Irurnul ttl Ctntnrolot\ : PSf CHOI,OGI('AL 1 9 9 6 .V o l 5 l B . N o . ' 1 .P l 6 G P t 7 8 .tC/l!Nat!..! ( t\)\ri(ht 1996 ht Tlu,G.ktnkloqictl tt irt| t)l Anrri& Wherein an OrderedSequence of Variables Do Independent Age-RelatedEffectsOccur? TimothyA. Salthouse Schtxrl ol'Psychology. Georgia Institutc of Technology. A series of regression analyses wqs conducted to determine which variables in an ord.eredsequence had signiJicant oge-related eJfectsal'ter control of'the itnmediately preceding variable in the sequence.I ndepenient age-retatid effects in these rypes oJ analyses are particularly interesting because they represent age-relatid influences that aii not nrcdiated through earlier vsriables. A total of 56 analyses are reported with ordered varfubles representing: (a) snccessivetriols or ssssions in learning; (b) progressively more intervening events during the retentiin interval of a nctnorl task; (c) suctessively bnger stimulus presentation durations; and (d) increased processing complexiry. In nost ol the analyses a very large proportion d the age-related effects on later variahles was fttuni to bi mediarcd through earlier variahles in the sequence. possihlcrcusonwhy thcrearc currentlyl'ewtheories nNE \ - - l l . r lc o g n i t i v ca g i n gp h e n o r nnea ( s c eS a l t h o u s e1. 9 9I i s ) that thercis still littlc agrcclncntaboutthe corc phenontena that ncedto bc cxplained.A ntajorgoal ol'thc currentreport is to addressthis pnlblcnt by providing a parsintonittus c l c s c r i p t i oonl ' t h ea g c - c o g n i t i orne l a t i o nisn n c c do f c x p l a n a l i o n . T h a t i s . t h e p r i r n a r yp u r p o s ci s t o s p e c i f y w h e r e indcpendcnt and distinctagc-rclatcdinflucnccsappearto be o p c r a t i n gl.n l i l r n t a t i o o n l ' t h i st y p c i s r c l c v a n t o w h a tn c e d s to hc cxplaincd,bccauscscparatcexplanationsmay not be nccessary il'thc agc-rclatcdinllucnccson somclncasures are rncdiatedthroughthc cl'l'ccts on othcr nleasurcs. Figurc I portraysagc-rclatcdct'l'cctsin an ordercdsetol' variables,with cachvariablepostulatedto be inlluencedby thc prccedingvariablcin thc scquenccand by age. In other wtlrds, perlitrmanccon a given variableis hypothesized to bc dctcrnrincdby perlirrntance on the sanrevariablcat an carlicrpositionin the scquenceas well as by age (secNote I ). Thc key qucstionin this l'ranrework is where,or whcn,do uniqucor indcpendent age-related cft'ectsoccur'lOr, stated Itornthe oppositepcrspcctive, at what point in a sequence of ordcredvariablesarc thc age-relatcd ef'fectsmerelycarried by. or nrediatcdthrough,the et'f'ects on variablesearlierin the scquence'/ lf indcpendentage-relatcdcf'fbctsare cvident on every variablcin the scqucnce,thenone could inf-erthat thereare scparateor spccificage-relatcdinfluenceson eachvariable that do not completelyoverlapwith the influenceson variablesoccurringearlicrin the sequence. An clutcomeof this typc would sugcestthattherearc severaldistinctage-related influenceson thc variables.The existenceof independent age-rclated el'tcctsrlay bc interpreted as clriginatingfrom a shiti in the identityof lactorsaff'ectingvariablesat different positionsin the scquence, or fiom a shift in whatthe variable reprcsents as one nlovcsfiom early to late in the sequence. Regardless of thc cause,however,a finding of significant independent age-related ef-fectson severalvariablesin the sequencewould suggestthe needfbr multipleexplanations of the age-related influenceson the variables.In contrast,a Pl66 discovcrythat nrostol' thc independent age-related ef'fects occurearlyin an orderedsequencc wouldsuggestthateffects latcr in thc scquencearc mediatedby the earlier effects. Bccausc thc nra.jorityof the interestingage-relatedinliuenccsin thiscascwouldoperatcon the initialvariables,an outcontcol'this typc could bc interpreted as suggesting that cflilrts at cxplanationol' agc-related eft'ectswould be most p r o d u c t i v ci t ' d i r e c t e da t t h c i n f l u e n c e o s c c u r r i n go n t h e variablcscarly in thc ordercdscquence. Anultscs Sirnilar analyticalproccdureswcre used in analysesof orderedvariablcsrepresentinglearningacrosssuccessive trialsor scssions. lirrgettingacrossprogressively moreintervening events, el'l'ectsof increasedstimulus presentation tinrc,andel'f'ects ol'increased taskcomplexityas reflectedby the numberof requiredprocessing operations.Both correlation coefficients,indicatingtotal age-relatedeffects, and standardized regression(i.e., semi-partial)coefficients,indicatingdirectage-related eft'ects,were computedfbr each variablein the sequence (seeNote 2). In termsof Figure l, the directeffectscorrespondto the pathcoefficientsfiom age to the variable(i.e., pathsri throughr/), the indirectel cts correspondto the productof the pathsfrom ageto variablenI ( i . e . , a t h r o u g hr ' ) , a n d t h e p a t h sf i o m v a r i a b l en - l t o variablen (i.e., x throughz), andthecorrelationcorresponds to the sum of the direct and indirecteffects. In addition, becausethe relativecontributionof a particularinfluenceis often more interestingthan merelywhetherthat influenceis significantlydiff'erentfrom zero, an estimateof the percentageof mediatedage-relatedvarianceis alsoreportedfor each variable.The estimateis derivedby squaringthecoefficients correspondingto the total and direct age-relatedeffects, subtractingthe latterfrom the former, and then dividing that differenceby the squareof the coefficientrepresentingtotal age-relatedeffects. To illustrate, if the correlation coefficientwas .5 and the regression coefficient(i.e., the semipartial correlationfor age after controlling for the previous variablein the sequence) was .2, the percentage of mediated P161 WHERE ARE AGE-RELATED EFFECTS? age-related variancewould be (.5' *.2' )l(.5' ) : .84 ( x 100) : 84.07c. Finally, the total R2 value for the regression equation is reportedto indicate the proportion of the total variancein thecriterionvariablethat is accounted fbr by age and the prior variable. A secondanalysiswas also conductedin each data set afterexcludingresearchparticipantsin the bottom quartile on the variablein the sequencewith the highestlevel of performance.For example, in analysesof learning, the individualsin the bottomquartileclnthe measureof performancein the last learningtrial would be eliminatedin this analysis.The rationalewas that the variation acrossthe orderedsequenceof variablesmight be reducedif some researchparticipantshad low levels of performanceacross all variables.This possibilityshouldbe minimizedby eliminatingthoseindividualswith low levelsof performancein "easiest" the conditionin thedataset.However.the pattern of resultsin thisrestrictedsamplewasnearlyidenticalto that in the completesample.and thus only the resultsof the completesampleare reported. The currentanalyticalproceduresare basedon correlaof proportionsof varianceratherthan tionsandexaminations more traditionalanalysesof varianceand examinationsol' prttmeanlevelsof perlirrmancebecausecorrelation-based ceduresallow a dcterminationof the relationbetweenvariof the ables and, more specifically.allow an assessment degreeto which the age-related influenceson two or more variablesare independent. This lattert'eatureis importantin the currentcontext because- regardlessof the absolute levels of perfbrmance- if two variablesare perfectly shareall oftheir agc-related correlated, thenthey necessarily influencesbecausethe age-rclatedeft'ectson one variablc can be predictedl'rontthoseon the other variable.Admittcdly. l-cwvariableshavc perl'ectcorrelationswith one another,but it is probablyalsothe casethat f'ewvariablesare completelyindependcntol' one another.Correlation-based procedures arethusneededto determinetherelativeamounts of common and unique variance,and especiallycommon variance,in difl'erentcombinaticlns and uniqueage-related ; a l t h o u s& e Coon,1994). o l ' v a r i a b l e(sS a l t h o u s e1. 9 9 4 bS of memoryor fluid The datato be analyzedare measures cognitiveabilitiesobtainedprimarilyfiom studieswith rnoderately large samplesof adults of diftbrent ages. Most samplesconsistedof adultsfrorn a continuousrangeof ages rather than two extremegroups such as college students between lti and 2-5and rctircd adultsbetwccn60 and 75 yearsol'agc. Finally. thc nra.joritv of thc analysesare based on clatacollectedin rly laboratorvbecauscthey require i n f o r m a t i o n o t t v p i c a l l vr e p o r t c di n j o u r n a la r t i c l e s . Leurrtittg, Sonreol'thc most interestingsctsol'orderedvariablesare t h o s ed c r i v c dl l ' o n rs t t c c c s s i lter i a l sr t r s c s s i o nisn a l e a r n i n g s i t u a t i o nT . h a t i s . i n t h c s c d a t a s c t s t h e v a r i a b l e si n t h e scquenccreprescntnreusurL'\ol pcrlirrntanceat progresc r t r a i n i n go n t h c s a m et a s k . s i v el y g r e a t c lrer c l s o l ' p r a c t i c o S e v e r adl a t as c t sa r ca r a i l a b l ci n u h i c h t i v c t t r m o r et r i a l s have been prcsentedwith thc satncstitttulusnraterials.A numbeo r 1 ' s t u d i ehsa v ci n v o l v c da n a s s o c i a t i vl ce a r n i n gt a s k in which the rcsearchparticipantuas rcquiredto determine w h i c hp a i r so l ' i t c n r sc. o n s i s t i nogl c o t n b i n a t i o nosf s y m b o l s , l e t t e r s ,o r d i g i t s . w c r c a s s o c i i r t cw d ith cach othcr. The in this task has involvcdthe displayof a typical proceclure s i n g l es t i r l u l u si t c r no n t h c l c l ' to l ' t h cc o r n p u t esrc r c c na. l o n g w i t h t h c c n t i r cs c to l r c s p o n sac l t c r n a t i v cosn t h c r i g h to f t h c s c r c e nA . l i c r t h c p a r t i c i p a nstc l c c t c da r c s p o n s cb. y m o v i n g an arrow in l'rontof'onc ol' thc rcsponsealternativcs,f'cedback was prcscntcdto indicatcthc corrcct rcsponse.The <ll'stimulusterms is thc pcrccntage measureol'perlirrrnancc (l'roma sct ol'cithcr lirur or six) with corrcctresponses on c a c hs u c c e s s i vt cr i a l . Typical data l'ronrthis task arc illustratedin Figure 2, which portraysresultsavcragcdacrossthreediff'erentsetsof s t i r r u l i f ' r o r nS t u d y 2 i n S a l t h o u s c( 1 9 9 . 5 a )A. l t h o u g ht h e samplcin this study consistcdol' adultsl'roma continuous rangcol'agcs,the rcscarchparticipantswcrc classificdinto threegroupsto portraythc agc and trial cl'l'cctsin a single figurc. N<lticcthat althoughthc thrce agc groupsstartedat nearlythc sarnclcvcl, thc at.nountol' improvemcntacross succcssivc trials was snrallerlilr older adultsthanlirr young e ra d u l t s . analyscsol'thesedata,of the data Rcsultsl'romsequential l'rornsimilar tasksin other studies.and ol data fiom maze learningand liee recall tasksarc sumnrarizedin Table I . Also includedin Table I aredataI'rorna nrentalsquarinstask Young (n=35) + Middlo (n=34 otd (n=17) fr 6 6 0 o -o C) o) 6 a o C o o o (L L e a r n i n gT r i a l g i r e c t ( e . g . . p a t h sa t h r o u g hd ) F i g u r e l F r a m e w o r kl i r r i n v e s t i g a t i n d a n d i n d i r c c t( c . g . . a - x , b - y , c t c . ) r e l a t i t t n sb c t w e e na g e a n d a n o r d e r e d s e o u e n co e l c o s n i t i v ev a r i a b l e s . Figure 2. Mean percentagecorrect on six successivelearninc trials in ( 1 9 9 5 a ,S t u d y2 ) t h r e ea g eg r o u p s ,S a l t h o u s e P1 6 8 SALTHOUSE Table l. Correlationsand PathCoefficientsfor RelationsBetweenAge and Measures of Time or Accuracyon SuccessiveLearningTrials Source t0 PairedAssociateLearning 'Iri ( 1 9 9 4 a )S Salthouse . tudy I n=239 ( .12) Correlation ( - .l 2 ) P a t hc o e f t i c i c n t % Mediated o Total R' .oI ( 1 9 9 4 a )S Salthouse . t u d y2 n - 125 ( - .l 5 ) Correlation ( .15) Path coetficient (, % Mcdiated 'fotal R2 .02 al/B lock/Session 72.6 .64 93u . .70 -.42 (-.04) 99.I .7U ,.30 (-.04) 98.). .61 -.30 G.07' 94.6 .65 (-.09) 92.4 .6tt ( - . l l J) -.29 .).9 t1 a< 1a 25.7 .21 -.3.+ .29 2't.2 .71 -.44 -.ll 1l -.40 (-.02, 99.r.t .tt5 )1 (0.00) 100 .'14 ( 1 9 9 5 a )S Salthouse , tudy I, Digit-Lcttcr n-170 Corrclation Path coel'licient % Mediatcd 'Iotal R2 ( - .r 4 ) ( - . l . +) 0 02 -.26 1t t4.lJ .l0 ( 1 9 9 - 5 aS Salthouse ) .t u d y l . S y m b o l - S y m b o l rt = 170 -.26 (-.07) Correlation 1/ P a t hc o e l l i c i c n t 1.t)7) (, 7 Mediatcd l4.t.t 'fotal R' .(x) .14 -.3| . l-5 76.6 .39 -.26 ( .01J) 90.5 .39 (.0u) lto.2 .17 4 1. 6 .25 - . 4t .28 53..1 .3tt -.21t (-.04) 91t.0 .36 6 1. 3 .16 1t.6 . 5| -.3tt ( - .l 4 ) l,t6.4 .56 (.03) 99 I .62 .31 ( .10) 92.'t .76 .42 ( . lr ) 93.1 .78 1 l .35 -.llJ .4-5 at S a l t h o u s c( 1 9 9 5 a 1S, t u d y2 n -ll9 Corrclation Path coel'licient % Mediated (-.04) (-.04) 0 .(x) li)ral R, -.3.1 -.33 5.lJ .21 Maze Learning Trial/B lock/Session ( I 9 9 5 a ) Study2 Salthouse rt = t{6 (.05) Correlation (.05) Path coellicient % Mediated t, Total R2 .00 ( - .r 8 ) ( .19) .09 (-.21) (- l-5) 69.I .49 r )51 1-.03) 9tt.6 .61 ( .26) (, 07) 92.tt .64 G.271 (.05) 96.6 .71 Free Recall Trial/Block/Session S a l t h o u s eF. r i s t o e ,& R h e e( 1 9 9 6 ) n -259 Correlation Pathcoefticient % Mediated Total R' -.38 -.3tt 0 .t4 -.47 -.28 64.5 .43 -.43 -.09 95.6 .60 .45 I t 92.9 .66 .41 (-.06) 97.9 .64 Mental Squaring Session C h a r n e s s& C a m p b e l l( 1 9 1 3 8 ) n =4t1 Correlation Path coefficient o/cMediated T o t a lR 2 .50 .50 0 .15 .56 (.ls) 92.8 .82 .57 ( 07) 98.5 .88 .61 (.0u) 98.3 .92 .62 (.04) 99.6 .95 ( conlrnuesne,\tpage) WHERE ARE AGE-RELATED P169 EFFECTS? Tablc | . Correlationsand PathCoefficientsfbr RelationsBetweenAge and N{easurc' of Timc or Accuracyon SuccessiveLearningTrials (continuetll Sourcc t 2 3 4 - 5 6 7 f i e t 0 Visual Search Varied Mapping S u c c e s s i v2e4 0 - t r i a lB l o c k s C o o p c r( 1 9 9 3 ) n - tl9 Y. t3tiC) Correlation P a t hc o e l f i c i c n t % Mcdiatecl lirtal R' .66 .66 0 .11 .51 (-.09) 100+ .tt7 .53 (-.02) 100+ .93 .51 ( .01) 100+ .94 S u c c c s s i v6e( X ) - t r i aBl l o c k s R o g c r se t a l . ( l 9 t ) 4 ) n - l0 Y.70o Corrclation P a t hc o c fl i c r c n t 7 Mediatcd 'Iotal R2 .10 .1(l 0 .49 .6u (.01) 99.9 .92 .65 ( .01) l ( X )+ .93 .61 (.07) 9U.9 .91 .66 (.01) 99.1t .94 V i s u a lS c a r c h- C o n s i s t c nM ( apping S u c c e s s i v2e4 0 - t r i a lB l o c k s ( ' ( x ) p c r( 1 9 9 - 1 ) rr - ll9 Y. ult o Corrclation P a t hc o c l f i c i e n t % Mcdiatcd 'l'otal R' .-56 .56 0 .l I .57 (.0-5) 99.2 .91 .57 (.04) 99.5 .93 .5u (.02) 99.9 .96 .5li (.02) 99.9 .96 .61 .12 96.4 .90 .(rl (-.01) l ( X )+ .95 .61 1t)2) 99 9 .9-5 .60 (.02) 99.9 .95 .62 (.04) 99.6 .96 S u c c e s s i v6c( X ) - t r i aBl l o c k s R o g c r sc t r l . ( 1 9 9 . 1 ) n - l0 Y.70o (irrrclation P a t hc o c l ' f i c i c n t % Mediatcd 'lirtal R2 .75 .75 (\ .56 .7lt .l3 9 1. 2 .95 . I JI .Olt 99.0 .9] .t t l .l0 9t1.5 .91 .lt2 (.01) 99.9 .91 M e n r o r yS e a r c h- C o n s i s t e nM t apping S u c c c s s i v 2e 4 0 - t r i a lB l o c k s C o o p c r( 1 9 9 3 ) n -u] Y,lJ7o Corrclation Pathcoclficient % Mediarcd 'lotul R2 .55 .-55 0 .30 .59 .13 9 5 .| .u5 .57 (.01) 99.9 .93 .61 .0u 98.3 .94 .66 .ll 9 1. 2 .95 Nolt,: Valuesin parcntheses are not signilicantly(2 < .0 I ) dil'lerentlionr zero. A dashindicatesthat therewas an increasein thc age-relatedvarianceatier c o n t r o lo l t h e o r i o r v a r i a b l ei n t h e s e u u e n c e . reportedby Charnessand Campbell(lgtt|) and data fiom visualand memorysearchtasksreportedby Cooper(1993) and Rogers,Fisk. and Hertzog(1994) (sce Note 3). The Charnessand Campbelldatacorrespondto the meantimes ncededto squaretwo-digitnumbers(Class4 problemsin the tcrnrinologyof the authors)acrosstive successivc sessions. The Cooperdata representnteanreacti()ntinreslor varied and consistentmapping conditionsin visual or memory searchtasks acrosssuccessivesets of 240 trials, and the Rogcrsct al. datarcflcctnreanreactiontimesacrosssuccessivc sessions consistingof 600 trialseach(seeNote 4). the total The first row in eachdataset(Table l) represents age-related efl'ectson thevariable,in the form of thecorrela- tion coefticientwith age.The secondrow containsthedirect or independent age-related et'fbcts.in the firrm of the standardizedregression coeflicienttirr agcwhenbothageandthe prior variablein the sequencewere usedas predictorsin il sinrultaneous regression equation.The third row portraysthe percentage of the total agc-rclatcdvariancein the variable that is rnediatedthroughthe eff'ectson the previttusvariable in the sequence.Finally, the firurth row representsthe proportionof total variancein the variablethat is predicted by ageand. for variablcsotherthanthc lirst in the sequence, thc pritlr variable. The nrostimportantp()intt()noteaboutthedatain Table I is that even though the magnitudeof the total age-related P1 7 0 SALTHOUSE eff'ectsremainsapproximatelyconstantin many of the data sets.thereis a decrease in the dircctage-related effects,and a concomitantincreasein the rnediatcdage-related effbcts, acrosssucccssivetrials or sessions.For example,tbr the S a l t h o u s(e1 9 9 5 aS ) t u d y2 d a t as e ti l l u s t r a t eidn F i g u r e2 , t h e age correlationsin trials 2 through6 rangedfiom .32 to .42, but the perccntage of mediatedeft'ectsincreased from lcssthan6% on trial 2 to over90'h on trials4 through6. This patternsuggeststhat distinct and independentage-related cif'ectsarc evidentprirnarilyat carly stagesin learning,and thata Iar-{eproportionof'thcage-related effectson Iatertrials arc rlediatcdthroughthe efl'ectson earliertrials. Althoughthe majorityof thedatain Table I correspond to accuracylcvcls on single trials acrossscvcral stimulusresponsepairs in a given task. the data l'ronrthe Charness a n d C a m p b e l l( l g t i | ) , C o o p e r( 1 9 9 3 ) , a n d R o g e r se t a l . (1994)studiesarc basedon meanslitr ntuchlargernumbers o f t r i a l s( i . c . . 3 U l i r r C h a r n e s & s C a r n p b e l l l,g t J t J2; 4 0 l b r Coopcr. 1993;and 600 firr Rogerset al.. 1994).The very sinrilarpatternin the analysesof thosedataprovidessorne generalizability to the int'erencc that ntanyof the age-related influencesin sirnplelcarningtasksare apparentfairly early i n t h e l e a r n i n gs i l u a t i o n . Althoughlargeproportionsol'the age-related ell'ectswere nrediated,and thc indcpendentage-relatcdinfluencesdecrcascdacrosssucccssivetrials, severalol'thc dircct ager c l a t c di n l l u e n c e so n l a t c r t r i a l s o r s e s s i o n sw e r e s i g n i ficantlydil't'crentlronr zero. Becausethis irnpliesthat thc agc-relatcd cft'ectson thosevariables wereunique, or at least distinct l'ronrthc ef'l'cctscarriedthroughearlier variables, theywarrantspecialattcntionevenil'thentagnitudes of thosc el'l'ects are srnallrelativcto the ntediatcdcll'ects.Unlilrtunately. thc patternol' significantindepcndcntage-related cl'l'ectsin thesedata is not vcry systernatic.and thus it is diflicult to identil'ya trendotherthanthatalreadymentioned in which tlirccr cl'lc'ctstlecrcasc.anct intlireci el'lccrsincrease,acrosssuccessivctrials or sessions.For example, significantindepcndentage-related ef'fectsoccurredon the sccond.lirurth. and fifih 240-trialblocks in the consistent mappingrnemorysearchtask in the Cooper(1993) study, suggestingthat distinctage-related inUuences were operating throughoutlearningin this task. However,the specific naturcof thoseinfluences.and why they appearto be absent on the third 240-trialblock. cannotbe deternrinedfiom the currentanalyses.The issueof how independent age-related cftectson later variablesin an orderedsequencernight be investigated is consideredin the GeneralDiscusston. Lug Eflects Anothertype of orderedvariableconsistsof measures of accuracyas a functionof the numberof eventsintervening betweenthe presentation and test of the relevantinfbrmation. Becauseit is the lossratherthanthe gainof infbrmation that is of interestin this context.analysesof performance as a function of the nuntber of interveninsevents can be considered to reflectforgetting.or the conierseof learning. Severalstudieshave been conductedwith a continuous associative memorytaskin which the stimulusand response terms keep changing,and the researchparticipantis occasionally asked to report which responseterm was most recentlypresentedwith a specificstimulusterm. Typical datafrom comparisonsof lag manipulations,consistingof the numberof eventsinterveningbetweenthe presentation and testof the relevantinformation,can be illustratedwith resuftsfiom Study I of Salthouse(1994a).Stimuli in this study consistedof letter-digitpairs. and on diff'erenttrials either0, I , 2, or 3 otherstimulus-response pairsintervened betweenpresentationand test of the critical pair. Mean levelsof accuracyat each lag tbr three age groups in this studyareportrayedin Figure3. Resultsof sequentialanalysesof lag effectsin this and othersimilarstudies are summarizedin Table 2. Noticethat in many of thc datasctsthe agecorrelations, corresponding to thetotalage-related eff'ects,aresmall.althoughtheywere moderatelylarge in the Salthouse(1995b)study. In most cases.howevcr. the direct age-relatedeff'ectstend to decrease,and the mediatedet-tectstend to increase.with increasedlag. This patternimplies that most of the agerelatedef'lbctsat longerlagsare mediatedthroughthe ef-fects at shorterlags. A similar strongmediationalinfluencehas a l s ob e e nf b u n d i n s t u d i e sw i t h o n l y l a g so f 0 a n d I ( i . e . , K e r s t e n& S a l t h o u s c1, 9 9 3 :S a l t h o u s et ,9 9 4 a ) . Thc amount ol' relevantdata on larr manioulationsis clcarly limited. and the magnitudesof tte total age-related el'f'ects(and proportionso1' total varianceexplained)are r c l a t i v c l ys r n a l l .N e v e r t h c l c s st h . e a v a i l a b l ed a t a s u g g e s t that most ol' thc age-related diff'erences in firrgettingoccur within thc lirst one or two items afier the infirrmationis prcsentedbecauscthere are little or no independentagerelatcdel'l'cctson longer lags. Il'confirmed in additional studies.this patternwould imply that explanationsmay be nccdedonly lilr thc age-rclatedinlluences<lnmeasuresof pcrlirrrnancc with rclativclyshortlagsbetweenprescntation and test becauscthc efl'ectsat longer lags appearto be nrcdiatedthroughthoseat shorterlags. Stirnulus PrcsentutionTimc An orderedsequence ol'variablescan also be createdby nranipulatingthe amount ol' time that relevant stimulus infirrmationis displayed.That is, the stimuluspresentarion Young (n=83) + Middle (n=85) o o old ln=72) I o o o) s c o o L ^ O ^ U 0 1 2 3 - TestLag Presentation Figure3. Meanpercentage correctwith0 to 3 stimulus-response pairsbetweenpresentation andtestfbr threeagegroups,Salthouse StudyI ). 11994a, WHERE ARE AGE-RELATED EFFECTS? Pl7l Table2. Correlations and PathCoefhcients lbr RelationsBctweenAge and Accuracy on Difl'crentLags Bctween Prescntationand Test Young (n=39) + otd (n=39) a 90 o o i Source 3 8 0 o o-) o E C o n t i n u o u sA s s o c i a t i v eM e n x r r y S a l t h o u s (e1 9 9 3 ) .S t u d y I tt - 246 (-.ll) Corrclation ( . l l ) Pathcocfticient % Mediatecl o 'lirtal R, .0| ( 1 9 9 3 ) .S t u d y2 Salthouse r - 25li Correla(ion . 16 -. l6 P a t hc o e l f i c r c n t % Mediated 0 'lirtal R, .03 4l.ll .22 -.20 ( .0u) 1J4.0 .26 ( 1 9 9 4 a )S Salthouse . tudyI rt : 240 -.35 Correlation -.35 P a t hc o e l f i c i e n t 7 Mcdiated 0 'Iotal R, . ll -.23 (-.03) 9tt.I .l-r ( .t6) (-.06) 1t5.9 .21 -.56 .54 (-. l-5) 9t.3 .6| ( I995b) Salthouse r - 50Y.50O Correlalion l ) a t hc o e l l i c i en t 7 Metliatctl -lirtal R, .51 .-52 0 .27 -.21 ( .l6) 42.0 .10 .21 -. l9 |li.l .ll -.24 -. il3 .26 18.1 .5(r o (L 0 s00 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Stimulus Presentation Duration (msec) F - r g u r c : 1M. c a n p c r c c n t a g ceo r r c c ti t sa l u n c t i 0 n0 l s t i r n u l u sp r c s c n t l t t i ( ) n t i n r el i r r ( w o a g c g r o u p s .K e r s t e na n d S : r l t h o u s(c1 9 9 - l ) . ( .03) (0.0|) t(x)+ .01 N o t r . V a l u c si n p a r e n t h c s casr c n o t s i g n i l i c a n t l y( 2 . : . 0 1) d i l l e r e n tl r o n r z c r o .A d a s hi n d i c a t c st h i r tt h e r ew a sa n i n c r e a s ei n t h e a g e - r c l a t evda r i a n c c r l ( e r c ( ) n t r oo l l ' t h c p r i o r v a r i a b l ci n t h e s e o u c n c c . tinre can be varied, and then the level of accuracydeterm i n e da t c a c h v a l u eo l ' t i m e . T h i s p r o c e d u r e can be illustratedwith datal'roman unpublishedstudyby Kerstenand ( 1 9 9 3 ) ,i n w h i c h 3 9 y o u n g a d u l r sa n d 3 9 o l d e r Salthouse adultspertormeda continuousass()ciative memorytaskwith letterstimulianddigit responses, and lagsbetweenpresentation and test of either 0 or I stimulus-response pair. The prcsentationduration of the letter-digitpair was varied acrosstrial blocksfirst liom slow to fastduratir)ns. and then fiom lastto slow durations.Mean levelsof accuracyat each durationaveragedacrosslags0 and I fbr the two agegroups areportraycdin Figure4. Results of sequential analyses of the Kersten and Salthouse( 1993)data,of datafrom threeother associarive memorystudies,andof datatiom a seriallettermemorytask with recallof 5 lettersin eitheroriginalorderor alphabetic order(Salthouse & Coon, 1993),aresummarized in Table3. Although the patternis somewhatvariable,it appearsthat independentage-relatedeffectsoften occur for presentation timesup to 500 msec,but not consistently for longerpresentationtimes.To the extentthatthis is an accuratecharacterization of the results,independentand distinct age-related influences may operateprimarilyon measures within thefirst 500 msec of processingfbr some tasks.A broaderrangeof tasks should be examined to explore the limits of this suggestion.but at leaston the basisof the availabledata, distinctexplanations fbr age-related influencesappearto be neededlargelylirr measureswith relativclyshortpresentation durationsbecausemostol'thc age-related ef'fbctson the nrcasurcs at longerclurations arc ntediatedthroughthc shortdurationlneasures. Complc.rittEllects A linal sct o{' ordcred variablcscan be derived fiom contrastsof' diff'erentlevels <ll'complexitywithin the same t a s k .N u m e r r ) ucso l n p a r i s o nesx i s tw i t h t w o l e v e l so l ' c o m p l e x i t y ,w h i c h t y p i c a l l yi n v o l v ca c o n t r a sbt e t w e e nc o n d i tions with and without an additionalhypothesized processing rcquircmcnt.Contrasts ol'thistypecanbc illustratedwith dataliom two pairsot'tasksrcccntlyadministered to a total o t ' 6 2 5 a d u l t sa c r o s st h r e cs t u d i e s( i . e . , S a l t h o u s e1, 9 9 - 5 a ; S a l t h o u s eF, r i s t o e ,& R h e c , 1 9 9 6 ; S a l t h o u s e& M e i n z . 1 9 9 5 ) . ' I h ct a s k sw c r ct o c o p yd i g i t s( D i g i t C o p y )o r t o f i r s r subtract2 l'ronrthe digits befirrecopying them (Subtract Two). and to copy symbols(SymbolCopy) or to first rotate the symbolsby 90 degreesbelirrecopyingthem (Rotation). Eachtask was perli)rmedtwice. and the perti)rmance measurewas the numberof itemsansweredcorrectlywithin 30 sec.Reliabilities.estimatedby boostingthetest-retest correlationby thc Spearman-Brown fbrmula,were high firr each m e a s u r e( i . e . . D i g i t C o p y : . 9 6 . S u b t r a cT t wo : .95, S y m b o lC o p y : . 9 6 . R o t a t i o n: . 9 - 5 ) . The most inlitrn.rative analysesfbr the presentpurposes are thc contrastsbetweenthe age correlationand the standardizcdregressioncoefhcientfitr age firr the measurefrom the presumablymorecomplcxtask.Thc correlationwith age tbr the subtractionmeasurewas .26, but the regression coefficient,indicatingthe director unmediatedageef'fects, wasonly .04. This patternis consistent with a recentfinding by Salthouse andCoon (1994).in that rnost(i.e.,91 .60/o) <tf the age-relatedvariancc in the subtractionmeasurewas sharedwith simplermeasures. However,somewhatdifferentresultsareevidentin other two-variablecomplexitycomparisons. For example,the age correlationfirr the rotationmeasurewas .31, and the regress i o nc o e f f i c i e nwt a s . 1 6 . i n d i c a t i n g t h a ts o m e( i . e . , 7 3 . 4 o / o ) , but not all, of the aqe-related effbctsin therotationtaskwere SALTHOUSE Pt]2 Durations Table 3. Correlationsand path Coefficicntsfbr RelationsBetweenAge and Accuracyat Difterent Stimulus Presentation Duration(msec) Presentation Source ContinuousAssociativeMemorY 150 S a l t h o u s c( 1 9 9 4 a ) .S t u d y I n -240 Corrclation Pathcocl'ticicnt % Mediatcd lirtal R' ( ( 300 l4) l4) {- l 5 ) ( l0) ()2 55 6 l1 250 5(X) t, ( 1 9 9 4 a )S . t u d Y2 Salthouse n -125 Correlation Pathcrnl'ticient (,?Mcdiated T o t a lR 2 14 1t t, (Xr (.20) ( .05) 9l l1 .39 I(XX} S a l t h o u s c( 1 9 9 5 b ) r - 50Y.50o C\rrrclation Pathcocl'licicnt % Mediatcd lirtal R' -.62. .62 t, .lu 450 -.28 .2{) 49.0 .31 750 ( - . 0 2) 96.'7 ..+I | 5(X) 5It t.t2 t96 2(X) 4(X) SelfPaced ( . l l ) .54 ( SellI)aced .19 (.()2) 0 I( X ) . + .4tt ,.21 5ll 7 .35 66'7 296 11 11 t0 -.34 .14 tt3.0 4q (0.(x)) | (x).0 t6) 92 4 ll Ir.l .t 9 -.30 ( .12) u4.0 ( .14) .-56 ( .13) 946 .61 K c r s t c n& S a l t h o u s (c 1 9 9 3 ) a - -19Y.39o ( .22) C o r r cl a t i o n )1\ | P a t hc o c ll i c i c n t 0 7 Mcdixted 'lirtal 05 R' 750 600 (-.221 713.1 .52 .45 (- Il) 94.0 .61 -.41{ (.11) 1J7.5 .62 I( X X ) | 5(X) .50 ( .17) tttt.4 .61 ( 06) 9u2 45 6l 2250 3l (.02) l ( x ) . 0+ 59 L c t t c rM e n r r r r y S a l t h o u s c& C t x r n( I 9 9 - l ) S t u d y 2 O r i g i n a lO r d e r n - Jl'l Y, 3fJo st Corrclation P a t hc o c l t i c i e n t t) 7 Mcdiated 'lirtal .21't R' A l p h a b c t i cO r d c r a - 3uY.3lto .59 Correlation -.59 P a t hc o c l f i c i c n t (, % Mediated 'l'otal R2 <() .29 75.lt .5lJ lJ(X) -.49 (.07) 9t3.0 .59 .,+lt ( - . 1 1) .513 u7.,1 131.4 .69 ^ a I 6(X) ( 47 l6) IJIJ 4 52 OL 8't.1 .69 N o t r , :V a l u c si n p a r e n t h c s easr c n o t s i g n i f i c a n t l y( 7 r< . ( ) l ) d i l l c r e n tl r o n l z e r o . apparentlymediatedby the cl'l'cctsin thc copyingtask' This patterncould be intcrpretcdas indicating that therc arc agc-rclatedinflucnccson thc prospccilicand indepcndent with rotation,in additionto thosc-ilssociccssesassociated a t c dw i t h s y m b o lc o p y i n g . i n v o l v e sa A n o t h e rt w t l - v a r i a b lceo m p l c x i t yc o m p a r i s o n working with words or digits span li)r ol memory contrast m c m o r ys p a ni n v o l v i n gt h e s a m et y p e< l l ' m a t e r i abl 'u t w i t h participantalsorcquircdto carryout Pr()ccssing the research questionsaboutsentences suchas answeringcomprehension or perli)rntingsimple arithmcticopcrations.Becausethe sanic tasks were perli)rnredin both studies repofled in Salthouscand Babcock( 199I ), the rclevantdatawerc combincd acrossthe two stuclicsto produce a total of 460 Thc agecorrelationwith the listening researchparticipants. span mcasurcwas -.49, and the standardizedregression cocl'ficicntfirr age was -.29. indicatingthat 65.0%'of the agc-relatedvariancein the working menlory measurcwas throughthe sintplespanmeasure.Corrcsptlnding mediatecl were -.44 and valucs li)r thc colrputation span lllcasurL- WHERE ARE AGE.RELATED EFFECTS? - . 3 1 . r e f l e c t i n g5 0 . 4 % r n e d i a t e da g e - r e l a t evda r i a n c e .I n bothcases,therefbre.it appearsthatsome.but not all, of the agc-rclatcd ef'fbctsin the mureconrplexmeasurcweremediatedby thc cl'l'ects on the simplermeasure. just describedindiAlthoughseveralof the cornparisons cate that distinct and independentage-relatedinfluences sometinresoccur on m()rL'c()mplex cognitive measures, qualitativeand quantitativeaspectsof cornplexityare c()ntbundedin thesecomparisons. That is. in eachol'thesecases thc nrorecomplexconditioncan be viewedas involvingnot only dif'l-erent processingoperations.but also more operations.Becauscthis makcsit difficult to dcternrinewhetherit is the specilicadditionaloperation.as opposedto any additionaloperation.that is responsible lirr the observcdefl'ects. it is desirableto evaluatewhetherindependent agc-related i n f l u e n c c sa l s o o c c u r w h c n c o m p l e x i t yi s i n c r e a s e d only quantitativcly.by the requiremcntto pcrlirrnr additional o p e r a t i o nosl ' t h es a m et y p e .B e c a u sqeu a n t i t a t i vvca- r i a t i o n s of cornplexitylorm an orderedsequence, thedataareamenable to thc sanlc typcs ol' scquentialanalyscson ordered variablcsconductcdon the learning,lirrgetting.and presentationtirnc data. Thc rclcvant comparis<lns can bc illustratedwith clata fiorn a paper-lilldingtaskin which cornplcxitywas nranipul a t c db y v a r y i n gt h c n u n r b cor l ' l i r l d sd i s p l a y c d p r i o rt o a h o l e p u n c h .T h e s cd a t a . l i o r n a s t u d y b y S a l t h o u s cM . itchcll. Skovronck.and Babcock( l9l't9).arc portraycdin Figurc5. R c s u l t so l ' s c q u c n t i aal n a l y s c so l ' t h e S a l t h o u s cc t a l. ( l 9 t J 9 )d a t a .a n d o l ' d a t a l ' r o ma v a r i c t yo l ' t a s k si n v o l v i n g dil'f'crcntrnanipulations ol' complexity.are sunrtnarizcdin Tablc4. An initialpointto noteaboutthc cntries in Tablc4 is that thc corrclationswith agc do not alwaysincrcascacross s u c c c s s i vlcc v e l so l ' c o r n p l c x i t y a . s n r i g h tb c c x p e c t e db y what has bccn terrncd thc age-cornplcxityphenomcnon ( S a l t h o u s c1, 9 9l ) . T h i s r r a y b c p a r t l y a t t r i b u t a b l teo t h c i n c l u s i o no l ' s o r n e( p a r t i c u l a r loyl d e r )p a r t i c i p a n twsh o h a v c relativclylow perlilrnrance acrossall levclsol'cornplcxity. However, the ovcrall pattcrn was sirnilar in analyscsrestrictedto individualsin thc too 75lc <'tl'thedistributionon YOUng (n=40) + Mrddle (n=40) otd (n:10) O 0) o O O o 6 c o o o o- 1 2 3 4 Numberof PaperFoldingOperations Figure-5.MeanpercL-ntagc correctas a tunctionol numberof recluired et al. ( 1989). Salthouse papcr-lirlding operations lirrthreeagegroups. Pl13 the rneasure fiom the lowestlevelof complexity,and hence this is not theentirereasonfbr the failureto find strongerage relationswith greatercomplexityin thesedata. Inspcctionol'Table 4 revealsa mixtureof outcomes.In s o m c d a t a s e t s( e . g . . m e n t a la r i t h r n e t i cm , e m o r ys e a r c h . v i s u a ls e a r c h d. i g i t s y r n b o ls u b s t i t u t i o n n ) .e a r l ya l l o f t h e age-related varianceon morecomplexmeasures seemsto be mediatedthrough the measuresat the sirnplcr levels of complexity.Closerinspectionof the dataindicatesthat this patternappearsto hold lirr most of the analyseswith responsetime measures. of the numberof and with nreasures i t c m sc o r n p l c t e idn a t i x e dt i r l e . I n c o n t r a s td, a t as e t sw i t h percentagecorrect or other ilccuftrc) nreasuresappcar to have less mediationof the agc-rclatcdetfbcts on more complexvariablesthroughthc agc-rclated on simpler et'f'ects variables.Both ol'these patternsare evident in the papertirldingtasksbccauscaccuracywas thc dcpcndentmeasurc in the first. second,and fifth data scts, but the dependcnt rneasurcin thc thircland lilurth datasctswas thc numberof correctresponscs in a spccifiedtime. Noticc that the degrec ot' mediationof'the age-related efl'ectswas snrallerin the lirrrnerdatasctsthanin the latter. T o t h e e x t c n t h a tt h c d i s t i n c t i o nb c t w c e nt i n r ea n d a c c u racy variablcsis nrcaningl'ul.scparatcagc-rclatcdcxplanat i o n sn r a yb c n c c d c cl li r r s u c c c s s i vlcc v c l so l ' c o n t p l c x i t yi n t a s k sw i t h a c c u r a c yn l c a s u r c sb u t n o t i n t a s k sw i t h t i r n c nrcusurcs.Onc possibility is that accuracyrneasuresare nrorcscnsitivcto cumulativccrr()rsintroducedby dclicient lirnctioningol' working nrcnr()ryncccssarylirr rnaintaining s l ' p r o c se s i n g( c . g . .S a l t h o u s c1, 9 9 2 ) . i n t c r r n c d i ap t cr o d u c t o d i t h i n r p a i r m c n t isn a n d t h a t i n c r c a s c da g c i s a s s o c i a t cw working nrclllory.The significitntindcpcndcntage-rclated inllucnccson thc largcrsel sizc conclitionsin the consistent n r a p p i n gn r c n r o r ys c a r c ht a s k i n t h c C r x r p e r( 1 9 9 3 )s t u d y bccauscthc nray also bc consistentwith this interpretation working nrcnr()ryinvolvcrnentis prcsunrablylargcr when in rncmory. nrorctargctitcrnshavcto bc nraintained (l cttcruI D i.s<' ussi t ttt s sut.nnrarizcd above Thc nra.jorinrplicationof'thc analyse i s t h a to n l y a r e l a t i v e l ys r n a l ln u r l b c ro l ' d i s t i n cat g e - r e l a t e d causall'actorsappearneccssaryto accountfirr a largeproporlatedvirrianccin rnanycognitivenleasures. tion ol'thea-rlc-re Statedsornewhatdif'tcrently.separate and distinctexplanain which significant tions are not retluiredtilr all nreasurcs havcbeenreportedbecausemuch of age-related diff'erences rnay be mediated the age-related eft'ectson thcscnreasures througheff'ectson rneasurcs that occurearlierin an ordered sequence. ln all but one of thc data sets with paired associate learning.mazc lcarning,and fice recalltasks.over 907cof varianccwas mediatcdby the fburth expothc age-related surc to the rnaterials.and over 90% of the age-related varianccwas mcdiatedfrom the secondvariableon in the mentalsquaring.visual search.and memory searchtasks. The trend in the lag analyscswas not as clear, perhaps becausethe total age-relatedcffects, representedby the in correlationcoefficient,werenot very large.Nevertheless, (i.e.. the one datasct with moderatelylargeagecorrelati<lns Salthouse,1995b),clver 907o of the age-relatedvariance I I I Pt74 SALTHOUSE Table4. Correlations and PathCoefficicntsfor RelationsBetwecnAge and Mcasuresof Time or Accuracyat Successive ComplexityLevels Conrplcxtty ) Source f ' a p c rF o l c l i n t - f a s k( N u n t b e ro f F o l t l s ) S i t l t h o u s c( l 9 t i t i ) . S t u d \ I r r - l ( X ) Y . l ( X )o Colre lrtion Path coel licient f 1 I Mctliatctl 'Rrtal Rl _..r9 -.llt .lu..s _.i I (-. t.+) 7 9. 6 .05 -.13 -.l6 76.-5 37 S a l t h o u s cc l i l I . ( l ( ) u 9 ) rr |l0 Correlrtion _..19 -..51 -..s-l I)ath coel licicnt li l\Ictliatcd 'I'otal Rl . -19 t, .t 5 ..r| .20 6.+.+ lt5.lt .)i \h -.5lt -.22 IJ5.6 .61 Sallhousc ( l()91). Studr' I r - lllJ (, .(X) S a l l h o u s(cl ( ) 9 1 ) .S t u d r ' l rr - ll.l Cirrrcla(ion .-+.1 l)tlh cocllicicnt .-1-] 'ri Mctliatctl 0 'I'otal Rr . lft S a l t h o u s c( l ( ) 9 - l ) .S t u d r 'I rr l](r ('orrclirtion .J] I ) i r l l rc o c l l i c i c n t .17 (l Mcdiltctl 0 'l'otal Rr .ll ( .16) (.01) G c o n r e t r i cA n a l o g i e sT a s k ( N u r n b er o l ' E l e m e n t s()L t n t i n u t , t l ) S a l t h o u s (c1 9 9 2 ) .S t u d y I n :228 Correlation P a t hc o e l t i c i e n t 'l Mediated T o t a lR 2 -.3,1 -..11 .-50 -.3'+ -lu .lt 0 92.u u7.0 .lt .t35 .76 S a l t h o u s (e1 9 9 2 ) .S t u d y2 n - ::\ -.1.+ Correlation P a t hc o e l f i c i e n t .3.1 'l Mediatcd 0 T o t a lR r .12 -.tu -.ll -.211 ( .t0) 66.0 90 li .-5 I .29 S a l t h o u s& c C o o n ( 1 9 9 4 ) .S t u d y2 ri - 40Y.'10o Corrclation .76 11 .64 P a t hc o el ' l i c i e n t (.0-s) (.20) .76 .l Mcdiatcd 0 99.5 90.2 lirtal ftr .5lt .rJ9 .57 ( .|]) (.(x)) t ( x+) t(x).0 .-sL-58 ll (.(x)) ( .il) (.02) |( x ) . 0 t ( x+ ) .t.s ..17 ..ll ( l.l) l.i.l.-s .tt . . 1| .11 69.9 .trJ I n l c l r i r t i v c R c a s o n i n g l ' l r s k ( N L r r r r h c ro l l ) r c r r r i s c s ) Salthousct rl. ( 191.19) rr Il0 ( ' o r r cl a ti o n l ) i r t hc o c l l i c i c n t .21 rri Mcdiirtctl 0 'l'()tal Rr .01 S a l l h o u stcl 9 9 l ) . S t L r d l rr - llll ( ' o r r cl a ti o n P a t hc o c l l i c i c n t '/ Mcclirtcd 'l'otrl Rr rl . .16 -.15 ul.6 il .59 -.59 0 .-15 .+9 .51 .t6 7-s.0 ..s7 .;1.+ (.01) 99.5 .Ot) ..1| - t5 1t6.6 .60 (.07) 9tt.6 .17 S a l t h o u se c r a l . ( 1 9 9 . 5 )S. r u d yl S c q u e n t i aAl n t h n r c t i cp c r l i r r n t e da l o n e rr - lll .16 Corrclation 5(r 1l .36 .14 .15 P a t hc o c ll i c i c n t (.()9) 4() (.0-l) (.01) 7 Mcdiatcd 0 l-5..1 l(X)+ 99.3 99.9 'Iirtal Rr .lL.16 .jl 6l.r .til S c q u c n t i aAl r i l h r r r c t i cw i t h c o n c u r r e nnt t e t r r o r yl o a d rt - lll Corrclation 72 .6.5 .16 ..16 .llt P a t hc o e l i c i e n t ( . l l ) ( . 1 0 ) l2 ( l l ) ( . o l ) 7 Mcdiated 0 9 1. t l(x)+ 94..1 l(x)+ 'fotal Rr 5l .6e .61 .69 .6ti .6-l .16 (.0t) ( .0.1) .17 9 1. 6 .11 .19 -.39 -.)1 6 1 .| ..1-5 -.31 ( - . 0 9) 92.1 ..+0 S a l t h o u s (e| 9 9 2 ) . S t u d y I rr = l2ll ( .t 5 ) Corrclatiot) (- l5) P a t hc t r l ' l i c i en t ? Mcdiated 0 T o t a lR r .0l ( | 9 9 2 ) , S r u d y, Salthouse n =)23 Corrclation P a t hc o e l l i c i c n t 'Z Mediarcd 0 'Iotal Rl .31 (-.12) ( .01) 99.3 .54 .30 ( .il) u6.6 .n (-.I l ) ( .02) 96.1 61 ( - . I - 5) (.04) 1 0 0+ ..r7 Memory SearchTask (Nunrbcrof Mentorv Set ltents) ( i c o r n e t r i cA n r l o g i c sT a s k ( N u n t b c ro l E l c n t c n t s ) S a l t h o u s c( l g l t l t ) . S t u d \ I r l ( X )Y . l ( X )o Corrclation .ltt I ) a t hc o c l l i c i c n t .18 rri Metliatcd 0 'lirtal Rr .0li .63 (.l0) 97.-s .t3I C u b eA s s er n b l yT a s k ( N u r t r b eor l F o l d s ) .+.1 .ll -+80 .-ll S a l t h o u s c{ 1 9 9 1 t .S t u d _2" Corrclttiol) l ) u t hc o c l l i c i c n l (ri Mrdiatcd 'fotrl Rr 2 M e n t a lA r i t h n t e t i c( N r . r n r b eorf O n c r a t i o n s ) ('ot-rc lat ion [)rth cocl licicnl 'l Mcdiutcd 'lirtal Rr Cornplexitl,' Source -.52 -.3-5 -5.1.7 .5 I S a l t h o u s (e1 9 9 3 ) .S t u d y2 - L e r t e r s rt : 2-58 Correlation .39 ..+l .42 ..11 Pathcoel'ficient (.o7) (.04) (.01) .-19 7 cM e d i a t e d 0 97.1 9 9 .| 99.9 TotaR l 2 .15 .81 .lJ9 .89 S r l t h t r u s(cl q g . l ) .S t u J yI - D i g i r s n - 25tl Correlation ..11 .12 .14 .11 Path coellicient ( 0-l) ( - . 0 1) .41 .06 ? Mediated 0 99.5 9 8 .I t 0 0+ T o t a lR , .17 .90 . 9| .90 ( ('ont utu( s n e.tl pu ge ) WHERE ARE ACE-RELATED P1 7 5 EFFECTS? Table 4. Correlationsand PathCoefhcientsfor RelationsBetwccn Age and Measuresof Tinre or Accuracy at SuccessiveComplexity Levels (tontinued) Cornplcxity Complexity Source Source V i s u a lS e a r c h- C o n s i s t e nM t apping ( N u r n b e ro l D i s p l a vS e t I t e n r s ) D i g i t S y m b o l( N u n r b e ro l P a i r s ) S a l t h o u s (e1 9 9 3 ) .S t u d y I n -216 Clorrelation ['ath coel'ticient % Mediated 'li)tal R' .5 I .5 | 0 .26 .59 .23 rJ4. tt .72 .61 .59 (.04) .06 99.5 99.0 9l .94 ( N u n r b er o l ' R e l a t i o n s ) G c o m et r i c M a t r i x R e a s o n i n g S a l t h o u s c( 1 9 9 3 ) .S t u d y I n =246 Correlation -.1.1 P a t hc o c l f i c i e n t o % Mediated .12 T o t a lR 2 (.(D) 9l.tl .63 Path coellicient % Mediated Total R' f< -.1.1 1J4.0 .46 .29 -. l9 5 7 .I .40 11 (.0u) Itu.9 11 l s k ( N u r n b c ro l R c l a t i o n s ) C c o n r c t r i cA n a k r g i c s ' a S a l t h o u s (el 9 t t t { ) .S t u d y I r t - l ( X )Y . l ( X )o C o r r cl a t i o n P a t hc o e l t i c i e n t 7 Mcdiatcd 'li)tal Rl . ): (, .l0 -.16 -.19 12.1 .39 .4r{ . . 1I 5lt.l .41 -.54 . 3| 67.0 .4n V i s u a lS v n t h e s i s ' l ' a s(kN u m b c ro l F r a n t c s ) ( 1 9 u 1 3S Salthouse ) .t u d y I n - l ( X )Y . l ( X ) ( ) .71 Corrclation P a t hc o e l l i c i c n t .21 o 7 Mediatcd T o t a lR 2 .08 .71 11 Correlation ( .0.1) P a t hc o c l t i c i e n t .71 % Mediated t, | ( x )+ 'Iirtal R2 59 .91 L a t e i n P r a c t i c c( T r i a l s2 4 0 1 - 3 ( X X ) ) .u3 .ti3 Corre lation l< S p a t i a lR o t a t i o nT a s k ( N u n r b e ro l 9 0 - d e g r e eR o ( a ( i o n s ) ( 1 9 9 - l ; .5 1 x 1 y2 Salthouse rr - 25lt Correlation [)athcoel'licient '/r Mcdiated 'lirtal R2 Rogerset al. ( | 99.1) n =70Y.70O (Trialsl-600) Earlyin Practice f | (-.16) 42.0 .0u 1l .21 '1.1.1't .25 V i s u a lS c a r c h- C o n s i s t e nM t apping ( N u m h e ro l D i s p l a yS c t l t em s . t Coopcr( 1993) rr - ll9 Y. titto ('frialsl-2.10) [:arlyin Practice .5-5 .5'7 .-5.1 Correlation (.0.+) Path coel'ficient .57 (.02) 0 100+ 99.5 % Mediated . 32 .94 .95 Total R2 L a t e i n P r a c t i c e( ' l ' r i a l s2 l 6 l - 2 4 ( X ) ) .61 Correlation .63 6l Path cocflicient {.01) 'Z Mediatetl 99.9 0 l - o t a lR 2 ..10 .91 .60 (.01) 99.9 .94 l6 l9 72 I -t5 0 .10 .12 ( .(X)) l(x+ ) .96 .lJ| .lJO (-.05) (. 0 1 ) t(x+ ) 999 .97 .96 V i s u a lS e a r c h- V a r i c dM a p p i n g ( N u n r b c ro l l ) i s p l a yS c t l t e m s ) C t x r p c r( 1 9 9 - 1 ) rr - tl9 Y. fJlto L,arlyin Practicc('l'rials | 240) .66 .65 Correlation .65 (.04) (.01) Pathctrcllicient .66 '/. Mcdiated 0 99.9 99.6 'lirtal R? .11 .94 .96 [ - a t ci n P r a c t i c c( ] ' r i a l s7 ] l 9 6 0 ) Corrclation .53 .-sl-49 (.0t) ( .0t) P a t hc o e l l i c i e n t .5-r (l Mediatcd 0 9 9 . 9 l ( X+ ) 'lotal R' .lrJ .9| .95 R o g c r sc t a l . ( 1 9 9 , { ) n - lll Y.70o h , a r l yi n P r a c t i c c( ' l ' r i a l sI ( r ( X ) ) Corrclation .71 .1| (-.01) P a t hc o e l f i c i e n t .73 (l Mecliatcd () l ( X )+ lirtal R' .-5.1 .96 l . a t ei n P r a c t i c c( ] ' r i a l s2 . 1 0 1l ( X X ) ) 75 65 Correlation P a t hc o e lt i c i c n t 7-5 .I-l % Mediated l ( x )+ T o t a lR l 56 .92 .65 ( - . o lI t ( x )+ .9.+ 54 ' l--l l ( x )+ .u 9 M e n r o r yS c a r c h C o n s i s t e nM t apping ( N u n r b e ro l M e n r o r yS c t l t en r s ) Cooper(1993) n - tl7Y.fl70 L , a r l yi n P r a c t i c e( ' I r i a l s l - 1 4 0 ) Correlation .52 .-56 P a t hc o e f f i c i e n t .52 .10 7 Mediated 0 96.1i T o t a lR 2 .27 .ltg L a t e i n P r a c t i c e( T r i a l s9 6 1 - 1 2 ( X ) ) 6o Correlation 61 Pathcoetticicnt .60 It) (, % Mediated 94.1 Total R2 16 .91 .-51 (-.(X)) l ( X )+ .92 69 07 99.0 .95 No/<,:Values in parentheses are not si{nificantly (p < .01) dilfbrent from zero. A dashindicatesthat therewas an increasein the age-relatedvarilnce after c o n t r o lo f t h e n r i o r v a r i a b l ei n t h c s e q u c n c e . Pl16 SALTHOUSE in the lag 2 measurewas mediatedthroughthe measures fiom shorterlags.A fairly consistentpatternin which 80o/c varianceon variableswith long or more of the age-related presentationtimes was mediatedthrough variableswith prcscntation msecwasapparentin the tinresshorterthan,5(X) analyscsof the presentationtirne data. The most diverse resultsoccurred with the complexity manipulations,but even in this case a median of 95.6c/oof thc age-related variancein the rneasurcs ol'the secondcomplexitylevelwas nrediatedthrough thc measuresat the lowest complexity level. and a r.nedian ol'99.0%of the agc-rclatedvariancein the measuresat thc third complexity levcl was mediated throughthc mcasuresat the secondcomplexitylevel. Thc discoveryof substantialmediated.or shared.agerelatcdvariancein theseanalysesis similar to findingsof largeproportionsol'age-relatedvarianccsharedacrossdil'I'crcntcognitivevariablesin which thereis no a priori basis t i r r o r d e r i n gt h e v a r i a b l c s( e . g . , S a l t h o u s e1, 9 9 3 , 1 9 9 4 a , 1 9 9 4 b :S a l t h o u s c t a l . . 1 9 9 4 :S a l t h o u s cF. r i s t o e ,L i n e w c a v c r .& C o o n . 1 9 9 5 ) .l n b o t h s i t u a t i o n st,h e a v a i l a b l e cvidcncc suggeststhat a surprisinglylargc amttuntof the agc-relatcdcll'ectson a widc rangeol' cognitivemeasures can bc accountcdfirr by thc operationol' a relativelysmall f'actors. numberot' independcnt and distinctagc-related analTwo questionsnaturallycnrergeliom the sequential y s i s t ' r a r n e w o r kT.h c l i r s t c o n c e r n st h c e x p l a n a t i o o nf . t h c age-related cf'lcctson variablcsthatoccurearlyin an ttrdered arenot directly sequcncc.Thc rcsultsol'thecurrcntanalyses i n t i r r r n a t i vaeb o u tt h i s i s s u c( b u t s e eS a l t h o u s e1. 9 9 3 .f b r Whatcvcrthe naturcof thesecausal rclevantspcculations). lactors. howcvcr, thcy arc presunrablyfairly l'undamental because thc currentrcsultsindicatcthattheyarepresentearly and test, in learning.with short lags betwecnpresentation with briel'prcscntation durations.and at low lcvelsot processingcomplcxity.One importantdirectionltlr future researchshouldbe investigationof the f'actorsthat vary with ageand arc responsible filr variationsin measures ol'simple processing efficiency. The secondqucstionol' interestin sequentialanalyses concernsthe tactorsresponsiblefbr the independentagerelatedeff'ectson later variablesin the sequence.Because theseel'f'ects rcprcsentuniqucage-related influencesthat arc distinct l'rornthe inl'luences on earlier variablesin the sequence,they are not only of interestin their own right, but may alsobe infirrmativeaboutthe natureof the influences on earliervariables.That is, becausethe age-related influences on the later variablesare independentof the influences rnediatedthroughthe earliervariablcs,examinationof these spccificinf'luences may contributeto understanding the nature of the presumablycommoninfluences fiom which they aredistinct. In the analysesreportedabove. independentage-related effectswere apparenton later variablesin the sequencein severalof the data sets. For example, independentagerelatedef'tectsoccurred acrossthe first severaltrials in the pairedassociate and free recalllearningtasks.Distinctagerelatedinfluenceswere also evident in some. but not all, blocksof trialsin the consistent mappingvisualsearchtasks o f C o o p e r( 1 9 9 3 )a n d R o g e r se t a l . ( 1 9 9 4 ) .( A l s o , s e eN o t e 4.) Independentage-relatedeffectsoccurredfor long presen- tationtimes when letterswereto be recalledin alphabetical order, and whcn more processingoperationswere required with accuracy-based measures of perfbrmance.Finally, distinct age-related influences wereevidentwith largermemory set sizes in Cooper's (1993) consistentmapping memory searchtask,particularlylate in practice. Independentage-relatedeffectson later variablesin an orderedsequence havealsobeenreportedby Kliegl, Smith. a n d B a l t e s( 1 9 9 0 )i n a s t u d yi n v o l v i n gm e t h o d - o f : l o cmi n e monictrainingin young and old adults.Theseinvestigators foundsignificantage-related variancein a measureof pertbrmance in a later sessionafter a measureof serial recall performance in an initial sessionwas statistically controlled. Furthermore,the age-relatedvariancewas still significant even when a measureof serialword recall after mnemonrc i n s t r u c t i o nw a s c o n t r o l l e d .( A l s o , s e e B a l t e s & K I i e g l , 1992.) A possibleexplanationfor the independentager e l a t e de t t e c t si n t h e l a t e rs e s s i o nos1 ' t h eK l i e g le t a l. ( 1 9 9 0 ) study is that youngeradults.to a greaterextentthan older adults,wereableto improvethespeedwith which theycould executethe mnemonicprocedurewith additionalpracticc.In supportol'this intcrpretation arethe additionalfindingsthat mostof the improvementin memoryperti)rmance occurred with moderatelyl'astpresentationdurations,and that the relationbctweenmemory perfirrnrance and a speedmeasure ( i . e . , D i g i t S y m b o l S u b s t i t u t i o np e r l i r r m a n c ei)n c r e a s e d acrosssessions.The Kliegl et al. (1990) study is therefilre instructivein illustratinghow independentage-relatedinfluenceson latervariablesin an orderedsequencemight be analyzcdand intcrpreted.Not only is it desirableto include rnanipulations to cxpklre the sourceof the laterage-related ef'fects.but othervariablesshouldalsobe assessed to detect possiblechangesin the patternof relations. It is usel'ulto considerthe factorsthat could contributeto the existenceof uniqueor independentage-related eff'ects late in a sequenccof orderedvariables.One possibilityis that the likelihoodof detectingindependcntefl'ectsvaries accordingto the type of orderedsequenceunderconsideration. For example.at leasttwo dift'erenttypesof ordered - gnurinland temporal- can be distinguished. sequences Causalsequences are thosein which the precedingvariable is logicallyprior to the criterionvariablein thc sensethat it represents a constituentol'the criterionvariable.Sequences composedof variableshypothesized to correspondto dillbrent levelsof processing complexity,whereeachsuccessive level includesthe prior levelsplus an additionallevel, are examplesol'causalsequences. in which succesSequences sive variablesrepresentprogressivelygreateramountsof processingtime could also be consideredas causalif the increased time corresponds to morecompleteprocessing.A secondtype of orderedsequence is temporalor longitudinal in that successive representdif'fervariablesin the sequence at ent points along a temporalcontinuum.Measurements differentlevelsof practice,or with variousintervalsbetween presentationand test (i.e., fbrgetting), are exarnplesof longitudinalsequences. Note that causaland temporalsequencesare not mutually exclusive becausea temporal sequence variables could alsobe causal.That is. successive in a longitudinalsequencecould representsimpler or less completeamountsof processing(i.e.. causal),or they may WHEREAREAGE-RELATEDEFFECTS? involve all of the sameoperationsbut at different levels of proficiency(i.e., noncausal). Although it is clearly possiblethat the patternof independent age-relatedinfluencescould vary accordingto the type ofordered sequence,thereis little evidenceofthis in the data reportedabove. Instead,the generaltrend seemsto be for large proportions of the age-relatedeffects to be evident early in the sequence,regardlessof the nature of the sequence. Nevertheless,the availabledata are not definitive with respectto this issue,and future researchmay revealthat the presenceor magnitudeof distinct age-relatedinfluences variesdependingon the type of orderedsequence. Statisticalfactorscould also play a role in the detectionof independentage-relatedeffectslate in an orderedsequence. For example, an effect of the same absolutemagnitudeis more likely to be statisticallysignificantwhen the proportion of explainedvariancein the variableis high comparedto when it is low. Furthermore,increasesin the proportionof explainedvariancecouldoccurbecause of increased reliability of the criterion variable (due to the greateramount of systematicvariance available to be associatedwith other variables),or becauseof increasesin the magnitudeof the relationof the variableto the prior variablein the sequence. Both the reliability of the criterion variableand the strength of the relationsbetweensuccessivevariablescould therefore contributeto the detectionof independentage-relatedeffects in variableslate in an orderedsequence. Two final f'actorsthat could contributeto the existenceof independentage-relatedvariance are shifts in either the natureof the processesrequired in the task, or in what the variablesrepresent.That is, successivevariablesin the orderedsequencemay be dependentupon different combinationsof abilities,and age-related influencesmay be evidenton abilitiesthatbecomeimportantlatein the sequence. Alternatively, there may not be a shift in the pattern of influences on the samevariable.but ratherthe variableitself may be changingwith respectto what it is measuring.In other words, early in the sequencethe variable may reflect one construct, but later in the sequenceit may reflect a diff'erentconstruct.A possibleexampleis when the ordered sequenceis composed of measuresrepresentingperformanceat progressivelylongertimes. In this casethe variables at short presentationtimes may primarily reflect processesconcernedwith rapid information processing,but at longerpresentationtimes the variablesmay reflectwhatever ability construct is relevant to the particular task being performed. Examination of the pattern of correlationsbetween variablesat different positions in the sequenceand measuresof other abilities might allow thesepossibilitiesto be distinguished. In conclusion, the framework of conceptualizingwhere independentage-relatedinfluences occur seems to be a fruitful perspectivefor understandingwhat needs to be explained with respectto age-relatedeffects on cognition. The data setsexaminedaboveare obviously very limited in many respects,but they nevertheless raisethe possibilitythat far fewer explanationsof age-relatedinfluencesare needed than the number of variables in which age-relatedeffects have been reported.Not only were few of the independent age-relatedeffectson later variablesin the orderedsequence Pt77 significantlydifferent from zero, but even when significant they were often responsiblefor very small percentages of the total age-relatedvariance. Important priorities for future researchshould thereforebe the explanationof age-related influenceson the variablesthat occur early in an ordered sequence,becausethey may be responsiblefor largeproportions of the age-relatedeffects, and of the independentagerelated influenceson variables that occur later in the sequence,becausethey can be viewed as representingdistinct or unique age-relatedeffects. AcKNowLEDGMENt s This researchwas supportedby NIA Grant R37 AG-06826 to Timothy A. Salthouse,who can be reachedat Tim.Salthouss(u.'Psych.Gatech.Edu. I would like to thank Neil Charness,Brian Cooper, and Wendy Rogers for sharingtheir data, and for commentson an earlier versionof this article. Addresscorrespondenceto Dr. Timothy A. Salthouse,School of Psyc h o l o g y ,G e o r g i aI n s t i t u t eo f T e c h n o l o g y ,A t l a n t a ,G A 3 0 3 3 2 - 0 1 7 0 . REFERI,NCES B a l t e s ,P . 8 . , & K l i e g l , R . ( 1 9 9 2 ) . F u r t h e rt e s t i n go f l i m i t s o f c o g n i t i v e plasticity: Negative age differences in a mnemonic skill are robust. DevelopmentalPsychologl,,28, l2l-125. C h a r n e s s ,N . , & C a m p b e l l , J . l . D . ( 1 9 8 8 ) . A c q u i r i n g s k i l l a t m e n t a l calculation in adulthood: A task decomposition. Journal of Experimental Psyc'hoktgy:Generul, I 17, l15 129. Cooper, B.P. (1993). Age-related diJJeremesin searchldecisionperfttrmtmcc and transler: An evuluation of learning and skill ucquisition. 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S k o v r o n e k 8. . . & B a b c o c k .R . L . ( 1 9 u 9 ) . E f f e c t so l ' a d u l t a g e a n d w o r k i n s n t e n t o r yo n r e a s o n i n -aun d spatialabilities..lt urr nul tl E.rpcr i nc ntul psrrlrolo,qr.:Lc ur ni ng. M un ory, und ('o.qtiltittn,/.5, -507 5 | 6. RtL't,iyedF cbruurt' 11. 1995 A ( ( ( p t ? d A u . q u s2t 8 . 1 9 9 5 Appendix | . Thc rcportedanalyscsarcrcstrictcdto first-ordcr( i.e.. inrmcdiatcly prror) autoregrcssion analyscsrathcr than also including higher-order rclationsfi)r two rcasons.I,irst,althoughanalysesof s c c o n d - o r d (ccr . g . ,v a r i a b l cI o n v a r i a b l c3 ) a n dt h i r d - o r d e(re . g . , variablc I on variablc4) rclationsrcvcalcdthat sortrcof thosc rclationswcrc significantlydil't'cre nt lionr 0. the incrcrncntsin proportionsol'total varianccaccountcdlirr wcrc gcncrallyrathcr snlall. And sccond,inclusionol'additionalnrcdiatcdpathsto thc critcrion variablctcndcd to rcducc thc ntagnituclcol thc dircct coclficicntsliorn agc,andthuslhc rcportcdvaluescanbc viewedas libcral( i.c.. potcntiallylargcrthanthc truc value)estimates of'the unnrcdiatcd agc-rclatcdinflucnccs. -fhc 2. standardizcd rcgrcssioncoct'licicnts wcrc obtaincdliorn hicrarchicalrcgrcssioncquationsin which thc cl'lcctsol'agc wcrc dctcrnrincdlticr control ol'thc prior variablc in thc sequcncc. 'fhcsc cocl'ficicnts arc cquivalcnlto what woulclbc obtaincdin a path analysiswith a nrodcl suchas that illustratccl in Figurc I in whichpathswcrc constraincd to ad.jaccnt variablcsin thc sequcncc. -1. Thc sanrcrcscarchparticipants pcrfi)rmcdin all conditionsol' thc Ctxrpcr(1993) study. with thc varicd rnappint vrsualscarch pcrlirrmcdaticr lirurscssions ol psychorne tric abilitytcsls.Thc two scssionsol'thc consistcntmappingvisual scarchtasKwcrc pcrlirrmcdncxt. lirllowcdalicr a transl'crsessionby a scssionwith thc conslstcntnlapplnglnemoryscarchtask.A rnixcdtlcsignwas also usedin the Rogerset al. ( 1994)study,with eachsessionconsisting of 600 trials of thc consistcntmappingtask intermixedwith 600 trialsol'the variedntappingtask. 4. Becausctrialsin the Coopcr( 1993)and Rogerset al. ( 1994) studieswerepresented in blocksof 60. the analyseswerc repeated with meansfbr each 60-trial block as the variablesin the ordercd sequencc. In the Cooper( 1993)study,the pathcrrcfficicnts, reprcsentingdircctor unntediated agc-related ef'fccts.weresignificantly (7r< .0 | ) dillerentlionr zeroonly in block I in the variedmapping v i s u a ls e a r c hd a t a .i n b l o c k sl . 3 . 5 . l U . 2 1 , 2 5 . 2 9 , 3 t i . a n d4 0 i n t h ec o n s i s t e nntt a p p i n -vui s u a ls e a r c h d a t a .a n di n b l o c k sl , 2 , 3 , j , l l . 1 3 . l - 5 . 1 7 . a n d l 9 i n t h c c o n s i s t e nmt a p p i n gm e m o r ys e a r c h data.Thc perccntagc ol'nrediatcdagc-rclated varianccwas greatcr than96% lirr all variahlescxccptthc lirst in the scquencc,and the variablcrcprcscntingthc first block in lhe sccondscssionof thc consistcntnrappingvisual scarchtask (i.c., bkrck 2l : 89.2a/c nrcdiatcd ). Only -5ol'the 9tl cornparisons (cxcludingthe first block in cach task)in thc Ro-uers ct rl. (1994)clatahad lcssthan 907cmecliatcd rgc-rclatcdvariancc.Thcsc wcrc thc tirst block of trials in thc v a r i c dn r a p p i n tga s ko n s c s s i osn2 ( 8 9 . 2 % , 1 ,(3B 2 . O V a4\ .( g 3 . 5 V r , ) . a n d- 5( t i 6 .l % ) . a sw c l l a sl h c s i x t hb l o c ki n s e s s i o 5n ( i t . 5 . 9 % )p.a t h coclficicntslirr agcwcrc sirnificantly(p < .0 I ) grcatcrthanzeroin thc consislcntnrappincvisualscarchtaskoccurrcdon blocks |, 3, 4 . 7 . 1 0 .l t . t 3 . t - 5 t. 7 . 1 t t . 2 0 . 2 1 . 2 3 . 2 - s . 2 7 . 3 1 . 3 2 . 3 1 . 3 5 . 3 6 . 3 t { . 4 0 . 4 1 . 4 2 . . 1 - 5 . 4 6 . :a 1n 7d . - 5 0 . - I h sc i s n i f i c a n( /rl < . 0 1 )p a t h ctrclticicntslirr agc in thc varicd nrappingvisual scarch task o c c u r r eocnl b l o c k sl . 6 , 9 . I | . 2 l . 2 6 . 2 9 , 3 0 . 3 1 , 3 5 . 3 7 . 4 0 , 4 1 , 12. 16. and ,113. Alrhoughthcsc pattcrnsarc morc cornplcxthan thoscin thc analyscsbascdon dataaggrcgatccl acrossmorctrials,it ls notcworlhythat in all ctscs thc dircct agc-rclated cf'l'ccts corrc_ spondcdto a rclativcly srnall pcrccntagcof'thc total age-rclated vanilnce. In ordcr to cxplorc thc gcncralizabilityol' thc phcnomcnonof' rncdiatctlagc-rclatcdcf'l'ccls.analyscswerc also conductedto dctcrnrincthc pcrccntagc ol'nrcdiatcd agc-rclatcd varianccliorn the tirst to thc last trial block in thcscdata scts. Estimatcsf'ronrthc Coopcr (1993) clatawcrc tlzl..5%lirr consistcntmapping visual scarch.99 *(I t<>rvaricd nrappingvisual search,and 65.tt% lbr consrstcnt nrapplngntcr.nory search.Estintatcsfrom the Rogersct al- (1994)datawcrc 16.3(/tl<trconsistcntmappingvisualscarch, 'antl99(/tlirr varied mapping visual search.