SWOT ANALYSIS AND RECOMMENDED POLICIES AND STRATEGIES OF ERITREAN FISHERIES Tesfom M A, Fisheries Economics, M.F.Sc Student M Krishnan, PhD and Head FEES Division Venugopalan, R. PhD Agricultural Statistics The Seventeenth International Institute of Fisheries Economics & Trade 2014 Conference: Towards Ecosystem Based Management o Fisheries: What Role can Economics Play. 7-11 July, 2014, Brisbane, Australia “Your availability is important than your ability” Outline l l l l l l l l l Introduction Eritrean marine and coastal features Resource potential of Eritrean marine fisheries Inland fish and marine fish production CGR of marine fish production Performance of marine fish production in Eritrea SWOT analysis of Eritrean fisheries Future research areas Conclusion and recommendation INTRODUCTION Eritrea is situated at the horn of Africa l Nationally Eritrea is food insecure with the agricultural sector producing only 60% of food requirements l However, Eritrea possesses abundant and underexploited fish stocks l Which could considerably contribute to national food security and reduce the incidence of poverty Eritrean Marine and Coastal Features Country coastline 3300 km Mainland Coastline 1350 km 1950 km 354 124,000 km2 55,000 km2 120,000 km2 44,000 km2 Islands Coastline Islands and islets Country Area Territorial waters area Exclusive Economic Zone Watersheds linked with the coast Resource potential of Eritrean marine fisheries Resource MSY(tons/year) Soft bottom demersal 18,000 Small pelagics 50,000 Reef based demersal 5,000 Large pelagics 5,000 Crustaceans 1,000 Sharks 5,000 Sea cucumbers 1,000 Others 1,000 Total MSY 86,000 Species of fish Around 1,000 Coral reefs 220 known species Generate income US$ 37.5 – 55 million Inland Fisheries Ø Reservoirs built in the high and lowlands of the country (37 No.) Ø For irrigation and supply of drinking water Ø Species stocked or considered good candidates for further stocking include Oreochromis niloticus, Tilapia zilli, Cyprinus caprio, Carassius carassius and Carassius auratus. Ø The total catch of inland fisheries recorded about 5 tons per year in 2002 Ø Inland fisheries produces only 5% of the estimated potential MATERIALS AND METHODS Ø Sixty years data (1950-2009) on marine fish production was collected from Sea Around Us Project website1. Ø In this study, the compound growth rate and Coppock instability index (CII) Ø the study also used the compound growth rate and performance analysis of the fish production as preinvestigative tools to develop the SWOT analysis. Coppock Instability Index (CII) Ø Thus, using the statistical measures of CGR and CII the growth and performance are examined. Ø Performance refers to the tradeoff of growth and instability of fish production. Ø Where high growth-low instability refers to high performance (desirable) Ø Low growth-high instability indicates low performance (undesirable). Performance categorization based on CGR/ instability tradeoffs CGR/II tradeoff types 1. High growth-low II (low risk) Performance Most desirable situation 2. High growth-high II (high risk) Less desirable situation 3. Low growth-low II (low risk) Least desirable situation 4. Low growth-high II (high risk) Least desirable situation Reddy and Mishra (2006): Ø Then SWOT analysis has been used for deriving the reasons for the poor exploitation of the fisheries resources of Eritrea. Ø The factors identified are used to formulate and recommend suitable policies and strategies for development and proper exploitation of the Eritrean fisheries sector. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION Performance of marine fish production in Eritrea Table I: Decadal and overall growth rate, CII and performance of Eritrean marine fish production (per cent) Year 1950-1959 1960-1969 1970-1979 1950-1979 1980-1989 1990-1999 2000-2009 1980-2009 1950-2009 CGR 12.69 8.17 -50.40 -6.86 14.06 27.58 -17.46 11.30 -1.92 CII 103 72 339 98 180 142 95 99 3 Performance most desirable most desirable least desirable less desirable most desirable most desirable less desirable most desirable less desirable Marine Fish Production -Artisanal -Fleet composition -Level of motorization - Rehabilitation -MMR formation -relative stability -prolonged war -Fleet destruction - displacement of fishers -border conflict -input scarcity & price spikes -unstable political situation Matrix on growth and performance of marine fish production in Eritrea Eritrea: CGR vs. CII 40 Most desirable situation 30 Less desirable situation 27.58 20 10 0 CGR 14.06 12.69 11.3 8.17 -­‐1.92 -­‐10 -­‐6.86 -­‐17.46 -­‐20 -­‐30 -­‐40 Less desirable situation Least desirable situation -­‐50 -­‐50.4 -­‐60 0 50 100 150 200 CII 250 300 350 400 Thus … Improve growth rate in a sustainable manner. Eritrea Type 3 (LCGR/HII) CGR-II tradeoff- less desirable SWOT analysis of Eritrean fisheries Strengths 1. High resource potential 2. Healthy and unpolluted sea 3. Management plans cover for most of the fisheries 4. Untapped inland fisheries resources 5. Separate Ministry of Marine Resources 6. Untapped offshore and deep sea resources Opportunities 1. Strategic location and access to important regional and international markets 2. Rising demand for fish consumption and exports 3. Expanding global fisheries market 4. Potential for food security and reducing poverty 5. Source of foreign exchange and investment 6. Source of income and employment 7. Tourism Weaknesses 1. Poor institutional capacity 2. Shortage of technical manpower and expertise 3. Inadequate infrastructure 4. Monopsonic fish marketing 5. Limited financial and technical investment capital 6. Use of Outdated and dilapidated traditional fishing craft 7. Low participation of NGOs 8. Illegal cross border trade 9. Fuel shortages and exorbitant fuel prices 10. Insufficient management system 11. Lack of value addition 12. Lack of sufficient management research Threats 1. Drought prone Sub-Saharan region 2. border conflicts 3. Political instability 4. Climate changes impacts 5. IUU Fishing by foreign vessels Future research areas l Eritrean fisheries sector is operating at less than optimum level. Therefore, there is the need for strengthening the overall support 1. Regular stock assessment surveys 2. Investigating existing marketing channels, marketing margins and price spread 3. Studies on integrating native and traditional knowledge with mechanized fisheries 4. Re-organization of the fishing sector with a top-down approach. SHGs, cooperatives and producer companies need to be looked into 5. Studies on contribution of the fisheries sector to the national GDP -to develop new strategies and re-orient existing ones. 6. Studies on inland fisheries sector related to production, marketing, financing and development for proper development of sector Conclusion and recommendation TQM Systems GPS and satellite equipment Adequate financial & technical investment EBFM Facilitating Improved Marketing Marine & inland fisheries Training and extension Fisheries Development Model Infrastructure Development & Improving fishing efficiency Institutional building Scientific Research and HRD Conclusion and recommendation TQM Systems GPS and satellite equipment Adequate financial & technical investment EBFM Facilitating Improved Marketing Marine & inland fisheries Training and extension Fisheries Development Model Infrastructure Development & Improving fishing efficiency Institutional building Scientific Research and HRD Ecosystem based fisheries management Conclusion and recommendation TQM Systems GPS and satellite equipment Adequate financial & technical investment Facilitating Improved Marketing Training and extension EBFM Marine & inland fisheries Fisheries Development Model Infrastructure Development & Improving fishing efficiency Institutional building Scientific Research and HRD Fisheries cooperative societies and SHGs Fisheries cooperative societies and SHGs Bargaining power and competitive edge in fish marketing Strengthening Fisheries Cooperative Societies & SHGs Mobilises and cooerdinates fishers Helps implementation of strategies/policies Channel for effective credit schemes