,313
16.9
0.73%
2,329
20.3
0.87%
2.76
0.11%
China
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
3,520
-11.1
-0.32%
3,595
-14.0
-0.39%
3,663
-12.5
-0.34%
3,741
-12.5
-0.33%
3,813
-10.4
-0.27%
3,888
-9.0
-0.23%
3,978
-7.6
-0.19%
4,079
-6.7
-0.16%
4,184
-6.0
-0.14%
4,291
-5.5
-0.13%
-9.53
-0.25%
3,976
24.9
0.63%
4,097
7.6
0.18%
4,228
16.2
0.38%
4,376
15.1
0.34%
4,527
26.9
0.59%
4,685
34.8
0.74%
4,844
47.2
0.97%
5,009
54.6
1.09%
5,179
63.8
1.23%
5,351
69.9
1.31%
36.09
0.75%
898
-12.6
-1.40%
914
-12.5
-1.37%
943
-26.1
-2.77%
969
-36.7
-3.79%
1,001
-50.8
-5.08%
1,031
-62.0
-6.02%
1,061
-72.2
-6.81%
1,089
-80.3
-7.37%
1,115
-84.6
-7.59%
1,143
-89.7
-7.84%
-52.76
-5.00%
2,237
27.6
1.23%
2,323
15.1
0.65%
2,401
14.7
0.61%
2,478
13.3
0.54%
2,557
17.2
0.67%
2,639
20.3
0.77%
2,723
25.8
0.95%
2,811
29.1
1.03%
2,902
33.5
1.15%
2,996
36.6
1.22%
23.32
0.88%
Brazil
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
India
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table A.15. Ra
apeseed Price and Trade
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
09/10
10/11
11/12
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
208
35.2
16.97%
220
35.3
16.03%
225
43.4
19.32%
227
38.7
17.01%
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
231
235
237
240
43.6
46.6
52.1
55.8
18.89% 19.85% 21.99% 23.24%
243
60.8
25.08%
246
65.7
26.66%
47.72
20.51%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
5,968
-13.4
-0.22%
6,074
341.5
5.62%
6,338
318.3
5.02%
6,497
281.0
4.33%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
6,656
6,800
6,937
291.6
319.9
349.0
4.38%
4.70%
5.03%
7,096
386.1
5.44%
7,255
417.1
5.75%
7,420
452.9
6.10%
314.42
4.62%
Exports of Selected Cou
untries
Australia
Baseline
1,353
Change
-3.0
% chg
-0.22%
1,368
76.4
5.58%
1,394
71.2
5.11%
1,408
64.3
4.56%
1,442
69.7
4.83%
1,468
76.1
5.18%
1,485
77.8
5.24%
1,508
83.3
5.52%
1,533
87.4
5.70%
1,560
94.1
6.03%
69.71
4.75%
Canada
Baseline
Change
% chg
3,606
19.8
0.55%
3,670
276.8
7.54%
3,829
262.4
6.85%
3,928
237.0
6.03%
4,005
241.4
6.03%
4,072
257.3
6.32%
4,143
277.8
6.70%
4,223
301.4
7.14%
4,302
321.3
7.47%
4,384
343.9
7.84%
253.91
6.25%
Eastern Europe
Baseline
Change
% chg
842
-56.8
-6.75%
861
-45.9
-5.33%
926
-50.0
-5.40%
958
-52.7
-5.50%
994
-51.5
-5.18%
1,034
-46.5
-4.49%
1,071
-40.5
-3.78%
1,114
-34.4
-3.09%
1,157
-29.1
-2.52%
1,202
-24.5
-2.04%
-43.18
-4.41%
Former Soviet Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
167
26.6
15.94%
175
34.2
19.57%
190
34.8
18.35%
202
32.4
16.00%
215
32.0
14.93%
226
33.1
14.63%
238
33.9
14.25%
251
35.8
14.28%
263
37.5
14.26%
274
39.5
14.44%
33.98
15.66%
Imports of Selected Coun
untries
China
Baseline
1,616
Change
133.9
% chg
8.28%
1,810
136.9
7.56%
2,131
197.1
9.25%
2,190
188.2
8.59%
2,181
208.8
9.58%
2,161
184.4
8.54%
2,158
192.6
8.93%
2,213
187.7
8.49%
2,290
185.1
8.08%
2,403
173.3
7.21%
178.81
8.45%
286
-541.4
-189.4%
264
-371.2
-140.7%
233
-344.1
-147.9%
282
-452.7
-160.7%
373
-409.2
-109.7%
456
-365.9
-80.3%
545
-311.2
-57.1%
579
-264.4
-45.7%
621
-207.6
-33.4%
666
-157.1
-23.6%
-342.47
-98.85%
India
Baseline
Change
% chg
0
208.3
N/A
0
336.9
N/A
0
274.0
N/A
0
304.4
N/A
0
288.1
N/A
0
289.1
N/A
0
286.6
N/A
0
289.0
N/A
0
291.1
N/A
0
298.6
N/A
286.62
N/A
Japan
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,174
-106.1
-4.88%
2,175
-86.1
-3.96%
2,194
-92.8
-4.23%
2,211
-87.1
-3.94%
2,229
-90.5
-4.06%
2,245
-87.9
-3.91%
2,261
-88.7
-3.92%
2,275
-86.7
-3.81%
2,290
-86.5
-3.78%
2,305
-85.2
-3.70%
-89.75
-4.02%
Rest of World
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,738
291.9
16.79%
1,672
325.0
19.44%
1,627
284.1
17.46%
1,661
328.2
19.76%
1,720
294.4
17.11%
1,786
300.2
16.81%
1,820
269.7
14.82%
1,877
260.4
13.87%
1,901
235.0
12.36%
1,893
223.3
11.80%
281.22
16.02%
European Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
06/07
07/08
08/09
Average
Table A.16. Ra
apeseed Production and Consumption
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
Australia
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,771
0.0
0.00%
1,795
79.7
4.44%
1,830
74.6
4.08%
1,858
67.9
3.66%
1,903
73.4
3.86%
1,939
79.3
4.09%
1,967
80.7
4.10%
2,001
86.0
4.30%
2,037
90.0
4.42%
2,074
96.5
4.65%
72.81
3.76%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
418
3.0
0.71%
427
3.3
0.78%
436
3.5
0.79%
449
3.7
0.81%
461
3.7
0.79%
472
3.2
0.68%
482
3.0
0.62%
493
2.7
0.55%
504
2.6
0.51%
514
2.5
0.48%
3.10
0.67%
Canada
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
7,333
0.0
0.00%
7,354
361.8
4.92%
7,551
319.5
4.23%
7,699
318.8
4.14%
7,823
301.2
3.85%
7,942
319.3
4.02%
8,077
323.8
4.01%
8,206
346.1
4.22%
8,337
354.5
4.25%
8,465
370.8
4.38%
301.59
3.80%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
3,698
0.4
0.01%
3,693
75.2
2.04%
3,720
59.9
1.61%
3,766
77.9
2.07%
3,813
62.9
1.65%
3,870
62.9
1.63%
3,931
49.4
1.26%
3,981
46.0
1.15%
4,034
35.7
0.89%
4,080
29.0
0.71%
49.93
1.30%
Eastern Europe
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,740
0.0
0.00%
2,768
31.4
1.13%
2,835
20.5
0.72%
2,893
23.7
0.82%
2,953
19.1
0.65%
3,010
22.7
0.76%
3,065
22.6
0.74%
3,122
26.0
0.83%
3,181
26.7
0.84%
3,240
29.1
0.90%
22.18
0.74%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,896
56.5
2.98%
1,908
76.7
4.02%
1,910
70.7
3.70%
1,935
76.2
3.94%
1,959
70.8
3.61%
1,975
69.3
3.51%
1,994
63.3
3.18%
2,007
60.4
3.01%
2,023
56.0
2.77%
2,038
53.7
2.64%
65.35
3.33%
China
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
11,953
-1.1
-0.01%
11,748
-32.7
-0.28%
11,983
-84.8
-0.71%
12,087
-91.5
-0.76%
12,188
-104.8
-0.86%
12,289
-83.8
-0.68%
12,463
-85.0
-0.68%
12,646
-79.1
-0.63%
12,815
-69.6
-0.54%
12,952
-54.2
-0.42%
-68.67
-0.56%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
13,569
132.8
0.98%
13,558
104.1
0.77%
14,114
112.3
0.80%
14,277
96.7
0.68%
14,369
104.0
0.72%
14,450
100.6
0.70%
14,621
107.7
0.74%
14,859
108.7
0.73%
15,105
115.5
0.76%
15,355
119.1
0.78%
110.14
0.76%
India
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
4,818
0.0
0.00%
4,786
-232.4
-4.86%
4,967
-301.9
-6.08%
4,979
-294.3
-5.91%
5,054
-315.2
-6.24%
5,102
-309.1
-6.06%
5,151
-305.2
-5.92%
5,191
-293.8
-5.66%
5,235
-287.5
-5.49%
5,277
-280.0
-5.31%
-261.94
-5.15%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
4,783
100.3
2.10%
4,820
83.4
1.73%
4,961
-23.0
-0.46%
4,977
6.2
0.12%
5,052
-22.6
-0.45%
5,100
-18.4
-0.36%
5,145
-12.9
-0.25%
5,187
-2.1
-0.04%
5,231
8.0
0.15%
5,273
21.8
0.41%
14.06
0.30%
Japan
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
2
0.0
0.00%
3
-1.0
-38.61%
3
-1.1
-39.96%
3
-1.1
-40.35%
3
-1.1
-40.80%
3
-1.1
-41.03%
3
-1.1
-41.33%
3
-1.2
-41.39%
3
-1.2
-41.53%
3
-1.2
-41.55%
-1.01
-36.65%
2,161
-95.7
-4.43%
2,181
-92.2
-4.23%
2,194
-92.6
-4.22%
2,210
-90.2
-4.08%
2,228
-90.1
-4.05%
2,244
-88.8
-3.96%
2,259
-88.5
-3.92%
2,274
-87.5
-3.85%
2,289
-86.7
-3.79%
2,306
-85.6
-3.71%
-89.79
-4.02%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table A.17. Ra
apeseed Meal Price and Trade
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
129
-0.9
-0.71%
136
-4.8
-3.52%
136
-4.4
-3.27%
139
-6.0
-4.34%
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
143
147
149
-4.5
-2.7
-0.5
-3.14%
-1.82%
-0.35%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,438
698.3
28.65%
2,473
623.8
25.22%
2,607
644.2
24.71%
2,580
616.3
23.89%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
2,499
2,387
2,332
609.8
612.1
630.8
24.40% 25.65% 27.05%
Exports of Selected Cou
untries
Australia
Baseline
0
Change
-2.2
% chg
N/A
0
-1.9
N/A
0
-2.0
N/A
0
6.3
N/A
0
12.4
N/A
0
14.4
N/A
Average
151
0.5
0.35%
154
1.7
1.14%
156
3.8
2.44%
-1.78
-1.32%
2,319
641.3
27.66%
2,320
643.5
27.74%
2,326
640.6
27.54%
636.08
26.25%
0
18.2
N/A
0
20.3
N/A
0
23.2
N/A
0
24.2
N/A
11.27
N/A
Canada
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,334
197.2
14.78%
1,316
220.6
16.76%
1,322
200.3
15.16%
1,335
191.6
14.35%
1,352
170.6
12.62%
1,364
165.6
12.14%
1,383
160.6
11.61%
1,398
162.8
11.64%
1,424
156.6
11.00%
1,443
148.9
10.32%
177.48
13.04%
Eastern Europe
Baseline
Change
% chg
446
55.2
12.38%
450
81.7
18.16%
434
83.7
19.30%
442
87.2
19.74%
445
87.2
19.58%
442
92.3
20.87%
442
93.8
21.22%
437
95.1
21.76%
434
91.6
21.11%
429
90.0
20.98%
85.79
19.51%
9
-13.6
-157.6%
10
-12.9
-124.2%
9
-13.3
-139.9%
10
-13.1
-129.8%
11
-13.0
-114.9%
13
-12.3
-95.6%
14
-11.8
-85.1%
14
-11.5
-80.2%
15
-11.6
-79.9%
15
-12.0
-80.4%
-12.51
-108.8%
Imports of Selected Coun
untries
China
Baseline
-600
Change
-510.9
% chg
85.11%
-595
-438.0
73.65%
-772
-445.9
57.79%
-718
-418.5
58.27%
-603
-440.3
73.02%
-466
-390
-362
-336
-319
-452.5
-473.9
-481.2
-494.7
-510.4
97.02% 121.57% 132.82% 147.02% 160.16%
-466.63
100.64%
European Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
585
1,010.7
172.7%
622
1,012.0
162.7%
666
955.7
143.4%
629
931.4
148.1%
554
929.7
167.7%
458
964.3
210.4%
400
991.8
248.1%
368
1,019.2
276.9%
349
1,033.8
296.4%
333
1,062.1
319.0%
991.06
214.55%
India
Baseline
Change
% chg
-49
131.6
-268.0%
-102
174.9
-171.8%
-70
202.0
-286.5%
-74
219.4
-296.0%
-88
219.8
-251.2%
-100
214.1
-213.2%
-104
203.8
-196.1%
-107
192.0
-180.2%
-111
178.2
-160.5%
-121
159.4
-131.8%
189.52
-215.5%
Japan
Baseline
Change
% chg
86
44.9
52.01%
62
41.0
65.82%
69
35.0
51.06%
72
36.1
50.07%
77
35.3
45.72%
79
34.4
43.41%
83
32.1
38.52%
84
28.8
34.41%
86
24.7
28.61%
92
22.0
24.03%
33.43
43.37%
1,597
-439.8
-27.54%
1,620
-502.3
-31.00%
1,703
-478.0
-28.07%
1,710
-496.4
-29.03%
1,698
-487.5
-28.70%
1,680
-500.3
-29.78%
1,680
-493.0
-29.34%
1,698
-492.1
-28.99%
1,715
-482.3
-28.11%
1,733
-482.0
-27.82%
-485.36
-28.84%
Former Soviet Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
Rest of World
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table A.18. Ra
apeseed Meal Production and Consumption
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
Australia
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
231
1.7
0.72%
236
1.7
0.72%
241
1.8
0.74%
249
1.9
0.77%
255
1.9
0.75%
261
1.6
0.63%
267
1.5
0.57%
273
1.4
0.50%
279
1.3
0.46%
285
1.2
0.43%
1.60
0.63%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
231
3.8
1.65%
236
3.6
1.54%
241
3.8
1.58%
249
-4.4
-1.75%
255
-10.5
-4.09%
261
-12.8
-4.89%
267
-16.7
-6.24%
273
-18.9
-6.92%
279
-21.9
-7.84%
285
-22.9
-8.06%
-9.67
-3.50%
1,836
201.0
10.95%
1,837
229.9
12.52%
1,849
222.9
12.05%
1,874
233.5
12.46%
1,900
225.7
11.88%
1,933
225.2
11.65%
1,967
217.3
11.04%
1,996
214.6
10.75%
2,025
208.5
10.29%
2,052
204.2
9.95%
218.28
11.35%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
502
3.8
0.76%
521
9.1
1.74%
527
22.6
4.28%
538
41.9
7.78%
548
55.2
10.07%
569
59.6
10.48%
585
56.8
9.71%
598
51.9
8.69%
601
52.0
8.64%
609
55.3
9.09%
40.81
7.12%
Eastern Europe
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,068
33.3
3.12%
1,075
44.8
4.17%
1,075
41.4
3.85%
1,090
44.6
4.09%
1,104
41.5
3.76%
1,113
40.6
3.65%
1,123
37.1
3.30%
1,131
35.3
3.13%
1,140
32.7
2.87%
1,148
31.4
2.73%
38.27
3.47%
619
-22.1
-3.57%
625
-37.8
-6.04%
641
-42.2
-6.59%
647
-43.0
-6.63%
658
-45.3
-6.88%
670
-51.3
-7.66%
681
-56.3
-8.27%
693
-59.6
-8.60%
706
-58.6
-8.31%
719
-58.3
-8.11%
-47.45
-7.07%
China
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
7,782
581.6
7.47%
7,797
562.5
7.21%
8,137
570.7
7.01%
8,239
560.4
6.80%
8,295
566.4
6.83%
8,343
563.6
6.76%
8,446
568.9
6.74%
8,590
569.5
6.63%
8,741
573.9
6.57%
8,895
575.9
6.47%
569.34
6.85%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
7,182
70.7
0.98%
7,203
124.5
1.73%
7,366
124.8
1.69%
7,520
141.9
1.89%
7,692
126.1
1.64%
7,877
111.1
1.41%
8,056
94.9
1.18%
8,228
88.3
1.07%
8,404
79.2
0.94%
8,577
65.5
0.76%
102.71
1.33%
India
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,793
17.5
0.63%
2,816
53.6
1.90%
2,837
51.5
1.81%
2,867
65.7
2.29%
2,900
74.4
2.57%
2,935
83.5
2.84%
2,971
89.8
3.02%
3,007
100.3
3.34%
3,044
109.7
3.60%
3,083
121.2
3.93%
76.73
2.59%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,744
149.2
5.44%
2,714
228.5
8.42%
2,767
253.4
9.16%
2,793
285.1
10.21%
2,813
294.3
10.46%
2,835
297.6
10.50%
2,867
293.6
10.24%
2,900
292.3
10.08%
2,933
287.9
9.81%
2,962
280.5
9.47%
266.24
9.38%
Japan
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,186
-52.6
-4.43%
1,196
-49.5
-4.14%
1,203
-49.6
-4.12%
1,212
-48.3
-3.99%
1,221
-48.2
-3.95%
1,231
-47.5
-3.86%
1,238
-47.3
-3.82%
1,247
-46.7
-3.75%
1,255
-46.3
-3.69%
1,264
-45.7
-3.61%
-48.16
-3.93%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,269
-7.8
-0.62%
1,259
-9.3
-0.74%
1,271
-14.5
-1.14%
1,283
-12.5
-0.98%
1,298
-12.6
-0.97%
1,309
-12.8
-0.97%
1,321
-14.7
-1.12%
1,329
-17.8
-1.34%
1,341
-21.4
-1.59%
1,355
-23.4
-1.72%
-14.67
-1.12%
Canada
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table A.19. Ra
apeseed Oil Price and Trade
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
438
54.1
12.35%
462
45.4
9.81%
475
50.6
10.66%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,346
-32.4
-2.41%
1,329
-4.5
-0.34%
Exports of Selected Cou
untries
Australia
Baseline
59
Change
1.1
% chg
1.96%
Canada
Baseline
Change
% chg
09/10
10/11
11/12
484
47.3
9.78%
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
494
506
515
525
52.1
52.7
57.4
59.5
10.56% 10.42% 11.14% 11.34%
534
63.9
11.98%
545
66.7
12.24%
54.96
11.03%
1,335
-11.4
-0.85%
1,380
2.6
0.19%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
1,442
1,508
1,561
-1.8
0.5
-3.9
-0.13%
0.03%
-0.25%
1,596
-4.6
-0.29%
1,630
-8.2
-0.50%
1,659
-10.2
-0.62%
-7.40
-0.52%
60
1.2
2.06%
61
0.9
1.52%
66
1.3
2.01%
69
1.3
1.93%
70
1.2
1.79%
72
1.2
1.70%
74
1.3
1.76%
77
1.4
1.79%
79
1.4
1.74%
1.25
1.83%
771
10.3
1.33%
767
27.9
3.64%
767
24.0
3.13%
775
30.7
3.97%
784
26.1
3.33%
800
25.9
3.24%
816
21.3
2.61%
827
19.8
2.39%
839
16.2
1.93%
849
13.6
1.60%
21.58
2.72%
Eastern Europe
Baseline
Change
% chg
74
24.7
33.54%
84
31.7
37.60%
82
28.7
35.13%
89
30.8
34.76%
94
29.0
30.78%
95
29.0
30.46%
97
27.3
27.98%
98
26.8
27.41%
99
25.6
25.78%
100
25.3
25.31%
27.89
30.88%
European Union
Baseline
WTO
Change
% chg
443
374
68.6
15.5%
418
352
65.4
15.6%
425
360
65.1
15.3%
451
391
60.3
13.4%
494
436
58.3
11.8%
543
487
55.7
10.3%
576
522
53.7
9.3%
596
544
52.5
8.8%
615
563
51.4
8.4%
630
580
50.5
8.0%
0
0
58.13
11.64%
Imports of Selected Coun
untries
China
Baseline
135
Change
-57.1
% chg
-42.28%
191
-31.0
-16.23%
148
-35.4
-23.87%
183
-23.4
-12.83%
251
-29.1
-11.59%
330
-27.9
-8.43%
375
-33.4
-8.90%
390
-35.3
-9.05%
406
-39.4
-9.70%
418
-41.8
-9.98%
-35.37
-15.29%
Former Soviet Union
Baseline
WTO
Change
% chg
121
134
-13.2
-10.91%
127
140
-13.5
-10.64%
133
146
-13.3
-9.99%
139
152
-13.1
-9.42%
146
159
-12.8
-8.78%
154
166
-12.4
-8.09%
162
174
-12.0
-7.41%
171
183
-11.7
-6.81%
181
193
-11.3
-6.25%
0
0
-12.61
-8.90%
India
Baseline
Change
% chg
48
16
150.2
172.4
311.2% 1095.5%
37
169.9
455.4%
48
176.9
371.8%
56
178.3
320.2%
63
182.7
291.6%
75
183.1
243.2%
89
184.7
208.7%
103
184.8
179.3%
115
186.1
161.5%
176.91
363.8%
Japan
Baseline
Change
% chg
31
59.4
193.5%
16
59.9
366.1%
20
56.2
282.2%
24
58.3
246.1%
26
54.8
211.1%
28
53.9
192.7%
33
50.8
153.9%
36
49.4
135.7%
39
46.7
120.1%
39
44.9
115.6%
53.43
201.7%
802
-197.8
-24.65%
775
-219.1
-28.27%
793
-215.6
-27.19%
784
-222.5
-28.39%
760
-218.9
-28.82%
732
-221.1
-30.22%
714
-216.9
-30.36%
708
-215.4
-30.40%
701
-211.9
-30.25%
695
-210.8
-30.33%
-214.98
-28.89%
Rest of World
Baseline
Change
% chg
120
133
-12.8
-10.69%
06/07
07/08
08/09
Average
Table A.20. Ra
apeseed Oil Production and Consumption
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
Australia
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
165
1.2
0.72%
169
1.2
0.72%
172
1.3
0.74%
178
1.4
0.77%
182
1.4
0.75%
186
1.2
0.63%
191
1.1
0.57%
195
1.0
0.50%
199
0.9
0.46%
203
0.9
0.43%
1.14
0.63%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
107
0.0
0.04%
109
0.0
-0.02%
111
0.3
0.31%
112
0.0
0.04%
114
0.0
0.03%
116
-0.1
-0.06%
118
-0.1
-0.12%
121
-0.3
-0.28%
122
-0.5
-0.39%
124
-0.5
-0.40%
-0.11
-0.08%
Canada
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,307
0.7
0.06%
1,308
21.3
1.63%
1,316
16.3
1.24%
1,334
23.9
1.79%
1,353
18.3
1.35%
1,376
17.9
1.30%
1,400
12.3
0.88%
1,421
10.4
0.73%
1,442
6.1
0.42%
1,461
3.0
0.20%
13.01
0.96%
536
-8.7
-1.62%
541
-6.8
-1.26%
549
-7.7
-1.40%
559
-6.9
-1.24%
568
-7.8
-1.37%
576
-8.0
-1.39%
585
-8.9
-1.52%
593
-9.3
-1.58%
602
-10.1
-1.68%
611
-10.6
-1.74%
-8.49
-1.48%
724
22.6
3.12%
729
30.4
4.17%
729
28.1
3.85%
739
30.2
4.09%
748
28.1
3.76%
754
27.5
3.65%
761
25.1
3.30%
767
24.0
3.13%
773
22.2
2.87%
778
21.3
2.73%
25.95
3.47%
650
-2.1
-0.33%
645
-1.6
-0.25%
647
-0.5
-0.08%
650
-0.7
-0.11%
654
-0.8
-0.12%
659
-1.5
-0.23%
664
-2.0
-0.31%
669
-2.8
-0.42%
674
-3.3
-0.49%
678
-4.0
-0.59%
-1.94
-0.29%
4,142
43.4
1.05%
4,150
33.3
0.80%
4,331
37.6
0.87%
4,385
32.1
0.73%
4,415
35.3
0.80%
4,441
33.9
0.76%
4,495
36.7
0.82%
4,572
37.0
0.81%
4,652
39.3
0.85%
4,735
40.4
0.85%
36.91
0.83%
4,277
-13.7
-0.32%
4,341
2.3
0.05%
4,479
2.2
0.05%
4,568
8.7
0.19%
4,666
6.2
0.13%
4,771
6.0
0.13%
4,870
3.3
0.07%
4,963
1.7
0.03%
5,059
-0.1
0.00%
5,153
-1.4
-0.03%
1.53
0.03%
1,376
2.7
0.19%
1,387
5.8
0.41%
1,397
4.9
0.35%
1,412
5.1
0.36%
1,428
3.8
0.27%
1,446
3.4
0.24%
1,463
2.1
0.14%
1,481
1.4
0.10%
1,499
0.4
0.02%
1,518
-0.2
-0.01%
2.94
0.21%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,424
152.8
10.73%
1,403
178.2
12.70%
1,435
174.8
12.18%
1,460
182.1
12.47%
1,484
182.1
12.27%
1,508
186.2
12.34%
1,539
185.2
12.04%
1,569
186.1
11.86%
1,602
185.1
11.55%
1,634
186.0
11.38%
179.85
11.95%
Japan
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
884
-39.2
-4.43%
892
-36.9
-4.14%
897
-37.0
-4.12%
903
-36.0
-3.99%
910
-35.9
-3.95%
917
-35.4
-3.86%
923
-35.2
-3.82%
929
-34.8
-3.75%
936
-34.5
-3.69%
942
-34.1
-3.61%
-35.90
-3.93%
913
15.6
1.71%
909
22.2
2.44%
916
19.7
2.15%
926
22.0
2.37%
936
19.2
2.05%
945
18.5
1.96%
955
15.9
1.66%
965
14.7
1.52%
974
12.4
1.28%
981
11.0
1.12%
17.11
1.83%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Eastern Europe
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
China
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
India
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table A.21. Su
unflower Seed Price and Trade
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
257
20.5
7.99%
254
2.8
1.10%
258
14.0
5.41%
260
5.5
2.11%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,889
216.7
11.47%
1,932
519.3
26.88%
1,906
363.4
19.07%
1,911
437.8
22.91%
Exports of Selected Cou
untries
Argentina
Baseline
478
411
Change
117.5
448.0
% chg
24.56% 108.88%
359
361
240.2
371.6
66.89% 102.91%
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
271
10.4
3.86%
273
13.9
5.10%
276
13.1
4.74%
11.30
4.26%
1,937
468.1
24.17%
1,942
455.5
23.46%
1,952
498.7
25.55%
417.92
21.70%
330
312
299
281
257
240
268.0
356.0
305.5
368.0
338.6
387.4
81.14% 113.94% 102.22% 131.06% 131.65% 161.35%
320.07
102.46%
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
263
266
268
12.0
8.2
12.6
4.55%
3.10%
4.69%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
1,914
1,922
1,930
363.8
442.1
413.9
19.00% 23.00% 21.44%
Average
China
Baseline
Change
% chg
46
-9.1
-19.90%
38
-30.0
-78.92%
32
-38.1
-119.3%
28
-35.2
-125.2%
32
-40.4
-125.7%
26
-37.8
-144.9%
24
-39.7
-166.3%
24
-40.0
-166.6%
24
-40.8
-171.4%
22
-40.1
-178.2%
-35.13
-129.64%
Eastern Europe
Baseline
Change
% chg
528
-536.1
-101.6%
528
-561.7
-106.3%
544
-508.2
-93.5%
543
-542.2
-99.9%
566
-508.1
-89.8%
597
-510.3
-85.4%
617
-483.1
-78.3%
638
-480.8
-75.3%
661
-459.6
-69.5%
688
-459.8
-66.8%
-504.99
-86.65%
837
644.4
77.00%
954
662.9
69.51%
971
669.6
68.95%
979
643.6
65.75%
986
644.4
65.36%
986
634.1
64.29%
991
631.3
63.73%
994
620.9
62.47%
1,000
617.3
61.74%
1,001
611.1
61.03%
637.95
65.98%
Imports of Selected Coun
untries
European Union
Baseline
1,199
Change
-753.1
% chg
-62.83%
1,130
-607.4
-53.76%
1,108
-648.9
-58.58%
1,091
-652.8
-59.86%
1,068
-654.6
-61.30%
1,047
-606.9
-57.97%
1,029
-582.8
-56.62%
1,005
-534.3
-53.17%
982
-504.9
-51.39%
968
-464.4
-47.99%
-601.01
-56.35%
692
804
800
822
848
877
903
934
969.8 1,126.7 1,012.3 1,090.5 1,018.4 1,049.0
996.8 1,002.4
140.12% 140.21% 126.57% 132.62% 120.05% 119.56% 110.39% 107.32%
961
960.4
99.89%
986
963.0
97.65%
1,018.92
119.44%
Former Soviet Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
Rest of World
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table A.22. Su
unflower Seed Production and Consumption
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
Argentina
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
4,435
-1.1
-0.02%
4,405
318.1
7.22%
4,429
91.9
2.07%
4,515
233.2
5.17%
4,567
120.9
2.65%
4,638
215.1
4.64%
4,711
161.7
3.43%
4,780
227.9
4.77%
4,844
196.2
4.05%
4,917
248.5
5.05%
181.25
3.90%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
3,954
-92.7
-2.35%
3,993
-146.1
-3.66%
4,074
-137.8
-3.38%
4,155
-146.2
-3.52%
4,240
-140.9
-3.32%
4,329
-144.3
-3.33%
4,415
-139.6
-3.16%
4,502
-141.9
-3.15%
4,590
-139.0
-3.03%
4,680
-139.5
-2.98%
-136.81
-3.19%
China
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,982
-0.2
-0.01%
1,981
-24.4
-1.23%
1,986
-40.9
-2.06%
2,002
-33.3
-1.66%
2,042
-42.9
-2.10%
2,053
-36.4
-1.77%
2,074
-40.4
-1.95%
2,099
-39.2
-1.87%
2,122
-41.5
-1.96%
2,142
-39.4
-1.84%
-33.85
-1.64%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,936
8.9
0.46%
1,943
5.6
0.29%
1,954
-2.8
-0.14%
1,974
1.9
0.10%
2,009
-2.4
-0.12%
2,027
1.4
0.07%
2,050
-0.7
-0.03%
2,075
0.8
0.04%
2,098
-0.7
-0.03%
2,119
0.7
0.03%
1.27
0.07%
Eastern Europe
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,343
0.0
0.00%
2,350
10.2
0.43%
2,412
-36.4
-1.51%
2,493
-8.6
-0.35%
2,576
-32.8
-1.27%
2,654
-14.9
-0.56%
2,728
-25.1
-0.92%
2,809
-13.9
-0.50%
2,894
-19.7
-0.68%
2,981
-11.7
-0.39%
-15.30
-0.57%
1,808
531.4
29.39%
1,819
567.5
31.20%
1,868
474.7
25.42%
1,949
531.6
27.28%
2,008
477.0
23.75%
2,054
494.8
24.08%
2,110
459.1
21.76%
2,170
466.5
21.50%
2,232
440.7
19.74%
2,292
448.0
19.54%
489.12
24.37%
6,140
0.0
0.00%
6,260
600.1
9.59%
6,311
400.1
6.34%
6,411
514.4
8.02%
6,510
417.7
6.42%
6,598
497.4
7.54%
6,699
452.7
6.76%
6,793
506.0
7.45%
6,887
478.2
6.94%
6,973
517.5
7.42%
438.41
6.65%
5,304
-636.9
-12.01%
5,305
-65.8
-1.24%
5,340
-267.8
-5.02%
5,432
-130.6
-2.40%
5,524
-225.8
-4.09%
5,611
-137.3
-2.45%
5,708
-178.0
-3.12%
5,798
-115.3
-1.99%
5,887
-138.7
-2.36%
5,971
-93.8
-1.57%
-199.00
-3.62%
3,435
-41.3
-1.20%
3,412
-85.6
-2.51%
3,424
-157.5
-4.60%
3,480
-70.3
-2.02%
3,528
-123.6
-3.50%
3,580
-133.3
-3.72%
3,626
-187.5
-5.17%
3,680
-216.0
-5.87%
3,730
-269.8
-7.23%
3,770
-296.0
-7.85%
-158.08
-4.37%
4,595
-765.9
-16.67%
4,517
-717.9
-15.89%
4,533
-792.1
-17.47%
4,566
-734.1
-16.08%
4,594
-770.3
-16.77%
4,625
-745.0
-16.11%
4,652
-765.3
-16.45%
4,682
-753.1
-16.08%
4,710
-770.8
-16.36%
4,735
-761.6
-16.09%
-757.60
-16.40%
5,497
0.0
0.00%
5,449
-82.4
-1.51%
5,476
-149.2
-2.72%
5,524
-111.2
-2.01%
5,568
-144.4
-2.59%
5,610
-117.3
-2.09%
5,656
-133.2
-2.36%
5,702
-115.2
-2.02%
5,748
-124.3
-2.16%
5,792
-111.3
-1.92%
-108.85
-1.94%
6,258
925.2
14.78%
6,221
1,022.9
16.44%
6,265
877.8
14.01%
6,344
969.7
15.29%
6,410
882.5
13.77%
6,484
927.7
14.31%
6,555
869.2
13.26%
6,632
885.2
13.35%
6,705
840.4
12.53%
6,776
851.1
12.56%
905.18
14.03%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Former Soviet Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
European Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Rest of World
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table A.23. Su
unflower Seed Meal Price and Trade
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
113
-6.3
-5.61%
122
-15.9
-13.00%
127
-12.9
-10.21%
129
-17.2
-13.30%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,732
15.1
0.87%
1,796
146.8
8.18%
1,830
88.7
4.85%
1,899
98.4
5.18%
Exports of Selected Cou
untries
Argentina
Baseline
1,452
Change
-59.5
% chg
-4.09%
1,491
-101.8
-6.83%
1,514
-67.8
-4.48%
1,543
-91.0
-5.89%
1,581
-71.6
-4.53%
1,617
-80.0
-4.95%
China
Baseline
Change
% chg
0
33.2
N/A
0
9.2
N/A
0
-1.3
N/A
0
-16.3
N/A
0
-20.5
N/A
34
291.4
854.1%
44
311.0
709.9%
49
289.0
593.0%
74
305.1
411.1%
246
-250.1
-101.8%
261
-71.6
-27.4%
267
-131.2
-49.1%
Imports of Selected Coun
untries
European Union
Baseline
1,420
Change
469.1
% chg
33.03%
1,425
566.3
39.73%
381
-419.5
-110.2%
Eastern Europe
Baseline
Change
% chg
Former Soviet Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
Rest of World
Baseline
Change
% chg
322
-454.0
-141.2%
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
133
136
139
-14.8
-15.1
-12.6
-11.13% -11.10%
-9.09%
141
-12.8
-9.10%
144
-11.0
-7.65%
147
-9.9
-6.75%
-12.86
-9.69%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
1,958
2,007
2,065
76.2
100.3
98.0
3.89%
5.00%
4.74%
2,124
112.1
5.28%
2,184
98.2
4.49%
2,246
100.8
4.49%
93.47
4.70%
1,650
-69.9
-4.23%
1,685
-77.6
-4.61%
1,723
-70.3
-4.08%
1,762
-71.3
-4.05%
-76.07
-4.77%
0
-37.5
N/A
0
-47.6
N/A
0
-57.3
N/A
0
-65.8
N/A
0
-75.9
N/A
-27.98
N/A
79
290.7
368.9%
75
306.4
408.5%
80
304.0
380.8%
85
311.4
367.9%
91
301.1
332.5%
96
302.6
316.1%
301.27
474.28%
282
-99.4
-35.2%
299
-122.3
-41.0%
315
-88.5
-28.1%
335
-88.6
-26.4%
354
-64.4
-18.2%
370
-66.8
-18.0%
388
-54.6
-14.1%
-103.75
-35.9%
1,408
476.6
33.85%
1,427
494.5
34.66%
1,429
459.3
32.14%
1,425
497.5
34.90%
1,429
490.6
34.34%
1,436
509.3
35.47%
1,446
491.9
34.01%
1,459
503.2
34.49%
495.84
34.66%
432
-387.9
-89.7%
482
-396.1
-82.1%
539
-383.1
-71.1%
592
-397.1
-67.1%
646
-392.6
-60.7%
697
-397.2
-56.9%
748
-393.7
-52.6%
797
-402.4
-50.5%
-402.36
-78.2%
Table A.24. Su
unflower Seed Meal Production and Consumption
02/03
Argentina
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
1,636
-38.7
-2.37%
1,653
-62.3
-3.77%
1,687
-58.0
-3.44%
1,721
-62.0
-3.60%
1,757
-59.4
-3.38%
1,794
-61.2
-3.41%
1,830
-59.0
-3.22%
1,867
-60.2
-3.22%
1,904
-58.8
-3.09%
1,941
-59.2
-3.05%
-57.88
-3.26%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
189
7.8
4.12%
183
19.6
10.73%
182
15.9
8.71%
184
20.1
10.94%
184
17.2
9.33%
184
18.1
9.80%
186
16.0
8.61%
187
16.9
9.04%
180
15.3
8.49%
183
14.3
7.82%
16.11
8.76%
China
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
595
0.1
0.01%
598
-6.8
-1.13%
601
-7.7
-1.29%
608
-7.8
-1.28%
622
-8.2
-1.32%
626
-7.4
-1.18%
634
-7.3
-1.16%
644
-7.3
-1.13%
653
-7.1
-1.09%
662
-6.7
-1.02%
-6.63
-1.06%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
595
-33.2
-5.57%
598
-15.9
-2.67%
601
-6.5
-1.08%
608
8.6
1.41%
622
12.3
1.97%
626
30.1
4.82%
634
40.3
6.36%
644
50.0
7.77%
653
58.6
8.97%
662
69.2
10.46%
21.35
3.24%
Eastern Europe
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
872
264.5
30.34%
876
281.4
32.10%
900
236.2
26.25%
940
263.8
28.08%
968
237.3
24.51%
990
245.8
24.83%
1,016
228.3
22.47%
1,045
231.8
22.18%
1,075
219.2
20.38%
1,104
222.7
20.17%
243.09
25.13%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
837
-27.7
-3.31%
833
-30.7
-3.68%
851
-52.4
-6.15%
865
-41.7
-4.82%
889
-53.1
-5.97%
914
-60.6
-6.62%
936
-75.4
-8.05%
960
-79.6
-8.29%
984
-81.8
-8.31%
1,008
-79.8
-7.91%
-58.26
-6.31%
2,045
-255.3
-12.48%
2,042
-37.2
-1.82%
2,054
-114.0
-5.55%
2,089
-61.1
-2.93%
2,123
-97.2
-4.58%
2,155
-62.9
-2.92%
2,191
-78.1
-3.56%
2,224
-53.6
-2.41%
2,256
-62.1
-2.75%
2,286
-44.5
-1.95%
-86.61
-4.10%
1,799
-6.0
-0.33%
1,781
33.4
1.87%
1,787
17.5
0.98%
1,807
37.8
2.09%
1,824
25.4
1.39%
1,840
25.6
1.39%
1,856
10.8
0.58%
1,870
10.8
0.58%
1,886
4.9
0.26%
1,898
10.2
0.54%
17.05
0.94%
2,152
-398.6
-18.52%
2,108
-378.0
-17.93%
2,118
-407.3
-19.23%
2,132
-387.3
-18.16%
2,145
-400.0
-18.65%
2,159
-387.8
-17.96%
2,171
-393.2
-18.11%
2,184
-386.1
-17.68%
2,197
-391.0
-17.80%
2,208
-385.3
-17.45%
-391.46
-18.15%
3,560
60.3
1.70%
3,535
174.6
4.94%
3,530
74.0
2.10%
3,560
101.3
2.85%
3,576
63.1
1.77%
3,585
109.6
3.06%
3,600
101.2
2.81%
3,620
123.2
3.40%
3,643
103.6
2.84%
3,668
119.6
3.26%
103.06
2.87%
2,396
482.2
20.13%
2,368
525.1
22.18%
2,381
469.1
19.70%
2,412
509.0
21.10%
2,437
475.1
19.50%
2,465
495.7
20.11%
2,493
473.3
18.99%
2,523
481.8
19.10%
2,551
465.3
18.24%
2,578
472.0
18.30%
484.86
19.73%
2,717
27.5
1.01%
2,749
104.9
3.82%
2,814
81.4
2.89%
2,894
112.6
3.89%
2,976
92.2
3.10%
3,057
98.6
3.22%
3,139
80.9
2.58%
3,220
84.6
2.63%
3,299
71.7
2.17%
3,375
69.7
2.06%
82.42
2.74%
Former Soviet Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
European Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Rest of World
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table A.25. Su
unflower Seed Oil Price and Trade
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
546
54.3
9.94%
529
23.3
4.41%
535
43.0
8.03%
539
30.4
5.64%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,210
-169.0
-13.96%
1,160
-55.1
-4.75%
1,187
-76.9
-6.48%
1,225
-60.7
-4.95%
Exports of Selected Cou
untries
Argentina
Baseline
1,021
Change
-5.1
% chg
-0.50%
1,019
-60.0
-5.89%
1,049
-34.8
-3.31%
China
Baseline
Change
% chg
0
-1.4
N/A
0
-13.7
N/A
Eastern Europe
Baseline
Change
% chg
-121
205.0
-169.3%
Former Soviet Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
09/10
10/11
11/12
563
36.9
6.55%
569
42.3
7.43%
576
39.8
6.91%
38.61
7.00%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
1,267
1,307
1,347
-67.0
-50.5
-46.9
-5.29%
-3.87%
-3.48%
1,383
-32.4
-2.35%
1,417
-27.3
-1.93%
1,451
-16.5
-1.14%
-60.24
-4.82%
1,075
-51.9
-4.83%
1,103
-37.6
-3.41%
1,133
-46.0
-4.06%
1,161
-36.4
-3.13%
1,189
-41.0
-3.45%
1,218
-34.0
-2.79%
1,249
-37.1
-2.97%
-38.40
-3.44%
0
-20.0
N/A
0
-27.6
N/A
0
-31.2
N/A
0
-39.7
N/A
0
-46.5
N/A
0
-53.4
N/A
0
-60.5
N/A
0
-68.4
N/A
-36.25
N/A
-139
204.6
-146.9%
-132
180.7
-136.9%
-113
195.6
-173.3%
-104
180.5
-173.3%
-103
183.9
-179.1%
-96
173.3
-180.9%
-88
174.1
-198.9%
-79
166.3
-211.0%
-71
167.7
-235.2%
183.16
-180.49%
189
-163.8
-86.70%
142
5.0
3.50%
138
-42.1
-30.63%
151
-8.8
-5.81%
164
-29.4
-17.91%
174
-4.5
-2.58%
186
-10.6
-5.68%
194
8.5
4.42%
199
6.7
3.35%
202
20.6
10.22%
-21.84
-12.78%
Imports of Selected Coun
untries
European Union
Baseline
98
Change
226.6
% chg
232.3%
204
268.7
131.8%
188
244.8
130.0%
194
255.4
131.9%
196
241.6
123.3%
197
245.2
124.6%
200
235.2
117.8%
202
236.4
117.1%
205
229.1
111.9%
208
228.8
110.0%
241.18
133.1%
806
-132.8
-16.48%
855
-161.1
-18.83%
908
-148.1
-16.31%
956
-159.3
-16.66%
997
-151.6
-15.20%
1,041
-155.3
-14.92%
1,083
-148.2
-13.69%
1,122
-150.7
-13.43%
1,161
-146.0
-12.58%
-154.51
-15.77%
Rest of World
Baseline
Change
% chg
981
-192.1
-19.58%
06/07
07/08
08/09
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
544
551
557
41.2
34.3
40.8
7.56%
6.22%
7.32%
Average
Table A.26. Su
unflower Seed Oil Production and Consumption
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
Argentina
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,558
-36.9
-2.37%
1,574
-59.4
-3.77%
1,607
-55.2
-3.44%
1,639
-59.1
-3.60%
1,673
-56.6
-3.38%
1,709
-58.2
-3.41%
1,743
-56.2
-3.22%
1,778
-57.3
-3.22%
1,813
-56.0
-3.09%
1,849
-56.4
-3.05%
-55.12
-3.26%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
539
-23.6
-4.39%
554
-4.6
-0.84%
559
-17.1
-3.05%
565
-9.4
-1.66%
571
-17.1
-2.99%
577
-13.4
-2.33%
583
-18.7
-3.20%
590
-17.0
-2.88%
596
-21.0
-3.53%
601
-19.7
-3.27%
-16.16
-2.81%
China
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
226
0.0
0.01%
227
-2.6
-1.13%
228
-2.9
-1.29%
231
-2.9
-1.28%
236
-3.1
-1.32%
237
-2.8
-1.18%
240
-2.8
-1.16%
244
-2.8
-1.13%
248
-2.7
-1.09%
251
-2.5
-1.02%
-2.51
-1.06%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
226
1.5
0.65%
227
11.2
4.93%
228
17.1
7.50%
231
24.7
10.70%
236
28.1
11.90%
237
36.9
15.53%
240
43.7
18.18%
244
50.6
20.74%
248
57.8
23.33%
251
65.8
26.24%
33.74
13.97%
697
211.6
30.34%
701
225.1
32.10%
720
189.0
26.25%
752
211.1
28.08%
775
189.8
24.51%
792
196.6
24.83%
813
182.7
22.47%
836
185.5
22.18%
860
175.3
20.38%
883
178.2
20.17%
194.47
25.13%
816
6.0
0.73%
838
18.8
2.24%
851
9.4
1.10%
864
14.8
1.71%
878
9.9
1.13%
893
12.4
1.39%
908
9.7
1.07%
923
11.2
1.22%
938
9.3
0.99%
954
10.4
1.09%
11.18
1.27%
2,095
-261.6
-12.48%
2,092
-38.1
-1.82%
2,105
-116.8
-5.55%
2,140
-62.6
-2.93%
2,175
-99.6
-4.58%
2,208
-64.4
-2.92%
2,244
-80.0
-3.56%
2,278
-54.9
-2.41%
2,311
-63.7
-2.75%
2,342
-45.6
-1.95%
-88.72
-4.10%
1,902
-91.5
-4.81%
1,947
-46.7
-2.40%
1,966
-72.6
-3.69%
1,988
-55.3
-2.78%
2,010
-69.1
-3.44%
2,033
-60.7
-2.99%
2,058
-68.9
-3.35%
2,084
-63.9
-3.07%
2,111
-69.9
-3.31%
2,140
-66.5
-3.11%
-66.51
-3.29%
1,739
-321.9
-18.52%
1,702
-305.3
-17.93%
1,710
-329.0
-19.23%
1,722
-312.8
-18.16%
1,732
-323.1
-18.65%
1,744
-313.2
-17.96%
1,754
-317.6
-18.11%
1,764
-311.9
-17.68%
1,774
-315.8
-17.80%
1,783
-311.2
-17.45%
-316.18
-18.15%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,819
-88.0
-4.84%
1,887
-47.6
-2.52%
1,899
-77.4
-4.08%
1,914
-61.9
-3.23%
1,927
-78.0
-4.05%
1,939
-70.4
-3.63%
1,952
-80.4
-4.12%
1,965
-76.9
-3.91%
1,978
-85.1
-4.30%
1,990
-83.4
-4.19%
-74.91
-3.89%
Rest of World
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,183
366.9
16.81%
2,157
402.5
18.66%
2,170
348.2
16.05%
2,198
382.5
17.40%
2,220
349.7
15.75%
2,246
366.6
16.32%
2,271
344.5
15.17%
2,298
350.2
15.24%
2,324
333.2
14.33%
2,349
337.1
14.35%
358.15
16.01%
3,156
165.4
5.24%
2,957
264.0
8.93%
3,024
191.3
6.33%
3,104
232.1
7.48%
3,175
192.7
6.07%
3,242
213.8
6.60%
3,311
190.5
5.75%
3,380
201.4
5.96%
3,446
183.4
5.32%
3,510
190.7
5.43%
202.52
6.31%
Eastern Europe
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Former Soviet Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
European Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table A.27. Pe
eanut Price and Trade
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
1,039
-89.0
-8.57%
1,063
-234.3
-22.05%
1,068
-275.4
-25.79%
1,076
-249.6
-23.20%
192
2.9
1.49%
218
38.7
17.78%
221
35.3
15.92%
226
40.4
17.87%
231
36.1
15.62%
236
40.2
17.02%
China
Baseline
Change
% chg
529
-92.5
-17.46%
484
-104.2
-21.53%
482
-91.4
-18.95%
480
-110.1
-22.93%
475
-104.5
-22.01%
India
Baseline
Change
% chg
116
173.7
149.81%
145
40.8
28.14%
150
-18.9
-12.65%
155
-1.7
-1.11%
United States
Baseline
Change
% chg
202
-173.1
-85.90%
216
-209.6
-97.04%
214
-200.3
-93.44%
untries
Imports of Selected Coun
Canada
Baseline
122
Change
-11.6
% chg
-9.58%
123
-7.8
-6.29%
454
-32.3
-7.1%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
Exports of Selected Cou
Argentina
Baseline
Change
% chg
European Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
Mexico
Baseline
Change
% chg
Rest of World
Baseline
Change
% chg
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
1,079
1,077
1,082
-267.9
-243.8
-264.1
-24.84% -22.64% -24.42%
1,087
-250.2
-23.00%
1,091
-266.3
-24.42%
1,091
-254.2
-23.29%
-239.47
-22.22%
242
36.1
14.91%
247
40.3
16.33%
251
36.5
14.54%
255
39.8
15.59%
34.63
14.71%
464
-118.0
-25.42%
460
-115.0
-24.97%
459
-130.5
-28.40%
456
-127.6
-27.98%
451
-139.8
-31.00%
-113.35
-24.07%
159
-42.6
-26.85%
163
-35.4
-21.67%
167
-77.9
-46.66%
170
-76.8
-45.17%
173
-114.5
-66.27%
176
-120.0
-68.13%
-27.32
-11.06%
214
-178.2
-83.26%
214
-157.0
-73.28%
213
-130.7
-61.31%
212
-107.3
-50.60%
211
-83.2
-39.40%
210
-60.6
-28.78%
209
-34.2
-16.38%
-133.43
-62.94%
124
-10.8
-8.70%
125
-8.8
-7.07%
126
-10.9
-8.68%
127
-9.6
-7.59%
128
-11.6
-9.05%
129
-10.6
-8.21%
130
-12.2
-9.40%
131
-11.5
-8.81%
-10.55
-8.34%
470
-17.3
-3.7%
471
-27.8
-5.9%
475
-20.8
-4.4%
478
-27.8
-5.8%
481
-22.8
-4.7%
485
-28.8
-5.9%
490
-25.0
-5.1%
494
-30.0
-6.1%
498
-27.1
-5.4%
-25.95
-5.41%
104
-32.8
-31.47%
107
-27.9
-26.03%
111
-36.2
-32.60%
114
-31.8
-27.82%
116
-37.7
-32.42%
119
-34.8
-29.27%
122
-40.1
-32.94%
125
-38.3
-30.67%
128
-43.0
-33.67%
130
-41.9
-32.31%
-36.45
-30.92%
273
-12.3
-4.50%
276
-181.3
-65.66%
275
-200.6
-72.86%
275
-188.1
-68.39%
272
-191.6
-70.37%
264
-176.7
-66.94%
261
-183.6
-70.45%
258
-176.3
-68.29%
253
-181.1
-71.53%
246
-173.6
-70.47%
-166.52
-62.95%
Table A.28. Pe
eanut Production and Consumption
02/03
Argentina
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
357
-0.3
-0.09%
389
43.4
11.15%
396
37.1
9.38%
403
48.8
12.12%
410
44.2
10.77%
417
54.6
13.07%
426
51.3
12.04%
434
62.1
14.32%
441
60.2
13.65%
449
70.4
15.70%
47.17
11.21%
168
0.3
0.18%
172
4.0
2.32%
174
2.8
1.60%
177
7.9
4.49%
179
8.7
4.88%
181
14.0
7.74%
184
15.9
8.61%
187
21.6
11.55%
190
24.4
12.79%
194
30.5
15.77%
13.02
6.99%
China
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
13,628
-1.3
-0.01%
13,725
127.7
0.93%
13,775
69.2
0.50%
13,774
174.2
1.26%
13,775
118.1
0.86%
13,748
203.8
1.48%
13,806
137.7
1.00%
13,901
195.6
1.41%
13,981
164.7
1.18%
14,031
233.6
1.66%
142.34
1.03%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
13,098
91.2
0.70%
13,241
231.9
1.75%
13,292
160.6
1.21%
13,294
284.3
2.14%
13,301
222.6
1.67%
13,284
321.8
2.42%
13,345
252.7
1.89%
13,441
326.1
2.43%
13,525
292.3
2.16%
13,580
373.4
2.75%
255.69
1.91%
India
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
7,575
0.0
0.00%
7,824
-183.7
-2.35%
7,916
-223.7
-2.83%
7,977
-157.8
-1.98%
8,055
-183.1
-2.27%
8,140
-137.3
-1.69%
8,226
-157.7
-1.92%
8,313
-116.9
-1.41%
8,396
-128.9
-1.54%
8,481
-93.4
-1.10%
-138.26
-1.71%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
7,459
-173.7
-2.33%
7,679
-224.5
-2.92%
7,767
-204.8
-2.64%
7,822
-156.1
-2.00%
7,896
-140.5
-1.78%
7,977
-101.9
-1.28%
8,060
-79.8
-0.99%
8,143
-40.1
-0.49%
8,223
-14.4
-0.18%
8,304
26.5
0.32%
-110.94
-1.43%
United States
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,598
0.5
0.03%
1,694
-30.1
-1.77%
1,690
-57.7
-3.41%
1,695
-1.3
-0.08%
1,702
-18.3
-1.08%
1,703
28.8
1.69%
1,707
24.1
1.41%
1,712
63.8
3.73%
1,717
61.3
3.57%
1,719
100.5
5.84%
17.16
0.99%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,457
176.5
12.12%
1,472
180.2
12.25%
1,478
158.7
10.74%
1,484
165.7
11.17%
1,489
148.7
9.99%
1,493
151.4
10.14%
1,498
137.9
9.21%
1,503
140.0
9.31%
1,508
127.9
8.48%
1,514
128.3
8.47%
151.54
10.19%
European Union
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
457
-27.1
-5.92%
469
-18.8
-4.01%
472
-26.4
-5.59%
476
-21.6
-4.54%
479
-26.8
-5.58%
483
-23.3
-4.83%
486
-27.9
-5.73%
491
-25.4
-5.17%
495
-29.2
-5.90%
499
-27.4
-5.48%
-25.37
-5.28%
8,598
0.0
0.00%
8,841
341.6
3.86%
8,903
241.5
2.71%
8,983
349.8
3.89%
9,063
284.6
3.14%
9,144
369.1
4.04%
9,229
325.1
3.52%
9,313
403.4
4.33%
9,394
374.7
3.99%
9,476
444.2
4.69%
313.39
3.42%
8,876
-1.7
-0.02%
9,115
156.4
1.72%
9,178
45.1
0.49%
9,258
159.2
1.72%
9,335
96.0
1.03%
9,407
190.7
2.03%
9,489
144.0
1.52%
9,570
225.9
2.36%
9,646
195.8
2.03%
9,722
269.8
2.78%
148.12
1.56%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Rest of World
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table A.29. Pa
alm Oil Price and Trade
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
370
35.3
9.56%
412
25.8
6.27%
437
19.9
4.55%
450
16.1
3.58%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
15,281
200.9
1.31%
15,387
245.5
1.60%
15,676
324.8
2.07%
Exports of Selected Cou
untries
Malaysia
Baseline
10,498
Change
94.1
% chg
0.90%
10,548
98.4
0.93%
Indonesia
Baseline
Change
% chg
4,783
106.7
2.23%
Imports of Selected Coun
untries
China
Baseline
2,148
Change
6.7
% chg
0.31%
European Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
India
Baseline
Change
% chg
Rest of World
Baseline
Change
% chg
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
460
471
483
16.2
16.1
17.6
3.53%
3.41%
3.65%
498
18.4
3.70%
514
19.9
3.86%
531
20.3
3.82%
20.57
4.59%
16,015
352.1
2.20%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
16,382
16,751
17,129
370.2
374.6
382.9
2.26%
2.24%
2.24%
17,508
390.0
2.23%
17,900
401.5
2.24%
18,308
411.5
2.25%
345.39
2.06%
10,753
151.5
1.41%
10,991
168.8
1.54%
11,247
179.2
1.59%
11,494
180.1
1.57%
11,737
184.0
1.57%
11,969
187.3
1.56%
12,202
194.2
1.59%
12,442
200.7
1.61%
163.83
1.43%
4,839
147.1
3.04%
4,923
173.3
3.52%
5,024
183.3
3.65%
5,135
191.0
3.72%
5,257
194.5
3.70%
5,392
198.9
3.69%
5,540
202.7
3.66%
5,698
207.3
3.64%
5,866
210.7
3.59%
181.56
3.44%
2,183
12.7
0.58%
2,241
22.0
0.98%
2,316
23.8
1.03%
2,394
25.6
1.07%
2,476
24.4
0.98%
2,562
25.0
0.98%
2,653
25.0
0.94%
2,747
26.2
0.95%
2,842
26.7
0.94%
21.81
0.88%
2,527
-25.1
-0.99%
2,544
-6.8
-0.27%
2,562
4.0
0.16%
2,599
5.9
0.23%
2,640
6.8
0.26%
2,677
5.6
0.21%
2,714
4.6
0.17%
2,748
3.4
0.12%
2,784
3.1
0.11%
2,822
2.9
0.10%
0.44
0.01%
4,082
290.3
7.11%
4,142
257.3
6.21%
4,287
269.1
6.28%
4,425
279.4
6.31%
4,583
286.8
6.26%
4,744
292.8
6.17%
4,909
300.1
6.11%
5,077
309.5
6.10%
5,254
319.3
6.08%
5,442
329.0
6.05%
293.35
6.27%
6,381
-71.0
-1.11%
6,375
-17.6
-0.28%
6,442
29.7
0.46%
6,531
43.0
0.66%
6,623
51.0
0.77%
6,711
51.8
0.77%
6,802
53.1
0.78%
6,887
52.1
0.76%
6,972
52.9
0.76%
7,060
52.9
0.75%
29.79
0.43%
Table A.30. Pa
alm Oil Production and Consumption
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
Malaysia
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
12,089
0.0
0.00%
12,225
103.5
0.85%
12,458
150.1
1.21%
12,781
167.0
1.31%
13,100
171.0
1.30%
13,398
172.9
1.29%
13,683
173.2
1.27%
13,963
177.6
1.27%
14,250
183.3
1.29%
14,545
191.4
1.32%
149.01
1.11%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,692
-30.1
-1.78%
1,713
-18.2
-1.06%
1,738
-12.5
-0.72%
1,783
-9.0
-0.50%
1,836
-8.8
-0.48%
1,891
-8.3
-0.44%
1,942
-9.1
-0.47%
1,994
-9.3
-0.47%
2,048
-9.8
-0.48%
2,103
-9.7
-0.46%
-12.48
-0.69%
8,087
0.0
0.00%
8,162
73.9
0.91%
8,314
113.1
1.36%
8,497
131.3
1.54%
8,694
139.8
1.61%
8,898
145.2
1.63%
9,109
148.3
1.63%
9,329
152.4
1.63%
9,558
156.2
1.63%
9,796
160.7
1.64%
122.09
1.36%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
3,311
-96.7
-2.92%
3,331
-75.2
-2.26%
3,394
-61.4
-1.81%
3,474
-52.8
-1.52%
3,559
-51.3
-1.44%
3,641
-49.4
-1.36%
3,718
-50.4
-1.36%
3,790
-50.2
-1.33%
3,860
-50.8
-1.32%
3,930
-50.0
-1.27%
-58.83
-1.66%
China
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,148
6.7
0.31%
2,183
12.7
0.58%
2,241
22.0
0.98%
2,316
23.8
1.03%
2,394
25.6
1.07%
2,476
24.4
0.98%
2,562
25.0
0.98%
2,653
25.0
0.94%
2,747
26.2
0.95%
2,842
26.7
0.94%
21.81
0.88%
2,539
-19.5
-0.77%
2,548
-9.9
-0.39%
2,567
2.3
0.09%
2,601
4.9
0.19%
2,640
6.8
0.26%
2,678
5.5
0.21%
2,715
4.9
0.18%
2,750
3.5
0.13%
2,786
3.3
0.12%
2,823
2.8
0.10%
0.45
0.01%
India
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
39
0.0
0.00%
38
0.0
0.00%
41
0.0
0.00%
44
0.0
0.00%
47
-3.4
-7.12%
51
-4.0
-7.96%
53
-4.3
-8.00%
56
-4.4
-7.86%
58
-4.4
-7.54%
61
-4.4
-7.23%
-2.49
-4.57%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
4,168
189.9
4.56%
4,220
237.2
5.62%
4,337
262.4
6.05%
4,474
275.5
6.16%
4,630
283.2
6.12%
4,795
288.3
6.01%
4,964
295.7
5.96%
5,136
303.9
5.92%
5,316
314.0
5.91%
5,506
323.3
5.87%
277.34
5.82%
Rest of World
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
4,350
0.0
0.00%
4,342
2.2
0.05%
4,361
1.4
0.03%
4,413
-3.8
-0.09%
4,480
-7.4
-0.17%
4,548
-12.7
-0.28%
4,613
-17.1
-0.37%
4,676
-20.0
-0.43%
4,741
-21.3
-0.45%
4,808
-21.9
-0.46%
-10.07
-0.22%
10,763
-66.0
-0.61%
10,738
-23.5
-0.22%
10,813
26.2
0.24%
10,945
36.6
0.33%
11,101
43.6
0.39%
11,259
38.8
0.34%
11,415
36.6
0.32%
11,566
32.1
0.28%
11,716
31.9
0.27%
11,870
30.8
0.26%
18.70
0.16%
Indonesia
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
European Union
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table A.31. Cotton Price
P
and Trade
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
837
10.42
1.25%
911
154.37
16.95%
983
175.19
17.83%
1,041
169.88
16.32%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
4,363
134
3.06%
4,368
173
3.95%
4,367
240
5.51%
4,397
248
5.63%
Exports of Selected Countries
Africa
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,198
33.1
2.76%
1,211
146.0
12.06%
1,224
201.1
16.43%
1,238
186.7
15.07%
1,251
181.6
14.52%
Australia
Baseline
Change
% chg
650
13.3
2.04%
644
25.1
3.89%
649
19.9
3.07%
663
20.0
3.01%
683
18.8
2.76%
709
18.8
2.66%
737
18.8
2.55%
766
17.9
2.34%
Pakistan
Baseline
Change
% chg
8
-32.4
-410%
27
-13.9
-51%
28
-7.3
-26%
31
-13.1
-43%
34
-16.1
-48%
37
-19.4
-52%
40
-22.7
-57%
2,275
33.8
1.5%
2,299
-193.5
-8.4%
2,286
-193.1
-8.4%
2,283
-151.2
-6.6%
2,296
-119.0
-5.2%
2,320
-92.9
-4.0%
735
11.8
1.61%
722
39.1
5.41%
717
52.0
7.26%
714
49.3
6.91%
713
48.6
6.81%
712
47.6
6.68%
507
-90.9
-17.9%
538
-206.1
-38.3%
537
-212.9
-39.7%
576
-205.2
-35.7%
European Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
543
264.4
48.7%
514
471.4
91.7%
512
510.0
99.6%
India
Baseline
Change
% chg
385
-29.5
-7.7%
393
-81.5
-20.7%
Japan
Baseline
Change
% chg
237
-8.2
-3.45%
Mexico
Baseline
Change
% chg
353
13.6
3.86%
Turkey
Baseline
Change
% chg
424
-28.8
-6.79%
United States
Baseline
Change
% chg
Uzbekistan
Baseline
Change
% chg
Imports of Selected Countries
China
Baseline
Change
% chg
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
1,091
1,143
1,200
1,258
159.59 146.75 133.15 118.33
14.63% 12.84% 11.09% 9.40%
1,317
102.80
7.80%
1,378
87.21
6.33%
125.77
11.44%
4,635
320
6.91%
4,683
342
7.29%
259
5.75%
1,262
1,273
1,282
1,291
176.9
171.9
167.7
162.6
14.01% 13.50% 13.07% 12.60%
1,298
159.3
12.27%
158.68
12.63%
795
17.4
2.18%
825
17.0
2.06%
18.70
2.66%
44
-26.3
-60%
48
-29.8
-62%
54
-32.3
-60%
-21.35
-86.74%
2,347
-66.7
-2.8%
2,371
-36.6
-1.5%
2,394
-7.9
-0.3%
2,418
22.0
0.9%
-80.51
-3.50%
712
46.6
6.54%
711
45.7
6.43%
711
44.8
6.30%
711
44.0
6.20%
42.95
6.01%
613
-204.3
-33.3%
650
687
710
730
-203.0 -202.5 -201.4 -200.2
-31.2% -29.5% -28.4% -27.4%
751
-189.3
-25.2%
-191.58
-30.66%
496
506.7
102.2%
482
518.0
107.5%
466
447
428
410
524.6
532.4
542.3
550.9
112.7% 119.2% 126.6% 134.4%
390
558.8
143.4%
497.97
108.60%
400
-79.8
-20.0%
410
-76.7
-18.7%
421
-75.1
-17.9%
433
445
459
473
-73.2
-71.3
-69.4
-67.5
-16.9% -16.0% -15.1% -14.3%
488
-66.9
-13.71%
-69.09
-16.10%
228
-9.7
-4.27%
220
-6.7
-3.05%
214
-6.6
-3.10%
209
-6.3
-3.02%
204
200
196
193
-5.9
-5.6
-5.3
-5.0
-2.91% -2.81% -2.71% -2.61%
189
-4.9
-2.56%
-6.44
-3.05%
348
5.0
1.43%
346
8.3
2.40%
346
8.4
2.43%
347
8.7
2.52%
347
9.9
2.85%
347
10.0
2.90%
9.18
2.64%
423
411
-45.2
-48.1
-10.69% -11.71%
394
-41.3
-10.48%
388
-38.6
-9.95%
388
389
389
390
-38.1
-37.9
-36.9
-36.2
-9.82% -9.77% -9.49% -9.27%
393
-36.0
-9.18%
-38.72
-9.71%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
4,439
4,488
4,540
264
277
290
5.95%
6.17% 6.39%
348
9.0
2.59%
347
9.3
2.67%
4,588
306
6.67%
347
9.6
2.76%
Average
Table A.32. Cotton Production
P
and Consumption
02/03
Africa
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
1,800
-9.6
-0.53%
1,803
80.5
4.46%
1,820
151.5
8.32%
1,837
138.1
7.52%
1,852
134.6
7.27%
1,864
131.7
7.06%
1,877
128.6
6.85%
1,890
126.5
6.69%
1,903
123.2
6.48%
1,915
120.7
6.30%
112.58
6.04%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
596
-31.9
-5.3%
590
-57.8
-9.8%
588
-51.4
-8.7%
586
-49.1
-8.4%
587
-47.4
-8.1%
588
-45.6
-7.8%
590
-43.7
-7.4%
593
-41.7
-7.0%
597
-39.8
-6.7%
602
-38.8
-6.4%
-44.72
-7.56%
India
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,525
0.0
0.00%
2,543
11.9
0.47%
2,597
31.4
1.21%
2,668
27.6
1.03%
2,725
26.9
0.99%
2,775
26.2
0.94%
2,822
25.3
0.90%
2,870
24.6
0.86%
2,917
23.7
0.81%
2,963
22.8
0.77%
22.04
0.80%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,904
-23.0
-0.79%
2,931
-59.1
-2.01%
2,984
-51.0
-1.71%
3,058
-49.7
-1.62%
3,128
-48.8
-1.56%
3,192
3,253
3,314
3,375
-47.6
-46.6
-45.4
-44.4
-1.49% -1.43% -1.37% -1.32%
3,436
-44.3
-1.29%
-45.98
-1.46%
United States
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
3,908
-96.5
-2.5%
3,815
-696.8
-18.3%
3,772
-403.1
-10.7%
3,784
-300.4
-7.9%
3,802
-257.3
-6.8%
3,831
-121.8
-3.2%
3,840
-89.8
-2.3%
-254.22
-6.68%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,681
-47.1
-2.80%
1,649
-96.8
-5.87%
1,626
-102.0
-6.27%
1,609
-100.6
-6.26%
1,595
-96.4
-6.05%
1,580
1,566
1,553
1,539
-91.8
-88.3
-85.8
-80.8
-5.81% -5.64% -5.53% -5.25%
1,524
-76.6
-5.03%
-86.63
-5.45%
Uzbekistan
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,022
0.0
0.00%
1,011
30.9
3.05%
1,007
51.5
5.11%
1,006
47.7
4.74%
1,006
46.9
4.66%
1,010
43.3
4.29%
1,011
42.5
4.20%
39.80
3.95%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
287
-1.4
-0.50%
289
-2.3
-0.81%
290
-2.1
-0.73%
292
-2.1
-0.71%
293
-2.0
-0.70%
295
296
297
299
-2.0
-1.9
-1.9
-1.8
-0.67% -0.65% -0.63% -0.61%
300
-1.8
-0.60%
-1.95
-0.66%
4,769
0.0
0.00%
4,820
44.4
0.92%
4,864
96.8
1.99%
4,912
87.1
1.77%
4,957
86.9
1.75%
5,124
84.5
1.65%
5,166
82.9
1.61%
74.05
1.48%
5,350
-68.1
-1.27%
5,396
-136.4
-2.53%
5,439
-121.0
-2.22%
5,520
-118.9
-2.15%
5,611
-118.2
-2.11%
5,661
5,722
5,783
5,859
-117.5 -117.5 -117.0 -116.7
-2.08% -2.05% -2.02% -1.99%
5,930
-108.9
-1.84%
-114.02
-2.03%
545
0.0
0.0%
556
-430.0
-77.4%
564
-442.1
-78.4%
572
-444.4
-77.7%
580
-454.2
-78.2%
589
598
607
617
-461.0 -469.1 -478.4 -486.9
-78.3% -78.4% -78.8% -78.9%
627
-495.2
-79.0%
-416.14
-70.51%
1,073
67.0
6.24%
1,056
63.3
6.00%
1,062
64.2
6.05%
1,054
64.4
6.11%
1,048
64.5
6.16%
1,002
65.3
6.51%
64.85
6.24%
China
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
European Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
3,811
-224.7
-5.9%
1,007
46.0
4.57%
4,999
86.5
1.73%
1,041
64.7
6.22%
3,816
-195.2
-5.1%
1,008
45.1
4.47%
5,042
85.8
1.70%
1,031
64.9
6.29%
3,824
-156.6
-4.1%
1,009
44.3
4.39%
5,083
85.5
1.68%
1,022
65.0
6.37%
1,013
65.2
6.44%
Table A.33. Butter
B
Price and Trade
2002
2003
2004
2005
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,393
736.6
52.90%
1,456
643.0
44.16%
1,498
613.2
40.94%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
630
131.8
20.92%
628
86.6
13.80%
Exports of Selected Co
ountries
Argentina
Baseline
5
Change
5.3
% chg
112%
2008
2009
2010
2011
1,559
588.3
37.73%
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
1,585
1,629
1,690
613.1
626.3
633.9
38.67%
38.45%
37.51%
1,765
640.5
36.28%
1,836
636.9
34.69%
1,911
654.0
34.22%
638.59
39.56%
638
80.9
12.68%
650
52.2
8.04%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
668
683
691
58.7
43.6
37.7
8.79%
6.37%
5.46%
700
30.2
4.32%
709
18.5
2.61%
721
30.4
4.22%
57.07
8.72%
6
7.2
128%
6
7.5
135%
6
7.3
127%
6
7.6
135%
6
7.7
139%
6
7.7
134%
6
7.7
130%
6
7.6
125%
6
7.6
123%
7.30
129%
119
20.4
17.08%
121
24.0
19.79%
119
32.3
27.03%
118
34.6
29.43%
121
38.3
31.63%
122
39.9
32.63%
121
40.2
33.13%
122
40.6
33.26%
122
33.2
27.09%
124
30.8
24.92%
33.43
27.60%
76
-29.9
-39%
87
-132.1
-153%
95
-133.1
-140%
103
-118.7
-115%
111
-133.7
-121%
122
-128.3
-105%
128
-118.9
-93%
137
-111.5
-82%
146
-96.2
-66%
155
-77.0
-50%
-107.94
-96%
341
20.5
6.02%
323
30.8
9.54%
326
32.3
9.91%
330
31.3
9.48%
334
31.7
9.52%
337
32.2
9.54%
340
32.0
9.39%
342
31.8
9.28%
344
31.3
9.10%
346
31.2
9.01%
30.51
9.08%
Imports of Selected Co
ountries
Brazil
Baseline
6
Change
-5.6
% chg
-96%
6
-6.6
-116%
6
-6.4
-115%
4
-5.6
-127%
4
-6.3
-160%
3
-7.0
-201%
3
-7.5
-279%
2
-7.9
-453%
1
-8.0
-792%
0
-8.6
-2832%
-6.95
-517%
Canada
Baseline
Change
% chg
3
27.7
1051%
1
45.3
4413%
-1
47.4
-4325%
-1
46.5
-4546%
0
44.7
10585%
1
42.8
2867%
1
42.6
4101%
2
41.2
2550%
2
40.1
2002%
2
38.9
1637%
41.71
2033%
India
Baseline
Change
% chg
19
-135.5
-732%
20
-113.1
-580%
22
-101.5
-463%
22
-75.4
-341%
20
-83.6
-409%
17
-73.9
-427%
12
-59.6
-491%
14
-44.1
-322%
14
-23.1
-167%
17
-10.5
-61%
-72.04
-399%
Indonesia
Baseline
Change
% chg
14
1.9
13.75%
14
2.0
14.25%
15
2.1
14.33%
15
2.2
14.57%
15
2.2
14.46%
16
2.2
14.45%
16
2.3
14.50%
16
2.4
14.57%
16
2.4
14.68%
17
2.5
14.69%
2.22
14.42%
Japan
Baseline
Change
% chg
3
12.3
415%
1
15.2
1523%
1
16.4
1641%
1
16.8
1680%
1
17.3
1664%
3
15.6
562%
3
14.6
454%
4
13.2
349%
4
12.2
297%
4
11.4
277%
14.50
886%
Russia
Baseline
Change
% chg
112
-16.2
-14.49%
118
-17.2
-14.63%
125
-19.2
-15.28%
132
-16.3
-12.32%
141
-15.3
-10.85%
150
-13.3
-8.85%
158
-10.3
-6.52%
166
-6.4
-3.87%
174
-2.2
-1.26%
183
1.6
0.85%
-11.48
-8.72%
9
178.6
2072%
9
67.9
787%
9
66.9
776%
9
48.0
557%
9
45.0
522%
9
41.9
486%
9
30.7
356%
9
15.4
179%
9
-7.8
-90%
9
-8.6
-100%
47.80
555%
Australia
Baseline
Change
% chg
European Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
New Zealand
Baseline
Change
% chg
United States
Baseline
Change
% chg
2006
2007
Average
Table A.34. Butter
B
Production and Consumption
2002
Australia
Production
Baseline
WTO
Change
% chg
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
182
196
13.6
7.47%
182
212
29.6
16.26%
180
214
33.3
18.48%
179
214
35.0
19.59%
182
220
37.9
20.81%
184
224
39.6
21.49%
183
223
39.7
21.68%
184
224
40.0
21.77%
184
214
29.3
15.93%
186
216
30.2
16.30%
32.82
17.98%
Consumption
Baseline
WTO
Change
% chg
60
59
-1.2
-1.99%
61
60
-1.0
-1.63%
61
60
-0.9
-1.47%
61
61
-0.8
-1.34%
62
61
-0.9
-1.42%
62
61
-0.9
-1.42%
62
61
-0.8
-1.36%
62
61
-0.8
-1.33%
62
62
-0.8
-1.29%
62
62
-0.8
-1.31%
-0.90
-1.46%
European Union
Production
Baseline
WTO
Change
% chg
1,706
1,617
-88.5
-5.19%
1,704
1,643
-60.8
-3.56%
1,702
1,650
-52.4
-3.08%
1,703
1,649
-53.9
-3.17%
1,704
1,622
-81.5
-4.78%
1,705
1,612
-93.5
-5.49%
1,705
1,606
-99.6
-5.84%
1,703
1,599
-104.9
-6.16%
1,702
1,603
-98.8
-5.81%
1,700
1,608
-92.4
-5.43%
-82.62
-4.85%
Consumption
Baseline
WTO
Change
% chg
1,617
1,687
70.4
4.35%
1,614
1,685
71.9
4.46%
1,604
1,682
78.5
4.90%
1,605
1,664
59.0
3.67%
1,603
1,646
42.9
2.67%
1,594
1,619
25.1
1.57%
1,579
1,598
18.5
1.17%
1,566
1,575
8.6
0.55%
1,554
1,554
0.0
0.00%
1,542
1,531
-11.5
-0.75%
36.33
2.26%
New Zealand
Production
Baseline
WTO
Change
% chg
347
364
16.8
4.83%
351
378
27.7
7.89%
354
384
29.4
8.30%
358
387
28.6
7.97%
362
391
28.9
7.99%
366
395
29.3
8.02%
369
398
29.1
7.90%
371
400
29.0
7.80%
373
402
28.6
7.66%
375
403
28.4
7.58%
27.58
7.59%
Consumption
Baseline
WTO
Change
% chg
27
24
-3.8
-13.76%
28
25
-3.2
-11.43%
28
25
-2.9
-10.40%
28
26
-2.7
-9.66%
29
26
-2.8
-9.85%
29
26
-2.8
-9.82%
29
26
-2.8
-9.70%
29
26
-2.8
-9.60%
29
26
-2.7
-9.34%
29
27
-2.7
-9.38%
-2.93
-10.29%
United States
Production
Baseline
WTO
Change
% chg
546
408
-137.2
-25.1%
547
504
-42.3
-7.7%
549
510
-39.6
-7.2%
553
525
-27.9
-5.0%
555
534
-21.5
-3.9%
559
542
-17.4
-3.1%
560
554
-6.7
-1.2%
562
568
5.3
0.9%
564
587
22.6
4.0%
567
593
26.7
4.7%
-23.81
-4.37%
553
592
38.4
6.9%
555
582
26.5
4.8%
558
585
27.3
4.9%
562
582
20.6
3.7%
564
587
23.2
4.1%
568
592
24.4
4.3%
569
593
24.0
4.2%
571
592
21.0
3.7%
573
588
15.3
2.7%
575
593
17.9
3.1%
23.87
4.24%
Consumption
Baseline
WTO
Change
% chg
Table A.35. Cheese
C
Price and Trade
2002
2003
2004
2005
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,051
510.8
24.91%
2,108
579.0
27.47%
2,165
479.0
22.13%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
863
53.4
6.19%
887
51.7
5.83%
Exports of Selected Co
ountries
Argentina
Baseline
12
Change
7.1
% chg
59%
2008
2009
2010
2011
2,202
472.3
21.45%
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
2,221
2,266
2,334
507.4
514.7
495.4
22.85%
22.71%
21.22%
2,392
492.5
20.59%
2,445
495.0
20.25%
2,497
496.3
19.88%
504.24
22.34%
891
68.7
7.71%
914
78.4
8.58%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
946
976
995
43.8
38.7
36.7
4.63%
3.96%
3.69%
1,016
46.0
4.52%
1,034
50.5
4.89%
1,057
62.6
5.93%
53.05
5.59%
24
25.5
104%
18
24.3
139%
16
24.0
154%
12
27.4
228%
9
28.4
300%
9
26.8
292%
8
25.9
325%
6
24.9
402%
4
24.0
579%
23.82
258%
185
34.2
18.43%
181
22.6
12.46%
191
19.3
10.12%
195
26.3
13.47%
206
27.0
13.07%
213
28.3
13.32%
217
27.9
12.86%
225
28.7
12.74%
232
29.0
12.49%
240
29.4
12.24%
27.26
13.12%
281
-56.5
-20.12%
288
-72.9
-25.32%
277
-84.8
-30.63%
287
-107.5
-37.45%
301
-161.5
-53.61%
316
-175.8
-55.63%
321
-166.6
-51.90%
327
-150.8
-46.06%
334
343
-140.3
-132.7
-42.00% -38.73%
-124.94
-40.14%
New Zealand
Baseline
Change
% chg
271
13.9
5.15%
277
2.3
0.83%
293
2.1
0.70%
305
6.1
2.00%
315
10.1
3.20%
327
12.4
3.80%
336
12.8
3.82%
342
13.1
3.84%
346
12.8
3.69%
349
12.5
3.57%
9.81
3.06%
Switzerland
Baseline
Change
% chg
60
7.6
12.67%
57
14.1
24.69%
52
19.0
36.39%
46
19.5
42.24%
43
20.4
47.57%
41
20.7
50.43%
40
20.3
51.11%
40
19.8
50.06%
39
19.3
49.03%
39
18.7
47.71%
17.94
41.19%
Imports of Selected Co
ountries
Brazil
Baseline
5
Change
22.8
% chg
506%
-3
47.3
-1653%
-7
57.3
-809%
-6
55.0
-982%
-2
0
51.8
51.4
-3010% 110667%
1
53.4
4859%
3
54.3
1937%
6
55.1
944%
9
55.9
600%
50.42
11306%
Australia
Baseline
Change
% chg
European Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
2006
2007
Average
Canada
Baseline
Change
% chg
11
68.3
649%
11
62.3
587%
10
66.9
646%
10
67.5
680%
8
66.6
820%
8
65.2
811%
8
63.9
799%
8
62.5
783%
8
61.0
764%
8
59.7
746%
64.39
728%
Japan
Baseline
Change
% chg
200
46.0
22.97%
206
36.7
17.77%
210
30.1
14.33%
216
22.4
10.39%
222
14.6
6.58%
228
6.5
2.87%
234
-0.8
-0.32%
239
-8.0
-3.36%
244
-15.1
-6.20%
249
-22.4
-8.97%
11.02
5.61%
Mexico
Baseline
Change
% chg
60
-21.0
-35%
58
-41.1
-71%
57
-52.7
-92%
57
-57.8
-102%
56
-62.7
-112%
51
-65.9
-129%
49
-67.0
-137%
45
-67.0
-150%
39
-66.6
-170%
31
-66.1
-210%
-56.80
-121%
Russia
Baseline
Change
% chg
108
-31.3
-28.92%
113
-54.5
-48.25%
118
-56.8
-48.02%
125
-51.8
-41.29%
133
-49.3
-37.08%
140
-45.7
-32.68%
147
-41.2
-28.09%
153
-36.2
-23.57%
161
169
-31.5
-26.6
-19.56% -15.80%
-42.49
-32.33%
United States
Baseline
Change
% chg
138
-88.7
-64.10%
138
-66.6
-48%
137
-51.8
-38%
137
-53.8
-39%
137
-60.6
-44%
137
-66.7
-49%
137
-69.3
-50%
137
-72.1
-52%
137
-72.3
-53%
137
-79.2
-58%
-68.11
-49.50%
Table A.36. Cheese
C
Production and Consumption
2002
Australia
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
363
21.9
6.02%
376
16.0
4.26%
389
14.0
3.61%
401
15.6
3.88%
413
17.0
4.13%
425
18.2
4.28%
437
19.1
4.36%
449
19.8
4.40%
461
20.3
4.41%
473
20.8
4.39%
18.26
4.37%
183
-7.7
-4.19%
191
-8.5
-4.44%
198
-5.8
-2.91%
205
-9.2
-4.5%
207
-10.0
-4.8%
212
-10.0
-4.7%
218
-9.1
-4.2%
223
-8.9
-4.0%
228
-8.7
-3.8%
232
-8.6
-3.7%
-8.64
-4.13%
6,273
197.4
3.1%
6,304
7.3
0.1%
6,354
105.5
1.7%
6,434
-17.6
-0.3%
6,496
-101.6
-1.6%
6,560
-139.3
-2.1%
6,577
-117.7
-1.8%
6,612
-110.0
-1.7%
6,652
-110.1
-1.7%
6,693
-112.7
-1.7%
-39.89
-0.58%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
5,977
116.2
1.94%
6,032
88.4
1.47%
6,079
141.4
2.33%
6,136
116.0
1.89%
6,188
88.5
1.43%
6,237
62.7
1.01%
6,267
56.2
0.90%
6,297
48.9
0.78%
6,328
39.9
0.63%
6,359
30.4
0.48%
78.86
1.28%
New Zealand
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
296
11.7
3.96%
305
-0.1
-0.03%
322
0.1
0.02%
335
4.1
1.24%
346
8.0
2.32%
359
10.4
2.90%
368
10.9
2.95%
375
11.2
2.99%
380
10.9
2.86%
384
10.6
2.75%
7.78
2.20%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
27
-2.2
-8.3%
28
-2.4
-8.6%
29
-2.0
-7.0%
30
-1.9
-6.6%
31
-2.0
-6.7%
31
-2.0
-6.5%
32
-2.0
-6.1%
33
-1.9
-5.9%
34
-1.9
-5.7%
35
-1.9
-5.5%
-2.03
-6.67%
United States
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
3,898
98
2.5%
4,026
-10
-0.3%
4,141
-7
-0.2%
4,249
-11
-0.3%
4,358
-12
-0.3%
4,463
-11
-0.2%
4,574
-15
-0.3%
4,686
-17
-0.4%
4,803
-22
-0.5%
4,913
-17
-0.3%
-2.49
-0.02%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
4,022
13
0%
4,137
-32
-1%
4,248
-35
-1%
4,358
-41
-1%
4,467
-50
-1%
4,572
-55
-1%
4,683
-61
-1%
4,796
-66
-1%
4,913
-71
-1%
5,023
-75
-1%
-47.18
-1.01%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
European Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table A.37. Nonfat
N
Dry Milk Price and Trade
2002
2003
2004
2005
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,739
289.9
16.67%
1,772
693.9
39.17%
1,788
635.4
35.53%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
965
106.0
10.99%
954
32.4
3.39%
ountries
Exports of Selected Co
Argentina
Baseline
21
Change
3.3
% chg
15.17%
Australia
Baseline
Change
% chg
Canada
Baseline
Change
% chg
2008
2009
2010
2011
1,813
598.8
33.02%
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
1,843
1,880
1,932
602.6
595.7
575.6
32.69%
31.68%
29.79%
1,963
569.0
29.00%
1,993
575.3
28.86%
2,021
571.1
28.26%
570.72
30.47%
959
45.7
4.76%
971
51.2
5.27%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
986
997
1,001
59.6
63.3
66.7
6.04%
6.35%
6.66%
1,010
68.6
6.79%
1,021
66.7
6.53%
1,033
69.5
6.73%
62.96
6.35%
22
8.1
36.50%
22
8.3
37.37%
23
7.9
34.94%
23
8.1
34.99%
23
8.1
34.62%
24
7.9
33.06%
24
7.8
32.16%
25
7.8
31.33%
25
7.7
30.64%
7.50
32.08%
222
25.0
11.28%
227
58.3
25.71%
222
62.6
28.21%
217
66.5
30.66%
222
72.8
32.74%
224
75.9
33.85%
221
76.0
34.40%
220
76.7
34.88%
219
60.7
27.70%
220
57.9
26.32%
63.24
28.57%
36
-37.4
-105%
35
-71.9
-206%
37
-81.0
-216%
37
-81.1
-219%
35
-78.9
-229%
32
-76.8
-240%
32
-77.2
-241%
31
-76.4
-247%
30
-75.4
-255%
29
-74.7
-262%
-73.08
-222%
95
-35.9
-38%
106
-107.5
-102%
101
-121.5
-121%
104
-121.4
-116%
107
-126.9
-118%
111
-129.2
-117%
112
-120.5
-108%
112
-116.5
-104%
113
-106.9
-95%
113
-99.0
-87%
-108.53
-101%
New Zealand
Baseline
Change
% chg
198
12.3
6.23%
192
35.9
18.72%
196
39.0
19.92%
202
36.7
18.19%
208
36.9
17.77%
213
37.3
17.52%
218
36.8
16.91%
221
36.4
16.46%
224
35.7
15.94%
227
35.4
15.61%
34.26
16.33%
United States
Baseline
Change
% chg
178
154.7
86.76%
135
41.5
30.71%
130
36.7
28.29%
124
42.4
34.23%
115
47.4
41.33%
106
51.2
48.41%
97
58.5
60.56%
97
59.3
61.36%
97
65.3
67.63%
97
60.1
62.19%
61.71
52.15%
Imports of Selected Co
ountries
Brazil
Baseline
12
Change
-5.1
% chg
-43%
12
-15.2
-125%
13
-15.9
-123%
13
-15.3
-122%
12
-15.4
-128%
12
-15.7
-131%
12
-15.9
-135%
12
-16.2
-133%
13
-16.6
-132%
13
-17.0
-129%
-14.83
-120%
124
14.4
11.64%
126
14.8
11.70%
13.16
11.55%
55
57
-35.2
-39.0
-63.48% -67.87%
-22.86
-51.17%
European Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
2006
2007
Indonesia
Baseline
Change
% chg
101
13.3
13.22%
104
11.3
10.82%
107
11.8
11.02%
110
12.4
11.25%
113
12.7
11.28%
115
13.1
11.38%
118
13.7
11.55%
121
14.1
11.63%
Japan
Baseline
Change
% chg
42
-22.3
-53.02%
30
-16.5
-54.34%
28
-12.0
-43.13%
31
-13.0
-42.07%
41
-15.2
-36.97%
46
-19.9
-42.72%
50
-25.0
-50.30%
53
-30.6
-57.85%
Mexico
Baseline
Change
% chg
90
-6.0
-6.69%
95
-7.9
-8.33%
98
-8.3
-8.46%
102
-8.7
-8.60%
105
-9.3
-8.82%
107
-9.6
-8.95%
110
-9.7
-8.82%
113
-9.9
-8.71%
Russia
Baseline
Change
% chg
42
-4.1
-9.62%
43
-20.8
-48.58%
42
-25.0
-58.97%
39
-22.2
-56.47%
36
-20.3
-56.51%
33
-17.6
-53.98%
30
-14.4
-48.88%
26
-10.5
-40.56%
116
-10.1
-8.65%
Average
119
-10.2
-8.56%
-8.97
-8.46%
22
18
-6.8
-2.7
-30.26% -14.66%
-14.44
-41.85%
Table A.38. Nonfat
N
Dry Milk Production and Consumption
2002
Australia
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
264
23.4
8.88%
262
55.2
21.06%
256
62.6
24.40%
251
65.5
26.10%
256
71.0
27.69%
258
74.0
28.67%
255
74.2
29.13%
254
74.6
29.41%
253
54.0
21.35%
254
55.7
21.94%
61.02
23.86%
33
-1.6
-4.88%
34
-3.7
-10.94%
34
-3.2
-9.40%
34
-2.9
-8.40%
34
-2.9
-8.72%
34
-2.9
-8.53%
34
-2.6
-7.80%
34
-2.5
-7.53%
34
-2.5
-7.45%
33
-2.4
-7.35%
-2.73
-8.10%
972
-206.4
-21.22%
961
-122.3
-12.74%
946
-120.9
-12.78%
931
-105.5
-11.33%
922
-107.8
-11.69%
911
-105.3
-11.55%
907
-100.0
-11.03%
896
-91.2
-10.18%
884
-78.7
-8.90%
873
-65.1
-7.46%
-110.33
-11.89%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
861
65.3
7.59%
853
-13.0
-1.53%
845
1.2
0.14%
838
5.2
0.62%
828
4.9
0.59%
818
7.1
0.87%
802
13.6
1.69%
789
20.4
2.59%
776
24.2
3.12%
763
30.6
4.01%
15.94
1.97%
New Zealand
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
198
11.6
5.86%
203
34.2
16.85%
207
37.5
18.10%
214
35.4
16.56%
219
35.5
16.20%
225
36.0
16.01%
230
35.6
15.49%
233
35.2
15.10%
236
34.5
14.61%
239
34.2
14.32%
32.97
14.91%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
11
-0.7
-6.61%
11
-1.7
-14.98%
11
-1.5
-13.02%
12
-1.4
-11.83%
12
-1.4
-11.65%
12
-1.3
-11.24%
12
-1.3
-10.61%
12
-1.2
-10.22%
12
-1.2
-10.05%
12
-1.2
-9.71%
-1.28
-10.99%
United States
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
623
-254.4
-41%
608
-66.8
-11%
592
-58.6
-10%
576
-39.6
-7%
555
-23.2
-4%
539
-13.7
-3%
515
8.8
2%
494
31.8
6%
472
63.3
13%
454
74.3
16%
-27.80
-3.74%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
403
-15.0
-3.7%
406
-40.4
-10.0%
409
-42.9
-10.5%
399
-30.0
-7.5%
402
-34.1
-8.5%
402
-35.3
-8.8%
406
-38.2
-9.4%
408
-38.8
-9.5%
410
-38.4
-9.4%
410
-40.1
-9.8%
-35.33
-8.70%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
European Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table A.39. Whole
W
Milk Powder Price and Trade
2002
2003
2004
2005
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,788
458.2
25.63%
1,826
577.3
31.61%
1,847
512.1
27.73%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,277
76.3
5.98%
1,293
35.8
2.77%
ountries
Exports of Selected Co
Argentina
100
Baseline
20.8
Change
20.92%
% chg
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Average
1,870
495.5
26.50%
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
1,892
1,924
1,964
492.6
480.3
470.6
26.04%
24.96%
23.96%
1,998
466.4
23.34%
2,030
473.8
23.33%
2,064
469.7
22.76%
489.64
25.59%
1,304
69.5
5.33%
1,326
75.3
5.68%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
1,345
1,356
1,368
83.5
94.1
99.1
6.21%
6.94%
7.24%
1,377
106.4
7.73%
1,385
108.6
7.84%
1,393
118.7
8.52%
86.72
6.42%
104
18.3
17.58%
107
16.7
15.68%
108
17.9
16.53%
109
17.6
16.18%
111
16.9
15.17%
113
16.9
14.90%
116
16.7
14.45%
118
17.1
14.54%
120
16.5
13.74%
17.56
15.97%
206
23.9
11.58%
207
25.7
12.44%
27.74
13.67%
478
478
-68.4
-65.6
-14.31% -13.73%
-62.10
-12.98%
Australia
Baseline
Change
% chg
193
12.3
6.36%
197
18.9
9.58%
200
24.5
12.25%
201
28.5
14.14%
202
33.2
16.46%
203
35.9
17.64%
205
36.7
17.92%
206
37.7
18.35%
European Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
476
9.2
1.94%
478
-53.8
-11.26%
471
-48.9
-10.38%
478
-72.7
-15.23%
484
-84.1
-17.39%
480
-82.5
-17.20%
479
-78.8
-16.47%
478
-75.4
-15.76%
New Zealand
Baseline
Change
% chg
508
34.0
6.69%
513
16.3
3.17%
526
10.6
2.02%
539
15.1
2.81%
550
15.8
2.88%
562
15.5
2.75%
571
16.3
2.86%
577
16.5
2.86%
583
17.2
2.95%
588
15.9
2.71%
17.33
3.17%
ountries
Imports of Selected Co
Brazil
Baseline
23
Change
-0.7
% chg
-3.11%
21
6.6
30.72%
21
12.1
56.39%
23
10.4
44.63%
24
12.9
54.86%
24
15.7
64.70%
26
16.5
62.45%
30
17.2
58.36%
33
16.3
49.18%
37
18.1
48.50%
12.50
46.67%
China
Baseline
Change
% chg
25
7.8
31%
12
-47.6
-413%
8
-74.4
-947%
21
-107.2
-519%
29
-130.0
-446%
39
-147.1
-380%
52
-160.0
-307%
59
-170.1
-287%
63
-181.4
-290%
64
-190.5
-296%
-120.06
-385%
Indonesia
Baseline
Change
% chg
12
2.8
23.71%
12
2.8
22.93%
13
2.9
23.09%
13
3.0
23.24%
13
3.1
23.23%
14
3.2
23.31%
14
3.3
23.43%
14
3.4
23.49%
15
3.4
23.48%
15
3.5
23.52%
3.13
23.34%
Malaysia
Baseline
Change
% chg
47
-0.5
-1.13%
48
-0.7
-1.36%
50
-0.6
-1.18%
51
-0.6
-1.11%
53
-0.6
-1.12%
55
-0.6
-1.08%
57
-0.6
-1.03%
59
-0.6
-1.01%
61
-0.6
-1.01%
63
-0.6
-1.00%
-0.60
-1.10%
Mexico
Baseline
Change
% chg
23
4.9
21.10%
25
4.0
15.89%
26
1.4
5.49%
27
0.6
2.12%
30
0.2
0.64%
31
0.0
0.16%
31
0.0
0.10%
32
0.3
1.04%
33
0.7
2.17%
34
1.2
3.55%
1.33
5.23%
Russia
Baseline
Change
% chg
23
-0.4
-1.72%
23
-7.1
-30.83%
22
-7.7
-34.41%
21
-6.2
-29.60%
20
-6.1
-30.52%
19
-5.5
-29.47%
17
-4.2
-24.54%
15
-2.8
-18.53%
13
-1.4
-10.40%
12
-0.2
-1.65%
-4.15
-21.17%
0
2.7
559%
0
3.0
646%
0
3.0
720%
0
3.0
831%
1
3.0
530%
1
3.0
471%
1
3.1
523%
1
3.1
501%
1
3.1
473%
1
3.1
426%
3.01
568%
South Korea
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table A.40. Whole
W
Milk Powder Production and Consumption
2002
Australia
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
218
11.6
5.32%
224
18.2
8.12%
227
23.9
10.52%
229
27.9
12.20%
230
32.6
14.21%
232
35.3
15.24%
234
36.2
15.49%
235
37.2
15.85%
236
23.4
9.91%
237
25.2
10.65%
27.16
11.75%
26
-0.6
-2.42%
26
-0.7
-2.82%
27
-0.6
-2.33%
27
-0.6
-2.11%
28
-0.6
-2.10%
28
-0.6
-1.99%
29
-0.5
-1.82%
29
-0.5
-1.73%
30
-0.5
-1.69%
30
-0.5
-1.63%
-0.57
-2.06%
European Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
975
44.3
4.54%
977
-24.1
-2.47%
969
-13.5
-1.40%
977
-40.0
-4.10%
983
-53.8
-5.47%
979
-55.3
-5.65%
975
-52.1
-5.34%
972
-49.5
-5.09%
970
-43.8
-4.52%
967
-42.1
-4.35%
-33.01
-3.39%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
499
35.1
7.02%
499
29.7
5.95%
499
35.3
7.08%
499
32.7
6.55%
499
30.3
6.07%
499
27.2
5.44%
497
26.7
5.38%
494
25.9
5.24%
492
24.5
4.99%
489
23.5
4.81%
29.09
5.85%
New Zealand
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
536
18.1
3.38%
550
12.0
2.19%
564
12.3
2.18%
576
15.2
2.63%
587
15.3
2.60%
600
15.3
2.54%
608
16.1
2.65%
616
16.1
2.62%
622
16.5
2.66%
627
15.5
2.48%
15.24
2.59%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
34
-1.0
-2.85%
35
-1.2
-3.48%
35
-1.0
-2.89%
36
-1.0
-2.67%
36
-0.9
-2.58%
37
-0.9
-2.43%
37
-0.9
-2.30%
38
-0.8
-2.20%
38
-0.8
-2.17%
39
-0.8
-2.07%
-0.93
-2.56%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table A.41. Beef
B
Price and Trade
2002
2003
2004
2005
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,641
145.6
8.87%
1,684
162.5
9.65%
1,730
183.5
10.61%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,906
361
12.42%
3,218
432
13.42%
Exports of Selected Countries
C
Argentina
Baseline
194
Change
115.5
% chg
59.62%
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Average
1,681
126.6
7.54%
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
1,613
1,545
1,506
36.4
-16.2
-34.1
2.26%
-1.05%
-2.26%
1,481
-19.3
-1.30%
1,507
8.0
0.53%
1,543
43.8
2.84%
63.68
3.77%
3,484
387
11.10%
3,726
385
10.35%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
3,990
4,123
4,171
381
323
278
9.54%
7.84%
6.67%
4,233
254
6.00%
4,171
270
6.47%
4,158
309
7.44%
337.95
9.12%
280
77.4
27.62%
330
89.5
27.15%
322
76.0
23.59%
323
78.0
24.17%
326
115.5
35.37%
347
159.6
45.96%
362
198.8
55.01%
408
218.7
53.66%
438
223.0
50.86%
135.20
40.30%
Australia
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,370
62.3
4.55%
1,421
25.9
1.82%
1,478
51.5
3.48%
1,484
84.5
5.69%
1,539
126.5
8.22%
1,526
178.3
11.68%
1,478
204.3
13.82%
1,450
216.5
14.93%
1,433
219.2
15.30%
1,404
214.2
15.26%
138.31
9.47%
Brazil
Baseline
Change
% chg
510
94.4
18.51%
575
111.7
19.44%
607
155.3
25.57%
752
135.6
18.04%
825
72.4
8.78%
841
24.1
2.86%
839
-2.2
-0.26%
820
4.1
0.50%
838
24.4
2.91%
854
54.7
6.40%
67.43
10.27%
Canada
Baseline
Change
% chg
250
55.1
22.05%
274
28.3
10.32%
310
25.2
8.13%
332
22.0
6.62%
376
26.9
7.16%
411
43.6
10.61%
451
52.4
11.63%
478
49.4
10.33%
499
34.5
6.91%
504
15.2
3.01%
35.25
9.68%
369
18.4
5%
370
-153.3
-41%
420
-511.6
-122%
418
-525.4
-126%
413
-461.5
-112%
411
-550.6
-134%
410
-603.4
-147%
409
-636.7
-156%
410
-633.9
-155%
411
-614.7
-150%
-467.29
-114%
New Zealand
Baseline
Change
% chg
538
50.7
9.41%
570
33.0
5.79%
600
40.4
6.74%
591
30.9
5.23%
584
16.3
2.79%
570
12.7
2.23%
568
14.1
2.48%
570
24.6
4.32%
593
35.6
5.99%
612
45.2
7.38%
30.35
5.24%
United States
Baseline
Change
% chg
-497
341.1
-69%
-495
507.4
-102%
-507
623.4
-123%
-348
709.7
-204%
-151
725.0
-479%
30
744.1
2479%
127
720.8
569%
239
670.4
280%
67
623.4
931%
-3
595.3
-18673%
626.06
-1539%
Imports of Selected Countries
C
Japan
Baseline
912
Change
213.5
% chg
23.40%
919
201.4
21.92%
930
189.8
20.42%
961
200.4
20.86%
997
222.0
22.26%
1,031
225.7
21.90%
1,059
217.9
20.58%
1,082
200.3
18.51%
1,096
185.8
16.95%
1,104
172.0
15.57%
202.87
20.24%
473
-102.1
-21.58%
593
53.7
9.06%
645
62.8
9.74%
693
44.9
6.47%
742
-40.0
-5.39%
681
-164.1
-24.08%
595
-238.2
-40.00%
546
-251.5
-46.03%
511
-210.4
-41.18%
539
-147.3
-27.36%
-99.22
-18.03%
Philippines
Baseline
Change
% chg
90
80.5
89.58%
99
57.7
58.06%
102
47.9
47.13%
113
62.7
55.54%
125
86.9
69.77%
136
107.4
79.05%
143
119.2
83.37%
148
120.9
81.46%
144
115.0
80.05%
138
107.5
77.66%
90.58
72.17%
South Korea
Baseline
Change
% chg
232
48.5
20.89%
250
47.9
19.20%
265
43.3
16.32%
284
45.5
16.04%
303
52.5
17.33%
321
60.0
18.70%
336
66.3
19.72%
349
70.4
20.19%
356
72.7
20.42%
361
74.0
20.50%
58.11
18.93%
European Union *
Baseline
Change
% chg
Mexico
Baseline
Change
% chg
* Includes meat and me
eat equivalent of live cattle trade.
Table A.42. Beef
B
Production and Consumption
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
Argentina
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,902
77.3
2.7%
2,946
40.0
1.4%
3,010
49.8
1.7%
3,045
46.5
1.5%
3,096
66.9
2.2%
3,152
117.9
3.7%
3,221
167.8
5.2%
3,280
204.3
6.2%
3,356
217.1
6.5%
3,416
212.3
6.2%
119.97
3.72%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,709
-38.1
-1.4%
2,665
-37.4
-1.4%
2,680
-39.8
-1.5%
2,723
-29.5
-1.1%
2,773
-11.1
-0.4%
2,826
2.4
0.1%
2,873
8.2
0.3%
2,918
5.5
0.2%
2,949
-1.7
-0.1%
2,977
-10.7
-0.4%
-15.23
-0.56%
Australia
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,038
54.3
2.7%
2,099
16.1
0.8%
2,165
40.0
1.8%
2,188
75.3
3.4%
2,255
124.7
5.5%
2,260
182.7
8.1%
2,233
212.5
9.5%
2,221
223.1
10.0%
2,208
221.3
10.0%
2,179
211.2
9.7%
136.11
6.16%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
668
-7.7
-1.2%
678
-9.8
-1.4%
687
-11.5
-1.7%
704
-9.3
-1.3%
716
-2.0
-0.3%
733
4.3
0.6%
755
8.1
1.1%
770
6.7
0.9%
775
2.2
0.3%
775
-2.8
-0.4%
-2.18
-0.34%
Brazil
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
6,883
61.2
0.9%
7,089
66.5
0.9%
7,220
99.7
1.4%
7,520
106.8
1.4%
7,767
94.9
1.2%
7,966
87.7
1.1%
8,134
80.5
1.0%
8,278
79.7
1.0%
8,417
78.6
0.9%
8,545
81.5
1.0%
83.72
1.08%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
6,373
-33.1
-0.5%
6,515
-45.2
-0.7%
6,613
-55.6
-0.8%
6,768
-28.9
-0.4%
6,942
22.5
0.3%
7,125
63.6
0.9%
7,296
82.7
1.1%
7,458
75.6
1.0%
7,578
54.3
0.7%
7,691
26.9
0.3%
16.29
0.20%
China - Mainland
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
5,847
-158.0
-2.7%
6,103
-70.2
-1.2%
6,374
-45.0
-0.7%
6,650
-91.5
-1.4%
6,963
-116.7
-1.7%
7,276
-119.2
-1.6%
7,613
-114.9
-1.5%
8,000
-109.5
-1.4%
8,432
-106.7
-1.3%
8,899
-101.4
-1.1%
-103.32
-1.45%
5,819
168.8
2.9%
6,071
107.0
1.8%
6,348
32.8
0.5%
6,642
37.5
0.6%
6,979
46.6
0.7%
7,322
50.7
0.7%
7,693
49.9
0.6%
8,115
45.8
0.6%
8,574
41.2
0.5%
9,067
35.2
0.4%
61.53
0.92%
7,271
-206.6
-2.8%
7,492
-157.4
-2.1%
7,438
-202.7
-2.7%
7,397
-258.1
-3.5%
7,377
-303.9
-4.1%
7,322
-331.7
-4.5%
7,281
-355.6
-4.9%
7,254
-389.1
-5.4%
7,231
-414.5
-5.7%
7,205
-431.0
-6.0%
-305.05
-4.18%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
6,827
150.3
2.2%
7,099
19.3
0.3%
7,340
-12.8
-0.2%
7,258
-11.6
-0.2%
7,014
107.6
1.5%
6,961
169.1
2.4%
6,921
198.2
2.9%
6,895
197.9
2.9%
6,870
169.6
2.5%
6,844
133.7
2.0%
112.13
1.63%
Mexico
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,887
48.4
3%
1,776
-87.6
-5%
1,756
-102.3
-6%
1,773
-69.9
-4%
1,797
43.3
2%
1,917
190.3
10%
2,057
276.0
13%
2,154
287.0
13%
2,227
234.5
11%
2,234
155.7
7%
97.53
4.44%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,360
-53.8
-2%
2,369
-33.9
-1%
2,401
-39.5
-2%
2,467
-25.1
-1%
2,539
3.4
0%
2,598
26.2
1%
2,653
37.8
1%
2,701
35.4
1%
2,738
24.1
1%
2,773
8.3
0%
-1.69
-0.13%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
European Union *
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
* Includes meat and me
eat equivalent of live cattle trade.
Table A.43. Pork
P
Price and Trade
2002
2003
2004
2005
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
984
112.7
11.46%
892
109.6
12.28%
950
109.7
11.55%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,551
496.9
19.47%
2,735
443.1
16.20%
Exports of Selected Countries
C
Brazil
Baseline
284
Change
145.6
% chg
51.20%
Canada
Baseline
Change
% chg
European Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
2008
2009
2010
2011
987
95.0
9.63%
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
1,012
957
915
73.8
73.3
84.5
7.29%
7.66%
9.23%
879
100.9
11.47%
929
107.4
11.56%
997
108.4
10.88%
97.54
10.30%
2,831
685
24.19%
2,949
883
29.95%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
3,038
3,139
3,273
1,055
1,067
1,037
34.72% 33.98% 31.69%
3,414
986
28.88%
3,537
1,081
30.58%
3,644
1,252.9
34.39%
898.68
28.40%
331
156.1
47.19%
367
197.5
53.82%
380
224.9
59.17%
410
238.6
58.22%
434
266.1
61.31%
460
296.8
64.46%
486
327.8
67.46%
488
342.6
70.16%
487
351.8
72.28%
254.77
60.53%
649
173.5
26.72%
612
198.8
32.48%
658
249.6
37.90%
714
287.0
40.19%
796
311.7
39.16%
817
343.8
42.10%
825
377.7
45.77%
817
417.6
51.08%
872
435.8
49.96%
966
451.4
46.75%
324.67
41.21%
1,230
204.1
16.59%
1,329
-123.3
-9.27%
1,298
-64.7
-4.98%
1,295
-16.9
-1.30%
1,229
70.7
5.75%
1,231
-50.2
-4.08%
1,270
-215.3
-16.95%
1,340
-412.2
-30.77%
1,385
-363.3
-26.23%
1,412
-205.6
-14.56%
-117.66
-8.58%
50
-73.5
-146%
76
-71.6
-94.57%
105
-92.4
-88.07%
146
-114.2
-78.03%
181
-132.9
-73.36%
216
-123.4
-57.24%
247
-106.4
-43.02%
277
-87.0
-31.43%
284
-95.0
-33.42%
286
-112.9
-39.48%
-100.93
-68.45%
228
149.2
66%
260
328.3
126%
268
449.1
168%
275
559.3
203%
278
626.0
225%
295
681.2
231%
327
722.9
221%
351
764.6
218%
376
788.9
210%
376
808.5
215%
587.78
188%
Imports of Selected Countries
C
China - Mainland
Baseline
79
Change
98.8
% chg
125%
87
136.1
157%
127
260.1
204%
144
345.1
240%
159
423.2
267%
178
404.4
228%
198
360.9
182%
209
303.3
145%
219
342.0
156%
229
436.6
191%
311.04
190%
Poland
Baseline
Change
% chg
United States
Baseline
Change
% chg
2006
2007
Average
Japan
Baseline
Change
% chg
945
176.9
18.72%
1,001
161.9
16.18%
1,019
195.8
19.21%
1,041
220.1
21.15%
1,059
239.5
22.60%
1,099
286.7
26.08%
1,140
342.7
30.07%
1,181
403.6
34.16%
1,201
436.7
36.37%
1,210
452.8
37.43%
291.66
26.20%
Mexico
Baseline
Change
% chg
274
45.4
16.58%
331
-15.9
-4.80%
357
-26.2
-7.33%
372
-43.0
-11.54%
376
-57.7
-15.35%
394
-69.3
-17.59%
433
-77.7
-17.93%
485
-83.9
-17.30%
514
-84.8
-16.48%
519
-82.8
-15.94%
-49.57
-10.77%
Philippines
Baseline
Change
% chg
32
-2.7
-8.36%
37
-2.7
-7.36%
35
17.9
50.88%
47
30.1
63.96%
51
39.7
77.74%
59
35.7
60.64%
67
31.6
47.44%
76
26.9
35.55%
94
32.7
34.83%
116
41.8
36.14%
25.11
39.15%
South Korea
Baseline
Change
% chg
66
39.4
59.66%
96
36.3
37.76%
97
51.7
53.03%
96
71.1
74.43%
92
90.7
98.18%
97
95.1
98.21%
101
92.0
90.88%
105
84.1
79.82%
102
86.1
84.17%
99
93.8
94.30%
74.02
77.04%
44
3.8
8.75%
60
8.9
14.81%
68
14.5
21.39%
78
24.2
31.06%
81
32.3
40.07%
90
37.3
41.38%
100
40.0
40.18%
109
40.3
36.87%
111
42.4
38.16%
110
45.5
41.39%
28.93
31.41%
Taiwan
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table A.44. Pork
P
Production and Consumption
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
Brazil
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,235
123.9
5.5%
2,337
137.2
5.9%
2,425
181.9
7.5%
2,488
208.5
8.4%
2,561
218.8
8.5%
2,630
236.9
9.0%
2,707
257.3
9.5%
2,786
282.0
10.1%
2,857
298.0
10.4%
2,929
312.9
10.7%
225.72
8.56%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,951
-21.7
-1.1%
2,006
-18.9
-0.9%
2,058
-15.6
-0.8%
2,108
-16.3
-0.8%
2,151
-19.8
-0.9%
2,196
-29.2
-1.3%
2,246
-39.5
-1.8%
2,300
-45.8
-2.0%
2,369
-44.7
-1.9%
2,442
-38.9
-1.6%
-29.05
-1.31%
Canada
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,762
114.2
6.5%
1,783
127.3
7.1%
1,837
180.2
9.8%
1,900
222.1
11.7%
1,987
253.0
12.7%
2,041
276.1
13.5%
2,082
297.1
14.3%
2,106
321.9
15.3%
2,163
342.2
15.8%
2,254
364.8
16.2%
249.87
12.29%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,113
-59.3
-5.3%
1,171
-71.5
-6.1%
1,178
-69.4
-5.9%
1,186
-64.9
-5.5%
1,191
-58.7
-4.9%
1,224
-67.7
-5.5%
1,256
-80.6
-6.4%
1,289
-95.7
-7.4%
1,291
-93.6
-7.3%
1,288
-86.7
-6.7%
-74.80
-6.11%
European Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
17,804
20.5
0.1%
17,964
-6.3
0.0%
18,009
-59.2
-0.3%
18,060
-93.2
-0.5%
18,121
-98.5
-0.5%
18,196
-130.8
-0.7%
18,294
-213.6
-1.2%
18,414
-330.4
-1.8%
18,533
-410.3
-2.2%
18,635
-407.0
-2.2%
-172.88
-0.94%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
16,569
-182.4
-1.1%
16,635
112.2
0.7%
16,709
6.5
0.0%
16,765
-75.4
-0.4%
16,892
-169.3
-1.0%
16,965
-82.8
-0.5%
17,024
0.1
0.0%
17,074
80.6
0.5%
17,148
-44.8
-0.3%
17,223
-198.8
-1.2%
-55.41
-0.33%
China - Mainland
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
29,880
-192.6
-0.6%
30,550
-253.2
-0.8%
31,189
-305.6
-1.0%
31,897
-353.0
-1.1%
32,696
-404.4
-1.2%
33,512
-421.1
-1%
34,309
-412.4
-1.2%
35,088
-382.6
-1.1%
35,838
-373.3
-1.0%
36,556
-388.4
-1%
-348.65
-1.04%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
29,959
-93.8
-0.3%
30,636
-117.1
-0.4%
31,316
-45.5
-0.1%
32,040
-7.9
0.0%
32,854
18.8
0.1%
33,690
-16.7
0%
34,506
-51.6
-0.1%
35,297
-79.3
-0.2%
36,057
-31.3
-0.1%
36,785
48.2
0%
-37.61
-0.12%
Japan
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,248
-100.9
-8.1%
1,228
-98.6
-8.0%
1,221
-120.8
-9.9%
1,216
-138.5
-11.4%
1,217
-151.7
-12.5%
1,214
-165.2
-13.6%
1,207
-176.6
-14.6%
1,198
-187.0
-15.6%
1,198
-193.8
-16.2%
1,204
-198.5
-16.5%
-153.16
-12.64%
2,193
68.4
3.1%
2,228
62.6
2.8%
2,240
74.6
3.3%
2,256
81.3
3.6%
2,277
87.2
3.8%
2,312
120.4
5.2%
2,346
165.1
7.0%
2,379
215.8
9.1%
2,398
242.8
10.1%
2,414
254.6
10.5%
137.29
5.87%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table A.45. Broiler
B
Price and Trade
2002
2003
2004
2005
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,306
104.5
8.00%
1,315
102.1
7.76%
1,323
105.5
7.98%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
5,165
985
19.06%
5,435
1,196
22.01%
Exports of Selected Countries
C
Brazil
Baseline
1,300
Change
442.8
% chg
34.06%
2008
2009
2010
2011
1,325
101.1
7.64%
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
1,320
1,317
1,330
88.4
86.8
89.5
6.69%
6.59%
6.73%
1,339
97.0
7.25%
1,353
104.3
7.71%
1,365
112.8
8.27%
99.22
7.46%
5,683
1,170
20.59%
5,929
1,176
19.84%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
6,176
6,419
6,614
1,172
1,172
1,190
18.97% 18.26% 17.99%
6,797
1,215
17.87%
6,991
1,229
17.58%
7,220
1,239.5
17.17%
1,174.47
18.93%
1,524
485.5
31.85%
1,683
492.9
29.29%
1,842
477.3
25.92%
1,951
454.4
23.29%
2,045
454.3
22.21%
2,186
443.8
20.30%
2,297
439
19.12%
2,393
437.1
18.26%
2,464
440.3
17.87%
456.76
24.22%
552
41.6
7.53%
559
17.0
3.04%
556
-182.4
-32.81%
564
-257.0
-45.53%
570
-317.2
-55.62%
577
-357.3
-61.88%
587
-373.8
-63.67%
596
-387.1
-64.91%
606
-419.8
-69.28%
615
-458.9
-74.67%
-269.49
-45.78%
Thailand
Baseline
Change
% chg
409
142.1
34.77%
416
148.8
35.74%
419
158.7
37.88%
429
164.8
38.37%
430
170.5
39.66%
428
176.6
41.27%
419
185.4
44.23%
413
194.6
47.16%
402
203.3
50.64%
399
210.1
52.68%
175.49
42.24%
United States
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,869
385.7
13.44%
2,919
573.5
19.65%
3,029
728.9
24.06%
3,098
820.6
26.49%
3,226
893.1
27.69%
3,371
927.1
27.51%
3,423
963.3
28.14%
3,489
998.4
28.62%
3,583
1,040.9
29.05%
3,731
1,082.2
29.00%
841.38
25.37%
Imports of Selected Countries
C
Canada
Baseline
10
Change
108.1
% chg
1081%
11
145.7
1296%
14
171.4
1224%
16
192.7
1182%
17
205.2
1207%
19
221.4
1188%
20
235.0
1202%
21
248.8
1191%
22
260.8
1177%
25
272.8
1102%
206.19
1185%
China - Mainland
Baseline
Change
% chg
505
365.2
72.36%
512
390.7
76.32%
569
313.8
55.12%
640
286.8
44.80%
727
271.7
37.37%
838
264.0
31.51%
951
263.0
27.65%
1,041
262.0
25.16%
1,106
253.8
22.95%
1,172
243.9
20.80%
291.49
41.40%
Japan
Baseline
Change
% chg
680
-83.3
-12.24%
699
-88.8
-12.71%
716
-92.6
-12.92%
733
-91.1
-12.42%
753
-90.6
-12.04%
772
-90.6
-11.73%
787
-89.9
-11.42%
803
-88.8
-11.06%
818
-87.4
-10.67%
833
-85.6
-10.28%
-88.86
-11.75%
Mexico
Baseline
Change
% chg
245
-52.6
-21.45%
262
-44.9
-17.16%
296
-54.3
-18.37%
323
-64.0
-19.81%
350
-74.3
-21.23%
345
-81.0
-23.49%
338
-83.4
-24.69%
327
-82.9
-25.34%
337
-85.6
-25.42%
352
-90.0
-25.57%
-71.31
-22.25%
11
98.7
935%
19
127.0
654%
23
137.2
594%
26
135.8
530%
34
132.6
394%
45
129.3
290%
53
128.2
242%
62
128.8
206%
73
129.5
177%
86
129.6
151%
127.68
417%
Saudi Arabia
Baseline
Change
% chg
386
77.0
19.95%
406
84.8
20.86%
432
93.9
21.73%
453
99.2
21.90%
477
101.1
21.21%
502
95.0
18.90%
525
90.0
17.13%
549
86.9
15.84%
574
94.8
16.53%
600
104.9
17.48%
92.76
19.15%
South Korea
Baseline
Change
% chg
82
34.8
42.29%
91
48.5
53.34%
97
52.0
53.30%
102
54.5
53.36%
107
57.6
53.97%
111
60.3
54.22%
114
63.5
55.60%
117
65.6
56.06%
120
65.7
54.82%
123
64.5
52.36%
56.71
52.93%
European Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
Philippines
Baseline
Change
% chg
2006
2007
Average
Table A.46. Broiler
B
Production and Consumption
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
Brazil
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
6,693
383.3
6%
7,062
442.9
6%
7,370
455.2
6%
7,641
425.3
6%
7,884
377.9
5%
8,119
358.4
4%
8,402
344.2
4%
8,680
347
4%
8,965
354.2
4%
9,243
365.6
4%
385.37
4.89%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
5,397
-58.1
-1%
5,539
-42.7
-1%
5,688
-37.7
-1%
5,800
-52.2
-1%
5,933
-76.7
-1%
6,074
-96.0
-2%
6,216
-99.7
-2%
6,383
-92
-1%
6,573
-82.8
-1%
6,779
-74.7
-1%
-71.29
-1.17%
European Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
6,815
1.3
0%
6,923
-21.5
0%
6,988
-153.2
-2%
7,065
-216.6
-3%
7,161
-301.7
-4%
7,226
-372.2
-5%
7,292
-412.6
-6%
7,360
-436.6
-6%
7,426
-450.8
-6%
7,484
-462.9
-6%
-282.68
-3.88%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
6,262
-40.4
-1%
6,363
-38.8
-1%
6,432
28.2
0%
6,500
40.1
1%
6,591
15.0
0%
6,648
-15.1
0%
6,705
-38.9
-1%
6,764
-49.4
-1%
6,820
-30.9
0%
6,869
-4.0
0%
-13.42
-0.20%
Thailand
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,264
52.8
4%
1,296
63.5
5%
1,327
71.4
5%
1,356
68.0
5%
1,378
61.0
4%
1,395
56.9
4%
1,407
55.9
4%
1,423
58.2
4%
1,444
61.7
4%
1,479
66.1
4%
61.55
4.48%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
855
-89.3
-10%
880
-85.3
-10%
908
-87.3
-10%
927
-96.8
-10%
948
-109.5
-12%
968
-119.7
-12%
988
-129.5
-13%
1,011
-136.4
-13%
1,043
-141.7
-14%
1,080
-144.0
-13%
-113.94
-11.76%
Canada
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
924
-60.5
-7%
928
-89.9
-10%
945
-109.0
-12%
956
-126.6
-13%
973
-139.2
-14%
976
-152.6
-16%
983
-163.3
-17%
992
-172.8
-17%
1,013
-181.3
-18%
1,036
-189.8
-18%
-138.51
-14.12%
934
47.6
5%
939
55.8
6%
959
62.4
7%
972
66.1
7%
990
65.9
7%
994
68.8
7%
1,003
71.7
7%
1,012
76.0
8%
1,035
79.5
8%
1,061
83.0
8%
67.68
6.81%
China - Mainland
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
4,687
-274.2
-6%
4,774
-295.0
-6%
4,852
-253.7
-5%
4,951
-244.9
-5%
5,075
-247.7
-5%
5,188
-244.1
-5%
5,293
-237.9
-4%
5,403
-231.0
-4%
5,512
-225.0
-4%
5,612
-218.9
-4%
-247.23
-4.85%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
5,192
-362.9
-7%
5,286
-388.2
-7%
5,422
-330.8
-6%
5,591
-312.5
-6%
5,802
-305.1
-5%
6,026
-286.7
-5%
6,244
-264.6
-4%
6,444
-249.0
-4%
6,618
-239.8
-4%
6,784
-230.7
-3%
-297.04
-5.12%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Appendix B
Impacts of the Trade-Only Liberalization Scenario
Tables B.1 through B.44 present the impacts of the trade-only liberalization scenario
on price, trade, production, and consumption.
Table B.1. Wheat Price and Trade
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
130.98
10.3
7.88%
133.09
13.1
9.87%
137.41
12.2
8.90%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
89,345
3,207.7
3.59%
91,166
5,522.4
6.06%
untries
Exports of Selected Coun
Argentina
13,619
Baseline
42.5
Change
0.31%
% chg
Australia
Baseline
Change
% chg
08/09
09/10
10/11
138.10
12.0
8.71%
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
142.66
144.79
148.05
10.4
11.1
9.6
7.29%
7.63%
6.47%
150.12
10.0
6.66%
154.39
9.3
6.01%
156.22
10.2
6.54%
10.82
7.60%
94,140
4,950.3
5.26%
97,724
4,712.6
4.82%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
100,537 103,208
105,882
5,073.1
5,190.7
5,559.9
5.05%
5.03%
5.25%
108,856
5,633.5
5.18%
112,441
5,763.6
5.13%
115,312
5,655.4
4.90%
5,126.91
5.03%
14,507
479.5
3.31%
15,048
671.3
4.46%
15,608
619.6
3.97%
15,937
631.6
3.96%
16,503
544.3
3.30%
16,903
602.7
3.57%
17,400
515.0
2.96%
17,808
551.2
3.10%
18,354
497.1
2.71%
515.47
3.16%
16,743
129.4
0.77%
16,812
190.6
1.13%
17,108
233.6
1.37%
17,528
224.3
1.28%
17,954
220.6
1.23%
18,342
203.1
1.11%
18,703
202.8
1.08%
19,103
182.1
0.95%
19,518
178.8
0.92%
19,954
164.5
0.82%
192.97
1.07%
Canada
Baseline
Change
% chg
17,595
393.5
2.24%
17,645
648.9
3.68%
17,968
701.6
3.90%
18,135
697.6
3.85%
18,348
616.7
3.36%
18,490
597.7
3.23%
18,663
511.3
2.74%
18,753
492.9
2.63%
18,854
443.3
2.35%
18,906
445.3
2.36%
554.88
3.03%
European Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
11,525
910.9
7.90%
12,727
1,760.6
13.83%
13,691
771.1
5.63%
15,749
778.6
4.94%
16,586
1,638.2
9.88%
17,574
1,930.1
10.98%
18,478
2,639.5
14.28%
19,944
2,825.7
14.17%
21,519
3,119.2
14.49%
22,756
3,208.5
14.10%
1,958.23
11.02%
Hungary
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,035
33.5
1.65%
2,006
106.2
5.29%
1,991
96.0
4.82%
2,013
73.1
3.63%
2,041
65.0
3.18%
2,072
51.1
2.47%
2,099
39.1
1.86%
2,126
30.1
1.42%
2,157
30.8
1.43%
2,189
31.5
1.44%
55.64
2.72%
Russia
Baseline
Change
% chg
763
551.1
72.27%
695
803.9
115.65%
964
892.0
92.49%
990
830.7
83.94%
1,184
701.1
59.23%
1,291
629.8
48.80%
1,451
568.0
39.14%
1,527
548.9
35.95%
1,693
541.8
32.00%
1,742
560.5
32.17%
662.78
61.16%
Ukraine
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,570
43.5
1.69%
2,551
122.2
4.79%
2,822
104.0
3.69%
3,019
33.2
1.10%
3,120
20.4
0.65%
3,191
-5.9
-0.19%
3,242
-20.0
-0.62%
3,282
-35.8
-1.09%
3,376
-32.9
-0.97%
3,479
-167.4
-4.81%
6.13
0.42%
23,840
1,164.9
4.89%
23,613
1,435.7
6.08%
23,983
1,485.3
6.19%
24,122
1,460.6
6.05%
24,830
1,187.2
4.78%
25,226
1,253.5
4.97%
25,843
1,039.7
4.02%
26,241
1,097.9
4.18%
27,041
952.1
3.52%
27,472
931.7
3.39%
1,200.87
4.81%
ntries
Imports of Selected Coun
Japan
5,326
Baseline
-85.5
Change
-1.60%
% chg
5,327
-89.1
-1.67%
5,326
-93.6
-1.76%
5,323
-86.3
-1.62%
5,319
-83.7
-1.57%
5,313
-78.4
-1.48%
5,305
-73.1
-1.38%
5,295
-67.3
-1.27%
5,283
-67.5
-1.28%
5,268
-68.0
-1.29%
-79.24
-1.49%
United States
Baseline
Change
% chg
06/07
07/08
11/12 Average
China
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,343
-404.4
-30.11%
2,303
-828.5
-35.97%
4,478
-1,104.5
-24.66%
5,336
-1,187.4
-22.25%
5,700
-1,085.9
-19.05%
5,465
-1,004.3
-18.38%
5,413
-873.0
-16.13%
5,084
-803.4
-15.80%
5,851
-731.8
-12.51%
5,340
-725.2
-13.58%
-874.84
-20.84%
India
Baseline
Change
% chg
-3,093
1,951.8
-63.10%
-2,724
3,576.5
-131.3%
-2,449
3,341.1
-136.5%
-2,245
3,142.1
-140.0%
-1,531
3,077.1
-201.0%
-1,087
2,992.0
-275.2%
-513
2,864.3
-558.9%
122
2,776.0
2266.2%
707
2,649.7
374.9%
1,295
2,520.5
194.60%
2,889.10
132.98%
Table B.2. Wheat Production and Consumption
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12 Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
Argentina
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
17,512
0.0
0.00%
18,311
402.5
2.20%
18,809
578.1
3.07%
19,365
521.9
2.69%
19,696
540.7
2.75%
20,270
455.1
2.25%
20,678
519.0
2.51%
21,184
430.7
2.03%
21,591
467.8
2.17%
22,141
409.2
1.85%
432.51
2.15%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
3,950
-13.7
-0.35%
3,820
-65.2
-1.71%
3,775
-94.1
-2.49%
3,762
-98.3
-2.61%
3,773
-95.5
-2.53%
3,776
-87.8
-2.33%
3,786
-87.6
-2.31%
3,792
-83.5
-2.20%
3,797
-85.3
-2.25%
3,795
-85.4
-2.25%
-79.66
-2.10%
Canada
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
25,745
0.0
0.00%
26,338
412.6
1.57%
26,933
728.7
2.71%
27,402
742.5
2.71%
27,535
750.9
2.73%
27,862
667.8
2.40%
28,068
664.3
2.37%
28,323
589.9
2.08%
28,491
582.7
2.05%
28,823
542.5
1.88%
568.19
2.05%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
8,359
-38.6
-0.46%
8,547
-74.4
-0.87%
8,710
-18.6
-0.21%
8,949
3.3
0.04%
9,098
54.0
0.59%
9,250
67.3
0.73%
9,337
103.6
1.11%
9,480
102.5
1.08%
9,630
120.6
1.25%
9,828
125.8
1.28%
44.55
0.45%
105,143
277.8
0.26%
107,010
583.7
0.55%
108,194
-18.5
-0.02%
109,563
224.2
0.20%
111,227
342.5
0.31%
112,780
404.8
0.36%
114,131
512.3
0.45%
115,434
610.1
0.53%
117,126
575.2
0.49%
118,560
633.0
0.53%
414.50
0.37%
92,729
-525.5
-0.57%
93,049
-917.5
-0.99%
94,613
-953.6
-1.01%
94,341
-661.8
-0.70%
94,588
-1,143.5
-1.21%
94,758
-1,409.9
-1.49%
95,336
-1,948.7
-2.04%
95,424
-2,126.9
-2.23%
95,479
-2,464.0
-2.58%
95,579
-2,566.7
-2.69%
-1,471.79
-1.55%
China
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
105,357
0.0
0.00%
105,436
477.8
0.45%
107,919
758.7
0.70%
110,447
671.8
0.61%
111,415
666.0
0.60%
112,953
508.4
0.45%
113,467
541.2
0.48%
114,454
414.2
0.36%
115,317
451.6
0.39%
116,813
387.4
0.33%
487.70
0.44%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
113,439
-420.8
-0.37%
114,043
-623.9
-0.55%
114,464
-557.7
-0.49%
115,570
-538.5
-0.47%
116,217
-399.6
-0.34%
117,270
-420.9
-0.36%
118,063
-306.7
-0.26%
118,967
-327.0
-0.27%
119,530
-268.7
-0.22%
120,443
-313.5
-0.26%
-417.74
-0.36%
India
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
67,635
0.0
0.00%
68,744
-2,287.6
-3.33%
69,509
-1,989.2
-2.86%
70,876
-1,933.6
-2.73%
71,018
-1,767.6
-2.49%
71,878
-1,883.5
-2.62%
72,378
-1,670.7
-2.31%
73,062
-1,751.0
-2.40%
73,510
-1,574.8
-2.14%
74,309
-1,596.1
-2.15%
-1,645.41
-2.30%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
66,049
1,737.6
2.63%
67,193
1,370.4
2.04%
67,919
1,361.5
2.00%
69,254
1,223.8
1.77%
70,187
1,294.3
1.84%
71,415
1,136.2
1.59%
72,465
1,179.9
1.63%
73,734
1,046.2
1.42%
74,775
1,074.2
1.44%
76,095
952.1
1.25%
1,237.62
1.76%
United States
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
58,157
0.0
0.00%
59,107
461.1
0.78%
59,362
949.9
1.60%
60,417
758.0
1.25%
60,941
811.8
1.33%
62,007
577.5
0.93%
62,693
717.2
1.14%
63,706
541.4
0.85%
64,385
634.2
0.99%
65,409
400.3
0.61%
585.14
0.95%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
34,997
-706.3
-2.02%
35,664
-859.2
-2.41%
35,687
-661.4
-1.85%
36,300
-697.7
-1.92%
36,334
-460.8
-1.27%
36,828
-619.2
-1.68%
36,990
-405.0
-1.09%
37,502
-520.9
-1.39%
37,524
-363.1
-0.97%
37,969
-454.6
-1.20%
-574.83
-1.58%
European Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table B.3. Corrn Price and Trade
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
99
7.3
7.35%
101
6.9
6.85%
103
7.2
7.06%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
64,307
1,410.0
2.19%
66,829
2,805.7
4.20%
68,934
2,477.4
3.59%
Exports of Selected Coun
untries
Argentina
Baseline
7,496
Change
59.8
% chg
0.80%
8,814
491.5
5.58%
9,433
525.4
5.57%
9,958
490.0
4.92%
10,431
392.9
3.77%
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
104
105
107
108
6.6
6.6
6.4
6.2
6.39%
6.29%
5.95%
5.71%
110
5.9
5.35%
111
6.2
5.59%
113
6.5
5.78%
6.59
6.23%
78,123
-76.4
-0.10%
80,264
-688
-0.86%
82,067
-844
-1.03%
83,735
-868
-1.04%
776.61
1.18%
10,554
348.7
3.30%
10,754
322.1
3.00%
10,825
321.1
2.97%
10,929
337.0
3.08%
11,052
402.7
3.64%
369.11
3.66%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
71,488
74,091
76,597
1,702.4 1,258.9
588.3
2.38%
1.70%
0.77%
11/12 Average
Hungary
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,112
-175.9
-8.33%
2,224
-473.3
-21.29%
2,217
-718.5
-32.40%
2,212
-872.5
-39.44%
2,196
-966.9
-44.03%
2,163
-1,028.5
-47.55%
2,129
-1,079.1
-50.69%
2,086
-1,100.3
-52.76%
2,056
-1,094.5
-53.23%
2,031
-1,073.5
-52.86%
-858.31
-40.26%
South Africa
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,373
239.9
17.48%
1,377
203.0
14.74%
1,524
238.5
15.65%
1,737
229.4
13.21%
1,996
242.0
12.12%
2,287
238.9
10.44%
2,541
237.7
9.36%
2,791
229.2
8.21%
3,027
244.1
8.06%
3,255
253.5
7.79%
235.62
11.71%
United States
Baseline
Change
% chg
51,856
771.7
1.49%
52,695
1,980.7
3.76%
53,973
1,732.3
3.21%
55,859
979.2
1.75%
57,817
581.8
1.01%
60,063
-37.5
-0.06%
61,285
-620.6
-1.01%
63,247
-1,237
-1.96%
64,781
-1,497
-2.31%
66,169
-1,630
-2.46%
102.39
0.34%
Imports of Selected Coun
ntries
Canada
1,918
Baseline
-75.9
Change
-3.96%
% chg
1,886
-85.0
-4.50%
2,056
-23.9
-1.16%
2,332
60.5
2.59%
2,549
134.7
5.28%
2,752
191.6
6.96%
2,867
240.4
8.38%
3,082
266.3
8.64%
3,359
281.1
8.37%
3,627
300.4
8.28%
129.01
3.89%
European Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,127
2,194.8
103.2%
2,176
3,028.0
139.1%
2,212
2,765.1
125.0%
2,184
2,281.2
104.5%
2,183
2,204.2
101.0%
2,149
1,919.6
89.3%
2,131
1,466.7
68.8%
2,104
970.6
46.1%
2,110
846.3
40.1%
2,114
961.5
45.5%
1,863.79
86.26%
Japan
Baseline
Change
% chg
15,162
573.4
3.78%
15,183
410.6
2.70%
15,040
221.7
1.47%
15,026
122.0
0.81%
15,076
70.4
0.47%
15,196
92.4
0.61%
15,271
117.6
0.77%
15,301
128.8
0.84%
15,284
86.4
0.57%
15,315
34.4
0.22%
185.77
1.22%
Brazil
Baseline
Change
% chg
-1,605
-445.8
27.77%
-1,383
-389.1
28.13%
-1,331
-190.5
14.31%
-1,184
-84.1
7.10%
-1,033
-15.0
1.45%
-926
-1.8
0.19%
-667
57.1
-8.6%
-581
60.5
-10.41%
-419
34.0
-8.12%
-383
-37.6
9.81%
-101.21
6.17%
Mexico
Baseline
Change
% chg
5,652
1,078.8
19.09%
5,658
2,080.2
36.76%
5,780
1,773.7
30.69%
5,950
1,419.5
23.86%
6,087
1,056.5
17.36%
6,263
688.2
10.99%
6,461
324.1
5.02%
6,707
122.0
1.82%
6,911
147.9
2.14%
7,153
152.1
2.13%
884.30
14.98%
China
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,105
-1,323.8
-119.8%
2,474
-959.1
-38.77%
3,317
-768.1
-23.16%
4,125
-876.0
-21.24%
5,574
-945.9
-16.97%
6,627
-977.2
-14.7%
6,708
-942.5
-14.05%
7,171
-911.7
-12.71%
7,278
-890.8
-12.24%
7,462
-858.9
-11.51%
-945.40
-28.52%
Taiwan
Baseline
Change
% chg
4,748
-189.9
-4.00%
4,811
-111.3
-2.31%
4,791
-127.3
-2.66%
4,803
-137.8
-2.87%
4,837
-164.0
-3.39%
4,900
-190.8
-3.89%
4,969
-212.9
-4.28%
5,000
-224.8
-4.50%
5,017
-227.8
-4.54%
5,036
-218.8
-4.34%
-180.55
-3.68%
Table B.4. Corrn Production and Consumption
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12 Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
Argentina
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
11,770
-25.5
-0.22%
13,086
440.9
3.37%
13,775
564.6
4.10%
14,388
616.7
4.29%
14,957
587.3
3.93%
15,168
580.3
3.83%
15,457
559.4
3.62%
15,582
538.6
3.46%
15,728
516.3
3.28%
15,879
546.8
3.44%
492.54
3.31%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
4,329
-49.2
-1.14%
4,305
-41.3
-0.96%
4,358
43.3
0.99%
4,442
125.0
2.82%
4,539
194.0
4.27%
4,629
230.3
4.98%
4,711
235.9
5.01%
4,769
215.7
4.52%
4,811
180.5
3.75%
4,840
146.1
3.02%
128.04
2.73%
Hungary
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
7,571
0.0
0.00%
7,735
-447.8
-5.79%
7,804
-703.6
-9.02%
7,817
-826.8
-10.58%
7,823
-897.5
-11.47%
7,824
-930.0
-11.89%
7,828
-947.7
-12.11%
7,831
-950.9
-12.14%
7,841
-950.5
-12.12%
7,849
-940.8
-11.99%
-759.56
-9.71%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
5,321
91.2
1.71%
5,452
3.5
0.06%
5,554
14.8
0.27%
5,589
45.8
0.82%
5,616
71.4
1.27%
5,653
100.1
1.77%
5,692
133.4
2.34%
5,740
150.8
2.63%
5,779
146.1
2.53%
5,813
135.1
2.32%
89.23
1.57%
Mexico
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
18,860
0.0
0.00%
19,374
-1,294.3
-6.68%
19,739
-1,126.8
-5.71%
20,029
-900.7
-4.50%
20,340
-666.6
-3.28%
20,674
-415.4
-2.01%
21,019
-158.5
-0.75%
21,313
106.5
0.50%
21,660
100.6
0.46%
21,981
107.8
0.49%
-424.75
-2.15%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
24,560
890.6
3.63%
25,038
817.2
3.26%
25,508
685.0
2.69%
25,971
554.3
2.13%
26,423
425.5
1.61%
26,935
306.9
1.14%
27,468
198.7
0.72%
28,016
227.2
0.81%
28,563
249.2
0.87%
29,129
260.5
0.89%
461.52
1.78%
European Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
39,183
-36.3
-0.09%
40,200
-1,934.8
-4.81%
40,353
-1,288.7
-3.19%
40,567
-1,434.6
-3.54%
40,878
-1,251.5
-3.06%
41,652
-1,522.7
-3.66%
41,930
-1,250.9
-2.98%
42,167
-1,132.4
-2.69%
42,364
-880.8
-2.08%
42,959
-1,016.1
-2.37%
-1,174.90
-2.85%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
41,351
1,817.3
4.39%
42,085
1,250.3
2.97%
42,505
1,386.3
3.26%
42,859
918.0
2.14%
42,856
949.2
2.21%
43,396
493.0
1.14%
43,774
266.1
0.61%
44,184
-88.3
-0.20%
44,231
-50.9
-0.11%
44,325
-62.6
-0.14%
687.86
1.63%
China
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
119,443
0.0
0.00%
122,440
127.0
0.10%
124,984
-118.1
-0.09%
129,403
-30.0
-0.02%
131,434
-86.3
-0.07%
133,640
45.0
0.03%
136,490
-23.8
-0.02%
138,636
55.5
0.04%
141,102
-39.9
-0.03%
143,410
14.2
0.01%
-5.63
0.00%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
126,464
-1,167.3
-0.92%
129,060
-833.8
-0.65%
131,772
-879.7
-0.67%
134,420
-926.6
-0.69%
137,372
-1,039.0
-0.76%
140,101
-946.6
-0.68%
143,028
-977.9
-0.68%
145,718
-872.4
-0.60%
148,301
-932.6
-0.63%
150,769
-852.5
-0.57%
-942.83
-0.68%
United States
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
250,384
0.0
0.00%
256,021
6,365.1
2.49%
261,505
5,720.8
2.19%
265,741
6,091.1
2.29%
270,455
5,523.0
2.04%
275,225
5,695.5
2.07%
280,369
5,420.4
1.93%
284,217
5,340.2
1.88%
289,264
4,564.4
1.58%
292,933
4,644.6
1.59%
4,936.51
1.81%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
201,851
1,737.4
0.86%
204,158
3,699.9
1.81%
207,492
4,074.8
1.96%
209,939
4,859.4
2.31%
212,785
4,976.5
2.34%
215,397
5,619.4
2.61%
218,875
5,987.8
2.74%
221,254
6,474.6
2.93%
224,502
6,266.7
2.79%
227,044
6,384.4
2.81%
5,008.08
2.32%
Table B.5. Rice
e Price and Trade
02/03
03/04
04/05
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
180.64
19.0
10.51%
185.84
23.3
12.56%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
19,307
4,345.2
22.51%
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
191.30
22.2
11.62%
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
196.88
202.25
207.69
213.35
22.4
21.4
22.1
21.2
11.36% 10.57% 10.64%
9.93%
219.10
21.6
9.87%
225.17
21.6
9.57%
231.57
22.8
9.84%
21.75
10.65%
18,526
5,544.3
29.93%
18,620
5,446.2
29.25%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
19,010
19,437
19,974
20,585
5,509.7 5,514.9 5,591.3 5,559.8
28.98% 28.37% 27.99% 27.01%
21,658
5,617.1
25.94%
22,525
5,655.5
25.11%
23,849
5,752.2
24.12%
5,453.61
26.92%
ntries
Exports of Selected Count
China
Baseline
1,493
Change
3,345.1
% chg
223.99%
1,348
3,605.9
267%
1,303
3,071.9
235.8%
1,339
3,146.3
235.1%
1,387
2,958.8
213.4%
1,352
2,995.7
221.6%
1,463
2,784.5
190.3%
1,815
2,868.4
158%
2,183
2,841.2
130.13%
2,699
3,001.2
111.2%
3,061.89
198.69%
India
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,999
293.4
14.68%
1,331
449.6
33.79%
1,064
613.9
57.69%
1,073
600.9
55.98%
1,052
803.4
76.38%
1,204
851.0
70.67%
1,355
1,040.7
76.81%
1,657
1,036.5
62.56%
1,709
1,094.3
64.04%
2,027
1,011.3
49.9%
779.51
56.25%
Myanmar (Burma)
Baseline
Change
% chg
756
0.0
0.00%
751
40.6
5.41%
755
67.0
8.87%
762
77.4
10.17%
770
83.5
10.84%
780
85.0
10.90%
790
86.6
10.97%
801
84.9
10.61%
814
83.7
10.29%
829
81.6
9.8%
69.04
8.79%
Thailand
Baseline
Change
% chg
7,226
197.9
2.74%
7,317
484.1
6.62%
7,571
621.4
8.21%
7,885
622.7
7.90%
8,136
635.7
7.81%
8,385
630.1
7.51%
8,642
644.5
7.46%
8,983
640.9
7.13%
9,315
657.8
7.06%
9,663
664.9
6.9%
580.01
6.93%
3,156
104.1
3.3%
3,117
-6.8
-0.2%
3,050
-55.9
-1.8%
2,980
-59.2
-2.0%
2,921
-62.0
-2.1%
2,839
-49.4
-1.7%
2,753
-54.9
-2.0%
2,666
-43.1
-1.6%
2,578
-45.5
-1.8%
2,479
-51.1
-2.1%
-32.37
-1.20%
3,873
516.0
13.32%
3,877
1,096.6
28.29%
4,075
1,251.1
30.70%
4,145
1,252.6
30.22%
4,316
1,231.4
28.53%
4,529
1,222.1
26.98%
4,659
1,202.4
25.81%
4,778
1,179.6
24.69%
4,921
1,175.8
23.89%
5,106
1,195.2
23.4%
1,132.28
25.58%
Imports of Selected Count
ntries
Brazil
Baseline
386
Change
-169.5
% chg
-43.9%
278
-314.2
-112.9%
237
209
-366.2
-381.4
-154.7% -182.5%
190
-375.8
-198.0%
176
-377.0
-214%
166
-368.9
-223%
158
-367.6
-233%
151
-366.0
-243%
143
-376.0
-264%
-346.25
-186.84%
European Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
509
562
569
581
596
605
836.7
696.3
639.1
623.1
611.4
609.7
164.23% 123.90% 112.40% 107.17% 102.67% 100.82%
619
603.3
97.41%
636
597.8
93.98%
653
587.1
89.9%
702.05
124.91%
United States
Baseline
Change
% chg
Vietnam
Baseline
Change
% chg
474
1,215.9
256.66%
Japan
Baseline
Change
% chg
805
244.6
30.39%
Philippines
Baseline
Change
% chg
South Korea
Baseline
Change
% chg
651
408.0
62.6%
05/06
06/07
07/08
Average
575
451.1
78.5%
504
476.7
94.7%
437
498.8
114.2%
372
507.8
136.5%
306
518.2
169.5%
237
523.6
221.2%
160
528.0
330.7%
68
526.7
771%
468.35
200.97%
688
594.1
86.30%
727
765
783.4
837.1
107.77% 109.41%
803
865.0
108%
840
901.1
107%
877
925.6
106%
914
958.7
105%
950
984.7
104%
985
1,012.8
103%
1,020
1,031.7
101.1%
889.43
103.65%
64
579.6
912.25%
41
85
858.3
875.8
2085.8% 1033.1%
135
871.4
645.5%
155
866.0
557.6%
174
869.8
498.5%
177
192
865.5
868.5
488.3% 451.27%
195
867.4
444.06%
205
871.3
425.2%
839.35
754.16%
Table B.6. Rice
e Production and Consumption
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
China
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
130,044
1,122.7
0.86%
131,879
1,370.1
1.04%
133,046
1,247.9
0.94%
134,103
1,275.3
0.95%
134,763
1,223.7
0.91%
135,350
1,247.4
0.92%
135,993
1,195.4
0.88%
136,801
1,224.2
0.89%
137,597
1,218.1
0.89%
138,444
1,282.6
0.93%
1,112.48
0.83%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
132,443
-1,430
-1.08%
131,393
-1,951
-1.48%
132,018
-1,870
-1.42%
132,734
-1,901
-1.43%
133,779
-1,825
-1.36%
134,680
-1,778
-1.32%
135,297
-1,676
-1.24%
135,431
-1,662
-1.23%
135,413
-1,652
-1.22%
135,161
-1,701
-1.26%
-1,575
-1.18%
Thailand
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
17,241
0.0
0.00%
17,425
252.5
1.45%
17,711
407.7
2.30%
18,037
409.4
2.27%
18,288
433.9
2.37%
18,533
422.4
2.28%
18,781
448.8
2.39%
19,109
443.1
2.32%
19,419
464.0
2.39%
19,735
462.6
2.34%
328.18
1.78%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
10,115
-182.5
-1.80%
10,132
-224.8
-2.22%
10,147
-213.4
-2.10%
10,156
-213.4
-2.10%
10,155
-202.8
-2.00%
10,150
-207.7
-2.05%
10,140
-196.7
-1.94%
10,127
-198.0
-1.96%
10,104
-194.2
-1.92%
10,072
-201.8
-2.00%
-183.36
-1.81%
Vietnam
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
20,925
0.0
0.00%
21,253
431.6
2.03%
21,582
636.4
2.95%
21,869
647.2
2.96%
22,214
651.6
2.93%
22,600
628.0
2.78%
22,969
639.5
2.78%
23,308
613.6
2.63%
23,649
615.7
2.60%
24,008
608.1
2.53%
486.36
2.17%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
17,191
-516.0
-3.00%
17,308
-641.5
-3.71%
17,487
-609.4
-3.49%
17,702
-607.3
-3.43%
17,875
-580.3
-3.25%
18,074
-595.6
-3.30%
18,311
-562.6
-3.07%
18,530
-567.7
-3.06%
18,728
-560.1
-2.99%
18,904
-587.7
-3.11%
-524.04
-2.93%
India
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
89,078
0.0
0.00%
89,738
323.0
0.36%
90,927
647.3
0.71%
91,998
519.8
0.56%
93,218
650.2
0.70%
94,402
635.1
0.67%
95,518
760.8
0.80%
96,760
696.2
0.72%
97,902
737.2
0.75%
99,029
649.7
0.66%
496.96
0.53%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
87,370
131.2
0.15%
88,739
-27.2
-0.03%
90,260
17.1
0.02%
90,903
-95.0
-0.10%
92,211
-182.4
-0.20%
93,229
-209.8
-0.22%
94,183
-309.4
-0.33%
95,127
-340.4
-0.36%
96,218
-368.1
-0.38%
97,030
-347.1
-0.36%
-138.39
-0.15%
United States
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
5,855
0
0.0%
6,001
-68
-1.1%
6,034
-63
-1.0%
6,073
-60
-1.0%
6,119
-56
-0.9%
6,141
-51
-0.8%
6,166
-52
-0.8%
6,192
-45
-0.7%
6,215
-49
-0.8%
6,229
-59
-0.9%
-44
-0.72%
3,802
-18.1
-0.47%
3,886
-21.4
-0.55%
3,968
-20.2
-0.51%
4,051
-19.9
-0.49%
4,132
-18.7
-0.45%
4,213
-19.0
-0.45%
4,296
-17.9
-0.42%
4,379
-18.1
-0.41%
4,461
-18.2
-0.41%
4,544
-19.1
-0.42%
-17.15
-0.42%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table B.7. Soy
ybean Price and Trade
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
160
5.9
3.71%
163
3.9
2.38%
169
5.8
3.46%
174
5.7
3.28%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
54,734
-843.2
-1.54%
55,871
103.7
0.19%
57,289
98.3
0.17%
58,814
-6.6
-0.01%
untries
Exports of Selected Cou
Argentina
7,814
Baseline
143.4
Change
1.84%
% chg
8,057
1,062.5
13.19%
8,346
1,142.0
13.68%
8,663
1,177.7
13.60%
8,941
1,244.2
13.92%
9,253
1,260.5
13.62%
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
181
188
194
5.5
5.5
5.6
3.07%
2.91%
2.89%
199
5.2
2.60%
206
4.5
2.17%
211
3.9
1.84%
5.15
2.83%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
60,299
61,923
63,461
8.2
37.5
107.7
0.01%
0.06%
0.17%
65,074
167.9
0.26%
66,667
267.8
0.40%
68,479
418.4
0.61%
35.96
0.03%
9,587
1,310.9
13.67%
9,904
1,346.5
13.60%
10,214
1,370.5
13.42%
10,608
1,374.7
12.96%
1,143.30
12.35%
Brazil
Baseline
Change
% chg
18,734
-773.1
-4.13%
19,281
843.0
4.37%
20,054
559.8
2.79%
21,109
590.9
2.80%
22,080
547.5
2.48%
23,189
597.4
2.58%
24,295
627.5
2.58%
25,357
688.8
2.72%
26,394
655.3
2.48%
27,504
650.9
2.37%
498.79
2.10%
Canada
Baseline
Change
% chg
687
-23.0
-3.35%
682
-34.4
-5.04%
719
-34.7
-4.82%
751
-30.0
-3.99%
787
-31.5
-4.00%
817
-32.7
-4.00%
852
-35.0
-4.11%
885
-35.2
-3.97%
919
-37.7
-4.10%
951
-40.7
-4.28%
-33.49
-4.17%
United States
Baseline
Change
% chg
27,499
-190.6
-0.69%
27,851
-1,767.5
-6.35%
28,169
-1,568.8
-5.57%
28,291
-1,745.3
-6.17%
28,490
-1,752.0
-6.15%
28,663
-1,787.8
-6.24%
28,727
-1,795.7
-6.25%
28,927
-1,832.2
-6.33%
29,140
-1,720.3
-5.90%
29,416
-1,566.5
-5.33%
-1,572.65
-5.50%
untries
Imports of Selected Coun
Eastern Europe
Baseline
150
Change
-25.7
% chg
-17.12%
160
-39.5
-24.69%
160
-39.7
-24.81%
162
-40.2
-24.85%
163
-39.7
-24.39%
163
-37.8
-23.15%
164
-36.5
-22.23%
166
-35.3
-21.22%
168
-34.4
-20.40%
172
-32.6
-18.96%
-36.15
-22.18%
Former Soviet Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
249
-17.4
-6.97%
274
-5.0
-1.82%
280
-6.0
-2.13%
285
-5.5
-1.94%
292
-4.8
-1.65%
300
-2.3
-0.77%
306
-1.0
-0.33%
313
0.3
0.10%
320
1.8
0.55%
328
4.3
1.33%
-3.56
-1.36%
Japan
Baseline
Change
% chg
5,108
-132.1
-2.59%
5,127
-106.4
-2.08%
5,115
-112.3
-2.20%
5,114
-108.7
-2.13%
5,115
-102.2
-2.00%
5,114
-96.8
-1.89%
5,113
-92.0
-1.80%
5,111
-86.8
-1.70%
5,102
-81.4
-1.60%
5,100
-75.5
-1.48%
-99.43
-1.94%
China
Baseline
Change
% chg
15,043
-101.7
-0.68%
15,252
146.7
0.96%
16,022
194.7
1.22%
16,803
195.1
1.16%
17,472
218.1
1.25%
18,269
222.2
1.22%
18,980
245.8
1.30%
19,710
247.6
1.26%
20,508
287.0
1.40%
21,374
317.4
1.48%
197.28
1.06%
India
Baseline
Change
% chg
0
-38.0
N/A
0
459.8
N/A
0
398.2
N/A
0
340.6
N/A
0
283.4
N/A
0
243.2
N/A
0
209.1
N/A
0
182.0
N/A
0
177.4
N/A
0
174.3
N/A
243.01
N/A
South Korea
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,452
-49.0
-3.38%
1,461
-35.5
-2.43%
1,444
-34.4
-2.38%
1,443
-35.5
-2.46%
1,450
-28.2
-1.95%
1,458
-23.2
-1.59%
1,464
-17.7
-1.21%
1,471
-13.6
-0.93%
1,474
-9.4
-0.64%
1,485
-3.7
-0.25%
-25.02
-1.72%
Taiwan
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,312
-19.4
-0.84%
2,348
9.4
0.40%
2,323
4.7
0.20%
2,311
4.3
0.19%
2,306
17.1
0.74%
2,301
25.9
1.13%
2,296
34.4
1.50%
2,296
42.3
1.84%
2,286
51.4
2.25%
2,293
61.9
2.70%
23.21
1.01%
Table B.8. Soy
ybean Production and Consumption
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
Argentina
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
29,406
0.0
0.00%
29,899
969.6
3.24%
30,368
1,064.7
3.51%
30,889
1,105.4
3.58%
31,399
1,192.5
3.80%
31,939
1,228.8
3.85%
32,484
1,297.1
3.99%
33,012
1,340.6
4.06%
33,536
1,376.2
4.10%
34,073
1,389.0
4.08%
1,096.38
3.42%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
21,596
-140.9
-0.65%
21,844
-92.8
-0.42%
22,024
-77.0
-0.35%
22,228
-72.3
-0.33%
22,460
-51.7
-0.23%
22,688
-31.6
-0.14%
22,899
-13.8
-0.06%
23,111
-6.0
-0.03%
23,324
5.6
0.02%
23,466
14.2
0.06%
-46.64
-0.21%
Brazil
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
44,756
0.0
0.00%
45,959
1,722.1
3.75%
47,376
1,452.1
3.06%
49,104
1,514.4
3.08%
50,752
1,505.7
2.97%
52,544
1,594.6
3.03%
54,330
1,658.7
3.05%
56,064
1,752.9
3.13%
57,774
1,748.2
3.03%
59,548
1,752.1
2.94%
1,470.07
2.80%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
26,030
780.1
3.00%
26,690
878.8
3.29%
27,339
895.5
3.28%
28,011
922.8
3.29%
28,690
957.7
3.34%
29,373
997.2
3.39%
30,050
1,030.6
3.43%
30,723
1,062.0
3.46%
31,396
1,090.5
3.47%
32,048
1,100.2
3.43%
971.53
3.34%
United States
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
79,698
0.0
0.00%
80,341
-1,109.7
-1.38%
81,105
-1,105.2
-1.36%
82,191
-1,157.5
-1.41%
83,270
-1,071.3
-1.29%
84,273
-1,067.5
-1.27%
85,250
-1,033.7
-1.21%
86,402
-978.9
-1.13%
87,407
-758.7
-0.87%
88,771
-604.9
-0.68%
-888.74
-1.06%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
51,418
658.9
1.28%
52,548
581.9
1.11%
53,332
610.3
1.14%
54,241
585.9
1.08%
55,161
659.1
1.19%
56,037
707.5
1.26%
56,884
765.3
1.35%
57,762
814.4
1.41%
58,645
888.3
1.51%
59,610
959.9
1.61%
723.15
1.30%
European Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,012
0.0
0.00%
969
11.8
1.21%
964
8.5
0.89%
971
11.5
1.18%
979
10.2
1.05%
984
10.1
1.03%
992
7.7
0.78%
1,000
6.2
0.62%
1,006
3.9
0.39%
1,011
3.5
0.34%
7.35
0.75%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
19,684
-174.0
-0.88%
19,785
-60.1
-0.30%
19,744
-80.6
-0.41%
19,748
-90.0
-0.46%
19,802
-31.1
-0.16%
19,855
7.5
0.04%
19,919
44.1
0.22%
20,021
79.8
0.40%
20,062
124.3
0.62%
20,200
175.8
0.87%
-0.44
-0.01%
China
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
15,024
12.2
0.08%
15,515
-184.2
-1.19%
15,438
-289.8
-1.88%
15,387
-266.9
-1.73%
15,450
-279.1
-1.81%
15,398
-276.6
-1.80%
15,444
-298.2
-1.93%
15,543
-287.6
-1.85%
15,598
-314.2
-2.01%
15,635
-336.4
-2.15%
-252.09
-1.63%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
30,159
-77.8
-0.26%
30,822
-59.9
-0.19%
31,461
-76.7
-0.24%
32,171
-75.0
-0.23%
32,868
-64.5
-0.20%
33,600
-57.1
-0.17%
34,388
-52.6
-0.15%
35,233
-44.5
-0.13%
36,094
-33.8
-0.09%
36,984
-24.0
-0.06%
-56.58
-0.17%
5,827
0.0
0.00%
5,931
-539.8
-9.10%
6,103
-570.6
-9.35%
6,261
-577.8
-9.23%
6,450
-602.9
-9.35%
6,628
-628.3
-9.48%
6,806
-653.8
-9.61%
6,977
-673.5
-9.65%
7,132
-694.9
-9.74%
7,299
-722.8
-9.90%
-566.45
-8.54%
5,827
-46.4
-0.80%
5,931
-80.5
-1.36%
6,102
-172.1
-2.82%
6,262
-237.3
-3.79%
6,450
-319.6
-4.96%
6,628
-385.1
-5.81%
6,806
-444.7
-6.53%
6,977
-491.6
-7.05%
7,132
-517.6
-7.26%
7,299
-548.5
-7.51%
-324.32
-4.79%
India
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table B.9. Soy
ybean Meal Price and Trade
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
170
6.1
3.56%
176
5.3
3.00%
182
7.7
4.26%
187
7.5
4.00%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
36,608
-5.1
-0.01%
37,301
-483.3
-1.30%
37,830
-757.5
-2.00%
38,363
-1,039.5
-2.71%
untries
Exports of Selected Cou
Argentina
Baseline
16,445
Change
-108.5
% chg
-0.66%
16,632
-93.5
-0.56%
16,770
-82.4
-0.49%
16,928
-78.2
-0.46%
17,110
-63.1
-0.37%
17,287
-46.8
-0.27%
Brazil
Baseline
Change
% chg
10,911
328.2
3.01%
10,892
191.1
1.75%
10,930
96.6
0.88%
10,932
19.5
0.18%
10,956
-66.2
-0.60%
India
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,369
71.3
3.01%
2,434
72.8
2.99%
2,555
12.0
0.47%
2,668
-33.1
-1.24%
6,883
-296.3
-4.30%
7,343
-653.8
-8.90%
7,575
-783.7
-10.35%
Imports of Selected Coun
untries
Eastern Europe
Baseline
3,037
Change
-81.3
% chg
-2.68%
3,079
-194.0
-6.30%
United States
Baseline
Change
% chg
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
211
9.8
4.64%
216
9.6
4.43%
220
9.8
4.44%
8.23
4.16%
40,311
-1,640.5
-4.07%
40,790
-1,789.4
-4.39%
41,378
-1,922.2
-4.65%
-1,163.57
-2.93%
17,449
-34.9
-0.20%
17,612
-30.1
-0.17%
17,777
-21.4
-0.12%
17,880
-13.9
-0.08%
-57.27
-0.34%
10,916
-161.0
-1.48%
10,820
-283.8
-2.62%
10,738
-380.6
-3.54%
10,636
-463.9
-4.36%
10,783
-531.5
-4.93%
-125.16
-1.17%
2,802
-94.6
-3.38%
2,928
-143.1
-4.89%
3,054
-186.0
-6.09%
3,172
-219.6
-6.92%
3,280
-237.4
-7.24%
3,393
-257.7
-7.60%
0
-101.53
-3.09%
7,835
-947.6
-12.09%
8,091
-969.7
-11.98%
8,299
-975.8
-11.76%
8,554
-973.1
-11.38%
8,789
-1,010.3
-11.49%
9,098
-1,066.8
-11.73%
9,322
-1,119.0
-12.00%
-879.60
-10.60%
3,120
-220.8
-7.08%
3,137
-241.9
-7.71%
3,178
-251.3
-7.91%
3,214
-276.8
-8.61%
3,245
-294.7
-9.08%
3,288
-308.1
-9.37%
3,333
-297.9
-8.94%
3,387
-290.2
-8.57%
-245.71
-7.62%
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
194
201
206
8.1
8.8
9.7
4.17%
4.37%
4.70%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
38,960
39,431
39,876
-1,193.6 -1,326.8 -1,477.8
-3.06%
-3.36%
-3.71%
Average
Former Soviet Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
523
16.6
3.17%
513
1.6
0.31%
510
-1.5
-0.29%
508
-4.7
-0.92%
503
-7.6
-1.52%
495
-13.9
-2.81%
490
-19.3
-3.93%
486
-22.3
-4.59%
484
-21.0
-4.33%
482
-17.1
-3.55%
-8.92
-1.85%
Japan
Baseline
Change
% chg
811
11.1
1.37%
747
-30.2
-4.04%
723
-70.5
-9.75%
723
-81.0
-11.20%
733
-84.4
-11.51%
730
-85.4
-11.71%
729
-92.8
-12.74%
718
-105.1
-14.65%
714
-119.2
-16.69%
734
-128.4
-17.48%
-78.58
-10.84%
China
Baseline
Change
% chg
99
79.5
80.04%
205
99.2
48.37%
357
95.8
26.85%
473
89.9
19.03%
667
81.6
12.23%
839
86.1
10.26%
942
82.9
8.80%
1,008
84.7
8.40%
1,067
77.9
7.30%
1,117
66.6
5.96%
84.42
22.73%
Canada
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,051
-34.2
-3.25%
1,157
-17.1
-1.48%
1,176
43.8
3.72%
1,200
120.9
10.07%
1,230
166.2
13.51%
1,301
178.0
13.68%
1,355
165.9
12.25%
1,398
152.7
10.92%
1,401
164.7
11.76%
1,427
190.3
13.34%
0
113.13
8.45%
1,320
74.0
5.60%
1,255
46.2
3.68%
1,283
13.6
1.06%
1,343
11.2
0.83%
1,403
-7.0
-0.50%
1,469
-33.3
-2.27%
1,528
-57.9
-3.79%
1,583
-70.4
-4.45%
1,626
-66.5
-4.09%
1,670
-62.1
-3.72%
-15.23
-0.76%
83
-12.2
-14.6%
17
-34.7
-205.2%
23
-47.7
-209.7%
37
-55.3
-151.4%
48
-79.7
-166.4%
58
-98.8
-171.2%
58
-112.3
-192.3%
45
-114.2
-253.8%
41
-113.7
-278.0%
50
-119.7
-241.1%
-78.83
-188.36%
South Korea
Baseline
Change
% chg
Taiwan
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table B.10. So
oybean Meal Production and Consumption
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
Argentina
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
16,655
-114.1
-0.69%
16,849
-100.6
-0.60%
16,989
-90.1
-0.53%
17,147
-87.2
-0.51%
17,328
-72.6
-0.42%
17,505
-57.0
-0.33%
17,668
-44.1
-0.25%
17,832
-38.8
-0.22%
17,998
-30.1
-0.17%
18,106
-23.2
-0.13%
-65.77
-0.38%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
221
-3.1
-1.40%
223
-6.3
-2.84%
225
-6.6
-2.95%
225
-8.8
-3.90%
224
-8.9
-3.96%
224
-9.4
-4.22%
225
-8.8
-3.91%
225
-8.7
-3.88%
226
-8.7
-3.85%
228
-9.2
-4.03%
-7.85
-3.49%
Brazil
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
19,125
617.3
3.23%
19,621
631.9
3.22%
20,101
656.0
3.26%
20,589
675.7
3.28%
21,087
704.1
3.34%
21,583
732.7
3.39%
22,076
757.3
3.43%
22,567
779.1
3.45%
23,060
802.0
3.48%
23,535
809.9
3.44%
716.59
3.35%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
8,216
291.1
3.54%
8,732
441.4
5.05%
9,174
560.2
6.11%
9,661
656.4
6.79%
10,135
770.7
7.60%
10,671
894.2
8.38%
11,259
1,041.5
9.25%
11,832
1,159.6
9.80%
12,427
1,265.8
10.19%
12,752
1,341.4
10.52%
842.22
7.72%
United States
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
37,122
546.6
1.47%
37,937
505.7
1.33%
38,497
529.2
1.37%
39,152
508.8
1.30%
39,836
565.3
1.42%
40,527
602.9
1.49%
41,205
647.1
1.57%
41,911
680.8
1.62%
42,589
732.5
1.72%
43,334
788.8
1.82%
610.77
1.51%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
30,207
844.2
2.79%
30,599
1,159.4
3.79%
30,924
1,314.9
4.25%
31,318
1,456.2
4.65%
31,748
1,535.9
4.84%
32,230
1,579.7
4.90%
32,652
1,621.4
4.97%
33,122
1,691.4
5.11%
33,492
1,799.6
5.37%
34,011
1,907.9
5.61%
1,491.05
4.63%
European Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
14,704
-130.9
-0.89%
14,787
-46.5
-0.31%
14,763
-59.5
-0.40%
14,769
-68.1
-0.46%
14,815
-21.0
-0.14%
14,862
9.8
0.07%
14,916
39.8
0.27%
15,000
68.2
0.45%
15,035
103.5
0.69%
15,147
144.0
0.95%
3.93
0.02%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
29,816
-478.4
-1.60%
30,200
-507.7
-1.68%
30,260
-741.2
-2.45%
30,331
-970.5
-3.20%
30,378
-1,051.3
-3.46%
30,329
-1,054.3
-3.48%
30,329
-1,077.6
-3.55%
30,400
-1,140.4
-3.75%
30,510
-1,269.8
-4.16%
30,706
-1,363.9
-4.44%
-965.51
-3.18%
China
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
17,599
-56.0
-0.32%
17,977
-51.3
-0.29%
18,317
-52.3
-0.29%
18,706
-52.2
-0.28%
19,065
-45.6
-0.24%
19,442
-41.2
-0.21%
19,888
-37.6
-0.19%
20,393
-34.4
-0.17%
20,918
-30.7
-0.15%
21,455
-26.6
-0.12%
-42.80
-0.22%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
17,699
23.6
0.13%
18,182
47.9
0.26%
18,673
43.4
0.23%
19,179
37.7
0.20%
19,732
36.0
0.18%
20,281
44.8
0.22%
20,830
45.3
0.22%
21,401
50.3
0.23%
21,985
47.2
0.21%
22,572
39.9
0.18%
41.62
0.21%
India
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
3,893
-52.3
-1.34%
3,962
-51.5
-1.30%
4,084
-110.5
-2.71%
4,200
-156.7
-3.73%
4,337
-218.4
-5.04%
4,467
-267.8
-6.00%
4,596
-312.8
-6.81%
4,720
-348.5
-7.38%
4,833
-368.1
-7.62%
4,955
-391.3
-7.90%
-227.79
-4.98%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,524
-123.6
-8.11%
1,528
-124.3
-8.14%
1,529
-122.5
-8.01%
1,532
-123.6
-8.07%
1,535
-123.8
-8.07%
1,538
-124.7
-8.10%
1,542
-126.8
-8.22%
1,548
-129.0
-8.33%
1,553
-130.8
-8.42%
1,562
-133.6
-8.55%
-126.26
-8.20%
Table B.11. So
oybean Oil Price and Trade
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
09/10
10/11
11/12
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
347
28.0
8.07%
348
22.7
6.54%
356
24.4
6.84%
364
24.7
6.79%
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
373
383
396
24.2
23.1
22.7
6.48%
6.03%
5.73%
408
22.2
5.44%
422
21.6
5.11%
437
20.6
4.71%
23.42
6.17%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
7,118
362.8
5.10%
7,253
330.2
4.55%
7,376
347.8
4.71%
7,508
350.5
4.67%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
7,647
7,781
7,903
372.9
390.5
409.9
4.88%
5.02%
5.19%
8,027
426.4
5.31%
8,157
445.1
5.46%
8,287
461.2
5.56%
389.74
5.04%
untries
Exports of Selected Cou
Argentina
Baseline
3,549
Change
-25.7
% chg
-0.73%
3,590
-22.2
-0.62%
3,620
-20.4
-0.56%
3,654
-19.4
-0.53%
3,694
-16.6
-0.45%
3,732
-13.1
-0.35%
3,768
-10.5
-0.28%
3,804
-9.3
-0.24%
3,841
-7.7
-0.20%
3,863
-6.1
-0.16%
-15.11
-0.41%
Brazil
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,366
168.5
12.34%
1,430
159.6
11.16%
1,502
168.2
11.20%
1,571
171.4
10.91%
1,643
175.9
10.70%
1,716
180.8
10.53%
1,786
185.2
10.37%
1,856
188.6
10.16%
1,926
191.6
9.95%
1,974
192.5
9.75%
178.23
10.71%
United States
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,032
251.8
24.39%
1,094
206.0
18.83%
1,138
218.7
19.22%
1,187
216.7
18.26%
1,224
224.4
18.33%
1,253
228.0
18.19%
1,274
236.0
18.53%
1,289
242.6
18.82%
1,321
251.3
19.03%
1,371
257.9
18.81%
233.35
19.24%
Imports of Selected Coun
untries
Eastern Europe
Baseline
188
Change
4.5
% chg
2.42%
191
4.0
2.12%
195
4.3
2.19%
199
4.1
2.08%
203
4.2
2.06%
208
4.1
1.95%
213
4.1
1.91%
217
4.0
1.84%
222
4.1
1.84%
227
4.0
1.78%
4.14
2.02%
Former Soviet Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
360
10.7
2.98%
365
7.9
2.16%
371
8.4
2.27%
378
7.8
2.07%
385
8.2
2.12%
393
8.0
2.04%
401
8.2
2.05%
409
8.1
1.98%
419
8.4
2.00%
428
8.4
1.96%
8.42
2.16%
Japan
Baseline
Change
% chg
1
50.9
3685%
0
41.4
15697%
2
40.9
1855%
3
40.2
1194%
4
39.6
1036%
4
39.3
1089%
4
38.4
859%
4
37.9
1003%
3
37.6
1108%
5
37.0
750%
40.31
2827.61%
China
Baseline
Change
% chg
451
39.6
8.78%
500
42.1
8.42%
566
46.2
8.16%
637
45.5
7.14%
720
49.7
6.91%
802
52.6
6.55%
869
56.4
6.49%
931
59.9
6.43%
997
64.6
6.48%
1,061
69.1
6.51%
52.56
7.19%
India
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,339
40.5
3.03%
1,408
34.6
2.46%
1,459
46.8
3.21%
1,509
56.8
3.76%
1,557
72.4
4.65%
1,609
86.1
5.35%
1,663
98.8
5.94%
1,722
109.4
6.35%
1,786
116.6
6.53%
1,853
124.9
6.74%
78.70
4.80%
South Korea
Baseline
Change
% chg
144
6.3
4.37%
159
6.6
4.19%
172
5.3
3.07%
182
5.8
3.18%
192
4.8
2.51%
200
4.4
2.19%
209
3.6
1.75%
217
3.3
1.50%
225
2.9
1.28%
232
2.3
0.99%
4.53
2.50%
69
-1.8
-2.60%
68
-0.6
-0.90%
73
-2.5
-3.44%
81
-1.7
-2.10%
87
-3.4
-3.87%
91
-4.3
-4.74%
96
-5.6
-5.90%
99
-6.6
-6.66%
103
-7.7
-7.43%
105
-9.0
-8.54%
-4.32
-4.62%
Taiwan
Baseline
Change
% chg
06/07
07/08
08/09
Average
Table B.12. So
oybean Oil Production and Consumption
02/03
Argentina
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
3,701
-25.4
-0.69%
3,744
-22.4
-0.60%
3,775
-20.0
-0.53%
3,810
-19.4
-0.51%
3,851
-16.1
-0.42%
3,890
-12.7
-0.33%
3,926
-9.8
-0.25%
3,963
-8.6
-0.22%
4,000
-6.7
-0.17%
4,024
-5.2
-0.13%
-14.62
-0.38%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
153
0.7
0.47%
154
-0.2
-0.13%
155
0.5
0.30%
156
0.0
-0.02%
157
0.5
0.30%
158
0.4
0.23%
159
0.7
0.42%
159
0.6
0.40%
159
0.9
0.60%
161
1.0
0.60%
0.50
0.32%
Brazil
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
4,600
148.5
3.23%
4,719
152.0
3.22%
4,834
157.8
3.26%
4,952
162.5
3.28%
5,072
169.3
3.34%
5,191
176.2
3.39%
5,309
182.1
3.43%
5,428
187.4
3.45%
5,546
192.9
3.48%
5,660
194.8
3.44%
172.35
3.35%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
3,238
-12.1
-0.37%
3,290
-9.0
-0.27%
3,336
-9.9
-0.30%
3,385
-9.1
-0.27%
3,433
-7.2
-0.21%
3,481
-5.2
-0.15%
3,530
-3.5
-0.10%
3,579
-1.7
-0.05%
3,628
0.6
0.02%
3,689
1.9
0.05%
-5.50
-0.16%
United States
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
8,785
129.4
1.47%
8,982
119.7
1.33%
9,118
125.3
1.37%
9,278
120.6
1.30%
9,444
134.0
1.42%
9,612
143.0
1.49%
9,777
153.5
1.57%
9,949
161.6
1.62%
10,114
174.0
1.72%
10,296
187.4
1.82%
144.85
1.51%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
7,710
-107.2
-1.39%
7,856
-89.3
-1.14%
7,963
-94.8
-1.19%
8,075
-95.2
-1.18%
8,201
-92.5
-1.13%
8,343
-87.7
-1.05%
8,491
-84.9
-1.00%
8,649
-82.3
-0.95%
8,784
-78.6
-0.90%
8,917
-73.8
-0.83%
-88.63
-1.07%
European Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
3,308
-29.5
-0.89%
3,327
-10.5
-0.31%
3,322
-13.4
-0.40%
3,323
-15.3
-0.46%
3,333
-4.7
-0.14%
3,344
2.2
0.07%
3,356
9.0
0.27%
3,375
15.3
0.45%
3,383
23.3
0.69%
3,408
32.4
0.95%
0.88
0.02%
2,137
2.6
0.12%
2,187
2.3
0.11%
2,206
5.4
0.24%
2,227
2.9
0.13%
2,248
6.0
0.27%
2,265
7.3
0.32%
2,282
9.8
0.43%
2,298
10.8
0.47%
2,313
13.3
0.58%
2,329
15.3
0.66%
7.57
0.33%
3,520
-11.2
-0.32%
3,595
-10.3
-0.29%
3,663
-10.5
-0.29%
3,741
-10.4
-0.28%
3,813
-9.1
-0.24%
3,888
-8.2
-0.21%
3,978
-7.5
-0.19%
4,079
-6.9
-0.17%
4,184
-6.1
-0.15%
4,291
-5.3
-0.12%
-8.56
-0.22%
3,976
27.4
0.69%
4,097
30.1
0.73%
4,228
36.1
0.85%
4,376
35.0
0.80%
4,527
40.4
0.89%
4,685
44.0
0.94%
4,844
48.7
1.00%
5,009
52.7
1.05%
5,179
58.1
1.12%
5,351
63.4
1.18%
43.58
0.93%
898
-12.1
-1.34%
914
-11.9
-1.30%
943
-25.5
-2.71%
969
-36.2
-3.73%
1,001
-50.4
-5.04%
1,031
-61.8
-6.00%
1,061
-72.2
-6.81%
1,089
-80.4
-7.38%
1,115
-85.0
-7.62%
1,143
-90.3
-7.90%
-52.57
-4.98%
2,237
28.5
1.27%
2,323
22.7
0.98%
2,401
21.3
0.89%
2,478
20.6
0.83%
2,557
22.0
0.86%
2,639
24.3
0.92%
2,723
26.6
0.98%
2,811
28.9
1.03%
2,902
31.6
1.09%
2,996
34.7
1.16%
26.13
1.00%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
China
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
India
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table B.13. Ra
apeseed Price and Trade
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
09/10
10/11
11/12
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
208
42.1
20.29%
220
39.5
17.98%
225
51.5
22.91%
227
46.6
20.50%
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
231
235
237
240
49.5
52.7
55.7
58.5
21.43% 22.44% 23.53% 24.38%
243
61.7
25.45%
246
65.1
26.43%
52.30
22.53%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
5,968
52.6
0.88%
6,074
386.0
6.35%
6,338
378.2
5.97%
6,497
375.1
5.77%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
6,656
6,800
6,937
377.2
397.8
413.4
5.67%
5.85%
5.96%
7,096
430.7
6.07%
7,255
449.0
6.19%
7,420
467.0
6.29%
372.70
5.50%
untries
Exports of Selected Cou
Australia
Baseline
1,353
Change
-3.0
% chg
-0.22%
1,368
78.3
5.72%
1,394
76.3
5.48%
1,408
72.6
5.15%
1,442
77.7
5.39%
1,468
83.0
5.66%
1,485
82.4
5.55%
1,508
85.6
5.67%
1,533
87.8
5.73%
1,560
92.1
5.90%
73.28
5.00%
Canada
Baseline
Change
% chg
3,606
69.3
1.92%
3,670
305.4
8.32%
3,829
299.2
7.82%
3,928
299.5
7.62%
4,005
298.0
7.44%
4,072
308.0
7.56%
4,143
320.5
7.74%
4,223
330.5
7.83%
4,302
342.2
7.96%
4,384
352.0
8.03%
292.46
7.22%
Eastern Europe
Baseline
Change
% chg
842
-42.6
-5.07%
861
-31.9
-3.71%
926
-32.3
-3.49%
958
-30.7
-3.20%
994
-33.2
-3.34%
1,034
-29.0
-2.81%
1,071
-26.5
-2.48%
1,114
-23.6
-2.12%
1,157
-20.9
-1.80%
1,202
-18.4
-1.53%
-28.91
-2.95%
Former Soviet Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
167
29.0
17.39%
175
34.2
19.55%
190
35.0
18.45%
202
33.8
16.67%
215
34.6
16.13%
226
35.9
15.88%
238
36.9
15.53%
251
38.2
15.26%
263
39.8
15.11%
274
41.3
15.08%
35.87
16.50%
Imports of Selected Coun
untries
China
Baseline
1,616
Change
149.0
% chg
9.22%
1,810
190.9
10.55%
2,131
309.8
14.54%
2,190
281.4
12.85%
2,181
301.5
13.82%
2,161
294.4
13.63%
2,158
296.6
13.74%
2,213
290.1
13.11%
2,290
298.1
13.02%
2,403
299.9
12.48%
271.17
12.70%
286
-369.8
-129.4%
264
-318.0
-120.5%
233
-275.7
-118.5%
282
-321.7
-114.2%
373
-319.9
-85.8%
456
-287.0
-63.0%
545
-273.9
-50.3%
579
-251.9
-43.5%
621
-239.2
-38.5%
666
-227.2
-34.1%
-288.42
-79.77%
India
Baseline
Change
% chg
0
191.0
N/A
0
310.1
N/A
0
247.7
N/A
0
262.6
N/A
0
253.4
N/A
0
254.0
N/A
0
259.0
N/A
0
265.7
N/A
0
275.3
N/A
0
286.1
N/A
260.50
N/A
Japan
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,174
-114.1
-5.25%
2,175
-84.9
-3.90%
2,194
-97.1
-4.43%
2,211
-89.0
-4.02%
2,229
-90.3
-4.05%
2,245
-89.1
-3.97%
2,261
-87.8
-3.88%
2,275
-86.3
-3.79%
2,290
-85.3
-3.73%
2,305
-84.0
-3.64%
-90.78
-4.07%
Rest of World
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,738
196.4
11.30%
1,672
287.8
17.21%
1,627
193.6
11.90%
1,661
241.9
14.56%
1,720
232.4
13.51%
1,786
225.4
12.63%
1,820
219.5
12.06%
1,877
213.1
11.36%
1,901
200.1
10.52%
1,893
192.2
10.15%
220.23
12.52%
European Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
06/07
07/08
08/09
Average
Table B.14. Ra
apeseed Production and Consumption
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
Australia
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,771
0.0
0.00%
1,795
81.4
4.53%
1,830
79.4
4.34%
1,858
76.1
4.10%
1,903
81.2
4.27%
1,939
86.4
4.45%
1,967
85.7
4.36%
2,001
88.7
4.43%
2,037
91.0
4.47%
2,074
95.2
4.59%
76.50
3.95%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
418
3.0
0.72%
427
3.1
0.72%
436
3.1
0.70%
449
3.5
0.78%
461
3.5
0.77%
472
3.3
0.71%
482
3.3
0.68%
493
3.2
0.64%
504
3.1
0.62%
514
3.1
0.60%
3.22
0.69%
Canada
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
7,333
0.0
0.00%
7,354
371.1
5.05%
7,551
307.9
4.08%
7,699
341.3
4.43%
7,823
332.5
4.25%
7,942
340.0
4.28%
8,077
351.9
4.36%
8,206
362.4
4.42%
8,337
371.4
4.45%
8,465
379.7
4.49%
315.82
3.98%
3,698
-40.4
-1.09%
3,693
52.4
1.42%
3,720
15.6
0.42%
3,766
37.6
1.00%
3,813
35.0
0.92%
3,870
33.0
0.85%
3,931
32.1
0.82%
3,981
32.1
0.81%
4,034
29.8
0.74%
4,080
28.2
0.69%
25.54
0.66%
Eastern Europe
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,740
0.0
0.00%
2,768
39.2
1.42%
2,835
24.2
0.86%
2,893
32.3
1.11%
2,953
27.8
0.94%
3,010
28.8
0.96%
3,065
28.8
0.94%
3,122
29.4
0.94%
3,181
29.2
0.92%
3,240
29.8
0.92%
26.95
0.90%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,896
42.8
2.26%
1,908
70.3
3.68%
1,910
56.9
2.98%
1,935
62.7
3.24%
1,959
61.1
3.12%
1,975
57.9
2.93%
1,994
55.4
2.78%
2,007
53.0
2.64%
2,023
50.1
2.48%
2,038
48.2
2.36%
55.84
2.85%
China
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
11,953
9.7
0.08%
11,748
-77.6
-0.66%
11,983
-180.4
-1.51%
12,087
-165.5
-1.37%
12,188
-186.6
-1.53%
12,289
-182.2
-1.48%
12,463
-183.9
-1.48%
12,646
-177.6
-1.40%
12,815
-184.6
-1.44%
12,952
-186.1
-1.44%
-151.48
-1.22%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
13,569
158.7
1.17%
13,558
113.4
0.84%
14,114
129.4
0.92%
14,277
115.9
0.81%
14,369
114.9
0.80%
14,450
112.2
0.78%
14,621
112.7
0.77%
14,859
112.6
0.76%
15,105
113.5
0.75%
15,355
113.8
0.74%
119.69
0.83%
India
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
4,818
0.0
0.00%
4,786
-203.3
-4.25%
4,967
-286.8
-5.78%
4,979
-257.3
-5.17%
5,054
-280.9
-5.56%
5,102
-279.1
-5.47%
5,151
-277.7
-5.39%
5,191
-273.0
-5.26%
5,235
-272.6
-5.21%
5,277
-269.3
-5.10%
-239.99
-4.72%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
4,783
92.8
1.94%
4,820
82.0
1.70%
4,961
-29.5
-0.59%
4,977
1.1
0.02%
5,052
-25.9
-0.51%
5,100
-23.4
-0.46%
5,145
-16.2
-0.32%
5,187
-5.8
-0.11%
5,231
4.8
0.09%
5,273
18.4
0.35%
9.83
0.21%
Japan
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
2
0.0
0.00%
3
0.1
4.04%
3
0.1
2.15%
3
0.1
3.12%
3
0.1
2.57%
3
0.1
2.69%
3
0.1
2.83%
3
0.1
2.94%
3
0.1
2.99%
3
0.1
3.10%
0.07
2.64%
2,161
-99.3
-4.60%
2,181
-91.7
-4.20%
2,194
-93.8
-4.27%
2,210
-91.1
-4.12%
2,228
-90.0
-4.04%
2,244
-88.8
-3.96%
2,259
-87.6
-3.88%
2,274
-86.3
-3.80%
2,289
-85.1
-3.72%
2,306
-83.8
-3.63%
-89.76
-4.02%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table B.15. Ra
apeseed Meal Price and Trade
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
129
3.2
2.51%
136
-1.1
-0.85%
136
1.0
0.71%
139
-1.1
-0.78%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,438
25.7
1.05%
2,473
-47.0
-1.90%
2,607
-10.2
-0.39%
untries
Exports of Selected Cou
Australia
Baseline
0
Change
-2.1
% chg
N/A
0
-1.2
N/A
Canada
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,334
-23.9
-1.79%
Eastern Europe
Baseline
Change
% chg
09/10
10/11
11/12
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
143
147
149
-0.9
-0.5
-0.4
-0.65%
-0.35%
-0.24%
151
-0.8
-0.53%
154
-1.4
-0.89%
156
-1.5
-0.99%
-0.35
-0.21%
2,580
-38.4
-1.49%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
2,499
2,387
2,332
-51.8
-60.1
-53.7
-2.07%
-2.52%
-2.30%
2,319
-54.7
-2.36%
2,320
-66.7
-2.88%
2,326
-85.0
-3.66%
-44.21
-1.85%
0
-1.5
N/A
0
6.4
N/A
0
11.8
N/A
0
13.1
N/A
0
16.3
N/A
0
17.9
N/A
0
20.1
N/A
0
21.1
N/A
10.18
N/A
1,316
8.5
0.65%
1,322
-24.5
-1.85%
1,335
-31.9
-2.39%
1,352
-43.5
-3.22%
1,364
-47.8
-3.50%
1,383
-46.5
-3.36%
1,398
-44.0
-3.15%
1,424
-48.4
-3.40%
1,443
-55.5
-3.85%
-35.74
-2.59%
446
51.2
11.48%
450
79.1
17.57%
434
79.7
18.36%
442
83.1
18.79%
445
84.4
18.96%
442
87.8
19.84%
442
89.4
20.23%
437
89.9
20.57%
434
85.8
19.78%
429
82.8
19.30%
81.31
18.49%
9
-14.4
-166.0%
10
-13.3
-128.3%
9
-13.7
-144.7%
10
-13.5
-133.5%
11
-13.3
-117.2%
13
-12.9
-100.1%
14
-12.5
-90.2%
14
-12.4
-86.5%
15
-12.7
-87.1%
15
-13.3
-89.4%
-13.19
-114.3%
Imports of Selected Coun
untries
China
Baseline
-600
Change
-64.0
% chg
10.67%
-595
18.2
-3.07%
-772
-20.3
2.63%
-718
8.3
-1.16%
-603
3.7
-0.61%
-466
-0.1
0.02%
-390
-3.5
0.89%
-362
-0.4
0.12%
-336
0.6
-0.19%
-319
-0.7
0.23%
-5.82
0.95%
585
110.6
18.9%
622
118.2
19.0%
666
82.4
12.4%
629
49.8
7.9%
554
31.5
5.7%
458
30.2
6.6%
400
28.9
7.2%
368
21.9
6.0%
349
0.6
0.2%
333
-15.9
-4.8%
45.81
7.90%
India
Baseline
Change
% chg
-49
124.0
-252.5%
-102
181.9
-178.7%
-70
195.2
-276.8%
-74
224.1
-302.4%
-88
239.5
-273.6%
-100
249.5
-248.5%
-104
258.6
-248.9%
-107
267.6
-251.1%
-111
276.0
-248.6%
-121
281.9
-233.2%
229.82
-251.4%
Japan
Baseline
Change
% chg
86
40.4
46.76%
62
36.1
57.97%
69
26.0
37.82%
72
25.9
35.95%
77
25.4
32.93%
79
25.0
31.65%
83
24.1
28.88%
84
21.2
25.32%
86
17.8
20.56%
92
15.8
17.24%
25.76
33.51%
1,597
-200.2
-12.54%
1,620
-281.3
-17.36%
1,703
-243.2
-14.28%
1,710
-264.1
-15.44%
1,698
-260.7
-15.35%
1,680
-264.4
-15.74%
1,680
-261.4
-15.56%
1,698
-258.9
-15.25%
1,715
-250.1
-14.58%
1,733
-245.9
-14.19%
-253.02
-15.03%
Former Soviet Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
European Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
Rest of World
Baseline
Change
% chg
06/07
07/08
08/09
Average
Table B.16. Ra
apeseed Meal Production and Consumption
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
Australia
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
231
1.7
0.73%
236
1.6
0.66%
241
1.5
0.64%
249
1.8
0.73%
255
1.8
0.71%
261
1.7
0.65%
267
1.7
0.63%
273
1.6
0.59%
279
1.6
0.57%
285
1.6
0.55%
1.66
0.65%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
231
3.8
1.63%
236
2.8
1.19%
241
3.1
1.27%
249
-4.6
-1.84%
255
-9.9
-3.89%
261
-11.4
-4.37%
267
-14.6
-5.48%
273
-16.2
-5.95%
279
-18.5
-6.63%
285
-19.5
-6.86%
-8.52
-3.09%
1,836
-22.7
-1.24%
1,837
16.3
0.89%
1,849
-2.4
-0.13%
1,874
9.2
0.49%
1,900
8.2
0.43%
1,933
6.9
0.36%
1,967
6.2
0.31%
1,996
5.9
0.30%
2,025
4.4
0.22%
2,052
3.4
0.16%
3.54
0.18%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
502
1.4
0.28%
521
7.5
1.45%
527
22.2
4.20%
538
41.0
7.62%
548
51.7
9.44%
569
54.7
9.62%
585
52.6
9.00%
598
49.9
8.35%
601
52.8
8.78%
609
58.8
9.66%
39.27
6.84%
Eastern Europe
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,068
25.3
2.37%
1,075
41.0
3.81%
1,075
33.3
3.10%
1,090
36.6
3.36%
1,104
35.7
3.23%
1,113
33.8
3.04%
1,123
32.4
2.88%
1,131
30.9
2.74%
1,140
29.2
2.57%
1,148
28.1
2.45%
32.63
2.95%
619
-25.1
-4.06%
625
-39.1
-6.26%
641
-45.9
-7.17%
647
-46.9
-7.24%
658
-48.7
-7.39%
670
-53.8
-8.04%
681
-57.0
-8.38%
693
-59.1
-8.52%
706
-56.7
-8.03%
719
-54.8
-7.62%
-48.71
-7.27%
China
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
7,782
99.2
1.28%
7,797
71.6
0.92%
8,137
87.9
1.08%
8,239
77.8
0.94%
8,295
78.3
0.94%
8,343
76.6
0.92%
8,446
77.0
0.91%
8,590
76.7
0.89%
8,741
77.7
0.89%
8,895
77.9
0.88%
80.07
0.96%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
7,182
35.2
0.49%
7,203
89.8
1.25%
7,366
67.5
0.92%
7,520
86.1
1.15%
7,692
82.0
1.07%
7,877
76.5
0.97%
8,056
73.6
0.91%
8,228
76.3
0.93%
8,404
78.3
0.93%
8,577
77.2
0.90%
74.25
0.95%
India
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,793
2.1
0.07%
2,816
10.4
0.37%
2,837
6.6
0.23%
2,867
7.0
0.24%
2,900
5.3
0.18%
2,935
3.5
0.12%
2,971
1.5
0.05%
3,007
0.0
0.00%
3,044
-1.9
-0.06%
3,083
-3.2
-0.10%
3.13
0.11%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,744
126.1
4.60%
2,714
192.2
7.08%
2,767
201.8
7.29%
2,793
231.1
8.28%
2,813
244.8
8.70%
2,835
253.0
8.92%
2,867
260.1
9.07%
2,900
267.6
9.23%
2,933
274.1
9.34%
2,962
278.7
9.41%
232.95
8.19%
Japan
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,186
-54.5
-4.60%
1,196
-50.5
-4.22%
1,203
-51.5
-4.28%
1,212
-50.1
-4.14%
1,221
-49.5
-4.05%
1,231
-48.9
-3.97%
1,238
-48.2
-3.89%
1,247
-47.5
-3.81%
1,255
-46.8
-3.73%
1,264
-46.1
-3.65%
-49.36
-4.03%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,269
-13.4
-1.06%
1,259
-15.3
-1.22%
1,271
-25.2
-1.98%
1,283
-24.6
-1.92%
1,298
-24.0
-1.85%
1,309
-23.7
-1.81%
1,321
-24.1
-1.82%
1,329
-26.4
-1.99%
1,341
-29.1
-2.17%
1,355
-30.3
-2.24%
-23.63
-1.81%
Canada
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table B.17. Ra
apeseed Oil Price and Trade
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
438
62.2
14.20%
462
49.0
10.59%
475
58.6
12.35%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,346
-57.7
-4.29%
1,329
-18.7
-1.40%
untries
Exports of Selected Cou
Australia
Baseline
59
Change
1.1
% chg
1.81%
Canada
Baseline
Change
% chg
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
484
55.8
11.53%
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
494
506
515
525
58.4
60.9
63.5
65.7
11.84% 12.05% 12.33% 12.53%
534
68.9
12.91%
545
71.6
13.14%
61.45
12.35%
1,335
-38.2
-2.86%
1,380
-22.8
-1.65%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
1,442
1,508
1,561
-21.2
-19.1
-17.8
-1.47%
-1.27%
-1.14%
1,596
-15.7
-0.98%
1,630
-15.8
-0.97%
1,659
-14.9
-0.90%
-24.19
-1.69%
60
1.2
2.06%
61
0.9
1.51%
66
1.3
2.03%
69
1.4
1.99%
70
1.3
1.84%
72
1.3
1.75%
74
1.3
1.78%
77
1.4
1.81%
79
1.4
1.75%
1.26
1.83%
771
-4.9
-0.64%
767
19.3
2.52%
767
7.9
1.03%
775
15.3
1.98%
784
15.0
1.92%
800
14.6
1.82%
816
14.4
1.77%
827
14.5
1.76%
839
14.0
1.67%
849
13.6
1.61%
12.38
1.54%
Eastern Europe
Baseline
Change
% chg
74
21.7
29.49%
84
30.6
36.32%
82
25.8
31.56%
89
28.3
31.92%
94
27.1
28.71%
95
26.8
28.13%
97
25.6
26.26%
98
25.3
25.81%
99
24.2
24.43%
100
24.0
23.99%
25.94
28.66%
European Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
443
-75.6
-17.1%
418
-69.8
-16.7%
425
-72.9
-17.1%
451
-67.8
-15.0%
494
-64.7
-13.1%
543
-61.8
-11.4%
576
-59.0
-10.2%
596
-56.8
-9.5%
615
-55.5
-9.0%
630
-53.9
-8.5%
0
-63.77
-12.78%
Imports of Selected Coun
untries
China
Baseline
135
Change
-85.0
% chg
-62.97%
191
-46.0
-24.08%
148
-64.4
-43.43%
183
-51.3
-28.08%
251
-50.1
-19.92%
330
-49.4
-14.95%
375
-48.8
-13.03%
390
-48.2
-12.35%
406
-48.9
-12.03%
418
-48.6
-11.62%
-54.07
-24.25%
Former Soviet Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
120
12.2
10.19%
121
12.6
10.47%
127
12.8
10.08%
133
12.4
9.33%
139
12.5
8.97%
146
12.1
8.27%
154
11.9
7.76%
162
11.5
7.12%
171
11.3
6.60%
181
11.0
6.07%
0
12.03
8.49%
India
Baseline
Change
% chg
48
16
140.9
167.7
292.0% 1065.5%
37
160.0
428.9%
48
167.7
352.3%
56
170.5
306.3%
63
174.5
278.5%
75
176.6
234.5%
89
179.2
202.5%
103
180.2
174.9%
115
182.7
158.5%
170.00
349.4%
Japan
Baseline
Change
% chg
31
54.9
178.8%
16
56.9
347.8%
20
50.9
255.3%
24
53.2
224.7%
26
51.3
197.6%
28
49.9
178.2%
33
48.5
146.9%
36
47.3
130.0%
39
45.5
117.0%
39
43.8
112.7%
50.21
188.9%
802
-180.7
-22.53%
775
-210.0
-27.10%
793
-197.4
-24.90%
784
-204.9
-26.15%
760
-205.5
-27.05%
732
-206.2
-28.19%
714
-205.9
-28.83%
708
-205.5
-29.01%
701
-203.9
-29.10%
695
-203.7
-29.30%
-202.37
-27.21%
Rest of World
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table B.18. Ra
apeseed Oil Production and Consumption
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
Australia
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
165
1.2
0.73%
169
1.1
0.66%
172
1.1
0.64%
178
1.3
0.73%
182
1.3
0.71%
186
1.2
0.65%
191
1.2
0.63%
195
1.2
0.59%
199
1.1
0.57%
203
1.1
0.55%
1.18
0.65%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
107
0.1
0.14%
109
-0.1
-0.11%
111
0.2
0.17%
112
0.0
-0.04%
114
-0.1
-0.06%
116
-0.1
-0.06%
118
-0.1
-0.06%
121
-0.2
-0.14%
122
-0.3
-0.22%
124
-0.3
-0.22%
-0.08
-0.06%
Canada
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,307
-16.1
-1.24%
1,308
11.6
0.89%
1,316
-1.7
-0.13%
1,334
6.5
0.49%
1,353
5.9
0.43%
1,376
4.9
0.36%
1,400
4.4
0.31%
1,421
4.2
0.30%
1,442
3.2
0.22%
1,461
2.4
0.16%
2.52
0.18%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
536
-10.2
-1.91%
541
-8.0
-1.47%
549
-9.5
-1.74%
559
-8.8
-1.58%
568
-9.2
-1.61%
576
-9.6
-1.67%
585
-10.0
-1.71%
593
-10.3
-1.74%
602
-10.8
-1.80%
611
-11.2
-1.84%
-9.77
-1.71%
724
17.1
2.37%
729
27.8
3.81%
729
22.6
3.10%
739
24.8
3.36%
748
24.2
3.23%
754
22.9
3.04%
761
21.9
2.88%
767
21.0
2.74%
773
19.8
2.57%
778
19.0
2.45%
22.12
2.95%
650
-4.4
-0.67%
645
-3.2
-0.50%
647
-3.0
-0.47%
650
-3.6
-0.55%
654
-2.8
-0.43%
659
-3.8
-0.58%
664
-3.6
-0.54%
669
-4.3
-0.64%
674
-4.4
-0.65%
678
-4.9
-0.73%
-3.80
-0.58%
4,142
52.8
1.28%
4,150
38.1
0.92%
4,331
46.8
1.08%
4,385
41.4
0.94%
4,415
41.7
0.94%
4,441
40.8
0.92%
4,495
41.0
0.91%
4,572
40.8
0.89%
4,652
41.3
0.89%
4,735
41.5
0.88%
42.62
0.96%
4,277
-32.2
-0.75%
4,341
-7.8
-0.18%
4,479
-17.6
-0.39%
4,568
-9.8
-0.22%
4,666
-8.4
-0.18%
4,771
-8.6
-0.18%
4,870
-7.8
-0.16%
4,963
-7.4
-0.15%
5,059
-7.5
-0.15%
5,153
-7.1
-0.14%
-11.45
-0.25%
India
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,376
1.0
0.07%
1,387
5.1
0.37%
1,397
3.3
0.23%
1,412
3.5
0.24%
1,428
2.6
0.18%
1,446
1.7
0.12%
1,463
0.7
0.05%
1,481
0.0
0.00%
1,499
-0.9
-0.06%
1,518
-1.6
-0.10%
1.54
0.11%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,424
141.9
9.96%
1,403
172.8
12.32%
1,435
163.2
11.38%
1,460
171.1
11.72%
1,484
173.2
11.67%
1,508
176.3
11.69%
1,539
177.3
11.53%
1,569
179.2
11.42%
1,602
179.3
11.19%
1,634
181.1
11.09%
171.54
11.40%
884
-40.6
-4.60%
892
-37.6
-4.22%
897
-38.4
-4.28%
903
-37.4
-4.14%
910
-36.9
-4.05%
917
-36.4
-3.97%
923
-35.9
-3.89%
929
-35.4
-3.81%
936
-34.9
-3.73%
942
-34.4
-3.65%
-36.80
-4.03%
913
10.4
1.14%
909
18.0
1.98%
916
13.2
1.44%
926
15.5
1.68%
936
14.5
1.55%
945
13.5
1.43%
955
12.7
1.33%
965
12.0
1.24%
974
10.7
1.10%
981
9.6
0.98%
13.03
1.39%
Eastern Europe
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
China
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Japan
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table B.19. Su
unflower Seed Price and Trade
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
257
23.9
9.32%
254
4.2
1.67%
258
18.1
6.99%
260
7.8
3.00%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,889
247.6
13.11%
1,932
522.7
27.06%
1,906
346.4
18.18%
1,911
461.2
24.13%
Exports of Selected Cou
untries
Argentina
Baseline
478
411
Change
115.8
451.5
% chg
24.20% 109.74%
China
Baseline
Change
% chg
359
361
215.3
385.8
59.96% 106.86%
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
271
10.4
3.85%
273
12.7
4.66%
276
11.1
4.03%
12.53
4.74%
1,937
448.2
23.14%
1,942
423.5
21.81%
1,952
451.5
23.13%
411.86
21.39%
330
312
299
281
257
240
269.7
358.1
304.9
359.2
327.5
365.9
81.68% 114.61% 102.01% 127.94% 127.33% 152.38%
315.38
100.67%
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
263
266
268
14.1
9.7
13.2
5.37%
3.66%
4.90%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
1,914
1,922
1,930
367.6
444.8
405.1
19.20% 23.14% 20.99%
Average
46
-7.3
-15.99%
38
-34.8
-91.60%
32
-48.3
-151.2%
28
-42.8
-152.5%
32
-51.6
-160.5%
26
-47.7
-182.8%
24
-51.6
-215.9%
24
-50.0
-207.8%
24
-53.2
-223.8%
22
-53.2
-236.3%
-44.05
-163.85%
Eastern Europe
Baseline
Change
% chg
528
-515.1
-97.6%
528
-562.2
-106.4%
544
-499.0
-91.8%
543
-533.6
-98.3%
566
-501.6
-88.6%
597
-502.9
-84.2%
617
-478.9
-77.6%
638
-478.1
-74.9%
661
-460.4
-69.7%
688
-460.9
-67.0%
-499.26
-85.61%
Former Soviet Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
837
654.3
78.19%
954
668.2
70.06%
971
678.4
69.86%
979
651.8
66.59%
986
651.0
66.04%
986
637.3
64.61%
991
630.8
63.68%
994
617.0
62.08%
1,000
609.6
60.97%
1,001
599.6
59.88%
639.79
66.20%
Imports of Selected Coun
untries
European Union
Baseline
1,199
Change
-675.7
% chg
-56.37%
1,130
-601.0
-53.18%
1,108
-637.0
-57.50%
1,091
-609.2
-55.86%
1,068
-633.0
-59.27%
1,047
-591.2
-56.48%
1,029
-588.3
-57.15%
1,005
-557.3
-55.45%
982
-551.0
-56.10%
968
-531.3
-54.91%
-597.50
-56.23%
692
804
800
822
848
877
903
934
961
923.3 1,123.6
983.4 1,070.4 1,000.6 1,036.1
993.4 1,005.5
974.5
133.41% 139.83% 122.95% 130.17% 117.95% 118.09% 110.02% 107.66% 101.36%
986
982.8
99.66%
1,009.36
118.11%
Rest of World
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table B.20. Su
unflower Seed Production and Consumption
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
Argentina
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
4,435
-1.7
-0.04%
4,405
326.9
7.42%
4,429
71.8
1.62%
4,515
253.6
5.62%
4,567
126.8
2.78%
4,638
220.7
4.76%
4,711
163.5
3.47%
4,780
220.6
4.61%
4,844
185.4
3.83%
4,917
225.2
4.58%
179.28
3.86%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
3,954
-88.5
-2.24%
3,993
-142.6
-3.57%
4,074
-130.5
-3.20%
4,155
-141.7
-3.41%
4,240
-137.0
-3.23%
4,329
-141.4
-3.27%
4,415
-138.0
-3.13%
4,502
-141.1
-3.13%
4,590
-139.9
-3.05%
4,680
-142.0
-3.03%
-134.27
-3.13%
China
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,982
1.6
0.08%
1,981
-30.7
-1.55%
1,986
-55.7
-2.81%
2,002
-44.2
-2.21%
2,042
-58.9
-2.88%
2,053
-50.8
-2.48%
2,074
-57.5
-2.77%
2,099
-53.6
-2.55%
2,122
-59.1
-2.78%
2,142
-57.9
-2.70%
-46.68
-2.27%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,936
8.9
0.46%
1,943
4.1
0.21%
1,954
-7.4
-0.38%
1,974
-1.4
-0.07%
2,009
-7.3
-0.36%
2,027
-3.2
-0.16%
2,050
-5.9
-0.29%
2,075
-3.7
-0.18%
2,098
-5.9
-0.28%
2,119
-4.7
-0.22%
-2.62
-0.13%
Eastern Europe
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,343
0.0
0.00%
2,350
13.7
0.58%
2,412
-39.7
-1.65%
2,493
-1.1
-0.04%
2,576
-29.2
-1.14%
2,654
-10.7
-0.40%
2,728
-22.0
-0.81%
2,809
-12.5
-0.44%
2,894
-18.8
-0.65%
2,981
-13.0
-0.44%
-13.33
-0.50%
1,808
511.3
28.28%
1,819
571.0
31.39%
1,868
462.8
24.78%
1,949
530.1
27.20%
2,008
474.0
23.60%
2,054
491.3
23.92%
2,110
457.8
21.70%
2,170
465.2
21.44%
2,232
442.2
19.81%
2,292
447.6
19.53%
485.33
24.16%
6,140
0.0
0.00%
6,260
593.2
9.48%
6,311
364.1
5.77%
6,411
522.2
8.14%
6,510
415.4
6.38%
6,598
497.8
7.54%
6,699
452.3
6.75%
6,793
500.3
7.37%
6,887
472.6
6.86%
6,973
503.8
7.22%
432.17
6.55%
5,304
-646.3
-12.19%
5,305
-78.2
-1.47%
5,340
-312.2
-5.85%
5,432
-131.2
-2.42%
5,524
-234.8
-4.25%
5,611
-140.2
-2.50%
5,708
-178.1
-3.12%
5,798
-117.1
-2.02%
5,887
-136.7
-2.32%
5,971
-96.1
-1.61%
-207.10
-3.77%
3,435
0.0
0.00%
3,412
73.8
2.16%
3,424
-14.5
-0.42%
3,480
52.7
1.51%
3,528
25.7
0.73%
3,580
26.5
0.74%
3,626
2.5
0.07%
3,680
-2.9
-0.08%
3,730
-23.4
-0.63%
3,770
-24.6
-0.65%
11.59
0.34%
4,595
-642.4
-13.98%
4,517
-554.9
-12.29%
4,533
-633.8
-13.98%
4,566
-569.9
-12.48%
4,594
-599.6
-13.05%
4,625
-570.4
-12.33%
4,652
-581.9
-12.51%
4,682
-563.7
-12.04%
4,710
-571.9
-12.14%
4,735
-558.0
-11.78%
-584.64
-12.66%
5,497
0.0
0.00%
5,449
-84.4
-1.55%
5,476
-160.4
-2.93%
5,524
-106.2
-1.92%
5,568
-143.5
-2.58%
5,610
-115.3
-2.05%
5,656
-131.6
-2.33%
5,702
-115.6
-2.03%
5,748
-124.6
-2.17%
5,792
-114.3
-1.97%
-109.59
-1.95%
6,258
883.3
14.11%
6,221
1,015.1
16.32%
6,265
841.0
13.42%
6,344
952.2
15.01%
6,410
865.4
13.50%
6,484
916.0
14.13%
6,555
866.4
13.22%
6,632
887.3
13.38%
6,705
853.0
12.72%
6,776
867.1
12.80%
894.67
13.86%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Former Soviet Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
European Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Rest of World
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table B.21. Su
unflower Seed Meal Price and Trade
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
113
-3.4
-3.01%
122
-12.7
-10.42%
127
-8.2
-6.44%
129
-13.3
-10.28%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,732
20.5
1.19%
1,796
158.7
8.84%
1,830
103.0
5.63%
1,899
123.5
6.50%
Exports of Selected Cou
untries
Argentina
Baseline
1,452
Change
-48.2
% chg
-3.32%
1,491
-95.4
-6.40%
1,514
-55.0
-3.63%
1,543
-85.8
-5.56%
1,581
-67.1
-4.24%
1,617
-79.6
-4.92%
China
Baseline
Change
% chg
0
34.6
N/A
0
11.1
N/A
0
2.1
N/A
0
-12.4
N/A
0
-16.8
N/A
34
285.1
835.6%
44
316.2
721.7%
49
292.6
600.5%
74
312.1
420.5%
246
-251.0
-102.2%
261
-73.2
-28.0%
267
-136.7
-51.2%
Imports of Selected Coun
untries
European Union
Baseline
1,420
Change
381.7
% chg
26.87%
1,425
498.8
34.99%
Rest of World
Baseline
Change
% chg
381
-340.1
-89.3%
Eastern Europe
Baseline
Change
% chg
Former Soviet Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
322
-361.1
-112.3%
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
133
136
139
-11.5
-13.3
-12.3
-8.66%
-9.81%
-8.88%
141
-13.9
-9.87%
144
-13.8
-9.55%
147
-14.7
-9.96%
-11.70
-8.69%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
1,958
2,007
2,065
97.1
111.5
100.6
4.96%
5.55%
4.87%
2,124
105.5
4.97%
2,184
81.8
3.75%
2,246
69.9
3.11%
97.21
4.94%
1,650
-71.6
-4.34%
1,685
-80.9
-4.80%
1,723
-76.4
-4.44%
1,762
-80.6
-4.58%
-74.06
-4.62%
0
-33.9
N/A
0
-44.6
N/A
0
-54.2
N/A
0
-63.7
N/A
0
-74.4
N/A
-25.22
N/A
79
297.5
377.7%
75
309.8
413.0%
80
305.0
382.1%
85
309.2
365.2%
91
296.5
327.5%
96
293.6
306.7%
301.77
475.05%
282
-90.4
-32.1%
299
-116.6
-39.0%
315
-84.8
-26.9%
335
-88.2
-26.3%
354
-68.7
-19.4%
370
-74.6
-20.1%
388
-68.8
-17.7%
-105.28
-36.3%
1,408
408.5
29.01%
1,427
438.0
30.70%
1,429
395.0
27.64%
1,425
416.1
29.19%
1,429
396.0
27.71%
1,436
399.6
27.83%
1,446
367.2
25.39%
1,459
355.5
24.36%
405.64
28.37%
432
-305.5
-70.7%
482
-314.5
-65.2%
539
-297.9
-55.3%
592
-304.6
-51.5%
646
-295.4
-45.7%
697
-294.1
-42.2%
748
-285.4
-38.1%
797
-285.6
-35.9%
-308.42
-60.6%
Table B.22. Su
unflower Seed Meal Production and Consumption
02/03
Argentina
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
1,636
-36.9
-2.26%
1,653
-60.9
-3.68%
1,687
-54.8
-3.25%
1,721
-60.2
-3.50%
1,757
-57.8
-3.29%
1,794
-59.9
-3.34%
1,830
-58.3
-3.19%
1,867
-59.8
-3.20%
1,904
-59.1
-3.11%
1,941
-60.2
-3.10%
-56.80
-3.19%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
189
4.3
2.28%
183
15.2
8.32%
182
9.5
5.23%
184
15.0
8.16%
184
13.0
7.05%
184
15.8
8.55%
186
15.4
8.28%
187
17.7
9.47%
180
17.6
9.75%
183
18.5
10.12%
14.20
7.72%
China
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
595
1.0
0.17%
598
-7.0
-1.18%
601
-8.8
-1.46%
608
-8.6
-1.41%
622
-9.9
-1.59%
626
-9.1
-1.46%
634
-9.7
-1.53%
644
-9.4
-1.46%
653
-10.0
-1.53%
662
-9.9
-1.50%
-8.14
-1.29%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
595
-33.6
-5.64%
598
-18.1
-3.03%
601
-10.9
-1.81%
608
3.8
0.63%
622
6.9
1.11%
626
24.8
3.96%
634
34.9
5.51%
644
44.8
6.95%
653
53.7
8.22%
662
64.4
9.74%
17.08
2.56%
Eastern Europe
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
872
254.7
29.22%
876
283.2
32.31%
900
230.5
25.62%
940
263.1
28.00%
968
235.8
24.36%
990
244.1
24.66%
1,016
227.7
22.40%
1,045
231.1
22.11%
1,075
219.9
20.45%
1,104
222.4
20.14%
241.25
24.93%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
837
-30.8
-3.68%
833
-34.1
-4.09%
851
-61.6
-7.23%
865
-49.5
-5.72%
889
-61.5
-6.92%
914
-65.8
-7.19%
936
-77.2
-8.25%
960
-78.2
-8.14%
984
-76.6
-7.78%
1,008
-71.2
-7.06%
-60.64
-6.61%
2,045
-258.8
-12.65%
2,042
-42.0
-2.06%
2,054
-131.0
-6.37%
2,089
-61.3
-2.94%
2,123
-100.6
-4.74%
2,155
-63.9
-2.97%
2,191
-78.0
-3.56%
2,224
-54.2
-2.44%
2,256
-61.3
-2.72%
2,286
-45.4
-1.98%
-89.65
-4.24%
1,799
-8.2
-0.45%
1,781
30.2
1.69%
1,787
6.3
0.35%
1,807
28.6
1.58%
1,824
16.1
0.89%
1,840
20.7
1.12%
1,856
10.3
0.56%
1,870
14.3
0.77%
1,886
13.3
0.70%
1,898
23.3
1.23%
15.49
0.84%
2,152
-324.2
-15.06%
2,108
-292.0
-13.86%
2,118
-321.7
-15.19%
2,132
-297.0
-13.93%
2,145
-308.3
-14.37%
2,159
-294.8
-13.66%
2,171
-298.1
-13.73%
2,184
-289.3
-13.24%
2,197
-291.5
-13.27%
2,208
-284.8
-12.90%
-300.18
-13.92%
3,560
52.0
1.46%
3,535
193.0
5.46%
3,530
93.9
2.66%
3,560
133.7
3.76%
3,576
89.6
2.50%
3,585
119.0
3.32%
3,600
99.7
2.77%
3,620
108.4
2.99%
3,643
76.2
2.09%
3,668
69.8
1.90%
103.53
2.89%
2,396
385.2
16.08%
2,368
438.8
18.54%
2,381
367.4
15.43%
2,412
412.7
17.11%
2,437
376.9
15.47%
2,465
397.7
16.13%
2,493
377.0
15.12%
2,523
385.3
15.27%
2,551
370.9
14.54%
2,578
376.6
14.61%
388.86
15.83%
2,717
23.6
0.87%
2,749
98.1
3.57%
2,814
62.3
2.21%
2,894
97.9
3.38%
2,976
79.1
2.66%
3,057
92.9
3.04%
3,139
81.7
2.60%
3,220
91.1
2.83%
3,299
85.6
2.59%
3,375
91.0
2.70%
80.32
2.65%
Former Soviet Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
European Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Rest of World
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table B.23. Su
unflower Seed Oil Price and Trade
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
546
58.2
10.65%
529
23.2
4.39%
535
46.6
8.71%
539
31.2
5.79%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,210
-162.3
-13.41%
1,160
-55.8
-4.81%
1,187
-80.1
-6.75%
1,225
-56.1
-4.58%
Exports of Selected Cou
untries
Argentina
Baseline
1,021
Change
0.6
% chg
0.06%
1,019
-57.7
-5.66%
1,049
-27.2
-2.59%
China
Baseline
Change
% chg
0
-0.8
N/A
0
-13.8
N/A
Eastern Europe
Baseline
Change
% chg
-121
197.8
-163.5%
Former Soviet Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
09/10
10/11
11/12
563
38.1
6.77%
569
42.8
7.52%
576
40.8
7.08%
40.05
7.26%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
1,267
1,307
1,347
-65.0
-48.1
-45.9
-5.13%
-3.68%
-3.40%
1,383
-33.0
-2.38%
1,417
-29.1
-2.06%
1,451
-19.9
-1.37%
-59.53
-4.76%
1,075
-48.7
-4.53%
1,103
-34.3
-3.11%
1,133
-43.6
-3.84%
1,161
-35.3
-3.04%
1,189
-40.4
-3.40%
1,218
-35.0
-2.87%
1,249
-38.3
-3.07%
-35.99
-3.21%
0
-20.1
N/A
0
-27.9
N/A
0
-31.7
N/A
0
-40.3
N/A
0
-47.3
N/A
0
-54.3
N/A
0
-61.6
N/A
0
-69.7
N/A
-36.75
N/A
-139
205.8
-147.7%
-132
177.3
-134.3%
-113
194.3
-172.1%
-104
179.2
-172.0%
-103
182.0
-177.2%
-96
172.2
-179.7%
-88
172.9
-197.5%
-79
166.0
-210.7%
-71
166.8
-234.0%
181.43
-178.89%
189
-162.9
-86.22%
142
1.9
1.35%
138
-52.9
-38.47%
151
-7.4
-4.92%
164
-30.8
-18.72%
174
-4.5
-2.59%
186
-10.5
-5.67%
194
7.4
3.83%
199
5.9
2.95%
202
18.5
9.16%
-23.54
-13.93%
Imports of Selected Coun
untries
European Union
Baseline
98
Change
224.6
% chg
230.2%
204
267.1
131.1%
188
239.1
127.0%
194
254.2
131.3%
196
239.5
122.3%
197
244.3
124.2%
200
235.0
117.7%
202
236.5
117.2%
205
230.2
112.4%
208
230.1
110.7%
240.07
132.4%
806
-130.8
-16.23%
855
-162.1
-18.95%
908
-144.0
-15.86%
956
-157.0
-16.42%
997
-150.7
-15.12%
1,041
-156.0
-14.99%
1,083
-150.9
-13.94%
1,122
-154.9
-13.80%
1,161
-152.9
-13.16%
-154.93
-15.78%
Rest of World
Baseline
Change
% chg
981
-189.9
-19.36%
06/07
07/08
08/09
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
544
551
557
42.2
35.6
41.7
7.76%
6.46%
7.49%
Average
Table B.24. Su
unflower Seed Oil Production and Consumption
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
Argentina
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,558
-35.2
-2.26%
1,574
-58.0
-3.68%
1,607
-52.2
-3.25%
1,639
-57.3
-3.50%
1,673
-55.0
-3.29%
1,709
-57.1
-3.34%
1,743
-55.5
-3.19%
1,778
-57.0
-3.20%
1,813
-56.3
-3.11%
1,849
-57.3
-3.10%
-54.09
-3.19%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
539
-27.0
-5.01%
554
-6.3
-1.14%
559
-21.0
-3.75%
565
-11.3
-2.00%
571
-18.8
-3.29%
577
-14.7
-2.55%
583
-19.1
-3.28%
590
-17.2
-2.92%
596
-20.5
-3.44%
601
-19.3
-3.22%
-17.52
-3.06%
China
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
226
0.4
0.17%
227
-2.7
-1.18%
228
-3.3
-1.46%
231
-3.3
-1.41%
236
-3.7
-1.59%
237
-3.5
-1.46%
240
-3.7
-1.53%
244
-3.6
-1.46%
248
-3.8
-1.53%
251
-3.8
-1.50%
-3.09
-1.29%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
226
1.2
0.52%
227
11.1
4.89%
228
16.7
7.34%
231
24.7
10.69%
236
27.9
11.83%
237
36.9
15.53%
240
43.7
18.17%
244
50.7
20.76%
248
57.9
23.35%
251
65.9
26.27%
33.66
13.94%
697
203.7
29.22%
701
226.5
32.31%
720
184.4
25.62%
752
210.5
28.00%
775
188.6
24.36%
792
195.3
24.66%
813
182.1
22.40%
836
184.9
22.11%
860
175.9
20.45%
883
178.0
20.14%
193.00
24.93%
816
5.5
0.67%
838
18.9
2.25%
851
8.5
1.00%
864
15.4
1.78%
878
10.1
1.15%
893
13.0
1.45%
908
10.3
1.13%
923
11.9
1.28%
938
10.1
1.08%
954
11.0
1.16%
11.45
1.29%
2,095
-265.1
-12.65%
2,092
-43.0
-2.06%
2,105
-134.1
-6.37%
2,140
-62.8
-2.94%
2,175
-103.1
-4.74%
2,208
-65.5
-2.97%
2,244
-79.9
-3.56%
2,278
-55.5
-2.44%
2,311
-62.8
-2.72%
2,342
-46.5
-1.98%
-91.84
-4.24%
1,902
-95.5
-5.02%
1,947
-49.0
-2.52%
1,966
-78.7
-4.00%
1,988
-57.1
-2.87%
2,010
-71.2
-3.54%
2,033
-61.7
-3.04%
2,058
-68.9
-3.35%
2,084
-63.4
-3.04%
2,111
-68.3
-3.24%
2,140
-65.2
-3.05%
-67.91
-3.37%
1,739
-261.8
-15.06%
1,702
-235.9
-13.86%
1,710
-259.8
-15.19%
1,722
-239.9
-13.93%
1,732
-249.0
-14.37%
1,744
-238.1
-13.66%
1,754
-240.7
-13.73%
1,764
-233.7
-13.24%
1,774
-235.5
-13.27%
1,783
-230.1
-12.90%
-242.45
-13.92%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,819
-28.5
-1.56%
1,887
18.7
0.99%
1,899
-12.6
-0.67%
1,914
8.9
0.47%
1,927
-5.9
-0.31%
1,939
3.8
0.20%
1,952
-3.9
-0.20%
1,965
1.5
0.08%
1,978
-3.9
-0.20%
1,990
-0.7
-0.04%
-2.25
-0.12%
Rest of World
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,183
351.0
16.08%
2,157
399.8
18.54%
2,170
334.7
15.43%
2,198
376.0
17.11%
2,220
343.4
15.47%
2,246
362.3
16.13%
2,271
343.5
15.12%
2,298
351.1
15.27%
2,324
337.9
14.54%
2,349
343.2
14.61%
354.30
15.83%
3,156
152.5
4.83%
2,957
262.5
8.88%
3,024
177.6
5.87%
3,104
229.0
7.38%
3,175
188.6
5.94%
3,242
210.3
6.49%
3,311
188.7
5.70%
3,380
199.5
5.90%
3,446
183.9
5.34%
3,510
189.9
5.41%
198.27
6.17%
Eastern Europe
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Former Soviet Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
European Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table B.25. Pe
eanut Price and Trade
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
1,039
67.5
6.50%
1,063
-95.1
-8.95%
1,068
-105.0
-9.84%
1,076
-118.6
-11.02%
192
-3.1
-1.60%
218
22.7
10.41%
221
25.6
11.56%
226
24.4
10.79%
231
26.8
11.60%
236
24.9
10.53%
China
Baseline
Change
% chg
529
-126.2
-23.84%
484
-140.5
-29.02%
482
-145.3
-30.13%
480
-152.8
-31.82%
475
-156.9
-33.06%
India
Baseline
Change
% chg
116
153.1
132.02%
145
-43.1
-29.70%
150
-64.6
-43.17%
155
-84.0
-54.15%
202
43.7
21.70%
216
65.8
30.45%
214
79.3
36.98%
Imports of Selected Coun
untries
Canada
Baseline
122
Change
-8.3
% chg
-6.81%
123
-7.5
-6.10%
454
-22.3
-4.9%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
Exports of Selected Cou
Argentina
Baseline
Change
% chg
United States
Baseline
Change
% chg
European Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
Mexico
Baseline
Change
% chg
Rest of World
Baseline
Change
% chg
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
1,079
1,077
1,082
-111.3
-118.4
-118.5
-10.31% -11.00% -10.96%
1,087
-126.6
-11.64%
1,091
-128.4
-11.78%
1,091
-138.4
-12.69%
-99.29
-9.17%
242
27.0
11.16%
247
25.7
10.42%
251
27.5
10.96%
255
26.4
10.33%
22.80
9.62%
464
-158.1
-34.05%
460
-163.9
-35.60%
459
-167.0
-36.36%
456
-173.5
-38.04%
451
-176.3
-39.09%
-156.05
-33.10%
159
-91.2
-57.43%
163
-110.9
-67.94%
167
-123.1
-73.76%
170
-143.2
-84.24%
173
176
-156.3
-178.7
-90.42% -101.47%
-84.19
-47.03%
214
93.8
43.85%
214
110.0
51.32%
213
125.6
58.92%
212
141.4
66.66%
211
157.9
74.79%
210
173.9
82.61%
209
190.1
90.99%
118.16
55.83%
124
-8.0
-6.47%
125
-8.5
-6.80%
126
-8.5
-6.71%
127
-9.2
-7.26%
128
-9.3
-7.28%
129
-10.0
-7.77%
130
-10.2
-7.84%
131
-10.9
-8.36%
-9.05
-7.14%
470
-17.4
-3.7%
471
-19.5
-4.1%
475
-20.3
-4.3%
478
-20.1
-4.2%
481
-22.0
-4.6%
485
-21.8
-4.5%
490
-23.7
-4.8%
494
-23.7
-4.8%
498
-25.7
-5.2%
-21.67
-4.51%
104
-23.3
-22.38%
107
-25.7
-23.98%
111
-27.7
-24.99%
114
-29.4
-25.75%
116
-29.9
-25.76%
119
-32.3
-27.15%
122
-33.0
-27.12%
125
-35.4
-28.33%
128
-36.4
-28.56%
130
-39.0
-30.09%
-31.23
-26.41%
273
121.5
44.56%
276
-44.4
-16.08%
275
-49.8
-18.08%
275
-60.3
-21.91%
272
-52.7
-19.36%
264
-55.0
-20.86%
261
-54.2
-20.80%
258
-57.7
-22.36%
253
-57.9
-22.86%
246
-63.0
-25.56%
-37.35
-14.33%
Table B.26. Pe
eanut Production and Consumption
02/03
Argentina
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
357
-0.5
-0.15%
389
28.9
7.42%
396
33.9
8.57%
403
35.2
8.74%
410
41.1
10.03%
417
41.9
10.04%
426
48.3
11.34%
434
50.4
11.61%
441
57.1
12.94%
449
60.1
13.38%
39.64
9.39%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
168
5.2
3.07%
172
6.3
3.66%
174
8.6
4.91%
177
11.0
6.22%
179
14.4
8.05%
181
17.3
9.56%
184
21.4
11.64%
187
25.0
13.35%
190
29.7
15.61%
194
34.0
17.58%
17.29
9.36%
China
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
13,628
11.0
0.08%
13,725
-142.2
-1.04%
13,775
-125.6
-0.91%
13,774
-143.4
-1.04%
13,775
-95.0
-0.69%
13,748
-103.2
-0.75%
13,806
-73.1
-0.53%
13,901
-69.2
-0.50%
13,981
-40.1
-0.29%
14,031
-38.1
-0.27%
-81.88
-0.59%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
13,098
137.2
1.05%
13,241
-1.7
-0.01%
13,292
19.7
0.15%
13,294
9.4
0.07%
13,301
61.9
0.47%
13,284
54.9
0.41%
13,345
90.8
0.68%
13,441
97.8
0.73%
13,525
133.5
0.99%
13,580
138.2
1.02%
74.18
0.55%
India
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
7,575
0.0
0.00%
7,824
-256.9
-3.28%
7,916
-238.2
-3.01%
7,977
-222.2
-2.78%
8,055
-200.6
-2.49%
8,140
-193.5
-2.38%
8,226
-173.6
-2.11%
8,313
-165.2
-1.99%
8,396
-143.9
-1.71%
8,481
-133.3
-1.57%
-172.72
-2.13%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
7,459
-153.1
-2.05%
7,679
-213.8
-2.78%
7,767
-173.6
-2.24%
7,822
-138.1
-1.77%
7,896
-109.4
-1.39%
7,977
-82.7
-1.04%
8,060
-50.5
-0.63%
8,143
-22.0
-0.27%
8,223
12.4
0.15%
8,304
45.3
0.55%
-88.54
-1.15%
United States
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,598
0.0
0.00%
1,694
54.9
3.24%
1,690
64.7
3.83%
1,695
74.1
4.37%
1,702
90.1
5.30%
1,703
103.3
6.07%
1,707
117.5
6.88%
1,712
131.7
7.69%
1,717
142.3
8.29%
1,719
153.8
8.94%
93.25
5.46%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,457
-14.4
-0.99%
1,472
-13.2
-0.90%
1,478
-14.6
-0.99%
1,484
-17.6
-1.19%
1,489
-19.3
-1.30%
1,493
-21.4
-1.43%
1,498
-23.3
-1.55%
1,503
-26.6
-1.77%
1,508
-31.3
-2.08%
1,514
-36.3
-2.40%
-21.80
-1.46%
European Union
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
457
-18.6
-4.08%
469
-17.6
-3.76%
472
-19.1
-4.05%
476
-20.1
-4.23%
479
-20.1
-4.19%
483
-21.7
-4.49%
486
-21.8
-4.47%
491
-23.3
-4.75%
495
-23.6
-4.77%
499
-25.3
-5.06%
-21.12
-4.39%
Rest of World
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
8,598
0.0
0.00%
8,841
210.3
2.38%
8,903
218.3
2.45%
8,983
241.0
2.68%
9,063
264.4
2.92%
9,144
271.7
2.97%
9,229
305.2
3.31%
9,313
315.4
3.39%
9,394
351.0
3.74%
9,476
366.7
3.87%
254.40
2.77%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
8,876
127.8
1.44%
9,115
165.9
1.82%
9,178
169.4
1.85%
9,258
181.3
1.96%
9,335
211.8
2.27%
9,407
217.7
2.31%
9,489
251.2
2.65%
9,570
258.7
2.70%
9,646
293.5
3.04%
9,722
304.8
3.14%
218.22
2.32%
Table B.27. Pa
alm Oil Price and Trade
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
370
36.0
9.73%
412
25.3
6.14%
437
19.8
4.52%
450
16.3
3.61%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
15,281
204.1
1.34%
15,387
244.5
1.59%
15,676
325.1
2.07%
Exports of Selected Cou
untries
Malaysia
Baseline
10,498
Change
95.9
% chg
0.91%
10,548
97.6
0.93%
Indonesia
Baseline
Change
% chg
4,783
108.2
2.26%
Imports of Selected Coun
untries
China
Baseline
2,148
Change
6.4
% chg
0.30%
European Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
India
Baseline
Change
% chg
Rest of World
Baseline
Change
% chg
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
460
471
483
16.2
16.6
18.0
3.52%
3.52%
3.73%
498
19.1
3.83%
514
20.3
3.94%
531
20.8
3.92%
20.82
4.65%
16,015
352.1
2.20%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
16,382
16,751
17,129
369.9
376.6
385.7
2.26%
2.25%
2.25%
17,508
394.9
2.26%
17,900
407.0
2.27%
18,308
418.1
2.28%
347.80
2.08%
10,753
152.1
1.41%
10,991
168.8
1.54%
11,247
178.9
1.59%
11,494
181.2
1.58%
11,737
185.4
1.58%
11,969
190.2
1.59%
12,202
197.5
1.62%
12,442
204.9
1.65%
165.26
1.44%
4,839
146.8
3.03%
4,923
173.1
3.52%
5,024
183.3
3.65%
5,135
190.9
3.72%
5,257
195.4
3.72%
5,392
200.2
3.71%
5,540
204.7
3.70%
5,698
209.4
3.68%
5,866
213.2
3.63%
182.54
3.46%
2,183
12.4
0.57%
2,241
21.6
0.96%
2,316
23.9
1.03%
2,394
25.1
1.05%
2,476
24.8
1.00%
2,562
25.1
0.98%
2,653
25.6
0.97%
2,747
26.6
0.97%
2,842
27.5
0.97%
21.90
0.88%
2,527
-24.2
-0.96%
2,544
-7.1
-0.28%
2,562
4.3
0.17%
2,599
5.7
0.22%
2,640
6.9
0.26%
2,677
5.8
0.22%
2,714
5.2
0.19%
2,748
4.2
0.15%
2,784
4.1
0.15%
2,822
3.9
0.14%
0.89
0.03%
4,082
289.4
7.09%
4,142
258.3
6.24%
4,287
268.6
6.26%
4,425
280.2
6.33%
4,583
286.6
6.25%
4,744
293.5
6.19%
4,909
300.2
6.12%
5,077
310.4
6.11%
5,254
319.8
6.09%
5,442
330.2
6.07%
293.73
6.27%
6,381
-67.5
-1.06%
6,375
-19.2
-0.30%
6,442
30.7
0.48%
6,531
42.4
0.65%
6,623
51.2
0.77%
6,711
52.5
0.78%
6,802
55.2
0.81%
6,887
54.7
0.79%
6,972
56.4
0.81%
7,060
56.5
0.80%
31.28
0.45%
Table B.28. Pa
alm Oil Production and Consumption
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
Malaysia
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
12,089
0.0
0.00%
12,225
105.4
0.86%
12,458
149.9
1.20%
12,781
166.5
1.30%
13,100
171.1
1.31%
13,398
172.8
1.29%
13,683
174.6
1.28%
13,963
179.9
1.29%
14,250
186.7
1.31%
14,545
195.1
1.34%
150.22
1.12%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,692
-30.7
-1.81%
1,713
-17.7
-1.03%
1,738
-12.5
-0.72%
1,783
-9.1
-0.51%
1,836
-8.7
-0.47%
1,891
-8.6
-0.46%
1,942
-9.4
-0.48%
1,994
-9.7
-0.49%
2,048
-10.0
-0.49%
2,103
-9.9
-0.47%
-12.63
-0.69%
8,087
0.0
0.00%
8,162
74.9
0.92%
8,314
113.0
1.36%
8,497
131.0
1.54%
8,694
139.8
1.61%
8,898
145.2
1.63%
9,109
149.0
1.64%
9,329
153.4
1.64%
9,558
157.9
1.65%
9,796
162.5
1.66%
122.67
1.36%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
3,311
-98.0
-2.96%
3,331
-74.1
-2.22%
3,394
-61.3
-1.80%
3,474
-53.1
-1.53%
3,559
-51.2
-1.44%
3,641
-50.3
-1.38%
3,718
-51.0
-1.37%
3,790
-51.2
-1.35%
3,860
-51.4
-1.33%
3,930
-50.7
-1.29%
-59.22
-1.67%
China
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,148
6.4
0.30%
2,183
12.4
0.57%
2,241
21.6
0.96%
2,316
23.9
1.03%
2,394
25.1
1.05%
2,476
24.8
1.00%
2,562
25.1
0.98%
2,653
25.6
0.97%
2,747
26.6
0.97%
2,842
27.5
0.97%
21.90
0.88%
2,539
-18.5
-0.73%
2,548
-10.4
-0.41%
2,567
2.7
0.11%
2,601
4.8
0.18%
2,640
6.8
0.26%
2,678
5.8
0.21%
2,715
5.4
0.20%
2,750
4.3
0.16%
2,786
4.3
0.15%
2,823
3.9
0.14%
0.90
0.03%
India
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
39
0.0
0.00%
38
0.0
0.00%
41
0.0
0.00%
44
0.0
0.00%
47
-3.4
-7.10%
51
-4.1
-7.98%
53
-4.3
-8.00%
56
-4.4
-7.86%
58
-4.4
-7.54%
61
-4.4
-7.21%
-2.49
-4.57%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
4,168
189.3
4.54%
4,220
237.7
5.63%
4,337
262.1
6.04%
4,474
276.4
6.18%
4,630
282.9
6.11%
4,795
289.3
6.03%
4,964
295.8
5.96%
5,136
305.0
5.94%
5,316
314.4
5.91%
5,506
324.5
5.89%
277.75
5.82%
Rest of World
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
4,350
0.0
0.00%
4,342
2.4
0.06%
4,361
1.4
0.03%
4,413
-3.9
-0.09%
4,480
-7.3
-0.16%
4,548
-12.8
-0.28%
4,613
-17.1
-0.37%
4,676
-19.8
-0.42%
4,741
-21.0
-0.44%
4,808
-21.4
-0.45%
-9.94
-0.21%
10,763
-62.1
-0.58%
10,738
-25.7
-0.24%
10,813
27.6
0.26%
10,945
36.0
0.33%
11,101
43.7
0.39%
11,259
39.7
0.35%
11,415
38.7
0.34%
11,566
35.1
0.30%
11,716
35.6
0.30%
11,870
34.9
0.29%
20.35
0.18%
Indonesia
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
European Union
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table B.29. Cotton Price
P
and Trade
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
09/10
10/11
11/12
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
837
11.57
1.38%
911
21.82
2.40%
983
28.28
2.88%
1,041
32.59
3.13%
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
1,091
1,143
1,200
1,258
35.36
37.34
39.00
41.50
3.24%
3.27% 3.25% 3.30%
1,317
43.38
3.29%
1,378
43.50
3.16%
33.43
2.93%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
4,363
-28
-0.63%
4,368
-34
-0.78%
4,367
-35
-0.80%
4,397
-39
-0.89%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
4,439
4,488
4,540
4,588
4,635
-41
-42
-42
-44
-45
-0.93% -0.94% -0.92% -0.96% -0.96%
4,683
-43
-0.92%
-39
-0.87%
Exports of Selected Countries
Africa
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,198
3.7
0.31%
1,211
22.8
1.88%
1,224
25.1
2.05%
1,238
25.7
2.07%
1,251
26.7
2.13%
1,262
27.1
2.14%
1,273
27.3
2.15%
1,282
27.6
2.15%
1,291
28.1
2.18%
1,298
28.4
2.19%
24.25
1.93%
Australia
Baseline
Change
% chg
650
5.2
0.80%
644
5.4
0.83%
649
5.4
0.83%
663
5.8
0.87%
683
5.7
0.83%
709
5.9
0.83%
737
6.0
0.81%
766
6.1
0.79%
795
6.1
0.77%
825
6.1
0.74%
5.75
0.81%
Pakistan
Baseline
Change
% chg
8
-62.7
-793%
27
-97.6
-361%
28
-100.2
-352%
31
-101.5
-329%
34
-102.5
-302%
37
-103.9
-280%
40
-105.6
-264%
44
-107.1
-245%
48
-108.6
-224%
54
-110.3
-203%
-100.01
-335.21%
2,275
22.7
1.0%
2,299
14.7
0.6%
2,286
10.2
0.4%
2,283
9.7
0.4%
2,296
8.8
0.4%
2,320
8.0
0.3%
2,347
9.0
0.4%
2,371
8.0
0.3%
2,394
8.0
0.3%
2,418
10.9
0.4%
10.99
0.47%
Uzbekistan
Baseline
Change
% chg
735
4.6
0.63%
722
12.9
1.79%
717
14.0
1.96%
714
14.4
2.02%
713
14.9
2.09%
712
15.0
2.10%
712
15.0
2.11%
711
15.1
2.13%
711
15.3
2.15%
711
15.3
2.16%
13.67
1.91%
Imports of Selected Countries
China
Baseline
Change
% chg
507
-8.4
-1.7%
538
-16.0
-3.0%
537
-17.8
-3.3%
576
-20.6
-3.6%
613
-22.4
-3.6%
650
-23.5
-3.6%
687
-24.0
-3.5%
710
-25.5
-3.6%
730
-26.6
-3.6%
751
-25.6
-3.4%
-21.02
-3.29%
European Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
543
-4.7
-0.9%
514
-9.5
-1.9%
512
-10.7
-2.1%
496
-11.0
-2.2%
482
-11.7
-2.4%
466
-11.9
-2.6%
447
-12.1
-2.7%
428
-12.4
-2.9%
410
-12.8
-3.1%
390
-12.9
-3.3%
-10.99
-2.41%
India
Baseline
Change
% chg
385
10.5
2.7%
393
9.6
2.4%
400
9.0
2.3%
410
8.0
2.0%
421
7.6
1.8%
433
7.5
1.7%
445
7.7
1.7%
459
7.5
1.6%
473
7.5
1.6%
488
7.7
1.59%
8.27
1.95%
Japan
Baseline
Change
% chg
237
-3.3
-1.38%
228
-2.3
-0.99%
220
-2.1
-0.95%
214
-2.2
-1.01%
209
-2.1
-1.01%
204
200
196
193
-2.0
-2.0
-2.0
-1.9
-1.00% -0.98% -1.00% -0.98%
189
-1.8
-0.96%
-2.16
-1.03%
Mexico
Baseline
Change
% chg
353
-1.5
-0.43%
348
-1.1
-0.32%
346
-1.0
-0.29%
346
-1.2
-0.34%
347
-1.2
-0.34%
348
347
347
347
-1.2
-1.2
-1.2
-1.2
-0.34% -0.33% -0.35% -0.35%
347
-1.2
-0.35%
-1.20
-0.34%
Turkey
Baseline
Change
% chg
424
-17.3
-4.09%
423
-22.2
-5.25%
411
-24.4
-5.94%
394
-18.9
-4.80%
388
-17.0
-4.38%
388
389
389
390
-17.2
-17.8
-17.6
-17.6
-4.45% -4.59% -4.52% -4.51%
393
-17.9
-4.55%
-18.80
-4.71%
United States
Baseline
Change
% chg
06/07
07/08
08/09
Average
Table B.30. Cotton Production
P
and Consumption
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
Africa
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,800
0.0
0.00%
1,803
21.3
1.18%
1,820
23.8
1.31%
1,837
24.2
1.32%
1,852
25.3
1.37%
1,864
25.7
1.38%
1,877
26.0
1.39%
1,890
26.3
1.39%
1,903
26.8
1.41%
1,915
27.1
1.42%
22.65
1.22%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
596
-1.2
-0.2%
590
-1.3
-0.2%
588
-1.3
-0.2%
586
-1.3
-0.2%
587
-1.3
-0.2%
588
-1.3
-0.2%
590
-1.3
-0.2%
593
-1.3
-0.2%
597
-1.3
-0.2%
602
-1.3
-0.2%
-1.31
-0.22%
India
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,525
0.0
0.00%
2,543
-4.2
-0.17%
2,597
-3.2
-0.12%
2,668
-3.2
-0.12%
2,725
-2.8
-0.10%
2,775
2,822
2,870
2,917
-2.7
-2.6
-2.7
-2.6
-0.10% -0.09% -0.09% -0.09%
2,963
-2.6
-0.09%
-2.66
-0.10%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,904
8.2
0.28%
2,931
6.0
0.20%
2,984
5.9
0.20%
3,058
5.1
0.17%
3,128
4.9
0.16%
3,192
4.9
0.15%
3,253
5.1
0.16%
3,314
4.9
0.15%
3,375
4.9
0.15%
3,436
5.1
0.15%
5.49
0.18%
United States
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
3,908
-96.5
-2.5%
3,815
-113.9
-3.0%
3,772
-114.1
-3.0%
3,784
-113.3
-3.0%
3,802
-111.7
-2.9%
3,811
-112.1
-2.9%
3,816
-112.5
-2.9%
3,824
-116.3
-3.0%
3,831
-114.8
-3.0%
3,840
-110.3
-2.9%
-111.55
-2.92%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,681
-34.4
-2.05%
1,649
-36.7
-2.22%
1,626
-40.5
-2.49%
1,609
-43.7
-2.71%
1,595
-44.3
-2.78%
1,580
1,566
1,553
1,539
-44.5
-45.7
-48.7
-48.9
-2.82% -2.92% -3.14% -3.18%
1,524
-49.0
-3.22%
-43.65
-2.75%
Uzbekistan
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,022
0.0
0.00%
1,011
12.1
1.19%
1,007
13.5
1.34%
1,006
13.7
1.36%
1,006
14.2
1.41%
1,010
14.7
1.45%
1,011
14.8
1.46%
12.61
1.25%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
287
-0.6
-0.19%
289
-0.6
-0.21%
290
-0.6
-0.21%
292
-0.6
-0.22%
293
-0.6
-0.22%
295
296
297
299
-0.6
-0.6
-0.6
-0.6
-0.22% -0.22% -0.22% -0.22%
300
-0.6
-0.21%
-0.62
-0.21%
4,769
0.0
0.00%
4,820
4.0
0.08%
4,864
7.1
0.15%
4,912
7.3
0.15%
4,957
8.7
0.17%
5,124
10.4
0.20%
5,166
10.5
0.20%
7.65
0.15%
5,350
-6.3
-0.12%
5,396
-10.5
-0.19%
5,439
-10.7
-0.20%
5,520
-12.7
-0.23%
5,611
-13.5
-0.24%
5,661
5,722
5,783
5,859
-14.1
-14.4
-15.6
-16.2
-0.25% -0.25% -0.27% -0.28%
5,930
-15.3
-0.26%
-12.92
-0.23%
545
0.0
0.0%
556
7.7
1.4%
564
9.3
1.6%
572
9.3
1.6%
580
10.1
1.7%
617
11.2
1.8%
627
11.5
1.8%
9.11
1.54%
1,073
-1.2
-0.11%
1,056
-1.4
-0.13%
1,062
-1.4
-0.13%
1,054
-1.5
-0.14%
1,048
-1.5
-0.14%
1,041
1,031
1,022
1,013
-1.5
-1.5
-1.5
-1.6
-0.15% -0.15% -0.15% -0.15%
1,002
-1.5
-0.15%
-1.47
-0.14%
China
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
European Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,007
14.4
1.43%
4,999
9.2
0.18%
589
10.4
1.8%
1,008
14.5
1.44%
5,042
9.6
0.19%
598
10.7
1.8%
1,009
14.5
1.44%
5,083
9.7
0.19%
607
10.9
1.8%
Table B.31. Butter
B
Price and Trade
2002
2003
2004
2005
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,393
562.2
40.37%
1,456
520.7
35.76%
1,498
491.4
32.81%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
630
22.4
3.56%
628
15.8
2.52%
Exports of Selected Co
Countries
Argentina
5
Baseline
3.9
Change
83%
% chg
2008
2009
2010
2011
1,559
506.9
32.51%
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
1,585
1,629
1,690
522.3
536.0
549.3
32.94%
32.91%
32.50%
1,765
566.6
32.09%
1,836
586.3
31.93%
1,911
608.0
31.82%
544.97
33.56%
638
25.1
3.94%
650
28.0
4.31%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
668
683
691
33.7
35.8
46.8
5.05%
5.25%
6.78%
700
51.4
7.35%
709
66.5
9.38%
721
82.0
11.38%
40.77
5.95%
6
4.3
77%
6
4.7
84%
6
4.8
84%
6
5.1
92%
6
5.3
96%
6
5.6
97%
6
5.8
98%
6
6.0
99%
6
6.2
100%
5.17
91%
119
21.0
17.56%
121
21.3
17.56%
119
25.4
21.27%
118
27.2
23.14%
121
29.0
24.00%
122
29.7
24.24%
121
30.0
24.74%
122
30.6
25.07%
122
30.9
25.27%
124
31.2
25.22%
27.64
22.81%
European Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
76
-119.7
-157%
87
-86.1
-100%
95
-66.7
-70%
103
-57.5
-56%
111
-58.9
-53%
122
-51.2
-42%
128
-36.8
-29%
137
-25.1
-18%
146
-13.3
-9%
155
-2.6
-2%
-51.80
-54%
New Zealand
Baseline
Change
% chg
341
16.8
4.93%
323
17.3
5.37%
326
18.6
5.70%
330
17.9
5.43%
334
18.8
5.62%
337
19.5
5.79%
340
20.4
6.00%
342
21.0
6.14%
344
21.6
6.28%
346
22.0
6.37%
19.40
5.76%
Imports of Selected Countries
Co
Brazil
Baseline
6
Change
-1.9
% chg
-32%
6
-1.9
-33%
6
-1.7
-30%
4
-1.5
-35%
4
-2.0
-52%
3
-2.6
-76%
3
-3.3
-123%
2
-3.9
-222%
1
-4.6
-454%
0
-5.3
-1762%
-2.88
-282%
Australia
Baseline
Change
% chg
2006
2007
Average
Canada
Baseline
Change
% chg
3
0.5
18%
1
35.1
3421%
-1
37.0
-3382%
-1
38.5
-3761%
0
40.3
9542%
1
40.6
2719%
1
42.3
4066%
2
42.9
2653%
2
44.0
2194%
2
45.1
1899%
36.61
1937%
India
Baseline
Change
% chg
19
-65.6
-354%
20
-64.0
-328%
22
-48.8
-223%
22
-41.9
-189%
20
-45.3
-221%
17
-35.8
-207%
12
-24.7
-204%
14
-14.9
-109%
14
-5.3
-38%
17
4.3
25%
-34.19
-185%
Indonesia
Baseline
Change
% chg
14
2.1
14.81%
14
2.1
15.00%
15
2.2
15.07%
15
2.2
15.05%
15
2.3
15.00%
16
2.3
14.97%
16
2.4
14.97%
16
2.4
14.97%
16
2.5
14.95%
17
2.5
14.92%
2.30
14.97%
Japan
Baseline
Change
% chg
3
9.2
309%
1
11.3
1134%
1
12.2
1220%
1
12.8
1283%
1
14.0
1350%
3
13.5
485%
3
13.6
422%
4
13.2
351%
4
13.2
323%
4
13.4
326%
12.65
720%
Russia
Baseline
Change
% chg
112
-7.8
-6.99%
118
-6.8
-5.74%
125
-5.7
-4.53%
132
-3.8
-2.90%
141
-2.3
-1.60%
150
-0.3
-0.18%
158
2.0
1.24%
166
4.5
2.73%
174
6.6
3.80%
183
8.9
4.85%
-0.47
-0.93%
9
8.8
102%
9
3.6
41%
9
4.0
46%
9
0.5
6%
9
0.1
2%
9
-3.0
-35%
9
-3.4
-40%
9
-5.3
-61%
9
-5.7
-66%
9
-7.6
-88%
-0.79
-9%
United States
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table B.32. Butter
B
Production and Consumption
2002
Australia
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
182
18.1
9.96%
182
22.9
12.57%
180
26.5
14.69%
179
26.7
14.98%
182
28.6
15.70%
184
29.0
15.77%
183
29.7
16.20%
184
29.9
16.31%
184
30.3
16.43%
186
30.4
16.38%
27.21
14.90%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
60
-0.9
-1.52%
61
-0.8
-1.32%
61
-0.7
-1.18%
61
-0.7
-1.15%
62
-0.7
-1.21%
62
-0.8
-1.22%
62
-0.7
-1.18%
62
-0.7
-1.18%
62
-0.7
-1.19%
62
-0.8
-1.22%
-0.76
-1.24%
European Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,706
-5.1
-0.30%
1,704
-11.0
-0.64%
1,702
14.4
0.85%
1,703
9.8
0.58%
1,704
-2.7
-0.16%
1,705
-11.9
-0.70%
1,705
-12.9
-0.76%
1,703
-13.7
-0.80%
1,702
-13.7
-0.80%
1,700
-14.5
-0.86%
-6.13
-0.36%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,617
85.4
5.28%
1,614
78.2
4.85%
1,604
84.3
5.26%
1,605
61.9
3.85%
1,603
46.5
2.90%
1,594
29.2
1.83%
1,579
22.1
1.40%
1,566
12.0
0.77%
1,554
1.6
0.10%
1,542
-9.4
-0.61%
41.17
2.56%
New Zealand
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
347
14.0
4.02%
351
14.8
4.21%
354
16.2
4.58%
358
15.6
4.34%
362
16.4
4.52%
366
17.1
4.67%
369
18.0
4.87%
371
18.5
4.99%
373
19.1
5.11%
375
19.5
5.19%
16.91
4.65%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
27
-2.9
-10.50%
28
-2.6
-9.26%
28
-2.3
-8.33%
28
-2.4
-8.33%
29
-2.4
-8.39%
29
-2.4
-8.40%
29
-2.4
-8.41%
29
-2.5
-8.50%
29
-2.5
-8.60%
29
-2.6
-8.72%
-2.49
-8.74%
United States
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
546
-5.6
-1.0%
547
6.7
1.2%
549
4.3
0.8%
553
10.0
1.8%
555
9.4
1.7%
559
15.2
2.7%
560
15.1
2.7%
562
18.3
3.3%
564
18.1
3.2%
567
20.4
3.6%
11.19
2.00%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
553
2.9
0.5%
555
9.6
1.7%
558
8.5
1.5%
562
10.3
1.8%
564
9.6
1.7%
568
12.0
2.1%
569
11.7
2.1%
571
13.0
2.3%
573
12.4
2.2%
575
12.8
2.2%
10.28
1.82%
Table B.33. Cheese
C
Price and Trade
2002
2003
2004
2005
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,051
755.9
36.86%
2,108
731.6
34.70%
2,165
699.0
32.29%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
863
-80.9
-9.38%
887
-102.7
-11.57%
Exports of Selected Co
Countries
Argentina
Baseline
12
Change
11.6
% chg
97%
2008
2009
2010
2011
2,202
662.8
30.10%
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
2,221
2,266
2,334
660.0
617.3
597.7
29.72%
27.24%
25.60%
2,392
578.1
24.17%
2,445
565.1
23.11%
2,497
549.7
22.01%
641.72
28.58%
891
-105.0
-11.79%
914
-79.7
-8.72%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
946
976
995
-82.6
-46.2
-26.7
-8.73%
-4.74%
-2.69%
1,016
-0.4
-0.04%
1,034
23.8
2.30%
1,057
49.0
4.64%
-45.14
-5.07%
24
16.5
67%
18
18.9
108%
16
18.3
117%
12
20.3
169%
9
19.0
201%
9
18.7
204%
8
18.2
227%
6
17.8
288%
4
17.0
409%
17.62
189%
185
21.8
11.73%
181
12.8
7.06%
191
12.3
6.42%
195
16.7
8.58%
206
15.9
7.71%
213
14.6
6.87%
217
12.5
5.74%
225
11.2
4.99%
232
10.0
4.31%
240
9.0
3.74%
13.68
6.72%
281
-171.3
-61.03%
288
-214.2
-74.42%
277
-225.0
-81.33%
287
-219.0
-76.28%
301
-231.9
-76.96%
316
-197.7
-62.54%
321
-172.6
-53.77%
327
-147.2
-44.97%
334
-124.1
-37.15%
343
-100.7
-29.37%
-180.37
-59.78%
New Zealand
Baseline
Change
% chg
271
5.1
1.88%
277
0.7
0.25%
293
-2.1
-0.71%
305
-0.5
-0.16%
315
0.3
0.08%
327
-0.9
-0.28%
336
-3.5
-1.04%
342
-5.0
-1.45%
346
-6.8
-1.95%
349
-8.7
-2.48%
-2.13
-0.59%
Switzerland
Baseline
Change
% chg
60
11.0
18.30%
57
16.7
29.18%
52
19.8
38.00%
46
20.5
44.24%
43
21.0
48.91%
41
20.8
50.69%
40
20.4
51.33%
40
20.1
50.96%
39
20.0
50.82%
39
19.7
50.19%
18.99
43.26%
Imports of Selected Countries
Co
Brazil
Baseline
5
Change
3.0
% chg
66%
-3
8.8
-308%
-7
16.2
-229%
-6
16.4
-293%
-2
17.7
-1028%
0
22.6
48703%
1
28.6
2603%
3
32.9
1174%
6
37.0
634%
9
40.9
439%
22.42
5176%
Australia
Baseline
Change
% chg
European Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
2006
2007
Average
Canada
Baseline
Change
% chg
11
28.5
271%
11
30.9
291%
10
40.2
388%
10
50.1
505%
8
52.0
640%
8
60.0
746%
8
62.5
782%
8
66.6
835%
8
71.0
889%
8
75.8
947%
53.76
629%
Japan
Baseline
Change
% chg
200
26.7
13.30%
206
27.4
13.26%
210
22.8
10.82%
216
16.2
7.51%
222
9.2
4.12%
228
1.6
0.68%
234
-5.4
-2.33%
239
-12.5
-5.24%
244
-19.5
-7.98%
249
-26.6
-10.67%
3.97
2.35%
Mexico
Baseline
Change
% chg
60
-28.4
-48%
58
-46.1
-79%
57
-59.1
-103%
57
-65.8
-116%
56
-70.9
-126%
51
-73.2
-144%
49
-74.4
-152%
45
-74.5
-166%
39
-74.2
-189%
31
-73.6
-234%
-64.02
-136%
Russia
Baseline
Change
% chg
108
-33.5
-30.94%
113
-35.1
-31.10%
118
-36.7
-31.06%
125
-31.3
-24.94%
133
-28.9
-21.73%
140
-25.8
-18.41%
147
-24.0
-16.38%
153
-21.1
-13.75%
161
-18.9
-11.74%
169
-16.3
-9.66%
-27.15
-20.97%
United States
Baseline
Change
% chg
138
-84.9
-61.36%
138
-81.2
-59%
137
-84.7
-62%
137
-83.7
-61%
137
-88.8
-65%
137
-86.4
-63%
137
-92.6
-67%
137
-94.4
-69%
137
-97.3
-71%
137
-101.0
-73%
-89.47
-65.04%
Table B.34. Cheese
C
Production and Consumption
2002
Australia
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
363
3.5
0.97%
376
3.4
0.90%
389
1.9
0.48%
401
2.9
0.72%
413
3.1
0.76%
425
2.9
0.68%
437
1.8
0.41%
449
1.0
0.22%
461
0.2
0.05%
473
-0.4
-0.09%
2.03
0.51%
183
-13.2
-7.22%
191
-11.7
-6.15%
198
-10.2
-5.17%
205
-12.9
-6.3%
207
-13.0
-6.3%
212
-12.0
-5.7%
218
-11.0
-5.1%
223
-10.4
-4.7%
228
-9.9
-4.4%
232
-9.5
-4.1%
-11.40
-5.50%
European Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
6,273
-133.2
-2.1%
6,304
-220.0
-3.5%
6,354
-126.3
-2.0%
6,434
-189.1
-2.9%
6,496
-219.4
-3.4%
6,560
-192.7
-2.9%
6,577
-167.5
-2.5%
6,612
-142.0
-2.1%
6,652
-125.8
-1.9%
6,693
-108.1
-1.6%
-162.42
-2.51%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
5,977
23.8
0.40%
6,032
25.5
0.42%
6,079
63.8
1.05%
6,136
47.1
0.77%
6,188
30.2
0.49%
6,237
17.6
0.28%
6,267
11.6
0.19%
6,297
8.8
0.14%
6,328
3.9
0.06%
6,359
-1.4
-0.02%
23.10
0.38%
New Zealand
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
296
2.4
0.80%
305
-1.8
-0.60%
322
-4.4
-1.38%
335
-2.6
-0.79%
346
-1.9
-0.54%
359
-2.9
-0.80%
368
-5.3
-1.45%
375
-6.7
-1.80%
380
-8.5
-2.23%
384
-10.3
-2.68%
-4.21
-1.15%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
27
-2.7
-10.1%
28
-2.5
-9.1%
29
-2.3
-8.1%
30
-2.2
-7.3%
31
-2.1
-7.0%
31
-2.0
-6.2%
32
-1.9
-5.8%
33
-1.8
-5.4%
34
-1.7
-5.0%
35
-1.6
-4.7%
-2.08
-6.88%
United States
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
3,898
37
1.0%
4,026
20
0.5%
4,141
28
0.7%
4,249
22
0.5%
4,358
27
0.6%
4,463
20
0.5%
4,574
24
0.5%
4,686
22
0.5%
4,803
25
0.5%
4,913
24
0.5%
24.88
0.57%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
4,022
-46
-1%
4,137
-57
-1%
4,248
-59
-1%
4,358
-61
-1%
4,467
-63
-1%
4,572
-65
-1%
4,683
-69
-1%
4,796
-72
-2%
4,913
-73
-1%
5,023
-77
-2%
-64.21
-1.41%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table B.35. Nonfat
N
Dry Milk Price and Trade
2002
2003
2004
2005
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,739
521.6
30.00%
1,772
553.0
31.22%
1,788
577.5
32.29%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
965
53.9
5.59%
954
76.7
8.04%
Countries
Exports of Selected Co
Argentina
21
Baseline
3.6
Change
16.69%
% chg
Australia
Baseline
Change
% chg
Canada
Baseline
Change
% chg
2008
2009
2010
2011
1,813
515.2
28.41%
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
1,843
1,880
1,932
516.6
492.8
511.3
28.03%
26.21%
26.46%
1,963
511.1
26.04%
1,993
518.3
26.00%
2,021
519.5
25.71%
523.68
28.04%
959
83.3
8.69%
971
109.7
11.30%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
986
997
1,001
125.2
141.5
146.0
12.69%
14.19%
14.58%
1,010
150.2
14.86%
1,021
153.7
15.06%
1,033
158.0
15.30%
119.80
12.03%
22
4.4
19.63%
22
5.1
22.70%
23
4.7
20.77%
23
5.0
21.77%
23
5.1
21.82%
24
5.4
22.66%
24
5.6
22.98%
25
5.8
23.45%
25
5.9
23.63%
5.06
21.61%
222
39.1
17.65%
227
45.0
19.84%
222
52.1
23.48%
217
52.3
24.11%
222
56.7
25.49%
224
57.4
25.60%
221
59.0
26.72%
220
59.7
27.15%
219
60.5
27.58%
220
60.9
27.65%
54.26
24.53%
36
4.6
13%
35
-50.5
-145%
37
-65.6
-176%
37
-68.7
-186%
35
-71.9
-208%
32
-72.9
-227%
32
-75.5
-235%
31
-76.8
-249%
30
-78.6
-266%
29
-80.6
-283%
-63.66
-196%
95
-9.1
-10%
106
-6.5
-6%
101
-6.1
-6%
104
9.4
9%
107
20.6
19%
111
17.4
16%
112
17.5
16%
112
7.0
6%
113
6.8
6%
113
1.3
1%
5.81
5%
New Zealand
Baseline
Change
% chg
198
8.7
4.42%
192
10.9
5.70%
196
14.1
7.20%
202
12.4
6.11%
208
13.8
6.64%
213
15.3
7.16%
218
17.3
7.95%
221
18.6
8.40%
224
19.9
8.87%
227
20.8
9.20%
15.18
7.17%
United States
Baseline
Change
% chg
178
3.8
2.16%
135
46.9
34.72%
130
38.0
29.30%
124
54.0
43.60%
115
50.9
44.32%
106
67.9
64.25%
97
67.5
69.82%
97
77.2
79.92%
97
75.4
78.08%
97
81.2
84.06%
56.29
53.02%
Imports of Selected Countries
Co
Brazil
Baseline
12
Change
-5.7
% chg
-48%
12
-7.0
-58%
13
-8.6
-66%
13
-7.8
-62%
12
-8.3
-69%
12
-8.9
-74%
12
-10.3
-88%
12
-11.2
-92%
13
-12.3
-98%
13
-13.2
-100%
-9.35
-76%
European Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
2006
2007
Average
Indonesia
Baseline
Change
% chg
101
11.9
11.83%
104
12.1
11.57%
107
12.1
11.33%
110
12.9
11.71%
113
13.2
11.74%
115
13.8
11.92%
118
14.0
11.89%
121
14.4
11.93%
124
14.7
11.93%
126
15.1
11.96%
13.44
11.78%
Japan
Baseline
Change
% chg
42
8.0
19.13%
30
5.4
17.76%
28
4.7
16.70%
31
3.8
12.34%
41
2.6
6.35%
46
0.7
1.60%
50
-0.8
-1.69%
53
-2.4
-4.52%
55
-2.6
-4.62%
57
-2.0
-3.50%
1.74
5.96%
Mexico
Baseline
Change
% chg
90
-7.8
-8.67%
95
-8.9
-9.35%
98
-9.7
-9.87%
102
-10.1
-9.91%
105
-10.5
-10.01%
107
-10.6
-9.91%
110
-10.8
-9.76%
113
-10.9
-9.57%
116
-10.9
-9.41%
119
-11.0
-9.25%
-10.12
-9.57%
Russia
Baseline
Change
% chg
42
-5.8
-13.68%
43
-8.1
-18.97%
42
-9.9
-23.45%
39
-6.4
-16.29%
36
-4.3
-11.99%
33
-1.9
-5.83%
30
-0.3
-0.97%
26
2.1
8.17%
22
4.0
17.71%
18
6.2
33.55%
-2.44
-3.17%
Table B.36. Nonfat
N
Dry Milk Production and Consumption
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
Australia
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
264
34.7
13.16%
262
43.9
16.75%
256
51.0
19.90%
251
51.4
20.46%
256
54.9
21.42%
258
55.8
21.59%
255
57.2
22.45%
254
57.8
22.78%
253
58.5
23.12%
254
58.8
23.18%
52.40
20.48%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
33
-2.9
-8.78%
34
-2.9
-8.72%
34
-2.9
-8.54%
34
-2.5
-7.23%
34
-2.5
-7.47%
34
-2.4
-7.06%
34
-2.3
-6.92%
34
-2.3
-6.76%
34
-2.3
-6.72%
33
-2.2
-6.69%
-2.52
-7.49%
European Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
972
9.4
0.97%
961
9.8
1.02%
946
47.5
5.02%
931
46.7
5.02%
922
24.5
2.66%
911
0.9
0.10%
907
-4.7
-0.52%
896
-9.8
-1.09%
884
-11.9
-1.35%
873
-15.9
-1.82%
9.65
1.00%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
861
24.6
2.86%
853
20.7
2.43%
845
40.3
4.77%
838
37.5
4.48%
828
13.2
1.59%
818
-9.1
-1.11%
802
-16.9
-2.11%
789
-15.7
-1.99%
776
-16.0
-2.07%
763
-15.1
-1.98%
6.34
0.69%
New Zealand
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
198
7.4
3.76%
203
9.6
4.73%
207
12.7
6.15%
214
11.2
5.23%
219
12.6
5.75%
225
14.2
6.30%
230
16.2
7.06%
233
17.5
7.50%
236
18.8
7.95%
239
19.8
8.28%
14.00
6.27%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
11
-1.3
-11.89%
11
-1.3
-11.93%
11
-1.4
-11.84%
12
-1.2
-10.17%
12
-1.2
-9.99%
12
-1.1
-9.30%
12
-1.1
-9.43%
12
-1.1
-9.18%
12
-1.1
-9.06%
12
-1.1
-8.83%
-1.18
-10.16%
623
-0.5
0%
608
31.9
5%
592
26.0
4%
576
38.9
7%
555
37.1
7%
539
50.6
9%
515
50.6
10%
494
58.2
12%
472
57.1
12%
454
62.1
14%
41.19
7.97%
403
-4.0
-1.0%
406
-14.2
-3.5%
409
-12.3
-3.0%
399
-14.9
-3.7%
402
-13.9
-3.5%
402
-17.0
-4.2%
406
-16.9
-4.2%
408
-18.9
-4.6%
410
-18.4
-4.5%
410
-19.1
-4.7%
-14.96
-3.69%
United States
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table B.37. Whole
W
Milk Powder Price and Trade
2002
2003
2004
2005
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,788
559.3
31.28%
1,826
557.8
30.54%
1,847
548.5
29.70%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,277
-0.8
-0.06%
1,293
1.1
0.09%
Exports of Selected Co
Countries
Argentina
Baseline
100
Change
20.5
% chg
20.56%
Australia
Baseline
Change
% chg
2008
2009
2010
2011
1,870
515.8
27.58%
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
1,892
1,924
1,964
501.7
475.9
484.3
26.52%
24.73%
24.65%
1,998
481.4
24.10%
2,030
482.4
23.76%
2,064
481.4
23.33%
508.83
26.62%
1,304
16.8
1.29%
1,326
28.6
2.16%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
1,345
1,356
1,368
44.6
65.6
66.1
3.32%
4.83%
4.83%
1,377
72.1
5.23%
1,385
80.3
5.80%
1,393
90.3
6.48%
46.48
3.40%
104
21.4
20.56%
107
21.2
19.91%
108
21.4
19.83%
109
20.4
18.68%
111
19.0
17.06%
113
19.0
16.77%
116
18.7
16.15%
118
18.3
15.53%
120
17.8
14.83%
19.78
17.99%
193
15.3
7.95%
197
20.7
10.49%
200
24.0
12.00%
201
26.0
12.92%
202
29.0
14.37%
203
30.3
14.90%
205
30.5
14.89%
206
31.1
15.10%
206
31.4
15.24%
207
32.0
15.45%
27.03
13.33%
476
-68.7
-14.43%
478
-77.8
-16.28%
471
-84.2
-17.90%
478
-79.6
-16.66%
484
-65.1
-13.46%
480
-36.6
-7.62%
479
-30.2
-6.31%
478
-20.6
-4.30%
478
-12.2
-2.56%
478
-2.4
-0.51%
-47.74
-10.00%
508
32.2
6.33%
513
12.1
2.36%
526
10.4
1.98%
539
10.6
1.96%
550
9.8
1.77%
562
8.2
1.46%
571
9.0
1.58%
577
8.3
1.44%
583
7.6
1.30%
588
6.5
1.11%
11.46
2.13%
Imports of Selected Countries
Co
Brazil
Baseline
23
Change
-9.3
% chg
-41.46%
21
-8.9
-41.67%
21
-6.9
-32.09%
23
-5.8
-24.98%
24
-2.2
-9.34%
24
1.5
6.11%
26
2.4
9.28%
30
4.0
13.50%
33
5.7
17.28%
37
7.5
20.21%
-1.20
-8.32%
European Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
New Zealand
Baseline
Change
% chg
2006
2007
Average
China
Baseline
Change
% chg
25
-6.7
-26%
12
-36.2
-314%
8
-53.2
-678%
21
-70.8
-343%
29
-79.8
-273%
39
-83.3
-215%
52
-89.8
-172%
59
-93.9
-158%
63
-98.0
-156%
64
-100.8
-156%
-71.25
-249%
Indonesia
Baseline
Change
% chg
12
2.7
23.17%
12
2.8
23.03%
13
2.9
22.91%
13
3.0
23.14%
13
3.1
23.18%
14
3.2
23.33%
14
3.3
23.37%
14
3.3
23.42%
15
3.4
23.44%
15
3.5
23.46%
3.12
23.25%
Malaysia
Baseline
Change
% chg
47
-0.6
-1.36%
48
-0.6
-1.31%
50
-0.6
-1.26%
51
-0.6
-1.16%
53
-0.6
-1.14%
55
-0.6
-1.08%
57
-0.6
-1.06%
59
-0.6
-1.04%
61
-0.6
-1.03%
63
-0.6
-1.02%
-0.62
-1.15%
Mexico
Baseline
Change
% chg
23
5.7
24.80%
25
2.9
11.60%
26
0.8
3.04%
27
-0.5
-2.04%
30
-1.3
-4.22%
31
-1.7
-5.54%
31
-1.6
-5.16%
32
-1.4
-4.35%
33
-1.0
-3.09%
34
-0.6
-1.93%
0.13
1.31%
Russia
Baseline
Change
% chg
23
-1.8
-7.63%
23
-2.1
-9.18%
22
-2.5
-11.11%
21
-1.1
-5.38%
20
-1.0
-4.95%
19
-0.3
-1.44%
17
0.5
2.81%
15
1.4
8.96%
13
2.0
14.87%
12
2.8
23.89%
-0.21
1.09%
0
2.8
573%
0
2.8
601%
0
2.8
676%
0
2.9
783%
1
2.9
502%
1
2.9
446%
1
2.9
500%
1
3.0
481%
1
3.0
458%
1
3.0
413%
2.88
543%
South Korea
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table B.38. Whole
W
Milk Powder Production and Consumption
2002
Australia
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
218
14.6
6.66%
224
20.0
8.93%
227
23.4
10.28%
229
25.4
11.10%
230
28.4
12.37%
232
29.7
12.84%
234
30.0
12.82%
235
30.5
12.99%
236
30.9
13.10%
237
31.5
13.27%
26.43
11.44%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
26
-0.8
-2.95%
26
-0.7
-2.73%
27
-0.7
-2.49%
27
-0.6
-2.19%
28
-0.6
-2.14%
28
-0.6
-1.97%
29
-0.5
-1.87%
29
-0.5
-1.78%
30
-0.5
-1.72%
30
-0.5
-1.67%
-0.60
-2.15%
European Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
975
-56.8
-5.83%
977
-66.3
-6.79%
969
-69.3
-7.15%
977
-66.7
-6.83%
983
-54.2
-5.52%
979
-28.4
-2.90%
975
-23.1
-2.37%
972
-14.4
-1.48%
970
-7.2
-0.74%
967
1.5
0.15%
-38.50
-3.95%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
499
11.9
2.38%
499
11.5
2.30%
499
14.9
2.99%
499
12.9
2.58%
499
10.9
2.18%
499
8.2
1.64%
497
7.1
1.43%
494
6.2
1.25%
492
5.0
1.03%
489
3.9
0.80%
9.24
1.86%
New Zealand
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
536
12.7
2.36%
550
11.7
2.13%
564
10.2
1.81%
576
10.9
1.90%
587
9.4
1.60%
600
8.3
1.38%
608
8.1
1.34%
616
7.7
1.25%
622
6.9
1.11%
627
5.9
0.95%
9.18
1.58%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
34
-1.3
-3.90%
35
-1.3
-3.69%
35
-1.2
-3.46%
36
-1.1
-3.13%
36
-1.1
-2.97%
37
-1.0
-2.74%
37
-1.0
-2.71%
38
-1.0
-2.61%
38
-1.0
-2.54%
39
-1.0
-2.47%
-1.10
-3.02%
Table B.39. Beef
B
Price and Trade
2002
2003
2004
2005
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,641
175.3
10.68%
1,684
173.3
10.29%
1,730
130.3
7.53%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,906
298
10.24%
3,218
454
14.10%
Countries
Exports of Selected Co
Argentina
Baseline
194
Change
136.7
% chg
70.60%
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Average
1,681
57.1
3.40%
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
1,613
1,545
1,506
-2.6
-31.5
-29.3
-0.16%
-2.04%
-1.94%
1,481
-4.1
-0.28%
1,507
25.4
1.68%
1,543
55.8
3.62%
54.96
3.28%
3,484
479
13.75%
3,726
462
12.41%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
3,990
4,123
4,171
403
362
331
10.11%
8.77%
7.94%
4,233
329
7.77%
4,171
358
8.58%
4,158
401
9.63%
387.58
10.33%
280
72.3
25.82%
330
46.3
14.03%
322
44.6
13.85%
323
71.5
22.18%
326
106.9
32.73%
347
142.8
41.13%
362
169.1
46.77%
408
176.8
43.38%
438
172.8
39.41%
114.00
34.99%
Australia
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,370
74.0
5.40%
1,421
20.2
1.42%
1,478
28.6
1.93%
1,484
73.5
4.95%
1,539
122.0
7.93%
1,526
155.9
10.21%
1,478
168.2
11.38%
1,450
173.2
11.94%
1,433
171.0
11.94%
1,404
162.8
11.59%
114.94
7.87%
Brazil
Baseline
Change
% chg
510
121.6
23.85%
575
112.4
19.56%
607
94.3
15.53%
752
56.2
7.48%
825
15.3
1.86%
841
-16.9
-2.01%
839
-22.4
-2.67%
820
-2.5
-0.30%
838
23.4
2.79%
854
51.9
6.07%
43.34
7.22%
Canada
Baseline
Change
% chg
250
55.2
22.11%
274
34.0
12.41%
310
20.3
6.56%
332
30.1
9.07%
376
49.2
13.11%
411
61.6
14.98%
451
64.7
14.36%
478
57.5
12.02%
499
43.2
8.65%
504
28.3
5.60%
44.41
11.89%
369
-220.3
-60%
370
-163.4
-44%
420
-136.1
-32%
418
-128.8
-31%
413
-218.0
-53%
411
-254.5
-62%
410
-280.5
-68%
409
-290.8
-71%
410
-281.4
-69%
411
-267.0
-65%
-224.08
-55%
New Zealand
Baseline
Change
% chg
538
59.9
11.13%
570
31.5
5.54%
600
20.3
3.39%
591
12.3
2.07%
584
8.5
1.45%
570
7.6
1.33%
568
13.7
2.42%
570
25.6
4.48%
593
34.8
5.87%
612
41.1
6.72%
25.53
4.44%
United States
Baseline
Change
% chg
-497
419.4
-84%
-495
552.2
-112%
-507
541.6
-107%
-348
582.3
-167%
-151
606.6
-401%
30
588.7
1961%
127
548.1
433%
239
503.7
211%
67
477.5
713%
-3
474.9
-14896%
529.48
-1245%
Imports of Selected Countries
Co
Japan
Baseline
912
Change
198.2
% chg
21.73%
919
194.6
21.18%
930
211.7
22.77%
961
229.9
23.92%
997
237.7
23.84%
1,031
230.4
22.35%
1,059
214.7
20.28%
1,082
195.0
18.02%
1,096
182.3
16.63%
1,104
172.9
15.66%
206.73
20.64%
Mexico
Baseline
Change
% chg
473
-119.9
-25.33%
593
76.2
12.85%
645
96.3
14.93%
693
23.5
3.39%
742
-88.6
-11.94%
681
-173.9
-25.53%
595
-209.7
-35.22%
546
-194.3
-35.55%
511
-143.1
-28.00%
539
-86.9
-16.13%
-82.04
-14.65%
Philippines
Baseline
Change
% chg
90
74.2
82.50%
99
57.3
57.65%
102
59.3
58.39%
113
77.2
68.42%
125
96.0
77.08%
136
112.1
82.53%
143
118.9
83.17%
148
118.1
79.56%
144
112.0
77.99%
138
105.9
76.52%
93.12
74.38%
South Korea
Baseline
Change
% chg
232
45.3
19.50%
250
47.4
19.02%
265
49.6
18.71%
284
54.0
19.03%
303
58.5
19.32%
321
63.5
19.79%
336
67.4
20.07%
349
70.2
20.13%
356
72.0
20.22%
361
73.6
20.39%
60.16
19.62%
European Union *
Baseline
Change
% chg
* Includes meat and mea
at equivalent of live cattle trade.
Table B.40. Beef
B
Production and Consumption
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
Argentina
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,902
91.8
3.2%
2,946
33.6
1.1%
3,010
18.2
0.6%
3,045
31.1
1.0%
3,096
70.9
2.3%
3,152
114.2
3.6%
3,221
150.5
4.7%
3,280
170.8
5.2%
3,356
170.7
5.1%
3,416
158.8
4.6%
101.07
3.15%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,709
-44.9
-1.7%
2,665
-38.7
-1.5%
2,680
-28.1
-1.0%
2,723
-13.5
-0.5%
2,773
-0.7
0.0%
2,826
7.3
0.3%
2,873
7.7
0.3%
2,918
1.7
0.1%
2,949
-6.2
-0.2%
2,977
-14.0
-0.5%
-12.93
-0.48%
Australia
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,038
64.0
3.1%
2,099
9.9
0.5%
2,165
21.0
1.0%
2,188
70.7
3.2%
2,255
124.8
5.5%
2,260
162.8
7.2%
2,233
175.9
7.9%
2,221
177.4
8.0%
2,208
170.4
7.7%
2,179
158.0
7.3%
113.49
5.14%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
668
-9.6
-1.4%
678
-10.3
-1.5%
687
-7.6
-1.1%
704
-3.0
-0.4%
716
2.6
0.4%
733
6.7
0.9%
755
7.7
1.0%
770
4.2
0.6%
775
-0.5
-0.1%
775
-4.6
-0.6%
-1.43
-0.23%
Brazil
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
6,883
73.0
1.1%
7,089
67.8
1.0%
7,220
75.6
1.0%
7,520
77.1
1.0%
7,767
72.3
0.9%
7,966
64.6
0.8%
8,134
60.4
0.7%
8,278
62.2
0.8%
8,417
63.5
0.8%
8,545
67.5
0.8%
68.40
0.89%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
6,373
-48.5
-0.8%
6,515
-44.6
-0.7%
6,613
-18.7
-0.3%
6,768
20.8
0.3%
6,942
57.0
0.8%
7,125
81.5
1.1%
7,296
82.8
1.1%
7,458
64.7
0.9%
7,578
40.1
0.5%
7,691
15.6
0.2%
25.07
0.33%
China - Mainland
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
5,847
-150.8
-2.6%
6,103
-71.3
-1.2%
6,374
-59.1
-0.9%
6,650
-106.9
-1.6%
6,963
-129.6
-1.9%
7,276
-137.1
-1.9%
7,613
-138.9
-1.8%
8,000
-139.5
-1.7%
8,432
-141.3
-1.7%
8,899
-139.8
-1.6%
-121.43
-1.68%
5,819
159.1
2.7%
6,071
105.7
1.7%
6,348
49.7
0.8%
6,642
58.3
0.9%
6,979
59.4
0.9%
7,322
56.8
0.8%
7,693
50.6
0.7%
8,115
43.4
0.5%
8,574
37.3
0.4%
9,067
31.4
0.3%
65.17
0.97%
7,271
-139.9
-1.9%
7,492
-97.7
-1.3%
7,438
-72.1
-1.0%
7,397
-49.5
-0.7%
7,377
-39.3
-0.5%
7,322
-25.6
-0.3%
7,281
-33.5
-0.5%
7,254
-50.2
-0.7%
7,231
-70.6
-1.0%
7,205
-89.1
-1.2%
-66.75
-0.91%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
6,827
37.6
0.6%
7,099
16.8
0.2%
7,340
11.8
0.2%
7,258
21.2
0.3%
7,014
128.7
1.8%
6,961
179.1
2.6%
6,921
197.3
2.9%
6,895
190.9
2.8%
6,870
160.9
2.3%
6,844
127.9
1.9%
107.23
1.55%
Mexico
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,887
57.6
3%
1,776
-111.2
-6%
1,756
-117.3
-7%
1,773
-22.9
-1%
1,797
109.5
6%
1,917
209.1
11%
2,057
247.3
12%
2,154
223.9
10%
2,227
159.6
7%
2,234
89.4
4%
84.50
3.94%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,360
-62.3
-3%
2,369
-35.1
-1%
2,401
-21.1
-1%
2,467
0.6
0%
2,539
20.9
1%
2,598
35.2
1%
2,653
37.6
1%
2,701
29.6
1%
2,738
16.5
1%
2,773
2.5
0%
2.46
0.04%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
European Union *
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
* Includes meat and mea
eat equivalent of live cattle trade.
Table B.41. Pork
P
Price and Trade
2002
2003
2004
2005
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
984
119.6
12.16%
892
119.1
13.34%
950
112.3
11.83%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,551
511.8
20.06%
2,735
466.4
17.05%
Exports of Selected Co
Countries
Brazil
Baseline
284
Change
149.5
% chg
52.58%
Canada
Baseline
Change
% chg
European Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
2008
2009
2010
2011
987
96.5
9.78%
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
1,012
957
915
81.1
83.1
94.1
8.02%
8.68% 10.29%
879
108.1
12.29%
929
111.0
11.95%
997
108.1
10.84%
103.31
10.92%
2,831
690
24.37%
2,949
880
29.84%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
3,038
3,139
3,273
1,057
1,079
1,062
34.78% 34.37% 32.45%
3,414
1,022
29.93%
3,537
1,125
31.81%
3,644
1,301.2
35.71%
919.41
29.04%
331
160.7
48.59%
367
200.7
54.71%
380
233.2
61.37%
410
252.8
61.69%
434
282.3
65.04%
460
312.9
67.98%
486
343.6
70.70%
488
357.9
73.29%
487
365.8
75.15%
265.95
63.11%
649
177.4
27.33%
612
199.7
32.62%
658
243.1
36.92%
714
279.0
39.07%
796
309.1
38.83%
817
343.3
42.05%
825
381.0
46.18%
817
423.5
51.80%
872
443.8
50.88%
966
461.0
47.74%
326.08
41.34%
1,230
205.3
16.68%
1,329
-118.6
-8.93%
1,298
-66.3
-5.10%
1,295
-24.2
-1.87%
1,229
62.7
5.10%
1,231
-53.3
-4.33%
1,270
-214.3
-16.87%
1,340
-409.5
-30.57%
1,385
-362.4
-26.16%
1,412
-207.8
-14.72%
-118.84
-8.68%
50
-71.8
-143%
76
-69.7
-91.96%
105
-92.3
-87.96%
146
-114.8
-78.43%
181
-130.8
-72.20%
216
-119.9
-55.58%
247
-102.8
-41.59%
277
-84.4
-30.51%
284
-93.2
-32.78%
286
-111.9
-39.15%
-99.16
-67.28%
228
153.1
67%
260
341.2
131%
268
461.6
172%
275
565.8
205%
278
623.3
225%
295
677.0
229%
327
722.7
221%
351
772.0
220%
376
804.0
214%
376
831.3
221%
595.20
191%
Imports of Selected Countries
Co
China - Mainland
Baseline
79
Change
104.5
% chg
132%
87
146.6
169%
127
269.4
211%
144
359.3
250%
159
445.8
281%
178
434.7
245%
198
399.2
202%
209
348.8
167%
219
394.7
181%
229
496.3
217%
339.93
205%
Poland
Baseline
Change
% chg
United States
Baseline
Change
% chg
2006
2007
Average
Japan
Baseline
Change
% chg
945
185.7
19.65%
1,001
166.3
16.62%
1,019
180.4
17.71%
1,041
193.9
18.63%
1,059
218.5
20.63%
1,099
273.3
24.86%
1,140
336.9
29.56%
1,181
402.8
34.10%
1,201
438.6
36.53%
1,210
455.1
37.61%
285.16
25.59%
Mexico
Baseline
Change
% chg
274
46.6
17.04%
331
-15.3
-4.62%
357
-28.7
-8.02%
372
-46.8
-12.56%
376
-60.2
-16.02%
394
-71.1
-18.07%
433
-79.0
-18.23%
485
-85.1
-17.54%
514
-86.1
-16.75%
519
-84.9
-16.35%
-51.06
-11.11%
Philippines
Baseline
Change
% chg
32
-1.9
-5.92%
37
-2.5
-6.67%
35
16.8
47.77%
47
28.5
60.55%
51
37.5
73.47%
59
34.4
58.41%
67
31.0
46.48%
76
26.6
35.18%
94
32.2
34.30%
116
40.8
35.25%
24.35
37.88%
South Korea
Baseline
Change
% chg
66
38.2
57.89%
96
35.4
36.87%
97
51.6
52.90%
96
70.9
74.15%
92
89.3
96.60%
97
92.7
95.78%
101
89.2
88.11%
105
81.2
77.13%
102
83.5
81.67%
99
91.7
92.12%
72.36
75.32%
44
4.1
9.29%
60
12.2
20.34%
68
20.3
29.91%
78
30.8
39.47%
81
39.2
48.64%
90
43.1
47.77%
100
43.8
44.06%
109
41.9
38.34%
111
41.7
37.48%
110
42.5
38.66%
31.96
35.40%
Taiwan
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table B.42. Pork
P
Production and Consumption
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
Brazil
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,235
129.7
5.8%
2,337
141.2
6.0%
2,425
178.7
7.4%
2,488
207.1
8.3%
2,561
224.0
8.7%
2,630
246.1
9.4%
2,707
269.9
10.0%
2,786
297.1
10.7%
2,857
314.3
11.0%
2,929
328.4
11.2%
233.64
8.85%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,951
-19.8
-1.0%
2,006
-19.5
-1.0%
2,058
-22.1
-1.1%
2,108
-26.1
-1.2%
2,151
-28.8
-1.3%
2,196
-36.2
-1.6%
2,246
-43.1
-1.9%
2,300
-46.5
-2.0%
2,369
-43.6
-1.8%
2,442
-37.4
-1.5%
-32.31
-1.46%
Canada
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,762
116.7
6.6%
1,783
124.5
7.0%
1,837
170.8
9.3%
1,900
210.6
11.1%
1,987
245.5
12.4%
2,041
270.2
13.2%
2,082
295.7
14.2%
2,106
324.6
15.4%
2,163
349.2
16.1%
2,254
375.0
16.6%
248.27
12.20%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,113
-60.7
-5.5%
1,171
-75.2
-6.4%
1,178
-72.3
-6.1%
1,186
-68.4
-5.8%
1,191
-63.6
-5.3%
1,224
-73.2
-6.0%
1,256
-85.3
-6.8%
1,289
-98.8
-7.7%
1,291
-94.6
-7.3%
1,288
-86.0
-6.7%
-77.81
-6.36%
European Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
17,804
20.1
0.1%
17,964
-13.8
-0.1%
18,009
-79.8
-0.4%
18,060
-126.6
-0.7%
18,121
-135.2
-0.7%
18,196
-161.0
-0.9%
18,294
-232.0
-1.3%
18,414
-337.9
-1.8%
18,533
-410.5
-2.2%
18,635
-404.2
-2.2%
-188.09
-1.02%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
16,569
-183.7
-1.1%
16,635
100.3
0.6%
16,709
-12.8
-0.1%
16,765
-101.5
-0.6%
16,892
-197.8
-1.2%
16,965
-109.8
-0.6%
17,024
-19.4
-0.1%
17,074
70.3
0.4%
17,148
-46.1
-0.3%
17,223
-194.0
-1.1%
-69.44
-0.41%
China - Mainland
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
29,880
-192.2
-0.6%
30,550
-266.3
-0.9%
31,189
-338.0
-1.1%
31,897
-400.5
-1.3%
32,696
-457.2
-1.4%
33,512
-474.9
-1%
34,309
-463.9
-1.4%
35,088
-432.7
-1.2%
35,838
-424.9
-1.2%
36,556
-444.2
-1%
-389.48
-1.17%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
29,959
-87.7
-0.3%
30,636
-119.7
-0.4%
31,316
-68.5
-0.2%
32,040
-41.3
-0.1%
32,854
-11.5
0.0%
33,690
-40.1
0%
34,506
-64.7
-0.2%
35,297
-84.0
-0.2%
36,057
-30.2
-0.1%
36,785
52.2
0%
-49.55
-0.16%
Japan
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,248
-100.5
-8.1%
1,228
-99.7
-8.1%
1,221
-123.4
-10.1%
1,216
-140.6
-11.6%
1,217
-153.2
-12.6%
1,214
-165.9
-13.7%
1,207
-176.5
-14.6%
1,198
-186.2
-15.5%
1,198
-192.5
-16.1%
1,204
-197.0
-16.4%
-153.55
-12.67%
2,193
77.7
3.5%
2,228
65.9
3.0%
2,240
56.6
2.5%
2,256
52.9
2.3%
2,277
64.8
2.8%
2,312
106.4
4.6%
2,346
159.5
6.8%
2,379
215.8
9.1%
2,398
245.9
10.3%
2,414
258.2
10.7%
130.39
5.56%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
Table B.43. Broiler
B
Price and Trade
2002
2003
2004
2005
World Price
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,306
111.7
8.55%
1,315
116.7
8.88%
1,323
114.4
8.65%
Total Trade
Baseline
Change
% chg
5,165
975
18.87%
5,435
1,174
21.60%
Exports of Selected Co
Countries
Brazil
Baseline
1,300
Change
442.2
% chg
34.01%
2008
2009
2010
2011
1,325
106.3
8.03%
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
1,320
1,317
1,330
96.2
94.4
96.0
7.29%
7.16%
7.22%
1,339
101.0
7.54%
1,353
105.0
7.76%
1,365
109.3
8.01%
105.10
7.91%
5,683
1,141
20.08%
5,929
1,150
19.39%
(Thousand Metric Tons)
6,176
6,419
6,614
1,150
1,161
1,191
18.61% 18.09% 18.00%
6,797
1,226
18.04%
6,991
1,253
17.93%
7,220
1,270.2
17.59%
1,169.04
18.82%
1,524
488.7
32.07%
1,683
488.6
29.04%
1,842
472.8
25.67%
1,951
452.7
23.20%
2,045
449.2
21.97%
2,186
441.6
20.20%
2,297
439
19.12%
2,393
437.1
18.27%
2,464
439.0
17.81%
455.11
24.14%
552
38.0
6.88%
559
10.5
1.88%
556
-185.2
-33.33%
564
-261.1
-46.26%
570
-318.9
-55.92%
577
-360.0
-62.35%
587
-377.8
-64.35%
596
-393.8
-66.03%
606
-427.9
-70.61%
615
-469.6
-76.42%
-274.59
-46.65%
Thailand
Baseline
Change
% chg
409
140.8
34.44%
416
148.4
35.65%
419
157.4
37.57%
429
165.2
38.48%
430
172.4
40.11%
428
179.3
41.91%
419
187.7
44.77%
413
196.7
47.68%
402
206.0
51.30%
399
213.7
53.57%
176.76
42.55%
United States
Baseline
Change
% chg
2,869
381.8
13.31%
2,919
555.4
19.03%
3,029
707.8
23.37%
3,098
801.2
25.86%
3,226
871.0
27.00%
3,371
920.0
27.29%
3,423
968.0
28.28%
3,489
1,015.2
29.10%
3,583
1,071.1
29.90%
3,731
1,121.9
30.07%
841.34
25.32%
Imports of Selected Countries
Co
Canada
Baseline
10
Change
108.2
% chg
1082%
11
145.3
1292%
14
170.3
1216%
16
191.7
1176%
17
204.1
1201%
19
220.8
1184%
20
234.7
1201%
21
248.9
1192%
22
261.2
1178%
25
273.4
1105%
205.87
1183%
China - Mainland
Baseline
Change
% chg
505
356.5
70.64%
512
387.6
75.72%
569
318.4
55.92%
640
298.5
46.63%
727
285.7
39.30%
838
281.3
33.57%
951
282.3
29.67%
1,041
283.2
27.19%
1,106
277.9
25.13%
1,172
270.5
23.08%
304.19
42.69%
Japan
Baseline
Change
% chg
680
-81.5
-11.98%
699
-88.8
-12.71%
716
-96.4
-13.46%
733
-98.2
-13.39%
753
-96.9
-12.88%
772
-95.1
-12.31%
787
-92.4
-11.73%
803
-90.2
-11.23%
818
-88.2
-10.78%
833
-86.3
-10.36%
-91.39
-12.08%
Mexico
Baseline
Change
% chg
245
-50.7
-20.68%
262
-47.6
-18.20%
296
-63.4
-21.44%
323
-74.7
-23.14%
350
-82.4
-23.54%
345
-86.1
-24.97%
338
-85.3
-25.26%
327
-82.5
-25.20%
337
-84.0
-24.93%
352
-87.7
-24.92%
-74.44
-23.23%
11
98.9
936%
19
123.9
638%
23
131.9
571%
26
131.0
512%
34
128.8
383%
45
126.9
284%
53
127.3
241%
62
129.1
207%
73
130.3
178%
86
130.7
152%
125.88
410%
Saudi Arabia
Baseline
Change
% chg
386
77.4
20.04%
406
83.1
20.44%
432
89.6
20.73%
453
94.3
20.81%
477
97.1
20.38%
502
92.3
18.37%
525
88.7
16.88%
549
86.6
15.79%
574
95.0
16.56%
600
105.3
17.54%
90.93
18.75%
South Korea
Baseline
Change
% chg
82
34.4
41.74%
91
47.2
51.92%
97
50.9
52.22%
102
53.6
52.49%
107
56.2
52.72%
111
58.9
52.97%
114
62.2
54.45%
117
64.6
55.20%
120
65.1
54.31%
123
64.5
52.35%
55.77
52.04%
European Union
Baseline
Change
% chg
Philippines
Baseline
Change
% chg
2006
2007
Average
Table B.44. Broiler
B
Production and Consumption
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Average
(Thousand Metric Tons)
Brazil
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
6,693
385.7
6%
7,062
433.1
6%
7,370
421.3
6%
7,641
388.3
5%
7,884
352.7
4%
8,119
340.9
4%
8,402
340.4
4%
8,680
353
4%
8,965
363.8
4%
9,243
374.5
4%
375.36
4.76%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
5,397
-55.0
-1%
5,539
-55.6
-1%
5,688
-67.4
-1%
5,800
-84.7
-1%
5,933
-100.2
-2%
6,074
-108.4
-2%
6,216
-101.2
-2%
6,383
-86
-1%
6,573
-73.3
-1%
6,779
-64.5
-1%
-79.65
-1.32%
European Union
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
6,815
0.8
0%
6,923
-33.6
0%
6,988
-173.6
-2%
7,065
-241.0
-3%
7,161
-318.2
-4%
7,226
-382.8
-5%
7,292
-417.8
-6%
7,360
-439.8
-6%
7,426
-453.4
-6%
7,484
-467.2
-6%
-292.66
-4.02%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
6,262
-37.2
-1%
6,363
-44.4
-1%
6,432
10.6
0%
6,500
19.7
0%
6,591
0.3
0%
6,648
-23.0
0%
6,705
-40.1
-1%
6,764
-46.0
-1%
6,820
-25.5
0%
6,869
2.4
0%
-18.31
-0.28%
Thailand
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
1,264
52.3
4%
1,296
61.3
5%
1,327
64.9
5%
1,356
62.3
5%
1,378
58.3
4%
1,395
57.0
4%
1,407
58.1
4%
1,423
62.3
4%
1,444
67.1
5%
1,479
72.2
5%
61.58
4.47%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
855
-88.4
-10%
880
-87.1
-10%
908
-92.5
-10%
927
-102.9
-11%
948
-114.2
-12%
968
-122.3
-13%
988
-129.6
-13%
1,011
-134.4
-13%
1,043
-138.9
-13%
1,080
-141.5
-13%
-115.18
-11.91%
Canada
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
924
-60.2
-7%
928
-90.1
-10%
945
-110.3
-12%
956
-128.3
-13%
973
-140.0
-14%
976
-152.7
-16%
983
-162.9
-17%
992
-172.3
-17%
1,013
-180.8
-18%
1,036
-189.5
-18%
-138.71
-14.14%
934
48.0
5%
939
55.2
6%
959
60.0
6%
972
63.4
7%
990
64.1
6%
994
68.0
7%
1,003
71.8
7%
1,012
76.7
8%
1,035
80.4
8%
1,061
83.9
8%
67.16
6.75%
China - Mainland
Production
Baseline
Change
% chg
4,687
-266.7
-6%
4,774
-295.5
-6%
4,852
-264.9
-5%
4,951
-262.8
-5%
5,075
-264.4
-5%
5,188
-259.7
-5%
5,293
-251.9
-5%
5,403
-244.7
-5%
5,512
-240.1
-4%
5,612
-236.1
-4%
-258.67
-5.07%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg
5,192
-355.1
-7%
5,286
-387.4
-7%
5,422
-341.5
-6%
5,591
-330.2
-6%
5,802
-321.9
-6%
6,026
-302.8
-5%
6,244
-279.5
-4%
6,444
-263.3
-4%
6,618
-255.1
-4%
6,784
-247.3
-4%
-308.40
-5.30%
Consumption
Baseline
Change
% chg