Summer 2006 NO 30 Health Statistics Quarterly In this issue Page In brief 3 Recent publications 4 Health indicators 5 Trends in mortality from Alzheimer’s disease, Parkinson’s disease and dementia, England and Wales, 1979–2004 6 Examines trends in mortality from dementia, Alzheimer’s disease and Parkinson’s disease in England and Wales, 1979–2004. &ODUH*ULI¿WKVDQG&OHR5RRQH\ Risk factors for low birthweight based on birth registration and census information, England and Wales, 1981–2000 15 Examines whether there are socio-demographic factors (collected at census) that are not routinely available at birth registration that help to explain low birthweight in England and Wales. $OHNV&ROOLQJZRRG%DNHRDQG/\QGD&ODUNH Tables List of tables Notes to tables Tables 1.1–6.3 22 23 24 Reports: Death registrations in England and Wales, 2005: causes Deaths involving &ORVWULGLXPGLI¿FLOH: England and Wales, 1999–2004 46 56 About the Office for National Statistics The Office for National Statistics (ONS) is the Government Agency responsible for compiling, analysing and disseminating many of the United Kingdom’s economic, social and demographic statistics, including the retail prices index, trade figures and labour market data, as well as the periodic census of the population and health statistics. It is also the agency that administers the statutory registration of births, marriages and deaths in England and Wales. The Director of ONS is also the National Statistician and the Registrar General for England and Wales. A National Statistics publication National Statistics are produced to high professional standards set out in the National Statistics Code of Practice. They undergo regular quality assurance reviews to ensure that they meet customer needs. They are produced free from any political influence. About Health Statistics Quarterly and Population Trends Health Statistics Quarterly and Population Trends are journals of the Office for National Statistics. Each is published four times a year in February, May, August and November and March, June, September and December, respectively. In addition to bringing together articles on a wide range of population and health topics, Health Statistics Quarterly and Population Trends contain regular series of tables on a wide range of subjects for which ONS is responsible, including the most recently available statistics. Subscription Annual subscription, including postage, is £100; single issues are £27.50. Online Health Statistics Quarterly and Population Trends can be viewed or downloaded as Adobe Acrobat PDF files from the National Statistics website www.statistics.gov.uk/products/p6725.asp (Health Statistics Quarterly) or www.statistics.gov.uk/products/ p6303.asp (Population Trends). Editorial board Peter Goldblatt (editor) Roma Chappell (editor) Angela Dale Paul Hyatt Judith Jones Azeem Majeed Jil Matheson Ian R Scott Articles: 5,000 words max. A er in t W ut um n er m m Su Sp ri ng Dates for submissions Issue Health Statistics Quarterly by 11 Sept by 11 Dec by 22 Mar by 21 June Population Trends People with enquiries about the statistics published regularly in Health Statistics Quarterly and Population Trends can contact the following enquiry points. 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Contributions Title Contact points at ONS by 23 Oct by 2 Feb Please send to: Clare Parrish, executive secretary Health Statistics Quarterly Office for National Statistics Zone D2/22 1 Drummond Gate London SW1V 2QQ Tel: 020 7533 5125 E-mail: ian. thurman@ons.gsi.gov.uk Natio n a l S t a t ist ic s by 4 May by 26 July You may re-use this publication (excluding logos) free of charge in any format for research, private study or internal circulation within an organisation.You must re-use it accurately and not use it in a misleading context. The material must be acknowledged as Crown copyright and you must give the title of the source publication. Where we have identified any third party copyright material you will need to obtain permission from the copyright holders concerned. This publication is also available at the National Statistics website: www.statistics.gov.uk For any other use of this material please apply for a Click-Use Licence for core material at www.opsi.gov.uk/click-use/system/online/pLogin. asp or by writing to: Office of Public Sector Information Information Policy Team St Clements House 2–16 Colegate Norwich NR3 1BQ Fax: 01603 723000 E-mail: hmsolicensing@cabinet-office.x.gsi.gov.uk ISBN 0-230-00315-X ISSN 1465-1645 2 in brief H e a l t h S t a t i s t i cs Q u a r t e r ly 1 3 0 Leading causes of death in England and Wales – response to the consultation ONS published a consultation document on ranking leading causes of death in England and Wales on 31 January 2006. Users were invited to comment on the proposals put forward for future routine tabulation of the leading causes of death. There was a six-week period of consultation for comments, which ended on 13 March 2006. ONS proposed in its consultation document to use a ranking list developed by the World Health Organization, which split cancers by site and accidents by mechanism. This list has been PRGL¿HGVOLJKWO\IRUXVHLQ(QJODQGDQG:DOHV The responses were on the whole in agreement with the proposals. Accordingly ONS decided to continue with its proposal to provide routine tabulations of the leading causes of death in England and Wales according to the WHO proposed ranking list which splits cancers by site and accidents by mechanism. In the annual report on death registrations by cause of death in 2005 (see page 46), this tabulation is SURYLGHGIRUWKH¿UVWWLPH Summer 2006 Revision of stillbirths in England and Wales in 2004 It has recently come to light that some register RI¿FHVLQ(QJODQGDQG:DOHVIDLOHGWRQRWLI\ ONS, in line with regulations, of some stillbirths that occurred in 2004. The result is WKDWWKHSHULQDWDOPRUWDOLW\¿JXUHVQXPEHUV and rates) for 2004 given in reference tables 2.1 and 6.2 in +HDOWK6WDWLVWLFV4XDUWHUO\ (and in 3RSXODWLRQ7UHQGV) are undercounts. In addition, the stillbirth and perinatal mortality ¿JXUHVIRUVRPHDUHDVSUHVHQWHGLQWKH5HSRUW on Infant and perinatal mortality, 2004: health areas, which was published in +HDOWK6WDWLVWLFV 4XDUWHUO\ 27, Autumn 2005 edition, are undercounts. Similarly, the stillbirth and perinatal PRUWDOLW\¿JXUHVIRUJLYHQLQRWKHU216 publications are also undercounts. These publications include 0RUWDOLW\VWDWLVWLFV &KLOGKRRGLQIDQWDQGSHULQDWDO(series DH3 no.37) published on 28 March 2006, .H\ 3RSXODWLRQDQG9LWDO6WDWLVWLFV(series VS no.31, PP1 no. 27), published on 27 April 2006, and %LUWKVWDWLVWLFV (series FM1 no. 33) published on 15 December 2005. Work is currently underway to ensure all stillbirths that occurred in both 2004 and DUHFRUUHFWO\LGHQWL¿HGIRULQFOXVLRQLQ SXEOLVKHG¿JXUHV216DLPVWRSXEOLVKUHYLVHG VWLOOELUWKDQGSHULQDWDOPRUWDOLW\¿JXUHVIRU ZLWKWKHQHZ¿JXUHVIRUDVSDUW of the report on Infant and perinatal mortality, 2005, scheduled for publication in +HDOWK 6WDWLVWLFV4XDUWHUO\ 31 in August 2006. 3 N a t i o n a l S t a t i s t i cs He al th Stati sti cs Q u a r t e rly 1 3 0 Summer 2006 Recent publications Key Population and Vital Statistics, 2004 Series VS No. 31, PP1 No. 27 Regional Trends 39 3DOJUDYH0DFPLOODQ 0D\,6%1 3DOJUDYH0DFPLOODQ $SULO,6%1 Mortality statistics: childhood, infant and perinatal, England and Wales, 2004. Series DH3 No. 37 0DUFKDYDLODEOHDW www.statistics.gov. uk/statbase/Product.asp?vlnk=160). Standardised Mortality Ratios for deaths under 85 years in wards in England and Wales, 1999–2003 $SULODYDLODEOHDW www.statistics.gov. uk/statbase/Product.asp?vlnk=14359). Population Trends 123 3DOJUDYH0DFPLOODQ 0DUFK,6%1 To order any of the above publications from Palgrave Macmillan please contact www.palgrave.com/ons All publications are also available free of charge at www.statistics.gov.uk Nati o n a l S t a t ist ic s 4 Summer 2006 H e a l t h S t a t i s t i cs Q u a r t e r ly 3 0 Health indicators Figure A England and Wales Population change (mid-year to mid-year) Thousands 300 Natural change Total change 200 100 0 19 71 − 72 72 −7 3 73 −7 74 4 −7 5 75 −7 76 6 −7 77 7 −7 78 8 −7 79 9 −8 80 0 −8 81 1 −8 2 82 −8 83 3 −8 84 4 −8 85 5 −8 86 6 −8 87 7 −8 8 88 −8 89 9 −9 90 0 −9 91 1 −9 92 2 −9 93 3 −9 94 4 −9 95 5 −9 6 96 −9 97 7 −9 98 8 − 99 99 −2 20 000 00 − 20 01 01 2 0 −0 2 02 2 0 −0 03 3 −0 4 −100 Mid−year Figure B Age-standardised mortality rate 1 Rate per million population 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 1971 1973 Figure C 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 Year 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 Infant mortality (under 1 year) Rate per 1,000 live births 20 15 10 5 0 1971 Figure D 1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 2 1987 1989 Year 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 Age-standardised quarterly abortion rates – residents2 Age standardised rate per 1,000 women 15–44 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 ASR Abortion rate 10 9 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1 1985 Provisional rate 1993 Moving average rate 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Year The age-standardised mortality rate for 2004 is based on mid 2004 population estimates published on the 25 August 2005. Rates for 2004 and March quarter 2005 are based on 2004 population projections. 2000 5 2001 2002 2003 N a t i o n a l S t a t i s t i cs 2004 2005 H eal th Stati sti cs Q u a r t e rly 3 0 Summer 2006 Trends in mortality from Alzheimer’s disease, Parkinson’s disease and dementia, England and Wales, 1979–2004 Clare Griffiths and Cleo Rooney Office for National Statistics INTRODUCTION In this article we present trends in mortality from Alzheimer’s disease, Parkinson’s disease and dementia in England and Wales from 1979 to 2004. We describe the impact of mortality coding changes on the underlying cause of death, particularly the introduction of ICD-10 in 2001. We present rates for all mentions of the conditions on death certificates to interpret trends better. Mortality rates for the three conditions showed varying trends over the time period examined. Between 1985 and 2004, Alzheimer’s disease showed a dramatic increase.Trends in mentions of dementia differed between males and females, with rates being relatively stable among males, but increasing among females. Rates for Parkinson’s disease declined over this period. Nati Nation onaal l SSt taat tist isticicss Dementia is the loss of intellectual ability. People with dementia may become confused and unable to remember things or lose skills they once had, including the ability to perform normal daily activities. Eventually, they may not recognise family members or friends and may show agitated behaviour. Although dementia is more common in older adults, LWLVQRWDQRUPDOFRQVHTXHQFHRIDJHLQJ1 Dementia may be the result of a range of diseases and pathological processes, the commonest of which DUHGHVFULEHGEULHÀ\EHORZ+RZHYHULWVKRXOGEHQRWHGWKDWLWLVQRW always possible to draw a clear distinction between different dementing illnesses clinically during life or pathologically post mortem.2 Alzheimer’s disease is the single most common cause of dementia in the developed world. People with Alzheimer’s disease lose functioning nerve cells in areas of the brain that deal with intellectual ability and memory. Alzheimer’s disease usually affects older adults but can sometimes begin in younger individuals.1 The causes of Alzheimer’s disease are not known, but risk factors include family history of the disease and advanced age.1 Vascular dementia is usually caused by cumulated cerebral damage from YHU\VPDOOµVWURNHV¶RYHUDORQJWLPHWKDWDIIHFWEORRGÀRZWRDUHDVRIWKH brain related to memory and thinking. Some neurological diseases, such as Parkinson’s disease, which is a brain disease that causes tremors and muscle stiffness, can cause dementia because of their effects on brain tissue. Parkinson’s disease is less common as a cause of dementia than Alzheimer’s disease or vascular dementia. Infections that can cause dementia include HIV, tuberculosis, syphilis, meningitis and encephalitis.1 6 H e a l t h S t a t i s t i cs Q u a r t e r ly 3 0 It is important to examine trends in mortality from dementia, Alzheimer’s disease and Parkinson’s disease, as mortality represents an important aspect of the public health burden of these conditions. In addition, as the population ages, and mortality from circulatory diseases and cancer declines, these conditions are likely to increase both in prevalence and LQFRQWULEXWLRQWRPRUWDOLW\(TXDOO\FRUUHFWLQWHUSUHWDWLRQRIFKDQJHVLQ mortality rates over time is vital to understanding the underlying trends in mortality. Previous analysis of trends in dementing illnesses showed a dramatic increase in mortality from Alzheimer’s disease, over the period 1979 to 1996,3 and an increase in mortality from dementias from 1993 to 1996.4 Analyses of mortality from Parkinson’s disease showed that rates fell between 1960 and 1980, with an increase from 1980 to 1989. Part of the increase in the 1980s was due to changes in coding practices in England and Wales (described in this article).5 In this article we present trends in dementia, Alzheimer’s disease and Parkinson’s disease in England and Wales from 1979 to 2004, updating previous analyses and including revised population estimates. Because RIWKHGLI¿FXOW\LQGLVWLQJXLVKLQJEHWZHHQ$O]KHLPHU¶VGLVHDVHDQGRWKHU forms of dementia in some cases, and because the use of these terms by doctors certifying the cause of death may have changed over the period studied, we have also presented trends for these two categories combined. We describe the impact of past mortality coding changes on trends in the underlying cause of death for each of the three conditions, SDUWLFXODUO\IRFXVVLQJRQWKHLQWURGXFWLRQRIWKH,QWHUQDWLRQDO&ODVVL¿FDWLRQRI'LVHDVHV7HQWK5HYLVLRQ,&'LQ METHODS We have examined mortality from three conditions – Alzheimer’s GLVHDVH3DUNLQVRQ¶VGLVHDVHDQGGHPHQWLD±GH¿QHGDVYDVFXODUDQG XQVSHFL¿HGGHPHQWLDXVLQJ,&'DQGDVGHPHQWLDDQGSV\FKRVLVXVLQJ ICD-9. Mortality data for each of the three conditions examined were H[WUDFWHGIURPWKHGHDWKVGDWDEDVHVKHOGE\WKH2I¿FHIRU1DWLRQDO Statistics (ONS). The codes from ICD-10 and ICD-9 used to select each condition are shown in Box One. 1979 was chosen as the start year for DQDO\VLVEHFDXVHWKLVZDVWKH¿UVW\HDUWKDW,&'FRGLQJZDVXVHGLQ England and Wales. ICD-10 was introduced in 2001. Box one ICD codes used to define specific conditions Dementia Alzheimer’s disease Parkinson’s disease ICD-10 F01, F03 G30 G20 ICD-9 290, 294.9, 298.9 331.0 332.0 Changes in the rules used by ONS and its predecessors to select the underlying cause of death from all of the conditions mentioned on the GHDWKFHUWL¿FDWHFDQKDYHDGUDPDWLFLPSDFWRQPRUWDOLW\UDWHVIRUSDUticular conditions. Previous analysis has shown that the three conditions H[DPLQHGKHUHDUHSDUWLFXODUO\DIIHFWHG%HORZZHGHVFULEHWKHPDMRU changes in mortality coding that have taken place during the time period 1979 to 2004. For this reason, we have also examined trends in mortality rates for the WKUHHFRQGLWLRQVZKHUHWKH\ZHUHPHQWLRQHGRQWKHGHDWKFHUWL¿FDWHDV well as rates for the underlying cause of death. This allows us to see the underlying trend, regardless of changes to coding rules, for chronic conditions such as these. This type of analysis has been used for other conditions such as diabetes, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.6,7 Data on ‘mentions’ are available for 1985, 1986 and 1993 onwards. Summer 2006 In order to examine changes occurring as a result of the introduction of ICD-10 we used data from the bridge coding study carried out by ONS.8-10 Box Two describes the methods used in this study. Box two Bridge coding study: methods To understand trends in cause-specific mortality spanning the change from ICD-9 to ICD-10, we need to measure the effect of this change on the proportion of deaths attributed to different causes of death. This is done using bridge coding, that is coding a sample of death certificates independently to both ICD-9 and ICD-10, and comparing the resulting underlying causes of death. ONS bridge-coded mortality data for all deaths registered in 1999. The first step in this process is to identify equivalent codes or code groups in the two revisions which represent the same causes. In most cases this is not contentious, and the same groupings have been used by various authors and national statistics offices. The results can then be presented as comparability ratios of the numbers of deaths assigned to a given disease or group of diseases in the two revisions. These are simply the ratio of the number of deaths coded to a cause in ICD-10 to the number coded to the equivalent cause in ICD-9. They measure the net effect of all changes to a particular cause of death. Analysis can also be carried out of reassignments of conditions from one code to another between ICD-9 and ICD-10, to look at changes in more detail. This type of analysis is presented in this paper. Comparability ratios for the conditions examined have been published elsewhere, for males and females separately, 8,10 and are presented here for persons. To take into account differences in age/sex distributions over time, we calculated directly age-standardised mortality rates for males and females VHSDUDWHO\XVLQJWKH(XURSHDQ6WDQGDUG3RSXODWLRQ5HYLVHGPLG\HDU population estimates based on the 2001 Census were used to calculate WKHUDWHVIRUWR)RUWRWKHVHZHUH¿QDOUHYLVHG populations published in Autumn 2004. For 1982 to 1991, these were ¿QDOUHYLVHGSRSXODWLRQVSXEOLVKHGLQ6SULQJ3RSXODWLRQVSULRUWR 1981 were not revised following the 2001 Census. CHANGES TO MORTALITY CODING, 1979–2004 Introduction of ICD-9 – 1979 ICD-9 was introduced in 1979 in England and Wales. It was structurally very similar to its predecessor, ICD-8. However, Alzheimer’s disease was VHSDUDWHGIURPGHPHQWLDLQWKHFODVVL¿FDWLRQVRWKDWWKHGLVHDVHSURFHVV FRXOGEHLGHQWL¿HGVHSDUDWHO\IURPWKHUHVXOWLQJGHPHQWLD11 In ICD-8 it had been grouped with pre-senile dementia. This meant that trends in Alzheimer’s disease could be examined separately from 1979 onwards. ICD-9 Rule 3 – 1984 $GHOLEHUDWHEURDGHQLQJRIWKHDSSOLFDWLRQRI,&'VHOHFWLRQ5XOHE\ WKH2I¿FHRI3RSXODWLRQ&HQVXVHVDQG6XUYH\V23&6QRZ216IURP 1984 to 1992 also had an impact on mortality statistics.12 This rule allows DFRQGLWLRQZKLFKLVUHSRUWHGLQHLWKHU3DUW,RU,,RIWKHGHDWKFHUWL¿FDWH to be selected as the underlying cause over the condition selected using WKHRWKHUFRGLQJUXOHVLIWKHODWWHULVREYLRXVO\DGLUHFWFRQVHTXHQFHRI WKHIRUPHUFRQGLWLRQ%HWZHHQDQGWKHYHUVLRQRI5XOHXVHG by OPCS meant that when the underlying cause as recorded on Part I RIWKHFHUWL¿FDWHZDVFODVVL¿DEOHWRRQHRIWKHFRQGLWLRQVOLVWHGLQ%R[ 7 N a t i o n a l S t a t i s t i cs H eal th Stati sti cs Q u a r t e rly 3 0 Summer 2006 Box three conditions.12 In addition, at the same time OPCS suspended its system of PHGLFDOHQTXLULHVKRZHYHUWKLVKDGDOPRVWQRLPSDFWRQPRUWDOLW\IURP dementia, Alzheimer’s disease or Parkinson’s disease.14 Conditions to which Rule 3 was applied during 1984 to 1992 Introduction of ICD-10 – 2001 ICD-9 415.1 427.5 428 451.1 451.2 451.9 453.9 485 486 514 572.8 Condition Pulmonary embolism Cardiac arrest Heart failure Phlebitis and thrombophlebitis of deep vessels of lower extremities Phlebitis and thrombophlebitis of lower extremities, unspecified Phlebitis and thrombophlebitis of unspecified sites Venous embolism or thrombosis of unspecified site Bronchopneumonia, unspecified Pneumonia, unspecified Pulmonary congestion or hypostasis Hepatic failure or liver failure 7KUHHLIWKHUHZDVDPDMRUFRQGLWLRQPHQWLRQHGHOVHZKHUHRQWKH FHUWL¿FDWHWKHPDMRUFRQGLWLRQZDVVHOHFWHGLQVWHDGZKHWKHURUQRWD FDXVDOVHTXHQFHFRXOGEHSUHVXPHG13 This had the effect of increasing the number of deaths assigned to chronic debilitating conditions like dementia, Alzheimer’s disease and Parkinson’s disease as the underlying cause. Introduction of automatic cause coding and suspension of medical enquiries – 1993 In 1993, OPCS introduced automatic cause coding, meaning that 80 SHUFHQWRIGHDWKFHUWL¿FDWHVZHUHFRGHGE\FRPSXWHUVRIWZDUH$&&6 supplied by the National Centre for Health Statistics (NCHS) in the US, instead of being coded manually by cause of death coders. This software XVHGWKHLQWHUQDWLRQDOLQWHUSUHWDWLRQRI5XOHXVHGLQ(QJODQGDQG:DOHV between 1979 and 1983. The effect of introducing automatic cause coding was to reverse the changes seen between 1984 and 1992, causing a substantial drop in the number of deaths assigned to chronic debilitating Figure 1 The introduction of ICD-10 in 2001 represented the greatest change in the ICD in over 50 years. There were three main types of change. 7KH¿UVWFKDUDFWHURIHDFKFRGHEHFDPHDOSKDEHWLFUDWKHUWKDQQXPHULF – enabling the expansion of the number of codes to provide for recently recognised conditions and more detail about common diseases. Some GLVHDVHVDQGJURXSVRIFRQGLWLRQVPRYHGEHWZHHQ,&'&KDSWHUVWRUHÀHFW current ideas of aetiology and pathology. There were several changes to the rules governing selection of the underlying cause of death, including a reduction in the number of rules from 9 to 5.15 The changes in the DSSOLFDWLRQRI5XOHKDGWKHELJJHVWLPSDFW,Q,&'WKHOLVWRI FRQGLWLRQVDIIHFWHGE\5XOHLVPRUHFOHDUO\GH¿QHGWKDQLQ,&'DQG broader in scope. This internationally agreed interpretation is used in the automated coding software produced by NCHS. The impact of this was to reduce the number of deaths assigned to conditions such as pneumonia and to increase the number of deaths assigned to chronic debilitating diseases, in a similar but less marked way to that seen between 1984 and 1992. There has also been a change in the coding of Alzheimer’s disease depending on the exact terminology used. In ICD-9, if dementia (unVSHFL¿HGRUVSHFL¿HGDVVHQLOHSUHVHQLOHDQG$O]KHLPHU¶VGLVHDVHZHUH ERWKPHQWLRQHGRQWKHFHUWL¿FDWHZKHWKHULQDµGXHWR¶VHTXHQFHRUQRW the code for the dementia was usually selected as the underlying cause. In ICD-10, such combinations will usually result in Alzheimer’s disease being coded as the underlying cause. 9, 16 PATTERNS OF MORTALITY AND INTERPRETATION OF TRENDS, 1979–2004 Alzheimer’s disease Between 1985 and 2004, the age-standardised mortality rate for any mention of Alzheimer’s disease increased from a very low level of less than 1 per 100,000 in both sexes in 1985 to 6.8 per 100,000 for males and 7.9 per 100,000 for females in 2004; an eight-fold increase for males and a 12-fold increase for females (Figure 1). Directly age-standardised mortality rates for Alzheimer’s disease, Parkinson’s disease and dementia, all mentions, 1979–2004 England and Wales Females 35 30 30 25 25 Rate per 100,000 Rate per 100,000 Males 35 20 15 20 15 10 10 5 5 0 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 Year 1997 2000 2003 2004 Parkinson’s disease Nati on a l S t a t ist ic s 8 0 1979 1982 Alzheimer’s disease 1985 1988 Dementia 1991 1994 Year 1997 2000 2003 2004 H e a l t h S t a t i s t i cs Q u a r t e r ly 3 0 Figure 2 shows the effects of the changes in selection rules on deaths ZKHUH$O]KHLPHU¶VGLVHDVHZDVWKHXQGHUO\LQJFDXVHRIGHDWK5DWHV were very low up to 1984, with a steady increase from then until 1992, followed by a drop in 1993, with the introduction of automatic cause codLQJWKHQDELJMXPSLQZKHQ,&'ZDVLQWURGXFHG7KLVLQFUHDVH in 2001 brings rates in line with what might have been expected if the rates from 1984 to 1992 had continued their increase (Figure 2). In 1985 and 1986 and from 2001 onwards about 65 per cent of all mentions of $O]KHLPHU¶VGLVHDVHRQWKHGHDWKFHUWL¿FDWHZHUHVHOHFWHGDVWKHXQGHUO\ing cause of death, compared with between 35 and 45 per cent between Figure 2 Summer 2006 1993 and 2000. This percentage was generally higher for females than for males (Table 1). /RRNLQJDWDJHVSHFL¿FSDWWHUQVUDWHVLQFUHDVHGPDUNHGO\ZLWKDJHDV ZRXOGEHH[SHFWHG5DWHVIRUIHPDOHVDJHG±LQFUHDVHGWKHPRVW over time (Figure 3). Before 1999, rates for males and females were fairly similar in each age group examined, but from 1999 onwards, rates have been consistently higher among females, ranging from 4 per cent higher in the 65–74 age group to 24 per cent higher in the 90 and over age group in 2004. Directly age-standardised mortality rates for Alzheimer’s disease, Parkinson’s disease and dementia, underlying cause, 1979–2004 England and Wales Males 18 18 16 16 14 14 12 12 10 8 10 8 6 6 4 4 2 2 0 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 Year 1997 2000 2003 2004 Parkinson’s disease Table 1 0 1979 1982 Alzheimer’s disease 1985 1988 1994 1991 Year 1997 2000 2003 2004 Dementia Percentage of mentions of dementia, Alzheimer’s disease or Parkinson’s disease selected as the underlying cause of death, 1985–1986, 1993–2004 Males 1985 1986 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 ICD−10 ACCS OPCS Rule 3 ICD−10 Rate per 100,000 Rate per 100,000 Females ACCS OPCS Rule 3 Females Parkinson’s disease Alzheimer’s disease Dementia Parkinson’s disease Alzheimer’s disease Dementia 55 55 33 35 34 36 36 36 37 36 53 55 57 55 66 62 35 34 38 37 38 39 39 38 62 63 60 63 56 54 25 26 28 29 29 30 30 28 40 38 36 35 52 55 35 35 35 37 36 38 37 40 56 59 57 56 64 64 37 40 43 44 43 45 45 46 68 67 67 67 58 59 31 33 33 34 35 37 37 38 49 47 46 45 9 N a t i o n a l S t a t i s t i cs H eal th Stati sti cs Q u a r t e rly 3 0 Figure 3 Summer 2006 Age-specific mortality rates, Alzheimer’s disease mentions, 1979–2004 England and Wales Females 600 600 500 500 400 400 Rate per 100,000 Rate per 100,000 Males 300 200 300 200 100 100 0 0 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 Year 1997 65−74 Parkinson’s disease The mortality rate for mentions of Parkinson’s disease declined between 1985 and 2004, by 22 per cent for males (from 14.9 per 100,000 to 11.6 per 100,000) and 32 per cent for females (from 7.3 per 100,000 to 5.0 SHU5DWHVZHUHKLJKHUIRUPDOHVWKDQIRUIHPDOHV)LJXUH Looking at deaths where Parkinson’s disease was the underlying cause of death, the trends are strongly affected by the changes in coding rules LQDQG5DWHVZHUHDJDLQKLJKHUIRUPDOHVWKDQIHPDOHV (Figure 2). The percentage of mentions selected as the underlying cause was about 55 per cent in 1985, 1986 and 2001 onwards, compared with Figure 4 1979 2003 2004 2000 75−84 1982 1985 85−89 1988 1991 1994 Year 1997 2000 2003 2004 90 and over about 35 to 40 per cent between 1993 and 2000. As for Alzheimer’s disease this percentage was generally, though not always, higher for females than for males (Table 1). Mortality from Parkinson’s disease showed the same relationship with age as that for Alzheimer’s disease, with rates being much higher in the ROGHUDJHJURXSV)LJXUH5DWHVIRUPDOHVZHUHPRUHWKDQWZLFHDV KLJKDVUDWHVIRUIHPDOHVLQHDFKDJHJURXS5DWHVGHFUHDVHGLQHDFKDJH group between 1985 and 2004. The declines were greater at younger ages, with a decline of 31 per cent among males and 45 per cent among females aged 65–74. Age-specific mortality rates, Parkinson’s disease mentions, 1979–2004 England and Wales Females 700 600 600 500 500 Rate per 100,000 Rate per 100,000 Males 700 400 300 400 300 200 200 100 100 0 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 Year 1997 2000 65−74 Nati on a l S t a t ist ic s 10 0 2003 2004 1979 75−84 1982 85−89 1985 1988 90 and over 1991 1994 Year 1997 2000 2003 2004 H e a l t h S t a t i s t i cs Q u a r t e r ly 3 0 Between 1993 and 2004 mortality rates for mentions of dementia remained steady among males. Among females, rates increased steadily between 1993 and 2004 (Figure 1). For both sexes, rates were higher in 2004 than in 1985, 5 per cent higher for males and 23 per cent higher for females. Figure 2 shows that underlying cause mortality rates for dementia were strongly affected by changes to the coding rules, with trends in seemingly different directions in 1984 to 1992 compared to the other time periods – rates being fairly stable or decreasing during this period compared to increases at other times for females. This unusual pattern of mortality trends may be explained by a combination of gradual drift in the terminology used by doctors certifying the cause of death and abrupt changes LQWKH,&'FRGLQJDQGFODVVL¿FDWLRQUXOHVDVDSSOLHGWRLQGLYLGXDOWHUPV DQGFRPELQDWLRQVRIWHUPVRQWKHFHUWL¿FDWHV$QHDUOLHUDQDO\VLVXSWR 1996,3 suggested that the pattern seen for dementia between 1984 and 1992 was due to diagnostic transfer rather than a true decline. This means that deaths that would in the past have been recorded as dementia would be recorded as Alzheimer’s disease, leading to an apparent decline in dementia mortality. Looking at mortality rates for both dementia and Alzheimer’s disease using the underlying cause of death (as this shows the full time period under consideration) shows that this does indeed appear to be the case in the 1984 to 1992 period, with rates for Alzheimer’s disease and dementia combined increasing, but rates for dementia declining or remaining steady (Figure 5). An examination of the ratio of dementia mortality rates to Alzheimer’s disease mortality rates from 1984 onwards suggests that diagnostic transfer was occurring most markedly in the 1980s and early 1990s. In the mid to late 1990s, the ratio of dementia to Alzheimer’s was fairly constant. This ratio was also fairly stable, though at a different level, from 2001 onwards (Figure 6). The GLIIHUHQFHLQWKHOHYHORIWKHUDWLRVLQWKHVHWZRODWHUWLPHSHULRGVUHÀHFWV coding changes that occurred when ICD-10 was introduced, described above. Figure 5 Figure 6 Ratio of mortality rates for dementia to rates for Alzheimer’s disease, by sex, 1984–2004 England and Wales ACCS ICD−10 100 Males Females Ratio (log scale) Dementia Summer 2006 10 1 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 The percentage of dementia mentions selected as the underlying cause varied from about 55–60 per cent in 1985 to 1986, between 25 and 38 per cent between 1993 and 2000 and 35–40 per cent for males and 45–49 per cent for females between 2001 and 2004 (Table 1). Mortality from dementia showed the same relationship with age as that for Alzheimer’s and Parkinson’s disease, with rates being much higher in WKHROGHUDJHJURXSV)LJXUH5DWHVZHUHKLJKHUIRUPDOHVWKDQIHPDOHV Directly age-standardised mortality rates for Alzheimer’s disease and dementia, underlying cause, 1979–2004 England and Wales Males ACCS ICD−10 ACCS OPCS Rule 3 25 25 20 20 Rate per 100,000 Rate per 100,000 OPCS Rule 3 Females 15 10 ICD−10 15 10 5 5 0 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 20012003 2004 Year 0 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2004 Year Alzheimer’s disease Dementia 11 N a t i o n a l S t a t i s t i cs H eal th Stati sti cs Q u a r t e rly 3 0 Figure 7 Age-specific mortality rates, dementia mentions, 1979–2004 England and Wales Males Females 3,000 3,000 2,500 2,500 2,000 2,000 Rate per 100,000 Rate per 100,000 Summer 2006 1,500 1,500 1,000 1,000 500 500 0 1979 0 1979 1982 1985 19 88 1991 1994 Year 1997 2000 2003 2004 65−74 75−84 in the younger age groups, but in the 90 and over age group, rates for IHPDOHVZHUHKLJKHU5DWHVLQWKH±DJHJURXSZHUHVLPLODUEHWZHHQ the sexes. It is likely that the higher rates for females aged 90 and over UHÀHFWVWKHIDFWWKDWSRSXODWLRQRIZRPHQDJHGDQGRYHULVOLNHO\ to have an older age structure (and therefore higher mortality) than the population of men aged 90 and over. Table 2 Alzheimer’s disease, ICD-9 and ICD-10 coding, 1999 (a) Number of deaths coded as due to Alzheimer’s disease in ICD-9 by their underlying cause of death in ICD-10 ICD-10 code Number of deaths G30 G00–G99 excluding G30 J00–J99 Total 1988 1991 Year 1994 1997 2000 2003 2004 90 and over CHANGES RESULTING FROM THE INTRODUCTION OF ICD-10 IN 2001 /RRNLQJVSHFL¿FDOO\DWWKHFKDQJHVLQ,&'7DEOHVKRZVWKDWWKHUH was very little transfer of deaths away from Alzheimer’s disease as the underlying cause of death between ICD-9 and ICD-10. Gains were seen from deaths previously coded as bronchopneumonia (33 per cent of deaths coded to Alzheimer’s disease in ICD-10) and dementia (16 per cent). Only half of those deaths attributed to Alzheimer’s disease in ICD10 would have been coded as such in ICD-9. Two-thirds of the overall Table 3 Parkinson’s disease, ICD–9 and ICD–10 coding, 1999 ICD-9 code 2,369 17 98.2 0.7 14 13 2,413 0.6 0.5 Number of deaths 331.0 485–486 290 390–459 E800–E999 2,369 1,545 733 17 6 8 4,679 Total Comparability ratio Nati on a l S t a t ist ic s 12 1.94 (a) Number of deaths coded as due to Parkinson’s disease in ICD-9 by their underlying cause of death in ICD-10 ICD-10 code % (b) Number of deaths coded as due to Alzheimer’s disease in ICD-10 by their underlying cause of death in ICD-9 Alzheimer’s disease Bronchopneumonia Dementia Circulatory diseases External causes Other causes 85−89 1985 England and Wales England and Wales Alzheimer’s disease Other diseases of nervous system Respiratory diseases Other causes 1982 % 50.7 33.0 15.7 0.4 0.1 0.2 Parkinson’s disease Respiratory diseases Circulatory diseases Other causes G20 J00-–J99 I00–I99 Total Number of deaths 2,689 37 23 22 2,771 % 97.0 1.3 0.8 0.8 (b) Number of deaths coded as due to Parkinson’s disease in ICD-10 by their underlying cause of death in ICD-9 ICD-9 code Parkinson’s disease Bronchopneumonia Dementia Circulatory diseases External causes Other diseases of nervous system Other causes 332.0 485–486 290 390–459 E800–E999 320–359 excluding 332.0 Total Comparability ratio Number of deaths % 2,689 1,261 137 24 7 6 65.0 30.5 3.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 10 4,134 0.2 1.49 H e a l t h S t a t i s t i cs Q u a r t e r ly 3 0 increase was from deaths previously coded as bronchopneumonia, and RQHWKLUGIURPWKHOHVVVSHFL¿FGHPHQWLDV±DOUHDG\GHVFULEHGDERYH For Parkinson’s disease (Table 3), there was very little transfer of deaths away from Parkinson’s disease as the underlying cause of death between ICD-9 and ICD-10. Gains were seen from deaths previously coded as bronchopneumonia (30 per cent of deaths coded to Parkinson’s disease in ICD-10) and dementia (3 per cent). Two-thirds of the deaths coded as due to Parkinson’s disease in ICD-10 were coded as such in ICD-9. Around 90 per cent of the overall gain came from bronchopneumonia. The changes resulting from the introduction of ICD-10 for dementia are complex, with transfers in and out of the dementia group contributing to the net changes in the underlying cause. Losses to circulatory diseases, due to the change in indexing of multi-infarct dementia17 (17 per cent), Alzheimer’s disease (10 per cent) and Parkinson’s disease (2 per cent) and a variety of other conditions were offset by gains from bronchopneumonia (38 per cent) (Table 4). Table 4 Dementia, ICD-9 and ICD-10 coding, 1999 England and Wales (a) Number of deaths coded as due to dementia in ICD-9 by their underlying cause of death in ICD-10 ICD-10 code Vascular and unspecified dementia Circulatory diseases Alzheimer’s disease Parkinson’s disease Respiratory diseases Endocrine, nutritional and metabolic diseases Other diseases of nervous system Neoplasms Diseases of the genitourinary system Other mental and behavioural disorders Diseases of the musculoskeletal system Symptoms, signs and ill-defined conditions External causes Other causes F01, F03 I00-I99 G30 G20 J00-J99 Number of deaths % 5,161 1,323 733 134 69 67.9 17.4 9.6 1.8 0.9 E00-E90 G00-G99 excluding G20 and G30 44 0.6 34 0.4 C00-D48 26 0.3 N00-N99 F00-F99 excluding F01 and F03 18 0.2 12 0.2 M00-M99 12 0.2 12 12 15 7,605 0.2 0.2 0.2 R00-R99 V01-Y89 Total (b) Number of deaths coded as due to dementia in ICD-10 by their underlying cause of death in ICD-9 ICD-9 code Senile and presenile organic psychotic conditions Bronchopneumonia Unspecified psychosis Circulatory diseases Other respiratory diseases Other mental and behavioural disorders Unspecified chronic organic psychotic conditions External causes Endocrine, nutritional and metabolic diseases Diseases of nervous system Other causes 290 485–486 298.9 390–459 460–519 excluding 485–486 Number of deaths % 5,161 4,542 1,806 120 43.4 38.2 15.2 1.0 93 0.8 290–319 excluding 290, 294.9 and 298.9 78 0.7 294.9 E800–E999 32 25 0.3 0.2 13 11 13 11,894 0.1 0.1 0.1 DISCUSSION Mortality rates for the three conditions examined in this article showed varying trends over the time period examined. Alzheimer’s disease showed the largest increase. This is in part due to an increasing tendency to record Alzheimer’s disease (as the cause of dementia) on death cerWL¿FDWHVIROORZLQJIURPDQLQFUHDVLQJUHFRJQLWLRQRI$O]KHLPHU¶VDVWKH disease process underlying much dementia. Dementia mortality patterns were complex, with the unusual pattern for the underlying cause of dementia seen in the 1980s and 1990s appearing to be due to diagnostic transfer to Alzheimer’s disease. Despite this gradual drift toward the use of ‘Alzheimer’s disease’ rather than terms such as senile or pre-senile dementia, more than two and a half times as many deaths are still attributed to ‘dementia’ as to Alzheimer’s disease. Studies in the UK have suggested varying patterns of reporting of demenWLDDQG$O]KHLPHU¶VGLVHDVHRQWKHGHDWKFHUWL¿FDWHVRISDWLHQWVZLWKWKH conditions. Two recent studies suggested reporting rates of over 70 per cent for both dementia and Alzheimer’s disease.18,19 Older studies from Scotland and northern England have reported variations according to whether the patient had Alzheimer’s disease or vascular dementia, with reporting being as high as between 75 and 90 per cent for patients with Alzheimer’s disease compared to 50 per cent for vascular dementia.20, 21 Prevalence surveys for dementia and Alzheimer’s disease are costly and GLI¿FXOWWRFDUU\RXWZLWKUHVXOWVYDU\LQJDFFRUGLQJWRWKHGLDJQRVWLF criteria used. A Delphi consensus study, which looked at all the available estimates from prevalence studies, concluded that prevalence in those aged 60 and over in Western Europe was around 5 per cent, with an estimated annual incidence of nearly 9 per 1,000 population. The study also predicted that the number of adults in Western Europe with dementia would almost double between 2001 and 2040.22 Mortality rates for mentions of Parkinson’s disease declined over the period examined. A study of people with Parkinson’s disease in the south of England found that of those who died between 1966 and 1997, 76 per FHQWKDG3DUNLQVRQ¶VGLVHDVHUHFRUGHGRQWKHGHDWKFHUWL¿FDWH23 Two reFHQWVWXGLHVRIGHDWKFHUWL¿FDWLRQLQ6FDQGLQDYLDKRZHYHUIRXQGWKDWRQO\ around half of patients with Parkinson’s disease had the condition written RQWKHLUGHDWKFHUWL¿FDWH24, 25 but a slightly older study showed a reporting rate of over 70 per cent. 26 As for dementia and Alzheimer’s disease, studies of prevalence of 3DUNLQVRQ¶VGLVHDVHLQWKH8.DUHOLPLWHG7KHUHKDYHEHHQ¿YHVWXGLHV examining the prevalence of Parkinson’s disease over a 40 year period in WKH8.5HVXOWVRIWKHVHVWXGLHVVXJJHVWVWDEOHSUHYDOHQFH27-31 This could imply a decline in incidence, but an increasing mean duration of disease, perhaps due to better disease management, which would lead to constant prevalence with declining mortality. Prevalence of Parkinson’s disease is higher among men than women, which matches the pattern seen for mortality. Key findings M 240–279 320–359 Total Comparability ratio Summer 2006 M M Mortality rates based on mentions of Alzheimer’s disease increased dramatically over the period 1985 to 2004 by 8 times for males and 12 times for females. Mortality rates based on mentions of Parkinson’s disease declined over the same time period, by 22 per cent for males and 32 per cent for females. Between 1985 and 2004, trends in mentions of dementia at death differed between males and females, with rates remaining relatively stable among males, but increasing among females. 1.56 13 N a t i o n a l S t a t i s t i cs H eal th Stati sti cs Q u a r t e rly 3 0 Summer 2006 Mortality rates using the underlying cause of death for dementia, Alzheimer’s disease and Parkinson’s disease are strongly affected by changes to coding rules and therefore trends should also be examined XVLQJGDWDRQDOOPHQWLRQVRIWKHVHFRQGLWLRQVRQGHDWKFHUWL¿FDWHVWR improve interpretation of the underlying trend. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The authors thank Allan Baker and Anita Brock (ONS) for their invaluable help on a number of aspects of the article. In addition, we thank the team in Vital Events and Morbidity Processing, led by Elaine Tower (ONS), for their help in interpreting coding changes as a result of the introduction of ICD-10. Without the help of all these colleagues it would not have been possible to produce this article. REFERENCES 7RUS\-0/\QP&DQG*ODVV50'HPHQWLDJAMA 292, 1514. 1HXURSDWKRORJ\*URXSRIWKH0HGLFDO5HVHDUFK&RXQFLO Cognitive Function and Ageing Study (2001) Pathological correlates of late-onset dementia in a multicentre, community-based population in England and Wales. /DQFHW 357, 169–175. .LUE\//HKPDQQ3DQG0DMHHG$'HPHQWLDLQSHRSOHDJHG 65 and over: a growing problem? 3RSXODWLRQ7UHQGV92, 23–28. 0DMHHG$/HKPDQQ3.LUE\/DQG&ROHPDQ03 Mortality from dementias and neurodegenerative disorders in people aged 15–64 in England and Wales in 1979-96. %ULWLVK0HGLFDO -RXUQDO 317, 320–321. 5. 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AFWDQHXURORJLFD 6FDQGLQDYLFD 92, 55–58. %UHZLV03RVNDQ]HU'&5ROODQG&DQG0LOOHU+1HXURlogical disease in an English city. $FWDQHXURORJLFD6FDQGLQDYLFD 42, 1–89. 6XWFOLIIH5/*3ULRU50DZE\%DQG0F4XLOODQ:- Parkinson’s disease in the district of the Northampton Health Authority, United Kingdom. A study of prevalence and disability. $FWDQHXURORJLFD6FDQGLQDYLFD 72, 363–379. 29. Mutch W J, Dingwall-Fordyce I, Downie AW HWDO (1986) Parkinson’s disease in a Scottish city. %ULWLVK0HGLFDO-RXUQDO 292, 534–536. 6XWFOLIIH5/*DQG0HDUD-53DUNLQVRQ¶VGLVHDVHHSLGHPLology in the Northampton district, England, 1992. AFWDQHXURORJLFD 6FDQGLQDYLFD 92, 443–450. 6FKUDJ$%HQ6KORPR<DQG4XLQQ13&URVVVHFWLRQDO prevalence survey of idiopathic Parkinson’s disease and Parkinsonism in London. %ULWLVK0HGLFDO-RXUQDO 321, 21–22. H e a l t h S t a t i s t i cs Q u a r t e r ly 3 0 Summer 2006 Risk factors for low birthweight based on birth registration and census information, England and Wales, 1981–2000 Aleks Collingwood Bakeo Office for National Statistics Lynda Clarke Department of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine INTRODUCTION This study examines whether there are socio-demographic factors (collected at census) that are not routinely available at birth registration that help to explain low birthweight in England and Wales in the 1980s and 1990s. Maternal age and marital status at the time of birth are known to affect the risk of low birthweight.The article looks at whether the additional socio-demographic information about the mother that is collected at Census modifies our understanding. It identifies specific groups at high risk of this negative birth outcome – being a mother from a non-White ethnic group, having a long-standing illness and living in a deprived area. Birthweight is a strong predictor of neonatal and infant mortality and of health outcomes in childhood and adulthood.1 Sixty-four per cent of infant deaths in England and Wales in 2003 were of babies weighing less than 2,500g (low birthweight).2 Low birthweight is associated with poor outcomes in child health and, in particular, the development of cognitive skills.3 It is also related to illness in adult life, such as diabetes, stroke and lung disease.4,5 There has been a continuing rise in the proportion of low birthweight babies in the late 1980s and 1990s from 6.7 per cent in 1989 to 7.6 per cent in 1999.2 Most of this increase is explained by the increased number of multiple births and the increased survival rates of lighter babies due to improved technical advances.6 ,QUHVSRQVHWRFRQFHUQVRYHUKHDOWKLQHTXDOLWLHVLQWKH'HSDUWPHQW RI+HDOWKLGHQWL¿HGLQWKH1+63ODQIRU(QJODQG7 national targets to reduce the gap in infant mortality between manual groups and the population as a whole and to reduce the gap in life expectancy between areas with the lowest levels and the population as a whole.8 Birthweight is a key indicator for both of these targets, given its association with both infant mortality and life expectancy. Most analyses examining determinants of low birthweight have focused on information collected at birth registration. Strong relationships are known to exist between mother’s marital status at the time of the birth and birthweight. For example, sole registered births registered by mother alone are much more likely to be of low birthweight.2 Lone mothers are younger and more disadvantaged in general compared to married 15 N a t i o n a l S t a t i s t i cs H eal th Stati sti cs Q u a r t e rly 3 0 Summer 2006 mothers and mothers cohabiting with their partners.9 Lone mothers are more likely to be poor, unemployed, have no car and have no educational TXDOL¿FDWLRQV9 Infant mortality rates are higher among lone mothers.2 Many of these adverse characteristics are inter-related. Age of the mother at birth is closely associated with low birthweight; very young and older mothers have lighter babies.10 Deprivation has also been linked to infant mortality and low birthweight.11, 12 For example, there is a social gradient in low birthweight with higher proportions in manual compared to nonmanual groups.13,14 However, since the 1980s, no further analysis has been undertaken looking at the relationship between socio-demographic information available from the census and birthweight of babies in England and Wales except for an unpublished analysis of the relationship between ethnic ancestry and birthweight in babies born to South Asian and White women.15 of the parents’ legal marital status. Births are coded as being within marriage (child born to parents who were lawfully married to one another either at the date of the child’s birth or when the child was conceived, even if they later divorced or the father died before the child’s birth), RXWVLGHPDUULDJHMRLQWO\UHJLVWHUHGUHTXLUHVERWKSDUHQWVWREHSUHVHQWDW registration) or as a sole registration.2 Census characteristics Census socio-demographic characteristics used as explanatory variables in the analysis are: M M M This study focuses on singleton births to women for whom census information was available. It examines whether there are sociodemographic factors (collected at census) that are not routinely available at birth registration that help to explain low birthweight in England and Wales in the 1980s and 1990s. It seeks to establish how much the effects of maternal age or marital status at the time of birth on the ULVNRIORZELUWKZHLJKWDUHPRGL¿HGE\DGGLWLRQDOVRFLRGHPRJUDSKLF factors collected at Census. It will also examine whether these census characteristics can independently identify groups at high risk of this negative birth outcome. METHODS Sample M M M M M M Economic activity Number of people in the household Number of rooms in the household Household access to a car Housing tenure 5HJLRQRIXVXDOUHVLGHQFH &DUVWDLUVGHSULYDWLRQTXLQWLOH Ethnicity (available for 1991 only) Limiting long term illness status (available for 1991 only). Carstairs deprivation score is used as a measure of socio-economic deprivation and is based on four census variables (unemployment among men, domestic overcrowding, household access to a car and low social status). It was developed by Carstairs and Morris19 and is available for LS Census samples since 1981.17&DUVWDLUVVFRUHVZHUHJURXSHGLQWRTXLQWLOHV E\216ZKHUHTXLQWLOHLVPRVWDIÀXHQWDQGLVWKHPRVWGHSULYHG Statistical analysis This study uses data from the ONS Longitudinal Study (LS). The LS contains linked census and vital event data for one per cent of the population of England and Wales from 1971. It is the largest longitudinal data resource in England and Wales, including records for almost a million study members. New LS members enter the study through birth and immigration and existing members leave through death and emigration. Thus, the LS represents a continuous sample of the population of England and Wales and at any point in time it is largely representative of the population as a whole. Information on vital events such as births, deaths and cancer occurring to study members is also included in the LS, and updated annually.16, 17 This study analyses live born babies to LS sample mothers in the 1980s and 1990s according to birth registration information and their mother’s census characteristics at a census prior to the birth A total of 65,666 live births to LS sample mothers occurred in the 1980s and 68,333 occurred in the 1990s. Births with no prior census information were excluded from the study (8 per cent in 1980s, 12 per cent in 1990s). For all birthweight analysis, births with a missing birthweight, or births weighing less than 500 grams or more than 6000 grams were excluded because of the possibility of incorrect recording (2 per cent in 1980s, 1 per cent in 1990s). Multiple births are in general lighter than singleton births therefore they were also not included in the birthweight analysis to eliminate bias (1 per cent in 1980s, 2 per cent in 1990s). /RJLVWLFUHJUHVVLRQZDVXVHGWRHVWLPDWHRGGVUDWLRV25VDVDPHDVXUH of association between the outcome and explanatory variables. The analyses were run for each decade of births separately. For each model to include the same number of cases and be comparable, mothers with any missing explanatory census variable information were not included in the multivariate analysis. Because the regression analysis relies so heavily on Census characteristics collected every ten years, the analysis was controlled for the number of births born to each mother in each decade. This was done to avoid overstating associations where a mother’s census FKDUDFWHULVWLFZDVWKHVDPHIRUDOOKHUELUWKVLQRQHGHFDGH6LJQL¿FDQFH WHVWVIRUWUHQGZHUHFDUULHGRXWRQ&DUVWDLUVTXLQWLOH RESULTS Tables 1 and 2 show the distribution of low birthweight babies in the 1980s and 1990s by registration characteristics and mother’s prior census characteristics and the odds ratios for each variable without controlling IRURWKHUFKDUDFWHULVWLFV)LJXUHVDQGVKRZWKHUHVXOWVZKHQDGMXVWLQJ for the registration variables and all census variables. The likelihood ratio test showed that mother’s region of usual residence did not make DVLJQL¿FDQWFRQWULEXWLRQWRWKHPXOWLYDULDWHPRGHOVRWKLVYDULDEOHZDV removed from the model. Birth registration characteristics In the 1980s, female babies, having a young mother and being registered RXWVLGHPDUULDJHZHUHVLJQL¿FDQWO\DVVRFLDWHGZLWKORZELUWKZHLJKW7KH information from the 1981 Census showed that living in a deprived area FDUULHGWKHKLJKHVWULVNRIORZELUWKZHLJKW25IRUORZHVWTXLQWLOH IROORZHGE\VPDOOQXPEHURIURRPVLQWKHKRXVHKROG25KDYLQJD PRWKHUZKRZDVXQHPSOR\HG25DQGOLYLQJLQDFRXQFLOKRXVHRU KRXVLQJDVVRFLDWLRQ25DQGOLYLQJLQDKRXVHKROGZLWKRXWDFFHVV WRDFDU25 Birth registration characteristics used in the analyses are gender of baby, mother’s age at birth and registration status at birth. The age of mother in years at time of the baby’s birth is derived by ONS from her date of birth DQGWKHEDE\¶VGDWHRIELUWK5HJLVWUDWLRQVWDWXVDWELUWKLVDQLQGLFDWRU In the 1990s, many of the associations with low birthweight show the same pattern as found for births in the 1980s. From birth registration data, the highest likelihood of low birthweight is seen amongst mothers ZKRUHJLVWHUWKHELUWKDORQH25DVZHOODVIRU\RXQJPRWKHUV Birthweight 7KH:RUOG+HDOWK2UJDQL]DWLRQ:+2GH¿QLWLRQRIORZELUWKZHLJKWRI less than 2,500 grams is used in routine statistics and in this article.18 Nati on a l S t a t ist ic s 16 H e a l t h S t a t i s t i cs Q u a r t e r ly 3 0 Table 1 Summer 2006 Distribution of low birthweight babies and odds ratios by birth registration characteristics Births in the 1980s Birth registration characteristics Births in the 1990s Live births % LBW 95% CI OR LBW 95% CI Live births Sex of baby Male Female 29,976 28,226 5.2 (4.9, 5.4) 6.3 (6.1, 6.6) 1.00 1.24 (1.15, 1.33) 29,585 28,474 Mothers age at birth 15–24 25–34 35–44 45 and over 21,809 31,932 4,420 41 6.5 5.2 5.6 7.3 (6.2, 6.9) (5.0, 5.5) (4.9, 6.3) (1.0, 15.6) 1.27 (1.18, 1.37) 1.00 1.08 (0.94, 1.24) 1.36 (0.42, 4.41) 16,121 34,621 7,277 40 46,117 12,085 5.2 (5.0, 5.4) 7.9 (7.4, 8.4) 1.00 1.58 (1.46, 1.71) 37,622 5.0 4,411 11,983 4,043 9.4 (8.6, 10.3) 6.6 (6.1, 7.0) 7.5 (6.7, 8.3) Marital status at birth Within marriage Outside marriage Sole registration Joint registration (same add) Joint registration (diff add) % LBW 95% CI 5.4 6.3 OR LBW 95% CI (5.1, 5.6) (6.0, 6.6) 1.00 1.19 (1.11, 1.28) 7.1 (6.7, 7.5) 5.1 (4.9, 5.4) 6.4 (5.8, 7.0) 12.5 (1.5, 23.5) 1.42 (1.31, 1.54) 1.00 1.26 (1.13, 1.41) 2.43 (0.95, 6.23) (4.8, 5.2) 1.00 - 1.97 (1.76, 2.21) 1.33 (1.22, 1.46) 1.54 (1.35, 1.75) Table excludes any missing registration data. Source: ONS Longitudinal Study 25,QIRUPDWLRQIURPWKH&HQVXVDJDLQLQGLFDWHVWKHKLJKHVW likelihood for mothers living in a deprived area (1.78 for the lowest &DUVWDLUVTXLQWLOHIROORZHGE\OLYLQJLQDFRXQFLOKRXVHRUKRXVLQJ DVVRFLDWLRQ25KDYLQJDPRWKHUZKRZDVXQHPSOR\HG25 or living in a household with no access to a car (1.44). The number of URRPVSHUKRXVHKROGZDVQRWVLJQL¿FDQWO\UHODWHGWRELUWKZHLJKWIRU births in the 1990s as it was for those in the 1980s. Mothers who were FODVVL¿HGDVIURPDQRQ:KLWHHWKQLFJURXSZHUHPXFKPRUHOLNHO\WR KDYHDORZELUWKZHLJKWEDE\WKDQWKRVHIURPD:KLWHJURXS25IRU QRQ:KLWHDVZHUHPRWKHUVZLWKDORQJWHUPKHDOWKSUREOHP25 MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS Multivariate models allow estimates to be made of the contribution of HDFKFKDUDFWHULVWLFWRYDULDWLRQVLQORZELUWKZHLJKWZKLOHDGMXVWLQJIRU all other characteristics included in the model. Figure 1 shows a logistic Figure 1 PRGHORIORZELUWKZHLJKWEDELHVLQWKHVDQGVDGMXVWHGIRUWKH information available from birth registration records. In Figure 2 this LVDGMXVWHGIRUERWKWKLVLQIRUPDWLRQDQGLQIRUPDWLRQIURPWKHFHQVXV 7KHVH¿JXUHVVKRZWKDWLQERWKGHFDGHVELUWKVRXWVLGHPDUULDJHFDUULHG a higher risk of low birthweight than those inside marriage. In the 1990s it became possible to distinguish whether births outside marriage were UHJLVWHUHGMRLQWO\E\WZRSDUHQWVDWWKHVDPHDGGUHVVGLIIHUHQWDGGUHVVHV or solely by the mother alone. The odds of low birthweight in the 1990s were highest for those births outside marriage registered solely by one SDUHQWLQWKH¿QDOPRGHOVHH)LJXUH$OWKRXJKPDULWDOVWDWXV UHPDLQHGVLJQL¿FDQWZKHQWKHFHQVXVLQIRUPDWLRQZDVLQFOXGHGLQWKH model the effect decreased in both decades. For births in the 1980s, the 25GHFUHDVHGIURPUHJLVWUDWLRQYDULDEOHVRQO\WRFHQVXV YDULDEOHVLQFOXGHG6LPLODUO\IRUELUWKVLQWKHVWKH25GHFUHDVHG from 1.98 (registration variables only) to 1.70 (census variables included). Multivariate logistic analysis: odds ratios of low birthweight adjusted from birth registration charactistics 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 Female Mother 15−24 Births in the 1980s Outside marriage Female Mother 15−24 Mother 35−44 Sole registration Births in the 1990s Joint registration (same address) Source: ONS Longitudinal Study 17 N a t i o n a l S t a t i s t i cs H eal th Stati sti cs Q u a r t e rly 3 0 Table 2 Summer 2006 Distribution of low birthweight babies and odds ratios by mother’s prior census characteristics Births in the 1980s Mother’s prior census characteristics Births in the 1990s Live births % LBW 95% CI OR LBW 95% CI Live births % LBW 95% CI Economic Activity Employed Unemployed* Inactive At school/student 27,871 4,095 13,713 3,533 5.5 7.8 5.0 5.0 (5.2, 5.8) (7.0, 8.6) (4.7, 5.4) (4.2, 5.7) 1.00 1.45 (1.3,1.7) 0.91 (0.8, 1.0) 0.90 (0.8, 1.1) 31,777 3,926 13,485 2,680 5.3 7.5 5.7 6.3 (5.0, 5.5) (6.6, 8.3) (5.3, 6.1) (5.4, 7.3) 1.00 1.45 (1.27, 1.67) 1.09 (0.99, 1.20) 1.22 (1.02, 1.45) Number of people in the household 1 or 2 3 or 4 5 and over 15,292 25,215 16,481 5.5 (5.2, 5.9) 5.2 (5.0, 5.4) 6.7 (6.3, 7.1) 1.06 (1.0,1.2) 1.00 1.29 (1.2,1.4) 19,209 26,278 11,355 5.5 5.4 7.2 (5.2, 5.8) (5.1, 5.7) (6.7, 7.7) 1.02 (0.94, 1.11) 1.00 1.35 (1.23, 1.49) Number of rooms 1 or 2 3 or 4 5 and over 1,542 13,226 42,361 7.9 (6.6, 9.3) 6.0 (5.6, 6.5) 5.6 (5.3, 5.8) 1.46 (1.2,1.8) 1.09 (1.0,1.2) 1.00 - 1,946 14,724 40,422 6.1 5.7 5.8 (5.0, 7.1) (5.3, 6.1) (5.6, 6.0) 1.04 (0.85, 1.28) 0.97 (0.89, 1.06) 1.00 - Number of cars No cars 1 car more than 1 car 17,138 28,452 11,539 6.9 (6.5, 7.3) 5.3 (5.1, 5.6) 5.0 (4.6, 5.4) 1.31 (1.2,1.4) 1.00 0.93 (0.8,1.0) 13,682 25,498 17,912 7.8 5.5 4.7 (7.3, 8.2) (5.2, 5.8) (4.4, 5.0) 1.44 (1.32, 1.57) 1.00 0.84 (0.77, 0.92) Tenure Owner Council/housing association renting other 31,765 19,502 5,860 5.1 (4.8, 5.3) 6.9 (6.5, 7.2) 5.5 (5.0, 6.1) 1.00 1.39(1.28,1.50) 1.10(0.97, 1.25) 36,776 13,755 6,311 5.1 7.9 5.5 (4.8, 5.3) (7.4, 8.3) (4.9, 6.0) 1.00 1.60 1.08 Usual residence North Yorkshire and humberside North West East Midlands West Midlands East Anglia South East South West Wales 3,630 5,986 7,992 4,608 6,421 2,136 20,395 4,603 3,326 5.2 5.7 6.1 6.1 6.6 5.2 5.2 5.4 5.7 (4.4, 5.9) (5.2, 6.3) (5.6, 6.7) (5.4, 6.8) (6.0, 7.2) (4.3, 6.1) (4.9, 5.5) (4.8, 6.1) (4.9, 6.5) 0.94(0.79,1.10) 1.05(0.92,1.20) 1.13(1.00,1.27) 1.11(0.97,1.28) 1.21(1.07,1.38) 0.94(0.77,1.17) 1.00 0.99(0.85,1.15) 1.04(0.88,1.24) 3,439 5,765 4,473 2,196 20,378 4,894 6,250 7,431 3,228 6.2 6.1 6.5 4.7 5.3 5.4 7.0 6.1 6.4 (5.4, 7.0) (5.5,6.7) (5.8, 7.2) (3.8, 5.6) (4.9, 5.6) (4.8, 6.0) (6.3, 7.6) (5.6, 6.7) (5.6, 7.3) 1.20 (1.02,1.41) 1.17 (1.02,1.34) 1.26 (1.09,1.45) 0.90 (0.73,1.11) 1.00 1.03 (0.88, 1.20) 1.35 (1.20,1.53) 1.18 (1.04,1.33) 1.24 (1.05,1.47) Carstairs quintile 1 2 3 4 5 7,085 8,055 10,106 13,568 19,280 4.1 4.9 5.3 6.0 6.8 (3.7, 4.6) (4.4, 5.3) (4.9, 5.8) (5.6, 6.4) (6.4, 7.1) 1.00 1.19(1.01,1.40) 1.31(1.12,1.53) 1.49(1.29,1.72) 1.69(1.47,1.94) 6,139 8,259 10,133 13,922 19,570 4.2 4.9 5.2 5.7 7.2 (3.7, 4.7) (4.5, 5.4) (4.8, 5.6) (5.3, 6.1) (6.8, 7.6) 1.00 1.19 1.26 1.39 1.78 (1.01,1.41) (1.07,1.48) (1.19,1.61) (1.54,2.05) Long-term illness Health problem No health problem 1,617 56,440 9.5 (8.0, 10.9) 5.7 (5.5, 5.9) 1.71 1.00 (1.43,2.06) - Ethnicity White non-White 52,530 5,529 5.5 (5.3, 5.7) 9.3 (8.5, 10.1) 1.00 1.77 (1.59, 1.97) * Includes temporarily unemployed. Table excludes missing census characteristic data. Source: ONS Longitudinal Study Nati on a l S t a t ist ic s 18 OR LBW 95% CI (1.48,1.74) (0.95,1.23) H e a l t h S t a t i s t i cs Q u a r t e r ly 3 0 Figure 2 Summer 2006 Multivariate logistic analysis: odds ratios of low birthweight adjusted for birth registration charactistics and mother’s prior census information 2.5 2 1.5 1 Living in a deprived area carried a high risk of having a low birthweight baby; for births in the 1980s the odds were 39 per cent higher for mothers OLYLQJLQWKHORZHVWTXLQWLOHPRVWGLVDGYDQWDJHGDUHDVFRPSDUHGZLWK mothers in the highest (most advantaged) areas. This was still true for births in the 1990s but the risk had decreased to a 29 per cent excess for those in the lowest 20 per cent of areas. Living in a council house or housing association accommodation also carried a higher risk for babies born in the 1990s (32 per cent higher) but this relationship with KRXVLQJWHQXUHZDVQRWVLJQL¿FDQWIRUEDELHVERUQLQWKHVZKHQ controlling for other variables. The associations between car access and low birthweight, observed in the individual analysis for births in the 1980s, disappear when controlling for all the other characteristics. +RZHYHUIRUELUWKVLQWKHVWKLVUHPDLQHGDVLJQL¿FDQWDVVRFLDWLRQ after controlling for other factors. The effect of young motherhood disappears when census information is in the model showing that other characteristics can explain the association between young motherhood and low birthweight. The model based on registration information only (Figure 1) shows an increased ULVNDPRQJPRWKHUVDJHG±WLPHVKLJKHU25WKDQIRUPRWKHUV aged 25–33 for the 1980s and 1.13 times higher for the 1990s). In both GHFDGHVWKLVDJHJURXSQRORQJHUKDGDVLJQL¿FDQWO\UDLVHGOHYHORIULVN after controlling for all the variables mainly as a result of the poverty of these mothers measured by the Carstairs Deprivation Index. ness m ill −ter Long 4 3 5 tairs Cars tairs Cars tairs Cars no car cou n asso cil/hou ciati sing on ople Births in the 1990s Births in the 1980s Source: ONS Longitudinal Study The next highest likelihood of low birthweight in the 1990s was associated with mothers from a non-White ethnic group: non-White ethnic group mothers had a 62 per cent increased risk of low birthweight compared with White mothers. A high risk of having a low weight baby was also experienced by mothers with a long term illness in the 1990 Census (1.55). Ethnic group and long-term illness were not asked in the 1981 Census so this information was not available for births in the 1980s. 2 pe 1 or regis tra tion Join (samt registr e ad atio dres n Join s) (diff t registr addr atio ess) n Eco nom inac ically tive Sole ale Mot 35− her 44 Fem 4 3 2 5 tairs Cars tairs Cars tairs Cars tairs Cars e 2 ro oms eopl 1 or 5+ p Une mplo yed ale Fem O ut mar side riag e 0 non ethn −Whte icity 0.5 DISCUSSION This study shows that when explaining low birthweight, lone parenthood remains important after accounting for all other factors considered in this analysis (e.g. deprivation, ethnicity, tenure and limiting longWHUPLOOQHVV7KHRQO\VLJQL¿FDQWDVVRFLDWLRQZLWKPRWKHU¶VDJHDIWHU including the census factors was seen in the 1990s for women having a baby at age 35–44. It has been shown from previous analysis of birth records that the risk of having a baby of low birthweight is increased if it is born outside marriage.207KHVHUHVXOWVFRQ¿UPWKDWVROHUHJLVWUDWLRQLVWKHFDWHJRU\ most at risk when controlling for the birth registration variables only. These mothers were twice as likely to have a low birthweight baby 25WKDQPDUULHGFRXSOHVLQWKHV%\FRPSDULVRQEDELHV MRLQWO\UHJLVWHUHGE\DPRWKHUDQGIDWKHUOLYLQJDWWKHVDPHDGGUHVV in other words a cohabiting couple, carried a 33 per cent higher risk. The increased prevalence of births to cohabiting couples might suggest that this might be an alternative to marriage in the 1990s but the birth outcomes for such couples are not as favourable. In interpreting the different results between the 1980s and 1990s, account needs to be taken both of changes in patterns of marriage (more births outside marriage) and mother’s age at childbirth (increasing). It is also important to recognise that none of these risk factors can be singled out as the only or primary cause of low birthweight. When additional information is available for mothers from the ONS LS, the multivariate models show that marital status remains an important indicator of higher risk of low birthweight but the risk is decreased, indicating that these other characteristics account for some of this effect. $OWKRXJKPDULWDOVWDWXVUHPDLQHGVLJQL¿FDQWZKHQWKHFHQVXVLQIRUPDWLRQ was included in the model the effect decreased in both decades. For ELUWKVLQWKHVWKH25GHFUHDVHGIURPUHJLVWUDWLRQYDULDEOHV only) to 1.40 (census variables included). Similarly for births in the VWKH25GHFUHDVHGIURPUHJLVWUDWLRQYDULDEOHVRQO\WR 1.70 (census variables included). The risk for young mothers shown with analysis of the birth registration data disappears when the census 19 N a t i o n a l S t a t i s t i cs H eal th Stati sti cs Q u a r t e rly 3 0 Summer 2006 information is included in models (Figure 2), which indicates that the additional characteristics in the model, mainly social housing, car access and deprivation as measured by the Carstairs Index account for, or H[SODLQWKHHIIHFWRI\RXQJPRWKHUKRRGEHLQJLGHQWL¿HGDVDULVNIDFWRU for low birthweight. There are certain characteristics available from the census that additionally identify certain groups of women at risk of these negative birth outcomes. Ethnicity is known to be associated with the risk of low birthweight and this is evident in the results for the 1990s births. It is known that mothers born in India, Pakistan, Bangladesh and East Africa have the highest proportions of low birthweight babies in the UK.21 Indicators of socio-economic disadvantage, as opposed to sociodemographic characteristics, were generally more important in identifying an adverse birth outcome but the individual measures varied in their usefulness as predictors of low birthweight. The most notable predictors were tenure, car access and the Carstairs index of deprivation. Living in a disadvantaged area increased the likelihood of ORZELUWKZHLJKWVLJQL¿FDQWO\:KHWKHUDIDPLO\KDVDFFHVVWRDFDURUQRW is an important poverty indicator, which is included in the calculations of Carstairs deprivation score, but by itself not having access to a car was RQO\VLJQL¿FDQWIRUORZELUWKZHLJKWEDELHVLQWKHV/LYLQJLQORFDO authority or housing association accommodation in 1991 increased the risk of the mother having a low birthweight baby in the 1990s. This may be related to the increasing proportion of lone mothers throughout the 1980s and 1990s. The proportion of dependent children living in lone parent households in Great Britain increased from 12 per cent in 1981, to 18 per cent in 1992 and 22 per cent in 2001 (lone mothers head around nine out of ten lone parent families).22 A study of births in the LS sample between 1981 to 1994 showed that low birthweight babies with mothers in privately rented accommodation at the time of the 1981 Census were less likely to die before the age of one than those whose mothers lived in local authority housing.6 The relationship between the number of people in the household and low birthweight differed between the 1980s and 1990s. In the 1980s, there was an effect of household size. In the 1990s the risk was higher for 1 to 2 people in the household than for larger households. This category includes lone mother households and, as mentioned previously, the proportion of lone mother households was much higher in the 1990s than in the 1980s. A study using historical data for the cities of Glasgow and (GLQEXUJKVKRZHGWKDWRYHUFURZGLQJZDVDVLJQL¿FDQWFDXVHRILQIDQW mortality.23 A higher proportion of female babies than male babies are of low birthweight (under 2,500g), however, the stillbirth rate and infant mortality rate for low birthweight babies is higher for male than female babies (Table 3). The higher risk of low birthweight amongst female EDELHVLVFRQ¿UPHGLQPXOWLYDULDWHDQDO\VLV7DEOH'HSULYDWLRQ ZDVDOVRDNH\ULVNIDFWRULQWKH¿QDOPRGHOZLWKWKHULVN25RIORZ ELUWKZHLJKWLQFUHDVLQJDVDIÀXHQFHGHFUHDVHV%HLQJDQROGHUPRWKHU Table 3 Birthweight (grams) Under 2,500 2,500–3,499 3,500–4,499 Over 4,500 Not stated All DJHG±ZDVRQO\VLJQL¿FDQWDVDULVNRIORZELUWKZHLJKWLQWKH 1990s, as it was for infant mortality.24 As explained earlier, this is likely to be due in part to the mean age of mothers increasing over time. Increased age is also associated with gestational diabetes, multiple births (more older mothers undergoing IVF treatment), and genetic defects. This risk of low birthweight associated with older mothers cannot however be attributed to the increase in multiple births in this study as the analysis is for singleton births only (multiple births are generally lighter as they are more likely to be preterm births).6 A number of limitations in the information available for analysis in the current study can be addressed in the future. In particular, limited information on educational level was collected in the 1981 and 1991 Censuses. Greater detail is available from the 2001 Census for VXEVHTXHQWDQDO\VLV,QDUHFHQWVWXG\LQ5XVVLDORRNLQJDWWKHHIIHFWRI various socio-demographic and lifestyle factors on pregnancy outcomes, maternal education was found to be the most important social factor LQÀXHQFLQJELUWKZHLJKW25 No information on gestational age was available in this study as it is not routinely collected by birth registration (it is only collected for stillbirths) so it was not possible to compare risk factors for preterm births with low birthweight full-term births. A study carried out in Spain looking at low birthweight associated with socioGHPRJUDSKLFIDFWRUVIRXQGVLJQL¿FDQWGLIIHUHQFHVLQWKHUHODWLRQVKLS between maternal age and low birthweight in preterm births (those during WKH¿UVWZHHNVRIJHVWDWLRQFRPSDUHGWRIXOOWHUPELUWKV26 &KDUDFWHULVWLFVRIWKHPRWKHUVLGHQWL¿HGDWWKH&HQVXVPD\KDYHFKDQJHG by the time of the birth. A previous study with the LS has shown that among women who were married in the 1971 Census but were divorced at the time of the 1981 Census, there were pronounced changes in their housing tenure.27 This study did not examine changing status between censuses. Future analysis examining changes in family type between Censuses, for example, would make it possible to examine whether mothers that have recently separated are more likely to have a low birthweight baby than those who had been lone mothers for a longer period. Exploring the effect of region of residence or whether the mother lives in an urban or rural area or examining the effect of including RFFXSDWLRQDOFODVVL¿FDWLRQVVRFLDOFODVVDYDLODEOHWRDQG166(& 1DWLRQDO6WDWLVWLFV(FRQRPLFDQG6RFLDO&ODVVL¿FDWLRQ±DYDLODEOHIRU 1991 and 2001 Census records) might also prove productive. In the current analysis tenure and employment status were used as an alternative for social class indicators. Analyses similar to those presented in this article have been undertaken with infant mortality as the birth outcome rather than low birthweight. However the numbers of events available for analysis were too small to allow any conclusions to be drawn.24 CONCLUSION This analysis has shown that demographic factors collected at birth registration (particularly lone parenthood) are undoubtedly important for identifying groups at risk of low birthweight babies. However other socio-economic factors available from the Census further identify groups Distribution of live births, stillbirths and infant deaths by birthweight category, 2000–2004 Live births Stillbirths Infant deaths Stillbirth rates Infant death rates Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female 110,862 758,603 659,936 35,144 2,546 122,123 849,177 499,497 16,163 2,336 5,996 1,882 718 89 319 5,290 1,784 466 60 247 5,675 2,204 832 54 183 4,481 1,840 554 44 110 51.3 2.5 1.1 2.5 111.3 41.5 2.1 0.9 3.7 95.6 51.2 2.9 1.3 1.5 71.9 36.7 2.2 1.1 2.7 47.1 1,567,091 1,489,296 9,004 7,847 8,948 7,029 5.7 5.2 5.7 4.7 Nati on a l S t a t ist ic s 20 H e a l t h S t a t i s t i cs Q u a r t e r ly 3 0 at risk and explain some of the variation associated with demographic characteristics at birth, namely lone motherhood and young motherhood. Being a mother from a non-White ethnic group, with a long-standing LOOQHVVRUOLYLQJLQDGHSULYHGDUHDZHUHWKHNH\FKDUDFWHULVWLFVLGHQWL¿HG from additional Census information as being a risk factors for low birthweight. Part of the association between mother’s age and marital status for this adverse birth outcome is because these mothers are more likely to be poor and disadvantaged. The results indicate that there is a higher risk for mothers registering births outside marriage than for those registering births inside marriage, particularly for mothers registering babies alone. This higher risk persists even when their economic situation is taken into consideration, although this risk is lowered when other socio-demographic factors are included in multivariate analysis. The higher risk of lower birthweight for young mothers shown by birth registration statistics disappears once other socio-economic information (primarily tenure, car access and Carstairs Deprivation Index) is included in the analyses, which indicates that this effect can be explained by the disadvantaged situation of these mothers. The effect of young motherhood can be seen to be related to their adverse socio-economic conditions. In terms of identifying groups for policy or intervention purposes, the groups at higher risk of low birthweight remain lone mothers, particularly mothers registering their children alone, young mothers and the oldest mothers. The current analyses show that the higher risk of this adverse birth outcome for these mothers is related to their economic circumstances and that the increased risk for young mothers is entirely accounted for by their deprived socio-economic circumstances. $GGLWLRQDOO\RWKHUJURXSVKDYHEHHQLGHQWL¿HGDVEHLQJZRUWK\IRU attention, namely people of non-White ethnic groups and mothers with a limiting long-term illness or in deprived circumstances. Key findings In the 1990s, the factor most strongly associated with low birthweight was being born outside marriage, where the birth was registered by the mother alone. This was the case even after taking account of the mother’s socio-economic status. M Mothers from non-White ethnic groups had a 62 per cent increased risk of having a low birthweight baby when compared with White mothers, after taking account of their age at the time of the birth, household and area characteristics.. M Mothers living in the most deprived areas had a higher risk of having a low birthweight baby compared with mothers living in the least deprived area (39 per cent in the 1980s and 29 per cent in the 1990s), after taking account of their age at the time of the birth, ethnicity and limiting long-term illness. M REFERENCE 1. Spencer N (2003) :HLJKLQJWKHHYLGHQFH+RZLVELUWKZHLJKW GHWHUPLQHG"5DGFOLIIH0HGLFDO3UHVV/WG2[IRUG8. 2I¿FHIRU1DWLRQDO6WDWLVWLFV±0RUWDOLW\6WDWLVWLFV FKLOGKRRGLQIDQWDQGSHULQDWDO(QJODQGDQG:DOHV, Series DH3. HMSO/TSO: London. 3. Jefferis B, Power C and Hertzman C (2002) Birth weight, childhood socioeconomic environment, and cognitive development in the 1958 British birth cohort study. %0- 325, 305. 5LFK(GZDUGV-:&ROGLW]*$6WDPSIHU0-HWDO (1999) Birthweight and the risk for type 2 diabetes mellitus in adult women. $QQ ,QWHUQ0HG. 130, 278–284. Summer 2006 5LFK(GZDUGV-.OHLQPDQ.0LFKHOV.HWDO (2005) Longitudinal study of birth weight and adult body mass index in predicting risk of coronary heart disease and stroke in women. %0- 330:1115, 278–284. 6. Macfarlane A and Mugford M ( 2000) %LUWK&RXQWV6WDWLVWLFVRI 3UHJQDQF\DQG&KLOGELUWK. Volume 1, TSO: London. 7. Department of Health (2000) 7KH1+63ODQ$SODQIRULQYHVWPHQW $SODQIRUUHIRUP, HMSO: London. 'HSDUWPHQWRI+HDOWK7DFNOLQJKHDOWKLQHTXDOLWLHV$SURJUDPPH for Action. Available from: www.dh.gov.uk/PolicyAndGuidance/ +HDOWK$QG6RFLDO&DUH7RSLFV+HDOWK,QHTXDOLWLHV3URJUDP)RU$FWLRQ fs/en 9. Shouls S, Whitehead M, Burstrom B HWDO (1999) The health and socio-economic circumstances of British lone mothers over the last two decades. 3RSXODWLRQ7UHQGV 95, 41–46. 10. Youngest Mothers’ infants having greatly elevated risk of dying by age one (2003) Digests. 3HUVSHFWLYHVRQ6H[XDODQG5HSURGXFWLYH +HDOWK 2003;35 3DWWHQGHQ6'RON+DQG9ULMKHLG0,QHTXDOLWLHVLQORZ birthweight: parental social class, area deprivation and ‘lone mother’ status. JRXUQDORI(SLGHPLRORJ\DQG&RPPXQWL\+HDOWK 53, 355–358. 12. Fitzpatrick J and Cooper N (2001) Patterns and trends in stillbirths DQGLQIDQWPRUWDOLW\LQ*ULI¿WKV&DQG)LW]SDWULFN-HGV *HRJUDSKLF9DULDWLRQVLQ+HDOWK. Decennial Supplements No.16, TSO: London. 0DKHU-DQG0DFIDUODQH$,QHTXDOLWLHVLQLQIDQWPRUWDOLW\ trends by social class, registration status, mother’s age and birthweight, England and Wales, 1976–2000. +HDOWK6WDWLVWLFV4XDUWHUO\ 24, 14–22. 0RVHU./L/DQG3RZHU&6RFLDOLQHTXDOLWLHVLQORZELUWK weight in England and Wales: trends and implications for future population health. -RXUQDORI(SLGHPLRO&RPP+HDOWK 57, 687–691. 5RQDOGV*DQG/HRQG6WXG\RIWKHUHODWLRQVKLSEHWZHHQHWKQLF ancestry and birth weight in babies born to South Asian and White parents in England and Wales. $YDLODEOHIURPKWWSZZZFHOVLXVOVKWPDFXNSURMHFWVURQDOGVKWPO 16. The ONS Longitudinal study at www.statistics.gov.uk Cited 15 August 2005. 17. Centre for Longitudinal Study Information and Support at www.celsius.lshtm.ac.uk Cited 15 August 2005. 18. United Nations Childrens Fund and World Health Association (2004) /RZELUWKZHLJKW&RXQWU\UHJLRQDODQGJOREDOHVWLPDWHV, UNICEF: New York. &DUVWDLUV9DQG0RUULV5'HSULYDWLRQDQG0RUWDOLW\DQDOWHUnative to social class? &RPPXQLW\0HGLFLQH 11, 213–219. 20. Maher J and Macfarlane A (2004) Trends in live births and birthweight by social class, marital status and mother’s age, 1976–2000. +HDOWK6WDWLVWLFV4XDUWHUO\ 23, 34–43. 21. Davey-Smith G, Chaturvedi N, Harding S HWDO (2000) Ethnic LQHTXDOLWLHVLQKHDOWKDUHYLHZRI8.HSLGHPLRORJLFDOHYLGHQFH &ULWLFDO3XEOLF+HDOWK 10(4), 375–408. 2I¿FHIRU1DWLRQDO6WDWLVWLFV6RFLDO7UHQGV . &K +RXVHKROGVDQG)DPLOLHV, Palgrave Macmillan: Basingstoke, pg 24. 23. Foster J (2002) Overcrowding and Infant mortality: a tale of two cities. 6FRWWLVK-RXUQDORI3ROLWLFDO(FRQRP\ 49, 129–149. 24. Collingwood Bakeo A M (2005).Birthweight and infant PRUWDOLW\ULVNIDFWRUVLGHQWL¿HGIURPELUWKUHJLVWUDWLRQDQGFHQVXV data, England and Wales 1981 to 2000. MSc Thesis. London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. *UMLERYVNL$%\JUHQ/2DQG6YDUWER%6RFLRGHPRJUDSKLF GHWHUPLQDQWVRISRRULQIDQWRXWFRPHLQQRUWKZHVW5XVVLD3DHGLDWULF and Perinatal Epidemiology 16(3), 255–262. 5RGULJXH]&5HJLGRU(DQG*XWLHUUH])LVDF-/RZELUWK weight in Spain associated with sociodemographic factors. -RXUQDORI (SLGHPLRORJ\DQG&RPPXQLW\+HDOWK 49, 38–42. 27. Grundy E (1989) :RPHQ¶VPLJUDWLRQPDUULDJHIHUWLOLW\DQGGLYRUFH. Series LS no.4, HMSO: London. 21 N a t i o n a l S t a t i s t i cs Tables Page Notes to tables 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 2.1 2.2 3.1 3.2 23 Population International ........................................................................................Selected countries National ...............................................................................................Constituent countries of the United Kingdom SXEQDWLRQDO*RYHUQPHQW2I¿FH5HJLRQV of England Age and sex .........................................................................................Constituent countries of the United Kingdom Age, sex and legal marital status ........................................................England and Wales Summary .............................................................................................Constituent countries of the United Kingdom Key demographic and health indicators .............................................Constituent countries of the United Kingdom Age of mother .....................................................................................England and Wales Outside marriage: age of mother and type of registration .................England and Wales (In years) at birth and selected age .....................................................Constituent countries of the United Kingdom 36 37 38 39 40 Expectation of life Deaths Age and sex .........................................................................................England and Wales Subnational..........................................................................................+HDOWK5HJLRQDO2I¿FHDUHDV of England Selected causes and sex ......................................................................England and Wales StatBase® +HDOWK6WDWLVWLFV4XDUWHUO\WDEOHVDUHQRZDYDLODEOHRQ6WDW%DVH® which can be accessed via our website www.statistics.gov.uk Symbols Nati o n a l S t a t ist ic s 34 Conceptions and abortions 5.1 29 32 Live births Age of women at conception ..............................................................England and Wales (residents) Abortions: age and gestation. ............................................................England and Wales 6.3 28 Vital statistics 4.1 4.2 6.1 6.2 24 27 .. not available : not applicable QLORUOHVVWKDQKDOIWKH¿QDOGLJLWVKRZQ blank not yet available 22 22 N a t i o n a l S t a t i s t i cs 41 42 43 44 H e a l t h S t a t i s t i cs Q u a r t e r l y 3 0 Summer 2006 Notes to tables Time series For most tables, years start at 1971 and then FRQWLQXHDW¿YH\HDULQWHUYDOVXQWLO Individual years are shown thereafter. If a year is not present the data are not available. United Kingdom The United Kingdom comprises England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland. The Channel Islands and the Isle of Man are not part of the United Kingdom. Population The estimated resident population of an area includes all people who usually live there, whatever their nationality. Members of HM and US Armed Forces in England and Wales are included on residential basis wherever possible. HM Forces stationed outside England and Wales are not included. Students are taken to be resident at their term time addresses. Further information on population estimates can be found on the National Statistics website at www.statistics.gov.uk/popest Live births )RU(QJODQGDQG:DOHV¿JXUHVUHODWHWR numbers occurring in a period; for Scotland DQG1RUWKHUQ,UHODQG¿JXUHVUHODWHWRWKRVH registered in a period. See also Note on page 63 of 3RSXODWLRQ7UHQGV67. Perinatal mortality ,Q2FWREHUWKHOHJDOGH¿QLWLRQRID stillbirth was changed, from a baby born dead after 28 completed weeks of gestation or more, to one born dead after 24 completed weeks of gestation or more. Expectation of life The life tables on which these expectations are based use current death rates to describe mortality levels for each year. Each individual year shown is based on a three-year period, so that for instance 1986 represents 1985–87. More details can be found in 3RSXODWLRQ7UHQGV 60, page 23. Deaths Figures for England and Wales relate to the number of deaths registered in each year up to 1992, and the number occurring in each \HDUIURPWKRXJKSURYLVLRQDO¿JXUHVDUH registrations. Figures for both Scotland and Northern Ireland relate to the number of deaths registered in each year. Since +HDOWK6WDWLVWLFV4XDUWHUO\ 15, Table 6.2 SUHVHQWVGHDWKVIRU*RYHUQPHQW2I¿FHVIRUWKH 5HJLRQVUDWKHUWKDQ+HDOWK5HJLRQDO2I¿FH areas in England. More details can be found in +HDOWK6WDWLVWLFV4XDUWHUO\ 15, page 2. Age-standardised mortality Directly age-standardised rates make allowances for changes in the age structure of the population. The age-standardised rate for a particular condition is that which would have occurred if WKHREVHUYHGDJHVSHFL¿FUDWHVIRUWKHFRQGLWLRQ had applied in a given standard population. Tables 2.2 and 6.3 use the European Standard Population. This is a hypothetical population standard which is the same for both males and females allowing standardised rates to be compared for each sex, and between males and females. Rounding $OO¿JXUHVDUHURXQGHGLQGHSHQGHQWO\ constituent parts may not add to totals. Generally numbers and rates per 1,000 population are rounded to one decimal place HJZKHUHDSSURSULDWHIRUVPDOO¿JXUHV (below 10.0), two decimal places are given (eg 7.62). Figures which are provisional or estimated are given in less detail (eg 123 or 7.6 respectively) if their reliability does not MXVWLI\JLYLQJWKHVWDQGDUGDPRXQWRIGHWDLO :KHUH¿JXUHVQHHGWREHWUHDWHGZLWKSDUWLFXODU caution, an explanation is given as a footnote. Abortions Figures relate to numbers occurring in a period. Latest figures )LJXUHVIRUWKHODWHVWTXDUWHUVDQG\HDUVPD\EH provisional and will be updated in future issues when later information becomes available. :KHUH¿JXUHVDUHQRW\HWDYDLODEOHFHOOVDUH left blank. Improvements to National Statistics on abortions performed in England and Wales were published in +HDOWK6WDWLVWLFV4XDUWHUO\ 7KHUHYLVHG¿JXUHVDUHSUHVHQWHGLQ7DEOH 4.2. These changes include an improvement LQWKHFDOFXODWLRQRITXDUWHUO\DERUWLRQUDWHV 7KHPLGTXDUWHUSRSXODWLRQHVWLPDWHVXVHGWR calculate these rates, were produced by linear interpolation as follows: 0DUFKTXDUWHU -XQHTXDUWHU 6HSWHPEHUTXDUWHU 'HFHPEHUTXDUWHU 333 333 333 333 Shaded background $VKDGHGEDFNJURXQGLQGLFDWHV¿JXUHVWKDW DUHRUPD\EHVXEMHFWWRFKDQJHWKHJUH\ VKDGLQJVLJQL¿HVWKDWWKHXQGHUO\LQJSRSXODWLRQ estimates relate to those originally published; the coloured shading indicates estimates that have already been revised from the original, but ZLOORUPD\EHVXEMHFWWRIXUWKHUUHYLVLRQ Where P1 = mid-year population estimate of previous year; P2 = mid-year population estimate of year being calculated; 3 SRSXODWLRQSURMHFWLRQIRUQH[W year. For example 0DUFKTXDUWHU SRS SRSSRS 6HSWHPEHUTXDUWHU SRS SRSSRS Marriages and divorces Marriages are tabulated according to date of solemnisation. Divorces are tabulated according to date of decree absolute. In Scotland a small number of late divorces from previous years are added to the current year. The term ‘divorces’ includes decrees of nullity. The fact that a marriage or divorce has taken place in England, Wales, Scotland or Northern Ireland does not necessarily mean that either of the parties is resident there. Sources Figures for Scotland and Northern Ireland have EHHQSURYLGHGE\WKH*HQHUDO5HJLVWHU2I¿FH for Scotland and the Northern Ireland Statistics DQG5HVHDUFK$JHQF\UHVSHFWLYHO\ 23 National Statistics Heal th Stati sti cs Q u a r t e rly 3 0 Summer 2006 Population and vital rates: international Table 1.1 Selected countries Year Numbers (thousands)/Rates per thousand United Kingdom Austria Belgium Cyprus1,3 Czech Republic3 Denmark Estonia3 Finland France Germany2 Greece Hungary3 Irish Republic Population (thousands) 1971 55,928 1976 56,216 1981 56,357 1986 56,684 1991 57,439 7,501 7,566 7,569 7,588 7,813 9,673 9,818 9,859 9,862 9,979 .. 498 515 545 587 9,810 10,094 10,293 10,340 10,309 4,963 5,073 5,121 5,120 5,154 1,369 1,435 1,482 1,534 1,566 4,612 4,726 4,800 4,918 5,014 51,251 52,909 54,182 55,547 57,055 78,313 78,337 78,408 77,720 79,984 8,831 9,167 9,729 9,967 10,247 10,370 10,590 10,712 10,631 10,346 2,992 3,238 3,443 3,543 3,526 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 58,164 58,314 58,475 58,684 58,886 7,953 7,965 7,980 7,990 8,010 10,160 10,180 10,200 10,230 10,250 750 10 760 10 770 10 770 10 780 10 10,321 10,300 10,290 10,280 10,270 5,260 5,275 5,295 5,330 5,340 1,470 1,460 1,450 1,440 1,372 5,117 5,140 5,147 5,170 5,180 58,030 58,610 58,400 58,620 58,900 81,900 82,060 82,030 82,060 82,180 10,480 10,500 10,520 10,530 10,010 10,190 10,150 10,110 10,070 10,020 3,630 3,660 3,700 3,740 3,790 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 59,113 59,322 59,554 59,834 11 .. 8,040 8,080 8,120 8,170 8,20613p 10,290 10,330 10.380 10,396 10,44613p 790 10 800 10 810 10 .. .. 10,220 10,206 10,203 10,212 10,22113p 5,360 5,370 5,390 5,400 5,41113p 1,360 1,361 1,350 1,351 P 1,34713p 5,190 5,200 5,210 5,230 5,23713p 59,190 59,490 59,770 60,200 60,56113p 82,350 82,490 82,530 82,500 82,50113p 10,020 10,988 11,018 11,041 11,07613p 10,190 10,160 10,130 10,117 10,09713p 3,840 3,920 3,980 4,028 4,10913p Population changes (per 1,000 per annum) 1971–76 1.0 1.7 3.0 1976–81 0.5 0.1 0.8 1981–86 1.2 0.5 0.1 1986–91 2.7 5.9 2.4 3.6 3.6 1991–96 2.5 .. 6.8 11.7 15.4 55.5 5.8 3.9 0.9 –0.6 0.1 4.4 1.9 0.0 1.3 4.1 9.6 6.6 7.0 4.2 –12.4 4.9 3.1 4.9 3.9 3.8 6.5 4.8 5.0 5.4 3.4 0.1 0.2 –1.8 5.8 4.8 7.6 12.3 4.9 5.6 4.5 4.2 2.3 –1.5 –5.4 –3.0 16.4 12.7 5.8 –1.0 4.3 1997–98 1998–99 1999–2000 2000–01 2001–02 2002–03 2003–04 2004–05 2.0 2.9 2.0 3.9 3.9 4.8 1.5 4.8 13.2 10.0 13.0 12.8 12.7 12.5 .. .. –1.0 –1.0 –1.0 –4.9 –2.0 0.0 1.2 0.9 3.8 6.6 1.9 3.7 1.9 3.7 1.9 2.0 –6.8 –16.9 –47.2 –8.7 0.0 –7.4 0.7 –3.0 1.4 4.5 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 3.8 1.3 –3.6 3.8 4.8 4.9 5.1 4.7 7.2 6.0 –0.4 –0.4 1.5 2.1 1.7 0.5 –0.4 0.0 1.9 1.0 –49.4 1.0 96.8 2.7 1.9 3.2 –3.9 –4.0 –5.0 17.0 –2.9 –3.0 –1.3 –2.0 10.9 10.8 13.4 13.2 20.8 15.3 12.1 20.1 Live birth rate (per 1,000 per annum) 1971–75 14.1 13.3 1976–80 12.5 11.5 1981–85 12.9 12.0 1986–90 13.7 11.6 1991–95 13.2 11.8 13.4 12.5 12.0 12.1 12.0 17.7 19.0 20.2 18.8 16.9 17.8 17.1 13.5 12.7 11.1 14.6 12.0 10.2 11.5 13.1 15.4 15.0 15.6 15.5 10.7 13.1 13.6 13.4 12.7 12.9 16.0 14.1 14.2 13.8 12.7 10.5 10.5 10.7 9.8 10.9 15.8 15.6 13.3 10.6 9.9 16.1 15.8 12.3 11.8 11.7 22.2 21.3 19.2 15.8 14.0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 12.6 12.5 12.3 11.9 11.5 11.0 10.4 10.1 9.7 9.7 11.5 11.4 11.2 11.1 11.2 14.5 13.9 13.1 12.4 12.2 8.8 8.8 8.8 8.7 8.8 12.9 12.8 12.5 12.4 12.6 9.0 8.7 8.4 8.7 9.6 11.8 11.5 11.1 11.1 11.0 12.6 12.4 12.6 12.6 13.2 9.7 9.9 9.7 9.4 9.3 9.6 9.7 9.6 11.0 11.7 10.3 9.9 9.6 9.4 9.7 13.9 14.4 14.5 14.2 14.3 2001 2002 2003 2004 11.3 11.3 11.7 12.1 9.3 9.7 9.4 9.7 11.1 .. .. 11.2 11.6 11.1 .. .. 8.9 9.1 9.2 9.6 12.2 11.9 12.0 11.9 9.3 9.6 .. 10.4 10.8 10.7 10.9 11.4 13.1 12.8 12.7 .. 9.0 8.7 8.6 8.6 10.2 .. 9.5 .. 9.7 9.5 9.3 .. 15.1 15.5 15.7 15.3 Death rate (per 1,000 per annum) 1971–75 11.8 12.6 1976–80 11.9 12.3 1981–85 11.7 12.0 1986–90 11.4 11.1 1991–95 11.1 10.4 12.1 11.6 11.4 10.8 10.4 9.9 10.4 10.0 10.2 9.0 12.4 12.5 12.8 12.4 11.6 10.1 10.5 11.1 11.5 11.9 11.1 12.1 12.3 11.9 13.9 9.5 9.3 9.3 9.8 9.8 10.7 10.2 10.1 9.5 9.1 12.3 12.2 12.0 11.6 10.8 8.6 8.8 9.0 9.3 9.5 11.9 12.9 13.7 13.5 14.3 11.0 10.2 9.4 9.1 8.8 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 10.9 10.8 10.8 10.8 10.3 10.0 9.8 9.7 9.7 9.5 10.3 10.2 10.3 10.3 10.2 8.5 8.8 8.0 7.4 7.7 10.9 10.9 10.6 10.7 10.6 11.6 11.3 11.0 11.1 10.9 12.9 12.7 13.4 12.8 13.4 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.5 9.5 9.2 9.0 9.2 9.2 9.1 10.8 10.5 10.4 10.4 10.2 9.6 9.5 9.8 9.9 10.5 14.0 13.7 13.9 14.2 13.5 8.7 8.6 8.5 8.5 8.2 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005P 10.2 10.2 10.3 9.7 9.7 9.2 9.5 9.5 9.1 .. 10.1 .. .. 9.8 .. 6.9 7.3 .. .. .. 10.5 10.6 10.9 10.5 .. 10.9 10.9 10.7 10.3 .. 13.6 13.5 .. 13.2 .. 9.4 9.5 9.4 9.1 .. 9.0 9.0 9.2 .. .. 10.0 10.2 10.3 10.0 .. 10.2 .. 9.6 .. .. 13.0 13.1 13.4 .. .. 7.8 7.5 7.4 7.0 .. 2.8 3.6 3.4 3.9 3.5 3.9 4.7 .. 1.9 1.3 2.5 3.7 5.0 5.0 6.2 4.4 12 12 14 Note: Estimated population (mid-year), live birth and death rates up to the latest available date, as given in the United Nations Monthly Bulletin of Statistics (November 2005), the United Nations Demographic Yearbook (2000 Edn), Eurostat Yearbook 2004 and the Eurostat website (April 2006). 1 Republic of Cyprus - Greek Cypriot controlled area only 2 Including former GDR throughout. 3 The European Union consists of 25 member countries (EU25) - 1 May 2004 (10 new member countries). 4 Including the Indian held part of Jammu and Kashmir, the final status of which has not yet been determined. 5 Rates are based on births to or deaths of Japanese nationals only. National Statistics 24 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 p Excludes Hong Kong. Estimate prepared by the Population Division of the United Nations. Includes Hong Kong. Rate is for 1990–1995. Indicates population estimates of uncertain reliability. Data for mid-2004 for the United Kingdom, Great Britain, England and Wales and England were revised due to the Harrow correction that was published on 20 December 2005. Birth and death rates for 2004 have been calculated using the revised mid-2004 population estimates published on 20 December 2005. As at 1 January. Death rates for 2005 are based on the 2004 based Population Projections for 2005. Provisional H e a l t h S t a t i s t i cs Q u a r t e r ly 3 0 Summer 2006 Nether– lands Poland3 Portugal Slovakia3 Slovenia3 Spain Sweden Population and vital rates: international Table 1.1 continued Selected countries Year Numbers (thousands)/Rates per thousand United Kingdom Italy Latvia3 Lithuania3 Luxem– bourg Malta3 Population (thousands) 1971 55,928 1976 56,216 1981 56,357 1986 56,684 1991 57,439 54,073 55,718 56,502 56,596 56,751 2,366 2,465 2,515 2,588 2,662 3,160 3,315 3,422 3,560 3,742 342 361 365 368 387 330 330 322 344 358 13,194 13,774 14,247 14,572 15,070 32,800 34,360 35,902 37,456 38,245 8,644 9,356 9,851 10,011 9,871 4,540 4,764 4,996 5,179 5,283 1,732 1,809 1,910 1,975 2,002 34,216 36,118 37,741 38,536 38,920 8,098 8,222 8,320 8,370 8,617 .. 420,258 428,563 433,555 440,927 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 58,164 58,314 58,475 58,684 58,886 57,380 57,520 57,590 57,650 57,760 2,460 2,430 2,410 2,390 2,370 3,615 3,580 3,550 3,520 3,512 420 416 430 427 440 380 380 390 390 389 15,530 15,610 15,710 15,810 15,910 38,620 38,650 38,670 38,650 38,260 10,060 10,090 10,130 10,170 10,230 5,368 5,379 5,388 5,393 5,399 1,990 1,987 1,985 1,978 1,988 39,430 39,520 39,650 39,840 40,170 8,838 8,845 8,848 8,860 8,870 447,522 448,785 449,121 449,994 450,287 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 59,113 59,322 59,554 59,834 11 .. 57,950 57,160 57.610 58,170 58,46213p 2,364 2,340 2,332 2,310 2,30613p 3,480 3,470 3,460 3,440 3,42513p 440 450 450 450 45513p 390 390 400 400 40313p 16,050 16,150 16,220 16,270 16,30513p 38,250 38,230 38,200 38,180 38,17413p 10,290 10,370 10,440 10,500 P 10,52913p 5,379 5,379 5,379 5,380 5,38513p 1,990 2,000 2,000 2,000 1,99813p 40,610 41,200 41,870 P 42,345 43,03813p 8,900 8,920 8,960 8,990 9,01113p 452,043 453,772 455,764 457,645 .. 9.8 6.5 8.1 10.2 –1.7 10.7 2.5 1.8 10.2 17.0 0.0 –4.8 13.7 8.1 8.4 8.8 6.9 4.6 6.8 4.6 9.5 9.0 8.7 4.2 2.0 16.5 10.6 3.2 –2.8 3.8 9.9 9.7 7.3 4.0 3.4 8.9 11.2 6.8 2.7 –1.1 11.1 9.0 4.2 2.0 2.6 3.1 2.4 1.2 5.9 1.2 .. 4.0 2.3 3.4 3.0 –8.2 –8.3 –8.4 –4.2 –8.5 –4.3 –8.6 –1.7 –8.4 –8.5 –2.3 –9.1 –2.9 –2.9 –5.8 –4.4 33.7 –0.7 30.4 0.0 22.7 0.0 0.0 11.1 26.3 0.0 –2.6 2.6 0.0 25.6 0.0 7.5 6.4 6.4 6.3 8.8 6.2 4.3 3.1 2.2 0.5 –0.5 –10.1 –0.3 –0.5 –0.8 –0.5 –0.2 4.0 3.9 5.9 5.9 –7.8 6.8 5.7 2.8 1.5 0.7 0.9 –3.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 –1.0 –3.5 5.1 1.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 –1.0 3.3 4.8 8.3 11.0 14.5 16.3 11.3 16.4 0.3 1.4 1.1 3.4 2.2 4.5 3.3 2.3 0.7 1.9 0.7 3.9 3.8 4.4 2.5 .. Live birth rate (per 1,000 per annum) 1971–75 14.1 16.0 14.4 1976–80 12.5 12.6 13.9 1981–85 12.9 10.6 15.2 1986–90 13.7 9.8 15.3 1991–95 13.2 9.6 10.8 16.4 15.4 16.0 15.8 13.1 11.6 11.2 11.6 12.2 13.3 17.5 17.0 15.3 16.0 14.0 14.9 12.6 12.2 12.8 12.8 17.9 19.3 19.0 15.5 12.9 20.3 17.9 14.5 11.9 11.4 19.7 20.3 18.0 15.8 13.3 16.4 16.3 14.2 12.3 10.0 19.2 17.1 12.8 10.8 9.8 13.5 11.6 11.3 13.2 13.3 .. .. .. .. .. 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 12.6 12.5 12.3 11.9 11.5 9.2 9.4 9.3 9.3 9.4 7.9 7.6 7.5 8.0 8.3 10.5 10.2 10.4 10.3 9.8 13.7 13.1 12.7 13.0 13.1 13.5 13.1 12.2 11.4 10.8 12.2 12.3 12.7 12.7 13.0 11.1 10.7 10.2 9.9 9.8 11.1 11.4 11.4 11.6 11.8 11.2 11.0 10.7 10.4 10.2 9.4 9.1 9.0 8.8 9.1 9.2 9.4 9.3 9.6 9.8 10.8 10.2 10.1 10.0 10.2 10.8 10.7 10.5 10.5 10.6 2001 2002 2003 2004 11.3 11.3 11.7 12.1 9.3 9.3 9.4 .. 8.3 8.6 .. .. 9.1 8.7 8.9 8.9 12.4 12.0 11.5 12.1 .. .. .. .. 12.6 12.6 12.4 11.9 9.5 9.2 9.2 9.3 10.8 11.0 11.2 10.4 9.5 9.5 9.7 10.0 8.8 8.8 8.7 9.0 .. .. .. .. 10.3 10.7 11.1 11.2 10.4 10.3 .. .. Death rate (per 1,000 per annum) 1971–75 11.8 9.8 1976–80 11.9 9.7 1981–85 11.7 9.5 1986–90 11.4 9.4 1991–95 11.1 9.7 11.6 12.6 12.8 12.4 14.8 9.0 10.1 10.6 10.3 12.0 12.2 11.5 11.2 10.5 9.8 9.0 9.0 8.2 7.4 7.6 8.3 8.1 8.3 8.5 8.8 8.4 9.2 9.6 10.0 10.2 11.0 10.1 9.6 9.6 10.4 9.4 9.8 10.1 10.1 9.9 10.0 9.8 10.3 9.6 9.7 8.5 8.0 7.7 8.2 8.7 10.5 10.9 11.0 11.1 10.9 .. .. .. .. .. 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 10.9 10.8 10.8 10.8 10.3 9.6 9.8 10.0 9.9 9.7 13.8 13.8 14.2 13.7 13.2 11.6 11.1 11.5 11.4 11.1 9.4 9.4 9.2 8.8 8.6 7.4 7.7 8.1 8.2 7.6 8.9 8.7 8.8 8.9 8.8 10.0 9.8 9.7 9.9 9.5 10.8 10.6 10.7 10.8 10.6 9.8 9.7 9.9 9.7 9.8 9.4 9.5 9.6 9.5 9.3 8.9 8.9 9.2 9.1 9.1 10.6 10.5 10.5 10.7 10.5 10.1 10.0 10.0 10.0 9.8 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005P 10.2 10.2 10.3 9.7 9.7 9.6 9.7 10.8 .. .. 14.0 13.9 .. .. .. 11.6 11.8 11.9 12.0 .. 8.4 8.4 8.6 7.9 .. .. .. .. .. .. 8.8 8.9 8.7 8.4 .. 9.4 9.4 9.6 .. .. 10.4 10.2 10.9 9.7 .. 9.6 9.6 9.7 9.6 .. 9.3 9.3 9.7 9.3 .. 8.9 .. .. .. .. 10.5 10.7 10.4 10.1 .. 9.7 9.8 .. .. .. Population changes (per 1,000 per annum) 1971–76 1.0 6.1 8.4 1976–81 0.5 2.8 4.1 1981–86 1.2 0.3 5.8 1986–91 2.7 0.5 5.7 2.2 –12.8 1991–96 2.5 1997–98 1998–99 1999–2000 2000–01 2001–02 2002–03 2003–04 2004–05 1.2 1.0 1.9 3.3 –13.6 7.9 9.7 5.0 2.8 3.6 3.4 3.9 3.5 3.9 4.7 .. 12 12 14 See notes on first page of table. 25 National Statistics EU–253 Heal th Stati sti cs Q u a r t e rly 3 0 Table 1.1 continued Summer 2006 Population and vital rates: international Selected countries Numbers (thousands)/Rates per thousand Year United Kingdom EU–25 3 Russian Federation Australia Canada New Zealand China India4 Population (thousands) 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 55,928 56,216 56,357 56,684 57,439 .. 420,258 428,563 433,555 440,927 130,934 135,027 139,225 144,154 148,245 13,067 14,033 14,923 16,018 17,284 22,026 23,517 24,900 26,204 28,031 2,899 3,163 3,195 3,317 3,477 852,290 937,170 1,008,460 1,086,733 1,170,100 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 58,164 58,314 58,475 58,684 58,886 447,552 448,785 449,121 449,994 450,287 147,739 147,105 146,540 145,940 145,560 18,311 18,524 18,710 18,930 19,150 29,610 29,910 30,160 30,490 30,770 3,730 3,780 3,820 3,840 3,860 1,223,890 6,10 1,236,260 6,10 1,248,100 6,10 1,259,090 6,10 1,275,130 7,8,10 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 59,113 59,322 59,554 59,834 11 .. 452,043 453,772 455,764 457,645 .. 145,980 145,310 144,570 143,820 .. 19,410 19,640 19,870 20,110 .. 31,110 31,410 31,630 31,950 .. 3,850 3,940 4,010 4,060 .. .. .. .. .. .. 6 6 6 6 6 Japan5 USA 105,145 113,094 117,902 121,672 123,964 207,661 218,035 229,958 240,680 252,639 125,761 126,065 126,400 126,630 126,840 265,463 268,008 270,300 272,691 275,260 127,130 127,400 127,650 126,670 .. 284,800 288,370 290,810 291,685 .. 23.9 18.8 27.3 22.1 21.1 15.1 8.5 6.4 3.8 2.9 10.0 10.9 9.3 9.9 10.2 19.0 18.8 18.5 18.2 16.8 16.7 16.3 2.7 1.8 1.7 2.3 2.1 2.0 0.2 8.6 8.8 9.4 34.7 12.5 8.5 3.0 551,311 617,248 675,185 767,199 851,897 941,580 959,800 978,080 996,430 1,014,820 10 10 10 10 10 1,033,325 10 1,050,640 10 1,068.210 10 1,085,600 10 .. Population changes (per 1,000 per annum) 1971–76 1.0 1976–81 0.5 1981–86 1.2 1986–91 2.6 1991–96 2.5 .. 4.0 2.3 3.4 3.0 6.3 6.2 7.1 5.7 –0.7 14.8 12.7 14.7 15.8 11.9 13.5 11.8 10.5 13.9 11.3 18.2 2.0 7.6 9.6 15.1 19.9 15.2 15.5 15.3 9.2 6 1997–98 1998–99 1999–2000 2000–01 2001–02 2002–03 2003–04 0.7 1.9 0.7 3.9 3.8 4.4 2.5 –3.8 –4.1 –2.6 2.9 –4.6 –5.1 –5.2 10.0 11.8 11.6 13.6 11.8 11.7 12.1 8.4 10.9 9.2 11.0 9.6 7.0 10.1 10.6 5.2 5.2 –2.6 23.4 17.8 12.5 9.6 8.8 12.7 .. .. .. .. 6 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 10.2 18.8 15.7 15.6 15.1 .. 15.9 15.5 15.1 14.8 .. 20.4 16.8 15.8 17.1 .. 27.2 6 18.6 6 19.2 6 .. 18.5 6,9 35.6 33.4 .. .. .. 18.6 14.9 12.6 10.6 .. 15.3 15.2 15.7 16.0 .. 27.3 .. 26.2 .. .. 9.6 9.5 9.5 9.3 9.4 14.7 14.5 14.6 14.5 14.7 .. .. .. .. 9.2 9.1 8.8 .. 14.1 13.9 14.1 .. 15.5 13.8 .. .. .. 6.4 6.1 6.1 6.4 .. 9.1 8.7 8.6 8.7 .. 8.9 .. 9.0 .. .. 7.1 7.2 7.4 7.8 7.6 8.7 8.6 8.6 8.8 8.7 .. .. .. .. .. 7.6 7.7 7.9 .. .. 8.5 8.5 8.4 .. .. 2.8 3.6 3.4 3.9 3.5 3.9 4.7 Live birth rate (per 1,000 per annum) 1971–75 14.1 1976–80 12.5 1981–85 12.9 1986–90 13.7 1991–95 13.2 P 6 6 6 6 6 8 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 12.6 12.5 12.3 11.9 11.5 10.8 10.7 10.5 10.5 10.6 8.8 8.6 8.7 8.3 8.6 13.9 13.6 13.3 13.1 13.0 12.3 11.6 11.3 11.0 10.8 15.4 15.4 14.5 14.9 14.7 9.8 9.1 8.1 7.8 8.1 6 2001 2002 2003 2004 11.3 11.3 11.7 12.1 10.4 10.3 .. .. 9.0 9.6 10.2 10.5 12.7 12.8 12.6 12.7 .. .. .. .. 14.4 13.7 14.0 14.3 7.2 7.1 6.9 7.2 8 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 13.7 8.2 7.6 7.3 7.2 .. 7.4 7.2 7.0 7.3 .. 8.4 8.2 8.1 8.2 .. 7.3 6.6 6.7 .. .. 6 12 Death rate (per 1,000 per annum) 1971–75 11.8 1976–80 11.9 1981–85 11.7 1986–90 11.4 1991–95 11.1 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 6 6 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 10.9 10.8 10.8 10.8 10.3 10.1 10.0 10.0 10.0 9.8 14.1 13.7 13.6 14.7 15.3 7.0 7.0 6.8 6.8 6.7 7.2 7.2 7.2 7.4 7.5 7.6 7.3 6.9 7.3 6.9 5.0 4.9 5.0 5.0 5.1 6 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005P 10.2 10.2 10.3 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.8 .. .. .. 15.6 .. .. .. .. 6.6 6.8 6.6 6.6 .. .. .. .. .. .. 7.2 7.1 7.0 7.0 .. 5.0 5.0 5.4 5.3 .. 8 12 14 See notes on first page of table. National Statistics 26 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 P P P P 7 H e a l t h S t a t i s t i cs Q u a r t e r ly 3 0 Table 1.2 Summer 2006 Population: national Constituent countries of the United Kingdom Mid-year Numbers (thousands) and percentage age distribution United Kingdom Great Britain England and Wales England Wales Scotland Northern Ireland Estimates 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 55,928 56,216 56,357 56,684 57,439 54,388 54,693 54,815 55,110 55,831 49,152 49,459 49,634 49,999 50,748 46,412 46,660 46,821 47,188 47,875 2,740 2,799 2,813 2,811 2,873 5,236 5,233 5,180 5,112 5,083 1,540 1,524 1,543 1,574 1,607 19933 19943 19953 19963 19973 57,714 57,862 58,025 58,164 58,314 56,078 56,218 56,376 56,503 56,643 50,986 51,116 51,272 51,410 51,560 48,102 48,229 48,383 48,519 48,665 2,884 2,887 2,889 2,891 2,895 5,092 5,102 5,104 5,092 5,083 1,636 1,644 1,649 1,662 1,671 19983 19993 20003 20013 20023 2003 20044 58,475 58,684 58,886 59,113 59,322 59,554 59,834 56,797 57,005 57,203 57,424 57,625 57,851 58,124 51,720 51,933 52,140 52,360 52,570 52,794 53,046 48,821 49,033 49,233 49,450 49,647 49,856 50,093 2,900 2,901 2,907 2,910 2,923 2,938 2,952 5,077 5,072 5,063 5,064 5,055 5,057 5,078 1,678 1,679 1,683 1,689 1,697 1,703 1,710 5.7 13.8 40.2 21.7 11.0 7.6 5.6 13.7 40.2 21.8 11.0 7.6 5.7 13.8 40.2 21.7 11.0 7.7 5.7 13.8 40.4 21.6 10.9 7.6 5.4 14.0 37.5 22.7 12.0 8.4 5.2 13.2 39.8 22.7 11.7 7.3 6.4 16.0 41.4 20.1 9.9 6.2 60,533 61,892 63,304 64,727 58,800 60,124 61,504 62,897 53,691 55,005 56,378 57,770 50,714 51,967 53,276 54,605 2,977 3,037 3,102 3,165 5,108 5,120 5,126 5,127 1,733 1,767 1,800 1,830 5.6 12.0 36.8 25.9 10.2 9.5 5.6 12.0 36.8 25.9 10.2 9.5 5.6 12.1 36.9 25.8 10.1 9.5 5.6 12.1 37.1 25.8 10.0 9.4 5.3 11.8 34.7 25.9 11.6 10.6 5.0 11.2 35.0 27.6 11.3 10.0 5.9 13.0 37.2 25.6 9.5 8.6 of which (percentages) 0–4 5–15 16–44 45–64M/59F 65M/60F–74 75 and over Projections1 2006 2011 2016 2021 of which (percentages) 0–4 5–15 16–44 45–642 65–742 75 and over Note: Figures may not add exactly due to rounding. 1 National projections based on mid-2004 population estimates. 2 Between 2010 and 2020, state retirement age will change from 65 years for men and 60 years for women to 65 years for both sexes. 3 These revised population estimates were published on 9 September 2004 (for mid-2001 and mid-2002) and 7 October 2004 (for mid-1992 to mid-2000), following the local authority population studies, and replace all earlier versions. All figures shown on this table are now therefore on a consistent basis. 4 Data for mid-2004 for the United Kingdom, Great Britain, England and Wales and England were revised due to the Harrow correction that was published on 20 December 2005. Tel no. for all queries relating to population estimates - 01329 813318 27 National Statistics Heal th Stati sti cs Q u a r t e rly 3 0 Table 1.3 Summer 2006 Population: subnational Government Office Regions of England1 Mid-year Numbers (thousands) and percentage age distribution North East North West Yorkshire and the Humber East Midlands West Midlands East London South East South West Estimates 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 2,679 2,671 2,636 2,594 2,587 7,108 7,043 6,940 6,833 6,843 4,902 4,924 4,918 4,884 4,936 3,652 3,774 3,853 3,908 4,011 5,146 5,178 5,187 5,180 5,230 4,454 4,672 4,854 4,999 5,121 7,529 7,089 6,806 6,774 6,829 6,830 7,029 7,245 7,468 7,629 4,112 4,280 4,381 4,548 4,688 19934 19944 19954 19964 19974 2,594 2,589 2,583 2,576 2,568 6,847 6,839 6,828 6,810 6,794 4,954 4,960 4,961 4,961 4,958 4,056 4,072 4,092 4,108 4,120 5,246 5,249 5,257 5,263 5,262 5,154 5,178 5,206 5,233 5,267 6,844 6,874 6,913 6,974 7,015 7,673 7,712 7,763 7,800 7,853 4,734 4,757 4,782 4,793 4,827 19984 19994 20004 20014 20024 2003 2004 2,561 2,550 2,543 2,540 2,538 2,539 2,545 6,792 6,773 6,774 6,773 6,783 6,805 6,827 4,958 4,956 4,959 4,977 4,993 5,009 5,039 4,133 4,152 4,168 4,190 4,223 4,252 4,280 5,271 5,272 5,270 5,281 5,304 5,320 5,334 5,302 5,339 5,375 5,400 5,422 5,463 5,491 7,065 7,154 7,237 7,322 7,371 7,388 7,4295 7,889 7,955 7,991 8,023 8,044 8,080 8,110 4,849 4,881 4,917 4,943 4,968 4,999 5,038 5.3 13.6 39.1 22.6 11.8 7.7 5.6 14.2 39.5 22.0 11.3 7.5 5.6 14.0 39.7 21.9 11.1 7.6 5.5 13.9 39.3 22.5 11.2 7.7 5.8 14.3 39.3 21.8 11.3 7.6 5.7 13.9 38.6 22.4 11.4 8.0 6.5 12.9 48.7 18.0 8.2 5.7 5.6 13.9 39.1 22.3 11.0 8.1 5.1 13.3 36.9 22.9 12.3 9.4 2,535 2,525 2,516 2,510 2,502 2,489 6,811 6,852 6,914 6,987 7,057 7,107 5,022 5,079 5,154 5,234 5,313 5,379 4,275 4,366 4,479 4,594 4,706 4,804 5,330 5,380 5,451 5,531 5,609 5,672 5,499 5,646 5,833 6,025 6,212 6,380 7,431 7,614 7,858 8,105 8,331 8,523 8,122 8,300 8,527 8,765 9,005 9,222 5,031 5,163 5,328 5,498 5,668 5,823 4.7 11.2 33.7 25.3 12.7 12.3 5.3 12.1 35.4 24.9 11.1 11.2 5.4 12.1 35.7 24.6 11.0 11.3 5.1 11.9 33.9 25.6 11.5 12.1 5.6 12.5 34.7 25.1 10.7 11.4 5.4 12.3 34.0 25.0 11.2 12.2 6.3 11.7 43.8 24.2 7.4 6.6 5.4 12.1 35.0 25.1 10.8 11.7 4.8 11.3 32.8 25.3 12.1 13.7 of which (percentages) 0–4 5–15 16–44 45–64M/59F 65M/60F–74 75 and over Projections2 2004 2008 2013 2018 2023 2028 of which (percentages) 0–4 5–15 16–44 45–643 65–743 75 and over Note: Figures may not add exactly due to rounding. 1 From 1 April 2002 there are four Directorates of Health and Social Care (DHSCs) within the Department of Health. The GORs sit within the DHSCs as follows: North East, North West, Yorkshire and the Humber GORs are within North DHSC, East Midlands, West Midlands and East GORs are within Midlands and Eastern DHSC, London GOR equates to London DHSC and South East and South West GORs are within South DHSC. See ‘In brief’ Health Statistics Quarterly 15 for further details of changes to Health Areas. 2 These projections are based on the mid-2003 population estimates and are consistent with the 2003-based national projections produced by the Government Actuary’s Department and presented in Table 1.2 in Health Statistics Quarterly nos 25 to 28. 3 Between 2010 and 2020, state retirement age will change from 65 years for men and 60 years for women to 65 years for both sexes. 4 These revised population estimates were published on 9 September 2004 (for mid-2001 and mid-2002) and 7 October 2004 (for mid-1992 to mid-2000), following the local authority population studies, and replace all earlier versions. All figures shown on this table are now therefore on a consistent basis. 5 Data for mid-2004 for London were revised due to the Harrow correction that was published on 20 December 2005. National Statistics 28 H e a l t h S t a t i s t i cs Q u a r t e r ly 3 0 Table 1.4 Summer 2006 Population: age and sex Constituent countries of the United Kingdom Numbers (thousands) Age group Mid-year All ages Under 1 1–4 5–14 15–24 25–34 35–44 45–59 60–64 65–74 75–84 85–89 90 and over United Kingdom Persons 1976 1981 1986 1991 19961 56,216 56,357 56,684 57,439 58,164 19981 19991 20001 20011 20021 Under 16 16– 64/59 65/60 and over 677 730 748 790 719 3,043 2,726 2,886 3,077 3,019 9.176 8,147 7,143 7,141 7,544 8.126 9,019 9,200 8,168 7,231 7,868 8,010 8,007 8,898 9,131 6,361 6,774 7,711 7,918 7,958 9,836 9,540 9,212 9,500 10,553 3,131 2,935 3,069 2,888 2,785 5,112 5,195 5,020 5,067 5,066 2,348 2,677 2,971 3,119 3,129 390 .. 716 626 711 147 .. .. 248 317 13,797 12,543 11,645 11,685 12,018 32,757 33,780 34,725 35,197 35,498 9,663 10,035 10,313 10,557 10,649 58,475 58,684 58,886 59,113 59,322 713 704 682 663 661 2,930 2,896 2,869 2,819 2,753 7,649 7,684 7,652 7,624 7,601 7,079 7,090 7,139 7,261 7,403 8,948 8,795 8,646 8,475 8,256 8,285 8,474 8,678 8,846 9,002 10,767 10,887 11,011 11,168 11,316 2,835 2,877 2,900 2,884 2,890 4,979 4,948 4,940 4,947 4,969 3,211 3,230 3,249 3,296 3,345 736 746 755 753 739 344 354 364 377 388 12,013 12,011 11,959 11,863 11,783 35,746 35,928 36,138 36,406 36,622 10,717 10,745 10,788 10,845 10,916 2003 20042 59,554 59,834 679 705 2,703 2,684 7,542 7,477 7,575 7,720 8,070 7,937 9,108 9,192 11,424 11,517 2,943 3,021 5,005 5,033 3,401 3,435 706 703 399 409 11,712 11,646 36,828 37,064 11,014 11,125 Males 1976 1981 1986 1991 19961 27,360 27.412 27,542 27,909 28,287 348 374 384 403 369 1,564 1,400 1,478 1,572 1,547 4,711 4,184 3,664 3,655 3,857 4,145 4,596 4,663 4,146 3,652 3,981 4,035 4,022 4,432 4,540 3,214 3,409 3,864 3,949 3,954 4,820 4,711 4,572 4,732 5,244 1,466 1,376 1,463 1,390 1,360 2,204 2,264 2,206 2,272 2,311 775 922 1,060 1,146 1,187 101 .. 166 166 201 31 .. .. 46 65 7,083 6,439 5,968 5,976 6,148 17.167 17,646 18,142 18,303 18,375 3,111 3,327 3,432 3,630 3,764 19981 19991 20001 20011 20021 28,458 28,578 28,690 28,832 28,963 365 361 350 338 339 1,503 1,485 1,469 1,445 1,409 3,916 3,934 3,920 3,906 3,895 3,570 3,577 3,606 3,672 3,754 4,444 4,367 4,292 4,215 4,107 4,109 4,200 4,298 4,382 4,460 5,342 5,400 5,457 5,534 5,604 1,388 1,409 1,420 1,412 1,414 2,293 2,289 2,294 2,308 2,327 1,240 1,259 1,278 1,308 1,339 215 221 225 227 226 73 77 81 85 89 6,151 6,152 6,128 6,077 6,037 18,486 18,582 18,685 18,827 18,945 3,821 3,845 3,878 3,928 3,982 2003 2004 29,108 29,271 349 361 1,384 1,375 3,864 3,833 3,850 3,933 4,018 3,954 4,514 4,553 5,653 5,694 1,439 1,476 2,354 2,374 1,371 1,394 219 224 94 99 6,002 5,970 19,068 19,210 4,038 4,091 Females 1976 1981 1986 1991 19961 28,856 28,946 29,142 29,530 29,877 330 356 364 387 350 1,479 1,327 1,408 1,505 1,472 4,465 3,963 3,480 3,487 3,687 3,980 4,423 4,538 4,021 3,579 3,887 3,975 3,985 4,466 4,591 3,147 3,365 3,847 3,968 4,005 5,015 4,829 4,639 4,769 5,309 1,665 1,559 1,606 1,498 1,426 2,908 2,931 2,814 2,795 2,755 1,573 1,756 1,911 1,972 1,942 289 .. 550 460 509 116 .. .. 202 252 6,714 6,104 5,678 5,709 5,870 15,590 16,134 16,583 16,894 17,123 6,552 6,708 6,881 6,927 6,885 19981 19991 20001 20011 20021 30,017 30,106 30,196 30,281 30,359 348 343 333 324 323 1,427 1,412 1,399 1,375 1,344 3,733 3,750 3,732 3,718 3,706 3,509 3,513 3,533 3,589 3,649 4,504 4,428 4,353 4,260 4,149 4,176 4,273 4,380 4,465 4,542 5,425 5,487 5,554 5,634 5,712 1,447 1,468 1,481 1,473 1,476 2,686 2,659 2,646 2,640 2,641 1,971 1,971 1,971 1,987 2,006 521 525 530 526 512 271 277 283 292 299 5,861 5,859 5,832 5,786 5,747 17,260 17,346 17,453 17,579 17,677 6,895 6,900 6,911 6,917 6,934 2003 20042 30,446 30,563 331 343 1,319 1,309 3,677 3,644 3,725 3,787 4,052 3,983 4,594 4,640 5,771 5,823 1,504 1,545 2,651 2,659 2,030 2,041 486 478 305 310 5,710 5,676 17,760 17,854 6,976 7,034 England and Wales Persons 1976 49,459 1981 49,634 1986 49,999 1991 50,748 19961 51,410 585 634 654 698 637 2,642 2,372 2,522 2,713 2,668 7,967 7,085 6,226 6,248 6,636 7,077 7,873 8,061 7,165 6,336 6,979 7,086 7,052 7,862 8,076 5,608 5,996 6,856 7,022 7,017 8,707 8,433 8,136 8,407 9,363 2,777 2,607 2,725 2,553 2,457 4,540 4,619 4,470 4,506 4,496 2,093 2,388 2,655 2,790 2,801 351 383 461 561 639 135 157 182 223 285 11,973 10,910 10,161 10,247 10,584 28,894 29,796 30,647 31,100 31,353 8,593 8,928 9,190 9,400 9,474 19981 19991 20001 20011 20021 51,720 51,933 52,140 52,360 52,570 631 625 607 589 589 2,594 2,566 2,544 2,502 2,445 6,740 6,779 6,757 6,740 6,726 6,212 6,228 6,275 6,387 6,520 7,925 7,800 7,682 7,536 7,349 7,304 7,475 7,661 7,816 7,962 9,552 9,656 9,764 9,898 10,027 2,503 2,542 2,564 2,549 2,553 4,411 4,381 4,372 4,377 4,395 2,875 2,891 2,907 2,947 2,990 661 671 680 677 664 311 319 328 340 351 10,599 10,608 10,572 10,495 10,435 31,591 31,771 31,977 32,226 32,435 9,530 9,554 9,591 9,639 9,700 2003 20042 52,794 53,046 606 629 2,402 2,388 6,677 6,621 6,681 6,817 7,190 7,073 8,062 8,140 10,116 10,188 2,599 2,669 4,427 4,451 3,039 3,067 634 633 360 370 10,381 10,327 32,627 32,837 9,786 9,882 Males 1976 1981 1986 1991 19961 24,089 24,160 24,311 24,681 25,030 300 324 335 356 327 1,358 1,218 1,292 1,385 1,368 4,091 3,639 3,194 3,198 3,393 3,610 4,011 4,083 3,638 3,202 3,532 3,569 3,542 3,920 4,020 2,843 3,024 3,438 3,504 3,489 4,280 4,178 4,053 4,199 4,659 1,304 1,227 1,302 1,234 1,205 1,963 2,020 1,972 2,027 2,059 690 825 951 1,029 1,067 91 94 115 150 182 29 32 35 42 59 6,148 5,601 5,208 5,240 5,416 15,169 15,589 16,031 16,193 16,247 2,773 2,970 3,072 3,248 3,367 19981 19991 20001 20011 20021 25,201 25,323 25,438 25,574 25,702 323 321 311 301 302 1,331 1,315 1,303 1,281 1,251 3,451 3,471 3,462 3,453 3,446 3,135 3,144 3,172 3,231 3,307 3,942 3,880 3,823 3,758 3,664 3,627 3,711 3,802 3,881 3,955 4,744 4,793 4,842 4,907 4,967 1,230 1,250 1,259 1,252 1,253 2,041 2,036 2,040 2,052 2,069 1,115 1,132 1,148 1,175 1,203 194 200 204 206 205 66 70 73 77 81 5,428 5,434 5,416 5,376 5,346 16,355 16,452 16,556 16,688 16,799 3,417 3,437 3,466 3,510 3,557 2003 2004 25,841 25,988 311 322 1,230 1,223 3,422 3,395 3,394 3,473 3,588 3,531 4,006 4,043 5,008 5,040 1,274 1,307 2,092 2,109 1,231 1,251 199 203 85 90 5,320 5,294 16,914 17,041 3,607 3,653 Females 1976 1981 1986 1991 19961 25,370 25,474 25,687 26,067 26,381 285 310 319 342 310 1,284 1,154 1,231 1,328 1,300 3,876 3,446 3,032 3,050 3,243 3,467 3,863 3,978 3,527 3,134 3,447 3,517 3,509 3,943 4,056 2,765 2,972 3,418 3,517 3,528 4,428 4,255 4,083 4,208 4,704 1,473 1,380 1,422 1,319 1,252 2,577 2,599 2,498 2,479 2,437 1,403 1,564 1,704 1,761 1,734 261 289 346 411 457 106 126 148 181 227 5,826 5,309 4,953 5,007 5,168 13,725 14,207 14,616 14,908 15,106 5,820 5,958 6,118 6,152 6,107 19981 19991 20001 20011 20021 26,519 26,610 26,702 26,786 26,868 308 305 296 288 287 1,264 1,251 1,241 1,220 1,194 3,289 3,308 3,296 3,287 3,280 3,077 3,083 3,103 3,156 3,214 3,983 3,920 3,859 3,778 3,684 3,677 3,763 3,859 3,935 4,007 4,808 4,863 4,923 4,992 5,059 1,272 1,292 1,304 1,297 1,300 2,370 2,345 2,332 2,326 2,326 1,760 1,759 1,758 1,771 1,787 467 472 476 471 460 244 249 255 263 270 5,171 5,175 5,155 5,119 5,090 15,235 15,318 15,421 15,538 15,635 6,113 6,117 6,126 6,129 6,143 2003 20042 26,953 27,057 295 307 1,172 1,164 3,256 3,226 3,287 3,344 3,602 3,542 4,056 4,098 5,108 5,148 1,325 1,362 2,335 2,341 1,808 1,816 436 429 275 280 5,061 5,033 15,714 15,796 6,179 6,229 Note: Figures may not add exactly due to rounding. 1 These revised population estimates were published on 9 September 2004 (for mid-2001 and mid-2002) and 7 October 2004 (for mid-1992 to mid-2000), following the local authority population studies, and replace all earlier versions. All figures shown on this table are now therefore on a consistent basis. 2 Data for mid-2004 for the United Kingdom, Great Britain, England and Wales and England were revised due to the Harrow correction that was published on 20 December 2005. Tel no. for all enquiries relating to population estimates:- 01329 813318 29 National Statistics Heal th Stati sti cs Q u a r t e rly 3 0 Table 1.4 continued Summer 2006 Population: age and sex Constituent countries of the United Kingdom Numbers (thousands) Age group Mid-year All ages Under 1 1–4 5–14 15–24 25–34 35–44 45–59 60–64 65–74 75–84 85–89 90 and over Under 16 16– 64/59 65/60 and over England Persons 1976 1981 1986 1991 19961 46,660 46,821 47,188 47,875 48,519 551 598 618 660 603 2,491 2,235 2,380 2,560 2,523 7,513 6,678 5,869 5,885 6,255 6,688 7,440 7,623 6,772 5,985 6,599 6,703 6,682 7,460 7,667 5,298 5,663 6,478 6,633 6,638 8,199 7,948 7,672 7,920 8,822 2,616 2,449 2,559 2,399 2,310 4,274 4,347 4,199 4,222 4,217 1,972 2,249 2,501 2,626 2,631 332 362 435 529 602 127 149 172 210 269 11,293 10,285 9,583 9,658 9,985 27,275 28,133 28,962 29,390 29,639 8,092 8,403 8,643 8,827 8,895 19981 19991 20001 20011 20021 48,821 49,033 49,233 49,450 49,647 598 592 575 558 558 2,453 2,427 2,406 2,366 2,312 6,356 6,394 6,375 6,359 6,345 5,869 5,881 5,923 6,032 6,155 7,524 7,412 7,304 7,171 6,993 6,915 7,079 7,257 7,407 7,548 8,999 9,097 9,199 9,327 9,448 2,353 2,391 2,411 2,395 2,397 4,140 4,114 4,107 4,113 4,130 2,698 2,713 2,727 2,764 2,804 623 632 641 638 625 293 301 309 321 331 10,003 10,014 9,980 9,908 9,853 29,868 30,044 30,243 30,487 30,683 8,950 8,975 9,010 9,055 9,111 2003 20042 49,856 50,093 575 597 2,273 2,260 6,300 6,247 6,304 6,432 6,843 6,732 7,643 7,718 9,533 9,600 2,438 2,503 4,159 4,181 2,852 2,879 596 594 340 349 9,804 9,754 30,862 31,059 9,190 9,280 Males 1976 1981 1986 1991 19961 22,728 22,795 22,949 23,291 23,629 283 306 317 336 309 1,280 1,147 1,219 1,307 1,294 3,858 3,430 3,010 3,011 3,198 3,413 3,790 3,862 3,439 3,023 3,339 3,377 3,357 3,721 3,818 2,686 2,856 3,249 3,311 3,302 4,031 3,938 3,822 3,957 4,390 1,228 1,154 1,224 1,159 1,133 1,849 1,902 1,853 1,900 1,932 649 777 897 970 1,003 85 89 108 141 172 27 30 33 39 55 5,798 5,280 4,911 4,938 5,110 14,320 14,717 15,147 15,302 15,358 2,610 2,798 2,891 3,050 3,161 19981 19991 20001 20011 20021 23,794 23,916 24,030 24,166 24,288 306 304 294 285 286 1,258 1,243 1,232 1,212 1,183 3,254 3,274 3,266 3,257 3,251 2,960 2,969 2,995 3,053 3,123 3,743 3,689 3,638 3,580 3,492 3,436 3,517 3,604 3,681 3,753 4,470 4,516 4,562 4,624 4,682 1,157 1,176 1,184 1,176 1,176 1,916 1,913 1,917 1,928 1,944 1,047 1,063 1,078 1,103 1,128 183 188 192 194 193 62 66 69 73 77 5,123 5,129 5,113 5,075 5,047 15,462 15,558 15,661 15,793 15,899 3,209 3,229 3,256 3,298 3,342 2003 2004 24,415 24,554 295 306 1,164 1,158 3,228 3,203 3,204 3,278 3,418 3,364 3,802 3,837 4,721 4,752 1,195 1,225 1,965 1,981 1,156 1,175 187 191 80 85 5,024 5,000 16,003 16.122 3,388 3,431 Females 1976 1981 1986 1991 19961 23,932 24,026 24,239 24,584 24,890 269 292 301 324 293 1,211 1,088 1,161 1,253 1,229 3,656 3,248 2,859 2,873 3,056 3,275 3,650 3,761 3,333 2,961 3,260 3,327 3,325 3,739 3,849 2,612 2,807 3,229 3,322 3,336 4,168 4,009 3,850 3,964 4,432 1,387 1,295 1,335 1,239 1,177 2,425 2,445 2,346 2,323 2,286 1,323 1,472 1,604 1,656 1,628 246 273 326 388 430 100 119 140 171 214 5,495 5,004 4,672 4,720 4,876 14,968 13,416 13,815 14,088 14,281 5,481 5,605 5,752 5,777 5,734 19981 19991 20001 20011 20021 25,027 25,117 25,203 25,284 25,358 292 288 281 273 272 1,195 1,183 1,174 1,154 1,129 3,102 3,121 3,109 3,102 3,095 2,908 2,912 2,928 2,979 3,031 3,781 3,724 3,667 3,591 3,501 3,479 3,562 3,653 3,726 3,795 4,529 4,581 4,637 4,702 4,766 1,196 1,215 1,227 1,219 1,220 2,224 2,201 2,190 2,185 2,186 1,651 1,650 1,649 1,661 1,676 440 444 448 444 433 230 235 240 248 254 4,880 4,885 4,867 4,834 4,806 14,406 14,486 14,582 14,694 14,783 5,741 5,746 5,755 5,757 5,769 2003 20042 25,441 25,539 280 291 1,109 1,103 3,072 3,044 3,100 3,155 3,424 3,368 3,841 3,881 4,812 4,849 1,243 1,278 2,194 2,200 1,696 1,704 409 403 260 264 4,780 4,754 14,859 14,936 5,802 5,849 Wales Persons 1976 1981 1986 1991 19961 2,799 2,813 2,811 2,873 2,891 33 36 37 38 34 151 136 143 153 146 453 407 357 363 381 388 434 438 393 352 379 383 369 402 409 309 333 378 389 379 509 485 464 486 541 161 158 166 154 147 267 272 271 284 279 121 139 154 164 170 19 21 26 32 37 7 8 10 13 17 680 626 578 589 598 1,618 1,663 1,686 1,711 1,714 501 525 547 573 578 19981 19991 20001 20011 20021 2,900 2,901 2,907 2,910 2,923 34 33 32 32 30 141 139 138 136 132 384 385 383 382 380 343 347 352 356 366 401 388 378 365 356 390 395 403 409 415 553 559 565 572 579 150 151 152 154 156 271 267 265 264 265 177 178 180 183 185 38 39 39 39 39 18 18 19 20 20 596 594 591 587 582 1,723 1,727 1,734 1,739 1,752 581 580 581 584 589 2003 2004 2,938 2,952 31 32 129 127 377 374 377 385 347 341 418 422 583 588 161 166 268 270 187 188 38 39 20 21 577 572 1,765 1,778 596 602 Males 1976 1981 1986 1991 19961 1,361 1,365 1,362 1,391 1,401 17 18 19 20 17 78 70 73 78 74 233 209 184 186 195 197 221 221 199 179 193 193 186 199 203 157 168 190 194 187 249 240 231 242 269 75 73 79 74 72 114 118 119 128 128 41 48 54 60 64 5 5 7 8 10 2 2 2 2 3 350 321 297 302 306 849 871 885 891 890 162 173 181 198 206 19981 19991 20001 20011 20021 1,407 1,408 1,408 1,409 1,414 17 17 16 16 16 72 72 71 69 68 197 198 196 196 195 174 176 177 179 183 199 192 185 178 172 192 194 198 200 202 274 277 280 283 286 73 74 75 75 77 125 124 124 124 125 68 69 71 73 74 11 11 12 12 12 4 4 4 4 5 305 305 303 301 299 894 895 895 895 900 208 208 210 212 215 2003 2004 1,426 1,434 16 16 66 66 194 192 191 196 170 167 204 206 287 289 79 82 127 128 75 76 12 12 5 5 297 294 911 918 219 222 Females 1976 1981 1986 1991 19961 1,438 1,448 1,449 1,482 1,490 16 18 18 19 16 73 66 70 75 71 220 199 173 177 186 191 213 217 194 173 187 190 184 203 206 153 165 188 195 192 260 246 233 244 272 86 85 87 80 75 152 154 152 156 151 80 91 100 104 106 14 16 20 24 27 6 6 8 10 13 330 305 282 288 293 770 791 801 820 825 339 352 366 375 373 19981 19991 20001 20011 20021 1,492 1,493 1,499 1,502 1,509 16 16 15 15 15 69 68 67 66 65 187 187 186 186 185 169 171 175 177 182 202 196 192 187 183 198 201 206 209 212 278 282 285 289 293 76 77 77 78 80 146 144 142 141 140 109 109 109 110 111 27 27 28 27 27 14 15 15 15 16 290 289 288 286 283 829 832 840 844 852 373 371 371 372 374 2003 2004 1,512 1,518 15 15 63 62 184 182 186 189 178 174 214 216 296 299 82 85 141 142 112 112 26 26 16 16 281 278 855 859 377 380 National Statistics 30 H e a l t h S t a t i s t i cs Q u a r t e r ly 3 0 Table 1.4 continued Summer 2006 Population: age and sex Constituent countries of the United Kingdom Numbers (thousands) Age group Mid-year All ages Under 1 1–4 5–14 15–24 25–34 35–44 45–59 60–64 65–74 75–84 85–89 90 and over Under 16 16– 64/59 65/60 and over Scotland Persons 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 5,233 5,180 5,112 5,083 5,092 67 69 66 66 59 291 249 257 258 252 904 780 656 634 643 806 875 863 746 651 692 724 739 795 798 591 603 665 696 722 897 880 849 853 925 282 260 273 265 259 460 460 435 441 448 202 232 252 259 256 31 35 42 51 57 11 14 15 19 24 1,352 1,188 1,061 1,021 1,019 3,023 3,110 3,161 3,151 3,151 858 882 890 912 922 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 5,077 5,072 5,063 5,064 5,055 58 56 53 52 51 239 234 230 224 217 644 643 636 629 622 628 625 628 633 639 766 743 717 696 669 749 762 774 782 788 941 951 962 979 993 261 262 263 262 262 445 444 445 447 449 262 265 267 272 276 59 59 59 59 58 26 27 28 29 30 1,003 995 985 970 955 3,145 3,144 3,141 3,150 3,150 929 933 937 944 950 2003 2004 5,057 5,078 52 54 212 210 614 609 648 653 648 635 793 796 1,008 1,025 265 270 452 455 281 286 55 54 31 31 943 935 3,156 3,175 958 968 Males 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2,517 2,495 2,462 2,445 2,447 34 35 34 34 30 149 128 131 132 128 463 400 336 324 328 408 445 438 377 327 347 364 371 394 392 290 298 331 345 355 429 424 410 415 454 128 118 127 124 122 193 194 184 192 198 65 77 86 91 93 8 8 10 13 15 2 3 3 3 5 693 610 543 522 521 1,556 1,603 1,636 1,623 1,616 269 282 283 299 310 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2,439 2,437 2,432 2,434 2,432 30 29 28 26 26 122 120 118 115 111 329 329 326 322 319 315 313 315 319 324 374 362 347 337 325 367 372 377 379 382 463 469 474 483 490 124 125 125 125 125 198 198 199 200 202 96 98 100 103 106 16 16 17 17 17 5 6 6 6 7 513 510 505 497 489 1,610 1,609 1,606 1,610 1,612 316 318 322 327 331 2003 2004 2,435 2,446 26 28 108 107 314 312 329 332 315 310 383 384 496 503 126 129 204 207 108 111 16 16 7 7 483 479 1,616 1,627 336 341 Females 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2,716 2,685 2,649 2,639 2,645 32 33 32 32 28 142 121 126 126 123 440 380 320 309 315 398 430 424 369 324 345 359 368 402 406 301 305 334 351 367 468 456 439 437 470 154 142 146 141 137 267 265 250 249 250 137 155 166 168 164 23 27 32 38 42 8 11 12 16 20 659 579 518 499 498 1,468 1,506 1,525 1,528 1,535 589 600 606 612 612 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2,638 2,635 2,631 2,630 2,623 28 27 26 26 25 116 114 112 109 106 315 314 310 307 303 313 312 313 314 315 392 381 369 359 344 382 390 397 403 406 478 483 488 496 504 137 138 138 137 137 248 246 246 246 247 166 166 166 169 171 43 43 43 43 41 21 22 22 23 23 490 486 480 473 466 1,535 1,535 1,535 1,540 1,538 614 614 616 617 619 2003 2004 2,623 2,632 25 26 104 103 300 297 318 321 332 325 410 412 512 521 139 141 248 248 173 175 39 38 24 24 460 457 1,540 1,549 622 627 Northern Ireland Persons 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 1,524 1,543 1,574 1,607 1,662 26 27 28 26 24 111 106 107 106 99 306 282 261 260 266 243 271 277 256 244 198 200 217 240 257 163 175 190 200 220 231 227 227 241 266 73 68 71 70 70 111 116 115 121 123 53 57 64 69 72 8 .. 16 14 15 2 .. .. 6 7 471 444 423 417 415 840 874 917 945 993 212 224 234 246 253 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 1,678 1,679 1,683 1,689 1,697 24 23 22 22 22 97 96 95 93 91 264 262 259 255 253 239 237 237 240 243 257 252 247 243 238 231 237 243 248 251 275 279 284 290 296 71 73 73 74 75 122 122 123 123 125 74 75 75 77 79 16 16 16 16 16 7 7 7 7 7 411 408 403 397 393 1,010 1,014 1,020 1,030 1,037 257 258 259 262 266 2003 2004 1,703 1,710 21 22 89 87 251 248 246 250 233 229 254 256 301 305 78 81 126 127 81 82 16 16 8 8 388 383 1,044 1,052 271 275 Males 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 754 757 768 783 810 13 14 14 13 12 58 54 55 54 51 157 145 134 133 136 127 140 142 131 124 102 102 109 119 128 81 87 95 100 109 111 109 110 118 131 34 32 33 32 33 47 50 50 53 54 19 21 23 26 27 3 .. 4 4 4 .. .. 1 1 242 228 217 213 212 442 454 474 487 511 70 75 77 83 87 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 819 818 820 824 829 12 12 11 11 11 50 49 49 48 47 135 134 133 131 130 121 119 120 122 124 128 125 122 120 117 114 117 119 122 123 135 138 141 144 147 34 35 35 35 36 54 54 55 56 56 28 29 29 30 31 5 5 5 5 5 2 2 2 2 2 211 209 207 204 202 520 521 524 529 534 89 89 90 92 94 2003 2004 833 836 11 11 46 45 129 127 126 128 115 113 124 125 149 151 38 39 58 58 31 32 5 5 2 2 199 197 538 542 95 97 Females 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 769 786 805 824 851 13 13 13 13 11 53 52 52 52 49 149 137 127 127 130 116 130 135 125 120 96 98 107 121 129 81 88 96 100 110 120 118 118 123 135 38 37 38 38 37 64 66 65 67 69 33 37 41 44 45 6 .. 12 10 11 2 .. .. 4 6 229 216 206 203 203 398 420 442 458 482 143 150 157 163 167 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 859 861 862 865 868 12 11 11 10 11 47 47 46 45 44 129 128 126 124 123 118 117 118 119 119 129 127 125 123 120 117 120 124 126 128 139 141 143 146 149 37 38 38 38 39 68 68 68 68 68 46 46 46 47 48 11 11 11 11 11 6 6 6 6 6 201 199 196 193 191 490 493 497 501 504 168 169 169 170 173 2003 2004 870 874 10 11 43 42 122 121 120 122 118 116 129 130 152 154 40 42 68 69 49 50 11 11 6 6 189 187 506 509 175 178 31 National Statistics Heal th Stati sti cs Q u a r t e rly 3 0 Table 1.5 Summer 2006 Population: age, sex and legal marital status1 England and Wales Mid-year Numbers (thousands) Total population Males Single Married Divorced Females Widowed Total Single Married Divorced Widowed Total Aged 16 and over 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 36,818 37,486 38,724 39,837 40,501 4,173 4,369 5,013 5,625 5,891 12,522 12,511 12,238 11,867 11,636 187 376 611 917 1,187 682 686 698 695 727 17,563 17,941 18,559 19,103 19,441 3,583 3,597 4,114 4,617 4,817 12,566 12,538 12,284 12,000 11,833 296 533 828 1,165 1,459 2,810 2,877 2,939 2,953 2,951 19,255 19,545 20,165 20,734 21,060 1996 1997 1998 1999 40,827 40,966 41,121 41,325 6,225 6,337 6,450 6,582 11,310 11,240 11,183 11,143 1,346 1,379 1,405 1,433 733 734 735 732 19,614 19,690 19,773 19,890 5,168 5,288 5,406 5,526 11,433 11,353 11,284 11,235 1,730 1,781 1,827 1,875 2,881 2,855 2,832 2,800 21,212 21,276 21,349 21,435 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 41,569 41,865 42,135 42,413 42,719 6,721 6,894 7,076 7,261 7,461 11,113 11,090 11,015 10,940 10,863 1,456 1,482 1,535 1,590 1,644 731 733 731 728 726 20,022 20,198 20,357 20,520 20,694 5,650 5,798 5,961 6,128 6,306 11,199 11,150 11,073 11,000 10,935 1,927 1,975 2,035 2,096 2,156 2,772 2,745 2,709 2,668 2,628 21,547 21,667 21,778 21,892 22,025 16–19 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 2,666 2,901 3,310 3,131 2,665 1,327 1,454 1,675 1,587 1,358 34 28 20 10 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,362 1,482 1,694 1,596 1,366 1,163 1,289 1,523 1,484 1,267 142 129 93 49 32 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,305 1,419 1,616 1,535 1,300 1996 1997 1998 1999 2,402 2,478 2,532 2,543 1,209 1,246 1,274 1,280 6 6 6 6 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1,216 1,253 1,281 1,288 1,164 1,203 1,230 1,234 21 20 20 20 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1,186 1,225 1,251 1,255 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2,523 2,567 2,633 2,702 2,770 1,276 1,304 1,347 1,386 1,423 6 5 4 4 3 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 1,283 1,312 1,353 1,391 1,427 1,221 1,237 1,266 1,299 1,332 18 16 13 12 11 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 1,240 1,255 1,280 1,311 1,344 20–24 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 3,773 3,395 3,744 4,171 3,911 1,211 1,167 1,420 1,768 1,717 689 557 466 317 242 3 4 10 14 12 0 0 1 0 0 1,904 1,728 1,896 2,099 1,971 745 725 1,007 1,383 1,421 1,113 925 811 657 490 9 16 27 32 29 2 2 2 1 1 1,869 1,667 1,847 2,072 1,941 1996 1997 1998 1999 3,291 3,141 3,047 3,047 1,538 1,479 1,442 1,449 117 99 86 78 3 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 1,658 1,580 1,530 1,530 1,361 1,325 1,306 1,320 260 225 201 188 11 9 8 8 1 1 1 1 1,633 1,561 1,517 1,517 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 3,088 3,157 3,211 3,283 3,358 1,470 1,501 1,534 1,573 1,621 74 74 69 69 67 3 3 3 3 3 0 1 1 1 1 1,548 1,579 1,607 1,646 1,692 1,352 1,390 1,428 1,466 1,499 180 178 166 161 156 8 8 8 8 8 1 1 1 1 2 1,540 1,578 1,604 1,637 1,665 25–29 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 3,267 3,758 3,372 3,713 4,154 431 533 588 835 1,132 1,206 1,326 1,057 949 856 16 39 54 79 82 1 2 1 1 1 1,654 1,900 1,700 1,863 2,071 215 267 331 527 800 1,367 1,522 1,247 1,207 1,158 29 65 89 113 123 4 5 4 4 2 1,614 1,859 1,671 1,850 2,083 1996 1997 1998 1999 3,950 3,877 3,789 3,687 1,273 1,294 1,304 1,304 650 595 544 497 46 42 38 34 1 1 1 1 1,970 1,932 1,887 1,836 977 1,012 1,039 1,051 906 844 783 725 93 85 77 72 3 3 3 3 1,980 1,945 1,902 1,851 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 3,605 3,487 3,348 3,262 3,260 1,305 1,293 1,276 1,271 1,292 459 420 371 337 318 31 28 26 25 24 1 1 1 1 1 1,796 1,742 1,674 1,634 1,635 1,065 1,059 1,052 1,053 1,080 677 625 567 524 497 65 58 52 49 47 3 3 3 2 2 1,810 1,745 1,674 1,628 1,625 National Statistics 32 H e a l t h S t a t i s t i cs Q u a r t e r ly 3 0 Table 1.5 continued Summer 2006 Population: age, sex and legal marital status1 England and Wales England and Wales Mid-year Numbers (thousands) Total population Males Single Married Divorced Females Widowed Total Single Married Divorced Widowed Total 30–34 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 2,897 3,220 3,715 3,338 3,708 206 236 318 355 520 1,244 1,338 1,451 1,197 1,172 23 55 97 124 155 3 3 3 2 2 1,475 1,632 1,869 1,679 1,849 111 118 165 206 335 1,269 1,388 1,544 1,293 1,330 34 75 129 154 189 8 8 9 6 5 1,422 1,588 1,846 1,660 1,859 1996 1997 1998 1999 4,126 4,151 4,136 4,113 776 817 848 877 1,135 1,111 1,078 1,043 138 133 127 121 2 2 3 3 2,050 2,064 2,056 2,044 551 589 621 651 1,316 1,293 1,259 1,223 201 198 193 188 7 7 7 7 2,076 2,088 2,081 2,069 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 4,076 4,050 4,000 3,928 3,813 904 934 961 981 987 1,007 971 921 868 811 114 108 105 102 97 2 2 2 2 2 2,027 2,016 1,990 1,954 1,897 679 711 743 767 777 1,182 1,142 1,094 1,043 985 181 174 167 159 149 7 7 6 6 5 2,049 2,033 2,010 1,974 1,916 35–44 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 5,736 5,608 5,996 6,856 7,022 317 286 316 396 477 2,513 2,442 2,519 2,738 2,632 48 104 178 293 384 13 12 12 12 11 2,891 2,843 3,024 3,438 3,504 201 167 170 213 280 2,529 2,427 2,540 2,815 2,760 66 129 222 350 444 48 42 41 39 34 2,845 2,765 2,972 3,418 3,517 1996 1997 1998 1999 7,017 7,155 7,304 7,475 653 708 768 832 2,426 2,433 2,442 2,459 398 403 405 408 12 12 13 13 3,489 3,556 3,627 3,711 427 472 522 577 2,568 2,580 2,596 2,617 497 511 523 533 36 36 36 37 3,528 3,599 3,677 3,763 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 7,661 7,816 7,962 8,062 8,140 899 963 1,031 1,089 1,142 2,481 2,494 2,489 2,471 2,445 410 411 424 435 444 12 12 12 12 11 3,802 3,881 3,955 4,006 4,043 635 692 751 805 858 2,640 2,649 2,650 2,634 2,614 547 558 571 583 593 37 36 35 34 32 3,859 3,935 4,007 4,056 4,098 45–64 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 11,887 11,484 11,040 10,860 10,960 502 496 480 461 456 4,995 4,787 4,560 4,422 4,394 81 141 218 331 456 173 160 147 141 127 5,751 5,583 5,405 5,355 5,433 569 462 386 327 292 4,709 4,568 4,358 4,220 4,211 125 188 271 388 521 733 683 620 570 503 6,136 5,901 5,635 5,505 5,527 1996 1997 1998 1999 11,820 11,927 12,055 12,198 528 545 565 589 4,587 4,593 4,608 4,627 628 656 681 706 121 120 121 121 5,864 5,914 5,974 6,043 318 328 340 355 4,466 4,486 4,512 4,541 732 770 807 844 440 430 422 415 5,956 6,014 6,080 6,155 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 12,328 12,447 12,580 12,715 12,857 615 644 671 702 736 4,638 4,647 4,649 4,647 4,644 727 747 780 815 850 121 121 120 118 117 6,101 6,159 6,220 6,283 6,347 372 391 413 437 465 4,564 4,578 4,596 4,613 4,628 881 918 960 1,002 1,045 410 401 391 380 371 6,227 6,289 6,359 6,433 6,510 65 and over 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 6,592 7,119 7,548 7,768 8,080 179 197 216 223 231 1,840 2,033 2,167 2,234 2,332 17 33 54 76 99 492 510 534 539 586 2,527 2,773 2,971 3,072 3,248 580 569 533 477 422 1,437 1,579 1,692 1,759 1,853 32 60 90 127 152 2,016 2,138 2,263 2,333 2,405 4,065 4,347 4,578 4,696 4,832 1996 1997 1998 1999 8,221 8,237 8,258 8,262 247 248 250 251 2,390 2,404 2,418 2,431 134 143 152 161 597 597 597 594 3,367 3,391 3,417 3,437 369 358 348 338 1,897 1,904 1,913 1,922 196 207 218 230 2,393 2,377 2,362 2,336 4,854 4,845 4,841 4,825 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 8,287 8,342 8,400 8,461 8,520 252 254 256 258 259 2,449 2,478 2,511 2,544 2,575 171 183 197 211 225 593 595 595 594 593 3,466 3,510 3,557 3,607 3,653 327 318 308 301 293 1,938 1,960 1,987 2,015 2,044 243 259 276 294 314 2,313 2,295 2,272 2,244 2,216 4,821 4,832 4,843 4,854 4,867 1 Marital Status Estimates for 1992 to 2002 were revised in light of the local authority population studies published 7 October 2004. 33 National Statistics Heal th Stati sti cs Q u a r t e rly 3 0 Table 2.1 Summer 2006 Vital statistics summary Constituent countries of the United Kingdom Year and quarter All live births Numbers (thousands) and rates Live births outside marriage Marriages Divorces Deaths Number Rate1 Number Rate2 Number Rate3 Number Rate4 Number United Kingdom 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 675.5 730.7 754.8 792.3 733.2 12.0 13.0 13.3 13.8 12.6 61.1 91.3 154.3 236.1 260.4 90 125 204 298 355 406.0 397.8 393.9 349.7 317.5 .. 49.4 .. .. .. 135.4 156.4 168.2 173.5 171.7 .. 11.3 .. .. .. 680.8 658.0 660.7 646.2 636.0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 700.0 679.0 669.1 668.8 695.6 716.0 .. 11.9 11.5 11.3 11.3 11.7 12.0 .. 271.6 268.1 268.0 271.7 288.5 302.6 .. 388 395 401 406 415 423 .. 301.1 305.9 286.1 293.0 308.6 311.2P .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 158.7 154.6 156.8 160.5 166.7 167.1P .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 2003 March June Sept Dec 165.6 173.4 182.2 174.3 11.3 11.7 12.2 11.6 68.7 70.3 75.7 73.6 415 405 415 423 38.2 85.9 127.0 56.1 .. .. .. .. 42.6 42.0 41.3 40.8 2004 March June Sept Dec 174.3 176.2 185.1 180.4 11.7 11.8 12.3 12.0 73.6 73.2 78.5 77.3 422 415 424 429 39.7P 85.5P 128.4P 57.6P .. .. .. .. 2005 March June Sept Dec 173.2p 179.0P 189.0P .. 11.7p 11.9P 12.5P .. 74.5p 75.0P 81.8P .. 430p 419P 433P .. .. .. .. .. England and Wales 1976 584.3 1981 634.5 1986 661.0 1991 699.2 1996 649.5 11.8 12.8 13.2 13.8 12.6 53.8 81.0 141.3 211.3 232.7 92 128 214 302 358 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 621.9 604.4 594.6 596.1 621.5 639.7 .. 12.0 11.6 11.4 11.3 11.8 12.1 .. 241.9 238.6 238.1 242.0 257.2 269.7 .. 2003 March June Sept Dec 147.4 155.1 162.9 156.0 11.3 11.8 12.2 11.7 2004 March June Sept Dec 155.2 157.4 165.4 161.7 2005 March June Sept Dec Neonatal mortality6 Perinatal mortality7 Number Rate2 Number Rate2 Number 12.1 11.7 11.7 11.2 10.9 9.79 8.16 7.18 5.82 4.50 14.5 11.2 9.5 7.4 6.1 6.68 4.93 4.00 3.46 3.00 9.9 6.7 5.3 4.4 4.1 12.25 8.79 7.31 6.45 6.41 18.0 12.0 9.6 8.1 8.7 632.1 608.4 602.3 606.2 612.0 583.1 583.0P 10.8 10.3 10.2 10.2 10.3 9.7 9.7P 4.05 3.79 3.66 3.50 3.69 3.61 3.67P 5.8 5.6 5.5 5.2 5.3 5.0 5.1P 2.73 2.63 2.43 2.36 2.53 2.46 2.52P 3.9 3.9 3.6 3.5 3.6 3.4 3.5P 5.79 5.56 5.39 5.57 5.94 5.85 .. 8.2 8.1 8.0 8.3 8.5 8.1 .. .. .. .. .. 162.5 145.8 140.7 162.2 11.1 9.8 9.4 10.8 0.96 0.88 0.89 0.96 5.8 5.0 4.9 5.5 0.65 0.60 0.62 0.66 3.9 3.4 3.4 3.8 1.45 1.49 1.52 1.49 8.7 8.5 8.3 8.5 43.1P 41.5P 42.3P 40.2P .. .. .. .. 159.7 139.3 135.1 149.0 10.7 9.4 9.0 9.9 0.97 0.84 0.90 0.90 5.5 4.8 4.9 5.0 0.64 0.59 0.64 0.58 3.7 3.4 3.5 3.2 1.50 1.45 1.55 1.36 8.5 8.2 8.3 7.5 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 164.7P 143.3P 131.6P 143.3P 11.1P 9.5P 8.7P 9.4P 0.91P 0.94P 0.92P 0.90P 5.3P 5.3P 4.8P 5.0P 0.63P 0.63P 0.66P 0.60P 3.6P 3.5P 3.5P 3.3P 1.32P 1.41P 1.42P .. 7.6P 7.9P 7.5P .. 358.6 352.0 347.9 306.8 279.0 57.7 49.6 43.6 36.0 30.9 126.7 145.7 153.9 158.7 157.1 10.1 11.9 12.9 13.5 13.8 598.5 577.9 581.2 570.0 560.1 12.1 11.6 11.6 11.2 10.9 8.34 7.02 6.31 5.16 3.99 14.3 11.1 9.6 7.4 6.1 5.66 4.23 3.49 3.05 2.68 9.7 6.7 5.3 4.4 4.1 10.45 7.56 6.37 5.65 5.62 17.7 11.8 9.6 8.0 8.6 389 395 400 406 414 422 .. 263.5 268.0 249.2 255.6 270.1 270.7p .. 27.8 27.8 25.4 25.6 26.4 25.9p .. 144.6 141.1 143.8 147.7 153.5p 153.4 .. 12.9 12.7 12.9 13.4 14.0 14.1 .. 556.1 535.7 530.4 533.5 538.3 512.5 513.0P 10.7 10.3 10.1 10.1 10.2 9.7 9.6P 3.62 3.38 3.24 3.13 3.31 3.22 3.25P 5.8 5.6 5.4 5.2 5.3 5.0 5.0P 2.44 2.34 2.14 2.13 2.26 2.21 2.21P 3.9 3.9 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.4P 5.14 4.96 4.76 4.99 5.34 5.23 .. 8.2 8.2 8.0 8.3 8.5 8.1 .. 61.0 62.8 67.6 65.8 414 405 415 422 34.0 75.2 111.9 49.1 13.5 29.4 43.4 19.0 39.4 38.6 37.9 37.6 14.6 14.1 13.7 13.6 143.0 128.3 123.9 143.1 11.0 9.7 9.3 10.8 0.86 0.80 0.79 0.86 5.9 5.1 4.8 5.5 0.60 0.55 0.55 0.59 3.9 3.5 3.4 3.7 1.32 1.34 1.36 1.32 8.9 8.6 8.3 8.4 11.8 11.9 12.4 12.1 65.2 65.2 70.2 69.1 421 414 424 427 35.0p 74.3p 112.2P 49.2P 13.4pp 28.6 42.7P 18.7P 39.5p 38.1pp 39.0 36.9p 14.6p 14.0p 14.2p 13.5p 140.5 122.1 118.6 131.3 10.7 9.3 8.9 9.8 0.87 0.74 0.80 0.81 5.6 4.7 4.8 5.0 0.58 0.52 0.57 0.53 3.8 3.3 3.5 3.3 1.33 1.29 1.39 1.23 8.5 8.1 8.4 7.6 154.3pp 159.7 169.7P .. 11.7pp 12.0 12.6P .. 66.3pp 66.6 73.5P .. 430pp 417 433P .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 36.2p 36.5pP 35.6 .. 13.5pp 13.4 13.0P .. 145.3Pp 125.9 115.4P 126.2P 11.0Pp 9.5 8.6P 9.4P 0.82Pp 0.83 0.80P 0.80P 5.3Pp 5.2 4.7P 4.9P 0.56Pp 0.56 0.57P 0.53P 3.6Pp 3.5 3.4P 3.3P 1.18Pp 1.24 1.27P .. 7.6Pp 7.8 7.5P .. England 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 550.4 598.2 623.6 660.8 614.2 11.8 12.8 13.2 13.7 12.7 50.8 76.9 133.5 198.9 218.2 92 129 214 301 355 339.0 332.2 328.4 290.1 264.2 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 146.0 150.1 148.7 .. .. .. .. .. 560.3 541.0 544.5 534.0 524.0 12.0 11.6 11.6 11.2 10.8 7.83 6.50 5.92 4.86 3.74 14.2 10.9 9.5 7.3 6.1 5.32 3.93 3.27 2.87 2.53 9.7 6.6 5.2 4.3 4.1 9.81 7.04 5.98 5.33 5.36 17.6 11.7 9.5 8.0 8.7 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 589.5 572.8 563.7 565.7 589.9 607.2 .. 12.0 11.7 11.4 11.4 11.8 12.1 .. 226.7 223.8 223.3 227.0 241.4 253.1 .. 385 391 396 401 409 417 .. 249.5 253.8 236.2 242.1 255.6 255.9p .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 137.0 133.9 136.4 140.2 145.8p 145.5 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 519.6 501.0 496.1 499.1 503.4 479.2 479.7P 10.8 10.2 10.0 10.1 10.1 9.6 9.5P 3.38 3.18 3.04 2.97 3.14 3.03 3.08P 5.7 5.6 5.4 5.2 5.3 5.0 5.0P 2.29 2.21 2.02 2.02 2.15 2.09 2.11P 3.9 3.9 3.6 3.6 3.7 3.4 3.4P 4.86 4.69 4.51 4.75 5.01 4.96 .. 8.2 8.2 8.0 8.3 8.5 8.1 .. 2003 March June Sept Dec 139.9 147.3 154.5 148.2 11.4 11.8 12.3 11.8 57.2 58.9 63.4 61.8 409 400 411 417 32.3 71.2 105.6 46.5 .. .. .. .. 37.5 36.6 36.0 35.7 .. .. .. .. 133.8 119.6 116.0 134.0 10.9 9.1 8.7 10.1 0.83 0.76 0.74 0.82 5.9 5.1 4.8 5.5 0.55 0.52 0.52 0.56 3.9 3.6 3.3 3.8 1.25 1.28 1.28 1.26 8.9 8.6 8.3 8.4 2004 March June Sept Dec 147.3 149.6 156.9 153.3 11.8 12.0 12.5 12.2 61.2 61.3 65.8 64.7 416 410 420 422 33.2p 70.3pp 105.8p 46.5 .. .. .. .. 37.4p 36.0p 36.9pp 35.1 .. .. .. 131.4 114.2 110.8 122.9 10.6 9.2 8.8 9.8 0.82 0.69 0.74 0.78 5.5 4.6 4.7 5.1 0.55 0.49 0.53 0.52 3.7 3.3 3.4 3.4 1.25 1.22 1.31 1.17 8.4 8.1 8.3 7.6 2005 March June Sept Dec 146.4p 151.8pP 161.0 .. 11.8pp 12.1 12.7P .. 62.1pp 62.5 68.9P .. 424pp 412 428P .. .. .. .. .. 34.4p 34.6p 33.8P .. .. .. .. .. 135.8Pp 117.7 108.0P 118.1P 10.9Pp 9.4 8.5P 9.3P 0.78Pp 0.79 0.76P 0.75P 5.3Pp 5.2 4.7P 4.9P 0.53Pp 0.53 0.54P 0.51P 3.6Pp 3.5 3.4P 3.3P 1.17Pp 1.18 1.21P .. 8.0Pp 7.7 7.5P .. .. .. .. .. Notes: Rates for the most recent quarters will be particularly subject to revision, even when standard detail is given, as they are based on provisional numbers or on estimates derived from events registered in the period. Figures for England and Wales represent the number of deaths registered in each year up to 1992, and the number of deaths occurring in each year from 1993 to 2004. Provisional figures for 2005 relate to registrations. Death rates for 2005 are based on 2004-based population projections for 2005. Birth and death figures for England and also for Wales each exclude events for persons usually resident outside England and Wales. These events are, however, included in the totals for England and Wales combined, and for the United Kingdom. From 1981 births to non-resident mothers in Northern Ireland are excluded from the figures for Northern Ireland, and for the United Kingdom. Rate1 Infant mortality5 Birth and death rates for 2004 have been calculated using the revised mid-2004 population estimates published on 20 December 2005. Birth rates for 2005 are based on the 2004-based population projections for 2005. Marriage and divorce rates in England and Wales for 1986 have been calculated using the interim revised marital status estimates (based on the original mid2001 estimates) and are subject to further revision. Marriage and divorce rates for 2005 are based on 2004 marital status estimates. Some stillbirths in 2004 are excluded from these and previously published figures, as the relevant registration details were not sent to ONS before the statistics were compiled. Revised figures for 2004 will be published as soon as possible to include the additional stillbirth registrations. See 'Notes to tables'. National Statistics 34 Rate8 H e a l t h S t a t i s t i cs Q u a r t e r ly 3 0 Table 2.1 continued Summer 2006 Vital statistics summary Constituent countries of the United Kingdom Year and quarter All live births Number Rate1 Numbers (thousands) and rates Live births outside marriage Marriages Divorces Number Rate2 Number Rate3 Number Deaths Rate4 Number Rate1 Infant mortality5 Number Neonatal mortality6 Rate2 Number Rate2 Perinatal mortality7 Number Rate8 Wales 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 33.4 35.8 37.0 38.1 34.9 11.9 12.7 13.1 13.3 12.1 2.9 4.0 7.8 12.3 14.4 86 112 211 323 412 19.5 19.8 19.5 16.6 14.8 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 7.9 8.6 8.4 .. .. .. .. .. 36.3 35.0 34.7 34.1 34.6 13.0 12.4 12.3 11.9 12.0 0.46 0.45 0.35 0.25 0.20 13.7 12.6 9.5 6.6 5.6 0.32 0.29 0.21 0.16 0.13 9.6 8.1 5.6 4.1 3.6 0.64 0.51 0.38 0.30 0.26 19.0 14.1 10.3 7.9 7.5 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 32.1 31.3 30.6 30.2 31.4 32.3 .. 11.1 10.8 10.5 10.3 10.7 10.9 .. 14.8 14.8 14.8 15.0 15.8 16.6 .. 461 472 483 497 503 513 .. 14.0 14.1 13.0 13.5 14.5 14.8p .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 7.5 7.2 7.4 7.6 7.7 7.9p .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 35.0 33.3 33.0 33.2 33.7 32.1 32.2P 12.1 11.5 11.3 11.3 11.5 10.9 10.9P 0.20 0.17 0.16 0.14 0.13 0.16 0.14P 6.1 5.3 5.4 4.5 4.3 4.9 4.3P 0.13 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.09P 4.0 3.5 3.5 3.2 3.1 3.1 2.9P 0.25 0.23 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.25 .. 7.7 7.2 7.5 7.7 7.5 7.8 .. 2003 March June Sept Dec 7.5 7.8 8.3 7.8 10.3 10.7 11.2 10.5 3.8 3.9 4.2 4.0 505 494 503 511 1.7 4.0 6.2 2.6 .. .. .. .. 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.8 .. .. .. .. 8.9 8.3 7.6 8.8 12.3 11.4 10.2 11.9 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.03 4.7 4.0 4.6 3.8 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.02 3.8 2.7 3.5 2.3 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.05 7.7 7.3 8.2 6.9 2004 March June Sept Dec 7.8 7.8 8.4 8.3 10.6 10.6 11.4 11.2 4.0 3.9 4.3 4.4 514 500 512 523 1.7p 4.0p 6.4P 2.7P .. .. .. .. 2.0P 2.0P 2.1P 1.8P .. .. .. .. 8.8 7.6 7.5 8.1 12.0 10.4 10.1 11.0 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.03 5.9 4.9 4.9 3.8 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.02 3.9 3.1 3.7 1.8 0.08 0.06 0.06 0.05 9.8 7.4 7.5 6.5 2005 March June Sept Dec 7.8p 7.9p 8.7P .. 10.7p 10.7p 11.6P .. 4.1p 4.0p 4.6P .. 529p 510p 530P .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1.8p 1.8p 1.8P .. .. .. .. .. 9.2P 8.0p 7.2P 7.8P 12.6P 10.8p 9.6P 10.5P 0.03P 0.04p 0.03P 0.04P 3.8P 4.6p 3.8P 4.9P 0.02P 0.03p 0.03P 0.02P 2.9P 3.2p 2.9P 2.6P 0.05P 0.06p 0.06P .. 6.9P 7.7p 6.7P .. Scotland 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 64.9 69.1 65.8 67.0 59.3 12.5 13.4 12.9 13.2 11.6 6.0 8.5 13.6 19.5 21.4 93 122 206 291 360 37.5 36.2 35.8 33.8 30.2 53.8 47.5 42.9 39.0 33.2 8.1 9.9 12.8 12.4 12.3 6.5 8.0 10.7 10.6 10.9 65.3 63.8 63.5 61.0 60.7 12.5 12.3 12.4 12.0 11.9 0.96 0.78 0.58 0.47 0.37 14.8 11.3 8.8 7.1 6.2 0.67 0.47 0.34 0.29 0.23 10.3 6.9 5.2 4.6 3.9 1.20 0.81 0.67 0.58 0.55 18.3 11.6 10.2 8.6 9.2 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 55.1 53.1 52.5 51.3 52.4 54.0 .. 10.9 10.5 10.4 10.1 10.4 10.6 .. 22.7 22.6 22.8 22.5 23.9 25.2 .. 412 426 433 440 455 467 .. 29.9 30.4 29.6 29.8 30.8 32.2 .. 31.5 31.6 31.0 30.8 31.3 32.2 .. 11.9 11.1 10.6 10.8 10.1 11.2 .. 10.9 10.3 9.7 10.0 10.2 10.5 .. 60.3 57.8 57.4 58.1 58.5 56.2 55.7P 11.9 11.4 11.3 11.5 11.6 11.1 10.9P 0.28 0.31 0.29 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.28P 5.0 5.7 5.5 5.3 5.1 4.9 5.2P 0.18 0.21 0.20 0.16 0.18 0.17 0.19P 3.3 4.0 3.8 3.2 3.4 3.1 3.5P 0.42 0.45 0.45 0.39 0.42 0.44 0.42P 7.6 8.4 8.5 7.6 8.0 8.1 7.7P 2003 March June Sept Dec 12.8 12.9 13.8 13.0 10.3 10.3 10.8 10.2 5.9 5.8 6.2 6.0 462 447 448 464 3.7 8.4 12.3 6.4 15.2 34.2 49.7 25.5 2.5 3.0 2.6 2.7 9.4 11.1 9.7 10.1 15.7 14.1 13.3 15.4 12.6 11.2 10.4 12.1 0.07 0.06 0.07 0.07 5.5 4.3 4.9 5.6 0.05 0.03 0.05 0.05 3.8 2.5 3.4 3.8 0.09 0.11 0.11 0.12 6.9 8.2 8.1 8.9 2004 March June Sept Dec 13.5 13.3 13.8 13.3 10.7 10.5 10.8 10.4 6.4 6.1 6.4 6.3 472 459 462 475 3.9 8.7 12.7 6.8 15.6 35.1 50.6 27.3 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.8 10.9 10.5 10.2 10.4 15.3 13.6 13.1 14.2 12.2 10.7 10.2 11.1 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.06 4.6 5.1 5.3 4.7 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.03 2.7 3.6 3.4 2.6 0.13 0.11 0.11 0.09 9.2 8.4 7.8 6.9 2005 March June Sept Dec 13.4p 13.5p 13.4P .. 10.6p 10.7p 10.4P .. 6.2p 6.4p 6.2P .. 464p 473p 464P .. 3.8p 8.6p 12.3P .. 15.4p 34.7p 49.1P .. 2.6p 2.8p 2.7p .. 9.9p 10.6p 9.9p .. 15.6P 13.7p 12.8P 13.6P 12.4P 10.8p 10.0P 10.6P 0.07P 0.07p 0.08P 0.07P 5.0P 5.1p 5.6P 5.2P 0.04P 0.05p 0.06P 0.05P 3.3P 3.4p 3.9P 3.4P 0.09P 0.13p 0.11P 0.10P 7.0P 9.2p 7.6P 7.1P Northern Ireland 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 26.4 27.2 28.0 26.0 24.4 17.3 17.6 17.8 16.2 14.7 1.3 1.9 3.6 5.3 6.3 50 70 128 203 260 9.9 9.6 10.2 9.2 8.3 .. 45.4 .. .. .. 0.6 1.4 1.5 2.3 2.3 .. 4.2 .. .. .. 17.0 16.3 16.1 15.1 15.2 11.2 10.6 10.3 9.4 9.2 0.48 0.36 0.36 0.19 0.14 18.3 13.2 13.2 7.4 5.8 0.35 0.23 0.23 0.12 0.09 13.3 8.3 8.3 4.6 3.7 0.59 0.42 0.42 0.22 0.23 22.3 15.3 15.3 8.4 9.4 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 23.0 21.5 22.0 21.4 21.6 22.3 .. 13.7 12.8 13.0 12.6 12.7 13.0 .. 7.0 6.8 7.1 7.2 7.4 7.7 .. 303 318 325 335 344 345 .. 7.6 7.6 7.3 7.6 7.8 8.3 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.2 2.3 2.5 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 15.7 14.9 14.5 14.6 14.5 14.4 14.2P 9.3 8.9 8.6 8.6 8.5 8.4 8.3P 0.15 0.11 0.13 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.14P 6.4 5.1 6.1 4.7 5.3 5.5 6.3P 0.11 0.08 0.10 0.07 0.09 0.08 0.11P 4.8 3.8 4.5 3.5 4.0 3.7 5.1P 0.23 0.15 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.18P 10.0 7.3 8.5 8.9 8.1 8.2 8.1P 2003 March June Sept Dec 5.4 5.4 5.6 5.3 12.7 12.7 13.0 12.4 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 344 331 341 359 0.8 2.2 3.3 1.4 .. .. .. .. 6.6 5.4 5.6 5.6 .. .. .. .. 3.9 3.4 3.5 3.7 9.2 8.1 8.1 8.6 0.03 0.02 0.04 0.03 5.0 4.3 6.3 5.6 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 3.7 3.0 4.5 4.9 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 7.8 7.2 7.8 9.7 2004 March June Sept Dec 5.7 5.4 5.8 5.4 13.3 12.7 13.5 12.7 2.0 1.8 2.0 1.9 352 337 339 353 0.9 2.4 3.5 1.6 .. .. .. .. 7.7 6.5 5.5 5.5 .. .. .. .. 3.9 3.6 3.4 3.5 9.1 8.4 8.0 8.1 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.02 5.5 5.9 6.0 4.4 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 3.5 4.4 4.1 2.8 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 7.9 9.5 8.3 7.0 2005 March June Sept Dec 5.5p 5.7p 5.9P .. 13.0p 13.3p 13.7P .. 2.0p 2.0p 2.0P .. 363p 359p 358P .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 3.8P 3.7p 3.4P 3.4P 8.9P 8.5p 7.7P 7.8P 0.03P 0.04p 0.04P 0.03P 5.2P 7.2p 6.6P 6.0P 0.02P 0.03p 0.03P 0.02P 4.3P 5.6p 5.6P 4.6P 0.05P 0.04p 0.04P 0.04P 8.8P 8.4p 7.2P 7.9P See notes opposite. 1 Per 1,000 population of all ages. 2 Per 1,000 live births. 3 Persons marrying per 1,000 unmarried population 16 and over. 4 Persons divorcing per 1,000 married population. 5 Deaths under 1 year. 6 7 8 p Deaths under 4 weeks. Stillbirths and deaths under 1 week. In October 1992 the legal definition of a stillbirth was changed, from baby born dead after 28 completed weeks of gestation or more, to one born dead after 24 completed weeks of gestation or more. Per 1,000 live births and stillbirths. Provisional. 35 National Statistics Heal th Stati sti cs Q u a r t e rly 3 0 Table 2.2 Summer 2006 Key demographic and health indicators Constituent countries of the United Kingdom Numbers (thousands), rates, percentages, mean age Dependency ratio Population Live births Live births Deaths Children1 Elderly2 TFR3 Expectation of life (in years) at birth Standardised UnstandOutside Agemean age ardised marriage as standardised of mother mean age of percentage mortality at birth mother at of total rate6 (years)4 birth (years) 5 live births United Kingdom 1976 56,216.1 1981 56,357.5 1986 56,683.8 1991 57,438.7 19968 58,164.4 675.5 730.7 754.8 792.3 733.2 680.8 658.0 660.7 646.2 636.0 42.1 37.1 33.5 33.2 33.9 29.5 29.7 29.7 30.0 30.0 1.74 1.82 1.78 1.82 1.73 .. 27.0 27.4 27.7 28.2 26.4 26.8 27.0 27.7 28.6 9.0 12.5 21.4 29.8 35.5 19998 20008 20018 20028 2003 20049 2005P 58,684.4 58,886.1 59,113.5 59,321.7 59,553.8 59,834.3 700.0 679.0 669.1 668.8 695.6 716.0 632.1 608.4 602.3 606.2 612.0 583.1 33.4 33.1 32.6 32.2 31.8 31.4 29.9 29.9 29.8 29.8 29.9 30.0 1.68 1.64 1.63 1.64 1.71 1.77 28.4 28.5 28.6 28.7 28.8 28.9 28.9 29.1 29.2 29.3 29.4 29.4 38.8 39.5 40.1 40.6 41.5 42.3 England 1976 1981 1986 1991 19968 46,659.9 46,820.8 47,187.6 47,875.0 48,519.1 550.4 598.2 623.6 660.8 614.2 560.3 541.0 544.5 534.0 524.0 41.4 36.4 33.1 32.9 33.7 29.7 29.9 29.8 30.0 30.0 1.70 1.79 1.76 1.81 1.73 .. .. 27.4 27.7 28.2 26.4 26.8 27.0 27.7 28.7 9.2 12.9 21.4 30.1 35.5 19998 20008 20018 20028 2003 20049 2005P 49,032.9 49,233.3 49,449.7 49,646.9 49,855.7 50,093.1 589.5 572.8 563.7 565.7 589.9 607.2 519.6 501.0 496.1 499.1 503.4 479.2 33.3 33.0 32.5 32.1 31.8 31.4 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.7 29.8 29.9 1.69 1.65 1.63 1.65 1.73 1.78 28.4 28.5 28.6 28.7 28.9 29.0 29.0 29.2 29.3 29.4 29.4 29.5 38.5 39.1 39.6 40.1 40.9 41.7 Wales 1976 1981 1986 1991 19968 2,799.3 2,813.5 2,810.9 2,873.0 2,891.3 33.4 35.8 37.0 38.1 34.9 36.3 35.0 34.7 34.1 34.6 42.0 37.6 34.3 34.4 34.9 30.9 31.6 32.5 33.5 33.7 1.78 1.87 1.86 1.88 1.81 .. .. 26.9 27.1 27.5 26.0 26.6 26.5 27.0 27.8 8.7 11.2 21.1 32.3 41.2 19998 20008 20018 20028 2003 2004 2005P 2,900.6 2,906.9 2,910.2 2,923.4 2,938.0 2,952.5 32.1 31.3 30.6 30.2 31.4 32.1 35.0 33.3 33.0 33.2 33.7 32.1 34.4 34.1 33.7 33.2 32.7 32.2 33.6 33.5 33.6 33.6 33.7 33.9 1.72 1.68 1.66 1.63 1.71 1.77 27.6 27.7 27.8 28.0 28.1 28.2 28.1 28.2 28.3 28.4 28.5 28.5 46.1 47.2 48.3 49.7 50.3 51.3 Scotland 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 5,233.4 5,180.2 5,111.8 5,083.3 5,092.2 64.9 69.1 65.8 67.0 59.3 65.3 63.8 63.5 61.0 60.7 44.7 38.2 33.6 32.4 32.3 28.4 28.4 28.1 28.9 29.2 1.79 1.84 1.67 1.69 1.56 .. .. 27.1 27.5 28.0 26.0 26.3 26.6 27.4 28.5 9.3 12.2 20.6 29.1 36.0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005P 5,072.0 5,062.9 5,064.2 5,054.8 5,057.4 5,078.4 55.1 53.1 52.5 51.3 52.4 54.0 60.3 57.8 57.4 58.1 58.5 56.2 31.7 31.4 30.8 30.3 29.9 29.5 29.7 29.8 30.0 30.2 30.3 30.5 1.51 1.48 1.49 1.48 1.54 1.60 28.3 28.4 28.5 28.6 28.7 28.9 28.9 29.0 29.2 29.2 29.3 29.4 41.2 42.6 43.3 44.0 45.5 46.7 Northern Ireland 1976 1,523.5 1981 1,543.0 1986 1,573.5 1991 1,607.3 1996 1,661.8 26.4 27.2 28.0 26.0 24.4 17.0 16.3 16.1 15.1 15.2 56.1 50.6 46.1 44.1 41.8 25.3 25.3 25.5 26.1 25.5 2.68 2.59 2.45 2.16 1.95 .. 28.1 28.1 28.3 28.7 27.4 27.5 27.5 28.0 28.8 5.0 7.0 12.8 20.3 26.0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005P 23.0 21.5 22.0 21.4 21.6 22.3 15.7 14.9 14.5 14.6 14.5 14.4 40.2 39.5 38.6 37.9 37.2 36.4 25.5 25.4 25.5 25.7 25.9 26.2 1.86 1.75 1.80 1.77 1.81 1.87 28.8 29.0 29.1 29.2 29.2 29.4 29.0 29.2 29.4 29.5 29.5 29.7 30.3 31.8 32.5 33.5 34.4 34.5 .. .. .. .. 1,679.0 1,682.9 1,689.3 1,696.6 1,702.6 1,710.3 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Notes: Some of these indicators are also in other tables. They are brought together to make comparison easier. Figures for England and Wales represent the number of deaths registered in each year up to 1992, and the number of deaths occurring in each year from 1993 to 2004. Births and deaths figures for England and also for Wales exclude events for persons usually resident outside England and Wales. These events are, however, included in totals for England and Wales combined, and for the United Kingdom. From 1981 births to non-resident mothers in Northern Ireland are excluded from the figures for Northern Ireland, and the United Kingdom. 1 Percentage of children under 16 to working population (males 16–64 and females 16–59). 2 Percentage of males 65 and over and females 60 and over to working population (males 16–64 and females 16–59). 3 TFR (total fertility rate) is the number of children that would be born to a woman if current patterns of fertility persisted throughout her childbearing life. It is sometimes called the TPFR (total period fertility rate). National Statistics 36 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 10,486 9,506 8,914 8,168 7,584 7,318 6,974 6,807 6,765 6,757 6,390 6,27810 10,271 9,298 8,725 8,017 7,414 7,138 6,821 6,650 6,603 6,602 6,232 6,125 10 10,858 9,846 9,043 8,149 7,758 7,637 7,180 7,017 6,951 6,980 6,582 6,464 10 11,675 10,849 10,120 9,216 8,791 8,493 8,082 7,930 7,955 7,922 7,536 7,406 10 11,746 10,567 10,071 8,303 7,742 7,699 7,279 6,976 6,930 6,744 6,609 6,411 10 Males Females Infant mortality rate7 .. 70.8 71.9 73.2 74.3 .. 76.8 77.7 78.7 79.4 14.5 11.2 9.5 7.4 6.1 75.0 75.4 75.7 75.9 76.3 .. .. 79.9 80.2 80.4 80.5 80.7 .. .. 5.8 5.6 5.5 5.2 5.3 5.0 5.1 .. 71.1 72.2 73.4 74.5 .. 77.0 77.9 78.9 79.6 14.2 10.9 9.5 7.3 6.1 75.3 75.7 76.0 76.2 76.6 .. .. 80.1 80.4 80.6 80.7 80.9 .. .. 5.7 5.6 5.4 5.2 5.3 5.0 5.0 .. 70.4 71.6 73.1 73.9 .. 76.4 77.5 78.8 79.1 13.7 12.6 9.5 6.6 5.6 74.7 74.9 75.4 75.7 76.0 .. .. 79.6 79.8 80.1 80.2 80.4 .. .. 6.1 5.3 5.4 4.5 4.3 4.9 4.3 .. 69.1 70.2 71.4 72.2 .. 75.3 76.2 77.1 77.9 14.8 11.3 8.8 7.1 6.2 72.8 73.1 73.3 73.5 73.8 .. .. 78.4 78.6 78.8 78.9 79.1 .. .. 5.0 5.7 5.5 5.3 5.1 4.9 5.2 .. 69.2 70.9 72.6 73.8 .. 75.5 77.1 78.4 79.2 18.3 13.2 13.2 7.4 5.8 74.5 74.8 75.2 75.6 75.8 .. .. 79.6 79.8 80.1 80.4 80.6 .. .. 6.4 5.1 6.1 4.7 5.3 5.5 6.3 4 Standardised to take account of the age structure of the population. 5 Unstandardised and therefore takes no account of the age structure of the population. 6 Per million population. The age-standardised mortality rate makes allowances for changes in the age structure of the population. See Notes to tables. 7 Deaths under one year per 1,000 live births. 8 These revised population estimates were published on 9 September 2004 (for mid-2001 and mid-2002) and 7 October (for mid-1992 to mid-2000), following the local authority population studies, and replace all earlier versions. All figures shown on this table are now therefore on a consistent basis. 9 Population estimates for mid-2004 for the United Kingdom, Great Britain, England and Wales and England were revised due to the Harrow correction that was published on 20 December 2005. Rates for 2004 have been calculated using these revised estimates. 10 Calculated using the 2004-based population projections for 2005. P Provisional H e a l t h S t a t i s t i cs Q u a r t e r ly 3 0 Table 3.1 Live births: age of mother England and Wales Numbers (thousands), rates, mean age and TFRs Age of mother at birth Year and quarter Summer 2006 All ages Under 20 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40 and over Mean1 age (years) Age of mother at birth All ages Under 20 Total live births (numbers) 20–24 25–29 30–34 TFR3 35–39 40 and over Mean2 age (years) Age-specific fertility rates4 1961 811.3 59.8 249.8 248.5 152.3 77.5 23.3 27.6 89.2 37.3 172.6 176.9 103.1 48.1 15.0 27.4 2.77 1964(max) 876.0 76.7 276.1 270.7 153.5 75.4 23.6 27.2 92.9 42.5 181.6 187.3 107.7 49.8 13.7 27.3 2.93 1966 849.8 86.7 285.8 253.7 136.4 67.0 20.1 26.8 90.5 47.7 176.0 174.0 97.3 45.3 12.5 27.1 2.75 1971 783.2 82.6 285.7 247.2 109.6 45.2 12.7 26.2 83.5 50.6 152.9 153.2 77.1 32.8 8.7 26.6 2.37 1976 584.3 57.9 182.2 220.7 90.8 26.1 6.5 26.4 60.4 32.2 109.3 118.7 57.2 18.6 4.8 26.5 1.71 1977(min) 569.3 54.5 174.5 207.9 100.8 25.5 6.0 26.5 58.1 29.4 103.7 117.5 58.6 18.2 4.4 26.6 1.66 1981 634.5 56.6 194.5 215.8 126.6 34.2 6.9 26.8 61.3 28.1 105.3 129.1 68.6 21.7 4.9 27.0 1.80 1986 661.0 57.4 192.1 229.0 129.5 45.5 7.6 27.0 60.6 30.1 92.7 123.8 78.0 24.6 4.8 27.4 1.77 1991 699.2 52.4 173.4 248.7 161.3 53.6 9.8 27.7 63.6 33.0 89.3 119.4 86.7 32.1 5.3 27.7 1.82 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 689.7 673.5 664.7 648.1 649.5 47.9 45.1 42.0 41.9 44.7 163.3 152.0 140.2 130.7 125.7 244.8 236.0 229.1 217.4 211.1 166.8 171.1 179.6 181.2 186.4 56.7 58.8 63.1 65.5 69.5 10.2 10.5 10.7 11.3 12.1 27.9 28.1 28.4 28.5 28.6 63.6 62.7 62.0 60.5 60.6 31.7 30.9 28.9 28.5 29.7 86.1 82.5 79.0 76.4 77.0 117.6 114.4 112.2 108.4 106.6 87.4 87.4 89.4 88.3 89.8 33.4 34.1 35.8 36.3 37.5 5.8 6.2 6.4 6.8 7.2 27.8 27.9 28.1 28.2 28.2 1.80 1.76 1.75 1.72 1.74 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 643.1 635.9 621.9 604.4 594.6 46.4 48.3 48.4 45.8 44.2 118.6 113.5 110.7 107.7 108.8 202.8 193.1 181.9 170.7 159.9 187.5 188.5 185.3 180.1 178.9 74.9 78.9 81.3 85.0 86.5 12.9 13.6 14.3 15.1 16.3 28.8 28.9 29.0 29.1 29.2 60.0 59.2 57.8 55.9 54.7 30.2 30.9 30.9 29.3 28.0 76.0 74.9 73.0 70.0 69.0 104.3 101.5 98.3 94.3 91.7 89.8 90.6 89.6 87.9 88.0 39.4 40.4 40.6 41.4 41.5 7.6 7.9 8.1 8.3 8.8 28.3 28.3 28.4 28.5 28.6 1.73 1.72 1.70 1.65 1.63 2002 2003 20045 596.1 621.5 639.7 43.5 44.2 45.1 110.9 116.6 121.1 153.4 156.9 160.0 180.5 187.2 190.6 90.5 97.4 102.2 17.3 19.1 20.8 29.3 29.4 29.4 54.7 56.8 58.2 27.0 26.8 26.9 69.2 71.2 72.7 91.6 96.4 98.4 89.8 94.8 99.4 43.0 46.4 48.9 9.1 9.8 10.4 28.7 28.8 28.9 1.65 1.73 1.78 2000 March June Sept Dec 148.7 150.7 155.0 150.1 11.4 11.1 11.8 11.5 26.4 26.0 27.8 27.5 42.5 42.8 43.6 41.8 44.1 45.7 46.2 44.1 20.6 21.4 21.7 21.4 3.6 3.7 3.9 3.9 29.1 29.2 29.1 29.1 55.3 56.0 57.0 55.2 29 29 30 29 69 68 72 71 95 95 96 92 87 90 90 86 40 42 42 41 8 8 9 9 28.5 28.6 28.5 28.5 1.64 1.66 1.69 1.64 2001 March June Sept Dec 145.5 148.8 153.0 147.4 11.0 10.8 11.4 11.1 26.5 26.4 28.1 27.8 39.8 40.3 41.0 38.9 43.3 45.5 46.4 43.7 21.0 21.7 22.0 21.8 4.0 4.0 4.1 4.2 29.2 29.3 29.2 29.2 54.3 54.9 55.8 53.8 28 27 29 28 68 67 71 70 93 93 93 88 86 90 91 85 41 42 42 42 9 9 9 9 28.6 28.7 28.6 28.6 1.62 1.64 1.67 1.61 2002 March June Sept Dec 143.3 147.2 155.0 150.6 10.5 10.4 11.4 11.2 26.5 26.7 28.9 28.8 37.4 37.9 39.9 38.2 43.2 45.5 46.9 45.0 21.6 22.4 23.4 23.0 4.1 4.3 4.5 4.5 29.3 29.4 29.3 29.3 53.3 54.1 56.4 54.8 26 26 28 28 67 67 72 71 91 91 95 91 87 91 93 89 42 43 44 44 9 9 9 9 28.7 28.8 28.7 28.7 1.61 1.63 1.70 1.65 2003 March June Sept Dec 147.4 155.1 162.8 156.0 10.9 10.7 11.5 11.2 27.9 28.5 30.5 29.7 37.5 39.3 41.0 39.1 44.0 47.4 49.3 46.5 22.6 24.5 25.6 24.6 4.6 4.7 5.0 4.8 29.3 29.5 29.4 29.4 54.6 56.9 59.0 56.6 27 26 28 27 69 70 74 72 93 97 100 95 90 96 99 94 44 47 48 47 10 10 10 10 28.8 28.9 28.9 28.8 1.66 1.73 1.79 1.72 2004 March5 June5 Sept5 Dec5 155.2 157.4 165.4 161.7 11.0 10.7 11.7 11.6 29.3 29.3 31.4 31.1 38.7 39.4 41.6 40.3 46.6 47.7 49.0 47.2 24.7 25.2 26.3 26.0 4.9 5.0 5.4 5.5 29.4 29.5 29.4 29.4 56.8 57.6 59.9 58.6 27 26 28 28 71 71 75 74 96 97 102 99 98 100 102 98 47 49 50 49 10 10 11 11 28.9 29.0 28.9 28.9 1.74 1.77 1.84 1.80 2005 March6P 154.3 June6P 159.7 Sept6P 169.7 10.9 10.7 11.8 29.3 29.6 32.4 38.9 40.3 43.5 44.9 47.5 49.3 24.8 26.2 26.9 5.4 5.4 5.7 29.5 29.5 29.4 56.6 58.0 60.9 26 25 28 70 70 76 95 97 104 98 102 105 49 51 52 11 11 11 29.0 29.1 29.0 1.74 1.78 1.88 Notes: The rates for women of all ages, under 20, and 40 and over are based upon the populations of women aged 15–44, 15–19, and 40–44 respectively. 1 Unstandardised and therefore takes no account of the age structure of the population. 2 Standardised to take account of the age structure of the population. This measure is more appropriate for use when analysing trends or making comparisons between different geographies. 3 TFR (total fertility rate) is the number of children that would be born to a woman if current patterns of fertility persisted throughout her childbearing life. It is sometimes called the TPFR (total period fertility rate). During the post Second World War period the TFR reached a maximum in 1964 and a minimum in 1977. 4 Births per 1,000 women in the age-group; all quarterly age-specific fertility rates are adjusted for days in the quarter. They are not adjusted for seasonality. 5 Rates for 2004 have been calculated using the revised mid-2004 population estimates published on 20 December 2005. 6 Birth rates for 2005 are based on the 2004-based population projections for 2005. p Provisional 37 National Statistics Heal th Stati sti cs Q u a r t e rly 3 0 Summer 2006 Live births outside marriage: age of mother and type of registration Table 3.2 England and Wales Numbers (thousands), mean age and percentages Age of mother at birth Year and quarter All ages Under 20 20–24 25–29 30–34 Age of mother at birth 35–39 40 and over Mean1 age (years) All ages Under 20 20–24 25–29 30–34 Registration2 35–39 40 and over Joint Sole Same3 Different3 address addresses Percentage of total live births in age-group As a percentage of all births outside marriage { Live births outside marriage (numbers) 65.7 53.8 81.0 21.6 19.8 26.4 22.0 16.6 28.8 11.5 9.7 14.3 6.2 4.7 7.9 3.2 2.3 1.3 1.1 0.7 0.9 23.7 23.3 23.4 8.4 9.2 12.8 26.1 34.2 46.7 7.7 9.1 14.8 4.7 4.4 6.6 5.7 5.2 6.2 7.0 8.6 3.9 9.0 10.1 12.5 45.5 51.0 58.2 54.5 49.0 41.8 1986 1991 141.3 211.3 39.6 43.4 54.1 77.8 27.7 52.4 13.1 25.7 5.7 9.8 1.1 2.1 23.8 24.8 21.4 30.2 69.0 82.9 28.2 44.9 12.1 21.1 10.1 16.0 12.6 18.3 14.7 21.3 46.6 54.6 19.6 19.8 33.8 25.6 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 215.2 216.5 215.5 219.9 232.7 40.1 38.2 35.9 36.3 39.3 77.1 75.0 71.0 69.7 71.1 55.9 57.5 58.5 59.6 62.3 28.9 31.4 34.0 37.0 40.5 10.9 11.9 13.4 14.4 16.2 2.3 2.5 2.7 3.0 3.2 25.2 25.5 25.8 26.0 26.1 31.2 32.2 32.4 33.9 35.8 83.7 84.8 85.5 86.6 88.0 47.2 49.4 50.6 53.3 56.5 22.8 24.4 25.5 27.4 29.5 17.3 18.4 18.9 20.4 21.7 19.3 20.2 21.2 22.0 23.4 22.9 23.5 25.2 26.2 26.7 55.4 54.8 57.5 58.1 58.1 20.7 22.0 19.8 20.1 19.9 23.9 23.2 22.7 21.8 21.9 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 238.2 240.6 241.9 238.6 238.1 41.1 43.0 43.0 41.1 39.5 69.5 67.8 67.5 67.5 68.1 63.4 62.4 61.2 59.1 56.8 42.2 43.9 45.0 43.9 45.2 18.2 19.6 20.8 22.3 23.3 3.7 3.9 4.3 4.7 5.1 26.2 26.3 26.4 26.5 26.7 37.0 37.8 38.9 39.5 40.0 88.7 89.1 89.0 89.7 89.5 58.6 59.7 61.0 62.6 62.6 31.3 32.3 33.6 34.6 35.5 22.5 23.3 24.3 24.4 25.3 24.3 24.8 25.6 26.2 26.9 28.6 29.0 30.2 31.0 31.6 59.5 60.9 61.8 62.7 63.2 19.3 18.3 18.2 18.2 18.4 21.2 20.8 19.9 19.2 18.4 2002 2003 2004 242.0 257.2 269.7 38.9 39.9 41.0 70.2 75.7 79.8 55.8 58.2 61.4 46.4 49.2 50.7 25.1 27.8 29.7 5.6 6.4 7.1 26.8 26.9 27.0 40.6 41.4 42.2 89.5 90.2 91.0 63.3 64.9 65.9 36.4 37.1 38.4 25.7 26.3 26.6 27.7 28.5 29.0 32.2 33.3 34.0 63.7 63.5 63.6 18.5 19.0 19.6 17.8 17.4 16.8 1997 March June Sept Dec 58.6 58.9 61.4 59.3 10.2 10.1 10.5 10.4 17.4 17.1 17.9 17.2 15.7 15.5 16.5 15.7 10.2 10.6 10.9 10.4 4.2 4.7 4.7 4.6 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 26.1 26.3 26.2 26.2 37.0 36.1 37.3 37.8 88.7 89.1 88.8 88.3 58.4 58.0 58.9 59.2 31.1 30.1 31.8 32.2 22.4 22.0 22.7 23.0 23.9 24.3 24.4 24.8 28.7 28.4 27.8 29.3 58.4 59.6 59.9 60.0 19.5 19.4 18.9 19.2 22.0 21.0 21.2 20.7 1998 March June Sept Dec 58.5 58.4 63.2 60.5 10.4 10.3 11.3 11.0 16.5 16.2 17.9 17.2 15.3 15.4 16.3 15.4 10.7 10.8 11.5 10.9 4.6 4.7 5.2 5.0 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0 26.3 26.3 26.3 26.3 37.5 36.8 38.1 38.9 89.0 89.6 89.2 88.5 59.5 59.1 60.0 60.4 31.9 31.8 32.3 33.3 23.1 22.5 23.6 24.0 24.4 24.0 25.2 25.7 29.6 28.3 28.5 29.7 60.5 61.0 60.9 61.2 18.4 18.2 18.4 18.4 21.1 20.8 20.7 20.4 1999 March June Sept Dec 59.0 59.8 62.9 60.2 10.8 10.5 11.1 10.6 16.4 16.5 17.7 17.0 15.0 15.3 16.0 14.9 10.9 11.2 11.7 11.1 5.0 5.2 5.4 5.3 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 26.3 26.5 26.4 26.4 38.8 38.0 39.3 39.5 89.7 89.2 88.7 88.4 60.5 60.6 61.7 61.2 33.4 33.0 34.1 34.0 24.1 23.4 24.7 24.8 25.4 25.3 25.6 26.2 29.5 31.3 29.3 30.8 61.4 61.6 62.2 62.0 18.2 18.2 18.1 18.4 20.4 20.1 19.6 19.5 2000 March June Sept Dec 59.0 57.9 61.7 60.1 10.2 10.0 10.6 10.3 16.5 16.1 17.6 17.3 14.8 14.4 15.3 14.7 10.9 10.9 11.3 10.9 5.4 5.5 5.7 5.7 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.2 26.5 26.6 26.5 26.5 39.7 38.5 39.8 40.0 89.7 89.7 89.7 89.5 62.6 61.9 63.3 62.8 34.8 33.5 35.0 35.2 24.7 23.8 24.5 24.7 26.1 25.7 26.5 26.6 31.7 30.6 30.4 31.4 62.5 62.9 62.7 62.6 18.1 17.8 18.1 18.6 19.5 19.2 19.2 18.8 2001 March June Sept Dec 58.0 58.1 61.8 60.2 9.9 9.6 10.2 9.9 16.7 16.3 17.6 17.5 13.9 14.1 14.7 14.1 10.8 11.2 12.0 11.3 5.7 5.7 6.0 5.9 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.4 26.5 26.7 26.7 26.7 39.8 39.1 40.4 40.9 90.4 89.0 89.5 89.2 63.0 61.5 62.6 63.1 34.9 34.9 35.9 36.4 24.8 24.5 25.8 25.9 26.9 26.4 27.2 27.2 28.0 32.2 32.2 33.9 62.5 63.3 63.5 63.4 18.7 18.6 18.4 18.6 18.8 18.6 18.2 18.0 2002 March June Sept Dec 58.0 58.3 63.4 62.3 9.4 9.3 10.2 10.0 16.7 16.6 18.4 18.4 13.6 13.5 14.6 14.1 10.9 11.4 12.3 11.9 6.0 6.1 6.5 6.5 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.5 26.8 26.8 26.8 26.8 40.5 39.6 40.9 41.4 89.4 89.4 89.3 89.7 63.0 62.2 63.8 64.1 36.4 35.6 36.6 36.9 25.4 25.0 26.1 26.4 27.7 27.2 27.9 28.0 31.5 31.7 32.7 32.8 63.2 64.2 63.9 63.3 18.5 18.2 18.5 18.9 18.3 17.7 17.5 17.8 2003 March June Sept Dec 61.0 62.8 67.6 65.8 9.8 9.6 10.3 10.2 18.0 18.3 20.0 19.5 13.9 14.2 15.3 14.9 11.6 12.2 13.0 12.5 6.3 6.9 7.3 7.3 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.6 26.8 27.0 26.9 26.9 41.4 40.5 41.5 42.2 90.1 90.0 90.2 90.4 64.5 64.0 65.6 65.6 37.0 36.2 38.3 38.0 26.9 25.7 26.4 27.7 29.1 28.3 28.6 29.5 33.3 33.7 33.3 32.9 63.0 64.0 63.7 63.3 18.9 18.5 19.3 19.4 18.1 17.4 18.0 17.4 2004 March June Sept Dec 65.2 65.2 70.2 69.1 10.1 9.8 10.7 10.6 19.3 19.1 20.7 20.7 14.8 14.9 16.1 15.7 12.5 12.5 13.0 12.7 7.0 7.3 7.9 7.5 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.9 26.9 27.0 27.0 26.9 42.0 41.4 42.4 42.7 91.2 91.0 91.2 90.6 65.8 65.1 66.1 66.6 38.2 37.7 38.6 39.0 26.8 26.2 26.5 27.0 28.2 28.8 30.0 29.0 34.3 34.5 33.5 33.9 63.1 63.9 63.7 63.6 19.4 19.5 19.7 19.8 17.4 16.6 16.6 16.6 2005 MarchP JuneP SeptP 66.3 66.6 73.5 10.0 9.8 10.9 19.6 19.7 22.1 15.2 15.4 17.2 12.2 12.6 13.4 7.3 7.4 7.8 1.9 1.8 2.0 27.0 27.0 27.0 43.0 41.7 43.3 92.0 91.2 92.1 67.0 66.5 68.1 39.0 38.1 39.7 27.1 26.4 27.2 29.6 28.1 29.1 35.2 33.3 35.6 63.1 63.7 63.8 20.3 19.8 20.3 16.6 16.5 15.9 { 1971 1976 1981 1 2 3 P The mean ages in this table are unstandardised and therefore take no account of the structure of the population by age or marital status. Births outside marriage can be registered by both the mother and father (joint) or by the mother alone (sole). Usual address(es) of parents. Provisional National Statistics 38 H e a l t h S t a t i s t i cs Q u a r t e r ly 3 0 Table 4.1 Summer 2006 Conceptions: age of women at conception England and Wales (residents) Numbers (thousands) and rates; and percentage terminated by abortion Age of woman at conception Year and quarter All ages Under 16 Under 18 Under 20 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40 and over (a) numbers (thousands) 1991 1996 853.7 816.9 7.5 8.9 40.1 43.5 101.6 94.9 233.3 179.8 281.5 252.6 167.5 200.0 57.6 75.5 12.1 14.1 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004P 774.0 767.0 763.7 787.0 806.8 825.8 7.9 8.1 7.9 7.9 8.0 7.6 42.0 41.3 41.0 42.0 42.2 42.2 98.8 97.7 96.0 97.1 98.6 101.2 157.6 159.0 161.6 167.8 175.3 181.1 218.5 209.3 199.3 199.4 199.8 204.9 197.1 195.3 196.7 204.3 209.0 209.9 86.0 88.7 92.2 98.9 103.1 106.6 16.0 17.0 17.8 19.6 20.9 22.7 2001 March June Sept Dec 189.2 187.4 189.3 197.9 1.9 2.1 1.9 2.0 10.2 10.2 10.0 10.6 24.3 24.0 23.1 24.6 40.4 39.8 39.2 42.3 50.0 48.8 49.5 51.1 47.8 47.7 49.9 51.3 22.3 22.8 23.2 23.9 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.7 2002 March June Sept Dec 191.6 190.4 197.4 207.6 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 10.3 10.5 10.2 11.0 24.1 24.2 23.4 25.4 41.3 40.7 41.4 44.4 48.8 48.2 50.2 52.3 49.0 48.8 52.4 54.2 23.7 23.8 25.2 26.2 4.6 4.8 4.9 5.2 2003 March June Sept Dec 198.2 198.5 200.1 210.0 1.9 2.1 2.0 2.0 10.5 10.8 10.2 10.7 24.5 24.7 23.7 25.7 42.9 43.2 43.1 46.1 49.4 49.1 49.3 52.0 51.2 51.1 52.8 54.0 25.2 25.2 26.1 26.7 4.9 5.2 5.2 5.6 2004 Marchp JuneP SeptP DecP 207.9 200.0 203.6 214.3 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.9 10.9 10.6 10.0 10.8 26.2 25.0 24.0 26.0 45.9 43.7 44.1 47.5 51.1 49.3 50.7 53.8 52.6 50.4 52.7 53.7 26.6 25.9 26.6 27.5 5.6 5.7 5.6 5.8 204.2 1.9 10.4 25.0 45.3 50.7 51.0 26.5 5.7 2005 MarchP (b) rates (conceptions per thousand women in age group)1 1991 1996 77.7 76.2 8.9 9.5 44.6 46.3 64.1 63.2 120.2 110.1 135.1 127.6 90.1 96.3 34.4 40.7 6.6 8.4 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004P 71.9 70.9 70.3 72.2 73.7 75.2 8.3 8.3 8.0 7.9 8.0 7.5 45.1 43.9 42.7 42.8 42.3 41.7 63.1 62.5 60.8 60.3 59.8 60.3 103.9 103.2 102.5 104.6 107.1 108.7 118.0 115.7 114.2 119.1 122.8 126.0 95.3 95.3 96.7 101.6 105.9 109.2 42.9 43.2 44.3 47.0 49.1 50.9 9.1 9.4 9.6 10.3 10.7 11.3 2001 March June Sept Dec 70.7 69.2 69.1 72.1 7.8 8.4 7.7 8.1 43.3 42.8 41.1 43.5 62.7 61.0 57.8 61.4 104.8 101.4 98.4 105.6 114.5 111.6 113.1 118.0 95.0 94.0 97.6 100.5 43.7 44.0 44.2 45.4 9.7 9.5 9.3 10.0 2002 March June Sept Dec 71.3 70.1 71.8 75.4 7.7 8.1 7.7 8.0 42.9 42.9 41.2 44.1 61.3 60.4 57.5 62.1 105.1 101.9 102.1 108.9 116.4 114.8 119.4 125.1 98.4 97.1 103.5 107.6 45.8 45.5 47.6 49.4 9.9 10.2 10.2 10.7 2003 March June Sept Dec 73.5 72.8 72.5 76.0 7.8 8.3 7.9 7.8 42.8 43.3 40.5 42.5 60.8 60.3 56.8 61.4 107.2 106.1 104.2 110.9 121.8 120.6 120.2 126.8 104.5 103.5 106.4 109.7 48.6 48.0 49.3 50.5 10.3 10.8 10.5 11.2 2004 Marchp JuneP SeptP DecP 76.2 73.3 73.7 77.5 7.8 7.7 7.1 7.4 43.4 42.1 39.2 42.3 63.1 60.1 56.8 61.4 111.5 105.8 105.0 112.6 126.3 122.1 123.6 130.5 109.1 105.3 109.9 113.1 51.1 49.7 50.6 52.5 11.4 11.5 11.1 11.3 75.2 7.6 41.4 60.1 108.9 124.7 110.5 51.7 11.4 2005 MarchP (c) percentage terminated by abortion 1991 1996 19.4 20.8 51.1 49.2 39.9 40.0 34.5 36.2 22.2 25.7 13.4 15.6 13.7 14.1 22.0 21.2 41.6 37.6 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004P 22.6 22.7 23.2 22.5 22.5 22.4 52.6 54.0 55.8 55.6 57.4 57.1 43.0 44.2 45.7 45.3 45.7 45.6 38.6 39.3 40.4 39.9 40.2 40.1 28.5 29.2 29.7 28.8 29.0 28.9 17.5 17.7 18.4 17.9 17.9 18.2 14.7 14.5 14.6 13.9 13.6 13.2 21.2 20.5 20.4 19.5 18.9 18.4 37.0 35.4 34.6 34.6 34.7 33.0 2001 March June Sept Dec 23.4 23.8 22.5 22.9 54.4 58.8 55.0 54.9 44.9 47.0 45.7 45.2 40.2 41.1 40.1 40.0 29.8 30.3 29.2 29.5 18.6 18.6 18.1 18.1 14.8 15.3 13.8 14.4 20.7 21.0 19.9 20.2 34.9 36.0 33.5 34.1 2002 March June Sept Dec 22.9 22.9 21.6 22.6 54.3 55.5 56.1 56.4 44.9 45.0 45.0 46.3 40.2 39.4 39.4 40.7 29.4 28.9 27.8 29.0 18.1 18.4 17.3 17.8 14.1 14.5 13.2 13.9 19.8 20.1 18.7 19.4 35.1 34.8 34.2 34.5 2003 March June Sept Dec 22.8 23.1 21.6 22.5 58.9 58.3 56.9 55.7 46.1 46.2 45.3 45.0 40.2 40.9 39.5 40.3 29.5 29.3 28.0 29.0 17.9 18.4 17.1 18.1 13.8 14.2 13.0 13.5 19.7 19.2 18.0 18.5 34.5 36.1 33.8 34.5 2004 Marchp JuneP SeptP DecP 22.7 23.0 21.9 22.1 58.2 57.2 56.8 56.1 45.7 46.4 45.8 44.5 40.2 40.8 40.1 39.3 29.4 29.2 28.4 28.7 18.5 18.6 17.9 17.8 13.4 13.7 12.8 13.1 18.2 19.2 17.8 18.3 32.9 33.5 33.0 32.6 2005 MarchP 22.4 57.3 47.2 41.0 29.1 18.0 13.1 17.9 32.5 Notes: Conceptions are estimates derived from birth registrations and abortion notifications. Rates for women of all ages, under 16, under 18, under 20 and 40 and over are based on the population of women aged 15–44, 13–15, 15–17, 15–19 and 40–44 respectively. For a quarterly analysis of conceptions under 18 for local authority areas see the National Statisitcs website, www.statistics.gov.uk 1 Rates for provisional annual 2004 conceptions are based on mid-year population estimates published on 20 December 2005. Rates for provisional 2005 conceptions are based on the 2004-based population projections for 2005. P Provisional 39 National Statistics Heal th Stati sti cs Q u a r t e rly 3 0 Table 4.2 Summer 2006 England and Wales Abortions: residents and non-residents; age and gestation (residents only) England and Wales Numbers (thousands) and rates; and percentages for gestation weeks All women (residents) All ages Year and quarter All1 women Residents1 Age group Gestation weeks (percentages) Non-1 residents Under 16 16–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–44 45 and over Numbers (thousands) Under 9 9–12 13–19 20 and over Percentages 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 129.7 162.5 172.3 179.5 177.5 101.9 128.6 147.6 167.4 167.9 27.8 33.9 24.7 12.1 9.6 3.4 3.5 3.9 3.2 3.6 24.0 31.4 33.8 31.1 28.8 23.6 34.3 45.3 52.7 46.4 19.3 21.9 28.7 38.6 39.3 14.6 18.7 18.0 23.4 28.2 14.7 17.6 17.5 17.9 21.1 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 24.8 31.0 33.4 35.2 40.0 55.8 53.4 53.8 52.9 48.7 15.0 13.5 11.5 10.6 10.1 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.2 1.3 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 179.7 187.4 183.2 185.4 186.3 185.4 190.7 194.2 170.1 177.9 173.7 175.5 176.4 175.9 181.6 185.4 9.6 9.5 9.5 9.8 9.9 9.5 9.1 8.8 3.4 3.8 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.7 4.0 3.8 29.9 33.2 32.8 33.2 33.4 33.0 34.2 35.4 45.0 45.8 45.0 47.1 48.3 48.4 51.1 52.7 40.2 40.4 38.5 37.9 36.5 35.8 36.0 37.8 28.9 30.4 29.1 28.7 28.8 28.5 28.7 28.1 22.3 23.8 24.1 24.4 25.2 26.0 26.9 27.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 41.2 41.4 42.5 43.3 42.8 42.2 43.6 46.2 47.9 47.6 46.5 45.0 45.0 45.2 43.7 41.5 9.6 9.7 9.5 10.3 10.6 11.0 11.1 10.8 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 2000 March June Sept Dec 49.5 45.8 46.1 43.9 46.9 43.4 43.6 41.7 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.2 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.9 9.1 8.2 8.1 7.8 12.5 11.8 11.5 11.2 10.2 9.2 9.5 8.9 7.5 7.1 7.3 6.8 6.4 6.0 6.1 5.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 38.9 42.2 44.5 47.8 47.9 46.0 44.0 41.7 11.6 10.3 10.1 9.0 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.4 2001 March June Sept Dec 47.8 46.6 46.2 45.6 45.3 44.1 43.8 43.3 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.9 8.7 8.3 8.2 8.2 12.4 12.1 11.8 11.9 9.4 9.1 9.1 8.9 7.3 7.2 7.3 7.0 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 40.5 42.0 43.1 45.7 46.3 45.8 44.7 43.1 11.6 10.6 10.6 9.7 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.6 2002 March June Sept Dec 47.6 45.9 46.5 45.3 45.2 43.5 44.1 43.2 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.9 8.6 8.2 8.2 8.0 12.6 12.0 11.9 11.9 9.2 8.9 8.9 8.8 7.3 7.0 7.3 6.9 6.5 6.4 6.6 6.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 38.9 40.0 42.9 47.0 47.4 46.4 45.1 41.8 12.0 11.8 10.4 9.7 1.6 1.8 1.6 1.5 2003 March June Sept Dec 50.0 47.7 47.7 46.0 47.6 45.4 44.8 43.9 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 9.1 8.5 8.3 8.3 13.4 12.7 12.5 12.5 9.4 9.1 8.9 8.6 7.5 7.2 7.2 6.9 7.0 6.7 6.7 6.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 40.9 42.5 43.3 47.7 45.3 44.4 43.9 41.0 12.2 11.4 11.2 9.6 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.7 2004 March June Sept Dec 51.1 48.7 48.3 46.1 48.6 46.4 46.2 44.2 2.4 2.3 2.1 1.9 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 9.3 8.8 8.9 8.4 13.9 13.2 13.0 12.6 9.8 9.5 9.4 9.1 7.5 6.9 7.0 6.6 7.0 6.8 7.0 6.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 41.7 43.7 47.8 52.0 44.5 43.3 40.5 37.2 12.0 11.2 10.3 9.5 1.7 1.8 1.4 1.3 2005 Marchp JuneP SeptP 50.0 50.1 46.9 47.9 48.0 45.0 2.1 2.1 1.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 9.1 9.1 8.5 13.9 13.8 12.6 9.7 9.8 9.3 7.2 7.1 6.9 7.0 6.9 6.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 47.2 53.9 56.6 40.4 35.5 33.6 11.0 9.2 8.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 Rates (per thousand women residents) ASR3 Crude rate2 (women 15–44) (women 15–44) 1976 10.2 10.5 1981 11.9 12.4 1986 13.0 13.5 1991 15.0 15.2 1996 16.0 15.7 : : : : : 2.9 3.0 3.7 3.8 3.9 16.9 19.4 22.0 24.0 24.2 14.2 18.6 21.9 27.1 28.4 10.4 13.1 15.5 18.5 19.9 9.2 10.1 10.8 12.6 13.6 5.3 5.9 5.1 5.1 6.0 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 16.3 17.1 16.8 17.0 17.0 15.9 16.6 16.2 16.3 16.2 : : : : : 3.7 4.0 3.8 3.9 3.7 24.4 26.8 26.3 26.9 26.6 28.8 30.2 29.7 30.7 30.6 20.7 21.2 20.8 20.9 20.9 13.8 14.6 14.1 14.1 14.2 6.2 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 2002 2003 20044 17.0 17.5 17.8 16.1 16.6 16.9 : : : 3.7 3.9 3.7 25.8 26.1 26.5 30.1 31.2 31.9 21.4 22.1 23.3 14.2 14.6 14.6 6.5 6.6 6.6 0.3 0.3 0.3 2000 March June Sept Dec 18.2 16.8 16.9 16.1 17.4 16.1 16.1 15.4 : : : : 4.2 3.7 4.0 3.6 29.3 26.4 26.3 25.2 32.8 30.7 29.9 29.0 22.4 20.4 21.1 20.0 14.7 13.9 14.2 13.4 6.7 6.3 6.3 6.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 2001 March June Sept Dec 17.5 17.0 16.9 16.7 16.7 16.2 16.1 15.9 : : : : 3.6 3.8 3.9 3.6 27.9 26.6 25.9 26.0 31.8 30.8 29.9 30.0 21.2 20.9 20.9 20.8 14.3 14.1 14.4 13.8 6.6 6.4 6.4 6.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 2002 March June Sept Dec 17.4 16.7 16.9 16.5 16.6 15.9 16.1 15.7 : : : : 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.7 26.9 25.6 25.1 24.7 31.6 29.9 29.2 29.2 21.7 21.1 21.9 21.4 14.4 13.9 14.8 13.9 6.6 6.4 6.5 6.4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 2003 March June Sept Dec 18.3 17.4 17.2 16.8 17.4 16.6 16.4 16.0 : : : : 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.7 28.0 26.1 25.3 25.2 33.0 31.1 30.6 30.4 22.9 22.3 21.8 21.1 15.1 14.5 14.6 14.2 6.9 6.6 6.6 6.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 2004 March June Sept Dec 18.7 17.8 17.8 17.0 17.8 17.0 16.9 16.2 : : : : 3.9 3.7 3.7 3.5 28.2 26.6 26.6 25.0 33.7 32.2 31.4 30.4 24.1 23.3 22.9 22.3 15.4 14.3 14.8 14.2 6.9 6.7 6.8 6.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 20054 Marchp 18.3 17.5 : 3.7 27.0 33.4 23.8 15.2 JuneP 18.4 17.5 : 3.8 27.1 33.2 24.0 15.3 P Sept 17.2 16.4 : 3.8 25.1 30.3 22.5 14.9 Notes: Rates for Under 16 and 45 and over are based on female populations aged 13–15 and 45–49 respectively. 1 Includes cases with not stated age and/or gestation week. 2 Includes incomplete forms that have been returned to practitioners. 3 Rates for all women residents age-standardised to the European population for ages 15–44. 4 Based on the 2004-based population projections for 2005. p Provisional 6.8 6.7 6.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 National Statistics 40 H e a l t h S t a t i s t i cs Q u a r t e r ly 3 0 Table 5.1 Summer 2006 Expectation of life at birth and selected age Constituent countries of the United Kingdom Years Males Year At birth Females At age Year 5 20 30 50 60 70 80 At birth At age 5 20 30 50 60 70 80 United Kingdom 1981 1986 1991 1996 70.8 71.9 73.2 74.3 66.9 67.8 68.9 69.8 52.3 53.2 54.2 55.1 42.7 43.6 44.7 45.6 24.1 24.9 26.0 26.9 16.3 16.8 17.7 18.5 10.1 10.5 11.1 11.6 5.8 6.0 6.4 6.6 1981 1986 1991 1996 76.8 77.7 78.7 79.4 72.7 73.4 74.3 74.9 57.9 58.6 59.5 60.1 48.2 48.8 49.7 50.3 29.2 29.8 30.6 31.2 20.8 21.2 21.9 22.3 13.3 13.8 14.3 14.5 7.5 7.8 8.2 8.3 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 74.5 74.8 75.0 75.4 75.7 75.9 76.3 70.1 70.3 70.6 70.9 71.2 71.5 71.8 55.4 55.6 55.9 56.2 56.5 56.7 57.0 45.9 46.1 46.3 46.6 46.9 47.2 47.4 27.2 27.4 27.6 28.0 28.3 28.5 28.8 18.8 18.9 19.2 19.5 19.8 20.0 20.2 11.7 11.9 12.0 12.3 12.5 12.6 12.9 6.7 6.7 6.8 7.0 7.1 7.2 7.3 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 79.6 79.7 79.9 80.2 80.4 80.5 80.7 75.1 75.2 75.4 75.6 75.9 76.0 76.2 60.2 60.4 60.5 60.8 61.0 61.1 61.3 50.4 50.5 50.7 51.0 51.2 51.3 51.5 31.3 31.4 31.6 31.9 32.1 32.2 32.4 22.5 22.6 22.8 23.0 23.2 23.3 23.4 14.6 14.7 14.8 15.0 15.2 15.2 15.3 8.4 8.4 8.5 8.6 8.7 8.7 8.7 England and Wales 1981 1986 1991 1996 71.0 72.1 73.4 74.5 67.1 68.0 69.1 70.1 52.5 53.4 54.4 55.4 42.9 43.8 44.8 45.8 24.3 25.0 26.1 27.1 16.4 16.9 17.8 18.7 10.1 10.5 11.2 11.6 5.8 6.1 6.4 6.6 1981 1986 1991 1996 77.0 77.9 78.9 79.6 72.9 73.6 74.5 75.1 58.1 58.8 59.7 60.2 48.3 49.0 49.9 50.4 29.4 30.0 30.8 31.3 20.9 21.4 22.0 22.5 13.4 13.9 14.4 14.6 7.5 7.9 8.3 8.4 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 74.8 75.0 75.3 75.6 76.0 76.2 76.5 70.3 70.6 70.8 71.2 71.5 71.7 72.0 55.6 55.8 56.1 56.4 56.7 57.0 57.3 46.1 46.3 46.5 46.9 47.2 47.4 47.7 27.4 27.6 27.8 28.1 28.5 28.7 28.9 18.9 19.1 19.3 19.6 19.9 20.1 20.4 11.8 11.9 12.1 12.3 12.6 12.7 13.0 6.7 6.8 6.9 7.0 7.1 7.2 7.3 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 79.7 79.9 80.1 80.3 80.6 80.7 80.9 75.2 75.4 75.6 75.8 76.0 76.1 76.4 60.4 60.5 60.7 61.0 61.2 61.3 61.5 50.6 50.7 50.9 51.1 51.4 51.5 51.7 31.5 31.6 31.8 32.0 32.2 32.3 32.5 22.6 22.7 22.9 23.1 23.3 23.4 23.6 14.7 14.8 14.9 15.1 15.2 15.3 15.4 8.4 8.4 8.5 8.6 8.7 8.7 8.8 England 1981 1986 1991 1996 71.1 72.2 73.4 74.5 67.1 68.1 69.1 70.1 52.5 53.4 54.4 55.4 42.9 43.8 44.9 45.9 24.3 25.1 26.2 27.1 16.4 17.0 17.8 18.7 10.1 10.6 11.2 11.7 5.8 6.1 6.4 6.6 1981 1986 1991 1996 77.0 77.9 78.9 79.6 72.9 73.6 74.5 75.1 58.2 58.8 59.7 60.3 48.4 49.0 49.9 50.5 29.4 30.0 30.8 31.3 20.9 21.4 22.0 22.5 13.4 13.9 14.4 14.6 7.5 7.9 8.3 8.4 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 74.8 75.0 75.3 75.7 76.0 76.2 76.6 70.4 70.6 70.9 71.2 71.5 71.8 72.1 55.6 55.9 56.1 56.5 56.8 57.0 57.3 46.1 46.3 46.6 46.9 47.2 47.4 47.7 27.4 27.6 27.9 28.2 28.5 28.7 29.0 18.9 19.1 19.4 19.6 19.9 20.1 20.4 11.8 12.0 12.1 12.4 12.6 12.8 13.0 6.7 6.8 6.9 7.0 7.1 7.2 7.3 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 79.8 79.9 80.1 80.4 80.6 80.7 80.9 75.3 75.4 75.6 75.8 76.1 76.2 76.4 60.4 60.6 60.8 61.0 61.2 61.3 61.5 50.6 50.7 50.9 51.2 51.4 51.5 51.7 31.5 31.6 31.8 32.0 32.3 32.4 32.6 22.6 22.7 22.9 23.1 23.4 23.4 23.6 14.7 14.8 14.9 15.1 15.3 15.3 15.5 8.4 8.5 8.5 8.6 8.7 8.7 8.8 Wales 1981 1986 1991 1996 70.4 71.6 73.1 73.9 66.5 67.5 68.8 69.4 51.9 52.8 54.1 54.7 42.2 43.2 44.6 45.3 23.6 24.6 25.8 26.6 15.8 16.6 17.6 18.2 9.7 10.3 11.0 11.3 5.6 6.0 6.4 6.4 1981 1986 1991 1996 76.4 77.5 78.8 79.1 72.3 73.3 74.3 74.6 57.5 58.5 59.5 59.7 47.7 48.7 49.7 49.9 28.9 29.7 30.6 30.9 20.5 21.1 21.8 22.1 13.1 13.7 14.3 14.4 7.4 7.8 8.3 8.3 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 74.3 74.4 74.7 74.9 75.4 75.7 76.0 69.8 70.0 70.2 70.5 70.9 71.1 71.4 55.1 55.2 55.5 55.8 56.2 56.3 56.7 45.6 45.8 46.1 46.3 46.7 46.9 47.1 26.9 27.1 27.4 27.6 28.0 28.2 28.5 18.5 18.6 18.9 19.1 19.5 19.7 20.0 11.6 11.6 11.9 12.0 12.3 12.4 12.6 6.6 6.6 6.8 6.8 7.1 7.1 7.2 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 79.3 79.4 79.6 79.8 80.1 80.2 80.4 74.8 74.9 75.1 75.3 75.5 75.6 75.8 60.0 60.0 60.2 60.4 60.6 60.7 60.9 50.2 50.2 50.4 50.6 50.8 50.9 51.1 31.1 31.1 31.3 31.5 31.8 31.8 32.0 22.3 22.3 22.5 22.6 22.9 22.9 23.1 14.5 14.5 14.6 14.7 14.9 15.0 15.1 8.4 8.3 8.4 8.4 8.5 8.6 8.6 Scotland 1981 1986 1991 1996 69.1 70.2 71.4 72.2 65.2 66.0 67.1 67.8 50.6 51.4 52.5 53.1 41.1 41.9 43.0 43.7 22.9 23.5 24.6 25.3 15.4 15.8 16.6 17.3 9.6 9.9 10.4 10.9 5.5 5.7 6.1 6.3 1981 1986 1991 1996 75.3 76.2 77.1 77.9 71.2 71.9 72.7 73.3 56.4 57.1 57.9 58.5 46.7 47.3 48.1 48.8 27.9 28.4 29.2 29.8 19.7 20.1 20.7 21.2 12.7 13.0 13.5 13.8 7.2 7.5 7.9 8.0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 72.4 72.6 72.8 73.1 73.3 73.5 73.8 68.0 68.2 68.4 68.6 68.8 69.0 69.3 53.3 53.5 53.7 53.9 54.2 54.3 54.6 43.9 44.2 44.4 44.6 44.8 45.0 45.2 25.6 25.8 26.0 26.3 26.6 26.7 27.0 17.5 17.8 18.0 18.2 18.4 18.6 18.8 11.0 11.1 11.3 11.5 11.7 11.8 12.0 6.4 6.5 6.6 6.6 6.8 6.8 6.9 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 78.0 78.2 78.4 78.6 78.8 78.9 79.1 73.5 73.6 73.8 74.0 74.2 74.3 74.5 58.7 58.8 59.0 59.2 59.4 59.5 59.7 48.9 49.0 49.2 49.4 49.6 49.7 49.9 30.0 30.1 30.3 30.5 30.7 30.8 30.9 21.4 21.4 21.6 21.8 22.0 22.1 22.2 13.9 13.9 14.0 14.1 14.3 14.4 14.5 8.0 8.0 8.1 8.1 8.2 8.2 8.3 Northern Ireland 1981 1986 1991 1996 69.2 70.9 72.6 73.8 65.4 66.8 68.2 69.4 50.9 52.2 53.6 54.7 41.5 42.7 44.1 45.3 23.2 24.2 25.5 26.6 15.6 16.4 17.3 18.2 9.7 10.4 11.0 11.4 5.8 6.2 6.4 6.6 1981 1986 1991 1996 75.5 77.1 78.4 79.2 71.6 72.9 74.0 74.7 56.8 58.1 59.2 59.9 47.1 48.3 49.4 50.0 28.3 29.3 30.3 30.9 20.0 20.8 21.6 22.1 12.8 13.4 14.2 14.4 7.3 7.8 8.3 8.4 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 74.2 74.3 74.5 74.8 75.2 75.6 75.8 69.7 69.8 70.0 70.4 70.7 71.1 71.4 55.0 55.2 55.4 55.7 56.1 56.4 56.7 45.5 45.7 45.9 46.2 46.6 46.9 47.1 26.8 27.0 27.2 27.6 27.9 28.2 28.4 18.4 18.6 18.8 19.1 19.4 19.7 19.9 11.5 11.6 11.7 11.9 12.3 12.4 12.6 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.9 7.0 7.2 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 79.5 79.5 79.6 79.8 80.1 80.4 80.6 75.0 75.0 75.1 75.2 75.6 75.9 76.0 60.2 60.2 60.2 60.4 60.7 61.0 61.1 50.3 50.4 50.4 50.6 50.9 51.2 51.3 31.2 31.2 31.3 31.5 31.8 32.0 32.2 22.4 22.4 22.5 22.6 22.9 23.1 23.3 14.5 14.5 14.6 14.6 14.9 15.1 15.2 8.4 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.4 8.5 8.6 Note: Figures from 1981 are calculated from the population estimates revised in the light of the 2001 Census. All figures are based on a three-year period. 41 National Statistics Heal th Stati sti cs Q u a r t e rly 3 0 Table 6.1 Summer 2006 Deaths: age and sex England and Wales Numbers (thousands) and rates Age group Year and quarter All ages Under 11 1–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65–74 75–84 85 and over Numbers (thousands) Males 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 300.1 289.0 287.9 277.6 268.7 4.88 4.12 3.72 2.97 2.27 0.88 0.65 0.57 0.55 0.44 0.68 0.45 0.33 0.34 0.24 0.64 0.57 0.38 0.35 0.29 1.66 1.73 1.43 1.21 0.93 1.66 1.58 1.75 1.76 1.41 3.24 3.18 3.10 3.69 4.06 5.93 5.54 5.77 6.16 5.84 20.4 16.9 14.4 13.3 13.6 52.0 46.9 43.6 34.9 30.1 98.7 92.2 84.4 77.2 71.0 80.3 86.8 96.2 95.8 90.7 29.0 28.5 32.2 39.3 47.8 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005P 264.3 255.5 252.4 253.1 253.9 244.1 243.9 2.08 1.89 1.81 1.81 1.81 1.79 1.88 0.41 0.34 0.32 0.32 0.31 0.29 0.30 0.22 0.22 0.19 0.20 0.19 0.17 0.17 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.24 0.26 0.27 0.90 0.87 0.88 0.83 0.81 0.78 0.86 1.27 1.22 1.27 1.24 1.23 1.15 1.22 3.85 3.76 3.63 3.47 3.26 3.10 3.15 5.93 6.05 6.07 6.20 6.32 6.19 6.36 13.6 13.4 13.3 12.9 12.7 12.2 12.2 28.7 27.9 27.5 27.7 28.2 27.0 27.3 64.3 60.6 57.5 56.3 55.1 52.5 51.1 90.4 87.1 87.0 88.3 89.6 87.3 84.7 52.3 51.9 52.7 53.6 54.0 51.3 54.5 Females 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 298.5 288.9 293.3 292.5 291.5 3.46 2.90 2.59 2.19 1.69 0.59 0.53 0.49 0.44 0.32 0.45 0.30 0.25 0.25 0.18 0.42 0.37 0.27 0.22 0.20 0.62 0.65 0.56 0.46 0.43 0.67 0.64 0.67 0.64 0.51 1.94 1.82 1.65 1.73 1.85 4.04 3.74 3.83 3.70 3.66 12.8 10.5 8.8 8.4 8.9 29.6 27.2 25.8 21.3 18.2 67.1 62.8 58.4 54.2 50.2 104.7 103.6 106.5 103.3 96.7 72.1 73.9 83.6 95.7 108.7 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005P 291.8 280.1 277.9 280.4 284.4 268.4 269.1 1.55 1.49 1.43 1.31 1.50 1.43 1.37 0.30 0.25 0.27 0.24 0.28 0.23 0.22 0.17 0.16 0.19 0.16 0.15 0.13 0.13 0.22 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.16 0.19 0.39 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.35 0.38 0.38 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.43 0.46 0.46 0.48 1.67 1.69 1.59 1.61 1.57 1.49 1.48 3.79 3.87 3.77 3.77 3.86 3.80 3.81 9.0 9.1 8.9 8.7 8.5 8.1 8.2 18.0 17.6 17.6 17.7 18.0 17.6 17.8 45.1 42.2 40.5 39.6 39.0 36.9 35.9 93.9 89.3 88.8 90.0 92.7 88.3 86.3 117.2 113.4 113.9 116.3 117.9 109.4 112.9 Rates (deaths per 1,000 population in each age group) Males 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 12.5 12.0 11.8 11.2 10.7 16.2 12.6 11.0 8.3 6.8 0.65 0.53 0.44 0.40 0.32 0.34 0.27 0.21 0.21 0.14 0.31 0.29 0.23 0.23 0.18 0.88 0.82 0.72 0.72 0.60 0.96 0.83 0.83 0.89 0.85 0.92 0.89 0.88 0.94 1.01 2.09 1.83 1.68 1.76 1.67 6.97 6.11 5.27 4.56 4.06 19.6 17.7 16.6 13.9 11.9 50.3 45.6 42.8 38.1 34.5 116.4 105.2 101.2 93.1 85.0 243.2 226.5 215.4 205.6 198.8 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 20043 20052P 10.4 10.0 9.9 9.8 9.8 9.4 9.3 6.5 6.1 5.9 5.9 5.7 5.5 5.7 0.31 0.26 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.23 0.24 0.12 0.13 0.11 0.12 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.14 0.15 0.16 0.56 0.54 0.53 0.49 0.46 0.44 0.48 0.83 0.79 0.80 0.77 0.95 0.68 0.70 0.99 0.98 0.97 0.95 0.91 0.88 0.89 1.60 1.59 1.56 1.57 1.58 1.53 1.56 3.99 3.92 3.89 3.85 3.81 3.67 3.61 10.9 10.4 10.0 9.7 9.6 9.0 8.9 31.6 29.7 28.0 27.2 26.3 24.9 24.0 79.9 75.9 74.0 73.4 72.8 69.8 67.2 194.4 187.5 186.4 187.5 190.4 175.2 171.6 2003 March June Sept Dec 10.5 9.4 9.0 10.3 6.4 5.5 5.2 5.8 0.27 0.24 0.19 0.29 0.12 0.09 0.11 0.13 0.16 0.12 0.14 0.13 0.48 0.45 0.52 0.39 0.77 0.74 0.79 0.69 0.94 0.92 0.93 0.84 1.62 1.60 1.57 1.52 3.94 3.78 3.63 3.91 10.0 9.2 9.1 10.0 27.8 25.4 24.6 27.7 72.8 70.2 66.1 77.0 214.3 179.1 165.9 202.8 20043 March June Sept Dec 10.2 9.1 8.7 9.5 5.9 5.2 5.3 5.5 0.25 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.12 0.12 0.10 0.08 0.15 0.14 0.18 0.11 0.46 0.39 0.46 0.43 0.67 0.74 0.71 0.58 0.92 0.94 0.86 0.78 1.59 1.58 1.47 1.49 3.81 3.72 3.58 3.58 9.4 8.8 8.5 9.2 26.6 24.5 23.2 25.4 76.9 66.9 64.5 70.8 199.3 164.0 154.8 183.0 20052 MarchP JuneP SeptP DecP 10.5 9.2 8.4 9.2 6.0 5.6 5.5 5.7 0.26 0.25 0.21 0.24 0.09 0.11 0.09 0.12 0.18 0.16 0.17 0.13 0.49 0.48 0.45 0.50 0.68 0.72 0.64 0.76 0.92 0.90 0.87 0.88 1.60 1.62 1.49 1.53 3.79 3.60 3.48 3.57 9.6 9.0 8.3 8.7 26.4 23.8 22.3 23.6 77.1 67.0 59.7 65.5 202.3 165.4 146.5 172.8 Females 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 11.8 11.3 11.4 11.2 11.0 12.2 9.4 8.0 6.4 5.3 0.46 0.46 0.40 0.33 0.25 0.24 0.19 0.17 0.16 0.10 0.21 0.19 0.17 0.15 0.12 0.35 0.32 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.40 0.35 0.33 0.33 0.31 0.56 0.52 0.47 0.44 0.46 1.46 1.26 1.12 1.05 1.04 4.30 3.80 3.24 2.87 2.63 10.1 9.5 9.2 8.2 7.1 26.0 24.1 23.4 21.8 20.6 74.6 66.2 62.5 58.7 55.8 196.6 178.2 169.4 161.6 158.9 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 3 20052P 11.0 10.5 10.4 10.4 10.6 9.9 9.9 5.1 5.1 4.9 4.5 4.9 4.6 4.3 0.24 0.20 0.22 0.20 0.24 0.20 0.19 0.10 0.10 0.12 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.13 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.10 0.11 0.25 0.25 0.24 0.24 0.21 0.22 0.22 0.31 0.30 0.30 0.27 0.28 0.27 0.28 0.43 0.44 0.42 0.44 0.44 0.42 0.42 1.01 1.00 0.96 0.94 0.95 0.93 0.92 2.61 2.62 2.57 2.54 2.51 2.39 2.38 6.7 6.4 6.3 6.0 5.9 5.7 5.6 19.2 18.1 17.4 17.0 16.7 15.8 15.3 53.4 50.8 50.1 50.4 51.3 48.6 48.0 162.6 155.2 155.0 159.4 165.8 154.3 152.4 2003 March June Sept Dec 11.4 10.0 9.6 11.2 5.3 4.8 4.5 5.2 0.26 0.24 0.20 0.26 0.09 0.09 0.12 0.09 0.09 0.17 0.10 0.10 0.19 0.22 0.21 0.24 0.33 0.25 0.30 0.25 0.48 0.43 0.43 0.40 1.00 0.90 0.97 0.94 2.59 2.58 2.38 2.49 6.1 5.8 5.6 6.2 17.6 16.1 15.3 17.8 54.8 49.3 46.8 54.3 184.6 153.6 147.6 177.5 20043 March June Sept Dec 11.1 9.4 9.1 10.1 5.3 4.1 4.3 4.6 0.22 0.17 0.20 0.19 0.09 0.08 0.06 0.11 0.10 0.11 0.09 0.09 0.27 0.26 0.20 0.17 0.32 0.27 0.24 0.27 0.42 0.43 0.42 0.40 0.95 0.94 0.88 0.93 2.50 2.41 2.27 2.36 6.0 5.4 5.4 5.9 17.1 15.0 14.9 16.1 53.9 46.5 44.6 49.5 177.0 144.3 137.5 158.4 20052 MarchP JuneP SeptP DecP 11.6 9.7 8.7 9.6 4.6 4.7 3.9 4.2 0.24 0.17 0.15 0.19 0.09 0.11 0.07 0.08 0.13 0.10 0.12 0.12 0.18 0.25 0.22 0.24 0.30 0.29 0.27 0.27 0.47 0.39 0.37 0.45 0.96 0.97 0.90 0.86 2.53 2.35 2.37 2.29 6.0 5.5 5.4 5.5 17.1 15.3 13.9 15.0 56.8 47.4 42.2 45.8 184.7 146.6 130.4 148.5 Note: Figures represent the numbers of deaths registered in each year up to 1992 and the numbers of deaths occurring in each year from 1993 to 2004. Provisional figures for 2005 relate to registrations. 1 Rates per 1,000 live births. 2 Based on the 2004-based population projections for 2005. 3 Rates for 2004 have been calculated using the revised mid-2004 population estimates published on 20 December 2005. P Provisional National Statistics 42 H e a l t h S t a t i s t i cs Q u a r t e r ly 3 0 Table 6.2 Summer 2006 Deaths: subnational Government Office Regions of England1 Year and quarter North East Rates North West Yorkshire and the Humber East Midlands West Midlands East London South East South West Total deaths (deaths per 1,000 population of all ages) 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 11.7 11.6 11.9 11.6 10.8 11.7 11.6 11.7 11.5 10.7 11.2 11.1 11.2 10.9 10.3 10.7 10.5 10.8 10.7 10.0 10.7 10.6 10.6 10.7 10.3 10.3 10.2 10.2 10.3 9.9 9.4 9.0 8.8 8.7 8.2 10.7 10.6 10.4 10.5 9.8 11.7 11.7 11.4 11.6 11.3 2001 2002 2003 20042 20052P 11.1 11.2 11.3 10.9 10.8 11.0 11.0 11.0 10.5 10.4 10.4 10.5 10.5 10.1 10.0 10.1 10.2 10.3 9.7 9.8 10.2 10.2 10.4 9.8 9.9 9.9 10.0 9.9 9.5 9.6 7.9 7.8 7.8 7.2 7.1 9.9 9.9 9.9 9.4 9.5 11.0 11.1 11.2 10.4 10.5 20042 March June Sept Dec 11.8 10.6 9.8 11.2 11..6 10.0 9.7 10.6 11..2 9.6 9.3 10.3 10.7 9.3 9.0 9.9 10.8 9.5 9.0 10.1 10.5 9.2 8.8 9.6 8.0 7.0 6.6 7.4 10.4 9.1 8.7 9.6 11.6 9.9 9.5 10.7 20052 MarchP JuneP SeptP DecP 12.0 10.7 9.7 10.6 12.0 10.2 9.4 10.2 11.5 9.8 9.0 9.8 11.2 9.6 8.7 9.7 11.6 9.7 8.8 9.7 11.0 9.4 8.5 9.4 8.3 7.0 6.4 6.9 10.9 9.4 8.5 9.2 12.1 10.5 9.4 10.3 Infant mortality (deaths under 1 year per 1,000 live births) 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 6.2 5.8 5.0 5.6 6.5 6.3 6.7 6.3 6.5 6.2 6.5 6.5 6.9 6.3 7.3 6.3 5.7 5.6 6.0 5.4 6.8 7.0 6.5 6.9 6.8 5.3 4.8 5.0 4.6 4.4 6.3 5.8 6.0 6.0 5.4 5.3 5.0 4.4 4.8 4.4 5.5 5.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005P 5.4 4.8 4.9 4.6 4.5 5.8 5.4 5.9 5.4 5.8 5.5 6.1 5.7 5.8 6.1 4.9 5.6 5.9 4.9 4.7 6.4 6.6 7.4 6.3 6.4 4.5 4.3 4.5 4.2 4.0 6.1 5.5 5.4 5.2 5.1 4.2 4.5 4.2 3.9 3.9 5.4 4.3 4.1 4.5 4.5 2004 March June Sept Dec 5.9 4.6 3.1 4.8 6.1 4.9 5.3 5.3 6.1 5.8 4.9 6.3 4.8 4.8 4.3 5.6 6.9 5.6 7.0 5.6 4.9 4.0 4.3 3.5 5.7 4.6 5.0 5.5 4.5 3.3 3.5 4.5 5.0 4.8 4.2 4.2 2005 MarchP JuneP SeptP DecP 4.3 4.5 5.2 3.8 5.6 6.4 5.0 6.3 6.5 6.8 5.5 5.7 6.1 5.5 3.6 3.6 6.7 6.1 7.1 5.8 4.8 3.8 3.8 3.7 5.1 5.8 4.9 4.5 4.2 3.5 3.7 4.3 4.9 3.7 3.9 5.7 Neonatal mortality (deaths under 4 weeks per 1,000 live births) 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 4.1 3.7 3.1 4.1 4.4 4.0 4.3 4.1 4.4 4.3 4.2 4.4 4.5 4.1 5.0 4.2 3.7 3.7 4.3 4.1 4.9 5.0 4.8 4.8 5.0 3.5 3.3 3.4 3.0 3.0 4.4 3.7 4.1 4.1 3.7 3.5 3.4 2.9 3.2 3.1 3.8 3.9 3.3 3.2 3.0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005P 3.5 3.2 3.2 2.8 2.8 3.8 3.6 4.1 3.6 3.8 3.2 4.0 4.0 3.8 4.0 3.4 4.0 4.2 3.5 3.4 4.4 4.8 5.1 4.7 4.9 2.9 2.9 3.0 2.9 2.6 4.1 3.6 3.7 3.6 3.4 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 3.7 3.1 2.9 3.2 3.2 2004 March June Sept Dec 3.7 3.2 1.4 2.8 3.5 3.4 3.8 3.5 4.0 4.0 3.2 4.1 3.5 3.6 3.3 3.6 5.3 4.2 5.5 3.9 3.4 3.1 3.0 2.1 3.9 3.1 3.5 3.6 2.7 2.5 2.6 3.2 3.8 2.9 3.0 3.1 2005 MarchP JuneP SeptP DecP 3.2 3.0 2.8 2.4 3.8 3.6 3.0 4.7 4.5 4.5 3.8 3.4 4.5 3.8 3.0 2.4 5.0 4.7 5.7 4.2 3.0 2.6 2.7 2.1 3.0 4.0 3.6 2.9 2.9 2.2 2.8 3.2 3.6 2.6 2.8 3.8 Perinatal mortality (stillbirths and deaths under 1 week per 1,000 total births)3 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 9.2 8.0 8.2 8.2 8.5 8.6 8.9 8.7 8.7 8.6 8.3 8.3 9.2 8.3 9.6 8.7 7.7 8.0 7.8 7.8 10.2 9.6 9.3 9.9 9.6 7.5 7.3 7.4 7.0 7.1 9.6 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 7.8 7.3 6.8 6.9 6.6 7.5 8.7 7.3 7.8 6.6 2001 2002 2003 2004p 2005 7.8 8.1 7.8 7.6 .. 8.7 8.5 9.0 8.2 .. 7.5 9.0 9.0 8.8 .. 7.9 8.5 9.5 8.1 .. 9.1 10.0 10.2 9.4 .. 7.1 7.5 7.3 7.5 .. 8.9 9.3 9.5 8.9 .. 6.9 6.9 7.0 7.0 .. 7.2 6.8 7.0 7.1 .. 2004 March June Sept Dec 9.6 8.8 6.4 5.7 8.2 8.3 8.1 8.4 8.9 9.1 9.3 7.8 8.4 8.5 8.2 7.2 10.1 8.9 10.1 8.3 8.0 7.4 7.6 7.0 9.2 8.5 9.2 8.6 7.2 6.8 7.0 6.9 6.6 7.5 7.9 6.6 2005 MarchP JuneP SeptP DecP 6.5 8.0 9.5 8.8 8.8 6.7 7.6 6.2 6.7 8.6 7.2 9.7 7.6 10.0 6.7 7.8 6.4 6.5 7.0 6.9 7.9 7.1 10.8 5.9 8.4 6.8 5.4 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Note: Figures represent the numbers of deaths occurring in each year with the exception of provisional figures for 2005 which relate to registrations. Some stillbirths in 2004 are excluded from these and previously published figures, as the relevant registration details were not sent to ONS before the statistics were compiled. Revised figures for 2004 will be published as soon as possible to include the additional stillbirth registrations. 1 The regions presented in this table have changed from the Regional Offices of the Department of Health to the Government Office Regions. See ‘In brief’ Health Statistics Quarterly 15 for details. 2 Rates for 2004 and 2005 have been calculated using the revised mid-2004 population estimates published on 20 December 2005. 3 In October 1992 the legal definition of a stillbirth was changed, from a baby born dead after 28 completed weeks of gestation or more, to one born dead after 24 completed weeks of gestation or more. P Provisional. 43 National Statistics Heal th Stati sti cs Q u a r t e rly 3 0 Summer 2006 Deaths: selected causes (International Classification)1 and sex Table 6.3 England and Wales Number (thousands) and rate for all deaths and age-standardised rates3 per million population for selected causes Malignant neoplasms Year and quarter All deaths Number (thousands) Crude rate per 100,000 population All causes Oesophagus (age standardised per million population,3) Stomach Colon Rectosigmoid Trachea, junction, bronchus rectum, and and lung anus (C19–C21) A00–R99 V01–Y89 (C15) (C16) (C18) Melanoma of skin Other malignant neoplasms of skin Breast Cervix uteri Ovary (C33–C34) (C43) (C44) (C50) (C53) (C56) Males 1971 1981 1991 288.4 289.0 277.6 1,207 1,196 1,125 13,466 12,189 10,291 76 90 117 317 251 185 187 181 194 144 135 117 1,066 1,028 842 10 17 23 12 9 10 4 3 3 : : : : : : 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 279.6 267.6 274.4 268.7 264.9 1,127 1,077 1,100 1,074 1,055 10,101 9,577 9,659 9,353 9,106 123 129 126 126 126 163 163 149 146 137 189 183 182 174 175 106 101 100 99 93 769 746 714 683 651 26 24 26 25 25 8 9 9 8 7 3 3 3 2 2 : : : : : : : : : : 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 20042 20054P 264.7 264.3 255.5 252.4 253.1 253.9 244.1 243.9 1,064 1,044 1,005 987 985 982 939 931 8,981 8,862 8,437 8,188 8,074 7,985 7,535 7,362 129 127 128 129 131 134 129 132 132 127 118 111 109 101 95 92 169 161 158 155 150 145 142 137 95 90 89 89 90 90 91 91 643 611 592 570 559 538 520 511 26 27 28 26 27 28 30 28 8 7 7 7 8 8 9 8 3 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : 20042 March June Sept Dec 66.2 58.8 56.8 62.4 1,024 909 869 955 8,194 7,311 6,989 7,651 130 122 128 136 95 98 93 93 145 142 142 141 86 90 98 91 518 511 513 539 27 30 30 31 10 8 8 11 3 2 2 1 : : : : : : : : 20054 Marchp JuneP SeptP DecP 67.6 60.3 55.4 60.6 1,047 923 840 917 8,228 7,300 6,673 7,264 134 134 132 127 93 95 95 86 140 131 134 144 90 95 89 91 525 494 496 529 29 27 28 28 7 7 8 9 3 2 3 2 : : : : : : : : Females 1971 1981 1991 278.9 288.9 292.5 1,104 1,134 1,122 8,189 7,425 6,410 40 42 50 149 111 74 176 157 146 79 74 61 183 252 300 14 16 18 6 5 4 379 405 401 83 69 54 126 121 118 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 299.2 285.6 295.2 291.5 290.4 1,142 1,088 1,121 1,105 1,098 6,427 6,115 6,206 6,068 6,001 52 51 52 52 51 66 67 62 55 57 138 136 131 126 122 53 52 49 49 48 296 296 294 293 285 22 22 20 20 20 3 4 4 3 3 378 371 361 344 337 47 42 42 41 37 115 114 116 121 115 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 20042 20054P 290.3 291.8 280.1 277.9 280.4 284.4 268.4 269.1 1,108 1,097 1,049 1,038 1,044 1,055 992 989 5,945 5,929 5,655 5,543 5,526 5,578 5,259 5,189 49 52 51 48 51 50 48 48 54 51 48 46 44 42 42 39 117 115 107 103 104 98 96 96 47 46 45 45 44 46 47 45 291 289 285 283 284 285 284 289 21 20 21 20 19 20 19 20 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 328 319 311 308 302 293 285 282 35 33 33 31 29 27 27 26 116 111 109 112 112 108 102 102 20042 March June Sept Dec 74.4 63.4 61.8 68.9 1,105 942 908 1,013 5,795 5,022 4,863 5,359 51 46 50 46 38 41 43 44 97 94 95 100 46 47 45 49 292 265 281 299 21 18 19 20 3 4 3 2 287 284 276 293 28 25 27 28 105 97 102 101 20054 Marchp JuneP SeptP DecP 77.7 65.7 60.0 65.7 1,158 969 875 958 5,950 5,110 4,673 5,039 49 46 50 46 41 36 40 38 92 96 102 94 47 46 43 45 291 291 282 293 20 22 20 20 4 4 3 3 290 280 282 276 27 27 26 24 101 105 98 104 Note: Figures represent the numbers of deaths registered in each year up to 1992 and the numbers of deaths occurring in each year from 1993 to 2004. Provisional figures for 2005 relate to registrations. Between 1 January 1984 and 31 December 1992, ONS applied its own interpretation of the International Classification of Diseases Section Rule 3 in the coding of deaths where terminal events and other ‘modes of dying’ such as cardiac arrest, cardiac failure, certain thrombembolic disorders, and unspecified pneumonia and bronchopneumonia, were stated by the certifier to be the underlying cause of death and other major pathology appeared on the certificate. In these cases ONS Rule 3 allowed the terminal event to be considered a direct sequel to the major pathology and that primary condition was selected as the underlying cause of death. Prior to 1984 and between 1 January 1993 and 31 December 2000, such certificates were coded to the terminal event. National Statistics also introduced automated coding of cause of death in 1993, which may also affect comparisons of deaths by cause from 1993. Further details can be found in the annual volumes Mortality statistics: Cause 1984, Series DH2 no. 11, and Mortality statistics: Cause 1993 (revised) and 1994, Series DH2 no. 21. From 1 January 2001, under ICD-10, Rule 3 has again been changed – for details see the article in Health Statistics Quarterly no. 13. This has resulted in a fall in the death rates from respiratory diseases, notably pneumonia, and consequently slight rises in the rates for other causes eg. strokes. For details of the major changes between ICD-9 and ICD-10, see the articles in Health Statistics Quarterly 08, 13 and 14. The rates in this table by cause of death are based on final underlying cause. For further details see the Explanatory Notes in the ‘Report: Death registrations in England and Wales, 2004: causes’ in HSQ26. 1 The Ninth Revision of the International Classification of Diseases, 1975, came into operation in England and Wales on 1 January 1979. The Tenth Revision of the International Classification of Diseases, 1992, came into operation in England and Wales on 1 January 2001. The cause descriptions and codes relate to ICD-10. For changes to this table see ‘In Brief’, Health Statistics Quarterly 14. 2 Rates for 2004 have been calculated using the revised mid-2004 population estimates published on 20 December 2005. 3 Directly age-standardised to the European Standard Population. See Notes to Tables. 4 Based on the 2004-based population projections for 2005. p Provisional National Statistics 44 H e a l t h S t a t i s t i cs Q u a r t e r ly 3 0 Summer 2006 Deaths: selected causes (International Classification)1 and sex Table 6.3 continued England and Wales Age-standardised rates3 per million population for selected causes Malignant neoplasms Prostate (C61) Bladder Leukaemia (C67) Diabetes mellitus (C91–C95) (E10–E14) Ischaemic heart disease Cerebro vascular diseases (120–125) (160–169) Pneumonia Bronchitis, emphysema and other chronic obstructive pulmonary disease Asthma (J12–J18) (J40–J44) (J45–J46) Gastric and duodenal ulcer Diseases of the liver Land transport accidents Intentional self harm and events of undetermined intent with inquest verdict ’Open‘ (K25–K27) (K70–K76) (V01–V89) (X60–X84, Y10–Y34) Year and quarter 198 214 304 124 121 121 74 74 77 82 82 131 3,801 3,664 2,984 1,541 1,141 940 920 1,053 391 944 683 606 21 28 31 107 90 73 41 58 76 209 119 125 124 151 160 Males 1971 1981 1991 298 297 298 289 279 114 109 112 105 101 70 69 71 66 67 101 98 101 97 95 2,844 2,609 2,549 2,427 2,276 801 762 761 751 722 769 689 765 738 753 570 498 528 484 478 25 23 20 19 20 67 67 64 64 61 77 84 92 97 103 96 93 89 94 94 153 152 150 141 144 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 277 272 260 274 271 272 266 255 99 93 92 93 90 87 84 80 67 67 67 70 68 71 67 67 94 94 88 94 91 91 82 78 2,215 2,095 1,959 1,872 1,782 1,700 1,562 1,463 706 673 622 690 690 661 594 551 720 770 735 388 387 407 359 352 463 474 416 403 396 411 363 366 18 18 17 16 15 14 15 12 60 64 59 55 56 53 50 46 115 119 119 139 144 157 151 155 86 86 86 86 83 84 77 85 152 151 141 134 131 129 125 128 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2 20054P 279 258 260 267 86 82 88 81 67 63 70 66 91 80 74 85 1,708 1,538 1,418 1,584 692 571 519 594 465 332 278 361 463 338 293 360 15 13 17 14 54 49 44 52 149 144 145 166 69 90 79 71 137 133 127 103 264 251 250 255 85 80 77 79 67 66 64 69 91 75 69 78 1,670 1,475 1,292 1,418 643 542 483 538 500 335 248 327 490 369 272 338 14 12 9 13 55 47 41 42 164 154 144 159 85 90 82 83 121 20054 MarchP 133 JuneP 126 SeptP 132 DecP : : : 32 35 34 47 47 44 89 66 95 1,668 1,601 1,407 1,352 1,012 812 624 740 325 193 155 211 25 30 30 44 57 46 31 43 49 82 41 45 84 81 51 Females 1971 1981 1991 : : : : : 34 35 33 32 31 43 42 41 41 43 74 69 73 67 66 1,347 1,237 1,194 1,140 1,074 724 689 690 680 651 585 512 568 548 574 224 204 229 222 227 27 24 24 21 23 46 44 42 43 42 49 50 55 57 61 35 34 30 30 29 48 44 47 45 45 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 : : : : : : : : 32 30 31 29 30 30 28 28 41 45 39 41 43 39 40 39 65 65 62 62 65 66 60 56 1,055 986 907 878 844 811 738 686 645 629 577 620 617 606 550 518 546 591 546 307 316 337 297 297 226 241 216 220 224 244 214 224 22 22 20 19 20 20 18 17 41 39 41 39 37 36 35 32 64 67 68 77 79 81 83 81 28 28 24 23 24 24 21 23 43 45 45 40 41 41 41 43 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2 20054P : : : : 27 30 28 28 43 39 39 39 69 54 55 63 806 720 674 750 626 530 496 550 399 254 227 307 283 184 167 221 23 16 14 18 37 33 32 37 84 80 80 86 25 21 19 20 46 42 42 36 : : : : 30 29 27 25 43 41 34 39 65 54 50 57 807 689 606 643 603 504 464 502 455 269 200 268 322 211 158 205 24 16 12 15 36 32 29 30 86 76 75 85 22 25 22 22 41 20054 Marchp 44 JuneP 41 SeptP 44 DecP See notes opposite. 45 National Statistics 20042 March June Sept Dec 20042 March June Sept Dec H eal th Stati sti cs Q u a r t e rly 3 0 Summer 2006 Report: Death registrations in England and Wales: 2005, causes This report presents numbers of deaths registered in England and Wales in 2005 by age, sex and selected underlying causes of death. It also compares mortality rates in 2005 with those for previous years. )RUWKH¿UVWWLPHLQWKLVUHSRUWFDXVHVRIGHDWKKDYHEHHQUDQNHGWR provide a summary of the ten leading causes of death for both males and females. lowest annual number of death registrations for 50 years, when in 1954 the number of deaths registered was 501,896. DEATHS BY SEX AND AGE OF DECEASED • There were 512,993 deaths registered in 2005, compared with 514,250 registered in 2004, a decrease of 0.2 per cent. This is the Table 1 • The total number of deaths in 2005 comprised 243,870 male deaths and 269,123 female deaths. The number of male deaths decreased E\SHUFHQWRQWKH¿JXUHZKLOHIHPDOHGHDWKVLQFUHDVHGE\ 0.03 per cent. • In 2005, there were 3,248 infant deaths registered in England and Wales, giving a rate of 5.0 per 1,000 live births. This is the lowest rate ever recorded in England and Wales. Death rates (registrations): by sex and age, 1995, 2004 and 2005 England and Wales Age group 1995 2005† 2004* Percentage change 2004–2005 Percentage change 1995–2005 Males Females Males Females Males Females Males Females Males Females 9,599 6,169 7,575 5,279 7,361 5,188 -2.9 -1.7 -23.3 -15.9 10.9 11.1 9.4 9.9 9.3 9.9 -1.3 -0.5 -14.8 -11.2 Under 1†† 1–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 6.9 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.6 5.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 5.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.5 4.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 5.7 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 4.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 2.9 -3.0 -3.5 8.8 1.9 -8.0 -14.4 -3.3 9.6 -9.1 -17.5 -15.9 -36.3 -22.9 -18.6 -18.4 -26.2 -25.3 -20.6 -15.4 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.4 2.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.3 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.8 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.8 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.1 -6.4 -10.6 0.7 -2.7 0.2 -5.5 -0.4 -4.5 -6.6 0.3 -22.0 -19.9 -7.0 -5.9 -11.2 -7.6 -6.0 -9.7 -10.8 -14.2 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 3.1 5.3 9.0 15.7 27.4 2.1 3.5 5.5 9.1 15.8 2.9 4.6 6.9 11.8 19.2 1.9 2.9 4.5 7.2 11.8 2.9 4.4 6.8 11.5 18.3 1.9 3.0 4.5 7.0 11.6 -0.1 -4.5 -0.4 -2.4 -5.0 -1.9 1.1 0.4 -2.9 -1.7 -8.3 -15.9 -23.7 -26.6 -33.1 -12.5 -14.6 -18.0 -22.9 -26.2 45.5 71.6 115.2 200.1 26.7 42.8 73.6 159.9 31.9 54.9 91.5 175.2 20.2 36.1 63.5 154.3 30.9 52.5 88.9 171.6 19.4 35.4 63.1 152.4 -3.4 -4.6 -2.9 -2.1 -4.1 -1.9 -0.6 -1.3 -32.2 -26.7 -22.8 -14.3 -27.2 -17.3 -14.2 -4.7 Age-standardised rate** Rates per 1,000 population All ages 70–74 75–79 80–84 85 and over * Figures vary from previous rates published. For 2004, the population projections used to calculate rates have been replaced with 2004 mid-year estimates. For 1995, the midyear estimates used in the rates have been revised following the 2001 Census. † Provisional rates based on 2004-based population projections for 2005 and 2005 live births. ** These rates are standardised to the European Standard Population, expressed per million population; they allow comparisons between populations with different age structures, including between males and females and over time. †† Deaths per 1,000 live births. Nati o n a l S t a t ist ic s 46 H e a l t h S t a t i s t i cs Q u a r t e r ly 3 0 Age−standardised rate (per million population) Figure 1 Age-standardised rates* (per million population), all causes, by sex, 1995–2005 • 7KHODUJHVWSHUFHQWDJHIDOOLQIHPDOHDJHVSHFL¿FUDWHVEHWZHHQ and 2005 were among girls aged 1–4 years, with a fall of 14.4 per cent. The largest decrease for males was among those aged 25–29 (10.6 per cent). The largest percentage increase was among females and males both aged 10–14, with a 9.6 per cent and 8.8 per cent rise respectively. However, all these rates are based on small numbers of deaths, and relatively small changes in such numbers can result in large percentage changes. • At the older ages, where most deaths occur, between 2004 and 2005 WKHUHZHUHVL]HDEOHSHUFHQWDJHIDOOVLQDJHVSHFL¿FUDWHVDPRQJERWK men and women aged over 70. The largest decrease for females was for those aged 70–74 with fall of 4.1 per cent, and for males aged 75–79 with a 4.6 per cent decrease. • Between 1995 and 2005, the greatest decrease for females was in the ±DQG±DJHJURXSVZKHUHWKHUDWHIHOOE\RYHUDTXDUWHU (26.2 and 27.2 per cent respectively). For males the largest decrease in rates was also in the 65–69 and 70–74 age groups but to a greater extent, as the rates fell by a third. In addition the younger age groups also saw proportionally large changes over this period. For example for those aged 5–9 years, the rate fell by over a third (36.3 per cent) IRUPDOHVDQGDTXDUWHUSHUFHQWIRUIHPDOHV 10,000 Males 9,000 8,000 7,000 Females 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Year * These rates are standardised to the European Standard Population, expressed per million population; they allow comparisons between populations with different age structures, including between males and females and over time. Table 1 shows death rates by age and sex, for the years 1995, 2004 and 2005, together with percentage changes. • The provisional age-standardised mortality rates (standardised to the European Standard Population) were 7,361 per million population for males and 5,188 per million for females. The rate for males is 2.9 per cent lower than in 2004, while that for females is 1.7 per cent lower. Figure 1 shows the downward trend in age-standardised rates since 1995: rates have decreased by 23.3 per cent for males and 17.3 per cent for females over this period. Figure 2 DEATHS BY UNDERLYING CAUSE Table 2 presents deaths by age and sex for selected underlying causes of GHDWKJURXSHGDFFRUGLQJWRWKH,QWHUQDWLRQDO&ODVVL¿FDWLRQRI'LVHDVHV 7HQWK5HYLVLRQ,&' The chapters (broad disease groups) of ICD-10 with the largest numbers of deaths in 2005 were circulatory diseases (accounting for 35.8 per cent of all deaths), which include coronary heart disease and strokes, followed by cancer (26.9 per cent) and respiratory diseases (14.1 per cent), which include pneumonia. Age-standardised rates* for the three categories† of cause of death (per million population), 1995–2005 Females 4,500 4,000 Circulatory diseases 3,000 2,500 Cancer 2,000 1,500 Respiratory diseases 1,000 Age−standardised rate (per million population) Age−standardised rate (per million population) Males 3,500 Summer 2006 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 Circulatory diseases 2,000 1,500 Cancer 1,000 500 500 0 0 Respiratory diseases 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Year Year * These rates are standardised to the European Standard Population, expressed per million population; they allow comparisons between populations with different age structures, including between males and females and over time. † These categories correspond to the three chapters of ICD-10 with the largest number of deaths in England and Wales. Note: The Tenth Revision of the International Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems (ICD-10) came into operation in 2001. Comparability ratios have been applied to data for 1994 to 2000. See the Explanatory Notes. 47 N a t i o n a l S t a t i s t i cs H eal th Stati sti cs Q u a r t e rly 3 0 Table 2 Summer 2006 Deaths by age, sex and underlying cause, 2005 registrations England and Wales Numbers Age group ICD-10 code Causes of death* A00–R99, V01–Y89 All ages Under 1 1–4 5–14 15–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65–74 75–84 85 and over All causes, all ages M F 243,870 269,123 1,877 1,371 297 222 438 323 2,073 857 3,146 1,481 6,362 3,805 All causes, ages under 28 days M F 1,273 947 1,273 947 - - - - - A00–R99, V01–Y89 All causes, ages 28 days and over M F 242,597 268,176 604 424 297 222 438 323 2,073 857 3,146 1,481 6,362 3,805 A00–B99 Certain infectious and parasitic diseases M F 2,627 3,478 46 23 31 22 9 8 23 26 61 56 140 64 163 104 230 152 413 382 875 1,101 636 1,540 A00–A09 Intestinal infectious diseases M F 733 1,473 3 2 3 - 1 - - 2 2 2 6 14 22 24 88 105 320 492 288 832 A15–A16 Respiratory tuberculosis M F 178 83 - - - 2 - 6 4 8 2 10 6 29 4 33 19 67 31 23 17 A17–A19 Other tuberculosis M F 35 52 - 1 1 3 3 2 5 2 3 2 1 9 5 6 10 10 16 3 5 A39 Meningococcal infection M F 48 38 13 5 16 11 1 - 6 6 2 2 2 2 2 1 3 3 2 3 1 1 4 A40–A41 Septicaemia M F 1,009 1,341 19 9 8 3 1 1 7 8 9 9 20 22 30 37 82 59 187 172 380 453 266 568 B15–B19 Viral hepatitis M F 127 76 1 - 1 - 1 1 1 1 19 3 48 13 26 13 19 23 11 18 1 3 B20–B24 Human immunodeficiency virus [HIV] disease M F 150 56 1 - - 1 2 27 20 59 17 35 13 16 3 11 - 1 - - B90 Sequelae of tuberculosis M F 21 30 - - - - 1 - - 1 - 1 3 2 4 13 13 3 10 C00–D48 Neoplasms M F 71,722 66,358 9 5 45 20 97 91 165 141 296 379 1,091 1,576 3,579 4,102 11,091 9,655 20,086 15,238 24,974 21,922 10,289 13,229 C00–C97 Malignant neoplasms M F 70,220 64,644 4 5 42 20 85 81 158 131 285 367 1,052 1,551 3,525 4,052 10,947 9,527 19,789 14,975 24,379 21,325 9,954 12,610 C00–C14 Malignant neoplasms of lip, oral cavity and pharynx M F 1,118 590 - - 1 1 5 3 3 3 43 15 180 47 316 114 288 128 201 151 81 128 C15 Malignant neoplasm of oesophagus M F 4,246 2,216 - - - 2 - 6 2 60 15 282 88 932 259 1,181 450 1,346 873 437 529 C16 Malignant neoplasm of stomach M F 3,094 1,834 - - - 1 1 7 16 54 36 137 60 386 154 932 384 1,151 670 426 513 C18 Malignant neoplasm of colon M F 4,589 4,475 - - - 5 3 13 15 44 62 203 147 617 495 1,314 965 1,687 1,630 706 1,158 C19–C21 Malignant neoplasm of rectosigmoid M junction, rectum and anus F 2,981 2,062 - - - 1 2 9 3 32 34 162 104 536 220 867 473 967 657 407 569 C22 Malignant neoplasm of liver and intrahepatic bile ducts M F 1,462 1,004 - 1 1 1 - 6 5 11 5 27 18 117 47 255 124 462 249 456 357 126 198 C23–C24 Malignant neoplasm of gallbladder M and biliary tract F 163 365 - - - - - 1 5 9 18 28 48 45 88 65 136 15 70 C25 Malignant neoplasm of pancreas M F 3,093 3,386 - - - 1 - 5 3 37 30 180 132 594 495 1,019 868 949 1,213 308 645 C32 Malignant neoplasm of larynx M F 525 136 - - - - 1 - 6 2 45 15 124 17 156 33 140 46 53 23 C33–C34 Malignant neoplasm of trachea, bronchus and lung M F 16,775 11,895 - - - 2 1 11 8 144 99 804 622 2,960 1,891 5,249 3,417 5,902 4,405 1,703 1,452 C43 Malignant melanoma of skin M F 855 764 - - - 5 6 17 22 62 71 114 83 179 125 208 149 192 191 78 117 * The figures for individual cause categories exclude deaths at ages under 28 days. Nati o n a l S t a t ist ic s 48 12,158 27,292 51,019 84,661 54,547 8,175 17,797 35,913 86,309 112,870 - - - - - 12,158 27,292 51,019 84,661 54,547 8,175 17,797 35,913 86,309 112,870 H e a l t h S t a t i s t i cs Q u a r t e r ly 3 0 Table 2 continued Summer 2006 Deaths by age, sex and underlying cause, 2005 registrations England and Wales Numbers Age group ICD-10 code Causes of death* All ages Under 1 1–4 5–14 15–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65–74 75–84 85 and over C44 Other malignant neoplasms of skin M F 266 183 - - - - - 1 - 11 3 17 7 38 24 104 44 95 105 C45 Mesothelioma M F 1,477 263 - - - 1 - 2 - 8 1 54 20 331 47 540 73 445 98 96 24 C46 Kaposi’s sarcoma M F 6 4 - - - - 2 1 1 1 - 3 - - 1 1 C50 Malignant neoplasm of breast M F 82 10,986 - - - 2 76 577 5 1,218 12 2,102 23 2,097 27 2,815 15 2,099 C53 Malignant neoplasm of cervix uteri F 917 - - - 2 51 113 128 137 167 205 114 C54–C55 Malignant neoplasm of other and unspecified parts of uterus F 1,464 - - - - 2 15 67 253 418 440 269 C56 Malignant neoplasm of ovary F 3,859 - - - 6 22 78 325 826 1,088 1,059 455 C61 Malignant neoplasm of prostate M 9,018 - - 1 - - 3 61 549 1,985 3,898 2,521 C62 Malignant neoplasm of testis M 67 - - - 6 13 14 11 9 4 8 2 C64 Malignant neoplasm of kidney, except renal pelvis M F 1,842 1,090 1 4 1 2 3 2 1 4 5 34 18 155 67 362 156 580 279 535 373 164 186 C67 Malignant neoplasm of bladder M F 2,767 1,426 - - 1 1 - 1 - 14 9 56 36 274 80 674 271 1,136 561 611 468 C71 Malignant neoplasm of brain M F 1,770 1,196 3 14 1 32 28 25 16 45 27 126 82 237 146 421 305 504 285 315 243 51 60 C81 Hodgkin’s disease M F 146 106 - - 2 8 8 8 10 9 10 10 13 28 13 38 22 35 22 10 6 C82–C85 Non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma M F 2,089 1,842 - 3 1 5 4 12 7 32 16 69 48 134 90 352 239 572 443 648 630 262 364 C90 Multiple myeloma and malignant plasma cell neoplasms M F 1,124 1,060 - - - - 2 - 19 4 48 48 175 127 325 272 404 385 151 224 C91–C95 Leukaemia M F 2,183 1,708 2 - 5 8 20 16 33 38 31 30 76 52 81 62 287 166 602 344 721 584 325 408 C97 Malignant neoplasms of independent M (primary) multiple sites F 509 407 - - - - 1 1 3 5 23 28 61 66 106 80 222 128 93 99 D00–D48 In situ and benign neoplasms, and neoplasms of uncertain or unknown behaviour M F 1,502 1,714 5 - 3 - 12 10 7 10 11 12 39 25 54 50 144 128 297 263 595 597 335 619 D50–D89 Diseases of the blood and blood-forming organs and certain disorders involving the immune mechanism M F 437 653 7 4 4 7 5 7 6 10 14 10 16 15 34 18 39 46 71 92 136 183 105 261 D50–D64 Anaemias M F 177 351 1 2 2 2 1 3 3 3 7 2 6 2 2 9 7 5 20 26 59 91 69 206 E00–E90 Endocrine, nutritional and metabolic diseases M F 3,312 4,103 9 9 13 17 20 17 39 42 55 44 104 85 205 104 340 244 689 575 1,139 1,314 699 1,652 E10–E14 Diabetes mellitus M F 2,640 3,012 - - 1 3 9 7 28 10 58 48 134 56 246 156 583 446 993 1,069 588 1,217 F00–F99 Mental and behavioural disorders M F 4,749 9,893 - 1 2 4 110 23 320 62 305 79 213 66 168 95 342 308 1,501 2,627 1,788 6,628 F01,F03 Vascular and unspecified dementia M F 3,548 9,408 - - - - 1 - - 5 2 45 44 284 279 1,455 2,567 1,758 6,516 F10–F19 Mental and behavioural disorders M due to psychoactive substance use F 1,122 279 - - 2 110 18 317 57 302 72 204 61 119 42 48 16 18 5 4 6 * The figures for individual cause categories exclude deaths at ages under 28 days. 49 N a t i o n a l S t a t i s t i cs H eal th Stati sti cs Q u a r t e rly 3 0 Table 2 continued Summer 2006 Deaths by age, sex and underlying cause, 2005 registrations England and Wales Numbers Age group ICD-10 code Causes of death* All ages Under 1 1–4 5–14 15–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65–74 75–84 85 and over G00–G99 Diseases of the nervous system M F 7,110 8,092 40 36 32 28 61 51 137 76 136 104 268 165 367 311 614 550 1,298 1,033 2,593 2,745 1,564 2,993 G00–G03 Meningitis (excluding meningococcal) M F 110 79 9 2 10 5 4 1 6 6 3 1 7 6 15 7 20 9 17 12 15 22 4 8 G12.2 Motor neuron disease M F 887 681 - - - - 2 3 26 14 57 29 185 102 306 244 252 221 59 68 G20 Parkinson’s disease M F 2,398 1,767 - - - - - 1 - 4 1 37 15 415 214 1,238 810 703 727 G30 Alzheimer’s disease M F 1,528 3,381 - - - - - 1 2 6 6 35 49 190 228 692 1,271 604 1,825 G35 Multiple sclerosis M F 349 613 - - 1 1 - 3 6 33 46 82 120 98 181 74 127 49 98 9 34 H00–H59 Diseases of the eye and adnexa M F 5 9 - - - 1 - - - 1 - - 1 2 1 1 7 H60–H95 Diseases of the ear and mastoid process M F 15 15 1 1 - - 1 2 2 1 4 - 2 - 3 3 6 1 1 2 I00–I99 Diseases of the circulatory system M F 88,071 95,586 22 18 22 11 22 12 101 59 308 158 1,394 563 3,673 1,380 9,061 3,433 18,403 10,438 33,484 33,447 21,581 46,067 I05–I09 Chronic rheumatic heart diseases M F 338 804 1 1 - - 1 - 4 3 11 2 13 19 41 48 85 176 126 315 56 240 I10–I15 Hypertensive diseases M F 1,576 2,165 - - - 1 12 6 44 11 90 42 196 104 316 239 516 719 402 1,043 I20–I25 Ischaemic heart diseases M F 49,205 38,969 1 3 1 - 10 1 85 21 749 155 2,410 513 6,095 1,650 11,515 5,031 18,263 14,499 10,077 17,095 I21–I22 Acute myocardial infarction M F 20,492 15,889 1 1 - - 7 1 40 13 333 74 1,040 220 2,588 769 5,004 2,303 7,614 6,310 3,865 6,198 I26–I51 Other heart diseases M F 9,770 14,362 14 10 15 5 11 8 57 23 112 44 262 136 396 221 840 466 1,483 1,259 3,375 4,245 3,205 7,945 I60–I69 Cerebrovascular diseases M F 19,266 31,366 5 4 6 4 9 3 20 19 59 53 227 178 501 450 1,194 869 3,097 2,642 7,938 10,619 6,210 16,525 I60–I62 Intracranial haemorrhage M F 3,194 4,254 - 2 9 3 17 14 50 36 174 153 336 351 515 495 713 781 971 1,413 409 1,006 I63 Cerebral infarction M F 2,073 2,910 1 - - - 2 3 5 12 27 10 59 35 161 79 397 278 824 1,074 597 1,419 I64 Stroke, not specified as haemorrhage or infarction M F 9,363 16,792 - - - 1 - 3 4 23 14 88 55 423 231 1,461 1,215 4,125 5,818 3,239 9,455 I70 Atherosclerosis M F 249 483 - - - - - 2 - 3 1 9 6 35 29 98 144 102 303 I71 Aortic aneurysm and dissection M F 4,881 3,272 - - 1 - 6 4 10 9 31 12 105 30 376 82 1,257 495 2,170 1,501 925 1,139 J00–J99 Diseases of the respiratory system M F 32,681 39,704 41 24 34 21 28 23 40 40 86 45 230 144 656 437 2,126 1,477 5,605 4,349 12,796 12,872 11,039 20,272 J10–J11 Influenza M F 18 24 4 3 3 1 2 - 1 - 1 - 1 1 2 - 2 2 3 3 4 9 J12–J18 Pneumonia M F 12,191 19,231 21 9 17 11 3 4 15 14 37 24 113 63 264 151 536 348 1,353 1,041 4,203 4,909 5,629 12,657 J40–J44 Bronchitis, emphysema and other M chronic obstructive pulmonary F disease 12,864 11,310 1 - 1 - 1 - 5 - 5 1 28 18 181 142 1,058 762 2,952 2,399 5,730 5,124 2,902 2,864 * The figures for individual cause categories exclude deaths at ages under 28 days. Nati o n a l S t a t ist ic s 50 H e a l t h S t a t i s t i cs Q u a r t e r ly 3 0 Table 2 continued Summer 2006 Deaths by age, sex and underlying cause, 2005 registrations England and Wales Numbers Age group ICD-10 code Causes of death* All ages Under 1 1–4 5–14 15–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65–74 75–84 85 and over J45–J46 Asthma M F 375 810 1 - 1 11 10 8 13 19 5 27 23 43 40 44 81 57 96 84 239 81 302 K00–K93 Diseases of the digestive system M F 11,541 13,655 17 13 7 6 8 4 26 26 133 90 723 389 1,537 837 1,947 1,122 2,126 1,865 3,124 4,431 1,893 4,872 K25–K27 Gastric and duodenal ulcer M F 1,537 1,714 - - 1 - 2 1 11 5 30 11 96 44 193 91 318 230 586 675 300 657 K40–K46 Hernia M F 341 488 - - - 1 1 2 - 3 3 14 11 24 18 61 66 127 179 109 210 K57 Diverticular disease of intestine M F 469 1,415 - - - - 2 - 3 - 14 14 33 40 72 175 203 600 142 586 K70–K76 Diseases of the liver M F 4,338 2,543 3 3 2 2 5 1 7 8 89 60 572 302 1,178 607 1,239 616 764 453 391 380 88 111 L00–L99 Diseases of the skin and subcutaneous tissue M F 594 1,195 - - - 1 2 6 15 6 22 24 48 45 98 107 225 383 184 623 M00–M99 Diseases of the musculoskeletal system and connective tissue M F 1,292 3,102 1 1 2 2 3 2 3 6 10 19 22 22 43 53 94 152 232 315 476 1,019 406 1,511 M05–M06, M08 Rheumatoid arthritis and juvenile arthritis M F 176 657 - - - - 1 1 1 7 8 16 44 46 120 78 273 28 210 M80–M81 Osteoporosis M F 332 1,093 - - - - - - 2 1 2 7 11 28 123 309 194 748 N00–N99 Diseases of the genitourinary system M F 4,058 6,112 2 5 1 1 1 4 5 9 9 42 41 76 79 169 190 522 554 1,579 1,941 1,654 3,286 N00–N15 Glomerular and renal tubulo-interstitial diseases M F 322 374 1 2 - - 1 2 2 9 6 9 20 26 25 53 58 125 120 98 139 N17–N19 Renal failure M F 1,377 1,601 1 1 1 1 3 1 4 2 23 17 31 20 67 72 190 168 540 521 518 797 N40 Hyperplasia of prostate M 158 - - - - - - - 2 13 62 81 O00–O99 Pregnancy, childbirth and the puerperium F 46 - - - 7 24 15 - - - - - P00–P96 Certain conditions originating in the perinatal period M F 115 84 112 76 1 4 1 2 1 1 1 - - - - - - Q00–Q99 Congenital malformations, deformations and chromosomal abnormalities M F 692 604 128 95 49 41 31 30 48 33 43 42 62 52 73 61 106 79 67 59 60 71 25 41 Q20–Q28 Congenital malformations of the circulatory system M F 281 257 62 45 17 17 17 13 28 20 24 22 33 23 30 23 21 22 25 25 18 32 6 15 R00–R99 Symptoms, signs and abnormal clinical and laboratory findings, not elsewhere classified M F 2,790 8,646 141 89 6 10 8 7 37 13 75 25 123 49 146 54 140 57 136 78 373 797 1,605 7,467 R54 Senility without mention of psychosis M F 1,809 7,927 - - - - - - - - 9 12 266 676 1,534 7,239 R95 Sudden infant death syndrome M F 86 54 85 51 1 3 - - - - - - - - - R99 Other ill-defined and unspecified causes of mortality M F 726 341 55 37 5 7 6 5 27 6 55 21 117 46 131 51 132 48 104 41 75 61 19 18 V01–Y89 External causes of morbidity and mortality M F 10,786 6,841 29 25 50 31 142 64 1,332 346 1,597 405 1,826 536 1,370 545 1,117 500 928 516 1,318 1,454 1,077 2,419 V01–X59 Accidents M F 6,396 5,107 15 12 39 22 114 45 837 186 784 163 815 225 591 245 589 260 603 358 1,056 1,282 953 2,309 * The figures for individual cause categories exclude deaths at ages under 28 days. 51 N a t i o n a l S t a t i s t i cs H eal th Stati sti cs Q u a r t e rly 3 0 Table 2 continued Summer 2006 Deaths by age, sex and underlying cause, 2005 registrations England and Wales Numbers Age group ICD-10 code Causes of death* All ages Under 1 1–4 5–14 15–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65–74 75–84 85 and over V01–V99, Y85 Transport accidents† M F 2,330 697 2 12 7 73 25 656 136 416 71 380 78 249 71 190 72 128 78 156 111 70 46 V01–V89 Land transport accidents involving M pedestrians, pedal cyclists, motor F cyclists and occupants of motor vehicles 2,252 678 2 11 7 73 25 645 135 409 71 366 75 224 67 179 65 120 76 155 109 70 46 W00–W19 Falls M F 1,550 1,535 1 - 4 1 6 2 27 5 38 12 96 30 119 56 186 90 255 130 465 486 353 723 W65–W74 Accidental drowning and submersion M F 145 49 1 1 10 2 8 6 28 2 16 3 19 2 21 11 19 8 13 7 10 6 1 X00–X09 Exposure to smoke, fire and flames M F 144 114 - 6 5 4 6 7 2 16 8 24 9 8 13 26 5 20 18 22 35 11 13 X40–X49 Accidental poisoning by and exposure to noxious substances M F 666 304 - 1 3 2 66 33 218 51 205 81 97 61 45 42 19 15 7 12 6 6 X41 Accidental poisoning by and M exposure to antiepileptic, F sedative-hypnotic, antiparkinsonism and psychotropic drugs, not elsewhere classified 63 70 - - 1 9 7 20 12 12 19 13 19 6 9 1 3 1 - 1 - X42 Accidental poisoning by and exposure to narcotics and psychodysleptics [hallucinogens], not elsewhere classified M F 325 64 - - 1 - 34 14 143 16 107 15 29 9 7 6 2 3 1 - 1 1 X44 Accidental poisoning by and M exposure to other and unspecified F drugs, medicaments and biological substances 128 77 - 1 - 14 9 39 13 36 17 19 13 11 8 6 4 2 10 1 2 X59 Accidental exposure to unspecified M factor F 1,042 2,117 1 1 - - 7 1 18 2 27 5 35 14 52 27 103 85 331 555 468 1,427 X60–X84 Intentional self-harm M F 2,511 803 - - 1 2 217 58 454 130 635 163 488 170 341 130 178 63 129 55 68 32 X85–Y09 Assault M F 90 46 2 1 1 2 1 2 23 8 28 6 10 8 14 5 8 2 2 3 1 5 4 Y10–Y34 Event of undetermined intent M F 1,526 641 10 10 10 7 23 14 248 91 321 98 349 126 252 111 151 73 85 49 57 41 20 21 X60–X84, Y10–Y34, excl Y33.9 Intentional self-harm; and event M of undetermined intent, excluding F other specified events of undetermined intent 3,487 1,231 1 3 1 2 12 6 340 105 647 183 876 253 673 256 443 188 238 100 173 85 83 50 X85–Y09, Y33.9 Assault; and other specified events of undetermined intent 640 259 11 8 10 7 13 12 148 52 156 51 118 44 81 30 57 17 27 15 14 16 5 7 M F * The figures for individual cause categories exclude deaths at ages under 28 days. † Including sequelae of transport accidents. Nati o n a l S t a t ist ic s 52 H e a l t h S t a t i s t i cs Q u a r t e r ly 3 0 Figure 2 shows the trends in age-standardised mortality rates (standardised to the European Standard Population) for these three cause of death groups between 1995 and 2005. The highest death rate throughout the period for both sexes was for circulatory diseases, despite the rate for males falling by 37.8 per cent to 2,591 per million population, and the rate for females falling 34.5 per cent to 1,642 per million population since 1995. The male and female death rates for cancer were 18.5 and 13 per cent respectively lower in 2005 than in 1995. The rate for respiratory diseases in males decreased by 16.6 per cent over this period, while the rate for females was 0.9 per cent lower in 2005 than LQ5HVSLUDWRU\GLVHDVHPRUWDOLW\UDWHVLQDJLYHQ\HDUDUHVWURQJO\ LQÀXHQFHGE\WKHVHDVRQDOSDWWHUQRIPRUWDOLW\LQWKDW\HDUDQGVR differences between two years should always be examined in the context RIORQJWHUPWUHQGV&RPSDUDELOLW\UDWLRVKDYHEHHQDSSOLHGWRWKH¿JXUHV IRU±LQRUGHUWRSURGXFHDFRQVLVWHQWWUHQGWKDWDGMXVWVIRUWKH change to ICD-10 in 2001; see the Explanatory Notes. LEADING CAUSES OF DEATH Both Table 3 and Figure 3 show the ten leading underlying causes of death in 2005 for both males and females. These are ranked according to a World Health Organisation (WHO) list which categorises causes using ,&'JURXSVVSHFL¿FDOO\GHVLJQHGIRUGHWHUPLQLQJWKHOHDGLQJFDXVHV of death; see the Explanatory Notes. Figure 3 also shows how the leading causes of death for 2005 have changed since 2001. The leading cause of death for both sexes was ischaemic heart diseases ZKLFKDFFRXQWHGIRURQHLQ¿YHPDOHGHDWKVDQGDSSUR[LPDWHO\RQH in six female deaths during 2005. Cerebrovascular diseases were the second leading cause of death for both sexes and accounted for a higher proportion of female deaths (12.9 per cent) than males (7.9 per cent). Table 3 Summer 2006 The difference between the top two causes of death was greater among males (a difference of nearly 30,000 deaths) whilst there was a difference of around 7,500 deaths between ischaemic heart and cerebrovascular GLVHDVHVLQZRPHQ$IXUWKHU¿YHFDXVHVRIGHDWKDSSHDULQERWKWKH male and female top ten underlying causes but not at the same ranks. For example while dementia is the fourth leading cause of death among females, it ranks ninth among males. Of the ten leading causes of death for males in 2005, different cancers appeared four times compared with females where cancers appeared three times. For females both cancers and circulatory diseases appeared HTXDOO\WKUHHWLPHVHDFK)RUERWKVH[HVLQOXQJFDQFHUZDVWKH most common cancer appearing third in the list for males and sixth for females. For females, the ranking on age-standardised rates does not match the ranking on numbers of deaths, for example dementia and Alzheimer’s disease is ranked four on number of deaths but would be ranked seven if looking at the age-standardised rate. For males, the ranking on agestandardised rates matches that obtained when ranking on numbers. This is because the age-standardisation process gives very little weight to deaths at older ages (where most of the dementia and Alzheimer deaths occur). Figure 3 shows that for males, the age-standardised mortality rates for all WKHOHDGLQJXQGHUO\LQJFDXVHVLQKDYHGHFOLQHGRYHUWKH¿YH\HDUV since 2001. The largest percentage falls in male mortality rates were for ischaemic heart diseases and cerebrovascular diseases which both IHOOE\D¿IWKSHUFHQWDQGSHUFHQWUHVSHFWLYHO\7KHVPDOOHVW decrease in mortality rates was for malignant neoplasm of the colon, VLJPRLGUHFWXPDQGDQXVZKLFKIHOOE\SHUFHQWRYHUWKH¿YH\HDUV Leading causes of mortality: by sex, 2005 England and Wales Underlying Cause of death* Numbers Number of deaths Percentage of all deaths Age-standardised rate per 100,000 population 49,205 19,266 16,775 13,589 12,209 9,018 7,570 5,606 5,076 4,881 20.2 7.9 6.9 5.6 5.0 3.7 3.1 2.3 2.1 2.0 146.2 55.1 51.1 38.9 35.3 25.5 22.8 17.2 14.1 13.9 243,870 100.0 38,969 31,366 19,255 12,789 12,605 11,895 10,986 7,212 6,537 5,977 16.0 12.9 7.9 5.2 5.2 4.9 4.5 3.0 2.7 2.5 269,123 100.0 Males Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Ischaemic heart diseases (I20–I25) Cerebrovascular diseases (I60–I69) Malignant neoplasm of trachea, bronchus and lung (C33, C34) Chronic lower respiratory diseases (J40–J47) Influenza and Pneumonia (J10–J18) Malignant neoplasm of prostate (C61) Malignant neoplasm of colon, sigmoid, rectum and anus (C18–C21) Malignant neoplasms of lymphoid, haematopoietic and related tissue (C81–C96) Dementia and Alzheimer’s disease (F01, F03, G30) Aortic aneurysm and dissection (I71) All deaths Females Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Ischaemic heart diseases (I20–I25) Cerebrovascular diseases (I60–I69) Influenza and Pneumonia (J10–J18) Dementia and Alzheimer’s disease (F01, F03, G30) Chronic lower respiratory diseases (J40–J47) Malignant neoplasm of trachea, bronchus and lung (C33, C34) Malignant neoplasms of female breast (C50) Heart failure and complications and ill-defined heart disease (I50–I51) Malignant neoplasm of colon, sigmoid, rectum and anus (C18–C21) Diseases of the urinary system (N00–N39) All deaths 68.5 51.8 29.8 18.7 25.1 28.9 28.2 11.2 14.1 9.9 * The cause of death groups used here are based on a list provided developed by WHO, modified for use in England and Wales. For more information see Griffiths C, Rooney C and Brock A. Leading causes of death in England and Wales – how should we group causes? Health Statistics Quarterly 28, 6–17. 53 N a t i o n a l S t a t i s t i cs H eal th Stati sti cs Q u a r t e rly 3 0 Summer 2006 Age-standardised rates for the ten leading causes of deaths:* by sex, 2005 and comparison rate for 2001† Figure 3 England and Wales Males Female s Rate per 100,000 population Rate per 100,000 population ( #! ')!(((/ *"%#")+#***1 ''%+(*"'!(((/ ))'-*,$)#***1 "!$$)$%&"(#%)' '%$ *($"*$ &3,&0&&,%'&#1 '%$!"%,''(&!')%'-!((( / %&+#&$0"#%)*#** $0*$.$$*#%$!/ ")'&#$'.))*(#)+')/#*** 1 "!$$)$%&"(#%&'%()) $#!&&+&'($*%' +)" )'&",*&$,&! "!$$)$%&"(#%%"%$ (!#%!')*#$$*(/ $#!&&+&'($*%*' %$ )*+ "!$$)$%&"(#(%"-#& %! #)%&%!)!$'"))!((*/ #$)!$". !#'(!(( )+ #$,)&'%($#+#'&* &#$$12&")+#**1 $#!&&+&'($*%' '$'&*#!%'#)+,% &&,*1 #***' +",)#&)/*/*+% 1 %')!$*'-(#$!(()!%$ * † The cause of death groups used here are based on a list provided developed by WHO, modified for use in England and Wales. For more information see Griffiths C, Rooney C and Brock A. Leading causes of death in England and Wales – how should we group causes? Health Statistics Quarterly 28, 6–17. For 2001 the mortality rates are given for the top ten causes of death in 2005 as a comparison. Age-standardised mortality rates for females, by contrast, have not shown a decrease since 2001 for all of the ten leading causes. While mortality rates for ischaemic heart diseases showed the largest decrease of between 2001 and 2005 (22 per cent), rates for diseases of the urinary system increased by nearly a third (32.4 per cent). Three other causes of death also showed an increase in age-standardised mortality rates from 2001 to 2005 though to a lesser extent: dementia and Alzheimer’s disease (2.9 per cent); chronic lower respiratory diseases (0.7 per cent); and malignant neoplasm of trachea, bronchus and lung (2.2 per cent). EXPLANATORY NOTES Registrations and occurrences The year in which a death is registered may not correspond to the year in which the death occurred. Up to 1992 ONS publications gave numbers of deaths registered in the data year. However, since 1993 most of our SXEOLVKHG¿JXUHVUHSUHVHQWWKHQXPEHURIGHDWKVWKDWRFFXUUHGLQWKHGDWD year. In most years (and for most causes of death) this change has little HIIHFWRQDQQXDOWRWDOV+RZHYHU¿JXUHVEDVHGRQGDWHRIRFFXUUHQFH provide a more reliable basis for assessing the impact on mortality RIH[WHUQDOIDFWRUVVXFKDVµÀXRXWEUHDNVRUFROGZHDWKHUZKLOH registrations are more timely. We, therefore, take two annual extracts from our deaths database.1 A change was made last year regarding the basis for presenting underlying cause of death. The cause of death data in this report are based on the cause of death as given in the death register and based on WKHGRFWRU¶VRUFRURQHU¶VFHUWL¿FDWHRIFDXVHRIGHDWKWKLVLVNQRZQDVWKH original underlying cause of death. Previously all ONS mortality statistics ZHUHEDVHGRQ¿QDOXQGHUO\LQJFDXVHRIGHDWKZKLFKWDNHVDFFRXQWRI any additional information provided by medical practitioners or coroners after the death has been registered. The underlying cause of death only changes in a very small number of deaths. In 2004 there were around 900 GHDWKVZLWKDGLIIHUHQW¿QDOXQGHUO\LQJFDXVHWRWKDWRULJLQDOO\JLYHQRQ WKHFDXVHRIGHDWKFHUWL¿FDWH,QJHQHUDODOOIXWXUHUHJLVWUDWLRQVRXWSXWV showing data for 2004 or later years will use original cause as the basis for presenting cause of death data, while occurrence-based data (for example, ONS annual reference volumes) will continue to be based on ¿QDOFDXVH The exception will be where registration-based cause data is presented in the same table as occurrences, for example, Table 6.3 in the reference tables in +HDOWK6WDWLVWLFV4XDUWHUO\, when all data will be presented as ¿QDOFDXVHIRUFRPSDUDWLYHSXUSRVHV Coding underlying cause of death • 7KH¿UVWDQQXDOH[WUDFWSURGXFHGLQ$SULOIROORZLQJWKHGDWD\HDU comprises deaths that were registered in that year. Outputs produced using this extract include this report and a report by area of residence published in the summer edition of 3RSXODWLRQ7UHQGV and reproduced in the autumn edition of +HDOWK6WDWLVWLFV4XDUWHUO\, as well as the annual Vital Statistics tables. 6LQFH-DQXDU\FDXVHRIGHDWKKDVEHHQFRGHGWRWKH7HQWK5HYLVLRQ RIWKH,QWHUQDWLRQDO&ODVVL¿FDWLRQRI'LVHDVHVDQG5HODWHG+HDOWK Problems (ICD-10).2 This was introduced on the recommendation of :+2DQGUHSODFHGWKH1LQWK5HYLVLRQ,&'3 which had been in use since 1979. ICD-10 represents the largest change in the ICD in over \HDUV7KHPDMRUFKDQJHVKDYHEHHQGHVFULEHGLQGHWDLOLQ+HDOWK 6WDWLVWLFV4XDUWHUO\ 084 and 135 and also on the National Statistics website (www.statistics.gov.uk/icd10mortality). • The second extract, produced in the September following the data year, comprises deaths that occurred in that year. This extract forms the basis for the mortality annual reference volumes in the DH series. Cause of death is assigned by an automated coding system with the exception of deaths due to external causes (ICD-10 codes V01–Y89). 7KHVHDUHFRGHGFOHULFDOO\XVLQJLQIRUPDWLRQIURPFRURQHUVFHUWL¿FDWHV Nati o n a l S t a t ist ic s 54 H e a l t h S t a t i s t i cs Q u a r t e r ly 3 0 LQFOXGLQJLQTXHVWYHUGLFWVWRSURGXFHFRQVLVWHQW¿JXUHVRQVXLFLGHV homicides and other deaths not from natural causes. Comparability ratios ,QRUGHUWRKHOSTXDQWLI\WKHFKDQJHVDULVLQJDVDUHVXOWRIWKHFKDQJHWR ICD-10, ONS carried out a bridge coding study.6 All deaths registered in 1999 were independently coded to both ICD-9 and ICD-10 and the causes in each revision were compared using internationally agreed JURXSVRIHTXLYDOHQWFRGHV&RPSDUDELOLW\UDWLRVZHUHSURGXFHGIRU selected causes of death, including each ICD cause chapter, to indicate WKHQHWHIIHFWRIWKHFKDQJHLQFODVVL¿FDWLRQRQDSDUWLFXODUFDXVH7KH ratios were calculated by dividing the number of deaths coded to a particular cause in ICD-10 by the number coded to that cause in ICD-9. These ratios can then be applied to England and Wales data (from 1993 onwards) coded to ICD-9 in order to examine trends over time. For a SDUWLFXODUFDXVHWKHQXPEHURIGHDWKVFRGHGWRWKHHTXLYDOHQWFDXVH in ICD-9 is multiplied by the comparability ratio in order to give an ‘expected’ number of deaths that would have been coded to this cause in ICD-10. The ratios can also be applied directly to rates, to give an ‘expected’ rate. Population estimates ,QWKLVUHSRUWWKHSRSXODWLRQ¿JXUHVXVHGWRFDOFXODWHPRUWDOLW\UDWHV IRUDUHWKHEDVHGSRSXODWLRQSURMHFWLRQVIRU7KHVHDUH available on the Government Actuary’s Department website (www.gad. JRYXN7KHSRSXODWLRQ¿JXUHVXVHGWRFDOFXODWHPRUWDOLW\UDWHVIRU and earlier years are ONS mid-year population estimates. The population estimates used were the most up-to-date at the time of publication of this report. Population estimates for mid-2004 were published on 20 December 2005. Estimates for 2003 and revised data IRU±ZHUHSXEOLVKHGRQ6HSWHPEHU5HYLVHGHVWLPDWHV for 1992–2000 were published on 7 October 2004. All these estimates LQFRUSRUDWHWKH¿QGLQJVRIWKHORFDODXWKRULW\SRSXODWLRQVWXGLHVWKH results of which were published in July 2004. Further information on population estimates can be found on the National Statistics website (www.statistics.gov.uk/popest). Summer 2006 Leading Causes of Death in England and Wales The cause of death groups used here are based on a list developed by WHO which categorises causes using ICD-10JURXSVVSHFL¿FDOO\GHVLJQHG IRUGHWHUPLQLQJWKHOHDGLQJFDXVHVRIGHDWK7KHOLVWKDVEHHQPRGL¿HG for use in England and Wales. The use of this ranking list was agreed after a period of public consultation which ended on 13th March 2006. Further information on the rationale behind ranking leading causes of death and how causes are grouped can be found in an article published on WKLVVXEMHFWLQ+HDOWK6WDWLVWLFV4XDUWHUO\ 28.7 REFERENCES 2I¿FHIRU1DWLRQDO6WDWLVWLFV0RUWDOLW\6WDWLVWLFVFDXVH series DH2 no 31, section 2.2. 2. World Health Organisation (1992–1994) ,QWHUQDWLRQDO6WDWLVWLFDO &ODVVL¿FDWLRQRI'LVHDVHVDQG5HODWHG+HDOWK3UREOHPV Tenth 5HYLVLRQ9ROXPHVDQG:RUOG+HDOWK2UJDQLVDWLRQ*HQHYD 3. World Health Organisation (1977–1978),QWHUQDWLRQDO6WDWLVWLFDO &ODVVL¿FDWLRQRI'LVHDVHV,QMXULHVDQG&DXVHVRI'HDWKNinth 5HYLVLRQ9ROXPHVDQG:RUOG+HDOWK2UJDQLVDWLRQ*HQHYD 5RRQH\&DQG6PLWK6,PSOHPHQWDWLRQRI,&'IRU mortality in England and Wales from January 2000. +HDOWK6WDWLVWLFV 4XDUWHUO\08, 40–50. 5RRQH\&*ULI¿WKV&DQG&RRN/7KHLPSOHPHQWDWLRQRI ICD-10 for cause of death coding – some preliminary results from the bridge coding study. +HDOWK6WDWLVWLFV4XDUWHUO\ 13, 31–41. 2I¿FHIRU1DWLRQDO6WDWLVWLFV5HSRUW5HVXOWVRIWKH,&' bridge coding study, England and Wales, 1999. +HDOWK6WDWLVWLFV 4XDUWHUO\ 14, 75–83. *ULI¿WKV&5RRQH\&DQG%URFN$/HDGLQJFDXVHVRIGHDWKLQ England and Wales – how should we group causes? +HDOWK6WDWLVWLFV 4XDUWHUO\ 28, 6–17. 55 N a t i o n a l S t a t i s t i cs H eal th Stati sti cs Q u a r t e rly 3 0 S p r in g 2 0 0 6 Report: Deaths involving Clostridium difficile: England and Wales,1999–2004 INTRODUCTION 7KLVLVWKH¿UVWUHSRUWRQGHDWKVLQ(QJODQGDQG:DOHVZKHUH&ORVWULGLXP GLI¿FLOH was mentioned as a contributory factor. This report covers the SHULRGWRDQGLQFOXGHV¿JXUHVIRUWKRVH\HDUVIRUZKLFK ONS has coded all deaths to the tenth revision of the International &ODVVL¿FDWLRQRI'LVHDVHV,&'6LQFH216KDVURXWLQHO\ coded deaths to ICD-10. Deaths registered in 1999 were coded to both ICD-9 and ICD-10, and are also included in the analysis. As deaths in ZHUHRQO\FRGHGWR,&'QR¿JXUHVDUHSUHVHQWHGIRUWKDW\HDU BACKGROUND This report examines trends in those deaths that involved &GLI¿FLOH as a contributory factor between 1999 and 2004. &GLI¿FLOH is a spore forming bacterium found naturally in the gut of a small proportion (around 3 per cent)1 of the healthy adult population. &GLI¿FLOH can cause diarrhoea, ranging from a mild disturbance to very severe illness with ulceration and bleeding from the colon (colitis), and perforation of the intestine leading to peritonitis, which can be fatal.2 &GLI¿FLOH disease occurs when normal, healthy intestinal bacteria are subdued by the use of antibiotics. This allows &GLI¿FLOHWRÀRXULVKLQWKHJXWDQGSURGXFHDWR[LQWKDW causes diarrhoea. Box One explains the terms used in this report. &GLI¿FLOHZDV¿UVWGHVFULEHGLQWKHV3EXWLWZDVQRWLGHQWL¿HGDV the cause of pseudomembranous colitis following antibiotic therapy until the late 1970s.4-7 Patients who have been treated with broad spectrum antibiotics (those affecting a wide range of bacteria, including intestinal bacteria) are at the greatest risk of &GLI¿FLOH infection. In addition to antibiotic exposure, the risk of contracting &GLI¿FLOH is also raised for elderly patients, those who have recently had gastrointestinal surgery, those who have a long length of stay in healthcare settings, and those who have a serious underlying illness or a condition that compromises their immune system.8, 9 Patients are also at risk of developing &GLI¿FLOH disease when there are outbreaks in hospitals. Infection control is also an important risk factor. A recent Department of Health report addresses actions that should be WDNHQWRUHGXFHOHYHOVRIKRVSLWDODFTXLUHGLQIHFWLRQV10 A report on & GLI¿FLOH and actions to reduce the chances of outbreaks was released by Nati o n a l S t a t ist ic s 56 the Health Protection Agency (HPA) in February 2003.11 In January 2004, the HPA began to carry out a mandatory reporting scheme for all cases of &GLI¿FLOHin persons 65 years and over.125HVXOWVIURPWKH¿UVW year’s surveillance (January to December 2004) were published by the Department of Health.13 The number of deaths due to &GLI¿FLOHLVGLI¿FXOWWRHVWLPDWH7UHQGV in mortality are normally monitored using the underlying cause of death (the disease which initiated the train of events leading directly to death). &GLI¿FLOHDQGRWKHUKRVSLWDODFTXLUHGLQIHFWLRQVVXFKDV 056$DUHRIWHQQRWWKHXQGHUO\LQJFDXVHRIGHDWK7KRVHZKRGLHZLWK &GLI¿FLOH are usually patients who were already very ill and it may be their existing illness, rather than &GLI¿FLOH, which is designated as the underlying cause of death. There is therefore an interest in the number of deaths where &GLI¿FLOH contributed to the death – only conditions which contribute directly to the death should be recorded on the medical FHUWL¿FDWHRIFDXVHRIGHDWKGHDWKFHUWL¿FDWH5HVXOWVSUHVHQWHGLQWKLV report identify deaths where the underlying cause was &GLI¿FLOHand WKRVHZKHUHLWZDVPHQWLRQHGRQWKHGHDWKFHUWL¿FDWHDVDFRQWULEXWRU\ factor. METHODS Identification of deaths involving Clostridium difficile $OOGHDWKVDUHFRGHGE\WKH2I¿FHIRU1DWLRQDO6WDWLVWLFV216 DFFRUGLQJWRWKH,QWHUQDWLRQDO&ODVVL¿FDWLRQRI'LVHDVHV,&'VXSSOLHG E\WKH:RUOG+HDWK2UJDQL]DWLRQ,QWKH7HQWK5HYLVLRQ,&' XVHGE\216IURPRQZDUGVWKHUHLVDVSHFL¿FFRGH$IRU ‘Enterocolitis due to &ORVWULGLXPGLI¿FLOH’:KLOHWKLVFRGHLGHQWL¿HV WKHYDVWPDMRULW\RIGHDWKVLQYROYLQJ&GLI¿FLOH, a small number of & GLI¿FLOHrelated deaths are not captured by this code alone. Since 1993 216KDVVWRUHGWKHWH[WRIGHDWKFHUWL¿FDWHVRQDGDWDEDVHLQDGGLWLRQ WRDOOWKH,&'FRGHVUHODWLQJWRFDXVHVLGHQWL¿HGRQWKHGHDWKFHUWL¿FDWH This means that it is possible to identify records where &GLI¿FLOHis PHQWLRQHGEXWLVQRWFRGHGXQGHUWKHVSHFL¿F,&'FRGH,QDGGLWLRQ WRH[WUDFWLQJDOOGHDWKVUHODWHGWRWKHVSHFL¿F$,&'FRGHGHDWKV mentioning a number of other ICD categories to which diseases including &GLI¿FLOHcould be coded were also extracted. The text of these records was then searched manually for mentions of &ORVWULGLXPGLI¿FLOH& GLI¿FLOHRUSVHXGRPHPEUDQRXVFROLWLV,QWKH1LQWK5HYLVLRQRIWKH,&' ,&'WKHUHLVQRVSHFL¿FFRGHIRUµ(QWHURFROLWLVGXHWR&ORVWULGLXP H e a l t h S t a t i s t i cs Q u a r t e r ly 3 0 GLI¿FLOH’. Identifying deaths involving &GLI¿FLOHZRXOGWKHUHIRUHUHTXLUH H[WHQVLYHWH[WVHDUFKLQJRIYHU\ODUJHQXPEHUVRIGHDWKFHUWL¿FDWHV The ICD-10 codes used to select deaths to search manually are shown in Table 1. ONS used ICD-10 coded data from 2001 onwards for this report. All deaths registered in 1999 in England and Wales were coded to both ICD-9 and ICD-10, to provide comparisons between the two ICD UHYLVLRQV'HDWKVUHJLVWHUHGLQLGHQWL¿HGIURPWKHLU,&'FRGHV as involving &GLI¿FLOH, are also included in this report. Since 1986 ONS has used the internationally recommended death FHUWL¿FDWHIRUQHRQDWDOGHDWKV7KLVPHDQVWKDWWKHVHGHDWKVFDQQRWEH assigned an underlying cause of death.14 However, as the data for this report were based on all mentions of &GLI¿FLOHor pseudomembranous colitis, neonates have been included. Neonatal deaths were extracted in the same way as described above for post-neonatal deaths. Deaths with an underlying cause of death of &GLI¿FLOH were LGHQWL¿HGE\VHOHFWLQJWKRVHGHDWKVZLWKDPHQWLRQRI&GLI¿FLOHor pseudomembranous colitis that also had one of the underlying causes of death noted in Table 1. Derivation of place of death categories The place of death categories used in this analysis have been derived from three items of information recorded by ONS (Table 2). First, the communal establishment code distinguishes between deaths in FRPPXQDOHVWDEOLVKPHQWVZKLFKDUHJLYHQDFRGHVSHFL¿FWRWKH particular institution) and those at home or occurring elsewhere. Second, WKHHVWDEOLVKPHQWW\SHFRGHFODVVL¿HVFRPPXQDOHVWDEOLVKPHQWVLQWR different types (e.g. hospital, hospice, local authority residential home). Lastly, the NHS Indicator code shows whether the establishment was NHS or non-NHS funded. Spring 2006 RESULTS Number of deaths where Clostridium difficile contributed to the death or was the underlying cause of death 7KHQXPEHURIGHDWKFHUWL¿FDWHVPHQWLRQLQJ&GLI¿FLOH increased each year in England and Wales between 1999 and 2004 (Table 3). Figure VKRZVWKHLQFUHDVLQJQXPEHURIGHDWKFHUWL¿FDWHVZKHUH&GLI¿FLOH was mentioned since 1999. Mentions of &GLI¿FLOHRQGHDWKFHUWL¿FDWHV increased from 975 in 1999 to 2247 in 2004. Overall the number of deaths with a mention of &GLI¿FLOHwas 2.3 times higher in 2004 than it was in 1999. Among deaths with a mention of &GLI¿FLOH, the percentage for which it was the underlying cause was similar (around 55 per cent) in each year (Table 3). Mortality rates for all deaths mentioning Clostridium difficile Age-standardised rates for deaths involving &GLI¿FLOHin England and Wales have more than doubled since 1999, from 11.4 to 23.6 per million for males and from 10.7 per million to 23.4 per million for females (Table 4). Overall, rates for deaths involving &GLI¿FLOH were very similar for both males and females in each year (Figure 2). Most of the deaths involving &GLI¿FLOHoccurred among people aged 65 DQGRYHU0RUWDOLW\UDWHVLQVSHFL¿FDJHJURXSVIRU(QJODQGDQG:DOHV are shown in Table 5. Between ages 75 and 84, there were 208.4 and 214.7 deaths per million population for males and females respectively in the period 2001 to 2004. This compares with 0.1 and 0.2 deaths per million population, for males and females respectively, in the under 45 age group (Table 5). Methods of analysis This report presents the number of &GLI¿FLOH related deaths by sex, age DQGSODFHRIGHDWK%RWKDJHVSHFL¿FDQGDJHVWDQGDUGLVHGGHDWKUDWHV for &GLI¿FLOHare presented in this report. Age-standardised rates are explained in Box One. Number of death certificates mentioning Clostridium difficile, by whether it was the underlying cause of death, 1999–2004* Figure 1 England and Wales 2,500 Specific and non-specific ICD-10 codes related to Clostridium difficile Specific codes* Non-specific codes* A04.7 (Enterocolitis due to Clostridium difficile) A05.8 (Other specified bacterial food borne intoxications) A41.4 A48.0 A49.8 P36.5 (Septicaemia due to anaerobes (Excludes: gas gangrene)) (Gas gangrene: Clostridial; cellulites, myoncrosis) (Other bacterial infections of unspecified site) (Sepsis of newborn due to anaerobes) * Codes used to identify deaths where C. difficile was the underlying cause of death (on deaths where C. difficile was mentioned): A04.7, A09, A41.4, and A49.8. Number of deaths Underlying cause Table 1 Mentions 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 * Deaths registered in 1999. Deaths occurring in 2001–2004. 57 N a t i o n a l S t a t i s t i cs 2004 H eal th Stati sti cs Q u a r t e rly 3 0 Table 2 S p r in g 2 0 0 6 Derivation of Place of Death Classification Place of death classification Communal Establishment Establishment type NHS Indicator Own home NHS general hospital Non-NHS general hospital Hospice NHS nursing home Non-NHS nursing home Home Communal Establishment Code N/A General hospital or Multi-function site General hospital or Multi-function site Hospice Homes for the chronic sick or Medical nursing home Homes for the chronic sick, Medical nursing home, Private nursing home or Private nursing home (aged) Residential home (private) Residential home (Local Authority) All other codes N/A NHS Non-NHS Private residential home Local Authority residential home Other places Table 3 Elsewhere NHS Non-NHS Non-NHS NHS N/A Number of death certificates with Clostridium difficile mentioned and as the underlying cause, 1999–2004 England and Wales 1999 2001 2002 2003 2004 % change 1999–2004 England and Wales* Certificates mentioning C.difficile Certificates where C.difficile was the underlying cause of death† Percentage of mentions selected as underlying cause 975 531 54 1,214 691 57 1,428 756 53 1,788 958 54 2,247 1,245 55 130 134 England Certificates mentioning C.difficile Certificates where C.difficile was the underlying cause of death† Percentage of mentions selected as underlying cause 918 499 54 1,150 661 57 1,338 709 53 1,702 912 54 2,155 1,187 55 135 138 Wales Certificates mentioning C.difficile Certificates where C.difficile was the underlying cause of death† Percentage of mentions selected as underlying cause 56 31 55 63 29 46 88 46 52 85 46 54 88 55 63 57 77 * England and Wales data include non-residents who died in England and Wales. Data for England and Wales on their own exclude deaths of non-residents. † Excludes neonatal deaths. Table 4 Age-standardised mortality rates for Clostridium difficile by sex, 1999–2004 England and Wales Rates per million population 1999 2001 2002 2003 2004 England and Wales* Males Females 11.4 10.7 13.1 12.8 15.5 15.1 18.6 18.8 23.6 23.4 106 120 England Males Females 11.6 10.6 13.2 12.9 15.3 15.1 18.8 19.0 23.9 23.9 107 126 Wales Males Females 9.5 11.6 11.9 10.6 17.9 15.1 13.7 15.9 16.7 16.2 76 39 * England and Wales data include non-residents who died in England and Wales. Data for England and Wales on their own exclude deaths of non-residents. Nati o n a l S t a t ist ic s 58 % change 1999–2004 H e a l t h S t a t i s t i cs Q u a r t e r ly 3 0 Table 5 Spring 2006 Age-specific mortality rates for Clostridium difficile by sex, 2001–2004 England and Wales Rates per million population England and Wales* England Wales Age group Males Females Males Females Males Females Under 45 45-54 55-64 65-74 75-84 85 and over 0.1 1.4 5.2 39.5 208.4 832.0 0.2 1.6 7.5 37.8 214.7 789.8 0.1 1.3 5.2 40.3 212.0 832.6 0.2 1.6 7.8 37.8 218.3 798.0 0.0 1.3 4.3 27.8 154.2 806.7 0.9 2.6 2.8 39.0 152.7 647.1 * England and Wales data includes non-residents who died in England and Wales. Data for England and Wales on their own exclude deaths of non-residents. Figure 2 Box One Age-standardised mortality rates for Clostridium difficile by sex, 1999–2004* Glossary of Terms England and Wales* Clostridium difficile (C. difficile): is a spore forming bacterium which is present as one of the ‘normal’ bacteria in the gut of up to 3 per cent of healthy adults. It is much more common in babies – up to two thirds of infants may have C. difficile in the gut, where it rarely causes problems. People over the age of 65 years are more susceptible to contracting infection. 25 Rate per million population Males Females 20 15 Diarrhoea: Diarrhoea occurs when the lining of the small or large intestine is irritated. C. difficile toxins are a major cause of antibioticassociated diarrhoea. This leads to increased water being passed in the stools. Acute diarrhoea is usually caused by a viral infection or a bacterial infection and affects almost everyone from time to time. It usually clears up in a couple of days and is not serious. However it can be serious in babies and the frail and elderly, because of the risk of dehydration. 10 5 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 * Deaths registered in 1999. Deaths occurring in 2001–2004. Place of death 'HDWKFHUWL¿FDWHVUDUHO\VSHFLI\WKHSODFHZKHUHDQLQIHFWLRQZDV DFTXLUHG+RZHYHUWKHSODFHRIGHDWKLVUHFRUGHG%HWZHHQDQG 2004, deaths involving &GLI¿FLOH made up 0.32 per cent of all deaths in England and Wales. Among deaths that occurred in NHS general hospitals and NHS nursing homes deaths involving &GLI¿FLOHmade up 0.52 per cent and 0.45 per cent of the total in these institutions respectively, or almost 5 per thousand deaths. Most deaths in England and Wales occur in hospital (56 per cent of all deaths between 2001 and 2004 occurred in NHS general hospitals). Over the period 2001 to 2004, 92.4 per cent of deaths that mentioned &GLI¿FLOHoccurred in NHS general hospitals. Many of these deaths in hospital will have been to patients who were admitted because they were already seriously ill with another condition. Pseudomembranous colitis (PMC): is a complication of antibiotic therapy often caused by C. difficile infection. PMC causes severe inflammation in areas of the colon (large intestine). Almost any antibiotic can cause PMC by upsetting the balance of the bacteria in the gut and intestines. Age-standardised rate: Directly age-standardised rates make allowances for differences in the age structure of the population, over time and between sexes. The age-standardised rate for a particular disease is that which would have occurred if the observed age-specific rates for the disease had applied in a given standard population. In this report we have used the European Standard Population. This is a hypothetical population standard, which is the same for both males and females allowing standardised rates to be compared over time, and between males and females. Sources: Health Protection Agency/ NHS Direct Online/ Office for National Statistics 59 N a t i o n a l S t a t i s t i cs H eal th Stati sti cs Q u a r t e rly 3 0 Table 6 S p r in g 2 0 0 6 Number of deaths mentioning Clostridium difficile by place of death, compared to all causes of death, 2001–2004 England and Wales Percentage of all C.difficile deaths C.difficile as a percentage of all deaths in the establishment All cause number of deaths Number of deaths England and Wales* Own home NHS general hospital Non-NHS general hospital Hospice NHS nursing home Non-NHS nursing home Private residential home Local Authority residential home Other places Total 387,529 1,178,776 11,561 92,116 11,077 199,924 118,138 30,586 84,988 2,114,695 48 6,168 12 13 50 133 41 16 196 6,677 0.7 92.4 0.2 0.2 0.7 2.0 0.6 0.2 2.9 100.0 0.01 0.52 0.10 0.01 0.45 0.07 0.03 0.05 0.23 0.32 England Own home NHS general hospital Non-NHS general hospital Hospice NHS nursing home Non-NHS nursing home Private residential home Local Authority residential home Other places Total 362,252 1,097,719 10,892 89,363 10,923 188,764 112,284 28,720 76,922 1,977,839 47 5,864 12 12 50 123 40 16 181 6,345 0.7 92.4 0.2 0.2 0.8 1.9 0.6 0.3 2.9 100.0 0.01 0.53 0.11 0.01 0.46 0.07 0.04 0.06 0.24 0.32 Wales Own home NHS general hospital Non-NHS general hospital Hospice NHS nursing home Non-NHS nursing home Private residential home Local Authority residential home Other places Total 25,226 77,885 273 2,641 147 11,014 5,828 1,861 7,065 131,940 1 296 0 1 0 10 1 0 15 324 0.3 91.4 0.0 0.3 0.0 3.1 0.3 0.0 4.6 100.0 0.00 0.38 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.09 0.02 0.00 0.21 0.25 * England and Wales data include non-residents who died in England and Wales. Data for England and Wales on their own exclude deaths of non-residents. REFERENCES 1. Knoop F C, Owens M and Crocker I C (1993) &ORVWULGLXPGLI¿FLOH: clinical disease and diagnosis. &OLQLFDO0LFURELRORJ\5HYLHZV 6, 251. 2. Bartlett J G (1990) &ORVWULGLXPGLI¿FLOH: clinical considerations. 5HYLHZVLQ,QIHFWLRXV'LVHDVHV 12 Suppl 2, S243–51. +DOO,&DQG2¶7RROH(,QWHVWLQDOÀRUDLQQHZERUQLQIDQWV with a description of a new pathogenic anaerobe, %DFLOOXVGLI¿FLOXV $PHULFDQ-RXUQDORI'LVHDVHVLQ&KLOGKRRG 49, 390–402. 4. Bartlett J G, Chang T W, Gurwith M, Gorbach S L and Onderdonk A B (1978) Antibiotic-associated 3VHXGRPHPEUDQRXVFROLWLVdue to toxin producing clostridia. 1HZ(QJODQG-RXUQDORI0HGLFLQH 298, 531–534. *HRUJH5+6\PRQGV-0'LPRFN)%URZQ-'$UDEL< 6KLQDJDZD1.HLJKOH\05$OH[DQGHU:LOOLDPV-DQG%XUGRQ ':,GHQWL¿FDWLRQRI&ORVWULGLXPGLI¿FLOHas a cause of 3VHXGRPHPEUDQRXVFROLWLV. %ULWLVK0HGLFDO-RXUQDO 1, 695. 6. George W L, Sutter V L, Goldstein E J C, Ludwig S L and Finegold S M (1978) Aetiology of antimicrobial-agent-associated colitis. Lancet 1, 802–803. 7. Larson H E, Price A B, Honour P and Borriello S P (1978) &ORVWULGLXPGLI¿FLOH and the aetiology of 3VHXGRPHPEUDQRXVFROLWLV. /DQFHW 1, 1063–1066. 8. Health Protection Agency, 4XHVWLRQVDQGDQVZHUV± &ORVWULGLXP GLI¿FLOH at www.hpa.org.uk/infections/topics_az/clostridium_ GLI¿FLOHJHQBLQIRKWP Nati o n a l S t a t ist ic s 60 9. Department of Health, $VLPSOHJXLGHWR&ORVWULGLXPGLI¿FLOHat ZZZGKJRYXNDVVHW5RRWSGI 10. Department of Health (2003) :LQQLQJ:D\V :RUNLQJWRJHWKHUWR UHGXFH+HDOWKFDUH$VVRFLDWHG,QIHFWLRQLQ(QJODQG5HSRUWIURPWKH &KLHI0HGLFDO2I¿FHU, Department of Health: London. 11. Health Protection Agency, 1DWLRQDO&ORVWULGLXPGLI¿FLOH6WDQGDUGV *URXS5HSRUWWRWKH'HSDUWPHQWRI+HDOWKat www.hpa.org.uk/ LQIHFWLRQVWRSLFVBD]FORVWULGLXPBGLI¿FLOH),1$/&GLIIUHSRUWSGI 12. Health Protection Agency, 0DQGDWRU\&GLI¿FLOHDVVRFLDWHGGLVHDVH &$'VXUYHLOODQFHVFKHPH at www.hpa.org.uk/infections/topics_az/ FORVWULGLXPBGLI¿FLOHPDQGDWRU\KWP 13. Department of Health, 5HVXOWVRIWKH¿UVW\HDURIPDQGDWRU\ &ORVWULGLXPGLI¿FXOHUHSRUWLQJ±-DQXDU\WR'HFHPEHU at ZZZGKJRYXNDVVHW5RRWSGI 2I¿FHIRU1DWLRQDO6WDWLVWLFV0RUWDOLW\6WDWLVWLFV&KLOGKRRG ,QIDQWDQG3HULQDWDO6HULHV'+1R2I¿FHIRU1DWLRQDO Statistics: London. H e a l t h S t a t i s t i cs Q u a r t e r ly 3 0 Summer 2006 Other population and health articles, publications and data Population Trends 124 Health Statistics Quarterly 31 Publication 29 June 2006 Planned articles: Reports: • • • • • • Publication 24 August 2006 Net cohort migration in England and Wales: Low past birth trends may influence net migration Planned articles: Population definitions and the future of statistical provision – what do users want Administrative sources and population statistics Estimates of the population by ethnic group in England Live births in England and Wales, 2005: area of residence Death registrations in England and Wales, 2005: area of residence Reports: Annual Update • • • • • • • • • Suicide trends and geographical variations in the United Kingdom, 1991–2004 Trends in premature mortality, England and Wales 1950–2004 Trends in deaths related to drug misuse, England and Wales, 1993–2004 2001 Carstairs index of deprivation for England and Wales Residents and staff in communal establishments: data quality issues in the 2001 Census Infant and perinatal mortality, 2005: health areas, England and Wales Unexpected deaths in infancy, 2005 Death registrations in England and Wales, 2005: area of residence Mortality statistics: injury and poisoning, England and Wales, 2004 Forthcoming Annual Reference Volumes Title Mortality statistics: injury and poisoning 2004, DH4 no. 29* Planned publication June 2006 * Available through the National Statistics website only; www.statistics.gov.uk 61 N a t i o n a l S t a t i s t i cs H e al th Stati sti cs Q u a r t e rly 3 0 Nati o n a l S t a t ist ic s Summer 2006 62