Case Case Study: Study: PDQ PDQ Office Office Products Products U.S. U.S.Distribution DistributionStrategy Strategy Peach State Integrated Technologies www.peachstate.com 1 Contact information For any questions about this case study or other Peach State capabilities please feel free to contact us. Peach State Integrated Technologies 3005 Business Park Drive Norcross, GA 30071 (678) 327-2000 2 Table of Contents ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ Project Overview Demand Analysis Customer Locations Network Model and Baseline Scenario Evaluation Summary and Recommendation Appendix 3 Project Overview 4 Project Background PDQ Corporation is seeking a Distribution Network plan that will deliver high service levels during a period of growth. ÿ Existing Facilities - PDQ currently has a single distribution center (DC) located in central NJ. All customers in the United States receive their shipments directly from this DC. ÿ Expansion - PDQ initially targeted the New York metro area and the northeastern states. A large untapped market exists in the rest of the country, and PDQ must consider how to serve these customers. ÿ Service Levels - TPDQ’s promise of quick delivery is central to the philosophy of the company. In Europe, most customers can expect 24 hour delivery. The goal of this study is to explore several service level scenarios for the US market and show the type of distribution network that would be required to achieve each target. 5 Project Objectives Peach State and PDQ agreed on the following project goals and objectives to ensure success. ÿ Examine the historical demand: Build profiles of typical customer orders to understand the current network. ÿ Project future demand: Identify key markets that will be served in the future. ÿ Rate the current network: Detail the service levels that can be achieved with the existing facility. ÿ Design a network for the following scenarios: ÿ Baseline – Central NJ only ÿ How many DC’s to reach 100% of the US in 24 hours? ÿ Best 1, 2, and 3 DC networks (3 scenarios) ÿ Best Central NJ + 1 DC network ÿ Best Central NJ + 2 DC network ÿ Identify service levels: With each scenario, calculate how many customers can be served in 1 day, 2 days, or more. ÿ Review existing warehouse: Make recommendations around space efficiency and process improvements. 6 Project Approach & Methodology Peach State used historical shipment data and information about target markets to build a model of PDQ’s network. ÿ Input Data: PDQ provided detailed information about products, order activity, and shipment methods. The sample data provided covered June 2001 to June 2002. ÿ Demand Analysis: Peach State examined the data and built profiles of the typical customer order, daily order activity, and shipment method. This data was also used to do a product velocity study which identified the fastest moving products. ÿ Customer Location: PDQ provided the BPIA buying power index which describes the population of office workers in each U.S. county. This data was used to identify the largest metropolitan areas in the U.S. which are important strategic targets for PDQ. ÿ Network Modeling: A detailed model of the network was built using the data profiles. Using this model, Peach State located facilities to meet customer demand. This approach minimizes distance to the customer base and meets service level targets. ÿ Scenario Analysis: A baseline scenario was compared with several other alternatives. Detailed maps and service levels are provided for each scenario. These will provide PDQ with a strong foundation for strategic expansion. 7 Demand Analysis “What does the typical order look like?” 8 Demand Analysis Peach State used historical data to build profiles of PDQ’s shipping activity and customer demand. Data was used to answer key questions: ÿ How many orders are received each day? ÿ Are sales levels increasing over time? ÿ How many shipments are sent via LTL carrier? Parcel carrier? ÿ What does the average order look like? How many products? Average sizes? Total weight? ÿ Which products are the fastest moving? What percentage of activity do they represent? 9 Orders per Day The number of orders processed per day fluctuates, but it is most common to ship 55 to 65 orders per day. 10 Shipment Volumes January 2002 marked a step increase in shipment volumes. 11 Activity Levels Per Day Though total volumes have increased, the spread of daily orders has remained constant. 12 Shipment Mode Parcel shipments constitute the majority of all shipments - more than 60%. 13 Lines Per Order Profile More than 50% of all orders were a single line only. Order picking can be designed to leverage this for increased efficiency. Lines Per Order Distribution 89% 93% 95% 96% 97% 98% 98% 99% 100% 84% 90% 6000 74% 80% Number of Orders 5000 70% 4000 60% 53% 50% 3000 40% 84% of all orders have 3 lines or less. 2000 30% 20% Cumulative Percent of Orders 7000 1000 10% 0 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Lines 14 Units and Weight Per Order Line, weight, and unit per order profiles can be examined to define the most suitable order fulfillment methodologies. 15 Product Movement Profile Order activity was analyzed for each product to distinguish fastest moving items from the slower moving ones. Velocity Profile 100% % Orders 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 1 192 383 574 765 956 1147 1338 1529 1720 1911 2102 2293 2484 # Products Product Movement Fastest Movers Medium Movers Slow Movers Total # SKU's 869 870 930 2,669 Picks % SKU's % Picks 17,712 33% 80% 3,324 33% 15% 1,109 35% 5% 22,145 100% 100% 16 Product Movement Profile Using the product velocity profile, Peach State was able to identify operational improvements PDQ should consider. A C B 1616 1617 1618 1515 1516 1415 A C 1015 B A A A A A A A B A A A A A A A A C B A B A A A A A A B C A A A A A A C B C A A C A A A A A A A B A C A C B A A A B A B A A A C A B C B B B B C C A B B B C C A C A A A A A A A A A A A A A A A A C A B A A B A A A C A A B A B A A B A A A B A B B B B A A A A 1601 1602 1603 1604 1605 1606 1607 1608 1609 1610 1611 1517 1501 1502 1503 1504 1505 1506 A B B B A A C A B C C A A B A B C B C A C C A A B A B B A A B A C B C C B C C A A A A C C C B C C B C B A B A A A B A C B C A C C C C B A C B B A B A C B B B C C B B C C C C C C B C C B C B C A A C B B C B C C B A A C C C C C C B B A A B B C C B A B C C B B C C B B 1417 1401 1402 1403 1404 1405 1406 1416 1315 1316 C B C C C C C B C C C C A C C C B A B A B A A B B A B A A A B B C C C 1215 1216 1115 A B B B B B A A A A 1619 1317 1301 A C C A A C C B A B C A B B A A B A A B B C B A A C A A B B C C 1217 1201 C C 1116 C C C B B C C C 1016 A A A A A A A C B 1117 1101 B B A B B A C A C C B A A C A A A B B A B B C C C C C C A C B 1017 1001 A A B C A A A B A 1102 1103 B A A B B B C B C B B C A C B C B B B A A B B A A A B B A B C C A A A A A B B B 1002 1003 0815 0816 0715 0916 0916 0916 A A B A A A A A C A 0615 0816 0816 1507 A A A A 1508 1407 1408 B A B B C A B A A C A B C C C A 1302 1303 1304 1305 1306 1307 1308 A C C A B B A B A A A A C C C A A C A B A A B A C B A B C C C A A A A C A A B A B C B B B B C C A B A C B B A C C A A C B C A C C A A A C A B B C A A A A B B C C C C C C C B B C B B A B B B B B C C B C C C C B C B B B B C C C A B B C B C C A C C C 1202 1203 1204 1205 1206 1207 1208 0917 0901 0902 B B A C C A A C B B A A B A A A A A A A A A A A A A A A A B A B A A A C A C A A A A B B B A C A A B B A C A 0817 0801 0802 0915 A C A C C A A A B B A C B B A C 0701 0702 B A A C C C A A A B B A A A A A A A A B B C C C C A C C B B B 0601 0602 0903 A B A A A A B A B A B A B A A A B A C B B C 0803 A C B A B B 1104 1105 1106 1107 A C A A A A C C A C B C A B C A C C B A A B B C C B B B A B C B A A B C B C B B B B B A B A B B A A C B B B C C A B C B A A A B C C A A B C C B C C B C A 1004 1005 1006 1007 0904 A A A A A C A A A B B A A B C B B C C A A C B 0804 C 0905 A B B A A A B A C A C B A A A B C B A C A B C A A A B B C C A A A B B B 0805 B B B A A A B C A A C 0906 B B B A A A 0806 0703 0704 0705 0706 A A A A B A C A C A A A C A C A A A A B A B B B B A C A B A B B A B A B A B B B A A A C A A A B A B A A A A A A B A C B A B A A B A A A A A A A A B A A A A B A A A B C C A A C B A A B A A C 0603 0604 0605 0606 A A A A B C A B C B 1509 1510 A B A A A A C A A B A C A A A C A C B B A A 1409 1410 1309 C C A A B A A A A A B B B B B B B B B B C 1209 1108 1109 B A B B C A A B B B A A A B A B B A B B A B C A A C A A C B C A A A 1008 1009 B C B B C B A A C A B C A A 1511 B B B A A C A A B 1411 C C A A A A B B A B 1110 1111 1112 C C A B C B B A B A B A C A A A A A A A B A B A A B B B A C A C A A A B C B B B B C 1010 1011 1012 0908 0909 0910 0911 0912 B A C B C A A C A B B B B B C C A C C A B C B B C B A B A B B C A A B B A A C B B B A C B C C C A C B A A A B A A B A B A A B A B B B A A A B B B B B C B A A C C C A B B B A A A A A A A A B A A B C A A B 0808 0809 0810 0811 0812 0707 B A B B A B A C A B A A B A A B A A A A A A A B B 0607 C B B C B C C A C C A C C 0708 0709 A B B B C A C B C B A B A C B C A C A A A B A A A A B B B A A B B 0608 0609 0710 A A B A B B B B C C A A B A C A A A B A B A C B C A A B C C B 0610 0301 0201 0302 0202 0711 0712 A B A B A C C B B B A C A B C A C B A A A A A A A B C A B A A B A A A B A A 0611 0612 0503 B A B C A A A A A B A C A A A A A C A A A 0403 A A A A A 0303 0203 0107 0101 0102 0103 A A A A A A A A A A A A A A A A A A B A B A A A A A A A A A A A A B A A A B B A A A A A A A A A A A A A A = Current 1512 1513 B A A B B B C B A B A A A B B A A A B A A A B A B C A B B B 1412 1413 0907 A A B A A A B A A C A A B A B A A C A A 0807 B A C C OFFICE Total Facings 987 604 422 B A A B A A A B A 1310 1311 1312 A A B B C C A C B C B C B B B C C C B B A C A A B A A A B A A B B B B B C B C B C C C A A B A B B C A A B 1210 1211 1212 0501 0502 A A A A B A A A A A A B C B A C A A B A A B A A A A A A A A A C A A A B A C A 0401 0402 = Future Addition A A A A B A A A B A A A B A B A A C A A B A A A C A A A A A A A A A A A A A A A B A 1612 1613 1614 1615 A A A A A A B B A A A B A B B A A A A A B A 1514 B C B C C B A A 1414 1313 1314 C B B B C A B C C A A B A A B B C A B B A B A B B B A A C B C A B B B B A B 1213 1214 1113 B B C C A B B A A A C C C A A B A 1013 1114 C B B A B C A A B A C C A C A C B B B C B C A 1014 0913 B B A B B C B A B A A B B C A A B A A 0813 0914 B B C C B B B C C B A C A A B A C A B A A A A A B B 0814 C C C B B C A C 0713 0714 A A B B B A A A A A C C A A B A A A A A B A C A B B A C C A A B C A A B B B C A A B B C C A A 0613 0614 C C C 0504 0505 A A A A A B A A A A B A A B A B B B C A B C B A C A A A A A A A A A A A A A C A 0404 0405 0304 0204 A B B B A A A C A A 0305 0205 A A A A A A A A A A A 0506 A A A A C A B A A A A 0406 C B B C C B C B B C C A A C B A A A B A B B A A B 0306 0206 Receiving, Packing, Shipping Area ÿ An overview map of the warehouse was developed which shows where products are stored. ÿ Fastest moving items are shown in red, and are evenly distributed in the warehouse. ÿ A revised approach to product storage could decrease labor costs and shorten order cycle times. 0104 0105 0106 A A A A A A A A B A B A A A A A B A A A A A A A A A A A A A B A C A A A A B A A A A A A A A A A A B A A = Fastest Moving Items B = Medium Moving Items C = Slowest Moving Items 17 Space and Process Improvements Peach State recommended the following enhancements for the existing warehouse, based on a one day site assessment: ÿ Slotting - ÿ Zone the warehouse by velocity—“A”, fast moving items = front, “B” movers = middle, “C” & “Dogs” = back. ÿ Keep fastest moving items toward the dock & on the floor; opportunity exists to re-slot the warehouse. ÿ Putaway – store and putaway receipts of product by velocity zone; use first part of shift to replenish floor/forward slots from reserve. ÿ ÿ ÿ Operations - ÿ ÿ ÿ Allocate the right amount of product to a forward location; i.e., don’t tie up 3 floor slots with same product if slots would be better served with other, fast moving SKU’s. Continue to store items that ship together close to one another. Adjust workstation layout for packing to minimize travel time between work table, terminal, printers & UPS manifest. Evaluate increasing the size of the UPS waves to create more efficient picking tours; update system parameters as needed. Storage - ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ ÿ Rack out remaining floor space with selective pallet rack, minus space required for staging. Creating deeper bays for longer products will only offer marginal space improvements. Use dense storage for small cube items (e.g., more half pallet locations, bin shelving, &/or case rack). Put mezzanine over shipping docks; returns or small cube items could be processed on mezzanine. Rack out over dock doors to store packing materials and empty pallets. Consolidate dead items on pallet, inventory, ID, and put in back of warehouse. Possibly use floor storage for high cube, stackable items. Detailed slotting will yield the greatest operational benefits to PDQ. 18 Summary of Demand The observations of the demand analysis were used to model PDQ’s U.S. distribution network. ÿ For the purposes of the network study, we assume that customers behave the same no matter where they live in the U.S. The order size, order value, frequency, and return rates all follow the typical customer profile. ÿ The number of daily orders can fluctuate over a wide range. The distribution network must be flexible to allow for this variability. ÿ Sales have been steadily increasing in the U.S. and this trend should continue as PDQ enters new markets. The distribution network must be able to handle this future growth. ÿ Parcel shipments account for over 60% of the customer orders. This has been consistent over time, and is dependent on product type. PDQ must be equally capable of meeting service targets with both parcel and LTL shipments. ÿ More than half of the orders are for a single product only, and 80% of the volume is driven by the “fastest” one third of products. PDQ should examine its shipping operations to build in efficiency. For example, single line orders could be batch picked to reduce travel time. Even small improvements in order fulfillment methodology could yield significant results. 19 Customer Locations “Where are the largest markets?” 20 Geographic Analysis of Demand PDQ provided BPIA data which shows the population of office workers in the United States, divided into 3,109 counties. ÿ Office workers are PDQ’s target customers. ÿ The data includes workers in large, small, and home offices. ÿ Alaska and Hawaii were excluded from the study: this was only 0.12% of the total population. 21 Demand Aggregation To speed calculations, Peach State grouped demand into large metro areas made up of several counties. ÿ 302 Metro areas are defined by the U.S. Census Bureau. ÿ 86 percent of U.S. office workers live in these areas. ÿ Style conscious consumers tend to live in these metro areas also. ÿ Marketing can be easily focused on these dense areas. 22 Analysis of Demand The largest 50 metro areas are used in the network study. These areas represent 58 percent of U.S. office workers. ÿ The network model will focus on the largest cities first. ÿ This level of aggregation allows faster modeling results but does not affect validity. ÿ Final results will be reported using the full 3,109 county list and 100% of the population. 23 Analysis of Demand Customer orders and returns should follow the same geographic distribution as the population of office workers in the U.S. ÿCalifornia, New York, and Texas have the largest concentration of office workers. ÿThe central area of the U.S. is sparsely populated compared to the coasts. 24 Network Model and Baseline “What service can PDQ provide with its existing distribution center in central NJ?” 25 Network Model Peach State built a model of PDQ’s network based on the following assumptions. ÿ The network model calculates actual road distances between distribution centers and customers. ÿ All customers are assigned to the closest DC. ÿ LTL shipments travel 500 miles per day on average. ÿ Parcel delivery times are based on UPS Ground service and are quoted in business days. ÿ The model locates each distribution center to minimize average distance to the customers. ÿ Return shipments follow the same pattern as outbound shipments. We assume there is a fixed percentage of all orders that will be returned. 26 Baseline Network With just one distribution center located in New Jersey, PDQ will not be able to meet its service targets nationwide. 27 Baseline Network The first scenario includes only the existing facility in central NJ. This scenario was used as the index to rate all other scenarios. 28 Baseline Network PDQ uses both LTL and Parcel shipments. With the existing network, some customers can expect to wait a week for delivery. Percent of of Customers Customers Percent LTL LTL Service Service Levels Levels Within Within 11 Day Day 77 Within Within 22 Days Days Within Within 44 Days Days Within Within 33 Days Days 66 100% 90% 90% 80% 80% 70% 70% 60% 60% 50% 50% 40% 40% 30% 30% 20% 20% 10% 10% 0% 0% 85% 85% 82% 82% 73% 73% 55 99.7% Within Within 66 Days Days 99.7% 100% Within Within 55 Days Days 56% 56% 44 33 29% 29% 22 11 00 11 33 55 77 99 11 11 13 13 15 15 17 17 19 19 21 21 23 23 25 25 27 27 29 29 31 31 33 33 35 35 37 37 39 39 41 41 43 43 45 45 47 47 49 49 51 51 53 53 55 55 57 57 59 59 61 61 Hours Hours from from DC DC to to Customer Customer Drivers travel 500 miles per day, based on a 10 hour shift at 50 mph. Parcel Parcel Service Service Levels Levels Percent of of Customers Customers Percent If PDQ starts marketing to the entire United States, only 29% of LTL volume and 20% of parcel volume will be within a one day service area from the existing facility. 100% 100% 35 35 30 30 25 25 15 15 10 10 55 20% 20% 35% 35% 20% 20% 100% 100% 60% 60% 31% 31% 22% 22% 15% 15% This chart shows how long Parcel shipments can take to reach the customer. The source data assumes UPS Ground shipment. 80% 80% 78% 78% 66% 66% 20 20 This chart shows how long LTL shipments take to reach the customer. All calculations are based on 10 hours at 50 miles per hour, for 500 miles per day. 40% 40% 20% 20% 12% 12% 00 0% 0% 11Days Days 22Days Days 33Days Days 44Days Days 55Days Days Business BusinessDays Daysin inTransit Transit Based on quoted duration of UPS Ground service. 29 Scenario Evaluation “How many distribution centers does PDQ need?” “Where should they be located?” 30 Scenario Overview Several different scenarios were considered using the model. Each was compared to the baseline to rank its performance. ÿ One day service nationwide: How many distribution centers are needed to reach 100% of the United States in 24 hours? ÿ Best 1 DC network: If PDQ only has one DC, where should it be? ÿ Best 2 DC network: Where should 2 DC’s be located? How is service improved? ÿ Best network with Central NJ + 1 other DC: If PDQ added one new DC to its existing facility, where should it be placed? ÿ Best 3 DC network: Where should 3 DC’s be located? What are the additional benefits? ÿ Best network with Central NJ + 2 other DCs: In addition to the existing facility, where should two new DCs be located? 31 Scenario: One Day Service When 10 DCs are placed to minimize cost, one day service nationwide is still not possible. 32 Scenario: One Day Service Distribution centers are located near major metropolitan areas to reduce the overall cost of the network. 33 Scenario: One Day Service With 10 facilities nationwide, service levels would be very high. The operating costs would also be extremely high. LTL LTL Service Service Levels Levels Percent of of Customers Customers Percent Within Within One One Day Day 25 25 95% 95% Within Within Two Two Days Days 100% 100% Within 100% Within Three Three Days Days 100% 100% 100% 90% 90% 80% 80% 70% 70% 60% 60% 50% 50% 40% 40% 30% 30% 20% 20% 10% 10% 0% 0% 20 20 15 15 10 10 55 00 Most of the country receives 1 day service. Large geographic areas of the country receive 2 day service, but the number of customers in these areas is very small. 11 22 33 44 55 66 77 88 99 10 10 11 11 12 12 13 13 14 14 15 15 16 16 17 17 18 18 19 19 20 20 21 21 22 22 23 23 24 24 25 25 26 26 27 27 28 28 29 29 30 30 Hours Hours from from DC DC to to Customer Customer Drivers travel 500 miles per day, based on a 10 hour shift at 50 mph. Parcel Parcel Service Service Levels Levels Percent of of Customers Customers Percent Most parcel shipments will reach customers in one business day. 99.5% 99.5% 80 80 70 70 100% 100% 80% 80% 60 60 50 50 40 40 30 30 100% 100% 70% 70% 60% 60% 69% 69% 40% 40% 20 20 10 10 00 30% 30% 11Days Days 22Days Days 20% 20% 0.5% 0.5% 0% 0% 33Days Days Business BusinessDays Daysin inTransit Transit Based on quoted duration of UPS Ground service. 34 Scenario: Best 1 DC Because most of the population lives in the eastern half of the country, a single facility would be located centrally. 35 Scenario: Best 1 DC Distribution activities are roughly 16-20% more efficient than the baseline scenario. This location was chosen to reduce the total network cost, but some customers will have slower service. 36 Scenario: Best 1 DC This scenario cannot reach either of the largest markets in one day, but achieves higher overall service than the baseline. Percent of of Customers Customers Percent LTL LTL Service Service Levels Levels Within Within 11 Day Day 88 Within Within 22 Days Days Within Within 33 Days Days Within Within 44 Days Days 82% 82% 77 Within Within 55 Days Days 100% 100% 100% 100% 90% 90% 86% 86% 73% 73% 80% 80% 70% 70% 60% 60% 66 55 44 50% 50% 40% 40% 31% 31% 33 30% 30% 20% 20% 22 11 10% 10% 0% 0% 00 11 33 55 77 99 11 11 13 13 15 15 17 17 19 19 21 21 23 23 25 25 27 27 29 29 31 31 33 33 35 35 37 37 39 39 41 41 43 43 45 45 47 47 49 49 Hours Hours from from DC DC to to Customer Customer Drivers travel 500 miles per day, based on a 10 hour shift at 50 mph. Parcel Parcel Service Service Levels Levels Percent of of Customers Customers Percent The UPS parcel network usually follows the same behavior as the LTL road network. 100% 100% 50 50 40 40 58% 58% 60% 60% 47% 47% 20 20 10 10 80% 80% 78% 78% 30 30 12% 12% 12% 12% 100% 100% 40% 40% 20% 20% 22% 22% 33Days Days 44Days Days 00 20% 20% 0% 0% 11Days Days 22Days Days Business BusinessDays Daysin inTransit Transit Based on quoted duration of UPS Ground service. 37 Scenario: Best 2 DCs By adding a second DC, the network is able to serve both coasts with one day service, and reach most of the country within 3 days. 38 Scenario: Best 2 DCs Distribution activities are more efficient than with a single DC. Based on customer percentages, the eastern facility is much larger than the second center. 39 Scenario: Best 2 DCs Virtually all of the country can be reached in 3 days from the two locations in this scenario. LTL LTL Service Service Levels Levels Percent of of Customers Customers Percent Within Within One One Day Day Within Within Two Two Days Days 14 14 Within Within Three Three Days Days 100% 100% 83% 83% 12 12 10 10 88 100% 100% 90% 90% 80% 80% 70% 70% 60% 60% 49% 49% 50% 50% 40% 40% 30% 30% 66 44 Although there is a small area of southern Texas that receives 4 day service, the population there is minimal. 20% 20% 10% 10% 0% 0% 22 00 11 22 33 44 55 66 77 88 99 10 10 11 11 12 12 13 13 14 14 15 15 16 16 17 17 18 18 19 19 20 20 21 21 22 22 23 23 24 24 25 25 26 26 27 27 28 28 29 29 30 30 Hours Hours from from DC DC to to Customer Customer Drivers travel 500 miles per day, based on a 10 hour shift at 50 mph. Parcel Parcel Service Service Levels Levels Percent of of Customers Customers Percent 92% of the nation would receive a parcel shipment within 3 business days. 60 60 92% 92% 50 50 100% 100% 80% 80% 67% 67% 40 40 30 30 60% 60% 56% 56% 40% 40% 20 20 10 10 00 100% 100% 25% 25% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11Days Days 20% 20% 8% 8% 22Days Days 33Days Days 0% 0% 44Days Days Business BusinessDays Daysin inTransit Transit Based on quoted duration of UPS Ground service. 40 Scenario: Central NJ + 1 DC Adding a second DC to the current network has very similar results compared with the “Best 2 DC” scenario. 41 Scenario: Central NJ + 1 DC The existing site is not the optimal location for a DC, but the efficiency of the network is not reduced significantly. Relocating the original DC should be done only if other needs arise. 42 Scenario: Central NJ + 1 DC A small section (3%) of the country receives only 4 day service in this scenario. Houston is the only metro area in this region. Percent of of Customers Customers Percent LTL LTL Service Service Levels Levels 99 88 Within Within One One Day Day Within Within Four Four Days Days 100% 100% 73% 73% 77 66 55 44 97% Within Within Three Three Days Days 97% Within Within Two Two Days Days 100% 100% 90% 90% 80% 80% 70% 70% 60% 60% 42% 42% 50% 50% 40% 40% 30% 30% 33 22 20% 20% 10% 10% 11 00 0% 0% 11 22 33 44 55 66 77 88 99 10 10 11 11 12 12 13 13 14 14 15 15 16 16 17 17 18 18 19 19 20 20 21 21 22 22 23 23 24 24 25 25 26 26 27 27 28 28 29 29 30 30 31 31 32 32 33 33 34 34 35 35 36 36 37 37 38 38 39 39 40 40 Hours Hours from from DC DC to to Customer Customer Drivers travel 500 miles per day, based on a 10 hour shift at 50 mph. Parcel Parcel Service Service Levels Levels Percent of of Customers Customers Percent Overall, service is only slightly lower than the scenario with the Best 2 DC network. 99.8% 99.8% 40 40 35 35 100% 100% 86% 86% 80% 80% 30 30 25 25 20 20 15 15 10 10 49% 49% 26% 26% 27% 27% 60% 60% 37% 37% 40% 40% 23% 23% 13% 13% 55 00 11Days Days 22Days Days 100% 100% 33Days Days 44Days Days 20% 20% 0.2% 0.2% 0% 0% 55Days Days Business BusinessDays Daysin inTransit Transit Based on quoted duration of UPS Ground service. 43 Scenario: Best 3 DCs Adding a third DC brings the national service level even higher. 44 Scenario: Best 3 DCs This may be a good long term plan for growing PDQ’s distribution network. A more detailed second study could identify the expected costs of this scenario. 45 Scenario: Best 3 DCs Most of the nation could receive 2 day service with a 3 DC network. Shipments can reach the largest markets in only 1 day. Percent of of Customers Customers Percent LTL LTL Service Service Levels Levels 10 10 99 88 77 66 55 44 Within Within One One Day Day Within Within Two Two Days Days 94% 94% Within Within Three Three Days Days100% 100% 65% 65% 100% 100% 90% 90% 80% 80% 70% 70% 60% 60% 50% 50% 40% 40% 30% 30% 33 22 11 00 20% 20% 10% 10% 0% 0% Of the 50 largest U.S. metro areas only Seattle, Miami, and Fort Lauderdale would not receive at least 2 day service. 11 22 33 44 55 66 77 88 99 10 10 11 11 12 12 13 13 14 14 15 15 16 16 17 17 18 18 19 19 20 20 21 21 22 22 23 23 24 24 25 25 26 26 27 27 28 28 29 29 30 30 Hours Hours from from DC DC to to Customer Customer Drivers travel 500 miles per day, based on a 10 hour shift at 50 mph. Parcel Parcel Service Service Levels Levels Percent of of Customers Customers Percent All customers could receive parcel shipments within 3 business days. 100% 100% 60 60 84% 84% 50 50 80% 80% 40 40 60% 60% 30 30 20 20 10 10 100% 100% 55% 55% 29% 29% 40% 40% 30% 30% 15% 15% 20% 20% 0% 0% 00 11Days Days 22Days Days 33Days Days Business BusinessDays Daysin inTransit Transit Based on quoted duration of UPS Ground service. 46 Scenario: Central NJ + 2 DCs This scenario is almost identical to the “Best 3 DC” scenario since the existing DC is within 50 miles of the optimal location. 47 Scenario: Central NJ + 2 DCs The performance of this scenario is statistically identical to the “Best 3 DC” solution. 48 Scenario: Central NJ + 2 DCs Again, this solution provides the the same service as the “Best 3 DC” scenario. LTL LTL Service Service Levels Levels Percent of of Customers Customers Percent Within Within One One Day Day Within Within Two Two Days Days 12 12 93% 93% Within Within Three Three Days Days 100% 100% 10 10 66% 66% 88 66 44 22 00 100% 100% 90% 90% 80% 80% 70% 70% 60% 60% 50% 50% 40% 40% 30% 30% 20% 20% 10% 10% 0% 0% The 2 day service level is only 1% less than the previous scenario. 11 22 33 44 55 66 77 88 99 10 10 11 11 12 12 13 13 14 14 15 15 16 16 17 17 18 18 19 19 20 20 21 21 22 22 23 23 24 24 25 25 26 26 27 27 28 28 29 29 30 30 Hours Hours from from DC DC to to Customer Customer Drivers travel 500 miles per day, based on a 10 hour shift at 50 mph. Percent of of Customers Customers Percent Parcel Parcel Service Service Levels Levels 100% 100% 60 60 89% 89% 50 50 80% 80% 40 40 60% 60% 30 30 20 20 100% 100% 57% 57% 32% 32% 40% 40% 32% 32% 20% 20% 10 10 10% 10% 00 11Days Days 22Days Days 0% 0% 33Days Days Business BusinessDays Daysin inTransit Transit Based on quoted duration of UPS Ground service. 49 Summary and Recommendation 50 Scenario Summary - LTL This chart shows the performance of the LTL distribution network under each scenario in the study. 51 Scenario Summary - Parcel This chart shows the performance of the parcel distribution network under each scenario in the study. 52 Recommendations Peach State recommends the following implementation plan for PDQ during their period of growth in the U.S. market. ÿ Existing Facilities: The existing facility was placed in an important strategic location. It is not necessary to relocate this facility to increase customer service. However, relocation may be necessary for operational reasons, such as outgrowing the current facility. ÿ New Facilities: Adding a second distribution center near Los Angeles would achieve three day service levels for 97% of the target customers. Based on the population, shipments from this facility would only represent 25-30% of total U.S. sales volume. ÿ Additional Expansion: If higher service levels are required or if sales volumes increase, a third facility could be added to the network. With a third facility, PDQ could provide 2 day service to 93% of the country. ÿ Detailed Cost Analysis: A more in depth study would provide a view of PDQ’s actual distribution costs. This analysis should consider the transportation, inventory, and operating costs of PDQ’s distribution network. PDQ should consider all relevant costs to determine whether a new facility can be justified economically. ÿ Inbound Shipments: Without actual cost data, it is not possible to identify the best ports to bring products into the U.S. Peach State can provide a framework for these decision for PDQ to use in the future. 53 Recommendations Appendix ÿ Scenario: Central NJ & Reno ÿ Scneario: Central NJ & Las Vegas ÿ BPIA Data: 50 Top Metro Areas 54 Scenario: Central NJ & Reno Instead of placing a second DC in California, PDQ could locate in Reno, NV to share space with its sister company. 55 Scenario: Central NJ & Reno This network is less efficient than other scenarios with 2 distribution centers. However, it is still a significant improvement over the baseline network. 56 Scenario: Central NJ & Las Vegas Based on distribution alone, Las Vegas is not the best city for a second DC. However, other factors may outweigh transportation. 57 Scenario: Central NJ & Las Vegas PDQ’s facility costs may be less expensive in Las Vegas than in the Los Angeles area. Residents of California would not have to pay sale tax, possibly providin an increase in sales. 58 Scenario: Central NJ & Las Vegas Service levels in this scenario are similar to other options. 59 BPIA Data: Top 50 Metro Areas Peach State used the top 50 metro areas to design the U.S. network. 60 BPIA Data: Top 50 Metro Areas Peach State used the top 50 metro areas to design the U.S. network. 61