Investment Management Alert February 2010 Authors: CFTC Proposes Energy Related Position Limits Lawrence B. Patent lawrence.patent@klgates.com +1.202.778.9219 Charles R. Mills charles.mills@klgates.com +1.202.778.9096 K&L Gates includes lawyers practicing out of 35 offices located in North America, Europe, Asia and the Middle East, and represents numerous GLOBAL 500, FORTUNE 100, and FTSE 100 corporations, in addition to growth and middle market companies, entrepreneurs, capital market participants and public sector entities. For more information, visit www.klgates.com. I. Introduction The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), by a 4-1 vote, has proposed regulations that would establish speculative position limits for four energy-related New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) futures and options contracts and one natural gas contract traded on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), based in Atlanta. The NYMEX contracts include those for light sweet crude oil,1 New York Harbor gasoline blendstock, New York Harbor No. 2 heating oil, and Henry Hub natural gas; the affected ICE contract is its cash-settled natural gas contract that settles against the NYMEX physically-delivered natural gas futures contract.2 The proposed regulations would establish hard position limits for (1) the spot month (the contract next to expire), (2) any other single month and (3) all months combined (other than the spot month). The proposal does not establish any limits for contracts that are not regulated by the CFTC, such as those on non-U.S. boards of trade (typically referred to as foreign boards of trade or FBOTs) or in unregulated over-the-counter (OTC) swap markets that have not been designated by the CFTC as significant price discovery markets. The limits would apply to a single trader or an affiliated group of traders. Positions would be aggregated at both the trading controller level and at the account owner level. Therefore, positions would be aggregated even where a single owner, such as a collective investment vehicle like a hedge fund or commodity pool, uses multiple independent trading advisors. Swap dealers would no longer be treated as hedgers, but could apply for a new swap dealer exemption. Only Chairman Gensler and Commissioner Chilton appear firmly committed to adoption of energy-related position limits. Commissioners Dunn and O’Malia indicated at the open Commission meeting addressing the proposal that, although they were willing to publish the proposal for comment, they were not necessarily committed to its adoption. They expressed concerns that the proposal could drive business out of the United States to FBOTs, or to unregulated OTC markets, and thus might impair the liquidity and price discovery functions of U.S. futures markets.3 Commissioner Sommers voted against the proposal because the CFTC does not yet have authority to set limits in the OTC market. 1 Light sweet crude oil includes West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude, the U.S. benchmark. ICE also operates as an “exempt commercial market” under the Commodity Exchange Act for other energy commodities. 3 Commissioner Chilton expressed concern during the meeting over the lack of position limits for metals, and the staff indicated that a proposal for metal limits might be ready in March. 2 Investment Management Alert II. Position Limit Formulas And Their Impact On Current Traders require only about ten of the current traders in these markets to reduce their positions.7 The proposed formulas for the limits are (a) for the spot month for physically-delivered contracts, 25% of the deliverable supply,4 (b) for any other single month, 20% of the open interest for the first 20,000 contracts, plus 2.5% of open interest above 20,000 contracts, and (c) for all months combined other than the spot month, 150% of the amount permitted in any single month. These formulas are similar to those in current CFTC regulations applicable to certain domestic agricultural commodities.5 The CFTC proposes that the CFTC staff would reset the energy limits annually based upon these formulas, by posting on the CFTC website by January 31, to be effective March 1, without requiring additional rulemaking by the Commission. III. Speculators tend to avoid taking positions in the spot month, so the single month and all-monthscombined limits will be most relevant. The CFTC estimates that, if the proposed formula for allmonths-combined were adopted and applied to current open interest levels, the speculative position limit for crude oil would be 98,200 contracts.6 Because one futures contract for light sweet crude oil calls for delivery of 1,000 gallons, the position limit represents 98.2 million gallons of crude oil, which is greater than a single day of world consumption and worth about $8 billion at today’s prices. The CFTC projects that its proposal would 4 For cash-settled contracts, the spot month limit would be five times the limit on physically-delivered contracts, but only available to a trader that held no physically-deliverable contracts in the spot month. NYMEX and ICE recently adopted the same methodology for Henry Hub natural gas contracts, beginning with February 2010 contracts. 5 Currently, the CFTC has position limits on only five types of agricultural commodities (cotton, corn, oats, wheat and the soybean complex, which includes soybeans, soybean oil and soybean meal). 6 This compares to the current NYMEX position accountability level of 20,000 contracts. Position accountability levels are amounts that, if reached, can prompt exchange officials to seek greater information about a trader’s strategy and intentions. Up until 2001, NYMEX administered hard position limits for trading in all futures and options, but now only does so for the spot month. Persons Affected The CFTC’s proposal establishes different limitations for speculators, hedgers and swap dealers. Although the limits for speculators are principally aimed at active traders, they also apply to the regulated futures positions of exchange-traded funds and index traders (sometimes referred to as “massive passive” investors) because the proposal treats them as speculators. The positions of commercial end-users of physical commodities that qualify for the current hedge exemption provided under CFTC regulations -- such as a home heating oil distributor or an oil exploration company -should not be affected by the proposed limits. However, these commercial firms should be mindful that the proposal restricts hedgers whose positions exceed twice the speculative limit from holding any speculative positions. Large firms that use multiple, decentralized trading desks would need to establish appropriate controls to account for positions of all of their traders to avoid violating that restriction. Positions in unregulated swaps also would not be subject to the proposed limits. Swap dealers, as discussed more fully below, would be subject to new limitations on their exchange-traded positions. IV. Aggregation Of Positions The proposed energy limits differ from the current position limits on certain agricultural commodities because the proposed regulations establish limits based on a trader’s aggregate positions in all physically-settled and cash-settled contracts in the same commodity across all exchanges that trade the contracts. Thus, because the Henry Hub natural gas contract is traded on both the NYMEX and ICE, the position limits would be applied based on the combined positions on both exchanges. In addition, the energy proposal would aggregate positions at the owner level, and would not permit disaggregation for independently controlled 7 The all-months-combined limits for the other commodities would be 8,900 contracts for gasoline, 13,100 contracts for heating oil, and 117,300 contracts for natural gas. February 2010 2 Investment Management Alert accounts, as is the case for agricultural contracts. This means that, if the CFTC’s energy proposal were adopted (in addition to the aggregation at the advisor level that applies to agricultural contracts and would apply to the energy contracts), all positions held in the name of entities such as mutual funds, hedge funds or commodity pools would be counted against the position limit, even if the positions had been entered by different trading advisors acting independently. To illustrate this point, under current limits applicable to agricultural commodities and the proposal for energy commodities, if you plan to start a new pool and use outside trading advisors, the positions that a particular advisor takes for other pools or managed accounts are aggregated and may limit the number of positions the advisor may enter for the new pool. In addition, the proposed regulations would limit the total number of positions that a new pool can enter into, and that limit would be the same whether the pool operator made all trading decisions or separate, independently operating trading advisors made the decisions. Thus, if the energy trading limit were x, and the collective investment vehicle employs three advisors who each trade one-half of x, the investment vehicle would be in violation of the energy limits, where it would not be if agricultural contracts were involved. Presumably, the operators of the mutual funds, hedge funds or commodity pools would be forced to monitor all trading done on behalf of their entities on a real-time basis, or perhaps enlist the assistance of the futures commission merchant (FCM) carrying the positions to do the same, to avoid violating the energy position limits. This could prove to be even more burdensome if multiple FCMs are involved.8 V. Swap Dealer Exemption Swap dealers incur market risk by entering into OTC transactions with commercial entities or institutional investors. Under current CFTC regulations defining hedging and interpretations related to risk management, swap dealers have been able to treat as hedges the CFTC-regulated futures and option positions into which they enter to manage the risk that they incur in OTC transactions. The CFTC proposal would eliminate the hedge exemption for swap dealers but establish a new and more restrictive swap dealer exemption that would permit a swap dealer to hold twice the number of positions that a speculator may hold in a single month or in all months combined. A swap dealer would have no exemption for positions in the spot month. Qualifying for a swap dealer exemption would require an annual application and monthly reporting of positions and related recordkeeping.9 The impact of the swap dealer exemption would be to limit the amount of exchange-traded contracts a swap dealer could use to hedge its risk before exceeding the position limits. Once a swap dealer reaches that limit, it could be expected either to decline to enter into further OTC transactions or to pass along its increased risks and costs for additional swaps in the price at which it would be willing to transact. Accordingly, although the position limits proposed by the CFTC would not directly affect trading in swaps, the proposed restrictions on swap dealers’ use of exchange-traded markets to manage their risks may cause swap dealers either to pass along their increased risks to their swaps counterparties (e.g., airlines, pooled investment vehicles, pension plans) in the form of higher pricing and more restrictive terms or to cease entering into further swap transactions entirely once their futures limits are reached. Either action could negatively impact market liquidity. A swap dealer’s qualification for this exemption would be publicly disclosed on the CFTC’s website on an annual basis, following at least a six-month lag. The CFTC proposal seeks comment on specific issues related to swap dealers. The CFTC requests particular comment on the feasibility of a “lookthrough” exemption for swap dealers, which would provide dealers with exemptions for positions that offset risks arising from swaps with a counterparty that itself would be entitled to a hedge exemption if the counterparty hedged its exposure directly in the 9 8 The aggregation requirement under the energy proposal, however, would not require aggregation of a pool’s positions with those of its typical participants (e.g., limited partner, shareholder or similar person with less than a 25% ownership interest), unless that investor controls trading done by the pool. The proposal requires persons who have received a swap dealer exemption to file a monthly report with CFTC and the relevant futures exchanges showing swap positions for proprietary and customer accounts on a daily basis, as well as a daily summary of dealing and trading in swaps based upon the referenced energy contracts. February 2010 3 Investment Management Alert futures markets. Under a “look-through” exemption, if the swap dealer's counterparty were a commercial firm that could itself trade on NYMEX to hedge, but instead decides to deal with a swap dealer OTC, then when the swap dealer lays off the risk of that position by taking a NYMEX position, the swap dealer's position would not be counted against the position limit. Adding such a “look through” exemption would appear to foster swap market liquidity without encouraging excessive speculation, because it would merely recognize that the swap dealer would be establishing a hedging position itself on NYMEX instead of the swap counterparty doing so.10 The CFTC’s proposal also specifically asks for comment on whether additional information should be required in the swap dealer exemption application or, alternatively, whether filing requirements should be limited and the CFTC should rely upon special call authority to assess the merit of swap dealer exemption requests. VI. CFTC Statutory Authority For Imposing Position Limits The CFTC relies on Section 4a of the Commodity Exchange Act as authority to adopt energy contract position limits. That provision states that “excessive” speculation “is an undue and unnecessary burden on interstate commerce,” and it authorizes the CFTC to establish position limits that are “necessary to diminish, eliminate, or prevent such burden.” The CFTC’s explanation of its proposals makes no finding that there has been excessive speculation in any of the four commodities for which position limits are proposed. It is noteworthy that footnote 42 of the CFTC’s Federal Register release announcing the proposals states that an Interagency Task Force chaired by CFTC staff found no causal relationship between speculative activity and the run-up in gasoline prices during 2007-2008, an event that provided some of the impetus for Congressional pressure on the CFTC to 10 A “look-through” exemption for a swap dealer might be particularly warranted where, for example, a swap counterparty uses swaps for hedging because there is no exchange-traded futures contract for the specific commodity involved. Because there is no futures contract in jet fuel, an airline might prefer to use a tailored swap on jet fuel, with the swap dealer in turn mitigating its risk in the swap transaction by entering into a standardized crude oil or gasoline futures contract. impose position limits in energy-related commodities.11 VII. Conclusion The CFTC’s proposal on position limits for currently traded energy futures and option contracts on U.S. markets could have material impacts on the liquidity of those markets and the costs of transacting in those markets and the related OTC swap markets. Affected market participants must act within the 90-day comment period if they wish to have their views inform the public decisionmaking on this proposal. The proposal does not occur in a vacuum, and there are likely to be Congressional hearings on it. Some members of Congress believe the proposal may not go far enough, while others have expressed concern about the export of business from U.S. markets. That concern also is reflected in proposed legislation that would change the regulation of OTC swap transactions, which is working its way through Congress. The bill that passed the House in December would grant the CFTC new authority to impose position limits on swaps that are found to be significant price discovery contracts and FBOT contracts that settle against the price of futures traded on U.S. exchanges, but also would require the CFTC to study the impact of any position limits on causing business to migrate from the United States. The threat of migration is real: only a few days after the House passed its bill, the U.K. Treasury and Financial Services Authority issued a paper stating that “we do not believe a case has been During the CFTC meeting on the proposal, some Commissioners asked whether swap dealers should be required to obtain information from counterparties to verify that the counterparties are not exceeding position limits. This issue was also discussed in a CFTC staff report released September 11, 2008, which was described in the inaugural issue of the K&L Gates Global Financial Markets Newsletter at http://www.klgates.com/newsstand/Detail.aspx?publication=49 66#CTFC. At the meeting on the proposal, CFTC staff explained that this is not information that swap dealers may readily access, and it is not included in the proposal. 11 Indeed, the Task Force, which included representatives of the Departments of Agriculture, Energy and the Treasury, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, the Federal Trade Commission, and the Securities and Exchange Commission, examined the crude oil market between January 2003 and June 2008, and found no direct causal evidence for the general increase in oil prices during that time period. February 2010 4 Investment Management Alert made which demonstrates that prices of commodities . . . can be effectively controlled through the mandatory operation of regulatory tools such as position limits, whether on exchange or OTC.” Anchorage Austin Beijing Berlin Boston Charlotte Chicago Dallas Dubai Fort Worth Frankfurt Harrisburg Hong Kong London Los Angeles Miami Moscow Newark New York Orange County Palo Alto Paris Pittsburgh Portland Raleigh Research Triangle Park San Diego San Francisco Seattle Shanghai Singapore Spokane/Coeur d’Alene Taipei Tokyo Washington, D.C. K&L Gates includes lawyers practicing out of 35 offices located in North America, Europe, Asia and the Middle East, and represents numerous GLOBAL 500, FORTUNE 100, and FTSE 100 corporations, in addition to growth and middle market companies, entrepreneurs, capital market participants and public sector entities. For more information, visit www.klgates.com. 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