Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study Part V – Appendix

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Part V – Appendix
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Part V – Appendix
1921 Hurrricane – Starbuck Remilling Company
Table of Contents
Data Collection Template
Negative Economic Inputs
Positive Economic Inputs
Negative Economic Impacts
Positive Economic Impacts
Net Impacts of a Catastrophic Event
Economic Development Administration
IV IV IV IV IV IV -
IV-1
2
6
7
12
42
72
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Negative Economic Inputs: Actual Employment Losses by Industry and County
Industry
Forestry, Fishing, and Other
Mining
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation, Warehousing
Information
Finance and Insurance
Real Estate and Leasing
Professional and Tech
Management of Companies
Admin and Waste Services
Educational Services
Healthcare Social Assist
Arts, Entertainment, Rec
Accommodation, Food Services
Other Services
State and Local
Federal Civilian
Federal Military
Farm
County
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Unit
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Total Hillsborough Employment Loss
HillsboroughThousands
Industry
Forestry, Fishing, and Other
Mining
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation, Warehousing
Information
Finance and Insurance
Real Estate and Leasing
Professional and Tech
Management of Companies
Admin and Waste Services
Educational Services
Healthcare Social Assist
Arts, Entertainment, Rec
Accommodation, Food Services
Other Services
State and Local
Federal Civilian
Federal Military
Farm
County
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Unit
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Total Manatee Employment Loss
Manatee
Thousands
Year 1
-0.99
-0.15
-0.90
-14.74
-9.37
-11.02
-25.06
-7.38
-6.71
-20.35
-10.56
-22.54
-2.33
-26.02
-4.53
-24.75
-5.87
-17.46
-14.54
-20.77
-4.84
-2.78
-3.16
Year 2
-0.72
-0.11
-0.66
-10.72
-6.81
-8.01
-18.22
-5.37
-4.88
-14.80
-7.68
-16.39
-1.70
-18.92
-3.30
-18.00
-4.27
-12.70
-10.58
-15.11
-3.52
-2.02
-2.30
Year 3
-0.54
-0.08
-0.49
-8.04
-5.11
-6.01
-13.67
-4.03
-3.66
-11.10
-5.76
-12.29
-1.27
-14.19
-2.47
-13.50
-3.20
-9.52
-7.93
-11.33
-2.64
-1.51
-1.72
Year 4
-0.39
-0.06
-0.36
-5.81
-3.69
-4.34
-9.87
-2.91
-2.64
-8.02
-4.16
-8.88
-0.92
-10.25
-1.79
-9.75
-2.31
-6.88
-5.73
-8.18
-1.91
-1.09
-1.24
Year 5
-0.30
-0.05
-0.27
-4.47
-2.84
-3.34
-7.59
-2.24
-2.03
-6.17
-3.20
-6.83
-0.71
-7.88
-1.37
-7.50
-1.78
-5.29
-4.41
-6.29
-1.47
-0.84
-0.96
Year 6
-0.15
-0.02
-0.14
-2.23
-1.42
-1.67
-3.80
-1.12
-1.02
-3.08
-1.60
-3.42
-0.35
-3.94
-0.69
-3.75
-0.89
-2.65
-2.20
-3.15
-0.73
-0.42
-0.48
Year 7
-0.09
-0.01
-0.08
-1.34
-0.85
-1.00
-2.28
-0.67
-0.61
-1.85
-0.96
-2.05
-0.21
-2.37
-0.41
-2.25
-0.53
-1.59
-1.32
-1.89
-0.44
-0.25
-0.29
Year 8
-0.05
-0.01
-0.04
-0.67
-0.43
-0.50
-1.14
-0.34
-0.30
-0.92
-0.48
-1.02
-0.11
-1.18
-0.21
-1.13
-0.27
-0.79
-0.66
-0.94
-0.22
-0.13
-0.14
Year 9
-0.03
0.00
-0.03
-0.45
-0.28
-0.33
-0.76
-0.22
-0.20
-0.62
-0.32
-0.68
-0.07
-0.79
-0.14
-0.75
-0.18
-0.53
-0.44
-0.63
-0.15
-0.08
-0.10
Year 10
-0.02
0.00
-0.01
-0.22
-0.14
-0.17
-0.38
-0.11
-0.10
-0.31
-0.16
-0.34
-0.04
-0.39
-0.07
-0.38
-0.09
-0.26
-0.22
-0.31
-0.07
-0.04
-0.05
-256.82
-186.78
-140.09
-101.17
-77.83
-38.91
-23.35
-11.67
-7.78
-3.89
Year 1
-0.73
-0.03
-0.08
-3.41
-3.13
-1.43
-5.70
-0.83
-0.47
-2.37
-4.22
-3.22
-1.01
-6.22
-0.63
-5.40
-1.70
-3.52
-3.49
-3.69
-0.33
-0.22
-1.45
Year 2
-0.53
-0.02
-0.06
-2.48
-2.28
-1.04
-4.14
-0.60
-0.34
-1.73
-3.07
-2.34
-0.74
-4.52
-0.46
-3.93
-1.23
-2.56
-2.54
-2.68
-0.24
-0.16
-1.05
Year 3
-0.40
-0.02
-0.04
-1.86
-1.71
-0.78
-3.11
-0.45
-0.26
-1.29
-2.30
-1.76
-0.55
-3.39
-0.34
-2.95
-0.92
-1.92
-1.90
-2.01
-0.18
-0.12
-0.79
Year 4
-0.29
-0.01
-0.03
-1.34
-1.23
-0.56
-2.24
-0.33
-0.19
-0.93
-1.66
-1.27
-0.40
-2.45
-0.25
-2.13
-0.67
-1.39
-1.37
-1.45
-0.13
-0.09
-0.57
Year 5
-0.22
-0.01
-0.02
-1.03
-0.95
-0.43
-1.73
-0.25
-0.14
-0.72
-1.28
-0.98
-0.31
-1.88
-0.19
-1.64
-0.51
-1.07
-1.06
-1.12
-0.10
-0.07
-0.44
Year 6
-0.11
-0.01
-0.01
-0.52
-0.47
-0.22
-0.86
-0.13
-0.07
-0.36
-0.64
-0.49
-0.15
-0.94
-0.10
-0.82
-0.26
-0.53
-0.53
-0.56
-0.05
-0.03
-0.22
Year 7
-0.07
0.00
-0.01
-0.31
-0.28
-0.13
-0.52
-0.08
-0.04
-0.22
-0.38
-0.29
-0.09
-0.57
-0.06
-0.49
-0.15
-0.32
-0.32
-0.34
-0.03
-0.02
-0.13
Year 8
-0.03
0.00
0.00
-0.16
-0.14
-0.06
-0.26
-0.04
-0.02
-0.11
-0.19
-0.15
-0.05
-0.28
-0.03
-0.25
-0.08
-0.16
-0.16
-0.17
-0.01
-0.01
-0.07
Year 9
-0.02
0.00
0.00
-0.10
-0.10
-0.04
-0.17
-0.03
-0.01
-0.07
-0.13
-0.10
-0.03
-0.19
-0.02
-0.16
-0.05
-0.11
-0.11
-0.11
-0.01
-0.01
-0.04
Year 10
-0.01
0.00
0.00
-0.05
-0.05
-0.02
-0.09
-0.01
-0.01
-0.04
-0.06
-0.05
-0.02
-0.09
-0.01
-0.08
-0.03
-0.05
-0.05
-0.06
0.00
0.00
-0.02
-53.29
-38.76
-29.07
-20.99
-16.15
-8.07
-4.84
-2.42
-1.61
-0.81
Page 6
Negative Economic Inputs: Actual Employment Losses by Industry and County
Industry
Forestry, Fishing, and Other
Mining
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation, Warehousing
Information
Finance and Insurance
Real Estate and Leasing
Professional and Tech
Management of Companies
Admin and Waste Services
Educational Services
Healthcare Social Assist
Arts, Entertainment, Rec
Accommodation, Food Services
Other Services
State and Local
Federal Civilian
Federal Military
Farm
County
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Unit
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Year 1
-0.25
-0.07
-0.26
-3.52
-1.20
-0.81
-6.66
-0.83
-0.33
-1.77
-2.52
-2.24
-0.13
-3.11
-0.77
-5.84
-0.91
-3.78
-3.45
-5.27
-0.30
-0.31
-0.46
Year 2
-0.19
-0.05
-0.19
-2.56
-0.87
-0.59
-4.85
-0.60
-0.24
-1.28
-1.83
-1.63
-0.10
-2.26
-0.56
-4.25
-0.67
-2.75
-2.51
-3.83
-0.22
-0.23
-0.33
Year 3
-0.14
-0.04
-0.14
-1.92
-0.65
-0.44
-3.64
-0.45
-0.18
-0.96
-1.37
-1.22
-0.07
-1.69
-0.42
-3.19
-0.50
-2.06
-1.88
-2.88
-0.16
-0.17
-0.25
Year 4
-0.10
-0.03
-0.10
-1.38
-0.47
-0.32
-2.63
-0.33
-0.13
-0.70
-0.99
-0.88
-0.05
-1.22
-0.30
-2.30
-0.36
-1.49
-1.36
-2.08
-0.12
-0.12
-0.18
Year 5
-0.08
-0.02
-0.08
-1.07
-0.36
-0.25
-2.02
-0.25
-0.10
-0.54
-0.76
-0.68
-0.04
-0.94
-0.23
-1.77
-0.28
-1.15
-1.04
-1.60
-0.09
-0.10
-0.14
Year 6
-0.04
-0.01
-0.04
-0.53
-0.18
-0.12
-1.01
-0.13
-0.05
-0.27
-0.38
-0.34
-0.02
-0.47
-0.12
-0.89
-0.14
-0.57
-0.52
-0.80
-0.05
-0.05
-0.07
Year 7
-0.02
-0.01
-0.02
-0.32
-0.11
-0.07
-0.61
-0.08
-0.03
-0.16
-0.23
-0.20
-0.01
-0.28
-0.07
-0.53
-0.08
-0.34
-0.31
-0.48
-0.03
-0.03
-0.04
Year 8
-0.01
0.00
-0.01
-0.16
-0.05
-0.04
-0.30
-0.04
-0.02
-0.08
-0.11
-0.10
-0.01
-0.14
-0.04
-0.27
-0.04
-0.17
-0.16
-0.24
-0.01
-0.01
-0.02
Year 9
-0.01
0.00
-0.01
-0.11
-0.04
-0.02
-0.20
-0.03
-0.01
-0.05
-0.08
-0.07
0.00
-0.09
-0.02
-0.18
-0.03
-0.11
-0.10
-0.16
-0.01
-0.01
-0.01
Year 10
0.00
0.00
0.00
-0.05
-0.02
-0.01
-0.10
-0.01
-0.01
-0.03
-0.04
-0.03
0.00
-0.05
-0.01
-0.09
-0.01
-0.06
-0.05
-0.08
0.00
0.00
-0.01
Total Pasco Employment Loss
Pasco
Thousands
-44.54
-32.40
-24.30
-17.55
-13.50
-6.75
-4.05
-2.02
-1.35
-0.67
Industry
Forestry, Fishing, and Other
Mining
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation, Warehousing
Information
Finance and Insurance
Real Estate and Leasing
Professional and Tech
Management of Companies
Admin and Waste Services
Educational Services
Healthcare Social Assist
Arts, Entertainment, Rec
Accommodation, Food Services
Other Services
State and Local
Federal Civilian
Federal Military
Farm
County
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Unit
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Year 1
-0.21
-0.18
-0.19
-9.82
-11.71
-5.79
-19.72
-2.95
-3.07
-11.29
-11.01
-14.94
-3.72
-18.75
-3.15
-24.19
-4.08
-13.58
-11.91
-12.75
-2.38
-1.00
-0.05
Year 2
-0.15
-0.13
-0.13
-7.14
-8.51
-4.21
-14.34
-2.15
-2.24
-8.21
-8.01
-10.87
-2.70
-13.64
-2.29
-17.59
-2.97
-9.88
-8.66
-9.28
-1.73
-0.73
-0.04
Year 3
-0.11
-0.10
-0.10
-5.36
-6.39
-3.16
-10.76
-1.61
-1.68
-6.16
-6.00
-8.15
-2.03
-10.23
-1.72
-13.19
-2.23
-7.41
-6.50
-6.96
-1.30
-0.55
-0.03
Year 4
-0.08
-0.07
-0.07
-3.87
-4.61
-2.28
-7.77
-1.16
-1.21
-4.45
-4.34
-5.89
-1.46
-7.39
-1.24
-9.53
-1.61
-5.35
-4.69
-5.02
-0.94
-0.39
-0.02
Year 5
-0.06
-0.05
-0.06
-2.98
-3.55
-1.75
-5.98
-0.89
-0.93
-3.42
-3.34
-4.53
-1.13
-5.68
-0.95
-7.33
-1.24
-4.12
-3.61
-3.86
-0.72
-0.30
-0.02
Year 6
-0.03
-0.03
-0.03
-1.49
-1.77
-0.88
-2.99
-0.45
-0.47
-1.71
-1.67
-2.26
-0.56
-2.84
-0.48
-3.67
-0.62
-2.06
-1.80
-1.93
-0.36
-0.15
-0.01
Year 7
-0.02
-0.02
-0.02
-0.89
-1.06
-0.53
-1.79
-0.27
-0.28
-1.03
-1.00
-1.36
-0.34
-1.70
-0.29
-2.20
-0.37
-1.23
-1.08
-1.16
-0.22
-0.09
0.00
Year 8
-0.01
-0.01
-0.01
-0.45
-0.53
-0.26
-0.90
-0.13
-0.14
-0.51
-0.50
-0.68
-0.17
-0.85
-0.14
-1.10
-0.19
-0.62
-0.54
-0.58
-0.11
-0.05
0.00
Year 9
-0.01
-0.01
-0.01
-0.30
-0.35
-0.18
-0.60
-0.09
-0.09
-0.34
-0.33
-0.45
-0.11
-0.57
-0.10
-0.73
-0.12
-0.41
-0.36
-0.39
-0.07
-0.03
0.00
Year 10
0.00
0.00
0.00
-0.15
-0.18
-0.09
-0.30
-0.04
-0.05
-0.17
-0.17
-0.23
-0.06
-0.28
-0.05
-0.37
-0.06
-0.21
-0.18
-0.19
-0.04
-0.02
0.00
Total Pinellas Employment Loss
Pinellas
Thousands
-186.45
-135.60
-101.70
-73.45
-56.50
-28.25
-16.95
-8.47
-5.65
-2.82
Page 7
Negative Economic Inputs: Actual Employment Losses by Industry and County
Industry
Forestry, Fishing, and Other
Mining
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation, Warehousing
Information
Finance and Insurance
Real Estate and Leasing
Professional and Tech
Management of Companies
Admin and Waste Services
Educational Services
Healthcare Social Assist
Arts, Entertainment, Rec
Accommodation, Food Services
Other Services
State and Local
Federal Civilian
Federal Military
Farm
Region
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
Unit
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Total Hillsborough Employment Loss
TBRPC
Thousands
Year 1
-2.19
-0.43
-1.42
-31.49
-25.41
-19.05
-57.14
-11.99
-10.59
-35.77
-28.31
-42.95
-7.20
-54.10
-9.09
-60.19
-12.56
-38.34
-33.38
-42.49
-7.85
-4.31
-5.12
0.00
-541.36
Year 2
-1.59
-0.31
-1.04
-22.90
-18.48
-13.85
-41.55
-8.72
-7.70
-26.02
-20.59
-31.24
-5.23
-39.34
-6.61
-43.77
-9.14
-27.88
-24.28
-30.90
-5.71
-3.14
-3.72
0.00
-393.72
Page 8
Year 3
-1.19
-0.24
-0.78
-17.18
-13.86
-10.39
-31.17
-6.54
-5.78
-19.51
-15.44
-23.43
-3.93
-29.51
-4.96
-32.83
-6.85
-20.91
-18.21
-23.18
-4.28
-2.35
-2.79
0.00
-295.29
Year 4
-0.86
-0.17
-0.56
-12.40
-10.01
-7.50
-22.51
-4.72
-4.17
-14.09
-11.15
-16.92
-2.84
-21.31
-3.58
-23.71
-4.95
-15.10
-13.15
-16.74
-3.09
-1.70
-2.02
0.00
-213.26
Year 5
-0.66
-0.13
-0.43
-9.54
-7.70
-5.77
-17.31
-3.63
-3.21
-10.84
-8.58
-13.02
-2.18
-16.39
-2.75
-18.24
-3.81
-11.62
-10.12
-12.88
-2.38
-1.31
-1.55
0.00
-164.05
Year 6
-0.33
-0.07
-0.22
-4.77
-3.85
-2.89
-8.66
-1.82
-1.60
-5.42
-4.29
-6.51
-1.09
-8.20
-1.38
-9.12
-1.90
-5.81
-5.06
-6.44
-1.19
-0.65
-0.78
0.00
-82.02
Year 7
-0.20
-0.04
-0.13
-2.86
-2.31
-1.73
-5.19
-1.09
-0.96
-3.25
-2.57
-3.90
-0.65
-4.92
-0.83
-5.47
-1.14
-3.49
-3.04
-3.86
-0.71
-0.39
-0.47
0.00
-49.21
Year 8
-0.10
-0.02
-0.06
-1.43
-1.16
-0.87
-2.60
-0.54
-0.48
-1.63
-1.29
-1.95
-0.33
-2.46
-0.41
-2.74
-0.57
-1.74
-1.52
-1.93
-0.36
-0.20
-0.23
0.00
-24.61
Year 9
-0.07
-0.01
-0.04
-0.95
-0.77
-0.58
-1.73
-0.36
-0.32
-1.08
-0.86
-1.30
-0.22
-1.64
-0.28
-1.82
-0.38
-1.16
-1.01
-1.29
-0.24
-0.13
-0.16
0.00
-16.40
Year 10
-0.03
-0.01
-0.02
-0.48
-0.39
-0.29
-0.87
-0.18
-0.16
-0.54
-0.43
-0.65
-0.11
-0.82
-0.14
-0.91
-0.19
-0.58
-0.51
-0.64
-0.12
-0.07
-0.08
0.00
-8.20
Positive Economic Inputs: Construction, Government Spending
Variable
Residential Capital (amount)
Residential Capital (amount)
Residential Capital (amount)
Residential Capital (amount)
County
Hillsborough
Manatee
Pasco
Pinellas
Units
2010 Fixed Local $ (B)
2010 Fixed Local $ (B)
2010 Fixed Local $ (B)
2010 Fixed Local $ (B)
Year 1
-4.275
-1.12
-1.613
-3.18
Year 2
-5.13
-1.344
-1.935
-3.816
Year 3
-5.7
-1.494
-2.15
-4.241
Year 4
-5.13
-1.344
-1.935
-3.816
Year 5
-2.85
-0.747
-1.075
-2.12
Year 6
-1.995
-0.523
-0.753
-1.484
Year 7
-1.425
-0.373
-0.538
-1.06
Year 8
-1.14
-0.299
-0.43
-0.848
Year 9
-0.57
-0.149
-0.215
-0.424
Year 10
-0.285
-0.075
-0.108
-0.212
Total Residential Capital
TBRPC
2010 Fixed Local $ (B)
-10.188
-12.225
-13.585
-12.225
-6.792
-4.755
-3.396
-2.717
-1.358
-0.68
Variable
Non-Residential Capital (amount)
Non-Residential Capital (amount)
Non-Residential Capital (amount)
Non-Residential Capital (amount)
County
Hillsborough
Manatee
Pinellas
Pasco
Units
2010 Fixed Local $ (B)
2010 Fixed Local $ (B)
2010 Fixed Local $ (B)
2010 Fixed National $ (B)
Year 1
-4.275
-1.12
-3.18
-1.613
Year 2
-5.13
-1.344
-3.816
-1.935
Year 3
-5.7
-1.494
-4.241
-2.15
Year 4
-5.13
-1.344
-3.816
-1.935
Year 5
-2.85
-0.747
-2.12
-1.075
Year 6
-1.995
-0.523
-1.484
-0.753
Year 7
-1.425
-0.373
-1.06
-0.538
Year 8
-1.14
-0.299
-0.848
-0.43
Year 9
-0.57
-0.149
-0.424
-0.215
Year 10
-0.285
-0.075
-0.212
-0.108
Total NonResidential Capital
TBRPC
2010 Fixed National $ (B)
-10.188
-12.225
-13.585
-12.225
-6.792
-4.755
-3.396
-2.717
-1.358
-0.68
Variable
Government Spending (amount)
Government Spending (amount)
Government Spending (amount)
Government Spending (amount)
County
Hillsborough
Manatee
Pasco
Pinellas
Units
2010 Chained National $ (B)
2010 Chained National $ (B)
2010 Chained National $ (B)
2010 Chained National $ (B)
Year 1
3.375
0.884
1.273
2.511
Year 2
4.5
1.179
1.697
3.348
Year 3
4.5
1.179
1.697
3.348
Year 4
4.5
1.1792
1.6974
3.3478
Year 5
2.25
0.5896
0.8487
1.6739
Year 6
1.575
0.4127
0.5941
1.1717
Year 7
1.125
0.2948
0.4243
0.8369
Year 8
0.675
0.1769
0.2546
0.5022
Year 9
0
0
0
0
Year 10
0
0
0
0
Total Government Spending
TBRPC
2010 Chained National $ (B)
8.043
10.724
10.724
10.7244
5.3622
3.7535
2.681
1.6087
0
0
Variable
Construction (amount)
Construction (amount)
Construction (amount)
Construction (amount)
County
Hillsborough
Manatee
Pasco
Pinellas
Units
2010 Fixed Local $ (B)
2010 Fixed Local $ (B)
2010 Fixed Local $ (B)
2010 Fixed Local $ (B)
Year 1
8.55
2.24
3.225
6.361
Year 2
10.26
2.689
3.87
7.633
Year 3
11.4
2.987
4.3
8.481
Year 4
10.26
2.689
3.87
7.633
Year 5
5.7
1.494
2.15
4.241
Year 6
3.99
1.046
1.505
2.968
Year 7
2.85
0.747
1.075
2.12
Year 8
2.28
0.597
0.86
1.696
Year 9
1.14
0.299
0.43
0.848
Year 10
0.57
0.149
0.215
0.424
Total Construction
TBRPC
2010 Fixed Local $ (B)
20.376
24.452
27.168
24.452
13.585
9.509
6.792
5.433
2.717
1.358
Variable
Total Economic Gains
Total Economic Gains
Total Economic Gains
Total Economic Gains
County
Hillsborough
Manatee
Pasco
Pinellas
Units
2010 Chained National $ (B)
2010 Chained National $ (B)
2010 Chained National $ (B)
2010 Chained National $ (B)
Year 1
11.925
3.124
4.498
8.872
Year 2
14.76
3.868
5.567
10.981
Year 3
15.9
4.166
5.997
11.829
Year 4
14.76
3.8682
5.5674
10.9808
Year 5
7.95
2.0836
2.9987
5.9149
Year 6
5.565
1.4587
2.0991
4.1397
Year 7
3.975
1.0418
1.4993
2.9569
Year 8
2.955
0.7739
1.1146
2.1982
Year 9
1.14
0.299
0.43
0.848
Year 10
0.57
0.149
0.215
0.424
Total Government Spending
TBRPC
2010 Chained National $ (B)
28.419
35.176
37.892
35.1764
18.9472
13.2625
9.473
7.0417
2.717
1.358
Page 9
Negative Economic Impact: Employment Losses
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
-188.091
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
-188.091
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
-174.284
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-12.442
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-13.101
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.012
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-7.446
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-5.667
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-4.571
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-1.544
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-1.793
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-1.234
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-27.292
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-16.218
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
-7.389
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
-7.272
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-6.105
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
-0.654
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-16.946
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-4.41
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
0
Year 2
-140.761
-140.761
-130.503
-10.021
-9.466
0.038
-5.315
-4.19
-3.841
-1.329
-1.477
-1.035
-20.847
-12.376
-6.109
-6.295
-4.888
-1.328
-12.918
-3.567
0
Year 3
-106.259
-106.259
-98.249
-8.106
-7.006
0.062
-3.886
-3.182
-3.227
-1.133
-1.226
-0.869
-16.18
-9.604
-5.087
-5.437
-3.968
-1.374
-10.028
-2.96
0
Year 4
-75.634
-75.634
-69.636
-6.22
-4.891
0.082
-2.677
-2.295
-2.594
-0.931
-0.969
-0.694
-11.92
-7.076
-4.006
-4.511
-3.136
-1.274
-7.393
-2.364
0
Year 5
-56.145
-56.145
-51.427
-4.948
-3.606
0.095
-1.949
-1.752
-2.166
-0.796
-0.793
-0.576
-9.207
-5.468
-3.226
-3.836
-2.575
-1.099
-5.718
-1.974
0
Year 6
-25.508
-25.508
-22.919
-2.731
-1.399
0.101
-0.708
-0.791
-1.381
-0.529
-0.499
-0.353
-4.471
-2.651
-1.777
-2.492
-1.573
-0.847
-2.789
-1.247
0
Year 7
-12.731
-12.731
-11.067
-1.697
-0.54
0.1
-0.234
-0.406
-1.007
-0.401
-0.357
-0.249
-2.452
-1.451
-1.026
-1.783
-1.111
-0.574
-1.54
-0.929
0
Year 8
-3.758
-3.758
-2.784
-0.908
0.082
0.094
0.108
-0.12
-0.714
-0.295
-0.251
-0.168
-0.94
-0.552
-0.417
-1.2
-0.748
-0.357
-0.604
-0.684
0
Year 9
-1.257
-1.257
-0.528
-0.603
0.214
0.083
0.176
-0.045
-0.572
-0.238
-0.2
-0.134
-0.467
-0.274
-0.142
-0.922
-0.603
-0.192
-0.313
-0.599
0
Year 10
0.864
0.864
1.37
-0.338
0.344
0.07
0.245
0.029
-0.442
-0.183
-0.157
-0.102
-0.034
-0.018
0.09
-0.681
-0.473
-0.073
-0.045
-0.511
0
Year 11
2.767
2.767
3.063
-0.101
0.48
0.058
0.318
0.104
-0.324
-0.132
-0.12
-0.071
0.379
0.225
0.293
-0.47
-0.359
0.017
0.209
-0.429
0
Year 12
1.704
1.704
2.014
-0.127
0.369
0.047
0.254
0.068
-0.299
-0.115
-0.115
-0.069
0.242
0.138
0.294
-0.452
-0.362
0.074
0.121
-0.434
0
Year 13
0.609
0.609
0.942
-0.176
0.27
0.037
0.199
0.034
-0.289
-0.104
-0.116
-0.069
0.093
0.045
0.262
-0.473
-0.377
0.103
0.027
-0.445
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
-1.044
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.186
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.709
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
-11.201
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
-9.866
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
-7.671
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
-14.46
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
-7.758
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
-6.42
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
-21.939
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
-7.29
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
-18.683
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
-2.523
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
-21.64
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
-4
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
-13.727
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
-5.095
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
-9.292
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
-10.782
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
-13.807
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
0
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
0
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
0
Year 2
-0.75
-0.139
-0.521
-11.501
-7.17
-5.717
-10.87
-5.597
-4.626
-15.837
-5.355
-13.692
-1.797
-15.547
-2.959
-9.814
-3.688
-7.078
-7.845
-10.258
0
0
0
Year 3
-0.549
-0.105
-0.395
-9.933
-5.321
-4.324
-8.239
-4.108
-3.419
-11.636
-3.95
-10.139
-1.292
-11.317
-2.264
-7.216
-2.737
-5.526
-5.778
-8.011
0
0
0
Year 4
-0.382
-0.074
-0.288
-7.586
-3.768
-3.129
-5.939
-2.858
-2.411
-8.086
-2.707
-7.053
-0.872
-7.73
-1.673
-4.998
-1.938
-4.149
-3.994
-5.999
0
0
0
Year 5
-0.282
-0.055
-0.222
-5.494
-2.827
-2.392
-4.496
-2.103
-1.804
-5.929
-1.913
-5.136
-0.62
-5.545
-1.312
-3.667
-1.455
-3.284
-2.892
-4.719
0
0
0
Year 6
-0.119
-0.024
-0.118
-2.692
-1.306
-1.215
-2.242
-0.887
-0.824
-2.45
-0.705
-2.075
-0.223
-2.105
-0.711
-1.503
-0.676
-1.872
-1.173
-2.59
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.057
-0.011
-0.075
-0.87
-0.709
-0.737
-1.329
-0.419
-0.442
-1.106
-0.215
-0.862
-0.078
-0.794
-0.463
-0.732
-0.373
-1.281
-0.514
-1.664
0
0
0
Year 8
-0.014
-0.002
-0.043
0.434
-0.279
-0.394
-0.691
-0.088
-0.169
-0.159
0.115
-0.027
0.019
0.095
-0.28
-0.225
-0.157
-0.848
-0.069
-0.974
0
0
0
Year 9
-0.003
0
-0.033
1.084
-0.156
-0.28
-0.517
-0.007
-0.094
0.061
0.186
0.154
0.033
0.265
-0.221
-0.205
-0.1
-0.711
0.015
-0.729
0
0
0
Year 10
0.007
0.003
-0.023
1.462
-0.036
-0.172
-0.358
0.073
-0.022
0.278
0.237
0.313
0.049
0.421
-0.163
-0.167
-0.044
-0.584
0.096
-0.505
0
0
0
Year 11
0.018
0.005
-0.014
1.681
0.084
-0.07
-0.212
0.153
0.048
0.493
0.279
0.464
0.067
0.576
-0.108
-0.122
0.012
-0.463
0.172
-0.296
0
0
0
Year 12
0.013
0.004
-0.014
1.621
0.057
-0.081
-0.273
0.116
0.025
0.37
0.208
0.315
0.047
0.403
-0.112
-0.289
-0.008
-0.474
0.086
-0.31
0
0
0
Year 13
0.008
0.003
-0.015
1.459
0.033
-0.093
-0.333
0.083
0.004
0.26
0.139
0.178
0.03
0.249
-0.117
-0.439
-0.025
-0.487
0.006
-0.333
0
0
0
Page 10
Negative Economic Impact: Employment Losses
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 14
Category
Units
-0.421
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.421
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.062
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
-0.237
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.184
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.028
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.152
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.004
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.287
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.096
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.12
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.07
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.053
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.047
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.209
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
-0.518
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
-0.4
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.114
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
-0.066
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.461
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 15
-1.31
-1.31
-0.929
-0.296
0.113
0.02
0.113
-0.021
-0.289
-0.091
-0.125
-0.072
-0.183
-0.128
0.148
-0.576
-0.424
0.114
-0.149
-0.474
0
Year 16
-2.035
-2.035
-1.637
-0.348
0.056
0.015
0.083
-0.042
-0.291
-0.087
-0.13
-0.074
-0.293
-0.196
0.083
-0.642
-0.448
0.108
-0.218
-0.485
0
Year 17
-2.586
-2.586
-2.178
-0.39
0.012
0.01
0.059
-0.057
-0.294
-0.084
-0.134
-0.076
-0.379
-0.249
0.022
-0.708
-0.47
0.098
-0.272
-0.49
0
Year 18
-2.98
-2.98
-2.57
-0.421
-0.022
0.006
0.041
-0.069
-0.294
-0.082
-0.136
-0.076
-0.443
-0.289
-0.033
-0.772
-0.488
0.087
-0.312
-0.489
0
Year 19
-3.241
-3.241
-2.835
-0.441
-0.047
0.004
0.027
-0.077
-0.293
-0.081
-0.136
-0.076
-0.488
-0.316
-0.082
-0.833
-0.503
0.077
-0.339
-0.484
0
Year 20
-3.399
-3.399
-3.001
-0.453
-0.064
0.002
0.017
-0.083
-0.291
-0.079
-0.136
-0.075
-0.518
-0.335
-0.125
-0.892
-0.517
0.067
-0.357
-0.477
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 14
Category
Units
0.004
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
0.003
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.015
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
1.254
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
0.012
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.106
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.389
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
0.055
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
-0.014
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
0.165
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
0.076
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
0.056
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
0.017
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
0.116
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.121
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
-0.571
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
-0.04
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
-0.498
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
-0.067
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
-0.359
Thousands (Jobs)
0
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
0
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
0
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 15
0.001
0.002
-0.015
1.04
-0.004
-0.116
-0.434
0.033
-0.028
0.087
0.022
-0.044
0.006
0.007
-0.125
-0.679
-0.052
-0.503
-0.127
-0.382
0
0
0
Year 16
-0.001
0.001
-0.016
0.836
-0.016
-0.124
-0.467
0.015
-0.038
0.025
-0.021
-0.123
-0.001
-0.078
-0.127
-0.762
-0.062
-0.502
-0.175
-0.399
0
0
0
Year 17
-0.003
0.001
-0.015
0.654
-0.025
-0.129
-0.488
0.002
-0.045
-0.024
-0.053
-0.183
-0.007
-0.141
-0.128
-0.821
-0.067
-0.495
-0.209
-0.408
0
0
0
Year 18
-0.005
0
-0.015
0.496
-0.031
-0.131
-0.497
-0.008
-0.049
-0.06
-0.076
-0.226
-0.011
-0.186
-0.127
-0.86
-0.07
-0.481
-0.232
-0.41
0
0
0
Year 19
-0.006
0
-0.014
0.366
-0.036
-0.131
-0.498
-0.016
-0.052
-0.086
-0.091
-0.254
-0.014
-0.216
-0.126
-0.882
-0.071
-0.464
-0.246
-0.406
0
0
0
Year 20
-0.006
0
-0.014
0.259
-0.038
-0.129
-0.493
-0.021
-0.052
-0.105
-0.099
-0.272
-0.015
-0.234
-0.124
-0.893
-0.07
-0.443
-0.252
-0.398
0
0
0
Page 11
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
-22.33
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
-10.618
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-1.923
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-2.385
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-2.152
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-3.784
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
-3.351
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-10.366
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
-6.056
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
-10.102
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
-14.19
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-58.825
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.756
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-9.744
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-8.037
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-9.78
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-13.692
Year 2
-16.555
-7.813
-1.415
-1.726
-1.569
-2.783
-2.439
-7.493
-4.452
-7.611
-10.326
-43.352
-0.547
-9.299
-6.145
-7.164
-10.071
Year 3
-12.415
-5.833
-1.063
-1.273
-1.165
-2.112
-1.809
-5.561
-3.391
-5.874
-7.647
-32.358
-0.404
-7.833
-4.69
-5.332
-7.5
Year 4
-8.779
-4.112
-0.755
-0.883
-0.817
-1.538
-1.272
-3.897
-2.46
-4.349
-5.345
-22.827
-0.284
-5.914
-3.357
-3.764
-5.282
Year 5
-6.49
-3.042
-0.564
-0.644
-0.601
-1.186
-0.944
-2.886
-1.878
-3.398
-3.929
-16.884
-0.211
-4.306
-2.48
-2.798
-3.904
Year 6
-2.844
-1.315
-0.252
-0.266
-0.261
-0.605
-0.418
-1.236
-0.93
-1.851
-1.679
-7.536
-0.093
-2.092
-1.13
-1.261
-1.738
Year 7
-1.35
-0.623
-0.127
-0.124
-0.125
-0.371
-0.212
-0.624
-0.537
-1.217
-0.805
-3.774
-0.047
-0.745
-0.536
-0.648
-0.866
Year 8
-0.298
-0.136
-0.038
-0.028
-0.031
-0.202
-0.067
-0.211
-0.254
-0.757
-0.202
-1.15
-0.015
0.217
-0.116
-0.214
-0.255
Year 9
-0.017
-0.014
-0.016
-0.014
-0.008
-0.155
-0.03
-0.163
-0.17
-0.621
-0.073
-0.472
-0.006
0.672
0.017
-0.096
-0.089
Year 10
0.228
0.096
0.004
0.001
0.013
-0.109
0.003
-0.108
-0.093
-0.495
0.048
0.133
0.002
0.946
0.121
0.014
0.06
Year 11
0.454
0.201
0.024
0.015
0.032
-0.064
0.036
-0.051
-0.02
-0.373
0.165
0.697
0.01
1.115
0.207
0.119
0.199
Year 12
0.322
0.134
0.012
-0.006
0.019
-0.077
0.018
-0.158
-0.043
-0.397
0.066
0.371
0.006
1.064
0.163
0.077
0.133
Year 13
0.191
0.071
0.001
-0.026
0.007
-0.09
0.002
-0.256
-0.066
-0.422
-0.026
0.055
0.003
0.947
0.113
0.037
0.069
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Labor Force
Thousands
-38.611
Total Migrants
Thousands
-40.874
Economic Migrants
Thousands
-40.874
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
0
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
-41.353
College Population
Thousands
0
Year 2
-52.96
-19.722
-19.722
-41.353
-62.258
0
Year 3
-57.407
-9.793
-9.793
-62.258
-73.565
0
Year 4
-55.81
-2.904
-2.904
-73.565
-78.103
0
Year 5
-51.901
0.706
0.706
-78.103
-79.017
0
Year 6
-43.851
5.768
5.768
-79.018
-74.749
0
Year 7
-36.232
6.91
6.91
-74.749
-69.142
0
Year 8
-29.172
7.394
7.394
-69.142
-62.834
0
Year 9
-23.616
6.75
6.75
-62.833
-56.955
0
Year 10
-19.039
6.193
6.193
-56.955
-51.431
0
Year 11
-15.195
5.709
5.709
-51.431
-46.2
0
Year 12
-12.47
4.77
4.77
-46.2
-41.731
0
Year 13
-10.521
3.989
3.989
-41.731
-37.889
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Ages 0-4
Thousands
-4.343
Ages 5-9
Thousands
-3.22
Ages 10-14
Thousands
-2.566
Ages 15-19
Thousands
-2.69
Ages 20-24
Thousands
-6.498
Ages 25-29
Thousands
-5.943
Ages 30-34
Thousands
-4.341
Ages 35-39
Thousands
-3.233
Ages 40-44
Thousands
-2.828
Ages 45-49
Thousands
-2.057
Ages 50-54
Thousands
-1.526
Ages 55-59
Thousands
-1.127
Ages 60-64
Thousands
-0.982
Ages 65-69
Thousands
0
Ages 70-74
Thousands
0
Ages 75-79
Thousands
0
Ages 80-84
Thousands
0
Ages 85+
Thousands
0
Year 2
-6.728
-4.915
-3.927
-3.668
-9.042
-9.091
-6.737
-4.956
-4.277
-3.189
-2.349
-1.713
-1.509
-0.155
0
0
0
0
Year 3
-8.163
-5.897
-4.729
-4.008
-9.554
-10.89
-8.246
-6.001
-5.064
-3.898
-2.848
-2.065
-1.804
-0.397
0
0
0
0
Year 4
-8.886
-6.361
-5.133
-4.061
-8.588
-11.694
-9.127
-6.581
-5.372
-4.308
-3.118
-2.261
-1.915
-0.698
0
0
0
0
Year 5
-9.204
-6.516
-5.324
-4.103
-6.931
-11.782
-9.638
-6.928
-5.439
-4.547
-3.27
-2.383
-1.914
-1.04
0
0
0
0
Year 6
-8.43
-6.735
-5.196
-3.974
-4.652
-10.793
-9.553
-6.91
-5.188
-4.511
-3.247
-2.378
-1.78
-1.402
0
0
0
0
Year 7
-7.466
-6.775
-4.989
-3.814
-2.731
-9.071
-9.284
-6.836
-4.926
-4.337
-3.199
-2.334
-1.648
-1.59
-0.142
0
0
0
Year 8
-6.377
-6.689
-4.735
-3.643
-1.251
-6.822
-8.858
-6.737
-4.686
-4.069
-3.141
-2.271
-1.535
-1.657
-0.364
0
0
0
Year 9
-5.316
-6.542
-4.49
-3.512
-0.373
-4.285
-8.377
-6.693
-4.537
-3.77
-3.11
-2.217
-1.468
-1.625
-0.638
0
0
0
Year 10
-4.289
-6.352
-4.225
-3.394
-0.002
-1.726
-7.694
-6.647
-4.461
-3.473
-3.084
-2.176
-1.437
-1.522
-0.948
0
0
0
Year 11
-3.338
-5.573
-4.435
-3.272
0.031
0.549
-6.685
-6.547
-4.441
-3.213
-3.042
-2.148
-1.432
-1.379
-1.275
0
0
0
Year 12
-2.497
-4.788
-4.614
-3.193
-0.126
2.136
-5.213
-6.456
-4.518
-3.068
-2.955
-2.162
-1.444
-1.263
-1.445
-0.126
0
0
Year 13
-1.755
-3.991
-4.761
-3.14
-0.387
3.079
-3.388
-6.332
-4.667
-3.025
-2.834
-2.209
-1.47
-1.183
-1.504
-0.321
0
0
Page 12
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 14
Category
Units
0.07
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
0.015
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
-0.009
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.044
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.004
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.102
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
-0.013
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.342
-0.088
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
-0.443
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
-0.108
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
-0.231
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
0
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
0.803
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
0.062
Thousands (Jobs)
0.002
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
0.011
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 15
-0.033
-0.031
-0.017
-0.059
-0.013
-0.111
-0.025
-0.413
-0.106
-0.458
-0.175
-0.471
-0.002
0.654
0.017
-0.028
-0.039
Year 16
-0.116
-0.068
-0.024
-0.07
-0.021
-0.118
-0.034
-0.468
-0.12
-0.465
-0.228
-0.662
-0.004
0.514
-0.022
-0.051
-0.078
Year 17
-0.181
-0.096
-0.029
-0.079
-0.026
-0.122
-0.04
-0.507
-0.13
-0.465
-0.266
-0.802
-0.005
0.39
-0.052
-0.069
-0.107
Year 18
-0.228
-0.116
-0.032
-0.084
-0.029
-0.125
-0.045
-0.533
-0.136
-0.457
-0.291
-0.898
-0.006
0.284
-0.076
-0.081
-0.128
Year 19
-0.26
-0.13
-0.034
-0.087
-0.031
-0.125
-0.047
-0.548
-0.138
-0.444
-0.305
-0.958
-0.007
0.198
-0.092
-0.089
-0.142
Year 20
-0.282
-0.138
-0.035
-0.089
-0.033
-0.125
-0.048
-0.555
-0.138
-0.428
-0.312
-0.991
-0.007
0.127
-0.103
-0.093
-0.15
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 14
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
-9.125
Total Migrants
Thousands
3.337
Economic Migrants
Thousands
3.337
-37.889
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
-34.565
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
0
College Population
Thousands
Year 15
-8.126
2.804
2.804
-34.565
-31.663
0
Year 16
-7.407
2.373
2.373
-31.662
-29.103
0
Year 17
-7.023
2.079
2.079
-29.103
-26.771
0
Year 18
-6.721
1.841
1.841
-26.771
-24.633
0
Year 19
-6.475
1.652
1.652
-24.633
-22.662
0
Year 20
-6.238
1.492
1.492
-22.662
-20.848
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 14
Category
Units
-1.098
Ages 0-4
Thousands
-3.223
Ages 5-9
Thousands
-4.85
Ages 10-14
Thousands
-3.094
Ages 15-19
Thousands
-0.687
Ages 20-24
Thousands
3.42
Ages 25-29
Thousands
-1.278
Ages 30-34
Thousands
-6.156
Ages 35-39
Thousands
-4.871
Ages 40-44
Thousands
-3.072
Ages 45-49
Thousands
-2.682
Ages 50-54
Thousands
-2.283
Ages 55-59
Thousands
-1.507
Ages 60-64
Thousands
-1.147
Ages 65-69
Thousands
-1.475
Ages 70-74
Thousands
-0.562
Ages 75-79
Thousands
0
Ages 80-84
Thousands
0
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 15
-0.524
-2.491
-4.894
-3.025
-0.983
3.257
0.852
-5.779
-5.073
-3.193
-2.533
-2.362
-1.555
-1.148
-1.381
-0.831
0
0
Year 16
-0.035
-1.832
-4.352
-3.426
-1.247
2.763
2.698
-5.08
-5.219
-3.369
-2.421
-2.426
-1.614
-1.176
-1.253
-1.112
0
0
Year 17
0.373
-1.227
-3.757
-3.76
-1.476
2.18
3.939
-3.863
-5.328
-3.605
-2.395
-2.426
-1.699
-1.215
-1.149
-1.258
-0.105
0
Year 18
0.693
-0.675
-3.114
-4.03
-1.666
1.58
4.606
-2.247
-5.364
-3.881
-2.444
-2.375
-1.8
-1.261
-1.078
-1.309
-0.268
0
Year 19
0.92
-0.167
-2.466
-4.215
-1.811
1.013
4.734
-0.305
-5.315
-4.183
-2.563
-2.281
-1.916
-1.313
-1.046
-1.282
-0.465
0
Year 20
1.053
0.291
-1.828
-4.335
-1.892
0.512
4.407
1.691
-5.039
-4.461
-2.738
-2.178
-2.027
-1.372
-1.047
-1.201
-0.684
0
Page 13
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
Year 11
Year 12
Year 13
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.772629 -0.638137 -0.541038 -0.44423 -0.380092 -0.258897 -0.202697 -0.156915 -0.136689 -0.116716 -0.097826 -0.092728 -0.088952
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.331369 -0.014322 -0.237818 -0.398535 -0.489408 -0.580611 -0.588614 -0.573162 -0.531818 -0.489456 -0.448768 -0.402353 -0.361812
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.05341
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.262997
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.082457
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.022798
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.059721
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.030883
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.056579
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.055296
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.000174
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.148313
Year 2
-0.079806
-0.20108
-0.063044
-0.017431
0
-0.043147
-0.024773
-0.045387
-0.044357
-0.000139
0
-0.118973
Year 3
-0.093218
-0.160127
-0.050204
-0.013881
0
-0.032152
-0.020301
-0.037194
-0.03635
-0.000114
0
-0.097497
Year 4
-0.097777
-0.123421
-0.038696
-0.010699
0
-0.022634
-0.016012
-0.029335
-0.02867
-0.00009
0
-0.076897
Year 5
-0.097651
-0.101268
-0.03175
-0.008779
0
-0.016909
-0.01312
-0.024038
-0.023493
-0.000074
0
-0.063011
Year 6
-0.091166
-0.061359
-0.019238
-0.005319
0
-0.007051
-0.007928
-0.014524
-0.014195
-0.000045
0
-0.038073
Year 7
-0.083122
-0.045727
-0.014337
-0.003964
0
-0.003367
-0.005533
-0.010137
-0.009907
-0.000031
0
-0.026572
Year 8
-0.074428
-0.033795
-0.010596
-0.00293
0
-0.000701
-0.003655
-0.006695
-0.006544
-0.000021
0
-0.017551
Year 9
-0.06802
-0.029362
-0.009206
-0.002545
0
-0.000203
-0.0029
-0.005314
-0.005193
-0.000016
0
-0.013929
Year 10
-0.061621
-0.024571
-0.007704
-0.00213
0
0.000338
-0.00223
-0.004085
-0.003992
-0.000013
0
-0.010708
Year 11
-0.055522
-0.019782
-0.006202
-0.001715
0
0.000914
-0.001645
-0.003015
-0.002946
-0.000009
0
-0.007902
Year 12
-0.050265
-0.019354
-0.006068
-0.001678
0
0.000406
-0.001672
-0.003063
-0.002994
-0.000009
0
-0.00803
Year 13
-0.045745
-0.018985
-0.005952
-0.001646
0
-0.000033
-0.001759
-0.003223
-0.00315
-0.00001
0
-0.008449
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.076572
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.352949
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.002576
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.011637
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.023623
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.001543
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.008952
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.006821
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.000651
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.009913
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.004658
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.020697
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.000289
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.146351
Year 2
-0.113269
0.165476
-0.00381
-0.017215
-0.034945
-0.002283
-0.013242
-0.01009
-0.000963
-0.014663
-0.00689
-0.030616
-0.000428
0
0.068615
Year 3
-0.136135
0.04294
-0.004579
-0.02069
-0.042
-0.002744
-0.015915
-0.012127
-0.001157
-0.017623
-0.008281
-0.036797
-0.000514
0
0.017805
Year 4
-0.146932
-0.053931
-0.004943
-0.022331
-0.045331
-0.002962
-0.017177
-0.013089
-0.001249
-0.019021
-0.008938
-0.039715
-0.000555
0
-0.022363
Year 5
-0.151
-0.111861
-0.005079
-0.022949
-0.046586
-0.003044
-0.017653
-0.013451
-0.001283
-0.019548
-0.009185
-0.040815
-0.00057
0
-0.046383
Year 6
-0.145052
-0.185552
-0.004879
-0.022045
-0.044751
-0.002924
-0.016958
-0.012922
-0.001233
-0.018778
-0.008823
-0.039207
-0.000548
0
-0.07694
Year 7
-0.136089
-0.205105
-0.004578
-0.020683
-0.041985
-0.002743
-0.01591
-0.012123
-0.001157
-0.017617
-0.008278
-0.036784
-0.000514
0
-0.085047
Year 8
-0.125384
-0.210779
-0.004218
-0.019056
-0.038683
-0.002527
-0.014658
-0.011169
-0.001066
-0.016232
-0.007627
-0.033891
-0.000473
0
-0.0874
Year 9
-0.114602
-0.198268
-0.003855
-0.017417
-0.035356
-0.00231
-0.013398
-0.010209
-0.000974
-0.014836
-0.006971
-0.030976
-0.000433
0
-0.082212
Year 10
-0.103832
-0.18502
-0.003493
-0.015781
-0.032034
-0.002093
-0.012139
-0.00925
-0.000882
-0.013442
-0.006316
-0.028065
-0.000392
0
-0.076719
Year 11
-0.093565
-0.172174
-0.003147
-0.01422
-0.028866
-0.001886
-0.010938
-0.008335
-0.000795
-0.012112
-0.005692
-0.02529
-0.000353
0
-0.071392
Year 12
-0.084717
-0.153083
-0.00285
-0.012875
-0.026136
-0.001708
-0.009904
-0.007547
-0.00072
-0.010967
-0.005153
-0.022899
-0.00032
0
-0.063476
Year 13
-0.077106
-0.136223
-0.002594
-0.011719
-0.023788
-0.001554
-0.009014
-0.006869
-0.000655
-0.009982
-0.00469
-0.020841
-0.000291
0
-0.056485
Page 14
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 14
Year 15
Year 16
Year 17
Year 18
Year 19
Year 20
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.086177 -0.083831 -0.081739 -0.079614 -0.077391 -0.07508 -0.072806
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.326315 -0.295237 -0.268194 -0.244267 -0.222832 -0.203522 -0.186109
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 14
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.041821
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.018689
-0.00586
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.00162
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.000409
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.001885
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.003454
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.003375
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.000011
0
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.009053
Year 15
-0.038381
-0.01836
-0.005756
-0.001592
0
-0.000709
-0.002018
-0.003697
-0.003614
-0.000011
0
-0.009692
Year 16
-0.035354
-0.017976
-0.005636
-0.001558
0
-0.000938
-0.00215
-0.003939
-0.00385
-0.000012
0
-0.010326
Year 17
-0.032614
-0.017514
-0.005491
-0.001518
0
-0.001101
-0.002266
-0.004152
-0.004058
-0.000013
0
-0.010884
Year 18
-0.030102
-0.01698
-0.005324
-0.001472
0
-0.001207
-0.002365
-0.004334
-0.004235
-0.000013
0
-0.01136
Year 19
-0.027785
-0.016392
-0.005139
-0.001421
0
-0.001267
-0.002447
-0.004483
-0.004381
-0.000014
0
-0.011752
Year 20
-0.025645
-0.015795
-0.004952
-0.001369
0
-0.001294
-0.002519
-0.004614
-0.00451
-0.000014
0
-0.012095
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 14
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.070501
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.121371
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.002372
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.010715
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.02175
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.001421
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.008242
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.00628
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.000599
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.009127
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.004289
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.019056
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.000266
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.050327
Year 15
-0.064709
-0.10838
-0.002177
-0.009835
-0.019964
-0.001304
-0.007565
-0.005764
-0.00055
-0.008377
-0.003936
-0.017491
-0.000244
0
-0.04494
Year 16
-0.059611
-0.097169
-0.002005
-0.00906
-0.018391
-0.001202
-0.006969
-0.00531
-0.000507
-0.007717
-0.003626
-0.016112
-0.000225
0
-0.040291
Year 17
-0.054998
-0.087405
-0.00185
-0.008359
-0.016968
-0.001109
-0.00643
-0.004899
-0.000467
-0.00712
-0.003346
-0.014866
-0.000208
0
-0.036243
Year 18
-0.050767
-0.078813
-0.001708
-0.007716
-0.015662
-0.001023
-0.005935
-0.004522
-0.000431
-0.006572
-0.003088
-0.013722
-0.000192
0
-0.03268
Year 19
-0.046864
-0.071214
-0.001576
-0.007122
-0.014458
-0.000945
-0.005479
-0.004175
-0.000398
-0.006067
-0.002851
-0.012667
-0.000177
0
-0.029529
Year 20
-0.04326
-0.064492
-0.001455
-0.006575
-0.013346
-0.000872
-0.005057
-0.003854
-0.000368
-0.0056
-0.002631
-0.011693
-0.000163
0
-0.026742
Page 15
Negative Economic Impact: Employment Losses
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Employment Losses
Category
Units
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 1
-37.91765
-37.91763
-35.65321
-1.392043
-2.030523
0.0015
-1.201517
-0.830506
-1.310099
-0.311612
-0.493197
-0.505289
-3.76584
-2.115885
-1.01321
-1.292234
-1.074233
-0.448952
-2.240482
-0.787515
0
Year 2
-28.10782
-28.10783
-26.44968
-1.120254
-1.474243
0.004405
-0.863703
-0.614945
-1.101122
-0.265551
-0.399187
-0.436385
-2.860247
-1.604458
-0.830593
-1.116233
-0.858739
-0.820938
-1.695773
-0.633349
0
Year 3
-21.13356
-21.13355
-19.84819
-0.906714
-1.106007
0.00705
-0.642599
-0.470457
-0.928167
-0.226149
-0.331109
-0.370909
-2.220029
-1.244868
-0.688778
-0.965463
-0.696037
-0.856621
-1.315716
-0.521832
0
Year 4
-15.03793
-15.03793
-14.07889
-0.697423
-0.790352
0.009142
-0.455532
-0.343962
-0.749944
-0.186369
-0.264537
-0.299037
-1.644071
-0.922002
-0.54162
-0.803257
-0.550863
-0.796654
-0.974919
-0.414445
0
Year 5
-11.18266
-11.18266
-10.42926
-0.554953
-0.599306
0.01056
-0.343102
-0.266764
-0.631226
-0.160614
-0.22057
-0.250042
-1.279814
-0.718021
-0.437042
-0.686701
-0.454765
-0.688545
-0.759638
-0.345711
0
Year 6
-5.135666
-5.135681
-4.721695
-0.313396
-0.263302
0.011163
-0.146488
-0.127978
-0.40487
-0.107745
-0.142192
-0.154933
-0.642212
-0.36072
-0.242386
-0.451859
-0.281726
-0.526703
-0.383616
-0.217863
0
Year 7
-2.596024
-2.596024
-2.32991
-0.196433
-0.130626
0.011004
-0.069741
-0.071888
-0.29897
-0.082739
-0.105361
-0.110869
-0.368101
-0.206924
-0.142184
-0.3291
-0.202936
-0.354942
-0.221664
-0.163198
0
Year 8
-0.795151
-0.795166
-0.639664
-0.107064
-0.03181
0.010306
-0.012776
-0.029339
-0.215017
-0.061955
-0.076922
-0.076139
-0.160347
-0.09024
-0.060649
-0.227758
-0.141284
-0.2146
-0.098868
-0.121537
0
Year 9
-0.257919
-0.25795
-0.14299
-0.069556
-0.005897
0.009102
0.001764
-0.016764
-0.17511
-0.05055
-0.062924
-0.061636
-0.090244
-0.051018
-0.023318
-0.178827
-0.116454
-0.107773
-0.057443
-0.10817
0
Year 10
0.201462
0.201462
0.279282
-0.037812
0.020198
0.007724
0.016588
-0.004114
-0.136743
-0.039359
-0.049824
-0.04756
-0.025217
-0.014587
0.008753
-0.135553
-0.093658
-0.030167
-0.01895
-0.093276
0
Year 11
0.618958
0.618927
0.661743
-0.00982
0.047449
0.006348
0.032196
0.008905
-0.100594
-0.028632
-0.037818
-0.034142
0.03763
0.020348
0.037437
-0.096945
-0.073256
0.0298
0.017941
-0.079162
0
Year 12
0.447098
0.447098
0.490387
-0.010264
0.036149
0.005044
0.02551
0.005595
-0.092949
-0.024836
-0.035065
-0.033048
0.025881
0.013146
0.03905
-0.093109
-0.073565
0.068695
0.010703
-0.080484
0
Year 13
0.262741
0.262741
0.308319
-0.014317
0.025949
0.003875
0.019634
0.002439
-0.088814
-0.022033
-0.033724
-0.033057
0.011633
0.004474
0.036384
-0.095825
-0.075811
0.088943
0.001892
-0.082836
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
-0.750017
-0.043766
-0.074457
-2.459747
-3.203467
-1.053229
-2.835071
-0.848955
-0.472888
-2.453923
-2.944835
-3.175806
-1.051355
-5.421419
-0.607701
-2.566591
-1.516635
-1.697411
-2.475944
-2.264408
0
0
0
Year 2
-0.53845
-0.032365
-0.054531
-2.538187
-2.315604
-0.770813
-2.08494
-0.611441
-0.342291
-1.771445
-2.140936
-2.320886
-0.749577
-3.843377
-0.445459
-1.772621
-1.09032
-1.261655
-1.764789
-1.658154
0
0
0
Year 3
-0.395737
-0.024034
-0.041112
-2.20624
-1.715201
-0.579427
-1.565418
-0.449781
-0.254272
-1.307488
-1.588488
-1.72556
-0.543569
-2.777763
-0.336987
-1.272043
-0.806583
-0.973766
-1.28472
-1.285356
0
0
0
Year 4
-0.276786
-0.016711
-0.029775
-1.694973
-1.213463
-0.41921
-1.125332
-0.314752
-0.180636
-0.918114
-1.113061
-1.213984
-0.372964
-1.894066
-0.245638
-0.866177
-0.571247
-0.7284
-0.883606
-0.959052
0
0
0
Year 5
-0.205436
-0.01208
-0.022847
-1.233037
-0.911324
-0.322171
-0.854515
-0.233354
-0.136177
-0.682545
-0.814592
-0.897978
-0.27146
-1.363205
-0.190259
-0.629923
-0.429986
-0.577714
-0.640665
-0.753392
0
0
0
Year 6
-0.089461
-0.004963
-0.011708
-0.618455
-0.418983
-0.165261
-0.430365
-0.101442
-0.063647
-0.299139
-0.35159
-0.387785
-0.108582
-0.528131
-0.098291
-0.250355
-0.201245
-0.331788
-0.260503
-0.413979
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.044951
-0.002
-0.007109
-0.209096
-0.225989
-0.102158
-0.260105
-0.050318
-0.035129
-0.14938
-0.16118
-0.183846
-0.0481
-0.212425
-0.061208
-0.119123
-0.111988
-0.229832
-0.115981
-0.266104
0
0
0
Year 8
-0.01316
-0.000033
-0.003762
0.085606
-0.086287
-0.056213
-0.140213
-0.013791
-0.014394
-0.041699
-0.027982
-0.039873
-0.006117
0.003929
-0.033707
-0.03264
-0.047553
-0.15449
-0.017277
-0.155519
0
0
0
Year 9
-0.004932
0.000588
-0.002629
0.237188
-0.045888
-0.040512
-0.106247
-0.004129
-0.008338
-0.013374
0.008222
-0.003147
0.002452
0.049513
-0.025132
-0.03067
-0.029336
-0.129453
0.002823
-0.114941
0
0
0
Year 10
0.003386
0.001019
-0.001646
0.326419
-0.006203
-0.025187
-0.07387
0.005308
-0.002527
0.014572
0.038108
0.030219
0.011565
0.092638
-0.016563
-0.023554
-0.011188
-0.106094
0.022883
-0.077832
0
0
0
Year 11
0.011635
0.001411
-0.000629
0.380037
0.033461
-0.010304
-0.042994
0.014889
0.003321
0.042525
0.064717
0.062566
0.021174
0.136065
-0.008138
-0.013996
0.006857
-0.083226
0.042369
-0.042808
0
0
0
Year 12
0.008631
0.001163
-0.000713
0.371719
0.025142
-0.0108
-0.051893
0.01157
0.001988
0.032848
0.046936
0.044214
0.015202
0.100527
-0.008873
-0.041758
0.002707
-0.083797
0.025569
-0.04328
0
0
0
Year 13
0.006019
0.000919
-0.000806
0.339537
0.017859
-0.011574
-0.060949
0.008654
0.000793
0.024186
0.029078
0.026884
0.010202
0.069136
-0.009601
-0.066378
-0.001043
-0.08455
0.009947
-0.045577
0
0
0
Page 16
Negative Economic Impact: Employment Losses
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Employment Losses
Category
Units
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 14
0.085373
0.085388
0.133911
-0.020135
0.017084
0.002865
0.014641
-0.000422
-0.086884
-0.019977
-0.033238
-0.033669
-0.00305
-0.004436
0.031085
-0.1028
-0.079256
0.098236
-0.007194
-0.085708
0
Year 15
-0.071274
-0.071289
-0.020004
-0.026268
0.009658
0.002017
0.010518
-0.002877
-0.085926
-0.01842
-0.033126
-0.034379
-0.016611
-0.012636
0.024483
-0.11202
-0.082952
0.100311
-0.015559
-0.088222
0
Year 16
-0.202789
-0.202789
-0.149368
-0.032031
0.00362
0.001322
0.007198
-0.0049
-0.085388
-0.017231
-0.033165
-0.034992
-0.02841
-0.019745
0.01739
-0.122713
-0.086704
0.097702
-0.022806
-0.090124
0
Year 17
-0.306763
-0.306778
-0.252121
-0.036857
-0.001163
0.000763
0.00457
-0.006497
-0.084751
-0.01632
-0.033134
-0.035297
-0.038019
-0.0255
0.010562
-0.13356
-0.090069
0.09343
-0.028645
-0.091
0
Year 18
-0.385635
-0.385666
-0.330597
-0.040623
-0.004875
0.000319
0.002521
-0.007716
-0.083811
-0.015616
-0.032939
-0.035255
-0.045498
-0.029948
0.004279
-0.144073
-0.092979
0.088608
-0.033127
-0.090916
0
Year 19
-0.442551
-0.442535
-0.387894
-0.043324
-0.0077
-0.00003
0.000942
-0.008612
-0.082464
-0.015024
-0.032554
-0.034886
-0.051022
-0.033208
-0.00134
-0.154125
-0.095387
0.083572
-0.03638
-0.090073
0
Year 20
-0.482269
-0.482254
-0.428589
-0.045198
-0.009833
-0.000303
-0.000263
-0.009267
-0.080961
-0.014531
-0.032118
-0.034313
-0.055031
-0.035548
-0.006332
-0.164078
-0.097593
0.078979
-0.038675
-0.08872
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 14
0.003818
0.000694
-0.000893
0.296726
0.011701
-0.012409
-0.069267
0.006171
-0.000226
0.016706
0.012485
0.011444
0.006132
0.042454
-0.010239
-0.088045
-0.004297
-0.085061
-0.003983
-0.048528
0
0
0
Year 15
0.002021
0.000498
-0.000965
0.251202
0.006673
-0.013116
-0.076012
0.004114
-0.001049
0.010473
-0.001821
-0.001578
0.002917
0.020632
-0.010742
-0.105762
-0.006932
-0.084921
-0.015646
-0.051267
0
0
0
Year 16
0.000593
0.000333
-0.001012
0.207233
0.002674
-0.013639
-0.081039
0.002454
-0.001683
0.005438
-0.013454
-0.012179
0.000445
0.003372
-0.01108
-0.119947
-0.008934
-0.083966
-0.024983
-0.053429
0
0
0
Year 17
-0.000515
0.000193
-0.001032
0.167269
-0.000436
-0.013939
-0.084206
0.00114
-0.002146
0.001457
-0.02215
-0.020487
-0.001409
-0.009821
-0.011256
-0.130451
-0.010294
-0.082039
-0.031986
-0.054676
0
0
0
Year 18
-0.001357
0.000081
-0.001032
0.132263
-0.002799
-0.014027
-0.085741
0.000115
-0.002466
-0.001617
-0.028263
-0.02681
-0.002767
-0.019623
-0.011306
-0.137833
-0.011116
-0.079347
-0.036962
-0.05505
0
0
0
Year 19
-0.001983
-0.000008
-0.001015
0.102863
-0.00455
-0.013926
-0.085928
-0.000673
-0.002673
-0.003963
-0.032209
-0.031428
-0.003731
-0.026701
-0.011261
-0.142796
-0.011512
-0.076105
-0.040292
-0.054646
0
0
0
Year 20
-0.002435
-0.000076
-0.000986
0.078241
-0.005849
-0.013702
-0.085203
-0.001273
-0.002798
-0.005736
-0.034443
-0.034733
-0.004399
-0.031633
-0.011107
-0.146038
-0.011574
-0.072452
-0.042382
-0.053664
0
0
0
Page 17
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
-4.180593
-1.88331
-0.367584
-0.509407
-0.369776
-0.648892
-0.589514
-1.976626
-1.222261
-1.980229
-3.416613
-11.10941
-0.433188
-2.137985
-1.815453
-2.662775
-2.614013
Year 2
-3.085452
-1.378944
-0.268384
-0.360245
-0.268146
-0.469817
-0.426521
-1.389684
-0.883593
-1.456299
-2.44758
-8.109467
-0.311498
-2.043531
-1.374029
-1.930119
-1.904531
Year 3
-2.31372
-1.029167
-0.200993
-0.261575
-0.199247
-0.351491
-0.315894
-1.012218
-0.663688
-1.109139
-1.796156
-6.034706
-0.229392
-1.728435
-1.045505
-1.429429
-1.412784
Year 4
-1.642294
-0.728506
-0.143134
-0.179799
-0.140618
-0.252086
-0.222652
-0.700695
-0.476223
-0.815391
-1.250701
-4.263744
-0.160817
-1.310521
-0.748972
-1.007447
-0.994344
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 1
-7.057693
-6.974286
-6.974287
0
-7.072052
0
Year 2
-9.786896
-3.320033
-3.320033
-7.072052
-10.63348
0
Year 3
-10.565
-1.600965
-1.600967
-10.63351
-12.54327
0
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
Year 11
Year 12
-10.21597 -9.447342 -7.931076 -6.498779 -5.18869 -4.160934 -3.320038 -2.617325 -2.123932
-0.433434 0.166684 1.012256 1.190491 1.259581 1.140815 1.041929 0.959644 0.801699
-0.433439 0.166676 1.012244 1.190475 1.259561 1.140792 1.041905 0.959618 0.801672
-12.5433 -13.31015 -13.47449 -12.76886 -11.84555 -10.80969 -9.849457 -8.947723 -8.089783
-13.31015 -13.47446 -12.76886 -11.84555 -10.80966 -9.849487 -8.947693 -8.089844 -7.354309
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Year 13
-1.775009
0.672577
0.67255
-7.354309
-6.716553
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 1
-0.753132
-0.549444
-0.437815
-0.459151
-1.109062
-1.014441
-0.740986
-0.551968
-0.48292
-0.351446
-0.260826
-0.192797
-0.168056
0
0
0
0
0
Year 2
-1.185787
-0.835398
-0.667461
-0.623368
-1.536924
-1.546108
-1.146072
-0.843305
-0.727894
-0.543236
-0.400528
-0.292557
-0.258167
-0.026684
0
0
0
0
Year 3
-1.462523
-0.997604
-0.799963
-0.6774
-1.614759
-1.843948
-1.397051
-1.016949
-0.858402
-0.661798
-0.48423
-0.351864
-0.30822
-0.068569
0
0
0
0
Year 4
-1.621838
-1.071833
-0.865028
-0.683357
-1.442469
-1.972858
-1.541327
-1.111765
-0.907686
-0.729694
-0.529148
-0.385078
-0.32729
-0.120775
0
0
0
0
Year 13
-0.339865
-0.847973
-0.877594
-0.523008
-0.061152
0.535568
-0.555157
-1.066755
-0.790867
-0.513811
-0.485834
-0.384983
-0.262083
-0.212683
-0.271427
-0.058958
0
0
Year 5
-1.220783
-0.542703
-0.107547
-0.130825
-0.104514
-0.191973
-0.165888
-0.516157
-0.360828
-0.63605
-0.92024
-3.167088
-0.119596
-0.956938
-0.555202
-0.750607
-0.735723
Year 5
-1.713657
-1.094469
-0.894426
-0.688348
-1.155834
-1.981613
-1.623779
-1.168018
-0.916941
-0.76893
-0.554602
-0.405933
-0.327431
-0.18047
0
0
0
0
Page 18
Year 6
-0.550095
-0.242093
-0.049088
-0.053367
-0.047143
-0.093379
-0.074685
-0.217466
-0.174332
-0.345139
-0.395331
-1.443138
-0.052597
-0.473263
-0.255747
-0.338227
-0.330591
Year 6
-1.605192
-1.142254
-0.870455
-0.665163
-0.766866
-1.808947
-1.606245
-1.163132
-0.872963
-0.762112
-0.550644
-0.405582
-0.305164
-0.244137
0
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.272018
-0.120848
-0.025639
-0.024614
-0.024105
-0.054532
-0.038761
-0.108845
-0.098324
-0.227087
-0.192382
-0.744946
-0.026757
-0.172637
-0.122995
-0.174889
-0.16665
Year 7
-1.443762
-1.177704
-0.833931
-0.637293
-0.442004
-1.513428
-1.558655
-1.149689
-0.828362
-0.732304
-0.542931
-0.398981
-0.283575
-0.277645
-0.02528
0
0
0
Year 8
-0.073793
-0.034322
-0.008789
-0.005081
-0.007836
-0.026443
-0.013227
-0.035004
-0.043555
-0.141038
-0.050806
-0.252655
-0.008282
0.043343
-0.028425
-0.058211
-0.051044
Year 8
-1.24818
-1.201029
-0.790203
-0.608061
-0.194267
-1.130447
-1.48563
-1.133053
-0.788151
-0.686981
-0.533936
-0.389233
-0.265621
-0.290075
-0.064817
0
0
0
Year 9
-0.016001
-0.010517
-0.004203
-0.001919
-0.003402
-0.018898
-0.00644
-0.026452
-0.027201
-0.114612
-0.017807
-0.115646
-0.003426
0.148973
0.003007
-0.025395
-0.018008
Year 9
-1.04904
-1.218309
-0.748663
-0.58604
-0.049611
-0.700426
-1.404198
-1.126202
-0.76403
-0.63665
-0.529825
-0.381433
-0.25573
-0.285419
-0.113895
0
0
0
Year 10
Year 11
Year 12
Year 13
0.034637 0.081665 0.062387 0.042431
0.011283 0.032351 0.023429 0.01481
0.000113
0.00434 0.002622 0.000979
0.001529 0.005043 0.001079 -0.002534
0.000641 0.004525 0.002851 0.00124
-0.011283 -0.003735 -0.00601 -0.00815
0.000038 0.006393 0.003839 0.00145
-0.015577 -0.003567 -0.021313 -0.037292
-0.012048 0.002545 -0.001516 -0.005646
-0.089578 -0.064993 -0.068274 -0.071486
0.013965 0.045235 0.025862 0.008026
0.007813 0.123947
0.07468 0.025513
0.001445 0.006266 0.004568 0.003075
0.213236 0.253984 0.246295 0.223078
0.027923
0.0492 0.041051 0.031171
0.005701 0.036162 0.026638 0.017753
0.011619 0.039566 0.028913 0.018314
Year 10
-0.850601
-1.228416
-0.703876
-0.566135
0.009209
-0.268103
-1.288439
-1.119335
-0.752541
-0.586948
-0.526619
-0.375668
-0.252239
-0.268284
-0.16972
0
0
0
Year 11
-0.662411
-1.122509
-0.753057
-0.545666
0.011778
0.114796
-1.117012
-1.102921
-0.750404
-0.543612
-0.520445
-0.37215
-0.252943
-0.244339
-0.228909
0
0
0
Year 12
-0.492397
-0.993317
-0.813997
-0.532223
-0.016542
0.379803
-0.866283
-1.087822
-0.764694
-0.520155
-0.506256
-0.375818
-0.256388
-0.225155
-0.26001
-0.02306
0
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 14
0.023615
0.007021
-0.000499
-0.005734
-0.000207
-0.010055
-0.000667
-0.051437
-0.009455
-0.074203
-0.007689
-0.019814
0.001806
0.193139
0.021077
0.009902
0.00858
Year 15
0.007111
0.000385
-0.001747
-0.008387
-0.001423
-0.01162
-0.002431
-0.063082
-0.012673
-0.075986
-0.020723
-0.058537
0.000768
0.161744
0.011772
0.003316
0.000222
Year 16
-0.006702
-0.005053
-0.002759
-0.010509
-0.002402
-0.012832
-0.003834
-0.072418
-0.015222
-0.0767
-0.031078
-0.09
-0.000057
0.131704
0.003692
-0.002008
-0.006621
Year 17
-0.017693
-0.009326
-0.003536
-0.012092
-0.003147
-0.013682
-0.004883
-0.079361
-0.017053
-0.076208
-0.038782
-0.113937
-0.000695
0.104615
-0.002914
-0.006147
-0.011936
Year 18
-0.026131
-0.012578
-0.004109
-0.013213
-0.00369
-0.014227
-0.005627
-0.084257
-0.018253
-0.074741
-0.044226
-0.131218
-0.001175
0.081057
-0.008111
-0.009261
-0.015903
Year 19
-0.032331
-0.014952
-0.004509
-0.013964
-0.00406
-0.014531
-0.006122
-0.087549
-0.018926
-0.072545
-0.047832
-0.142849
-0.001528
0.061401
-0.012013
-0.011516
-0.018714
Year 20
-0.036781
-0.016646
-0.004776
-0.014443
-0.004299
-0.014634
-0.006424
-0.089676
-0.019192
-0.069796
-0.050041
-0.150192
-0.001777
0.045058
-0.014882
-0.013116
-0.02063
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 14
-1.529282
0.5666
0.566573
-6.716553
-6.157654
0
Year 15
-1.352753
0.479717
0.47969
-6.157593
-5.662537
0
Year 16
-1.227631
0.409593
0.409566
-5.662567
-5.219147
0
Year 17
-1.168457
0.364497
0.36447
-5.219147
-4.806976
0
Year 18
-1.128464
0.329569
0.329542
-4.806946
-4.420593
0
Year 19
-1.096985
0.301817
0.301789
-4.420593
-4.057648
0
Year 20
-1.066849
0.27832
0.278292
-4.057648
-3.718628
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 14
-0.20282
-0.698046
-0.934315
-0.514841
-0.111292
0.590183
-0.195606
-1.036209
-0.82593
-0.522799
-0.459917
-0.398594
-0.269417
-0.207844
-0.266951
-0.103218
0
0
Year 15
-0.081223
-0.548153
-0.983372
-0.502434
-0.160004
0.560337
0.166895
-0.970854
-0.860279
-0.544079
-0.434364
-0.412914
-0.278542
-0.20945
-0.250984
-0.153145
0
0
Year 16
0.023727
-0.407961
-0.916231
-0.583267
-0.203043
0.475655
0.480164
-0.849812
-0.884516
-0.574654
-0.41507
-0.424257
-0.28966
-0.215786
-0.228857
-0.205589
0
0
Year 17
0.112473
-0.276226
-0.817978
-0.669245
-0.239523
0.377872
0.689682
-0.639511
-0.901829
-0.615026
-0.41074
-0.424137
-0.304953
-0.223745
-0.211208
-0.23307
-0.019817
0
Year 18
0.183338
-0.153816
-0.69702
-0.752439
-0.269001
0.278694
0.80183
-0.360453
-0.906284
-0.661734
-0.419407
-0.414894
-0.323219
-0.23299
-0.199799
-0.242975
-0.050415
0
Year 19
0.23457
-0.040077
-0.565979
-0.824295
-0.290451
0.186426
0.822803
-0.025928
-0.895525
-0.712667
-0.439949
-0.397736
-0.343824
-0.243021
-0.195448
-0.238766
-0.087757
0
Year 20
0.264597
0.063805
-0.430458
-0.884872
-0.300701
0.105751
0.76754
0.317427
-0.845329
-0.759071
-0.469942
-0.378912
-0.363449
-0.254076
-0.197041
-0.224535
-0.129362
0
Page 19
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
Year 11
Year 12
Year 13
-0.135246 -0.112183 -0.095489 -0.079015 -0.068256 -0.047513 -0.037876 -0.029979 -0.026328 -0.022654 -0.019128 -0.018038 -0.017193
0.012081
0.00285 -0.003017 -0.007321 -0.009787 -0.012567 -0.013054 -0.012949 -0.012115 -0.011258 -0.010435 -0.009401 -0.00849
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
-0.009135
-0.047985
-0.015045
-0.00416
0
-0.007499
-0.005453
-0.00999
-0.009763
-0.000031
0
-0.026186
Year 2
-0.013632
-0.037054
-0.011618
-0.003212
0
-0.005461
-0.004369
-0.008005
-0.007823
-0.000025
0
-0.020984
Year 3
-0.015896
-0.0298
-0.009343
-0.002583
0
-0.004115
-0.003579
-0.006557
-0.006408
-0.00002
0
-0.017187
Year 4
-0.016664
-0.023355
-0.007322
-0.002025
0
-0.002963
-0.00283
-0.005184
-0.005067
-0.000016
0
-0.013589
Year 5
-0.016653
-0.019516
-0.006119
-0.001692
0
-0.00227
-0.002334
-0.004275
-0.004178
-0.000013
0
-0.011207
Year 6
-0.015575
-0.012386
-0.003883
-0.001074
0
-0.001063
-0.001435
-0.002629
-0.002569
-0.000008
0
-0.006891
Year 7
-0.014242
-0.009549
-0.002994
-0.000828
0
-0.000592
-0.001025
-0.001879
-0.001836
-0.000006
0
-0.004925
Year 8
-0.012806
-0.007346
-0.002303
-0.000637
0
-0.000242
-0.000705
-0.001291
-0.001262
-0.000004
0
-0.003384
Year 9
-0.011764
-0.006421
-0.002013
-0.000557
0
-0.000151
-0.000575
-0.001053
-0.001029
-0.000003
0
-0.002761
Year 10
-0.010721
-0.005407
-0.001695
-0.000469
0
-0.000058
-0.000456
-0.000836
-0.000817
-0.000003
0
-0.002192
Year 11
-0.009723
-0.004384
-0.001374
-0.00038
0
0.000039
-0.000351
-0.000642
-0.000628
-0.000002
0
-0.001684
Year 12
-0.008859
-0.004174
-0.001309
-0.000362
0
-0.000001
-0.000353
-0.000648
-0.000633
-0.000002
0
-0.001697
Year 13
-0.00811
-0.003992
-0.001252
-0.000346
0
-0.000038
-0.000366
-0.000671
-0.000656
-0.000002
0
-0.001759
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
-0.001737
0.011232
-0.000058
-0.000264
-0.000536
-0.000035
-0.000203
-0.000155
-0.000015
-0.000225
-0.000106
-0.000469
-0.000007
0
0.004658
Year 2
-0.002566
0.005993
-0.000086
-0.00039
-0.000792
-0.000052
-0.0003
-0.000229
-0.000022
-0.000332
-0.000156
-0.000694
-0.00001
0
0.002485
Year 3
-0.003079
0.00264
-0.000104
-0.000468
-0.00095
-0.000062
-0.00036
-0.000274
-0.000026
-0.000399
-0.000187
-0.000832
-0.000012
0
0.001095
Year 4
-0.003321
-0.000026
-0.000112
-0.000505
-0.001025
-0.000067
-0.000388
-0.000296
-0.000028
-0.00043
-0.000202
-0.000898
-0.000013
0
-0.000011
Year 5
-0.003415
-0.001624
-0.000115
-0.000519
-0.001054
-0.000069
-0.000399
-0.000304
-0.000029
-0.000442
-0.000208
-0.000923
-0.000013
0
-0.000673
Year 6
-0.003286
-0.003789
-0.000111
-0.000499
-0.001014
-0.000066
-0.000384
-0.000293
-0.000028
-0.000425
-0.0002
-0.000888
-0.000012
0
-0.001571
Year 7
-0.003092
-0.004434
-0.000104
-0.00047
-0.000954
-0.000062
-0.000362
-0.000275
-0.000026
-0.0004
-0.000188
-0.000836
-0.000012
0
-0.001839
Year 8
-0.002861
-0.004718
-0.000096
-0.000435
-0.000883
-0.000058
-0.000334
-0.000255
-0.000024
-0.00037
-0.000174
-0.000773
-0.000011
0
-0.001956
Year 9
-0.002629
-0.004489
-0.000088
-0.000399
-0.000811
-0.000053
-0.000307
-0.000234
-0.000022
-0.00034
-0.00016
-0.00071
-0.00001
0
-0.001861
Year 10
-0.002396
-0.004244
-0.000081
-0.000364
-0.000739
-0.000048
-0.00028
-0.000213
-0.00002
-0.00031
-0.000146
-0.000648
-0.000009
0
-0.00176
Year 11
-0.002173
-0.004008
-0.000073
-0.00033
-0.00067
-0.000044
-0.000254
-0.000194
-0.000018
-0.000281
-0.000132
-0.000587
-0.000008
0
-0.001662
Year 12
-0.00198
-0.003576
-0.000067
-0.000301
-0.000611
-0.00004
-0.000231
-0.000176
-0.000017
-0.000256
-0.00012
-0.000535
-0.000007
0
-0.001483
Year 13
-0.001813
-0.003191
-0.000061
-0.000276
-0.000559
-0.000037
-0.000212
-0.000161
-0.000015
-0.000235
-0.00011
-0.00049
-0.000007
0
-0.001323
Page 20
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 14
Year 15
Year 16
Year 17
Year 18
Year 19
Year 20
-0.016528 -0.015955 -0.015448 -0.014958 -0.014469 -0.013975 -0.013505
-0.007684 -0.00697 -0.006341 -0.005774 -0.005256 -0.004781 -0.004346
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 14
-0.007451
-0.003837
-0.001203
-0.000333
0
-0.00007
-0.000385
-0.000706
-0.00069
-0.000002
0
-0.001851
Year 15
-0.006865
-0.003691
-0.001157
-0.00032
0
-0.000097
-0.000406
-0.000743
-0.000726
-0.000002
0
-0.001948
Year 16
-0.006341
-0.003551
-0.001113
-0.000308
0
-0.000118
-0.000426
-0.00078
-0.000763
-0.000002
0
-0.002045
Year 17
-0.005857
-0.003414
-0.001071
-0.000296
0
-0.000133
-0.000444
-0.000813
-0.000795
-0.000002
0
-0.002132
Year 18
-0.005402
-0.003278
-0.001028
-0.000284
0
-0.000143
-0.00046
-0.000842
-0.000823
-0.000003
0
-0.002207
Year 19
-0.004975
-0.003139
-0.000984
-0.000272
0
-0.00015
-0.000472
-0.000865
-0.000846
-0.000003
0
-0.002269
Year 20
-0.004575
-0.003008
-0.000943
-0.000261
0
-0.000153
-0.000484
-0.000887
-0.000867
-0.000003
0
-0.002324
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 14
-0.001666
-0.002849
-0.000056
-0.000253
-0.000514
-0.000034
-0.000195
-0.000148
-0.000014
-0.000216
-0.000101
-0.00045
-0.000006
0
-0.001181
Year 15
-0.001535
-0.002547
-0.000052
-0.000233
-0.000474
-0.000031
-0.000179
-0.000137
-0.000013
-0.000199
-0.000093
-0.000415
-0.000006
0
-0.001056
Year 16
-0.001418
-0.002284
-0.000048
-0.000215
-0.000437
-0.000029
-0.000166
-0.000126
-0.000012
-0.000184
-0.000086
-0.000383
-0.000005
0
-0.000947
Year 17
-0.00131
-0.002051
-0.000044
-0.000199
-0.000404
-0.000026
-0.000153
-0.000117
-0.000011
-0.00017
-0.00008
-0.000354
-0.000005
0
-0.000851
Year 18
-0.001208
-0.001842
-0.000041
-0.000184
-0.000373
-0.000024
-0.000141
-0.000108
-0.00001
-0.000156
-0.000074
-0.000327
-0.000005
0
-0.000764
Year 19
-0.001113
-0.001654
-0.000037
-0.000169
-0.000343
-0.000022
-0.00013
-0.000099
-0.000009
-0.000144
-0.000068
-0.000301
-0.000004
0
-0.000686
Year 20
-0.001023
-0.001485
-0.000034
-0.000156
-0.000316
-0.000021
-0.00012
-0.000091
-0.000009
-0.000132
-0.000062
-0.000277
-0.000004
0
-0.000616
Page 21
Negative Economic Impact: Employment Losses
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 1
-29.15784
-29.15785
-26.16703
-1.027287
-1.310905
0.000797
-0.723892
-0.58781
-1.26204
-0.227187
-0.334336
-0.700517
-2.484746
-1.470227
-0.746716
-1.686538
-1.357236
-0.511513
-1.615489
-0.983957
0
Year 2
-22.08584
-22.08585
-19.83554
-0.857213
-0.948756
0.002477
-0.517485
-0.433748
-1.097855
-0.203599
-0.294628
-0.599627
-1.918783
-1.133432
-0.629628
-1.485737
-1.111971
-0.972046
-1.24282
-0.810865
0
Year 3
-16.93082
-16.9308
-15.14511
-0.714656
-0.705018
0.004023
-0.379717
-0.329324
-0.95474
-0.180296
-0.259186
-0.515258
-1.507175
-0.890724
-0.533276
-1.30841
-0.922482
-1.01683
-0.977607
-0.691897
0
Year 4
-12.3336
-12.3336
-10.96497
-0.568078
-0.497087
0.005269
-0.263939
-0.238418
-0.798112
-0.154749
-0.219428
-0.423936
-1.130681
-0.669475
-0.428452
-1.1108
-0.750997
-0.949257
-0.736133
-0.574788
0
Year 5
-9.367172
-9.367142
-8.266823
-0.464474
-0.370758
0.00614
-0.194256
-0.182643
-0.690111
-0.137671
-0.190923
-0.361516
-0.887534
-0.527081
-0.351002
-0.966118
-0.635071
-0.823662
-0.580731
-0.499364
0
Year 6
-4.720428
-4.720428
-4.065323
-0.288454
-0.155128
0.006558
-0.075932
-0.085754
-0.480623
-0.100876
-0.139853
-0.239895
-0.470713
-0.281395
-0.207386
-0.664133
-0.41918
-0.635704
-0.313376
-0.348899
0
Year 7
-2.692291
-2.692307
-2.238953
-0.198235
-0.070043
0.006534
-0.030149
-0.046427
-0.377495
-0.082367
-0.113068
-0.18206
-0.285172
-0.172269
-0.129401
-0.502684
-0.317508
-0.432617
-0.194435
-0.282475
0
Year 8
-1.240067
-1.240082
-0.939255
-0.128628
-0.007871
0.006195
0.00306
-0.017126
-0.295341
-0.06674
-0.092342
-0.13626
-0.14529
-0.089746
-0.065291
-0.368494
-0.236814
-0.266876
-0.104478
-0.230606
0
Year 9
-0.768723
-0.768723
-0.527374
-0.096996
0.007508
0.00553
0.010629
-0.008651
-0.253128
-0.056927
-0.08013
-0.116071
-0.095524
-0.060602
-0.033747
-0.303627
-0.203253
-0.138977
-0.072504
-0.211625
0
Year 10
-0.382675
-0.38266
-0.194687
-0.071061
0.022392
0.004754
0.018103
-0.000465
-0.21349
-0.047392
-0.069201
-0.096897
-0.051757
-0.034699
-0.007378
-0.246532
-0.172583
-0.045609
-0.044
-0.191194
0
Year 11
-0.048187
-0.048218
0.091095
-0.049343
0.037448
0.003975
0.025838
0.007635
-0.177378
-0.038502
-0.059806
-0.079071
-0.011894
-0.011214
0.015147
-0.196732
-0.145723
0.026123
-0.018129
-0.17207
0
Year 12
-0.163101
-0.163086
-0.02655
-0.048077
0.028715
0.003231
0.020652
0.004831
-0.167286
-0.034513
-0.056204
-0.076569
-0.019361
-0.01592
0.017593
-0.191139
-0.14418
0.07283
-0.022719
-0.171016
0
Year 13
-0.300613
-0.300629
-0.162994
-0.05051
0.020719
0.002563
0.016078
0.002079
-0.161654
-0.031559
-0.054226
-0.07587
-0.029791
-0.022372
0.01574
-0.195368
-0.145977
0.09729
-0.029251
-0.171622
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
-0.263724
-0.069759
-0.213358
-2.405595
-1.227737
-0.569942
-3.445797
-0.847502
-0.325724
-1.830383
-1.699509
-2.065278
-0.138056
-2.560353
-0.716686
-2.888477
-0.816006
-1.719525
-2.363625
-2.990812
0
0
0
Year 2
-0.189567
-0.051333
-0.156182
-2.52071
-0.887898
-0.422147
-2.578911
-0.609633
-0.235353
-1.320042
-1.251053
-1.504047
-0.097712
-1.828691
-0.525541
-2.051434
-0.589962
-1.311898
-1.703428
-2.250297
0
0
0
Year 3
-0.139267
-0.03852
-0.118335
-2.215325
-0.657133
-0.320525
-1.964554
-0.447433
-0.174632
-0.972482
-0.942099
-1.114273
-0.07004
-1.328871
-0.398315
-1.509708
-0.439301
-1.043622
-1.25067
-1.785711
0
0
0
Year 4
-0.097243
-0.027485
-0.086616
-1.727367
-0.463884
-0.23536
-1.440226
-0.31209
-0.123915
-0.680951
-0.675241
-0.78124
-0.04717
-0.912913
-0.291624
-1.063875
-0.314167
-0.813242
-0.870358
-1.368629
0
0
0
Year 5
-0.072033
-0.020616
-0.067298
-1.278944
-0.347295
-0.183307
-1.11462
-0.230567
-0.093483
-0.504382
-0.506494
-0.575609
-0.033569
-0.661557
-0.227182
-0.801193
-0.23908
-0.671235
-0.638354
-1.100327
0
0
0
Year 6
-0.031028
-0.009586
-0.036269
-0.679652
-0.15781
-0.10009
-0.600252
-0.098831
-0.043803
-0.218081
-0.244084
-0.248531
-0.012062
-0.268353
-0.119932
-0.372395
-0.117155
-0.431423
-0.275989
-0.655088
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.015281
-0.005058
-0.023465
-0.273068
-0.083559
-0.065904
-0.389524
-0.047924
-0.024372
-0.106377
-0.133186
-0.117864
-0.004257
-0.117745
-0.076688
-0.219931
-0.069135
-0.328554
-0.137056
-0.453346
0
0
0
Year 8
-0.004019
-0.001871
-0.014123
0.023849
-0.030131
-0.040904
-0.239584
-0.011653
-0.01017
-0.026582
-0.053885
-0.026628
0.001018
-0.014491
-0.04475
-0.118601
-0.034464
-0.249778
-0.042487
-0.300829
0
0
0
Year 9
-0.001083
-0.000853
-0.010813
0.181958
-0.015209
-0.03187
-0.194942
-0.002347
-0.006121
-0.006084
-0.029506
-0.003937
0.001821
0.008155
-0.034802
-0.113029
-0.024391
-0.22099
-0.023344
-0.241327
0
0
0
Year 10
0.001726
0.000119
-0.007832
0.277264
-0.000729
-0.023323
-0.154789
0.00686
-0.002088
0.013921
-0.009336
0.015934
0.002781
0.028676
-0.025025
-0.104534
-0.01453
-0.194567
-0.005213
-0.187994
0
0
0
Year 11
0.004628
0.001066
-0.005049
0.335133
0.013852
-0.015287
-0.117456
0.016004
0.001787
0.033897
0.008038
0.034467
0.003711
0.048461
-0.015371
-0.094711
-0.004745
-0.16893
0.011603
-0.139309
0
0
0
Year 12
0.003482
0.000905
-0.005175
0.332308
0.010026
-0.015081
-0.127323
0.012401
0.000871
0.02588
0.000454
0.021274
0.002653
0.031344
-0.016344
-0.126177
-0.006752
-0.165983
-0.00532
-0.136541
0
0
0
Year 13
0.002463
0.000737
-0.005359
0.304411
0.006659
-0.015148
-0.137583
0.009231
0.000049
0.018692
-0.007883
0.008647
0.001762
0.01579
-0.017334
-0.154551
-0.00862
-0.163809
-0.02116
-0.137617
0
0
0
Page 22
Negative Economic Impact: Employment Losses
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 14
-0.441391
-0.441391
-0.300812
-0.055029
0.013705
0.001985
0.012187
-0.000467
-0.159029
-0.029426
-0.053322
-0.07628
-0.041323
-0.029463
0.011014
-0.206451
-0.150108
0.108398
-0.036516
-0.173376
0
Year 15
-0.569504
-0.569504
-0.425797
-0.060178
0.007808
0.0015
0.00898
-0.002671
-0.157812
-0.02784
-0.052948
-0.077024
-0.05237
-0.036218
0.004678
-0.22131
-0.154984
0.110611
-0.043454
-0.1751
0
Year 16
-0.678787
-0.678772
-0.532516
-0.065248
0.00303
0.001105
0.006418
-0.004492
-0.157291
-0.026654
-0.052862
-0.077774
-0.062218
-0.042212
-0.002458
-0.238903
-0.160326
0.106918
-0.049606
-0.176418
0
Year 17
-0.764694
-0.764709
-0.617126
-0.06961
-0.000698
0.000791
0.004421
-0.005909
-0.1567
-0.025747
-0.052782
-0.078171
-0.070307
-0.047101
-0.009643
-0.257412
-0.165432
0.100433
-0.054593
-0.176733
0
Year 18
-0.828171
-0.828171
-0.680588
-0.073073
-0.00351
0.000548
0.002903
-0.00696
-0.155762
-0.025101
-0.052542
-0.078118
-0.076582
-0.050866
-0.016531
-0.275997
-0.170126
0.092682
-0.058389
-0.176052
0
Year 19
-0.871231
-0.871231
-0.724869
-0.075568
-0.005555
0.000362
0.001779
-0.007696
-0.154343
-0.024597
-0.052123
-0.077622
-0.081123
-0.053566
-0.022935
-0.294361
-0.174295
0.084671
-0.06106
-0.174629
0
Year 20
-0.897995
-0.89801
-0.75386
-0.077278
-0.006997
0.000225
0.000971
-0.008193
-0.152678
-0.024201
-0.051646
-0.076831
-0.084276
-0.055419
-0.02883
-0.313004
-0.178335
0.077164
-0.062836
-0.172628
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 14
0.001586
0.000573
-0.005568
0.264297
0.003794
-0.015348
-0.147293
0.006545
-0.000655
0.012464
-0.016101
-0.002697
0.001035
0.002273
-0.018236
-0.179773
-0.010276
-0.16199
-0.035433
-0.140589
0
0
0
Year 15
0.000855
0.000422
-0.005752
0.220125
0.001446
-0.01553
-0.155172
0.004327
-0.00122
0.007265
-0.023385
-0.012321
0.000462
-0.008876
-0.018954
-0.200621
-0.011611
-0.159832
-0.047419
-0.143709
0
0
0
Year 16
0.000264
0.00029
-0.005862
0.176437
-0.000417
-0.01564
-0.16091
0.002557
-0.001653
0.003064
-0.029345
-0.020138
0.000025
-0.017703
-0.019454
-0.217331
-0.012595
-0.157098
-0.05701
-0.146267
0
0
0
Year 17
-0.000199
0.000167
-0.00587
0.136063
-0.001857
-0.015625
-0.164209
0.001173
-0.001965
-0.000239
-0.033666
-0.026183
-0.000296
-0.024309
-0.019722
-0.22962
-0.013194
-0.153515
-0.064061
-0.147579
0
0
0
Year 18
-0.000553
0.000068
-0.005822
0.100327
-0.002929
-0.015481
-0.165344
0.000121
-0.002168
-0.002766
-0.036483
-0.030631
-0.000523
-0.029012
-0.019806
-0.238047
-0.013453
-0.149234
-0.068847
-0.147591
0
0
0
Year 19
-0.000816
-0.00001
-0.005711
0.070406
-0.003696
-0.015225
-0.16474
-0.000664
-0.002292
-0.004657
-0.037972
-0.033705
-0.000674
-0.032139
-0.019758
-0.243437
-0.013453
-0.144512
-0.071809
-0.146379
0
0
0
Year 20
-0.001005
-0.00007
-0.00556
0.045309
-0.004239
-0.014893
-0.162827
-0.001232
-0.002361
-0.006057
-0.038417
-0.035712
-0.000768
-0.034034
-0.019558
-0.246422
-0.013233
-0.139411
-0.073371
-0.144138
0
0
0
Page 23
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
-2.89056
-1.199817
-0.26334
-0.501681
-0.275505
-0.704672
-0.400141
-2.045491
-1.102232
-1.865177
-2.398427
-8.683056
-0.166692
-1.993652
-1.419595
-1.343068
-1.904746
Year 2
-2.172865
-0.886541
-0.194052
-0.36009
-0.201745
-0.515045
-0.29163
-1.471593
-0.819323
-1.406455
-1.742137
-6.44812
-0.120509
-1.959474
-1.100331
-0.985508
-1.410429
Year 3
-1.657099
-0.667919
-0.147266
-0.264946
-0.152092
-0.389326
-0.21759
-1.096003
-0.63617
-1.10246
-1.296867
-4.876125
-0.089173
-1.686226
-0.853563
-0.736822
-1.061165
Year 4
-1.199499
-0.478144
-0.106786
-0.185534
-0.109466
-0.283331
-0.154922
-0.782189
-0.475488
-0.843014
-0.920917
-3.518593
-0.062845
-1.303228
-0.625385
-0.524475
-0.759781
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 1
-11.03185
-12.41489
-12.41489
0
-12.56342
0
Year 2
-15.95804
-7.160233
-7.160233
-12.56342
-20.10504
0
Year 3
-17.89632
-4.261638
-4.261642
-20.10504
-24.88202
0
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
Year 11
Year 12
Year 13
-17.95718 -17.1953 -15.10123 -12.96602 -10.89383 -9.186249 -7.731415 -6.470673 -5.532166 -4.825989
-2.043719 -0.716997 1.135935 1.775272 2.160095
2.12325 2.065729 1.996262 1.742754 1.509624
-2.043729 -0.717016 1.135906 1.775234 2.160048 2.123195 2.065668 1.996199 1.742687 1.509555
-24.8819 -27.51013 -28.8346 -28.28839 -27.05402 -25.37268 -23.66071 -21.9386 -20.21808 -18.68536
-27.51007 -28.8346 -28.28839 -27.05402 -25.37268 -23.66071 -21.93854 -20.21808 -18.68536 -17.32501
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 1
-1.318399
-0.978071
-0.779358
-0.817247
-1.973995
-1.80555
-1.318783
-0.9823
-0.859325
-0.625252
-0.463882
-0.342703
-0.298538
0
0
0
0
0
Year 2
-2.165995
-1.585617
-1.266657
-1.191744
-2.933889
-2.933189
-2.172089
-1.599213
-1.381203
-1.028778
-0.758335
-0.553673
-0.487474
-0.047176
0
0
0
0
Year 3
-2.746864
-1.989975
-1.594994
-1.37101
-3.278379
-3.676582
-2.777363
-2.024277
-1.712955
-1.314133
-0.961544
-0.698122
-0.610229
-0.125551
0
0
0
0
Year 4
-3.108002
-2.231663
-1.79895
-1.44972
-3.130091
-4.10743
-3.188908
-2.304436
-1.892925
-1.507313
-1.093567
-0.794193
-0.675667
-0.227249
0
0
0
0
Year 5
-0.906113
-0.359391
-0.081628
-0.137638
-0.082965
-0.219021
-0.116576
-0.594503
-0.374086
-0.683774
-0.691253
-2.666878
-0.046944
-0.969835
-0.472672
-0.393244
-0.570626
Year 5
-3.330299
-2.36528
-1.927319
-1.510597
-2.70829
-4.292999
-3.473766
-2.502403
-1.985462
-1.641441
-1.184319
-0.863541
-0.701761
-0.347092
0
0
0
0
Page 24
Year 6
-0.442246
-0.168916
-0.040508
-0.06154
-0.040788
-0.112952
-0.055153
-0.28652
-0.208
-0.418406
-0.325264
-1.327396
-0.021109
-0.514013
-0.237982
-0.184597
-0.275031
Year 6
-3.194107
-2.495667
-1.942234
-1.505358
-2.025082
-4.104008
-3.551956
-2.570618
-1.960789
-1.680061
-1.21249
-0.888062
-0.679497
-0.478416
0
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.241862
-0.090091
-0.023573
-0.032988
-0.023385
-0.070616
-0.030669
-0.172126
-0.136132
-0.307192
-0.181225
-0.769543
-0.011029
-0.221114
-0.129249
-0.099823
-0.151684
Year 7
-2.959732
-2.562027
-1.916874
-1.480482
-1.393703
-3.638668
-3.54641
-2.603714
-1.914719
-1.663845
-1.224274
-0.894806
-0.650146
-0.560951
-0.043688
0
0
0
Year 8
-0.097881
-0.033772
-0.011353
-0.013622
-0.010978
-0.039935
-0.013273
-0.093944
-0.082996
-0.22371
-0.08032
-0.372757
-0.003797
-0.007487
-0.05086
-0.039436
-0.063961
Year 8
-2.654175
-2.578743
-1.863754
-1.443724
-0.865526
-2.955521
-3.469151
-2.61557
-1.8619
-1.606236
-1.226299
-0.890152
-0.62151
-0.604412
-0.116026
0
0
0
Year 9
-0.05172
-0.01736
-0.007779
-0.01047
-0.007293
-0.031374
-0.008566
-0.083616
-0.064445
-0.195475
-0.055904
-0.253952
-0.001823
0.102208
-0.022216
-0.021886
-0.037042
Year 9
-2.331745
-2.569256
-1.804268
-1.414314
-0.512676
-2.133404
-3.356564
-2.635262
-1.829762
-1.528728
-1.23243
-0.885071
-0.604237
-0.613441
-0.20953
0
0
0
Year 10
-0.013164
-0.002973
-0.004537
-0.007293
-0.004023
-0.023015
-0.004187
-0.07241
-0.047755
-0.16938
-0.033256
-0.150887
0.000043
0.170156
-0.000175
-0.006099
-0.013718
Year 10
-1.999794
-2.539276
-1.731308
-1.384819
-0.320934
-1.258072
-3.166023
-2.648991
-1.816315
-1.44318
-1.237423
-0.880882
-0.597267
-0.595085
-0.319183
0
0
0
Year 11
0.020795
0.010264
-0.001492
-0.004219
-0.001004
-0.014845
-0.000034
-0.06093
-0.032372
-0.14409
-0.011787
-0.05759
0.001929
0.213187
0.017756
0.008813
0.007405
Year 11
-1.675442
-2.324009
-1.796272
-1.351418
-0.247391
-0.434082
-2.857948
-2.641064
-1.818417
-1.362244
-1.235168
-0.878941
-0.597874
-0.559093
-0.438698
0
0
0
Year 12
0.009208
0.004719
-0.002576
-0.008334
-0.002066
-0.017154
-0.001793
-0.079622
-0.033749
-0.143984
-0.02531
-0.091171
0.001268
0.210317
0.012856
0.0037
0.000595
Year 12
-1.37421
-2.088829
-1.86068
-1.329582
-0.252426
0.195877
-2.387932
-2.631889
-1.851532
-1.313671
-1.217567
-0.889359
-0.604557
-0.526348
-0.513741
-0.038933
0
0
Year 13
-0.004266
-0.001004
-0.0037
-0.012126
-0.003179
-0.019414
-0.003495
-0.096832
-0.035958
-0.144396
-0.038215
-0.127155
0.000661
0.190885
0.005761
-0.001416
-0.006774
Year 13
-1.096588
-1.837593
-1.920448
-1.315674
-0.307243
0.623558
-1.781948
-2.60994
-1.909813
-1.29673
-1.186783
-0.910492
-0.616493
-0.502617
-0.553089
-0.103123
0
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 14
-0.01785
-0.0064
-0.004763
-0.015524
-0.00423
-0.021492
-0.005044
-0.112324
-0.038433
-0.144897
-0.049935
-0.161938
0.000127
0.16347
-0.002097
-0.006165
-0.013898
Year 15
-0.030195
-0.011106
-0.00568
-0.018357
-0.005135
-0.023216
-0.006348
-0.125223
-0.040658
-0.144788
-0.059766
-0.192211
-0.000321
0.133556
-0.009644
-0.010251
-0.020166
Year 16
-0.040754
-0.015003
-0.006428
-0.020625
-0.005867
-0.024552
-0.007385
-0.135595
-0.042449
-0.143855
-0.067586
-0.216869
-0.000682
0.104176
-0.016362
-0.013592
-0.025352
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 14
-4.293671
1.299718
1.299647
-17.32501
-16.11951
0
Year 15
-3.892029
1.118252
1.11818
-16.11951
-15.04675
0
Year 16
Year 17
Year 18
Year 19
Year 20
-3.58493 -3.383942 -3.223236 -3.090149 -2.969543
0.962879 0.847013 0.751245 0.673508 0.608292
0.962809 0.84694 0.750939 0.672823 0.607127
-15.04675 -14.08832 -13.21246 -12.40747 -11.66339
-14.08832 -13.2124 -12.40747 -11.66339 -10.97559
0
0
0
0
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 14
-0.840225
-1.584721
-1.966358
-1.304573
-0.388863
0.848412
-1.059387
-2.568703
-1.988762
-1.310661
-1.143864
-0.941124
-0.632607
-0.491383
-0.561081
-0.185577
0
0
Year 15
-0.605885
-1.33392
-2.001244
-1.286457
-0.479984
0.891525
-0.301163
-2.46225
-2.071323
-1.351341
-1.098904
-0.974915
-0.653011
-0.49197
-0.544353
-0.281536
0
0
Year 16
-0.396687
-1.099346
-1.858276
-1.411118
-0.569023
0.801743
0.392056
-2.248604
-2.139351
-1.41404
-1.063148
-1.005013
-0.678066
-0.502289
-0.511871
-0.385248
0
0
Year 17
-0.049173
-0.01804
-0.006987
-0.022291
-0.00641
-0.025462
-0.008141
-0.143227
-0.043624
-0.141847
-0.073239
-0.235126
-0.000961
0.077209
-0.021899
-0.016152
-0.029333
Year 17
-0.21312
-0.876202
-1.686035
-1.527081
-0.651928
0.655006
0.908409
-1.861595
-2.196259
-1.499741
-1.05365
-1.015896
-0.711678
-0.517345
-0.482445
-0.450264
-0.032673
0
Year 18
-0.055527
-0.020281
-0.007373
-0.023427
-0.006778
-0.026003
-0.008644
-0.148445
-0.04421
-0.138927
-0.076969
-0.247498
-0.001167
0.053504
-0.026237
-0.018003
-0.032192
Year 18
-0.059086
-0.664894
-1.488289
-1.630432
-0.725777
0.480137
1.239868
-1.326969
-2.230545
-1.602577
-1.069607
-1.009659
-0.752216
-0.536232
-0.461231
-0.484114
-0.085884
0
Page 25
Year 19
-0.059994
-0.021818
-0.007609
-0.024138
-0.006996
-0.026252
-0.00894
-0.151731
-0.044272
-0.135376
-0.079133
-0.254776
-0.001314
0.033809
-0.029399
-0.019244
-0.03406
Year 19
0.06221
-0.463425
-1.279716
-1.712315
-0.786751
0.299377
1.385456
-0.66433
-2.236061
-1.718246
-1.110409
-0.987473
-0.798595
-0.557842
-0.451305
-0.490704
-0.153305
0
Year 20
-0.062952
-0.022802
-0.007725
-0.024519
-0.007093
-0.026246
-0.009072
-0.153494
-0.043903
-0.131297
-0.080061
-0.258087
-0.001411
0.017432
-0.031623
-0.02001
-0.035147
Year 20
0.148193
-0.273861
-1.065063
-1.776489
-0.827431
0.127548
1.364365
0.044449
-2.168175
-1.83065
-1.172646
-0.959679
-0.845032
-0.582382
-0.452057
-0.47612
-0.23053
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
Year 11
Year 12
Year 13
-0.144369 -0.129203 -0.117737 -0.104392 -0.095175 -0.074389 -0.063742 -0.054435 -0.049719 -0.044887 -0.040243 -0.038064 -0.036302
0.009866 -0.000189 -0.007214 -0.012522 -0.01586 -0.019083 -0.019843 -0.01978 -0.018843 -0.017747 -0.016615 -0.015263 -0.014044
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
-0.01625
-0.039768
-0.012468
-0.003447
0
-0.005123
-0.007138
-0.013077
-0.01278
-0.00004
0
-0.034278
Year 2
-0.02581
-0.031728
-0.009947
-0.00275
0
-0.003755
-0.005855
-0.010726
-0.010483
-0.000033
0
-0.028116
Year 3
-0.031576
-0.026469
-0.008299
-0.002295
0
-0.002854
-0.004904
-0.008984
-0.00878
-0.000028
0
-0.02355
Year 4
-0.034491
-0.021666
-0.006793
-0.001878
0
-0.00208
-0.003975
-0.007282
-0.007117
-0.000022
0
-0.019088
Year 5
-0.035687
-0.018799
-0.005894
-0.00163
0
-0.001613
-0.003346
-0.00613
-0.005991
-0.000019
0
-0.016068
Year 6
-0.034552
-0.013234
-0.004149
-0.001147
0
-0.000804
-0.002174
-0.003983
-0.003893
-0.000012
0
-0.010441
Year 7
-0.032572
-0.010993
-0.003446
-0.000953
0
-0.000487
-0.001621
-0.002971
-0.002903
-0.000009
0
-0.007787
Year 8
-0.030099
-0.00923
-0.002894
-0.0008
0
-0.000252
-0.001183
-0.002168
-0.002119
-0.000007
0
-0.005683
Year 9
-0.028299
-0.008421
-0.00264
-0.00073
0
-0.000192
-0.001001
-0.001833
-0.001792
-0.000006
0
-0.004805
Year 10
-0.026324
-0.007536
-0.002363
-0.000653
0
-0.00013
-0.000836
-0.001531
-0.001496
-0.000005
0
-0.004013
Year 11
-0.024333
-0.006652
-0.002085
-0.000577
0
-0.000069
-0.000692
-0.001268
-0.001239
-0.000004
0
-0.003324
Year 12
-0.02254
-0.006389
-0.002003
-0.000554
0
-0.000097
-0.000687
-0.001259
-0.00123
-0.000004
0
-0.0033
Year 13
-0.020948
-0.006162
-0.001932
-0.000534
0
-0.000123
-0.0007
-0.001283
-0.001254
-0.000004
0
-0.003363
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
-0.001985
0.010051
-0.000067
-0.000302
-0.000612
-0.00004
-0.000232
-0.000177
-0.000017
-0.000257
-0.000121
-0.000537
-0.000007
0
0.004168
Year 2
-0.003121
0.004705
-0.000105
-0.000474
-0.000963
-0.000063
-0.000365
-0.000278
-0.000027
-0.000404
-0.00019
-0.000844
-0.000012
0
0.001951
Year 3
-0.003929
0.000992
-0.000132
-0.000597
-0.001212
-0.000079
-0.000459
-0.00035
-0.000033
-0.000509
-0.000239
-0.001062
-0.000015
0
0.000411
Year 4
-0.004416
-0.002005
-0.000149
-0.000671
-0.001362
-0.000089
-0.000516
-0.000393
-0.000038
-0.000572
-0.000269
-0.001194
-0.000017
0
-0.000832
Year 5
-0.004702
-0.003922
-0.000158
-0.000715
-0.001451
-0.000095
-0.00055
-0.000419
-0.00004
-0.000609
-0.000286
-0.001271
-0.000018
0
-0.001626
Year 6
-0.004684
-0.006227
-0.000158
-0.000712
-0.001445
-0.000094
-0.000548
-0.000417
-0.00004
-0.000606
-0.000285
-0.001266
-0.000018
0
-0.002582
Year 7
-0.004544
-0.006982
-0.000153
-0.000691
-0.001402
-0.000092
-0.000531
-0.000405
-0.000039
-0.000588
-0.000276
-0.001228
-0.000017
0
-0.002895
Year 8
-0.00432
-0.007284
-0.000145
-0.000657
-0.001333
-0.000087
-0.000505
-0.000385
-0.000037
-0.000559
-0.000263
-0.001168
-0.000016
0
-0.00302
Year 9
-0.004063
-0.007022
-0.000137
-0.000617
-0.001253
-0.000082
-0.000475
-0.000362
-0.000035
-0.000526
-0.000247
-0.001098
-0.000015
0
-0.002912
Year 10
-0.003779
-0.006686
-0.000127
-0.000574
-0.001166
-0.000076
-0.000442
-0.000337
-0.000032
-0.000489
-0.00023
-0.001022
-0.000014
0
-0.002772
Year 11
-0.003494
-0.006329
-0.000118
-0.000531
-0.001078
-0.00007
-0.000408
-0.000311
-0.00003
-0.000452
-0.000213
-0.000944
-0.000013
0
-0.002624
Year 12
-0.003237
-0.005771
-0.000109
-0.000492
-0.000999
-0.000065
-0.000378
-0.000288
-0.000028
-0.000419
-0.000197
-0.000875
-0.000012
0
-0.002393
Year 13
-0.003009
-0.005263
-0.000101
-0.000457
-0.000928
-0.000061
-0.000352
-0.000268
-0.000026
-0.000389
-0.000183
-0.000813
-0.000011
0
-0.002182
Page 26
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 14
Year 15
Year 16
Year 17
Year 18
Year 19
Year 20
-0.03488 -0.03366 -0.032606 -0.03164 -0.030727 -0.029854 -0.029042
-0.012951 -0.011975 -0.011116 -0.010355 -0.009672 -0.009057
-0.0085
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 14
-0.019532
-0.005971
-0.001872
-0.000518
0
-0.000146
-0.000725
-0.001329
-0.001299
-0.000004
0
-0.003484
Year 15
-0.018267
-0.005794
-0.001817
-0.000502
0
-0.000166
-0.000754
-0.001382
-0.001351
-0.000004
0
-0.003623
Year 16
-0.01714
-0.005627
-0.001764
-0.000488
0
-0.000181
-0.000785
-0.001439
-0.001406
-0.000004
0
-0.003772
Year 17
-0.01612
-0.005461
-0.001712
-0.000473
0
-0.000192
-0.000814
-0.001492
-0.001458
-0.000005
0
-0.003912
Year 18
-0.015184
-0.005296
-0.00166
-0.000459
0
-0.000198
-0.000841
-0.00154
-0.001506
-0.000005
0
-0.004038
Year 19
-0.014321
-0.00513
-0.001609
-0.000445
0
-0.000201
-0.000864
-0.001583
-0.001547
-0.000005
0
-0.004149
Year 20
-0.013521
-0.004974
-0.001559
-0.000431
0
-0.000202
-0.000886
-0.001623
-0.001586
-0.000005
0
-0.004255
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 14
-0.002806
-0.004806
-0.000094
-0.000426
-0.000866
-0.000057
-0.000328
-0.00025
-0.000024
-0.000363
-0.000171
-0.000758
-0.000011
0
-0.001993
Year 15
-0.002624
-0.004397
-0.000088
-0.000399
-0.00081
-0.000053
-0.000307
-0.000234
-0.000022
-0.00034
-0.00016
-0.000709
-0.00001
0
-0.001823
Year 16
-0.002462
-0.00404
-0.000083
-0.000374
-0.00076
-0.00005
-0.000288
-0.000219
-0.000021
-0.000319
-0.00015
-0.000666
-0.000009
0
-0.001675
Year 17
-0.002316
-0.003729
-0.000078
-0.000352
-0.000715
-0.000047
-0.000271
-0.000206
-0.00002
-0.0003
-0.000141
-0.000626
-0.000009
0
-0.001546
Year 18
-0.002182
-0.003454
-0.000073
-0.000332
-0.000673
-0.000044
-0.000255
-0.000194
-0.000019
-0.000282
-0.000133
-0.00059
-0.000008
0
-0.001432
Year 19
-0.002058
-0.003211
-0.000069
-0.000313
-0.000635
-0.000041
-0.000241
-0.000183
-0.000017
-0.000266
-0.000125
-0.000556
-0.000008
0
-0.001332
Year 20
-0.001943
-0.002996
-0.000065
-0.000295
-0.0006
-0.000039
-0.000227
-0.000173
-0.000017
-0.000252
-0.000118
-0.000525
-0.000007
0
-0.001242
Page 27
Negative Economic Impact: Employment Losses
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 1
-128.1746
-128.1747
-120.1942
-7.530149
-7.061731
0.008203
-4.255723
-2.814211
-3.512026
-1.184591
-1.014689
-1.312745
-15.98598
-8.951418
-4.405975
-5.17786
-4.345745
-0.621819
-9.367981
-3.166161
0
Year 2
-96.51968
-96.51968
-90.55151
-6.072559
-5.140707
0.024816
-3.065012
-2.100511
-2.925735
-1.005102
-0.855658
-1.064975
-12.29937
-6.896454
-3.665512
-4.511452
-3.476917
-1.216751
-7.208241
-2.544403
0
Year 3
-73.19666
-73.19672
-68.50787
-4.929508
-3.847967
0.040013
-2.273081
-1.6149
-2.440096
-0.849896
-0.719074
-0.871126
-9.624584
-5.405014
-3.066855
-3.903145
-2.812748
-1.266716
-5.650185
-2.087421
0
Year 4
-52.32825
-52.32831
-48.79114
-3.79908
-2.73032
0.052032
-1.59846
-1.183891
-1.945013
-0.692842
-0.573622
-0.67855
-7.165409
-4.030766
-2.423105
-3.23521
-2.213135
-1.17482
-4.2159
-1.641535
0
Year 5
-38.97394
-38.97394
-36.17242
-3.036797
-2.051233
0.060101
-1.192043
-0.919291
-1.612232
-0.589818
-0.47122
-0.551193
-5.596619
-3.153061
-1.956436
-2.74152
-1.808697
-1.01181
-3.299862
-1.349094
0
Year 6
-17.81757
-17.81757
-16.25104
-1.68235
-0.853745
0.063408
-0.479046
-0.438108
-0.995712
-0.381823
-0.298705
-0.315185
-2.799904
-1.583183
-1.075256
-1.757061
-1.081528
-0.772705
-1.665375
-0.807882
0
Year 7
-8.979126
-8.979065
-7.952271
-1.054352
-0.385521
0.062198
-0.203535
-0.244184
-0.7078
-0.284178
-0.214409
-0.209211
-1.604012
-0.910187
-0.619778
-1.236305
-0.750462
-0.5177
-0.964138
-0.575397
0
Year 8
-2.780151
-2.780212
-2.156921
-0.574322
-0.041656
0.057862
-0.00145
-0.098072
-0.483337
-0.20414
-0.15202
-0.127176
-0.701172
-0.401192
-0.250999
-0.809155
-0.492611
-0.313332
-0.43399
-0.399075
0
Year 9
-1.10614
-1.106018
-0.627808
-0.393608
0.036438
0.050591
0.04344
-0.057592
-0.382854
-0.163247
-0.123279
-0.096327
-0.416016
-0.241142
-0.088667
-0.609207
-0.394173
-0.159897
-0.266502
-0.346588
0
Year 10
0.34375
0.34375
0.68811
-0.231789
0.116001
0.042474
0.089952
-0.016423
-0.287937
-0.123434
-0.097792
-0.066711
-0.146057
-0.089085
0.049351
-0.436523
-0.305183
-0.051567
-0.107391
-0.288239
0
Year 11
1.649963
1.649902
1.868408
-0.085209
0.200623
0.034509
0.139956
0.026155
-0.201042
-0.085696
-0.076487
-0.038859
0.115402
0.056927
0.170418
-0.286308
-0.227333
0.030121
0.045273
-0.235065
0
Year 12
0.878357
0.878418
1.101868
-0.104008
0.147732
0.027071
0.109039
0.011623
-0.190365
-0.075236
-0.074627
-0.040502
0.043724
0.014011
0.166059
-0.282639
-0.236961
0.080917
0.002041
-0.248615
0
Year 13
0.088684
0.088562
0.323303
-0.136806
0.100948
0.020532
0.082354
-0.001939
-0.188808
-0.068316
-0.07634
-0.044153
-0.035858
-0.033657
0.142319
-0.306564
-0.254177
0.104401
-0.046265
-0.265755
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
-0.23897
-0.20382
-0.182095
-6.799772
-12.22835
-3.73846
-9.44799
-3.122509
-3.013297
-12.07364
-6.444391
-12.5864
-3.968999
-15.05945
-2.669996
-11.43332
-3.224398
-6.282902
-7.475367
-7.980602
0
0
0
Year 2
-0.173271
-0.151056
-0.134973
-7.399632
-8.862757
-2.8185
-7.192101
-2.258096
-2.188223
-8.728773
-4.902491
-9.320274
-2.827177
-10.84427
-1.986049
-8.11895
-2.348099
-4.851292
-5.445559
-5.96817
0
0
0
Year 3
-0.128124
-0.113498
-0.102491
-6.532635
-6.564161
-2.145127
-5.490551
-1.660615
-1.629195
-6.423716
-3.756527
-6.990536
-2.037329
-7.90976
-1.530667
-5.904701
-1.753589
-3.825752
-4.008926
-4.688766
0
0
0
Year 4
-0.089845
-0.080865
-0.074784
-5.046587
-4.630758
-1.560116
-3.981701
-1.157325
-1.158481
-4.47331
-2.704582
-4.947479
-1.37992
-5.421661
-1.141559
-4.024323
-1.250044
-2.901878
-2.765877
-3.537151
0
0
0
Year 5
-0.066454
-0.060388
-0.057505
-3.653805
-3.458031
-1.196012
-3.023842
-0.852481
-0.873247
-3.28616
-2.016579
-3.672535
-0.988452
-3.905972
-0.902767
-2.901093
-0.943917
-2.315624
-1.997543
-2.801559
0
0
0
Year 6
-0.028711
-0.02775
-0.029966
-1.803505
-1.56329
-0.609282
-1.513737
-0.360191
-0.408389
-1.365505
-0.934425
-1.600609
-0.366957
-1.51149
-0.501331
-1.050072
-0.447456
-1.345169
-0.783188
-1.566563
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.014079
-0.014396
-0.018516
-0.545139
-0.820881
-0.370396
-0.900471
-0.170485
-0.225595
-0.622467
-0.474277
-0.769768
-0.140587
-0.603127
-0.334753
-0.412025
-0.253421
-0.93676
-0.325123
-1.02676
0
0
0
Year 8
-0.003762
-0.004893
-0.010255
0.354542
-0.291016
-0.199173
-0.474377
-0.036774
-0.094555
-0.098873
-0.152454
-0.188866
0.011909
0.011593
-0.210506
0.000168
-0.1156
-0.636169
-0.017906
-0.623222
0
0
0
Year 9
-0.001166
-0.002062
-0.007544
0.810925
-0.149593
-0.143854
-0.363853
-0.004415
-0.058405
0.021717
-0.066669
-0.049702
0.036405
0.125031
-0.169639
-0.014786
-0.080253
-0.540131
0.030205
-0.478294
0
0
0
Year 10
0.001311
0.00053
-0.005015
1.067883
-0.011116
-0.090403
-0.258167
0.027585
-0.023116
0.143089
0.001877
0.077991
0.063224
0.233772
-0.129381
0.000343
-0.044576
-0.451366
0.083591
-0.344368
0
0
0
Year 11
0.003898
0.003005
-0.002636
1.210014
0.127365
-0.039364
-0.160831
0.059902
0.011627
0.263687
0.060493
0.201187
0.092697
0.343658
-0.09073
0.024834
-0.009343
-0.365257
0.134155
-0.218449
0
0
0
Year 12
0.00282
0.002385
-0.002828
1.163967
0.084248
-0.04591
-0.206459
0.044414
0.00078
0.196087
0.014038
0.117157
0.064035
0.226219
-0.092478
-0.138618
-0.022382
-0.372551
0.066936
-0.223465
0
0
0
Year 13
0.001882
0.001793
-0.003046
1.043301
0.046757
-0.053421
-0.251469
0.030875
-0.00885
0.135895
-0.033146
0.038017
0.040258
0.122124
-0.09495
-0.283257
-0.034311
-0.380302
0.005203
-0.234776
0
0
0
Page 28
Negative Economic Impact: Employment Losses
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 14
-0.655334
-0.655273
-0.407104
-0.176121
0.061188
0.014996
0.060137
-0.013947
-0.193104
-0.064059
-0.080175
-0.048866
-0.114929
-0.081078
0.106815
-0.348198
-0.275932
0.112152
-0.094452
-0.28537
0
Year 15
-1.294556
-1.294495
-1.03479
-0.214291
0.028721
0.010452
0.04221
-0.023938
-0.199291
-0.061393
-0.084436
-0.053462
-0.185562
-0.123394
0.066486
-0.39814
-0.297852
0.110016
-0.137447
-0.303051
0
Year 16
-1.81073
-1.81073
-1.542847
-0.247696
0.00312
0.006829
0.028172
-0.031878
-0.205444
-0.059694
-0.088343
-0.057406
-0.244576
-0.158657
0.025623
-0.452301
-0.318836
0.102112
-0.17321
-0.317005
0
Year 17
-2.200195
-2.200134
-1.928345
-0.274113
-0.016449
0.003999
0.01742
-0.037868
-0.210274
-0.058587
-0.091345
-0.060346
-0.290565
-0.185993
-0.012268
-0.505219
-0.337048
0.092316
-0.200817
-0.326042
0
Year 18
-2.476563
-2.476501
-2.204956
-0.29335
-0.030952
0.001832
0.00935
-0.042136
-0.213348
-0.057878
-0.093239
-0.062232
-0.32431
-0.205921
-0.04623
-0.555405
-0.352451
0.081955
-0.220802
-0.330471
0
Year 19
-2.658203
-2.658203
-2.390198
-0.306034
-0.04137
0.000197
0.003412
-0.044981
-0.214661
-0.057331
-0.094147
-0.063181
-0.347397
-0.21944
-0.076008
-0.602493
-0.365208
0.072159
-0.234177
-0.331425
0
Year 20
-2.767151
-2.76709
-2.505371
-0.313705
-0.048645
-0.001009
-0.000856
-0.04678
-0.214836
-0.056902
-0.094471
-0.063462
-0.362358
-0.228069
-0.101959
-0.647881
-0.37632
0.063049
-0.242546
-0.329784
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 14
0.001094
0.001271
-0.003237
0.890884
0.01548
-0.060949
-0.293533
0.019415
-0.016966
0.08387
-0.077133
-0.031944
0.021156
0.033447
-0.097346
-0.4104
-0.044885
-0.386635
-0.050716
-0.2481
0
0
0
Year 15
0.000457
0.00084
-0.003355
0.733097
-0.009388
-0.067272
-0.327785
0.010068
-0.023263
0.040974
-0.113991
-0.089897
0.006352
-0.038162
-0.099149
-0.514832
-0.053265
-0.389156
-0.097084
-0.259666
0
0
0
Year 16
-0.00004
0.000502
-0.003405
0.583946
-0.028385
-0.071999
-0.353088
0.002679
-0.027828
0.00676
-0.142265
-0.135494
-0.004706
-0.093452
-0.10002
-0.596436
-0.059246
-0.386997
-0.133369
-0.267952
0
0
0
Year 17
-0.000415
0.000252
-0.00339
0.451252
-0.042397
-0.075026
-0.36927
-0.003006
-0.030826
-0.019634
-0.161148
-0.169521
-0.012699
-0.133919
-0.099913
-0.656563
-0.062784
-0.379726
-0.159599
-0.271778
0
0
0
Year 18
-0.000688
0.000055
-0.003299
0.337574
-0.052181
-0.076469
-0.37746
-0.007267
-0.032532
-0.039398
-0.17207
-0.19355
-0.018247
-0.16214
-0.099079
-0.698227
-0.064237
-0.368519
-0.177216
-0.271561
0
0
0
Year 19
-0.000878
-0.000097
-0.003164
0.244423
-0.058628
-0.076656
-0.379635
-0.010379
-0.033266
-0.053879
-0.176384
-0.209167
-0.021893
-0.180511
-0.097785
-0.725571
-0.064065
-0.354679
-0.188015
-0.267948
0
0
0
Year 20
-0.001004
-0.000211
-0.002998
0.168396
-0.062717
-0.075949
-0.37735
-0.012607
-0.033344
-0.064354
-0.175625
-0.218689
-0.024125
-0.191444
-0.095761
-0.742523
-0.06268
-0.338627
-0.193798
-0.261719
0
0
0
Page 29
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
-15.11392
-7.369911
-1.3426
-1.778512
-1.420194
-2.578015
-2.086843
-8.109268
-3.807595
-6.862701
-9.818634
-38.41644
-0.266162
-6.121368
-5.467648
-9.400387
-8.21451
Year 2
-11.27047
-5.450087
-0.99357
-1.284236
-1.04353
-1.900681
-1.530606
-5.833134
-2.811417
-5.227039
-7.174305
-28.54085
-0.195347
-6.07497
-4.233599
-6.867992
-6.087839
Year 3
-8.493561
-4.090899
-0.750169
-0.942843
-0.781363
-1.446245
-1.143267
-4.294827
-2.145984
-4.067116
-5.328671
-21.43547
-0.146129
-5.204391
-3.262701
-5.105154
-4.557892
Year 4
-6.037952
-2.904295
-0.536888
-0.649739
-0.553979
-1.05582
-0.810053
-2.974682
-1.56167
-3.035732
-3.73526
-15.2169
-0.103841
-3.967367
-2.357298
-3.601162
-3.225624
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 1
-26.57178
-26.79525
-26.79525
0
-27.08014
0
Year 2
-36.49045
-12.25011
-12.2501
-27.08014
-40.02814
0
Year 3
-39.22708
-5.538942
-5.53895
-40.02814
-46.44959
0
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
Year 11
Year 12
Year 13
-37.74948 -34.70645 -28.83164 -23.3746 -18.41443 -14.58594 -11.49057 -8.971893 -7.265961 -6.106842
-1.134951 1.029623 4.068937 4.581429 4.705903 4.160162 3.717052
3.36568 2.754201 2.267289
-1.134971 1.029586 4.068883 4.581359 4.705819 4.160067 3.716949 3.365572
2.75409 2.267177
-46.44959 -48.52692 -48.42365 -45.20587 -41.36157 -37.27081 -33.60712 -30.27698 -27.19434 -24.62738
-48.52686 -48.42358 -45.20587 -41.36151 -37.27081 -33.60718 -30.27692 -27.19434 -24.62738 -22.46234
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 1
-2.806583
-2.110973
-1.682087
-1.763969
-4.260761
-3.897217
-2.846611
-2.120399
-1.855064
-1.349907
-1.001694
-0.74012
-0.644726
0
0
0
0
0
Year 2
-4.200962
-3.169792
-2.532661
-2.361496
-5.823643
-5.865688
-4.348606
-3.199062
-2.760506
-2.060452
-1.518623
-1.108147
-0.976479
-0.101997
0
0
0
0
Year 3
-4.923721
-3.742992
-3.001789
-2.532631
-6.032043
-6.916576
-5.243187
-3.814857
-3.217518
-2.482254
-1.815033
-1.316986
-1.150475
-0.259483
0
0
0
0
Year 4
-5.181122
-3.982456
-3.21505
-2.527161
-5.303532
-7.326473
-5.73151
-4.131264
-3.366943
-2.711105
-1.963905
-1.426758
-1.206779
-0.452827
0
0
0
0
Year 5
-4.485573
-2.165501
-0.404222
-0.470976
-0.412596
-0.816368
-0.604749
-2.176598
-1.195807
-2.387199
-2.752579
-11.31149
-0.077742
-2.890692
-1.754436
-2.67729
-2.390141
Year 5
-5.196667
-4.033051
-3.298409
-2.526901
-4.170547
-7.292694
-5.992683
-4.307686
-3.371628
-2.834763
-2.041862
-1.491776
-1.19397
-0.670979
0
0
0
0
Page 30
Year 6
-1.995983
-0.962955
-0.184996
-0.183156
-0.186684
-0.417658
-0.273337
-0.857529
-0.596081
-1.320137
-1.177177
-5.122345
-0.035609
-1.414671
-0.816139
-1.196812
-1.076317
Year 6
-4.575676
-4.108593
-3.188553
-2.429008
-2.687603
-6.593185
-5.888733
-4.263107
-3.185741
-2.790508
-2.01355
-1.48008
-1.100945
-0.900604
0
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.972923
-0.479349
-0.096944
-0.077664
-0.095953
-0.258208
-0.142497
-0.382828
-0.348936
-0.881058
-0.568581
-2.620224
-0.018885
-0.483818
-0.397993
-0.61042
-0.54277
Year 7
-3.941048
-4.017807
-3.040649
-2.319691
-1.481613
-5.452454
-5.686813
-4.197327
-3.008743
-2.66626
-1.976509
-1.448441
-1.01532
-1.013878
-0.094971
0
0
0
Year 8
-0.252113
-0.137817
-0.034338
-0.007444
-0.032529
-0.142969
-0.050585
-0.06707
-0.171059
-0.562614
-0.150444
-0.875839
-0.007037
0.180664
-0.102558
-0.19632
-0.170135
Year 8
-3.295631
-3.830742
-2.873657
-2.210629
-0.588821
-4.007641
-5.402824
-4.128963
-2.857105
-2.490501
-1.939262
-1.408379
-0.947083
-1.048485
-0.2411
0
0
0
Year 9
-0.062073
-0.051067
-0.018556
-0.000438
-0.016355
-0.112372
-0.028
-0.050747
-0.119263
-0.469627
-0.068668
-0.435745
-0.003866
0.499557
-0.009586
-0.088665
-0.07058
Year 9
-2.711014
-3.607853
-2.720917
-2.132446
-0.094646
-2.409092
-5.098339
-4.104351
-2.771938
-2.301884
-1.923748
-1.378281
-0.911453
-1.021477
-0.419731
0
0
0
Year 10
Year 11
Year 12
Year 13
0.107368 0.264656 0.174667 0.08551
0.029524
0.1073 0.064671 0.024273
-0.003549 0.011076 0.003304 -0.004061
0.008981 0.018554 -0.000335 -0.017366
-0.001439 0.012829 0.005147 -0.002156
-0.081223 -0.050981 -0.061036 -0.070746
-0.006169 0.015018 0.003717 -0.006762
-0.019482 0.015965 -0.083439 -0.172417
-0.070856 -0.02459 -0.039267 -0.054218
-0.381962 -0.296741 -0.314781 -0.332203
0.013035 0.092743 0.018578 -0.049442
-0.032776 0.342758 0.120422 -0.095123
-0.000857 0.002138
0.00101 -0.000033
0.686497 0.797516 0.759403 0.672825
0.063778 0.124962 0.093512 0.05714
0.013809 0.114021 0.071899 0.033302
0.019032 0.102676 0.060909 0.020061
Year 10
-2.172302
-3.368755
-2.560299
-2.065025
0.074722
-0.825043
-4.672241
-4.084351
-2.738132
-2.121113
-1.913982
-1.357933
-0.901077
-0.951225
-0.620155
0
0
0
Year 11
-1.688938
-2.801819
-2.677013
-1.997215
0.038509
0.553543
-4.042248
-4.031174
-2.741371
-1.968513
-1.894485
-1.347527
-0.906815
-0.859421
-0.829815
0
0
0
Year 12
-1.26984
-2.320614
-2.708405
-1.956852
-0.102745
1.475246
-3.117775
-3.985611
-2.807064
-1.893562
-1.845463
-1.365143
-0.922684
-0.788635
-0.933029
-0.085121
0
0
Year 13
-0.901733
-1.884583
-2.689743
-1.932728
-0.294895
1.984486
-1.974377
-3.919113
-2.916946
-1.883705
-1.774124
-1.403744
-0.946701
-0.744873
-0.964081
-0.215469
0
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 14
0.003395
-0.011692
-0.01063
-0.032546
-0.008633
-0.079541
-0.01603
-0.251053
-0.068068
-0.34726
-0.109802
-0.291733
-0.000949
0.566303
0.020599
-0.000378
-0.0172
Year 15
-0.066559
-0.041603
-0.016073
-0.045059
-0.013958
-0.086692
-0.023585
-0.315842
-0.079508
-0.357399
-0.159264
-0.456131
-0.001699
0.457527
-0.012201
-0.027935
-0.048515
Year 16
-0.122993
-0.065239
-0.020326
-0.054832
-0.018085
-0.091933
-0.029364
-0.366524
-0.088165
-0.361805
-0.197384
-0.585159
-0.002278
0.355736
-0.039696
-0.049419
-0.073318
Year 17
-0.165871
-0.082916
-0.023435
-0.06195
-0.02106
-0.095262
-0.033429
-0.403809
-0.093861
-0.360157
-0.224442
-0.679062
-0.002697
0.266029
-0.06118
-0.065334
-0.09169
Year 18
-0.196861
-0.09544
-0.025555
-0.066793
-0.023046
-0.097014
-0.036037
-0.429535
-0.097002
-0.353695
-0.242104
-0.742355
-0.002978
0.189896
-0.077093
-0.076439
-0.104462
Year 19
-0.217781
-0.103657
-0.026859
-0.069858
-0.024212
-0.09759
-0.03748
-0.446251
-0.098055
-0.343819
-0.2523
-0.780884
-0.003146
0.12809
-0.088093
-0.083683
-0.112614
Year 20
-0.231064
-0.108704
-0.027557
-0.071611
-0.024779
-0.097068
-0.038063
-0.456367
-0.097509
-0.3312
-0.256901
-0.800659
-0.003231
0.078167
-0.095263
-0.088074
-0.117241
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 14
-5.335999
1.879536
1.879421
-22.46234
-20.61108
0
Year 15
-4.830597
1.576277
1.576161
-20.61115
-19.00031
0
Year 16
-4.499847
1.339906
1.339788
-19.00037
-17.57526
0
Year 17
-4.380402
1.193461
1.193342
-17.57532
-16.25818
0
Year 18
-4.275848
1.071678
1.071523
-16.25812
-15.03607
0
Year 19
-4.184845
0.974995
0.974788
-15.03601
-13.89502
0
Year 20
-4.09549
0.896415
0.896146
-13.89514
-12.82703
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 14
-0.571739
-1.495895
-2.624432
-1.912247
-0.498882
2.120029
-0.658272
-3.818169
-3.059059
-1.930763
-1.683395
-1.4589
-0.976494
-0.730377
-0.938816
-0.373684
0
0
Year 15
-0.276962
-1.142296
-2.53434
-1.874714
-0.689526
1.951172
0.657799
-3.58527
-3.196167
-2.022106
-1.595352
-1.516014
-1.012497
-0.73983
-0.87455
-0.549664
0
0
Year 16
-0.019939
-0.835949
-2.110703
-2.107895
-0.852905
1.593208
1.778168
-3.142151
-3.292934
-2.146011
-1.531925
-1.56118
-1.055603
-0.766296
-0.791206
-0.731941
0
0
Year 17
0.201553
-0.553665
-1.740288
-2.228725
-0.988628
1.203773
2.500504
-2.363518
-3.363346
-2.304878
-1.525574
-1.562702
-1.114208
-0.798027
-0.727249
-0.821354
-0.071835
0
Year 18
0.380531
-0.290588
-1.389339
-2.278606
-1.098362
0.821533
2.857174
-1.333351
-3.386116
-2.486141
-1.567986
-1.530762
-1.183887
-0.833817
-0.687943
-0.847542
-0.180862
0
Year 19
0.512486
-0.040123
-1.065094
-2.265274
-1.179039
0.473938
2.877827
-0.10416
-3.35313
-2.682098
-1.65411
-1.470505
-1.262165
-0.871964
-0.675186
-0.82468
-0.311783
0
Year 20
0.595112
0.194946
-0.75988
-2.214321
-1.218273
0.175655
2.623508
1.145966
-3.171982
-2.859543
-1.774296
-1.405762
-1.336456
-0.913536
-0.684135
-0.768486
-0.455486
0
Page 31
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
Year 11
Year 12
Year 13
-0.535694 -0.440158 -0.370402 -0.301386 -0.255704 -0.16975 -0.130533
-0.099 -0.085811 -0.07265 -0.060217 -0.057847 -0.05629
0.099664 0.024224 -0.023529 -0.058516 -0.07819 -0.101139 -0.104658 -0.103352 -0.095944 -0.088644 -0.081805 -0.073241 -0.065828
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
-0.034999
-0.189172
-0.059311
-0.016399
0
-0.030008
-0.021823
-0.039981
-0.039075
-0.000123
0
-0.104805
Year 2
-0.051345
-0.144018
-0.045154
-0.012484
0
-0.02205
-0.017507
-0.032075
-0.031347
-0.000098
0
-0.084078
Year 3
-0.058899
-0.114085
-0.035769
-0.00989
0
-0.016737
-0.014317
-0.02623
-0.025635
-0.000081
0
-0.068758
Year 4
-0.060792
-0.08742
-0.027409
-0.007578
0
-0.012089
-0.01125
-0.020611
-0.020144
-0.000063
0
-0.054029
Year 5
-0.059883
-0.071392
-0.022383
-0.006189
0
-0.009282
-0.00918
-0.016819
-0.016437
-0.000052
0
-0.044087
Year 6
-0.055172
-0.042137
-0.013211
-0.003653
0
-0.004298
-0.005437
-0.009962
-0.009736
-0.000031
0
-0.026113
Year 7
-0.049759
-0.030841
-0.00967
-0.002674
0
-0.002403
-0.003731
-0.006836
-0.006681
-0.000021
0
-0.017919
Year 8
-0.044178
-0.022269
-0.006982
-0.00193
0
-0.001003
-0.0024
-0.004398
-0.004298
-0.000013
0
-0.011528
Year 9
-0.040164
-0.01936
-0.00607
-0.001678
0
-0.000702
-0.001891
-0.003465
-0.003386
-0.000011
0
-0.009083
Year 10
-0.0363
-0.016045
-0.00503
-0.001391
0
-0.00036
-0.001434
-0.002627
-0.002568
-0.000008
0
-0.006887
Year 11
-0.032704
-0.012682
-0.003976
-0.001099
0
0.000002
-0.001035
-0.001896
-0.001853
-0.000006
0
-0.004969
Year 12
-0.029684
-0.012623
-0.003958
-0.001094
0
-0.000207
-0.00109
-0.001997
-0.001952
-0.000006
0
-0.005236
Year 13
-0.027138
-0.012565
-0.003939
-0.001089
0
-0.000388
-0.001184
-0.00217
-0.002121
-0.000007
0
-0.005689
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
-0.015452
0.094406
-0.00052
-0.002348
-0.004767
-0.000311
-0.001806
-0.001376
-0.000131
-0.002
-0.00094
-0.004176
-0.000058
0
0.039146
Year 2
-0.022441
0.051914
-0.000755
-0.003411
-0.006923
-0.000452
-0.002624
-0.001999
-0.000191
-0.002905
-0.001365
-0.006066
-0.000085
0
0.021526
Year 3
-0.026488
0.024432
-0.000891
-0.004026
-0.008172
-0.000534
-0.003097
-0.00236
-0.000225
-0.003429
-0.001611
-0.00716
-0.0001
0
0.010131
Year 4
-0.028132
0.002248
-0.000946
-0.004276
-0.008679
-0.000567
-0.003289
-0.002506
-0.000239
-0.003642
-0.001711
-0.007604
-0.000106
0
0.000932
Year 5
-0.028515
-0.011065
-0.000959
-0.004334
-0.008797
-0.000575
-0.003334
-0.00254
-0.000242
-0.003691
-0.001735
-0.007708
-0.000108
0
-0.004588
Year 6
-0.027032
-0.029586
-0.000909
-0.004108
-0.00834
-0.000545
-0.00316
-0.002408
-0.00023
-0.003499
-0.001644
-0.007307
-0.000102
0
-0.012268
Year 7
-0.025087
-0.035089
-0.000844
-0.003813
-0.00774
-0.000506
-0.002933
-0.002235
-0.000213
-0.003248
-0.001526
-0.006781
-0.000095
0
-0.01455
Year 8
-0.022918
-0.037528
-0.000771
-0.003483
-0.007071
-0.000462
-0.002679
-0.002042
-0.000195
-0.002967
-0.001394
-0.006195
-0.000087
0
-0.015561
Year 9
-0.020838
-0.035516
-0.000701
-0.003167
-0.006429
-0.00042
-0.002436
-0.001856
-0.000177
-0.002698
-0.001268
-0.005632
-0.000079
0
-0.014727
Year 10
-0.018836
-0.03346
-0.000634
-0.002863
-0.005811
-0.00038
-0.002202
-0.001678
-0.00016
-0.002438
-0.001146
-0.005091
-0.000071
0
-0.013874
Year 11
-0.016971
-0.031516
-0.000571
-0.002579
-0.005236
-0.000342
-0.001984
-0.001512
-0.000144
-0.002197
-0.001032
-0.004587
-0.000064
0
-0.013068
Year 12
-0.015406
-0.027889
-0.000518
-0.002341
-0.004753
-0.000311
-0.001801
-0.001372
-0.000131
-0.001994
-0.000937
-0.004164
-0.000058
0
-0.011564
Year 13
-0.014086
-0.024695
-0.000474
-0.002141
-0.004346
-0.000284
-0.001647
-0.001255
-0.00012
-0.001824
-0.000857
-0.003807
-0.000053
0
-0.01024
Page 32
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 14
Year 15
Year 16
Year 17
Year 18
Year 19
Year 20
-0.055326 -0.054544 -0.053807 -0.052947 -0.051936 -0.050801 -0.049622
-0.059369 -0.053733 -0.048838 -0.044486 -0.040579 -0.03705 -0.033838
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 14
-0.024955
-0.012536
-0.00393
-0.001087
0
-0.000543
-0.001301
-0.002384
-0.00233
-0.000007
0
-0.006251
Year 15
-0.023048
-0.012461
-0.003907
-0.00108
0
-0.000667
-0.001419
-0.002599
-0.00254
-0.000008
0
-0.006814
Year 16
-0.021365
-0.012321
-0.003863
-0.001068
0
-0.000758
-0.00153
-0.002804
-0.00274
-0.000009
0
-0.007349
Year 17
-0.01982
-0.012118
-0.003799
-0.00105
0
-0.000819
-0.001627
-0.00298
-0.002912
-0.000009
0
-0.007812
Year 18
-0.018387
-0.011848
-0.003715
-0.001027
0
-0.000855
-0.001708
-0.003129
-0.003058
-0.00001
0
-0.008201
Year 19
-0.017048
-0.011534
-0.003616
-0.001
0
-0.000869
-0.001774
-0.003251
-0.003177
-0.00001
0
-0.008522
Year 20
-0.015789
-0.011203
-0.003512
-0.000971
0
-0.000869
-0.001832
-0.003356
-0.00328
-0.00001
0
-0.008798
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 14
-0.012955
-0.021884
-0.000436
-0.001969
-0.003997
-0.000261
-0.001515
-0.001154
-0.00011
-0.001677
-0.000788
-0.003502
-0.000049
0
-0.009074
Year 15
-0.011966
-0.019433
-0.000403
-0.001819
-0.003692
-0.000241
-0.001399
-0.001066
-0.000102
-0.001549
-0.000728
-0.003234
-0.000045
0
-0.008058
Year 16
-0.011093
-0.017325
-0.000373
-0.001686
-0.003422
-0.000224
-0.001297
-0.000988
-0.000094
-0.001436
-0.000675
-0.002998
-0.000042
0
-0.007184
Year 17
-0.010292
-0.01549
-0.000346
-0.001564
-0.003175
-0.000207
-0.001203
-0.000917
-0.000087
-0.001332
-0.000626
-0.002782
-0.000039
0
-0.006423
Year 18
-0.009549
-0.013881
-0.000321
-0.001451
-0.002946
-0.000192
-0.001116
-0.000851
-0.000081
-0.001236
-0.000581
-0.002581
-0.000036
0
-0.005756
Year 19
-0.008855
-0.012463
-0.000298
-0.001346
-0.002732
-0.000178
-0.001035
-0.000789
-0.000075
-0.001146
-0.000539
-0.002393
-0.000033
0
-0.005168
Year 20
-0.008202
-0.011204
-0.000276
-0.001247
-0.00253
-0.000165
-0.000959
-0.000731
-0.00007
-0.001062
-0.000499
-0.002217
-0.000031
0
-0.004646
Page 33
Negative Economic Impact: Employment Losses
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 1
-383.341
-383.341
-356.298
-26.101
-19.795
0.022
-13.627
-6.19
-6.946
-3.267
-3.635
-0.044
-49.529
-28.755
-13.555
-15.428
-12.882
-0.598
-30.17
-9.348
0
Year 2
-287.474
-287.474
-267.34
-20.945
-14.156
0.07
-9.761
-4.465
-6.092
-2.803
-3.027
-0.262
-37.926
-22.01
-11.235
-13.409
-10.335
-1.182
-23.065
-7.555
0
Year 3
-217.52
-217.52
-201.75
-16.939
-10.384
0.113
-7.182
-3.315
-5.269
-2.389
-2.535
-0.344
-29.532
-17.145
-9.376
-11.614
-8.399
-1.228
-17.971
-6.261
0
Year 4
-155.334
-155.334
-143.471
-13.017
-7.176
0.148
-4.995
-2.329
-4.355
-1.965
-2.027
-0.363
-21.86
-12.698
-7.399
-9.661
-6.651
-1.141
-13.32
-4.995
0
Year 5
-115.669
-115.669
-106.295
-10.388
-5.244
0.172
-3.678
-1.737
-3.716
-1.684
-1.676
-0.356
-16.971
-9.866
-5.971
-8.23
-5.474
-0.985
-10.358
-4.168
0
Year 6
-53.182
-53.182
-47.957
-5.76
-1.926
0.182
-1.41
-0.698
-2.517
-1.12
-1.08
-0.318
-8.384
-4.877
-3.302
-5.365
-3.355
-0.757
-5.151
-2.622
0
Year 7
-26.998
-26.998
-23.589
-3.616
-0.655
0.179
-0.537
-0.298
-1.92
-0.85
-0.79
-0.281
-4.709
-2.741
-1.917
-3.852
-2.382
-0.512
-2.92
-1.95
0
Year 8
-8.573
-8.573
-6.52
-1.979
0.261
0.168
0.097
-0.003
-1.447
-0.628
-0.572
-0.247
-1.946
-1.133
-0.794
-2.606
-1.619
-0.315
-1.241
-1.435
0
Year 9
-3.39
-3.39
-1.826
-1.354
0.442
0.148
0.232
0.062
-1.193
-0.509
-0.467
-0.218
-1.069
-0.627
-0.288
-2.014
-1.317
-0.165
-0.709
-1.266
0
Year 10
1.027
1.027
2.142
-0.8
0.624
0.125
0.37
0.129
-0.959
-0.393
-0.374
-0.192
-0.257
-0.157
0.141
-1.499
-1.044
-0.058
-0.216
-1.084
0
Year 11
4.988
4.987
5.685
-0.3
0.82
0.103
0.516
0.201
-0.748
-0.285
-0.294
-0.169
0.52
0.291
0.516
-1.05
-0.806
0.023
0.254
-0.916
0
Year 12
2.866
2.866
3.579
-0.354
0.647
0.082
0.409
0.155
-0.685
-0.25
-0.281
-0.154
0.293
0.149
0.517
-1.019
-0.817
0.075
0.111
-0.934
0
Year 13
0.66
0.66
1.411
-0.456
0.496
0.063
0.317
0.115
-0.65
-0.226
-0.28
-0.143
0.039
-0.007
0.456
-1.07
-0.853
0.1
-0.047
-0.965
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
-2.297
-0.503
-1.178
-22.866
-26.525
-13.033
-30.189
-12.577
-10.232
-38.297
-18.379
-36.51
-7.681
-44.681
-7.995
-30.615
-10.652
-18.992
-23.097
-27.043
0
0
0
Year 2
-1.651
-0.374
-0.867
-23.96
-19.237
-9.729
-22.726
-9.076
-7.392
-27.657
-13.65
-26.837
-5.471
-32.064
-5.916
-21.757
-7.716
-14.503
-16.759
-20.134
0
0
0
Year 3
-1.213
-0.281
-0.657
-20.888
-14.258
-7.369
-17.26
-6.666
-5.477
-20.339
-10.237
-19.97
-3.943
-23.333
-4.53
-15.902
-5.736
-11.369
-12.322
-15.77
0
0
0
Year 4
-0.846
-0.199
-0.479
-16.055
-10.076
-5.343
-12.486
-4.642
-3.874
-14.159
-7.2
-13.996
-2.672
-15.959
-3.352
-10.953
-4.073
-8.592
-8.514
-11.864
0
0
0
Year 5
-0.626
-0.148
-0.37
-11.659
-7.544
-4.093
-9.489
-3.42
-2.907
-10.402
-5.25
-10.282
-1.914
-11.475
-2.633
-7.999
-3.068
-6.849
-6.168
-9.374
0
0
0
Year 6
-0.268
-0.066
-0.196
-5.794
-3.446
-2.09
-4.786
-1.447
-1.34
-4.332
-2.236
-4.312
-0.71
-4.413
-1.43
-3.176
-1.442
-3.98
-2.492
-5.225
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.132
-0.033
-0.124
-1.897
-1.839
-1.276
-2.879
-0.687
-0.727
-1.984
-0.984
-1.934
-0.271
-1.727
-0.936
-1.483
-0.807
-2.776
-1.092
-3.41
0
0
0
Year 8
-0.035
-0.009
-0.071
0.898
-0.686
-0.69
-1.546
-0.151
-0.288
-0.326
-0.119
-0.282
0.025
0.096
-0.569
-0.376
-0.354
-1.889
-0.147
-2.054
0
0
0
Year 9
-0.01
-0.002
-0.054
2.314
-0.366
-0.496
-1.182
-0.018
-0.167
0.064
0.098
0.097
0.074
0.447
-0.451
-0.364
-0.234
-1.601
0.025
-1.563
0
0
0
Year 10
0.014
0.004
-0.037
3.133
-0.054
-0.311
-0.845
0.112
-0.05
0.449
0.268
0.437
0.127
0.776
-0.334
-0.294
-0.114
-1.336
0.198
-1.116
0
0
0
Year 11
0.038
0.01
-0.022
3.606
0.259
-0.135
-0.533
0.244
0.065
0.833
0.412
0.762
0.184
1.104
-0.222
-0.206
0.004
-1.08
0.36
-0.697
0
0
0
Year 12
0.028
0.009
-0.023
3.489
0.176
-0.152
-0.658
0.184
0.028
0.625
0.269
0.498
0.129
0.762
-0.23
-0.596
-0.034
-1.097
0.173
-0.713
0
0
0
Year 13
0.019
0.007
-0.024
3.146
0.104
-0.173
-0.783
0.132
-0.004
0.439
0.127
0.251
0.082
0.456
-0.239
-0.943
-0.069
-1.115
0
-0.751
0
0
0
Page 34
Negative Economic Impact: Employment Losses
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 14
-1.432
-1.432
-0.636
-0.58
0.368
0.048
0.239
0.082
-0.634
-0.21
-0.287
-0.137
-0.212
-0.162
0.358
-1.175
-0.905
0.11
-0.204
-1.005
0
Year 15
-3.246
-3.246
-2.409
-0.701
0.264
0.034
0.175
0.054
-0.627
-0.198
-0.296
-0.133
-0.438
-0.3
0.243
-1.308
-0.96
0.11
-0.345
-1.041
0
Year 16
-4.728
-4.728
-3.861
-0.809
0.181
0.024
0.125
0.032
-0.624
-0.191
-0.304
-0.129
-0.628
-0.417
0.124
-1.456
-1.014
0.104
-0.464
-1.068
0
Year 17
-5.857
-5.857
-4.976
-0.894
0.116
0.016
0.086
0.015
-0.622
-0.185
-0.311
-0.126
-0.778
-0.508
0.011
-1.605
-1.062
0.095
-0.556
-1.084
0
Year 18
-6.67
-6.67
-5.786
-0.957
0.067
0.009
0.056
0.002
-0.619
-0.181
-0.314
-0.123
-0.889
-0.576
-0.092
-1.748
-1.104
0.086
-0.624
-1.087
0
Year 19
-7.213
-7.213
-6.338
-0.998
0.03
0.004
0.033
-0.007
-0.613
-0.178
-0.315
-0.12
-0.967
-0.623
-0.183
-1.884
-1.138
0.076
-0.671
-1.081
0
Year 20
-7.546
-7.546
-6.689
-1.022
0.003
0.001
0.017
-0.014
-0.606
-0.175
-0.314
-0.117
-1.019
-0.654
-0.263
-2.017
-1.169
0.068
-0.701
-1.068
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 14
0.011
0.005
-0.025
2.706
0.043
-0.194
-0.899
0.088
-0.032
0.278
-0.005
0.033
0.045
0.194
-0.247
-1.249
-0.1
-1.131
-0.157
-0.796
0
0
0
Year 15
0.004
0.004
-0.026
2.244
-0.005
-0.212
-0.993
0.051
-0.053
0.146
-0.117
-0.148
0.016
-0.02
-0.254
-1.5
-0.124
-1.137
-0.287
-0.836
0
0
0
Year 16
-0.001
0.003
-0.026
1.804
-0.042
-0.225
-1.063
0.023
-0.069
0.04
-0.206
-0.291
-0.006
-0.186
-0.258
-1.696
-0.142
-1.131
-0.39
-0.866
0
0
0
Year 17
-0.004
0.001
-0.026
1.408
-0.07
-0.233
-1.106
0.001
-0.08
-0.042
-0.27
-0.399
-0.022
-0.309
-0.259
-1.838
-0.154
-1.11
-0.465
-0.882
0
0
0
Year 18
-0.007
0.001
-0.025
1.066
-0.089
-0.237
-1.126
-0.015
-0.087
-0.103
-0.312
-0.477
-0.033
-0.397
-0.257
-1.934
-0.159
-1.078
-0.515
-0.884
0
0
0
Year 19
-0.009
0
-0.024
0.784
-0.102
-0.237
-1.128
-0.027
-0.09
-0.148
-0.337
-0.528
-0.04
-0.455
-0.255
-1.994
-0.16
-1.039
-0.546
-0.875
0
0
0
Year 20
-0.011
-0.001
-0.023
0.551
-0.111
-0.234
-1.118
-0.036
-0.091
-0.181
-0.348
-0.561
-0.045
-0.491
-0.25
-2.028
-0.158
-0.993
-0.562
-0.857
0
0
0
Page 35
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
-44.515
-21.071
-3.897
-5.175
-4.218
-7.716
-6.428
-22.497
-12.188
-20.81
-29.824
-117.034
-1.622
-19.997
-16.74
-23.186
-26.425
Year 2
-33.084
-15.529
-2.871
-3.731
-3.082
-5.669
-4.688
-16.187
-8.967
-15.701
-21.69
-86.451
-1.174
-19.377
-12.853
-16.948
-19.474
Year 3
-24.88
-11.621
-2.161
-2.742
-2.297
-4.3
-3.486
-11.964
-6.836
-12.153
-16.069
-64.704
-0.869
-16.452
-9.852
-12.603
-14.532
Year 4
-17.659
-8.223
-1.542
-1.898
-1.621
-3.129
-2.46
-8.354
-4.974
-9.043
-11.252
-45.826
-0.611
-12.495
-7.089
-8.897
-10.262
Year 5
-13.102
-6.109
-1.158
-1.384
-1.201
-2.413
-1.831
-6.173
-3.809
-7.105
-8.293
-34.03
-0.455
-9.124
-5.263
-6.619
-7.6
Year 6
-5.832
-2.689
-0.527
-0.564
-0.535
-1.229
-0.821
-2.598
-1.908
-3.935
-3.577
-15.429
-0.202
-4.494
-2.44
-2.981
-3.42
Year 7
-2.837
-1.313
-0.273
-0.259
-0.268
-0.755
-0.423
-1.288
-1.121
-2.632
-1.747
-7.909
-0.104
-1.623
-1.186
-1.533
-1.727
Year 8
-0.722
-0.342
-0.093
-0.055
-0.082
-0.411
-0.144
-0.407
-0.552
-1.685
-0.483
-2.651
-0.034
0.433
-0.298
-0.508
-0.54
Year 9
-0.147
-0.093
-0.047
-0.027
-0.035
-0.318
-0.073
-0.324
-0.381
-1.401
-0.215
-1.278
-0.016
1.423
-0.012
-0.232
-0.215
Year 10
0.357
0.134
-0.004
0.004
0.008
-0.224
-0.007
-0.215
-0.223
-1.136
0.042
-0.042
0.002
2.016
0.212
0.027
0.077
Year 11
0.821
0.35
0.038
0.035
0.048
-0.134
0.058
-0.1
-0.074
-0.878
0.291
1.106
0.02
2.38
0.399
0.278
0.349
Year 12
0.568
0.227
0.015
-0.014
0.025
-0.161
0.024
-0.343
-0.117
-0.924
0.085
0.475
0.013
2.28
0.311
0.179
0.223
Year 13
0.315
0.109
-0.006
-0.058
0.002
-0.188
-0.007
-0.563
-0.162
-0.97
-0.106
-0.141
0.007
2.034
0.207
0.087
0.1
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 1
-83.272
-87.059
-87.059
0
-88.069
0
Year 2
-115.195
-42.452
-42.452
-88.069
-133.025
0
Year 3
-125.095
-21.194
-21.194
-133.025
-157.44
0
Year 4
-121.733
-6.516
-6.516
-157.439
-167.45
0
Year 5
-113.25
1.186
1.186
-167.45
-169.75
0
Year 6
-95.715
11.985
11.985
-169.75
-161.012
0
Year 7
-79.071
14.457
14.457
-161.012
-149.403
0
Year 8
-63.669
15.52
15.52
-149.403
-136.287
0
Year 9
-51.549
14.174
14.174
-136.287
-124.072
0
Year 10
-41.581
13.017
13.017
-124.072
-112.594
0
Year 11
-33.255
12.031
12.031
-112.594
-101.702
0
Year 12
-27.392
10.069
10.068
-101.702
-92.398
0
Year 13
-23.228
8.439
8.439
-92.398
-84.393
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 1
-9.221
-6.858
-5.465
-5.73
-13.841
-12.66
-9.247
-6.888
-6.025
-4.384
-3.253
-2.403
-2.093
0
0
0
0
0
Year 2
-14.281
-10.506
-8.394
-7.845
-19.336
-19.436
-14.404
-10.598
-9.146
-6.822
-5.027
-3.668
-3.232
-0.331
0
0
0
0
Year 3
-17.297
-12.628
-10.125
-8.589
-20.48
-23.327
-17.664
-12.857
-10.853
-8.357
-6.109
-4.432
-3.873
-0.851
0
0
0
0
Year 4
-18.797
-13.647
-11.012
-8.722
-18.464
-25.101
-19.589
-14.128
-11.539
-9.257
-6.704
-4.867
-4.125
-1.499
0
0
0
0
Year 5
-19.445
-14.008
-11.444
-8.829
-14.965
-25.349
-20.728
-14.906
-11.713
-9.792
-7.051
-5.144
-4.137
-2.238
0
0
0
0
Year 6
-17.805
-14.482
-11.197
-8.573
-10.131
-23.299
-20.6
-14.907
-11.207
-9.744
-7.024
-5.151
-3.865
-3.025
0
0
0
0
Year 7
-15.811
-14.533
-10.78
-8.251
-6.048
-19.675
-20.076
-14.786
-10.678
-9.4
-6.943
-5.076
-3.597
-3.443
-0.306
0
0
0
Year 8
-13.575
-14.299
-10.262
-7.905
-2.9
-14.915
-19.215
-14.615
-10.193
-8.853
-6.84
-4.958
-3.369
-3.6
-0.786
0
0
0
Year 9
-11.407
-13.938
-9.764
-7.645
-1.03
-9.528
-18.236
-14.559
-9.902
-8.237
-6.796
-4.862
-3.239
-3.546
-1.381
0
0
0
Year 10
-9.312
-13.488
-9.221
-7.41
-0.239
-4.077
-16.82
-14.5
-9.768
-7.624
-6.762
-4.791
-3.188
-3.336
-2.057
0
0
0
Year 11
-7.365
-11.822
-9.661
-7.167
-0.166
0.783
-14.702
-14.322
-9.751
-7.087
-6.692
-4.747
-3.19
-3.042
-2.772
0
0
0
Year 12
-5.633
-10.19
-9.997
-7.012
-0.497
4.187
-11.585
-14.161
-9.941
-6.796
-6.525
-4.793
-3.228
-2.803
-3.151
-0.273
0
0
Year 13
-4.093
-8.561
-10.249
-6.911
-1.05
6.223
-7.699
-13.928
-10.285
-6.719
-6.28
-4.909
-3.295
-2.644
-3.293
-0.699
0
0
Page 36
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 14
0.08
0.004
-0.025
-0.098
-0.017
-0.213
-0.035
-0.757
-0.204
-1.01
-0.276
-0.704
0.001
1.725
0.102
0.005
-0.012
Year 15
-0.122
-0.084
-0.041
-0.131
-0.034
-0.233
-0.057
-0.917
-0.239
-1.036
-0.415
-1.178
-0.003
1.407
0.007
-0.063
-0.107
Year 16
-0.287
-0.154
-0.053
-0.156
-0.047
-0.247
-0.074
-1.043
-0.266
-1.048
-0.524
-1.554
-0.007
1.106
-0.074
-0.116
-0.183
Year 17
-0.414
-0.207
-0.063
-0.175
-0.056
-0.257
-0.087
-1.134
-0.285
-1.043
-0.602
-1.83
-0.009
0.838
-0.138
-0.156
-0.24
Year 18
-0.507
-0.245
-0.069
-0.187
-0.063
-0.262
-0.095
-1.195
-0.295
-1.024
-0.654
-2.019
-0.011
0.609
-0.187
-0.184
-0.281
Year 19
-0.571
-0.27
-0.073
-0.195
-0.067
-0.264
-0.1
-1.234
-0.299
-0.996
-0.684
-2.137
-0.013
0.421
-0.222
-0.203
-0.307
Year 20
-0.612
-0.286
-0.075
-0.199
-0.069
-0.263
-0.102
-1.255
-0.298
-0.96
-0.699
-2.2
-0.013
0.268
-0.245
-0.214
-0.323
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 14
-20.284
7.083
7.083
-84.393
-77.453
0
Year 15
-18.201
5.979
5.978
-77.453
-71.372
0
Year 16
-16.719
5.086
5.085
-71.372
-65.985
0
Year 17
-15.956
4.484
4.484
-65.985
-61.049
0
Year 18
-15.348
3.994
3.993
-61.049
-56.497
0
Year 19
-14.847
3.602
3.601
-56.497
-52.278
0
Year 20
-14.37
3.275
3.274
-52.278
-48.369
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 14
-2.713
-7.002
-10.375
-6.826
-1.686
6.979
-3.191
-13.579
-10.745
-6.836
-5.969
-5.082
-3.385
-2.577
-3.242
-1.224
0
0
Year 15
-1.488
-5.515
-10.413
-6.689
-2.312
6.66
1.375
-12.797
-11.201
-7.11
-5.662
-5.266
-3.499
-2.589
-3.051
-1.816
0
0
Year 16
-0.428
-4.176
-9.237
-7.529
-2.872
5.633
5.348
-11.32
-11.536
-7.504
-5.431
-5.416
-3.638
-2.66
-2.785
-2.435
0
0
Year 17
0.473
-2.933
-8.001
-8.185
-3.356
4.417
8.037
-8.728
-11.789
-8.025
-5.385
-5.428
-3.829
-2.754
-2.569
-2.763
-0.23
0
Year 18
1.197
-1.784
-6.688
-8.692
-3.759
3.16
9.505
-5.267
-11.887
-8.631
-5.501
-5.33
-4.06
-2.864
-2.427
-2.883
-0.585
0
Year 19
1.73
-0.711
-5.377
-9.017
-4.068
1.973
9.82
-1.1
-11.8
-9.296
-5.768
-5.137
-4.321
-2.986
-2.368
-2.836
-1.018
0
Year 20
2.061
0.276
-4.083
-9.21
-4.238
0.921
9.162
3.199
-11.225
-9.91
-6.155
-4.922
-4.572
-3.122
-2.38
-2.67
-1.499
0
Page 37
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
-1.588
0.453
Year 2
-1.32
0.013
Year 3
-1.125
-0.272
Year 4
-0.929
-0.477
Year 5
-0.799
-0.593
Year 6
-0.551
-0.713
Year 7
-0.435
-0.726
Year 8
-0.34
-0.709
Year 9
-0.299
-0.659
Year 10
-0.257
-0.607
Year 11
-0.217
-0.558
Year 12
-0.207
-0.5
Year 13
-0.199
-0.45
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
-0.114
-0.54
-0.169
-0.047
0
-0.102
-0.065
-0.12
-0.117
0
0
-0.314
Year 2
-0.171
-0.414
-0.13
-0.036
0
-0.074
-0.053
-0.096
-0.094
0
0
-0.252
Year 3
-0.2
-0.33
-0.104
-0.029
0
-0.056
-0.043
-0.079
-0.077
0
0
-0.207
Year 4
-0.21
-0.256
-0.08
-0.022
0
-0.04
-0.034
-0.062
-0.061
0
0
-0.164
Year 5
-0.21
-0.211
-0.066
-0.018
0
-0.03
-0.028
-0.051
-0.05
0
0
-0.134
Year 6
-0.196
-0.129
-0.04
-0.011
0
-0.013
-0.017
-0.031
-0.03
0
0
-0.082
Year 7
-0.18
-0.097
-0.03
-0.008
0
-0.007
-0.012
-0.022
-0.021
0
0
-0.057
Year 8
-0.162
-0.073
-0.023
-0.006
0
-0.002
-0.008
-0.015
-0.014
0
0
-0.038
Year 9
-0.148
-0.064
-0.02
-0.006
0
-0.001
-0.006
-0.012
-0.011
0
0
-0.031
Year 10
-0.135
-0.054
-0.017
-0.005
0
0
-0.005
-0.009
-0.009
0
0
-0.024
Year 11
-0.122
-0.043
-0.014
-0.004
0
0.001
-0.004
-0.007
-0.007
0
0
-0.018
Year 12
-0.111
-0.043
-0.013
-0.004
0
0
-0.004
-0.007
-0.007
0
0
-0.018
Year 13
-0.102
-0.042
-0.013
-0.004
0
-0.001
-0.004
-0.007
-0.007
0
0
-0.019
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
-0.096
0.469
-0.003
-0.015
-0.03
-0.002
-0.011
-0.009
-0.001
-0.012
-0.006
-0.026
0
0
0.194
Year 2
-0.141
0.228
-0.005
-0.021
-0.044
-0.003
-0.017
-0.013
-0.001
-0.018
-0.009
-0.038
-0.001
0
0.095
Year 3
-0.17
0.071
-0.006
-0.026
-0.052
-0.003
-0.02
-0.015
-0.001
-0.022
-0.01
-0.046
-0.001
0
0.029
Year 4
-0.183
-0.054
-0.006
-0.028
-0.056
-0.004
-0.021
-0.016
-0.002
-0.024
-0.011
-0.049
-0.001
0
-0.022
Year 5
-0.188
-0.128
-0.006
-0.029
-0.058
-0.004
-0.022
-0.017
-0.002
-0.024
-0.011
-0.051
-0.001
0
-0.053
Year 6
-0.18
-0.225
-0.006
-0.027
-0.056
-0.004
-0.021
-0.016
-0.002
-0.023
-0.011
-0.049
-0.001
0
-0.093
Year 7
-0.169
-0.252
-0.006
-0.026
-0.052
-0.003
-0.02
-0.015
-0.001
-0.022
-0.01
-0.046
-0.001
0
-0.104
Year 8
-0.155
-0.26
-0.005
-0.024
-0.048
-0.003
-0.018
-0.014
-0.001
-0.02
-0.009
-0.042
-0.001
0
-0.108
Year 9
-0.142
-0.245
-0.005
-0.022
-0.044
-0.003
-0.017
-0.013
-0.001
-0.018
-0.009
-0.038
-0.001
0
-0.102
Year 10
-0.129
-0.229
-0.004
-0.02
-0.04
-0.003
-0.015
-0.011
-0.001
-0.017
-0.008
-0.035
0
0
-0.095
Year 11
-0.116
-0.214
-0.004
-0.018
-0.036
-0.002
-0.014
-0.01
-0.001
-0.015
-0.007
-0.031
0
0
-0.089
Year 12
-0.105
-0.19
-0.004
-0.016
-0.032
-0.002
-0.012
-0.009
-0.001
-0.014
-0.006
-0.028
0
0
-0.079
Year 13
-0.096
-0.169
-0.003
-0.015
-0.03
-0.002
-0.011
-0.009
-0.001
-0.012
-0.006
-0.026
0
0
-0.07
Page 38
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 14
-0.193
-0.406
Year 15
-0.188
-0.368
Year 16
-0.184
-0.334
Year 17
-0.179
-0.305
Year 18
-0.175
-0.278
Year 19
-0.17
-0.254
Year 20
-0.165
-0.233
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 14
-0.094
-0.041
-0.013
-0.004
0
-0.001
-0.004
-0.008
-0.008
0
0
-0.021
Year 15
-0.087
-0.04
-0.013
-0.003
0
-0.002
-0.005
-0.008
-0.008
0
0
-0.022
Year 16
-0.08
-0.039
-0.012
-0.003
0
-0.002
-0.005
-0.009
-0.009
0
0
-0.023
Year 17
-0.074
-0.039
-0.012
-0.003
0
-0.002
-0.005
-0.009
-0.009
0
0
-0.025
Year 18
-0.069
-0.037
-0.012
-0.003
0
-0.002
-0.005
-0.01
-0.01
0
0
-0.026
Year 19
-0.064
-0.036
-0.011
-0.003
0
-0.002
-0.006
-0.01
-0.01
0
0
-0.027
Year 20
-0.06
-0.035
-0.011
-0.003
0
-0.003
-0.006
-0.01
-0.01
0
0
-0.027
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 14
-0.088
-0.151
-0.003
-0.013
-0.027
-0.002
-0.01
-0.008
-0.001
-0.011
-0.005
-0.024
0
0
-0.063
Year 15
-0.081
-0.135
-0.003
-0.012
-0.025
-0.002
-0.009
-0.007
-0.001
-0.01
-0.005
-0.022
0
0
-0.056
Year 16
-0.075
-0.121
-0.003
-0.011
-0.023
-0.002
-0.009
-0.007
-0.001
-0.01
-0.005
-0.02
0
0
-0.05
Year 17
-0.069
-0.109
-0.002
-0.01
-0.021
-0.001
-0.008
-0.006
-0.001
-0.009
-0.004
-0.019
0
0
-0.045
Year 18
-0.064
-0.098
-0.002
-0.01
-0.02
-0.001
-0.007
-0.006
-0.001
-0.008
-0.004
-0.017
0
0
-0.041
Year 19
-0.059
-0.089
-0.002
-0.009
-0.018
-0.001
-0.007
-0.005
-0.001
-0.008
-0.004
-0.016
0
0
-0.037
Year 20
-0.054
-0.08
-0.002
-0.008
-0.017
-0.001
-0.006
-0.005
0
-0.007
-0.003
-0.015
0
0
-0.033
Page 39
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
73.802
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
73.802
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
43.289
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
3.829
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.761
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.005
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.462
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.304
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
2.386
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.618
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.193
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.576
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
5.59
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
3.373
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
1.92
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
3.133
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
2.603
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
0.288
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
4.984
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.957
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
0
Year 2
98.303
98.303
57.672
5.367
2.109
-0.02
0.46
1.669
2.851
0.729
1.41
0.712
7.476
4.52
2.811
4.614
3.596
0.753
6.666
2.694
0
Year 3
101.585
101.585
60.963
5.891
2.068
-0.039
0.407
1.7
2.593
0.633
1.277
0.683
7.96
4.809
3.245
5.232
3.831
1.048
6.956
2.901
0
Year 4
101.785
101.785
61.355
6.297
1.762
-0.06
0.216
1.606
2.156
0.477
1.06
0.619
8.059
4.877
3.51
5.716
4.016
1.234
7.016
3.041
0
Year 5
57.749
57.749
37.109
4.191
0.52
-0.078
-0.134
0.731
0.276
-0.062
0.135
0.203
4.711
2.829
2.43
3.917
2.534
1.191
3.922
1.925
0
Year 6
45.185
45.185
30.494
3.661
0.069
-0.09
-0.287
0.446
-0.332
-0.24
-0.164
0.072
3.731
2.234
2.087
3.386
2.131
1.014
3.014
1.647
0
Year 7
36.541
36.541
25.833
3.225
-0.227
-0.097
-0.382
0.253
-0.735
-0.355
-0.362
-0.018
2.999
1.793
1.809
2.983
1.827
0.878
2.362
1.45
0
Year 8
28.049
28.049
21.265
2.706
-0.435
-0.101
-0.424
0.09
-1.077
-0.448
-0.531
-0.097
2.272
1.352
1.515
2.54
1.512
0.742
1.713
1.244
0
Year 9
15.965
15.965
14.897
1.982
-0.691
-0.099
-0.47
-0.122
-1.42
-0.531
-0.702
-0.187
1.291
0.745
1.069
1.797
1.024
0.585
0.803
0.9
0
Year 10
15.664
15.664
14.639
1.938
-0.678
-0.094
-0.471
-0.113
-1.275
-0.477
-0.634
-0.164
1.26
0.731
0.982
1.703
0.988
0.453
0.786
0.886
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
0.024
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
0.014
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
0.148
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
13.349
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
0.732
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
2.001
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
3.577
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
0.387
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
0.759
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
1.848
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
1.168
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
4.168
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
0.083
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
4.642
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
0.614
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
3.836
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
0.51
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
2.148
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
3.281
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
30.513
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
0
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
0
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
0
Year 2
0.023
0.021
0.197
20.033
0.713
2.338
4.45
0.446
0.779
2.312
1.659
4.933
0.076
5.96
0.854
4.953
0.657
2.963
4.303
40.63
0
0
0
Year 3
0.015
0.024
0.205
25.003
0.452
1.978
4.144
0.371
0.545
2.19
1.836
4.325
0.036
5.749
0.902
5.028
0.649
3.167
4.343
40.622
0
0
0
Year 4
0.011
0.027
0.213
28.284
0.156
1.48
3.651
0.283
0.29
2.018
1.994
3.426
-0.008
5.392
0.929
5.012
0.63
3.293
4.275
40.43
0
0
0
Year 5
Year 6
0.004
0.021
0.134
23.346
-0.596
-0.575
0.506
-0.083
-0.509
0.458
1.346
-1.007
-0.118
1.23
0.445
2.038
0.256
1.831
1.766
14.692
0
0
0
Year 7
0.009
0.019
0.125
22.081
-0.662
-0.868
0.097
-0.12
-0.587
0.272
1.264
-1.635
-0.129
0.634
0.37
1.692
0.221
1.624
1.424
10.708
0
0
0
Year 8
0.013
0.017
0.113
20.365
-0.684
-1.073
-0.22
-0.141
-0.628
0.12
1.152
-2.098
-0.131
0.113
0.297
1.359
0.187
1.409
1.096
6.784
0
0
0
Year 9
0.016
0.015
0.094
17.577
-0.692
-1.22
-0.562
-0.165
-0.659
-0.09
0.977
-2.595
-0.13
-0.571
0.196
0.828
0.136
1.101
0.639
1.068
0
0
0
Year 10
0.022
0.014
0.091
15.979
-0.595
-1.056
-0.367
-0.126
-0.557
-0.006
0.966
-2.278
-0.114
-0.429
0.197
0.958
0.158
1.11
0.671
1.025
0
0
0
0
0.022
0.146
24.284
-0.433
-0.073
1.207
-0.004
-0.336
0.787
1.449
0.062
-0.092
2.185
0.555
2.61
0.324
2.133
2.283
20.64
0
0
0
Page 40
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 11
Category
Units
15.119
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
15.119
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
14.139
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
1.869
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.655
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.088
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.467
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.1
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-1.119
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.42
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.559
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.14
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.215
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.708
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.909
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
1.63
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
0.947
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.372
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
0.761
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.865
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 12
14.887
14.887
13.926
1.81
-0.578
-0.081
-0.429
-0.067
-0.926
-0.351
-0.467
-0.107
1.232
0.724
0.879
1.605
0.927
0.314
0.776
0.856
0
Year 13
14.395
14.395
13.464
1.722
-0.509
-0.075
-0.392
-0.041
-0.767
-0.294
-0.392
-0.081
1.213
0.717
0.848
1.582
0.904
0.272
0.768
0.842
0
Year 14
13.8
13.8
12.905
1.626
-0.446
-0.069
-0.358
-0.019
-0.631
-0.246
-0.327
-0.058
1.18
0.702
0.819
1.566
0.882
0.24
0.75
0.827
0
Year 15
13.17
13.17
12.312
1.53
-0.389
-0.064
-0.325
0
-0.514
-0.204
-0.271
-0.039
1.141
0.682
0.795
1.555
0.86
0.217
0.729
0.812
0
Year 16
12.536
12.536
11.717
1.438
-0.338
-0.059
-0.296
0.017
-0.412
-0.167
-0.222
-0.023
1.1
0.661
0.775
1.552
0.841
0.199
0.706
0.796
0
Year 17
11.912
11.912
11.131
1.351
-0.293
-0.054
-0.27
0.031
-0.325
-0.137
-0.178
-0.01
1.057
0.638
0.758
1.554
0.824
0.186
0.681
0.779
0
Year 18
11.305
11.305
10.562
1.268
-0.254
-0.05
-0.247
0.043
-0.249
-0.112
-0.139
0.002
1.014
0.615
0.742
1.56
0.808
0.175
0.656
0.76
0
Year 19
10.737
10.737
10.031
1.193
-0.22
-0.046
-0.226
0.053
-0.18
-0.088
-0.104
0.012
0.973
0.593
0.73
1.572
0.795
0.166
0.632
0.742
0
Year 20
10.183
10.183
9.513
1.12
-0.19
-0.043
-0.208
0.061
-0.121
-0.067
-0.075
0.021
0.931
0.569
0.719
1.587
0.782
0.159
0.607
0.722
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 11
Category
Units
0.027
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
0.013
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
0.088
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
14.264
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.5
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.892
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.183
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.091
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
-0.458
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
0.065
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
0.939
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
-1.957
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
-0.097
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
-0.297
Thousands (Jobs)
0.199
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
1.052
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
0.176
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
1.11
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
0.68
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
0.98
Thousands (Jobs)
0
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
0
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
0
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 12
0.031
0.012
0.084
12.744
-0.404
-0.715
0.017
-0.056
-0.359
0.136
0.907
-1.597
-0.08
-0.154
0.204
1.148
0.193
1.115
0.699
0.962
0
0
0
Year 13
0.034
0.012
0.08
11.266
-0.325
-0.568
0.175
-0.028
-0.278
0.192
0.868
-1.297
-0.066
-0.04
0.208
1.218
0.204
1.108
0.702
0.931
0
0
0
Year 14
0.037
0.011
0.076
9.896
-0.259
-0.445
0.302
-0.004
-0.21
0.236
0.826
-1.044
-0.053
0.053
0.209
1.272
0.212
1.094
0.697
0.895
0
0
0
Year 15
0.039
0.01
0.072
8.661
-0.204
-0.342
0.403
0.015
-0.154
0.27
0.783
-0.828
-0.043
0.129
0.21
1.314
0.217
1.074
0.688
0.857
0
0
0
Year 16
0.04
0.009
0.067
7.565
-0.159
-0.256
0.483
0.03
-0.108
0.296
0.742
-0.645
-0.033
0.189
0.209
1.345
0.22
1.049
0.675
0.819
0
0
0
Year 17
0.041
0.008
0.063
6.601
-0.121
-0.185
0.544
0.042
-0.071
0.316
0.701
-0.491
-0.026
0.237
0.206
1.367
0.22
1.019
0.659
0.781
0
0
0
Year 18
0.041
0.007
0.059
5.757
-0.09
-0.125
0.589
0.052
-0.041
0.33
0.661
-0.36
-0.019
0.274
0.203
1.379
0.219
0.986
0.641
0.743
0
0
0
Year 19
0.041
0.006
0.055
5.021
-0.063
-0.075
0.624
0.06
-0.016
0.34
0.622
-0.248
-0.014
0.302
0.199
1.385
0.216
0.953
0.621
0.706
0
0
0
Year 20
0.041
0.006
0.051
4.379
-0.041
-0.034
0.647
0.066
0.004
0.345
0.585
-0.154
-0.01
0.322
0.195
1.383
0.211
0.916
0.6
0.669
0
0
0
Page 41
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
7.995
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
3.295
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
1.004
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
0.686
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
1.171
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
1.381
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
0.739
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
4.207
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
8.123
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
2.464
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
4.289
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
17.824
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
0.133
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
10.893
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
3.596
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
2.108
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
3.892
Year 2
10.561
4.166
1.302
0.896
1.515
1.849
0.912
5.495
10.81
3.341
5.626
23.104
0.168
15.96
4.898
2.641
5.059
Year 3
10.731
3.98
1.27
0.906
1.474
1.878
0.847
5.512
10.809
3.495
5.628
22.893
0.159
19.194
5.252
2.523
5.034
Year 4
10.611
3.662
1.215
0.895
1.405
1.882
0.756
5.446
10.745
3.568
5.521
22.027
0.15
21.297
5.424
2.321
4.86
Year 5
5.614
1.347
0.526
0.472
0.595
1.005
0.235
2.722
5.452
2.161
2.805
10.667
0.064
17.282
3.464
0.926
2.414
Year 6
4.163
0.643
0.318
0.364
0.35
0.75
0.084
1.985
3.866
1.788
2.048
7.382
0.042
16.247
2.931
0.524
1.699
Year 7
3.187
0.202
0.184
0.295
0.193
0.582
-0.004
1.518
2.808
1.54
1.558
5.262
0.029
15.137
2.54
0.278
1.231
Year 8
2.249
-0.18
0.06
0.228
0.05
0.418
-0.078
1.07
1.768
1.291
1.093
3.323
0.017
13.743
2.129
0.067
0.8
Year 9
0.922
-0.672
-0.11
0.132
-0.15
0.181
-0.171
0.403
0.255
0.937
0.44
0.733
0
11.537
1.512
-0.21
0.226
Year 10
0.948
-0.564
-0.09
0.144
-0.127
0.189
-0.134
0.494
0.26
0.961
0.501
1.026
0.005
10.497
1.431
-0.147
0.271
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Labor Force
Thousands
15.173
Total Migrants
Thousands
14.63
Economic Migrants
Thousands
14.63
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
0
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
14.802
College Population
Thousands
0
Year 2
29.867
16.475
16.475
14.802
31.81
0
Year 3
41.096
14.709
14.709
31.81
47.411
0
Year 4
49.786
12.833
12.833
47.411
61.444
0
Year 5
47.458
2.462
2.462
61.444
65.261
0
Year 6
44.441
0.078
0.078
65.26
66.691
0
Year 7
40.979
-1.482
-1.482
66.691
66.507
0
Year 8
36.971
-2.856
-2.856
66.507
64.857
0
Year 9
31.66
-4.862
-4.862
64.857
61.068
0
Year 10
27.98
-4.063
-4.063
61.068
57.929
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Ages 0-4
Thousands
1.554
Ages 5-9
Thousands
1.152
Ages 10-14
Thousands
0.918
Ages 15-19
Thousands
0.963
Ages 20-24
Thousands
2.326
Ages 25-29
Thousands
2.127
Ages 30-34
Thousands
1.554
Ages 35-39
Thousands
1.157
Ages 40-44
Thousands
1.012
Ages 45-49
Thousands
0.736
Ages 50-54
Thousands
0.546
Ages 55-59
Thousands
0.404
Ages 60-64
Thousands
0.352
Ages 65-69
Thousands
0
Ages 70-74
Thousands
0
Ages 75-79
Thousands
0
Ages 80-84
Thousands
0
Ages 85+
Thousands
0
Year 2
3.408
2.501
1.997
1.933
4.733
4.623
3.411
2.519
2.182
1.616
1.192
0.873
0.767
0.055
0
0
0
0
Year 3
5.179
3.768
3.015
2.718
6.561
6.961
5.211
3.816
3.259
2.465
1.809
1.317
1.153
0.178
0
0
0
0
Year 4
6.827
4.934
3.964
3.391
7.754
9.095
6.936
5.046
4.224
3.278
2.391
1.739
1.499
0.367
0
0
0
0
Year 5
7.432
5.314
4.303
3.454
7.002
9.714
7.662
5.535
4.491
3.618
2.619
1.904
1.591
0.622
0
0
0
0
Year 6
7.581
5.672
4.503
3.519
5.814
9.818
8.141
5.879
4.606
3.844
2.774
2.023
1.611
0.907
0
0
0
0
Year 7
7.416
5.982
4.611
3.585
4.541
9.388
8.437
6.141
4.647
3.967
2.887
2.107
1.596
1.151
0.051
0
0
0
Year 8
6.985
6.21
4.632
3.615
3.352
8.395
8.542
6.327
4.639
3.983
2.965
2.157
1.564
1.327
0.163
0
0
0
Year 9
6.231
6.287
4.519
3.532
2.211
6.75
8.366
6.38
4.542
3.852
2.98
2.152
1.507
1.424
0.336
0
0
0
Year 10
5.56
6.314
4.429
3.508
1.58
4.952
8.141
6.496
4.541
3.719
3.028
2.166
1.494
1.432
0.568
0
0
0
Page 42
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 11
Category
Units
0.953
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
-0.457
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
-0.071
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
0.152
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.104
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
0.195
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
-0.1
Thousands
(Jobs)
0.566
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
0.262
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
0.975
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
0.546
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
1.268
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
0.009
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
9.379
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
1.331
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.09
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
0.305
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 12
0.989
-0.335
-0.049
0.161
-0.077
0.204
-0.064
0.642
0.272
0.995
0.598
1.569
0.013
8.393
1.251
-0.026
0.352
Year 13
0.993
-0.238
-0.031
0.166
-0.056
0.209
-0.034
0.699
0.275
1.001
0.632
1.769
0.017
7.43
1.16
0.021
0.379
Year 14
0.982
-0.158
-0.017
0.169
-0.038
0.213
-0.011
0.744
0.275
0.998
0.654
1.908
0.02
6.538
1.07
0.058
0.396
Year 15
0.962
-0.091
-0.005
0.171
-0.024
0.215
0.009
0.779
0.272
0.988
0.667
2.001
0.022
5.732
0.983
0.087
0.404
Year 16
0.937
-0.037
0.005
0.171
-0.012
0.215
0.024
0.805
0.268
0.972
0.673
2.058
0.023
5.016
0.903
0.108
0.406
Year 17
0.908
0.008
0.013
0.171
-0.002
0.213
0.037
0.824
0.262
0.951
0.673
2.087
0.024
4.386
0.829
0.124
0.404
Year 18
0.876
0.044
0.02
0.169
0.006
0.211
0.046
0.837
0.254
0.926
0.669
2.093
0.025
3.833
0.761
0.136
0.399
Year 19
0.845
0.074
0.025
0.167
0.012
0.208
0.054
0.845
0.247
0.899
0.661
2.086
0.025
3.352
0.699
0.145
0.392
Year 20
0.813
0.098
0.029
0.164
0.018
0.204
0.06
0.846
0.238
0.869
0.649
2.062
0.026
2.93
0.642
0.151
0.383
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 11
Category
Units
25.083
Labor Force
Thousands
-3.616
Total Migrants
Thousands
-3.616
Economic Migrants
Thousands
57.929
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
55.1
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
0
College Population
Thousands
Year 12
22.844
-3.201
-3.201
55.1
52.557
0
Year 13
21.005
-2.923
-2.923
52.557
50.169
0
Year 14
19.436
-2.713
-2.713
50.169
47.875
0
Year 15
18.069
-2.541
-2.541
47.875
45.643
0
Year 16
16.861
-2.392
-2.392
45.643
43.461
0
Year 17
15.832
-2.277
-2.277
43.461
41.306
0
Year 18
14.917
-2.18
-2.18
41.306
39.174
0
Year 19
14.097
-2.093
-2.093
39.174
37.069
0
Year 20
13.341
-2.017
-2.017
37.07
34.996
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 11
Category
Units
4.914
Ages 0-4
Thousands
6.128
Ages 5-9
Thousands
4.512
Ages 10-14
Thousands
3.509
Ages 15-19
Thousands
1.31
Ages 20-24
Thousands
3.161
Ages 25-29
Thousands
7.746
Ages 30-34
Thousands
6.614
Ages 35-39
Thousands
4.604
Ages 40-44
Thousands
3.597
Ages 45-49
Thousands
3.081
Ages 50-54
Thousands
2.194
Ages 55-59
Thousands
1.509
Ages 60-64
Thousands
1.395
Ages 65-69
Thousands
0.827
Ages 70-74
Thousands
0
Ages 75-79
Thousands
0
Ages 80-84
Thousands
0
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 12
4.299
5.798
4.684
3.523
1.286
1.599
7.062
6.726
4.729
3.517
3.117
2.242
1.544
1.341
1.047
0.045
0
0
Year 13
3.71
5.351
4.894
3.538
1.395
0.392
6.034
6.802
4.902
3.49
3.12
2.308
1.589
1.292
1.207
0.144
0
0
Year 14
3.163
4.788
5.124
3.549
1.549
-0.401
4.672
6.826
5.113
3.523
3.085
2.392
1.64
1.264
1.294
0.296
0
0
Year 15
2.635
4.252
5.258
3.547
1.698
-0.787
3.076
6.742
5.34
3.613
3.021
2.486
1.693
1.268
1.301
0.499
0
0
Year 16
2.134
3.715
5.159
3.7
1.836
-0.862
1.45
6.462
5.548
3.748
2.954
2.578
1.752
1.296
1.268
0.724
0
0
Year 17
1.665
3.182
4.895
3.925
1.956
-0.739
0.012
5.867
5.727
3.926
2.915
2.642
1.823
1.338
1.22
0.915
0.038
0
Year 18
1.24
2.66
4.502
4.178
2.057
-0.514
-1.096
4.915
5.857
4.141
2.922
2.668
1.906
1.388
1.177
1.053
0.12
0
Year 19
0.868
2.168
3.983
4.443
2.139
-0.262
-1.807
3.618
5.927
4.386
2.98
2.654
2.003
1.442
1.153
1.128
0.246
0
Year 20
0.559
1.687
3.485
4.608
2.199
-0.032
-2.126
2.081
5.884
4.642
3.092
2.609
2.109
1.497
1.157
1.134
0.413
0
Page 43
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.299
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.158
Year 2
0.383
-0.11
Year 3
0.384
0.006
Year 4
0.369
0.127
Year 5
0.175
0.346
Year 6
0.119
0.418
Year 7
0.079
0.46
Year 8
0.043
0.488
Year 9
0
0.509
Year 10
0.01
0.482
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.019
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.104
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.033
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.009
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.01
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.013
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.024
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.024
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.063
Year 2
0.041
0.113
0.035
0.01
0
0.012
0.018
0.033
0.033
0
0
0.088
Year 3
0.06
0.09
0.028
0.008
0
0.012
0.02
0.036
0.035
0
0
0.094
Year 4
0.077
0.062
0.019
0.005
0
0.011
0.021
0.038
0.037
0
0
0.099
Year 5
0.081
-0.023
-0.007
-0.002
0
0.005
0.013
0.024
0.023
0
0
0.062
Year 6
0.081
-0.049
-0.015
-0.004
0
0.003
0.011
0.02
0.02
0
0
0.052
Year 7
0.08
-0.065
-0.02
-0.006
0
0.002
0.009
0.017
0.017
0
0
0.045
Year 8
0.077
-0.077
-0.024
-0.007
0
0.001
0.008
0.014
0.014
0
0
0.037
Year 9
0.073
-0.086
-0.027
-0.007
0
-0.001
0.005
0.009
0.009
0
0
0.025
Year 10
0.069
-0.075
-0.024
-0.007
0
0
0.005
0.009
0.009
0
0
0.024
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.027
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.154
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.001
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.004
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.008
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.001
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.003
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.002
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.004
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.002
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.007
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.064
Year 2
0.058
-0.168
0.002
0.009
0.018
0.001
0.007
0.005
0
0.007
0.004
0.016
0
0
-0.069
Year 3
0.088
-0.131
0.003
0.013
0.027
0.002
0.01
0.008
0.001
0.011
0.005
0.024
0
0
-0.055
Year 4
0.116
-0.089
0.004
0.018
0.036
0.002
0.014
0.01
0.001
0.015
0.007
0.031
0
0
-0.037
Year 5
0.125
0.051
0.004
0.019
0.038
0.003
0.015
0.011
0.001
0.016
0.008
0.034
0
0
0.021
Year 6
0.129
0.095
0.004
0.02
0.04
0.003
0.015
0.012
0.001
0.017
0.008
0.035
0
0
0.039
Year 7
0.131
0.122
0.004
0.02
0.04
0.003
0.015
0.012
0.001
0.017
0.008
0.035
0
0
0.051
Year 8
0.129
0.144
0.004
0.02
0.04
0.003
0.015
0.012
0.001
0.017
0.008
0.035
0
0
0.06
Year 9
0.123
0.169
0.004
0.019
0.038
0.002
0.014
0.011
0.001
0.016
0.007
0.033
0
0
0.07
Year 10
0.117
0.159
0.004
0.018
0.036
0.002
0.014
0.01
0.001
0.015
0.007
0.032
0
0
0.066
Page 44
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 11
Category
Units
0.02
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.459
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 12
0.032
0.436
Year 13
0.042
0.416
Year 14
0.05
0.398
Year 15
0.056
0.379
Year 16
0.06
0.362
Year 17
0.064
0.344
Year 18
0.067
0.327
Year 19
0.069
0.311
Year 20
0.07
0.294
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 11
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.066
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.065
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.02
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.006
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.005
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.009
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.008
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.023
Year 12
0.063
-0.054
-0.017
-0.005
0
0
0.005
0.008
0.008
0
0
0.022
Year 13
0.061
-0.044
-0.014
-0.004
0
0.001
0.005
0.008
0.008
0
0
0.022
Year 14
0.058
-0.036
-0.011
-0.003
0
0.001
0.004
0.008
0.008
0
0
0.021
Year 15
0.055
-0.029
-0.009
-0.003
0
0.001
0.004
0.008
0.008
0
0
0.021
Year 16
0.053
-0.023
-0.007
-0.002
0
0.001
0.004
0.008
0.007
0
0
0.02
Year 17
0.05
-0.018
-0.006
-0.002
0
0.001
0.004
0.008
0.007
0
0
0.02
Year 18
0.048
-0.014
-0.004
-0.001
0
0.001
0.004
0.007
0.007
0
0
0.019
Year 19
0.045
-0.011
-0.003
-0.001
0
0.001
0.004
0.007
0.007
0
0
0.019
Year 20
0.043
-0.007
-0.002
-0.001
0
0.001
0.004
0.007
0.007
0
0
0.019
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 11
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.112
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.151
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.004
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.017
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.034
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.002
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.013
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.01
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.001
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.014
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.007
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.03
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.063
Year 12
0.107
0.143
0.004
0.016
0.033
0.002
0.012
0.01
0.001
0.014
0.006
0.029
0
0
0.059
Year 13
0.102
0.136
0.003
0.016
0.031
0.002
0.012
0.009
0.001
0.013
0.006
0.028
0
0
0.056
Year 14
0.098
0.13
0.003
0.015
0.03
0.002
0.011
0.009
0.001
0.013
0.006
0.026
0
0
0.054
Year 15
0.093
0.123
0.003
0.014
0.029
0.002
0.011
0.008
0.001
0.012
0.006
0.025
0
0
0.051
Year 16
0.089
0.118
0.003
0.014
0.027
0.002
0.01
0.008
0.001
0.012
0.005
0.024
0
0
0.049
Year 17
0.085
0.112
0.003
0.013
0.026
0.002
0.01
0.008
0.001
0.011
0.005
0.023
0
0
0.046
Year 18
0.081
0.106
0.003
0.012
0.025
0.002
0.009
0.007
0.001
0.01
0.005
0.022
0
0
0.044
Year 19
0.077
0.101
0.003
0.012
0.024
0.002
0.009
0.007
0.001
0.01
0.005
0.021
0
0
0.042
Year 20
0.073
0.095
0.002
0.011
0.022
0.001
0.008
0.006
0.001
0.009
0.004
0.02
0
0
0.039
Page 45
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Employment Losses
Category
Units
Year 1
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
26.067
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
26.067
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
12.948
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.795
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.32
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.001
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.125
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.196
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.093
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.196
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.497
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.401
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.115
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.659
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
0.407
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
1.072
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.897
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
0.284
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.381
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.683
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
0
Year 2
34.902
34.902
17.421
1.158
0.356
-0.004
0.129
0.231
1.375
0.238
0.608
0.528
1.515
0.899
0.606
1.572
1.246
0.717
1.862
0.949
0
Year 3
36.247
36.247
18.807
1.321
0.35
-0.007
0.123
0.234
1.317
0.215
0.57
0.532
1.671
0.992
0.719
1.773
1.325
0.993
1.953
1.02
0
Year 4
36.519
36.519
19.162
1.466
0.277
-0.011
0.084
0.204
1.196
0.176
0.502
0.519
1.743
1.038
0.793
1.936
1.391
1.168
1.996
1.068
0
Year 5
21.039
21.039
12.212
1.082
0.069
-0.014
0.002
0.081
0.376
0.011
0.127
0.238
1.151
0.683
0.58
1.299
0.866
1.124
1.17
0.659
0
Year 6
16.283
16.283
10.025
0.984
-0.013
-0.016
-0.032
0.035
0.116
-0.044
0.004
0.157
0.971
0.577
0.506
1.106
0.715
0.962
0.923
0.549
0
Year 7
12.936
12.936
8.394
0.894
-0.066
-0.018
-0.053
0.005
-0.058
-0.081
-0.079
0.102
0.828
0.494
0.443
0.963
0.604
0.832
0.745
0.473
0
Year 8
9.737
9.737
6.884
0.785
-0.096
-0.018
-0.063
-0.015
-0.215
-0.111
-0.15
0.046
0.689
0.412
0.378
0.807
0.491
0.7
0.57
0.396
0
Year 9
5.072
5.072
4.704
0.61
-0.136
-0.018
-0.075
-0.043
-0.396
-0.143
-0.232
-0.022
0.474
0.281
0.273
0.539
0.311
0.548
0.301
0.267
0
Year 10
4.634
4.634
4.295
0.57
-0.141
-0.017
-0.078
-0.046
-0.354
-0.131
-0.214
-0.009
0.429
0.255
0.239
0.503
0.295
0.418
0.274
0.259
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 2
0.005
0.006
0.021
7.868
0.154
0.381
1.365
0.032
0.059
0.211
0.79
0.974
0.009
1.717
0.118
1.45
0.175
0.791
1.296
17.481
0
0
0
Year 3
-0.002
0.006
0.021
9.599
0.092
0.326
1.285
0.023
0.041
0.194
0.854
0.848
-0.009
1.626
0.122
1.459
0.172
0.847
1.302
17.44
0
0
0
Year 4
-0.006
0.006
0.022
10.615
0.019
0.247
1.144
0.011
0.022
0.17
0.894
0.663
-0.027
1.499
0.124
1.439
0.166
0.883
1.272
17.357
0
0
0
Year 5
-0.011
0.004
0.014
8.817
-0.124
-0.007
0.387
-0.016
-0.027
0.043
0.583
-0.013
-0.053
0.55
0.069
0.696
0.082
0.572
0.647
8.827
0
0
0
Year 6
-0.009
0.003
0.011
8.215
-0.168
-0.092
0.149
-0.026
-0.042
0.001
0.483
-0.244
-0.062
0.249
0.051
0.499
0.06
0.482
0.467
6.258
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.007
0.002
0.01
7.559
-0.186
-0.143
0.006
-0.031
-0.049
-0.022
0.408
-0.384
-0.066
0.064
0.039
0.377
0.047
0.42
0.348
4.542
0
0
0
Year 8
-0.004
0.001
0.008
6.847
-0.191
-0.178
-0.103
-0.033
-0.053
-0.038
0.334
-0.484
-0.065
-0.089
0.028
0.267
0.036
0.36
0.241
2.853
0
0
0
Year 9
-0.002
0
0.006
5.679
-0.192
-0.206
-0.224
-0.034
-0.056
-0.058
0.238
-0.593
-0.062
-0.291
0.014
0.097
0.021
0.273
0.092
0.369
0
0
0
Year 10
0.002
0
0.006
5.014
-0.167
-0.182
-0.178
-0.03
-0.049
-0.048
0.228
-0.537
-0.055
-0.254
0.014
0.134
0.026
0.271
0.098
0.339
0
0
0
Year 1
0.009
0.004
0.016
5.477
0.161
0.323
1.076
0.029
0.056
0.169
0.561
0.821
0.017
1.343
0.085
1.118
0.135
0.569
0.979
13.119
0
0
0
Page 46
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Employment Losses
Category
Units
Year 11
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
4.147
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
4.147
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
3.84
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.524
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.143
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.016
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.079
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.048
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.308
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.119
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.194
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.005
0.38
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.226
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
0.206
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
0.473
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.277
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
0.335
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.243
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.249
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
0
Year 12
3.945
3.945
3.654
0.49
-0.128
-0.014
-0.072
-0.042
-0.252
-0.102
-0.165
0.015
0.361
0.215
0.19
0.461
0.269
0.274
0.231
0.246
0
Year 13
3.713
3.713
3.439
0.453
-0.114
-0.013
-0.066
-0.036
-0.205
-0.087
-0.14
0.023
0.339
0.202
0.176
0.452
0.261
0.23
0.217
0.242
0
Year 14
3.482
3.482
3.225
0.418
-0.101
-0.012
-0.059
-0.03
-0.166
-0.075
-0.119
0.028
0.316
0.189
0.164
0.445
0.253
0.197
0.203
0.238
0
Year 15
3.261
3.261
3.02
0.384
-0.089
-0.011
-0.053
-0.025
-0.131
-0.064
-0.1
0.033
0.295
0.176
0.153
0.441
0.247
0.172
0.19
0.234
0
Year 16
3.056
3.056
2.83
0.354
-0.079
-0.01
-0.048
-0.021
-0.102
-0.055
-0.084
0.037
0.275
0.165
0.144
0.439
0.241
0.154
0.178
0.23
0
Year 17
2.865
2.865
2.654
0.326
-0.069
-0.009
-0.043
-0.017
-0.076
-0.047
-0.069
0.04
0.257
0.155
0.137
0.439
0.236
0.14
0.167
0.226
0
Year 18
2.688
2.688
2.49
0.301
-0.06
-0.008
-0.038
-0.014
-0.054
-0.04
-0.056
0.042
0.24
0.145
0.13
0.44
0.231
0.129
0.156
0.221
0
Year 19
2.526
2.526
2.341
0.278
-0.053
-0.007
-0.034
-0.011
-0.034
-0.033
-0.044
0.044
0.225
0.136
0.125
0.444
0.228
0.12
0.147
0.216
0
Year 20
2.373
2.373
2.2
0.257
-0.046
-0.007
-0.031
-0.009
-0.017
-0.028
-0.034
0.045
0.21
0.127
0.12
0.448
0.224
0.113
0.138
0.211
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 12
0.009
0
0.006
3.836
-0.115
-0.132
-0.08
-0.021
-0.034
-0.027
0.208
-0.406
-0.041
-0.172
0.016
0.194
0.035
0.268
0.109
0.291
0
0
0
Year 13
0.012
0
0.006
3.377
-0.093
-0.109
-0.035
-0.017
-0.028
-0.018
0.198
-0.344
-0.034
-0.133
0.017
0.22
0.039
0.267
0.115
0.274
0
0
0
Year 14
0.014
0
0.005
2.955
-0.074
-0.089
0.002
-0.014
-0.022
-0.01
0.189
-0.29
-0.028
-0.1
0.018
0.243
0.042
0.263
0.12
0.257
0
0
0
Year 15
0.016
0
0.005
2.577
-0.059
-0.073
0.033
-0.011
-0.018
-0.003
0.18
-0.242
-0.023
-0.07
0.018
0.262
0.044
0.259
0.123
0.241
0
0
0
Year 16
0.018
0
0.005
2.244
-0.045
-0.058
0.059
-0.008
-0.014
0.003
0.172
-0.201
-0.018
-0.045
0.019
0.278
0.046
0.253
0.125
0.226
0
0
0
Year 17
0.019
0
0.005
1.951
-0.034
-0.046
0.08
-0.006
-0.011
0.007
0.164
-0.165
-0.015
-0.024
0.019
0.291
0.047
0.246
0.126
0.211
0
0
0
Year 18
0.02
0
0.005
1.696
-0.025
-0.036
0.097
-0.004
-0.008
0.011
0.155
-0.135
-0.011
-0.007
0.019
0.301
0.047
0.239
0.126
0.198
0
0
0
Year 19
0.02
0
0.004
1.475
-0.017
-0.028
0.11
-0.002
-0.006
0.015
0.147
-0.108
-0.009
0.008
0.019
0.309
0.047
0.23
0.125
0.185
0
0
0
Year 20
0.021
0
0.004
1.283
-0.01
-0.02
0.12
-0.001
-0.004
0.017
0.139
-0.085
-0.006
0.019
0.019
0.314
0.047
0.221
0.124
0.173
0
0
0
Year 11
0.006
0
0.006
4.314
-0.141
-0.159
-0.134
-0.025
-0.042
-0.038
0.217
-0.478
-0.048
-0.215
0.015
0.162
0.031
0.268
0.1
0.308
0
0
0
Page 47
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
2.776
1.002
0.363
0.202
0.42
0.448
0.193
1.444
3.418
0.703
1.435
5.843
0.049
4.467
1.336
0.667
1.303
Year 2
3.702
1.297
0.478
0.265
0.554
0.597
0.248
1.898
4.554
0.958
1.891
7.69
0.061
6.317
1.822
0.852
1.718
Year 3
3.795
1.269
0.471
0.266
0.546
0.599
0.239
1.896
4.544
1
1.883
7.719
0.056
7.442
1.958
0.83
1.734
Year 4
3.794
1.209
0.459
0.261
0.533
0.595
0.225
1.869
4.519
1.021
1.841
7.543
0.053
8.09
2.022
0.782
1.704
Year 5
2.079
0.528
0.214
0.13
0.247
0.303
0.092
0.909
2.285
0.609
0.913
3.844
0.021
6.341
1.289
0.341
0.895
Year 6
1.55
0.313
0.139
0.093
0.159
0.215
0.051
0.632
1.612
0.488
0.634
2.699
0.013
5.772
1.065
0.205
0.643
Year 7
1.185
0.173
0.089
0.069
0.101
0.157
0.025
0.454
1.163
0.408
0.453
1.934
0.008
5.226
0.898
0.119
0.474
Year 8
0.836
0.048
0.043
0.047
0.047
0.102
0.003
0.286
0.722
0.332
0.286
1.238
0.004
4.648
0.733
0.045
0.317
Year 9
0.33
-0.123
-0.024
0.017
-0.032
0.021
-0.027
0.039
0.075
0.222
0.052
0.278
-0.002
3.723
0.481
-0.057
0.099
Year 10
0.301
-0.111
-0.021
0.02
-0.028
0.022
-0.023
0.061
0.071
0.225
0.064
0.284
0
3.287
0.434
-0.046
0.093
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 1
4.689
4.191
4.191
0
4.25
0
Year 2
9.173
4.692
4.692
4.25
9.125
0
Year 3
12.586
4.225
4.225
9.125
13.657
0
Year 4
15.238
3.729
3.729
13.657
17.802
0
Year 5
14.532
0.817
0.817
17.802
19.092
0
Year 6
13.617
0.11
0.11
19.092
19.681
0
Year 7
12.554
-0.355
-0.355
19.681
19.79
0
Year 8
11.334
-0.753
-0.753
19.79
19.474
0
Year 9
9.689
-1.357
-1.357
19.474
18.511
0
Year 10
8.514
-1.177
-1.177
18.511
17.678
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 1
0.453
0.33
0.263
0.276
0.666
0.61
0.445
0.332
0.29
0.211
0.157
0.116
0.101
0
0
0
0
0
Year 2
1.004
0.714
0.57
0.552
1.352
1.321
0.975
0.72
0.624
0.462
0.342
0.25
0.22
0.016
0
0
0
0
Year 3
1.551
1.078
0.863
0.778
1.879
1.994
1.493
1.094
0.934
0.708
0.52
0.379
0.333
0.052
0
0
0
0
Year 4
2.083
1.417
1.138
0.975
2.231
2.615
1.994
1.452
1.216
0.945
0.69
0.503
0.435
0.107
0
0
0
0
Year 5
2.331
1.535
1.243
1
2.034
2.811
2.217
1.603
1.302
1.05
0.762
0.556
0.467
0.182
0
0
0
0
Year 6
2.441
1.654
1.307
1.024
1.705
2.856
2.367
1.711
1.343
1.122
0.812
0.595
0.477
0.267
0
0
0
0
Year 7
2.443
1.773
1.343
1.047
1.348
2.747
2.463
1.795
1.362
1.164
0.85
0.624
0.477
0.342
0.015
0
0
0
Year 8
2.348
1.884
1.355
1.059
1.011
2.475
2.505
1.857
1.367
1.175
0.878
0.643
0.472
0.397
0.049
0
0
0
Year 9
2.138
1.965
1.326
1.038
0.682
2.01
2.463
1.879
1.344
1.142
0.887
0.646
0.459
0.43
0.101
0
0
0
Year 10
1.93
2.037
1.302
1.031
0.492
1.492
2.403
1.916
1.346
1.107
0.904
0.653
0.457
0.436
0.171
0
0
0
Page 48
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 11
0.268
-0.098
-0.018
0.022
-0.024
0.023
-0.018
0.08
0.067
0.226
0.073
0.284
0.002
2.83
0.383
-0.036
0.086
Year 12
0.26
-0.078
-0.013
0.025
-0.019
0.025
-0.013
0.102
0.067
0.23
0.088
0.329
0.004
2.518
0.352
-0.021
0.089
Year 13
0.248
-0.061
-0.01
0.028
-0.015
0.027
-0.008
0.121
0.066
0.232
0.1
0.359
0.006
2.219
0.321
-0.009
0.09
Year 14
0.236
-0.046
-0.007
0.03
-0.012
0.028
-0.004
0.137
0.065
0.232
0.11
0.38
0.007
1.944
0.291
0
0.089
Year 15
0.224
-0.034
-0.004
0.031
-0.009
0.03
0
0.15
0.064
0.231
0.118
0.395
0.009
1.697
0.264
0.008
0.088
Year 16
0.212
-0.024
-0.002
0.033
-0.006
0.03
0.002
0.162
0.062
0.228
0.124
0.405
0.01
1.479
0.24
0.015
0.087
Year 17
0.201
-0.015
0
0.034
-0.004
0.031
0.005
0.171
0.06
0.224
0.128
0.411
0.01
1.288
0.217
0.02
0.085
Year 18
0.19
-0.007
0.001
0.034
-0.002
0.031
0.007
0.178
0.059
0.218
0.131
0.412
0.011
1.122
0.198
0.024
0.082
Year 19
0.18
-0.001
0.003
0.035
-0.001
0.031
0.008
0.184
0.057
0.212
0.132
0.411
0.011
0.977
0.18
0.027
0.08
Year 20
0.171
0.004
0.004
0.035
0.001
0.031
0.009
0.188
0.054
0.205
0.132
0.407
0.012
0.851
0.164
0.029
0.077
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 11
7.553
-1.09
-1.09
17.678
16.885
0
Year 12
6.806
-0.983
-0.983
16.885
16.154
0
Year 13
6.191
-0.909
-0.909
16.154
15.453
0
Year 14
5.671
-0.851
-0.851
15.453
14.767
0
Year 15
5.219
-0.802
-0.802
14.767
14.091
0
Year 16
4.825
-0.758
-0.758
14.091
13.422
0
Year 17
4.497
-0.725
-0.725
13.422
12.754
0
Year 18
4.211
-0.697
-0.697
12.754
12.085
0
Year 19
3.961
-0.673
-0.673
12.085
11.418
0
Year 20
3.735
-0.652
-0.652
11.418
10.756
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 11
1.716
2.039
1.332
1.03
0.4
0.968
2.288
1.951
1.364
1.072
0.92
0.662
0.463
0.429
0.251
0
0
0
Year 12
1.503
1.981
1.402
1.032
0.38
0.504
2.088
1.983
1.399
1.048
0.932
0.678
0.474
0.416
0.321
0.014
0
0
Year 13
1.293
1.87
1.498
1.034
0.4
0.14
1.787
2.004
1.447
1.039
0.933
0.698
0.489
0.404
0.372
0.044
0
0
Year 14
1.093
1.704
1.615
1.035
0.436
-0.108
1.388
2.009
1.507
1.046
0.923
0.723
0.505
0.398
0.403
0.091
0
0
Year 15
0.899
1.529
1.714
1.032
0.473
-0.239
0.918
1.982
1.572
1.071
0.904
0.752
0.522
0.4
0.409
0.155
0
0
Year 16
0.713
1.344
1.738
1.081
0.509
-0.278
0.436
1.899
1.631
1.108
0.884
0.779
0.54
0.41
0.402
0.226
0
0
Year 17
0.537
1.154
1.699
1.165
0.541
-0.257
0.006
1.723
1.682
1.158
0.871
0.799
0.562
0.423
0.391
0.288
0.012
0
Year 18
0.376
0.962
1.603
1.274
0.568
-0.204
-0.332
1.442
1.719
1.219
0.871
0.807
0.588
0.439
0.38
0.334
0.038
0
Year 19
0.234
0.778
1.449
1.401
0.589
-0.14
-0.557
1.059
1.737
1.29
0.887
0.803
0.618
0.457
0.374
0.361
0.078
0
Year 20
0.114
0.597
1.285
1.508
0.603
-0.079
-0.668
0.604
1.722
1.363
0.918
0.789
0.65
0.475
0.377
0.367
0.132
0
Page 49
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
0.097
-0.008
Year 2
0.127
-0.007
Year 3
0.13
-0.002
Year 4
0.129
0.002
Year 5
0.067
0.012
Year 6
0.048
0.015
Year 7
0.035
0.017
Year 8
0.023
0.019
Year 9
0.008
0.02
Year 10
0.009
0.019
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
0.005
0.034
0.011
0.003
0
0.002
0.005
0.008
0.008
0
0
0.022
Year 2
0.012
0.039
0.012
0.003
0
0.002
0.006
0.012
0.011
0
0
0.03
Year 3
0.017
0.033
0.01
0.003
0
0.002
0.007
0.012
0.012
0
0
0.033
Year 4
0.022
0.026
0.008
0.002
0
0.002
0.007
0.013
0.013
0
0
0.034
Year 5
0.024
0
0
0
0
0.001
0.004
0.008
0.008
0
0
0.021
Year 6
0.024
-0.008
-0.003
-0.001
0
0.001
0.004
0.007
0.007
0
0
0.018
Year 7
0.024
-0.013
-0.004
-0.001
0
0.001
0.003
0.006
0.006
0
0
0.015
Year 8
0.023
-0.017
-0.005
-0.001
0
0.001
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.012
Year 9
0.022
-0.021
-0.007
-0.002
0
0
0.002
0.003
0.003
0
0
0.008
Year 10
0.021
-0.019
-0.006
-0.002
0
0
0.001
0.003
0.003
0
0
0.007
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
0.001
-0.007
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
-0.003
Year 2
0.002
-0.008
0
0
0.001
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.001
0
0
-0.003
Year 3
0.003
-0.007
0
0.001
0.001
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.001
0
0
-0.003
Year 4
0.004
-0.005
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0
0
0.001
0
0.001
0
0
-0.002
Year 5
0.005
0.001
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0
0
0.001
0
0.001
0
0
0
Year 6
0.005
0.003
0
0.001
0.002
0
0.001
0
0
0.001
0
0.001
0
0
0.001
Year 7
0.005
0.004
0
0.001
0.002
0
0.001
0
0
0.001
0
0.001
0
0
0.002
Year 8
0.005
0.005
0
0.001
0.002
0
0.001
0
0
0.001
0
0.001
0
0
0.002
Year 9
0.005
0.007
0
0.001
0.002
0
0.001
0
0
0.001
0
0.001
0
0
0.003
Year 10
0.005
0.006
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0
0
0.001
0
0.001
0
0
0.003
Page 50
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.011
0.019
Year 12
0.013
0.018
Year 13
0.015
0.017
Year 14
0.017
0.016
Year 15
0.018
0.016
Year 16
0.019
0.015
Year 17
0.02
0.014
Year 18
0.021
0.013
Year 19
0.021
0.013
Year 20
0.021
0.012
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.02
-0.016
-0.005
-0.001
0
0
0.001
0.003
0.002
0
0
0.007
Year 12
0.019
-0.014
-0.004
-0.001
0
0
0.001
0.002
0.002
0
0
0.007
Year 13
0.019
-0.011
-0.004
-0.001
0
0
0.001
0.002
0.002
0
0
0.006
Year 14
0.018
-0.009
-0.003
-0.001
0
0
0.001
0.002
0.002
0
0
0.006
Year 15
0.017
-0.008
-0.002
-0.001
0
0
0.001
0.002
0.002
0
0
0.006
Year 16
0.016
-0.006
-0.002
-0.001
0
0
0.001
0.002
0.002
0
0
0.006
Year 17
0.016
-0.005
-0.002
0
0
0
0.001
0.002
0.002
0
0
0.006
Year 18
0.015
-0.004
-0.001
0
0
0
0.001
0.002
0.002
0
0
0.006
Year 19
0.014
-0.003
-0.001
0
0
0
0.001
0.002
0.002
0
0
0.005
Year 20
0.013
-0.002
-0.001
0
0
0
0.001
0.002
0.002
0
0
0.005
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.005
0.006
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0
0
0.001
0
0.001
0
0
0.003
Year 12
0.004
0.006
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0
0
0.001
0
0.001
0
0
0.002
Year 13
0.004
0.006
0
0.001
0.001
0
0
0
0
0.001
0
0.001
0
0
0.002
Year 14
0.004
0.005
0
0.001
0.001
0
0
0
0
0.001
0
0.001
0
0
0.002
Year 15
0.004
0.005
0
0.001
0.001
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.001
0
0
0.002
Year 16
0.004
0.005
0
0.001
0.001
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.001
0
0
0.002
Year 17
0.003
0.005
0
0.001
0.001
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.001
0
0
0.002
Year 18
0.003
0.004
0
0.001
0.001
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.001
0
0
0.002
Year 19
0.003
0.004
0
0
0.001
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.001
0
0
0.002
Year 20
0.003
0.004
0
0
0.001
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.001
0
0
0.002
Page 51
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Year 1
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
54.966
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
54.965
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
21.463
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.285
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.488
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.001
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.178
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.311
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
2.367
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.373
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.963
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.031
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.774
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.053
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
0.683
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
2.245
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.827
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
0.494
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
2.68
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.395
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
0
Year 2
73.383
73.383
28.85
1.868
0.548
-0.004
0.187
0.365
3.11
0.483
1.22
1.407
2.417
1.437
1.025
3.305
2.555
1.205
3.602
1.938
0
Year 3
75.353
75.353
30.938
2.108
0.554
-0.007
0.182
0.379
3.128
0.469
1.188
1.47
2.662
1.579
1.213
3.714
2.713
1.655
3.74
2.076
0
Year 4
75.519
75.519
31.315
2.323
0.457
-0.011
0.129
0.339
3.049
0.431
1.113
1.504
2.781
1.651
1.333
4.058
2.857
1.936
3.804
2.184
0
Year 5
42.534
42.534
19.964
1.692
0.167
-0.014
0.016
0.165
1.438
0.15
0.443
0.845
1.859
1.091
0.975
2.695
1.78
1.871
2.191
1.369
0
Year 6
32.468
32.468
16.427
1.516
0.045
-0.016
-0.032
0.093
0.949
0.059
0.228
0.661
1.56
0.914
0.853
2.299
1.476
1.625
1.697
1.161
0
Year 7
25.551
25.551
13.879
1.365
-0.038
-0.018
-0.062
0.042
0.62
-0.001
0.085
0.536
1.327
0.777
0.753
2.012
1.258
1.425
1.348
1.023
0
Year 8
18.886
18.886
11.511
1.191
-0.084
-0.018
-0.077
0.011
0.309
-0.053
-0.042
0.404
1.107
0.648
0.651
1.7
1.034
1.22
1.009
0.88
0
Year 9
8.881
8.881
7.853
0.903
-0.154
-0.018
-0.096
-0.039
-0.11
-0.12
-0.209
0.219
0.75
0.431
0.475
1.147
0.671
0.98
0.482
0.629
0
Year 10
7.988
7.988
7.06
0.833
-0.174
-0.017
-0.102
-0.055
-0.073
-0.109
-0.193
0.229
0.66
0.379
0.414
1.086
0.64
0.772
0.425
0.615
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 2
0.003
0.005
0.109
13.446
0.091
0.471
2.758
0.038
0.064
0.226
0.868
1.234
-0.002
2.545
0.225
2.704
0.213
1.585
2.268
44.533
0
0
0
Year 3
-0.001
0.004
0.11
16.028
0.052
0.421
2.616
0.019
0.047
0.197
0.881
1.074
-0.008
2.435
0.232
2.689
0.211
1.689
2.24
44.415
0
0
0
Year 4
-0.002
0.004
0.113
17.3
0
0.345
2.377
-0.005
0.029
0.157
0.865
0.842
-0.014
2.276
0.234
2.646
0.206
1.769
2.173
44.204
0
0
0
Year 5
Year 6
0.002
0.001
0.064
12.451
-0.119
-0.02
0.552
-0.058
-0.03
-0.017
0.39
-0.261
-0.022
0.524
0.101
0.973
0.09
1.003
0.803
16.042
0
0
0
Year 7
0.002
0.001
0.055
11.204
-0.125
-0.067
0.329
-0.06
-0.035
-0.029
0.328
-0.413
-0.022
0.275
0.082
0.773
0.077
0.892
0.611
11.672
0
0
0
Year 8
0.002
0
0.047
9.989
-0.125
-0.103
0.145
-0.059
-0.038
-0.039
0.263
-0.529
-0.022
0.053
0.064
0.586
0.065
0.776
0.435
7.375
0
0
0
Year 9
0.003
0
0.034
7.96
-0.123
-0.139
-0.091
-0.057
-0.041
-0.053
0.168
-0.671
-0.02
-0.261
0.038
0.283
0.045
0.597
0.182
1.028
0
0
0
Year 10
0.005
0
0.034
6.847
-0.106
-0.121
-0.015
-0.049
-0.035
-0.038
0.17
-0.615
-0.018
-0.233
0.039
0.351
0.049
0.599
0.195
0.928
0
0
0
Year 1
0.005
0.003
0.082
9.502
0.093
0.385
2.151
0.039
0.06
0.187
0.643
1.032
0.001
1.973
0.164
2.105
0.163
1.141
1.733
33.503
0
0
0
0
0.001
0.075
13.786
-0.094
0.064
0.95
-0.048
-0.018
0.017
0.492
0.007
-0.019
0.93
0.131
1.309
0.113
1.165
1.101
22.57
0
0
0
Page 52
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Year 11
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
7.027
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
7.027
6.202
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.756
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.191
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.016
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.105
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.07
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.031
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.097
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.174
0.241
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.564
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.325
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
0.356
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
1.031
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.606
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
0.634
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.366
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.596
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
0
Year 12
6.714
6.714
5.933
0.707
-0.175
-0.015
-0.097
-0.062
0.029
-0.077
-0.139
0.245
0.532
0.308
0.33
1.011
0.59
0.531
0.347
0.589
0
Year 13
6.375
6.375
5.638
0.657
-0.158
-0.014
-0.088
-0.056
0.077
-0.06
-0.109
0.245
0.499
0.29
0.308
0.997
0.575
0.455
0.327
0.58
0
Year 14
6.044
6.044
5.348
0.61
-0.143
-0.013
-0.08
-0.049
0.115
-0.046
-0.083
0.244
0.467
0.273
0.291
0.988
0.561
0.398
0.308
0.571
0
Year 15
5.73
5.73
5.072
0.567
-0.128
-0.012
-0.072
-0.043
0.148
-0.033
-0.06
0.241
0.439
0.258
0.276
0.983
0.548
0.355
0.291
0.562
0
Year 16
5.44
5.44
4.818
0.528
-0.114
-0.011
-0.065
-0.038
0.176
-0.022
-0.04
0.238
0.413
0.244
0.265
0.986
0.538
0.324
0.276
0.553
0
Year 17
5.171
5.171
4.582
0.493
-0.102
-0.01
-0.059
-0.033
0.2
-0.013
-0.021
0.235
0.39
0.232
0.256
0.994
0.531
0.3
0.262
0.545
0
Year 18
4.919
4.919
4.361
0.461
-0.092
-0.01
-0.054
-0.029
0.221
-0.005
-0.005
0.231
0.369
0.221
0.25
1.007
0.525
0.283
0.249
0.536
0
Year 19
4.685
4.685
4.156
0.433
-0.082
-0.009
-0.049
-0.025
0.24
0.002
0.01
0.227
0.35
0.211
0.245
1.023
0.521
0.271
0.238
0.527
0
Year 20
4.459
4.459
3.958
0.406
-0.074
-0.008
-0.044
-0.022
0.255
0.009
0.022
0.223
0.332
0.201
0.241
1.044
0.518
0.262
0.227
0.517
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 12
0.008
0
0.033
5.055
-0.073
-0.081
0.143
-0.034
-0.022
-0.01
0.175
-0.478
-0.014
-0.165
0.044
0.472
0.056
0.599
0.221
0.781
0
0
0
Year 13
0.01
0
0.033
4.449
-0.059
-0.062
0.214
-0.027
-0.016
0.002
0.177
-0.408
-0.012
-0.13
0.047
0.525
0.059
0.598
0.236
0.737
0
0
0
Year 14
0.011
0.001
0.032
3.897
-0.047
-0.046
0.274
-0.021
-0.012
0.012
0.178
-0.346
-0.01
-0.098
0.049
0.571
0.061
0.595
0.248
0.696
0
0
0
Year 15
0.012
0.001
0.032
3.404
-0.036
-0.033
0.322
-0.016
-0.008
0.02
0.178
-0.29
-0.008
-0.07
0.05
0.609
0.063
0.588
0.257
0.657
0
0
0
Year 16
0.013
0.001
0.031
2.97
-0.028
-0.022
0.361
-0.012
-0.005
0.027
0.178
-0.242
-0.007
-0.046
0.051
0.641
0.064
0.578
0.264
0.622
0
0
0
Year 17
0.014
0.001
0.03
2.592
-0.02
-0.013
0.392
-0.008
-0.002
0.032
0.176
-0.199
-0.006
-0.025
0.052
0.668
0.064
0.567
0.268
0.589
0
0
0
Year 18
0.014
0.001
0.029
2.263
-0.014
-0.005
0.415
-0.005
0
0.036
0.173
-0.162
-0.005
-0.008
0.052
0.689
0.064
0.553
0.27
0.558
0
0
0
Year 19
0.014
0.001
0.028
1.977
-0.009
0.002
0.433
-0.002
0.002
0.04
0.168
-0.13
-0.004
0.007
0.052
0.706
0.063
0.539
0.271
0.529
0
0
0
Year 20
0.015
0
0.027
1.729
-0.005
0.007
0.444
0
0.003
0.042
0.163
-0.103
-0.003
0.018
0.051
0.716
0.062
0.523
0.269
0.501
0
0
0
Year 11
0.007
0
0.033
5.694
-0.089
-0.103
0.057
-0.041
-0.028
-0.024
0.171
-0.555
-0.016
-0.204
0.041
0.408
0.053
0.596
0.202
0.825
0
0
0
Page 53
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
6.003
2.085
0.85
0.366
0.98
1.048
0.362
3.167
8.564
1.428
2.844
12.12
0.106
8.374
2.719
1.24
2.707
Year 2
8.002
2.735
1.125
0.476
1.301
1.392
0.472
4.158
11.393
1.946
3.741
15.97
0.138
11.653
3.674
1.63
3.578
Year 3
8.144
2.707
1.116
0.472
1.294
1.391
0.463
4.139
11.372
2.022
3.711
15.968
0.135
13.324
3.866
1.628
3.602
Year 4
8.13
2.633
1.1
0.46
1.279
1.383
0.445
4.091
11.32
2.072
3.637
15.641
0.132
14.124
3.935
1.587
3.549
Year 5
4.414
1.266
0.541
0.231
0.627
0.709
0.205
2.041
5.771
1.258
1.838
8.068
0.067
10.44
2.387
0.797
1.875
Year 6
3.28
0.846
0.372
0.169
0.429
0.51
0.134
1.46
4.099
1.034
1.311
5.796
0.047
9.146
1.91
0.559
1.366
Year 7
2.509
0.571
0.261
0.13
0.299
0.378
0.089
1.087
2.981
0.885
0.969
4.306
0.034
8.05
1.57
0.405
1.027
Year 8
1.762
0.312
0.152
0.094
0.172
0.25
0.047
0.728
1.88
0.734
0.644
2.903
0.022
6.982
1.238
0.26
0.705
Year 9
0.643
-0.063
-0.007
0.04
-0.017
0.061
-0.014
0.182
0.249
0.506
0.17
0.863
0.003
5.259
0.724
0.047
0.235
Year 10
0.57
-0.06
-0.006
0.046
-0.016
0.062
-0.01
0.22
0.227
0.513
0.181
0.833
0.004
4.525
0.641
0.045
0.213
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 1
9.744
9.874
9.874
0
9.993
0
Year 2
19.772
12.335
12.335
9.993
22.71
0
Year 3
27.814
12.085
12.085
22.71
35.466
0
Year 4
34.404
11.421
11.421
35.467
47.833
0
Year 5
33.678
4.033
4.033
47.833
52.983
0
Year 6
32.238
1.892
1.892
52.983
56.044
0
Year 7
30.376
0.372
0.373
56.044
57.589
0
Year 8
28.084
-0.966
-0.966
57.589
57.761
0
Year 9
24.792
-2.85
-2.849
57.761
55.972
0
Year 10
22.347
-2.683
-2.683
55.972
54.251
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 1
1.049
0.778
0.62
0.65
1.57
1.436
1.049
0.781
0.683
0.497
0.369
0.273
0.237
0
0
0
0
0
Year 2
2.428
1.784
1.424
1.385
3.389
3.299
2.433
1.797
1.558
1.153
0.851
0.624
0.547
0.038
0
0
0
0
Year 3
3.859
2.814
2.251
2.048
4.95
5.201
3.888
2.85
2.438
1.841
1.352
0.986
0.863
0.125
0
0
0
0
Year 4
5.289
3.832
3.076
2.663
6.142
7.068
5.373
3.915
3.289
2.542
1.857
1.352
1.168
0.266
0
0
0
0
Year 5
5.992
4.297
3.474
2.834
5.905
7.872
6.167
4.463
3.647
2.916
2.116
1.54
1.295
0.465
0
0
0
0
Year 6
6.348
4.713
3.753
2.976
5.237
8.257
6.757
4.886
3.869
3.195
2.311
1.687
1.361
0.695
0
0
0
0
Year 7
6.44
5.078
3.946
3.103
4.398
8.204
7.188
5.229
4.013
3.388
2.467
1.802
1.391
0.909
0.035
0
0
0
Year 8
6.298
5.374
4.06
3.194
3.537
7.68
7.454
5.501
4.101
3.491
2.588
1.888
1.4
1.08
0.116
0
0
0
Year 9
5.863
5.544
4.053
3.186
2.637
6.59
7.478
5.652
4.101
3.467
2.654
1.924
1.382
1.196
0.246
0
0
0
Year 10
5.431
5.658
4.041
3.205
2.058
5.281
7.427
5.826
4.149
3.42
2.731
1.965
1.387
1.242
0.428
0
0
0
Page 54
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 11
0.493
-0.058
-0.005
0.05
-0.014
0.064
-0.006
0.251
0.204
0.515
0.188
0.791
0.005
3.766
0.552
0.042
0.189
Year 12
0.472
-0.04
-0.001
0.057
-0.009
0.068
0
0.29
0.197
0.523
0.207
0.846
0.006
3.348
0.511
0.051
0.188
Year 13
0.449
-0.025
0.002
0.062
-0.006
0.071
0.005
0.324
0.19
0.528
0.223
0.882
0.007
2.951
0.47
0.057
0.186
Year 14
0.426
-0.013
0.005
0.066
-0.002
0.073
0.009
0.352
0.183
0.529
0.236
0.907
0.008
2.589
0.432
0.061
0.182
Year 15
0.404
-0.001
0.008
0.07
0.001
0.075
0.013
0.376
0.176
0.526
0.246
0.924
0.009
2.265
0.397
0.064
0.178
Year 16
0.384
0.008
0.01
0.073
0.003
0.076
0.016
0.396
0.17
0.521
0.254
0.934
0.009
1.981
0.365
0.067
0.173
Year 17
0.365
0.016
0.011
0.075
0.006
0.077
0.018
0.413
0.163
0.514
0.26
0.937
0.01
1.733
0.336
0.069
0.168
Year 18
0.348
0.023
0.013
0.077
0.007
0.077
0.02
0.426
0.157
0.505
0.263
0.935
0.01
1.517
0.31
0.07
0.163
Year 19
0.331
0.029
0.014
0.078
0.009
0.077
0.022
0.436
0.151
0.494
0.264
0.928
0.01
1.329
0.286
0.07
0.158
Year 20
0.315
0.033
0.015
0.078
0.01
0.077
0.023
0.442
0.145
0.481
0.264
0.915
0.01
1.165
0.265
0.07
0.153
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 11
20.301
-2.675
-2.675
54.251
52.436
0
Year 12
18.682
-2.525
-2.525
52.436
50.668
0
Year 13
17.32
-2.413
-2.413
50.668
48.908
0
Year 14
16.139
-2.314
-2.314
48.908
47.144
0
Year 15
15.095
-2.22
-2.22
47.144
45.372
0
Year 16
14.15
-2.13
-2.13
45.372
43.594
0
Year 17
13.316
-2.057
-2.056
43.594
41.802
0
Year 18
12.557
-1.988
-1.987
41.802
39.999
0
Year 19
11.861
-1.921
-1.921
39.999
38.195
0
Year 20
11.211
-1.861
-1.859
38.195
36.397
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 11
4.97
5.608
4.127
3.229
1.725
3.875
7.217
5.987
4.229
3.359
2.804
2.01
1.409
1.247
0.639
0
0
0
Year 12
4.5
5.437
4.276
3.261
1.592
2.561
6.772
6.134
4.35
3.317
2.863
2.065
1.443
1.231
0.834
0.031
0
0
Year 13
4.026
5.159
4.459
3.291
1.586
1.462
6.042
6.25
4.509
3.306
2.894
2.133
1.487
1.21
0.99
0.103
0
0
Year 14
3.563
4.772
4.666
3.316
1.644
0.648
5.021
6.323
4.699
3.337
2.894
2.214
1.536
1.199
1.095
0.218
0
0
Year 15
3.098
4.38
4.812
3.331
1.722
0.144
3.773
6.313
4.906
3.411
2.866
2.304
1.588
1.207
1.137
0.379
0
0
Year 16
2.641
3.967
4.8
3.448
1.811
-0.102
2.44
6.154
5.105
3.522
2.83
2.394
1.645
1.233
1.143
0.563
0
0
Year 17
2.198
3.538
4.662
3.624
1.898
-0.161
1.188
5.753
5.287
3.671
2.809
2.466
1.712
1.271
1.129
0.733
0.026
0
Year 18
1.779
3.102
4.414
3.832
1.979
-0.1
0.144
5.065
5.434
3.853
2.817
2.51
1.789
1.316
1.111
0.869
0.086
0
Year 19
1.397
2.673
4.054
4.061
2.051
0.019
-0.618
4.084
5.536
4.065
2.864
2.523
1.878
1.366
1.101
0.96
0.181
0
Year 20
1.063
2.24
3.688
4.228
2.109
0.154
-1.076
2.872
5.553
4.292
2.953
2.508
1.975
1.419
1.11
0.997
0.312
0
Page 55
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
0.197
-0.009
Year 2
0.27
-0.005
Year 3
0.288
0.003
Year 4
0.299
0.013
Year 5
0.185
0.028
Year 6
0.153
0.034
Year 7
0.13
0.038
Year 8
0.107
0.041
Year 9
0.074
0.042
Year 10
0.074
0.041
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
0.013
0.065
0.021
0.006
0
0.003
0.01
0.017
0.017
0
0
0.046
Year 2
0.029
0.08
0.025
0.007
0
0.003
0.013
0.024
0.024
0
0
0.064
Year 3
0.045
0.074
0.023
0.006
0
0.003
0.014
0.026
0.026
0
0
0.069
Year 4
0.06
0.066
0.021
0.006
0
0.003
0.015
0.028
0.027
0
0
0.073
Year 5
0.066
0.02
0.006
0.002
0
0.002
0.009
0.017
0.017
0
0
0.045
Year 6
0.068
0.007
0.002
0.001
0
0.001
0.008
0.014
0.014
0
0
0.037
Year 7
0.069
-0.002
-0.001
0
0
0.001
0.007
0.012
0.012
0
0
0.032
Year 8
0.069
-0.009
-0.003
-0.001
0
0.001
0.005
0.01
0.01
0
0
0.026
Year 9
0.067
-0.018
-0.006
-0.002
0
0
0.003
0.006
0.006
0
0
0.016
Year 10
0.065
-0.016
-0.005
-0.001
0
0
0.003
0.006
0.006
0
0
0.016
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
0.002
-0.009
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
-0.004
Year 2
0.004
-0.009
0
0.001
0.001
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.001
0
0
-0.004
Year 3
0.006
-0.006
0
0.001
0.002
0
0.001
0
0
0.001
0
0.002
0
0
-0.003
Year 4
0.008
-0.003
0
0.001
0.002
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0
0.002
0
0
-0.001
Year 5
0.009
0.007
0
0.001
0.003
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0.001
0.002
0
0
0.003
Year 6
0.009
0.01
0
0.001
0.003
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0.001
0.003
0
0
0.004
Year 7
0.01
0.012
0
0.001
0.003
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0.001
0.003
0
0
0.005
Year 8
0.01
0.013
0
0.001
0.003
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0.001
0.003
0
0
0.006
Year 9
0.01
0.015
0
0.001
0.003
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0.001
0.003
0
0
0.006
Year 10
0.009
0.015
0
0.001
0.003
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0.001
0.003
0
0
0.006
Page 56
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.074
0.04
Year 12
0.076
0.038
Year 13
0.077
0.037
Year 14
0.078
0.036
Year 15
0.078
0.034
Year 16
0.078
0.033
Year 17
0.078
0.032
Year 18
0.077
0.03
Year 19
0.076
0.029
Year 20
0.075
0.028
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.063
-0.013
-0.004
-0.001
0
0
0.003
0.006
0.006
0
0
0.015
Year 12
0.061
-0.01
-0.003
-0.001
0
0
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.014
Year 13
0.059
-0.007
-0.002
-0.001
0
0
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.014
Year 14
0.057
-0.004
-0.001
0
0
0
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.014
Year 15
0.055
-0.002
-0.001
0
0
0
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.013
Year 16
0.053
-0.001
0
0
0
0
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.013
Year 17
0.051
0.001
0
0
0
0
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.013
Year 18
0.049
0.002
0.001
0
0
0
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.013
Year 19
0.047
0.003
0.001
0
0
0
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.013
Year 20
0.045
0.004
0.001
0
0
0
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.012
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.009
0.014
0
0.001
0.003
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0.001
0.002
0
0
0.006
Year 12
0.009
0.014
0
0.001
0.003
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0.001
0.002
0
0
0.006
Year 13
0.008
0.013
0
0.001
0.003
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0.001
0.002
0
0
0.005
Year 14
0.008
0.013
0
0.001
0.003
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0
0.002
0
0
0.005
Year 15
0.008
0.012
0
0.001
0.002
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0
0.002
0
0
0.005
Year 16
0.008
0.012
0
0.001
0.002
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0
0.002
0
0
0.005
Year 17
0.007
0.011
0
0.001
0.002
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0
0.002
0
0
0.005
Year 18
0.007
0.011
0
0.001
0.002
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0
0.002
0
0
0.004
Year 19
0.007
0.01
0
0.001
0.002
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0
0.002
0
0
0.004
Year 20
0.006
0.01
0
0.001
0.002
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0
0.002
0
0
0.004
Page 57
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Year 1
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
63.809
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
63.809
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
35.425
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
2.936
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.687
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.004
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.161
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.531
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.987
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.487
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.952
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.548
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
3.623
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
2.167
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
1.302
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
2.808
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
2.34
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
0.325
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
3.648
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.771
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
0
Year 2
85.676
85.676
47.854
4.112
0.776
-0.016
0.14
0.652
2.437
0.583
1.151
0.702
4.889
2.939
1.938
4.158
3.245
0.83
4.915
2.448
0
Year 3
88.155
88.155
50.434
4.483
0.705
-0.031
0.097
0.638
2.238
0.504
1.054
0.681
5.189
3.131
2.235
4.69
3.427
1.154
5.104
2.607
0
Year 4
88.781
88.781
51.241
4.797
0.531
-0.047
0.003
0.576
1.934
0.388
0.908
0.638
5.329
3.235
2.438
5.131
3.593
1.358
5.2
2.723
0
Year 5
49.48
49.48
30.43
3.126
0
-0.06
-0.143
0.204
0.343
-0.05
0.164
0.229
3.127
1.918
1.657
3.429
2.192
1.305
2.916
1.638
0
Year 6
37.654
37.654
24.165
2.684
-0.202
-0.069
-0.211
0.078
-0.17
-0.198
-0.077
0.105
2.482
1.54
1.379
2.895
1.792
1.104
2.247
1.349
0
Year 7
29.33
29.33
19.562
2.317
-0.332
-0.074
-0.25
-0.007
-0.517
-0.297
-0.239
0.019
1.985
1.249
1.144
2.481
1.488
0.945
1.762
1.139
0
Year 8
21.176
21.176
15.08
1.887
-0.416
-0.076
-0.265
-0.074
-0.829
-0.381
-0.383
-0.065
1.472
0.945
0.895
2.027
1.175
0.784
1.265
0.923
0
Year 9
9.93
9.93
9.194
1.293
-0.505
-0.074
-0.274
-0.157
-1.154
-0.459
-0.536
-0.158
0.788
0.524
0.543
1.295
0.703
0.599
0.563
0.584
0
Year 10
9.54
9.54
8.839
1.252
-0.478
-0.069
-0.263
-0.146
-1.043
-0.419
-0.489
-0.135
0.774
0.513
0.466
1.194
0.67
0.445
0.55
0.571
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 2
0.009
0.017
0.048
14.799
0.921
1.346
4.107
0.212
0.479
1.518
2.172
4.013
0.115
5.236
0.721
5.142
0.618
2.478
3.904
37.821
0
0
0
Year 3
0.006
0.019
0.049
18.998
0.564
1.111
3.819
0.172
0.336
1.418
2.411
3.46
0.04
5.016
0.759
5.126
0.611
2.623
3.896
37.721
0
0
0
Year 4
0.003
0.02
0.049
22.476
0.141
0.798
3.36
0.119
0.175
1.268
2.586
2.702
-0.041
4.68
0.778
5.034
0.587
2.699
3.807
37.541
0
0
0
Year 5
-0.004
0.014
0.03
20.33
-0.741
-0.155
0.992
-0.038
-0.231
0.386
1.773
-0.112
-0.188
1.777
0.455
2.326
0.276
1.664
1.878
19.049
0
0
0
Year 6
-0.006
0.011
0.025
19.894
-1.045
-0.482
0.235
-0.095
-0.362
0.097
1.505
-1.047
-0.238
0.855
0.352
1.614
0.182
1.344
1.326
13.489
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.007
0.008
0.021
18.947
-1.203
-0.677
-0.231
-0.127
-0.43
-0.079
1.287
-1.608
-0.259
0.272
0.28
1.17
0.123
1.121
0.953
9.768
0
0
0
Year 8
-0.007
0.006
0.016
17.468
-1.286
-0.812
-0.591
-0.146
-0.471
-0.215
1.064
-2.023
-0.263
-0.226
0.212
0.761
0.073
0.908
0.612
6.096
0
0
0
Year 9
-0.007
0.004
0.011
15.1
-1.31
-0.907
-0.965
-0.162
-0.5
-0.372
0.787
-2.454
-0.259
-0.857
0.123
0.162
0.011
0.628
0.162
0.736
0
0
0
Year 10
-0.006
0.003
0.011
13.703
-1.163
-0.81
-0.82
-0.146
-0.442
-0.326
0.74
-2.203
-0.228
-0.742
0.12
0.309
0.023
0.625
0.191
0.701
0
0
0
Year 1
0.009
0.012
0.037
9.324
0.954
1.155
3.254
0.183
0.459
1.214
1.504
3.395
0.132
4.059
0.517
3.991
0.474
1.792
2.96
28.385
0
0
0
Page 58
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Year 11
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
8.985
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
8.985
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
8.322
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.193
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.447
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.063
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.25
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.133
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.924
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.377
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.437
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.11
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.746
0.492
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
0.403
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
1.115
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.633
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
0.35
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.528
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.551
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
0
Year 12
8.77
8.77
8.124
1.152
-0.389
-0.058
-0.225
-0.106
-0.783
-0.325
-0.372
-0.086
0.764
0.499
0.375
1.08
0.616
0.282
0.534
0.545
0
Year 13
8.382
8.382
7.761
1.092
-0.335
-0.052
-0.2
-0.083
-0.667
-0.281
-0.318
-0.067
0.757
0.491
0.349
1.052
0.598
0.234
0.525
0.535
0
Year 14
7.951
7.951
7.357
1.027
-0.287
-0.047
-0.178
-0.062
-0.567
-0.244
-0.272
-0.051
0.741
0.479
0.327
1.031
0.581
0.198
0.511
0.526
0
Year 15
7.521
7.521
6.955
0.964
-0.244
-0.042
-0.157
-0.045
-0.48
-0.211
-0.231
-0.038
0.721
0.464
0.311
1.018
0.566
0.171
0.495
0.517
0
Year 16
7.104
7.104
6.565
0.904
-0.205
-0.037
-0.139
-0.029
-0.404
-0.182
-0.195
-0.026
0.699
0.449
0.298
1.012
0.554
0.151
0.478
0.508
0
Year 17
6.706
6.706
6.194
0.847
-0.172
-0.033
-0.122
-0.016
-0.338
-0.158
-0.163
-0.017
0.676
0.433
0.288
1.011
0.543
0.136
0.461
0.499
0
Year 18
6.329
6.329
5.844
0.795
-0.142
-0.03
-0.108
-0.004
-0.28
-0.137
-0.135
-0.008
0.652
0.417
0.28
1.014
0.534
0.123
0.444
0.488
0
Year 19
5.988
5.988
5.528
0.747
-0.116
-0.027
-0.095
0.006
-0.227
-0.117
-0.109
-0.001
0.631
0.402
0.275
1.022
0.526
0.113
0.428
0.477
0
Year 20
5.656
5.656
5.222
0.702
-0.094
-0.024
-0.084
0.014
-0.182
-0.1
-0.086
0.005
0.607
0.387
0.27
1.033
0.52
0.105
0.411
0.465
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 12
-0.004
0.002
0.01
10.862
-0.86
-0.6
-0.509
-0.111
-0.322
-0.23
0.64
-1.648
-0.166
-0.505
0.124
0.54
0.046
0.625
0.231
0.646
0
0
0
Year 13
-0.003
0.001
0.009
9.575
-0.729
-0.508
-0.371
-0.095
-0.27
-0.186
0.591
-1.398
-0.138
-0.401
0.127
0.632
0.056
0.623
0.246
0.621
0
0
0
Year 14
-0.002
0.001
0.009
8.389
-0.616
-0.428
-0.254
-0.081
-0.226
-0.147
0.544
-1.183
-0.114
-0.311
0.128
0.71
0.064
0.619
0.257
0.594
0
0
0
Year 15
-0.001
0
0.008
7.323
-0.52
-0.36
-0.154
-0.069
-0.187
-0.113
0.501
-0.997
-0.093
-0.234
0.129
0.776
0.071
0.61
0.264
0.566
0
0
0
Year 16
-0.001
0
0.008
6.38
-0.437
-0.302
-0.071
-0.059
-0.155
-0.083
0.462
-0.837
-0.075
-0.169
0.129
0.831
0.076
0.599
0.269
0.539
0
0
0
Year 17
Year 18
Year 19
Year 20
0.001
-0.001
0.006
3.659
-0.211
-0.141
0.141
-0.029
-0.068
0
0.329
-0.39
-0.027
0.001
0.123
0.957
0.081
0.526
0.265
0.435
0
0
0
Year 11
-0.005
0.002
0.01
12.188
-1.014
-0.71
-0.676
-0.129
-0.383
-0.281
0.688
-1.943
-0.197
-0.63
0.12
0.422
0.034
0.62
0.204
0.663
0
0
0
Page 59
0
0
0.007
5.552
-0.368
-0.252
-0.002
-0.049
-0.128
-0.057
0.426
-0.7
-0.06
-0.114
0.129
0.877
0.079
0.584
0.272
0.512
0
0
0
0
0
0.007
4.829
-0.307
-0.21
0.055
-0.042
-0.104
-0.035
0.391
-0.582
-0.047
-0.068
0.127
0.912
0.081
0.566
0.271
0.485
0
0
0
0
-0.001
0.007
4.203
-0.255
-0.172
0.103
-0.035
-0.084
-0.016
0.36
-0.478
-0.036
-0.03
0.125
0.939
0.082
0.547
0.269
0.46
0
0
0
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
6.901
2.811
0.904
0.649
1.048
1.26
0.617
4.108
7.533
2.131
3.926
15.441
0.11
8.088
3.053
1.966
3.264
Year 2
9.178
3.568
1.175
0.849
1.361
1.688
0.773
5.363
10.037
2.895
5.176
20.218
0.142
12.313
4.219
2.427
4.292
Year 3
9.292
3.391
1.142
0.847
1.321
1.704
0.723
5.327
10.011
2.998
5.151
20.025
0.137
15.037
4.521
2.25
4.277
Year 4
9.226
3.122
1.093
0.829
1.263
1.701
0.652
5.226
9.95
3.03
5.039
19.362
0.13
17.271
4.722
1.998
4.166
Year 5
4.799
1.102
0.465
0.398
0.532
0.881
0.204
2.443
5.007
1.733
2.446
9.202
0.055
14.565
3.008
0.584
2.056
Year 6
3.447
0.461
0.271
0.278
0.307
0.634
0.064
1.654
3.517
1.338
1.668
6.062
0.032
13.88
2.508
0.133
1.4
Year 7
2.518
0.05
0.144
0.199
0.162
0.47
-0.023
1.146
2.522
1.068
1.153
3.972
0.017
12.993
2.127
-0.147
0.958
Year 8
1.628
-0.305
0.028
0.127
0.029
0.311
-0.095
0.671
1.544
0.816
0.678
2.074
0.003
11.769
1.727
-0.378
0.55
Year 9
0.405
-0.751
-0.13
0.028
-0.156
0.088
-0.183
-0.011
0.124
0.483
0.039
-0.379
-0.014
9.861
1.15
-0.641
0.02
Year 10
0.409
-0.666
-0.114
0.041
-0.138
0.094
-0.159
0.085
0.127
0.493
0.085
-0.205
-0.012
8.952
1.068
-0.558
0.039
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 1
12.809
11.567
11.567
0
11.69
0
Year 2
25.082
12.61
12.61
11.69
24.679
0
Year 3
34.041
10.762
10.762
24.679
36.066
0
Year 4
40.844
9.15
9.15
36.066
46.047
0
Year 5
38.147
0.941
0.941
46.047
47.914
0
Year 6
34.945
-0.818
-0.818
47.914
48.007
0
Year 7
31.457
-1.896
-1.896
48.007
46.973
0
Year 8
27.59
-2.825
-2.825
46.973
44.937
0
Year 9
22.708
-4.229
-4.229
44.937
41.399
0
Year 10
19.37
-3.415
-3.415
41.399
38.568
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 1
1.212
0.911
0.726
0.762
1.839
1.682
1.229
0.915
0.801
0.583
0.432
0.32
0.278
0
0
0
0
0
Year 2
2.58
1.945
1.553
1.501
3.678
3.597
2.655
1.96
1.699
1.258
0.929
0.681
0.598
0.044
0
0
0
0
Year 3
3.799
2.878
2.303
2.069
4.994
5.319
3.985
2.918
2.491
1.888
1.386
1.01
0.884
0.14
0
0
0
0
Year 4
4.877
3.718
2.987
2.545
5.801
6.858
5.237
3.809
3.186
2.479
1.81
1.318
1.135
0.286
0
0
0
0
Year 5
5.113
3.933
3.187
2.54
5.088
7.192
5.692
4.11
3.328
2.693
1.952
1.421
1.185
0.481
0
0
0
0
Year 6
5.02
4.121
3.281
2.545
4.071
7.133
5.956
4.301
3.355
2.82
2.038
1.49
1.181
0.696
0
0
0
0
Year 7
4.741
4.24
3.308
2.556
3.029
6.676
6.086
4.434
3.334
2.87
2.095
1.535
1.153
0.875
0.041
0
0
0
Year 8
4.322
4.266
3.275
2.543
2.087
5.805
6.075
4.515
3.283
2.841
2.127
1.554
1.115
0.998
0.13
0
0
0
Year 9
3.714
4.154
3.145
2.448
1.211
4.461
5.86
4.499
3.17
2.704
2.115
1.533
1.062
1.058
0.265
0
0
0
Year 10
3.224
4.002
3.044
2.408
0.759
3.043
5.623
4.542
3.143
2.575
2.133
1.532
1.047
1.049
0.445
0
0
0
Page 60
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 11
0.402
-0.579
-0.098
0.05
-0.119
0.099
-0.135
0.162
0.128
0.501
0.121
-0.052
-0.01
7.965
0.973
-0.477
0.054
Year 12
0.428
-0.478
-0.079
0.061
-0.097
0.107
-0.107
0.246
0.136
0.519
0.17
0.172
-0.008
7.104
0.899
-0.386
0.084
Year 13
0.434
-0.394
-0.064
0.069
-0.079
0.113
-0.085
0.312
0.14
0.528
0.205
0.331
-0.006
6.268
0.819
-0.312
0.102
Year 14
0.431
-0.322
-0.051
0.075
-0.064
0.118
-0.065
0.368
0.142
0.534
0.233
0.454
-0.005
5.496
0.742
-0.25
0.114
Year 15
0.424
-0.261
-0.039
0.081
-0.051
0.122
-0.049
0.416
0.142
0.534
0.256
0.552
-0.003
4.803
0.671
-0.198
0.122
Year 16
0.414
-0.209
-0.029
0.085
-0.04
0.124
-0.035
0.455
0.141
0.531
0.274
0.628
-0.002
4.189
0.606
-0.154
0.127
Year 17
0.403
-0.166
-0.021
0.088
-0.031
0.125
-0.024
0.488
0.139
0.524
0.287
0.685
-0.001
3.649
0.548
-0.117
0.131
Year 18
0.39
-0.128
-0.014
0.091
-0.023
0.125
-0.014
0.514
0.136
0.513
0.295
0.727
-0.001
3.178
0.495
-0.086
0.132
Year 19
0.378
-0.096
-0.008
0.092
-0.017
0.125
-0.006
0.535
0.133
0.5
0.301
0.759
0
2.77
0.448
-0.06
0.133
Year 20
0.365
-0.068
-0.004
0.093
-0.011
0.124
0
0.549
0.129
0.485
0.302
0.777
0.001
2.415
0.406
-0.038
0.132
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 11
16.809
-2.937
-2.937
38.568
36.119
0
Year 12
14.892
-2.522
-2.522
36.119
33.997
0
Year 13
13.367
-2.234
-2.234
33.997
32.08
0
Year 14
12.131
-2.021
-2.021
32.08
30.297
0
Year 15
11.1
-1.852
-1.852
30.297
28.609
0
Year 16
10.233
-1.713
-1.713
28.609
26.994
0
Year 17
9.525
-1.61
-1.61
26.994
25.424
0
Year 18
8.918
-1.524
-1.524
25.424
23.891
0
Year 19
8.381
-1.447
-1.447
23.891
22.396
0
Year 20
7.896
-1.381
-1.381
22.396
20.938
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 11
2.78
3.711
3.07
2.39
0.596
1.672
5.268
4.593
3.171
2.462
2.158
1.544
1.055
1.006
0.643
0
0
0
Year 12
2.376
3.365
3.131
2.386
0.623
0.513
4.699
4.644
3.25
2.388
2.171
1.572
1.08
0.955
0.806
0.037
0
0
Year 13
2.002
2.988
3.188
2.385
0.745
-0.344
3.879
4.67
3.369
2.36
2.16
1.617
1.113
0.911
0.919
0.116
0
0
Year 14
1.659
2.574
3.233
2.382
0.895
-0.865
2.819
4.659
3.517
2.381
2.121
1.676
1.151
0.886
0.974
0.236
0
0
Year 15
1.326
2.222
3.192
2.37
1.031
-1.067
1.602
4.566
3.675
2.448
2.061
1.743
1.191
0.889
0.965
0.396
0
0
Year 16
1.008
1.886
2.988
2.467
1.151
-1.035
0.389
4.324
3.817
2.549
2.003
1.808
1.234
0.91
0.927
0.569
0
0
Year 17
0.709
1.562
2.707
2.581
1.25
-0.864
-0.652
3.841
3.935
2.682
1.969
1.85
1.287
0.944
0.88
0.712
0.031
0
Year 18
0.438
1.25
2.38
2.679
1.33
-0.629
-1.417
3.089
4.014
2.842
1.972
1.861
1.349
0.983
0.841
0.81
0.098
0
Year 19
0.202
0.957
2.007
2.757
1.393
-0.389
-1.865
2.084
4.046
3.024
2.018
1.841
1.423
1.024
0.819
0.857
0.198
0
Year 20
0.008
0.665
1.688
2.743
1.436
-0.179
-2.008
0.914
3.989
3.21
2.105
1.798
1.501
1.067
0.822
0.85
0.329
0
Page 61
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
0.25
-0.054
Year 2
0.323
-0.05
Year 3
0.323
-0.025
Year 4
0.313
0
Year 5
0.145
0.061
Year 6
0.095
0.08
Year 7
0.059
0.09
Year 8
0.024
0.097
Year 9
-0.016
0.104
Year 10
-0.009
0.097
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
0.015
0.084
0.026
0.007
0
0.006
0.012
0.022
0.021
0
0
0.056
Year 2
0.032
0.093
0.029
0.008
0
0.008
0.016
0.03
0.029
0
0
0.078
Year 3
0.046
0.075
0.023
0.006
0
0.008
0.017
0.032
0.031
0
0
0.084
Year 4
0.058
0.053
0.017
0.005
0
0.008
0.018
0.034
0.033
0
0
0.088
Year 5
0.059
-0.016
-0.005
-0.001
0
0.003
0.011
0.02
0.02
0
0
0.054
Year 6
0.059
-0.037
-0.012
-0.003
0
0.002
0.009
0.017
0.016
0
0
0.044
Year 7
0.057
-0.051
-0.016
-0.004
0
0.002
0.008
0.014
0.014
0
0
0.036
Year 8
0.053
-0.062
-0.019
-0.005
0
0.001
0.006
0.011
0.011
0
0
0.029
Year 9
0.049
-0.071
-0.022
-0.006
0
0
0.004
0.006
0.006
0
0
0.017
Year 10
0.046
-0.062
-0.02
-0.005
0
0
0.003
0.006
0.006
0
0
0.016
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
0.007
-0.049
0
0.001
0.002
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0
0.002
0
0
-0.02
Year 2
0.014
-0.057
0
0.002
0.004
0
0.002
0.001
0
0.002
0.001
0.004
0
0
-0.024
Year 3
0.021
-0.05
0.001
0.003
0.006
0
0.002
0.002
0
0.003
0.001
0.006
0
0
-0.021
Year 4
0.027
-0.041
0.001
0.004
0.008
0.001
0.003
0.002
0
0.003
0.002
0.007
0
0
-0.017
Year 5
0.028
0
0.001
0.004
0.009
0.001
0.003
0.003
0
0.004
0.002
0.008
0
0
0
Year 6
0.029
0.012
0.001
0.004
0.009
0.001
0.003
0.003
0
0.004
0.002
0.008
0
0
0.005
Year 7
0.028
0.019
0.001
0.004
0.009
0.001
0.003
0.003
0
0.004
0.002
0.008
0
0
0.008
Year 8
0.028
0.026
0.001
0.004
0.009
0.001
0.003
0.002
0
0.004
0.002
0.007
0
0
0.011
Year 9
0.026
0.034
0.001
0.004
0.008
0.001
0.003
0.002
0
0.003
0.002
0.007
0
0
0.014
Year 10
0.024
0.031
0.001
0.004
0.007
0
0.003
0.002
0
0.003
0.001
0.006
0
0
0.013
Page 62
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
-0.003
0.091
Year 12
0.006
0.085
Year 13
0.013
0.08
Year 14
0.019
0.076
Year 15
0.024
0.072
Year 16
0.028
0.068
Year 17
0.031
0.064
Year 18
0.034
0.06
Year 19
0.036
0.056
Year 20
0.037
0.053
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.043
-0.055
-0.017
-0.005
0
0
0.003
0.006
0.006
0
0
0.015
Year 12
0.041
-0.046
-0.014
-0.004
0
0.001
0.003
0.006
0.005
0
0
0.015
Year 13
0.039
-0.039
-0.012
-0.003
0
0.001
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.014
Year 14
0.037
-0.032
-0.01
-0.003
0
0.001
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.014
Year 15
0.035
-0.027
-0.008
-0.002
0
0.001
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.013
Year 16
0.033
-0.022
-0.007
-0.002
0
0.001
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.013
Year 17
0.031
-0.019
-0.006
-0.002
0
0.001
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.013
Year 18
0.029
-0.015
-0.005
-0.001
0
0.001
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.013
Year 19
0.027
-0.012
-0.004
-0.001
0
0.001
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.012
Year 20
0.026
-0.01
-0.003
-0.001
0
0.001
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.012
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.023
0.029
0.001
0.003
0.007
0
0.003
0.002
0
0.003
0.001
0.006
0
0
0.012
Year 12
0.021
0.027
0.001
0.003
0.007
0
0.002
0.002
0
0.003
0.001
0.006
0
0
0.011
Year 13
0.02
0.026
0.001
0.003
0.006
0
0.002
0.002
0
0.003
0.001
0.005
0
0
0.011
Year 14
0.019
0.024
0.001
0.003
0.006
0
0.002
0.002
0
0.002
0.001
0.005
0
0
0.01
Year 15
0.018
0.023
0.001
0.003
0.006
0
0.002
0.002
0
0.002
0.001
0.005
0
0
0.009
Year 16
0.017
0.021
0.001
0.003
0.005
0
0.002
0.002
0
0.002
0.001
0.005
0
0
0.009
Year 17
0.016
0.02
0.001
0.002
0.005
0
0.002
0.001
0
0.002
0.001
0.004
0
0
0.008
Year 18
0.015
0.019
0.001
0.002
0.005
0
0.002
0.001
0
0.002
0.001
0.004
0
0
0.008
Year 19
0.014
0.018
0
0.002
0.004
0
0.002
0.001
0
0.002
0.001
0.004
0
0
0.007
Year 20
0.013
0.017
0
0.002
0.004
0
0.002
0.001
0
0.002
0.001
0.004
0
0
0.007
Page 63
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Year 1
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
218.644
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
218.644
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
113.125
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
10.269
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.831
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.012
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.926
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.917
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
6.408
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.674
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
3.604
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.13
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
12.102
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
7.252
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
4.313
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
9.257
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
7.667
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
0.346
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
12.693
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
5.806
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
0
Year 2
292.264
292.264
151.798
14.379
1.916
-0.044
0.916
1.044
7.899
2.034
4.389
1.476
16.297
9.796
6.381
13.648
10.642
0.861
17.045
8.03
0
Year 3
301.341
301.341
161.141
15.688
1.791
-0.085
0.809
1.067
7.391
1.82
4.089
1.481
17.482
10.511
7.412
15.409
11.295
1.187
17.753
8.604
0
Year 4
302.605
302.605
163.072
16.724
1.186
-0.129
0.432
0.883
6.495
1.471
3.583
1.44
17.912
10.801
8.073
16.842
11.857
1.391
18.016
9.017
0
Year 5
170.801
170.801
99.715
10.948
-0.101
-0.166
-0.259
0.324
1.576
0.049
0.869
0.658
10.848
6.52
5.642
11.341
7.372
1.329
10.2
5.59
0
Year 6
131.591
131.591
81.111
9.407
-0.663
-0.191
-0.562
0.09
0.001
-0.423
-0.009
0.432
8.745
5.264
4.824
9.685
6.114
1.133
7.881
4.706
0
Year 7
104.358
104.358
67.667
8.16
-1.021
-0.207
-0.748
-0.066
-1.048
-0.734
-0.594
0.28
7.139
4.312
4.149
8.439
5.177
0.979
6.217
4.085
0
Year 8
77.848
77.848
54.74
6.73
-1.19
-0.214
-0.828
-0.148
-1.971
-0.993
-1.106
0.128
5.54
3.356
3.439
7.073
4.211
0.824
4.558
3.444
0
Year 9
39.848
39.848
36.647
4.7
-1.397
-0.209
-0.915
-0.273
-2.991
-1.253
-1.679
-0.06
3.302
1.981
2.36
4.777
2.709
0.644
2.149
2.379
0
Year 10
37.826
37.826
34.833
4.541
-1.418
-0.197
-0.913
-0.307
-2.693
-1.137
-1.53
-0.026
3.123
1.878
2.101
4.486
2.593
0.494
2.035
2.331
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 2
0.04
0.049
0.374
56.146
1.88
4.536
12.68
0.728
1.381
4.267
5.49
11.154
0.198
15.458
1.918
14.249
1.663
7.817
11.77
140.466
0
0
0
Year 3
0.019
0.054
0.385
69.628
1.159
3.835
11.865
0.585
0.97
4
5.983
9.707
0.059
14.826
2.016
14.302
1.643
8.326
11.781
140.199
0
0
0
Year 4
0.006
0.058
0.397
78.674
0.316
2.869
10.532
0.408
0.515
3.613
6.339
7.634
-0.09
13.846
2.065
14.132
1.589
8.644
11.527
139.532
0
0
0
Year 5
-0.015
0.041
0.264
67.216
-1.392
-0.171
3.536
-0.107
-0.611
1.233
4.297
-0.055
-0.353
5.441
1.211
6.941
0.796
5.534
5.909
71.086
0
0
0
Year 6
-0.009
0.035
0.234
63.907
-1.928
-1.169
1.442
-0.262
-0.942
0.539
3.724
-2.56
-0.44
2.857
0.949
5.124
0.589
4.66
4.362
50.48
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.002
0.03
0.211
59.792
-2.176
-1.755
0.2
-0.336
-1.101
0.141
3.287
-4.039
-0.475
1.245
0.771
4.012
0.468
4.058
3.336
36.691
0
0
0
Year 8
0.005
0.024
0.185
54.669
-2.287
-2.167
-0.769
-0.379
-1.191
-0.172
2.813
-5.134
-0.48
-0.15
0.601
2.974
0.361
3.453
2.384
23.108
0
0
0
Year 9
0.01
0.019
0.145
46.316
-2.317
-2.472
-1.841
-0.418
-1.257
-0.573
2.17
-6.313
-0.472
-1.98
0.37
1.37
0.214
2.599
1.076
3.201
0
0
0
Year 10
0.023
0.018
0.142
41.543
-2.03
-2.169
-1.381
-0.351
-1.082
-0.418
2.105
-5.634
-0.415
-1.657
0.37
1.752
0.257
2.605
1.154
2.993
0
0
0
Year 1
0.047
0.034
0.282
37.651
1.941
3.864
10.058
0.638
1.335
3.417
3.876
9.416
0.234
12.018
1.38
11.051
1.282
5.649
8.954
105.519
0
0
0
Page 64
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Year 11
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
35.278
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
35.278
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
32.503
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
4.327
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-1.422
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.183
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.902
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.337
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-2.367
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-1.013
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-1.364
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.01
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
2.906
1.752
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
1.874
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
4.248
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
2.462
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
0.401
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.898
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
2.261
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
0
Year 12
34.316
34.317
31.636
4.184
-1.295
-0.169
-0.823
-0.303
-1.955
-0.855
-1.143
0.042
2.889
1.745
1.775
4.157
2.402
0.333
1.887
2.236
0
Year 13
32.865
32.865
30.302
3.979
-1.172
-0.155
-0.747
-0.27
-1.617
-0.723
-0.959
0.065
2.807
1.7
1.681
4.082
2.337
0.284
1.836
2.2
0
Year 14
31.276
31.276
28.834
3.76
-1.056
-0.141
-0.675
-0.24
-1.327
-0.61
-0.8
0.083
2.704
1.642
1.601
4.03
2.278
0.247
1.772
2.163
0
Year 15
29.682
29.682
27.36
3.545
-0.949
-0.129
-0.608
-0.212
-1.076
-0.512
-0.662
0.098
2.596
1.58
1.535
3.997
2.222
0.22
1.705
2.125
0
Year 16
28.135
28.136
25.93
3.339
-0.852
-0.117
-0.548
-0.187
-0.857
-0.427
-0.54
0.109
2.487
1.519
1.483
3.988
2.174
0.2
1.637
2.087
0
Year 17
26.655
26.655
24.561
3.146
-0.766
-0.107
-0.494
-0.165
-0.668
-0.355
-0.431
0.118
2.38
1.458
1.439
3.998
2.133
0.184
1.571
2.048
0
Year 18
25.241
25.241
23.257
2.965
-0.689
-0.098
-0.447
-0.145
-0.502
-0.293
-0.335
0.126
2.276
1.398
1.403
4.022
2.098
0.172
1.505
2.006
0
Year 19
23.937
23.937
22.056
2.8
-0.621
-0.089
-0.405
-0.127
-0.352
-0.236
-0.248
0.132
2.179
1.342
1.375
4.06
2.069
0.162
1.444
1.962
0
Year 20
22.672
22.672
20.893
2.642
-0.562
-0.082
-0.368
-0.112
-0.222
-0.186
-0.173
0.137
2.08
1.285
1.35
4.111
2.044
0.155
1.382
1.915
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 12
0.045
0.015
0.133
32.497
-1.451
-1.527
-0.429
-0.222
-0.737
-0.131
1.931
-4.129
-0.301
-0.996
0.388
2.353
0.331
2.607
1.26
2.68
0
0
0
Year 13
0.053
0.013
0.128
28.667
-1.205
-1.247
-0.017
-0.167
-0.592
-0.011
1.834
-3.448
-0.25
-0.704
0.398
2.595
0.359
2.597
1.299
2.563
0
0
0
Year 14
0.06
0.012
0.123
25.137
-0.996
-1.009
0.324
-0.12
-0.47
0.09
1.737
-2.863
-0.206
-0.456
0.404
2.796
0.38
2.571
1.322
2.442
0
0
0
Year 15
0.065
0.01
0.117
21.965
-0.819
-0.808
0.604
-0.081
-0.367
0.173
1.643
-2.358
-0.167
-0.245
0.408
2.961
0.395
2.531
1.332
2.322
0
0
0
Year 16
0.07
0.009
0.111
19.158
-0.669
-0.638
0.832
-0.048
-0.282
0.242
1.554
-1.925
-0.134
-0.07
0.408
3.095
0.405
2.479
1.333
2.206
0
0
0
Year 17
0.073
0.008
0.106
16.696
-0.543
-0.496
1.014
-0.021
-0.211
0.299
1.466
-1.555
-0.106
0.074
0.405
3.203
0.41
2.416
1.325
2.093
0
0
0
Year 18
0.075
0.007
0.1
14.545
-0.436
-0.376
1.156
0.002
-0.153
0.343
1.38
-1.239
-0.083
0.191
0.401
3.281
0.41
2.344
1.308
1.985
0
0
0
Year 19
0.076
0.006
0.094
12.677
-0.344
-0.273
1.271
0.021
-0.104
0.378
1.297
-0.964
-0.063
0.287
0.395
3.339
0.407
2.269
1.286
1.881
0
0
0
Year 20
0.077
0.005
0.089
11.049
-0.267
-0.188
1.353
0.036
-0.065
0.404
1.215
-0.732
-0.046
0.36
0.388
3.37
0.401
2.186
1.257
1.778
0
0
0
Year 11
0.035
0.016
0.137
36.46
-1.744
-1.863
-0.935
-0.286
-0.91
-0.277
2.014
-4.932
-0.358
-1.346
0.375
2.043
0.293
2.594
1.186
2.775
0
0
0
Page 65
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
23.675
9.193
3.121
1.903
3.62
4.136
1.911
12.927
27.637
6.727
12.494
51.229
0.397
31.822
10.704
5.981
11.166
Year 2
31.443
11.765
4.079
2.487
4.731
5.527
2.405
16.914
36.795
9.14
16.434
66.982
0.508
46.242
14.613
7.55
14.648
Year 3
31.961
11.346
3.999
2.49
4.635
5.573
2.272
16.874
36.737
9.516
16.373
66.605
0.488
54.997
15.597
7.23
14.647
Year 4
31.762
10.626
3.868
2.444
4.48
5.56
2.078
16.633
36.533
9.691
16.038
64.573
0.465
60.783
16.104
6.687
14.279
Year 5
16.906
4.243
1.747
1.23
1.999
2.898
0.736
8.115
18.516
5.761
8.002
31.781
0.206
48.627
10.148
2.648
7.239
Year 6
12.439
2.264
1.099
0.903
1.245
2.11
0.333
5.731
13.094
4.648
5.661
21.938
0.134
45.045
8.415
1.422
5.109
Year 7
9.399
0.997
0.678
0.692
0.756
1.587
0.086
4.205
9.473
3.902
4.133
15.475
0.089
41.406
7.135
0.655
3.691
Year 8
6.475
-0.125
0.283
0.496
0.297
1.08
-0.124
2.755
5.915
3.173
2.702
9.538
0.047
37.141
5.826
-0.006
2.373
Year 9
2.3
-1.61
-0.27
0.217
-0.355
0.351
-0.395
0.613
0.703
2.148
0.701
1.494
-0.014
30.379
3.868
-0.861
0.58
Year 10
2.228
-1.401
-0.231
0.251
-0.308
0.367
-0.326
0.86
0.685
2.192
0.83
1.938
-0.004
27.261
3.574
-0.706
0.616
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 1
42.414
40.263
40.263
0
40.734
0
Year 2
83.894
46.111
46.111
40.734
88.324
0
Year 3
115.536
41.781
41.781
88.324
132.601
0
Year 4
140.272
37.134
37.134
132.601
173.125
0
Year 5
133.814
8.253
8.253
173.125
185.25
0
Year 6
125.242
1.262
1.262
185.25
190.423
0
Year 7
115.366
-3.361
-3.361
190.423
190.859
0
Year 8
103.978
-7.4
-7.4
190.859
187.03
0
Year 9
88.849
-13.298
-13.297
187.03
176.951
0
Year 10
78.21
-11.339
-11.338
176.951
168.426
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 1
4.267
3.172
2.527
2.65
6.402
5.855
4.277
3.186
2.787
2.028
1.504
1.111
0.968
0
0
0
0
0
Year 2
9.42
6.945
5.544
5.371
13.153
12.84
9.475
6.997
6.063
4.489
3.315
2.428
2.132
0.153
0
0
0
0
Year 3
14.389
10.538
8.433
7.614
18.385
19.474
14.577
10.679
9.122
6.901
5.068
3.693
3.234
0.494
0
0
0
0
Year 4
19.076
13.902
11.165
9.575
21.927
25.636
19.541
14.222
11.915
9.245
6.748
4.912
4.237
1.025
0
0
0
0
Year 5
20.868
15.08
12.207
9.828
20.028
27.588
21.737
15.711
12.769
10.276
7.449
5.421
4.539
1.749
0
0
0
0
Year 6
21.389
16.159
12.843
10.065
16.828
28.064
23.22
16.778
13.173
10.98
7.935
5.794
4.63
2.565
0
0
0
0
Year 7
21.039
17.073
13.208
10.29
13.316
27.015
24.174
17.599
13.355
11.389
8.299
6.068
4.617
3.275
0.142
0
0
0
Year 8
19.954
17.734
13.322
10.411
9.987
24.356
24.576
18.2
13.39
11.489
8.558
6.242
4.551
3.803
0.458
0
0
0
Year 9
17.945
17.95
13.043
10.204
6.741
19.811
24.168
18.411
13.157
11.164
8.636
6.254
4.41
4.108
0.947
0
0
0
Year 10
16.146
18.012
12.816
10.152
4.89
14.768
23.593
18.78
13.18
10.821
8.795
6.316
4.386
4.159
1.613
0
0
0
Page 66
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 11
2.116
-1.192
-0.192
0.274
-0.261
0.38
-0.259
1.058
0.66
2.217
0.927
2.292
0.006
23.94
3.239
-0.561
0.634
Year 12
2.149
-0.931
-0.143
0.303
-0.203
0.404
-0.184
1.281
0.672
2.267
1.064
2.915
0.016
21.363
3.013
-0.383
0.713
Year 13
2.124
-0.717
-0.103
0.324
-0.156
0.42
-0.122
1.456
0.672
2.289
1.16
3.341
0.024
18.868
2.771
-0.243
0.757
Year 14
2.074
-0.539
-0.069
0.341
-0.116
0.433
-0.071
1.601
0.665
2.293
1.233
3.65
0.03
16.566
2.535
-0.13
0.781
Year 15
2.014
-0.388
-0.041
0.353
-0.083
0.441
-0.028
1.721
0.654
2.28
1.287
3.872
0.036
14.497
2.315
-0.038
0.792
Year 16
1.947
-0.262
-0.017
0.362
-0.055
0.445
0.007
1.818
0.641
2.253
1.325
4.025
0.04
12.665
2.114
0.036
0.794
Year 17
1.876
-0.157
0.003
0.368
-0.032
0.446
0.035
1.897
0.625
2.213
1.348
4.12
0.043
11.056
1.93
0.095
0.788
Year 18
1.804
-0.069
0.019
0.371
-0.012
0.445
0.058
1.955
0.607
2.162
1.357
4.167
0.045
9.65
1.763
0.143
0.777
Year 19
1.735
0.006
0.033
0.371
0.004
0.442
0.077
1.999
0.588
2.106
1.358
4.184
0.047
8.428
1.614
0.182
0.763
Year 20
1.664
0.067
0.044
0.37
0.017
0.436
0.091
2.025
0.566
2.041
1.347
4.161
0.048
7.362
1.477
0.212
0.744
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 11
69.746
-10.319
-10.318
168.426
160.54
0
Year 12
63.224
-9.23
-9.229
160.54
153.376
0
Year 13
57.883
-8.479
-8.479
153.376
146.61
0
Year 14
53.376
-7.899
-7.899
146.61
140.082
0
Year 15
49.483
-7.415
-7.415
140.082
133.715
0
Year 16
46.069
-6.993
-6.993
133.715
127.472
0
Year 17
43.169
-6.669
-6.668
127.472
121.286
0
Year 18
40.603
-6.389
-6.388
121.286
115.15
0
Year 19
38.3
-6.135
-6.134
115.15
109.079
0
Year 20
36.184
-5.911
-5.91
109.079
103.087
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 11
14.38
17.485
13.04
10.158
4.031
9.676
22.519
19.146
13.367
10.49
8.964
6.41
4.436
4.077
2.36
0
0
0
Year 12
12.678
16.581
13.493
10.202
3.881
5.177
20.621
19.488
13.728
10.268
9.083
6.557
4.541
3.943
3.008
0.127
0
0
Year 13
11.032
15.369
14.04
10.248
4.126
1.65
17.742
19.726
14.227
10.195
9.107
6.756
4.678
3.818
3.489
0.408
0
0
Year 14
9.477
13.837
14.638
10.281
4.524
-0.727
13.9
19.817
14.835
10.287
9.022
7.005
4.831
3.746
3.766
0.842
0
0
Year 15
7.957
12.383
14.976
10.279
4.923
-1.949
9.368
19.603
15.492
10.543
8.852
7.286
4.994
3.765
3.813
1.429
0
0
Year 16
6.495
10.911
14.685
10.696
5.306
-2.277
4.715
18.839
16.101
10.927
8.671
7.559
5.173
3.849
3.739
2.083
0
0
Year 17
5.109
9.435
13.962
11.296
5.645
-2.021
0.553
17.184
16.631
11.437
8.563
7.757
5.383
3.975
3.62
2.648
0.107
0
Year 18
3.833
7.974
12.899
11.963
5.934
-1.446
-2.7
14.51
17.024
12.056
8.582
7.847
5.633
4.126
3.508
3.066
0.342
0
Year 19
2.701
6.575
11.493
12.663
6.172
-0.771
-4.848
10.846
17.246
12.765
8.75
7.821
5.922
4.289
3.446
3.307
0.702
0
Year 20
1.744
5.189
10.145
13.087
6.347
-0.135
-5.878
6.471
17.147
13.506
9.068
7.703
6.236
4.458
3.466
3.347
1.186
0
Page 67
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
0.842
-0.229
Year 2
1.104
-0.172
Year 3
1.124
-0.017
Year 4
1.109
0.143
Year 5
0.572
0.448
Year 6
0.414
0.548
Year 7
0.303
0.606
Year 8
0.198
0.645
Year 9
0.065
0.676
Year 10
0.084
0.639
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
0.053
0.287
0.09
0.025
0
0.02
0.039
0.071
0.07
0
0
0.187
Year 2
0.113
0.324
0.102
0.028
0
0.025
0.054
0.099
0.097
0
0
0.261
Year 3
0.168
0.272
0.085
0.024
0
0.025
0.058
0.107
0.104
0
0
0.28
Year 4
0.217
0.207
0.065
0.018
0
0.024
0.061
0.112
0.11
0
0
0.294
Year 5
0.229
-0.019
-0.006
-0.002
0
0.011
0.038
0.07
0.068
0
0
0.183
Year 6
0.232
-0.087
-0.027
-0.008
0
0.008
0.031
0.058
0.056
0
0
0.151
Year 7
0.23
-0.13
-0.041
-0.011
0
0.005
0.027
0.049
0.048
0
0
0.128
Year 8
0.222
-0.165
-0.052
-0.014
0
0.003
0.022
0.04
0.039
0
0
0.104
Year 9
0.211
-0.196
-0.061
-0.017
0
0
0.014
0.025
0.024
0
0
0.066
Year 10
0.202
-0.172
-0.054
-0.015
0
0.001
0.013
0.024
0.023
0
0
0.063
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
0.037
-0.219
0.001
0.006
0.011
0.001
0.004
0.003
0
0.005
0.002
0.01
0
0
-0.091
Year 2
0.077
-0.242
0.003
0.012
0.024
0.002
0.009
0.007
0.001
0.01
0.005
0.021
0
0
-0.1
Year 3
0.117
-0.194
0.004
0.018
0.036
0.002
0.014
0.01
0.001
0.015
0.007
0.032
0
0
-0.08
Year 4
0.154
-0.138
0.005
0.023
0.048
0.003
0.018
0.014
0.001
0.02
0.009
0.042
0.001
0
-0.057
Year 5
0.166
0.059
0.006
0.025
0.051
0.003
0.019
0.015
0.001
0.022
0.01
0.045
0.001
0
0.024
Year 6
0.172
0.12
0.006
0.026
0.053
0.003
0.02
0.015
0.001
0.022
0.01
0.047
0.001
0
0.05
Year 7
0.174
0.158
0.006
0.026
0.054
0.004
0.02
0.016
0.001
0.023
0.011
0.047
0.001
0
0.066
Year 8
0.172
0.189
0.006
0.026
0.053
0.003
0.02
0.015
0.001
0.022
0.01
0.047
0.001
0
0.078
Year 9
0.163
0.225
0.005
0.025
0.05
0.003
0.019
0.015
0.001
0.021
0.01
0.044
0.001
0
0.093
Year 10
0.155
0.212
0.005
0.024
0.048
0.003
0.018
0.014
0.001
0.02
0.009
0.042
0.001
0
0.088
Page 68
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.102
0.608
Year 12
0.128
0.578
Year 13
0.148
0.551
Year 14
0.164
0.525
Year 15
0.176
0.501
Year 16
0.186
0.477
Year 17
0.193
0.454
Year 18
0.198
0.431
Year 19
0.202
0.409
Year 20
0.203
0.387
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.193
-0.149
-0.047
-0.013
0
0.001
0.012
0.023
0.022
0
0
0.059
Year 12
0.185
-0.123
-0.038
-0.011
0
0.001
0.012
0.022
0.022
0
0
0.058
Year 13
0.177
-0.101
-0.032
-0.009
0
0.002
0.012
0.021
0.021
0
0
0.056
Year 14
0.17
-0.082
-0.026
-0.007
0
0.002
0.011
0.021
0.02
0
0
0.055
Year 15
0.162
-0.066
-0.021
-0.006
0
0.002
0.011
0.02
0.02
0
0
0.053
Year 16
0.155
-0.053
-0.017
-0.005
0
0.002
0.011
0.02
0.019
0
0
0.052
Year 17
0.148
-0.041
-0.013
-0.004
0
0.002
0.011
0.019
0.019
0
0
0.051
Year 18
0.141
-0.031
-0.01
-0.003
0
0.002
0.01
0.019
0.019
0
0
0.05
Year 19
0.134
-0.023
-0.007
-0.002
0
0.002
0.01
0.019
0.018
0
0
0.049
Year 20
0.127
-0.015
-0.005
-0.001
0
0.002
0.01
0.019
0.018
0
0
0.049
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.148
0.201
0.005
0.022
0.046
0.003
0.017
0.013
0.001
0.019
0.009
0.04
0.001
0
0.083
Year 12
0.141
0.19
0.005
0.021
0.044
0.003
0.016
0.013
0.001
0.018
0.009
0.038
0.001
0
0.079
Year 13
0.135
0.18
0.005
0.02
0.042
0.003
0.016
0.012
0.001
0.017
0.008
0.036
0.001
0
0.075
Year 14
0.129
0.172
0.004
0.02
0.04
0.003
0.015
0.011
0.001
0.017
0.008
0.035
0
0
0.071
Year 15
0.123
0.163
0.004
0.019
0.038
0.002
0.014
0.011
0.001
0.016
0.007
0.033
0
0
0.068
Year 16
0.117
0.155
0.004
0.018
0.036
0.002
0.014
0.01
0.001
0.015
0.007
0.032
0
0
0.064
Year 17
0.112
0.148
0.004
0.017
0.034
0.002
0.013
0.01
0.001
0.014
0.007
0.03
0
0
0.061
Year 18
0.106
0.14
0.004
0.016
0.033
0.002
0.012
0.009
0.001
0.014
0.006
0.029
0
0
0.058
Year 19
0.101
0.133
0.003
0.015
0.031
0.002
0.012
0.009
0.001
0.013
0.006
0.027
0
0
0.055
Year 20
0.095
0.125
0.003
0.015
0.029
0.002
0.011
0.008
0.001
0.012
0.006
0.026
0
0
0.052
Page 69
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
-114.289
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
-114.289
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
-130.995
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-8.613
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-11.34
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.007
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-6.984
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-4.363
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-2.185
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.926
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.6
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.658
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-21.702
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-12.845
Wage and Salary Disbursements Billions of Current Dollars
-5.469
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
-4.139
Real Disposable Personal Income Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-3.502
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
-0.366
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-11.962
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-2.453
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
0
Year 2
-42.458
-42.458
-72.831
-4.654
-7.357
0.018
-4.855
-2.521
-0.99
-0.6
-0.067
-0.323
-13.371
-7.856
-3.298
-1.681
-1.292
-0.575
-6.252
-0.873
0
Year 3
-4.674
-4.674
-37.286
-2.215
-4.938
0.023
-3.479
-1.482
-0.634
-0.5
0.051
-0.186
-8.22
-4.795
-1.842
-0.205
-0.137
-0.326
-3.072
-0.059
0
Year 4
26.151
26.151
-8.281
0.077
-3.129
0.022
-2.461
-0.689
-0.438
-0.454
0.091
-0.075
-3.861
-2.199
-0.496
1.205
0.88
-0.04
-0.377
0.677
0
Year 5
1.604
1.604
-14.318
-0.757
-3.086
0.017
-2.083
-1.021
-1.89
-0.858
-0.658
-0.373
-4.496
-2.639
-0.796
0.081
-0.041
0.092
-1.796
-0.049
0
Year 6
19.677
19.677
7.575
0.93
-1.33
0.011
-0.995
-0.345
-1.713
-0.769
-0.663
-0.281
-0.74
-0.417
0.31
0.894
0.558
0.167
0.225
0.4
0
Year 7
23.81
23.81
14.766
1.528
-0.767
0.003
-0.616
-0.153
-1.742
-0.756
-0.719
-0.267
0.547
0.342
0.783
1.2
0.716
0.304
0.822
0.521
0
Year 8
24.291
24.291
18.481
1.798
-0.353
-0.007
-0.316
-0.03
-1.791
-0.743
-0.782
-0.265
1.332
0.8
1.098
1.34
0.764
0.385
1.109
0.56
0
Year 9
14.708
14.708
14.369
1.379
-0.477
-0.016
-0.294
-0.167
-1.992
-0.769
-0.902
-0.321
0.824
0.471
0.927
0.875
0.421
0.393
0.49
0.301
0
Year 10
16.528
16.528
16.009
1.6
-0.334
-0.024
-0.226
-0.084
-1.717
-0.66
-0.791
-0.266
1.226
0.713
1.072
1.022
0.515
0.38
0.741
0.375
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other(Jobs)
Thousands
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste ServicesThousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social AssistanceThousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 2
-0.727
-0.118
-0.324
8.532
-6.457
-3.379
-6.42
-5.151
-3.847
-13.525
-3.696
-8.759
-1.721
-9.587
-2.105
-4.861
-3.031
-4.115
-3.542
30.372
0
0
0
Year 3
-0.534
-0.081
-0.19
15.07
-4.869
-2.346
-4.095
-3.737
-2.874
-9.446
-2.114
-5.814
-1.256
-5.568
-1.362
-2.188
-2.088
-2.359
-1.435
32.611
0
0
0
Year 4
-0.371
-0.047
-0.075
20.698
-3.612
-1.649
-2.288
-2.575
-2.121
-6.068
-0.713
-3.627
-0.88
-2.338
-0.744
0.014
-1.308
-0.856
0.281
34.431
0
0
0
Year 5
-0.282
-0.033
-0.076
18.79
-3.26
-2.465
-3.289
-2.107
-2.14
-5.142
-0.464
-5.074
-0.712
-3.36
-0.757
-1.057
-1.131
-1.151
-0.609
15.921
0
0
0
Year 6
-0.115
-0.003
0.016
20.654
-1.902
-1.79
-1.736
-0.97
-1.333
-1.992
0.641
-3.082
-0.341
-0.875
-0.266
0.535
-0.42
-0.041
0.593
12.102
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.048
0.008
0.05
21.211
-1.371
-1.605
-1.232
-0.539
-1.029
-0.834
1.049
-2.497
-0.207
-0.16
-0.093
0.96
-0.152
0.343
0.91
9.044
0
0
0
Year 8
-0.001
0.015
0.07
20.799
-0.963
-1.467
-0.911
-0.229
-0.797
-0.039
1.267
-2.125
-0.112
0.208
0.017
1.134
0.03
0.561
1.027
5.81
0
0
0
Year 9
0.013
0.015
0.061
18.661
-0.848
-1.5
-1.079
-0.172
-0.753
-0.029
1.163
-2.441
-0.097
-0.306
-0.025
0.623
0.036
0.39
0.654
0.339
0
0
0
Year 10
0.029
0.017
0.068
17.441
-0.631
-1.228
-0.725
-0.053
-0.579
0.272
1.203
-1.965
-0.065
-0.008
0.034
0.791
0.114
0.526
0.767
0.52
0
0
0
Year 1
-1.02
-0.172
-0.561
2.148
-9.134
-5.67
-10.883
-7.371
-5.661
-20.091
-6.122
-14.515
-2.44
-16.998
-3.386
-9.891
-4.585
-7.144
-7.501
16.706
0
0
0
Page 70
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 11
Category
Units
17.886
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
17.886
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
17.202
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
1.768
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.175
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.03
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.149
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.004
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-1.443
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.552
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.679
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.211
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.594
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.933
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.202
Wage and Salary Disbursements Billions of Current Dollars
1.16
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
0.588
Real Disposable Personal Income Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.389
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
0.97
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.436
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 12
16.591
16.591
15.94
1.683
-0.209
-0.034
-0.175
0.001
-1.225
-0.466
-0.582
-0.176
1.474
0.862
1.173
1.153
0.565
0.388
0.897
0.422
0
Year 13
15.004
15.004
14.406
1.546
-0.239
-0.038
-0.193
-0.007
-1.056
-0.398
-0.508
-0.15
1.306
0.762
1.11
1.109
0.527
0.375
0.795
0.397
0
Year 14
13.379
13.379
12.843
1.389
-0.262
-0.041
-0.206
-0.015
-0.918
-0.342
-0.447
-0.128
1.127
0.655
1.028
1.048
0.482
0.354
0.684
0.366
0
Year 15
11.86
11.86
11.383
1.234
-0.276
-0.044
-0.212
-0.021
-0.803
-0.295
-0.396
-0.111
0.958
0.554
0.943
0.979
0.436
0.331
0.58
0.338
0
Year 16
10.501
10.501
10.08
1.09
-0.282
-0.044
-0.213
-0.025
-0.703
-0.254
-0.352
-0.097
0.807
0.465
0.858
0.91
0.393
0.307
0.488
0.311
0
Year 17
9.326
9.326
8.953
0.961
-0.281
-0.044
-0.211
-0.026
-0.619
-0.221
-0.312
-0.086
0.678
0.389
0.78
0.846
0.354
0.284
0.409
0.289
0
Year 18
8.325
8.325
7.992
0.847
-0.276
-0.044
-0.206
-0.026
-0.543
-0.194
-0.275
-0.074
0.571
0.326
0.709
0.788
0.32
0.262
0.344
0.271
0
Year 19
7.496
7.496
7.196
0.752
-0.267
-0.042
-0.199
-0.024
-0.473
-0.169
-0.24
-0.064
0.485
0.277
0.648
0.739
0.292
0.243
0.293
0.258
0
Year 20
6.784
6.784
6.512
0.667
-0.254
-0.041
-0.191
-0.022
-0.412
-0.146
-0.211
-0.054
0.413
0.234
0.594
0.695
0.265
0.226
0.25
0.245
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 11
Category
Units
0.045
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other(Jobs)
Thousands
0.018
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
0.074
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
15.945
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.416
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.962
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.395
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
0.062
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
-0.41
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
0.558
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
1.218
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
-1.493
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
-0.03
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste ServicesThousands (Jobs)
0.279
0.091
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social AssistanceThousands (Jobs)
0.93
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
0.188
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
0.647
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
0.852
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
0.684
Thousands (Jobs)
0
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
0
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
0
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 12
0.044
0.016
0.07
14.365
-0.347
-0.796
-0.256
0.06
-0.334
0.506
1.115
-1.282
-0.033
0.249
0.092
0.859
0.185
0.641
0.785
0.652
0
0
0
Year 13
0.042
0.015
0.065
12.725
-0.292
-0.661
-0.158
0.055
-0.274
0.452
1.007
-1.119
-0.036
0.209
0.091
0.779
0.179
0.621
0.708
0.598
0
0
0
Year 14
0.041
0.014
0.061
11.15
-0.247
-0.551
-0.087
0.051
-0.224
0.401
0.902
-0.988
-0.036
0.169
0.088
0.701
0.172
0.596
0.63
0.536
0
0
0
Year 15
0.04
0.012
0.057
9.701
-0.208
-0.458
-0.031
0.048
-0.182
0.357
0.805
-0.872
-0.037
0.136
0.085
0.635
0.165
0.571
0.561
0.475
0
0
0
Year 16
0.039
0.01
0.051
8.401
-0.175
-0.38
0.016
0.045
-0.146
0.321
0.721
-0.768
-0.034
0.111
0.082
0.583
0.158
0.547
0.5
0.42
0
0
0
Year 17
0.038
0.009
0.048
7.255
-0.146
-0.314
0.056
0.044
-0.116
0.292
0.648
-0.674
-0.033
0.096
0.078
0.546
0.153
0.524
0.45
0.373
0
0
0
Year 18
0.036
0.007
0.044
6.253
-0.121
-0.256
0.092
0.044
-0.09
0.27
0.585
-0.586
-0.03
0.088
0.076
0.519
0.149
0.505
0.409
0.333
0
0
0
Year 19
0.035
0.006
0.041
5.387
-0.099
-0.206
0.126
0.044
-0.068
0.254
0.531
-0.502
-0.028
0.086
0.073
0.503
0.145
0.489
0.375
0.3
0
0
0
Year 20
0.035
0.006
0.037
4.638
-0.079
-0.163
0.154
0.045
-0.048
0.24
0.486
-0.426
-0.025
0.088
0.071
0.49
0.141
0.473
0.348
0.271
0
0
0
Page 71
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Management, business, financial occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-14.335
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
-7.323
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.919
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-1.699
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.981
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-2.403
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,Thousands
media occupations
(Jobs)
-2.612
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-6.159
Protective service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
2.067
Food preparation, serving related occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-7.638
Building, grounds, personal care, service
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
-9.901
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-41.001
Farm, fishing, forestry occupationsThousands (Jobs)
-0.623
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
1.149
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-4.441
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-7.672
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-9.8
Year 2
-5.994
-3.647
-0.113
-0.83
-0.054
-0.934
-1.527
-1.998
6.358
-4.27
-4.7
-20.248
-0.379
6.661
-1.247
-4.523
-5.012
Year 3
-1.684
-1.853
0.207
-0.367
0.309
-0.234
-0.962
-0.049
7.418
-2.379
-2.019
-9.465
-0.245
11.361
0.562
-2.809
-2.466
Year 4
1.832
-0.45
0.46
0.012
0.588
0.344
-0.516
1.549
8.285
-0.781
0.176
-0.8
-0.134
15.383
2.067
-1.443
-0.422
Year 5
-0.876
-1.695
-0.038
-0.172
-0.006
-0.181
-0.709
-0.164
3.574
-1.237
-1.124
-6.217
-0.147
12.976
0.984
-1.872
-1.49
Year 6
1.319
-0.672
0.066
0.098
0.089
0.145
-0.334
0.749
2.936
-0.063
0.369
-0.154
-0.051
14.155
1.801
-0.737
-0.039
Year 7
1.837
-0.421
0.057
0.171
0.068
0.211
-0.216
0.894
2.271
0.323
0.753
1.488
-0.018
14.392
2.004
-0.37
0.365
Year 8
1.951
-0.316
0.022
0.2
0.019
0.216
-0.145
0.859
1.514
0.534
0.891
2.173
0.002
13.96
2.013
-0.147
0.545
Year 9
0.905
-0.686
-0.126
0.118
-0.158
0.026
-0.201
0.24
0.085
0.316
0.367
0.261
-0.006
12.209
1.529
-0.306
0.137
Year 10
1.176
-0.468
-0.086
0.145
-0.114
0.08
-0.131
0.386
0.167
0.466
0.549
1.159
0.007
11.443
1.552
-0.133
0.331
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 1
-23.438
-26.244
-26.244
0
-26.551
0
Year 2
-23.093
-3.247
-3.247
-26.551
-30.448
0
Year 3
-16.311
4.916
4.916
-30.448
-26.154
0
Year 4
-6.024
9.929
9.929
-26.154
-16.659
0
Year 5
-4.443
3.168
3.168
-16.659
-13.756
0
Year 6
0.59
5.846
5.846
-13.758
-8.058
0
Year 7
4.747
5.428
5.428
-8.058
-2.635
0
Year 8
7.799
4.538
4.538
-2.635
2.023
0
Year 9
8.044
1.888
1.888
2.024
4.113
0
Year 10
8.941
2.13
2.13
4.113
6.498
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Ages 0-4
Thousands
-2.789
Ages 5-9
Thousands
-2.068
Ages 10-14
Thousands
-1.648
Ages 15-19
Thousands
-1.727
Ages 20-24
Thousands
-4.172
Ages 25-29
Thousands
-3.816
Ages 30-34
Thousands
-2.787
Ages 35-39
Thousands
-2.076
Ages 40-44
Thousands
-1.816
Ages 45-49
Thousands
-1.321
Ages 50-54
Thousands
-0.98
Ages 55-59
Thousands
-0.723
Ages 60-64
Thousands
-0.63
Ages 65-69
Thousands
0
Ages 70-74
Thousands
0
Ages 75-79
Thousands
0
Ages 80-84
Thousands
0
Ages 85+
Thousands
0
Year 2
-3.32
-2.414
-1.93
-1.735
-4.309
-4.468
-3.326
-2.437
-2.095
-1.573
-1.157
-0.84
-0.742
-0.1
0
0
0
0
Year 3
-2.984
-2.129
-1.714
-1.29
-2.993
-3.929
-3.035
-2.185
-1.805
-1.433
-1.039
-0.748
-0.651
-0.219
0
0
0
0
Year 4
-2.059
-1.427
-1.169
-0.67
-0.834
-2.599
-2.191
-1.535
-1.148
-1.03
-0.727
-0.522
-0.416
-0.331
0
0
0
0
Year 5
-1.772
-1.202
-1.021
-0.649
0.071
-2.068
-1.976
-1.393
-0.948
-0.929
-0.651
-0.479
-0.323
-0.418
0
0
0
0
Year 6
-0.849
-1.063
-0.693
-0.455
1.162
-0.975
-1.412
-1.031
-0.582
-0.667
-0.473
-0.355
-0.169
-0.495
0
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.05
-0.793
-0.378
-0.229
1.81
0.317
-0.847
-0.695
-0.279
-0.37
-0.312
-0.227
-0.052
-0.439
-0.091
0
0
0
Year 8
0.608
-0.479
-0.103
-0.028
2.101
1.573
-0.316
-0.41
-0.047
-0.086
-0.176
-0.114
0.029
-0.33
-0.201
0
0
0
Year 9
0.915
-0.255
0.029
0.02
1.838
2.465
-0.011
-0.313
0.005
0.082
-0.13
-0.065
0.039
-0.201
-0.302
0
0
0
Year 10
1.271
-0.038
0.204
0.114
1.578
3.226
0.447
-0.151
0.08
0.246
-0.056
-0.01
0.057
-0.09
-0.38
0
0
0
Page 72
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 11
Category
Units
1.407
Management, business, financial occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.256
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
-0.047
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
0.167
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.072
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
0.131
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,Thousands
media occupations
-0.064
(Jobs)
0.515
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
0.242
Protective service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving related occupations
0.602
Thousands (Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, service
occupations
0.711
Thousands
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
1.965
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupationsThousands (Jobs)
0.019
Construction, extraction occupations
10.494
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
1.538
Thousands (Jobs)
0.029
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
0.504
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 12
1.311
-0.201
-0.037
0.155
-0.058
0.127
-0.046
0.484
0.229
0.598
0.664
1.94
0.019
9.457
1.414
0.051
0.485
Year 13
1.184
-0.167
-0.03
0.14
-0.049
0.119
-0.032
0.443
0.209
0.579
0.606
1.824
0.02
8.377
1.273
0.058
0.448
Year 14
1.052
-0.143
-0.026
0.125
-0.042
0.111
-0.024
0.402
0.187
0.555
0.546
1.677
0.02
7.341
1.132
0.06
0.407
Year 15
0.929
-0.122
-0.022
0.112
-0.037
0.104
-0.016
0.366
0.166
0.53
0.492
1.53
0.02
6.386
1
0.059
0.365
Year 16
0.821
-0.105
-0.019
0.101
-0.033
0.097
-0.01
0.337
0.148
0.507
0.445
1.396
0.019
5.53
0.881
0.057
0.328
Year 17
0.727
-0.088
-0.016
0.092
-0.028
0.091
-0.003
0.317
0.132
0.486
0.407
1.285
0.019
4.776
0.777
0.055
0.297
Year 18
0.648
-0.072
-0.012
0.085
-0.023
0.086
0.001
0.304
0.118
0.469
0.378
1.195
0.019
4.117
0.685
0.055
0.271
Year 19
0.585
-0.056
-0.009
0.08
-0.019
0.083
0.007
0.297
0.109
0.455
0.356
1.128
0.018
3.55
0.607
0.056
0.25
Year 20
0.531
-0.04
-0.006
0.075
-0.015
0.079
0.012
0.291
0.1
0.441
0.337
1.071
0.019
3.057
0.539
0.058
0.233
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 11
Category
Units
9.888
Labor Force
Thousands
2.093
Total Migrants
Thousands
2.093
Economic Migrants
Thousands
6.498
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
8.9
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
0
College Population
Thousands
Year 12
10.374
1.569
1.569
8.9
10.826
0
Year 13
10.484
1.066
1.066
10.826
12.28
0
Year 14
10.311
0.624
0.624
12.28
13.31
0
Year 15
9.943
0.263
0.263
13.31
13.98
0
Year 16
9.454
-0.019
-0.019
13.981
14.358
0
Year 17
8.809
-0.198
-0.198
14.358
14.535
0
Year 18
8.196
-0.339
-0.339
14.535
14.541
0
Year 19
7.622
-0.441
-0.441
14.541
14.407
0
Year 20
7.103
-0.525
-0.525
14.408
14.148
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 11
Category
Units
1.576
Ages 0-4
Thousands
0.555
Ages 5-9
Thousands
0.077
Ages 10-14
Thousands
0.237
Ages 15-19
Thousands
1.341
Ages 20-24
Thousands
3.71
Ages 25-29
Thousands
1.061
Ages 30-34
Thousands
0.067
Ages 35-39
Thousands
0.163
Ages 40-44
Thousands
0.384
Ages 45-49
Thousands
0.039
Ages 50-54
Thousands
0.046
Ages 55-59
Thousands
0.077
Ages 60-64
Thousands
0.016
Ages 65-69
Thousands
-0.448
Ages 70-74
Thousands
0
Ages 75-79
Thousands
0
Ages 80-84
Thousands
0
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 12
1.802
1.01
0.07
0.33
1.16
3.735
1.849
0.27
0.211
0.449
0.162
0.08
0.1
0.078
-0.398
-0.081
0
0
Year 13
1.955
1.36
0.133
0.398
1.008
3.471
2.646
0.47
0.235
0.465
0.286
0.099
0.119
0.109
-0.297
-0.177
0
0
Year 14
2.065
1.565
0.274
0.455
0.862
3.019
3.394
0.67
0.242
0.451
0.403
0.109
0.133
0.117
-0.181
-0.266
0
0
Year 15
2.111
1.761
0.364
0.522
0.715
2.47
3.928
0.963
0.267
0.42
0.488
0.124
0.138
0.12
-0.08
-0.332
0
0
Year 16
2.099
1.883
0.807
0.274
0.589
1.901
4.148
1.382
0.329
0.379
0.533
0.152
0.138
0.12
0.015
-0.388
0
0
Year 17
2.038
1.955
1.138
0.165
0.48
1.441
3.951
2.004
0.399
0.321
0.52
0.216
0.124
0.123
0.071
-0.343
-0.067
0
Year 18
1.933
1.985
1.388
0.148
0.391
1.066
3.51
2.668
0.493
0.26
0.478
0.293
0.106
0.127
0.099
-0.256
-0.148
0
Year 19
1.788
2.001
1.517
0.228
0.328
0.751
2.927
3.313
0.612
0.203
0.417
0.373
0.087
0.129
0.107
-0.154
-0.219
0
Year 20
1.612
1.978
1.657
0.273
0.307
0.48
2.281
3.772
0.845
0.181
0.354
0.431
0.082
0.125
0.11
-0.067
-0.271
0
Page 73
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
State Revenues at State Average Rates
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.47363
State Expenditures at State Average
Ratesof Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.173369
Billions
Year 2
-0.25514
-0.12432
Year 3
-0.15704
-0.23182
Year 4
-0.07523
-0.27154
Year 5
-0.20509
-0.14341
Year 6
-0.1399
-0.16261
Year 7
-0.1237
-0.12861
Year 8
-0.11392
-0.08516
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.03441
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.159
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.04946
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.0138
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.04972
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.01788
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.03258
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.0313
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.00017
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.08531
Year 2
-0.03881
-0.08808
-0.02804
-0.00743
0
-0.03115
-0.00677
-0.01239
-0.01136
-0.00014
0
-0.03097
Year 3
Year 4
-0.03322 -0.02078
-0.07013 -0.06142
-0.0222
-0.0197
-0.00588
-0.0057
0
0
-0.02015 -0.01163
-0.0003 0.004988
-0.00119 0.008665
-0.00135 0.00833
-0.00011 -0.00009
0
0
-0.0035 0.022103
Year 5
-0.01665
-0.12427
-0.03875
-0.01078
0
-0.01191
-0.00012
-3.8E-05
-0.00049
-7.4E-05
0
-0.00101
Year 6
-0.01017
-0.11036
-0.03424
-0.00932
0
-0.00405
0.003072
0.005476
0.005805
-4.5E-05
0
0.013927
Year 7
-0.00312
-0.11073
-0.03434
-0.00996
0
-0.00137
0.003467
0.006863
0.007093
-3.1E-05
0
0.018428
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
0.002572 0.00498 0.007379
-0.1108 -0.11536 -0.09957
-0.0346 -0.03621
-0.0317
-0.00993 -0.00955 -0.00913
0
0
0
0.000299
-0.0012 0.000338
0.004345
0.0021 0.00277
0.007305 0.003686 0.004915
0.007456 0.003807 0.005008
-2.1E-05 -1.6E-05 -1.3E-05
0
0
0
0.019449 0.011071 0.013292
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.04957
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.198949
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.00158
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.00764
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.01562
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.00054
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.00595
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.00482
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.00065
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.00591
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.00266
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.0137
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.00029
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.082351
Year 2
-0.05527
-0.00252
-0.00181
-0.00822
-0.01695
-0.00128
-0.00624
-0.00509
-0.00096
-0.00766
-0.00289
-0.01462
-0.00043
0
-0.00039
Year 3
-0.04814
-0.08806
-0.00158
-0.00769
-0.015
-0.00074
-0.00592
-0.00413
-0.00016
-0.00662
-0.00328
-0.0128
-0.00051
0
-0.0372
Year 5
-0.026
-0.06086
-0.00108
-0.00395
-0.00859
-4.4E-05
-0.00265
-0.00245
-0.00028
-0.00355
-0.00119
-0.00681
-0.00057
0
-0.02538
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
-0.01605 -0.00509 0.003616 0.008398 0.013168
-0.09055 -0.08311 -0.06678 -0.02927 -0.02602
-0.00088 -0.00058 -0.00022 0.000145 0.000507
-0.00205 -0.00068 0.000944 0.001583 0.002219
-0.00475 -0.00199 0.001317 0.002644 0.003966
7.6E-05 0.000257 0.000473 -0.00031 -9.3E-05
-0.00196 -0.00091 0.000342 0.000602 0.001861
-0.00092 -0.00012 0.000831 0.000791 0.00075
-0.00023 -0.00016 -6.6E-05 0.000026 0.000118
-0.00178 -0.00062 0.000768 0.001164 0.001558
-0.00082 -0.00028 0.000373
2.9E-05 0.000684
-0.00421 -0.00178 0.001109 0.002024 0.003935
-0.00055 -0.00051 -0.00047 -0.00043 -0.00039
0
0
0
0
0
-0.03794 -0.03405
-0.0274 -0.01221 -0.01072
Year 4
-0.03093
-0.14293
-0.00094
-0.00433
-0.00933
-0.00096
-0.00318
-0.00309
-0.00025
-0.00402
-0.00194
-0.00872
-0.00056
0
-0.05936
Page 74
Year 9
-0.13669
-0.02282
Year 10
-0.10672
-0.00746
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 11
Year 12
Year 13
Year 14
Year 15
Year 16
Year 17
Year 18
Year 19
Year 20
Category
Units
-0.07783 -0.06073 -0.04695 -0.03618 -0.02783 -0.02174 -0.01561 -0.01039 -0.00608 -0.00281
State Revenues at State Average Rates
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Ratesof Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.010232 0.033647 0.054188 0.071685 0.083763 0.093806 0.099733 0.104168 0.107478 0.107891
Billions
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 11
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.010478
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.08478
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.0262
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.00772
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.000914
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.003355
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.005985
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.005054
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-9E-06
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.015098
Year 12
0.012735
-0.07335
-0.02307
-0.00668
0
0.000406
0.003328
0.004937
0.005006
-9E-06
0
0.01397
Year 13
0.015255
-0.06299
-0.01995
-0.00565
0
0.000967
0.003241
0.004777
0.00485
-0.00001
0
0.013551
Year 14
0.016179
-0.05469
-0.01686
-0.00462
0
0.000591
0.002115
0.004546
0.004625
-1.1E-05
0
0.011947
Year 15
0.016619
-0.04736
-0.01476
-0.00459
0
0.000291
0.001982
0.004303
0.004386
-1.1E-05
0
0.011308
Year 16
0.017646
-0.04098
-0.01264
-0.00356
0
0.000062
0.00185
0.004061
0.00315
-1.2E-05
0
0.009674
Year 17
0.017386
-0.03551
-0.01149
-0.00352
0
-0.0001
0.001734
0.003848
0.002942
-1.3E-05
0
0.009116
Year 18
0.017898
-0.03098
-0.00932
-0.00247
0
-0.00021
0.001635
0.002666
0.002765
-1.3E-05
0
0.00764
Year 19
0.017215
-0.02739
-0.00814
-0.00242
0
-0.00027
0.001553
0.002517
0.002619
-1.4E-05
0
0.007248
Year 20
0.017355
-0.0228
-0.00695
-0.00237
0
-0.00029
0.001481
0.002386
0.00249
-1.4E-05
0
0.006905
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 11
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.018435
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.02117
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.000853
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.00278
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.005134
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.000114
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.002062
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.001665
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.000205
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.001888
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.001308
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.00471
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.00035
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.00839
Year 12
0.022283
-0.01008
0.00115
0.003125
0.006864
0.000292
0.002096
0.002453
0.00028
0.003033
0.000847
0.006101
-0.00032
0
-0.00448
Year 13
0.024894
-0.00022
0.000406
0.004281
0.007212
0.000446
0.002986
0.002131
0.000345
0.003018
0.00131
0.007159
-0.00029
0
-0.00048
Year 14
0.027499
0.008629
0.000628
0.004285
0.00825
0.000579
0.002758
0.00272
0.000401
0.003873
0.001711
0.006944
-0.00027
0
0.003673
Year 15
0.028291
0.01462
0.000823
0.004165
0.009036
0.000696
0.003435
0.002236
0.00045
0.003623
0.002064
0.007509
-0.00024
0
0.00606
Year 16
0.029389
0.020831
0.000995
0.00494
0.008609
0.000798
0.003031
0.00269
0.000493
0.004283
0.001374
0.007888
-0.00023
0
0.008709
Year 17
0.030002
0.024595
0.00115
0.004641
0.009032
0.000891
0.00357
0.003101
0.000533
0.00388
0.001654
0.008134
-0.00021
0
0.009757
Year 18
0.030233
0.027187
0.001292
0.004284
0.009338
0.000977
0.003065
0.002478
0.000569
0.003428
0.001912
0.008278
-0.00019
0
0.01132
Year 19
0.030136
0.029786
0.001424
0.004878
0.009542
0.001055
0.003521
0.002825
0.000602
0.003933
0.002149
0.008333
-0.00018
0
0.012471
Year 20
0.02974
0.030508
0.000545
0.004425
0.008654
0.000128
0.002943
0.002146
0.000632
0.0034
0.001369
0.008307
-0.00016
0
0.012258
Page 75
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Employment Losses
Category
Units
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary Disbursements Billions of Current Dollars
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
Real Disposable Personal Income Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 1
-11.8506
-9.58621
11.55596
-1.23552
0.3215
-1.20252
-0.70551
-1.1141
0.781388
-0.2972
-0.00829
-3.36484
-1.00089
-0.35421
-0.88523
-0.00223
0.448048
-1.95648
0.593485
0.683
0
Year 2
6.794166
8.452323
16.30075
-0.31624
0.360405
-0.8677
-0.48595
-0.87012
1.109449
-0.16119
0.171615
-2.33225
-0.08946
0.068407
-0.51023
0.713261
0.425062
-0.97877
1.228651
0.949
0
Year 3
15.11346
16.39881
17.90029
0.214993
0.35705
-0.6496
-0.34746
-0.69417
1.090851
-0.11611
0.199091
-1.68803
0.426132
0.303222
-0.24646
1.076963
0.468379
-0.32272
1.431168
1.02
0
Year 4
21.48107
22.44011
18.46458
0.675648
0.286142
-0.46653
-0.25996
-0.54594
1.009631
-0.08854
0.202963
-1.12507
0.820998
0.49638
-0.01026
1.385137
0.594346
0.193081
1.581555
1.068
0
Year 5
9.856337
10.60974
11.65705
0.482694
0.07956
-0.3571
-0.26476
-0.55023
0.215386
-0.20957
-0.12304
-1.04181
0.432979
0.245958
-0.1067
0.844235
0.177455
0.364362
0.824289
0.659
0
Year 6
11.14732
11.56131
9.711604
0.720698
-0.00184
-0.16249
-0.15998
-0.36987
0.008255
-0.18619
-0.15093
-0.48521
0.61028
0.334614
0.054141
0.824274
0.188297
0.578384
0.705137
0.549
0
Year 7
10.33998
10.60609
8.197567
0.763374
-0.055
-0.08774
-0.12489
-0.29397
-0.14074
-0.18636
-0.18987
-0.2661
0.621076
0.351816
0.1139
0.760064
0.249058
0.610336
0.581802
0.473
0
Year 8
8.941834
9.097336
6.776936
0.75319
-0.08569
-0.03078
-0.09234
-0.23002
-0.27696
-0.18792
-0.22614
-0.11435
0.59876
0.351351
0.150242
0.665716
0.2764
0.601132
0.448463
0.396
0
Year 9
4.81405
4.92901
4.634444
0.604103
-0.1269
-0.01624
-0.09176
-0.21811
-0.44655
-0.20592
-0.29364
-0.11224
0.422982
0.257682
0.094173
0.422546
0.203227
0.490557
0.19283
0.267
0
Year 10
4.835462
4.913282
4.257188
0.590198
-0.13328
-0.00041
-0.08211
-0.18274
-0.39336
-0.18082
-0.26156
-0.03422
0.414413
0.263753
0.103447
0.409342
0.264833
0.39905
0.180724
0.259
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other(Jobs)
Thousands
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste ServicesThousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social AssistanceThousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
-0.03477
-0.07046
-2.44375
2.273533
-0.89223
-2.51207
0.227045
-0.44389
-2.39792
-2.77584
-2.61481
-0.23036
-5.40442
0.735299
-2.48159
-0.39864
-1.56241
-1.90694
-1.28541
13.119
0
0
0
Year 2
-0.02737
-0.04853
-2.51719
5.552396
-0.61681
-1.70394
0.753559
-0.31029
-1.71245
-1.92994
-1.53089
0.224423
-3.83438
1.271541
-1.65462
0.35968
-1.08666
-0.97379
-0.36215
17.481
0
0
0
Year 3
-0.02603
-0.03511
-2.18524
7.883799
-0.48743
-1.23942
0.835219
-0.23127
-1.26649
-1.39449
-0.87156
0.304431
-2.78676
1.289013
-1.15004
0.652417
-0.80177
-0.43772
0.016644
17.44
0
0
0
Year 4
-0.02271
-0.02378
-1.67297
9.401537
-0.40021
-0.87833
0.829248
-0.16964
-0.89611
-0.94306
-0.31998
0.290036
-1.92107
1.253362
-0.74218
0.867753
-0.5624
-0.00061
0.312948
17.357
0
0
0
Year 5
-0.02308
-0.01885
-1.21904
7.905676
-0.44617
-0.86152
0.153646
-0.15218
-0.70955
-0.77159
-0.31498
-0.28446
-1.41621
0.359741
-0.56092
0.266014
-0.49571
-0.06867
-0.10639
8.827
0
0
0
Year 6
-0.01396
-0.00871
-0.60746
7.796017
-0.33326
-0.52237
0.047558
-0.08965
-0.34114
-0.35059
0.095215
-0.35258
-0.59013
0.150709
-0.19936
0.297755
-0.27179
0.221497
0.053021
6.258
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.009
-0.00511
-0.1991
7.333011
-0.28816
-0.40311
-0.04432
-0.06613
-0.19838
-0.18318
0.224154
-0.4321
-0.27843
0.002792
-0.08012
0.265012
-0.18283
0.304019
0.081896
4.542
0
0
0
Year 8
-0.00403
-0.00276
0.093606
6.760713
-0.24721
-0.31821
-0.11679
-0.04739
-0.0947
-0.06598
0.294127
-0.49012
-0.06107
-0.12271
-0.00464
0.219447
-0.11849
0.342723
0.085481
2.853
0
0
0
Year 9
-0.00141
-0.00263
0.243188
5.633112
-0.23251
-0.31225
-0.22813
-0.04234
-0.06937
-0.04978
0.234853
-0.59055
-0.01249
-0.31613
-0.01667
0.067664
-0.10845
0.275823
-0.02294
0.369
0
0
0
Year 10
0.003019
-0.00165
0.332419
5.007797
-0.19219
-0.25587
-0.17269
-0.03253
-0.03443
-0.00989
0.258219
-0.52544
0.037638
-0.27056
-0.00955
0.122812
-0.08009
0.293883
0.020168
0.339
0
0
0
Page 76
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Employment Losses
Category
Units
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary Disbursements Billions of Current Dollars
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
Real Disposable Personal Income Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 11
4.765927
4.808743
3.83018
0.571449
-0.13665
0.016196
-0.0701
-0.14859
-0.33663
-0.15682
-0.22814
0.04263
0.400348
0.263437
0.109055
0.399744
0.3068
0.352941
0.163838
0.249
0
Year 12
4.392098
4.435387
3.643736
0.526149
-0.12296
0.01151
-0.06641
-0.13495
-0.27684
-0.13707
-0.19805
0.040881
0.374146
0.25405
0.096891
0.387435
0.337695
0.284703
0.150516
0.246
0
Year 13
3.975741
4.021319
3.424683
0.478949
-0.11013
0.006634
-0.06356
-0.12481
-0.22703
-0.12072
-0.17306
0.034633
0.343474
0.238384
0.080175
0.376189
0.349943
0.231892
0.134164
0.242
0
Year 14
3.567388
3.615911
3.204865
0.435084
-0.09814
0.002641
-0.05942
-0.11688
-0.18598
-0.10824
-0.15267
0.02495
0.311564
0.220085
0.0612
0.365744
0.351236
0.189806
0.117292
0.238
0
Year 15
3.189711
3.240996
2.993732
0.393658
-0.08698
-0.00048
-0.05588
-0.11093
-0.14942
-0.09713
-0.13438
0.016389
0.282364
0.200483
0.04098
0.358048
0.347311
0.156441
0.101778
0.234
0
Year 16
2.853211
2.906632
2.797969
0.35762
-0.07768
-0.0028
-0.0529
-0.10639
-0.11923
-0.08817
-0.11899
0.00859
0.255255
0.18239
0.021287
0.352296
0.338702
0.131194
0.087876
0.23
0
Year 17
2.558222
2.612879
2.617143
0.324837
-0.06824
-0.00443
-0.0495
-0.10175
-0.09232
-0.08013
-0.1043
0.001981
0.2315
0.165562
0.00344
0.348931
0.32943
0.111355
0.076
0.226
0
Year 18
2.302334
2.357403
2.449377
0.296125
-0.05968
-0.00548
-0.04572
-0.09781
-0.06962
-0.07294
-0.09126
-0.0035
0.210052
0.149279
-0.01407
0.347021
0.319608
0.095873
0.065084
0.221
0
Year 19
2.083465
2.138106
2.297676
0.2703
-0.05303
-0.00606
-0.04261
-0.09346
-0.04902
-0.06555
-0.07889
-0.00702
0.191792
0.13466
-0.02913
0.348613
0.311572
0.08362
0.056927
0.216
0
Year 20
1.890746
1.944411
2.154802
0.247167
-0.0463
-0.00726
-0.04027
-0.08996
-0.03153
-0.06012
-0.06831
-0.01003
0.174452
0.120668
-0.04408
0.350407
0.302979
0.074325
0.04928
0.211
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other(Jobs)
Thousands
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste ServicesThousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social AssistanceThousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 11
0.007411
-0.00063
0.386037
4.347461
-0.1513
-0.20199
-0.11911
-0.02168
0.000525
0.026717
0.279566
-0.45683
0.088065
-0.22314
0.001004
0.168857
-0.05223
0.310369
0.057192
0.308
0
0
0
Year 12
0.010163
-0.00071
0.377719
3.861142
-0.1258
-0.18389
-0.06843
-0.01901
-0.00115
0.019936
0.252214
-0.3908
0.059527
-0.18087
-0.02576
0.196707
-0.0488
0.293569
0.06572
0.291
0
0
0
Year 13
0.012919
-0.00081
0.345537
3.394859
-0.10457
-0.16995
-0.02635
-0.01621
-0.00381
0.011078
0.224884
-0.3338
0.035136
-0.1426
-0.04938
0.218957
-0.04555
0.276947
0.069423
0.274
0
0
0
Year 14
0.014694
-0.00089
0.301726
2.966701
-0.08641
-0.15827
0.008171
-0.01423
-0.00529
0.002485
0.200444
-0.28387
0.014454
-0.11024
-0.07005
0.238703
-0.04306
0.259017
0.071472
0.257
0
0
0
Year 15
0.016498
-0.00097
0.256202
2.583673
-0.07212
-0.14901
0.037114
-0.01205
-0.00753
-0.00482
0.178422
-0.23908
-0.00237
-0.08074
-0.08776
0.255068
-0.04092
0.243354
0.071733
0.241
0
0
0
Year 16
0.018333
-0.00101
0.212233
2.246674
-0.05864
-0.13904
0.061454
-0.00968
-0.00856
-0.01045
0.159821
-0.20056
-0.01463
-0.05608
-0.10095
0.269066
-0.03797
0.228017
0.071571
0.226
0
0
0
Year 17
0.019193
-0.00103
0.172269
1.950564
-0.04794
-0.13021
0.08114
-0.00815
-0.00954
-0.01515
0.143513
-0.16641
-0.02482
-0.03526
-0.11145
0.280706
-0.03504
0.214014
0.071324
0.211
0
0
0
Year 18
0.020081
-0.00103
0.137263
1.693201
-0.03903
-0.12174
0.097115
-0.00647
-0.00962
-0.01726
0.12819
-0.13777
-0.03062
-0.01831
-0.11883
0.289884
-0.03235
0.202038
0.07095
0.198
0
0
0
Year 19
0.019992
-0.00102
0.106863
1.47045
-0.03093
-0.11393
0.109327
-0.00467
-0.00996
-0.01721
0.115572
-0.11173
-0.0357
-0.00326
-0.1238
0.297488
-0.02911
0.189708
0.070354
0.185
0
0
0
Year 20
0.020924
-0.00099
0.082241
1.277151
-0.0237
-0.1052
0.118727
-0.0038
-0.00974
-0.01744
0.104267
-0.0894
-0.03763
0.007893
-0.12704
0.302426
-0.02545
0.178618
0.070336
0.173
0
0
0
Page 77
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,Thousands
media occupations
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving related occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, service
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupationsThousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
0.89269
0.634416
-0.14641
-0.16778
-0.22889
-0.14151
-1.78363
0.221739
1.437771
-2.71361
-9.67441
5.409812
-2.08899
2.651547
-1.32678
-1.94701
1.303
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
-2.28529 5.852967 10.98504 14.80457 14.69868 14.62926 13.74449 12.59358 10.82982 9.555929
-2.78329 1.371967 2.624033 3.295561 0.983676 1.122244 0.835475 0.506561 -0.21621
-0.1351
4.191 -2.38005 -6.40851
-8.8143 -12.4932 -13.3645 -13.1239 -12.5986 -12.1667 -11.0265
-7.07205 -6.38348 -3.41827 0.34685 4.327543 6.32314 7.835449 8.980338 9.624513 9.563307
4.25
9.125
13.657
17.802
19.092
19.681
19.79
19.474
18.511
17.678
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 1
-0.09644
-0.10782
-0.19615
-0.83306
-0.34844
-0.13099
-0.10697
-0.15092
-0.06145
-0.04983
-0.0358
-0.05206
0.101
0
0
0
0
0
Year 2
2.323056
1.028616
0.117755
-0.00315
0.084183
0.170479
-1.14168
1.014407
3.097701
-1.48958
-6.21847
7.378502
-1.98253
4.942971
-0.10812
-1.05253
1.718
Year 2
0.168602
0.046539
-0.05337
-0.98492
-0.19411
0.174928
0.131695
-0.00789
0.080764
0.061472
0.049443
-0.00817
0.193316
0.016
0
0
0
0
Year 3
2.765833
1.068007
0.209425
0.066753
0.194509
0.283106
-0.77322
1.232312
3.434861
-0.79616
-4.15171
7.489608
-1.67244
6.396495
0.528571
-0.58278
1.734
Year 3
0.553396
0.278037
0.1856
-0.83676
0.035052
0.596949
0.476051
0.235598
0.272202
0.22377
0.168136
0.07078
0.264431
0.052
0
0
0
0
Year 4
3.065494
1.065866
0.279201
0.120382
0.280914
0.372348
-0.4757
1.392777
3.703609
-0.2297
-2.42274
7.382183
-1.25752
7.341028
1.014553
-0.21234
1.704
Year 4
1.011167
0.551972
0.454643
-0.46747
0.258142
1.073673
0.882235
0.544314
0.486306
0.415852
0.304922
0.17571
0.314225
0.107
0
0
0
0
Page 78
Year 5
1.536297
0.420453
0.083175
0.025486
0.055027
0.137112
-0.42416
0.548172
1.64895
-0.31124
-2.25409
3.724404
-0.93594
5.785798
0.538393
-0.39472
0.895
Year 5
1.236531
0.640574
0.554652
-0.15583
0.052387
1.187221
1.048982
0.686059
0.53307
0.495398
0.356067
0.228569
0.28653
0.182
0
0
0
0
Year 6
1.307907
0.263912
0.085633
0.045857
0.065621
0.140315
-0.16647
0.457668
1.266861
0.092669
-0.80914
2.646403
-0.46026
5.516253
0.726773
-0.12559
0.643
Year 6
1.298746
0.783545
0.641837
0.257134
-0.10395
1.249755
1.203868
0.838037
0.580888
0.571356
0.406418
0.289836
0.232863
0.267
0
0
0
0
Year 7
1.064152
0.147361
0.064386
0.044895
0.046468
0.118239
-0.08385
0.355676
0.935913
0.215618
-0.29195
1.907243
-0.16464
5.103005
0.723111
-0.04765
0.474
Year 7
1.265296
0.939069
0.705707
0.604996
-0.16543
1.188345
1.313311
0.966638
0.629696
0.621069
0.451019
0.340425
0.199355
0.31672
0.015
0
0
0
Year 8
0.801678
0.039211
0.037919
0.039164
0.020557
0.088773
-0.032
0.242445
0.580962
0.281194
0.033345
1.229718
0.047343
4.619575
0.674789
-0.00604
0.317
Year 8
1.146971
1.093797
0.746939
0.864733
-0.11945
0.98937
1.371947
1.068849
0.680019
0.641064
0.488767
0.377379
0.181925
0.332183
0.049
0
0
0
Year 9
0.319483
-0.1272
-0.02592
0.013598
-0.0509
0.01456
-0.05345
0.011799
-0.03961
0.204193
-0.06365
0.274574
0.146973
3.726007
0.455605
-0.07501
0.099
Year 9
0.919691
1.216337
0.73996
0.988389
-0.01843
0.605802
1.336798
1.11497
0.70735
0.612175
0.505567
0.39027
0.173581
0.316105
0.101
0
0
0
Year 10
0.312283
-0.11089
-0.01947
0.020641
-0.03928
0.022038
-0.03858
0.048952
-0.01858
0.238965
0.071813
0.285445
0.213236
3.314923
0.439701
-0.03438
0.093
Year 10
0.701584
1.333124
0.735865
1.040209
0.223897
0.203561
1.283665
1.163459
0.759052
0.580381
0.528332
0.400761
0.188716
0.26628
0.171
0
0
0
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,Thousands
media occupations
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving related occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, service
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupationsThousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 11
0.300351
-0.09366
-0.01296
0.026525
-0.02774
0.029393
-0.02157
0.082545
0.002007
0.271235
0.196947
0.290266
0.255984
2.8792
0.419162
0.003566
0.086
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 11
Year 12
Year 13
Year 14
Year 15
Year 16
Year 17
Year 18
Year 19
Year 20
8.512644 7.607699 6.863577
6.2376 5.698717 5.234593 4.861497 4.540569 4.262817 4.01332
-0.13038 -0.18133 -0.23645 -0.28443 -0.32231 -0.34843 -0.36053 -0.36746 -0.37121 -0.37371
-10.0377 -9.07278 -8.26331 -7.56755 -6.95959 -6.42057 -5.94415 -5.50395 -5.09359 -4.70965
9.588156 9.530691 9.437447 9.295346 9.104463 8.871853 8.615024 8.333407 8.027352 7.699372
16.885
16.154
15.453
14.767
14.091
13.422
12.754
12.085
11.418
10.756
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 11
0.593491
1.285943
0.786334
1.041778
0.514796
-0.14901
1.185079
1.200596
0.820388
0.551555
0.54785
0.409057
0.218661
0.200091
0.251
0
0
0
Year 12
0.283429
-0.07538
-0.01192
0.027851
-0.02501
0.028839
-0.03431
0.100484
-0.00127
0.255862
0.16268
0.333568
0.250295
2.559051
0.378638
0.007913
0.089
Year 12
0.509683
1.167003
0.869777
1.015458
0.759803
-0.36228
1.000178
1.218306
0.878845
0.541744
0.556182
0.421612
0.248845
0.15599
0.29794
0.014
0
0
Year 13
0.26281
-0.06002
-0.01253
0.02924
-0.02315
0.02845
-0.04529
0.115354
-0.00549
0.240026
0.125513
0.362075
0.229078
2.250171
0.338753
0.009314
0.09
Year 13
0.445027
0.992406
0.974992
0.972848
0.935568
-0.41516
0.720245
1.213133
0.933189
0.553166
0.548017
0.435917
0.276317
0.132573
0.313042
0.044
0
0
Year 14
0.243021
-0.0465
-0.01273
0.029793
-0.02206
0.027333
-0.05544
0.127545
-0.0092
0.224311
0.090186
0.381806
0.200139
1.965077
0.300902
0.00858
0.089
Year 14
0.394954
0.769685
1.100159
0.923708
1.026183
-0.30361
0.351791
1.18307
0.984201
0.586083
0.524406
0.453583
0.297156
0.131049
0.299782
0.091
0
0
Page 79
Year 15
0.224385
-0.03575
-0.01239
0.029577
-0.02062
0.027569
-0.06308
0.137327
-0.01199
0.210277
0.059463
0.395768
0.170744
1.708772
0.267316
0.008222
0.088
Year 15
0.350847
0.545628
1.211566
0.871996
1.033337
-0.07211
-0.05285
1.121721
1.027921
0.636636
0.491086
0.473458
0.31255
0.149016
0.255855
0.155
0
0
Year 16
0.206947
-0.02676
-0.01251
0.030598
-0.01883
0.026166
-0.07042
0.146778
-0.0147
0.196922
0.034
0.404943
0.141704
1.482692
0.237992
0.008379
0.087
Year 16
0.305039
0.427769
1.154733
0.877957
0.984655
0.202164
-0.41381
1.014484
1.056346
0.69293
0.459743
0.48934
0.324214
0.181143
0.196411
0.226
0
0
Year 17
0.191674
-0.01854
-0.01209
0.030853
-0.01768
0.026117
-0.07436
0.153947
-0.01621
0.185218
0.014063
0.410305
0.114615
1.285086
0.210853
0.008064
0.085
Year 17
0.260774
0.336022
1.029755
0.925477
0.918872
0.432682
-0.63351
0.821171
1.066974
0.74726
0.446863
0.494047
0.338255
0.211792
0.15793
0.268183
0.012
0
Year 18
0.177422
-0.01111
-0.01221
0.03031
-0.01623
0.025373
-0.07726
0.159747
-0.01574
0.173774
-0.00022
0.410825
0.092057
1.113889
0.188739
0.008097
0.082
Year 18
0.222184
0.26498
0.850561
1.004999
0.846694
0.59783
-0.69245
0.535716
1.057266
0.799593
0.456106
0.483781
0.35501
0.239201
0.137025
0.283585
0.038
0
Year 19
0.165048
-0.00551
-0.01096
0.03094
-0.01553
0.024878
-0.07955
0.165074
-0.01555
0.164168
-0.01085
0.409472
0.072401
0.964987
0.168484
0.008286
0.08
Year 19
0.193923
0.212021
0.624705
1.110549
0.775426
0.682803
-0.58293
0.163475
1.024333
0.850051
0.489264
0.459176
0.374979
0.261552
0.135234
0.273243
0.078
0
Year 20
0.154354
-0.00078
-0.01044
0.030701
-0.01363
0.024576
-0.08068
0.168808
-0.0158
0.154959
-0.01819
0.405223
0.057058
0.836118
0.150884
0.00837
0.077
Year 20
0.177805
0.166542
0.400128
1.207299
0.708751
0.68854
-0.35057
-0.24133
0.962929
0.893058
0.539088
0.425551
0.395924
0.277959
0.152465
0.237638
0.132
0
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State Average Rates
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Ratesof Fixed (2010) Dollars
Billions
Year 1
0.109081
-0.008
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
-0.04299
0.018955
0.00684
0.003
-0.0075
-0.00345
-0.00499
-0.00176
0.007969
0
-0.02619
0.022
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
0.012232 0.007993 0.00564 0.003974 0.003376 0.001211
-0.00706 -0.00809
-0.0071 -0.00511 0.000885 0.002889
-0.00026 -0.00039 -0.00047 -0.00051 -0.00052
-0.0005
-0.00054 -0.00079 0.00005 -2.5E-05 -5.4E-05 -1.4E-05
-3.5E-05 0.000948 0.000938 0.000933 0.000931 0.001934
-0.0002
-0.0003 -0.00036 -0.00039
-0.0004 -0.00038
-0.00016 -0.00023 -0.00027 0.000704 0.000696 0.000707
-1.5E-05 -2.2E-05 -2.6E-05 -2.8E-05 -2.9E-05 -2.8E-05
-0.00023 -0.00033
-0.0004 -0.00043 -0.00044 -0.00043
-0.00011 -0.00016 -0.00019 0.000798 0.000792
0.0008
-0.00047 -0.00069 -0.00083
-0.0009 -0.00092 -0.00089
-7E-06 0.00099 0.000988 0.000987 0.000987 0.000988
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.004658 0.002485 0.001095 -1.1E-05 -0.00067 -0.00157
-0.003
-0.003
-0.003
-0.002
0
0.001
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
0.12985 0.126983 0.121679 0.057213 0.035433 0.021946 0.010051
-0.007
-0.002
0.002
0.012
0.015
0.017
0.019
Year 2
-0.02505
0.027382
0.008788
0.003
-0.00546
-0.00237
-0.00201
0.004177
0.010975
0
-0.02098
0.03
Year 3
-0.0128
0.023657
0.007417
0.003
-0.00412
-0.00158
0.000443
0.005592
0.01198
0
-0.01719
0.033
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
-0.00136 0.004484 0.011614 0.014451 0.015654
0.018678 -0.00612 -0.01188 -0.01599
-0.0193
0.005975 -0.00169 -0.00407 -0.00483 -0.00564
0.002
0
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
-0.00296 -0.00227 -0.00106 -0.00059 -0.00024
-0.00083 -0.00133 -0.00044 -2.5E-05 0.000295
0.001816 -0.00028 0.001371 0.001121 0.001709
0.007933 0.003822 0.004431 0.004164 0.003738
0.012984 0.007987 0.006992 0.005994 0.004996
0
0
0
0
0
-0.01359 -0.01121 -0.00689 -0.00493 -0.00338
0.034
0.021
0.018
0.015
0.012
Page 80
Year 7
0.000566
0.003896
-0.00047
0.000046
0.001938
-0.00036
0.000725
-2.6E-05
-0.0004
0.000812
-0.00084
0.000988
0
-0.00184
0.002
Year 8
0.000282
0.004904
-0.00044
0.000117
0.001942
-0.00033
0.000745
-2.4E-05
-0.00037
0.000826
-0.00077
0.000989
0
-0.00196
0.002
Year 9
-0.00412
0.02
Year 10
-0.00226
0.019
Year 9
0.015579
-0.02301
-0.00756
-0.002
-0.00015
-0.00058
0.000947
0.001971
0.002997
0
-0.00276
0.008
Year 10
0.015593
-0.0207
-0.00647
-0.002
-5.8E-05
-0.00046
0.000164
0.002183
0.002997
0
-0.00219
0.007
Year 9
0.000511
0.006912
-0.0004
0.000189
0.001947
-0.00031
0.000766
-2.2E-05
-0.00034
0.00084
-0.00071
0.00099
0
-0.00186
0.003
Year 10
0.000756
0.005919
-0.00036
0.000261
0.000952
-0.00028
0.000787
-0.00002
-0.00031
0.000854
-0.00065
0.000991
0
-0.00176
0.003
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State Average Rates
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Ratesof Fixed (2010) Dollars
Billions
Year 11
Year 12
0.000565 0.003599
0.019
0.018
Year 13
Year 14
0.00651 0.009316
0.017
0.016
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.015616
-0.01737
-0.00538
-0.001
0.000039
-0.00035
0.000358
0.002372
0.001998
0
-0.00168
0.007
Year 12
0.014826
-0.01531
-0.00436
-0.001
-1E-06
-0.00035
0.000352
0.001367
0.001998
0
-0.0017
0.007
Year 13
Year 14
Year 15
Year 16
Year 17
0.015008 0.014163 0.013309 0.012449 0.012586
-0.01225
-0.0102 -0.00916 -0.00711 -0.00607
-0.00435 -0.00333 -0.00232 -0.00231
-0.0023
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
0
-3.8E-05 -0.00007 -9.7E-05 -0.00012 -0.00013
-0.00037 -0.00039 -0.00041 -0.00043 -0.00044
0.000329 0.000294 0.000257 0.00022 0.000187
0.001344 0.00131 0.001274 0.001237 0.001205
0.001998 0.001998 0.001998 0.001998 0.001998
0
0
0
0
0
-0.00176 -0.00185 -0.00195 -0.00205 -0.00213
0.006
0.006
0.006
0.006
0.006
Year 18
0.011722
-0.00503
-0.00128
0
-0.00014
-0.00046
0.000158
0.001177
0.001997
0
-0.00221
0.006
Year 19
0.010861
-0.00398
-0.00127
0
-0.00015
-0.00047
0.000135
0.001154
0.001997
0
-0.00227
0.005
Year 20
0.009992
-0.00294
-0.00126
0
-0.00015
-0.00048
0.000113
0.001133
0.001997
0
-0.00232
0.005
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.000992
0.005927
-0.00033
0.00033
0.000956
-0.00025
0.000806
-1.8E-05
-0.00028
0.000868
-0.00059
0.000992
0
-0.00166
0.003
Year 12
0.000424
0.005933
-0.0003
0.000389
0.00096
-0.00023
0.000824
-1.7E-05
-0.00026
0.00088
-0.00054
0.000993
0
-0.00148
0.002
Year 13
0.000809
0.005939
-0.00028
0.000441
0.000963
-0.00021
-0.00016
-1.5E-05
-0.00024
0.00089
-0.00049
0.000993
0
-0.00132
0.002
Year 18
0.001158
0.003959
-0.00018
0.000627
0.000976
-0.00014
-0.00011
-0.00001
-0.00016
-7.4E-05
-0.00033
0.000995
0
-0.00076
0.002
Year 19
0.001346
0.003963
-0.00017
-0.00034
0.000978
-0.00013
-9.9E-05
-9E-06
-0.00014
-6.8E-05
-0.0003
0.000996
0
-0.00069
0.002
Year 20
0.001515
0.003966
-0.00016
-0.00032
0.000979
-0.00012
-9.1E-05
-9E-06
-0.00013
-6.2E-05
-0.00028
0.000996
0
-0.00062
0.002
Year 14
0.001151
0.004944
-0.00025
0.000486
0.000966
-0.0002
-0.00015
-1.4E-05
-0.00022
0.000899
-0.00045
0.000994
0
-0.00118
0.002
Page 81
Year 15
Year 16
Year 17
Year 18
Year 19
Year 20
0.01103 0.012659 0.014226 0.015744 0.016219 0.016654
0.016
0.015
0.014
0.013
0.013
0.012
Year 15
0.001453
0.004948
-0.00023
0.000526
0.000969
-0.00018
-0.00014
-1.3E-05
-0.0002
-9.3E-05
-0.00042
0.000994
0
-0.00106
0.002
Year 16
0.001716
0.004952
-0.00022
0.000563
0.000971
-0.00017
-0.00013
-1.2E-05
-0.00018
-8.6E-05
-0.00038
0.000995
0
-0.00095
0.002
Year 17
0.000949
0.004956
-0.0002
0.000596
0.000974
-0.00015
-0.00012
-1.1E-05
-0.00017
-0.00008
-0.00035
0.000995
0
-0.00085
0.002
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary Disbursements Billions of Current Dollars
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
Real Disposable Personal Income Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 1
25.80816
25.80715
-4.70403
0.257713
-0.82291
-0.0002
-0.54589
-0.27681
1.10496
0.145813
0.628664
0.330483
-0.71075
-0.41723
-0.06372
0.558462
0.469764
-0.01751
1.064511
0.411043
0
Year 2
51.29716
51.29715
9.014459
1.010787
-0.40076
-0.00152
-0.33049
-0.06875
2.012145
0.279401
0.925372
0.807373
0.498217
0.303568
0.395372
1.819263
1.443029
0.232954
2.35918
1.127135
0
Year 3
58.42218
58.4222
15.79289
1.393344
-0.15102
-0.00298
-0.19772
0.049676
2.17326
0.288704
0.928814
0.954742
1.154825
0.688276
0.679724
2.40559
1.790518
0.63817
2.762393
1.384103
0
Year 4
63.1854
63.1854
20.35003
1.754922
-0.04009
-0.00573
-0.13494
0.100582
2.250888
0.276251
0.893572
1.080064
1.650319
0.981525
0.904548
2.9472
2.106003
0.986743
3.067867
1.609212
0
Year 5
33.16683
33.16686
11.69718
1.227526
-0.20376
-0.00786
-0.17826
-0.01764
0.747889
0.012329
0.252077
0.483484
0.971466
0.563919
0.623998
1.728882
1.144929
1.047338
1.610269
0.869636
0
Year 6
27.74757
27.74757
12.36168
1.227546
-0.11013
-0.00944
-0.10793
0.007246
0.468377
-0.04188
0.088147
0.421105
1.089287
0.632605
0.645614
1.634867
1.05682
0.989296
1.383624
0.812101
0
Year 7
22.85871
22.85869
11.64005
1.166765
-0.10804
-0.01147
-0.09215
-0.00443
0.242505
-0.08337
-0.02807
0.35394
1.041828
0.604731
0.623599
1.509316
0.940492
0.992383
1.153565
0.740525
0
Year 8
17.64593
17.64592
10.57175
1.062372
-0.09187
-0.01181
-0.07394
-0.00613
0.013659
-0.11974
-0.13434
0.26774
0.96171
0.558254
0.585709
1.331506
0.797186
0.953124
0.904522
0.649394
0
Year 9
8.112277
8.112277
7.325626
0.806004
-0.14649
-0.01247
-0.08537
-0.04765
-0.36313
-0.17693
-0.28913
0.102929
0.654476
0.370398
0.441253
0.843373
0.467747
0.841023
0.409496
0.417375
0
Year 10
7.605325
7.60534
6.865313
0.761939
-0.15161
-0.01225
-0.0839
-0.05547
-0.28649
-0.15639
-0.2622
0.132103
0.608243
0.344301
0.406622
0.839468
0.467417
0.726391
0.381
0.423806
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other(Jobs)
Thousands
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste ServicesThousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social AssistanceThousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
-0.25872
-0.06676
-0.13136
7.096405
-1.13474
-0.18494
-1.2948
-0.8085
-0.26572
-1.64338
-1.05651
-1.03328
-0.13706
-0.58735
-0.55269
-0.78348
-0.65301
-0.57853
-0.63063
30.51219
0
0
0
Year 2
-0.18657
-0.04633
-0.04718
10.92529
-0.7969
0.048853
0.179089
-0.57163
-0.17135
-1.09404
-0.38305
-0.27005
-0.09971
0.716309
-0.30054
0.652566
-0.37696
0.273102
0.564572
42.2827
0
0
0
Year 3
-0.14027
-0.03452
-0.00834
13.81268
-0.60513
0.100475
0.651446
-0.42843
-0.12763
-0.77548
-0.0611
-0.04027
-0.07804
1.106129
-0.16632
1.179292
-0.2283
0.645378
0.98933
42.62929
0
0
0
Year 4
-0.09924
-0.02349
0.026384
15.57263
-0.46388
0.10964
0.936774
-0.31709
-0.09492
-0.52395
0.189759
0.06076
-0.06117
1.363087
-0.05762
1.582125
-0.10817
0.955758
1.302642
42.83537
0
0
0
Year 5
-0.07203
-0.01962
0.007702
12.50706
-0.4413
-0.11931
-0.16462
-0.27857
-0.11148
-0.48738
-0.01449
-0.56861
-0.05257
0.268443
-0.09618
0.507807
-0.12608
0.493765
0.462646
21.46967
0
0
0
Year 6
-0.02903
-0.00859
0.027731
11.77135
-0.27681
-0.12009
-0.04825
-0.15683
-0.0738
-0.23508
0.145916
-0.50953
-0.03406
0.255647
-0.01893
0.600605
-0.02716
0.571577
0.527011
15.38691
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.01328
-0.00406
0.031535
10.93093
-0.20856
-0.1329
-0.06052
-0.10792
-0.05937
-0.13538
0.194814
-0.53086
-0.02626
0.157255
0.005312
0.553069
0.007865
0.563446
0.473944
11.21865
0
0
0
Year 8
-0.00202
-0.00187
0.032877
10.01285
-0.15513
-0.1439
-0.09458
-0.07065
-0.04817
-0.06558
0.209115
-0.55563
-0.02098
0.038509
0.01925
0.467399
0.030536
0.526222
0.392513
7.074171
0
0
0
Year 9
0.001917
-0.00085
0.023187
8.141958
-0.13821
-0.17087
-0.28594
-0.05935
-0.04712
-0.05908
0.138494
-0.67494
-0.01818
-0.25285
0.003198
0.169971
0.020609
0.37601
0.158656
0.786673
0
0
0
Year 10
0.006726
0.000119
0.026168
7.124264
-0.10673
-0.14432
-0.16979
-0.04214
-0.03709
-0.02408
0.160664
-0.59907
-0.01522
-0.20432
0.013975
0.246466
0.03447
0.404433
0.189787
0.740006
0
0
0
Page 82
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary Disbursements Billions of Current Dollars
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
Real Disposable Personal Income Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 11
6.978813
6.978782
6.293095
0.706657
-0.15355
-0.01203
-0.07916
-0.06237
-0.20838
-0.1355
-0.23381
0.161929
0.552106
0.313786
0.371147
0.834268
0.460277
0.660123
0.347871
0.42393
0
Year 12
6.550899
6.550914
5.90645
0.658923
-0.14629
-0.01177
-0.07635
-0.05717
-0.13829
-0.11151
-0.1952
0.168431
0.512639
0.29208
0.347593
0.819861
0.44582
0.60383
0.324281
0.417984
0
Year 13
6.074387
6.074371
5.475006
0.60649
-0.13728
-0.01144
-0.07192
-0.05392
-0.08465
-0.09156
-0.16323
0.16913
0.469209
0.267628
0.32374
0.801632
0.429023
0.55229
0.297749
0.408378
0
Year 14
5.602609
5.602609
5.047188
0.554971
-0.1293
-0.01102
-0.06781
-0.04947
-0.04403
-0.07543
-0.13632
0.16772
0.425677
0.243537
0.302014
0.781549
0.410892
0.506398
0.271484
0.397624
0
Year 15
5.160496
5.160496
4.646203
0.506822
-0.12019
-0.0105
-0.06302
-0.04567
-0.00981
-0.06084
-0.11295
0.163976
0.38663
0.221782
0.280678
0.76169
0.393016
0.465611
0.247546
0.3869
0
Year 16
4.761213
4.761228
4.285484
0.462752
-0.11097
-0.0099
-0.05858
-0.04249
0.018709
-0.04865
-0.09286
0.160226
0.350782
0.201788
0.262542
0.747097
0.377674
0.430918
0.226394
0.376582
0
Year 17
4.406306
4.406291
3.964874
0.42339
-0.1027
-0.00921
-0.05458
-0.03891
0.0433
-0.03875
-0.07378
0.156829
0.319693
0.184899
0.246357
0.736588
0.365568
0.400433
0.207407
0.368267
0
Year 18
4.090829
4.090829
3.680412
0.387927
-0.09551
-0.00945
-0.0511
-0.03596
0.065238
-0.0301
-0.05754
0.152882
0.292418
0.170134
0.233469
0.731003
0.354874
0.375682
0.190611
0.359948
0
Year 19
3.813769
3.813769
3.431131
0.357432
-0.08756
-0.00864
-0.04722
-0.0327
0.085657
-0.0226
-0.04212
0.149378
0.268877
0.157434
0.222065
0.728639
0.346705
0.355671
0.17694
0.352371
0
Year 20
3.561005
3.56099
3.20414
0.328722
-0.081
-0.00778
-0.04303
-0.03019
0.102322
-0.0152
-0.02965
0.146169
0.247724
0.145581
0.21217
0.730996
0.339665
0.339164
0.164164
0.344372
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other(Jobs)
Thousands
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste ServicesThousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social AssistanceThousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 11
0.011628
0.001066
0.027951
6.029133
-0.07515
-0.11829
-0.06046
-0.025
-0.02621
0.009897
0.179038
-0.52053
-0.01229
-0.15554
0.025629
0.313289
0.048255
0.42707
0.213603
0.685691
0
0
0
Year 12
0.011482
0.000905
0.027825
5.387308
-0.06297
-0.09608
0.015677
-0.0216
-0.02113
0.01588
0.175454
-0.45673
-0.01135
-0.13366
0.027656
0.345823
0.049248
0.433017
0.21568
0.644459
0
0
0
Year 13
0.012463
0.000737
0.027641
4.753411
-0.05234
-0.07715
0.076417
-0.01777
-0.01595
0.020692
0.169117
-0.39935
-0.01024
-0.11421
0.029666
0.370449
0.05038
0.434191
0.21484
0.599383
0
0
0
Year 14
0.012586
0.001573
0.026432
4.161297
-0.04321
-0.06135
0.126707
-0.01446
-0.01266
0.024464
0.161899
-0.3487
-0.00897
-0.09573
0.030764
0.391227
0.050724
0.43301
0.212567
0.555411
0
0
0
Year 15
0.012855
0.001422
0.026248
3.624125
-0.03455
-0.04853
0.166828
-0.01167
-0.00922
0.027265
0.154615
-0.30232
-0.00754
-0.07888
0.031046
0.408379
0.051389
0.428168
0.209581
0.513291
0
0
0
Year 16
0.013264
0.00129
0.025138
3.146437
-0.02842
-0.03764
0.20009
-0.00944
-0.00665
0.030064
0.148655
-0.26214
-0.00698
-0.0637
0.031546
0.423669
0.051405
0.420902
0.20699
0.475733
0
0
0
Year 17
0.013801
0.001167
0.02413
2.728063
-0.02186
-0.02863
0.227791
-0.00683
-0.00397
0.031761
0.142334
-0.22518
-0.0063
-0.04931
0.032278
0.43838
0.050806
0.413485
0.203939
0.441421
0
0
0
Year 18
0.013447
0.001068
0.023178
2.363327
-0.01693
-0.02048
0.249656
-0.00488
-0.00217
0.033234
0.136517
-0.19263
-0.00552
-0.03701
0.032194
0.450953
0.050547
0.403766
0.201153
0.410409
0
0
0
Year 19
0.013184
0.00099
0.022289
2.047406
-0.0127
-0.01323
0.26826
-0.00266
-0.00029
0.035343
0.130028
-0.16371
-0.00467
-0.02514
0.032242
0.462563
0.049547
0.394488
0.199191
0.382621
0
0
0
Year 20
0.013995
-0.00007
0.02144
1.774309
-0.00924
-0.00789
0.281173
-0.00123
0.000639
0.035943
0.124583
-0.13871
-0.00377
-0.01603
0.031442
0.469578
0.048767
0.383589
0.195629
0.356862
0
0
0
Page 83
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,Thousands
media occupations
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving related occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, service
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupationsThousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
3.11244
0.885183
0.58666
-0.13568
0.704495
0.343328
-0.03814
1.121509
7.461768
-0.43718
0.445573
3.436944
-0.06069
6.380348
1.299405
-0.10307
0.802254
Year 2
5.829135
1.848459
0.930948
0.11591
1.099255
0.876955
0.18037
2.686407
10.57368
0.539545
1.998863
9.52188
0.017491
9.693526
2.573669
0.644492
2.167571
Year 3
6.486901
2.039081
0.968734
0.207054
1.141908
1.001674
0.24541
3.042997
10.73583
0.91954
2.414133
11.09188
0.045827
11.63777
3.012437
0.891178
2.540835
Year 4
6.930501
2.154856
0.993214
0.274466
1.169534
1.099669
0.290078
3.308811
10.84451
1.228986
2.716083
12.12241
0.069155
12.82077
3.309615
1.062525
2.789219
Year 5
3.507887
0.906609
0.459372
0.093362
0.544035
0.489979
0.088424
1.446497
5.396914
0.574226
1.146747
5.401122
0.020056
9.470165
1.914328
0.403756
1.304374
Year 6
2.837754
0.677084
0.331492
0.10746
0.388212
0.397048
0.078847
1.17348
3.891
0.615594
0.985736
4.468604
0.025891
8.631987
1.672018
0.374403
1.090969
Year 7
2.267138
0.480909
0.237427
0.097012
0.275615
0.307384
0.058331
0.914874
2.844868
0.577808
0.787775
3.536457
0.022971
7.828886
1.440751
0.305177
0.875316
Year 8
1.664119
0.278228
0.140647
0.080378
0.161022
0.210065
0.033727
0.634056
1.797004
0.51029
0.56368
2.530243
0.018203
6.974513
1.18714
0.220564
0.641039
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 1
-1.28785
-2.54089
-2.54089
0
-2.57042
0
Year 2
3.813962
5.174767
5.174767
-2.57042
2.604958
0
Year 3
9.917683
7.823362
7.823358
2.604958
10.58398
0
Year 4
16.44682
9.377281
9.377271
10.5851
20.32293
0
Year 5
16.4827
3.316003
3.315984
20.32287
24.14841
0
Year 6
17.13677
3.027935
3.027906
24.14841
27.75561
0
Year 7
17.40998
2.147272
2.148234
27.75561
30.53498
0
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
17.19017 15.60575 14.61559
1.194095 -0.72675 -0.61727
1.194048 -0.72581 -0.61733
30.53498 32.38832 32.31129
32.38832 32.31129 32.31246
0
0
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 1
-0.2694
-0.20007
-0.15936
-0.16725
-0.404
-0.36955
-0.26978
-0.2013
-0.17633
-0.12825
-0.09488
-0.0697
-0.06154
0
0
0
0
0
Year 2
0.262005
0.198383
0.157343
0.193256
0.455111
0.365811
0.260911
0.197787
0.176797
0.124222
0.092665
0.070327
0.059526
-0.00918
0
0
0
0
Year 3
1.112136
0.824025
0.656006
0.67699
1.671621
1.524418
1.110637
0.825723
0.725045
0.526867
0.390456
0.287878
0.252771
-0.00055
0
0
0
0
Year 4
2.180998
1.600337
1.27705
1.21328
3.011909
2.96057
2.184092
1.610564
1.396075
1.034687
0.763433
0.557807
0.492333
0.038751
0
0
0
0
Year 5
2.661701
1.93172
1.546681
1.323403
3.19671
3.579001
2.693234
1.960597
1.661538
1.274559
0.931681
0.676459
0.593239
0.117908
0
0
0
0
Year 6
3.153893
2.217333
1.810766
1.470642
3.211918
4.152992
3.205044
2.315382
1.908211
1.514939
1.09851
0.798938
0.681503
0.216584
0
0
0
0
Year 7
3.480268
2.515973
2.029126
1.622518
3.004297
4.565332
3.64159
2.625286
2.098281
1.724155
1.242726
0.907194
0.740854
0.348049
-0.00869
0
0
0
Year 8
3.643825
2.795257
2.196246
1.750276
2.671474
4.724479
3.984849
2.88543
2.2391
1.884764
1.361701
0.997848
0.77849
0.475588
-2.6E-05
0
0
0
Page 84
Year 9
0.59128
-0.08036
-0.01478
0.02953
-0.02429
0.029626
-0.02257
0.098384
0.184555
0.310525
0.114096
0.609048
0.001177
5.361208
0.701784
0.025114
0.197958
Year 9
3.531255
2.974744
2.248732
1.771686
2.124324
4.456596
4.121436
3.016738
2.271238
1.938272
1.42157
1.038929
0.777763
0.582559
0.03647
0
0
0
Year 10
0.556836
-0.06297
-0.01054
0.038707
-0.02002
0.038985
-0.01419
0.14759
0.179245
0.34362
0.147744
0.682113
0.004043
4.695156
0.640825
0.038901
0.199282
Year 10
3.431206
3.118724
2.309692
1.820181
1.737066
4.022928
4.260977
3.177009
2.332685
1.97682
1.493577
1.084118
0.789733
0.646915
0.108817
0
0
0
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,Thousands
media occupations
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving related occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, service
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupationsThousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 11
0.513795
-0.04774
-0.00649
0.045781
-0.015
0.049155
-0.00603
0.19007
0.171628
0.37091
0.176213
0.73341
0.006929
3.979187
0.569756
0.050813
0.196405
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 11
Year 12
Year 13
Year 14
Year 15
Year 16
Year 17
Year 18
Year 19
Year 20
13.83033 13.14983 12.49401 11.84533 11.20297 10.56507 9.932058 9.333764 8.770851 8.241457
-0.67874 -0.78225 -0.90338 -1.01428 -1.10175 -1.16712 -1.20999 -1.23676 -1.24749 -1.25271
-0.6788 -0.78231 -0.90345 -1.01435 -1.10182 -1.16719 -1.20906 -1.23606 -1.24818 -1.25187
32.3124 32.21792 31.98264 31.58299 31.02449 30.32525 29.50568 28.58954 27.59153 26.53161
32.21792 31.98264 31.58299 31.02449 30.32525 29.50568 28.5896 27.59153 26.53161 25.42141
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 11
3.294558
3.283991
2.330728
1.877582
1.477609
3.440918
4.359052
3.345936
2.410583
1.996756
1.568832
1.131059
0.811126
0.687907
0.200302
0
0
0
Year 12
0.481208
-0.03528
-0.00358
0.048666
-0.01107
0.050846
-0.00179
0.210378
0.163251
0.379016
0.18169
0.754829
0.007268
3.558317
0.523856
0.0547
0.188595
Year 12
3.12579
3.348171
2.41532
1.931418
1.339574
2.756877
4.384068
3.502111
2.498468
2.003329
1.645433
1.175641
0.838443
0.704652
0.320259
-0.00793
0
0
Year 13
0.444734
-0.026
-0.0017
0.049874
-0.00918
0.051586
0.001505
0.227168
0.154042
0.383604
0.184785
0.754845
0.007661
3.141885
0.475761
0.055584
0.179226
Year 13
2.929412
3.321407
2.538552
1.975326
1.278757
2.085558
4.260052
3.64006
2.599187
2.00927
1.707217
1.222508
0.870507
0.707383
0.436911
-0.00012
0
0
Year 14
0.40815
-0.0194
0.000237
0.050476
-0.00623
0.051508
0.003956
0.239676
0.144567
0.384103
0.186065
0.745062
0.008127
2.75247
0.429903
0.054835
0.168102
Year 14
2.722775
3.187279
2.699642
2.011427
1.255137
1.496412
3.961613
3.754297
2.710238
2.026339
1.750136
1.272876
0.903393
0.707617
0.533919
0.032423
0
0
Page 85
Year 15
0.373805
-0.01211
0.00232
0.051643
-0.00414
0.051784
0.006652
0.250777
0.135342
0.381212
0.186234
0.731789
0.008679
2.398556
0.387356
0.053749
0.157834
Year 15
2.492115
3.04608
2.810756
2.044543
1.242016
1.035525
3.471837
3.85075
2.834677
2.059659
1.767096
1.329085
0.934989
0.71503
0.592647
0.097464
0
0
Year 16
0.343246
-0.007
0.003572
0.052375
-0.00287
0.051448
0.008615
0.260405
0.127551
0.377145
0.186414
0.717131
0.008318
2.085176
0.348638
0.053408
0.147648
Year 16
2.244313
2.867654
2.941724
2.036882
1.241977
0.699743
2.832056
3.905396
2.965649
2.10796
1.766852
1.388987
0.966934
0.730711
0.631129
0.177752
0
0
Year 17
0.315827
-0.00204
0.004013
0.052709
-0.00041
0.051538
0.009859
0.269773
0.119376
0.372153
0.186761
0.701874
0.009039
1.810209
0.314101
0.052848
0.138667
Year 17
1.98488
2.661798
2.975965
2.096919
1.246072
0.494006
2.096409
3.891405
3.090741
2.171259
1.75535
1.450104
1.000322
0.753655
0.646555
0.282736
-0.00667
0
Year 18
0.292473
0.002719
0.005627
0.053573
0.000222
0.050997
0.011356
0.277555
0.11279
0.366073
0.186031
0.687502
0.008833
1.570504
0.283763
0.051997
0.130808
Year 18
1.719914
2.437106
2.925711
2.201568
1.253223
0.380137
1.383868
3.738031
3.203455
2.250423
1.747393
1.500341
1.036784
0.779768
0.649769
0.384886
0.000116
0
Year 19
0.271006
0.007182
0.006391
0.053862
0.002004
0.050748
0.01306
0.284269
0.106728
0.358624
0.184867
0.673224
0.008686
1.362809
0.256601
0.050756
0.12394
Year 19
1.45921
2.209575
2.774284
2.348685
1.264249
0.318377
0.767456
3.41967
3.299939
2.346754
1.753591
1.535527
1.079405
0.808158
0.649695
0.469296
0.027695
0
Year 20
0.252048
0.010198
0.007275
0.053481
0.002907
0.050754
0.013928
0.288506
0.101097
0.349703
0.183939
0.656913
0.008589
1.182432
0.233377
0.04999
0.117853
Year 20
1.211193
1.966139
2.622937
2.451511
1.281569
0.281548
0.288365
2.916449
3.384825
2.46135
1.780354
1.548321
1.129968
0.836618
0.657943
0.52088
0.08147
0
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State Average Rates
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Ratesof Fixed (2010) Dollars
Billions
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
0.052631 0.140797 0.170263 0.194608 0.089825 0.078611 0.066258 0.052565 0.024281 0.029113
0.000866 -0.00519 -0.00421 0.000478 0.01214 0.014917 0.018157 0.02122 0.023157 0.023253
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
-0.00325
0.025232
0.008532
0.002553
0
-0.00212
0.002862
0.003923
0.00422
-0.00004
0
0.011722
Year 2
0.00319
0.048272
0.015053
0.00425
0
-0.00076
0.007145
0.013274
0.013517
-3.3E-05
0
0.035884
Year 3
0.013424
0.047531
0.014701
0.003705
0
0.000146
0.009096
0.017016
0.01722
-2.8E-05
0
0.04545
Year 4
0.025509
0.044334
0.014207
0.004122
0
0.00092
0.011025
0.020718
0.019883
-2.2E-05
0
0.053912
Year 5
0.030313
0.001201
0.000106
0.00037
0
0.000387
0.005654
0.01087
0.011009
-1.9E-05
0
0.028932
Year 6
0.033448
-0.00623
-0.00215
-0.00015
0
0.000196
0.005826
0.010017
0.010107
-1.2E-05
0
0.026559
Year 7
0.036428
-0.01299
-0.00445
-0.00095
0
0.000513
0.005379
0.009029
0.009097
-9E-06
0
0.024213
Year 8
0.038901
-0.01823
-0.00589
-0.0018
0
0.000748
0.003817
0.007832
0.007881
-7E-06
0
0.020317
Year 9
0.038701
-0.02642
-0.00864
-0.00273
0
-0.00019
0.001999
0.004167
0.004208
-6E-06
0
0.011195
Year 10
0.038676
-0.02354
-0.00736
-0.00165
0
-0.00013
0.002164
0.004469
0.004504
-5E-06
0
0.011987
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
1.5E-05
0.001051
-6.7E-05
-0.0003
-0.00061
-0.00004
-0.00023
-0.00018
-1.7E-05
-0.00026
-0.00012
-0.00054
-7E-06
0
0.000168
Year 2
0.000879
-0.0043
-0.00011
0.000526
0.000037
-6.3E-05
-0.00037
-0.00028
-2.7E-05
-0.0004
-0.00019
0.000156
-1.2E-05
0
-0.00205
Year 3
0.002071
-0.00501
-0.00013
0.000403
0.000788
-7.9E-05
0.000541
-0.00035
-3.3E-05
0.000491
-0.00024
0.000938
-1.5E-05
0
-0.00259
Year 4
0.003584
-0.00501
-0.00015
0.000329
0.000638
-8.9E-05
0.000484
0.000607
-3.8E-05
0.000428
-0.00027
0.000806
-1.7E-05
0
-0.00183
Year 5
0.004298
0.003078
-0.00016
0.000285
0.001549
-9.5E-05
0.00045
0.000581
-0.00004
0.000391
0.000714
0.000729
-1.8E-05
0
0.001374
Year 6
0.004316
0.003773
-0.00016
0.000288
0.001555
-9.4E-05
0.000452
0.000583
-0.00004
0.000394
0.000715
0.001734
-1.8E-05
0
0.001418
Year 7
0.005456
0.005018
-0.00015
0.000309
0.001598
-9.2E-05
0.000469
0.000595
-3.9E-05
0.000412
0.000724
0.001772
-1.7E-05
0
0.002105
Year 8
0.00568
0.005716
-0.00015
0.000343
0.001667
-8.7E-05
0.000495
0.000615
-3.7E-05
0.000441
0.000737
0.001832
-1.6E-05
0
0.00298
Year 9
0.005937
0.007978
-0.00014
0.000383
0.001747
-8.2E-05
0.000525
0.000638
-3.5E-05
0.000474
0.000753
0.001902
-1.5E-05
0
0.003088
Year 10
0.005221
0.008314
-0.00013
0.000426
0.001834
-7.6E-05
0.000558
0.000663
-3.2E-05
0.000511
0.00077
0.001978
-1.4E-05
0
0.003228
Page 86
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State Average Rates
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Ratesof Fixed (2010) Dollars
Billions
Year 11
Year 12
Year 13
Year 14
Year 15
Year 16
Year 17
Year 18
Year 19
Year 20
0.033757 0.037936 0.040698 0.04312 0.04434 0.045394 0.04636 0.046273 0.046146 0.045958
0.023385 0.022737 0.022956 0.023049 0.022025 0.021884 0.021645 0.020328 0.019943
0.0195
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
Year 12
Year 13
Year 14
Year 15
0.038667 0.03846 0.038052 0.037468 0.036733
-0.01965 -0.01639 -0.01316 -0.00997 -0.00779
-0.00609
-0.005 -0.00393 -0.00287 -0.00282
-0.00158 -0.00155 -0.00153 -0.00052
-0.0005
0
0
0
0
0
-6.9E-05 -9.7E-05 -0.00012 -0.00015 -0.00017
0.002308 0.002313
0.0023 0.002275 0.002246
0.004732 0.003741 0.003717 0.003671 0.003618
0.004761 0.00377 0.003746 0.003701 0.003649
-4E-06
-4E-06
-4E-06
-4E-06
-4E-06
0
0
0
0
0
0.011676
0.0107 0.010637 0.010516 0.009377
Year 16
0.03586
-0.00663
-0.00176
-0.00049
0
-0.00018
0.002215
0.003561
0.003594
-4E-06
0
0.009228
Year 17
0.03488
-0.00446
-0.00171
-0.00047
0
-0.00019
0.002186
0.003508
0.003542
-5E-06
0
0.009088
Year 18
0.033816
-0.0033
-0.00066
-0.00046
0
-0.0002
0.002159
0.00346
0.003494
-5E-06
0
0.008962
Year 19
0.032679
-0.00213
-0.00061
-0.00045
0
-0.0002
0.002136
0.003417
0.003453
-5E-06
0
0.008851
Year 20
0.031479
-0.00097
-0.00056
-0.00043
0
-0.0002
0.002114
0.003377
0.003414
-5E-06
0
0.007745
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.005506
0.007671
-0.00012
0.000469
0.001922
-0.00007
0.000592
0.000689
-0.00003
0.000548
0.000787
0.001056
-1.3E-05
0
0.003376
Year 16
0.005538
0.00796
-8.3E-05
0.000626
0.00124
-0.00005
0.000712
0.000781
-2.1E-05
0.000681
-0.00015
0.001334
-9E-06
0
0.003325
Year 17
0.004684
0.007271
-7.8E-05
0.000648
0.001285
-4.7E-05
0.000729
0.000794
-0.00002
0.0007
-0.00014
0.001374
-9E-06
0
0.003454
Year 18
0.004818
0.007546
-7.3E-05
0.000668
0.001327
-4.4E-05
0.000745
0.000806
-1.9E-05
0.000718
-0.00013
0.00141
-8E-06
0
0.002568
Year 19
0.004942
0.006789
-6.9E-05
0.000687
0.001365
-4.1E-05
0.000759
0.000817
-1.7E-05
0.000734
-0.00013
0.001444
-8E-06
0
0.002668
Year 20
0.004057
0.007004
-6.5E-05
0.000705
0.0014
-3.9E-05
0.000773
0.000827
-1.7E-05
0.000748
-0.00012
0.001475
-7E-06
0
0.002758
Year 12
0.005763
0.008229
-0.00011
0.000508
0.002001
-6.5E-05
0.000622
0.000712
-2.8E-05
0.000581
0.000803
0.001125
-1.2E-05
0
0.003607
Year 13
0.004991
0.007737
-0.0001
0.000543
0.002072
-6.1E-05
0.000648
0.000732
-2.6E-05
0.000611
0.000817
0.001187
-1.1E-05
0
0.002818
Year 14
0.005194
0.008194
-9.4E-05
0.000574
0.002134
-5.7E-05
0.000672
0.00075
-2.4E-05
0.000637
-0.00017
0.001242
-1.1E-05
0
0.003007
Page 87
Year 15
0.005376
0.007603
-8.8E-05
0.000601
0.00119
-5.3E-05
0.000693
0.000766
-2.2E-05
0.00066
-0.00016
0.001291
-0.00001
0
0.003177
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary Disbursements Billions of Current Dollars
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
Real Disposable Personal Income Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
-64.3656 -10.8437 14.95835 36.45275 10.50606 19.83643 20.35087 18.39585
-64.3657 -10.8437 14.95828 36.45269 10.50606 19.83643 20.35094 18.39579
-84.7692 -42.6975 -18.0739 2.449862 -5.74242 7.913962 11.60973 12.92308
-4.59415 -1.96056 -0.44651 0.99792 0.089203 1.00165 1.262648 1.312678
-6.37473 -4.36471 -3.14297 -2.19932 -2.05123 -1.05575 -0.71752 -0.45766
0.004203 0.008816 0.009013 0.005032 0.000101 -0.00559
-0.0118 -0.01814
-4.09472 -2.92501 -2.17608 -1.59546 -1.33504 -0.69005 -0.45354 -0.26645
-2.28321 -1.44851
-0.9769 -0.60789 -0.71529 -0.36011 -0.25118 -0.17207
-1.52503 -0.48874
-0.2021 -0.01101 -1.26923 -1.16571
-1.2248 -1.31234
-0.69759
-0.4221
-0.3459 -0.30484 -0.63982 -0.57982 -0.58118 -0.58514
-0.06269 0.295342 0.334926 0.334378 -0.30722 -0.37571 -0.45341 -0.53502
-0.76475 -0.36298 -0.19013 -0.04055 -0.32219 -0.21019 -0.19021 -0.19218
-12.363 -7.41037 -4.43558 -1.83641 -2.46962
-0.3179 0.380988 0.770828
-6.78442 -3.95745 -2.27401 -0.79577 -1.23506 -0.04318 0.338813 0.543808
-3.10398 -1.72751 -0.83186 0.014895 -0.29944 0.303744 0.524222 0.644001
-2.36986 -0.35345 0.786855 1.89579 0.68748 1.137939 1.244695 1.217845
-2.00575 -0.23192 0.614252 1.379865 0.383303 0.710472 0.737538 0.682389
-0.29682 -0.38675 -0.11272 0.18318 0.29319 0.331295
0.4273 0.470668
-5.71998 -2.29324 -0.54618
0.9841 -0.38386 0.581625 0.797862 0.83101
-1.39516
-0.0964 0.519579 1.081465 0.288906 0.541118 0.563603 0.523925
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Year 9
8.82386
8.823982
8.566192
0.899392
-0.46856
-0.02341
-0.23056
-0.21459
-1.53685
-0.62225
-0.65928
-0.25433
0.371984
0.282858
0.454333
0.685793
0.308827
0.439103
0.296498
0.237412
0
Year 10
9.88375
9.88375
9.52711
1.020211
-0.362
-0.02653
-0.17305
-0.16242
-1.33094
-0.54243
-0.58679
-0.20171
0.627943
0.423915
0.515351
0.757477
0.364817
0.393433
0.442609
0.282761
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other(Jobs)
Thousands
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste ServicesThousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social AssistanceThousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
-0.22997 -0.16427 -0.12212
-0.19182 -0.13406
-0.0945
-0.1451 -0.08697 -0.05349
2.524228 7.399368 12.46537
-11.2743 -7.94176 -6.00016
-2.58346
-1.4725 -1.03413
-6.19399
-3.0851 -1.67155
-2.93951
-2.0461 -1.48862
-2.5543 -1.70922
-1.2932
-10.8596 -7.21077 -5.00572
-4.94039 -2.73049 -1.34553
-9.1914 -5.30727 -3.53054
-3.837 -2.71218 -1.99733
-11.0004 -5.60827 -2.89376
-2.153 -1.26505 -0.77167
-7.44232 -2.97695
-0.7787
-2.7504
-1.7301 -1.14259
-4.4909 -2.37329 -1.20275
-4.51537 -1.54156 -0.11293
20.4044 31.85283 33.03223
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Year 9
-0.00817
0.001938
0.003456
15.91093
-1.45959
-1.05085
-1.32885
-0.16642
-0.55841
-0.35028
0.720331
-2.5037
-0.2226
-0.73197
-0.04664
0.147214
-0.06925
0.087869
0.192205
0.257706
0
0
0
Year 10
-0.00469
0.00353
0.005985
14.77088
-1.17412
-0.9004
-1.07817
-0.11842
-0.46512
-0.18291
0.741877
-2.12501
-0.16478
-0.50823
-0.00938
0.309343
-0.02158
0.173634
0.274591
0.356632
0
0
0
Year 4
Year 5
-0.08685 -0.07045
-0.06087 -0.04639
-0.02578 -0.02751
17.42941 16.6762
-4.48976 -4.19903
-0.76212 -1.35101
-0.6217 -2.03184
-1.03833 -0.89048
-0.98348 -1.10425
-3.20531 -2.90016
-0.11858 -0.24358
-2.24548 -3.78454
-1.42092 -1.17645
-0.74166 -2.12897
-0.36356 -0.44777
1.009677 -0.57509
-0.66304 -0.66792
-0.20288 -0.65162
1.041123 -0.11954
34.00385 16.24744
0
0
0
0
0
0
Page 88
Year 6
-0.03471
-0.01675
-0.00497
18.0905
-2.60829
-1.09128
-1.27874
-0.45519
-0.77039
-1.26851
0.570575
-2.64761
-0.60496
-0.65649
-0.14933
0.563928
-0.26546
-0.00117
0.542812
11.92244
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.02108
-0.0064
0.002484
18.40186
-2.02388
-1.0474
-1.13147
-0.29749
-0.6556
-0.70147
0.812723
-2.37777
-0.39959
-0.33113
-0.05475
0.757975
-0.13042
0.18424
0.627877
8.74124
0
0
0
Year 8
-0.01076
0.001107
0.005745
17.82254
-1.57702
-1.01117
-1.06538
-0.18277
-0.56556
-0.31387
0.911546
-2.21187
-0.25109
-0.21441
0.001494
0.761168
-0.0426
0.271831
0.594094
5.472778
0
0
0
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary Disbursements Billions of Current Dollars
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
Real Disposable Personal Income Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 11
10.63496
10.6349
10.19041
1.107791
-0.24638
-0.02849
-0.11004
-0.10685
-1.12504
-0.4627
-0.51349
-0.14886
0.861402
0.548927
0.573418
0.828692
0.405667
0.380121
0.573273
0.315935
0
Year 12
9.648357
9.648418
9.225868
1.047992
-0.24127
-0.03093
-0.11596
-0.09438
-0.97337
-0.40024
-0.44663
-0.1265
0.807724
0.513011
0.541059
0.797361
0.379039
0.362917
0.536041
0.296385
0
Year 13
8.470684
8.470562
8.084303
0.955194
-0.23405
-0.03147
-0.11765
-0.08494
-0.85581
-0.34932
-0.39434
-0.11115
0.721142
0.457343
0.491319
0.745436
0.343823
0.338401
0.478735
0.269245
0
Year 14
7.295666
7.295727
6.949896
0.850879
-0.22581
-0.032
-0.11786
-0.07595
-0.7601
-0.30806
-0.35218
-0.09987
0.626071
0.397922
0.433815
0.682802
0.305068
0.310152
0.416548
0.24063
0
Year 15
6.226444
6.226505
5.92021
0.749709
-0.21528
-0.03155
-0.11479
-0.06894
-0.67929
-0.27239
-0.31544
-0.09146
0.535438
0.340606
0.377486
0.61986
0.268148
0.281016
0.357553
0.213949
0
Year 16
5.29327
5.29327
5.022153
0.656304
-0.20188
-0.03017
-0.11083
-0.06088
-0.60944
-0.24169
-0.28334
-0.08341
0.454424
0.290343
0.323623
0.559699
0.235164
0.253112
0.30479
0.190995
0
Year 17
4.505805
4.505866
4.265655
0.572887
-0.18845
-0.029
-0.10458
-0.05387
-0.54827
-0.21659
-0.25435
-0.07735
0.385435
0.247007
0.275732
0.505781
0.205952
0.228316
0.260183
0.172958
0
Year 18
3.852437
3.852499
3.639044
0.50165
-0.17295
-0.02817
-0.09865
-0.04614
-0.49335
-0.19488
-0.22824
-0.07023
0.32769
0.211079
0.23377
0.458595
0.181549
0.204955
0.223198
0.157529
0
Year 19
3.329797
3.329797
3.137802
0.440966
-0.15737
-0.0268
-0.09159
-0.03898
-0.44166
-0.17433
-0.20315
-0.06418
0.283603
0.18256
0.198992
0.419507
0.160792
0.185159
0.193823
0.145575
0
Year 20
2.888849
2.88891
2.716629
0.388295
-0.14265
-0.02501
-0.08486
-0.03278
-0.39684
-0.1569
-0.18047
-0.05846
0.244642
0.158931
0.168041
0.385119
0.14368
0.168049
0.168454
0.135216
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other(Jobs)
Thousands
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste ServicesThousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social AssistanceThousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 11
-0.0011
0.005005
0.007364
13.39801
-0.88664
-0.74936
-0.83683
-0.0691
-0.37137
-0.01731
0.748493
-1.74181
-0.1043
-0.28634
0.02927
0.446834
0.024657
0.254743
0.338155
0.444551
0
0
0
Year 12
-0.00118
0.004385
0.007172
12.02597
-0.77575
-0.64591
-0.71546
-0.06659
-0.32122
-0.03391
0.654038
-1.53084
-0.10197
-0.27878
0.031522
0.401382
0.023618
0.252449
0.297936
0.422535
0
0
0
Year 13
-0.00112
0.002793
0.005954
10.6183
-0.68224
-0.56142
-0.62247
-0.06413
-0.27885
-0.05011
0.557854
-1.35998
-0.09774
-0.27888
0.03205
0.348743
0.021689
0.242698
0.251203
0.386224
0
0
0
Year 14
-0.00091
0.002271
0.005763
9.279884
-0.60052
-0.48895
-0.54753
-0.06159
-0.24297
-0.06313
0.466867
-1.21494
-0.09284
-0.27755
0.030654
0.2996
0.019115
0.232365
0.206284
0.3459
0
0
0
Year 15
-0.00054
0.00084
0.004645
8.056097
-0.52939
-0.42727
-0.48179
-0.05893
-0.21026
-0.07203
0.387009
-1.0869
-0.08665
-0.27216
0.029851
0.261168
0.017735
0.220844
0.166916
0.306334
0
0
0
Year 16
-0.00104
0.000502
0.004595
6.963946
-0.46539
-0.374
-0.42409
-0.05632
-0.18283
-0.07624
0.319735
-0.97249
-0.07971
-0.26245
0.02898
0.234564
0.016754
0.212003
0.135631
0.271048
0
0
0
Year 17
-0.00042
0.000252
0.00361
6.003252
-0.4104
-0.32703
-0.37127
-0.05201
-0.15883
-0.07663
0.264852
-0.86952
-0.0727
-0.24792
0.029087
0.220437
0.016216
0.204274
0.112401
0.240222
0
0
0
Year 18
-0.00069
0.000055
0.003701
5.166574
-0.35918
-0.28647
-0.32246
-0.04927
-0.13653
-0.0744
0.21893
-0.77555
-0.06525
-0.23014
0.027921
0.213773
0.016763
0.197481
0.093784
0.213439
0
0
0
Year 19
-0.00088
-0.0011
0.003836
4.447423
-0.31363
-0.24866
-0.27664
-0.04538
-0.11727
-0.06988
0.183616
-0.68717
-0.05789
-0.21051
0.027215
0.213429
0.017935
0.192321
0.080985
0.192052
0
0
0
Year 20
-4E-06
-0.00121
0.003002
3.827396
-0.27372
-0.21695
-0.23635
-0.04161
-0.10134
-0.06435
0.153375
-0.60869
-0.05113
-0.19044
0.027239
0.214477
0.01832
0.187373
0.071202
0.173281
0
0
0
Page 89
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,Thousands
media occupations
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving related occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, service
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupationsThousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
-8.21292 -2.09247 0.798439 3.188048
-4.55891 -1.88209
-0.6999 0.217705
-0.4386 0.18143 0.391831 0.556112
-1.12951 -0.43524 -0.09584 0.179261
-0.37219 0.31747 0.539637 0.709021
-1.31802 -0.21268 0.257755 0.64518
-1.46984 -0.75761 -0.42027 -0.15805
-4.00127 -0.47013 1.032173 2.251318
3.725405 7.225583 7.865016 8.38833
-4.7317 -2.33204 -1.06912 -0.00573
-5.89263 -1.99831 -0.17767 1.30374
-22.9754 -8.32285 -1.41047 4.145096
-0.15616 -0.05335 -0.00913 0.026159
1.966632 6.23803 9.832609 13.30363
-2.41465
-0.0146 1.258299 2.364702
-7.43439 -4.44099 -2.85515 -1.60316
-4.95051 -1.79584 -0.28089 0.940376
Year 9
0.342927
-0.80207
-0.14856
0.027562
-0.17236
-0.02437
-0.211
-0.06175
0.004737
0.013373
-0.02967
-0.81475
-0.01787
10.36056
1.140414
-0.72967
-0.05058
Year 10
0.516368
-0.63648
-0.11755
0.049981
-0.13944
0.012777
-0.16517
0.065518
0.056144
0.111038
0.098035
-0.23778
-0.01286
9.638497
1.131778
-0.54419
0.058032
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
-13.7628 -11.4084 -5.18608 3.094519 3.440549 6.113365 8.082397 9.175571 8.122062
-15.2282 0.359895 5.223058 8.015049 1.970623 3.250937 2.685429 1.880903 -0.06884
-15.2283 0.359896 5.22305 8.015029 1.970586 3.250883 2.685359 1.880819 -0.06893
0 -15.3901 -15.3491 -10.3836 -2.47992 -0.50964 2.801128 5.611428 7.666187
-15.3901 -15.3491 -10.3836 -2.47986 -0.50958 2.801128 5.611489 7.666187 7.791822
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Year 10
7.87943
0.302052
0.301949
7.791883
8.291083
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 1
-1.59458
-1.19997
-0.95609
-1.00197
-2.42176
-2.21522
-1.61761
-1.2054
-1.05406
-0.76691
-0.56969
-0.42012
-0.36673
0
0
0
0
0
Year 2
-1.62096
-1.22479
-0.97966
-0.8605
-2.14564
-2.26869
-1.69361
-1.23906
-1.06151
-0.80245
-0.58962
-0.42715
-0.37848
-0.058
0
0
0
0
Year 5
0.313427
-1.0635
0.060778
-0.07298
0.119404
0.064632
-0.40075
0.266402
3.811193
-0.6542
-0.30658
-2.10949
-0.02274
11.67431
1.253564
-2.09329
-0.33414
Year 6
1.451017
-0.50196
0.086004
0.094844
0.120316
0.216342
-0.20934
0.796471
2.920919
0.017863
0.490823
0.939655
-0.00361
12.46533
1.691861
-1.06381
0.323683
Year 7
1.545077
-0.42935
0.047056
0.121336
0.066047
0.211792
-0.1655
0.763172
2.173064
0.186942
0.584419
1.351776
-0.00189
12.50918
1.729007
-0.75742
0.41523
Year 8
1.375887
-0.44282
-0.00634
0.119556
-0.00353
0.168031
-0.14559
0.60393
1.372941
0.253386
0.527556
1.198161
-0.00404
11.94966
1.624442
-0.57432
0.379865
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
-1.12472 -0.30412 -0.08367 0.444324 0.799952 1.026369 1.002986 1.051698
-0.86499 -0.26446 -0.10005 0.012407 0.222193 0.435258 0.546147 0.633245
-0.69879 -0.22805 -0.11141 0.092447 0.267351 0.401343 0.424083 0.483701
-0.46363 0.017839 0.013099 0.115992 0.236309 0.332371 0.315554 0.342975
-1.03804 0.497468 0.917453 1.383397 1.547387 1.498179 1.116354 0.833722
-1.59758 -0.46847 -0.10069 0.539815 1.223546 1.797359 2.051908 2.217957
-1.25819 -0.49451 -0.30068 0.067267 0.399187 0.672176 0.761661 0.950759
-0.89686 -0.32226 -0.19769 0.037893 0.236673 0.386037 0.394649 0.457649
-0.72652 -0.18094 -0.04363 0.169259 0.325257 0.425895 0.398062 0.404868
-0.59425 -0.23211 -0.14176 0.029492 0.20374 0.350499 0.402116 0.453887
-0.42903 -0.15391 -0.08986 0.02445 0.118491 0.187738 0.191252 0.219018
-0.30699 -0.10876 -0.07078 0.00992 0.086559 0.145621 0.154719 0.174067
-0.26648 -0.07178 -0.00897 0.080055 0.13768 0.167917 0.150547 0.145923
-0.11948 -0.16683 -0.18998
-0.2046 -0.13888 -0.05048 0.036523 0.097775
0
0
0
0 -0.05397
-0.1111 -0.15473 -0.17516
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Page 90
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,Thousands
media occupations
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving related occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, service
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupationsThousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 11
0.666656
-0.4717
-0.08692
0.068554
-0.10617
0.048019
-0.11998
0.177965
0.10341
0.204259
0.213743
0.290758
-0.00786
8.762516
1.097962
-0.36298
0.156676
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 11
Year 12
Year 13
Year 14
Year 15
Year 16
Year 17
Year 18
Year 19
Year 20
7.837107 7.626039 7.260158 6.795001 6.269403 5.733153 5.144598 4.642152 4.196155 3.80051
0.42868 0.232201 0.033289 -0.14146 -0.27572 -0.37309 -0.41654 -0.45232 -0.47201 -0.48459
0.428572 0.23209 0.033177 -0.14158 -0.27584 -0.37321 -0.41666 -0.45248 -0.47221 -0.48485
8.291022 8.924664 9.36962 9.617659 9.685855 9.608634 9.418683 9.165882 8.854989 8.500858
8.924664 9.36962 9.617659 9.685916 9.608695 9.418744 9.165821 8.854928 8.50098 8.110974
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 11
1.091062
0.909181
0.392987
0.392785
0.634509
2.225543
1.225752
0.561826
0.429629
0.493487
0.263515
0.196473
0.148185
0.146579
-0.18682
0
0
0
Year 12
0.602667
-0.41333
-0.0757
0.060665
-0.09185
0.045964
-0.10328
0.162561
0.096733
0.204219
0.188578
0.292422
-0.00699
7.863403
0.992512
-0.3141
0.144909
Year 12
1.10616
1.044386
0.422595
0.429148
0.520255
1.988246
1.581225
0.658389
0.442936
0.494438
0.325537
0.206857
0.157316
0.166365
-0.12703
-0.04812
0
0
Year 13
0.51951
-0.36973
-0.06806
0.051634
-0.08116
0.042254
-0.09176
0.139583
0.085782
0.195797
0.155558
0.235877
-0.00603
6.940825
0.87614
-0.2787
0.122061
Year 13
1.100267
1.103417
0.498257
0.452272
0.450105
1.640486
1.904623
0.750887
0.452054
0.476295
0.385876
0.213256
0.166299
0.166127
-0.04508
-0.09947
0
0
Year 14
0.434395
-0.33369
-0.06163
0.042454
-0.07263
0.038459
-0.08103
0.116947
0.073932
0.18674
0.123198
0.162267
-0.00595
6.062303
0.762599
-0.25038
0.0968
Year 14
1.087261
1.078105
0.608568
0.469753
0.396118
1.255029
2.160728
0.840831
0.457941
0.450237
0.437605
0.2171
0.174506
0.155623
0.035184
-0.13768
0
0
Page 91
Year 15
0.357441
-0.3026
-0.05507
0.035941
-0.06496
0.035308
-0.07259
0.100158
0.062492
0.176601
0.096736
0.095869
-0.0047
5.260527
0.658799
-0.22594
0.073485
Year 15
1.049038
1.079704
0.65766
0.495286
0.341474
0.884172
2.259799
0.98073
0.478833
0.425894
0.465648
0.226986
0.178503
0.14917
0.09045
-0.15366
0
0
Year 16
0.291007
-0.27424
-0.04933
0.030168
-0.05809
0.032067
-0.06436
0.088476
0.052835
0.169195
0.076616
0.042841
-0.00428
4.544736
0.566304
-0.20342
0.053682
Year 16
0.988061
1.050051
0.877297
0.359105
0.298095
0.558208
2.167168
1.181849
0.524066
0.402989
0.471075
0.24682
0.178397
0.143704
0.135794
-0.16294
0
0
Year 17
0.237129
-0.24892
-0.04444
0.02605
-0.05206
0.029738
-0.05743
0.084191
0.045139
0.163843
0.062558
0.005938
-0.0037
3.915029
0.48682
-0.18233
0.03931
Year 17
0.910553
1.008335
0.966712
0.352275
0.261372
0.339773
1.848504
1.477482
0.571654
0.377122
0.443426
0.287298
0.172792
0.145973
0.152751
-0.10935
-0.04084
0
Year 18
0.193139
-0.22344
-0.03956
0.024207
-0.04605
0.027986
-0.05004
0.084465
0.038998
0.159305
0.052896
-0.01536
-0.00398
3.367896
0.417907
-0.16244
0.027538
Year 18
0.818531
0.959412
0.990661
0.400394
0.231638
0.192533
1.440174
1.755649
0.627884
0.355859
0.404014
0.330238
0.165113
0.149183
0.153057
-0.03754
-0.08286
0
Year 19
0.160219
-0.19966
-0.03486
0.022142
-0.04121
0.02741
-0.04348
0.088749
0.034945
0.156181
0.0487
-0.02188
-0.00315
2.89809
0.359907
-0.14368
0.020386
Year 19
0.714486
0.916877
0.941906
0.491726
0.213961
0.084938
1.012827
1.97984
0.69287
0.341902
0.36389
0.370495
0.160835
0.152036
0.143814
0.03232
-0.11378
0
Year 20
0.133936
-0.1767
-0.03156
0.021389
-0.03578
0.026932
-0.03806
0.092633
0.031491
0.1538
0.045099
-0.02366
-0.00223
2.493167
0.310737
-0.12607
0.014759
Year 20
0.603112
0.859946
0.92812
0.528679
0.217727
-0.00334
0.615508
2.059966
0.817018
0.350457
0.330704
0.392238
0.164544
0.153464
0.137865
0.081514
-0.12649
0
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State Average Rates
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Ratesof Fixed (2010) Dollars
Billions
Year 1
-0.28569
0.045664
Year 2
-0.11716
-0.02578
Year 6
-0.07475
-0.02114
Year 7
-0.07153
-0.01466
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
-0.075 -0.10181 -0.08165
-0.00635 0.008056 0.008356
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
-0.02
-0.10517
-0.03331
-0.0094
0
-0.02401
-0.00982
-0.01798
-0.01808
-0.00012
0
-0.04881
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
-0.01935
-0.0129 -0.00279 -0.00088 0.003828
-0.05102 -0.03909 -0.03442 -0.08739 -0.07914
-0.01615 -0.01277 -0.01041 -0.02738 -0.02521
-0.00448 -0.00389 -0.00258 -0.00719 -0.00665
0
0
0
0
0
-0.01405 -0.00874 -0.00409 -0.00628
-0.0023
-0.00151 0.002683 0.00675 0.00182 0.003563
-0.00208 0.00577 0.013389 0.003181 0.007038
-0.00235 0.005365 0.012856 0.003563 0.006264
-9.8E-05 -8.1E-05 -6.3E-05 -5.2E-05 -3.1E-05
0
0
0
0
0
-0.00608 0.015242 0.033971 0.009913 0.017887
Year 7
0.007241
-0.08184
-0.02567
-0.00667
0
-0.0004
0.004269
0.007164
0.007319
-2.1E-05
0
0.018081
Year 8
0.008822
-0.08427
-0.02598
-0.00693
0
-3E-06
0.0036
0.006602
0.006702
-1.3E-05
0
0.017472
Year 9
0.008836
-0.09036
-0.02807
-0.00768
0
-0.0007
0.002109
0.002535
0.002614
-1.1E-05
0
0.007917
Year 10
0.0097
-0.07805
-0.02503
-0.00639
0
-0.00036
0.001566
0.003373
0.003432
-8E-06
0
0.009113
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
-0.00845
0.045406
-0.00052
-0.00135
-0.00277
-0.00031
-0.00081
-0.00038
-0.00013
-0.001
-0.00094
-0.00218
-5.8E-05
0
0.019146
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
-0.00844 -0.00549 -0.00113 -0.00051 0.001968 0.002913
-0.00509 -0.02557 -0.03875 -0.01107 -0.01759 -0.01609
-0.00076 0.000109 0.000054 0.000041 0.000091 0.000156
-0.00141 -0.00103 -0.00028 -0.00033 -0.00011 0.000187
-0.00292 -0.00217 -0.00068 0.000203 0.00066 0.00126
-0.00045 -0.00053 0.000433 0.000425 0.000455 0.000494
-0.00062
-0.0011 -0.00029 -0.00033 -0.00016
6.7E-05
-0.001 -0.00036 -0.00051 0.00046 0.000592 0.000765
-0.00019 -0.00023 -0.00024 -0.00024 -0.00023 -0.00021
-0.00091 -0.00043 -0.00064 0.000309 0.000501 0.000752
-0.00037 -0.00061 0.000289 0.000265 0.000356 0.000474
-0.00207 -0.00116
-0.0006 0.000292 0.000693 0.001219
-8.5E-05
-0.0001 -0.00011 -0.00011
-0.0001 -9.5E-05
0
0
0
0
0
0
-0.00247 -0.01087 -0.01607 -0.00459 -0.00727 -0.00655
Year 8
0.005082
-0.01153
0.000229
0.000517
0.001929
0.000538
0.000321
-4.2E-05
-0.0002
0.001033
0.000606
0.000805
-8.7E-05
0
-0.00456
Year 9
0.005162
-0.00152
0.000299
0.000833
0.001571
0.00058
0.000564
0.000144
-0.00018
0.000302
0.000732
0.001368
-7.9E-05
0
-0.00073
Year 10
0.005164
-0.00246
0.000366
0.001137
0.001189
-0.00038
0.000798
0.000322
-0.00016
0.000562
-0.00015
0.000909
-7.1E-05
0
-0.00087
Year 3
Year 4
-0.0474 0.011614
-0.04853 -0.05852
Page 92
Year 5
-0.1107
-0.01719
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State Average Rates
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Ratesof Fixed (2010) Dollars
Billions
Year 11
Year 12
Year 13
Year 14
Year 15
Year 16
Year 17
Year 18
-0.06322 -0.05185 -0.04329 -0.03633 -0.03054 -0.02581 -0.02195 -0.01794
0.009195 0.011759 0.014172 0.016631 0.018267 0.019162 0.019514 0.019421
Year 19
Year 20
-0.0148 -0.01262
0.01895 0.019162
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.010296
-0.06768
-0.02098
-0.0061
0
0.000002
0.001965
0.004104
0.004147
-6E-06
0
0.010031
Year 12
0.011316
-0.05862
-0.01796
-0.00509
0
0.000793
0.00191
0.004003
0.003048
-6E-06
0
0.009764
Year 13
0.011862
-0.05157
-0.01594
-0.00409
0
0.000612
0.001816
0.00283
0.002879
-7E-06
0
0.008311
Year 14
0.012045
-0.04454
-0.01393
-0.00409
0
0.000457
0.001699
0.002616
0.00267
-7E-06
0
0.007749
Year 15
0.011952
-0.03946
-0.01191
-0.00308
0
0.000333
0.001581
0.002401
0.00246
-8E-06
0
0.006186
Year 16
0.011635
-0.03432
-0.01086
-0.00307
0
0.000242
0.00147
0.002196
0.00226
-9E-06
0
0.005651
Year 17
0.01118
-0.03112
-0.0098
-0.00305
0
0.000181
0.001373
0.00202
0.002088
-9E-06
0
0.005188
Year 18
0.010613
-0.02685
-0.00872
-0.00203
0
0.000145
0.001292
0.001871
0.001942
-0.00001
0
0.004799
Year 19
0.009952
-0.02353
-0.00762
-0.002
0
0.000131
0.001226
0.001749
0.001823
-0.00001
0
0.003478
Year 20
0.010211
-0.0212
-0.00651
-0.00197
0
0.000131
0.001168
0.001644
0.00172
-0.00001
0
0.003202
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.006029
-0.00252
0.000429
0.000421
0.001764
-0.00034
0.001016
0.000488
-0.00014
0.000803
-3.2E-05
0.001413
-6.4E-05
0
-0.00107
Year 12
0.005594
-0.00089
0.000482
0.000659
0.002247
-0.00031
0.000199
0.000628
-0.00013
0.001006
0.000063
0.001836
-5.8E-05
0
-0.00056
Year 13
0.005914
0.001305
0.000526
0.000859
0.001654
-0.00028
0.000353
0.000745
-0.00012
0.001176
0.000143
0.001193
-5.3E-05
0
0.00076
Year 14
0.006045
0.002116
0.000564
0.001031
0.002003
-0.00026
0.000485
0.000846
-0.00011
0.000323
0.000212
0.001498
-4.9E-05
0
0.000926
Year 15
0.006034
0.003567
0.000597
0.001181
0.002308
-0.00024
0.000601
0.000934
-0.0001
0.000451
0.000272
0.001766
-4.5E-05
0
0.000942
Year 16
0.005907
0.003675
0.000627
0.001314
0.001578
-0.00022
0.000703
0.001012
-9.4E-05
0.000564
0.000325
0.002002
-4.2E-05
0
0.001816
Year 17
0.005708
0.00451
0.000654
0.000436
0.001825
-0.00021
0.000797
8.3E-05
-8.7E-05
0.000668
0.000374
0.001218
-3.9E-05
0
0.001577
Year 18
0.005451
0.005119
0.000679
0.000549
0.002054
-0.00019
0.000884
0.000149
-8.1E-05
0.000764
0.000419
0.001419
-3.6E-05
0
0.002244
Year 19
0.005145
0.005537
-0.0003
0.000654
0.001268
-0.00018
0.000965
0.000211
-7.5E-05
0.000854
0.000461
0.001607
-3.3E-05
0
0.001832
Year 20
0.004798
0.005796
-0.00028
0.000753
0.00147
-0.00017
0.001041
0.000269
-0.00007
0.000938
0.000501
0.001783
-3.1E-05
0
0.002354
Page 93
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary Disbursements Billions of Current Dollars
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
Real Disposable Personal Income Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 1
-164.697
-164.697
-243.173
-15.832
-17.964
0.01
-12.701
-5.273
-0.538
-1.593
-0.031
1.086
-37.427
-21.503
-9.242
-6.171
-5.215
-0.252
-17.477
-3.542
0
Year 2
4.79
4.79
-115.542
-6.566
-12.24
0.026
-8.845
-3.421
1.807
-0.769
1.362
1.214
-21.629
-12.214
-4.854
0.239
0.307
-0.321
-6.02
0.475
0
Year 3
83.821
83.821
-40.609
-1.251
-8.593
0.028
-6.373
-2.248
2.122
-0.569
1.554
1.137
-12.05
-6.634
-1.964
3.795
2.896
-0.041
-0.218
2.343
0
Year 4
147.271
147.271
19.601
3.707
-5.99
0.019
-4.563
-1.446
2.14
-0.494
1.556
1.077
-3.948
-1.897
0.674
7.181
5.206
0.25
4.696
4.022
0
Year 5
55.132
55.132
-6.58
0.56
-5.345
0.006
-3.937
-1.413
-2.14
-1.635
-0.807
0.302
-6.123
-3.346
-0.329
3.111
1.898
0.344
-0.158
1.422
0
Year 6
78.409
78.409
33.154
3.647
-2.589
-0.009
-1.972
-0.608
-2.516
-1.543
-1.089
0.114
0.361
0.387
1.522
4.32
2.759
0.376
2.73
2.084
0
Year 7
77.36
77.36
44.078
4.544
-1.676
-0.028
-1.285
-0.364
-2.968
-1.584
-1.384
-0.001
2.43
1.571
2.232
4.587
2.795
0.467
3.297
2.135
0
Year 8
69.275
69.275
48.22
4.751
-0.929
-0.046
-0.731
-0.151
-3.418
-1.621
-1.678
-0.119
3.594
2.223
2.645
4.467
2.592
0.509
3.317
2.009
0
Year 9
36.458
36.458
34.821
3.346
-0.955
-0.061
-0.683
-0.211
-4.184
-1.762
-2.146
-0.278
2.233
1.354
2.072
2.763
1.392
0.479
1.44
1.113
0
Year 10
38.853
38.853
36.975
3.741
-0.794
-0.072
-0.543
-0.178
-3.652
-1.53
-1.904
-0.218
2.866
1.721
2.242
2.987
1.549
0.436
1.819
1.247
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other(Jobs)
Thousands
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste ServicesThousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social AssistanceThousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
-2.25
-0.469
-0.896
14.785
-24.584
-9.169
-20.131
-11.939
-8.897
-34.88
-14.503
-27.094
-7.447
-32.663
-6.615
-19.564
-9.37
-13.343
-14.143
78.476
0
0
0
Year 2
-1.611
-0.325
-0.493
32.186
-17.357
-5.193
-10.046
-8.348
-6.011
-23.39
-8.16
-15.683
-5.273
-16.606
-3.998
-7.508
-6.053
-6.686
-4.989
120.332
0
0
0
Year 3
-1.194
-0.227
-0.272
48.74
-13.099
-3.534
-5.395
-6.081
-4.507
-16.339
-4.254
-10.263
-3.884
-8.507
-2.514
-1.6
-4.093
-3.043
-0.541
124.429
0
0
0
Year 4
-0.84
-0.141
-0.082
62.619
-9.76
-2.474
-1.954
-4.234
-3.359
-10.546
-0.861
-6.362
-2.762
-2.113
-1.287
3.179
-2.484
0.052
3.013
127.668
0
0
0
Year 5
-0.641
-0.107
-0.106
55.557
-8.936
-4.264
-5.953
-3.527
-3.518
-9.169
-0.953
-10.337
-2.267
-6.034
-1.422
-1.058
-2.272
-1.315
-0.259
61.712
0
0
0
Year 6
-0.277
-0.031
0.038
58.113
-5.374
-3.259
-3.344
-1.709
-2.282
-3.793
1.488
-6.872
-1.15
-1.556
-0.481
1.948
-0.853
0.68
1.87
45.255
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.134
-0.003
0.087
57.895
-4.015
-3.031
-2.679
-1.023
-1.828
-1.843
2.303
-5.973
-0.746
-0.482
-0.165
2.529
-0.339
1.282
2.244
33.281
0
0
0
Year 8
-0.03
0.015
0.114
55.567
-2.973
-2.857
-2.315
-0.53
-1.479
-0.498
2.694
-5.416
-0.455
-0.054
0.032
2.598
0.007
1.564
2.237
21.054
0
0
0
Year 9
Year 10
0.037
0.022
0.105
44.676
-2.084
-2.48
-2.226
-0.239
-1.132
0.031
2.373
-5.197
-0.288
-0.881
0.036
1.458
0.143
1.269
1.352
1.877
0
0
0
Page 94
0
0.017
0.091
48.63
-2.683
-2.968
-3.023
-0.436
-1.424
-0.509
2.268
-6.216
-0.398
-1.533
-0.081
1.006
-0.02
0.998
1.101
1.638
0
0
0
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary Disbursements Billions of Current Dollars
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
Real Disposable Personal Income Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 11
40.266
40.265
38.188
4.027
-0.602
-0.08
-0.386
-0.136
-3.115
-1.298
-1.658
-0.159
3.426
2.043
2.39
3.198
1.656
0.424
2.152
1.345
0
Year 12
37.182
37.183
35.215
3.83
-0.648
-0.087
-0.414
-0.148
-2.64
-1.105
-1.424
-0.112
3.182
1.894
2.292
3.138
1.585
0.408
1.998
1.302
0
Year 13
33.525
33.525
31.713
3.523
-0.676
-0.092
-0.43
-0.155
-2.267
-0.949
-1.239
-0.078
2.846
1.693
2.137
3.012
1.484
0.384
1.789
1.235
0
Year 14
29.844
29.844
28.198
3.18
-0.688
-0.093
-0.436
-0.158
-1.961
-0.82
-1.087
-0.054
2.492
1.48
1.959
2.855
1.373
0.357
1.568
1.158
0
Year 15
26.436
26.436
24.951
2.844
-0.685
-0.095
-0.433
-0.158
-1.703
-0.71
-0.958
-0.035
2.158
1.28
1.778
2.689
1.262
0.33
1.36
1.084
0
Year 16
23.407
23.408
22.069
2.53
-0.671
-0.093
-0.423
-0.155
-1.481
-0.618
-0.844
-0.02
1.859
1.102
1.607
2.532
1.16
0.304
1.173
1.019
0
Year 17
20.798
20.798
19.585
2.252
-0.65
-0.091
-0.408
-0.15
-1.29
-0.54
-0.742
-0.008
1.602
0.95
1.45
2.393
1.071
0.279
1.015
0.964
0
Year 18
18.571
18.571
17.471
2.008
-0.622
-0.089
-0.391
-0.143
-1.121
-0.474
-0.649
0.003
1.387
0.822
1.311
2.274
0.994
0.258
0.881
0.919
0
Year 19
16.724
16.724
15.718
1.802
-0.591
-0.085
-0.372
-0.134
-0.965
-0.414
-0.563
0.012
1.212
0.719
1.192
2.176
0.931
0.238
0.773
0.881
0
Year 20
15.126
15.126
14.204
1.62
-0.559
-0.081
-0.351
-0.126
-0.828
-0.361
-0.487
0.02
1.061
0.631
1.087
2.094
0.875
0.223
0.681
0.847
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other(Jobs)
Thousands
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste ServicesThousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social AssistanceThousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 11
0.073
0.026
0.115
40.066
-1.485
-1.998
-1.468
-0.042
-0.845
0.556
2.426
-4.17
-0.174
-0.242
0.153
1.837
0.297
1.514
1.546
2.078
0
0
0
Year 12
0.073
0.024
0.11
35.986
-1.275
-1.679
-1.087
-0.038
-0.709
0.494
2.2
-3.631
-0.172
-0.234
0.158
1.757
0.297
1.51
1.433
1.967
0
0
0
Year 13
0.072
0.02
0.104
31.813
-1.101
-1.42
-0.8
-0.035
-0.596
0.428
1.961
-3.197
-0.168
-0.248
0.159
1.652
0.29
1.482
1.299
1.812
0
0
0
Year 14
0.071
0.017
0.098
27.843
-0.953
-1.203
-0.575
-0.032
-0.502
0.368
1.732
-2.83
-0.161
-0.262
0.157
1.547
0.28
1.44
1.165
1.646
0
0
0
Year 15
0.069
0.014
0.091
24.209
-0.824
-1.02
-0.389
-0.03
-0.42
0.319
1.526
-2.506
-0.151
-0.265
0.154
1.461
0.271
1.394
1.045
1.486
0
0
0
Year 16
0.069
0.012
0.085
20.962
-0.711
-0.863
-0.231
-0.025
-0.351
0.282
1.348
-2.216
-0.14
-0.256
0.15
1.399
0.263
1.348
0.943
1.34
0
0
0
Year 17
0.069
0.009
0.08
18.104
-0.613
-0.729
-0.092
-0.02
-0.291
0.257
1.196
-1.954
-0.128
-0.235
0.146
1.365
0.256
1.306
0.86
1.211
0
0
0
Year 18
0.068
0.008
0.075
15.611
-0.525
-0.613
0.03
-0.013
-0.24
0.24
1.068
-1.716
-0.116
-0.206
0.144
1.347
0.251
1.266
0.793
1.101
0
0
0
Year 19
0.067
0.006
0.07
13.461
-0.446
-0.51
0.143
-0.006
-0.194
0.23
0.96
-1.492
-0.103
-0.168
0.14
1.345
0.247
1.23
0.74
1.006
0
0
0
Year 20
0.066
0.004
0.066
11.6
-0.378
-0.422
0.235
0
-0.156
0.223
0.867
-1.293
-0.091
-0.131
0.138
1.342
0.243
1.193
0.695
0.921
0
0
0
Page 95
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Management, business, financial occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,Thousands
media occupations
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving related occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, service
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupationsThousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
-20.84
-11.878
-0.776
-3.272
-0.598
-3.58
-4.517
-9.57
15.449
-14.083
-17.33
-65.805
-1.225
11.825
-6.036
-17.205
-15.259
Year 2
-1.641
-3.764
1.208
-1.244
1.649
-0.142
-2.283
0.727
27.828
-6.561
-5.256
-19.469
-0.666
26.865
1.76
-9.398
-4.826
Year 3
7.081
-0.275
1.838
-0.252
2.338
1.273
-1.214
4.91
29.901
-2.637
0.304
1.901
-0.381
38.545
5.745
-5.373
0.115
Year 4
14.103
2.403
2.326
0.546
2.859
2.431
-0.382
8.279
31.559
0.648
4.786
18.747
-0.146
48.288
9.015
-2.21
4.017
Year 5
3.804
-1.866
0.589
-0.154
0.798
0.485
-1.095
1.942
14.707
-1.344
-0.291
-2.249
-0.249
39.503
4.885
-3.971
-0.361
Year 6
6.607
-0.425
0.572
0.339
0.71
0.881
-0.488
3.133
11.186
0.713
2.084
6.509
-0.068
40.551
5.975
-1.559
1.689
Year 7
6.562
-0.316
0.405
0.433
0.488
0.832
-0.337
2.917
8.352
1.27
2.386
7.566
-0.015
39.783
5.949
-0.878
1.964
Year 8
5.753
-0.467
0.19
0.441
0.215
0.669
-0.268
2.348
5.363
1.488
2.219
6.887
0.013
37.574
5.528
-0.514
1.833
Year 9
2.153
-1.703
-0.317
0.19
-0.39
0.033
-0.468
0.289
0.322
0.747
0.486
0.216
-0.03
31.802
3.856
-1.093
0.365
Year 10
2.585
-1.267
-0.235
0.255
-0.3
0.143
-0.333
0.645
0.462
1.056
0.872
1.896
-0.002
29.277
3.786
-0.679
0.693
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 1
-40.858
-46.796
-46.796
0
-47.335
0
Year 2
-31.301
3.659
3.659
-47.335
-44.701
0
Year 3
-9.559
20.587
20.587
-44.701
-24.839
0
Year 4
18.539
30.618
30.618
-24.838
5.675
0
Year 5
20.564
9.439
9.439
5.675
15.5
0
Year 6
29.527
13.247
13.247
15.5
29.411
0
Year 7
36.295
11.096
11.096
29.411
41.456
0
Year 8
40.309
8.12
8.12
41.456
50.743
0
Year 9
37.3
0.876
0.877
50.743
52.879
0
Year 10
36.629
1.678
1.679
52.879
55.832
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 1
-4.954
-3.686
-2.938
-3.08
-7.439
-6.805
-4.97
-3.702
-3.238
-2.356
-1.749
-1.292
-1.125
0
0
0
0
0
Year 2
-4.861
-3.561
-2.85
-2.474
-6.183
-6.596
-4.929
-3.601
-3.083
-2.333
-1.712
-1.24
-1.1
-0.178
0
0
0
0
Year 3
-2.908
-2.09
-1.692
-0.975
-2.095
-3.853
-3.087
-2.178
-1.731
-1.456
-1.041
-0.739
-0.639
-0.357
0
0
0
0
Year 4
0.279
0.255
0.153
0.853
3.463
0.535
-0.048
0.094
0.376
-0.012
0.044
0.045
0.112
-0.474
0
0
0
0
Year 5
1.423
1.072
0.763
0.999
5.063
2.239
1.009
0.805
1.056
0.484
0.398
0.277
0.402
-0.489
0
0
0
0
Year 6
3.584
1.677
1.646
1.492
6.697
4.765
2.62
1.871
1.966
1.236
0.911
0.643
0.765
-0.46
0
0
0
0
Year 7
5.228
2.54
2.428
2.039
7.268
7.34
4.098
2.813
2.677
1.989
1.356
0.992
1.02
-0.168
-0.164
0
0
0
Year 8
6.379
3.435
3.06
2.506
7.087
9.441
5.361
3.585
3.197
2.636
1.718
1.284
1.182
0.203
-0.328
0
0
0
Year 9
6.538
4.012
3.279
2.559
5.711
10.283
5.932
3.852
3.255
2.927
1.84
1.392
1.171
0.562
-0.434
0
0
0
Year 10
6.834
4.524
3.595
2.742
4.651
10.691
6.773
4.28
3.412
3.197
2.033
1.525
1.198
0.823
-0.444
0
0
0
Page 96
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Management, business, financial occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,Thousands
media occupations
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving related occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, service
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupationsThousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 11
2.937
-0.842
-0.154
0.309
-0.213
0.246
-0.201
0.958
0.586
1.339
1.218
3.398
0.026
26.32
3.638
-0.283
0.983
Year 12
2.717
-0.704
-0.128
0.289
-0.178
0.243
-0.16
0.938
0.555
1.343
1.149
3.39
0.029
23.643
3.324
-0.204
0.936
Year 13
2.439
-0.608
-0.109
0.266
-0.154
0.232
-0.129
0.893
0.51
1.319
1.054
3.2
0.031
20.902
2.978
-0.156
0.857
Year 14
2.154
-0.535
-0.094
0.243
-0.133
0.22
-0.106
0.844
0.461
1.283
0.957
2.946
0.031
18.291
2.637
-0.125
0.769
Year 15
1.892
-0.472
-0.082
0.222
-0.117
0.208
-0.085
0.804
0.415
1.244
0.872
2.694
0.033
15.904
2.322
-0.101
0.685
Year 16
1.66
-0.416
-0.07
0.206
-0.102
0.198
-0.067
0.775
0.375
1.205
0.801
2.471
0.033
13.771
2.04
-0.08
0.611
Year 17
1.462
-0.364
-0.06
0.193
-0.088
0.189
-0.052
0.763
0.34
1.17
0.746
2.29
0.034
11.894
1.792
-0.061
0.548
Year 18
1.297
-0.314
-0.05
0.184
-0.075
0.183
-0.037
0.76
0.312
1.138
0.703
2.148
0.034
10.259
1.576
-0.041
0.496
Year 19
1.164
-0.264
-0.04
0.176
-0.063
0.178
-0.023
0.765
0.289
1.11
0.674
2.047
0.034
8.849
1.392
-0.021
0.456
Year 20
1.052
-0.219
-0.031
0.171
-0.052
0.173
-0.011
0.77
0.268
1.081
0.648
1.961
0.035
7.63
1.232
-0.002
0.421
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 11
36.491
1.712
1.713
55.832
58.838
0
Year 12
35.832
0.839
0.839
58.838
60.978
0
Year 13
34.655
-0.04
-0.04
60.978
62.217
0
Year 14
33.092
-0.816
-0.816
62.217
62.629
0
Year 15
31.282
-1.436
-1.437
62.629
62.343
0
Year 16
29.35
-1.907
-1.908
62.343
61.487
0
Year 17
27.213
-2.185
-2.184
61.487
60.237
0
Year 18
25.255
-2.395
-2.395
60.237
58.653
0
Year 19
23.453
-2.533
-2.533
58.653
56.801
0
Year 20
21.814
-2.636
-2.636
56.801
54.718
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 11
7.015
5.663
3.379
2.991
3.865
10.459
7.817
4.824
3.616
3.403
2.272
1.663
1.246
1.035
-0.412
0
0
0
Year 12
7.045
6.391
3.496
3.19
3.384
9.364
9.036
5.327
3.787
3.472
2.558
1.764
1.313
1.14
-0.143
-0.146
0
0
Year 13
6.939
6.808
3.791
3.337
3.076
7.873
10.043
5.798
3.942
3.476
2.827
1.847
1.383
1.174
0.196
-0.291
0
0
Year 14
6.764
6.835
4.263
3.455
2.838
6.252
10.709
6.238
4.09
3.451
3.053
1.923
1.446
1.169
0.524
-0.382
0
0
Year 15
6.469
6.868
4.563
3.59
2.611
4.711
10.743
6.806
4.291
3.433
3.19
2.02
1.495
1.176
0.762
-0.387
0
0
Year 16
6.067
6.735
5.448
3.167
2.434
3.356
10.063
7.519
4.565
3.423
3.24
2.143
1.535
1.189
0.954
-0.352
0
0
Year 17
5.582
6.502
5.961
3.111
2.289
2.396
8.59
8.456
4.842
3.412
3.178
2.329
1.554
1.221
1.051
-0.115
-0.123
0
Year 18
5.03
6.19
6.211
3.271
2.175
1.714
6.805
9.243
5.137
3.425
3.081
2.517
1.573
1.262
1.081
0.183
-0.243
0
Year 19
4.431
5.864
6.116
3.646
2.104
1.202
4.972
9.746
5.446
3.469
2.982
2.684
1.601
1.303
1.078
0.471
-0.316
0
Year 20
3.805
5.465
6.062
3.877
2.109
0.786
3.284
9.67
5.922
3.596
2.913
2.781
1.664
1.336
1.086
0.677
-0.313
0
Page 97
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
State Revenues at State Average Rates
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Ratesof Fixed (2010) Dollars
Billions
Year 1
-0.746
0.224
Year 2
-0.216
-0.159
Year 3
-0.001
-0.289
Year 4
0.18
-0.334
Year 5
-0.227
-0.145
Year 6
-0.137
-0.165
Year 7
-0.132
-0.12
Year 8
-0.142
-0.064
Year 9
-0.234
0.017
Year 10
-0.173
0.032
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
-0.061
-0.253
-0.079
-0.022
0
-0.082
-0.026
-0.049
-0.047
0
0
-0.127
Year 2
-0.058
-0.09
-0.028
-0.008
0
-0.049
0.001
0.003
0.003
0
0
0.009
Year 3
-0.032
-0.058
-0.019
-0.005
0
-0.031
0.015
0.028
0.027
0
0
0.073
Year 4
0.007
-0.049
-0.015
-0.004
0
-0.016
0.027
0.05
0.049
0
0
0.13
Year 5
0.019
-0.23
-0.072
-0.02
0
-0.019
0.01
0.019
0.018
0
0
0.049
Year 6
0.036
-0.216
-0.067
-0.019
0
-0.005
0.014
0.027
0.026
0
0
0.069
Year 7
0.05
-0.227
-0.071
-0.019
0
-0.002
0.015
0.027
0.027
0
0
0.071
Year 8
0.06
-0.238
-0.075
-0.02
0
0.001
0.014
0.025
0.025
0
0
0.066
Year 9
0.063
-0.26
-0.081
-0.023
0
-0.001
0.008
0.013
0.013
0
0
0.035
Year 10
0.067
-0.226
-0.071
-0.02
0
0.001
0.008
0.015
0.014
0
0
0.039
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
-0.059
0.25
-0.002
-0.009
-0.019
-0.001
-0.007
-0.006
-0.001
-0.007
-0.004
-0.016
0
0
0.103
Year 2
-0.064
-0.014
-0.002
-0.009
-0.02
-0.001
-0.008
-0.006
0
-0.008
-0.004
-0.017
-0.001
0
-0.005
Year 3
-0.053
-0.123
-0.002
-0.008
-0.016
-0.001
-0.006
-0.005
0
-0.007
-0.003
-0.014
-0.001
0
-0.051
Year 4
-0.029
-0.192
-0.001
-0.005
-0.008
-0.001
-0.003
-0.002
-0.001
-0.004
-0.002
-0.007
0
0
-0.079
Year 5
-0.022
-0.069
0
-0.004
-0.007
-0.001
-0.003
-0.002
-0.001
-0.002
-0.001
-0.006
0
0
-0.029
Year 6
-0.008
-0.105
0
-0.001
-0.003
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
-0.002
0
0
-0.043
Year 7
0.005
-0.094
0
0
0.002
0.001
0
0.001
0
0.001
0.001
0.001
0
0
-0.038
Year 8
0.017
-0.071
0.001
0.002
0.005
0
0.002
0.001
0
0.002
0.001
0.005
0
0
-0.03
Year 9
0.021
-0.02
0
0.003
0.006
0
0.002
0.002
0
0.003
0.001
0.006
0
0
-0.009
Year 10
0.026
-0.017
0.001
0.004
0.008
0
0.003
0.003
0
0.003
0.001
0.007
0.001
0
-0.007
Page 98
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
State Revenues at State Average Rates
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Ratesof Fixed (2010) Dollars
Billions
Year 11
-0.115
0.05
Year 12
-0.079
0.078
Year 13
-0.051
0.101
Year 14
-0.029
0.119
Year 15
-0.012
0.133
Year 16
0.002
0.143
Year 17
0.014
0.149
Year 18
0.023
0.153
Year 19
0.032
0.155
Year 20
0.038
0.154
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.071
-0.192
-0.061
-0.017
0
0.002
0.008
0.016
0.015
0
0
0.041
Year 12
0.074
-0.166
-0.051
-0.015
0
0.001
0.008
0.015
0.015
0
0
0.04
Year 13
0.075
-0.143
-0.045
-0.013
0
0.001
0.008
0.014
0.014
0
0
0.037
Year 14
0.076
-0.123
-0.039
-0.011
0
0.001
0.007
0.013
0.012
0
0
0.034
Year 15
0.075
-0.106
-0.034
-0.009
0
0
0.006
0.012
0.012
0
0
0.031
Year 16
0.075
-0.092
-0.029
-0.008
0
0
0.006
0.011
0.01
0
0
0.029
Year 17
0.074
-0.08
-0.025
-0.007
0
0
0.006
0.01
0.01
0
0
0.026
Year 18
0.072
-0.068
-0.022
-0.006
0
0
0.005
0.009
0.009
0
0
0.024
Year 19
0.07
-0.059
-0.018
-0.005
0
0
0.004
0.009
0.008
0
0
0.022
Year 20
0.067
-0.05
-0.016
-0.004
0
-0.001
0.004
0.009
0.008
0
0
0.022
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.032
-0.013
0.001
0.004
0.01
0.001
0.003
0.003
0
0.004
0.002
0.009
0.001
0
-0.006
Year 12
0.036
0
0.001
0.005
0.012
0.001
0.004
0.004
0
0.004
0.003
0.01
0.001
0
0
Year 13
0.039
0.011
0.002
0.005
0.012
0.001
0.005
0.003
0
0.005
0.002
0.01
0.001
0
0.005
Year 14
0.041
0.021
0.001
0.007
0.013
0.001
0.005
0.003
0
0.006
0.003
0.011
0
0
0.008
Year 15
0.042
0.028
0.001
0.007
0.013
0
0.005
0.004
0
0.006
0.002
0.011
0
0
0.012
Year 16
0.042
0.034
0.001
0.007
0.013
0
0.005
0.003
0
0.005
0.002
0.012
0
0
0.014
Year 17
0.043
0.039
0.002
0.007
0.013
0.001
0.005
0.004
0
0.005
0.003
0.011
0
0
0.016
Year 18
0.042
0.042
0.002
0.006
0.013
0.001
0.005
0.003
0
0.006
0.002
0.012
0
0
0.017
Year 19
0.042
0.044
0.001
0.006
0.013
0.001
0.005
0.004
0
0.005
0.002
0.011
0
0
0.018
Year 20
0.041
0.045
0.001
0.007
0.012
0.001
0.005
0.003
0.001
0.005
0.003
0.011
0
0
0.019
Page 99
Part V – Appendix
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Economic Development Administration
IV-2
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part V – Appendix
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Data Collection Template
TBRPC is developed a Data Collection Template to assist in performing an analysis to estimate
the total impacts to the region. The information below is the bare minimum required, additional
information would provide a more accurate depiction of the impacts.
Damage Estimates
Category
Geographic Location
At Event
Building Stock Damaged
Total Employment
Reconstruction Estimates
Category
Building Stock
Reconstruction
Clean Up Expenditures
Government Spending
Year 1
Economic Development Administration
Year 2
IV-3
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part V – Appendix
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Actual Employment Lost by Year
NAICS
113-114
115
211
212
213
22
23
321
327
331
332
333
334
335
3361-3363
3364-3369
337
339
311
312
313
314
315
316
322
323
324
325
326
42
44-45
481
482
483
484-492
485
486
487, 488
493
511
512
518,519
515,517
Category
Forestry and logging; Fishing
Agriculture and forestry support
Oil and gas extraction
Mining (except oil and gas)
Support activities for mining
Utilities
Construction
Wood product manufacturing
Nonmetallic mineral
manufacturing
Primary metal manufacturing
Fabricated metal manufacturing
Machinery manufacturing
Computer and electronic manu
Electrical equip/appliance manu
Motor vehicles, manufacturing
Other trans equip manufacturing
Furniture manufacturing
Miscellaneous manufacturing
Food manufacturing
Beverage and tobacco manu
Textile mills
Textile product mills
Apparel manufacturing
Leather and allied manufacturing
Paper manufacturing
Printing and related support
Petroleum and coal manu
Chemical manufacturing
Plastics and rubber manu
Wholesale trade
Retail trade
Air transportation
Rail transportation
Water transportation
Truck transportation; Couriers
Transit and ground trans
Pipeline transportation
Scenic and sightseeing
Warehousing and storage
Publishing industries, no Internet
Motion picture and sound
Internet publishing/broadcasting
Broadcasting, except Internet;
Economic Development Administration
IV-4
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part V – Appendix
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
NAICS
521,522,525
523
524
531
532,533
54
55
561
562
61
621
622
623
624
711
712
713
721
722
811
812
813
111,112
Category
Monetary authorities
Securities, investments
Insurance carriers
Real estate
Rental and leasing services
Professional and technical
Management of companies
Administrative and support
Waste management
Educational services
Ambulatory health care services
Hospitals
Nursing and residential care
Social assistance
Performing arts and sports
Museums, zoos, parks
Amusement, gambling, rec
Accommodation
Food services and drinking
Repair and maintenance
Personal and laundry
Membership associations
State Government
Local Government
Federal Civilian
Federal Military
Farm
ALL
Total Employment
Economic Development Administration
IV-5
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
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