What do we currently know about the impact of climate change on Pacific
Northwest cropland agriculture?
Webinar presentation by Chad Kruger, Director, WSU Center for Sustaining Agriculture and
Natural Resources. November 1, 2012.
Further Reading
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Antle, J.M., S.M. Capalbo, E.T. Elliott, and K.H. Paustian. 2004. Adaptation, spatial heterogeneity, and the
vulnerability of agricultural systems to climate change and CO 2 fertilization: an integrated
assessment approach. Climatic Change 64(3): 289–315.
Climate Impacts Group. 2009. The Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment. Center for Science
in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Oceans, University of
Washington, Seattle, WA.
Coakley, S.M., H. Scherm, and S. Chakraborty. 1999. Climate change and plant disease management.
Annual Review of Phytopathology 37(1): 399–426.
Diffenbaugh, N.S., M.A. White, G.V. Jones, and M. Ashfaq. 2011. Climate adaptation wedges: a case
study of premium wine in the western United States. Environmental Research Letters 6(2):
024024.
Ecology. 2011. 2011 Technical Report for the Columbia River Basin Long-Term Water Supply and
Demand Forecast . Washington State Department of Ecology.
Elsner, M., L. Cuo, N. Voisin, J. Deems, A. Hamlet, J. Vano, K. Mickelson, S.-Y. Lee, and D. Lettenmaier.
2010. Implications of 21st century climate change for the hydrology of Washington State.
Climatic Change 102(1): 225–260.
Jones, G.V., A.A. Duff, A. Hall, and J.W. Myers. 2010. Spatial analysis of climate in winegrape growing
regions in the western United States. American Journal of Enology and Viticulture. 61(3): 313–
326.
Jones, G.V., and G.B. Goodrich. 2008. Influence of Climate Variability on Wine Region in the Western
USA and on Wine Quality in the Napa Valley. Climate Research 35(241-254).
Jones, G.V., M.A. White, O.R. Cooper, and K. Storchmann. 2005. Climate Change and Global Wine
Quality. Climatic Change 73(3): 319–343.
Kruger, C.E., G.G. Yorgey, and C.O. Stockle. 2011. Climate change and agriculture in the Pacific
Northwest. Rural Connections: Climate Change Adaptations in the Rural West 5(2): 51–54.
Mika, A.M., and J.A. Newman. 2010. Climate change scenarios and models yield conflicting predictions
about the future risk of an invasive species in North America. Agricultural and Forest
Entomology 12(3): 213–221.
Pritchard, S.G. 2011. Soil organisms and global climate change. Plant Pathology 60(1): 82–99.
Rosenzweig, C., J. Phillips, R. Goldberg, J. Carroll, and T. Hodges. 1996. Potential impacts of climate
change on citrus and potato production in the US. Agricultural Systems 52(4): 455–479.
Scherm, H. 2004. Climate change: can we predict the impacts on plant pathology and pest
management? Canadian Journal of Plant Pathology 26(3): 267–273.
Schlenker, W., and M.J. Roberts. 2009. Nonlinear temperature effects indicate severe damages to U.S.
crop yields under climate change. PNAS 106(37): 15594–15598.
Stöckle, C., and A. Kemanian. 2009. Crop radiation capture and use efficiency: A framework for crop
growth analysis. p. 145–170. In Sadras, V., Calderini, D. (eds.), Crop Physiology.
Stöckle, C.O., R.L. Nelson, S. Higgins, J. Brunner, G. Grove, R. Boydston, M. Whiting, and C. Kruger. 2010.
Assessment of climate change impact on Eastern Washington agriculture. Climatic Change
102(1-2): 77–102.
Thomson, A., R. Brown, N. Rosenberg, R. Izaurralde, and V. Benson. 2005. Climate Change Impacts for
the Conterminous USA: An Integrated Assessment. Climatic Change 69(1): 43–65.
Thomson, L.J., S. Macfadyen, and A.A. Hoffmann. 2010. Predicting the effects of climate change on
natural enemies of agricultural pests. Biological Control 52(3): 296–306.
Toews, M.W., and D.M. Allen. 2009. Evaluating different GCMs for predicting spatial recharge in an
irrigated arid region. Journal of Hydrology 374(3/4): 265–281.
Tubiello, F.N., C. Rosenzweig, R.A. Goldberg, S. Jagtap, and J.W. Jones. 2002. Effects of Climate Change
on U.S. Crop Production: Simulation Results Using Two Different GCM Scenarios. Part I: Wheat,
Potato, Maize, and Citrus. Climate Research 20(3): 259–270.
Vano, J., M. Scott, C. Stockle, and A. Hamlet. 2010a. Climate change impacts on water management and
irrigated agriculture in the Yakima River Basin, Washington, USA. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 287–
317.
Vano, J.A., N. Voisin, Lan Cuo, A.F. Hamlet, M.M. Elsner, R.N. Palmer, A. Polebitski, and D.P. Lettenmaier.
2010b. Climate change impacts on water management in the Puget Sound region, Washington
State, USA. Climatic Change 102(1/2): 261–286.
von Walden. 2010. Downscaled Climate Model Output for the Contiguous United States from IPCC AR4
Scenarios [Bias Corrected Statistical Downscaling (BCSD) Method]. Available at
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Walker, I., and R. Sydneysmith. 2008. British Columbia; in From Impacts to Adaptation: Canada in a
Changing Climate. p. 329–386. In Lemmen, D., Warren, F., Lacroix, J., Bush, E. (eds.), From
Impacts to Adaptation: Canada in a Changing Climate 2007. Government of Canada, Ottawa, ON.