Targeting for Healthy Marriage and Responsible Fatherhood Ronald B. Mincy and Marah Curtis Columbia University and Chien-Chung Huang Rutgers University Marriage vs. Fatherhood Services Unfortunately healthy marriage and responsible fatherhood have been posed as competing agendas. Marriage + argument did not prevail I was part of a panel of experts that participated in an effort to structure the forthcoming healthy marriage demonstrations Goal: Position programs to win healthy marriage competitive grants Early decisions Couples romantically involved express interest in marriage no multiple partner fertility Services Marriage promotion media campaigns Relationship education and counseling Little or no Employment and training Substance abuse Mental health Legal intervention Policy reform Table 1 - Characteristics of all Unmarried Parents (2515) % Pa re nts Re la tionship a t Follow -Up Romantically Involved 64 Not Romantically Involved 36 Ra ce /Ethnicity of Mothe r W hite non-Hispanic Black non-Hispanic Hispanic Other Race 15 57 25 3 Me a n Age of mothe rs a t ba se line 24 (5.6) Me a n Age of fa the rs a t ba se line 26 (7.1) Educa tion HS Diploma or More - Mother HS Diploma or More - Father 61 62 Employme nt Sta tus Mother worked one year before birth Father worked one week before birth 68 77 Fe rtility Multiple Partner Fertility - Mother Multiple Partner Fertility - Father Total Fertility with Father 43 42 1.5 (0.8) Fa the r Contribute d during Pre gna ncy 85 Re la tionship Indica tors Father's Support Index at Baseline (0-2) Disagreement about Pregnancy (0-2) 1.6 (0.4) 0.3 (0.6) Pa te rnity Esta blishme nt 72 Policy Indica tors Maximum State AFDC Grant Amount ($100) State Child Support Effectiveness 3.33 (1.24) .26 (0.03) Targeting for Healthy Marriage and Responsible Fatherhood These early decisions can help us re-frame the debate about restoring families in terms of targeting for outcomes For individuals and childless couples: Anyone who is interested in marriage can receive healthy marriage exploration services For couples Married people should receive marriage maintenance services Unmarried parents with children who are romantically involved and interested in marriage should receive marriage prep and maintenance services Others should receive responsible fatherhood/team parenting services Not romantically involved Facing significant barriers to marriageability Table 2 - Logistic Regression on Parental Relationship at Followup (N=2515) (0 Romantically Involved; 1 Non-Romantic) Odds Ratios Robus t (SE) Race/Ethnicity of Mother Black non-Hispanic Hispanic Other Race Parents are of the same race/ethnicity 1.53*** 0.84 1.32 0.82 (0.18) (0.14) (0.33) (0.17) Age of Mother Under 20 30+ 1.02 0.9 (0.10) (0.10) Age of Father Under 20 30+ 1.15 0.97 (0.23) (0.10) Education HS Diploma or More - Mother HS Diploma or More - Father 0.95 1.19 (0.06) (0.13) Employment Status Mother worked one year before birth Father worked one week before birth 0.8 1.18 (0.12) (0.13) 0.98 1.56*** .75*** (0.08) (0.10) (0.04) Father Contributed during Pregnancy .33*** (0.04) Relationship Indicators Father's Support Index at Baseline (0-2) Disagreement about Pregnancy (0-2) .43*** 1.26*** (0.03) (0.07) .56*** (0.07) 0.92 0.6 (0.12) (1.09) Fertility Multiple Partner Fertility - Mother Multiple Partner Fertility - Father Total Fertility with Father Paternity Establishment Policy Indicators Maximum State AFDC Grant Amount ($100) State Child Support Effectiveness Log likelihood -1319.4 *p<.05, **p<.01, ***p<.001 Robust standard errors are used to take into account the f act that w omen live in the same city What to ignore when targeting exclusively for responsible fatherhood services Age of mother or father Education of mother or father Employment status of mother or father Ethnicity of mother or father Mother’s MPF Generosity of State’s TANF benefit Effectiveness of State’s child support program What to consider when targeting exclusively for responsible fatherhood Factors that increase odds of non-romantic involvement Black vs. White percent Fathers’ MPF percent Disagreed about the pregnancy 53 56 26 percent Factors that reduce odds of non- romantic involvement Previous birth in common Contributions during pregnancy Fathers are supportive of mothers Paternity Establishment 25 percent 67 percent 57 percent 44 percent Using Responsible Fatherhood To Screen for Appropriate Services Couples who do not fit this profile need further screening Unclear about the status of their relationship, for example: Black couple with MPF, but paternity is established, he contributed during this pregnancy and is supportive of mother White couple made no contribution during pregnancy, but no disagreement about pregnancy and no MPF Table 3 - Characteristics of non-residential, non-romantic parents at 12 months (N=895) Father Child Contact Less than monthly contact/no contact Monthly contact Weekly contact Child has had an overnight visit with the father since birth % 38 24 38 54 Race/Ethnicity of Mother White non-Hispanic Black non-Hispanic Hispanic Other Race Parents are of different race/ethnicity 12 67 18 3 14 Age of Mother Under 20 20-29 30+ Mean Age of mothers 11 70 18 25 (5.7) Age of Fathera Under 20 20-29 30+ Mean Age of fathers 12 63 25 26 (8.3) Education HS Diploma or More - Mother HS Diploma or More - Fatherb 60 61 Employment Status Mother worked last week Father is currently working 52 73 Fertility Multiple Partner Fertility - Mother Multiple Partner Fertility - Father Total Fertility with Father 44 51 Father has provided Child Support and/or In-Kind Support since child's birthc 62 Mother's Preference for Level of Father-Child Contactd Weekly Contact Monthly Contact No Contact 82 9 7 Current Relationship Status Parents are Friends Father is living with or married to another partner e 49 21 Baseline Relationship Status Cohabiting Visiting/Friends Rarely Speak/Never Speak 27 61 13 Ave. Child Support payment for a single Mother in each state a m ean age as s igned in 1% of cas es b m is s ing on this variable in 5% of cas es c m is s ing on this variable in 4% of cas es d m is s ing on this variable in 1% of cas es e m is s ing on this variable in 13% of cas es 1555 (357) Table 4 - Effects of Parent Characteristics on Overnight Visits at 12 months (N=895) Reduced Model Odds Ratios Robust (SE) Race/Ethnicity of Mother Black non-Hispanic Hispanic Other Race Parents are of different race/ethnicity 1.99*** 1.04 1.85 1.01 (0.42) (0.29) (0.88) (0.16) Age of Mother Under 20 30+ 0.67 1 (0.21) (0.22) Age of Father Under 20 30+ 3.02** .60** 1.21 (0.10) Education HS Diploma or More - Mother HS Diploma or More - Father 0.7 1.13 (0.16) (0.23) Employment Status Mother worked last week Father worked last week 1.32 1.14 (0.22) (0.24) Fertility Multiple Partner Fertility - Mother Multiple Partner Fertility - Father Total Fertility with Father 1.2 .64** 0.86 (0.15) (0.10) (0.12) 3.11*** 2.20* (0.86) (0.82) Father is living with or married to another partner .64** (0.10) Baseline Relationship Status between Parents Visiting/Friends Rarely Speak/Never Speak .48*** .24*** (0.10) (0.05) 1 (0.01) Mother's Preference for Level of Father-Child Contact Weekly Contact Monthly Contact Ave. Child Support payment for a single Mother in each state Log likelihood *p<.05, **p<.01, ***p<.001 Robust standard errors are used to take into account the f act that w omen live in the same city -537.42 Overnight Visit Predictors Factors that increase odds Black vs. White 99 percent Teen vs. 20-29 father 202 percent Mother prefers weekly to no contact 211 percent Mother prefers monthly to no contact 220 percent Factors that decrease odds Over 30 vs. 20-29 father 40 percent Father’s MPF 36 percent Father has new union 36 percent Baseline visit/friends vs. cohab 52 percent Baseline rare/never speak vs. cohab 76 Table 5 - First Stage Regression, All Independent Variables Regressed on Child Support OLS Coe fficie nts Robus t (SE) P value Instrument Ave. Child Support Payment per Single Mom in each state 0.01 0.00 * Race/Ethnicity of Mother Black non-Hispanic Hispanic Other Race Parents are of different race/ethnicity 0.1 0.1 0.12 -0.01 (0.03) (0.04) (0.11) (0.05) ** * Age of Mother Under 20 30+ 0.06 -0.06 (0.06) (0.04) Age of Father Under 20 30+ 0.001 0.1 (0.05) (0.03) Education HS Diploma or More - Mother HS Diploma or More - Father 0.02 -0.05 (0.04) (0.03) Employment Status Mother worked last week Father worked last week -0.04 0.05 (0.02) (0.03) Fertility Multiple Partner Fertility - Mother Multiple Partner Fertility - Father Total Fertility with Father 0.01 -0.07 0.002 (0.04) (0.03) (0.02) p=.051 Mother's Preference for Level of Father-Child Contact Weekly Contact Monthly Contact 0.3 0.22 (0.05) (0.08) *** * Current Relationship Status Father is living with or married to another partner -0.22 (0.04) *** Baseline Relationship Status betw een Parents Visiting/Friends Rarely Speak/Never Speak -0.02 -0.25 (0.04) (0.07) ** constant 0.32 (0.11) ** F(1, 17) 4.84 *p<.05, **p<.01, ***p<.001 Robust standard errors are used to take into account the f act that w omen live in the same city ** * Table 6 - Effects of Parent Characteristics on Overnight Visits at 12 months (N=895) Comparison of OLS and Instrumented Model OLS Instrumented OLS Coe fficie nts Robus t (SE) P value Coe fficie nts Robus t (SE) P value Race/Ethnicity of Mother Black non-Hispanic Hispanic Other Race Parents are of different race/ethnicity 0.11 -0.02 0.09 0.003 (0.04) * (0.05) (0.09) (0.04) 0.14 0.003 0.12 0.003 (0.06) * (0.06) (0.11) (0.03) (0.07) (0.05) -0.08 0.002 (0.07) (0.06) Age of Mother Under 20 30+ -0.1 0.02 Age of Father Under 20 30+ 0.21 -0.14 (0.06) ** (0.04) ** 0.21 -0.11 (0.07) ** (0.06) Education HS Diploma or More - Mother HS Diploma or More - Father -0.08 0.04 (0.04) (0.04) -0.08 0.03 (0.05) (0.06) 0.07 0.01 (0.04) (0.04) 0.06 0.03 (0.04) (0.05) (0.03) (0.03) * (0.02) 0.04 -0.1 -0.03 (0.03) 0.05 (0.03) Employment Status Mother worked last week Father worked last week Fertility Multiple Partner Fertility - Mother Multiple Partner Fertility - Father Total Fertility with Father 0.04 -0.08 -0.03 *Support 0.32 (0.03) *** 0.01 (0.45) Mother's Preference Father-Child Contact Weekly Contact Monthly Contact 0.12 0.07 (0.05) * (0.07) 0.21 0.13 (0.16) (0.13) Current Relationship Status Father - living with/married to another partner -0.02 (0.03) -0.09 (0.09) Baseline Relationship Status between Parents Visiting/Friends Rarely Speak/Never Speak -0.14 -0.21 (0.04) *** (0.04) *** -0.15 -0.29 (0.05) ** (0.13) * 0.35 (0.11) ** 0.48 (0.22) * Constant *p<.05, **p<.01, ***p<.001 Robust standard errors are used to take into account the f act that w omen live in the same city Summary Healthy Marriage and responsible fatherhood are not in fundamental conflict Through targeting they can find common ground Healthy marriage requires romantic involvement, which has clear predictors Responsible Fatherhood + can screen for potential effectiveness of healthy marriage and responsible fatherhood services and increase responsible fatherhood, even where there is little apparent potential