Practical Challenges of Data Analytics Leigh Lapworth Chief Design Systems Architect Coping with Big Data – an Analytics and Computational Perspective 7th Jan 2015, UCL, London © 2015 Rolls-Royce plc The information in this document is the property of Rolls-Royce plc and may not be copied or communicated to a third party, or used for any purpose other than that for which it is supplied without the express written consent of Rolls-Royce plc. While the information is given in good faith based upon the latest information available to Rolls-Royce plc, no warranty or representation is given concerning such information, which must not be taken as establishing any contractual or other commitment binding upon Rolls-Royce plc or any of its subsidiary or associated companies. Trusted to deliver excellence © 2015 Rolls-Royce plc Contents Company overview Product challenges Data challenges in: • Simulation • Testing • Manufacture • Service © 2015 Rolls-Royce plc Rolls-Royce – 2013 Highlights © 2015 Rolls-Royce plc © 2015 Rolls-Royce plc Meeting the challenges of modern technology Steel starts to glow red at 700°C © 2015 Rolls-Royce plc Data in simulation Increasing size and complexity of simulation data 10x increase in FEA analyses per year since 2005 Courtesy NAFEMS © 2015 Rolls-Royce plc Analytics for simulation Directed data interrogation and discovery Data sentencing © 2015 Rolls-Royce plc In-situ solver analysis Simulation challenges Variety and volume • Multiple codes and formats (in-house and COTS) Veracity • Validation represents a major business investment • Increased physical fidelity will drive orders of magnitude increase in model size and HPC requirements Velocity • Large models stress IT networks © 2015 Rolls-Royce plc Data in testing Under cowl temperatures up to 350oC 10km of cabling and 15km of tubing Centrifugal loads on rotating instruments up to 100,000g © 2015 Rolls-Royce plc Measurement uncertainty Guarantees • We sell engine performance with possible high financial penalties if we miss guarantees Accuracy • Performance critical measurements need very high accuracy • Thrust accuracy is equivalent to weighing a jelly baby on bathroom scales in a force 7 storm • All of these require secondary measurements and stable, accurate references and well controlled calibration • Instructing such measurements need c.50 pieces of coordinated data fed through a business system © 2015 Rolls-Royce plc Analytics for testing Variety and volume • Steady state, transient, dynamic, high speed photography • File sizes range from 1Mb to > 1Tb Veracity • Accurate to ±0.1% Velocity • Dynamic data needs reduced and presented in frequency format for safety monitoring in <0.5secs from acquisition • 10,000fps for digital photography © 2015 Rolls-Royce plc Data in manufacture Coordinate measurement, optical scanning, etc. © 2015 Rolls-Royce plc Analytics for manufacture Variety and volume • Statistical process control RAG • Coordinate measurement and scanning • Inspection: manual digital x-ray Veracity • Target 99.9% right first time • Modelling to improve processes and reduce cost Courtesy Advanced Forming Research Centre, University of Strathclyde © 2015 Rolls-Royce plc Data in services 12 billion miles flown every year A Rolls-Royce powered aircraft takes off or lands every 2.5 seconds 22 million data reports a year © 2015 Rolls-Royce plc Analytics for services Sense Acquire ACMS Reports via ACARS Engine Monitoring Unit Global Network eg: SITA Transfer QAR, DFDR Flight Log Sheets Ground-based information, e.g. oil uplift Ground Station Analyse Condition monitoring, Data processing & storage, Data access & reports, Forecasting services Act © 2015 Rolls-Royce plc Closing the loop - feedback to design intent Full Closed loop, high detail Service verification Rapid collation of full product life cycle data in the event of an in-service issue or a re-design Evidence based, auto risk assessments Rules / Models Risk Assessment Dimensions As Designed © 2015 Rolls-Royce plc As Manufactured Events Duty Cycle As Operated Condition As Maintained Data curation Products remain in service for many years • T56 (C-130 Hercules) – 18,000 engines since 1954 • 2014 T56 upgrade – extends C-130H fleet to 2040 Geometry Data • Physical drawings • Legacy Databases and codes Functional Data • Legacy codes, some >30 years old • Bespoke formats – own and 3rd party • Rate of change of codes, databases, formats etc. is increasing © 2015 Rolls-Royce plc Not just aerospace © 2015 Rolls-Royce plc Closing remarks Holistic view • Huge variation in data types, volume, velocity and veracity • Closed loop systems offer product and service innovation Functional view • Data analytics is essentially functional evaluation • Black swans – need to keep positive and negative results IT view • Fully connected systems • Operational effectiveness relies on data models & standards • Plan for legacy data, codes, media etc. © 2015 Rolls-Royce plc