Part V – Appendix Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study Part V – Appendix 1921 Hurrricane – Starbuck Remilling Company Table of Contents Data Collection Template Negative Economic Inputs Positive Economic Inputs Negative Economic Impacts Positive Economic Impacts Net Impacts of a Catastrophic Event Economic Development Administration IV IV IV IV IV IV - IV-1 2 6 7 12 42 72 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council Negative Economic Inputs: Actual Employment Losses by Industry and County Industry Forestry, Fishing, and Other Mining Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Transportation, Warehousing Information Finance and Insurance Real Estate and Leasing Professional and Tech Management of Companies Admin and Waste Services Educational Services Healthcare Social Assist Arts, Entertainment, Rec Accommodation, Food Services Other Services State and Local Federal Civilian Federal Military Farm County Hillsborough Hillsborough Hillsborough Hillsborough Hillsborough Hillsborough Hillsborough Hillsborough Hillsborough Hillsborough Hillsborough Hillsborough Hillsborough Hillsborough Hillsborough Hillsborough Hillsborough Hillsborough Hillsborough Hillsborough Hillsborough Hillsborough Hillsborough Unit Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Total Hillsborough Employment Loss HillsboroughThousands Industry Forestry, Fishing, and Other Mining Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Transportation, Warehousing Information Finance and Insurance Real Estate and Leasing Professional and Tech Management of Companies Admin and Waste Services Educational Services Healthcare Social Assist Arts, Entertainment, Rec Accommodation, Food Services Other Services State and Local Federal Civilian Federal Military Farm County Manatee Manatee Manatee Manatee Manatee Manatee Manatee Manatee Manatee Manatee Manatee Manatee Manatee Manatee Manatee Manatee Manatee Manatee Manatee Manatee Manatee Manatee Manatee Unit Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Total Manatee Employment Loss Manatee Thousands Year 1 -0.99 -0.15 -0.90 -14.74 -9.37 -11.02 -25.06 -7.38 -6.71 -20.35 -10.56 -22.54 -2.33 -26.02 -4.53 -24.75 -5.87 -17.46 -14.54 -20.77 -4.84 -2.78 -3.16 Year 2 -0.72 -0.11 -0.66 -10.72 -6.81 -8.01 -18.22 -5.37 -4.88 -14.80 -7.68 -16.39 -1.70 -18.92 -3.30 -18.00 -4.27 -12.70 -10.58 -15.11 -3.52 -2.02 -2.30 Year 3 -0.54 -0.08 -0.49 -8.04 -5.11 -6.01 -13.67 -4.03 -3.66 -11.10 -5.76 -12.29 -1.27 -14.19 -2.47 -13.50 -3.20 -9.52 -7.93 -11.33 -2.64 -1.51 -1.72 Year 4 -0.39 -0.06 -0.36 -5.81 -3.69 -4.34 -9.87 -2.91 -2.64 -8.02 -4.16 -8.88 -0.92 -10.25 -1.79 -9.75 -2.31 -6.88 -5.73 -8.18 -1.91 -1.09 -1.24 Year 5 -0.30 -0.05 -0.27 -4.47 -2.84 -3.34 -7.59 -2.24 -2.03 -6.17 -3.20 -6.83 -0.71 -7.88 -1.37 -7.50 -1.78 -5.29 -4.41 -6.29 -1.47 -0.84 -0.96 Year 6 -0.15 -0.02 -0.14 -2.23 -1.42 -1.67 -3.80 -1.12 -1.02 -3.08 -1.60 -3.42 -0.35 -3.94 -0.69 -3.75 -0.89 -2.65 -2.20 -3.15 -0.73 -0.42 -0.48 Year 7 -0.09 -0.01 -0.08 -1.34 -0.85 -1.00 -2.28 -0.67 -0.61 -1.85 -0.96 -2.05 -0.21 -2.37 -0.41 -2.25 -0.53 -1.59 -1.32 -1.89 -0.44 -0.25 -0.29 Year 8 -0.05 -0.01 -0.04 -0.67 -0.43 -0.50 -1.14 -0.34 -0.30 -0.92 -0.48 -1.02 -0.11 -1.18 -0.21 -1.13 -0.27 -0.79 -0.66 -0.94 -0.22 -0.13 -0.14 Year 9 -0.03 0.00 -0.03 -0.45 -0.28 -0.33 -0.76 -0.22 -0.20 -0.62 -0.32 -0.68 -0.07 -0.79 -0.14 -0.75 -0.18 -0.53 -0.44 -0.63 -0.15 -0.08 -0.10 Year 10 -0.02 0.00 -0.01 -0.22 -0.14 -0.17 -0.38 -0.11 -0.10 -0.31 -0.16 -0.34 -0.04 -0.39 -0.07 -0.38 -0.09 -0.26 -0.22 -0.31 -0.07 -0.04 -0.05 -256.82 -186.78 -140.09 -101.17 -77.83 -38.91 -23.35 -11.67 -7.78 -3.89 Year 1 -0.73 -0.03 -0.08 -3.41 -3.13 -1.43 -5.70 -0.83 -0.47 -2.37 -4.22 -3.22 -1.01 -6.22 -0.63 -5.40 -1.70 -3.52 -3.49 -3.69 -0.33 -0.22 -1.45 Year 2 -0.53 -0.02 -0.06 -2.48 -2.28 -1.04 -4.14 -0.60 -0.34 -1.73 -3.07 -2.34 -0.74 -4.52 -0.46 -3.93 -1.23 -2.56 -2.54 -2.68 -0.24 -0.16 -1.05 Year 3 -0.40 -0.02 -0.04 -1.86 -1.71 -0.78 -3.11 -0.45 -0.26 -1.29 -2.30 -1.76 -0.55 -3.39 -0.34 -2.95 -0.92 -1.92 -1.90 -2.01 -0.18 -0.12 -0.79 Year 4 -0.29 -0.01 -0.03 -1.34 -1.23 -0.56 -2.24 -0.33 -0.19 -0.93 -1.66 -1.27 -0.40 -2.45 -0.25 -2.13 -0.67 -1.39 -1.37 -1.45 -0.13 -0.09 -0.57 Year 5 -0.22 -0.01 -0.02 -1.03 -0.95 -0.43 -1.73 -0.25 -0.14 -0.72 -1.28 -0.98 -0.31 -1.88 -0.19 -1.64 -0.51 -1.07 -1.06 -1.12 -0.10 -0.07 -0.44 Year 6 -0.11 -0.01 -0.01 -0.52 -0.47 -0.22 -0.86 -0.13 -0.07 -0.36 -0.64 -0.49 -0.15 -0.94 -0.10 -0.82 -0.26 -0.53 -0.53 -0.56 -0.05 -0.03 -0.22 Year 7 -0.07 0.00 -0.01 -0.31 -0.28 -0.13 -0.52 -0.08 -0.04 -0.22 -0.38 -0.29 -0.09 -0.57 -0.06 -0.49 -0.15 -0.32 -0.32 -0.34 -0.03 -0.02 -0.13 Year 8 -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.16 -0.14 -0.06 -0.26 -0.04 -0.02 -0.11 -0.19 -0.15 -0.05 -0.28 -0.03 -0.25 -0.08 -0.16 -0.16 -0.17 -0.01 -0.01 -0.07 Year 9 -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.10 -0.10 -0.04 -0.17 -0.03 -0.01 -0.07 -0.13 -0.10 -0.03 -0.19 -0.02 -0.16 -0.05 -0.11 -0.11 -0.11 -0.01 -0.01 -0.04 Year 10 -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.05 -0.05 -0.02 -0.09 -0.01 -0.01 -0.04 -0.06 -0.05 -0.02 -0.09 -0.01 -0.08 -0.03 -0.05 -0.05 -0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.02 -53.29 -38.76 -29.07 -20.99 -16.15 -8.07 -4.84 -2.42 -1.61 -0.81 Page 6 Negative Economic Inputs: Actual Employment Losses by Industry and County Industry Forestry, Fishing, and Other Mining Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Transportation, Warehousing Information Finance and Insurance Real Estate and Leasing Professional and Tech Management of Companies Admin and Waste Services Educational Services Healthcare Social Assist Arts, Entertainment, Rec Accommodation, Food Services Other Services State and Local Federal Civilian Federal Military Farm County Pasco Pasco Pasco Pasco Pasco Pasco Pasco Pasco Pasco Pasco Pasco Pasco Pasco Pasco Pasco Pasco Pasco Pasco Pasco Pasco Pasco Pasco Pasco Unit Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Year 1 -0.25 -0.07 -0.26 -3.52 -1.20 -0.81 -6.66 -0.83 -0.33 -1.77 -2.52 -2.24 -0.13 -3.11 -0.77 -5.84 -0.91 -3.78 -3.45 -5.27 -0.30 -0.31 -0.46 Year 2 -0.19 -0.05 -0.19 -2.56 -0.87 -0.59 -4.85 -0.60 -0.24 -1.28 -1.83 -1.63 -0.10 -2.26 -0.56 -4.25 -0.67 -2.75 -2.51 -3.83 -0.22 -0.23 -0.33 Year 3 -0.14 -0.04 -0.14 -1.92 -0.65 -0.44 -3.64 -0.45 -0.18 -0.96 -1.37 -1.22 -0.07 -1.69 -0.42 -3.19 -0.50 -2.06 -1.88 -2.88 -0.16 -0.17 -0.25 Year 4 -0.10 -0.03 -0.10 -1.38 -0.47 -0.32 -2.63 -0.33 -0.13 -0.70 -0.99 -0.88 -0.05 -1.22 -0.30 -2.30 -0.36 -1.49 -1.36 -2.08 -0.12 -0.12 -0.18 Year 5 -0.08 -0.02 -0.08 -1.07 -0.36 -0.25 -2.02 -0.25 -0.10 -0.54 -0.76 -0.68 -0.04 -0.94 -0.23 -1.77 -0.28 -1.15 -1.04 -1.60 -0.09 -0.10 -0.14 Year 6 -0.04 -0.01 -0.04 -0.53 -0.18 -0.12 -1.01 -0.13 -0.05 -0.27 -0.38 -0.34 -0.02 -0.47 -0.12 -0.89 -0.14 -0.57 -0.52 -0.80 -0.05 -0.05 -0.07 Year 7 -0.02 -0.01 -0.02 -0.32 -0.11 -0.07 -0.61 -0.08 -0.03 -0.16 -0.23 -0.20 -0.01 -0.28 -0.07 -0.53 -0.08 -0.34 -0.31 -0.48 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 Year 8 -0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.16 -0.05 -0.04 -0.30 -0.04 -0.02 -0.08 -0.11 -0.10 -0.01 -0.14 -0.04 -0.27 -0.04 -0.17 -0.16 -0.24 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 Year 9 -0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.11 -0.04 -0.02 -0.20 -0.03 -0.01 -0.05 -0.08 -0.07 0.00 -0.09 -0.02 -0.18 -0.03 -0.11 -0.10 -0.16 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 Year 10 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.05 -0.02 -0.01 -0.10 -0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.04 -0.03 0.00 -0.05 -0.01 -0.09 -0.01 -0.06 -0.05 -0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.01 Total Pasco Employment Loss Pasco Thousands -44.54 -32.40 -24.30 -17.55 -13.50 -6.75 -4.05 -2.02 -1.35 -0.67 Industry Forestry, Fishing, and Other Mining Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Transportation, Warehousing Information Finance and Insurance Real Estate and Leasing Professional and Tech Management of Companies Admin and Waste Services Educational Services Healthcare Social Assist Arts, Entertainment, Rec Accommodation, Food Services Other Services State and Local Federal Civilian Federal Military Farm County Pinellas Pinellas Pinellas Pinellas Pinellas Pinellas Pinellas Pinellas Pinellas Pinellas Pinellas Pinellas Pinellas Pinellas Pinellas Pinellas Pinellas Pinellas Pinellas Pinellas Pinellas Pinellas Pinellas Unit Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Year 1 -0.21 -0.18 -0.19 -9.82 -11.71 -5.79 -19.72 -2.95 -3.07 -11.29 -11.01 -14.94 -3.72 -18.75 -3.15 -24.19 -4.08 -13.58 -11.91 -12.75 -2.38 -1.00 -0.05 Year 2 -0.15 -0.13 -0.13 -7.14 -8.51 -4.21 -14.34 -2.15 -2.24 -8.21 -8.01 -10.87 -2.70 -13.64 -2.29 -17.59 -2.97 -9.88 -8.66 -9.28 -1.73 -0.73 -0.04 Year 3 -0.11 -0.10 -0.10 -5.36 -6.39 -3.16 -10.76 -1.61 -1.68 -6.16 -6.00 -8.15 -2.03 -10.23 -1.72 -13.19 -2.23 -7.41 -6.50 -6.96 -1.30 -0.55 -0.03 Year 4 -0.08 -0.07 -0.07 -3.87 -4.61 -2.28 -7.77 -1.16 -1.21 -4.45 -4.34 -5.89 -1.46 -7.39 -1.24 -9.53 -1.61 -5.35 -4.69 -5.02 -0.94 -0.39 -0.02 Year 5 -0.06 -0.05 -0.06 -2.98 -3.55 -1.75 -5.98 -0.89 -0.93 -3.42 -3.34 -4.53 -1.13 -5.68 -0.95 -7.33 -1.24 -4.12 -3.61 -3.86 -0.72 -0.30 -0.02 Year 6 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -1.49 -1.77 -0.88 -2.99 -0.45 -0.47 -1.71 -1.67 -2.26 -0.56 -2.84 -0.48 -3.67 -0.62 -2.06 -1.80 -1.93 -0.36 -0.15 -0.01 Year 7 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.89 -1.06 -0.53 -1.79 -0.27 -0.28 -1.03 -1.00 -1.36 -0.34 -1.70 -0.29 -2.20 -0.37 -1.23 -1.08 -1.16 -0.22 -0.09 0.00 Year 8 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.45 -0.53 -0.26 -0.90 -0.13 -0.14 -0.51 -0.50 -0.68 -0.17 -0.85 -0.14 -1.10 -0.19 -0.62 -0.54 -0.58 -0.11 -0.05 0.00 Year 9 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.30 -0.35 -0.18 -0.60 -0.09 -0.09 -0.34 -0.33 -0.45 -0.11 -0.57 -0.10 -0.73 -0.12 -0.41 -0.36 -0.39 -0.07 -0.03 0.00 Year 10 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.15 -0.18 -0.09 -0.30 -0.04 -0.05 -0.17 -0.17 -0.23 -0.06 -0.28 -0.05 -0.37 -0.06 -0.21 -0.18 -0.19 -0.04 -0.02 0.00 Total Pinellas Employment Loss Pinellas Thousands -186.45 -135.60 -101.70 -73.45 -56.50 -28.25 -16.95 -8.47 -5.65 -2.82 Page 7 Negative Economic Inputs: Actual Employment Losses by Industry and County Industry Forestry, Fishing, and Other Mining Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Transportation, Warehousing Information Finance and Insurance Real Estate and Leasing Professional and Tech Management of Companies Admin and Waste Services Educational Services Healthcare Social Assist Arts, Entertainment, Rec Accommodation, Food Services Other Services State and Local Federal Civilian Federal Military Farm Region TBRPC TBRPC TBRPC TBRPC TBRPC TBRPC TBRPC TBRPC TBRPC TBRPC TBRPC TBRPC TBRPC TBRPC TBRPC TBRPC TBRPC TBRPC TBRPC TBRPC TBRPC TBRPC TBRPC Unit Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Thousands Total Hillsborough Employment Loss TBRPC Thousands Year 1 -2.19 -0.43 -1.42 -31.49 -25.41 -19.05 -57.14 -11.99 -10.59 -35.77 -28.31 -42.95 -7.20 -54.10 -9.09 -60.19 -12.56 -38.34 -33.38 -42.49 -7.85 -4.31 -5.12 0.00 -541.36 Year 2 -1.59 -0.31 -1.04 -22.90 -18.48 -13.85 -41.55 -8.72 -7.70 -26.02 -20.59 -31.24 -5.23 -39.34 -6.61 -43.77 -9.14 -27.88 -24.28 -30.90 -5.71 -3.14 -3.72 0.00 -393.72 Page 8 Year 3 -1.19 -0.24 -0.78 -17.18 -13.86 -10.39 -31.17 -6.54 -5.78 -19.51 -15.44 -23.43 -3.93 -29.51 -4.96 -32.83 -6.85 -20.91 -18.21 -23.18 -4.28 -2.35 -2.79 0.00 -295.29 Year 4 -0.86 -0.17 -0.56 -12.40 -10.01 -7.50 -22.51 -4.72 -4.17 -14.09 -11.15 -16.92 -2.84 -21.31 -3.58 -23.71 -4.95 -15.10 -13.15 -16.74 -3.09 -1.70 -2.02 0.00 -213.26 Year 5 -0.66 -0.13 -0.43 -9.54 -7.70 -5.77 -17.31 -3.63 -3.21 -10.84 -8.58 -13.02 -2.18 -16.39 -2.75 -18.24 -3.81 -11.62 -10.12 -12.88 -2.38 -1.31 -1.55 0.00 -164.05 Year 6 -0.33 -0.07 -0.22 -4.77 -3.85 -2.89 -8.66 -1.82 -1.60 -5.42 -4.29 -6.51 -1.09 -8.20 -1.38 -9.12 -1.90 -5.81 -5.06 -6.44 -1.19 -0.65 -0.78 0.00 -82.02 Year 7 -0.20 -0.04 -0.13 -2.86 -2.31 -1.73 -5.19 -1.09 -0.96 -3.25 -2.57 -3.90 -0.65 -4.92 -0.83 -5.47 -1.14 -3.49 -3.04 -3.86 -0.71 -0.39 -0.47 0.00 -49.21 Year 8 -0.10 -0.02 -0.06 -1.43 -1.16 -0.87 -2.60 -0.54 -0.48 -1.63 -1.29 -1.95 -0.33 -2.46 -0.41 -2.74 -0.57 -1.74 -1.52 -1.93 -0.36 -0.20 -0.23 0.00 -24.61 Year 9 -0.07 -0.01 -0.04 -0.95 -0.77 -0.58 -1.73 -0.36 -0.32 -1.08 -0.86 -1.30 -0.22 -1.64 -0.28 -1.82 -0.38 -1.16 -1.01 -1.29 -0.24 -0.13 -0.16 0.00 -16.40 Year 10 -0.03 -0.01 -0.02 -0.48 -0.39 -0.29 -0.87 -0.18 -0.16 -0.54 -0.43 -0.65 -0.11 -0.82 -0.14 -0.91 -0.19 -0.58 -0.51 -0.64 -0.12 -0.07 -0.08 0.00 -8.20 Positive Economic Inputs: Construction, Government Spending Variable Residential Capital (amount) Residential Capital (amount) Residential Capital (amount) Residential Capital (amount) County Hillsborough Manatee Pasco Pinellas Units 2010 Fixed Local $ (B) 2010 Fixed Local $ (B) 2010 Fixed Local $ (B) 2010 Fixed Local $ (B) Year 1 -4.275 -1.12 -1.613 -3.18 Year 2 -5.13 -1.344 -1.935 -3.816 Year 3 -5.7 -1.494 -2.15 -4.241 Year 4 -5.13 -1.344 -1.935 -3.816 Year 5 -2.85 -0.747 -1.075 -2.12 Year 6 -1.995 -0.523 -0.753 -1.484 Year 7 -1.425 -0.373 -0.538 -1.06 Year 8 -1.14 -0.299 -0.43 -0.848 Year 9 -0.57 -0.149 -0.215 -0.424 Year 10 -0.285 -0.075 -0.108 -0.212 Total Residential Capital TBRPC 2010 Fixed Local $ (B) -10.188 -12.225 -13.585 -12.225 -6.792 -4.755 -3.396 -2.717 -1.358 -0.68 Variable Non-Residential Capital (amount) Non-Residential Capital (amount) Non-Residential Capital (amount) Non-Residential Capital (amount) County Hillsborough Manatee Pinellas Pasco Units 2010 Fixed Local $ (B) 2010 Fixed Local $ (B) 2010 Fixed Local $ (B) 2010 Fixed National $ (B) Year 1 -4.275 -1.12 -3.18 -1.613 Year 2 -5.13 -1.344 -3.816 -1.935 Year 3 -5.7 -1.494 -4.241 -2.15 Year 4 -5.13 -1.344 -3.816 -1.935 Year 5 -2.85 -0.747 -2.12 -1.075 Year 6 -1.995 -0.523 -1.484 -0.753 Year 7 -1.425 -0.373 -1.06 -0.538 Year 8 -1.14 -0.299 -0.848 -0.43 Year 9 -0.57 -0.149 -0.424 -0.215 Year 10 -0.285 -0.075 -0.212 -0.108 Total NonResidential Capital TBRPC 2010 Fixed National $ (B) -10.188 -12.225 -13.585 -12.225 -6.792 -4.755 -3.396 -2.717 -1.358 -0.68 Variable Government Spending (amount) Government Spending (amount) Government Spending (amount) Government Spending (amount) County Hillsborough Manatee Pasco Pinellas Units 2010 Chained National $ (B) 2010 Chained National $ (B) 2010 Chained National $ (B) 2010 Chained National $ (B) Year 1 3.375 0.884 1.273 2.511 Year 2 4.5 1.179 1.697 3.348 Year 3 4.5 1.179 1.697 3.348 Year 4 4.5 1.1792 1.6974 3.3478 Year 5 2.25 0.5896 0.8487 1.6739 Year 6 1.575 0.4127 0.5941 1.1717 Year 7 1.125 0.2948 0.4243 0.8369 Year 8 0.675 0.1769 0.2546 0.5022 Year 9 0 0 0 0 Year 10 0 0 0 0 Total Government Spending TBRPC 2010 Chained National $ (B) 8.043 10.724 10.724 10.7244 5.3622 3.7535 2.681 1.6087 0 0 Variable Construction (amount) Construction (amount) Construction (amount) Construction (amount) County Hillsborough Manatee Pasco Pinellas Units 2010 Fixed Local $ (B) 2010 Fixed Local $ (B) 2010 Fixed Local $ (B) 2010 Fixed Local $ (B) Year 1 8.55 2.24 3.225 6.361 Year 2 10.26 2.689 3.87 7.633 Year 3 11.4 2.987 4.3 8.481 Year 4 10.26 2.689 3.87 7.633 Year 5 5.7 1.494 2.15 4.241 Year 6 3.99 1.046 1.505 2.968 Year 7 2.85 0.747 1.075 2.12 Year 8 2.28 0.597 0.86 1.696 Year 9 1.14 0.299 0.43 0.848 Year 10 0.57 0.149 0.215 0.424 Total Construction TBRPC 2010 Fixed Local $ (B) 20.376 24.452 27.168 24.452 13.585 9.509 6.792 5.433 2.717 1.358 Variable Total Economic Gains Total Economic Gains Total Economic Gains Total Economic Gains County Hillsborough Manatee Pasco Pinellas Units 2010 Chained National $ (B) 2010 Chained National $ (B) 2010 Chained National $ (B) 2010 Chained National $ (B) Year 1 11.925 3.124 4.498 8.872 Year 2 14.76 3.868 5.567 10.981 Year 3 15.9 4.166 5.997 11.829 Year 4 14.76 3.8682 5.5674 10.9808 Year 5 7.95 2.0836 2.9987 5.9149 Year 6 5.565 1.4587 2.0991 4.1397 Year 7 3.975 1.0418 1.4993 2.9569 Year 8 2.955 0.7739 1.1146 2.1982 Year 9 1.14 0.299 0.43 0.848 Year 10 0.57 0.149 0.215 0.424 Total Government Spending TBRPC 2010 Chained National $ (B) 28.419 35.176 37.892 35.1764 18.9472 13.2625 9.473 7.0417 2.717 1.358 Page 9 Negative Economic Impact: Employment Losses Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Category Units Year 1 Total Employment Thousands (Jobs) -188.091 Employment by Occupation Thousands (Jobs) -188.091 Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) -174.284 Self Supply Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -12.442 Total Exports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -13.101 Exports to Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.012 Exports to Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -7.446 Exports to Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -5.667 Total Imports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -4.571 Imports from Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -1.544 Imports from Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -1.793 Imports from Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -1.234 Output Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -27.292 Value-Added Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -16.218 Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars -7.389 Personal Income Billions of Current Dollars -7.272 Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -6.105 PCE-Price Index 2005=100 (Nation) -0.654 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -16.946 Personal Consumption Expenditures Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -4.41 Total National Deflator 2005=1 (Nation) 0 Year 2 -140.761 -140.761 -130.503 -10.021 -9.466 0.038 -5.315 -4.19 -3.841 -1.329 -1.477 -1.035 -20.847 -12.376 -6.109 -6.295 -4.888 -1.328 -12.918 -3.567 0 Year 3 -106.259 -106.259 -98.249 -8.106 -7.006 0.062 -3.886 -3.182 -3.227 -1.133 -1.226 -0.869 -16.18 -9.604 -5.087 -5.437 -3.968 -1.374 -10.028 -2.96 0 Year 4 -75.634 -75.634 -69.636 -6.22 -4.891 0.082 -2.677 -2.295 -2.594 -0.931 -0.969 -0.694 -11.92 -7.076 -4.006 -4.511 -3.136 -1.274 -7.393 -2.364 0 Year 5 -56.145 -56.145 -51.427 -4.948 -3.606 0.095 -1.949 -1.752 -2.166 -0.796 -0.793 -0.576 -9.207 -5.468 -3.226 -3.836 -2.575 -1.099 -5.718 -1.974 0 Year 6 -25.508 -25.508 -22.919 -2.731 -1.399 0.101 -0.708 -0.791 -1.381 -0.529 -0.499 -0.353 -4.471 -2.651 -1.777 -2.492 -1.573 -0.847 -2.789 -1.247 0 Year 7 -12.731 -12.731 -11.067 -1.697 -0.54 0.1 -0.234 -0.406 -1.007 -0.401 -0.357 -0.249 -2.452 -1.451 -1.026 -1.783 -1.111 -0.574 -1.54 -0.929 0 Year 8 -3.758 -3.758 -2.784 -0.908 0.082 0.094 0.108 -0.12 -0.714 -0.295 -0.251 -0.168 -0.94 -0.552 -0.417 -1.2 -0.748 -0.357 -0.604 -0.684 0 Year 9 -1.257 -1.257 -0.528 -0.603 0.214 0.083 0.176 -0.045 -0.572 -0.238 -0.2 -0.134 -0.467 -0.274 -0.142 -0.922 -0.603 -0.192 -0.313 -0.599 0 Year 10 0.864 0.864 1.37 -0.338 0.344 0.07 0.245 0.029 -0.442 -0.183 -0.157 -0.102 -0.034 -0.018 0.09 -0.681 -0.473 -0.073 -0.045 -0.511 0 Year 11 2.767 2.767 3.063 -0.101 0.48 0.058 0.318 0.104 -0.324 -0.132 -0.12 -0.071 0.379 0.225 0.293 -0.47 -0.359 0.017 0.209 -0.429 0 Year 12 1.704 1.704 2.014 -0.127 0.369 0.047 0.254 0.068 -0.299 -0.115 -0.115 -0.069 0.242 0.138 0.294 -0.452 -0.362 0.074 0.121 -0.434 0 Year 13 0.609 0.609 0.942 -0.176 0.27 0.037 0.199 0.034 -0.289 -0.104 -0.116 -0.069 0.093 0.045 0.262 -0.473 -0.377 0.103 0.027 -0.445 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Category Units Year 1 Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities, and Other Thousands (Jobs) -1.044 Mining Thousands (Jobs) -0.186 Utilities Thousands (Jobs) -0.709 Construction Thousands (Jobs) -11.201 Manufacturing Thousands (Jobs) -9.866 Wholesale Trade Thousands (Jobs) -7.671 Retail Trade Thousands (Jobs) -14.46 Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs) -7.758 Information Thousands (Jobs) -6.42 Finance and Insurance Thousands (Jobs) -21.939 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Thousands (Jobs) -7.29 Professional and Technical Services Thousands (Jobs) -18.683 Management of Companies and Enterprises Thousands (Jobs) -2.523 Administrative and Waste Services Thousands (Jobs) -21.64 Educational Services Thousands (Jobs) -4 Health Care and Social Assistance Thousands (Jobs) -13.727 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Thousands (Jobs) -5.095 Accommodation and Food Services Thousands (Jobs) -9.292 Other Services, except Public Administration Thousands (Jobs) -10.782 State and Local Government Employment Thousands (Jobs) -13.807 Federal Civilian Employment Thousands (Jobs) 0 Federal Military Employment Thousands (Jobs) 0 Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) 0 Year 2 -0.75 -0.139 -0.521 -11.501 -7.17 -5.717 -10.87 -5.597 -4.626 -15.837 -5.355 -13.692 -1.797 -15.547 -2.959 -9.814 -3.688 -7.078 -7.845 -10.258 0 0 0 Year 3 -0.549 -0.105 -0.395 -9.933 -5.321 -4.324 -8.239 -4.108 -3.419 -11.636 -3.95 -10.139 -1.292 -11.317 -2.264 -7.216 -2.737 -5.526 -5.778 -8.011 0 0 0 Year 4 -0.382 -0.074 -0.288 -7.586 -3.768 -3.129 -5.939 -2.858 -2.411 -8.086 -2.707 -7.053 -0.872 -7.73 -1.673 -4.998 -1.938 -4.149 -3.994 -5.999 0 0 0 Year 5 -0.282 -0.055 -0.222 -5.494 -2.827 -2.392 -4.496 -2.103 -1.804 -5.929 -1.913 -5.136 -0.62 -5.545 -1.312 -3.667 -1.455 -3.284 -2.892 -4.719 0 0 0 Year 6 -0.119 -0.024 -0.118 -2.692 -1.306 -1.215 -2.242 -0.887 -0.824 -2.45 -0.705 -2.075 -0.223 -2.105 -0.711 -1.503 -0.676 -1.872 -1.173 -2.59 0 0 0 Year 7 -0.057 -0.011 -0.075 -0.87 -0.709 -0.737 -1.329 -0.419 -0.442 -1.106 -0.215 -0.862 -0.078 -0.794 -0.463 -0.732 -0.373 -1.281 -0.514 -1.664 0 0 0 Year 8 -0.014 -0.002 -0.043 0.434 -0.279 -0.394 -0.691 -0.088 -0.169 -0.159 0.115 -0.027 0.019 0.095 -0.28 -0.225 -0.157 -0.848 -0.069 -0.974 0 0 0 Year 9 -0.003 0 -0.033 1.084 -0.156 -0.28 -0.517 -0.007 -0.094 0.061 0.186 0.154 0.033 0.265 -0.221 -0.205 -0.1 -0.711 0.015 -0.729 0 0 0 Year 10 0.007 0.003 -0.023 1.462 -0.036 -0.172 -0.358 0.073 -0.022 0.278 0.237 0.313 0.049 0.421 -0.163 -0.167 -0.044 -0.584 0.096 -0.505 0 0 0 Year 11 0.018 0.005 -0.014 1.681 0.084 -0.07 -0.212 0.153 0.048 0.493 0.279 0.464 0.067 0.576 -0.108 -0.122 0.012 -0.463 0.172 -0.296 0 0 0 Year 12 0.013 0.004 -0.014 1.621 0.057 -0.081 -0.273 0.116 0.025 0.37 0.208 0.315 0.047 0.403 -0.112 -0.289 -0.008 -0.474 0.086 -0.31 0 0 0 Year 13 0.008 0.003 -0.015 1.459 0.033 -0.093 -0.333 0.083 0.004 0.26 0.139 0.178 0.03 0.249 -0.117 -0.439 -0.025 -0.487 0.006 -0.333 0 0 0 Page 10 Negative Economic Impact: Employment Losses Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Year 14 Category Units -0.421 Total Employment Thousands (Jobs) -0.421 Employment by Occupation Thousands (Jobs) -0.062 Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) -0.237 Self Supply Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.184 Total Exports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.028 Exports to Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.152 Exports to Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.004 Exports to Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.287 Total Imports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.096 Imports from Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.12 Imports from Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.07 Imports from Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.053 Output Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.047 Value-Added Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.209 Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars -0.518 Personal Income Billions of Current Dollars -0.4 Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.114 PCE-Price Index 2005=100 (Nation) -0.066 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.461 Personal Consumption Expenditures Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0 Total National Deflator 2005=1 (Nation) Year 15 -1.31 -1.31 -0.929 -0.296 0.113 0.02 0.113 -0.021 -0.289 -0.091 -0.125 -0.072 -0.183 -0.128 0.148 -0.576 -0.424 0.114 -0.149 -0.474 0 Year 16 -2.035 -2.035 -1.637 -0.348 0.056 0.015 0.083 -0.042 -0.291 -0.087 -0.13 -0.074 -0.293 -0.196 0.083 -0.642 -0.448 0.108 -0.218 -0.485 0 Year 17 -2.586 -2.586 -2.178 -0.39 0.012 0.01 0.059 -0.057 -0.294 -0.084 -0.134 -0.076 -0.379 -0.249 0.022 -0.708 -0.47 0.098 -0.272 -0.49 0 Year 18 -2.98 -2.98 -2.57 -0.421 -0.022 0.006 0.041 -0.069 -0.294 -0.082 -0.136 -0.076 -0.443 -0.289 -0.033 -0.772 -0.488 0.087 -0.312 -0.489 0 Year 19 -3.241 -3.241 -2.835 -0.441 -0.047 0.004 0.027 -0.077 -0.293 -0.081 -0.136 -0.076 -0.488 -0.316 -0.082 -0.833 -0.503 0.077 -0.339 -0.484 0 Year 20 -3.399 -3.399 -3.001 -0.453 -0.064 0.002 0.017 -0.083 -0.291 -0.079 -0.136 -0.075 -0.518 -0.335 -0.125 -0.892 -0.517 0.067 -0.357 -0.477 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Year 14 Category Units 0.004 Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities, and Other Thousands (Jobs) 0.003 Mining Thousands (Jobs) -0.015 Utilities Thousands (Jobs) 1.254 Construction Thousands (Jobs) 0.012 Manufacturing Thousands (Jobs) -0.106 Wholesale Trade Thousands (Jobs) -0.389 Retail Trade Thousands (Jobs) 0.055 Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs) -0.014 Information Thousands (Jobs) 0.165 Finance and Insurance Thousands (Jobs) Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 0.076 Thousands (Jobs) Professional and Technical Services 0.056 Thousands (Jobs) Management of Companies and Enterprises 0.017 Thousands (Jobs) Administrative and Waste Services 0.116 Thousands (Jobs) -0.121 Educational Services Thousands (Jobs) Health Care and Social Assistance -0.571 Thousands (Jobs) Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation -0.04 Thousands (Jobs) Accommodation and Food Services -0.498 Thousands (Jobs) Other Services, except Public Administration -0.067 Thousands (Jobs) State and Local Government Employment -0.359 Thousands (Jobs) 0 Federal Civilian Employment Thousands (Jobs) 0 Federal Military Employment Thousands (Jobs) 0 Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Year 15 0.001 0.002 -0.015 1.04 -0.004 -0.116 -0.434 0.033 -0.028 0.087 0.022 -0.044 0.006 0.007 -0.125 -0.679 -0.052 -0.503 -0.127 -0.382 0 0 0 Year 16 -0.001 0.001 -0.016 0.836 -0.016 -0.124 -0.467 0.015 -0.038 0.025 -0.021 -0.123 -0.001 -0.078 -0.127 -0.762 -0.062 -0.502 -0.175 -0.399 0 0 0 Year 17 -0.003 0.001 -0.015 0.654 -0.025 -0.129 -0.488 0.002 -0.045 -0.024 -0.053 -0.183 -0.007 -0.141 -0.128 -0.821 -0.067 -0.495 -0.209 -0.408 0 0 0 Year 18 -0.005 0 -0.015 0.496 -0.031 -0.131 -0.497 -0.008 -0.049 -0.06 -0.076 -0.226 -0.011 -0.186 -0.127 -0.86 -0.07 -0.481 -0.232 -0.41 0 0 0 Year 19 -0.006 0 -0.014 0.366 -0.036 -0.131 -0.498 -0.016 -0.052 -0.086 -0.091 -0.254 -0.014 -0.216 -0.126 -0.882 -0.071 -0.464 -0.246 -0.406 0 0 0 Year 20 -0.006 0 -0.014 0.259 -0.038 -0.129 -0.493 -0.021 -0.052 -0.105 -0.099 -0.272 -0.015 -0.234 -0.124 -0.893 -0.07 -0.443 -0.252 -0.398 0 0 0 Page 11 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Category Units Year 1 Management, business, financial Thousands occupations(Jobs) -22.33 Computer, math, architect, engineer occupations Thousands (Jobs) -10.618 Life, physical, social science occupations Thousands (Jobs) -1.923 Community, social service occupations Thousands (Jobs) -2.385 Legal occupations Thousands (Jobs) -2.152 Education, training, library occupations Thousands (Jobs) -3.784 Arts, design, entertainment, sports, media occupations Thousands (Jobs) -3.351 Healthcare occupations Thousands (Jobs) -10.366 Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs) -6.056 Food preparation, serving relatedThousands occupations(Jobs) -10.102 Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands service occupations (Jobs) -14.19 Sales, office, administrative occupations Thousands (Jobs) -58.825 Farm, fishing, forestry occupations Thousands (Jobs) -0.756 Construction, extraction occupations Thousands (Jobs) -9.744 Installation, maintenance, repair occupations Thousands (Jobs) -8.037 Production occupations Thousands (Jobs) -9.78 Transportation, material moving occupations Thousands (Jobs) -13.692 Year 2 -16.555 -7.813 -1.415 -1.726 -1.569 -2.783 -2.439 -7.493 -4.452 -7.611 -10.326 -43.352 -0.547 -9.299 -6.145 -7.164 -10.071 Year 3 -12.415 -5.833 -1.063 -1.273 -1.165 -2.112 -1.809 -5.561 -3.391 -5.874 -7.647 -32.358 -0.404 -7.833 -4.69 -5.332 -7.5 Year 4 -8.779 -4.112 -0.755 -0.883 -0.817 -1.538 -1.272 -3.897 -2.46 -4.349 -5.345 -22.827 -0.284 -5.914 -3.357 -3.764 -5.282 Year 5 -6.49 -3.042 -0.564 -0.644 -0.601 -1.186 -0.944 -2.886 -1.878 -3.398 -3.929 -16.884 -0.211 -4.306 -2.48 -2.798 -3.904 Year 6 -2.844 -1.315 -0.252 -0.266 -0.261 -0.605 -0.418 -1.236 -0.93 -1.851 -1.679 -7.536 -0.093 -2.092 -1.13 -1.261 -1.738 Year 7 -1.35 -0.623 -0.127 -0.124 -0.125 -0.371 -0.212 -0.624 -0.537 -1.217 -0.805 -3.774 -0.047 -0.745 -0.536 -0.648 -0.866 Year 8 -0.298 -0.136 -0.038 -0.028 -0.031 -0.202 -0.067 -0.211 -0.254 -0.757 -0.202 -1.15 -0.015 0.217 -0.116 -0.214 -0.255 Year 9 -0.017 -0.014 -0.016 -0.014 -0.008 -0.155 -0.03 -0.163 -0.17 -0.621 -0.073 -0.472 -0.006 0.672 0.017 -0.096 -0.089 Year 10 0.228 0.096 0.004 0.001 0.013 -0.109 0.003 -0.108 -0.093 -0.495 0.048 0.133 0.002 0.946 0.121 0.014 0.06 Year 11 0.454 0.201 0.024 0.015 0.032 -0.064 0.036 -0.051 -0.02 -0.373 0.165 0.697 0.01 1.115 0.207 0.119 0.199 Year 12 0.322 0.134 0.012 -0.006 0.019 -0.077 0.018 -0.158 -0.043 -0.397 0.066 0.371 0.006 1.064 0.163 0.077 0.133 Year 13 0.191 0.071 0.001 -0.026 0.007 -0.09 0.002 -0.256 -0.066 -0.422 -0.026 0.055 0.003 0.947 0.113 0.037 0.069 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Category Units Year 1 Labor Force Thousands -38.611 Total Migrants Thousands -40.874 Economic Migrants Thousands -40.874 Population (Last Year's) Thousands 0 Population 5 Year Cohorts) Thousands -41.353 College Population Thousands 0 Year 2 -52.96 -19.722 -19.722 -41.353 -62.258 0 Year 3 -57.407 -9.793 -9.793 -62.258 -73.565 0 Year 4 -55.81 -2.904 -2.904 -73.565 -78.103 0 Year 5 -51.901 0.706 0.706 -78.103 -79.017 0 Year 6 -43.851 5.768 5.768 -79.018 -74.749 0 Year 7 -36.232 6.91 6.91 -74.749 -69.142 0 Year 8 -29.172 7.394 7.394 -69.142 -62.834 0 Year 9 -23.616 6.75 6.75 -62.833 -56.955 0 Year 10 -19.039 6.193 6.193 -56.955 -51.431 0 Year 11 -15.195 5.709 5.709 -51.431 -46.2 0 Year 12 -12.47 4.77 4.77 -46.2 -41.731 0 Year 13 -10.521 3.989 3.989 -41.731 -37.889 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Category Units Year 1 Ages 0-4 Thousands -4.343 Ages 5-9 Thousands -3.22 Ages 10-14 Thousands -2.566 Ages 15-19 Thousands -2.69 Ages 20-24 Thousands -6.498 Ages 25-29 Thousands -5.943 Ages 30-34 Thousands -4.341 Ages 35-39 Thousands -3.233 Ages 40-44 Thousands -2.828 Ages 45-49 Thousands -2.057 Ages 50-54 Thousands -1.526 Ages 55-59 Thousands -1.127 Ages 60-64 Thousands -0.982 Ages 65-69 Thousands 0 Ages 70-74 Thousands 0 Ages 75-79 Thousands 0 Ages 80-84 Thousands 0 Ages 85+ Thousands 0 Year 2 -6.728 -4.915 -3.927 -3.668 -9.042 -9.091 -6.737 -4.956 -4.277 -3.189 -2.349 -1.713 -1.509 -0.155 0 0 0 0 Year 3 -8.163 -5.897 -4.729 -4.008 -9.554 -10.89 -8.246 -6.001 -5.064 -3.898 -2.848 -2.065 -1.804 -0.397 0 0 0 0 Year 4 -8.886 -6.361 -5.133 -4.061 -8.588 -11.694 -9.127 -6.581 -5.372 -4.308 -3.118 -2.261 -1.915 -0.698 0 0 0 0 Year 5 -9.204 -6.516 -5.324 -4.103 -6.931 -11.782 -9.638 -6.928 -5.439 -4.547 -3.27 -2.383 -1.914 -1.04 0 0 0 0 Year 6 -8.43 -6.735 -5.196 -3.974 -4.652 -10.793 -9.553 -6.91 -5.188 -4.511 -3.247 -2.378 -1.78 -1.402 0 0 0 0 Year 7 -7.466 -6.775 -4.989 -3.814 -2.731 -9.071 -9.284 -6.836 -4.926 -4.337 -3.199 -2.334 -1.648 -1.59 -0.142 0 0 0 Year 8 -6.377 -6.689 -4.735 -3.643 -1.251 -6.822 -8.858 -6.737 -4.686 -4.069 -3.141 -2.271 -1.535 -1.657 -0.364 0 0 0 Year 9 -5.316 -6.542 -4.49 -3.512 -0.373 -4.285 -8.377 -6.693 -4.537 -3.77 -3.11 -2.217 -1.468 -1.625 -0.638 0 0 0 Year 10 -4.289 -6.352 -4.225 -3.394 -0.002 -1.726 -7.694 -6.647 -4.461 -3.473 -3.084 -2.176 -1.437 -1.522 -0.948 0 0 0 Year 11 -3.338 -5.573 -4.435 -3.272 0.031 0.549 -6.685 -6.547 -4.441 -3.213 -3.042 -2.148 -1.432 -1.379 -1.275 0 0 0 Year 12 -2.497 -4.788 -4.614 -3.193 -0.126 2.136 -5.213 -6.456 -4.518 -3.068 -2.955 -2.162 -1.444 -1.263 -1.445 -0.126 0 0 Year 13 -1.755 -3.991 -4.761 -3.14 -0.387 3.079 -3.388 -6.332 -4.667 -3.025 -2.834 -2.209 -1.47 -1.183 -1.504 -0.321 0 0 Page 12 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Year 14 Category Units 0.07 Management, business, financial Thousands occupations(Jobs) 0.015 Computer, math, architect, engineer occupations Thousands (Jobs) -0.009 Life, physical, social science occupations Thousands (Jobs) -0.044 Community, social service occupations Thousands (Jobs) -0.004 Legal occupations Thousands (Jobs) Education, training, library occupations Thousands (Jobs) -0.102 Arts, design, entertainment, sports, media occupations Thousands (Jobs) -0.013 Healthcare occupations Thousands (Jobs) -0.342 -0.088 Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Food preparation, serving relatedThousands occupations(Jobs) -0.443 Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands service occupations -0.108 (Jobs) Sales, office, administrative occupations -0.231 Thousands (Jobs) Farm, fishing, forestry occupations 0 Thousands (Jobs) Construction, extraction occupations 0.803 Thousands (Jobs) Installation, maintenance, repair occupations 0.062 Thousands (Jobs) 0.002 Production occupations Thousands (Jobs) Transportation, material moving occupations 0.011 Thousands (Jobs) Year 15 -0.033 -0.031 -0.017 -0.059 -0.013 -0.111 -0.025 -0.413 -0.106 -0.458 -0.175 -0.471 -0.002 0.654 0.017 -0.028 -0.039 Year 16 -0.116 -0.068 -0.024 -0.07 -0.021 -0.118 -0.034 -0.468 -0.12 -0.465 -0.228 -0.662 -0.004 0.514 -0.022 -0.051 -0.078 Year 17 -0.181 -0.096 -0.029 -0.079 -0.026 -0.122 -0.04 -0.507 -0.13 -0.465 -0.266 -0.802 -0.005 0.39 -0.052 -0.069 -0.107 Year 18 -0.228 -0.116 -0.032 -0.084 -0.029 -0.125 -0.045 -0.533 -0.136 -0.457 -0.291 -0.898 -0.006 0.284 -0.076 -0.081 -0.128 Year 19 -0.26 -0.13 -0.034 -0.087 -0.031 -0.125 -0.047 -0.548 -0.138 -0.444 -0.305 -0.958 -0.007 0.198 -0.092 -0.089 -0.142 Year 20 -0.282 -0.138 -0.035 -0.089 -0.033 -0.125 -0.048 -0.555 -0.138 -0.428 -0.312 -0.991 -0.007 0.127 -0.103 -0.093 -0.15 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Year 14 Category Units Labor Force Thousands -9.125 Total Migrants Thousands 3.337 Economic Migrants Thousands 3.337 -37.889 Population (Last Year's) Thousands -34.565 Population 5 Year Cohorts) Thousands 0 College Population Thousands Year 15 -8.126 2.804 2.804 -34.565 -31.663 0 Year 16 -7.407 2.373 2.373 -31.662 -29.103 0 Year 17 -7.023 2.079 2.079 -29.103 -26.771 0 Year 18 -6.721 1.841 1.841 -26.771 -24.633 0 Year 19 -6.475 1.652 1.652 -24.633 -22.662 0 Year 20 -6.238 1.492 1.492 -22.662 -20.848 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Year 14 Category Units -1.098 Ages 0-4 Thousands -3.223 Ages 5-9 Thousands -4.85 Ages 10-14 Thousands -3.094 Ages 15-19 Thousands -0.687 Ages 20-24 Thousands 3.42 Ages 25-29 Thousands -1.278 Ages 30-34 Thousands -6.156 Ages 35-39 Thousands -4.871 Ages 40-44 Thousands -3.072 Ages 45-49 Thousands -2.682 Ages 50-54 Thousands -2.283 Ages 55-59 Thousands -1.507 Ages 60-64 Thousands -1.147 Ages 65-69 Thousands -1.475 Ages 70-74 Thousands -0.562 Ages 75-79 Thousands 0 Ages 80-84 Thousands 0 Ages 85+ Thousands Year 15 -0.524 -2.491 -4.894 -3.025 -0.983 3.257 0.852 -5.779 -5.073 -3.193 -2.533 -2.362 -1.555 -1.148 -1.381 -0.831 0 0 Year 16 -0.035 -1.832 -4.352 -3.426 -1.247 2.763 2.698 -5.08 -5.219 -3.369 -2.421 -2.426 -1.614 -1.176 -1.253 -1.112 0 0 Year 17 0.373 -1.227 -3.757 -3.76 -1.476 2.18 3.939 -3.863 -5.328 -3.605 -2.395 -2.426 -1.699 -1.215 -1.149 -1.258 -0.105 0 Year 18 0.693 -0.675 -3.114 -4.03 -1.666 1.58 4.606 -2.247 -5.364 -3.881 -2.444 -2.375 -1.8 -1.261 -1.078 -1.309 -0.268 0 Year 19 0.92 -0.167 -2.466 -4.215 -1.811 1.013 4.734 -0.305 -5.315 -4.183 -2.563 -2.281 -1.916 -1.313 -1.046 -1.282 -0.465 0 Year 20 1.053 0.291 -1.828 -4.335 -1.892 0.512 4.407 1.691 -5.039 -4.461 -2.738 -2.178 -2.027 -1.372 -1.047 -1.201 -0.684 0 Page 13 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Category Units Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 Year 13 State Revenues at State AverageBillions Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.772629 -0.638137 -0.541038 -0.44423 -0.380092 -0.258897 -0.202697 -0.156915 -0.136689 -0.116716 -0.097826 -0.092728 -0.088952 State Expenditures at State Average Rates Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.331369 -0.014322 -0.237818 -0.398535 -0.489408 -0.580611 -0.588614 -0.573162 -0.531818 -0.489456 -0.448768 -0.402353 -0.361812 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Category Units Year 1 Intergovernmental Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.05341 General Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.262997 Selective Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.082457 License Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.022798 Individual Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0 Corporate Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.059721 Other Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.030883 Current Charges Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.056579 Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.055296 Utility Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.000174 Liquor Store Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0 Insurance Trust Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.148313 Year 2 -0.079806 -0.20108 -0.063044 -0.017431 0 -0.043147 -0.024773 -0.045387 -0.044357 -0.000139 0 -0.118973 Year 3 -0.093218 -0.160127 -0.050204 -0.013881 0 -0.032152 -0.020301 -0.037194 -0.03635 -0.000114 0 -0.097497 Year 4 -0.097777 -0.123421 -0.038696 -0.010699 0 -0.022634 -0.016012 -0.029335 -0.02867 -0.00009 0 -0.076897 Year 5 -0.097651 -0.101268 -0.03175 -0.008779 0 -0.016909 -0.01312 -0.024038 -0.023493 -0.000074 0 -0.063011 Year 6 -0.091166 -0.061359 -0.019238 -0.005319 0 -0.007051 -0.007928 -0.014524 -0.014195 -0.000045 0 -0.038073 Year 7 -0.083122 -0.045727 -0.014337 -0.003964 0 -0.003367 -0.005533 -0.010137 -0.009907 -0.000031 0 -0.026572 Year 8 -0.074428 -0.033795 -0.010596 -0.00293 0 -0.000701 -0.003655 -0.006695 -0.006544 -0.000021 0 -0.017551 Year 9 -0.06802 -0.029362 -0.009206 -0.002545 0 -0.000203 -0.0029 -0.005314 -0.005193 -0.000016 0 -0.013929 Year 10 -0.061621 -0.024571 -0.007704 -0.00213 0 0.000338 -0.00223 -0.004085 -0.003992 -0.000013 0 -0.010708 Year 11 -0.055522 -0.019782 -0.006202 -0.001715 0 0.000914 -0.001645 -0.003015 -0.002946 -0.000009 0 -0.007902 Year 12 -0.050265 -0.019354 -0.006068 -0.001678 0 0.000406 -0.001672 -0.003063 -0.002994 -0.000009 0 -0.00803 Year 13 -0.045745 -0.018985 -0.005952 -0.001646 0 -0.000033 -0.001759 -0.003223 -0.00315 -0.00001 0 -0.008449 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Category Units Year 1 Education Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.076572 Public Welfare Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.352949 Hospitals Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.002576 Health Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.011637 Highways Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.023623 Police Protection Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.001543 Correction Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.008952 Natural Resources Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.006821 Parks and Recreation Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.000651 Government Administration Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.009913 Interest on General Debt Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.004658 Other and Unallocable Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.020697 Utility Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.000289 Liquor Store Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0 Insurance Trust Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.146351 Year 2 -0.113269 0.165476 -0.00381 -0.017215 -0.034945 -0.002283 -0.013242 -0.01009 -0.000963 -0.014663 -0.00689 -0.030616 -0.000428 0 0.068615 Year 3 -0.136135 0.04294 -0.004579 -0.02069 -0.042 -0.002744 -0.015915 -0.012127 -0.001157 -0.017623 -0.008281 -0.036797 -0.000514 0 0.017805 Year 4 -0.146932 -0.053931 -0.004943 -0.022331 -0.045331 -0.002962 -0.017177 -0.013089 -0.001249 -0.019021 -0.008938 -0.039715 -0.000555 0 -0.022363 Year 5 -0.151 -0.111861 -0.005079 -0.022949 -0.046586 -0.003044 -0.017653 -0.013451 -0.001283 -0.019548 -0.009185 -0.040815 -0.00057 0 -0.046383 Year 6 -0.145052 -0.185552 -0.004879 -0.022045 -0.044751 -0.002924 -0.016958 -0.012922 -0.001233 -0.018778 -0.008823 -0.039207 -0.000548 0 -0.07694 Year 7 -0.136089 -0.205105 -0.004578 -0.020683 -0.041985 -0.002743 -0.01591 -0.012123 -0.001157 -0.017617 -0.008278 -0.036784 -0.000514 0 -0.085047 Year 8 -0.125384 -0.210779 -0.004218 -0.019056 -0.038683 -0.002527 -0.014658 -0.011169 -0.001066 -0.016232 -0.007627 -0.033891 -0.000473 0 -0.0874 Year 9 -0.114602 -0.198268 -0.003855 -0.017417 -0.035356 -0.00231 -0.013398 -0.010209 -0.000974 -0.014836 -0.006971 -0.030976 -0.000433 0 -0.082212 Year 10 -0.103832 -0.18502 -0.003493 -0.015781 -0.032034 -0.002093 -0.012139 -0.00925 -0.000882 -0.013442 -0.006316 -0.028065 -0.000392 0 -0.076719 Year 11 -0.093565 -0.172174 -0.003147 -0.01422 -0.028866 -0.001886 -0.010938 -0.008335 -0.000795 -0.012112 -0.005692 -0.02529 -0.000353 0 -0.071392 Year 12 -0.084717 -0.153083 -0.00285 -0.012875 -0.026136 -0.001708 -0.009904 -0.007547 -0.00072 -0.010967 -0.005153 -0.022899 -0.00032 0 -0.063476 Year 13 -0.077106 -0.136223 -0.002594 -0.011719 -0.023788 -0.001554 -0.009014 -0.006869 -0.000655 -0.009982 -0.00469 -0.020841 -0.000291 0 -0.056485 Page 14 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Year 14 Year 15 Year 16 Year 17 Year 18 Year 19 Year 20 Category Units State Revenues at State AverageBillions Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.086177 -0.083831 -0.081739 -0.079614 -0.077391 -0.07508 -0.072806 State Expenditures at State Average Rates Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.326315 -0.295237 -0.268194 -0.244267 -0.222832 -0.203522 -0.186109 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Year 14 Category Units Intergovernmental Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.041821 General Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.018689 -0.00586 Selective Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.00162 License Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0 Individual Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Corporate Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.000409 Other Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.001885 Current Charges Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.003454 Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.003375 Utility Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.000011 0 Liquor Store Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.009053 Year 15 -0.038381 -0.01836 -0.005756 -0.001592 0 -0.000709 -0.002018 -0.003697 -0.003614 -0.000011 0 -0.009692 Year 16 -0.035354 -0.017976 -0.005636 -0.001558 0 -0.000938 -0.00215 -0.003939 -0.00385 -0.000012 0 -0.010326 Year 17 -0.032614 -0.017514 -0.005491 -0.001518 0 -0.001101 -0.002266 -0.004152 -0.004058 -0.000013 0 -0.010884 Year 18 -0.030102 -0.01698 -0.005324 -0.001472 0 -0.001207 -0.002365 -0.004334 -0.004235 -0.000013 0 -0.01136 Year 19 -0.027785 -0.016392 -0.005139 -0.001421 0 -0.001267 -0.002447 -0.004483 -0.004381 -0.000014 0 -0.011752 Year 20 -0.025645 -0.015795 -0.004952 -0.001369 0 -0.001294 -0.002519 -0.004614 -0.00451 -0.000014 0 -0.012095 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Category Units Year 14 Education Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.070501 Public Welfare Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.121371 Hospitals Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.002372 Health Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.010715 Highways Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.02175 Police Protection Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.001421 Correction Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.008242 Natural Resources Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.00628 Parks and Recreation Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.000599 Government Administration Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.009127 Interest on General Debt Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.004289 Other and Unallocable Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.019056 Utility Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.000266 Liquor Store Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0 Insurance Trust Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.050327 Year 15 -0.064709 -0.10838 -0.002177 -0.009835 -0.019964 -0.001304 -0.007565 -0.005764 -0.00055 -0.008377 -0.003936 -0.017491 -0.000244 0 -0.04494 Year 16 -0.059611 -0.097169 -0.002005 -0.00906 -0.018391 -0.001202 -0.006969 -0.00531 -0.000507 -0.007717 -0.003626 -0.016112 -0.000225 0 -0.040291 Year 17 -0.054998 -0.087405 -0.00185 -0.008359 -0.016968 -0.001109 -0.00643 -0.004899 -0.000467 -0.00712 -0.003346 -0.014866 -0.000208 0 -0.036243 Year 18 -0.050767 -0.078813 -0.001708 -0.007716 -0.015662 -0.001023 -0.005935 -0.004522 -0.000431 -0.006572 -0.003088 -0.013722 -0.000192 0 -0.03268 Year 19 -0.046864 -0.071214 -0.001576 -0.007122 -0.014458 -0.000945 -0.005479 -0.004175 -0.000398 -0.006067 -0.002851 -0.012667 -0.000177 0 -0.029529 Year 20 -0.04326 -0.064492 -0.001455 -0.006575 -0.013346 -0.000872 -0.005057 -0.003854 -0.000368 -0.0056 -0.002631 -0.011693 -0.000163 0 -0.026742 Page 15 Negative Economic Impact: Employment Losses Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Employment Losses Category Units Total Employment Thousands (Jobs) Employment by Occupation Thousands (Jobs) Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Self Supply Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total Exports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total Imports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Output Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Value-Added Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars Personal Income Billions of Current Dollars Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars PCE-Price Index 2005=100 (Nation) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Personal Consumption Expenditures Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total National Deflator 2005=1 (Nation) Year 1 -37.91765 -37.91763 -35.65321 -1.392043 -2.030523 0.0015 -1.201517 -0.830506 -1.310099 -0.311612 -0.493197 -0.505289 -3.76584 -2.115885 -1.01321 -1.292234 -1.074233 -0.448952 -2.240482 -0.787515 0 Year 2 -28.10782 -28.10783 -26.44968 -1.120254 -1.474243 0.004405 -0.863703 -0.614945 -1.101122 -0.265551 -0.399187 -0.436385 -2.860247 -1.604458 -0.830593 -1.116233 -0.858739 -0.820938 -1.695773 -0.633349 0 Year 3 -21.13356 -21.13355 -19.84819 -0.906714 -1.106007 0.00705 -0.642599 -0.470457 -0.928167 -0.226149 -0.331109 -0.370909 -2.220029 -1.244868 -0.688778 -0.965463 -0.696037 -0.856621 -1.315716 -0.521832 0 Year 4 -15.03793 -15.03793 -14.07889 -0.697423 -0.790352 0.009142 -0.455532 -0.343962 -0.749944 -0.186369 -0.264537 -0.299037 -1.644071 -0.922002 -0.54162 -0.803257 -0.550863 -0.796654 -0.974919 -0.414445 0 Year 5 -11.18266 -11.18266 -10.42926 -0.554953 -0.599306 0.01056 -0.343102 -0.266764 -0.631226 -0.160614 -0.22057 -0.250042 -1.279814 -0.718021 -0.437042 -0.686701 -0.454765 -0.688545 -0.759638 -0.345711 0 Year 6 -5.135666 -5.135681 -4.721695 -0.313396 -0.263302 0.011163 -0.146488 -0.127978 -0.40487 -0.107745 -0.142192 -0.154933 -0.642212 -0.36072 -0.242386 -0.451859 -0.281726 -0.526703 -0.383616 -0.217863 0 Year 7 -2.596024 -2.596024 -2.32991 -0.196433 -0.130626 0.011004 -0.069741 -0.071888 -0.29897 -0.082739 -0.105361 -0.110869 -0.368101 -0.206924 -0.142184 -0.3291 -0.202936 -0.354942 -0.221664 -0.163198 0 Year 8 -0.795151 -0.795166 -0.639664 -0.107064 -0.03181 0.010306 -0.012776 -0.029339 -0.215017 -0.061955 -0.076922 -0.076139 -0.160347 -0.09024 -0.060649 -0.227758 -0.141284 -0.2146 -0.098868 -0.121537 0 Year 9 -0.257919 -0.25795 -0.14299 -0.069556 -0.005897 0.009102 0.001764 -0.016764 -0.17511 -0.05055 -0.062924 -0.061636 -0.090244 -0.051018 -0.023318 -0.178827 -0.116454 -0.107773 -0.057443 -0.10817 0 Year 10 0.201462 0.201462 0.279282 -0.037812 0.020198 0.007724 0.016588 -0.004114 -0.136743 -0.039359 -0.049824 -0.04756 -0.025217 -0.014587 0.008753 -0.135553 -0.093658 -0.030167 -0.01895 -0.093276 0 Year 11 0.618958 0.618927 0.661743 -0.00982 0.047449 0.006348 0.032196 0.008905 -0.100594 -0.028632 -0.037818 -0.034142 0.03763 0.020348 0.037437 -0.096945 -0.073256 0.0298 0.017941 -0.079162 0 Year 12 0.447098 0.447098 0.490387 -0.010264 0.036149 0.005044 0.02551 0.005595 -0.092949 -0.024836 -0.035065 -0.033048 0.025881 0.013146 0.03905 -0.093109 -0.073565 0.068695 0.010703 -0.080484 0 Year 13 0.262741 0.262741 0.308319 -0.014317 0.025949 0.003875 0.019634 0.002439 -0.088814 -0.022033 -0.033724 -0.033057 0.011633 0.004474 0.036384 -0.095825 -0.075811 0.088943 0.001892 -0.082836 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities, and Other Thousands (Jobs) Mining Thousands (Jobs) Utilities Thousands (Jobs) Construction Thousands (Jobs) Manufacturing Thousands (Jobs) Wholesale Trade Thousands (Jobs) Retail Trade Thousands (Jobs) Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs) Information Thousands (Jobs) Finance and Insurance Thousands (Jobs) Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Thousands (Jobs) Professional and Technical Services Thousands (Jobs) Management of Companies and Enterprises Thousands (Jobs) Administrative and Waste Services Thousands (Jobs) Educational Services Thousands (Jobs) Health Care and Social Assistance Thousands (Jobs) Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Thousands (Jobs) Accommodation and Food Services Thousands (Jobs) Other Services, except Public Administration Thousands (Jobs) State and Local Government Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Civilian Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Military Employment Thousands (Jobs) Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Year 1 -0.750017 -0.043766 -0.074457 -2.459747 -3.203467 -1.053229 -2.835071 -0.848955 -0.472888 -2.453923 -2.944835 -3.175806 -1.051355 -5.421419 -0.607701 -2.566591 -1.516635 -1.697411 -2.475944 -2.264408 0 0 0 Year 2 -0.53845 -0.032365 -0.054531 -2.538187 -2.315604 -0.770813 -2.08494 -0.611441 -0.342291 -1.771445 -2.140936 -2.320886 -0.749577 -3.843377 -0.445459 -1.772621 -1.09032 -1.261655 -1.764789 -1.658154 0 0 0 Year 3 -0.395737 -0.024034 -0.041112 -2.20624 -1.715201 -0.579427 -1.565418 -0.449781 -0.254272 -1.307488 -1.588488 -1.72556 -0.543569 -2.777763 -0.336987 -1.272043 -0.806583 -0.973766 -1.28472 -1.285356 0 0 0 Year 4 -0.276786 -0.016711 -0.029775 -1.694973 -1.213463 -0.41921 -1.125332 -0.314752 -0.180636 -0.918114 -1.113061 -1.213984 -0.372964 -1.894066 -0.245638 -0.866177 -0.571247 -0.7284 -0.883606 -0.959052 0 0 0 Year 5 -0.205436 -0.01208 -0.022847 -1.233037 -0.911324 -0.322171 -0.854515 -0.233354 -0.136177 -0.682545 -0.814592 -0.897978 -0.27146 -1.363205 -0.190259 -0.629923 -0.429986 -0.577714 -0.640665 -0.753392 0 0 0 Year 6 -0.089461 -0.004963 -0.011708 -0.618455 -0.418983 -0.165261 -0.430365 -0.101442 -0.063647 -0.299139 -0.35159 -0.387785 -0.108582 -0.528131 -0.098291 -0.250355 -0.201245 -0.331788 -0.260503 -0.413979 0 0 0 Year 7 -0.044951 -0.002 -0.007109 -0.209096 -0.225989 -0.102158 -0.260105 -0.050318 -0.035129 -0.14938 -0.16118 -0.183846 -0.0481 -0.212425 -0.061208 -0.119123 -0.111988 -0.229832 -0.115981 -0.266104 0 0 0 Year 8 -0.01316 -0.000033 -0.003762 0.085606 -0.086287 -0.056213 -0.140213 -0.013791 -0.014394 -0.041699 -0.027982 -0.039873 -0.006117 0.003929 -0.033707 -0.03264 -0.047553 -0.15449 -0.017277 -0.155519 0 0 0 Year 9 -0.004932 0.000588 -0.002629 0.237188 -0.045888 -0.040512 -0.106247 -0.004129 -0.008338 -0.013374 0.008222 -0.003147 0.002452 0.049513 -0.025132 -0.03067 -0.029336 -0.129453 0.002823 -0.114941 0 0 0 Year 10 0.003386 0.001019 -0.001646 0.326419 -0.006203 -0.025187 -0.07387 0.005308 -0.002527 0.014572 0.038108 0.030219 0.011565 0.092638 -0.016563 -0.023554 -0.011188 -0.106094 0.022883 -0.077832 0 0 0 Year 11 0.011635 0.001411 -0.000629 0.380037 0.033461 -0.010304 -0.042994 0.014889 0.003321 0.042525 0.064717 0.062566 0.021174 0.136065 -0.008138 -0.013996 0.006857 -0.083226 0.042369 -0.042808 0 0 0 Year 12 0.008631 0.001163 -0.000713 0.371719 0.025142 -0.0108 -0.051893 0.01157 0.001988 0.032848 0.046936 0.044214 0.015202 0.100527 -0.008873 -0.041758 0.002707 -0.083797 0.025569 -0.04328 0 0 0 Year 13 0.006019 0.000919 -0.000806 0.339537 0.017859 -0.011574 -0.060949 0.008654 0.000793 0.024186 0.029078 0.026884 0.010202 0.069136 -0.009601 -0.066378 -0.001043 -0.08455 0.009947 -0.045577 0 0 0 Page 16 Negative Economic Impact: Employment Losses Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Employment Losses Category Units Total Employment Thousands (Jobs) Employment by Occupation Thousands (Jobs) Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Self Supply Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total Exports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total Imports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Output Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Value-Added Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars Personal Income Billions of Current Dollars Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars PCE-Price Index 2005=100 (Nation) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Personal Consumption Expenditures Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total National Deflator 2005=1 (Nation) Year 14 0.085373 0.085388 0.133911 -0.020135 0.017084 0.002865 0.014641 -0.000422 -0.086884 -0.019977 -0.033238 -0.033669 -0.00305 -0.004436 0.031085 -0.1028 -0.079256 0.098236 -0.007194 -0.085708 0 Year 15 -0.071274 -0.071289 -0.020004 -0.026268 0.009658 0.002017 0.010518 -0.002877 -0.085926 -0.01842 -0.033126 -0.034379 -0.016611 -0.012636 0.024483 -0.11202 -0.082952 0.100311 -0.015559 -0.088222 0 Year 16 -0.202789 -0.202789 -0.149368 -0.032031 0.00362 0.001322 0.007198 -0.0049 -0.085388 -0.017231 -0.033165 -0.034992 -0.02841 -0.019745 0.01739 -0.122713 -0.086704 0.097702 -0.022806 -0.090124 0 Year 17 -0.306763 -0.306778 -0.252121 -0.036857 -0.001163 0.000763 0.00457 -0.006497 -0.084751 -0.01632 -0.033134 -0.035297 -0.038019 -0.0255 0.010562 -0.13356 -0.090069 0.09343 -0.028645 -0.091 0 Year 18 -0.385635 -0.385666 -0.330597 -0.040623 -0.004875 0.000319 0.002521 -0.007716 -0.083811 -0.015616 -0.032939 -0.035255 -0.045498 -0.029948 0.004279 -0.144073 -0.092979 0.088608 -0.033127 -0.090916 0 Year 19 -0.442551 -0.442535 -0.387894 -0.043324 -0.0077 -0.00003 0.000942 -0.008612 -0.082464 -0.015024 -0.032554 -0.034886 -0.051022 -0.033208 -0.00134 -0.154125 -0.095387 0.083572 -0.03638 -0.090073 0 Year 20 -0.482269 -0.482254 -0.428589 -0.045198 -0.009833 -0.000303 -0.000263 -0.009267 -0.080961 -0.014531 -0.032118 -0.034313 -0.055031 -0.035548 -0.006332 -0.164078 -0.097593 0.078979 -0.038675 -0.08872 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities, and Other Thousands (Jobs) Mining Thousands (Jobs) Utilities Thousands (Jobs) Construction Thousands (Jobs) Manufacturing Thousands (Jobs) Wholesale Trade Thousands (Jobs) Retail Trade Thousands (Jobs) Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs) Information Thousands (Jobs) Finance and Insurance Thousands (Jobs) Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Thousands (Jobs) Professional and Technical Services Thousands (Jobs) Management of Companies and Enterprises Thousands (Jobs) Administrative and Waste Services Thousands (Jobs) Educational Services Thousands (Jobs) Health Care and Social Assistance Thousands (Jobs) Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Thousands (Jobs) Accommodation and Food Services Thousands (Jobs) Other Services, except Public Administration Thousands (Jobs) State and Local Government Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Civilian Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Military Employment Thousands (Jobs) Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Year 14 0.003818 0.000694 -0.000893 0.296726 0.011701 -0.012409 -0.069267 0.006171 -0.000226 0.016706 0.012485 0.011444 0.006132 0.042454 -0.010239 -0.088045 -0.004297 -0.085061 -0.003983 -0.048528 0 0 0 Year 15 0.002021 0.000498 -0.000965 0.251202 0.006673 -0.013116 -0.076012 0.004114 -0.001049 0.010473 -0.001821 -0.001578 0.002917 0.020632 -0.010742 -0.105762 -0.006932 -0.084921 -0.015646 -0.051267 0 0 0 Year 16 0.000593 0.000333 -0.001012 0.207233 0.002674 -0.013639 -0.081039 0.002454 -0.001683 0.005438 -0.013454 -0.012179 0.000445 0.003372 -0.01108 -0.119947 -0.008934 -0.083966 -0.024983 -0.053429 0 0 0 Year 17 -0.000515 0.000193 -0.001032 0.167269 -0.000436 -0.013939 -0.084206 0.00114 -0.002146 0.001457 -0.02215 -0.020487 -0.001409 -0.009821 -0.011256 -0.130451 -0.010294 -0.082039 -0.031986 -0.054676 0 0 0 Year 18 -0.001357 0.000081 -0.001032 0.132263 -0.002799 -0.014027 -0.085741 0.000115 -0.002466 -0.001617 -0.028263 -0.02681 -0.002767 -0.019623 -0.011306 -0.137833 -0.011116 -0.079347 -0.036962 -0.05505 0 0 0 Year 19 -0.001983 -0.000008 -0.001015 0.102863 -0.00455 -0.013926 -0.085928 -0.000673 -0.002673 -0.003963 -0.032209 -0.031428 -0.003731 -0.026701 -0.011261 -0.142796 -0.011512 -0.076105 -0.040292 -0.054646 0 0 0 Year 20 -0.002435 -0.000076 -0.000986 0.078241 -0.005849 -0.013702 -0.085203 -0.001273 -0.002798 -0.005736 -0.034443 -0.034733 -0.004399 -0.031633 -0.011107 -0.146038 -0.011574 -0.072452 -0.042382 -0.053664 0 0 0 Page 17 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Management, business, financial Thousands occupations(Jobs) Computer, math, architect, engineer occupations Thousands (Jobs) Life, physical, social science occupations Thousands (Jobs) Community, social service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Legal occupations Thousands (Jobs) Education, training, library occupations Thousands (Jobs) Arts, design, entertainment, sports, media occupations Thousands (Jobs) Healthcare occupations Thousands (Jobs) Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Food preparation, serving relatedThousands occupations(Jobs) Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands service occupations (Jobs) Sales, office, administrative occupations Thousands (Jobs) Farm, fishing, forestry occupations Thousands (Jobs) Construction, extraction occupations Thousands (Jobs) Installation, maintenance, repair occupations Thousands (Jobs) Production occupations Thousands (Jobs) Transportation, material moving occupations Thousands (Jobs) Year 1 -4.180593 -1.88331 -0.367584 -0.509407 -0.369776 -0.648892 -0.589514 -1.976626 -1.222261 -1.980229 -3.416613 -11.10941 -0.433188 -2.137985 -1.815453 -2.662775 -2.614013 Year 2 -3.085452 -1.378944 -0.268384 -0.360245 -0.268146 -0.469817 -0.426521 -1.389684 -0.883593 -1.456299 -2.44758 -8.109467 -0.311498 -2.043531 -1.374029 -1.930119 -1.904531 Year 3 -2.31372 -1.029167 -0.200993 -0.261575 -0.199247 -0.351491 -0.315894 -1.012218 -0.663688 -1.109139 -1.796156 -6.034706 -0.229392 -1.728435 -1.045505 -1.429429 -1.412784 Year 4 -1.642294 -0.728506 -0.143134 -0.179799 -0.140618 -0.252086 -0.222652 -0.700695 -0.476223 -0.815391 -1.250701 -4.263744 -0.160817 -1.310521 -0.748972 -1.007447 -0.994344 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Labor Force Thousands Total Migrants Thousands Economic Migrants Thousands Population (Last Year's) Thousands Population 5 Year Cohorts) Thousands College Population Thousands Year 1 -7.057693 -6.974286 -6.974287 0 -7.072052 0 Year 2 -9.786896 -3.320033 -3.320033 -7.072052 -10.63348 0 Year 3 -10.565 -1.600965 -1.600967 -10.63351 -12.54327 0 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 -10.21597 -9.447342 -7.931076 -6.498779 -5.18869 -4.160934 -3.320038 -2.617325 -2.123932 -0.433434 0.166684 1.012256 1.190491 1.259581 1.140815 1.041929 0.959644 0.801699 -0.433439 0.166676 1.012244 1.190475 1.259561 1.140792 1.041905 0.959618 0.801672 -12.5433 -13.31015 -13.47449 -12.76886 -11.84555 -10.80969 -9.849457 -8.947723 -8.089783 -13.31015 -13.47446 -12.76886 -11.84555 -10.80966 -9.849487 -8.947693 -8.089844 -7.354309 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Year 13 -1.775009 0.672577 0.67255 -7.354309 -6.716553 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Ages 0-4 Thousands Ages 5-9 Thousands Ages 10-14 Thousands Ages 15-19 Thousands Ages 20-24 Thousands Ages 25-29 Thousands Ages 30-34 Thousands Ages 35-39 Thousands Ages 40-44 Thousands Ages 45-49 Thousands Ages 50-54 Thousands Ages 55-59 Thousands Ages 60-64 Thousands Ages 65-69 Thousands Ages 70-74 Thousands Ages 75-79 Thousands Ages 80-84 Thousands Ages 85+ Thousands Year 1 -0.753132 -0.549444 -0.437815 -0.459151 -1.109062 -1.014441 -0.740986 -0.551968 -0.48292 -0.351446 -0.260826 -0.192797 -0.168056 0 0 0 0 0 Year 2 -1.185787 -0.835398 -0.667461 -0.623368 -1.536924 -1.546108 -1.146072 -0.843305 -0.727894 -0.543236 -0.400528 -0.292557 -0.258167 -0.026684 0 0 0 0 Year 3 -1.462523 -0.997604 -0.799963 -0.6774 -1.614759 -1.843948 -1.397051 -1.016949 -0.858402 -0.661798 -0.48423 -0.351864 -0.30822 -0.068569 0 0 0 0 Year 4 -1.621838 -1.071833 -0.865028 -0.683357 -1.442469 -1.972858 -1.541327 -1.111765 -0.907686 -0.729694 -0.529148 -0.385078 -0.32729 -0.120775 0 0 0 0 Year 13 -0.339865 -0.847973 -0.877594 -0.523008 -0.061152 0.535568 -0.555157 -1.066755 -0.790867 -0.513811 -0.485834 -0.384983 -0.262083 -0.212683 -0.271427 -0.058958 0 0 Year 5 -1.220783 -0.542703 -0.107547 -0.130825 -0.104514 -0.191973 -0.165888 -0.516157 -0.360828 -0.63605 -0.92024 -3.167088 -0.119596 -0.956938 -0.555202 -0.750607 -0.735723 Year 5 -1.713657 -1.094469 -0.894426 -0.688348 -1.155834 -1.981613 -1.623779 -1.168018 -0.916941 -0.76893 -0.554602 -0.405933 -0.327431 -0.18047 0 0 0 0 Page 18 Year 6 -0.550095 -0.242093 -0.049088 -0.053367 -0.047143 -0.093379 -0.074685 -0.217466 -0.174332 -0.345139 -0.395331 -1.443138 -0.052597 -0.473263 -0.255747 -0.338227 -0.330591 Year 6 -1.605192 -1.142254 -0.870455 -0.665163 -0.766866 -1.808947 -1.606245 -1.163132 -0.872963 -0.762112 -0.550644 -0.405582 -0.305164 -0.244137 0 0 0 0 Year 7 -0.272018 -0.120848 -0.025639 -0.024614 -0.024105 -0.054532 -0.038761 -0.108845 -0.098324 -0.227087 -0.192382 -0.744946 -0.026757 -0.172637 -0.122995 -0.174889 -0.16665 Year 7 -1.443762 -1.177704 -0.833931 -0.637293 -0.442004 -1.513428 -1.558655 -1.149689 -0.828362 -0.732304 -0.542931 -0.398981 -0.283575 -0.277645 -0.02528 0 0 0 Year 8 -0.073793 -0.034322 -0.008789 -0.005081 -0.007836 -0.026443 -0.013227 -0.035004 -0.043555 -0.141038 -0.050806 -0.252655 -0.008282 0.043343 -0.028425 -0.058211 -0.051044 Year 8 -1.24818 -1.201029 -0.790203 -0.608061 -0.194267 -1.130447 -1.48563 -1.133053 -0.788151 -0.686981 -0.533936 -0.389233 -0.265621 -0.290075 -0.064817 0 0 0 Year 9 -0.016001 -0.010517 -0.004203 -0.001919 -0.003402 -0.018898 -0.00644 -0.026452 -0.027201 -0.114612 -0.017807 -0.115646 -0.003426 0.148973 0.003007 -0.025395 -0.018008 Year 9 -1.04904 -1.218309 -0.748663 -0.58604 -0.049611 -0.700426 -1.404198 -1.126202 -0.76403 -0.63665 -0.529825 -0.381433 -0.25573 -0.285419 -0.113895 0 0 0 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 Year 13 0.034637 0.081665 0.062387 0.042431 0.011283 0.032351 0.023429 0.01481 0.000113 0.00434 0.002622 0.000979 0.001529 0.005043 0.001079 -0.002534 0.000641 0.004525 0.002851 0.00124 -0.011283 -0.003735 -0.00601 -0.00815 0.000038 0.006393 0.003839 0.00145 -0.015577 -0.003567 -0.021313 -0.037292 -0.012048 0.002545 -0.001516 -0.005646 -0.089578 -0.064993 -0.068274 -0.071486 0.013965 0.045235 0.025862 0.008026 0.007813 0.123947 0.07468 0.025513 0.001445 0.006266 0.004568 0.003075 0.213236 0.253984 0.246295 0.223078 0.027923 0.0492 0.041051 0.031171 0.005701 0.036162 0.026638 0.017753 0.011619 0.039566 0.028913 0.018314 Year 10 -0.850601 -1.228416 -0.703876 -0.566135 0.009209 -0.268103 -1.288439 -1.119335 -0.752541 -0.586948 -0.526619 -0.375668 -0.252239 -0.268284 -0.16972 0 0 0 Year 11 -0.662411 -1.122509 -0.753057 -0.545666 0.011778 0.114796 -1.117012 -1.102921 -0.750404 -0.543612 -0.520445 -0.37215 -0.252943 -0.244339 -0.228909 0 0 0 Year 12 -0.492397 -0.993317 -0.813997 -0.532223 -0.016542 0.379803 -0.866283 -1.087822 -0.764694 -0.520155 -0.506256 -0.375818 -0.256388 -0.225155 -0.26001 -0.02306 0 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Management, business, financial Thousands occupations(Jobs) Computer, math, architect, engineer occupations Thousands (Jobs) Life, physical, social science occupations Thousands (Jobs) Community, social service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Legal occupations Thousands (Jobs) Education, training, library occupations Thousands (Jobs) Arts, design, entertainment, sports, media occupations Thousands (Jobs) Healthcare occupations Thousands (Jobs) Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Food preparation, serving relatedThousands occupations(Jobs) Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands service occupations (Jobs) Sales, office, administrative occupations Thousands (Jobs) Farm, fishing, forestry occupations Thousands (Jobs) Construction, extraction occupations Thousands (Jobs) Installation, maintenance, repair occupations Thousands (Jobs) Production occupations Thousands (Jobs) Transportation, material moving occupations Thousands (Jobs) Year 14 0.023615 0.007021 -0.000499 -0.005734 -0.000207 -0.010055 -0.000667 -0.051437 -0.009455 -0.074203 -0.007689 -0.019814 0.001806 0.193139 0.021077 0.009902 0.00858 Year 15 0.007111 0.000385 -0.001747 -0.008387 -0.001423 -0.01162 -0.002431 -0.063082 -0.012673 -0.075986 -0.020723 -0.058537 0.000768 0.161744 0.011772 0.003316 0.000222 Year 16 -0.006702 -0.005053 -0.002759 -0.010509 -0.002402 -0.012832 -0.003834 -0.072418 -0.015222 -0.0767 -0.031078 -0.09 -0.000057 0.131704 0.003692 -0.002008 -0.006621 Year 17 -0.017693 -0.009326 -0.003536 -0.012092 -0.003147 -0.013682 -0.004883 -0.079361 -0.017053 -0.076208 -0.038782 -0.113937 -0.000695 0.104615 -0.002914 -0.006147 -0.011936 Year 18 -0.026131 -0.012578 -0.004109 -0.013213 -0.00369 -0.014227 -0.005627 -0.084257 -0.018253 -0.074741 -0.044226 -0.131218 -0.001175 0.081057 -0.008111 -0.009261 -0.015903 Year 19 -0.032331 -0.014952 -0.004509 -0.013964 -0.00406 -0.014531 -0.006122 -0.087549 -0.018926 -0.072545 -0.047832 -0.142849 -0.001528 0.061401 -0.012013 -0.011516 -0.018714 Year 20 -0.036781 -0.016646 -0.004776 -0.014443 -0.004299 -0.014634 -0.006424 -0.089676 -0.019192 -0.069796 -0.050041 -0.150192 -0.001777 0.045058 -0.014882 -0.013116 -0.02063 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Labor Force Thousands Total Migrants Thousands Economic Migrants Thousands Population (Last Year's) Thousands Population 5 Year Cohorts) Thousands College Population Thousands Year 14 -1.529282 0.5666 0.566573 -6.716553 -6.157654 0 Year 15 -1.352753 0.479717 0.47969 -6.157593 -5.662537 0 Year 16 -1.227631 0.409593 0.409566 -5.662567 -5.219147 0 Year 17 -1.168457 0.364497 0.36447 -5.219147 -4.806976 0 Year 18 -1.128464 0.329569 0.329542 -4.806946 -4.420593 0 Year 19 -1.096985 0.301817 0.301789 -4.420593 -4.057648 0 Year 20 -1.066849 0.27832 0.278292 -4.057648 -3.718628 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Ages 0-4 Thousands Ages 5-9 Thousands Ages 10-14 Thousands Ages 15-19 Thousands Ages 20-24 Thousands Ages 25-29 Thousands Ages 30-34 Thousands Ages 35-39 Thousands Ages 40-44 Thousands Ages 45-49 Thousands Ages 50-54 Thousands Ages 55-59 Thousands Ages 60-64 Thousands Ages 65-69 Thousands Ages 70-74 Thousands Ages 75-79 Thousands Ages 80-84 Thousands Ages 85+ Thousands Year 14 -0.20282 -0.698046 -0.934315 -0.514841 -0.111292 0.590183 -0.195606 -1.036209 -0.82593 -0.522799 -0.459917 -0.398594 -0.269417 -0.207844 -0.266951 -0.103218 0 0 Year 15 -0.081223 -0.548153 -0.983372 -0.502434 -0.160004 0.560337 0.166895 -0.970854 -0.860279 -0.544079 -0.434364 -0.412914 -0.278542 -0.20945 -0.250984 -0.153145 0 0 Year 16 0.023727 -0.407961 -0.916231 -0.583267 -0.203043 0.475655 0.480164 -0.849812 -0.884516 -0.574654 -0.41507 -0.424257 -0.28966 -0.215786 -0.228857 -0.205589 0 0 Year 17 0.112473 -0.276226 -0.817978 -0.669245 -0.239523 0.377872 0.689682 -0.639511 -0.901829 -0.615026 -0.41074 -0.424137 -0.304953 -0.223745 -0.211208 -0.23307 -0.019817 0 Year 18 0.183338 -0.153816 -0.69702 -0.752439 -0.269001 0.278694 0.80183 -0.360453 -0.906284 -0.661734 -0.419407 -0.414894 -0.323219 -0.23299 -0.199799 -0.242975 -0.050415 0 Year 19 0.23457 -0.040077 -0.565979 -0.824295 -0.290451 0.186426 0.822803 -0.025928 -0.895525 -0.712667 -0.439949 -0.397736 -0.343824 -0.243021 -0.195448 -0.238766 -0.087757 0 Year 20 0.264597 0.063805 -0.430458 -0.884872 -0.300701 0.105751 0.76754 0.317427 -0.845329 -0.759071 -0.469942 -0.378912 -0.363449 -0.254076 -0.197041 -0.224535 -0.129362 0 Page 19 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units State Revenues at State AverageBillions Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars State Expenditures at State Average Rates Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 Year 13 -0.135246 -0.112183 -0.095489 -0.079015 -0.068256 -0.047513 -0.037876 -0.029979 -0.026328 -0.022654 -0.019128 -0.018038 -0.017193 0.012081 0.00285 -0.003017 -0.007321 -0.009787 -0.012567 -0.013054 -0.012949 -0.012115 -0.011258 -0.010435 -0.009401 -0.00849 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Intergovernmental Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars General Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Selective Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars License Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Individual Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Corporate Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Current Charges Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 1 -0.009135 -0.047985 -0.015045 -0.00416 0 -0.007499 -0.005453 -0.00999 -0.009763 -0.000031 0 -0.026186 Year 2 -0.013632 -0.037054 -0.011618 -0.003212 0 -0.005461 -0.004369 -0.008005 -0.007823 -0.000025 0 -0.020984 Year 3 -0.015896 -0.0298 -0.009343 -0.002583 0 -0.004115 -0.003579 -0.006557 -0.006408 -0.00002 0 -0.017187 Year 4 -0.016664 -0.023355 -0.007322 -0.002025 0 -0.002963 -0.00283 -0.005184 -0.005067 -0.000016 0 -0.013589 Year 5 -0.016653 -0.019516 -0.006119 -0.001692 0 -0.00227 -0.002334 -0.004275 -0.004178 -0.000013 0 -0.011207 Year 6 -0.015575 -0.012386 -0.003883 -0.001074 0 -0.001063 -0.001435 -0.002629 -0.002569 -0.000008 0 -0.006891 Year 7 -0.014242 -0.009549 -0.002994 -0.000828 0 -0.000592 -0.001025 -0.001879 -0.001836 -0.000006 0 -0.004925 Year 8 -0.012806 -0.007346 -0.002303 -0.000637 0 -0.000242 -0.000705 -0.001291 -0.001262 -0.000004 0 -0.003384 Year 9 -0.011764 -0.006421 -0.002013 -0.000557 0 -0.000151 -0.000575 -0.001053 -0.001029 -0.000003 0 -0.002761 Year 10 -0.010721 -0.005407 -0.001695 -0.000469 0 -0.000058 -0.000456 -0.000836 -0.000817 -0.000003 0 -0.002192 Year 11 -0.009723 -0.004384 -0.001374 -0.00038 0 0.000039 -0.000351 -0.000642 -0.000628 -0.000002 0 -0.001684 Year 12 -0.008859 -0.004174 -0.001309 -0.000362 0 -0.000001 -0.000353 -0.000648 -0.000633 -0.000002 0 -0.001697 Year 13 -0.00811 -0.003992 -0.001252 -0.000346 0 -0.000038 -0.000366 -0.000671 -0.000656 -0.000002 0 -0.001759 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Education Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Public Welfare Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Hospitals Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Health Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Highways Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Police Protection Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Correction Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Natural Resources Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Parks and Recreation Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Government Administration Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Interest on General Debt Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other and Unallocable Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 1 -0.001737 0.011232 -0.000058 -0.000264 -0.000536 -0.000035 -0.000203 -0.000155 -0.000015 -0.000225 -0.000106 -0.000469 -0.000007 0 0.004658 Year 2 -0.002566 0.005993 -0.000086 -0.00039 -0.000792 -0.000052 -0.0003 -0.000229 -0.000022 -0.000332 -0.000156 -0.000694 -0.00001 0 0.002485 Year 3 -0.003079 0.00264 -0.000104 -0.000468 -0.00095 -0.000062 -0.00036 -0.000274 -0.000026 -0.000399 -0.000187 -0.000832 -0.000012 0 0.001095 Year 4 -0.003321 -0.000026 -0.000112 -0.000505 -0.001025 -0.000067 -0.000388 -0.000296 -0.000028 -0.00043 -0.000202 -0.000898 -0.000013 0 -0.000011 Year 5 -0.003415 -0.001624 -0.000115 -0.000519 -0.001054 -0.000069 -0.000399 -0.000304 -0.000029 -0.000442 -0.000208 -0.000923 -0.000013 0 -0.000673 Year 6 -0.003286 -0.003789 -0.000111 -0.000499 -0.001014 -0.000066 -0.000384 -0.000293 -0.000028 -0.000425 -0.0002 -0.000888 -0.000012 0 -0.001571 Year 7 -0.003092 -0.004434 -0.000104 -0.00047 -0.000954 -0.000062 -0.000362 -0.000275 -0.000026 -0.0004 -0.000188 -0.000836 -0.000012 0 -0.001839 Year 8 -0.002861 -0.004718 -0.000096 -0.000435 -0.000883 -0.000058 -0.000334 -0.000255 -0.000024 -0.00037 -0.000174 -0.000773 -0.000011 0 -0.001956 Year 9 -0.002629 -0.004489 -0.000088 -0.000399 -0.000811 -0.000053 -0.000307 -0.000234 -0.000022 -0.00034 -0.00016 -0.00071 -0.00001 0 -0.001861 Year 10 -0.002396 -0.004244 -0.000081 -0.000364 -0.000739 -0.000048 -0.00028 -0.000213 -0.00002 -0.00031 -0.000146 -0.000648 -0.000009 0 -0.00176 Year 11 -0.002173 -0.004008 -0.000073 -0.00033 -0.00067 -0.000044 -0.000254 -0.000194 -0.000018 -0.000281 -0.000132 -0.000587 -0.000008 0 -0.001662 Year 12 -0.00198 -0.003576 -0.000067 -0.000301 -0.000611 -0.00004 -0.000231 -0.000176 -0.000017 -0.000256 -0.00012 -0.000535 -0.000007 0 -0.001483 Year 13 -0.001813 -0.003191 -0.000061 -0.000276 -0.000559 -0.000037 -0.000212 -0.000161 -0.000015 -0.000235 -0.00011 -0.00049 -0.000007 0 -0.001323 Page 20 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units State Revenues at State AverageBillions Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars State Expenditures at State Average Rates Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 14 Year 15 Year 16 Year 17 Year 18 Year 19 Year 20 -0.016528 -0.015955 -0.015448 -0.014958 -0.014469 -0.013975 -0.013505 -0.007684 -0.00697 -0.006341 -0.005774 -0.005256 -0.004781 -0.004346 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Intergovernmental Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars General Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Selective Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars License Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Individual Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Corporate Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Current Charges Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 14 -0.007451 -0.003837 -0.001203 -0.000333 0 -0.00007 -0.000385 -0.000706 -0.00069 -0.000002 0 -0.001851 Year 15 -0.006865 -0.003691 -0.001157 -0.00032 0 -0.000097 -0.000406 -0.000743 -0.000726 -0.000002 0 -0.001948 Year 16 -0.006341 -0.003551 -0.001113 -0.000308 0 -0.000118 -0.000426 -0.00078 -0.000763 -0.000002 0 -0.002045 Year 17 -0.005857 -0.003414 -0.001071 -0.000296 0 -0.000133 -0.000444 -0.000813 -0.000795 -0.000002 0 -0.002132 Year 18 -0.005402 -0.003278 -0.001028 -0.000284 0 -0.000143 -0.00046 -0.000842 -0.000823 -0.000003 0 -0.002207 Year 19 -0.004975 -0.003139 -0.000984 -0.000272 0 -0.00015 -0.000472 -0.000865 -0.000846 -0.000003 0 -0.002269 Year 20 -0.004575 -0.003008 -0.000943 -0.000261 0 -0.000153 -0.000484 -0.000887 -0.000867 -0.000003 0 -0.002324 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Education Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Public Welfare Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Hospitals Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Health Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Highways Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Police Protection Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Correction Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Natural Resources Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Parks and Recreation Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Government Administration Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Interest on General Debt Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other and Unallocable Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 14 -0.001666 -0.002849 -0.000056 -0.000253 -0.000514 -0.000034 -0.000195 -0.000148 -0.000014 -0.000216 -0.000101 -0.00045 -0.000006 0 -0.001181 Year 15 -0.001535 -0.002547 -0.000052 -0.000233 -0.000474 -0.000031 -0.000179 -0.000137 -0.000013 -0.000199 -0.000093 -0.000415 -0.000006 0 -0.001056 Year 16 -0.001418 -0.002284 -0.000048 -0.000215 -0.000437 -0.000029 -0.000166 -0.000126 -0.000012 -0.000184 -0.000086 -0.000383 -0.000005 0 -0.000947 Year 17 -0.00131 -0.002051 -0.000044 -0.000199 -0.000404 -0.000026 -0.000153 -0.000117 -0.000011 -0.00017 -0.00008 -0.000354 -0.000005 0 -0.000851 Year 18 -0.001208 -0.001842 -0.000041 -0.000184 -0.000373 -0.000024 -0.000141 -0.000108 -0.00001 -0.000156 -0.000074 -0.000327 -0.000005 0 -0.000764 Year 19 -0.001113 -0.001654 -0.000037 -0.000169 -0.000343 -0.000022 -0.00013 -0.000099 -0.000009 -0.000144 -0.000068 -0.000301 -0.000004 0 -0.000686 Year 20 -0.001023 -0.001485 -0.000034 -0.000156 -0.000316 -0.000021 -0.00012 -0.000091 -0.000009 -0.000132 -0.000062 -0.000277 -0.000004 0 -0.000616 Page 21 Negative Economic Impact: Employment Losses Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Total Employment Thousands (Jobs) Employment by Occupation Thousands (Jobs) Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Self Supply Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total Exports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total Imports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Output Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Value-Added Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars Personal Income Billions of Current Dollars Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars PCE-Price Index 2005=100 (Nation) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Personal Consumption Expenditures Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total National Deflator 2005=1 (Nation) Year 1 -29.15784 -29.15785 -26.16703 -1.027287 -1.310905 0.000797 -0.723892 -0.58781 -1.26204 -0.227187 -0.334336 -0.700517 -2.484746 -1.470227 -0.746716 -1.686538 -1.357236 -0.511513 -1.615489 -0.983957 0 Year 2 -22.08584 -22.08585 -19.83554 -0.857213 -0.948756 0.002477 -0.517485 -0.433748 -1.097855 -0.203599 -0.294628 -0.599627 -1.918783 -1.133432 -0.629628 -1.485737 -1.111971 -0.972046 -1.24282 -0.810865 0 Year 3 -16.93082 -16.9308 -15.14511 -0.714656 -0.705018 0.004023 -0.379717 -0.329324 -0.95474 -0.180296 -0.259186 -0.515258 -1.507175 -0.890724 -0.533276 -1.30841 -0.922482 -1.01683 -0.977607 -0.691897 0 Year 4 -12.3336 -12.3336 -10.96497 -0.568078 -0.497087 0.005269 -0.263939 -0.238418 -0.798112 -0.154749 -0.219428 -0.423936 -1.130681 -0.669475 -0.428452 -1.1108 -0.750997 -0.949257 -0.736133 -0.574788 0 Year 5 -9.367172 -9.367142 -8.266823 -0.464474 -0.370758 0.00614 -0.194256 -0.182643 -0.690111 -0.137671 -0.190923 -0.361516 -0.887534 -0.527081 -0.351002 -0.966118 -0.635071 -0.823662 -0.580731 -0.499364 0 Year 6 -4.720428 -4.720428 -4.065323 -0.288454 -0.155128 0.006558 -0.075932 -0.085754 -0.480623 -0.100876 -0.139853 -0.239895 -0.470713 -0.281395 -0.207386 -0.664133 -0.41918 -0.635704 -0.313376 -0.348899 0 Year 7 -2.692291 -2.692307 -2.238953 -0.198235 -0.070043 0.006534 -0.030149 -0.046427 -0.377495 -0.082367 -0.113068 -0.18206 -0.285172 -0.172269 -0.129401 -0.502684 -0.317508 -0.432617 -0.194435 -0.282475 0 Year 8 -1.240067 -1.240082 -0.939255 -0.128628 -0.007871 0.006195 0.00306 -0.017126 -0.295341 -0.06674 -0.092342 -0.13626 -0.14529 -0.089746 -0.065291 -0.368494 -0.236814 -0.266876 -0.104478 -0.230606 0 Year 9 -0.768723 -0.768723 -0.527374 -0.096996 0.007508 0.00553 0.010629 -0.008651 -0.253128 -0.056927 -0.08013 -0.116071 -0.095524 -0.060602 -0.033747 -0.303627 -0.203253 -0.138977 -0.072504 -0.211625 0 Year 10 -0.382675 -0.38266 -0.194687 -0.071061 0.022392 0.004754 0.018103 -0.000465 -0.21349 -0.047392 -0.069201 -0.096897 -0.051757 -0.034699 -0.007378 -0.246532 -0.172583 -0.045609 -0.044 -0.191194 0 Year 11 -0.048187 -0.048218 0.091095 -0.049343 0.037448 0.003975 0.025838 0.007635 -0.177378 -0.038502 -0.059806 -0.079071 -0.011894 -0.011214 0.015147 -0.196732 -0.145723 0.026123 -0.018129 -0.17207 0 Year 12 -0.163101 -0.163086 -0.02655 -0.048077 0.028715 0.003231 0.020652 0.004831 -0.167286 -0.034513 -0.056204 -0.076569 -0.019361 -0.01592 0.017593 -0.191139 -0.14418 0.07283 -0.022719 -0.171016 0 Year 13 -0.300613 -0.300629 -0.162994 -0.05051 0.020719 0.002563 0.016078 0.002079 -0.161654 -0.031559 -0.054226 -0.07587 -0.029791 -0.022372 0.01574 -0.195368 -0.145977 0.09729 -0.029251 -0.171622 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities, and Other Thousands (Jobs) Mining Thousands (Jobs) Utilities Thousands (Jobs) Construction Thousands (Jobs) Manufacturing Thousands (Jobs) Wholesale Trade Thousands (Jobs) Retail Trade Thousands (Jobs) Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs) Information Thousands (Jobs) Finance and Insurance Thousands (Jobs) Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Thousands (Jobs) Professional and Technical Services Thousands (Jobs) Management of Companies and Enterprises Thousands (Jobs) Administrative and Waste Services Thousands (Jobs) Educational Services Thousands (Jobs) Health Care and Social Assistance Thousands (Jobs) Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Thousands (Jobs) Accommodation and Food Services Thousands (Jobs) Other Services, except Public Administration Thousands (Jobs) State and Local Government Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Civilian Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Military Employment Thousands (Jobs) Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Year 1 -0.263724 -0.069759 -0.213358 -2.405595 -1.227737 -0.569942 -3.445797 -0.847502 -0.325724 -1.830383 -1.699509 -2.065278 -0.138056 -2.560353 -0.716686 -2.888477 -0.816006 -1.719525 -2.363625 -2.990812 0 0 0 Year 2 -0.189567 -0.051333 -0.156182 -2.52071 -0.887898 -0.422147 -2.578911 -0.609633 -0.235353 -1.320042 -1.251053 -1.504047 -0.097712 -1.828691 -0.525541 -2.051434 -0.589962 -1.311898 -1.703428 -2.250297 0 0 0 Year 3 -0.139267 -0.03852 -0.118335 -2.215325 -0.657133 -0.320525 -1.964554 -0.447433 -0.174632 -0.972482 -0.942099 -1.114273 -0.07004 -1.328871 -0.398315 -1.509708 -0.439301 -1.043622 -1.25067 -1.785711 0 0 0 Year 4 -0.097243 -0.027485 -0.086616 -1.727367 -0.463884 -0.23536 -1.440226 -0.31209 -0.123915 -0.680951 -0.675241 -0.78124 -0.04717 -0.912913 -0.291624 -1.063875 -0.314167 -0.813242 -0.870358 -1.368629 0 0 0 Year 5 -0.072033 -0.020616 -0.067298 -1.278944 -0.347295 -0.183307 -1.11462 -0.230567 -0.093483 -0.504382 -0.506494 -0.575609 -0.033569 -0.661557 -0.227182 -0.801193 -0.23908 -0.671235 -0.638354 -1.100327 0 0 0 Year 6 -0.031028 -0.009586 -0.036269 -0.679652 -0.15781 -0.10009 -0.600252 -0.098831 -0.043803 -0.218081 -0.244084 -0.248531 -0.012062 -0.268353 -0.119932 -0.372395 -0.117155 -0.431423 -0.275989 -0.655088 0 0 0 Year 7 -0.015281 -0.005058 -0.023465 -0.273068 -0.083559 -0.065904 -0.389524 -0.047924 -0.024372 -0.106377 -0.133186 -0.117864 -0.004257 -0.117745 -0.076688 -0.219931 -0.069135 -0.328554 -0.137056 -0.453346 0 0 0 Year 8 -0.004019 -0.001871 -0.014123 0.023849 -0.030131 -0.040904 -0.239584 -0.011653 -0.01017 -0.026582 -0.053885 -0.026628 0.001018 -0.014491 -0.04475 -0.118601 -0.034464 -0.249778 -0.042487 -0.300829 0 0 0 Year 9 -0.001083 -0.000853 -0.010813 0.181958 -0.015209 -0.03187 -0.194942 -0.002347 -0.006121 -0.006084 -0.029506 -0.003937 0.001821 0.008155 -0.034802 -0.113029 -0.024391 -0.22099 -0.023344 -0.241327 0 0 0 Year 10 0.001726 0.000119 -0.007832 0.277264 -0.000729 -0.023323 -0.154789 0.00686 -0.002088 0.013921 -0.009336 0.015934 0.002781 0.028676 -0.025025 -0.104534 -0.01453 -0.194567 -0.005213 -0.187994 0 0 0 Year 11 0.004628 0.001066 -0.005049 0.335133 0.013852 -0.015287 -0.117456 0.016004 0.001787 0.033897 0.008038 0.034467 0.003711 0.048461 -0.015371 -0.094711 -0.004745 -0.16893 0.011603 -0.139309 0 0 0 Year 12 0.003482 0.000905 -0.005175 0.332308 0.010026 -0.015081 -0.127323 0.012401 0.000871 0.02588 0.000454 0.021274 0.002653 0.031344 -0.016344 -0.126177 -0.006752 -0.165983 -0.00532 -0.136541 0 0 0 Year 13 0.002463 0.000737 -0.005359 0.304411 0.006659 -0.015148 -0.137583 0.009231 0.000049 0.018692 -0.007883 0.008647 0.001762 0.01579 -0.017334 -0.154551 -0.00862 -0.163809 -0.02116 -0.137617 0 0 0 Page 22 Negative Economic Impact: Employment Losses Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Total Employment Thousands (Jobs) Employment by Occupation Thousands (Jobs) Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Self Supply Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total Exports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total Imports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Output Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Value-Added Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars Personal Income Billions of Current Dollars Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars PCE-Price Index 2005=100 (Nation) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Personal Consumption Expenditures Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total National Deflator 2005=1 (Nation) Year 14 -0.441391 -0.441391 -0.300812 -0.055029 0.013705 0.001985 0.012187 -0.000467 -0.159029 -0.029426 -0.053322 -0.07628 -0.041323 -0.029463 0.011014 -0.206451 -0.150108 0.108398 -0.036516 -0.173376 0 Year 15 -0.569504 -0.569504 -0.425797 -0.060178 0.007808 0.0015 0.00898 -0.002671 -0.157812 -0.02784 -0.052948 -0.077024 -0.05237 -0.036218 0.004678 -0.22131 -0.154984 0.110611 -0.043454 -0.1751 0 Year 16 -0.678787 -0.678772 -0.532516 -0.065248 0.00303 0.001105 0.006418 -0.004492 -0.157291 -0.026654 -0.052862 -0.077774 -0.062218 -0.042212 -0.002458 -0.238903 -0.160326 0.106918 -0.049606 -0.176418 0 Year 17 -0.764694 -0.764709 -0.617126 -0.06961 -0.000698 0.000791 0.004421 -0.005909 -0.1567 -0.025747 -0.052782 -0.078171 -0.070307 -0.047101 -0.009643 -0.257412 -0.165432 0.100433 -0.054593 -0.176733 0 Year 18 -0.828171 -0.828171 -0.680588 -0.073073 -0.00351 0.000548 0.002903 -0.00696 -0.155762 -0.025101 -0.052542 -0.078118 -0.076582 -0.050866 -0.016531 -0.275997 -0.170126 0.092682 -0.058389 -0.176052 0 Year 19 -0.871231 -0.871231 -0.724869 -0.075568 -0.005555 0.000362 0.001779 -0.007696 -0.154343 -0.024597 -0.052123 -0.077622 -0.081123 -0.053566 -0.022935 -0.294361 -0.174295 0.084671 -0.06106 -0.174629 0 Year 20 -0.897995 -0.89801 -0.75386 -0.077278 -0.006997 0.000225 0.000971 -0.008193 -0.152678 -0.024201 -0.051646 -0.076831 -0.084276 -0.055419 -0.02883 -0.313004 -0.178335 0.077164 -0.062836 -0.172628 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities, and Other Thousands (Jobs) Mining Thousands (Jobs) Utilities Thousands (Jobs) Construction Thousands (Jobs) Manufacturing Thousands (Jobs) Wholesale Trade Thousands (Jobs) Retail Trade Thousands (Jobs) Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs) Information Thousands (Jobs) Finance and Insurance Thousands (Jobs) Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Thousands (Jobs) Professional and Technical Services Thousands (Jobs) Management of Companies and Enterprises Thousands (Jobs) Administrative and Waste Services Thousands (Jobs) Educational Services Thousands (Jobs) Health Care and Social Assistance Thousands (Jobs) Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Thousands (Jobs) Accommodation and Food Services Thousands (Jobs) Other Services, except Public Administration Thousands (Jobs) State and Local Government Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Civilian Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Military Employment Thousands (Jobs) Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Year 14 0.001586 0.000573 -0.005568 0.264297 0.003794 -0.015348 -0.147293 0.006545 -0.000655 0.012464 -0.016101 -0.002697 0.001035 0.002273 -0.018236 -0.179773 -0.010276 -0.16199 -0.035433 -0.140589 0 0 0 Year 15 0.000855 0.000422 -0.005752 0.220125 0.001446 -0.01553 -0.155172 0.004327 -0.00122 0.007265 -0.023385 -0.012321 0.000462 -0.008876 -0.018954 -0.200621 -0.011611 -0.159832 -0.047419 -0.143709 0 0 0 Year 16 0.000264 0.00029 -0.005862 0.176437 -0.000417 -0.01564 -0.16091 0.002557 -0.001653 0.003064 -0.029345 -0.020138 0.000025 -0.017703 -0.019454 -0.217331 -0.012595 -0.157098 -0.05701 -0.146267 0 0 0 Year 17 -0.000199 0.000167 -0.00587 0.136063 -0.001857 -0.015625 -0.164209 0.001173 -0.001965 -0.000239 -0.033666 -0.026183 -0.000296 -0.024309 -0.019722 -0.22962 -0.013194 -0.153515 -0.064061 -0.147579 0 0 0 Year 18 -0.000553 0.000068 -0.005822 0.100327 -0.002929 -0.015481 -0.165344 0.000121 -0.002168 -0.002766 -0.036483 -0.030631 -0.000523 -0.029012 -0.019806 -0.238047 -0.013453 -0.149234 -0.068847 -0.147591 0 0 0 Year 19 -0.000816 -0.00001 -0.005711 0.070406 -0.003696 -0.015225 -0.16474 -0.000664 -0.002292 -0.004657 -0.037972 -0.033705 -0.000674 -0.032139 -0.019758 -0.243437 -0.013453 -0.144512 -0.071809 -0.146379 0 0 0 Year 20 -0.001005 -0.00007 -0.00556 0.045309 -0.004239 -0.014893 -0.162827 -0.001232 -0.002361 -0.006057 -0.038417 -0.035712 -0.000768 -0.034034 -0.019558 -0.246422 -0.013233 -0.139411 -0.073371 -0.144138 0 0 0 Page 23 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Management, business, financial Thousands occupations(Jobs) Computer, math, architect, engineer occupations Thousands (Jobs) Life, physical, social science occupations Thousands (Jobs) Community, social service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Legal occupations Thousands (Jobs) Education, training, library occupations Thousands (Jobs) Arts, design, entertainment, sports, media occupations Thousands (Jobs) Healthcare occupations Thousands (Jobs) Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Food preparation, serving relatedThousands occupations(Jobs) Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands service occupations (Jobs) Sales, office, administrative occupations Thousands (Jobs) Farm, fishing, forestry occupations Thousands (Jobs) Construction, extraction occupations Thousands (Jobs) Installation, maintenance, repair occupations Thousands (Jobs) Production occupations Thousands (Jobs) Transportation, material moving occupations Thousands (Jobs) Year 1 -2.89056 -1.199817 -0.26334 -0.501681 -0.275505 -0.704672 -0.400141 -2.045491 -1.102232 -1.865177 -2.398427 -8.683056 -0.166692 -1.993652 -1.419595 -1.343068 -1.904746 Year 2 -2.172865 -0.886541 -0.194052 -0.36009 -0.201745 -0.515045 -0.29163 -1.471593 -0.819323 -1.406455 -1.742137 -6.44812 -0.120509 -1.959474 -1.100331 -0.985508 -1.410429 Year 3 -1.657099 -0.667919 -0.147266 -0.264946 -0.152092 -0.389326 -0.21759 -1.096003 -0.63617 -1.10246 -1.296867 -4.876125 -0.089173 -1.686226 -0.853563 -0.736822 -1.061165 Year 4 -1.199499 -0.478144 -0.106786 -0.185534 -0.109466 -0.283331 -0.154922 -0.782189 -0.475488 -0.843014 -0.920917 -3.518593 -0.062845 -1.303228 -0.625385 -0.524475 -0.759781 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Labor Force Thousands Total Migrants Thousands Economic Migrants Thousands Population (Last Year's) Thousands Population 5 Year Cohorts) Thousands College Population Thousands Year 1 -11.03185 -12.41489 -12.41489 0 -12.56342 0 Year 2 -15.95804 -7.160233 -7.160233 -12.56342 -20.10504 0 Year 3 -17.89632 -4.261638 -4.261642 -20.10504 -24.88202 0 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 Year 13 -17.95718 -17.1953 -15.10123 -12.96602 -10.89383 -9.186249 -7.731415 -6.470673 -5.532166 -4.825989 -2.043719 -0.716997 1.135935 1.775272 2.160095 2.12325 2.065729 1.996262 1.742754 1.509624 -2.043729 -0.717016 1.135906 1.775234 2.160048 2.123195 2.065668 1.996199 1.742687 1.509555 -24.8819 -27.51013 -28.8346 -28.28839 -27.05402 -25.37268 -23.66071 -21.9386 -20.21808 -18.68536 -27.51007 -28.8346 -28.28839 -27.05402 -25.37268 -23.66071 -21.93854 -20.21808 -18.68536 -17.32501 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Ages 0-4 Thousands Ages 5-9 Thousands Ages 10-14 Thousands Ages 15-19 Thousands Ages 20-24 Thousands Ages 25-29 Thousands Ages 30-34 Thousands Ages 35-39 Thousands Ages 40-44 Thousands Ages 45-49 Thousands Ages 50-54 Thousands Ages 55-59 Thousands Ages 60-64 Thousands Ages 65-69 Thousands Ages 70-74 Thousands Ages 75-79 Thousands Ages 80-84 Thousands Ages 85+ Thousands Year 1 -1.318399 -0.978071 -0.779358 -0.817247 -1.973995 -1.80555 -1.318783 -0.9823 -0.859325 -0.625252 -0.463882 -0.342703 -0.298538 0 0 0 0 0 Year 2 -2.165995 -1.585617 -1.266657 -1.191744 -2.933889 -2.933189 -2.172089 -1.599213 -1.381203 -1.028778 -0.758335 -0.553673 -0.487474 -0.047176 0 0 0 0 Year 3 -2.746864 -1.989975 -1.594994 -1.37101 -3.278379 -3.676582 -2.777363 -2.024277 -1.712955 -1.314133 -0.961544 -0.698122 -0.610229 -0.125551 0 0 0 0 Year 4 -3.108002 -2.231663 -1.79895 -1.44972 -3.130091 -4.10743 -3.188908 -2.304436 -1.892925 -1.507313 -1.093567 -0.794193 -0.675667 -0.227249 0 0 0 0 Year 5 -0.906113 -0.359391 -0.081628 -0.137638 -0.082965 -0.219021 -0.116576 -0.594503 -0.374086 -0.683774 -0.691253 -2.666878 -0.046944 -0.969835 -0.472672 -0.393244 -0.570626 Year 5 -3.330299 -2.36528 -1.927319 -1.510597 -2.70829 -4.292999 -3.473766 -2.502403 -1.985462 -1.641441 -1.184319 -0.863541 -0.701761 -0.347092 0 0 0 0 Page 24 Year 6 -0.442246 -0.168916 -0.040508 -0.06154 -0.040788 -0.112952 -0.055153 -0.28652 -0.208 -0.418406 -0.325264 -1.327396 -0.021109 -0.514013 -0.237982 -0.184597 -0.275031 Year 6 -3.194107 -2.495667 -1.942234 -1.505358 -2.025082 -4.104008 -3.551956 -2.570618 -1.960789 -1.680061 -1.21249 -0.888062 -0.679497 -0.478416 0 0 0 0 Year 7 -0.241862 -0.090091 -0.023573 -0.032988 -0.023385 -0.070616 -0.030669 -0.172126 -0.136132 -0.307192 -0.181225 -0.769543 -0.011029 -0.221114 -0.129249 -0.099823 -0.151684 Year 7 -2.959732 -2.562027 -1.916874 -1.480482 -1.393703 -3.638668 -3.54641 -2.603714 -1.914719 -1.663845 -1.224274 -0.894806 -0.650146 -0.560951 -0.043688 0 0 0 Year 8 -0.097881 -0.033772 -0.011353 -0.013622 -0.010978 -0.039935 -0.013273 -0.093944 -0.082996 -0.22371 -0.08032 -0.372757 -0.003797 -0.007487 -0.05086 -0.039436 -0.063961 Year 8 -2.654175 -2.578743 -1.863754 -1.443724 -0.865526 -2.955521 -3.469151 -2.61557 -1.8619 -1.606236 -1.226299 -0.890152 -0.62151 -0.604412 -0.116026 0 0 0 Year 9 -0.05172 -0.01736 -0.007779 -0.01047 -0.007293 -0.031374 -0.008566 -0.083616 -0.064445 -0.195475 -0.055904 -0.253952 -0.001823 0.102208 -0.022216 -0.021886 -0.037042 Year 9 -2.331745 -2.569256 -1.804268 -1.414314 -0.512676 -2.133404 -3.356564 -2.635262 -1.829762 -1.528728 -1.23243 -0.885071 -0.604237 -0.613441 -0.20953 0 0 0 Year 10 -0.013164 -0.002973 -0.004537 -0.007293 -0.004023 -0.023015 -0.004187 -0.07241 -0.047755 -0.16938 -0.033256 -0.150887 0.000043 0.170156 -0.000175 -0.006099 -0.013718 Year 10 -1.999794 -2.539276 -1.731308 -1.384819 -0.320934 -1.258072 -3.166023 -2.648991 -1.816315 -1.44318 -1.237423 -0.880882 -0.597267 -0.595085 -0.319183 0 0 0 Year 11 0.020795 0.010264 -0.001492 -0.004219 -0.001004 -0.014845 -0.000034 -0.06093 -0.032372 -0.14409 -0.011787 -0.05759 0.001929 0.213187 0.017756 0.008813 0.007405 Year 11 -1.675442 -2.324009 -1.796272 -1.351418 -0.247391 -0.434082 -2.857948 -2.641064 -1.818417 -1.362244 -1.235168 -0.878941 -0.597874 -0.559093 -0.438698 0 0 0 Year 12 0.009208 0.004719 -0.002576 -0.008334 -0.002066 -0.017154 -0.001793 -0.079622 -0.033749 -0.143984 -0.02531 -0.091171 0.001268 0.210317 0.012856 0.0037 0.000595 Year 12 -1.37421 -2.088829 -1.86068 -1.329582 -0.252426 0.195877 -2.387932 -2.631889 -1.851532 -1.313671 -1.217567 -0.889359 -0.604557 -0.526348 -0.513741 -0.038933 0 0 Year 13 -0.004266 -0.001004 -0.0037 -0.012126 -0.003179 -0.019414 -0.003495 -0.096832 -0.035958 -0.144396 -0.038215 -0.127155 0.000661 0.190885 0.005761 -0.001416 -0.006774 Year 13 -1.096588 -1.837593 -1.920448 -1.315674 -0.307243 0.623558 -1.781948 -2.60994 -1.909813 -1.29673 -1.186783 -0.910492 -0.616493 -0.502617 -0.553089 -0.103123 0 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Management, business, financial Thousands occupations(Jobs) Computer, math, architect, engineer occupations Thousands (Jobs) Life, physical, social science occupations Thousands (Jobs) Community, social service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Legal occupations Thousands (Jobs) Education, training, library occupations Thousands (Jobs) Arts, design, entertainment, sports, media occupations Thousands (Jobs) Healthcare occupations Thousands (Jobs) Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Food preparation, serving relatedThousands occupations(Jobs) Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands service occupations (Jobs) Sales, office, administrative occupations Thousands (Jobs) Farm, fishing, forestry occupations Thousands (Jobs) Construction, extraction occupations Thousands (Jobs) Installation, maintenance, repair occupations Thousands (Jobs) Production occupations Thousands (Jobs) Transportation, material moving occupations Thousands (Jobs) Year 14 -0.01785 -0.0064 -0.004763 -0.015524 -0.00423 -0.021492 -0.005044 -0.112324 -0.038433 -0.144897 -0.049935 -0.161938 0.000127 0.16347 -0.002097 -0.006165 -0.013898 Year 15 -0.030195 -0.011106 -0.00568 -0.018357 -0.005135 -0.023216 -0.006348 -0.125223 -0.040658 -0.144788 -0.059766 -0.192211 -0.000321 0.133556 -0.009644 -0.010251 -0.020166 Year 16 -0.040754 -0.015003 -0.006428 -0.020625 -0.005867 -0.024552 -0.007385 -0.135595 -0.042449 -0.143855 -0.067586 -0.216869 -0.000682 0.104176 -0.016362 -0.013592 -0.025352 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Labor Force Thousands Total Migrants Thousands Economic Migrants Thousands Population (Last Year's) Thousands Population 5 Year Cohorts) Thousands College Population Thousands Year 14 -4.293671 1.299718 1.299647 -17.32501 -16.11951 0 Year 15 -3.892029 1.118252 1.11818 -16.11951 -15.04675 0 Year 16 Year 17 Year 18 Year 19 Year 20 -3.58493 -3.383942 -3.223236 -3.090149 -2.969543 0.962879 0.847013 0.751245 0.673508 0.608292 0.962809 0.84694 0.750939 0.672823 0.607127 -15.04675 -14.08832 -13.21246 -12.40747 -11.66339 -14.08832 -13.2124 -12.40747 -11.66339 -10.97559 0 0 0 0 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Ages 0-4 Thousands Ages 5-9 Thousands Ages 10-14 Thousands Ages 15-19 Thousands Ages 20-24 Thousands Ages 25-29 Thousands Ages 30-34 Thousands Ages 35-39 Thousands Ages 40-44 Thousands Ages 45-49 Thousands Ages 50-54 Thousands Ages 55-59 Thousands Ages 60-64 Thousands Ages 65-69 Thousands Ages 70-74 Thousands Ages 75-79 Thousands Ages 80-84 Thousands Ages 85+ Thousands Year 14 -0.840225 -1.584721 -1.966358 -1.304573 -0.388863 0.848412 -1.059387 -2.568703 -1.988762 -1.310661 -1.143864 -0.941124 -0.632607 -0.491383 -0.561081 -0.185577 0 0 Year 15 -0.605885 -1.33392 -2.001244 -1.286457 -0.479984 0.891525 -0.301163 -2.46225 -2.071323 -1.351341 -1.098904 -0.974915 -0.653011 -0.49197 -0.544353 -0.281536 0 0 Year 16 -0.396687 -1.099346 -1.858276 -1.411118 -0.569023 0.801743 0.392056 -2.248604 -2.139351 -1.41404 -1.063148 -1.005013 -0.678066 -0.502289 -0.511871 -0.385248 0 0 Year 17 -0.049173 -0.01804 -0.006987 -0.022291 -0.00641 -0.025462 -0.008141 -0.143227 -0.043624 -0.141847 -0.073239 -0.235126 -0.000961 0.077209 -0.021899 -0.016152 -0.029333 Year 17 -0.21312 -0.876202 -1.686035 -1.527081 -0.651928 0.655006 0.908409 -1.861595 -2.196259 -1.499741 -1.05365 -1.015896 -0.711678 -0.517345 -0.482445 -0.450264 -0.032673 0 Year 18 -0.055527 -0.020281 -0.007373 -0.023427 -0.006778 -0.026003 -0.008644 -0.148445 -0.04421 -0.138927 -0.076969 -0.247498 -0.001167 0.053504 -0.026237 -0.018003 -0.032192 Year 18 -0.059086 -0.664894 -1.488289 -1.630432 -0.725777 0.480137 1.239868 -1.326969 -2.230545 -1.602577 -1.069607 -1.009659 -0.752216 -0.536232 -0.461231 -0.484114 -0.085884 0 Page 25 Year 19 -0.059994 -0.021818 -0.007609 -0.024138 -0.006996 -0.026252 -0.00894 -0.151731 -0.044272 -0.135376 -0.079133 -0.254776 -0.001314 0.033809 -0.029399 -0.019244 -0.03406 Year 19 0.06221 -0.463425 -1.279716 -1.712315 -0.786751 0.299377 1.385456 -0.66433 -2.236061 -1.718246 -1.110409 -0.987473 -0.798595 -0.557842 -0.451305 -0.490704 -0.153305 0 Year 20 -0.062952 -0.022802 -0.007725 -0.024519 -0.007093 -0.026246 -0.009072 -0.153494 -0.043903 -0.131297 -0.080061 -0.258087 -0.001411 0.017432 -0.031623 -0.02001 -0.035147 Year 20 0.148193 -0.273861 -1.065063 -1.776489 -0.827431 0.127548 1.364365 0.044449 -2.168175 -1.83065 -1.172646 -0.959679 -0.845032 -0.582382 -0.452057 -0.47612 -0.23053 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units State Revenues at State AverageBillions Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars State Expenditures at State Average Rates Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 Year 13 -0.144369 -0.129203 -0.117737 -0.104392 -0.095175 -0.074389 -0.063742 -0.054435 -0.049719 -0.044887 -0.040243 -0.038064 -0.036302 0.009866 -0.000189 -0.007214 -0.012522 -0.01586 -0.019083 -0.019843 -0.01978 -0.018843 -0.017747 -0.016615 -0.015263 -0.014044 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Intergovernmental Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars General Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Selective Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars License Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Individual Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Corporate Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Current Charges Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 1 -0.01625 -0.039768 -0.012468 -0.003447 0 -0.005123 -0.007138 -0.013077 -0.01278 -0.00004 0 -0.034278 Year 2 -0.02581 -0.031728 -0.009947 -0.00275 0 -0.003755 -0.005855 -0.010726 -0.010483 -0.000033 0 -0.028116 Year 3 -0.031576 -0.026469 -0.008299 -0.002295 0 -0.002854 -0.004904 -0.008984 -0.00878 -0.000028 0 -0.02355 Year 4 -0.034491 -0.021666 -0.006793 -0.001878 0 -0.00208 -0.003975 -0.007282 -0.007117 -0.000022 0 -0.019088 Year 5 -0.035687 -0.018799 -0.005894 -0.00163 0 -0.001613 -0.003346 -0.00613 -0.005991 -0.000019 0 -0.016068 Year 6 -0.034552 -0.013234 -0.004149 -0.001147 0 -0.000804 -0.002174 -0.003983 -0.003893 -0.000012 0 -0.010441 Year 7 -0.032572 -0.010993 -0.003446 -0.000953 0 -0.000487 -0.001621 -0.002971 -0.002903 -0.000009 0 -0.007787 Year 8 -0.030099 -0.00923 -0.002894 -0.0008 0 -0.000252 -0.001183 -0.002168 -0.002119 -0.000007 0 -0.005683 Year 9 -0.028299 -0.008421 -0.00264 -0.00073 0 -0.000192 -0.001001 -0.001833 -0.001792 -0.000006 0 -0.004805 Year 10 -0.026324 -0.007536 -0.002363 -0.000653 0 -0.00013 -0.000836 -0.001531 -0.001496 -0.000005 0 -0.004013 Year 11 -0.024333 -0.006652 -0.002085 -0.000577 0 -0.000069 -0.000692 -0.001268 -0.001239 -0.000004 0 -0.003324 Year 12 -0.02254 -0.006389 -0.002003 -0.000554 0 -0.000097 -0.000687 -0.001259 -0.00123 -0.000004 0 -0.0033 Year 13 -0.020948 -0.006162 -0.001932 -0.000534 0 -0.000123 -0.0007 -0.001283 -0.001254 -0.000004 0 -0.003363 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Education Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Public Welfare Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Hospitals Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Health Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Highways Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Police Protection Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Correction Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Natural Resources Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Parks and Recreation Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Government Administration Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Interest on General Debt Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other and Unallocable Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 1 -0.001985 0.010051 -0.000067 -0.000302 -0.000612 -0.00004 -0.000232 -0.000177 -0.000017 -0.000257 -0.000121 -0.000537 -0.000007 0 0.004168 Year 2 -0.003121 0.004705 -0.000105 -0.000474 -0.000963 -0.000063 -0.000365 -0.000278 -0.000027 -0.000404 -0.00019 -0.000844 -0.000012 0 0.001951 Year 3 -0.003929 0.000992 -0.000132 -0.000597 -0.001212 -0.000079 -0.000459 -0.00035 -0.000033 -0.000509 -0.000239 -0.001062 -0.000015 0 0.000411 Year 4 -0.004416 -0.002005 -0.000149 -0.000671 -0.001362 -0.000089 -0.000516 -0.000393 -0.000038 -0.000572 -0.000269 -0.001194 -0.000017 0 -0.000832 Year 5 -0.004702 -0.003922 -0.000158 -0.000715 -0.001451 -0.000095 -0.00055 -0.000419 -0.00004 -0.000609 -0.000286 -0.001271 -0.000018 0 -0.001626 Year 6 -0.004684 -0.006227 -0.000158 -0.000712 -0.001445 -0.000094 -0.000548 -0.000417 -0.00004 -0.000606 -0.000285 -0.001266 -0.000018 0 -0.002582 Year 7 -0.004544 -0.006982 -0.000153 -0.000691 -0.001402 -0.000092 -0.000531 -0.000405 -0.000039 -0.000588 -0.000276 -0.001228 -0.000017 0 -0.002895 Year 8 -0.00432 -0.007284 -0.000145 -0.000657 -0.001333 -0.000087 -0.000505 -0.000385 -0.000037 -0.000559 -0.000263 -0.001168 -0.000016 0 -0.00302 Year 9 -0.004063 -0.007022 -0.000137 -0.000617 -0.001253 -0.000082 -0.000475 -0.000362 -0.000035 -0.000526 -0.000247 -0.001098 -0.000015 0 -0.002912 Year 10 -0.003779 -0.006686 -0.000127 -0.000574 -0.001166 -0.000076 -0.000442 -0.000337 -0.000032 -0.000489 -0.00023 -0.001022 -0.000014 0 -0.002772 Year 11 -0.003494 -0.006329 -0.000118 -0.000531 -0.001078 -0.00007 -0.000408 -0.000311 -0.00003 -0.000452 -0.000213 -0.000944 -0.000013 0 -0.002624 Year 12 -0.003237 -0.005771 -0.000109 -0.000492 -0.000999 -0.000065 -0.000378 -0.000288 -0.000028 -0.000419 -0.000197 -0.000875 -0.000012 0 -0.002393 Year 13 -0.003009 -0.005263 -0.000101 -0.000457 -0.000928 -0.000061 -0.000352 -0.000268 -0.000026 -0.000389 -0.000183 -0.000813 -0.000011 0 -0.002182 Page 26 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units State Revenues at State AverageBillions Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars State Expenditures at State Average Rates Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 14 Year 15 Year 16 Year 17 Year 18 Year 19 Year 20 -0.03488 -0.03366 -0.032606 -0.03164 -0.030727 -0.029854 -0.029042 -0.012951 -0.011975 -0.011116 -0.010355 -0.009672 -0.009057 -0.0085 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Intergovernmental Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars General Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Selective Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars License Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Individual Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Corporate Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Current Charges Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 14 -0.019532 -0.005971 -0.001872 -0.000518 0 -0.000146 -0.000725 -0.001329 -0.001299 -0.000004 0 -0.003484 Year 15 -0.018267 -0.005794 -0.001817 -0.000502 0 -0.000166 -0.000754 -0.001382 -0.001351 -0.000004 0 -0.003623 Year 16 -0.01714 -0.005627 -0.001764 -0.000488 0 -0.000181 -0.000785 -0.001439 -0.001406 -0.000004 0 -0.003772 Year 17 -0.01612 -0.005461 -0.001712 -0.000473 0 -0.000192 -0.000814 -0.001492 -0.001458 -0.000005 0 -0.003912 Year 18 -0.015184 -0.005296 -0.00166 -0.000459 0 -0.000198 -0.000841 -0.00154 -0.001506 -0.000005 0 -0.004038 Year 19 -0.014321 -0.00513 -0.001609 -0.000445 0 -0.000201 -0.000864 -0.001583 -0.001547 -0.000005 0 -0.004149 Year 20 -0.013521 -0.004974 -0.001559 -0.000431 0 -0.000202 -0.000886 -0.001623 -0.001586 -0.000005 0 -0.004255 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Education Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Public Welfare Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Hospitals Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Health Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Highways Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Police Protection Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Correction Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Natural Resources Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Parks and Recreation Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Government Administration Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Interest on General Debt Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other and Unallocable Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 14 -0.002806 -0.004806 -0.000094 -0.000426 -0.000866 -0.000057 -0.000328 -0.00025 -0.000024 -0.000363 -0.000171 -0.000758 -0.000011 0 -0.001993 Year 15 -0.002624 -0.004397 -0.000088 -0.000399 -0.00081 -0.000053 -0.000307 -0.000234 -0.000022 -0.00034 -0.00016 -0.000709 -0.00001 0 -0.001823 Year 16 -0.002462 -0.00404 -0.000083 -0.000374 -0.00076 -0.00005 -0.000288 -0.000219 -0.000021 -0.000319 -0.00015 -0.000666 -0.000009 0 -0.001675 Year 17 -0.002316 -0.003729 -0.000078 -0.000352 -0.000715 -0.000047 -0.000271 -0.000206 -0.00002 -0.0003 -0.000141 -0.000626 -0.000009 0 -0.001546 Year 18 -0.002182 -0.003454 -0.000073 -0.000332 -0.000673 -0.000044 -0.000255 -0.000194 -0.000019 -0.000282 -0.000133 -0.00059 -0.000008 0 -0.001432 Year 19 -0.002058 -0.003211 -0.000069 -0.000313 -0.000635 -0.000041 -0.000241 -0.000183 -0.000017 -0.000266 -0.000125 -0.000556 -0.000008 0 -0.001332 Year 20 -0.001943 -0.002996 -0.000065 -0.000295 -0.0006 -0.000039 -0.000227 -0.000173 -0.000017 -0.000252 -0.000118 -0.000525 -0.000007 0 -0.001242 Page 27 Negative Economic Impact: Employment Losses Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Total Employment Thousands (Jobs) Employment by Occupation Thousands (Jobs) Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Self Supply Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total Exports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total Imports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Output Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Value-Added Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars Personal Income Billions of Current Dollars Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars PCE-Price Index 2005=100 (Nation) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Personal Consumption Expenditures Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total National Deflator 2005=1 (Nation) Year 1 -128.1746 -128.1747 -120.1942 -7.530149 -7.061731 0.008203 -4.255723 -2.814211 -3.512026 -1.184591 -1.014689 -1.312745 -15.98598 -8.951418 -4.405975 -5.17786 -4.345745 -0.621819 -9.367981 -3.166161 0 Year 2 -96.51968 -96.51968 -90.55151 -6.072559 -5.140707 0.024816 -3.065012 -2.100511 -2.925735 -1.005102 -0.855658 -1.064975 -12.29937 -6.896454 -3.665512 -4.511452 -3.476917 -1.216751 -7.208241 -2.544403 0 Year 3 -73.19666 -73.19672 -68.50787 -4.929508 -3.847967 0.040013 -2.273081 -1.6149 -2.440096 -0.849896 -0.719074 -0.871126 -9.624584 -5.405014 -3.066855 -3.903145 -2.812748 -1.266716 -5.650185 -2.087421 0 Year 4 -52.32825 -52.32831 -48.79114 -3.79908 -2.73032 0.052032 -1.59846 -1.183891 -1.945013 -0.692842 -0.573622 -0.67855 -7.165409 -4.030766 -2.423105 -3.23521 -2.213135 -1.17482 -4.2159 -1.641535 0 Year 5 -38.97394 -38.97394 -36.17242 -3.036797 -2.051233 0.060101 -1.192043 -0.919291 -1.612232 -0.589818 -0.47122 -0.551193 -5.596619 -3.153061 -1.956436 -2.74152 -1.808697 -1.01181 -3.299862 -1.349094 0 Year 6 -17.81757 -17.81757 -16.25104 -1.68235 -0.853745 0.063408 -0.479046 -0.438108 -0.995712 -0.381823 -0.298705 -0.315185 -2.799904 -1.583183 -1.075256 -1.757061 -1.081528 -0.772705 -1.665375 -0.807882 0 Year 7 -8.979126 -8.979065 -7.952271 -1.054352 -0.385521 0.062198 -0.203535 -0.244184 -0.7078 -0.284178 -0.214409 -0.209211 -1.604012 -0.910187 -0.619778 -1.236305 -0.750462 -0.5177 -0.964138 -0.575397 0 Year 8 -2.780151 -2.780212 -2.156921 -0.574322 -0.041656 0.057862 -0.00145 -0.098072 -0.483337 -0.20414 -0.15202 -0.127176 -0.701172 -0.401192 -0.250999 -0.809155 -0.492611 -0.313332 -0.43399 -0.399075 0 Year 9 -1.10614 -1.106018 -0.627808 -0.393608 0.036438 0.050591 0.04344 -0.057592 -0.382854 -0.163247 -0.123279 -0.096327 -0.416016 -0.241142 -0.088667 -0.609207 -0.394173 -0.159897 -0.266502 -0.346588 0 Year 10 0.34375 0.34375 0.68811 -0.231789 0.116001 0.042474 0.089952 -0.016423 -0.287937 -0.123434 -0.097792 -0.066711 -0.146057 -0.089085 0.049351 -0.436523 -0.305183 -0.051567 -0.107391 -0.288239 0 Year 11 1.649963 1.649902 1.868408 -0.085209 0.200623 0.034509 0.139956 0.026155 -0.201042 -0.085696 -0.076487 -0.038859 0.115402 0.056927 0.170418 -0.286308 -0.227333 0.030121 0.045273 -0.235065 0 Year 12 0.878357 0.878418 1.101868 -0.104008 0.147732 0.027071 0.109039 0.011623 -0.190365 -0.075236 -0.074627 -0.040502 0.043724 0.014011 0.166059 -0.282639 -0.236961 0.080917 0.002041 -0.248615 0 Year 13 0.088684 0.088562 0.323303 -0.136806 0.100948 0.020532 0.082354 -0.001939 -0.188808 -0.068316 -0.07634 -0.044153 -0.035858 -0.033657 0.142319 -0.306564 -0.254177 0.104401 -0.046265 -0.265755 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities, and Other Thousands (Jobs) Mining Thousands (Jobs) Utilities Thousands (Jobs) Construction Thousands (Jobs) Manufacturing Thousands (Jobs) Wholesale Trade Thousands (Jobs) Retail Trade Thousands (Jobs) Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs) Information Thousands (Jobs) Finance and Insurance Thousands (Jobs) Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Thousands (Jobs) Professional and Technical Services Thousands (Jobs) Management of Companies and Enterprises Thousands (Jobs) Administrative and Waste Services Thousands (Jobs) Educational Services Thousands (Jobs) Health Care and Social Assistance Thousands (Jobs) Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Thousands (Jobs) Accommodation and Food Services Thousands (Jobs) Other Services, except Public Administration Thousands (Jobs) State and Local Government Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Civilian Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Military Employment Thousands (Jobs) Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Year 1 -0.23897 -0.20382 -0.182095 -6.799772 -12.22835 -3.73846 -9.44799 -3.122509 -3.013297 -12.07364 -6.444391 -12.5864 -3.968999 -15.05945 -2.669996 -11.43332 -3.224398 -6.282902 -7.475367 -7.980602 0 0 0 Year 2 -0.173271 -0.151056 -0.134973 -7.399632 -8.862757 -2.8185 -7.192101 -2.258096 -2.188223 -8.728773 -4.902491 -9.320274 -2.827177 -10.84427 -1.986049 -8.11895 -2.348099 -4.851292 -5.445559 -5.96817 0 0 0 Year 3 -0.128124 -0.113498 -0.102491 -6.532635 -6.564161 -2.145127 -5.490551 -1.660615 -1.629195 -6.423716 -3.756527 -6.990536 -2.037329 -7.90976 -1.530667 -5.904701 -1.753589 -3.825752 -4.008926 -4.688766 0 0 0 Year 4 -0.089845 -0.080865 -0.074784 -5.046587 -4.630758 -1.560116 -3.981701 -1.157325 -1.158481 -4.47331 -2.704582 -4.947479 -1.37992 -5.421661 -1.141559 -4.024323 -1.250044 -2.901878 -2.765877 -3.537151 0 0 0 Year 5 -0.066454 -0.060388 -0.057505 -3.653805 -3.458031 -1.196012 -3.023842 -0.852481 -0.873247 -3.28616 -2.016579 -3.672535 -0.988452 -3.905972 -0.902767 -2.901093 -0.943917 -2.315624 -1.997543 -2.801559 0 0 0 Year 6 -0.028711 -0.02775 -0.029966 -1.803505 -1.56329 -0.609282 -1.513737 -0.360191 -0.408389 -1.365505 -0.934425 -1.600609 -0.366957 -1.51149 -0.501331 -1.050072 -0.447456 -1.345169 -0.783188 -1.566563 0 0 0 Year 7 -0.014079 -0.014396 -0.018516 -0.545139 -0.820881 -0.370396 -0.900471 -0.170485 -0.225595 -0.622467 -0.474277 -0.769768 -0.140587 -0.603127 -0.334753 -0.412025 -0.253421 -0.93676 -0.325123 -1.02676 0 0 0 Year 8 -0.003762 -0.004893 -0.010255 0.354542 -0.291016 -0.199173 -0.474377 -0.036774 -0.094555 -0.098873 -0.152454 -0.188866 0.011909 0.011593 -0.210506 0.000168 -0.1156 -0.636169 -0.017906 -0.623222 0 0 0 Year 9 -0.001166 -0.002062 -0.007544 0.810925 -0.149593 -0.143854 -0.363853 -0.004415 -0.058405 0.021717 -0.066669 -0.049702 0.036405 0.125031 -0.169639 -0.014786 -0.080253 -0.540131 0.030205 -0.478294 0 0 0 Year 10 0.001311 0.00053 -0.005015 1.067883 -0.011116 -0.090403 -0.258167 0.027585 -0.023116 0.143089 0.001877 0.077991 0.063224 0.233772 -0.129381 0.000343 -0.044576 -0.451366 0.083591 -0.344368 0 0 0 Year 11 0.003898 0.003005 -0.002636 1.210014 0.127365 -0.039364 -0.160831 0.059902 0.011627 0.263687 0.060493 0.201187 0.092697 0.343658 -0.09073 0.024834 -0.009343 -0.365257 0.134155 -0.218449 0 0 0 Year 12 0.00282 0.002385 -0.002828 1.163967 0.084248 -0.04591 -0.206459 0.044414 0.00078 0.196087 0.014038 0.117157 0.064035 0.226219 -0.092478 -0.138618 -0.022382 -0.372551 0.066936 -0.223465 0 0 0 Year 13 0.001882 0.001793 -0.003046 1.043301 0.046757 -0.053421 -0.251469 0.030875 -0.00885 0.135895 -0.033146 0.038017 0.040258 0.122124 -0.09495 -0.283257 -0.034311 -0.380302 0.005203 -0.234776 0 0 0 Page 28 Negative Economic Impact: Employment Losses Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Total Employment Thousands (Jobs) Employment by Occupation Thousands (Jobs) Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Self Supply Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total Exports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total Imports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Output Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Value-Added Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars Personal Income Billions of Current Dollars Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars PCE-Price Index 2005=100 (Nation) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Personal Consumption Expenditures Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total National Deflator 2005=1 (Nation) Year 14 -0.655334 -0.655273 -0.407104 -0.176121 0.061188 0.014996 0.060137 -0.013947 -0.193104 -0.064059 -0.080175 -0.048866 -0.114929 -0.081078 0.106815 -0.348198 -0.275932 0.112152 -0.094452 -0.28537 0 Year 15 -1.294556 -1.294495 -1.03479 -0.214291 0.028721 0.010452 0.04221 -0.023938 -0.199291 -0.061393 -0.084436 -0.053462 -0.185562 -0.123394 0.066486 -0.39814 -0.297852 0.110016 -0.137447 -0.303051 0 Year 16 -1.81073 -1.81073 -1.542847 -0.247696 0.00312 0.006829 0.028172 -0.031878 -0.205444 -0.059694 -0.088343 -0.057406 -0.244576 -0.158657 0.025623 -0.452301 -0.318836 0.102112 -0.17321 -0.317005 0 Year 17 -2.200195 -2.200134 -1.928345 -0.274113 -0.016449 0.003999 0.01742 -0.037868 -0.210274 -0.058587 -0.091345 -0.060346 -0.290565 -0.185993 -0.012268 -0.505219 -0.337048 0.092316 -0.200817 -0.326042 0 Year 18 -2.476563 -2.476501 -2.204956 -0.29335 -0.030952 0.001832 0.00935 -0.042136 -0.213348 -0.057878 -0.093239 -0.062232 -0.32431 -0.205921 -0.04623 -0.555405 -0.352451 0.081955 -0.220802 -0.330471 0 Year 19 -2.658203 -2.658203 -2.390198 -0.306034 -0.04137 0.000197 0.003412 -0.044981 -0.214661 -0.057331 -0.094147 -0.063181 -0.347397 -0.21944 -0.076008 -0.602493 -0.365208 0.072159 -0.234177 -0.331425 0 Year 20 -2.767151 -2.76709 -2.505371 -0.313705 -0.048645 -0.001009 -0.000856 -0.04678 -0.214836 -0.056902 -0.094471 -0.063462 -0.362358 -0.228069 -0.101959 -0.647881 -0.37632 0.063049 -0.242546 -0.329784 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities, and Other Thousands (Jobs) Mining Thousands (Jobs) Utilities Thousands (Jobs) Construction Thousands (Jobs) Manufacturing Thousands (Jobs) Wholesale Trade Thousands (Jobs) Retail Trade Thousands (Jobs) Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs) Information Thousands (Jobs) Finance and Insurance Thousands (Jobs) Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Thousands (Jobs) Professional and Technical Services Thousands (Jobs) Management of Companies and Enterprises Thousands (Jobs) Administrative and Waste Services Thousands (Jobs) Educational Services Thousands (Jobs) Health Care and Social Assistance Thousands (Jobs) Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Thousands (Jobs) Accommodation and Food Services Thousands (Jobs) Other Services, except Public Administration Thousands (Jobs) State and Local Government Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Civilian Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Military Employment Thousands (Jobs) Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Year 14 0.001094 0.001271 -0.003237 0.890884 0.01548 -0.060949 -0.293533 0.019415 -0.016966 0.08387 -0.077133 -0.031944 0.021156 0.033447 -0.097346 -0.4104 -0.044885 -0.386635 -0.050716 -0.2481 0 0 0 Year 15 0.000457 0.00084 -0.003355 0.733097 -0.009388 -0.067272 -0.327785 0.010068 -0.023263 0.040974 -0.113991 -0.089897 0.006352 -0.038162 -0.099149 -0.514832 -0.053265 -0.389156 -0.097084 -0.259666 0 0 0 Year 16 -0.00004 0.000502 -0.003405 0.583946 -0.028385 -0.071999 -0.353088 0.002679 -0.027828 0.00676 -0.142265 -0.135494 -0.004706 -0.093452 -0.10002 -0.596436 -0.059246 -0.386997 -0.133369 -0.267952 0 0 0 Year 17 -0.000415 0.000252 -0.00339 0.451252 -0.042397 -0.075026 -0.36927 -0.003006 -0.030826 -0.019634 -0.161148 -0.169521 -0.012699 -0.133919 -0.099913 -0.656563 -0.062784 -0.379726 -0.159599 -0.271778 0 0 0 Year 18 -0.000688 0.000055 -0.003299 0.337574 -0.052181 -0.076469 -0.37746 -0.007267 -0.032532 -0.039398 -0.17207 -0.19355 -0.018247 -0.16214 -0.099079 -0.698227 -0.064237 -0.368519 -0.177216 -0.271561 0 0 0 Year 19 -0.000878 -0.000097 -0.003164 0.244423 -0.058628 -0.076656 -0.379635 -0.010379 -0.033266 -0.053879 -0.176384 -0.209167 -0.021893 -0.180511 -0.097785 -0.725571 -0.064065 -0.354679 -0.188015 -0.267948 0 0 0 Year 20 -0.001004 -0.000211 -0.002998 0.168396 -0.062717 -0.075949 -0.37735 -0.012607 -0.033344 -0.064354 -0.175625 -0.218689 -0.024125 -0.191444 -0.095761 -0.742523 -0.06268 -0.338627 -0.193798 -0.261719 0 0 0 Page 29 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Management, business, financial Thousands occupations(Jobs) Computer, math, architect, engineer occupations Thousands (Jobs) Life, physical, social science occupations Thousands (Jobs) Community, social service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Legal occupations Thousands (Jobs) Education, training, library occupations Thousands (Jobs) Arts, design, entertainment, sports, media occupations Thousands (Jobs) Healthcare occupations Thousands (Jobs) Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Food preparation, serving relatedThousands occupations(Jobs) Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands service occupations (Jobs) Sales, office, administrative occupations Thousands (Jobs) Farm, fishing, forestry occupations Thousands (Jobs) Construction, extraction occupations Thousands (Jobs) Installation, maintenance, repair occupations Thousands (Jobs) Production occupations Thousands (Jobs) Transportation, material moving occupations Thousands (Jobs) Year 1 -15.11392 -7.369911 -1.3426 -1.778512 -1.420194 -2.578015 -2.086843 -8.109268 -3.807595 -6.862701 -9.818634 -38.41644 -0.266162 -6.121368 -5.467648 -9.400387 -8.21451 Year 2 -11.27047 -5.450087 -0.99357 -1.284236 -1.04353 -1.900681 -1.530606 -5.833134 -2.811417 -5.227039 -7.174305 -28.54085 -0.195347 -6.07497 -4.233599 -6.867992 -6.087839 Year 3 -8.493561 -4.090899 -0.750169 -0.942843 -0.781363 -1.446245 -1.143267 -4.294827 -2.145984 -4.067116 -5.328671 -21.43547 -0.146129 -5.204391 -3.262701 -5.105154 -4.557892 Year 4 -6.037952 -2.904295 -0.536888 -0.649739 -0.553979 -1.05582 -0.810053 -2.974682 -1.56167 -3.035732 -3.73526 -15.2169 -0.103841 -3.967367 -2.357298 -3.601162 -3.225624 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Labor Force Thousands Total Migrants Thousands Economic Migrants Thousands Population (Last Year's) Thousands Population 5 Year Cohorts) Thousands College Population Thousands Year 1 -26.57178 -26.79525 -26.79525 0 -27.08014 0 Year 2 -36.49045 -12.25011 -12.2501 -27.08014 -40.02814 0 Year 3 -39.22708 -5.538942 -5.53895 -40.02814 -46.44959 0 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 Year 13 -37.74948 -34.70645 -28.83164 -23.3746 -18.41443 -14.58594 -11.49057 -8.971893 -7.265961 -6.106842 -1.134951 1.029623 4.068937 4.581429 4.705903 4.160162 3.717052 3.36568 2.754201 2.267289 -1.134971 1.029586 4.068883 4.581359 4.705819 4.160067 3.716949 3.365572 2.75409 2.267177 -46.44959 -48.52692 -48.42365 -45.20587 -41.36157 -37.27081 -33.60712 -30.27698 -27.19434 -24.62738 -48.52686 -48.42358 -45.20587 -41.36151 -37.27081 -33.60718 -30.27692 -27.19434 -24.62738 -22.46234 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Ages 0-4 Thousands Ages 5-9 Thousands Ages 10-14 Thousands Ages 15-19 Thousands Ages 20-24 Thousands Ages 25-29 Thousands Ages 30-34 Thousands Ages 35-39 Thousands Ages 40-44 Thousands Ages 45-49 Thousands Ages 50-54 Thousands Ages 55-59 Thousands Ages 60-64 Thousands Ages 65-69 Thousands Ages 70-74 Thousands Ages 75-79 Thousands Ages 80-84 Thousands Ages 85+ Thousands Year 1 -2.806583 -2.110973 -1.682087 -1.763969 -4.260761 -3.897217 -2.846611 -2.120399 -1.855064 -1.349907 -1.001694 -0.74012 -0.644726 0 0 0 0 0 Year 2 -4.200962 -3.169792 -2.532661 -2.361496 -5.823643 -5.865688 -4.348606 -3.199062 -2.760506 -2.060452 -1.518623 -1.108147 -0.976479 -0.101997 0 0 0 0 Year 3 -4.923721 -3.742992 -3.001789 -2.532631 -6.032043 -6.916576 -5.243187 -3.814857 -3.217518 -2.482254 -1.815033 -1.316986 -1.150475 -0.259483 0 0 0 0 Year 4 -5.181122 -3.982456 -3.21505 -2.527161 -5.303532 -7.326473 -5.73151 -4.131264 -3.366943 -2.711105 -1.963905 -1.426758 -1.206779 -0.452827 0 0 0 0 Year 5 -4.485573 -2.165501 -0.404222 -0.470976 -0.412596 -0.816368 -0.604749 -2.176598 -1.195807 -2.387199 -2.752579 -11.31149 -0.077742 -2.890692 -1.754436 -2.67729 -2.390141 Year 5 -5.196667 -4.033051 -3.298409 -2.526901 -4.170547 -7.292694 -5.992683 -4.307686 -3.371628 -2.834763 -2.041862 -1.491776 -1.19397 -0.670979 0 0 0 0 Page 30 Year 6 -1.995983 -0.962955 -0.184996 -0.183156 -0.186684 -0.417658 -0.273337 -0.857529 -0.596081 -1.320137 -1.177177 -5.122345 -0.035609 -1.414671 -0.816139 -1.196812 -1.076317 Year 6 -4.575676 -4.108593 -3.188553 -2.429008 -2.687603 -6.593185 -5.888733 -4.263107 -3.185741 -2.790508 -2.01355 -1.48008 -1.100945 -0.900604 0 0 0 0 Year 7 -0.972923 -0.479349 -0.096944 -0.077664 -0.095953 -0.258208 -0.142497 -0.382828 -0.348936 -0.881058 -0.568581 -2.620224 -0.018885 -0.483818 -0.397993 -0.61042 -0.54277 Year 7 -3.941048 -4.017807 -3.040649 -2.319691 -1.481613 -5.452454 -5.686813 -4.197327 -3.008743 -2.66626 -1.976509 -1.448441 -1.01532 -1.013878 -0.094971 0 0 0 Year 8 -0.252113 -0.137817 -0.034338 -0.007444 -0.032529 -0.142969 -0.050585 -0.06707 -0.171059 -0.562614 -0.150444 -0.875839 -0.007037 0.180664 -0.102558 -0.19632 -0.170135 Year 8 -3.295631 -3.830742 -2.873657 -2.210629 -0.588821 -4.007641 -5.402824 -4.128963 -2.857105 -2.490501 -1.939262 -1.408379 -0.947083 -1.048485 -0.2411 0 0 0 Year 9 -0.062073 -0.051067 -0.018556 -0.000438 -0.016355 -0.112372 -0.028 -0.050747 -0.119263 -0.469627 -0.068668 -0.435745 -0.003866 0.499557 -0.009586 -0.088665 -0.07058 Year 9 -2.711014 -3.607853 -2.720917 -2.132446 -0.094646 -2.409092 -5.098339 -4.104351 -2.771938 -2.301884 -1.923748 -1.378281 -0.911453 -1.021477 -0.419731 0 0 0 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 Year 13 0.107368 0.264656 0.174667 0.08551 0.029524 0.1073 0.064671 0.024273 -0.003549 0.011076 0.003304 -0.004061 0.008981 0.018554 -0.000335 -0.017366 -0.001439 0.012829 0.005147 -0.002156 -0.081223 -0.050981 -0.061036 -0.070746 -0.006169 0.015018 0.003717 -0.006762 -0.019482 0.015965 -0.083439 -0.172417 -0.070856 -0.02459 -0.039267 -0.054218 -0.381962 -0.296741 -0.314781 -0.332203 0.013035 0.092743 0.018578 -0.049442 -0.032776 0.342758 0.120422 -0.095123 -0.000857 0.002138 0.00101 -0.000033 0.686497 0.797516 0.759403 0.672825 0.063778 0.124962 0.093512 0.05714 0.013809 0.114021 0.071899 0.033302 0.019032 0.102676 0.060909 0.020061 Year 10 -2.172302 -3.368755 -2.560299 -2.065025 0.074722 -0.825043 -4.672241 -4.084351 -2.738132 -2.121113 -1.913982 -1.357933 -0.901077 -0.951225 -0.620155 0 0 0 Year 11 -1.688938 -2.801819 -2.677013 -1.997215 0.038509 0.553543 -4.042248 -4.031174 -2.741371 -1.968513 -1.894485 -1.347527 -0.906815 -0.859421 -0.829815 0 0 0 Year 12 -1.26984 -2.320614 -2.708405 -1.956852 -0.102745 1.475246 -3.117775 -3.985611 -2.807064 -1.893562 -1.845463 -1.365143 -0.922684 -0.788635 -0.933029 -0.085121 0 0 Year 13 -0.901733 -1.884583 -2.689743 -1.932728 -0.294895 1.984486 -1.974377 -3.919113 -2.916946 -1.883705 -1.774124 -1.403744 -0.946701 -0.744873 -0.964081 -0.215469 0 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Management, business, financial Thousands occupations(Jobs) Computer, math, architect, engineer occupations Thousands (Jobs) Life, physical, social science occupations Thousands (Jobs) Community, social service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Legal occupations Thousands (Jobs) Education, training, library occupations Thousands (Jobs) Arts, design, entertainment, sports, media occupations Thousands (Jobs) Healthcare occupations Thousands (Jobs) Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Food preparation, serving relatedThousands occupations(Jobs) Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands service occupations (Jobs) Sales, office, administrative occupations Thousands (Jobs) Farm, fishing, forestry occupations Thousands (Jobs) Construction, extraction occupations Thousands (Jobs) Installation, maintenance, repair occupations Thousands (Jobs) Production occupations Thousands (Jobs) Transportation, material moving occupations Thousands (Jobs) Year 14 0.003395 -0.011692 -0.01063 -0.032546 -0.008633 -0.079541 -0.01603 -0.251053 -0.068068 -0.34726 -0.109802 -0.291733 -0.000949 0.566303 0.020599 -0.000378 -0.0172 Year 15 -0.066559 -0.041603 -0.016073 -0.045059 -0.013958 -0.086692 -0.023585 -0.315842 -0.079508 -0.357399 -0.159264 -0.456131 -0.001699 0.457527 -0.012201 -0.027935 -0.048515 Year 16 -0.122993 -0.065239 -0.020326 -0.054832 -0.018085 -0.091933 -0.029364 -0.366524 -0.088165 -0.361805 -0.197384 -0.585159 -0.002278 0.355736 -0.039696 -0.049419 -0.073318 Year 17 -0.165871 -0.082916 -0.023435 -0.06195 -0.02106 -0.095262 -0.033429 -0.403809 -0.093861 -0.360157 -0.224442 -0.679062 -0.002697 0.266029 -0.06118 -0.065334 -0.09169 Year 18 -0.196861 -0.09544 -0.025555 -0.066793 -0.023046 -0.097014 -0.036037 -0.429535 -0.097002 -0.353695 -0.242104 -0.742355 -0.002978 0.189896 -0.077093 -0.076439 -0.104462 Year 19 -0.217781 -0.103657 -0.026859 -0.069858 -0.024212 -0.09759 -0.03748 -0.446251 -0.098055 -0.343819 -0.2523 -0.780884 -0.003146 0.12809 -0.088093 -0.083683 -0.112614 Year 20 -0.231064 -0.108704 -0.027557 -0.071611 -0.024779 -0.097068 -0.038063 -0.456367 -0.097509 -0.3312 -0.256901 -0.800659 -0.003231 0.078167 -0.095263 -0.088074 -0.117241 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Labor Force Thousands Total Migrants Thousands Economic Migrants Thousands Population (Last Year's) Thousands Population 5 Year Cohorts) Thousands College Population Thousands Year 14 -5.335999 1.879536 1.879421 -22.46234 -20.61108 0 Year 15 -4.830597 1.576277 1.576161 -20.61115 -19.00031 0 Year 16 -4.499847 1.339906 1.339788 -19.00037 -17.57526 0 Year 17 -4.380402 1.193461 1.193342 -17.57532 -16.25818 0 Year 18 -4.275848 1.071678 1.071523 -16.25812 -15.03607 0 Year 19 -4.184845 0.974995 0.974788 -15.03601 -13.89502 0 Year 20 -4.09549 0.896415 0.896146 -13.89514 -12.82703 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Ages 0-4 Thousands Ages 5-9 Thousands Ages 10-14 Thousands Ages 15-19 Thousands Ages 20-24 Thousands Ages 25-29 Thousands Ages 30-34 Thousands Ages 35-39 Thousands Ages 40-44 Thousands Ages 45-49 Thousands Ages 50-54 Thousands Ages 55-59 Thousands Ages 60-64 Thousands Ages 65-69 Thousands Ages 70-74 Thousands Ages 75-79 Thousands Ages 80-84 Thousands Ages 85+ Thousands Year 14 -0.571739 -1.495895 -2.624432 -1.912247 -0.498882 2.120029 -0.658272 -3.818169 -3.059059 -1.930763 -1.683395 -1.4589 -0.976494 -0.730377 -0.938816 -0.373684 0 0 Year 15 -0.276962 -1.142296 -2.53434 -1.874714 -0.689526 1.951172 0.657799 -3.58527 -3.196167 -2.022106 -1.595352 -1.516014 -1.012497 -0.73983 -0.87455 -0.549664 0 0 Year 16 -0.019939 -0.835949 -2.110703 -2.107895 -0.852905 1.593208 1.778168 -3.142151 -3.292934 -2.146011 -1.531925 -1.56118 -1.055603 -0.766296 -0.791206 -0.731941 0 0 Year 17 0.201553 -0.553665 -1.740288 -2.228725 -0.988628 1.203773 2.500504 -2.363518 -3.363346 -2.304878 -1.525574 -1.562702 -1.114208 -0.798027 -0.727249 -0.821354 -0.071835 0 Year 18 0.380531 -0.290588 -1.389339 -2.278606 -1.098362 0.821533 2.857174 -1.333351 -3.386116 -2.486141 -1.567986 -1.530762 -1.183887 -0.833817 -0.687943 -0.847542 -0.180862 0 Year 19 0.512486 -0.040123 -1.065094 -2.265274 -1.179039 0.473938 2.877827 -0.10416 -3.35313 -2.682098 -1.65411 -1.470505 -1.262165 -0.871964 -0.675186 -0.82468 -0.311783 0 Year 20 0.595112 0.194946 -0.75988 -2.214321 -1.218273 0.175655 2.623508 1.145966 -3.171982 -2.859543 -1.774296 -1.405762 -1.336456 -0.913536 -0.684135 -0.768486 -0.455486 0 Page 31 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units State Revenues at State AverageBillions Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars State Expenditures at State Average Rates Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 Year 13 -0.535694 -0.440158 -0.370402 -0.301386 -0.255704 -0.16975 -0.130533 -0.099 -0.085811 -0.07265 -0.060217 -0.057847 -0.05629 0.099664 0.024224 -0.023529 -0.058516 -0.07819 -0.101139 -0.104658 -0.103352 -0.095944 -0.088644 -0.081805 -0.073241 -0.065828 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Intergovernmental Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars General Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Selective Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars License Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Individual Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Corporate Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Current Charges Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 1 -0.034999 -0.189172 -0.059311 -0.016399 0 -0.030008 -0.021823 -0.039981 -0.039075 -0.000123 0 -0.104805 Year 2 -0.051345 -0.144018 -0.045154 -0.012484 0 -0.02205 -0.017507 -0.032075 -0.031347 -0.000098 0 -0.084078 Year 3 -0.058899 -0.114085 -0.035769 -0.00989 0 -0.016737 -0.014317 -0.02623 -0.025635 -0.000081 0 -0.068758 Year 4 -0.060792 -0.08742 -0.027409 -0.007578 0 -0.012089 -0.01125 -0.020611 -0.020144 -0.000063 0 -0.054029 Year 5 -0.059883 -0.071392 -0.022383 -0.006189 0 -0.009282 -0.00918 -0.016819 -0.016437 -0.000052 0 -0.044087 Year 6 -0.055172 -0.042137 -0.013211 -0.003653 0 -0.004298 -0.005437 -0.009962 -0.009736 -0.000031 0 -0.026113 Year 7 -0.049759 -0.030841 -0.00967 -0.002674 0 -0.002403 -0.003731 -0.006836 -0.006681 -0.000021 0 -0.017919 Year 8 -0.044178 -0.022269 -0.006982 -0.00193 0 -0.001003 -0.0024 -0.004398 -0.004298 -0.000013 0 -0.011528 Year 9 -0.040164 -0.01936 -0.00607 -0.001678 0 -0.000702 -0.001891 -0.003465 -0.003386 -0.000011 0 -0.009083 Year 10 -0.0363 -0.016045 -0.00503 -0.001391 0 -0.00036 -0.001434 -0.002627 -0.002568 -0.000008 0 -0.006887 Year 11 -0.032704 -0.012682 -0.003976 -0.001099 0 0.000002 -0.001035 -0.001896 -0.001853 -0.000006 0 -0.004969 Year 12 -0.029684 -0.012623 -0.003958 -0.001094 0 -0.000207 -0.00109 -0.001997 -0.001952 -0.000006 0 -0.005236 Year 13 -0.027138 -0.012565 -0.003939 -0.001089 0 -0.000388 -0.001184 -0.00217 -0.002121 -0.000007 0 -0.005689 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Education Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Public Welfare Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Hospitals Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Health Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Highways Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Police Protection Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Correction Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Natural Resources Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Parks and Recreation Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Government Administration Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Interest on General Debt Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other and Unallocable Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 1 -0.015452 0.094406 -0.00052 -0.002348 -0.004767 -0.000311 -0.001806 -0.001376 -0.000131 -0.002 -0.00094 -0.004176 -0.000058 0 0.039146 Year 2 -0.022441 0.051914 -0.000755 -0.003411 -0.006923 -0.000452 -0.002624 -0.001999 -0.000191 -0.002905 -0.001365 -0.006066 -0.000085 0 0.021526 Year 3 -0.026488 0.024432 -0.000891 -0.004026 -0.008172 -0.000534 -0.003097 -0.00236 -0.000225 -0.003429 -0.001611 -0.00716 -0.0001 0 0.010131 Year 4 -0.028132 0.002248 -0.000946 -0.004276 -0.008679 -0.000567 -0.003289 -0.002506 -0.000239 -0.003642 -0.001711 -0.007604 -0.000106 0 0.000932 Year 5 -0.028515 -0.011065 -0.000959 -0.004334 -0.008797 -0.000575 -0.003334 -0.00254 -0.000242 -0.003691 -0.001735 -0.007708 -0.000108 0 -0.004588 Year 6 -0.027032 -0.029586 -0.000909 -0.004108 -0.00834 -0.000545 -0.00316 -0.002408 -0.00023 -0.003499 -0.001644 -0.007307 -0.000102 0 -0.012268 Year 7 -0.025087 -0.035089 -0.000844 -0.003813 -0.00774 -0.000506 -0.002933 -0.002235 -0.000213 -0.003248 -0.001526 -0.006781 -0.000095 0 -0.01455 Year 8 -0.022918 -0.037528 -0.000771 -0.003483 -0.007071 -0.000462 -0.002679 -0.002042 -0.000195 -0.002967 -0.001394 -0.006195 -0.000087 0 -0.015561 Year 9 -0.020838 -0.035516 -0.000701 -0.003167 -0.006429 -0.00042 -0.002436 -0.001856 -0.000177 -0.002698 -0.001268 -0.005632 -0.000079 0 -0.014727 Year 10 -0.018836 -0.03346 -0.000634 -0.002863 -0.005811 -0.00038 -0.002202 -0.001678 -0.00016 -0.002438 -0.001146 -0.005091 -0.000071 0 -0.013874 Year 11 -0.016971 -0.031516 -0.000571 -0.002579 -0.005236 -0.000342 -0.001984 -0.001512 -0.000144 -0.002197 -0.001032 -0.004587 -0.000064 0 -0.013068 Year 12 -0.015406 -0.027889 -0.000518 -0.002341 -0.004753 -0.000311 -0.001801 -0.001372 -0.000131 -0.001994 -0.000937 -0.004164 -0.000058 0 -0.011564 Year 13 -0.014086 -0.024695 -0.000474 -0.002141 -0.004346 -0.000284 -0.001647 -0.001255 -0.00012 -0.001824 -0.000857 -0.003807 -0.000053 0 -0.01024 Page 32 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units State Revenues at State AverageBillions Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars State Expenditures at State Average Rates Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 14 Year 15 Year 16 Year 17 Year 18 Year 19 Year 20 -0.055326 -0.054544 -0.053807 -0.052947 -0.051936 -0.050801 -0.049622 -0.059369 -0.053733 -0.048838 -0.044486 -0.040579 -0.03705 -0.033838 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Intergovernmental Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars General Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Selective Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars License Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Individual Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Corporate Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Current Charges Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 14 -0.024955 -0.012536 -0.00393 -0.001087 0 -0.000543 -0.001301 -0.002384 -0.00233 -0.000007 0 -0.006251 Year 15 -0.023048 -0.012461 -0.003907 -0.00108 0 -0.000667 -0.001419 -0.002599 -0.00254 -0.000008 0 -0.006814 Year 16 -0.021365 -0.012321 -0.003863 -0.001068 0 -0.000758 -0.00153 -0.002804 -0.00274 -0.000009 0 -0.007349 Year 17 -0.01982 -0.012118 -0.003799 -0.00105 0 -0.000819 -0.001627 -0.00298 -0.002912 -0.000009 0 -0.007812 Year 18 -0.018387 -0.011848 -0.003715 -0.001027 0 -0.000855 -0.001708 -0.003129 -0.003058 -0.00001 0 -0.008201 Year 19 -0.017048 -0.011534 -0.003616 -0.001 0 -0.000869 -0.001774 -0.003251 -0.003177 -0.00001 0 -0.008522 Year 20 -0.015789 -0.011203 -0.003512 -0.000971 0 -0.000869 -0.001832 -0.003356 -0.00328 -0.00001 0 -0.008798 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Education Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Public Welfare Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Hospitals Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Health Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Highways Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Police Protection Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Correction Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Natural Resources Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Parks and Recreation Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Government Administration Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Interest on General Debt Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other and Unallocable Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 14 -0.012955 -0.021884 -0.000436 -0.001969 -0.003997 -0.000261 -0.001515 -0.001154 -0.00011 -0.001677 -0.000788 -0.003502 -0.000049 0 -0.009074 Year 15 -0.011966 -0.019433 -0.000403 -0.001819 -0.003692 -0.000241 -0.001399 -0.001066 -0.000102 -0.001549 -0.000728 -0.003234 -0.000045 0 -0.008058 Year 16 -0.011093 -0.017325 -0.000373 -0.001686 -0.003422 -0.000224 -0.001297 -0.000988 -0.000094 -0.001436 -0.000675 -0.002998 -0.000042 0 -0.007184 Year 17 -0.010292 -0.01549 -0.000346 -0.001564 -0.003175 -0.000207 -0.001203 -0.000917 -0.000087 -0.001332 -0.000626 -0.002782 -0.000039 0 -0.006423 Year 18 -0.009549 -0.013881 -0.000321 -0.001451 -0.002946 -0.000192 -0.001116 -0.000851 -0.000081 -0.001236 -0.000581 -0.002581 -0.000036 0 -0.005756 Year 19 -0.008855 -0.012463 -0.000298 -0.001346 -0.002732 -0.000178 -0.001035 -0.000789 -0.000075 -0.001146 -0.000539 -0.002393 -0.000033 0 -0.005168 Year 20 -0.008202 -0.011204 -0.000276 -0.001247 -0.00253 -0.000165 -0.000959 -0.000731 -0.00007 -0.001062 -0.000499 -0.002217 -0.000031 0 -0.004646 Page 33 Negative Economic Impact: Employment Losses Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Total Employment Thousands (Jobs) Employment by Occupation Thousands (Jobs) Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Self Supply Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total Exports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total Imports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Output Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Value-Added Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars Personal Income Billions of Current Dollars Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars PCE-Price Index 2005=100 (Nation) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Personal Consumption Expenditures Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total National Deflator 2005=1 (Nation) Year 1 -383.341 -383.341 -356.298 -26.101 -19.795 0.022 -13.627 -6.19 -6.946 -3.267 -3.635 -0.044 -49.529 -28.755 -13.555 -15.428 -12.882 -0.598 -30.17 -9.348 0 Year 2 -287.474 -287.474 -267.34 -20.945 -14.156 0.07 -9.761 -4.465 -6.092 -2.803 -3.027 -0.262 -37.926 -22.01 -11.235 -13.409 -10.335 -1.182 -23.065 -7.555 0 Year 3 -217.52 -217.52 -201.75 -16.939 -10.384 0.113 -7.182 -3.315 -5.269 -2.389 -2.535 -0.344 -29.532 -17.145 -9.376 -11.614 -8.399 -1.228 -17.971 -6.261 0 Year 4 -155.334 -155.334 -143.471 -13.017 -7.176 0.148 -4.995 -2.329 -4.355 -1.965 -2.027 -0.363 -21.86 -12.698 -7.399 -9.661 -6.651 -1.141 -13.32 -4.995 0 Year 5 -115.669 -115.669 -106.295 -10.388 -5.244 0.172 -3.678 -1.737 -3.716 -1.684 -1.676 -0.356 -16.971 -9.866 -5.971 -8.23 -5.474 -0.985 -10.358 -4.168 0 Year 6 -53.182 -53.182 -47.957 -5.76 -1.926 0.182 -1.41 -0.698 -2.517 -1.12 -1.08 -0.318 -8.384 -4.877 -3.302 -5.365 -3.355 -0.757 -5.151 -2.622 0 Year 7 -26.998 -26.998 -23.589 -3.616 -0.655 0.179 -0.537 -0.298 -1.92 -0.85 -0.79 -0.281 -4.709 -2.741 -1.917 -3.852 -2.382 -0.512 -2.92 -1.95 0 Year 8 -8.573 -8.573 -6.52 -1.979 0.261 0.168 0.097 -0.003 -1.447 -0.628 -0.572 -0.247 -1.946 -1.133 -0.794 -2.606 -1.619 -0.315 -1.241 -1.435 0 Year 9 -3.39 -3.39 -1.826 -1.354 0.442 0.148 0.232 0.062 -1.193 -0.509 -0.467 -0.218 -1.069 -0.627 -0.288 -2.014 -1.317 -0.165 -0.709 -1.266 0 Year 10 1.027 1.027 2.142 -0.8 0.624 0.125 0.37 0.129 -0.959 -0.393 -0.374 -0.192 -0.257 -0.157 0.141 -1.499 -1.044 -0.058 -0.216 -1.084 0 Year 11 4.988 4.987 5.685 -0.3 0.82 0.103 0.516 0.201 -0.748 -0.285 -0.294 -0.169 0.52 0.291 0.516 -1.05 -0.806 0.023 0.254 -0.916 0 Year 12 2.866 2.866 3.579 -0.354 0.647 0.082 0.409 0.155 -0.685 -0.25 -0.281 -0.154 0.293 0.149 0.517 -1.019 -0.817 0.075 0.111 -0.934 0 Year 13 0.66 0.66 1.411 -0.456 0.496 0.063 0.317 0.115 -0.65 -0.226 -0.28 -0.143 0.039 -0.007 0.456 -1.07 -0.853 0.1 -0.047 -0.965 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities, and Other Thousands (Jobs) Mining Thousands (Jobs) Utilities Thousands (Jobs) Construction Thousands (Jobs) Manufacturing Thousands (Jobs) Wholesale Trade Thousands (Jobs) Retail Trade Thousands (Jobs) Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs) Information Thousands (Jobs) Finance and Insurance Thousands (Jobs) Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Thousands (Jobs) Professional and Technical Services Thousands (Jobs) Management of Companies and Enterprises Thousands (Jobs) Administrative and Waste Services Thousands (Jobs) Educational Services Thousands (Jobs) Health Care and Social Assistance Thousands (Jobs) Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Thousands (Jobs) Accommodation and Food Services Thousands (Jobs) Other Services, except Public Administration Thousands (Jobs) State and Local Government Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Civilian Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Military Employment Thousands (Jobs) Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Year 1 -2.297 -0.503 -1.178 -22.866 -26.525 -13.033 -30.189 -12.577 -10.232 -38.297 -18.379 -36.51 -7.681 -44.681 -7.995 -30.615 -10.652 -18.992 -23.097 -27.043 0 0 0 Year 2 -1.651 -0.374 -0.867 -23.96 -19.237 -9.729 -22.726 -9.076 -7.392 -27.657 -13.65 -26.837 -5.471 -32.064 -5.916 -21.757 -7.716 -14.503 -16.759 -20.134 0 0 0 Year 3 -1.213 -0.281 -0.657 -20.888 -14.258 -7.369 -17.26 -6.666 -5.477 -20.339 -10.237 -19.97 -3.943 -23.333 -4.53 -15.902 -5.736 -11.369 -12.322 -15.77 0 0 0 Year 4 -0.846 -0.199 -0.479 -16.055 -10.076 -5.343 -12.486 -4.642 -3.874 -14.159 -7.2 -13.996 -2.672 -15.959 -3.352 -10.953 -4.073 -8.592 -8.514 -11.864 0 0 0 Year 5 -0.626 -0.148 -0.37 -11.659 -7.544 -4.093 -9.489 -3.42 -2.907 -10.402 -5.25 -10.282 -1.914 -11.475 -2.633 -7.999 -3.068 -6.849 -6.168 -9.374 0 0 0 Year 6 -0.268 -0.066 -0.196 -5.794 -3.446 -2.09 -4.786 -1.447 -1.34 -4.332 -2.236 -4.312 -0.71 -4.413 -1.43 -3.176 -1.442 -3.98 -2.492 -5.225 0 0 0 Year 7 -0.132 -0.033 -0.124 -1.897 -1.839 -1.276 -2.879 -0.687 -0.727 -1.984 -0.984 -1.934 -0.271 -1.727 -0.936 -1.483 -0.807 -2.776 -1.092 -3.41 0 0 0 Year 8 -0.035 -0.009 -0.071 0.898 -0.686 -0.69 -1.546 -0.151 -0.288 -0.326 -0.119 -0.282 0.025 0.096 -0.569 -0.376 -0.354 -1.889 -0.147 -2.054 0 0 0 Year 9 -0.01 -0.002 -0.054 2.314 -0.366 -0.496 -1.182 -0.018 -0.167 0.064 0.098 0.097 0.074 0.447 -0.451 -0.364 -0.234 -1.601 0.025 -1.563 0 0 0 Year 10 0.014 0.004 -0.037 3.133 -0.054 -0.311 -0.845 0.112 -0.05 0.449 0.268 0.437 0.127 0.776 -0.334 -0.294 -0.114 -1.336 0.198 -1.116 0 0 0 Year 11 0.038 0.01 -0.022 3.606 0.259 -0.135 -0.533 0.244 0.065 0.833 0.412 0.762 0.184 1.104 -0.222 -0.206 0.004 -1.08 0.36 -0.697 0 0 0 Year 12 0.028 0.009 -0.023 3.489 0.176 -0.152 -0.658 0.184 0.028 0.625 0.269 0.498 0.129 0.762 -0.23 -0.596 -0.034 -1.097 0.173 -0.713 0 0 0 Year 13 0.019 0.007 -0.024 3.146 0.104 -0.173 -0.783 0.132 -0.004 0.439 0.127 0.251 0.082 0.456 -0.239 -0.943 -0.069 -1.115 0 -0.751 0 0 0 Page 34 Negative Economic Impact: Employment Losses Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Total Employment Thousands (Jobs) Employment by Occupation Thousands (Jobs) Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Self Supply Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total Exports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total Imports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Output Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Value-Added Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars Personal Income Billions of Current Dollars Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars PCE-Price Index 2005=100 (Nation) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Personal Consumption Expenditures Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total National Deflator 2005=1 (Nation) Year 14 -1.432 -1.432 -0.636 -0.58 0.368 0.048 0.239 0.082 -0.634 -0.21 -0.287 -0.137 -0.212 -0.162 0.358 -1.175 -0.905 0.11 -0.204 -1.005 0 Year 15 -3.246 -3.246 -2.409 -0.701 0.264 0.034 0.175 0.054 -0.627 -0.198 -0.296 -0.133 -0.438 -0.3 0.243 -1.308 -0.96 0.11 -0.345 -1.041 0 Year 16 -4.728 -4.728 -3.861 -0.809 0.181 0.024 0.125 0.032 -0.624 -0.191 -0.304 -0.129 -0.628 -0.417 0.124 -1.456 -1.014 0.104 -0.464 -1.068 0 Year 17 -5.857 -5.857 -4.976 -0.894 0.116 0.016 0.086 0.015 -0.622 -0.185 -0.311 -0.126 -0.778 -0.508 0.011 -1.605 -1.062 0.095 -0.556 -1.084 0 Year 18 -6.67 -6.67 -5.786 -0.957 0.067 0.009 0.056 0.002 -0.619 -0.181 -0.314 -0.123 -0.889 -0.576 -0.092 -1.748 -1.104 0.086 -0.624 -1.087 0 Year 19 -7.213 -7.213 -6.338 -0.998 0.03 0.004 0.033 -0.007 -0.613 -0.178 -0.315 -0.12 -0.967 -0.623 -0.183 -1.884 -1.138 0.076 -0.671 -1.081 0 Year 20 -7.546 -7.546 -6.689 -1.022 0.003 0.001 0.017 -0.014 -0.606 -0.175 -0.314 -0.117 -1.019 -0.654 -0.263 -2.017 -1.169 0.068 -0.701 -1.068 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities, and Other Thousands (Jobs) Mining Thousands (Jobs) Utilities Thousands (Jobs) Construction Thousands (Jobs) Manufacturing Thousands (Jobs) Wholesale Trade Thousands (Jobs) Retail Trade Thousands (Jobs) Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs) Information Thousands (Jobs) Finance and Insurance Thousands (Jobs) Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Thousands (Jobs) Professional and Technical Services Thousands (Jobs) Management of Companies and Enterprises Thousands (Jobs) Administrative and Waste Services Thousands (Jobs) Educational Services Thousands (Jobs) Health Care and Social Assistance Thousands (Jobs) Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Thousands (Jobs) Accommodation and Food Services Thousands (Jobs) Other Services, except Public Administration Thousands (Jobs) State and Local Government Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Civilian Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Military Employment Thousands (Jobs) Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Year 14 0.011 0.005 -0.025 2.706 0.043 -0.194 -0.899 0.088 -0.032 0.278 -0.005 0.033 0.045 0.194 -0.247 -1.249 -0.1 -1.131 -0.157 -0.796 0 0 0 Year 15 0.004 0.004 -0.026 2.244 -0.005 -0.212 -0.993 0.051 -0.053 0.146 -0.117 -0.148 0.016 -0.02 -0.254 -1.5 -0.124 -1.137 -0.287 -0.836 0 0 0 Year 16 -0.001 0.003 -0.026 1.804 -0.042 -0.225 -1.063 0.023 -0.069 0.04 -0.206 -0.291 -0.006 -0.186 -0.258 -1.696 -0.142 -1.131 -0.39 -0.866 0 0 0 Year 17 -0.004 0.001 -0.026 1.408 -0.07 -0.233 -1.106 0.001 -0.08 -0.042 -0.27 -0.399 -0.022 -0.309 -0.259 -1.838 -0.154 -1.11 -0.465 -0.882 0 0 0 Year 18 -0.007 0.001 -0.025 1.066 -0.089 -0.237 -1.126 -0.015 -0.087 -0.103 -0.312 -0.477 -0.033 -0.397 -0.257 -1.934 -0.159 -1.078 -0.515 -0.884 0 0 0 Year 19 -0.009 0 -0.024 0.784 -0.102 -0.237 -1.128 -0.027 -0.09 -0.148 -0.337 -0.528 -0.04 -0.455 -0.255 -1.994 -0.16 -1.039 -0.546 -0.875 0 0 0 Year 20 -0.011 -0.001 -0.023 0.551 -0.111 -0.234 -1.118 -0.036 -0.091 -0.181 -0.348 -0.561 -0.045 -0.491 -0.25 -2.028 -0.158 -0.993 -0.562 -0.857 0 0 0 Page 35 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Management, business, financial Thousands occupations(Jobs) Computer, math, architect, engineer occupations Thousands (Jobs) Life, physical, social science occupations Thousands (Jobs) Community, social service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Legal occupations Thousands (Jobs) Education, training, library occupations Thousands (Jobs) Arts, design, entertainment, sports, media occupations Thousands (Jobs) Healthcare occupations Thousands (Jobs) Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Food preparation, serving relatedThousands occupations(Jobs) Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands service occupations (Jobs) Sales, office, administrative occupations Thousands (Jobs) Farm, fishing, forestry occupations Thousands (Jobs) Construction, extraction occupations Thousands (Jobs) Installation, maintenance, repair occupations Thousands (Jobs) Production occupations Thousands (Jobs) Transportation, material moving occupations Thousands (Jobs) Year 1 -44.515 -21.071 -3.897 -5.175 -4.218 -7.716 -6.428 -22.497 -12.188 -20.81 -29.824 -117.034 -1.622 -19.997 -16.74 -23.186 -26.425 Year 2 -33.084 -15.529 -2.871 -3.731 -3.082 -5.669 -4.688 -16.187 -8.967 -15.701 -21.69 -86.451 -1.174 -19.377 -12.853 -16.948 -19.474 Year 3 -24.88 -11.621 -2.161 -2.742 -2.297 -4.3 -3.486 -11.964 -6.836 -12.153 -16.069 -64.704 -0.869 -16.452 -9.852 -12.603 -14.532 Year 4 -17.659 -8.223 -1.542 -1.898 -1.621 -3.129 -2.46 -8.354 -4.974 -9.043 -11.252 -45.826 -0.611 -12.495 -7.089 -8.897 -10.262 Year 5 -13.102 -6.109 -1.158 -1.384 -1.201 -2.413 -1.831 -6.173 -3.809 -7.105 -8.293 -34.03 -0.455 -9.124 -5.263 -6.619 -7.6 Year 6 -5.832 -2.689 -0.527 -0.564 -0.535 -1.229 -0.821 -2.598 -1.908 -3.935 -3.577 -15.429 -0.202 -4.494 -2.44 -2.981 -3.42 Year 7 -2.837 -1.313 -0.273 -0.259 -0.268 -0.755 -0.423 -1.288 -1.121 -2.632 -1.747 -7.909 -0.104 -1.623 -1.186 -1.533 -1.727 Year 8 -0.722 -0.342 -0.093 -0.055 -0.082 -0.411 -0.144 -0.407 -0.552 -1.685 -0.483 -2.651 -0.034 0.433 -0.298 -0.508 -0.54 Year 9 -0.147 -0.093 -0.047 -0.027 -0.035 -0.318 -0.073 -0.324 -0.381 -1.401 -0.215 -1.278 -0.016 1.423 -0.012 -0.232 -0.215 Year 10 0.357 0.134 -0.004 0.004 0.008 -0.224 -0.007 -0.215 -0.223 -1.136 0.042 -0.042 0.002 2.016 0.212 0.027 0.077 Year 11 0.821 0.35 0.038 0.035 0.048 -0.134 0.058 -0.1 -0.074 -0.878 0.291 1.106 0.02 2.38 0.399 0.278 0.349 Year 12 0.568 0.227 0.015 -0.014 0.025 -0.161 0.024 -0.343 -0.117 -0.924 0.085 0.475 0.013 2.28 0.311 0.179 0.223 Year 13 0.315 0.109 -0.006 -0.058 0.002 -0.188 -0.007 -0.563 -0.162 -0.97 -0.106 -0.141 0.007 2.034 0.207 0.087 0.1 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Labor Force Thousands Total Migrants Thousands Economic Migrants Thousands Population (Last Year's) Thousands Population 5 Year Cohorts) Thousands College Population Thousands Year 1 -83.272 -87.059 -87.059 0 -88.069 0 Year 2 -115.195 -42.452 -42.452 -88.069 -133.025 0 Year 3 -125.095 -21.194 -21.194 -133.025 -157.44 0 Year 4 -121.733 -6.516 -6.516 -157.439 -167.45 0 Year 5 -113.25 1.186 1.186 -167.45 -169.75 0 Year 6 -95.715 11.985 11.985 -169.75 -161.012 0 Year 7 -79.071 14.457 14.457 -161.012 -149.403 0 Year 8 -63.669 15.52 15.52 -149.403 -136.287 0 Year 9 -51.549 14.174 14.174 -136.287 -124.072 0 Year 10 -41.581 13.017 13.017 -124.072 -112.594 0 Year 11 -33.255 12.031 12.031 -112.594 -101.702 0 Year 12 -27.392 10.069 10.068 -101.702 -92.398 0 Year 13 -23.228 8.439 8.439 -92.398 -84.393 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Ages 0-4 Thousands Ages 5-9 Thousands Ages 10-14 Thousands Ages 15-19 Thousands Ages 20-24 Thousands Ages 25-29 Thousands Ages 30-34 Thousands Ages 35-39 Thousands Ages 40-44 Thousands Ages 45-49 Thousands Ages 50-54 Thousands Ages 55-59 Thousands Ages 60-64 Thousands Ages 65-69 Thousands Ages 70-74 Thousands Ages 75-79 Thousands Ages 80-84 Thousands Ages 85+ Thousands Year 1 -9.221 -6.858 -5.465 -5.73 -13.841 -12.66 -9.247 -6.888 -6.025 -4.384 -3.253 -2.403 -2.093 0 0 0 0 0 Year 2 -14.281 -10.506 -8.394 -7.845 -19.336 -19.436 -14.404 -10.598 -9.146 -6.822 -5.027 -3.668 -3.232 -0.331 0 0 0 0 Year 3 -17.297 -12.628 -10.125 -8.589 -20.48 -23.327 -17.664 -12.857 -10.853 -8.357 -6.109 -4.432 -3.873 -0.851 0 0 0 0 Year 4 -18.797 -13.647 -11.012 -8.722 -18.464 -25.101 -19.589 -14.128 -11.539 -9.257 -6.704 -4.867 -4.125 -1.499 0 0 0 0 Year 5 -19.445 -14.008 -11.444 -8.829 -14.965 -25.349 -20.728 -14.906 -11.713 -9.792 -7.051 -5.144 -4.137 -2.238 0 0 0 0 Year 6 -17.805 -14.482 -11.197 -8.573 -10.131 -23.299 -20.6 -14.907 -11.207 -9.744 -7.024 -5.151 -3.865 -3.025 0 0 0 0 Year 7 -15.811 -14.533 -10.78 -8.251 -6.048 -19.675 -20.076 -14.786 -10.678 -9.4 -6.943 -5.076 -3.597 -3.443 -0.306 0 0 0 Year 8 -13.575 -14.299 -10.262 -7.905 -2.9 -14.915 -19.215 -14.615 -10.193 -8.853 -6.84 -4.958 -3.369 -3.6 -0.786 0 0 0 Year 9 -11.407 -13.938 -9.764 -7.645 -1.03 -9.528 -18.236 -14.559 -9.902 -8.237 -6.796 -4.862 -3.239 -3.546 -1.381 0 0 0 Year 10 -9.312 -13.488 -9.221 -7.41 -0.239 -4.077 -16.82 -14.5 -9.768 -7.624 -6.762 -4.791 -3.188 -3.336 -2.057 0 0 0 Year 11 -7.365 -11.822 -9.661 -7.167 -0.166 0.783 -14.702 -14.322 -9.751 -7.087 -6.692 -4.747 -3.19 -3.042 -2.772 0 0 0 Year 12 -5.633 -10.19 -9.997 -7.012 -0.497 4.187 -11.585 -14.161 -9.941 -6.796 -6.525 -4.793 -3.228 -2.803 -3.151 -0.273 0 0 Year 13 -4.093 -8.561 -10.249 -6.911 -1.05 6.223 -7.699 -13.928 -10.285 -6.719 -6.28 -4.909 -3.295 -2.644 -3.293 -0.699 0 0 Page 36 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Management, business, financial Thousands occupations(Jobs) Computer, math, architect, engineer occupations Thousands (Jobs) Life, physical, social science occupations Thousands (Jobs) Community, social service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Legal occupations Thousands (Jobs) Education, training, library occupations Thousands (Jobs) Arts, design, entertainment, sports, media occupations Thousands (Jobs) Healthcare occupations Thousands (Jobs) Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Food preparation, serving relatedThousands occupations(Jobs) Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands service occupations (Jobs) Sales, office, administrative occupations Thousands (Jobs) Farm, fishing, forestry occupations Thousands (Jobs) Construction, extraction occupations Thousands (Jobs) Installation, maintenance, repair occupations Thousands (Jobs) Production occupations Thousands (Jobs) Transportation, material moving occupations Thousands (Jobs) Year 14 0.08 0.004 -0.025 -0.098 -0.017 -0.213 -0.035 -0.757 -0.204 -1.01 -0.276 -0.704 0.001 1.725 0.102 0.005 -0.012 Year 15 -0.122 -0.084 -0.041 -0.131 -0.034 -0.233 -0.057 -0.917 -0.239 -1.036 -0.415 -1.178 -0.003 1.407 0.007 -0.063 -0.107 Year 16 -0.287 -0.154 -0.053 -0.156 -0.047 -0.247 -0.074 -1.043 -0.266 -1.048 -0.524 -1.554 -0.007 1.106 -0.074 -0.116 -0.183 Year 17 -0.414 -0.207 -0.063 -0.175 -0.056 -0.257 -0.087 -1.134 -0.285 -1.043 -0.602 -1.83 -0.009 0.838 -0.138 -0.156 -0.24 Year 18 -0.507 -0.245 -0.069 -0.187 -0.063 -0.262 -0.095 -1.195 -0.295 -1.024 -0.654 -2.019 -0.011 0.609 -0.187 -0.184 -0.281 Year 19 -0.571 -0.27 -0.073 -0.195 -0.067 -0.264 -0.1 -1.234 -0.299 -0.996 -0.684 -2.137 -0.013 0.421 -0.222 -0.203 -0.307 Year 20 -0.612 -0.286 -0.075 -0.199 -0.069 -0.263 -0.102 -1.255 -0.298 -0.96 -0.699 -2.2 -0.013 0.268 -0.245 -0.214 -0.323 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Labor Force Thousands Total Migrants Thousands Economic Migrants Thousands Population (Last Year's) Thousands Population 5 Year Cohorts) Thousands College Population Thousands Year 14 -20.284 7.083 7.083 -84.393 -77.453 0 Year 15 -18.201 5.979 5.978 -77.453 -71.372 0 Year 16 -16.719 5.086 5.085 -71.372 -65.985 0 Year 17 -15.956 4.484 4.484 -65.985 -61.049 0 Year 18 -15.348 3.994 3.993 -61.049 -56.497 0 Year 19 -14.847 3.602 3.601 -56.497 -52.278 0 Year 20 -14.37 3.275 3.274 -52.278 -48.369 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Ages 0-4 Thousands Ages 5-9 Thousands Ages 10-14 Thousands Ages 15-19 Thousands Ages 20-24 Thousands Ages 25-29 Thousands Ages 30-34 Thousands Ages 35-39 Thousands Ages 40-44 Thousands Ages 45-49 Thousands Ages 50-54 Thousands Ages 55-59 Thousands Ages 60-64 Thousands Ages 65-69 Thousands Ages 70-74 Thousands Ages 75-79 Thousands Ages 80-84 Thousands Ages 85+ Thousands Year 14 -2.713 -7.002 -10.375 -6.826 -1.686 6.979 -3.191 -13.579 -10.745 -6.836 -5.969 -5.082 -3.385 -2.577 -3.242 -1.224 0 0 Year 15 -1.488 -5.515 -10.413 -6.689 -2.312 6.66 1.375 -12.797 -11.201 -7.11 -5.662 -5.266 -3.499 -2.589 -3.051 -1.816 0 0 Year 16 -0.428 -4.176 -9.237 -7.529 -2.872 5.633 5.348 -11.32 -11.536 -7.504 -5.431 -5.416 -3.638 -2.66 -2.785 -2.435 0 0 Year 17 0.473 -2.933 -8.001 -8.185 -3.356 4.417 8.037 -8.728 -11.789 -8.025 -5.385 -5.428 -3.829 -2.754 -2.569 -2.763 -0.23 0 Year 18 1.197 -1.784 -6.688 -8.692 -3.759 3.16 9.505 -5.267 -11.887 -8.631 -5.501 -5.33 -4.06 -2.864 -2.427 -2.883 -0.585 0 Year 19 1.73 -0.711 -5.377 -9.017 -4.068 1.973 9.82 -1.1 -11.8 -9.296 -5.768 -5.137 -4.321 -2.986 -2.368 -2.836 -1.018 0 Year 20 2.061 0.276 -4.083 -9.21 -4.238 0.921 9.162 3.199 -11.225 -9.91 -6.155 -4.922 -4.572 -3.122 -2.38 -2.67 -1.499 0 Page 37 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units State Revenues at State AverageBillions Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars State Expenditures at State Average Rates Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 1 -1.588 0.453 Year 2 -1.32 0.013 Year 3 -1.125 -0.272 Year 4 -0.929 -0.477 Year 5 -0.799 -0.593 Year 6 -0.551 -0.713 Year 7 -0.435 -0.726 Year 8 -0.34 -0.709 Year 9 -0.299 -0.659 Year 10 -0.257 -0.607 Year 11 -0.217 -0.558 Year 12 -0.207 -0.5 Year 13 -0.199 -0.45 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Intergovernmental Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars General Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Selective Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars License Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Individual Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Corporate Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Current Charges Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 1 -0.114 -0.54 -0.169 -0.047 0 -0.102 -0.065 -0.12 -0.117 0 0 -0.314 Year 2 -0.171 -0.414 -0.13 -0.036 0 -0.074 -0.053 -0.096 -0.094 0 0 -0.252 Year 3 -0.2 -0.33 -0.104 -0.029 0 -0.056 -0.043 -0.079 -0.077 0 0 -0.207 Year 4 -0.21 -0.256 -0.08 -0.022 0 -0.04 -0.034 -0.062 -0.061 0 0 -0.164 Year 5 -0.21 -0.211 -0.066 -0.018 0 -0.03 -0.028 -0.051 -0.05 0 0 -0.134 Year 6 -0.196 -0.129 -0.04 -0.011 0 -0.013 -0.017 -0.031 -0.03 0 0 -0.082 Year 7 -0.18 -0.097 -0.03 -0.008 0 -0.007 -0.012 -0.022 -0.021 0 0 -0.057 Year 8 -0.162 -0.073 -0.023 -0.006 0 -0.002 -0.008 -0.015 -0.014 0 0 -0.038 Year 9 -0.148 -0.064 -0.02 -0.006 0 -0.001 -0.006 -0.012 -0.011 0 0 -0.031 Year 10 -0.135 -0.054 -0.017 -0.005 0 0 -0.005 -0.009 -0.009 0 0 -0.024 Year 11 -0.122 -0.043 -0.014 -0.004 0 0.001 -0.004 -0.007 -0.007 0 0 -0.018 Year 12 -0.111 -0.043 -0.013 -0.004 0 0 -0.004 -0.007 -0.007 0 0 -0.018 Year 13 -0.102 -0.042 -0.013 -0.004 0 -0.001 -0.004 -0.007 -0.007 0 0 -0.019 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Education Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Public Welfare Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Hospitals Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Health Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Highways Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Police Protection Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Correction Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Natural Resources Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Parks and Recreation Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Government Administration Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Interest on General Debt Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other and Unallocable Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 1 -0.096 0.469 -0.003 -0.015 -0.03 -0.002 -0.011 -0.009 -0.001 -0.012 -0.006 -0.026 0 0 0.194 Year 2 -0.141 0.228 -0.005 -0.021 -0.044 -0.003 -0.017 -0.013 -0.001 -0.018 -0.009 -0.038 -0.001 0 0.095 Year 3 -0.17 0.071 -0.006 -0.026 -0.052 -0.003 -0.02 -0.015 -0.001 -0.022 -0.01 -0.046 -0.001 0 0.029 Year 4 -0.183 -0.054 -0.006 -0.028 -0.056 -0.004 -0.021 -0.016 -0.002 -0.024 -0.011 -0.049 -0.001 0 -0.022 Year 5 -0.188 -0.128 -0.006 -0.029 -0.058 -0.004 -0.022 -0.017 -0.002 -0.024 -0.011 -0.051 -0.001 0 -0.053 Year 6 -0.18 -0.225 -0.006 -0.027 -0.056 -0.004 -0.021 -0.016 -0.002 -0.023 -0.011 -0.049 -0.001 0 -0.093 Year 7 -0.169 -0.252 -0.006 -0.026 -0.052 -0.003 -0.02 -0.015 -0.001 -0.022 -0.01 -0.046 -0.001 0 -0.104 Year 8 -0.155 -0.26 -0.005 -0.024 -0.048 -0.003 -0.018 -0.014 -0.001 -0.02 -0.009 -0.042 -0.001 0 -0.108 Year 9 -0.142 -0.245 -0.005 -0.022 -0.044 -0.003 -0.017 -0.013 -0.001 -0.018 -0.009 -0.038 -0.001 0 -0.102 Year 10 -0.129 -0.229 -0.004 -0.02 -0.04 -0.003 -0.015 -0.011 -0.001 -0.017 -0.008 -0.035 0 0 -0.095 Year 11 -0.116 -0.214 -0.004 -0.018 -0.036 -0.002 -0.014 -0.01 -0.001 -0.015 -0.007 -0.031 0 0 -0.089 Year 12 -0.105 -0.19 -0.004 -0.016 -0.032 -0.002 -0.012 -0.009 -0.001 -0.014 -0.006 -0.028 0 0 -0.079 Year 13 -0.096 -0.169 -0.003 -0.015 -0.03 -0.002 -0.011 -0.009 -0.001 -0.012 -0.006 -0.026 0 0 -0.07 Page 38 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units State Revenues at State AverageBillions Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars State Expenditures at State Average Rates Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 14 -0.193 -0.406 Year 15 -0.188 -0.368 Year 16 -0.184 -0.334 Year 17 -0.179 -0.305 Year 18 -0.175 -0.278 Year 19 -0.17 -0.254 Year 20 -0.165 -0.233 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Intergovernmental Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars General Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Selective Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars License Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Individual Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Corporate Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Current Charges Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 14 -0.094 -0.041 -0.013 -0.004 0 -0.001 -0.004 -0.008 -0.008 0 0 -0.021 Year 15 -0.087 -0.04 -0.013 -0.003 0 -0.002 -0.005 -0.008 -0.008 0 0 -0.022 Year 16 -0.08 -0.039 -0.012 -0.003 0 -0.002 -0.005 -0.009 -0.009 0 0 -0.023 Year 17 -0.074 -0.039 -0.012 -0.003 0 -0.002 -0.005 -0.009 -0.009 0 0 -0.025 Year 18 -0.069 -0.037 -0.012 -0.003 0 -0.002 -0.005 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 -0.026 Year 19 -0.064 -0.036 -0.011 -0.003 0 -0.002 -0.006 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 -0.027 Year 20 -0.06 -0.035 -0.011 -0.003 0 -0.003 -0.006 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 -0.027 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Education Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Public Welfare Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Hospitals Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Health Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Highways Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Police Protection Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Correction Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Natural Resources Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Parks and Recreation Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Government Administration Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Interest on General Debt Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other and Unallocable Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 14 -0.088 -0.151 -0.003 -0.013 -0.027 -0.002 -0.01 -0.008 -0.001 -0.011 -0.005 -0.024 0 0 -0.063 Year 15 -0.081 -0.135 -0.003 -0.012 -0.025 -0.002 -0.009 -0.007 -0.001 -0.01 -0.005 -0.022 0 0 -0.056 Year 16 -0.075 -0.121 -0.003 -0.011 -0.023 -0.002 -0.009 -0.007 -0.001 -0.01 -0.005 -0.02 0 0 -0.05 Year 17 -0.069 -0.109 -0.002 -0.01 -0.021 -0.001 -0.008 -0.006 -0.001 -0.009 -0.004 -0.019 0 0 -0.045 Year 18 -0.064 -0.098 -0.002 -0.01 -0.02 -0.001 -0.007 -0.006 -0.001 -0.008 -0.004 -0.017 0 0 -0.041 Year 19 -0.059 -0.089 -0.002 -0.009 -0.018 -0.001 -0.007 -0.005 -0.001 -0.008 -0.004 -0.016 0 0 -0.037 Year 20 -0.054 -0.08 -0.002 -0.008 -0.017 -0.001 -0.006 -0.005 0 -0.007 -0.003 -0.015 0 0 -0.033 Page 39 Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Category Units Year 1 Total Employment Thousands (Jobs) 73.802 Employment by Occupation Thousands (Jobs) 73.802 Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) 43.289 Self Supply Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 3.829 Total Exports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 1.761 Exports to Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.005 Exports to Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.462 Exports to Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 1.304 Total Imports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 2.386 Imports from Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.618 Imports from Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 1.193 Imports from Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.576 Output Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 5.59 Value-Added Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 3.373 Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars 1.92 Personal Income Billions of Current Dollars 3.133 Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 2.603 PCE-Price Index 2005=100 (Nation) 0.288 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 4.984 Personal Consumption Expenditures Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 1.957 Total National Deflator 2005=1 (Nation) 0 Year 2 98.303 98.303 57.672 5.367 2.109 -0.02 0.46 1.669 2.851 0.729 1.41 0.712 7.476 4.52 2.811 4.614 3.596 0.753 6.666 2.694 0 Year 3 101.585 101.585 60.963 5.891 2.068 -0.039 0.407 1.7 2.593 0.633 1.277 0.683 7.96 4.809 3.245 5.232 3.831 1.048 6.956 2.901 0 Year 4 101.785 101.785 61.355 6.297 1.762 -0.06 0.216 1.606 2.156 0.477 1.06 0.619 8.059 4.877 3.51 5.716 4.016 1.234 7.016 3.041 0 Year 5 57.749 57.749 37.109 4.191 0.52 -0.078 -0.134 0.731 0.276 -0.062 0.135 0.203 4.711 2.829 2.43 3.917 2.534 1.191 3.922 1.925 0 Year 6 45.185 45.185 30.494 3.661 0.069 -0.09 -0.287 0.446 -0.332 -0.24 -0.164 0.072 3.731 2.234 2.087 3.386 2.131 1.014 3.014 1.647 0 Year 7 36.541 36.541 25.833 3.225 -0.227 -0.097 -0.382 0.253 -0.735 -0.355 -0.362 -0.018 2.999 1.793 1.809 2.983 1.827 0.878 2.362 1.45 0 Year 8 28.049 28.049 21.265 2.706 -0.435 -0.101 -0.424 0.09 -1.077 -0.448 -0.531 -0.097 2.272 1.352 1.515 2.54 1.512 0.742 1.713 1.244 0 Year 9 15.965 15.965 14.897 1.982 -0.691 -0.099 -0.47 -0.122 -1.42 -0.531 -0.702 -0.187 1.291 0.745 1.069 1.797 1.024 0.585 0.803 0.9 0 Year 10 15.664 15.664 14.639 1.938 -0.678 -0.094 -0.471 -0.113 -1.275 -0.477 -0.634 -0.164 1.26 0.731 0.982 1.703 0.988 0.453 0.786 0.886 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Category Units Year 1 Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities, and Other Thousands (Jobs) 0.024 Mining Thousands (Jobs) 0.014 Utilities Thousands (Jobs) 0.148 Construction Thousands (Jobs) 13.349 Manufacturing Thousands (Jobs) 0.732 Wholesale Trade Thousands (Jobs) 2.001 Retail Trade Thousands (Jobs) 3.577 Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs) 0.387 Information Thousands (Jobs) 0.759 Finance and Insurance Thousands (Jobs) 1.848 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Thousands (Jobs) 1.168 Professional and Technical Services Thousands (Jobs) 4.168 Management of Companies and Enterprises Thousands (Jobs) 0.083 Administrative and Waste Services Thousands (Jobs) 4.642 Educational Services Thousands (Jobs) 0.614 Health Care and Social Assistance Thousands (Jobs) 3.836 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Thousands (Jobs) 0.51 Accommodation and Food Services Thousands (Jobs) 2.148 Other Services, except Public Administration Thousands (Jobs) 3.281 State and Local Government Employment Thousands (Jobs) 30.513 Federal Civilian Employment Thousands (Jobs) 0 Federal Military Employment Thousands (Jobs) 0 Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) 0 Year 2 0.023 0.021 0.197 20.033 0.713 2.338 4.45 0.446 0.779 2.312 1.659 4.933 0.076 5.96 0.854 4.953 0.657 2.963 4.303 40.63 0 0 0 Year 3 0.015 0.024 0.205 25.003 0.452 1.978 4.144 0.371 0.545 2.19 1.836 4.325 0.036 5.749 0.902 5.028 0.649 3.167 4.343 40.622 0 0 0 Year 4 0.011 0.027 0.213 28.284 0.156 1.48 3.651 0.283 0.29 2.018 1.994 3.426 -0.008 5.392 0.929 5.012 0.63 3.293 4.275 40.43 0 0 0 Year 5 Year 6 0.004 0.021 0.134 23.346 -0.596 -0.575 0.506 -0.083 -0.509 0.458 1.346 -1.007 -0.118 1.23 0.445 2.038 0.256 1.831 1.766 14.692 0 0 0 Year 7 0.009 0.019 0.125 22.081 -0.662 -0.868 0.097 -0.12 -0.587 0.272 1.264 -1.635 -0.129 0.634 0.37 1.692 0.221 1.624 1.424 10.708 0 0 0 Year 8 0.013 0.017 0.113 20.365 -0.684 -1.073 -0.22 -0.141 -0.628 0.12 1.152 -2.098 -0.131 0.113 0.297 1.359 0.187 1.409 1.096 6.784 0 0 0 Year 9 0.016 0.015 0.094 17.577 -0.692 -1.22 -0.562 -0.165 -0.659 -0.09 0.977 -2.595 -0.13 -0.571 0.196 0.828 0.136 1.101 0.639 1.068 0 0 0 Year 10 0.022 0.014 0.091 15.979 -0.595 -1.056 -0.367 -0.126 -0.557 -0.006 0.966 -2.278 -0.114 -0.429 0.197 0.958 0.158 1.11 0.671 1.025 0 0 0 0 0.022 0.146 24.284 -0.433 -0.073 1.207 -0.004 -0.336 0.787 1.449 0.062 -0.092 2.185 0.555 2.61 0.324 2.133 2.283 20.64 0 0 0 Page 40 Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Year 11 Category Units 15.119 Total Employment Thousands (Jobs) 15.119 Employment by Occupation Thousands (Jobs) 14.139 Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) 1.869 Self Supply Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.655 Total Exports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.088 Exports to Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.467 Exports to Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.1 Exports to Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -1.119 Total Imports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.42 Imports from Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.559 Imports from Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.14 Imports from Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 1.215 Output Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.708 Value-Added Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.909 Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars 1.63 Personal Income Billions of Current Dollars 0.947 Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.372 PCE-Price Index 2005=100 (Nation) 0.761 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.865 Personal Consumption Expenditures Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0 Total National Deflator 2005=1 (Nation) Year 12 14.887 14.887 13.926 1.81 -0.578 -0.081 -0.429 -0.067 -0.926 -0.351 -0.467 -0.107 1.232 0.724 0.879 1.605 0.927 0.314 0.776 0.856 0 Year 13 14.395 14.395 13.464 1.722 -0.509 -0.075 -0.392 -0.041 -0.767 -0.294 -0.392 -0.081 1.213 0.717 0.848 1.582 0.904 0.272 0.768 0.842 0 Year 14 13.8 13.8 12.905 1.626 -0.446 -0.069 -0.358 -0.019 -0.631 -0.246 -0.327 -0.058 1.18 0.702 0.819 1.566 0.882 0.24 0.75 0.827 0 Year 15 13.17 13.17 12.312 1.53 -0.389 -0.064 -0.325 0 -0.514 -0.204 -0.271 -0.039 1.141 0.682 0.795 1.555 0.86 0.217 0.729 0.812 0 Year 16 12.536 12.536 11.717 1.438 -0.338 -0.059 -0.296 0.017 -0.412 -0.167 -0.222 -0.023 1.1 0.661 0.775 1.552 0.841 0.199 0.706 0.796 0 Year 17 11.912 11.912 11.131 1.351 -0.293 -0.054 -0.27 0.031 -0.325 -0.137 -0.178 -0.01 1.057 0.638 0.758 1.554 0.824 0.186 0.681 0.779 0 Year 18 11.305 11.305 10.562 1.268 -0.254 -0.05 -0.247 0.043 -0.249 -0.112 -0.139 0.002 1.014 0.615 0.742 1.56 0.808 0.175 0.656 0.76 0 Year 19 10.737 10.737 10.031 1.193 -0.22 -0.046 -0.226 0.053 -0.18 -0.088 -0.104 0.012 0.973 0.593 0.73 1.572 0.795 0.166 0.632 0.742 0 Year 20 10.183 10.183 9.513 1.12 -0.19 -0.043 -0.208 0.061 -0.121 -0.067 -0.075 0.021 0.931 0.569 0.719 1.587 0.782 0.159 0.607 0.722 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Year 11 Category Units 0.027 Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities, and Other Thousands (Jobs) 0.013 Mining Thousands (Jobs) 0.088 Utilities Thousands (Jobs) 14.264 Construction Thousands (Jobs) -0.5 Manufacturing Thousands (Jobs) -0.892 Wholesale Trade Thousands (Jobs) -0.183 Retail Trade Thousands (Jobs) -0.091 Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs) -0.458 Information Thousands (Jobs) 0.065 Finance and Insurance Thousands (Jobs) Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 0.939 Thousands (Jobs) Professional and Technical Services -1.957 Thousands (Jobs) Management of Companies and Enterprises -0.097 Thousands (Jobs) Administrative and Waste Services -0.297 Thousands (Jobs) 0.199 Educational Services Thousands (Jobs) Health Care and Social Assistance 1.052 Thousands (Jobs) Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 0.176 Thousands (Jobs) Accommodation and Food Services 1.11 Thousands (Jobs) Other Services, except Public Administration 0.68 Thousands (Jobs) State and Local Government Employment 0.98 Thousands (Jobs) 0 Federal Civilian Employment Thousands (Jobs) 0 Federal Military Employment Thousands (Jobs) 0 Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Year 12 0.031 0.012 0.084 12.744 -0.404 -0.715 0.017 -0.056 -0.359 0.136 0.907 -1.597 -0.08 -0.154 0.204 1.148 0.193 1.115 0.699 0.962 0 0 0 Year 13 0.034 0.012 0.08 11.266 -0.325 -0.568 0.175 -0.028 -0.278 0.192 0.868 -1.297 -0.066 -0.04 0.208 1.218 0.204 1.108 0.702 0.931 0 0 0 Year 14 0.037 0.011 0.076 9.896 -0.259 -0.445 0.302 -0.004 -0.21 0.236 0.826 -1.044 -0.053 0.053 0.209 1.272 0.212 1.094 0.697 0.895 0 0 0 Year 15 0.039 0.01 0.072 8.661 -0.204 -0.342 0.403 0.015 -0.154 0.27 0.783 -0.828 -0.043 0.129 0.21 1.314 0.217 1.074 0.688 0.857 0 0 0 Year 16 0.04 0.009 0.067 7.565 -0.159 -0.256 0.483 0.03 -0.108 0.296 0.742 -0.645 -0.033 0.189 0.209 1.345 0.22 1.049 0.675 0.819 0 0 0 Year 17 0.041 0.008 0.063 6.601 -0.121 -0.185 0.544 0.042 -0.071 0.316 0.701 -0.491 -0.026 0.237 0.206 1.367 0.22 1.019 0.659 0.781 0 0 0 Year 18 0.041 0.007 0.059 5.757 -0.09 -0.125 0.589 0.052 -0.041 0.33 0.661 -0.36 -0.019 0.274 0.203 1.379 0.219 0.986 0.641 0.743 0 0 0 Year 19 0.041 0.006 0.055 5.021 -0.063 -0.075 0.624 0.06 -0.016 0.34 0.622 -0.248 -0.014 0.302 0.199 1.385 0.216 0.953 0.621 0.706 0 0 0 Year 20 0.041 0.006 0.051 4.379 -0.041 -0.034 0.647 0.066 0.004 0.345 0.585 -0.154 -0.01 0.322 0.195 1.383 0.211 0.916 0.6 0.669 0 0 0 Page 41 Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Category Units Year 1 Management, business, financial Thousands occupations(Jobs) 7.995 Computer, math, architect, engineer occupations Thousands (Jobs) 3.295 Life, physical, social science occupations Thousands (Jobs) 1.004 Community, social service occupations Thousands (Jobs) 0.686 Legal occupations Thousands (Jobs) 1.171 Education, training, library occupations Thousands (Jobs) 1.381 Arts, design, entertainment, sports, media occupations Thousands (Jobs) 0.739 Healthcare occupations Thousands (Jobs) 4.207 Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs) 8.123 Food preparation, serving relatedThousands occupations(Jobs) 2.464 Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands service occupations (Jobs) 4.289 Sales, office, administrative occupations Thousands (Jobs) 17.824 Farm, fishing, forestry occupations Thousands (Jobs) 0.133 Construction, extraction occupations Thousands (Jobs) 10.893 Installation, maintenance, repair occupations Thousands (Jobs) 3.596 Production occupations Thousands (Jobs) 2.108 Transportation, material moving occupations Thousands (Jobs) 3.892 Year 2 10.561 4.166 1.302 0.896 1.515 1.849 0.912 5.495 10.81 3.341 5.626 23.104 0.168 15.96 4.898 2.641 5.059 Year 3 10.731 3.98 1.27 0.906 1.474 1.878 0.847 5.512 10.809 3.495 5.628 22.893 0.159 19.194 5.252 2.523 5.034 Year 4 10.611 3.662 1.215 0.895 1.405 1.882 0.756 5.446 10.745 3.568 5.521 22.027 0.15 21.297 5.424 2.321 4.86 Year 5 5.614 1.347 0.526 0.472 0.595 1.005 0.235 2.722 5.452 2.161 2.805 10.667 0.064 17.282 3.464 0.926 2.414 Year 6 4.163 0.643 0.318 0.364 0.35 0.75 0.084 1.985 3.866 1.788 2.048 7.382 0.042 16.247 2.931 0.524 1.699 Year 7 3.187 0.202 0.184 0.295 0.193 0.582 -0.004 1.518 2.808 1.54 1.558 5.262 0.029 15.137 2.54 0.278 1.231 Year 8 2.249 -0.18 0.06 0.228 0.05 0.418 -0.078 1.07 1.768 1.291 1.093 3.323 0.017 13.743 2.129 0.067 0.8 Year 9 0.922 -0.672 -0.11 0.132 -0.15 0.181 -0.171 0.403 0.255 0.937 0.44 0.733 0 11.537 1.512 -0.21 0.226 Year 10 0.948 -0.564 -0.09 0.144 -0.127 0.189 -0.134 0.494 0.26 0.961 0.501 1.026 0.005 10.497 1.431 -0.147 0.271 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Category Units Year 1 Labor Force Thousands 15.173 Total Migrants Thousands 14.63 Economic Migrants Thousands 14.63 Population (Last Year's) Thousands 0 Population 5 Year Cohorts) Thousands 14.802 College Population Thousands 0 Year 2 29.867 16.475 16.475 14.802 31.81 0 Year 3 41.096 14.709 14.709 31.81 47.411 0 Year 4 49.786 12.833 12.833 47.411 61.444 0 Year 5 47.458 2.462 2.462 61.444 65.261 0 Year 6 44.441 0.078 0.078 65.26 66.691 0 Year 7 40.979 -1.482 -1.482 66.691 66.507 0 Year 8 36.971 -2.856 -2.856 66.507 64.857 0 Year 9 31.66 -4.862 -4.862 64.857 61.068 0 Year 10 27.98 -4.063 -4.063 61.068 57.929 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Category Units Year 1 Ages 0-4 Thousands 1.554 Ages 5-9 Thousands 1.152 Ages 10-14 Thousands 0.918 Ages 15-19 Thousands 0.963 Ages 20-24 Thousands 2.326 Ages 25-29 Thousands 2.127 Ages 30-34 Thousands 1.554 Ages 35-39 Thousands 1.157 Ages 40-44 Thousands 1.012 Ages 45-49 Thousands 0.736 Ages 50-54 Thousands 0.546 Ages 55-59 Thousands 0.404 Ages 60-64 Thousands 0.352 Ages 65-69 Thousands 0 Ages 70-74 Thousands 0 Ages 75-79 Thousands 0 Ages 80-84 Thousands 0 Ages 85+ Thousands 0 Year 2 3.408 2.501 1.997 1.933 4.733 4.623 3.411 2.519 2.182 1.616 1.192 0.873 0.767 0.055 0 0 0 0 Year 3 5.179 3.768 3.015 2.718 6.561 6.961 5.211 3.816 3.259 2.465 1.809 1.317 1.153 0.178 0 0 0 0 Year 4 6.827 4.934 3.964 3.391 7.754 9.095 6.936 5.046 4.224 3.278 2.391 1.739 1.499 0.367 0 0 0 0 Year 5 7.432 5.314 4.303 3.454 7.002 9.714 7.662 5.535 4.491 3.618 2.619 1.904 1.591 0.622 0 0 0 0 Year 6 7.581 5.672 4.503 3.519 5.814 9.818 8.141 5.879 4.606 3.844 2.774 2.023 1.611 0.907 0 0 0 0 Year 7 7.416 5.982 4.611 3.585 4.541 9.388 8.437 6.141 4.647 3.967 2.887 2.107 1.596 1.151 0.051 0 0 0 Year 8 6.985 6.21 4.632 3.615 3.352 8.395 8.542 6.327 4.639 3.983 2.965 2.157 1.564 1.327 0.163 0 0 0 Year 9 6.231 6.287 4.519 3.532 2.211 6.75 8.366 6.38 4.542 3.852 2.98 2.152 1.507 1.424 0.336 0 0 0 Year 10 5.56 6.314 4.429 3.508 1.58 4.952 8.141 6.496 4.541 3.719 3.028 2.166 1.494 1.432 0.568 0 0 0 Page 42 Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Year 11 Category Units 0.953 Management, business, financial Thousands occupations(Jobs) -0.457 Computer, math, architect, engineer occupations Thousands (Jobs) -0.071 Life, physical, social science occupations Thousands (Jobs) 0.152 Community, social service occupations Thousands (Jobs) -0.104 Legal occupations Thousands (Jobs) Education, training, library occupations 0.195 Thousands (Jobs) Arts, design, entertainment, sports, media occupations -0.1 Thousands (Jobs) 0.566 Healthcare occupations Thousands (Jobs) 0.262 Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Food preparation, serving relatedThousands occupations(Jobs) 0.975 Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands service occupations 0.546 (Jobs) Sales, office, administrative occupations 1.268 Thousands (Jobs) Farm, fishing, forestry occupations 0.009 Thousands (Jobs) Construction, extraction occupations 9.379 Thousands (Jobs) Installation, maintenance, repair occupations 1.331 Thousands (Jobs) -0.09 Production occupations Thousands (Jobs) Transportation, material moving occupations 0.305 Thousands (Jobs) Year 12 0.989 -0.335 -0.049 0.161 -0.077 0.204 -0.064 0.642 0.272 0.995 0.598 1.569 0.013 8.393 1.251 -0.026 0.352 Year 13 0.993 -0.238 -0.031 0.166 -0.056 0.209 -0.034 0.699 0.275 1.001 0.632 1.769 0.017 7.43 1.16 0.021 0.379 Year 14 0.982 -0.158 -0.017 0.169 -0.038 0.213 -0.011 0.744 0.275 0.998 0.654 1.908 0.02 6.538 1.07 0.058 0.396 Year 15 0.962 -0.091 -0.005 0.171 -0.024 0.215 0.009 0.779 0.272 0.988 0.667 2.001 0.022 5.732 0.983 0.087 0.404 Year 16 0.937 -0.037 0.005 0.171 -0.012 0.215 0.024 0.805 0.268 0.972 0.673 2.058 0.023 5.016 0.903 0.108 0.406 Year 17 0.908 0.008 0.013 0.171 -0.002 0.213 0.037 0.824 0.262 0.951 0.673 2.087 0.024 4.386 0.829 0.124 0.404 Year 18 0.876 0.044 0.02 0.169 0.006 0.211 0.046 0.837 0.254 0.926 0.669 2.093 0.025 3.833 0.761 0.136 0.399 Year 19 0.845 0.074 0.025 0.167 0.012 0.208 0.054 0.845 0.247 0.899 0.661 2.086 0.025 3.352 0.699 0.145 0.392 Year 20 0.813 0.098 0.029 0.164 0.018 0.204 0.06 0.846 0.238 0.869 0.649 2.062 0.026 2.93 0.642 0.151 0.383 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Year 11 Category Units 25.083 Labor Force Thousands -3.616 Total Migrants Thousands -3.616 Economic Migrants Thousands 57.929 Population (Last Year's) Thousands 55.1 Population 5 Year Cohorts) Thousands 0 College Population Thousands Year 12 22.844 -3.201 -3.201 55.1 52.557 0 Year 13 21.005 -2.923 -2.923 52.557 50.169 0 Year 14 19.436 -2.713 -2.713 50.169 47.875 0 Year 15 18.069 -2.541 -2.541 47.875 45.643 0 Year 16 16.861 -2.392 -2.392 45.643 43.461 0 Year 17 15.832 -2.277 -2.277 43.461 41.306 0 Year 18 14.917 -2.18 -2.18 41.306 39.174 0 Year 19 14.097 -2.093 -2.093 39.174 37.069 0 Year 20 13.341 -2.017 -2.017 37.07 34.996 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Year 11 Category Units 4.914 Ages 0-4 Thousands 6.128 Ages 5-9 Thousands 4.512 Ages 10-14 Thousands 3.509 Ages 15-19 Thousands 1.31 Ages 20-24 Thousands 3.161 Ages 25-29 Thousands 7.746 Ages 30-34 Thousands 6.614 Ages 35-39 Thousands 4.604 Ages 40-44 Thousands 3.597 Ages 45-49 Thousands 3.081 Ages 50-54 Thousands 2.194 Ages 55-59 Thousands 1.509 Ages 60-64 Thousands 1.395 Ages 65-69 Thousands 0.827 Ages 70-74 Thousands 0 Ages 75-79 Thousands 0 Ages 80-84 Thousands 0 Ages 85+ Thousands Year 12 4.299 5.798 4.684 3.523 1.286 1.599 7.062 6.726 4.729 3.517 3.117 2.242 1.544 1.341 1.047 0.045 0 0 Year 13 3.71 5.351 4.894 3.538 1.395 0.392 6.034 6.802 4.902 3.49 3.12 2.308 1.589 1.292 1.207 0.144 0 0 Year 14 3.163 4.788 5.124 3.549 1.549 -0.401 4.672 6.826 5.113 3.523 3.085 2.392 1.64 1.264 1.294 0.296 0 0 Year 15 2.635 4.252 5.258 3.547 1.698 -0.787 3.076 6.742 5.34 3.613 3.021 2.486 1.693 1.268 1.301 0.499 0 0 Year 16 2.134 3.715 5.159 3.7 1.836 -0.862 1.45 6.462 5.548 3.748 2.954 2.578 1.752 1.296 1.268 0.724 0 0 Year 17 1.665 3.182 4.895 3.925 1.956 -0.739 0.012 5.867 5.727 3.926 2.915 2.642 1.823 1.338 1.22 0.915 0.038 0 Year 18 1.24 2.66 4.502 4.178 2.057 -0.514 -1.096 4.915 5.857 4.141 2.922 2.668 1.906 1.388 1.177 1.053 0.12 0 Year 19 0.868 2.168 3.983 4.443 2.139 -0.262 -1.807 3.618 5.927 4.386 2.98 2.654 2.003 1.442 1.153 1.128 0.246 0 Year 20 0.559 1.687 3.485 4.608 2.199 -0.032 -2.126 2.081 5.884 4.642 3.092 2.609 2.109 1.497 1.157 1.134 0.413 0 Page 43 Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Category Units Year 1 State Revenues at State AverageBillions Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.299 State Expenditures at State Average Rates Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.158 Year 2 0.383 -0.11 Year 3 0.384 0.006 Year 4 0.369 0.127 Year 5 0.175 0.346 Year 6 0.119 0.418 Year 7 0.079 0.46 Year 8 0.043 0.488 Year 9 0 0.509 Year 10 0.01 0.482 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Category Units Year 1 Intergovernmental Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.019 General Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.104 Selective Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.033 License Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.009 Individual Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0 Corporate Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.01 Other Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.013 Current Charges Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.024 Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.024 Utility Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0 Liquor Store Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0 Insurance Trust Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.063 Year 2 0.041 0.113 0.035 0.01 0 0.012 0.018 0.033 0.033 0 0 0.088 Year 3 0.06 0.09 0.028 0.008 0 0.012 0.02 0.036 0.035 0 0 0.094 Year 4 0.077 0.062 0.019 0.005 0 0.011 0.021 0.038 0.037 0 0 0.099 Year 5 0.081 -0.023 -0.007 -0.002 0 0.005 0.013 0.024 0.023 0 0 0.062 Year 6 0.081 -0.049 -0.015 -0.004 0 0.003 0.011 0.02 0.02 0 0 0.052 Year 7 0.08 -0.065 -0.02 -0.006 0 0.002 0.009 0.017 0.017 0 0 0.045 Year 8 0.077 -0.077 -0.024 -0.007 0 0.001 0.008 0.014 0.014 0 0 0.037 Year 9 0.073 -0.086 -0.027 -0.007 0 -0.001 0.005 0.009 0.009 0 0 0.025 Year 10 0.069 -0.075 -0.024 -0.007 0 0 0.005 0.009 0.009 0 0 0.024 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Category Units Year 1 Education Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.027 Public Welfare Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.154 Hospitals Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.001 Health Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.004 Highways Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.008 Police Protection Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.001 Correction Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.003 Natural Resources Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.002 Parks and Recreation Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0 Government Administration Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.004 Interest on General Debt Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.002 Other and Unallocable Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.007 Utility Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0 Liquor Store Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0 Insurance Trust Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.064 Year 2 0.058 -0.168 0.002 0.009 0.018 0.001 0.007 0.005 0 0.007 0.004 0.016 0 0 -0.069 Year 3 0.088 -0.131 0.003 0.013 0.027 0.002 0.01 0.008 0.001 0.011 0.005 0.024 0 0 -0.055 Year 4 0.116 -0.089 0.004 0.018 0.036 0.002 0.014 0.01 0.001 0.015 0.007 0.031 0 0 -0.037 Year 5 0.125 0.051 0.004 0.019 0.038 0.003 0.015 0.011 0.001 0.016 0.008 0.034 0 0 0.021 Year 6 0.129 0.095 0.004 0.02 0.04 0.003 0.015 0.012 0.001 0.017 0.008 0.035 0 0 0.039 Year 7 0.131 0.122 0.004 0.02 0.04 0.003 0.015 0.012 0.001 0.017 0.008 0.035 0 0 0.051 Year 8 0.129 0.144 0.004 0.02 0.04 0.003 0.015 0.012 0.001 0.017 0.008 0.035 0 0 0.06 Year 9 0.123 0.169 0.004 0.019 0.038 0.002 0.014 0.011 0.001 0.016 0.007 0.033 0 0 0.07 Year 10 0.117 0.159 0.004 0.018 0.036 0.002 0.014 0.01 0.001 0.015 0.007 0.032 0 0 0.066 Page 44 Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Year 11 Category Units 0.02 State Revenues at State AverageBillions Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.459 State Expenditures at State Average Rates Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 12 0.032 0.436 Year 13 0.042 0.416 Year 14 0.05 0.398 Year 15 0.056 0.379 Year 16 0.06 0.362 Year 17 0.064 0.344 Year 18 0.067 0.327 Year 19 0.069 0.311 Year 20 0.07 0.294 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Category Units Year 11 Intergovernmental Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.066 General Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.065 Selective Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.02 License Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.006 Individual Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0 Corporate Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0 Other Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.005 Current Charges Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.009 Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.008 Utility Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0 Liquor Store Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0 Insurance Trust Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.023 Year 12 0.063 -0.054 -0.017 -0.005 0 0 0.005 0.008 0.008 0 0 0.022 Year 13 0.061 -0.044 -0.014 -0.004 0 0.001 0.005 0.008 0.008 0 0 0.022 Year 14 0.058 -0.036 -0.011 -0.003 0 0.001 0.004 0.008 0.008 0 0 0.021 Year 15 0.055 -0.029 -0.009 -0.003 0 0.001 0.004 0.008 0.008 0 0 0.021 Year 16 0.053 -0.023 -0.007 -0.002 0 0.001 0.004 0.008 0.007 0 0 0.02 Year 17 0.05 -0.018 -0.006 -0.002 0 0.001 0.004 0.008 0.007 0 0 0.02 Year 18 0.048 -0.014 -0.004 -0.001 0 0.001 0.004 0.007 0.007 0 0 0.019 Year 19 0.045 -0.011 -0.003 -0.001 0 0.001 0.004 0.007 0.007 0 0 0.019 Year 20 0.043 -0.007 -0.002 -0.001 0 0.001 0.004 0.007 0.007 0 0 0.019 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Category Units Year 11 Education Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.112 Public Welfare Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.151 Hospitals Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.004 Health Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.017 Highways Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.034 Police Protection Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.002 Correction Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.013 Natural Resources Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.01 Parks and Recreation Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.001 Government Administration Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.014 Interest on General Debt Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.007 Other and Unallocable Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.03 Utility Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0 Liquor Store Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0 Insurance Trust Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.063 Year 12 0.107 0.143 0.004 0.016 0.033 0.002 0.012 0.01 0.001 0.014 0.006 0.029 0 0 0.059 Year 13 0.102 0.136 0.003 0.016 0.031 0.002 0.012 0.009 0.001 0.013 0.006 0.028 0 0 0.056 Year 14 0.098 0.13 0.003 0.015 0.03 0.002 0.011 0.009 0.001 0.013 0.006 0.026 0 0 0.054 Year 15 0.093 0.123 0.003 0.014 0.029 0.002 0.011 0.008 0.001 0.012 0.006 0.025 0 0 0.051 Year 16 0.089 0.118 0.003 0.014 0.027 0.002 0.01 0.008 0.001 0.012 0.005 0.024 0 0 0.049 Year 17 0.085 0.112 0.003 0.013 0.026 0.002 0.01 0.008 0.001 0.011 0.005 0.023 0 0 0.046 Year 18 0.081 0.106 0.003 0.012 0.025 0.002 0.009 0.007 0.001 0.01 0.005 0.022 0 0 0.044 Year 19 0.077 0.101 0.003 0.012 0.024 0.002 0.009 0.007 0.001 0.01 0.005 0.021 0 0 0.042 Year 20 0.073 0.095 0.002 0.011 0.022 0.001 0.008 0.006 0.001 0.009 0.004 0.02 0 0 0.039 Page 45 Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Employment Losses Category Units Year 1 Total Employment Thousands (Jobs) 26.067 Employment by Occupation Thousands (Jobs) 26.067 Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) 12.948 Self Supply Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.795 Total Exports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.32 Exports to Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.001 Exports to Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.125 Exports to Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.196 Total Imports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 1.093 Imports from Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.196 Imports from Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.497 Imports from Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.401 Output Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 1.115 Value-Added Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.659 Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars 0.407 Personal Income Billions of Current Dollars 1.072 Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.897 PCE-Price Index 2005=100 (Nation) 0.284 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 1.381 Personal Consumption Expenditures Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.683 Total National Deflator 2005=1 (Nation) 0 Year 2 34.902 34.902 17.421 1.158 0.356 -0.004 0.129 0.231 1.375 0.238 0.608 0.528 1.515 0.899 0.606 1.572 1.246 0.717 1.862 0.949 0 Year 3 36.247 36.247 18.807 1.321 0.35 -0.007 0.123 0.234 1.317 0.215 0.57 0.532 1.671 0.992 0.719 1.773 1.325 0.993 1.953 1.02 0 Year 4 36.519 36.519 19.162 1.466 0.277 -0.011 0.084 0.204 1.196 0.176 0.502 0.519 1.743 1.038 0.793 1.936 1.391 1.168 1.996 1.068 0 Year 5 21.039 21.039 12.212 1.082 0.069 -0.014 0.002 0.081 0.376 0.011 0.127 0.238 1.151 0.683 0.58 1.299 0.866 1.124 1.17 0.659 0 Year 6 16.283 16.283 10.025 0.984 -0.013 -0.016 -0.032 0.035 0.116 -0.044 0.004 0.157 0.971 0.577 0.506 1.106 0.715 0.962 0.923 0.549 0 Year 7 12.936 12.936 8.394 0.894 -0.066 -0.018 -0.053 0.005 -0.058 -0.081 -0.079 0.102 0.828 0.494 0.443 0.963 0.604 0.832 0.745 0.473 0 Year 8 9.737 9.737 6.884 0.785 -0.096 -0.018 -0.063 -0.015 -0.215 -0.111 -0.15 0.046 0.689 0.412 0.378 0.807 0.491 0.7 0.57 0.396 0 Year 9 5.072 5.072 4.704 0.61 -0.136 -0.018 -0.075 -0.043 -0.396 -0.143 -0.232 -0.022 0.474 0.281 0.273 0.539 0.311 0.548 0.301 0.267 0 Year 10 4.634 4.634 4.295 0.57 -0.141 -0.017 -0.078 -0.046 -0.354 -0.131 -0.214 -0.009 0.429 0.255 0.239 0.503 0.295 0.418 0.274 0.259 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities, and Other Thousands (Jobs) Mining Thousands (Jobs) Utilities Thousands (Jobs) Construction Thousands (Jobs) Manufacturing Thousands (Jobs) Wholesale Trade Thousands (Jobs) Retail Trade Thousands (Jobs) Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs) Information Thousands (Jobs) Finance and Insurance Thousands (Jobs) Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Thousands (Jobs) Professional and Technical Services Thousands (Jobs) Management of Companies and Enterprises Thousands (Jobs) Administrative and Waste Services Thousands (Jobs) Educational Services Thousands (Jobs) Health Care and Social Assistance Thousands (Jobs) Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Thousands (Jobs) Accommodation and Food Services Thousands (Jobs) Other Services, except Public Administration Thousands (Jobs) State and Local Government Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Civilian Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Military Employment Thousands (Jobs) Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Year 2 0.005 0.006 0.021 7.868 0.154 0.381 1.365 0.032 0.059 0.211 0.79 0.974 0.009 1.717 0.118 1.45 0.175 0.791 1.296 17.481 0 0 0 Year 3 -0.002 0.006 0.021 9.599 0.092 0.326 1.285 0.023 0.041 0.194 0.854 0.848 -0.009 1.626 0.122 1.459 0.172 0.847 1.302 17.44 0 0 0 Year 4 -0.006 0.006 0.022 10.615 0.019 0.247 1.144 0.011 0.022 0.17 0.894 0.663 -0.027 1.499 0.124 1.439 0.166 0.883 1.272 17.357 0 0 0 Year 5 -0.011 0.004 0.014 8.817 -0.124 -0.007 0.387 -0.016 -0.027 0.043 0.583 -0.013 -0.053 0.55 0.069 0.696 0.082 0.572 0.647 8.827 0 0 0 Year 6 -0.009 0.003 0.011 8.215 -0.168 -0.092 0.149 -0.026 -0.042 0.001 0.483 -0.244 -0.062 0.249 0.051 0.499 0.06 0.482 0.467 6.258 0 0 0 Year 7 -0.007 0.002 0.01 7.559 -0.186 -0.143 0.006 -0.031 -0.049 -0.022 0.408 -0.384 -0.066 0.064 0.039 0.377 0.047 0.42 0.348 4.542 0 0 0 Year 8 -0.004 0.001 0.008 6.847 -0.191 -0.178 -0.103 -0.033 -0.053 -0.038 0.334 -0.484 -0.065 -0.089 0.028 0.267 0.036 0.36 0.241 2.853 0 0 0 Year 9 -0.002 0 0.006 5.679 -0.192 -0.206 -0.224 -0.034 -0.056 -0.058 0.238 -0.593 -0.062 -0.291 0.014 0.097 0.021 0.273 0.092 0.369 0 0 0 Year 10 0.002 0 0.006 5.014 -0.167 -0.182 -0.178 -0.03 -0.049 -0.048 0.228 -0.537 -0.055 -0.254 0.014 0.134 0.026 0.271 0.098 0.339 0 0 0 Year 1 0.009 0.004 0.016 5.477 0.161 0.323 1.076 0.029 0.056 0.169 0.561 0.821 0.017 1.343 0.085 1.118 0.135 0.569 0.979 13.119 0 0 0 Page 46 Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Employment Losses Category Units Year 11 Total Employment Thousands (Jobs) 4.147 Employment by Occupation Thousands (Jobs) 4.147 Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) 3.84 Self Supply Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.524 Total Exports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.143 Exports to Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.016 Exports to Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.079 Exports to Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.048 Total Imports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.308 Imports from Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.119 Imports from Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.194 Imports from Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.005 0.38 Output Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.226 Value-Added Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars 0.206 Personal Income Billions of Current Dollars 0.473 Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.277 PCE-Price Index 2005=100 (Nation) 0.335 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.243 Personal Consumption Expenditures Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.249 Total National Deflator 2005=1 (Nation) 0 Year 12 3.945 3.945 3.654 0.49 -0.128 -0.014 -0.072 -0.042 -0.252 -0.102 -0.165 0.015 0.361 0.215 0.19 0.461 0.269 0.274 0.231 0.246 0 Year 13 3.713 3.713 3.439 0.453 -0.114 -0.013 -0.066 -0.036 -0.205 -0.087 -0.14 0.023 0.339 0.202 0.176 0.452 0.261 0.23 0.217 0.242 0 Year 14 3.482 3.482 3.225 0.418 -0.101 -0.012 -0.059 -0.03 -0.166 -0.075 -0.119 0.028 0.316 0.189 0.164 0.445 0.253 0.197 0.203 0.238 0 Year 15 3.261 3.261 3.02 0.384 -0.089 -0.011 -0.053 -0.025 -0.131 -0.064 -0.1 0.033 0.295 0.176 0.153 0.441 0.247 0.172 0.19 0.234 0 Year 16 3.056 3.056 2.83 0.354 -0.079 -0.01 -0.048 -0.021 -0.102 -0.055 -0.084 0.037 0.275 0.165 0.144 0.439 0.241 0.154 0.178 0.23 0 Year 17 2.865 2.865 2.654 0.326 -0.069 -0.009 -0.043 -0.017 -0.076 -0.047 -0.069 0.04 0.257 0.155 0.137 0.439 0.236 0.14 0.167 0.226 0 Year 18 2.688 2.688 2.49 0.301 -0.06 -0.008 -0.038 -0.014 -0.054 -0.04 -0.056 0.042 0.24 0.145 0.13 0.44 0.231 0.129 0.156 0.221 0 Year 19 2.526 2.526 2.341 0.278 -0.053 -0.007 -0.034 -0.011 -0.034 -0.033 -0.044 0.044 0.225 0.136 0.125 0.444 0.228 0.12 0.147 0.216 0 Year 20 2.373 2.373 2.2 0.257 -0.046 -0.007 -0.031 -0.009 -0.017 -0.028 -0.034 0.045 0.21 0.127 0.12 0.448 0.224 0.113 0.138 0.211 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities, and Other Thousands (Jobs) Mining Thousands (Jobs) Utilities Thousands (Jobs) Construction Thousands (Jobs) Manufacturing Thousands (Jobs) Wholesale Trade Thousands (Jobs) Retail Trade Thousands (Jobs) Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs) Information Thousands (Jobs) Finance and Insurance Thousands (Jobs) Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Thousands (Jobs) Professional and Technical Services Thousands (Jobs) Management of Companies and Enterprises Thousands (Jobs) Administrative and Waste Services Thousands (Jobs) Educational Services Thousands (Jobs) Health Care and Social Assistance Thousands (Jobs) Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Thousands (Jobs) Accommodation and Food Services Thousands (Jobs) Other Services, except Public Administration Thousands (Jobs) State and Local Government Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Civilian Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Military Employment Thousands (Jobs) Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Year 12 0.009 0 0.006 3.836 -0.115 -0.132 -0.08 -0.021 -0.034 -0.027 0.208 -0.406 -0.041 -0.172 0.016 0.194 0.035 0.268 0.109 0.291 0 0 0 Year 13 0.012 0 0.006 3.377 -0.093 -0.109 -0.035 -0.017 -0.028 -0.018 0.198 -0.344 -0.034 -0.133 0.017 0.22 0.039 0.267 0.115 0.274 0 0 0 Year 14 0.014 0 0.005 2.955 -0.074 -0.089 0.002 -0.014 -0.022 -0.01 0.189 -0.29 -0.028 -0.1 0.018 0.243 0.042 0.263 0.12 0.257 0 0 0 Year 15 0.016 0 0.005 2.577 -0.059 -0.073 0.033 -0.011 -0.018 -0.003 0.18 -0.242 -0.023 -0.07 0.018 0.262 0.044 0.259 0.123 0.241 0 0 0 Year 16 0.018 0 0.005 2.244 -0.045 -0.058 0.059 -0.008 -0.014 0.003 0.172 -0.201 -0.018 -0.045 0.019 0.278 0.046 0.253 0.125 0.226 0 0 0 Year 17 0.019 0 0.005 1.951 -0.034 -0.046 0.08 -0.006 -0.011 0.007 0.164 -0.165 -0.015 -0.024 0.019 0.291 0.047 0.246 0.126 0.211 0 0 0 Year 18 0.02 0 0.005 1.696 -0.025 -0.036 0.097 -0.004 -0.008 0.011 0.155 -0.135 -0.011 -0.007 0.019 0.301 0.047 0.239 0.126 0.198 0 0 0 Year 19 0.02 0 0.004 1.475 -0.017 -0.028 0.11 -0.002 -0.006 0.015 0.147 -0.108 -0.009 0.008 0.019 0.309 0.047 0.23 0.125 0.185 0 0 0 Year 20 0.021 0 0.004 1.283 -0.01 -0.02 0.12 -0.001 -0.004 0.017 0.139 -0.085 -0.006 0.019 0.019 0.314 0.047 0.221 0.124 0.173 0 0 0 Year 11 0.006 0 0.006 4.314 -0.141 -0.159 -0.134 -0.025 -0.042 -0.038 0.217 -0.478 -0.048 -0.215 0.015 0.162 0.031 0.268 0.1 0.308 0 0 0 Page 47 Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Management, business, financial Thousands occupations(Jobs) Computer, math, architect, engineer occupations Thousands (Jobs) Life, physical, social science occupations Thousands (Jobs) Community, social service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Legal occupations Thousands (Jobs) Education, training, library occupations Thousands (Jobs) Arts, design, entertainment, sports, media occupations Thousands (Jobs) Healthcare occupations Thousands (Jobs) Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Food preparation, serving relatedThousands occupations(Jobs) Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands service occupations (Jobs) Sales, office, administrative occupations Thousands (Jobs) Farm, fishing, forestry occupations Thousands (Jobs) Construction, extraction occupations Thousands (Jobs) Installation, maintenance, repair occupations Thousands (Jobs) Production occupations Thousands (Jobs) Transportation, material moving occupations Thousands (Jobs) Year 1 2.776 1.002 0.363 0.202 0.42 0.448 0.193 1.444 3.418 0.703 1.435 5.843 0.049 4.467 1.336 0.667 1.303 Year 2 3.702 1.297 0.478 0.265 0.554 0.597 0.248 1.898 4.554 0.958 1.891 7.69 0.061 6.317 1.822 0.852 1.718 Year 3 3.795 1.269 0.471 0.266 0.546 0.599 0.239 1.896 4.544 1 1.883 7.719 0.056 7.442 1.958 0.83 1.734 Year 4 3.794 1.209 0.459 0.261 0.533 0.595 0.225 1.869 4.519 1.021 1.841 7.543 0.053 8.09 2.022 0.782 1.704 Year 5 2.079 0.528 0.214 0.13 0.247 0.303 0.092 0.909 2.285 0.609 0.913 3.844 0.021 6.341 1.289 0.341 0.895 Year 6 1.55 0.313 0.139 0.093 0.159 0.215 0.051 0.632 1.612 0.488 0.634 2.699 0.013 5.772 1.065 0.205 0.643 Year 7 1.185 0.173 0.089 0.069 0.101 0.157 0.025 0.454 1.163 0.408 0.453 1.934 0.008 5.226 0.898 0.119 0.474 Year 8 0.836 0.048 0.043 0.047 0.047 0.102 0.003 0.286 0.722 0.332 0.286 1.238 0.004 4.648 0.733 0.045 0.317 Year 9 0.33 -0.123 -0.024 0.017 -0.032 0.021 -0.027 0.039 0.075 0.222 0.052 0.278 -0.002 3.723 0.481 -0.057 0.099 Year 10 0.301 -0.111 -0.021 0.02 -0.028 0.022 -0.023 0.061 0.071 0.225 0.064 0.284 0 3.287 0.434 -0.046 0.093 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Labor Force Thousands Total Migrants Thousands Economic Migrants Thousands Population (Last Year's) Thousands Population 5 Year Cohorts) Thousands College Population Thousands Year 1 4.689 4.191 4.191 0 4.25 0 Year 2 9.173 4.692 4.692 4.25 9.125 0 Year 3 12.586 4.225 4.225 9.125 13.657 0 Year 4 15.238 3.729 3.729 13.657 17.802 0 Year 5 14.532 0.817 0.817 17.802 19.092 0 Year 6 13.617 0.11 0.11 19.092 19.681 0 Year 7 12.554 -0.355 -0.355 19.681 19.79 0 Year 8 11.334 -0.753 -0.753 19.79 19.474 0 Year 9 9.689 -1.357 -1.357 19.474 18.511 0 Year 10 8.514 -1.177 -1.177 18.511 17.678 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Ages 0-4 Thousands Ages 5-9 Thousands Ages 10-14 Thousands Ages 15-19 Thousands Ages 20-24 Thousands Ages 25-29 Thousands Ages 30-34 Thousands Ages 35-39 Thousands Ages 40-44 Thousands Ages 45-49 Thousands Ages 50-54 Thousands Ages 55-59 Thousands Ages 60-64 Thousands Ages 65-69 Thousands Ages 70-74 Thousands Ages 75-79 Thousands Ages 80-84 Thousands Ages 85+ Thousands Year 1 0.453 0.33 0.263 0.276 0.666 0.61 0.445 0.332 0.29 0.211 0.157 0.116 0.101 0 0 0 0 0 Year 2 1.004 0.714 0.57 0.552 1.352 1.321 0.975 0.72 0.624 0.462 0.342 0.25 0.22 0.016 0 0 0 0 Year 3 1.551 1.078 0.863 0.778 1.879 1.994 1.493 1.094 0.934 0.708 0.52 0.379 0.333 0.052 0 0 0 0 Year 4 2.083 1.417 1.138 0.975 2.231 2.615 1.994 1.452 1.216 0.945 0.69 0.503 0.435 0.107 0 0 0 0 Year 5 2.331 1.535 1.243 1 2.034 2.811 2.217 1.603 1.302 1.05 0.762 0.556 0.467 0.182 0 0 0 0 Year 6 2.441 1.654 1.307 1.024 1.705 2.856 2.367 1.711 1.343 1.122 0.812 0.595 0.477 0.267 0 0 0 0 Year 7 2.443 1.773 1.343 1.047 1.348 2.747 2.463 1.795 1.362 1.164 0.85 0.624 0.477 0.342 0.015 0 0 0 Year 8 2.348 1.884 1.355 1.059 1.011 2.475 2.505 1.857 1.367 1.175 0.878 0.643 0.472 0.397 0.049 0 0 0 Year 9 2.138 1.965 1.326 1.038 0.682 2.01 2.463 1.879 1.344 1.142 0.887 0.646 0.459 0.43 0.101 0 0 0 Year 10 1.93 2.037 1.302 1.031 0.492 1.492 2.403 1.916 1.346 1.107 0.904 0.653 0.457 0.436 0.171 0 0 0 Page 48 Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Management, business, financial Thousands occupations(Jobs) Computer, math, architect, engineer occupations Thousands (Jobs) Life, physical, social science occupations Thousands (Jobs) Community, social service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Legal occupations Thousands (Jobs) Education, training, library occupations Thousands (Jobs) Arts, design, entertainment, sports, media occupations Thousands (Jobs) Healthcare occupations Thousands (Jobs) Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Food preparation, serving relatedThousands occupations(Jobs) Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands service occupations (Jobs) Sales, office, administrative occupations Thousands (Jobs) Farm, fishing, forestry occupations Thousands (Jobs) Construction, extraction occupations Thousands (Jobs) Installation, maintenance, repair occupations Thousands (Jobs) Production occupations Thousands (Jobs) Transportation, material moving occupations Thousands (Jobs) Year 11 0.268 -0.098 -0.018 0.022 -0.024 0.023 -0.018 0.08 0.067 0.226 0.073 0.284 0.002 2.83 0.383 -0.036 0.086 Year 12 0.26 -0.078 -0.013 0.025 -0.019 0.025 -0.013 0.102 0.067 0.23 0.088 0.329 0.004 2.518 0.352 -0.021 0.089 Year 13 0.248 -0.061 -0.01 0.028 -0.015 0.027 -0.008 0.121 0.066 0.232 0.1 0.359 0.006 2.219 0.321 -0.009 0.09 Year 14 0.236 -0.046 -0.007 0.03 -0.012 0.028 -0.004 0.137 0.065 0.232 0.11 0.38 0.007 1.944 0.291 0 0.089 Year 15 0.224 -0.034 -0.004 0.031 -0.009 0.03 0 0.15 0.064 0.231 0.118 0.395 0.009 1.697 0.264 0.008 0.088 Year 16 0.212 -0.024 -0.002 0.033 -0.006 0.03 0.002 0.162 0.062 0.228 0.124 0.405 0.01 1.479 0.24 0.015 0.087 Year 17 0.201 -0.015 0 0.034 -0.004 0.031 0.005 0.171 0.06 0.224 0.128 0.411 0.01 1.288 0.217 0.02 0.085 Year 18 0.19 -0.007 0.001 0.034 -0.002 0.031 0.007 0.178 0.059 0.218 0.131 0.412 0.011 1.122 0.198 0.024 0.082 Year 19 0.18 -0.001 0.003 0.035 -0.001 0.031 0.008 0.184 0.057 0.212 0.132 0.411 0.011 0.977 0.18 0.027 0.08 Year 20 0.171 0.004 0.004 0.035 0.001 0.031 0.009 0.188 0.054 0.205 0.132 0.407 0.012 0.851 0.164 0.029 0.077 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Labor Force Thousands Total Migrants Thousands Economic Migrants Thousands Population (Last Year's) Thousands Population 5 Year Cohorts) Thousands College Population Thousands Year 11 7.553 -1.09 -1.09 17.678 16.885 0 Year 12 6.806 -0.983 -0.983 16.885 16.154 0 Year 13 6.191 -0.909 -0.909 16.154 15.453 0 Year 14 5.671 -0.851 -0.851 15.453 14.767 0 Year 15 5.219 -0.802 -0.802 14.767 14.091 0 Year 16 4.825 -0.758 -0.758 14.091 13.422 0 Year 17 4.497 -0.725 -0.725 13.422 12.754 0 Year 18 4.211 -0.697 -0.697 12.754 12.085 0 Year 19 3.961 -0.673 -0.673 12.085 11.418 0 Year 20 3.735 -0.652 -0.652 11.418 10.756 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Ages 0-4 Thousands Ages 5-9 Thousands Ages 10-14 Thousands Ages 15-19 Thousands Ages 20-24 Thousands Ages 25-29 Thousands Ages 30-34 Thousands Ages 35-39 Thousands Ages 40-44 Thousands Ages 45-49 Thousands Ages 50-54 Thousands Ages 55-59 Thousands Ages 60-64 Thousands Ages 65-69 Thousands Ages 70-74 Thousands Ages 75-79 Thousands Ages 80-84 Thousands Ages 85+ Thousands Year 11 1.716 2.039 1.332 1.03 0.4 0.968 2.288 1.951 1.364 1.072 0.92 0.662 0.463 0.429 0.251 0 0 0 Year 12 1.503 1.981 1.402 1.032 0.38 0.504 2.088 1.983 1.399 1.048 0.932 0.678 0.474 0.416 0.321 0.014 0 0 Year 13 1.293 1.87 1.498 1.034 0.4 0.14 1.787 2.004 1.447 1.039 0.933 0.698 0.489 0.404 0.372 0.044 0 0 Year 14 1.093 1.704 1.615 1.035 0.436 -0.108 1.388 2.009 1.507 1.046 0.923 0.723 0.505 0.398 0.403 0.091 0 0 Year 15 0.899 1.529 1.714 1.032 0.473 -0.239 0.918 1.982 1.572 1.071 0.904 0.752 0.522 0.4 0.409 0.155 0 0 Year 16 0.713 1.344 1.738 1.081 0.509 -0.278 0.436 1.899 1.631 1.108 0.884 0.779 0.54 0.41 0.402 0.226 0 0 Year 17 0.537 1.154 1.699 1.165 0.541 -0.257 0.006 1.723 1.682 1.158 0.871 0.799 0.562 0.423 0.391 0.288 0.012 0 Year 18 0.376 0.962 1.603 1.274 0.568 -0.204 -0.332 1.442 1.719 1.219 0.871 0.807 0.588 0.439 0.38 0.334 0.038 0 Year 19 0.234 0.778 1.449 1.401 0.589 -0.14 -0.557 1.059 1.737 1.29 0.887 0.803 0.618 0.457 0.374 0.361 0.078 0 Year 20 0.114 0.597 1.285 1.508 0.603 -0.079 -0.668 0.604 1.722 1.363 0.918 0.789 0.65 0.475 0.377 0.367 0.132 0 Page 49 Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units State Revenues at State AverageBillions Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars State Expenditures at State Average Rates Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 1 0.097 -0.008 Year 2 0.127 -0.007 Year 3 0.13 -0.002 Year 4 0.129 0.002 Year 5 0.067 0.012 Year 6 0.048 0.015 Year 7 0.035 0.017 Year 8 0.023 0.019 Year 9 0.008 0.02 Year 10 0.009 0.019 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Intergovernmental Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars General Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Selective Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars License Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Individual Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Corporate Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Current Charges Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 1 0.005 0.034 0.011 0.003 0 0.002 0.005 0.008 0.008 0 0 0.022 Year 2 0.012 0.039 0.012 0.003 0 0.002 0.006 0.012 0.011 0 0 0.03 Year 3 0.017 0.033 0.01 0.003 0 0.002 0.007 0.012 0.012 0 0 0.033 Year 4 0.022 0.026 0.008 0.002 0 0.002 0.007 0.013 0.013 0 0 0.034 Year 5 0.024 0 0 0 0 0.001 0.004 0.008 0.008 0 0 0.021 Year 6 0.024 -0.008 -0.003 -0.001 0 0.001 0.004 0.007 0.007 0 0 0.018 Year 7 0.024 -0.013 -0.004 -0.001 0 0.001 0.003 0.006 0.006 0 0 0.015 Year 8 0.023 -0.017 -0.005 -0.001 0 0.001 0.003 0.005 0.005 0 0 0.012 Year 9 0.022 -0.021 -0.007 -0.002 0 0 0.002 0.003 0.003 0 0 0.008 Year 10 0.021 -0.019 -0.006 -0.002 0 0 0.001 0.003 0.003 0 0 0.007 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Education Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Public Welfare Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Hospitals Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Health Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Highways Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Police Protection Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Correction Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Natural Resources Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Parks and Recreation Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Government Administration Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Interest on General Debt Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other and Unallocable Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 1 0.001 -0.007 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.003 Year 2 0.002 -0.008 0 0 0.001 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.001 0 0 -0.003 Year 3 0.003 -0.007 0 0.001 0.001 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.001 0 0 -0.003 Year 4 0.004 -0.005 0 0.001 0.001 0 0.001 0 0 0.001 0 0.001 0 0 -0.002 Year 5 0.005 0.001 0 0.001 0.001 0 0.001 0 0 0.001 0 0.001 0 0 0 Year 6 0.005 0.003 0 0.001 0.002 0 0.001 0 0 0.001 0 0.001 0 0 0.001 Year 7 0.005 0.004 0 0.001 0.002 0 0.001 0 0 0.001 0 0.001 0 0 0.002 Year 8 0.005 0.005 0 0.001 0.002 0 0.001 0 0 0.001 0 0.001 0 0 0.002 Year 9 0.005 0.007 0 0.001 0.002 0 0.001 0 0 0.001 0 0.001 0 0 0.003 Year 10 0.005 0.006 0 0.001 0.001 0 0.001 0 0 0.001 0 0.001 0 0 0.003 Page 50 Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units State Revenues at State AverageBillions Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars State Expenditures at State Average Rates Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 11 0.011 0.019 Year 12 0.013 0.018 Year 13 0.015 0.017 Year 14 0.017 0.016 Year 15 0.018 0.016 Year 16 0.019 0.015 Year 17 0.02 0.014 Year 18 0.021 0.013 Year 19 0.021 0.013 Year 20 0.021 0.012 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Intergovernmental Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars General Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Selective Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars License Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Individual Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Corporate Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Current Charges Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 11 0.02 -0.016 -0.005 -0.001 0 0 0.001 0.003 0.002 0 0 0.007 Year 12 0.019 -0.014 -0.004 -0.001 0 0 0.001 0.002 0.002 0 0 0.007 Year 13 0.019 -0.011 -0.004 -0.001 0 0 0.001 0.002 0.002 0 0 0.006 Year 14 0.018 -0.009 -0.003 -0.001 0 0 0.001 0.002 0.002 0 0 0.006 Year 15 0.017 -0.008 -0.002 -0.001 0 0 0.001 0.002 0.002 0 0 0.006 Year 16 0.016 -0.006 -0.002 -0.001 0 0 0.001 0.002 0.002 0 0 0.006 Year 17 0.016 -0.005 -0.002 0 0 0 0.001 0.002 0.002 0 0 0.006 Year 18 0.015 -0.004 -0.001 0 0 0 0.001 0.002 0.002 0 0 0.006 Year 19 0.014 -0.003 -0.001 0 0 0 0.001 0.002 0.002 0 0 0.005 Year 20 0.013 -0.002 -0.001 0 0 0 0.001 0.002 0.002 0 0 0.005 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Education Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Public Welfare Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Hospitals Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Health Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Highways Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Police Protection Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Correction Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Natural Resources Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Parks and Recreation Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Government Administration Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Interest on General Debt Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other and Unallocable Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 11 0.005 0.006 0 0.001 0.001 0 0.001 0 0 0.001 0 0.001 0 0 0.003 Year 12 0.004 0.006 0 0.001 0.001 0 0.001 0 0 0.001 0 0.001 0 0 0.002 Year 13 0.004 0.006 0 0.001 0.001 0 0 0 0 0.001 0 0.001 0 0 0.002 Year 14 0.004 0.005 0 0.001 0.001 0 0 0 0 0.001 0 0.001 0 0 0.002 Year 15 0.004 0.005 0 0.001 0.001 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.001 0 0 0.002 Year 16 0.004 0.005 0 0.001 0.001 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.001 0 0 0.002 Year 17 0.003 0.005 0 0.001 0.001 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.001 0 0 0.002 Year 18 0.003 0.004 0 0.001 0.001 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.001 0 0 0.002 Year 19 0.003 0.004 0 0 0.001 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.001 0 0 0.002 Year 20 0.003 0.004 0 0 0.001 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.001 0 0 0.002 Page 51 Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Year 1 Total Employment Thousands (Jobs) 54.966 Employment by Occupation Thousands (Jobs) 54.965 Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) 21.463 Self Supply Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 1.285 Total Exports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.488 Exports to Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.001 Exports to Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.178 Exports to Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.311 Total Imports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 2.367 Imports from Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.373 Imports from Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.963 Imports from Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 1.031 Output Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 1.774 Value-Added Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 1.053 Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars 0.683 Personal Income Billions of Current Dollars 2.245 Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 1.827 PCE-Price Index 2005=100 (Nation) 0.494 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 2.68 Personal Consumption Expenditures Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 1.395 Total National Deflator 2005=1 (Nation) 0 Year 2 73.383 73.383 28.85 1.868 0.548 -0.004 0.187 0.365 3.11 0.483 1.22 1.407 2.417 1.437 1.025 3.305 2.555 1.205 3.602 1.938 0 Year 3 75.353 75.353 30.938 2.108 0.554 -0.007 0.182 0.379 3.128 0.469 1.188 1.47 2.662 1.579 1.213 3.714 2.713 1.655 3.74 2.076 0 Year 4 75.519 75.519 31.315 2.323 0.457 -0.011 0.129 0.339 3.049 0.431 1.113 1.504 2.781 1.651 1.333 4.058 2.857 1.936 3.804 2.184 0 Year 5 42.534 42.534 19.964 1.692 0.167 -0.014 0.016 0.165 1.438 0.15 0.443 0.845 1.859 1.091 0.975 2.695 1.78 1.871 2.191 1.369 0 Year 6 32.468 32.468 16.427 1.516 0.045 -0.016 -0.032 0.093 0.949 0.059 0.228 0.661 1.56 0.914 0.853 2.299 1.476 1.625 1.697 1.161 0 Year 7 25.551 25.551 13.879 1.365 -0.038 -0.018 -0.062 0.042 0.62 -0.001 0.085 0.536 1.327 0.777 0.753 2.012 1.258 1.425 1.348 1.023 0 Year 8 18.886 18.886 11.511 1.191 -0.084 -0.018 -0.077 0.011 0.309 -0.053 -0.042 0.404 1.107 0.648 0.651 1.7 1.034 1.22 1.009 0.88 0 Year 9 8.881 8.881 7.853 0.903 -0.154 -0.018 -0.096 -0.039 -0.11 -0.12 -0.209 0.219 0.75 0.431 0.475 1.147 0.671 0.98 0.482 0.629 0 Year 10 7.988 7.988 7.06 0.833 -0.174 -0.017 -0.102 -0.055 -0.073 -0.109 -0.193 0.229 0.66 0.379 0.414 1.086 0.64 0.772 0.425 0.615 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities, and Other Thousands (Jobs) Mining Thousands (Jobs) Utilities Thousands (Jobs) Construction Thousands (Jobs) Manufacturing Thousands (Jobs) Wholesale Trade Thousands (Jobs) Retail Trade Thousands (Jobs) Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs) Information Thousands (Jobs) Finance and Insurance Thousands (Jobs) Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Thousands (Jobs) Professional and Technical Services Thousands (Jobs) Management of Companies and Enterprises Thousands (Jobs) Administrative and Waste Services Thousands (Jobs) Educational Services Thousands (Jobs) Health Care and Social Assistance Thousands (Jobs) Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Thousands (Jobs) Accommodation and Food Services Thousands (Jobs) Other Services, except Public Administration Thousands (Jobs) State and Local Government Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Civilian Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Military Employment Thousands (Jobs) Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Year 2 0.003 0.005 0.109 13.446 0.091 0.471 2.758 0.038 0.064 0.226 0.868 1.234 -0.002 2.545 0.225 2.704 0.213 1.585 2.268 44.533 0 0 0 Year 3 -0.001 0.004 0.11 16.028 0.052 0.421 2.616 0.019 0.047 0.197 0.881 1.074 -0.008 2.435 0.232 2.689 0.211 1.689 2.24 44.415 0 0 0 Year 4 -0.002 0.004 0.113 17.3 0 0.345 2.377 -0.005 0.029 0.157 0.865 0.842 -0.014 2.276 0.234 2.646 0.206 1.769 2.173 44.204 0 0 0 Year 5 Year 6 0.002 0.001 0.064 12.451 -0.119 -0.02 0.552 -0.058 -0.03 -0.017 0.39 -0.261 -0.022 0.524 0.101 0.973 0.09 1.003 0.803 16.042 0 0 0 Year 7 0.002 0.001 0.055 11.204 -0.125 -0.067 0.329 -0.06 -0.035 -0.029 0.328 -0.413 -0.022 0.275 0.082 0.773 0.077 0.892 0.611 11.672 0 0 0 Year 8 0.002 0 0.047 9.989 -0.125 -0.103 0.145 -0.059 -0.038 -0.039 0.263 -0.529 -0.022 0.053 0.064 0.586 0.065 0.776 0.435 7.375 0 0 0 Year 9 0.003 0 0.034 7.96 -0.123 -0.139 -0.091 -0.057 -0.041 -0.053 0.168 -0.671 -0.02 -0.261 0.038 0.283 0.045 0.597 0.182 1.028 0 0 0 Year 10 0.005 0 0.034 6.847 -0.106 -0.121 -0.015 -0.049 -0.035 -0.038 0.17 -0.615 -0.018 -0.233 0.039 0.351 0.049 0.599 0.195 0.928 0 0 0 Year 1 0.005 0.003 0.082 9.502 0.093 0.385 2.151 0.039 0.06 0.187 0.643 1.032 0.001 1.973 0.164 2.105 0.163 1.141 1.733 33.503 0 0 0 0 0.001 0.075 13.786 -0.094 0.064 0.95 -0.048 -0.018 0.017 0.492 0.007 -0.019 0.93 0.131 1.309 0.113 1.165 1.101 22.57 0 0 0 Page 52 Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Year 11 Total Employment Thousands (Jobs) 7.027 Employment by Occupation Thousands (Jobs) 7.027 6.202 Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Self Supply Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.756 Total Exports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.191 Exports to Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.016 Exports to Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.105 Exports to Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.07 Total Imports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.031 Imports from Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.097 Imports from Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.174 0.241 Imports from Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.564 Output Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.325 Value-Added Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars 0.356 Personal Income Billions of Current Dollars 1.031 Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.606 PCE-Price Index 2005=100 (Nation) 0.634 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.366 Personal Consumption Expenditures Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.596 Total National Deflator 2005=1 (Nation) 0 Year 12 6.714 6.714 5.933 0.707 -0.175 -0.015 -0.097 -0.062 0.029 -0.077 -0.139 0.245 0.532 0.308 0.33 1.011 0.59 0.531 0.347 0.589 0 Year 13 6.375 6.375 5.638 0.657 -0.158 -0.014 -0.088 -0.056 0.077 -0.06 -0.109 0.245 0.499 0.29 0.308 0.997 0.575 0.455 0.327 0.58 0 Year 14 6.044 6.044 5.348 0.61 -0.143 -0.013 -0.08 -0.049 0.115 -0.046 -0.083 0.244 0.467 0.273 0.291 0.988 0.561 0.398 0.308 0.571 0 Year 15 5.73 5.73 5.072 0.567 -0.128 -0.012 -0.072 -0.043 0.148 -0.033 -0.06 0.241 0.439 0.258 0.276 0.983 0.548 0.355 0.291 0.562 0 Year 16 5.44 5.44 4.818 0.528 -0.114 -0.011 -0.065 -0.038 0.176 -0.022 -0.04 0.238 0.413 0.244 0.265 0.986 0.538 0.324 0.276 0.553 0 Year 17 5.171 5.171 4.582 0.493 -0.102 -0.01 -0.059 -0.033 0.2 -0.013 -0.021 0.235 0.39 0.232 0.256 0.994 0.531 0.3 0.262 0.545 0 Year 18 4.919 4.919 4.361 0.461 -0.092 -0.01 -0.054 -0.029 0.221 -0.005 -0.005 0.231 0.369 0.221 0.25 1.007 0.525 0.283 0.249 0.536 0 Year 19 4.685 4.685 4.156 0.433 -0.082 -0.009 -0.049 -0.025 0.24 0.002 0.01 0.227 0.35 0.211 0.245 1.023 0.521 0.271 0.238 0.527 0 Year 20 4.459 4.459 3.958 0.406 -0.074 -0.008 -0.044 -0.022 0.255 0.009 0.022 0.223 0.332 0.201 0.241 1.044 0.518 0.262 0.227 0.517 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities, and Other Thousands (Jobs) Mining Thousands (Jobs) Utilities Thousands (Jobs) Construction Thousands (Jobs) Manufacturing Thousands (Jobs) Wholesale Trade Thousands (Jobs) Retail Trade Thousands (Jobs) Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs) Information Thousands (Jobs) Finance and Insurance Thousands (Jobs) Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Thousands (Jobs) Professional and Technical Services Thousands (Jobs) Management of Companies and Enterprises Thousands (Jobs) Administrative and Waste Services Thousands (Jobs) Educational Services Thousands (Jobs) Health Care and Social Assistance Thousands (Jobs) Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Thousands (Jobs) Accommodation and Food Services Thousands (Jobs) Other Services, except Public Administration Thousands (Jobs) State and Local Government Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Civilian Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Military Employment Thousands (Jobs) Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Year 12 0.008 0 0.033 5.055 -0.073 -0.081 0.143 -0.034 -0.022 -0.01 0.175 -0.478 -0.014 -0.165 0.044 0.472 0.056 0.599 0.221 0.781 0 0 0 Year 13 0.01 0 0.033 4.449 -0.059 -0.062 0.214 -0.027 -0.016 0.002 0.177 -0.408 -0.012 -0.13 0.047 0.525 0.059 0.598 0.236 0.737 0 0 0 Year 14 0.011 0.001 0.032 3.897 -0.047 -0.046 0.274 -0.021 -0.012 0.012 0.178 -0.346 -0.01 -0.098 0.049 0.571 0.061 0.595 0.248 0.696 0 0 0 Year 15 0.012 0.001 0.032 3.404 -0.036 -0.033 0.322 -0.016 -0.008 0.02 0.178 -0.29 -0.008 -0.07 0.05 0.609 0.063 0.588 0.257 0.657 0 0 0 Year 16 0.013 0.001 0.031 2.97 -0.028 -0.022 0.361 -0.012 -0.005 0.027 0.178 -0.242 -0.007 -0.046 0.051 0.641 0.064 0.578 0.264 0.622 0 0 0 Year 17 0.014 0.001 0.03 2.592 -0.02 -0.013 0.392 -0.008 -0.002 0.032 0.176 -0.199 -0.006 -0.025 0.052 0.668 0.064 0.567 0.268 0.589 0 0 0 Year 18 0.014 0.001 0.029 2.263 -0.014 -0.005 0.415 -0.005 0 0.036 0.173 -0.162 -0.005 -0.008 0.052 0.689 0.064 0.553 0.27 0.558 0 0 0 Year 19 0.014 0.001 0.028 1.977 -0.009 0.002 0.433 -0.002 0.002 0.04 0.168 -0.13 -0.004 0.007 0.052 0.706 0.063 0.539 0.271 0.529 0 0 0 Year 20 0.015 0 0.027 1.729 -0.005 0.007 0.444 0 0.003 0.042 0.163 -0.103 -0.003 0.018 0.051 0.716 0.062 0.523 0.269 0.501 0 0 0 Year 11 0.007 0 0.033 5.694 -0.089 -0.103 0.057 -0.041 -0.028 -0.024 0.171 -0.555 -0.016 -0.204 0.041 0.408 0.053 0.596 0.202 0.825 0 0 0 Page 53 Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Management, business, financial Thousands occupations(Jobs) Computer, math, architect, engineer occupations Thousands (Jobs) Life, physical, social science occupations Thousands (Jobs) Community, social service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Legal occupations Thousands (Jobs) Education, training, library occupations Thousands (Jobs) Arts, design, entertainment, sports, media occupations Thousands (Jobs) Healthcare occupations Thousands (Jobs) Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Food preparation, serving relatedThousands occupations(Jobs) Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands service occupations (Jobs) Sales, office, administrative occupations Thousands (Jobs) Farm, fishing, forestry occupations Thousands (Jobs) Construction, extraction occupations Thousands (Jobs) Installation, maintenance, repair occupations Thousands (Jobs) Production occupations Thousands (Jobs) Transportation, material moving occupations Thousands (Jobs) Year 1 6.003 2.085 0.85 0.366 0.98 1.048 0.362 3.167 8.564 1.428 2.844 12.12 0.106 8.374 2.719 1.24 2.707 Year 2 8.002 2.735 1.125 0.476 1.301 1.392 0.472 4.158 11.393 1.946 3.741 15.97 0.138 11.653 3.674 1.63 3.578 Year 3 8.144 2.707 1.116 0.472 1.294 1.391 0.463 4.139 11.372 2.022 3.711 15.968 0.135 13.324 3.866 1.628 3.602 Year 4 8.13 2.633 1.1 0.46 1.279 1.383 0.445 4.091 11.32 2.072 3.637 15.641 0.132 14.124 3.935 1.587 3.549 Year 5 4.414 1.266 0.541 0.231 0.627 0.709 0.205 2.041 5.771 1.258 1.838 8.068 0.067 10.44 2.387 0.797 1.875 Year 6 3.28 0.846 0.372 0.169 0.429 0.51 0.134 1.46 4.099 1.034 1.311 5.796 0.047 9.146 1.91 0.559 1.366 Year 7 2.509 0.571 0.261 0.13 0.299 0.378 0.089 1.087 2.981 0.885 0.969 4.306 0.034 8.05 1.57 0.405 1.027 Year 8 1.762 0.312 0.152 0.094 0.172 0.25 0.047 0.728 1.88 0.734 0.644 2.903 0.022 6.982 1.238 0.26 0.705 Year 9 0.643 -0.063 -0.007 0.04 -0.017 0.061 -0.014 0.182 0.249 0.506 0.17 0.863 0.003 5.259 0.724 0.047 0.235 Year 10 0.57 -0.06 -0.006 0.046 -0.016 0.062 -0.01 0.22 0.227 0.513 0.181 0.833 0.004 4.525 0.641 0.045 0.213 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Labor Force Thousands Total Migrants Thousands Economic Migrants Thousands Population (Last Year's) Thousands Population 5 Year Cohorts) Thousands College Population Thousands Year 1 9.744 9.874 9.874 0 9.993 0 Year 2 19.772 12.335 12.335 9.993 22.71 0 Year 3 27.814 12.085 12.085 22.71 35.466 0 Year 4 34.404 11.421 11.421 35.467 47.833 0 Year 5 33.678 4.033 4.033 47.833 52.983 0 Year 6 32.238 1.892 1.892 52.983 56.044 0 Year 7 30.376 0.372 0.373 56.044 57.589 0 Year 8 28.084 -0.966 -0.966 57.589 57.761 0 Year 9 24.792 -2.85 -2.849 57.761 55.972 0 Year 10 22.347 -2.683 -2.683 55.972 54.251 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Ages 0-4 Thousands Ages 5-9 Thousands Ages 10-14 Thousands Ages 15-19 Thousands Ages 20-24 Thousands Ages 25-29 Thousands Ages 30-34 Thousands Ages 35-39 Thousands Ages 40-44 Thousands Ages 45-49 Thousands Ages 50-54 Thousands Ages 55-59 Thousands Ages 60-64 Thousands Ages 65-69 Thousands Ages 70-74 Thousands Ages 75-79 Thousands Ages 80-84 Thousands Ages 85+ Thousands Year 1 1.049 0.778 0.62 0.65 1.57 1.436 1.049 0.781 0.683 0.497 0.369 0.273 0.237 0 0 0 0 0 Year 2 2.428 1.784 1.424 1.385 3.389 3.299 2.433 1.797 1.558 1.153 0.851 0.624 0.547 0.038 0 0 0 0 Year 3 3.859 2.814 2.251 2.048 4.95 5.201 3.888 2.85 2.438 1.841 1.352 0.986 0.863 0.125 0 0 0 0 Year 4 5.289 3.832 3.076 2.663 6.142 7.068 5.373 3.915 3.289 2.542 1.857 1.352 1.168 0.266 0 0 0 0 Year 5 5.992 4.297 3.474 2.834 5.905 7.872 6.167 4.463 3.647 2.916 2.116 1.54 1.295 0.465 0 0 0 0 Year 6 6.348 4.713 3.753 2.976 5.237 8.257 6.757 4.886 3.869 3.195 2.311 1.687 1.361 0.695 0 0 0 0 Year 7 6.44 5.078 3.946 3.103 4.398 8.204 7.188 5.229 4.013 3.388 2.467 1.802 1.391 0.909 0.035 0 0 0 Year 8 6.298 5.374 4.06 3.194 3.537 7.68 7.454 5.501 4.101 3.491 2.588 1.888 1.4 1.08 0.116 0 0 0 Year 9 5.863 5.544 4.053 3.186 2.637 6.59 7.478 5.652 4.101 3.467 2.654 1.924 1.382 1.196 0.246 0 0 0 Year 10 5.431 5.658 4.041 3.205 2.058 5.281 7.427 5.826 4.149 3.42 2.731 1.965 1.387 1.242 0.428 0 0 0 Page 54 Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Management, business, financial Thousands occupations(Jobs) Computer, math, architect, engineer occupations Thousands (Jobs) Life, physical, social science occupations Thousands (Jobs) Community, social service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Legal occupations Thousands (Jobs) Education, training, library occupations Thousands (Jobs) Arts, design, entertainment, sports, media occupations Thousands (Jobs) Healthcare occupations Thousands (Jobs) Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Food preparation, serving relatedThousands occupations(Jobs) Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands service occupations (Jobs) Sales, office, administrative occupations Thousands (Jobs) Farm, fishing, forestry occupations Thousands (Jobs) Construction, extraction occupations Thousands (Jobs) Installation, maintenance, repair occupations Thousands (Jobs) Production occupations Thousands (Jobs) Transportation, material moving occupations Thousands (Jobs) Year 11 0.493 -0.058 -0.005 0.05 -0.014 0.064 -0.006 0.251 0.204 0.515 0.188 0.791 0.005 3.766 0.552 0.042 0.189 Year 12 0.472 -0.04 -0.001 0.057 -0.009 0.068 0 0.29 0.197 0.523 0.207 0.846 0.006 3.348 0.511 0.051 0.188 Year 13 0.449 -0.025 0.002 0.062 -0.006 0.071 0.005 0.324 0.19 0.528 0.223 0.882 0.007 2.951 0.47 0.057 0.186 Year 14 0.426 -0.013 0.005 0.066 -0.002 0.073 0.009 0.352 0.183 0.529 0.236 0.907 0.008 2.589 0.432 0.061 0.182 Year 15 0.404 -0.001 0.008 0.07 0.001 0.075 0.013 0.376 0.176 0.526 0.246 0.924 0.009 2.265 0.397 0.064 0.178 Year 16 0.384 0.008 0.01 0.073 0.003 0.076 0.016 0.396 0.17 0.521 0.254 0.934 0.009 1.981 0.365 0.067 0.173 Year 17 0.365 0.016 0.011 0.075 0.006 0.077 0.018 0.413 0.163 0.514 0.26 0.937 0.01 1.733 0.336 0.069 0.168 Year 18 0.348 0.023 0.013 0.077 0.007 0.077 0.02 0.426 0.157 0.505 0.263 0.935 0.01 1.517 0.31 0.07 0.163 Year 19 0.331 0.029 0.014 0.078 0.009 0.077 0.022 0.436 0.151 0.494 0.264 0.928 0.01 1.329 0.286 0.07 0.158 Year 20 0.315 0.033 0.015 0.078 0.01 0.077 0.023 0.442 0.145 0.481 0.264 0.915 0.01 1.165 0.265 0.07 0.153 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Labor Force Thousands Total Migrants Thousands Economic Migrants Thousands Population (Last Year's) Thousands Population 5 Year Cohorts) Thousands College Population Thousands Year 11 20.301 -2.675 -2.675 54.251 52.436 0 Year 12 18.682 -2.525 -2.525 52.436 50.668 0 Year 13 17.32 -2.413 -2.413 50.668 48.908 0 Year 14 16.139 -2.314 -2.314 48.908 47.144 0 Year 15 15.095 -2.22 -2.22 47.144 45.372 0 Year 16 14.15 -2.13 -2.13 45.372 43.594 0 Year 17 13.316 -2.057 -2.056 43.594 41.802 0 Year 18 12.557 -1.988 -1.987 41.802 39.999 0 Year 19 11.861 -1.921 -1.921 39.999 38.195 0 Year 20 11.211 -1.861 -1.859 38.195 36.397 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Ages 0-4 Thousands Ages 5-9 Thousands Ages 10-14 Thousands Ages 15-19 Thousands Ages 20-24 Thousands Ages 25-29 Thousands Ages 30-34 Thousands Ages 35-39 Thousands Ages 40-44 Thousands Ages 45-49 Thousands Ages 50-54 Thousands Ages 55-59 Thousands Ages 60-64 Thousands Ages 65-69 Thousands Ages 70-74 Thousands Ages 75-79 Thousands Ages 80-84 Thousands Ages 85+ Thousands Year 11 4.97 5.608 4.127 3.229 1.725 3.875 7.217 5.987 4.229 3.359 2.804 2.01 1.409 1.247 0.639 0 0 0 Year 12 4.5 5.437 4.276 3.261 1.592 2.561 6.772 6.134 4.35 3.317 2.863 2.065 1.443 1.231 0.834 0.031 0 0 Year 13 4.026 5.159 4.459 3.291 1.586 1.462 6.042 6.25 4.509 3.306 2.894 2.133 1.487 1.21 0.99 0.103 0 0 Year 14 3.563 4.772 4.666 3.316 1.644 0.648 5.021 6.323 4.699 3.337 2.894 2.214 1.536 1.199 1.095 0.218 0 0 Year 15 3.098 4.38 4.812 3.331 1.722 0.144 3.773 6.313 4.906 3.411 2.866 2.304 1.588 1.207 1.137 0.379 0 0 Year 16 2.641 3.967 4.8 3.448 1.811 -0.102 2.44 6.154 5.105 3.522 2.83 2.394 1.645 1.233 1.143 0.563 0 0 Year 17 2.198 3.538 4.662 3.624 1.898 -0.161 1.188 5.753 5.287 3.671 2.809 2.466 1.712 1.271 1.129 0.733 0.026 0 Year 18 1.779 3.102 4.414 3.832 1.979 -0.1 0.144 5.065 5.434 3.853 2.817 2.51 1.789 1.316 1.111 0.869 0.086 0 Year 19 1.397 2.673 4.054 4.061 2.051 0.019 -0.618 4.084 5.536 4.065 2.864 2.523 1.878 1.366 1.101 0.96 0.181 0 Year 20 1.063 2.24 3.688 4.228 2.109 0.154 -1.076 2.872 5.553 4.292 2.953 2.508 1.975 1.419 1.11 0.997 0.312 0 Page 55 Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units State Revenues at State AverageBillions Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars State Expenditures at State Average Rates Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 1 0.197 -0.009 Year 2 0.27 -0.005 Year 3 0.288 0.003 Year 4 0.299 0.013 Year 5 0.185 0.028 Year 6 0.153 0.034 Year 7 0.13 0.038 Year 8 0.107 0.041 Year 9 0.074 0.042 Year 10 0.074 0.041 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Intergovernmental Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars General Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Selective Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars License Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Individual Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Corporate Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Current Charges Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 1 0.013 0.065 0.021 0.006 0 0.003 0.01 0.017 0.017 0 0 0.046 Year 2 0.029 0.08 0.025 0.007 0 0.003 0.013 0.024 0.024 0 0 0.064 Year 3 0.045 0.074 0.023 0.006 0 0.003 0.014 0.026 0.026 0 0 0.069 Year 4 0.06 0.066 0.021 0.006 0 0.003 0.015 0.028 0.027 0 0 0.073 Year 5 0.066 0.02 0.006 0.002 0 0.002 0.009 0.017 0.017 0 0 0.045 Year 6 0.068 0.007 0.002 0.001 0 0.001 0.008 0.014 0.014 0 0 0.037 Year 7 0.069 -0.002 -0.001 0 0 0.001 0.007 0.012 0.012 0 0 0.032 Year 8 0.069 -0.009 -0.003 -0.001 0 0.001 0.005 0.01 0.01 0 0 0.026 Year 9 0.067 -0.018 -0.006 -0.002 0 0 0.003 0.006 0.006 0 0 0.016 Year 10 0.065 -0.016 -0.005 -0.001 0 0 0.003 0.006 0.006 0 0 0.016 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Education Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Public Welfare Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Hospitals Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Health Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Highways Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Police Protection Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Correction Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Natural Resources Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Parks and Recreation Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Government Administration Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Interest on General Debt Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other and Unallocable Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 1 0.002 -0.009 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.004 Year 2 0.004 -0.009 0 0.001 0.001 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.001 0 0 -0.004 Year 3 0.006 -0.006 0 0.001 0.002 0 0.001 0 0 0.001 0 0.002 0 0 -0.003 Year 4 0.008 -0.003 0 0.001 0.002 0 0.001 0.001 0 0.001 0 0.002 0 0 -0.001 Year 5 0.009 0.007 0 0.001 0.003 0 0.001 0.001 0 0.001 0.001 0.002 0 0 0.003 Year 6 0.009 0.01 0 0.001 0.003 0 0.001 0.001 0 0.001 0.001 0.003 0 0 0.004 Year 7 0.01 0.012 0 0.001 0.003 0 0.001 0.001 0 0.001 0.001 0.003 0 0 0.005 Year 8 0.01 0.013 0 0.001 0.003 0 0.001 0.001 0 0.001 0.001 0.003 0 0 0.006 Year 9 0.01 0.015 0 0.001 0.003 0 0.001 0.001 0 0.001 0.001 0.003 0 0 0.006 Year 10 0.009 0.015 0 0.001 0.003 0 0.001 0.001 0 0.001 0.001 0.003 0 0 0.006 Page 56 Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units State Revenues at State AverageBillions Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars State Expenditures at State Average Rates Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 11 0.074 0.04 Year 12 0.076 0.038 Year 13 0.077 0.037 Year 14 0.078 0.036 Year 15 0.078 0.034 Year 16 0.078 0.033 Year 17 0.078 0.032 Year 18 0.077 0.03 Year 19 0.076 0.029 Year 20 0.075 0.028 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Intergovernmental Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars General Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Selective Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars License Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Individual Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Corporate Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Current Charges Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 11 0.063 -0.013 -0.004 -0.001 0 0 0.003 0.006 0.006 0 0 0.015 Year 12 0.061 -0.01 -0.003 -0.001 0 0 0.003 0.005 0.005 0 0 0.014 Year 13 0.059 -0.007 -0.002 -0.001 0 0 0.003 0.005 0.005 0 0 0.014 Year 14 0.057 -0.004 -0.001 0 0 0 0.003 0.005 0.005 0 0 0.014 Year 15 0.055 -0.002 -0.001 0 0 0 0.003 0.005 0.005 0 0 0.013 Year 16 0.053 -0.001 0 0 0 0 0.003 0.005 0.005 0 0 0.013 Year 17 0.051 0.001 0 0 0 0 0.003 0.005 0.005 0 0 0.013 Year 18 0.049 0.002 0.001 0 0 0 0.003 0.005 0.005 0 0 0.013 Year 19 0.047 0.003 0.001 0 0 0 0.003 0.005 0.005 0 0 0.013 Year 20 0.045 0.004 0.001 0 0 0 0.003 0.005 0.005 0 0 0.012 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Education Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Public Welfare Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Hospitals Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Health Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Highways Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Police Protection Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Correction Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Natural Resources Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Parks and Recreation Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Government Administration Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Interest on General Debt Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other and Unallocable Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 11 0.009 0.014 0 0.001 0.003 0 0.001 0.001 0 0.001 0.001 0.002 0 0 0.006 Year 12 0.009 0.014 0 0.001 0.003 0 0.001 0.001 0 0.001 0.001 0.002 0 0 0.006 Year 13 0.008 0.013 0 0.001 0.003 0 0.001 0.001 0 0.001 0.001 0.002 0 0 0.005 Year 14 0.008 0.013 0 0.001 0.003 0 0.001 0.001 0 0.001 0 0.002 0 0 0.005 Year 15 0.008 0.012 0 0.001 0.002 0 0.001 0.001 0 0.001 0 0.002 0 0 0.005 Year 16 0.008 0.012 0 0.001 0.002 0 0.001 0.001 0 0.001 0 0.002 0 0 0.005 Year 17 0.007 0.011 0 0.001 0.002 0 0.001 0.001 0 0.001 0 0.002 0 0 0.005 Year 18 0.007 0.011 0 0.001 0.002 0 0.001 0.001 0 0.001 0 0.002 0 0 0.004 Year 19 0.007 0.01 0 0.001 0.002 0 0.001 0.001 0 0.001 0 0.002 0 0 0.004 Year 20 0.006 0.01 0 0.001 0.002 0 0.001 0.001 0 0.001 0 0.002 0 0 0.004 Page 57 Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Year 1 Total Employment Thousands (Jobs) 63.809 Employment by Occupation Thousands (Jobs) 63.809 Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) 35.425 Self Supply Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 2.936 Total Exports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.687 Exports to Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.004 Exports to Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.161 Exports to Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.531 Total Imports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 1.987 Imports from Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.487 Imports from Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.952 Imports from Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.548 Output Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 3.623 Value-Added Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 2.167 Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars 1.302 Personal Income Billions of Current Dollars 2.808 Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 2.34 PCE-Price Index 2005=100 (Nation) 0.325 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 3.648 Personal Consumption Expenditures Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 1.771 Total National Deflator 2005=1 (Nation) 0 Year 2 85.676 85.676 47.854 4.112 0.776 -0.016 0.14 0.652 2.437 0.583 1.151 0.702 4.889 2.939 1.938 4.158 3.245 0.83 4.915 2.448 0 Year 3 88.155 88.155 50.434 4.483 0.705 -0.031 0.097 0.638 2.238 0.504 1.054 0.681 5.189 3.131 2.235 4.69 3.427 1.154 5.104 2.607 0 Year 4 88.781 88.781 51.241 4.797 0.531 -0.047 0.003 0.576 1.934 0.388 0.908 0.638 5.329 3.235 2.438 5.131 3.593 1.358 5.2 2.723 0 Year 5 49.48 49.48 30.43 3.126 0 -0.06 -0.143 0.204 0.343 -0.05 0.164 0.229 3.127 1.918 1.657 3.429 2.192 1.305 2.916 1.638 0 Year 6 37.654 37.654 24.165 2.684 -0.202 -0.069 -0.211 0.078 -0.17 -0.198 -0.077 0.105 2.482 1.54 1.379 2.895 1.792 1.104 2.247 1.349 0 Year 7 29.33 29.33 19.562 2.317 -0.332 -0.074 -0.25 -0.007 -0.517 -0.297 -0.239 0.019 1.985 1.249 1.144 2.481 1.488 0.945 1.762 1.139 0 Year 8 21.176 21.176 15.08 1.887 -0.416 -0.076 -0.265 -0.074 -0.829 -0.381 -0.383 -0.065 1.472 0.945 0.895 2.027 1.175 0.784 1.265 0.923 0 Year 9 9.93 9.93 9.194 1.293 -0.505 -0.074 -0.274 -0.157 -1.154 -0.459 -0.536 -0.158 0.788 0.524 0.543 1.295 0.703 0.599 0.563 0.584 0 Year 10 9.54 9.54 8.839 1.252 -0.478 -0.069 -0.263 -0.146 -1.043 -0.419 -0.489 -0.135 0.774 0.513 0.466 1.194 0.67 0.445 0.55 0.571 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities, and Other Thousands (Jobs) Mining Thousands (Jobs) Utilities Thousands (Jobs) Construction Thousands (Jobs) Manufacturing Thousands (Jobs) Wholesale Trade Thousands (Jobs) Retail Trade Thousands (Jobs) Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs) Information Thousands (Jobs) Finance and Insurance Thousands (Jobs) Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Thousands (Jobs) Professional and Technical Services Thousands (Jobs) Management of Companies and Enterprises Thousands (Jobs) Administrative and Waste Services Thousands (Jobs) Educational Services Thousands (Jobs) Health Care and Social Assistance Thousands (Jobs) Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Thousands (Jobs) Accommodation and Food Services Thousands (Jobs) Other Services, except Public Administration Thousands (Jobs) State and Local Government Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Civilian Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Military Employment Thousands (Jobs) Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Year 2 0.009 0.017 0.048 14.799 0.921 1.346 4.107 0.212 0.479 1.518 2.172 4.013 0.115 5.236 0.721 5.142 0.618 2.478 3.904 37.821 0 0 0 Year 3 0.006 0.019 0.049 18.998 0.564 1.111 3.819 0.172 0.336 1.418 2.411 3.46 0.04 5.016 0.759 5.126 0.611 2.623 3.896 37.721 0 0 0 Year 4 0.003 0.02 0.049 22.476 0.141 0.798 3.36 0.119 0.175 1.268 2.586 2.702 -0.041 4.68 0.778 5.034 0.587 2.699 3.807 37.541 0 0 0 Year 5 -0.004 0.014 0.03 20.33 -0.741 -0.155 0.992 -0.038 -0.231 0.386 1.773 -0.112 -0.188 1.777 0.455 2.326 0.276 1.664 1.878 19.049 0 0 0 Year 6 -0.006 0.011 0.025 19.894 -1.045 -0.482 0.235 -0.095 -0.362 0.097 1.505 -1.047 -0.238 0.855 0.352 1.614 0.182 1.344 1.326 13.489 0 0 0 Year 7 -0.007 0.008 0.021 18.947 -1.203 -0.677 -0.231 -0.127 -0.43 -0.079 1.287 -1.608 -0.259 0.272 0.28 1.17 0.123 1.121 0.953 9.768 0 0 0 Year 8 -0.007 0.006 0.016 17.468 -1.286 -0.812 -0.591 -0.146 -0.471 -0.215 1.064 -2.023 -0.263 -0.226 0.212 0.761 0.073 0.908 0.612 6.096 0 0 0 Year 9 -0.007 0.004 0.011 15.1 -1.31 -0.907 -0.965 -0.162 -0.5 -0.372 0.787 -2.454 -0.259 -0.857 0.123 0.162 0.011 0.628 0.162 0.736 0 0 0 Year 10 -0.006 0.003 0.011 13.703 -1.163 -0.81 -0.82 -0.146 -0.442 -0.326 0.74 -2.203 -0.228 -0.742 0.12 0.309 0.023 0.625 0.191 0.701 0 0 0 Year 1 0.009 0.012 0.037 9.324 0.954 1.155 3.254 0.183 0.459 1.214 1.504 3.395 0.132 4.059 0.517 3.991 0.474 1.792 2.96 28.385 0 0 0 Page 58 Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Year 11 Total Employment Thousands (Jobs) 8.985 Employment by Occupation Thousands (Jobs) 8.985 Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) 8.322 Self Supply Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 1.193 Total Exports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.447 Exports to Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.063 Exports to Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.25 Exports to Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.133 Total Imports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.924 Imports from Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.377 Imports from Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.437 Imports from Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.11 Output Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.746 0.492 Value-Added Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars 0.403 Personal Income Billions of Current Dollars 1.115 Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.633 PCE-Price Index 2005=100 (Nation) 0.35 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.528 Personal Consumption Expenditures Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.551 Total National Deflator 2005=1 (Nation) 0 Year 12 8.77 8.77 8.124 1.152 -0.389 -0.058 -0.225 -0.106 -0.783 -0.325 -0.372 -0.086 0.764 0.499 0.375 1.08 0.616 0.282 0.534 0.545 0 Year 13 8.382 8.382 7.761 1.092 -0.335 -0.052 -0.2 -0.083 -0.667 -0.281 -0.318 -0.067 0.757 0.491 0.349 1.052 0.598 0.234 0.525 0.535 0 Year 14 7.951 7.951 7.357 1.027 -0.287 -0.047 -0.178 -0.062 -0.567 -0.244 -0.272 -0.051 0.741 0.479 0.327 1.031 0.581 0.198 0.511 0.526 0 Year 15 7.521 7.521 6.955 0.964 -0.244 -0.042 -0.157 -0.045 -0.48 -0.211 -0.231 -0.038 0.721 0.464 0.311 1.018 0.566 0.171 0.495 0.517 0 Year 16 7.104 7.104 6.565 0.904 -0.205 -0.037 -0.139 -0.029 -0.404 -0.182 -0.195 -0.026 0.699 0.449 0.298 1.012 0.554 0.151 0.478 0.508 0 Year 17 6.706 6.706 6.194 0.847 -0.172 -0.033 -0.122 -0.016 -0.338 -0.158 -0.163 -0.017 0.676 0.433 0.288 1.011 0.543 0.136 0.461 0.499 0 Year 18 6.329 6.329 5.844 0.795 -0.142 -0.03 -0.108 -0.004 -0.28 -0.137 -0.135 -0.008 0.652 0.417 0.28 1.014 0.534 0.123 0.444 0.488 0 Year 19 5.988 5.988 5.528 0.747 -0.116 -0.027 -0.095 0.006 -0.227 -0.117 -0.109 -0.001 0.631 0.402 0.275 1.022 0.526 0.113 0.428 0.477 0 Year 20 5.656 5.656 5.222 0.702 -0.094 -0.024 -0.084 0.014 -0.182 -0.1 -0.086 0.005 0.607 0.387 0.27 1.033 0.52 0.105 0.411 0.465 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities, and Other Thousands (Jobs) Mining Thousands (Jobs) Utilities Thousands (Jobs) Construction Thousands (Jobs) Manufacturing Thousands (Jobs) Wholesale Trade Thousands (Jobs) Retail Trade Thousands (Jobs) Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs) Information Thousands (Jobs) Finance and Insurance Thousands (Jobs) Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Thousands (Jobs) Professional and Technical Services Thousands (Jobs) Management of Companies and Enterprises Thousands (Jobs) Administrative and Waste Services Thousands (Jobs) Educational Services Thousands (Jobs) Health Care and Social Assistance Thousands (Jobs) Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Thousands (Jobs) Accommodation and Food Services Thousands (Jobs) Other Services, except Public Administration Thousands (Jobs) State and Local Government Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Civilian Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Military Employment Thousands (Jobs) Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Year 12 -0.004 0.002 0.01 10.862 -0.86 -0.6 -0.509 -0.111 -0.322 -0.23 0.64 -1.648 -0.166 -0.505 0.124 0.54 0.046 0.625 0.231 0.646 0 0 0 Year 13 -0.003 0.001 0.009 9.575 -0.729 -0.508 -0.371 -0.095 -0.27 -0.186 0.591 -1.398 -0.138 -0.401 0.127 0.632 0.056 0.623 0.246 0.621 0 0 0 Year 14 -0.002 0.001 0.009 8.389 -0.616 -0.428 -0.254 -0.081 -0.226 -0.147 0.544 -1.183 -0.114 -0.311 0.128 0.71 0.064 0.619 0.257 0.594 0 0 0 Year 15 -0.001 0 0.008 7.323 -0.52 -0.36 -0.154 -0.069 -0.187 -0.113 0.501 -0.997 -0.093 -0.234 0.129 0.776 0.071 0.61 0.264 0.566 0 0 0 Year 16 -0.001 0 0.008 6.38 -0.437 -0.302 -0.071 -0.059 -0.155 -0.083 0.462 -0.837 -0.075 -0.169 0.129 0.831 0.076 0.599 0.269 0.539 0 0 0 Year 17 Year 18 Year 19 Year 20 0.001 -0.001 0.006 3.659 -0.211 -0.141 0.141 -0.029 -0.068 0 0.329 -0.39 -0.027 0.001 0.123 0.957 0.081 0.526 0.265 0.435 0 0 0 Year 11 -0.005 0.002 0.01 12.188 -1.014 -0.71 -0.676 -0.129 -0.383 -0.281 0.688 -1.943 -0.197 -0.63 0.12 0.422 0.034 0.62 0.204 0.663 0 0 0 Page 59 0 0 0.007 5.552 -0.368 -0.252 -0.002 -0.049 -0.128 -0.057 0.426 -0.7 -0.06 -0.114 0.129 0.877 0.079 0.584 0.272 0.512 0 0 0 0 0 0.007 4.829 -0.307 -0.21 0.055 -0.042 -0.104 -0.035 0.391 -0.582 -0.047 -0.068 0.127 0.912 0.081 0.566 0.271 0.485 0 0 0 0 -0.001 0.007 4.203 -0.255 -0.172 0.103 -0.035 -0.084 -0.016 0.36 -0.478 -0.036 -0.03 0.125 0.939 0.082 0.547 0.269 0.46 0 0 0 Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Management, business, financial Thousands occupations(Jobs) Computer, math, architect, engineer occupations Thousands (Jobs) Life, physical, social science occupations Thousands (Jobs) Community, social service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Legal occupations Thousands (Jobs) Education, training, library occupations Thousands (Jobs) Arts, design, entertainment, sports, media occupations Thousands (Jobs) Healthcare occupations Thousands (Jobs) Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Food preparation, serving relatedThousands occupations(Jobs) Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands service occupations (Jobs) Sales, office, administrative occupations Thousands (Jobs) Farm, fishing, forestry occupations Thousands (Jobs) Construction, extraction occupations Thousands (Jobs) Installation, maintenance, repair occupations Thousands (Jobs) Production occupations Thousands (Jobs) Transportation, material moving occupations Thousands (Jobs) Year 1 6.901 2.811 0.904 0.649 1.048 1.26 0.617 4.108 7.533 2.131 3.926 15.441 0.11 8.088 3.053 1.966 3.264 Year 2 9.178 3.568 1.175 0.849 1.361 1.688 0.773 5.363 10.037 2.895 5.176 20.218 0.142 12.313 4.219 2.427 4.292 Year 3 9.292 3.391 1.142 0.847 1.321 1.704 0.723 5.327 10.011 2.998 5.151 20.025 0.137 15.037 4.521 2.25 4.277 Year 4 9.226 3.122 1.093 0.829 1.263 1.701 0.652 5.226 9.95 3.03 5.039 19.362 0.13 17.271 4.722 1.998 4.166 Year 5 4.799 1.102 0.465 0.398 0.532 0.881 0.204 2.443 5.007 1.733 2.446 9.202 0.055 14.565 3.008 0.584 2.056 Year 6 3.447 0.461 0.271 0.278 0.307 0.634 0.064 1.654 3.517 1.338 1.668 6.062 0.032 13.88 2.508 0.133 1.4 Year 7 2.518 0.05 0.144 0.199 0.162 0.47 -0.023 1.146 2.522 1.068 1.153 3.972 0.017 12.993 2.127 -0.147 0.958 Year 8 1.628 -0.305 0.028 0.127 0.029 0.311 -0.095 0.671 1.544 0.816 0.678 2.074 0.003 11.769 1.727 -0.378 0.55 Year 9 0.405 -0.751 -0.13 0.028 -0.156 0.088 -0.183 -0.011 0.124 0.483 0.039 -0.379 -0.014 9.861 1.15 -0.641 0.02 Year 10 0.409 -0.666 -0.114 0.041 -0.138 0.094 -0.159 0.085 0.127 0.493 0.085 -0.205 -0.012 8.952 1.068 -0.558 0.039 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Labor Force Thousands Total Migrants Thousands Economic Migrants Thousands Population (Last Year's) Thousands Population 5 Year Cohorts) Thousands College Population Thousands Year 1 12.809 11.567 11.567 0 11.69 0 Year 2 25.082 12.61 12.61 11.69 24.679 0 Year 3 34.041 10.762 10.762 24.679 36.066 0 Year 4 40.844 9.15 9.15 36.066 46.047 0 Year 5 38.147 0.941 0.941 46.047 47.914 0 Year 6 34.945 -0.818 -0.818 47.914 48.007 0 Year 7 31.457 -1.896 -1.896 48.007 46.973 0 Year 8 27.59 -2.825 -2.825 46.973 44.937 0 Year 9 22.708 -4.229 -4.229 44.937 41.399 0 Year 10 19.37 -3.415 -3.415 41.399 38.568 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Ages 0-4 Thousands Ages 5-9 Thousands Ages 10-14 Thousands Ages 15-19 Thousands Ages 20-24 Thousands Ages 25-29 Thousands Ages 30-34 Thousands Ages 35-39 Thousands Ages 40-44 Thousands Ages 45-49 Thousands Ages 50-54 Thousands Ages 55-59 Thousands Ages 60-64 Thousands Ages 65-69 Thousands Ages 70-74 Thousands Ages 75-79 Thousands Ages 80-84 Thousands Ages 85+ Thousands Year 1 1.212 0.911 0.726 0.762 1.839 1.682 1.229 0.915 0.801 0.583 0.432 0.32 0.278 0 0 0 0 0 Year 2 2.58 1.945 1.553 1.501 3.678 3.597 2.655 1.96 1.699 1.258 0.929 0.681 0.598 0.044 0 0 0 0 Year 3 3.799 2.878 2.303 2.069 4.994 5.319 3.985 2.918 2.491 1.888 1.386 1.01 0.884 0.14 0 0 0 0 Year 4 4.877 3.718 2.987 2.545 5.801 6.858 5.237 3.809 3.186 2.479 1.81 1.318 1.135 0.286 0 0 0 0 Year 5 5.113 3.933 3.187 2.54 5.088 7.192 5.692 4.11 3.328 2.693 1.952 1.421 1.185 0.481 0 0 0 0 Year 6 5.02 4.121 3.281 2.545 4.071 7.133 5.956 4.301 3.355 2.82 2.038 1.49 1.181 0.696 0 0 0 0 Year 7 4.741 4.24 3.308 2.556 3.029 6.676 6.086 4.434 3.334 2.87 2.095 1.535 1.153 0.875 0.041 0 0 0 Year 8 4.322 4.266 3.275 2.543 2.087 5.805 6.075 4.515 3.283 2.841 2.127 1.554 1.115 0.998 0.13 0 0 0 Year 9 3.714 4.154 3.145 2.448 1.211 4.461 5.86 4.499 3.17 2.704 2.115 1.533 1.062 1.058 0.265 0 0 0 Year 10 3.224 4.002 3.044 2.408 0.759 3.043 5.623 4.542 3.143 2.575 2.133 1.532 1.047 1.049 0.445 0 0 0 Page 60 Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Management, business, financial Thousands occupations(Jobs) Computer, math, architect, engineer occupations Thousands (Jobs) Life, physical, social science occupations Thousands (Jobs) Community, social service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Legal occupations Thousands (Jobs) Education, training, library occupations Thousands (Jobs) Arts, design, entertainment, sports, media occupations Thousands (Jobs) Healthcare occupations Thousands (Jobs) Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Food preparation, serving relatedThousands occupations(Jobs) Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands service occupations (Jobs) Sales, office, administrative occupations Thousands (Jobs) Farm, fishing, forestry occupations Thousands (Jobs) Construction, extraction occupations Thousands (Jobs) Installation, maintenance, repair occupations Thousands (Jobs) Production occupations Thousands (Jobs) Transportation, material moving occupations Thousands (Jobs) Year 11 0.402 -0.579 -0.098 0.05 -0.119 0.099 -0.135 0.162 0.128 0.501 0.121 -0.052 -0.01 7.965 0.973 -0.477 0.054 Year 12 0.428 -0.478 -0.079 0.061 -0.097 0.107 -0.107 0.246 0.136 0.519 0.17 0.172 -0.008 7.104 0.899 -0.386 0.084 Year 13 0.434 -0.394 -0.064 0.069 -0.079 0.113 -0.085 0.312 0.14 0.528 0.205 0.331 -0.006 6.268 0.819 -0.312 0.102 Year 14 0.431 -0.322 -0.051 0.075 -0.064 0.118 -0.065 0.368 0.142 0.534 0.233 0.454 -0.005 5.496 0.742 -0.25 0.114 Year 15 0.424 -0.261 -0.039 0.081 -0.051 0.122 -0.049 0.416 0.142 0.534 0.256 0.552 -0.003 4.803 0.671 -0.198 0.122 Year 16 0.414 -0.209 -0.029 0.085 -0.04 0.124 -0.035 0.455 0.141 0.531 0.274 0.628 -0.002 4.189 0.606 -0.154 0.127 Year 17 0.403 -0.166 -0.021 0.088 -0.031 0.125 -0.024 0.488 0.139 0.524 0.287 0.685 -0.001 3.649 0.548 -0.117 0.131 Year 18 0.39 -0.128 -0.014 0.091 -0.023 0.125 -0.014 0.514 0.136 0.513 0.295 0.727 -0.001 3.178 0.495 -0.086 0.132 Year 19 0.378 -0.096 -0.008 0.092 -0.017 0.125 -0.006 0.535 0.133 0.5 0.301 0.759 0 2.77 0.448 -0.06 0.133 Year 20 0.365 -0.068 -0.004 0.093 -0.011 0.124 0 0.549 0.129 0.485 0.302 0.777 0.001 2.415 0.406 -0.038 0.132 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Labor Force Thousands Total Migrants Thousands Economic Migrants Thousands Population (Last Year's) Thousands Population 5 Year Cohorts) Thousands College Population Thousands Year 11 16.809 -2.937 -2.937 38.568 36.119 0 Year 12 14.892 -2.522 -2.522 36.119 33.997 0 Year 13 13.367 -2.234 -2.234 33.997 32.08 0 Year 14 12.131 -2.021 -2.021 32.08 30.297 0 Year 15 11.1 -1.852 -1.852 30.297 28.609 0 Year 16 10.233 -1.713 -1.713 28.609 26.994 0 Year 17 9.525 -1.61 -1.61 26.994 25.424 0 Year 18 8.918 -1.524 -1.524 25.424 23.891 0 Year 19 8.381 -1.447 -1.447 23.891 22.396 0 Year 20 7.896 -1.381 -1.381 22.396 20.938 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Ages 0-4 Thousands Ages 5-9 Thousands Ages 10-14 Thousands Ages 15-19 Thousands Ages 20-24 Thousands Ages 25-29 Thousands Ages 30-34 Thousands Ages 35-39 Thousands Ages 40-44 Thousands Ages 45-49 Thousands Ages 50-54 Thousands Ages 55-59 Thousands Ages 60-64 Thousands Ages 65-69 Thousands Ages 70-74 Thousands Ages 75-79 Thousands Ages 80-84 Thousands Ages 85+ Thousands Year 11 2.78 3.711 3.07 2.39 0.596 1.672 5.268 4.593 3.171 2.462 2.158 1.544 1.055 1.006 0.643 0 0 0 Year 12 2.376 3.365 3.131 2.386 0.623 0.513 4.699 4.644 3.25 2.388 2.171 1.572 1.08 0.955 0.806 0.037 0 0 Year 13 2.002 2.988 3.188 2.385 0.745 -0.344 3.879 4.67 3.369 2.36 2.16 1.617 1.113 0.911 0.919 0.116 0 0 Year 14 1.659 2.574 3.233 2.382 0.895 -0.865 2.819 4.659 3.517 2.381 2.121 1.676 1.151 0.886 0.974 0.236 0 0 Year 15 1.326 2.222 3.192 2.37 1.031 -1.067 1.602 4.566 3.675 2.448 2.061 1.743 1.191 0.889 0.965 0.396 0 0 Year 16 1.008 1.886 2.988 2.467 1.151 -1.035 0.389 4.324 3.817 2.549 2.003 1.808 1.234 0.91 0.927 0.569 0 0 Year 17 0.709 1.562 2.707 2.581 1.25 -0.864 -0.652 3.841 3.935 2.682 1.969 1.85 1.287 0.944 0.88 0.712 0.031 0 Year 18 0.438 1.25 2.38 2.679 1.33 -0.629 -1.417 3.089 4.014 2.842 1.972 1.861 1.349 0.983 0.841 0.81 0.098 0 Year 19 0.202 0.957 2.007 2.757 1.393 -0.389 -1.865 2.084 4.046 3.024 2.018 1.841 1.423 1.024 0.819 0.857 0.198 0 Year 20 0.008 0.665 1.688 2.743 1.436 -0.179 -2.008 0.914 3.989 3.21 2.105 1.798 1.501 1.067 0.822 0.85 0.329 0 Page 61 Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units State Revenues at State AverageBillions Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars State Expenditures at State Average Rates Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 1 0.25 -0.054 Year 2 0.323 -0.05 Year 3 0.323 -0.025 Year 4 0.313 0 Year 5 0.145 0.061 Year 6 0.095 0.08 Year 7 0.059 0.09 Year 8 0.024 0.097 Year 9 -0.016 0.104 Year 10 -0.009 0.097 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Intergovernmental Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars General Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Selective Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars License Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Individual Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Corporate Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Current Charges Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 1 0.015 0.084 0.026 0.007 0 0.006 0.012 0.022 0.021 0 0 0.056 Year 2 0.032 0.093 0.029 0.008 0 0.008 0.016 0.03 0.029 0 0 0.078 Year 3 0.046 0.075 0.023 0.006 0 0.008 0.017 0.032 0.031 0 0 0.084 Year 4 0.058 0.053 0.017 0.005 0 0.008 0.018 0.034 0.033 0 0 0.088 Year 5 0.059 -0.016 -0.005 -0.001 0 0.003 0.011 0.02 0.02 0 0 0.054 Year 6 0.059 -0.037 -0.012 -0.003 0 0.002 0.009 0.017 0.016 0 0 0.044 Year 7 0.057 -0.051 -0.016 -0.004 0 0.002 0.008 0.014 0.014 0 0 0.036 Year 8 0.053 -0.062 -0.019 -0.005 0 0.001 0.006 0.011 0.011 0 0 0.029 Year 9 0.049 -0.071 -0.022 -0.006 0 0 0.004 0.006 0.006 0 0 0.017 Year 10 0.046 -0.062 -0.02 -0.005 0 0 0.003 0.006 0.006 0 0 0.016 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Education Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Public Welfare Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Hospitals Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Health Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Highways Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Police Protection Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Correction Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Natural Resources Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Parks and Recreation Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Government Administration Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Interest on General Debt Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other and Unallocable Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 1 0.007 -0.049 0 0.001 0.002 0 0.001 0.001 0 0.001 0 0.002 0 0 -0.02 Year 2 0.014 -0.057 0 0.002 0.004 0 0.002 0.001 0 0.002 0.001 0.004 0 0 -0.024 Year 3 0.021 -0.05 0.001 0.003 0.006 0 0.002 0.002 0 0.003 0.001 0.006 0 0 -0.021 Year 4 0.027 -0.041 0.001 0.004 0.008 0.001 0.003 0.002 0 0.003 0.002 0.007 0 0 -0.017 Year 5 0.028 0 0.001 0.004 0.009 0.001 0.003 0.003 0 0.004 0.002 0.008 0 0 0 Year 6 0.029 0.012 0.001 0.004 0.009 0.001 0.003 0.003 0 0.004 0.002 0.008 0 0 0.005 Year 7 0.028 0.019 0.001 0.004 0.009 0.001 0.003 0.003 0 0.004 0.002 0.008 0 0 0.008 Year 8 0.028 0.026 0.001 0.004 0.009 0.001 0.003 0.002 0 0.004 0.002 0.007 0 0 0.011 Year 9 0.026 0.034 0.001 0.004 0.008 0.001 0.003 0.002 0 0.003 0.002 0.007 0 0 0.014 Year 10 0.024 0.031 0.001 0.004 0.007 0 0.003 0.002 0 0.003 0.001 0.006 0 0 0.013 Page 62 Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units State Revenues at State AverageBillions Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars State Expenditures at State Average Rates Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 11 -0.003 0.091 Year 12 0.006 0.085 Year 13 0.013 0.08 Year 14 0.019 0.076 Year 15 0.024 0.072 Year 16 0.028 0.068 Year 17 0.031 0.064 Year 18 0.034 0.06 Year 19 0.036 0.056 Year 20 0.037 0.053 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Intergovernmental Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars General Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Selective Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars License Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Individual Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Corporate Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Current Charges Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 11 0.043 -0.055 -0.017 -0.005 0 0 0.003 0.006 0.006 0 0 0.015 Year 12 0.041 -0.046 -0.014 -0.004 0 0.001 0.003 0.006 0.005 0 0 0.015 Year 13 0.039 -0.039 -0.012 -0.003 0 0.001 0.003 0.005 0.005 0 0 0.014 Year 14 0.037 -0.032 -0.01 -0.003 0 0.001 0.003 0.005 0.005 0 0 0.014 Year 15 0.035 -0.027 -0.008 -0.002 0 0.001 0.003 0.005 0.005 0 0 0.013 Year 16 0.033 -0.022 -0.007 -0.002 0 0.001 0.003 0.005 0.005 0 0 0.013 Year 17 0.031 -0.019 -0.006 -0.002 0 0.001 0.003 0.005 0.005 0 0 0.013 Year 18 0.029 -0.015 -0.005 -0.001 0 0.001 0.003 0.005 0.005 0 0 0.013 Year 19 0.027 -0.012 -0.004 -0.001 0 0.001 0.003 0.005 0.005 0 0 0.012 Year 20 0.026 -0.01 -0.003 -0.001 0 0.001 0.003 0.005 0.005 0 0 0.012 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Education Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Public Welfare Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Hospitals Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Health Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Highways Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Police Protection Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Correction Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Natural Resources Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Parks and Recreation Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Government Administration Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Interest on General Debt Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other and Unallocable Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 11 0.023 0.029 0.001 0.003 0.007 0 0.003 0.002 0 0.003 0.001 0.006 0 0 0.012 Year 12 0.021 0.027 0.001 0.003 0.007 0 0.002 0.002 0 0.003 0.001 0.006 0 0 0.011 Year 13 0.02 0.026 0.001 0.003 0.006 0 0.002 0.002 0 0.003 0.001 0.005 0 0 0.011 Year 14 0.019 0.024 0.001 0.003 0.006 0 0.002 0.002 0 0.002 0.001 0.005 0 0 0.01 Year 15 0.018 0.023 0.001 0.003 0.006 0 0.002 0.002 0 0.002 0.001 0.005 0 0 0.009 Year 16 0.017 0.021 0.001 0.003 0.005 0 0.002 0.002 0 0.002 0.001 0.005 0 0 0.009 Year 17 0.016 0.02 0.001 0.002 0.005 0 0.002 0.001 0 0.002 0.001 0.004 0 0 0.008 Year 18 0.015 0.019 0.001 0.002 0.005 0 0.002 0.001 0 0.002 0.001 0.004 0 0 0.008 Year 19 0.014 0.018 0 0.002 0.004 0 0.002 0.001 0 0.002 0.001 0.004 0 0 0.007 Year 20 0.013 0.017 0 0.002 0.004 0 0.002 0.001 0 0.002 0.001 0.004 0 0 0.007 Page 63 Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Year 1 Total Employment Thousands (Jobs) 218.644 Employment by Occupation Thousands (Jobs) 218.644 Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) 113.125 Self Supply Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 10.269 Total Exports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 1.831 Exports to Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.012 Exports to Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.926 Exports to Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.917 Total Imports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 6.408 Imports from Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 1.674 Imports from Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 3.604 Imports from Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 1.13 Output Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 12.102 Value-Added Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 7.252 Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars 4.313 Personal Income Billions of Current Dollars 9.257 Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 7.667 PCE-Price Index 2005=100 (Nation) 0.346 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 12.693 Personal Consumption Expenditures Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 5.806 Total National Deflator 2005=1 (Nation) 0 Year 2 292.264 292.264 151.798 14.379 1.916 -0.044 0.916 1.044 7.899 2.034 4.389 1.476 16.297 9.796 6.381 13.648 10.642 0.861 17.045 8.03 0 Year 3 301.341 301.341 161.141 15.688 1.791 -0.085 0.809 1.067 7.391 1.82 4.089 1.481 17.482 10.511 7.412 15.409 11.295 1.187 17.753 8.604 0 Year 4 302.605 302.605 163.072 16.724 1.186 -0.129 0.432 0.883 6.495 1.471 3.583 1.44 17.912 10.801 8.073 16.842 11.857 1.391 18.016 9.017 0 Year 5 170.801 170.801 99.715 10.948 -0.101 -0.166 -0.259 0.324 1.576 0.049 0.869 0.658 10.848 6.52 5.642 11.341 7.372 1.329 10.2 5.59 0 Year 6 131.591 131.591 81.111 9.407 -0.663 -0.191 -0.562 0.09 0.001 -0.423 -0.009 0.432 8.745 5.264 4.824 9.685 6.114 1.133 7.881 4.706 0 Year 7 104.358 104.358 67.667 8.16 -1.021 -0.207 -0.748 -0.066 -1.048 -0.734 -0.594 0.28 7.139 4.312 4.149 8.439 5.177 0.979 6.217 4.085 0 Year 8 77.848 77.848 54.74 6.73 -1.19 -0.214 -0.828 -0.148 -1.971 -0.993 -1.106 0.128 5.54 3.356 3.439 7.073 4.211 0.824 4.558 3.444 0 Year 9 39.848 39.848 36.647 4.7 -1.397 -0.209 -0.915 -0.273 -2.991 -1.253 -1.679 -0.06 3.302 1.981 2.36 4.777 2.709 0.644 2.149 2.379 0 Year 10 37.826 37.826 34.833 4.541 -1.418 -0.197 -0.913 -0.307 -2.693 -1.137 -1.53 -0.026 3.123 1.878 2.101 4.486 2.593 0.494 2.035 2.331 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities, and Other Thousands (Jobs) Mining Thousands (Jobs) Utilities Thousands (Jobs) Construction Thousands (Jobs) Manufacturing Thousands (Jobs) Wholesale Trade Thousands (Jobs) Retail Trade Thousands (Jobs) Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs) Information Thousands (Jobs) Finance and Insurance Thousands (Jobs) Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Thousands (Jobs) Professional and Technical Services Thousands (Jobs) Management of Companies and Enterprises Thousands (Jobs) Administrative and Waste Services Thousands (Jobs) Educational Services Thousands (Jobs) Health Care and Social Assistance Thousands (Jobs) Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Thousands (Jobs) Accommodation and Food Services Thousands (Jobs) Other Services, except Public Administration Thousands (Jobs) State and Local Government Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Civilian Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Military Employment Thousands (Jobs) Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Year 2 0.04 0.049 0.374 56.146 1.88 4.536 12.68 0.728 1.381 4.267 5.49 11.154 0.198 15.458 1.918 14.249 1.663 7.817 11.77 140.466 0 0 0 Year 3 0.019 0.054 0.385 69.628 1.159 3.835 11.865 0.585 0.97 4 5.983 9.707 0.059 14.826 2.016 14.302 1.643 8.326 11.781 140.199 0 0 0 Year 4 0.006 0.058 0.397 78.674 0.316 2.869 10.532 0.408 0.515 3.613 6.339 7.634 -0.09 13.846 2.065 14.132 1.589 8.644 11.527 139.532 0 0 0 Year 5 -0.015 0.041 0.264 67.216 -1.392 -0.171 3.536 -0.107 -0.611 1.233 4.297 -0.055 -0.353 5.441 1.211 6.941 0.796 5.534 5.909 71.086 0 0 0 Year 6 -0.009 0.035 0.234 63.907 -1.928 -1.169 1.442 -0.262 -0.942 0.539 3.724 -2.56 -0.44 2.857 0.949 5.124 0.589 4.66 4.362 50.48 0 0 0 Year 7 -0.002 0.03 0.211 59.792 -2.176 -1.755 0.2 -0.336 -1.101 0.141 3.287 -4.039 -0.475 1.245 0.771 4.012 0.468 4.058 3.336 36.691 0 0 0 Year 8 0.005 0.024 0.185 54.669 -2.287 -2.167 -0.769 -0.379 -1.191 -0.172 2.813 -5.134 -0.48 -0.15 0.601 2.974 0.361 3.453 2.384 23.108 0 0 0 Year 9 0.01 0.019 0.145 46.316 -2.317 -2.472 -1.841 -0.418 -1.257 -0.573 2.17 -6.313 -0.472 -1.98 0.37 1.37 0.214 2.599 1.076 3.201 0 0 0 Year 10 0.023 0.018 0.142 41.543 -2.03 -2.169 -1.381 -0.351 -1.082 -0.418 2.105 -5.634 -0.415 -1.657 0.37 1.752 0.257 2.605 1.154 2.993 0 0 0 Year 1 0.047 0.034 0.282 37.651 1.941 3.864 10.058 0.638 1.335 3.417 3.876 9.416 0.234 12.018 1.38 11.051 1.282 5.649 8.954 105.519 0 0 0 Page 64 Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Year 11 Total Employment Thousands (Jobs) 35.278 Employment by Occupation Thousands (Jobs) 35.278 Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) 32.503 Self Supply Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 4.327 Total Exports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -1.422 Exports to Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.183 Exports to Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.902 Exports to Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.337 Total Imports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -2.367 Imports from Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -1.013 Imports from Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -1.364 Imports from Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.01 Output Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 2.906 1.752 Value-Added Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars 1.874 Personal Income Billions of Current Dollars 4.248 Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 2.462 PCE-Price Index 2005=100 (Nation) 0.401 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 1.898 Personal Consumption Expenditures Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 2.261 Total National Deflator 2005=1 (Nation) 0 Year 12 34.316 34.317 31.636 4.184 -1.295 -0.169 -0.823 -0.303 -1.955 -0.855 -1.143 0.042 2.889 1.745 1.775 4.157 2.402 0.333 1.887 2.236 0 Year 13 32.865 32.865 30.302 3.979 -1.172 -0.155 -0.747 -0.27 -1.617 -0.723 -0.959 0.065 2.807 1.7 1.681 4.082 2.337 0.284 1.836 2.2 0 Year 14 31.276 31.276 28.834 3.76 -1.056 -0.141 -0.675 -0.24 -1.327 -0.61 -0.8 0.083 2.704 1.642 1.601 4.03 2.278 0.247 1.772 2.163 0 Year 15 29.682 29.682 27.36 3.545 -0.949 -0.129 -0.608 -0.212 -1.076 -0.512 -0.662 0.098 2.596 1.58 1.535 3.997 2.222 0.22 1.705 2.125 0 Year 16 28.135 28.136 25.93 3.339 -0.852 -0.117 -0.548 -0.187 -0.857 -0.427 -0.54 0.109 2.487 1.519 1.483 3.988 2.174 0.2 1.637 2.087 0 Year 17 26.655 26.655 24.561 3.146 -0.766 -0.107 -0.494 -0.165 -0.668 -0.355 -0.431 0.118 2.38 1.458 1.439 3.998 2.133 0.184 1.571 2.048 0 Year 18 25.241 25.241 23.257 2.965 -0.689 -0.098 -0.447 -0.145 -0.502 -0.293 -0.335 0.126 2.276 1.398 1.403 4.022 2.098 0.172 1.505 2.006 0 Year 19 23.937 23.937 22.056 2.8 -0.621 -0.089 -0.405 -0.127 -0.352 -0.236 -0.248 0.132 2.179 1.342 1.375 4.06 2.069 0.162 1.444 1.962 0 Year 20 22.672 22.672 20.893 2.642 -0.562 -0.082 -0.368 -0.112 -0.222 -0.186 -0.173 0.137 2.08 1.285 1.35 4.111 2.044 0.155 1.382 1.915 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities, and Other Thousands (Jobs) Mining Thousands (Jobs) Utilities Thousands (Jobs) Construction Thousands (Jobs) Manufacturing Thousands (Jobs) Wholesale Trade Thousands (Jobs) Retail Trade Thousands (Jobs) Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs) Information Thousands (Jobs) Finance and Insurance Thousands (Jobs) Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Thousands (Jobs) Professional and Technical Services Thousands (Jobs) Management of Companies and Enterprises Thousands (Jobs) Administrative and Waste Services Thousands (Jobs) Educational Services Thousands (Jobs) Health Care and Social Assistance Thousands (Jobs) Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Thousands (Jobs) Accommodation and Food Services Thousands (Jobs) Other Services, except Public Administration Thousands (Jobs) State and Local Government Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Civilian Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Military Employment Thousands (Jobs) Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Year 12 0.045 0.015 0.133 32.497 -1.451 -1.527 -0.429 -0.222 -0.737 -0.131 1.931 -4.129 -0.301 -0.996 0.388 2.353 0.331 2.607 1.26 2.68 0 0 0 Year 13 0.053 0.013 0.128 28.667 -1.205 -1.247 -0.017 -0.167 -0.592 -0.011 1.834 -3.448 -0.25 -0.704 0.398 2.595 0.359 2.597 1.299 2.563 0 0 0 Year 14 0.06 0.012 0.123 25.137 -0.996 -1.009 0.324 -0.12 -0.47 0.09 1.737 -2.863 -0.206 -0.456 0.404 2.796 0.38 2.571 1.322 2.442 0 0 0 Year 15 0.065 0.01 0.117 21.965 -0.819 -0.808 0.604 -0.081 -0.367 0.173 1.643 -2.358 -0.167 -0.245 0.408 2.961 0.395 2.531 1.332 2.322 0 0 0 Year 16 0.07 0.009 0.111 19.158 -0.669 -0.638 0.832 -0.048 -0.282 0.242 1.554 -1.925 -0.134 -0.07 0.408 3.095 0.405 2.479 1.333 2.206 0 0 0 Year 17 0.073 0.008 0.106 16.696 -0.543 -0.496 1.014 -0.021 -0.211 0.299 1.466 -1.555 -0.106 0.074 0.405 3.203 0.41 2.416 1.325 2.093 0 0 0 Year 18 0.075 0.007 0.1 14.545 -0.436 -0.376 1.156 0.002 -0.153 0.343 1.38 -1.239 -0.083 0.191 0.401 3.281 0.41 2.344 1.308 1.985 0 0 0 Year 19 0.076 0.006 0.094 12.677 -0.344 -0.273 1.271 0.021 -0.104 0.378 1.297 -0.964 -0.063 0.287 0.395 3.339 0.407 2.269 1.286 1.881 0 0 0 Year 20 0.077 0.005 0.089 11.049 -0.267 -0.188 1.353 0.036 -0.065 0.404 1.215 -0.732 -0.046 0.36 0.388 3.37 0.401 2.186 1.257 1.778 0 0 0 Year 11 0.035 0.016 0.137 36.46 -1.744 -1.863 -0.935 -0.286 -0.91 -0.277 2.014 -4.932 -0.358 -1.346 0.375 2.043 0.293 2.594 1.186 2.775 0 0 0 Page 65 Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Management, business, financial Thousands occupations(Jobs) Computer, math, architect, engineer occupations Thousands (Jobs) Life, physical, social science occupations Thousands (Jobs) Community, social service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Legal occupations Thousands (Jobs) Education, training, library occupations Thousands (Jobs) Arts, design, entertainment, sports, media occupations Thousands (Jobs) Healthcare occupations Thousands (Jobs) Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Food preparation, serving relatedThousands occupations(Jobs) Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands service occupations (Jobs) Sales, office, administrative occupations Thousands (Jobs) Farm, fishing, forestry occupations Thousands (Jobs) Construction, extraction occupations Thousands (Jobs) Installation, maintenance, repair occupations Thousands (Jobs) Production occupations Thousands (Jobs) Transportation, material moving occupations Thousands (Jobs) Year 1 23.675 9.193 3.121 1.903 3.62 4.136 1.911 12.927 27.637 6.727 12.494 51.229 0.397 31.822 10.704 5.981 11.166 Year 2 31.443 11.765 4.079 2.487 4.731 5.527 2.405 16.914 36.795 9.14 16.434 66.982 0.508 46.242 14.613 7.55 14.648 Year 3 31.961 11.346 3.999 2.49 4.635 5.573 2.272 16.874 36.737 9.516 16.373 66.605 0.488 54.997 15.597 7.23 14.647 Year 4 31.762 10.626 3.868 2.444 4.48 5.56 2.078 16.633 36.533 9.691 16.038 64.573 0.465 60.783 16.104 6.687 14.279 Year 5 16.906 4.243 1.747 1.23 1.999 2.898 0.736 8.115 18.516 5.761 8.002 31.781 0.206 48.627 10.148 2.648 7.239 Year 6 12.439 2.264 1.099 0.903 1.245 2.11 0.333 5.731 13.094 4.648 5.661 21.938 0.134 45.045 8.415 1.422 5.109 Year 7 9.399 0.997 0.678 0.692 0.756 1.587 0.086 4.205 9.473 3.902 4.133 15.475 0.089 41.406 7.135 0.655 3.691 Year 8 6.475 -0.125 0.283 0.496 0.297 1.08 -0.124 2.755 5.915 3.173 2.702 9.538 0.047 37.141 5.826 -0.006 2.373 Year 9 2.3 -1.61 -0.27 0.217 -0.355 0.351 -0.395 0.613 0.703 2.148 0.701 1.494 -0.014 30.379 3.868 -0.861 0.58 Year 10 2.228 -1.401 -0.231 0.251 -0.308 0.367 -0.326 0.86 0.685 2.192 0.83 1.938 -0.004 27.261 3.574 -0.706 0.616 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Labor Force Thousands Total Migrants Thousands Economic Migrants Thousands Population (Last Year's) Thousands Population 5 Year Cohorts) Thousands College Population Thousands Year 1 42.414 40.263 40.263 0 40.734 0 Year 2 83.894 46.111 46.111 40.734 88.324 0 Year 3 115.536 41.781 41.781 88.324 132.601 0 Year 4 140.272 37.134 37.134 132.601 173.125 0 Year 5 133.814 8.253 8.253 173.125 185.25 0 Year 6 125.242 1.262 1.262 185.25 190.423 0 Year 7 115.366 -3.361 -3.361 190.423 190.859 0 Year 8 103.978 -7.4 -7.4 190.859 187.03 0 Year 9 88.849 -13.298 -13.297 187.03 176.951 0 Year 10 78.21 -11.339 -11.338 176.951 168.426 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Ages 0-4 Thousands Ages 5-9 Thousands Ages 10-14 Thousands Ages 15-19 Thousands Ages 20-24 Thousands Ages 25-29 Thousands Ages 30-34 Thousands Ages 35-39 Thousands Ages 40-44 Thousands Ages 45-49 Thousands Ages 50-54 Thousands Ages 55-59 Thousands Ages 60-64 Thousands Ages 65-69 Thousands Ages 70-74 Thousands Ages 75-79 Thousands Ages 80-84 Thousands Ages 85+ Thousands Year 1 4.267 3.172 2.527 2.65 6.402 5.855 4.277 3.186 2.787 2.028 1.504 1.111 0.968 0 0 0 0 0 Year 2 9.42 6.945 5.544 5.371 13.153 12.84 9.475 6.997 6.063 4.489 3.315 2.428 2.132 0.153 0 0 0 0 Year 3 14.389 10.538 8.433 7.614 18.385 19.474 14.577 10.679 9.122 6.901 5.068 3.693 3.234 0.494 0 0 0 0 Year 4 19.076 13.902 11.165 9.575 21.927 25.636 19.541 14.222 11.915 9.245 6.748 4.912 4.237 1.025 0 0 0 0 Year 5 20.868 15.08 12.207 9.828 20.028 27.588 21.737 15.711 12.769 10.276 7.449 5.421 4.539 1.749 0 0 0 0 Year 6 21.389 16.159 12.843 10.065 16.828 28.064 23.22 16.778 13.173 10.98 7.935 5.794 4.63 2.565 0 0 0 0 Year 7 21.039 17.073 13.208 10.29 13.316 27.015 24.174 17.599 13.355 11.389 8.299 6.068 4.617 3.275 0.142 0 0 0 Year 8 19.954 17.734 13.322 10.411 9.987 24.356 24.576 18.2 13.39 11.489 8.558 6.242 4.551 3.803 0.458 0 0 0 Year 9 17.945 17.95 13.043 10.204 6.741 19.811 24.168 18.411 13.157 11.164 8.636 6.254 4.41 4.108 0.947 0 0 0 Year 10 16.146 18.012 12.816 10.152 4.89 14.768 23.593 18.78 13.18 10.821 8.795 6.316 4.386 4.159 1.613 0 0 0 Page 66 Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Management, business, financial Thousands occupations(Jobs) Computer, math, architect, engineer occupations Thousands (Jobs) Life, physical, social science occupations Thousands (Jobs) Community, social service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Legal occupations Thousands (Jobs) Education, training, library occupations Thousands (Jobs) Arts, design, entertainment, sports, media occupations Thousands (Jobs) Healthcare occupations Thousands (Jobs) Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Food preparation, serving relatedThousands occupations(Jobs) Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands service occupations (Jobs) Sales, office, administrative occupations Thousands (Jobs) Farm, fishing, forestry occupations Thousands (Jobs) Construction, extraction occupations Thousands (Jobs) Installation, maintenance, repair occupations Thousands (Jobs) Production occupations Thousands (Jobs) Transportation, material moving occupations Thousands (Jobs) Year 11 2.116 -1.192 -0.192 0.274 -0.261 0.38 -0.259 1.058 0.66 2.217 0.927 2.292 0.006 23.94 3.239 -0.561 0.634 Year 12 2.149 -0.931 -0.143 0.303 -0.203 0.404 -0.184 1.281 0.672 2.267 1.064 2.915 0.016 21.363 3.013 -0.383 0.713 Year 13 2.124 -0.717 -0.103 0.324 -0.156 0.42 -0.122 1.456 0.672 2.289 1.16 3.341 0.024 18.868 2.771 -0.243 0.757 Year 14 2.074 -0.539 -0.069 0.341 -0.116 0.433 -0.071 1.601 0.665 2.293 1.233 3.65 0.03 16.566 2.535 -0.13 0.781 Year 15 2.014 -0.388 -0.041 0.353 -0.083 0.441 -0.028 1.721 0.654 2.28 1.287 3.872 0.036 14.497 2.315 -0.038 0.792 Year 16 1.947 -0.262 -0.017 0.362 -0.055 0.445 0.007 1.818 0.641 2.253 1.325 4.025 0.04 12.665 2.114 0.036 0.794 Year 17 1.876 -0.157 0.003 0.368 -0.032 0.446 0.035 1.897 0.625 2.213 1.348 4.12 0.043 11.056 1.93 0.095 0.788 Year 18 1.804 -0.069 0.019 0.371 -0.012 0.445 0.058 1.955 0.607 2.162 1.357 4.167 0.045 9.65 1.763 0.143 0.777 Year 19 1.735 0.006 0.033 0.371 0.004 0.442 0.077 1.999 0.588 2.106 1.358 4.184 0.047 8.428 1.614 0.182 0.763 Year 20 1.664 0.067 0.044 0.37 0.017 0.436 0.091 2.025 0.566 2.041 1.347 4.161 0.048 7.362 1.477 0.212 0.744 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Labor Force Thousands Total Migrants Thousands Economic Migrants Thousands Population (Last Year's) Thousands Population 5 Year Cohorts) Thousands College Population Thousands Year 11 69.746 -10.319 -10.318 168.426 160.54 0 Year 12 63.224 -9.23 -9.229 160.54 153.376 0 Year 13 57.883 -8.479 -8.479 153.376 146.61 0 Year 14 53.376 -7.899 -7.899 146.61 140.082 0 Year 15 49.483 -7.415 -7.415 140.082 133.715 0 Year 16 46.069 -6.993 -6.993 133.715 127.472 0 Year 17 43.169 -6.669 -6.668 127.472 121.286 0 Year 18 40.603 -6.389 -6.388 121.286 115.15 0 Year 19 38.3 -6.135 -6.134 115.15 109.079 0 Year 20 36.184 -5.911 -5.91 109.079 103.087 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Ages 0-4 Thousands Ages 5-9 Thousands Ages 10-14 Thousands Ages 15-19 Thousands Ages 20-24 Thousands Ages 25-29 Thousands Ages 30-34 Thousands Ages 35-39 Thousands Ages 40-44 Thousands Ages 45-49 Thousands Ages 50-54 Thousands Ages 55-59 Thousands Ages 60-64 Thousands Ages 65-69 Thousands Ages 70-74 Thousands Ages 75-79 Thousands Ages 80-84 Thousands Ages 85+ Thousands Year 11 14.38 17.485 13.04 10.158 4.031 9.676 22.519 19.146 13.367 10.49 8.964 6.41 4.436 4.077 2.36 0 0 0 Year 12 12.678 16.581 13.493 10.202 3.881 5.177 20.621 19.488 13.728 10.268 9.083 6.557 4.541 3.943 3.008 0.127 0 0 Year 13 11.032 15.369 14.04 10.248 4.126 1.65 17.742 19.726 14.227 10.195 9.107 6.756 4.678 3.818 3.489 0.408 0 0 Year 14 9.477 13.837 14.638 10.281 4.524 -0.727 13.9 19.817 14.835 10.287 9.022 7.005 4.831 3.746 3.766 0.842 0 0 Year 15 7.957 12.383 14.976 10.279 4.923 -1.949 9.368 19.603 15.492 10.543 8.852 7.286 4.994 3.765 3.813 1.429 0 0 Year 16 6.495 10.911 14.685 10.696 5.306 -2.277 4.715 18.839 16.101 10.927 8.671 7.559 5.173 3.849 3.739 2.083 0 0 Year 17 5.109 9.435 13.962 11.296 5.645 -2.021 0.553 17.184 16.631 11.437 8.563 7.757 5.383 3.975 3.62 2.648 0.107 0 Year 18 3.833 7.974 12.899 11.963 5.934 -1.446 -2.7 14.51 17.024 12.056 8.582 7.847 5.633 4.126 3.508 3.066 0.342 0 Year 19 2.701 6.575 11.493 12.663 6.172 -0.771 -4.848 10.846 17.246 12.765 8.75 7.821 5.922 4.289 3.446 3.307 0.702 0 Year 20 1.744 5.189 10.145 13.087 6.347 -0.135 -5.878 6.471 17.147 13.506 9.068 7.703 6.236 4.458 3.466 3.347 1.186 0 Page 67 Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units State Revenues at State AverageBillions Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars State Expenditures at State Average Rates Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 1 0.842 -0.229 Year 2 1.104 -0.172 Year 3 1.124 -0.017 Year 4 1.109 0.143 Year 5 0.572 0.448 Year 6 0.414 0.548 Year 7 0.303 0.606 Year 8 0.198 0.645 Year 9 0.065 0.676 Year 10 0.084 0.639 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Intergovernmental Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars General Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Selective Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars License Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Individual Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Corporate Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Current Charges Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 1 0.053 0.287 0.09 0.025 0 0.02 0.039 0.071 0.07 0 0 0.187 Year 2 0.113 0.324 0.102 0.028 0 0.025 0.054 0.099 0.097 0 0 0.261 Year 3 0.168 0.272 0.085 0.024 0 0.025 0.058 0.107 0.104 0 0 0.28 Year 4 0.217 0.207 0.065 0.018 0 0.024 0.061 0.112 0.11 0 0 0.294 Year 5 0.229 -0.019 -0.006 -0.002 0 0.011 0.038 0.07 0.068 0 0 0.183 Year 6 0.232 -0.087 -0.027 -0.008 0 0.008 0.031 0.058 0.056 0 0 0.151 Year 7 0.23 -0.13 -0.041 -0.011 0 0.005 0.027 0.049 0.048 0 0 0.128 Year 8 0.222 -0.165 -0.052 -0.014 0 0.003 0.022 0.04 0.039 0 0 0.104 Year 9 0.211 -0.196 -0.061 -0.017 0 0 0.014 0.025 0.024 0 0 0.066 Year 10 0.202 -0.172 -0.054 -0.015 0 0.001 0.013 0.024 0.023 0 0 0.063 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Education Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Public Welfare Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Hospitals Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Health Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Highways Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Police Protection Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Correction Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Natural Resources Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Parks and Recreation Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Government Administration Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Interest on General Debt Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other and Unallocable Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 1 0.037 -0.219 0.001 0.006 0.011 0.001 0.004 0.003 0 0.005 0.002 0.01 0 0 -0.091 Year 2 0.077 -0.242 0.003 0.012 0.024 0.002 0.009 0.007 0.001 0.01 0.005 0.021 0 0 -0.1 Year 3 0.117 -0.194 0.004 0.018 0.036 0.002 0.014 0.01 0.001 0.015 0.007 0.032 0 0 -0.08 Year 4 0.154 -0.138 0.005 0.023 0.048 0.003 0.018 0.014 0.001 0.02 0.009 0.042 0.001 0 -0.057 Year 5 0.166 0.059 0.006 0.025 0.051 0.003 0.019 0.015 0.001 0.022 0.01 0.045 0.001 0 0.024 Year 6 0.172 0.12 0.006 0.026 0.053 0.003 0.02 0.015 0.001 0.022 0.01 0.047 0.001 0 0.05 Year 7 0.174 0.158 0.006 0.026 0.054 0.004 0.02 0.016 0.001 0.023 0.011 0.047 0.001 0 0.066 Year 8 0.172 0.189 0.006 0.026 0.053 0.003 0.02 0.015 0.001 0.022 0.01 0.047 0.001 0 0.078 Year 9 0.163 0.225 0.005 0.025 0.05 0.003 0.019 0.015 0.001 0.021 0.01 0.044 0.001 0 0.093 Year 10 0.155 0.212 0.005 0.024 0.048 0.003 0.018 0.014 0.001 0.02 0.009 0.042 0.001 0 0.088 Page 68 Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units State Revenues at State AverageBillions Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars State Expenditures at State Average Rates Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 11 0.102 0.608 Year 12 0.128 0.578 Year 13 0.148 0.551 Year 14 0.164 0.525 Year 15 0.176 0.501 Year 16 0.186 0.477 Year 17 0.193 0.454 Year 18 0.198 0.431 Year 19 0.202 0.409 Year 20 0.203 0.387 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Intergovernmental Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars General Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Selective Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars License Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Individual Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Corporate Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Current Charges Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 11 0.193 -0.149 -0.047 -0.013 0 0.001 0.012 0.023 0.022 0 0 0.059 Year 12 0.185 -0.123 -0.038 -0.011 0 0.001 0.012 0.022 0.022 0 0 0.058 Year 13 0.177 -0.101 -0.032 -0.009 0 0.002 0.012 0.021 0.021 0 0 0.056 Year 14 0.17 -0.082 -0.026 -0.007 0 0.002 0.011 0.021 0.02 0 0 0.055 Year 15 0.162 -0.066 -0.021 -0.006 0 0.002 0.011 0.02 0.02 0 0 0.053 Year 16 0.155 -0.053 -0.017 -0.005 0 0.002 0.011 0.02 0.019 0 0 0.052 Year 17 0.148 -0.041 -0.013 -0.004 0 0.002 0.011 0.019 0.019 0 0 0.051 Year 18 0.141 -0.031 -0.01 -0.003 0 0.002 0.01 0.019 0.019 0 0 0.05 Year 19 0.134 -0.023 -0.007 -0.002 0 0.002 0.01 0.019 0.018 0 0 0.049 Year 20 0.127 -0.015 -0.005 -0.001 0 0.002 0.01 0.019 0.018 0 0 0.049 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Education Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Public Welfare Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Hospitals Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Health Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Highways Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Police Protection Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Correction Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Natural Resources Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Parks and Recreation Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Government Administration Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Interest on General Debt Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other and Unallocable Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 11 0.148 0.201 0.005 0.022 0.046 0.003 0.017 0.013 0.001 0.019 0.009 0.04 0.001 0 0.083 Year 12 0.141 0.19 0.005 0.021 0.044 0.003 0.016 0.013 0.001 0.018 0.009 0.038 0.001 0 0.079 Year 13 0.135 0.18 0.005 0.02 0.042 0.003 0.016 0.012 0.001 0.017 0.008 0.036 0.001 0 0.075 Year 14 0.129 0.172 0.004 0.02 0.04 0.003 0.015 0.011 0.001 0.017 0.008 0.035 0 0 0.071 Year 15 0.123 0.163 0.004 0.019 0.038 0.002 0.014 0.011 0.001 0.016 0.007 0.033 0 0 0.068 Year 16 0.117 0.155 0.004 0.018 0.036 0.002 0.014 0.01 0.001 0.015 0.007 0.032 0 0 0.064 Year 17 0.112 0.148 0.004 0.017 0.034 0.002 0.013 0.01 0.001 0.014 0.007 0.03 0 0 0.061 Year 18 0.106 0.14 0.004 0.016 0.033 0.002 0.012 0.009 0.001 0.014 0.006 0.029 0 0 0.058 Year 19 0.101 0.133 0.003 0.015 0.031 0.002 0.012 0.009 0.001 0.013 0.006 0.027 0 0 0.055 Year 20 0.095 0.125 0.003 0.015 0.029 0.002 0.011 0.008 0.001 0.012 0.006 0.026 0 0 0.052 Page 69 Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Category Units Year 1 Total Employment Thousands (Jobs) -114.289 Employment by Occupation Thousands (Jobs) -114.289 Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) -130.995 Self Supply Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -8.613 Total Exports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -11.34 Exports to Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.007 Exports to Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -6.984 Exports to Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -4.363 Total Imports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -2.185 Imports from Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.926 Imports from Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.6 Imports from Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.658 Output Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -21.702 Value-Added Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -12.845 Wage and Salary Disbursements Billions of Current Dollars -5.469 Personal Income Billions of Current Dollars -4.139 Real Disposable Personal Income Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -3.502 PCE-Price Index 2005=100 (Nation) -0.366 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -11.962 Personal Consumption Expenditures Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -2.453 Total National Deflator 2005=1 (Nation) 0 Year 2 -42.458 -42.458 -72.831 -4.654 -7.357 0.018 -4.855 -2.521 -0.99 -0.6 -0.067 -0.323 -13.371 -7.856 -3.298 -1.681 -1.292 -0.575 -6.252 -0.873 0 Year 3 -4.674 -4.674 -37.286 -2.215 -4.938 0.023 -3.479 -1.482 -0.634 -0.5 0.051 -0.186 -8.22 -4.795 -1.842 -0.205 -0.137 -0.326 -3.072 -0.059 0 Year 4 26.151 26.151 -8.281 0.077 -3.129 0.022 -2.461 -0.689 -0.438 -0.454 0.091 -0.075 -3.861 -2.199 -0.496 1.205 0.88 -0.04 -0.377 0.677 0 Year 5 1.604 1.604 -14.318 -0.757 -3.086 0.017 -2.083 -1.021 -1.89 -0.858 -0.658 -0.373 -4.496 -2.639 -0.796 0.081 -0.041 0.092 -1.796 -0.049 0 Year 6 19.677 19.677 7.575 0.93 -1.33 0.011 -0.995 -0.345 -1.713 -0.769 -0.663 -0.281 -0.74 -0.417 0.31 0.894 0.558 0.167 0.225 0.4 0 Year 7 23.81 23.81 14.766 1.528 -0.767 0.003 -0.616 -0.153 -1.742 -0.756 -0.719 -0.267 0.547 0.342 0.783 1.2 0.716 0.304 0.822 0.521 0 Year 8 24.291 24.291 18.481 1.798 -0.353 -0.007 -0.316 -0.03 -1.791 -0.743 -0.782 -0.265 1.332 0.8 1.098 1.34 0.764 0.385 1.109 0.56 0 Year 9 14.708 14.708 14.369 1.379 -0.477 -0.016 -0.294 -0.167 -1.992 -0.769 -0.902 -0.321 0.824 0.471 0.927 0.875 0.421 0.393 0.49 0.301 0 Year 10 16.528 16.528 16.009 1.6 -0.334 -0.024 -0.226 -0.084 -1.717 -0.66 -0.791 -0.266 1.226 0.713 1.072 1.022 0.515 0.38 0.741 0.375 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Category Units Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities, and Other(Jobs) Thousands Mining Thousands (Jobs) Utilities Thousands (Jobs) Construction Thousands (Jobs) Manufacturing Thousands (Jobs) Wholesale Trade Thousands (Jobs) Retail Trade Thousands (Jobs) Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs) Information Thousands (Jobs) Finance and Insurance Thousands (Jobs) Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Thousands (Jobs) Professional and Technical Services Thousands (Jobs) Management of Companies and Enterprises Thousands (Jobs) Administrative and Waste ServicesThousands (Jobs) Educational Services Thousands (Jobs) Health Care and Social AssistanceThousands (Jobs) Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Thousands (Jobs) Accommodation and Food Services Thousands (Jobs) Other Services, except Public Administration Thousands (Jobs) State and Local Government Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Civilian Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Military Employment Thousands (Jobs) Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Year 2 -0.727 -0.118 -0.324 8.532 -6.457 -3.379 -6.42 -5.151 -3.847 -13.525 -3.696 -8.759 -1.721 -9.587 -2.105 -4.861 -3.031 -4.115 -3.542 30.372 0 0 0 Year 3 -0.534 -0.081 -0.19 15.07 -4.869 -2.346 -4.095 -3.737 -2.874 -9.446 -2.114 -5.814 -1.256 -5.568 -1.362 -2.188 -2.088 -2.359 -1.435 32.611 0 0 0 Year 4 -0.371 -0.047 -0.075 20.698 -3.612 -1.649 -2.288 -2.575 -2.121 -6.068 -0.713 -3.627 -0.88 -2.338 -0.744 0.014 -1.308 -0.856 0.281 34.431 0 0 0 Year 5 -0.282 -0.033 -0.076 18.79 -3.26 -2.465 -3.289 -2.107 -2.14 -5.142 -0.464 -5.074 -0.712 -3.36 -0.757 -1.057 -1.131 -1.151 -0.609 15.921 0 0 0 Year 6 -0.115 -0.003 0.016 20.654 -1.902 -1.79 -1.736 -0.97 -1.333 -1.992 0.641 -3.082 -0.341 -0.875 -0.266 0.535 -0.42 -0.041 0.593 12.102 0 0 0 Year 7 -0.048 0.008 0.05 21.211 -1.371 -1.605 -1.232 -0.539 -1.029 -0.834 1.049 -2.497 -0.207 -0.16 -0.093 0.96 -0.152 0.343 0.91 9.044 0 0 0 Year 8 -0.001 0.015 0.07 20.799 -0.963 -1.467 -0.911 -0.229 -0.797 -0.039 1.267 -2.125 -0.112 0.208 0.017 1.134 0.03 0.561 1.027 5.81 0 0 0 Year 9 0.013 0.015 0.061 18.661 -0.848 -1.5 -1.079 -0.172 -0.753 -0.029 1.163 -2.441 -0.097 -0.306 -0.025 0.623 0.036 0.39 0.654 0.339 0 0 0 Year 10 0.029 0.017 0.068 17.441 -0.631 -1.228 -0.725 -0.053 -0.579 0.272 1.203 -1.965 -0.065 -0.008 0.034 0.791 0.114 0.526 0.767 0.52 0 0 0 Year 1 -1.02 -0.172 -0.561 2.148 -9.134 -5.67 -10.883 -7.371 -5.661 -20.091 -6.122 -14.515 -2.44 -16.998 -3.386 -9.891 -4.585 -7.144 -7.501 16.706 0 0 0 Page 70 Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Year 11 Category Units 17.886 Total Employment Thousands (Jobs) 17.886 Employment by Occupation Thousands (Jobs) 17.202 Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) 1.768 Self Supply Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.175 Total Exports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.03 Exports to Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.149 Exports to Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.004 Exports to Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -1.443 Total Imports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.552 Imports from Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.679 Imports from Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars -0.211 Imports from Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 1.594 Output Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.933 Value-Added Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 1.202 Wage and Salary Disbursements Billions of Current Dollars 1.16 Personal Income Billions of Current Dollars 0.588 Real Disposable Personal Income Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.389 PCE-Price Index 2005=100 (Nation) 0.97 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0.436 Personal Consumption Expenditures Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars 0 Total National Deflator 2005=1 (Nation) Year 12 16.591 16.591 15.94 1.683 -0.209 -0.034 -0.175 0.001 -1.225 -0.466 -0.582 -0.176 1.474 0.862 1.173 1.153 0.565 0.388 0.897 0.422 0 Year 13 15.004 15.004 14.406 1.546 -0.239 -0.038 -0.193 -0.007 -1.056 -0.398 -0.508 -0.15 1.306 0.762 1.11 1.109 0.527 0.375 0.795 0.397 0 Year 14 13.379 13.379 12.843 1.389 -0.262 -0.041 -0.206 -0.015 -0.918 -0.342 -0.447 -0.128 1.127 0.655 1.028 1.048 0.482 0.354 0.684 0.366 0 Year 15 11.86 11.86 11.383 1.234 -0.276 -0.044 -0.212 -0.021 -0.803 -0.295 -0.396 -0.111 0.958 0.554 0.943 0.979 0.436 0.331 0.58 0.338 0 Year 16 10.501 10.501 10.08 1.09 -0.282 -0.044 -0.213 -0.025 -0.703 -0.254 -0.352 -0.097 0.807 0.465 0.858 0.91 0.393 0.307 0.488 0.311 0 Year 17 9.326 9.326 8.953 0.961 -0.281 -0.044 -0.211 -0.026 -0.619 -0.221 -0.312 -0.086 0.678 0.389 0.78 0.846 0.354 0.284 0.409 0.289 0 Year 18 8.325 8.325 7.992 0.847 -0.276 -0.044 -0.206 -0.026 -0.543 -0.194 -0.275 -0.074 0.571 0.326 0.709 0.788 0.32 0.262 0.344 0.271 0 Year 19 7.496 7.496 7.196 0.752 -0.267 -0.042 -0.199 -0.024 -0.473 -0.169 -0.24 -0.064 0.485 0.277 0.648 0.739 0.292 0.243 0.293 0.258 0 Year 20 6.784 6.784 6.512 0.667 -0.254 -0.041 -0.191 -0.022 -0.412 -0.146 -0.211 -0.054 0.413 0.234 0.594 0.695 0.265 0.226 0.25 0.245 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Year 11 Category Units 0.045 Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities, and Other(Jobs) Thousands 0.018 Mining Thousands (Jobs) 0.074 Utilities Thousands (Jobs) 15.945 Construction Thousands (Jobs) -0.416 Manufacturing Thousands (Jobs) -0.962 Wholesale Trade Thousands (Jobs) -0.395 Retail Trade Thousands (Jobs) 0.062 Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs) -0.41 Information Thousands (Jobs) 0.558 Finance and Insurance Thousands (Jobs) Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 1.218 Thousands (Jobs) Professional and Technical Services -1.493 Thousands (Jobs) Management of Companies and Enterprises -0.03 Thousands (Jobs) Administrative and Waste ServicesThousands (Jobs) 0.279 0.091 Educational Services Thousands (Jobs) Health Care and Social AssistanceThousands (Jobs) 0.93 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 0.188 Thousands (Jobs) Accommodation and Food Services 0.647 Thousands (Jobs) Other Services, except Public Administration 0.852 Thousands (Jobs) State and Local Government Employment 0.684 Thousands (Jobs) 0 Federal Civilian Employment Thousands (Jobs) 0 Federal Military Employment Thousands (Jobs) 0 Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Year 12 0.044 0.016 0.07 14.365 -0.347 -0.796 -0.256 0.06 -0.334 0.506 1.115 -1.282 -0.033 0.249 0.092 0.859 0.185 0.641 0.785 0.652 0 0 0 Year 13 0.042 0.015 0.065 12.725 -0.292 -0.661 -0.158 0.055 -0.274 0.452 1.007 -1.119 -0.036 0.209 0.091 0.779 0.179 0.621 0.708 0.598 0 0 0 Year 14 0.041 0.014 0.061 11.15 -0.247 -0.551 -0.087 0.051 -0.224 0.401 0.902 -0.988 -0.036 0.169 0.088 0.701 0.172 0.596 0.63 0.536 0 0 0 Year 15 0.04 0.012 0.057 9.701 -0.208 -0.458 -0.031 0.048 -0.182 0.357 0.805 -0.872 -0.037 0.136 0.085 0.635 0.165 0.571 0.561 0.475 0 0 0 Year 16 0.039 0.01 0.051 8.401 -0.175 -0.38 0.016 0.045 -0.146 0.321 0.721 -0.768 -0.034 0.111 0.082 0.583 0.158 0.547 0.5 0.42 0 0 0 Year 17 0.038 0.009 0.048 7.255 -0.146 -0.314 0.056 0.044 -0.116 0.292 0.648 -0.674 -0.033 0.096 0.078 0.546 0.153 0.524 0.45 0.373 0 0 0 Year 18 0.036 0.007 0.044 6.253 -0.121 -0.256 0.092 0.044 -0.09 0.27 0.585 -0.586 -0.03 0.088 0.076 0.519 0.149 0.505 0.409 0.333 0 0 0 Year 19 0.035 0.006 0.041 5.387 -0.099 -0.206 0.126 0.044 -0.068 0.254 0.531 -0.502 -0.028 0.086 0.073 0.503 0.145 0.489 0.375 0.3 0 0 0 Year 20 0.035 0.006 0.037 4.638 -0.079 -0.163 0.154 0.045 -0.048 0.24 0.486 -0.426 -0.025 0.088 0.071 0.49 0.141 0.473 0.348 0.271 0 0 0 Page 71 Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Category Units Year 1 Management, business, financial occupations Thousands (Jobs) -14.335 Computer, math, architect, engineer occupations Thousands (Jobs) -7.323 Life, physical, social science occupations Thousands (Jobs) -0.919 Community, social service occupations Thousands (Jobs) -1.699 Legal occupations Thousands (Jobs) -0.981 Education, training, library occupations Thousands (Jobs) -2.403 Arts, design, entertainment, sports,Thousands media occupations (Jobs) -2.612 Healthcare occupations Thousands (Jobs) -6.159 Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs) 2.067 Food preparation, serving related occupations Thousands (Jobs) -7.638 Building, grounds, personal care, service occupations Thousands (Jobs) -9.901 Sales, office, administrative occupations Thousands (Jobs) -41.001 Farm, fishing, forestry occupationsThousands (Jobs) -0.623 Construction, extraction occupations Thousands (Jobs) 1.149 Installation, maintenance, repair occupations Thousands (Jobs) -4.441 Production occupations Thousands (Jobs) -7.672 Transportation, material moving occupations Thousands (Jobs) -9.8 Year 2 -5.994 -3.647 -0.113 -0.83 -0.054 -0.934 -1.527 -1.998 6.358 -4.27 -4.7 -20.248 -0.379 6.661 -1.247 -4.523 -5.012 Year 3 -1.684 -1.853 0.207 -0.367 0.309 -0.234 -0.962 -0.049 7.418 -2.379 -2.019 -9.465 -0.245 11.361 0.562 -2.809 -2.466 Year 4 1.832 -0.45 0.46 0.012 0.588 0.344 -0.516 1.549 8.285 -0.781 0.176 -0.8 -0.134 15.383 2.067 -1.443 -0.422 Year 5 -0.876 -1.695 -0.038 -0.172 -0.006 -0.181 -0.709 -0.164 3.574 -1.237 -1.124 -6.217 -0.147 12.976 0.984 -1.872 -1.49 Year 6 1.319 -0.672 0.066 0.098 0.089 0.145 -0.334 0.749 2.936 -0.063 0.369 -0.154 -0.051 14.155 1.801 -0.737 -0.039 Year 7 1.837 -0.421 0.057 0.171 0.068 0.211 -0.216 0.894 2.271 0.323 0.753 1.488 -0.018 14.392 2.004 -0.37 0.365 Year 8 1.951 -0.316 0.022 0.2 0.019 0.216 -0.145 0.859 1.514 0.534 0.891 2.173 0.002 13.96 2.013 -0.147 0.545 Year 9 0.905 -0.686 -0.126 0.118 -0.158 0.026 -0.201 0.24 0.085 0.316 0.367 0.261 -0.006 12.209 1.529 -0.306 0.137 Year 10 1.176 -0.468 -0.086 0.145 -0.114 0.08 -0.131 0.386 0.167 0.466 0.549 1.159 0.007 11.443 1.552 -0.133 0.331 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Category Units Labor Force Thousands Total Migrants Thousands Economic Migrants Thousands Population (Last Year's) Thousands Population 5 Year Cohorts) Thousands College Population Thousands Year 1 -23.438 -26.244 -26.244 0 -26.551 0 Year 2 -23.093 -3.247 -3.247 -26.551 -30.448 0 Year 3 -16.311 4.916 4.916 -30.448 -26.154 0 Year 4 -6.024 9.929 9.929 -26.154 -16.659 0 Year 5 -4.443 3.168 3.168 -16.659 -13.756 0 Year 6 0.59 5.846 5.846 -13.758 -8.058 0 Year 7 4.747 5.428 5.428 -8.058 -2.635 0 Year 8 7.799 4.538 4.538 -2.635 2.023 0 Year 9 8.044 1.888 1.888 2.024 4.113 0 Year 10 8.941 2.13 2.13 4.113 6.498 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Category Units Year 1 Ages 0-4 Thousands -2.789 Ages 5-9 Thousands -2.068 Ages 10-14 Thousands -1.648 Ages 15-19 Thousands -1.727 Ages 20-24 Thousands -4.172 Ages 25-29 Thousands -3.816 Ages 30-34 Thousands -2.787 Ages 35-39 Thousands -2.076 Ages 40-44 Thousands -1.816 Ages 45-49 Thousands -1.321 Ages 50-54 Thousands -0.98 Ages 55-59 Thousands -0.723 Ages 60-64 Thousands -0.63 Ages 65-69 Thousands 0 Ages 70-74 Thousands 0 Ages 75-79 Thousands 0 Ages 80-84 Thousands 0 Ages 85+ Thousands 0 Year 2 -3.32 -2.414 -1.93 -1.735 -4.309 -4.468 -3.326 -2.437 -2.095 -1.573 -1.157 -0.84 -0.742 -0.1 0 0 0 0 Year 3 -2.984 -2.129 -1.714 -1.29 -2.993 -3.929 -3.035 -2.185 -1.805 -1.433 -1.039 -0.748 -0.651 -0.219 0 0 0 0 Year 4 -2.059 -1.427 -1.169 -0.67 -0.834 -2.599 -2.191 -1.535 -1.148 -1.03 -0.727 -0.522 -0.416 -0.331 0 0 0 0 Year 5 -1.772 -1.202 -1.021 -0.649 0.071 -2.068 -1.976 -1.393 -0.948 -0.929 -0.651 -0.479 -0.323 -0.418 0 0 0 0 Year 6 -0.849 -1.063 -0.693 -0.455 1.162 -0.975 -1.412 -1.031 -0.582 -0.667 -0.473 -0.355 -0.169 -0.495 0 0 0 0 Year 7 -0.05 -0.793 -0.378 -0.229 1.81 0.317 -0.847 -0.695 -0.279 -0.37 -0.312 -0.227 -0.052 -0.439 -0.091 0 0 0 Year 8 0.608 -0.479 -0.103 -0.028 2.101 1.573 -0.316 -0.41 -0.047 -0.086 -0.176 -0.114 0.029 -0.33 -0.201 0 0 0 Year 9 0.915 -0.255 0.029 0.02 1.838 2.465 -0.011 -0.313 0.005 0.082 -0.13 -0.065 0.039 -0.201 -0.302 0 0 0 Year 10 1.271 -0.038 0.204 0.114 1.578 3.226 0.447 -0.151 0.08 0.246 -0.056 -0.01 0.057 -0.09 -0.38 0 0 0 Page 72 Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Year 11 Category Units 1.407 Management, business, financial occupations Thousands (Jobs) -0.256 Computer, math, architect, engineer occupations Thousands (Jobs) -0.047 Life, physical, social science occupations Thousands (Jobs) 0.167 Community, social service occupations Thousands (Jobs) -0.072 Legal occupations Thousands (Jobs) Education, training, library occupations 0.131 Thousands (Jobs) Arts, design, entertainment, sports,Thousands media occupations -0.064 (Jobs) 0.515 Healthcare occupations Thousands (Jobs) 0.242 Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Food preparation, serving related occupations 0.602 Thousands (Jobs) Building, grounds, personal care, service occupations 0.711 Thousands (Jobs) Sales, office, administrative occupations 1.965 Thousands (Jobs) Farm, fishing, forestry occupationsThousands (Jobs) 0.019 Construction, extraction occupations 10.494 Thousands (Jobs) Installation, maintenance, repair occupations 1.538 Thousands (Jobs) 0.029 Production occupations Thousands (Jobs) Transportation, material moving occupations 0.504 Thousands (Jobs) Year 12 1.311 -0.201 -0.037 0.155 -0.058 0.127 -0.046 0.484 0.229 0.598 0.664 1.94 0.019 9.457 1.414 0.051 0.485 Year 13 1.184 -0.167 -0.03 0.14 -0.049 0.119 -0.032 0.443 0.209 0.579 0.606 1.824 0.02 8.377 1.273 0.058 0.448 Year 14 1.052 -0.143 -0.026 0.125 -0.042 0.111 -0.024 0.402 0.187 0.555 0.546 1.677 0.02 7.341 1.132 0.06 0.407 Year 15 0.929 -0.122 -0.022 0.112 -0.037 0.104 -0.016 0.366 0.166 0.53 0.492 1.53 0.02 6.386 1 0.059 0.365 Year 16 0.821 -0.105 -0.019 0.101 -0.033 0.097 -0.01 0.337 0.148 0.507 0.445 1.396 0.019 5.53 0.881 0.057 0.328 Year 17 0.727 -0.088 -0.016 0.092 -0.028 0.091 -0.003 0.317 0.132 0.486 0.407 1.285 0.019 4.776 0.777 0.055 0.297 Year 18 0.648 -0.072 -0.012 0.085 -0.023 0.086 0.001 0.304 0.118 0.469 0.378 1.195 0.019 4.117 0.685 0.055 0.271 Year 19 0.585 -0.056 -0.009 0.08 -0.019 0.083 0.007 0.297 0.109 0.455 0.356 1.128 0.018 3.55 0.607 0.056 0.25 Year 20 0.531 -0.04 -0.006 0.075 -0.015 0.079 0.012 0.291 0.1 0.441 0.337 1.071 0.019 3.057 0.539 0.058 0.233 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Year 11 Category Units 9.888 Labor Force Thousands 2.093 Total Migrants Thousands 2.093 Economic Migrants Thousands 6.498 Population (Last Year's) Thousands 8.9 Population 5 Year Cohorts) Thousands 0 College Population Thousands Year 12 10.374 1.569 1.569 8.9 10.826 0 Year 13 10.484 1.066 1.066 10.826 12.28 0 Year 14 10.311 0.624 0.624 12.28 13.31 0 Year 15 9.943 0.263 0.263 13.31 13.98 0 Year 16 9.454 -0.019 -0.019 13.981 14.358 0 Year 17 8.809 -0.198 -0.198 14.358 14.535 0 Year 18 8.196 -0.339 -0.339 14.535 14.541 0 Year 19 7.622 -0.441 -0.441 14.541 14.407 0 Year 20 7.103 -0.525 -0.525 14.408 14.148 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Year 11 Category Units 1.576 Ages 0-4 Thousands 0.555 Ages 5-9 Thousands 0.077 Ages 10-14 Thousands 0.237 Ages 15-19 Thousands 1.341 Ages 20-24 Thousands 3.71 Ages 25-29 Thousands 1.061 Ages 30-34 Thousands 0.067 Ages 35-39 Thousands 0.163 Ages 40-44 Thousands 0.384 Ages 45-49 Thousands 0.039 Ages 50-54 Thousands 0.046 Ages 55-59 Thousands 0.077 Ages 60-64 Thousands 0.016 Ages 65-69 Thousands -0.448 Ages 70-74 Thousands 0 Ages 75-79 Thousands 0 Ages 80-84 Thousands 0 Ages 85+ Thousands Year 12 1.802 1.01 0.07 0.33 1.16 3.735 1.849 0.27 0.211 0.449 0.162 0.08 0.1 0.078 -0.398 -0.081 0 0 Year 13 1.955 1.36 0.133 0.398 1.008 3.471 2.646 0.47 0.235 0.465 0.286 0.099 0.119 0.109 -0.297 -0.177 0 0 Year 14 2.065 1.565 0.274 0.455 0.862 3.019 3.394 0.67 0.242 0.451 0.403 0.109 0.133 0.117 -0.181 -0.266 0 0 Year 15 2.111 1.761 0.364 0.522 0.715 2.47 3.928 0.963 0.267 0.42 0.488 0.124 0.138 0.12 -0.08 -0.332 0 0 Year 16 2.099 1.883 0.807 0.274 0.589 1.901 4.148 1.382 0.329 0.379 0.533 0.152 0.138 0.12 0.015 -0.388 0 0 Year 17 2.038 1.955 1.138 0.165 0.48 1.441 3.951 2.004 0.399 0.321 0.52 0.216 0.124 0.123 0.071 -0.343 -0.067 0 Year 18 1.933 1.985 1.388 0.148 0.391 1.066 3.51 2.668 0.493 0.26 0.478 0.293 0.106 0.127 0.099 -0.256 -0.148 0 Year 19 1.788 2.001 1.517 0.228 0.328 0.751 2.927 3.313 0.612 0.203 0.417 0.373 0.087 0.129 0.107 -0.154 -0.219 0 Year 20 1.612 1.978 1.657 0.273 0.307 0.48 2.281 3.772 0.845 0.181 0.354 0.431 0.082 0.125 0.11 -0.067 -0.271 0 Page 73 Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Category Units Year 1 State Revenues at State Average Rates Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.47363 State Expenditures at State Average Ratesof Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.173369 Billions Year 2 -0.25514 -0.12432 Year 3 -0.15704 -0.23182 Year 4 -0.07523 -0.27154 Year 5 -0.20509 -0.14341 Year 6 -0.1399 -0.16261 Year 7 -0.1237 -0.12861 Year 8 -0.11392 -0.08516 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Category Units Year 1 Intergovernmental Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.03441 General Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.159 Selective Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.04946 License Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.0138 Individual Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0 Corporate Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.04972 Other Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.01788 Current Charges Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.03258 Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.0313 Utility Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.00017 Liquor Store Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0 Insurance Trust Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.08531 Year 2 -0.03881 -0.08808 -0.02804 -0.00743 0 -0.03115 -0.00677 -0.01239 -0.01136 -0.00014 0 -0.03097 Year 3 Year 4 -0.03322 -0.02078 -0.07013 -0.06142 -0.0222 -0.0197 -0.00588 -0.0057 0 0 -0.02015 -0.01163 -0.0003 0.004988 -0.00119 0.008665 -0.00135 0.00833 -0.00011 -0.00009 0 0 -0.0035 0.022103 Year 5 -0.01665 -0.12427 -0.03875 -0.01078 0 -0.01191 -0.00012 -3.8E-05 -0.00049 -7.4E-05 0 -0.00101 Year 6 -0.01017 -0.11036 -0.03424 -0.00932 0 -0.00405 0.003072 0.005476 0.005805 -4.5E-05 0 0.013927 Year 7 -0.00312 -0.11073 -0.03434 -0.00996 0 -0.00137 0.003467 0.006863 0.007093 -3.1E-05 0 0.018428 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 0.002572 0.00498 0.007379 -0.1108 -0.11536 -0.09957 -0.0346 -0.03621 -0.0317 -0.00993 -0.00955 -0.00913 0 0 0 0.000299 -0.0012 0.000338 0.004345 0.0021 0.00277 0.007305 0.003686 0.004915 0.007456 0.003807 0.005008 -2.1E-05 -1.6E-05 -1.3E-05 0 0 0 0.019449 0.011071 0.013292 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Category Units Year 1 Education Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.04957 Public Welfare Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.198949 Hospitals Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.00158 Health Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.00764 Highways Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.01562 Police Protection Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.00054 Correction Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.00595 Natural Resources Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.00482 Parks and Recreation Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.00065 Government Administration Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.00591 Interest on General Debt Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.00266 Other and Unallocable Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.0137 Utility Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.00029 Liquor Store Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0 Insurance Trust Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.082351 Year 2 -0.05527 -0.00252 -0.00181 -0.00822 -0.01695 -0.00128 -0.00624 -0.00509 -0.00096 -0.00766 -0.00289 -0.01462 -0.00043 0 -0.00039 Year 3 -0.04814 -0.08806 -0.00158 -0.00769 -0.015 -0.00074 -0.00592 -0.00413 -0.00016 -0.00662 -0.00328 -0.0128 -0.00051 0 -0.0372 Year 5 -0.026 -0.06086 -0.00108 -0.00395 -0.00859 -4.4E-05 -0.00265 -0.00245 -0.00028 -0.00355 -0.00119 -0.00681 -0.00057 0 -0.02538 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 -0.01605 -0.00509 0.003616 0.008398 0.013168 -0.09055 -0.08311 -0.06678 -0.02927 -0.02602 -0.00088 -0.00058 -0.00022 0.000145 0.000507 -0.00205 -0.00068 0.000944 0.001583 0.002219 -0.00475 -0.00199 0.001317 0.002644 0.003966 7.6E-05 0.000257 0.000473 -0.00031 -9.3E-05 -0.00196 -0.00091 0.000342 0.000602 0.001861 -0.00092 -0.00012 0.000831 0.000791 0.00075 -0.00023 -0.00016 -6.6E-05 0.000026 0.000118 -0.00178 -0.00062 0.000768 0.001164 0.001558 -0.00082 -0.00028 0.000373 2.9E-05 0.000684 -0.00421 -0.00178 0.001109 0.002024 0.003935 -0.00055 -0.00051 -0.00047 -0.00043 -0.00039 0 0 0 0 0 -0.03794 -0.03405 -0.0274 -0.01221 -0.01072 Year 4 -0.03093 -0.14293 -0.00094 -0.00433 -0.00933 -0.00096 -0.00318 -0.00309 -0.00025 -0.00402 -0.00194 -0.00872 -0.00056 0 -0.05936 Page 74 Year 9 -0.13669 -0.02282 Year 10 -0.10672 -0.00746 Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Year 11 Year 12 Year 13 Year 14 Year 15 Year 16 Year 17 Year 18 Year 19 Year 20 Category Units -0.07783 -0.06073 -0.04695 -0.03618 -0.02783 -0.02174 -0.01561 -0.01039 -0.00608 -0.00281 State Revenues at State Average Rates Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars State Expenditures at State Average Ratesof Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.010232 0.033647 0.054188 0.071685 0.083763 0.093806 0.099733 0.104168 0.107478 0.107891 Billions Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Category Units Year 11 Intergovernmental Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.010478 General Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.08478 Selective Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.0262 License Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.00772 Individual Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0 Corporate Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.000914 Other Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.003355 Current Charges Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.005985 Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.005054 Utility Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -9E-06 Liquor Store Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0 Insurance Trust Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.015098 Year 12 0.012735 -0.07335 -0.02307 -0.00668 0 0.000406 0.003328 0.004937 0.005006 -9E-06 0 0.01397 Year 13 0.015255 -0.06299 -0.01995 -0.00565 0 0.000967 0.003241 0.004777 0.00485 -0.00001 0 0.013551 Year 14 0.016179 -0.05469 -0.01686 -0.00462 0 0.000591 0.002115 0.004546 0.004625 -1.1E-05 0 0.011947 Year 15 0.016619 -0.04736 -0.01476 -0.00459 0 0.000291 0.001982 0.004303 0.004386 -1.1E-05 0 0.011308 Year 16 0.017646 -0.04098 -0.01264 -0.00356 0 0.000062 0.00185 0.004061 0.00315 -1.2E-05 0 0.009674 Year 17 0.017386 -0.03551 -0.01149 -0.00352 0 -0.0001 0.001734 0.003848 0.002942 -1.3E-05 0 0.009116 Year 18 0.017898 -0.03098 -0.00932 -0.00247 0 -0.00021 0.001635 0.002666 0.002765 -1.3E-05 0 0.00764 Year 19 0.017215 -0.02739 -0.00814 -0.00242 0 -0.00027 0.001553 0.002517 0.002619 -1.4E-05 0 0.007248 Year 20 0.017355 -0.0228 -0.00695 -0.00237 0 -0.00029 0.001481 0.002386 0.00249 -1.4E-05 0 0.006905 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County Category Units Year 11 Education Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.018435 Public Welfare Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.02117 Hospitals Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.000853 Health Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.00278 Highways Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.005134 Police Protection Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.000114 Correction Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.002062 Natural Resources Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.001665 Parks and Recreation Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.000205 Government Administration Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.001888 Interest on General Debt Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.001308 Other and Unallocable Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.00471 Utility Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.00035 Liquor Store Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0 Insurance Trust Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.00839 Year 12 0.022283 -0.01008 0.00115 0.003125 0.006864 0.000292 0.002096 0.002453 0.00028 0.003033 0.000847 0.006101 -0.00032 0 -0.00448 Year 13 0.024894 -0.00022 0.000406 0.004281 0.007212 0.000446 0.002986 0.002131 0.000345 0.003018 0.00131 0.007159 -0.00029 0 -0.00048 Year 14 0.027499 0.008629 0.000628 0.004285 0.00825 0.000579 0.002758 0.00272 0.000401 0.003873 0.001711 0.006944 -0.00027 0 0.003673 Year 15 0.028291 0.01462 0.000823 0.004165 0.009036 0.000696 0.003435 0.002236 0.00045 0.003623 0.002064 0.007509 -0.00024 0 0.00606 Year 16 0.029389 0.020831 0.000995 0.00494 0.008609 0.000798 0.003031 0.00269 0.000493 0.004283 0.001374 0.007888 -0.00023 0 0.008709 Year 17 0.030002 0.024595 0.00115 0.004641 0.009032 0.000891 0.00357 0.003101 0.000533 0.00388 0.001654 0.008134 -0.00021 0 0.009757 Year 18 0.030233 0.027187 0.001292 0.004284 0.009338 0.000977 0.003065 0.002478 0.000569 0.003428 0.001912 0.008278 -0.00019 0 0.01132 Year 19 0.030136 0.029786 0.001424 0.004878 0.009542 0.001055 0.003521 0.002825 0.000602 0.003933 0.002149 0.008333 -0.00018 0 0.012471 Year 20 0.02974 0.030508 0.000545 0.004425 0.008654 0.000128 0.002943 0.002146 0.000632 0.0034 0.001369 0.008307 -0.00016 0 0.012258 Page 75 Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Employment Losses Category Units Total Employment Thousands (Jobs) Employment by Occupation Thousands (Jobs) Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Self Supply Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total Exports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total Imports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Output Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Value-Added Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Wage and Salary Disbursements Billions of Current Dollars Personal Income Billions of Current Dollars Real Disposable Personal Income Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars PCE-Price Index 2005=100 (Nation) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Personal Consumption Expenditures Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total National Deflator 2005=1 (Nation) Year 1 -11.8506 -9.58621 11.55596 -1.23552 0.3215 -1.20252 -0.70551 -1.1141 0.781388 -0.2972 -0.00829 -3.36484 -1.00089 -0.35421 -0.88523 -0.00223 0.448048 -1.95648 0.593485 0.683 0 Year 2 6.794166 8.452323 16.30075 -0.31624 0.360405 -0.8677 -0.48595 -0.87012 1.109449 -0.16119 0.171615 -2.33225 -0.08946 0.068407 -0.51023 0.713261 0.425062 -0.97877 1.228651 0.949 0 Year 3 15.11346 16.39881 17.90029 0.214993 0.35705 -0.6496 -0.34746 -0.69417 1.090851 -0.11611 0.199091 -1.68803 0.426132 0.303222 -0.24646 1.076963 0.468379 -0.32272 1.431168 1.02 0 Year 4 21.48107 22.44011 18.46458 0.675648 0.286142 -0.46653 -0.25996 -0.54594 1.009631 -0.08854 0.202963 -1.12507 0.820998 0.49638 -0.01026 1.385137 0.594346 0.193081 1.581555 1.068 0 Year 5 9.856337 10.60974 11.65705 0.482694 0.07956 -0.3571 -0.26476 -0.55023 0.215386 -0.20957 -0.12304 -1.04181 0.432979 0.245958 -0.1067 0.844235 0.177455 0.364362 0.824289 0.659 0 Year 6 11.14732 11.56131 9.711604 0.720698 -0.00184 -0.16249 -0.15998 -0.36987 0.008255 -0.18619 -0.15093 -0.48521 0.61028 0.334614 0.054141 0.824274 0.188297 0.578384 0.705137 0.549 0 Year 7 10.33998 10.60609 8.197567 0.763374 -0.055 -0.08774 -0.12489 -0.29397 -0.14074 -0.18636 -0.18987 -0.2661 0.621076 0.351816 0.1139 0.760064 0.249058 0.610336 0.581802 0.473 0 Year 8 8.941834 9.097336 6.776936 0.75319 -0.08569 -0.03078 -0.09234 -0.23002 -0.27696 -0.18792 -0.22614 -0.11435 0.59876 0.351351 0.150242 0.665716 0.2764 0.601132 0.448463 0.396 0 Year 9 4.81405 4.92901 4.634444 0.604103 -0.1269 -0.01624 -0.09176 -0.21811 -0.44655 -0.20592 -0.29364 -0.11224 0.422982 0.257682 0.094173 0.422546 0.203227 0.490557 0.19283 0.267 0 Year 10 4.835462 4.913282 4.257188 0.590198 -0.13328 -0.00041 -0.08211 -0.18274 -0.39336 -0.18082 -0.26156 -0.03422 0.414413 0.263753 0.103447 0.409342 0.264833 0.39905 0.180724 0.259 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities, and Other(Jobs) Thousands Mining Thousands (Jobs) Utilities Thousands (Jobs) Construction Thousands (Jobs) Manufacturing Thousands (Jobs) Wholesale Trade Thousands (Jobs) Retail Trade Thousands (Jobs) Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs) Information Thousands (Jobs) Finance and Insurance Thousands (Jobs) Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Thousands (Jobs) Professional and Technical Services Thousands (Jobs) Management of Companies and Enterprises Thousands (Jobs) Administrative and Waste ServicesThousands (Jobs) Educational Services Thousands (Jobs) Health Care and Social AssistanceThousands (Jobs) Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Thousands (Jobs) Accommodation and Food Services Thousands (Jobs) Other Services, except Public Administration Thousands (Jobs) State and Local Government Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Civilian Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Military Employment Thousands (Jobs) Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Year 1 -0.03477 -0.07046 -2.44375 2.273533 -0.89223 -2.51207 0.227045 -0.44389 -2.39792 -2.77584 -2.61481 -0.23036 -5.40442 0.735299 -2.48159 -0.39864 -1.56241 -1.90694 -1.28541 13.119 0 0 0 Year 2 -0.02737 -0.04853 -2.51719 5.552396 -0.61681 -1.70394 0.753559 -0.31029 -1.71245 -1.92994 -1.53089 0.224423 -3.83438 1.271541 -1.65462 0.35968 -1.08666 -0.97379 -0.36215 17.481 0 0 0 Year 3 -0.02603 -0.03511 -2.18524 7.883799 -0.48743 -1.23942 0.835219 -0.23127 -1.26649 -1.39449 -0.87156 0.304431 -2.78676 1.289013 -1.15004 0.652417 -0.80177 -0.43772 0.016644 17.44 0 0 0 Year 4 -0.02271 -0.02378 -1.67297 9.401537 -0.40021 -0.87833 0.829248 -0.16964 -0.89611 -0.94306 -0.31998 0.290036 -1.92107 1.253362 -0.74218 0.867753 -0.5624 -0.00061 0.312948 17.357 0 0 0 Year 5 -0.02308 -0.01885 -1.21904 7.905676 -0.44617 -0.86152 0.153646 -0.15218 -0.70955 -0.77159 -0.31498 -0.28446 -1.41621 0.359741 -0.56092 0.266014 -0.49571 -0.06867 -0.10639 8.827 0 0 0 Year 6 -0.01396 -0.00871 -0.60746 7.796017 -0.33326 -0.52237 0.047558 -0.08965 -0.34114 -0.35059 0.095215 -0.35258 -0.59013 0.150709 -0.19936 0.297755 -0.27179 0.221497 0.053021 6.258 0 0 0 Year 7 -0.009 -0.00511 -0.1991 7.333011 -0.28816 -0.40311 -0.04432 -0.06613 -0.19838 -0.18318 0.224154 -0.4321 -0.27843 0.002792 -0.08012 0.265012 -0.18283 0.304019 0.081896 4.542 0 0 0 Year 8 -0.00403 -0.00276 0.093606 6.760713 -0.24721 -0.31821 -0.11679 -0.04739 -0.0947 -0.06598 0.294127 -0.49012 -0.06107 -0.12271 -0.00464 0.219447 -0.11849 0.342723 0.085481 2.853 0 0 0 Year 9 -0.00141 -0.00263 0.243188 5.633112 -0.23251 -0.31225 -0.22813 -0.04234 -0.06937 -0.04978 0.234853 -0.59055 -0.01249 -0.31613 -0.01667 0.067664 -0.10845 0.275823 -0.02294 0.369 0 0 0 Year 10 0.003019 -0.00165 0.332419 5.007797 -0.19219 -0.25587 -0.17269 -0.03253 -0.03443 -0.00989 0.258219 -0.52544 0.037638 -0.27056 -0.00955 0.122812 -0.08009 0.293883 0.020168 0.339 0 0 0 Page 76 Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Employment Losses Category Units Total Employment Thousands (Jobs) Employment by Occupation Thousands (Jobs) Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Self Supply Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total Exports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total Imports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Output Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Value-Added Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Wage and Salary Disbursements Billions of Current Dollars Personal Income Billions of Current Dollars Real Disposable Personal Income Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars PCE-Price Index 2005=100 (Nation) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Personal Consumption Expenditures Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total National Deflator 2005=1 (Nation) Year 11 4.765927 4.808743 3.83018 0.571449 -0.13665 0.016196 -0.0701 -0.14859 -0.33663 -0.15682 -0.22814 0.04263 0.400348 0.263437 0.109055 0.399744 0.3068 0.352941 0.163838 0.249 0 Year 12 4.392098 4.435387 3.643736 0.526149 -0.12296 0.01151 -0.06641 -0.13495 -0.27684 -0.13707 -0.19805 0.040881 0.374146 0.25405 0.096891 0.387435 0.337695 0.284703 0.150516 0.246 0 Year 13 3.975741 4.021319 3.424683 0.478949 -0.11013 0.006634 -0.06356 -0.12481 -0.22703 -0.12072 -0.17306 0.034633 0.343474 0.238384 0.080175 0.376189 0.349943 0.231892 0.134164 0.242 0 Year 14 3.567388 3.615911 3.204865 0.435084 -0.09814 0.002641 -0.05942 -0.11688 -0.18598 -0.10824 -0.15267 0.02495 0.311564 0.220085 0.0612 0.365744 0.351236 0.189806 0.117292 0.238 0 Year 15 3.189711 3.240996 2.993732 0.393658 -0.08698 -0.00048 -0.05588 -0.11093 -0.14942 -0.09713 -0.13438 0.016389 0.282364 0.200483 0.04098 0.358048 0.347311 0.156441 0.101778 0.234 0 Year 16 2.853211 2.906632 2.797969 0.35762 -0.07768 -0.0028 -0.0529 -0.10639 -0.11923 -0.08817 -0.11899 0.00859 0.255255 0.18239 0.021287 0.352296 0.338702 0.131194 0.087876 0.23 0 Year 17 2.558222 2.612879 2.617143 0.324837 -0.06824 -0.00443 -0.0495 -0.10175 -0.09232 -0.08013 -0.1043 0.001981 0.2315 0.165562 0.00344 0.348931 0.32943 0.111355 0.076 0.226 0 Year 18 2.302334 2.357403 2.449377 0.296125 -0.05968 -0.00548 -0.04572 -0.09781 -0.06962 -0.07294 -0.09126 -0.0035 0.210052 0.149279 -0.01407 0.347021 0.319608 0.095873 0.065084 0.221 0 Year 19 2.083465 2.138106 2.297676 0.2703 -0.05303 -0.00606 -0.04261 -0.09346 -0.04902 -0.06555 -0.07889 -0.00702 0.191792 0.13466 -0.02913 0.348613 0.311572 0.08362 0.056927 0.216 0 Year 20 1.890746 1.944411 2.154802 0.247167 -0.0463 -0.00726 -0.04027 -0.08996 -0.03153 -0.06012 -0.06831 -0.01003 0.174452 0.120668 -0.04408 0.350407 0.302979 0.074325 0.04928 0.211 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities, and Other(Jobs) Thousands Mining Thousands (Jobs) Utilities Thousands (Jobs) Construction Thousands (Jobs) Manufacturing Thousands (Jobs) Wholesale Trade Thousands (Jobs) Retail Trade Thousands (Jobs) Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs) Information Thousands (Jobs) Finance and Insurance Thousands (Jobs) Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Thousands (Jobs) Professional and Technical Services Thousands (Jobs) Management of Companies and Enterprises Thousands (Jobs) Administrative and Waste ServicesThousands (Jobs) Educational Services Thousands (Jobs) Health Care and Social AssistanceThousands (Jobs) Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Thousands (Jobs) Accommodation and Food Services Thousands (Jobs) Other Services, except Public Administration Thousands (Jobs) State and Local Government Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Civilian Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Military Employment Thousands (Jobs) Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Year 11 0.007411 -0.00063 0.386037 4.347461 -0.1513 -0.20199 -0.11911 -0.02168 0.000525 0.026717 0.279566 -0.45683 0.088065 -0.22314 0.001004 0.168857 -0.05223 0.310369 0.057192 0.308 0 0 0 Year 12 0.010163 -0.00071 0.377719 3.861142 -0.1258 -0.18389 -0.06843 -0.01901 -0.00115 0.019936 0.252214 -0.3908 0.059527 -0.18087 -0.02576 0.196707 -0.0488 0.293569 0.06572 0.291 0 0 0 Year 13 0.012919 -0.00081 0.345537 3.394859 -0.10457 -0.16995 -0.02635 -0.01621 -0.00381 0.011078 0.224884 -0.3338 0.035136 -0.1426 -0.04938 0.218957 -0.04555 0.276947 0.069423 0.274 0 0 0 Year 14 0.014694 -0.00089 0.301726 2.966701 -0.08641 -0.15827 0.008171 -0.01423 -0.00529 0.002485 0.200444 -0.28387 0.014454 -0.11024 -0.07005 0.238703 -0.04306 0.259017 0.071472 0.257 0 0 0 Year 15 0.016498 -0.00097 0.256202 2.583673 -0.07212 -0.14901 0.037114 -0.01205 -0.00753 -0.00482 0.178422 -0.23908 -0.00237 -0.08074 -0.08776 0.255068 -0.04092 0.243354 0.071733 0.241 0 0 0 Year 16 0.018333 -0.00101 0.212233 2.246674 -0.05864 -0.13904 0.061454 -0.00968 -0.00856 -0.01045 0.159821 -0.20056 -0.01463 -0.05608 -0.10095 0.269066 -0.03797 0.228017 0.071571 0.226 0 0 0 Year 17 0.019193 -0.00103 0.172269 1.950564 -0.04794 -0.13021 0.08114 -0.00815 -0.00954 -0.01515 0.143513 -0.16641 -0.02482 -0.03526 -0.11145 0.280706 -0.03504 0.214014 0.071324 0.211 0 0 0 Year 18 0.020081 -0.00103 0.137263 1.693201 -0.03903 -0.12174 0.097115 -0.00647 -0.00962 -0.01726 0.12819 -0.13777 -0.03062 -0.01831 -0.11883 0.289884 -0.03235 0.202038 0.07095 0.198 0 0 0 Year 19 0.019992 -0.00102 0.106863 1.47045 -0.03093 -0.11393 0.109327 -0.00467 -0.00996 -0.01721 0.115572 -0.11173 -0.0357 -0.00326 -0.1238 0.297488 -0.02911 0.189708 0.070354 0.185 0 0 0 Year 20 0.020924 -0.00099 0.082241 1.277151 -0.0237 -0.1052 0.118727 -0.0038 -0.00974 -0.01744 0.104267 -0.0894 -0.03763 0.007893 -0.12704 0.302426 -0.02545 0.178618 0.070336 0.173 0 0 0 Page 77 Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Management, business, financial occupations Thousands (Jobs) Computer, math, architect, engineer occupations Thousands (Jobs) Life, physical, social science occupations Thousands (Jobs) Community, social service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Legal occupations Thousands (Jobs) Education, training, library occupations Thousands (Jobs) Arts, design, entertainment, sports,Thousands media occupations (Jobs) Healthcare occupations Thousands (Jobs) Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Food preparation, serving related occupations Thousands (Jobs) Building, grounds, personal care, service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Sales, office, administrative occupations Thousands (Jobs) Farm, fishing, forestry occupationsThousands (Jobs) Construction, extraction occupations Thousands (Jobs) Installation, maintenance, repair occupations Thousands (Jobs) Production occupations Thousands (Jobs) Transportation, material moving occupations Thousands (Jobs) Year 1 0.89269 0.634416 -0.14641 -0.16778 -0.22889 -0.14151 -1.78363 0.221739 1.437771 -2.71361 -9.67441 5.409812 -2.08899 2.651547 -1.32678 -1.94701 1.303 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Labor Force Thousands Total Migrants Thousands Economic Migrants Thousands Population (Last Year's) Thousands Population 5 Year Cohorts) Thousands College Population Thousands Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 -2.28529 5.852967 10.98504 14.80457 14.69868 14.62926 13.74449 12.59358 10.82982 9.555929 -2.78329 1.371967 2.624033 3.295561 0.983676 1.122244 0.835475 0.506561 -0.21621 -0.1351 4.191 -2.38005 -6.40851 -8.8143 -12.4932 -13.3645 -13.1239 -12.5986 -12.1667 -11.0265 -7.07205 -6.38348 -3.41827 0.34685 4.327543 6.32314 7.835449 8.980338 9.624513 9.563307 4.25 9.125 13.657 17.802 19.092 19.681 19.79 19.474 18.511 17.678 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Ages 0-4 Thousands Ages 5-9 Thousands Ages 10-14 Thousands Ages 15-19 Thousands Ages 20-24 Thousands Ages 25-29 Thousands Ages 30-34 Thousands Ages 35-39 Thousands Ages 40-44 Thousands Ages 45-49 Thousands Ages 50-54 Thousands Ages 55-59 Thousands Ages 60-64 Thousands Ages 65-69 Thousands Ages 70-74 Thousands Ages 75-79 Thousands Ages 80-84 Thousands Ages 85+ Thousands Year 1 -0.09644 -0.10782 -0.19615 -0.83306 -0.34844 -0.13099 -0.10697 -0.15092 -0.06145 -0.04983 -0.0358 -0.05206 0.101 0 0 0 0 0 Year 2 2.323056 1.028616 0.117755 -0.00315 0.084183 0.170479 -1.14168 1.014407 3.097701 -1.48958 -6.21847 7.378502 -1.98253 4.942971 -0.10812 -1.05253 1.718 Year 2 0.168602 0.046539 -0.05337 -0.98492 -0.19411 0.174928 0.131695 -0.00789 0.080764 0.061472 0.049443 -0.00817 0.193316 0.016 0 0 0 0 Year 3 2.765833 1.068007 0.209425 0.066753 0.194509 0.283106 -0.77322 1.232312 3.434861 -0.79616 -4.15171 7.489608 -1.67244 6.396495 0.528571 -0.58278 1.734 Year 3 0.553396 0.278037 0.1856 -0.83676 0.035052 0.596949 0.476051 0.235598 0.272202 0.22377 0.168136 0.07078 0.264431 0.052 0 0 0 0 Year 4 3.065494 1.065866 0.279201 0.120382 0.280914 0.372348 -0.4757 1.392777 3.703609 -0.2297 -2.42274 7.382183 -1.25752 7.341028 1.014553 -0.21234 1.704 Year 4 1.011167 0.551972 0.454643 -0.46747 0.258142 1.073673 0.882235 0.544314 0.486306 0.415852 0.304922 0.17571 0.314225 0.107 0 0 0 0 Page 78 Year 5 1.536297 0.420453 0.083175 0.025486 0.055027 0.137112 -0.42416 0.548172 1.64895 -0.31124 -2.25409 3.724404 -0.93594 5.785798 0.538393 -0.39472 0.895 Year 5 1.236531 0.640574 0.554652 -0.15583 0.052387 1.187221 1.048982 0.686059 0.53307 0.495398 0.356067 0.228569 0.28653 0.182 0 0 0 0 Year 6 1.307907 0.263912 0.085633 0.045857 0.065621 0.140315 -0.16647 0.457668 1.266861 0.092669 -0.80914 2.646403 -0.46026 5.516253 0.726773 -0.12559 0.643 Year 6 1.298746 0.783545 0.641837 0.257134 -0.10395 1.249755 1.203868 0.838037 0.580888 0.571356 0.406418 0.289836 0.232863 0.267 0 0 0 0 Year 7 1.064152 0.147361 0.064386 0.044895 0.046468 0.118239 -0.08385 0.355676 0.935913 0.215618 -0.29195 1.907243 -0.16464 5.103005 0.723111 -0.04765 0.474 Year 7 1.265296 0.939069 0.705707 0.604996 -0.16543 1.188345 1.313311 0.966638 0.629696 0.621069 0.451019 0.340425 0.199355 0.31672 0.015 0 0 0 Year 8 0.801678 0.039211 0.037919 0.039164 0.020557 0.088773 -0.032 0.242445 0.580962 0.281194 0.033345 1.229718 0.047343 4.619575 0.674789 -0.00604 0.317 Year 8 1.146971 1.093797 0.746939 0.864733 -0.11945 0.98937 1.371947 1.068849 0.680019 0.641064 0.488767 0.377379 0.181925 0.332183 0.049 0 0 0 Year 9 0.319483 -0.1272 -0.02592 0.013598 -0.0509 0.01456 -0.05345 0.011799 -0.03961 0.204193 -0.06365 0.274574 0.146973 3.726007 0.455605 -0.07501 0.099 Year 9 0.919691 1.216337 0.73996 0.988389 -0.01843 0.605802 1.336798 1.11497 0.70735 0.612175 0.505567 0.39027 0.173581 0.316105 0.101 0 0 0 Year 10 0.312283 -0.11089 -0.01947 0.020641 -0.03928 0.022038 -0.03858 0.048952 -0.01858 0.238965 0.071813 0.285445 0.213236 3.314923 0.439701 -0.03438 0.093 Year 10 0.701584 1.333124 0.735865 1.040209 0.223897 0.203561 1.283665 1.163459 0.759052 0.580381 0.528332 0.400761 0.188716 0.26628 0.171 0 0 0 Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Management, business, financial occupations Thousands (Jobs) Computer, math, architect, engineer occupations Thousands (Jobs) Life, physical, social science occupations Thousands (Jobs) Community, social service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Legal occupations Thousands (Jobs) Education, training, library occupations Thousands (Jobs) Arts, design, entertainment, sports,Thousands media occupations (Jobs) Healthcare occupations Thousands (Jobs) Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Food preparation, serving related occupations Thousands (Jobs) Building, grounds, personal care, service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Sales, office, administrative occupations Thousands (Jobs) Farm, fishing, forestry occupationsThousands (Jobs) Construction, extraction occupations Thousands (Jobs) Installation, maintenance, repair occupations Thousands (Jobs) Production occupations Thousands (Jobs) Transportation, material moving occupations Thousands (Jobs) Year 11 0.300351 -0.09366 -0.01296 0.026525 -0.02774 0.029393 -0.02157 0.082545 0.002007 0.271235 0.196947 0.290266 0.255984 2.8792 0.419162 0.003566 0.086 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Labor Force Thousands Total Migrants Thousands Economic Migrants Thousands Population (Last Year's) Thousands Population 5 Year Cohorts) Thousands College Population Thousands Year 11 Year 12 Year 13 Year 14 Year 15 Year 16 Year 17 Year 18 Year 19 Year 20 8.512644 7.607699 6.863577 6.2376 5.698717 5.234593 4.861497 4.540569 4.262817 4.01332 -0.13038 -0.18133 -0.23645 -0.28443 -0.32231 -0.34843 -0.36053 -0.36746 -0.37121 -0.37371 -10.0377 -9.07278 -8.26331 -7.56755 -6.95959 -6.42057 -5.94415 -5.50395 -5.09359 -4.70965 9.588156 9.530691 9.437447 9.295346 9.104463 8.871853 8.615024 8.333407 8.027352 7.699372 16.885 16.154 15.453 14.767 14.091 13.422 12.754 12.085 11.418 10.756 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Ages 0-4 Thousands Ages 5-9 Thousands Ages 10-14 Thousands Ages 15-19 Thousands Ages 20-24 Thousands Ages 25-29 Thousands Ages 30-34 Thousands Ages 35-39 Thousands Ages 40-44 Thousands Ages 45-49 Thousands Ages 50-54 Thousands Ages 55-59 Thousands Ages 60-64 Thousands Ages 65-69 Thousands Ages 70-74 Thousands Ages 75-79 Thousands Ages 80-84 Thousands Ages 85+ Thousands Year 11 0.593491 1.285943 0.786334 1.041778 0.514796 -0.14901 1.185079 1.200596 0.820388 0.551555 0.54785 0.409057 0.218661 0.200091 0.251 0 0 0 Year 12 0.283429 -0.07538 -0.01192 0.027851 -0.02501 0.028839 -0.03431 0.100484 -0.00127 0.255862 0.16268 0.333568 0.250295 2.559051 0.378638 0.007913 0.089 Year 12 0.509683 1.167003 0.869777 1.015458 0.759803 -0.36228 1.000178 1.218306 0.878845 0.541744 0.556182 0.421612 0.248845 0.15599 0.29794 0.014 0 0 Year 13 0.26281 -0.06002 -0.01253 0.02924 -0.02315 0.02845 -0.04529 0.115354 -0.00549 0.240026 0.125513 0.362075 0.229078 2.250171 0.338753 0.009314 0.09 Year 13 0.445027 0.992406 0.974992 0.972848 0.935568 -0.41516 0.720245 1.213133 0.933189 0.553166 0.548017 0.435917 0.276317 0.132573 0.313042 0.044 0 0 Year 14 0.243021 -0.0465 -0.01273 0.029793 -0.02206 0.027333 -0.05544 0.127545 -0.0092 0.224311 0.090186 0.381806 0.200139 1.965077 0.300902 0.00858 0.089 Year 14 0.394954 0.769685 1.100159 0.923708 1.026183 -0.30361 0.351791 1.18307 0.984201 0.586083 0.524406 0.453583 0.297156 0.131049 0.299782 0.091 0 0 Page 79 Year 15 0.224385 -0.03575 -0.01239 0.029577 -0.02062 0.027569 -0.06308 0.137327 -0.01199 0.210277 0.059463 0.395768 0.170744 1.708772 0.267316 0.008222 0.088 Year 15 0.350847 0.545628 1.211566 0.871996 1.033337 -0.07211 -0.05285 1.121721 1.027921 0.636636 0.491086 0.473458 0.31255 0.149016 0.255855 0.155 0 0 Year 16 0.206947 -0.02676 -0.01251 0.030598 -0.01883 0.026166 -0.07042 0.146778 -0.0147 0.196922 0.034 0.404943 0.141704 1.482692 0.237992 0.008379 0.087 Year 16 0.305039 0.427769 1.154733 0.877957 0.984655 0.202164 -0.41381 1.014484 1.056346 0.69293 0.459743 0.48934 0.324214 0.181143 0.196411 0.226 0 0 Year 17 0.191674 -0.01854 -0.01209 0.030853 -0.01768 0.026117 -0.07436 0.153947 -0.01621 0.185218 0.014063 0.410305 0.114615 1.285086 0.210853 0.008064 0.085 Year 17 0.260774 0.336022 1.029755 0.925477 0.918872 0.432682 -0.63351 0.821171 1.066974 0.74726 0.446863 0.494047 0.338255 0.211792 0.15793 0.268183 0.012 0 Year 18 0.177422 -0.01111 -0.01221 0.03031 -0.01623 0.025373 -0.07726 0.159747 -0.01574 0.173774 -0.00022 0.410825 0.092057 1.113889 0.188739 0.008097 0.082 Year 18 0.222184 0.26498 0.850561 1.004999 0.846694 0.59783 -0.69245 0.535716 1.057266 0.799593 0.456106 0.483781 0.35501 0.239201 0.137025 0.283585 0.038 0 Year 19 0.165048 -0.00551 -0.01096 0.03094 -0.01553 0.024878 -0.07955 0.165074 -0.01555 0.164168 -0.01085 0.409472 0.072401 0.964987 0.168484 0.008286 0.08 Year 19 0.193923 0.212021 0.624705 1.110549 0.775426 0.682803 -0.58293 0.163475 1.024333 0.850051 0.489264 0.459176 0.374979 0.261552 0.135234 0.273243 0.078 0 Year 20 0.154354 -0.00078 -0.01044 0.030701 -0.01363 0.024576 -0.08068 0.168808 -0.0158 0.154959 -0.01819 0.405223 0.057058 0.836118 0.150884 0.00837 0.077 Year 20 0.177805 0.166542 0.400128 1.207299 0.708751 0.68854 -0.35057 -0.24133 0.962929 0.893058 0.539088 0.425551 0.395924 0.277959 0.152465 0.237638 0.132 0 Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units State Revenues at State Average Rates Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars State Expenditures at State Average Ratesof Fixed (2010) Dollars Billions Year 1 0.109081 -0.008 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Intergovernmental Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars General Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Selective Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars License Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Individual Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Corporate Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Current Charges Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 1 -0.04299 0.018955 0.00684 0.003 -0.0075 -0.00345 -0.00499 -0.00176 0.007969 0 -0.02619 0.022 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Education Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Public Welfare Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Hospitals Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Health Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Highways Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Police Protection Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Correction Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Natural Resources Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Parks and Recreation Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Government Administration Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Interest on General Debt Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other and Unallocable Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 0.012232 0.007993 0.00564 0.003974 0.003376 0.001211 -0.00706 -0.00809 -0.0071 -0.00511 0.000885 0.002889 -0.00026 -0.00039 -0.00047 -0.00051 -0.00052 -0.0005 -0.00054 -0.00079 0.00005 -2.5E-05 -5.4E-05 -1.4E-05 -3.5E-05 0.000948 0.000938 0.000933 0.000931 0.001934 -0.0002 -0.0003 -0.00036 -0.00039 -0.0004 -0.00038 -0.00016 -0.00023 -0.00027 0.000704 0.000696 0.000707 -1.5E-05 -2.2E-05 -2.6E-05 -2.8E-05 -2.9E-05 -2.8E-05 -0.00023 -0.00033 -0.0004 -0.00043 -0.00044 -0.00043 -0.00011 -0.00016 -0.00019 0.000798 0.000792 0.0008 -0.00047 -0.00069 -0.00083 -0.0009 -0.00092 -0.00089 -7E-06 0.00099 0.000988 0.000987 0.000987 0.000988 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.004658 0.002485 0.001095 -1.1E-05 -0.00067 -0.00157 -0.003 -0.003 -0.003 -0.002 0 0.001 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 0.12985 0.126983 0.121679 0.057213 0.035433 0.021946 0.010051 -0.007 -0.002 0.002 0.012 0.015 0.017 0.019 Year 2 -0.02505 0.027382 0.008788 0.003 -0.00546 -0.00237 -0.00201 0.004177 0.010975 0 -0.02098 0.03 Year 3 -0.0128 0.023657 0.007417 0.003 -0.00412 -0.00158 0.000443 0.005592 0.01198 0 -0.01719 0.033 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 -0.00136 0.004484 0.011614 0.014451 0.015654 0.018678 -0.00612 -0.01188 -0.01599 -0.0193 0.005975 -0.00169 -0.00407 -0.00483 -0.00564 0.002 0 -0.001 -0.001 -0.001 -0.00296 -0.00227 -0.00106 -0.00059 -0.00024 -0.00083 -0.00133 -0.00044 -2.5E-05 0.000295 0.001816 -0.00028 0.001371 0.001121 0.001709 0.007933 0.003822 0.004431 0.004164 0.003738 0.012984 0.007987 0.006992 0.005994 0.004996 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01359 -0.01121 -0.00689 -0.00493 -0.00338 0.034 0.021 0.018 0.015 0.012 Page 80 Year 7 0.000566 0.003896 -0.00047 0.000046 0.001938 -0.00036 0.000725 -2.6E-05 -0.0004 0.000812 -0.00084 0.000988 0 -0.00184 0.002 Year 8 0.000282 0.004904 -0.00044 0.000117 0.001942 -0.00033 0.000745 -2.4E-05 -0.00037 0.000826 -0.00077 0.000989 0 -0.00196 0.002 Year 9 -0.00412 0.02 Year 10 -0.00226 0.019 Year 9 0.015579 -0.02301 -0.00756 -0.002 -0.00015 -0.00058 0.000947 0.001971 0.002997 0 -0.00276 0.008 Year 10 0.015593 -0.0207 -0.00647 -0.002 -5.8E-05 -0.00046 0.000164 0.002183 0.002997 0 -0.00219 0.007 Year 9 0.000511 0.006912 -0.0004 0.000189 0.001947 -0.00031 0.000766 -2.2E-05 -0.00034 0.00084 -0.00071 0.00099 0 -0.00186 0.003 Year 10 0.000756 0.005919 -0.00036 0.000261 0.000952 -0.00028 0.000787 -0.00002 -0.00031 0.000854 -0.00065 0.000991 0 -0.00176 0.003 Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units State Revenues at State Average Rates Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars State Expenditures at State Average Ratesof Fixed (2010) Dollars Billions Year 11 Year 12 0.000565 0.003599 0.019 0.018 Year 13 Year 14 0.00651 0.009316 0.017 0.016 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Intergovernmental Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars General Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Selective Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars License Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Individual Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Corporate Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Current Charges Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 11 0.015616 -0.01737 -0.00538 -0.001 0.000039 -0.00035 0.000358 0.002372 0.001998 0 -0.00168 0.007 Year 12 0.014826 -0.01531 -0.00436 -0.001 -1E-06 -0.00035 0.000352 0.001367 0.001998 0 -0.0017 0.007 Year 13 Year 14 Year 15 Year 16 Year 17 0.015008 0.014163 0.013309 0.012449 0.012586 -0.01225 -0.0102 -0.00916 -0.00711 -0.00607 -0.00435 -0.00333 -0.00232 -0.00231 -0.0023 -0.001 -0.001 -0.001 -0.001 0 -3.8E-05 -0.00007 -9.7E-05 -0.00012 -0.00013 -0.00037 -0.00039 -0.00041 -0.00043 -0.00044 0.000329 0.000294 0.000257 0.00022 0.000187 0.001344 0.00131 0.001274 0.001237 0.001205 0.001998 0.001998 0.001998 0.001998 0.001998 0 0 0 0 0 -0.00176 -0.00185 -0.00195 -0.00205 -0.00213 0.006 0.006 0.006 0.006 0.006 Year 18 0.011722 -0.00503 -0.00128 0 -0.00014 -0.00046 0.000158 0.001177 0.001997 0 -0.00221 0.006 Year 19 0.010861 -0.00398 -0.00127 0 -0.00015 -0.00047 0.000135 0.001154 0.001997 0 -0.00227 0.005 Year 20 0.009992 -0.00294 -0.00126 0 -0.00015 -0.00048 0.000113 0.001133 0.001997 0 -0.00232 0.005 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County Category Units Education Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Public Welfare Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Hospitals Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Health Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Highways Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Police Protection Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Correction Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Natural Resources Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Parks and Recreation Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Government Administration Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Interest on General Debt Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other and Unallocable Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 11 0.000992 0.005927 -0.00033 0.00033 0.000956 -0.00025 0.000806 -1.8E-05 -0.00028 0.000868 -0.00059 0.000992 0 -0.00166 0.003 Year 12 0.000424 0.005933 -0.0003 0.000389 0.00096 -0.00023 0.000824 -1.7E-05 -0.00026 0.00088 -0.00054 0.000993 0 -0.00148 0.002 Year 13 0.000809 0.005939 -0.00028 0.000441 0.000963 -0.00021 -0.00016 -1.5E-05 -0.00024 0.00089 -0.00049 0.000993 0 -0.00132 0.002 Year 18 0.001158 0.003959 -0.00018 0.000627 0.000976 -0.00014 -0.00011 -0.00001 -0.00016 -7.4E-05 -0.00033 0.000995 0 -0.00076 0.002 Year 19 0.001346 0.003963 -0.00017 -0.00034 0.000978 -0.00013 -9.9E-05 -9E-06 -0.00014 -6.8E-05 -0.0003 0.000996 0 -0.00069 0.002 Year 20 0.001515 0.003966 -0.00016 -0.00032 0.000979 -0.00012 -9.1E-05 -9E-06 -0.00013 -6.2E-05 -0.00028 0.000996 0 -0.00062 0.002 Year 14 0.001151 0.004944 -0.00025 0.000486 0.000966 -0.0002 -0.00015 -1.4E-05 -0.00022 0.000899 -0.00045 0.000994 0 -0.00118 0.002 Page 81 Year 15 Year 16 Year 17 Year 18 Year 19 Year 20 0.01103 0.012659 0.014226 0.015744 0.016219 0.016654 0.016 0.015 0.014 0.013 0.013 0.012 Year 15 0.001453 0.004948 -0.00023 0.000526 0.000969 -0.00018 -0.00014 -1.3E-05 -0.0002 -9.3E-05 -0.00042 0.000994 0 -0.00106 0.002 Year 16 0.001716 0.004952 -0.00022 0.000563 0.000971 -0.00017 -0.00013 -1.2E-05 -0.00018 -8.6E-05 -0.00038 0.000995 0 -0.00095 0.002 Year 17 0.000949 0.004956 -0.0002 0.000596 0.000974 -0.00015 -0.00012 -1.1E-05 -0.00017 -0.00008 -0.00035 0.000995 0 -0.00085 0.002 Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Total Employment Thousands (Jobs) Employment by Occupation Thousands (Jobs) Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Self Supply Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total Exports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total Imports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Output Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Value-Added Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Wage and Salary Disbursements Billions of Current Dollars Personal Income Billions of Current Dollars Real Disposable Personal Income Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars PCE-Price Index 2005=100 (Nation) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Personal Consumption Expenditures Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total National Deflator 2005=1 (Nation) Year 1 25.80816 25.80715 -4.70403 0.257713 -0.82291 -0.0002 -0.54589 -0.27681 1.10496 0.145813 0.628664 0.330483 -0.71075 -0.41723 -0.06372 0.558462 0.469764 -0.01751 1.064511 0.411043 0 Year 2 51.29716 51.29715 9.014459 1.010787 -0.40076 -0.00152 -0.33049 -0.06875 2.012145 0.279401 0.925372 0.807373 0.498217 0.303568 0.395372 1.819263 1.443029 0.232954 2.35918 1.127135 0 Year 3 58.42218 58.4222 15.79289 1.393344 -0.15102 -0.00298 -0.19772 0.049676 2.17326 0.288704 0.928814 0.954742 1.154825 0.688276 0.679724 2.40559 1.790518 0.63817 2.762393 1.384103 0 Year 4 63.1854 63.1854 20.35003 1.754922 -0.04009 -0.00573 -0.13494 0.100582 2.250888 0.276251 0.893572 1.080064 1.650319 0.981525 0.904548 2.9472 2.106003 0.986743 3.067867 1.609212 0 Year 5 33.16683 33.16686 11.69718 1.227526 -0.20376 -0.00786 -0.17826 -0.01764 0.747889 0.012329 0.252077 0.483484 0.971466 0.563919 0.623998 1.728882 1.144929 1.047338 1.610269 0.869636 0 Year 6 27.74757 27.74757 12.36168 1.227546 -0.11013 -0.00944 -0.10793 0.007246 0.468377 -0.04188 0.088147 0.421105 1.089287 0.632605 0.645614 1.634867 1.05682 0.989296 1.383624 0.812101 0 Year 7 22.85871 22.85869 11.64005 1.166765 -0.10804 -0.01147 -0.09215 -0.00443 0.242505 -0.08337 -0.02807 0.35394 1.041828 0.604731 0.623599 1.509316 0.940492 0.992383 1.153565 0.740525 0 Year 8 17.64593 17.64592 10.57175 1.062372 -0.09187 -0.01181 -0.07394 -0.00613 0.013659 -0.11974 -0.13434 0.26774 0.96171 0.558254 0.585709 1.331506 0.797186 0.953124 0.904522 0.649394 0 Year 9 8.112277 8.112277 7.325626 0.806004 -0.14649 -0.01247 -0.08537 -0.04765 -0.36313 -0.17693 -0.28913 0.102929 0.654476 0.370398 0.441253 0.843373 0.467747 0.841023 0.409496 0.417375 0 Year 10 7.605325 7.60534 6.865313 0.761939 -0.15161 -0.01225 -0.0839 -0.05547 -0.28649 -0.15639 -0.2622 0.132103 0.608243 0.344301 0.406622 0.839468 0.467417 0.726391 0.381 0.423806 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities, and Other(Jobs) Thousands Mining Thousands (Jobs) Utilities Thousands (Jobs) Construction Thousands (Jobs) Manufacturing Thousands (Jobs) Wholesale Trade Thousands (Jobs) Retail Trade Thousands (Jobs) Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs) Information Thousands (Jobs) Finance and Insurance Thousands (Jobs) Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Thousands (Jobs) Professional and Technical Services Thousands (Jobs) Management of Companies and Enterprises Thousands (Jobs) Administrative and Waste ServicesThousands (Jobs) Educational Services Thousands (Jobs) Health Care and Social AssistanceThousands (Jobs) Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Thousands (Jobs) Accommodation and Food Services Thousands (Jobs) Other Services, except Public Administration Thousands (Jobs) State and Local Government Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Civilian Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Military Employment Thousands (Jobs) Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Year 1 -0.25872 -0.06676 -0.13136 7.096405 -1.13474 -0.18494 -1.2948 -0.8085 -0.26572 -1.64338 -1.05651 -1.03328 -0.13706 -0.58735 -0.55269 -0.78348 -0.65301 -0.57853 -0.63063 30.51219 0 0 0 Year 2 -0.18657 -0.04633 -0.04718 10.92529 -0.7969 0.048853 0.179089 -0.57163 -0.17135 -1.09404 -0.38305 -0.27005 -0.09971 0.716309 -0.30054 0.652566 -0.37696 0.273102 0.564572 42.2827 0 0 0 Year 3 -0.14027 -0.03452 -0.00834 13.81268 -0.60513 0.100475 0.651446 -0.42843 -0.12763 -0.77548 -0.0611 -0.04027 -0.07804 1.106129 -0.16632 1.179292 -0.2283 0.645378 0.98933 42.62929 0 0 0 Year 4 -0.09924 -0.02349 0.026384 15.57263 -0.46388 0.10964 0.936774 -0.31709 -0.09492 -0.52395 0.189759 0.06076 -0.06117 1.363087 -0.05762 1.582125 -0.10817 0.955758 1.302642 42.83537 0 0 0 Year 5 -0.07203 -0.01962 0.007702 12.50706 -0.4413 -0.11931 -0.16462 -0.27857 -0.11148 -0.48738 -0.01449 -0.56861 -0.05257 0.268443 -0.09618 0.507807 -0.12608 0.493765 0.462646 21.46967 0 0 0 Year 6 -0.02903 -0.00859 0.027731 11.77135 -0.27681 -0.12009 -0.04825 -0.15683 -0.0738 -0.23508 0.145916 -0.50953 -0.03406 0.255647 -0.01893 0.600605 -0.02716 0.571577 0.527011 15.38691 0 0 0 Year 7 -0.01328 -0.00406 0.031535 10.93093 -0.20856 -0.1329 -0.06052 -0.10792 -0.05937 -0.13538 0.194814 -0.53086 -0.02626 0.157255 0.005312 0.553069 0.007865 0.563446 0.473944 11.21865 0 0 0 Year 8 -0.00202 -0.00187 0.032877 10.01285 -0.15513 -0.1439 -0.09458 -0.07065 -0.04817 -0.06558 0.209115 -0.55563 -0.02098 0.038509 0.01925 0.467399 0.030536 0.526222 0.392513 7.074171 0 0 0 Year 9 0.001917 -0.00085 0.023187 8.141958 -0.13821 -0.17087 -0.28594 -0.05935 -0.04712 -0.05908 0.138494 -0.67494 -0.01818 -0.25285 0.003198 0.169971 0.020609 0.37601 0.158656 0.786673 0 0 0 Year 10 0.006726 0.000119 0.026168 7.124264 -0.10673 -0.14432 -0.16979 -0.04214 -0.03709 -0.02408 0.160664 -0.59907 -0.01522 -0.20432 0.013975 0.246466 0.03447 0.404433 0.189787 0.740006 0 0 0 Page 82 Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Total Employment Thousands (Jobs) Employment by Occupation Thousands (Jobs) Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Self Supply Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total Exports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total Imports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Output Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Value-Added Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Wage and Salary Disbursements Billions of Current Dollars Personal Income Billions of Current Dollars Real Disposable Personal Income Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars PCE-Price Index 2005=100 (Nation) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Personal Consumption Expenditures Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total National Deflator 2005=1 (Nation) Year 11 6.978813 6.978782 6.293095 0.706657 -0.15355 -0.01203 -0.07916 -0.06237 -0.20838 -0.1355 -0.23381 0.161929 0.552106 0.313786 0.371147 0.834268 0.460277 0.660123 0.347871 0.42393 0 Year 12 6.550899 6.550914 5.90645 0.658923 -0.14629 -0.01177 -0.07635 -0.05717 -0.13829 -0.11151 -0.1952 0.168431 0.512639 0.29208 0.347593 0.819861 0.44582 0.60383 0.324281 0.417984 0 Year 13 6.074387 6.074371 5.475006 0.60649 -0.13728 -0.01144 -0.07192 -0.05392 -0.08465 -0.09156 -0.16323 0.16913 0.469209 0.267628 0.32374 0.801632 0.429023 0.55229 0.297749 0.408378 0 Year 14 5.602609 5.602609 5.047188 0.554971 -0.1293 -0.01102 -0.06781 -0.04947 -0.04403 -0.07543 -0.13632 0.16772 0.425677 0.243537 0.302014 0.781549 0.410892 0.506398 0.271484 0.397624 0 Year 15 5.160496 5.160496 4.646203 0.506822 -0.12019 -0.0105 -0.06302 -0.04567 -0.00981 -0.06084 -0.11295 0.163976 0.38663 0.221782 0.280678 0.76169 0.393016 0.465611 0.247546 0.3869 0 Year 16 4.761213 4.761228 4.285484 0.462752 -0.11097 -0.0099 -0.05858 -0.04249 0.018709 -0.04865 -0.09286 0.160226 0.350782 0.201788 0.262542 0.747097 0.377674 0.430918 0.226394 0.376582 0 Year 17 4.406306 4.406291 3.964874 0.42339 -0.1027 -0.00921 -0.05458 -0.03891 0.0433 -0.03875 -0.07378 0.156829 0.319693 0.184899 0.246357 0.736588 0.365568 0.400433 0.207407 0.368267 0 Year 18 4.090829 4.090829 3.680412 0.387927 -0.09551 -0.00945 -0.0511 -0.03596 0.065238 -0.0301 -0.05754 0.152882 0.292418 0.170134 0.233469 0.731003 0.354874 0.375682 0.190611 0.359948 0 Year 19 3.813769 3.813769 3.431131 0.357432 -0.08756 -0.00864 -0.04722 -0.0327 0.085657 -0.0226 -0.04212 0.149378 0.268877 0.157434 0.222065 0.728639 0.346705 0.355671 0.17694 0.352371 0 Year 20 3.561005 3.56099 3.20414 0.328722 -0.081 -0.00778 -0.04303 -0.03019 0.102322 -0.0152 -0.02965 0.146169 0.247724 0.145581 0.21217 0.730996 0.339665 0.339164 0.164164 0.344372 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities, and Other(Jobs) Thousands Mining Thousands (Jobs) Utilities Thousands (Jobs) Construction Thousands (Jobs) Manufacturing Thousands (Jobs) Wholesale Trade Thousands (Jobs) Retail Trade Thousands (Jobs) Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs) Information Thousands (Jobs) Finance and Insurance Thousands (Jobs) Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Thousands (Jobs) Professional and Technical Services Thousands (Jobs) Management of Companies and Enterprises Thousands (Jobs) Administrative and Waste ServicesThousands (Jobs) Educational Services Thousands (Jobs) Health Care and Social AssistanceThousands (Jobs) Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Thousands (Jobs) Accommodation and Food Services Thousands (Jobs) Other Services, except Public Administration Thousands (Jobs) State and Local Government Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Civilian Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Military Employment Thousands (Jobs) Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Year 11 0.011628 0.001066 0.027951 6.029133 -0.07515 -0.11829 -0.06046 -0.025 -0.02621 0.009897 0.179038 -0.52053 -0.01229 -0.15554 0.025629 0.313289 0.048255 0.42707 0.213603 0.685691 0 0 0 Year 12 0.011482 0.000905 0.027825 5.387308 -0.06297 -0.09608 0.015677 -0.0216 -0.02113 0.01588 0.175454 -0.45673 -0.01135 -0.13366 0.027656 0.345823 0.049248 0.433017 0.21568 0.644459 0 0 0 Year 13 0.012463 0.000737 0.027641 4.753411 -0.05234 -0.07715 0.076417 -0.01777 -0.01595 0.020692 0.169117 -0.39935 -0.01024 -0.11421 0.029666 0.370449 0.05038 0.434191 0.21484 0.599383 0 0 0 Year 14 0.012586 0.001573 0.026432 4.161297 -0.04321 -0.06135 0.126707 -0.01446 -0.01266 0.024464 0.161899 -0.3487 -0.00897 -0.09573 0.030764 0.391227 0.050724 0.43301 0.212567 0.555411 0 0 0 Year 15 0.012855 0.001422 0.026248 3.624125 -0.03455 -0.04853 0.166828 -0.01167 -0.00922 0.027265 0.154615 -0.30232 -0.00754 -0.07888 0.031046 0.408379 0.051389 0.428168 0.209581 0.513291 0 0 0 Year 16 0.013264 0.00129 0.025138 3.146437 -0.02842 -0.03764 0.20009 -0.00944 -0.00665 0.030064 0.148655 -0.26214 -0.00698 -0.0637 0.031546 0.423669 0.051405 0.420902 0.20699 0.475733 0 0 0 Year 17 0.013801 0.001167 0.02413 2.728063 -0.02186 -0.02863 0.227791 -0.00683 -0.00397 0.031761 0.142334 -0.22518 -0.0063 -0.04931 0.032278 0.43838 0.050806 0.413485 0.203939 0.441421 0 0 0 Year 18 0.013447 0.001068 0.023178 2.363327 -0.01693 -0.02048 0.249656 -0.00488 -0.00217 0.033234 0.136517 -0.19263 -0.00552 -0.03701 0.032194 0.450953 0.050547 0.403766 0.201153 0.410409 0 0 0 Year 19 0.013184 0.00099 0.022289 2.047406 -0.0127 -0.01323 0.26826 -0.00266 -0.00029 0.035343 0.130028 -0.16371 -0.00467 -0.02514 0.032242 0.462563 0.049547 0.394488 0.199191 0.382621 0 0 0 Year 20 0.013995 -0.00007 0.02144 1.774309 -0.00924 -0.00789 0.281173 -0.00123 0.000639 0.035943 0.124583 -0.13871 -0.00377 -0.01603 0.031442 0.469578 0.048767 0.383589 0.195629 0.356862 0 0 0 Page 83 Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Management, business, financial occupations Thousands (Jobs) Computer, math, architect, engineer occupations Thousands (Jobs) Life, physical, social science occupations Thousands (Jobs) Community, social service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Legal occupations Thousands (Jobs) Education, training, library occupations Thousands (Jobs) Arts, design, entertainment, sports,Thousands media occupations (Jobs) Healthcare occupations Thousands (Jobs) Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Food preparation, serving related occupations Thousands (Jobs) Building, grounds, personal care, service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Sales, office, administrative occupations Thousands (Jobs) Farm, fishing, forestry occupationsThousands (Jobs) Construction, extraction occupations Thousands (Jobs) Installation, maintenance, repair occupations Thousands (Jobs) Production occupations Thousands (Jobs) Transportation, material moving occupations Thousands (Jobs) Year 1 3.11244 0.885183 0.58666 -0.13568 0.704495 0.343328 -0.03814 1.121509 7.461768 -0.43718 0.445573 3.436944 -0.06069 6.380348 1.299405 -0.10307 0.802254 Year 2 5.829135 1.848459 0.930948 0.11591 1.099255 0.876955 0.18037 2.686407 10.57368 0.539545 1.998863 9.52188 0.017491 9.693526 2.573669 0.644492 2.167571 Year 3 6.486901 2.039081 0.968734 0.207054 1.141908 1.001674 0.24541 3.042997 10.73583 0.91954 2.414133 11.09188 0.045827 11.63777 3.012437 0.891178 2.540835 Year 4 6.930501 2.154856 0.993214 0.274466 1.169534 1.099669 0.290078 3.308811 10.84451 1.228986 2.716083 12.12241 0.069155 12.82077 3.309615 1.062525 2.789219 Year 5 3.507887 0.906609 0.459372 0.093362 0.544035 0.489979 0.088424 1.446497 5.396914 0.574226 1.146747 5.401122 0.020056 9.470165 1.914328 0.403756 1.304374 Year 6 2.837754 0.677084 0.331492 0.10746 0.388212 0.397048 0.078847 1.17348 3.891 0.615594 0.985736 4.468604 0.025891 8.631987 1.672018 0.374403 1.090969 Year 7 2.267138 0.480909 0.237427 0.097012 0.275615 0.307384 0.058331 0.914874 2.844868 0.577808 0.787775 3.536457 0.022971 7.828886 1.440751 0.305177 0.875316 Year 8 1.664119 0.278228 0.140647 0.080378 0.161022 0.210065 0.033727 0.634056 1.797004 0.51029 0.56368 2.530243 0.018203 6.974513 1.18714 0.220564 0.641039 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Labor Force Thousands Total Migrants Thousands Economic Migrants Thousands Population (Last Year's) Thousands Population 5 Year Cohorts) Thousands College Population Thousands Year 1 -1.28785 -2.54089 -2.54089 0 -2.57042 0 Year 2 3.813962 5.174767 5.174767 -2.57042 2.604958 0 Year 3 9.917683 7.823362 7.823358 2.604958 10.58398 0 Year 4 16.44682 9.377281 9.377271 10.5851 20.32293 0 Year 5 16.4827 3.316003 3.315984 20.32287 24.14841 0 Year 6 17.13677 3.027935 3.027906 24.14841 27.75561 0 Year 7 17.40998 2.147272 2.148234 27.75561 30.53498 0 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 17.19017 15.60575 14.61559 1.194095 -0.72675 -0.61727 1.194048 -0.72581 -0.61733 30.53498 32.38832 32.31129 32.38832 32.31129 32.31246 0 0 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Ages 0-4 Thousands Ages 5-9 Thousands Ages 10-14 Thousands Ages 15-19 Thousands Ages 20-24 Thousands Ages 25-29 Thousands Ages 30-34 Thousands Ages 35-39 Thousands Ages 40-44 Thousands Ages 45-49 Thousands Ages 50-54 Thousands Ages 55-59 Thousands Ages 60-64 Thousands Ages 65-69 Thousands Ages 70-74 Thousands Ages 75-79 Thousands Ages 80-84 Thousands Ages 85+ Thousands Year 1 -0.2694 -0.20007 -0.15936 -0.16725 -0.404 -0.36955 -0.26978 -0.2013 -0.17633 -0.12825 -0.09488 -0.0697 -0.06154 0 0 0 0 0 Year 2 0.262005 0.198383 0.157343 0.193256 0.455111 0.365811 0.260911 0.197787 0.176797 0.124222 0.092665 0.070327 0.059526 -0.00918 0 0 0 0 Year 3 1.112136 0.824025 0.656006 0.67699 1.671621 1.524418 1.110637 0.825723 0.725045 0.526867 0.390456 0.287878 0.252771 -0.00055 0 0 0 0 Year 4 2.180998 1.600337 1.27705 1.21328 3.011909 2.96057 2.184092 1.610564 1.396075 1.034687 0.763433 0.557807 0.492333 0.038751 0 0 0 0 Year 5 2.661701 1.93172 1.546681 1.323403 3.19671 3.579001 2.693234 1.960597 1.661538 1.274559 0.931681 0.676459 0.593239 0.117908 0 0 0 0 Year 6 3.153893 2.217333 1.810766 1.470642 3.211918 4.152992 3.205044 2.315382 1.908211 1.514939 1.09851 0.798938 0.681503 0.216584 0 0 0 0 Year 7 3.480268 2.515973 2.029126 1.622518 3.004297 4.565332 3.64159 2.625286 2.098281 1.724155 1.242726 0.907194 0.740854 0.348049 -0.00869 0 0 0 Year 8 3.643825 2.795257 2.196246 1.750276 2.671474 4.724479 3.984849 2.88543 2.2391 1.884764 1.361701 0.997848 0.77849 0.475588 -2.6E-05 0 0 0 Page 84 Year 9 0.59128 -0.08036 -0.01478 0.02953 -0.02429 0.029626 -0.02257 0.098384 0.184555 0.310525 0.114096 0.609048 0.001177 5.361208 0.701784 0.025114 0.197958 Year 9 3.531255 2.974744 2.248732 1.771686 2.124324 4.456596 4.121436 3.016738 2.271238 1.938272 1.42157 1.038929 0.777763 0.582559 0.03647 0 0 0 Year 10 0.556836 -0.06297 -0.01054 0.038707 -0.02002 0.038985 -0.01419 0.14759 0.179245 0.34362 0.147744 0.682113 0.004043 4.695156 0.640825 0.038901 0.199282 Year 10 3.431206 3.118724 2.309692 1.820181 1.737066 4.022928 4.260977 3.177009 2.332685 1.97682 1.493577 1.084118 0.789733 0.646915 0.108817 0 0 0 Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Management, business, financial occupations Thousands (Jobs) Computer, math, architect, engineer occupations Thousands (Jobs) Life, physical, social science occupations Thousands (Jobs) Community, social service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Legal occupations Thousands (Jobs) Education, training, library occupations Thousands (Jobs) Arts, design, entertainment, sports,Thousands media occupations (Jobs) Healthcare occupations Thousands (Jobs) Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Food preparation, serving related occupations Thousands (Jobs) Building, grounds, personal care, service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Sales, office, administrative occupations Thousands (Jobs) Farm, fishing, forestry occupationsThousands (Jobs) Construction, extraction occupations Thousands (Jobs) Installation, maintenance, repair occupations Thousands (Jobs) Production occupations Thousands (Jobs) Transportation, material moving occupations Thousands (Jobs) Year 11 0.513795 -0.04774 -0.00649 0.045781 -0.015 0.049155 -0.00603 0.19007 0.171628 0.37091 0.176213 0.73341 0.006929 3.979187 0.569756 0.050813 0.196405 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Labor Force Thousands Total Migrants Thousands Economic Migrants Thousands Population (Last Year's) Thousands Population 5 Year Cohorts) Thousands College Population Thousands Year 11 Year 12 Year 13 Year 14 Year 15 Year 16 Year 17 Year 18 Year 19 Year 20 13.83033 13.14983 12.49401 11.84533 11.20297 10.56507 9.932058 9.333764 8.770851 8.241457 -0.67874 -0.78225 -0.90338 -1.01428 -1.10175 -1.16712 -1.20999 -1.23676 -1.24749 -1.25271 -0.6788 -0.78231 -0.90345 -1.01435 -1.10182 -1.16719 -1.20906 -1.23606 -1.24818 -1.25187 32.3124 32.21792 31.98264 31.58299 31.02449 30.32525 29.50568 28.58954 27.59153 26.53161 32.21792 31.98264 31.58299 31.02449 30.32525 29.50568 28.5896 27.59153 26.53161 25.42141 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Ages 0-4 Thousands Ages 5-9 Thousands Ages 10-14 Thousands Ages 15-19 Thousands Ages 20-24 Thousands Ages 25-29 Thousands Ages 30-34 Thousands Ages 35-39 Thousands Ages 40-44 Thousands Ages 45-49 Thousands Ages 50-54 Thousands Ages 55-59 Thousands Ages 60-64 Thousands Ages 65-69 Thousands Ages 70-74 Thousands Ages 75-79 Thousands Ages 80-84 Thousands Ages 85+ Thousands Year 11 3.294558 3.283991 2.330728 1.877582 1.477609 3.440918 4.359052 3.345936 2.410583 1.996756 1.568832 1.131059 0.811126 0.687907 0.200302 0 0 0 Year 12 0.481208 -0.03528 -0.00358 0.048666 -0.01107 0.050846 -0.00179 0.210378 0.163251 0.379016 0.18169 0.754829 0.007268 3.558317 0.523856 0.0547 0.188595 Year 12 3.12579 3.348171 2.41532 1.931418 1.339574 2.756877 4.384068 3.502111 2.498468 2.003329 1.645433 1.175641 0.838443 0.704652 0.320259 -0.00793 0 0 Year 13 0.444734 -0.026 -0.0017 0.049874 -0.00918 0.051586 0.001505 0.227168 0.154042 0.383604 0.184785 0.754845 0.007661 3.141885 0.475761 0.055584 0.179226 Year 13 2.929412 3.321407 2.538552 1.975326 1.278757 2.085558 4.260052 3.64006 2.599187 2.00927 1.707217 1.222508 0.870507 0.707383 0.436911 -0.00012 0 0 Year 14 0.40815 -0.0194 0.000237 0.050476 -0.00623 0.051508 0.003956 0.239676 0.144567 0.384103 0.186065 0.745062 0.008127 2.75247 0.429903 0.054835 0.168102 Year 14 2.722775 3.187279 2.699642 2.011427 1.255137 1.496412 3.961613 3.754297 2.710238 2.026339 1.750136 1.272876 0.903393 0.707617 0.533919 0.032423 0 0 Page 85 Year 15 0.373805 -0.01211 0.00232 0.051643 -0.00414 0.051784 0.006652 0.250777 0.135342 0.381212 0.186234 0.731789 0.008679 2.398556 0.387356 0.053749 0.157834 Year 15 2.492115 3.04608 2.810756 2.044543 1.242016 1.035525 3.471837 3.85075 2.834677 2.059659 1.767096 1.329085 0.934989 0.71503 0.592647 0.097464 0 0 Year 16 0.343246 -0.007 0.003572 0.052375 -0.00287 0.051448 0.008615 0.260405 0.127551 0.377145 0.186414 0.717131 0.008318 2.085176 0.348638 0.053408 0.147648 Year 16 2.244313 2.867654 2.941724 2.036882 1.241977 0.699743 2.832056 3.905396 2.965649 2.10796 1.766852 1.388987 0.966934 0.730711 0.631129 0.177752 0 0 Year 17 0.315827 -0.00204 0.004013 0.052709 -0.00041 0.051538 0.009859 0.269773 0.119376 0.372153 0.186761 0.701874 0.009039 1.810209 0.314101 0.052848 0.138667 Year 17 1.98488 2.661798 2.975965 2.096919 1.246072 0.494006 2.096409 3.891405 3.090741 2.171259 1.75535 1.450104 1.000322 0.753655 0.646555 0.282736 -0.00667 0 Year 18 0.292473 0.002719 0.005627 0.053573 0.000222 0.050997 0.011356 0.277555 0.11279 0.366073 0.186031 0.687502 0.008833 1.570504 0.283763 0.051997 0.130808 Year 18 1.719914 2.437106 2.925711 2.201568 1.253223 0.380137 1.383868 3.738031 3.203455 2.250423 1.747393 1.500341 1.036784 0.779768 0.649769 0.384886 0.000116 0 Year 19 0.271006 0.007182 0.006391 0.053862 0.002004 0.050748 0.01306 0.284269 0.106728 0.358624 0.184867 0.673224 0.008686 1.362809 0.256601 0.050756 0.12394 Year 19 1.45921 2.209575 2.774284 2.348685 1.264249 0.318377 0.767456 3.41967 3.299939 2.346754 1.753591 1.535527 1.079405 0.808158 0.649695 0.469296 0.027695 0 Year 20 0.252048 0.010198 0.007275 0.053481 0.002907 0.050754 0.013928 0.288506 0.101097 0.349703 0.183939 0.656913 0.008589 1.182432 0.233377 0.04999 0.117853 Year 20 1.211193 1.966139 2.622937 2.451511 1.281569 0.281548 0.288365 2.916449 3.384825 2.46135 1.780354 1.548321 1.129968 0.836618 0.657943 0.52088 0.08147 0 Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units State Revenues at State Average Rates Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars State Expenditures at State Average Ratesof Fixed (2010) Dollars Billions Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 0.052631 0.140797 0.170263 0.194608 0.089825 0.078611 0.066258 0.052565 0.024281 0.029113 0.000866 -0.00519 -0.00421 0.000478 0.01214 0.014917 0.018157 0.02122 0.023157 0.023253 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Intergovernmental Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars General Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Selective Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars License Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Individual Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Corporate Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Current Charges Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 1 -0.00325 0.025232 0.008532 0.002553 0 -0.00212 0.002862 0.003923 0.00422 -0.00004 0 0.011722 Year 2 0.00319 0.048272 0.015053 0.00425 0 -0.00076 0.007145 0.013274 0.013517 -3.3E-05 0 0.035884 Year 3 0.013424 0.047531 0.014701 0.003705 0 0.000146 0.009096 0.017016 0.01722 -2.8E-05 0 0.04545 Year 4 0.025509 0.044334 0.014207 0.004122 0 0.00092 0.011025 0.020718 0.019883 -2.2E-05 0 0.053912 Year 5 0.030313 0.001201 0.000106 0.00037 0 0.000387 0.005654 0.01087 0.011009 -1.9E-05 0 0.028932 Year 6 0.033448 -0.00623 -0.00215 -0.00015 0 0.000196 0.005826 0.010017 0.010107 -1.2E-05 0 0.026559 Year 7 0.036428 -0.01299 -0.00445 -0.00095 0 0.000513 0.005379 0.009029 0.009097 -9E-06 0 0.024213 Year 8 0.038901 -0.01823 -0.00589 -0.0018 0 0.000748 0.003817 0.007832 0.007881 -7E-06 0 0.020317 Year 9 0.038701 -0.02642 -0.00864 -0.00273 0 -0.00019 0.001999 0.004167 0.004208 -6E-06 0 0.011195 Year 10 0.038676 -0.02354 -0.00736 -0.00165 0 -0.00013 0.002164 0.004469 0.004504 -5E-06 0 0.011987 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Education Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Public Welfare Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Hospitals Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Health Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Highways Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Police Protection Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Correction Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Natural Resources Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Parks and Recreation Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Government Administration Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Interest on General Debt Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other and Unallocable Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 1 1.5E-05 0.001051 -6.7E-05 -0.0003 -0.00061 -0.00004 -0.00023 -0.00018 -1.7E-05 -0.00026 -0.00012 -0.00054 -7E-06 0 0.000168 Year 2 0.000879 -0.0043 -0.00011 0.000526 0.000037 -6.3E-05 -0.00037 -0.00028 -2.7E-05 -0.0004 -0.00019 0.000156 -1.2E-05 0 -0.00205 Year 3 0.002071 -0.00501 -0.00013 0.000403 0.000788 -7.9E-05 0.000541 -0.00035 -3.3E-05 0.000491 -0.00024 0.000938 -1.5E-05 0 -0.00259 Year 4 0.003584 -0.00501 -0.00015 0.000329 0.000638 -8.9E-05 0.000484 0.000607 -3.8E-05 0.000428 -0.00027 0.000806 -1.7E-05 0 -0.00183 Year 5 0.004298 0.003078 -0.00016 0.000285 0.001549 -9.5E-05 0.00045 0.000581 -0.00004 0.000391 0.000714 0.000729 -1.8E-05 0 0.001374 Year 6 0.004316 0.003773 -0.00016 0.000288 0.001555 -9.4E-05 0.000452 0.000583 -0.00004 0.000394 0.000715 0.001734 -1.8E-05 0 0.001418 Year 7 0.005456 0.005018 -0.00015 0.000309 0.001598 -9.2E-05 0.000469 0.000595 -3.9E-05 0.000412 0.000724 0.001772 -1.7E-05 0 0.002105 Year 8 0.00568 0.005716 -0.00015 0.000343 0.001667 -8.7E-05 0.000495 0.000615 -3.7E-05 0.000441 0.000737 0.001832 -1.6E-05 0 0.00298 Year 9 0.005937 0.007978 -0.00014 0.000383 0.001747 -8.2E-05 0.000525 0.000638 -3.5E-05 0.000474 0.000753 0.001902 -1.5E-05 0 0.003088 Year 10 0.005221 0.008314 -0.00013 0.000426 0.001834 -7.6E-05 0.000558 0.000663 -3.2E-05 0.000511 0.00077 0.001978 -1.4E-05 0 0.003228 Page 86 Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units State Revenues at State Average Rates Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars State Expenditures at State Average Ratesof Fixed (2010) Dollars Billions Year 11 Year 12 Year 13 Year 14 Year 15 Year 16 Year 17 Year 18 Year 19 Year 20 0.033757 0.037936 0.040698 0.04312 0.04434 0.045394 0.04636 0.046273 0.046146 0.045958 0.023385 0.022737 0.022956 0.023049 0.022025 0.021884 0.021645 0.020328 0.019943 0.0195 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Intergovernmental Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars General Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Selective Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars License Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Individual Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Corporate Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Current Charges Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 11 Year 12 Year 13 Year 14 Year 15 0.038667 0.03846 0.038052 0.037468 0.036733 -0.01965 -0.01639 -0.01316 -0.00997 -0.00779 -0.00609 -0.005 -0.00393 -0.00287 -0.00282 -0.00158 -0.00155 -0.00153 -0.00052 -0.0005 0 0 0 0 0 -6.9E-05 -9.7E-05 -0.00012 -0.00015 -0.00017 0.002308 0.002313 0.0023 0.002275 0.002246 0.004732 0.003741 0.003717 0.003671 0.003618 0.004761 0.00377 0.003746 0.003701 0.003649 -4E-06 -4E-06 -4E-06 -4E-06 -4E-06 0 0 0 0 0 0.011676 0.0107 0.010637 0.010516 0.009377 Year 16 0.03586 -0.00663 -0.00176 -0.00049 0 -0.00018 0.002215 0.003561 0.003594 -4E-06 0 0.009228 Year 17 0.03488 -0.00446 -0.00171 -0.00047 0 -0.00019 0.002186 0.003508 0.003542 -5E-06 0 0.009088 Year 18 0.033816 -0.0033 -0.00066 -0.00046 0 -0.0002 0.002159 0.00346 0.003494 -5E-06 0 0.008962 Year 19 0.032679 -0.00213 -0.00061 -0.00045 0 -0.0002 0.002136 0.003417 0.003453 -5E-06 0 0.008851 Year 20 0.031479 -0.00097 -0.00056 -0.00043 0 -0.0002 0.002114 0.003377 0.003414 -5E-06 0 0.007745 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County Category Units Education Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Public Welfare Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Hospitals Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Health Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Highways Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Police Protection Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Correction Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Natural Resources Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Parks and Recreation Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Government Administration Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Interest on General Debt Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other and Unallocable Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 11 0.005506 0.007671 -0.00012 0.000469 0.001922 -0.00007 0.000592 0.000689 -0.00003 0.000548 0.000787 0.001056 -1.3E-05 0 0.003376 Year 16 0.005538 0.00796 -8.3E-05 0.000626 0.00124 -0.00005 0.000712 0.000781 -2.1E-05 0.000681 -0.00015 0.001334 -9E-06 0 0.003325 Year 17 0.004684 0.007271 -7.8E-05 0.000648 0.001285 -4.7E-05 0.000729 0.000794 -0.00002 0.0007 -0.00014 0.001374 -9E-06 0 0.003454 Year 18 0.004818 0.007546 -7.3E-05 0.000668 0.001327 -4.4E-05 0.000745 0.000806 -1.9E-05 0.000718 -0.00013 0.00141 -8E-06 0 0.002568 Year 19 0.004942 0.006789 -6.9E-05 0.000687 0.001365 -4.1E-05 0.000759 0.000817 -1.7E-05 0.000734 -0.00013 0.001444 -8E-06 0 0.002668 Year 20 0.004057 0.007004 -6.5E-05 0.000705 0.0014 -3.9E-05 0.000773 0.000827 -1.7E-05 0.000748 -0.00012 0.001475 -7E-06 0 0.002758 Year 12 0.005763 0.008229 -0.00011 0.000508 0.002001 -6.5E-05 0.000622 0.000712 -2.8E-05 0.000581 0.000803 0.001125 -1.2E-05 0 0.003607 Year 13 0.004991 0.007737 -0.0001 0.000543 0.002072 -6.1E-05 0.000648 0.000732 -2.6E-05 0.000611 0.000817 0.001187 -1.1E-05 0 0.002818 Year 14 0.005194 0.008194 -9.4E-05 0.000574 0.002134 -5.7E-05 0.000672 0.00075 -2.4E-05 0.000637 -0.00017 0.001242 -1.1E-05 0 0.003007 Page 87 Year 15 0.005376 0.007603 -8.8E-05 0.000601 0.00119 -5.3E-05 0.000693 0.000766 -2.2E-05 0.00066 -0.00016 0.001291 -0.00001 0 0.003177 Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Total Employment Thousands (Jobs) Employment by Occupation Thousands (Jobs) Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Self Supply Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total Exports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total Imports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Output Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Value-Added Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Wage and Salary Disbursements Billions of Current Dollars Personal Income Billions of Current Dollars Real Disposable Personal Income Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars PCE-Price Index 2005=100 (Nation) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Personal Consumption Expenditures Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total National Deflator 2005=1 (Nation) Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 -64.3656 -10.8437 14.95835 36.45275 10.50606 19.83643 20.35087 18.39585 -64.3657 -10.8437 14.95828 36.45269 10.50606 19.83643 20.35094 18.39579 -84.7692 -42.6975 -18.0739 2.449862 -5.74242 7.913962 11.60973 12.92308 -4.59415 -1.96056 -0.44651 0.99792 0.089203 1.00165 1.262648 1.312678 -6.37473 -4.36471 -3.14297 -2.19932 -2.05123 -1.05575 -0.71752 -0.45766 0.004203 0.008816 0.009013 0.005032 0.000101 -0.00559 -0.0118 -0.01814 -4.09472 -2.92501 -2.17608 -1.59546 -1.33504 -0.69005 -0.45354 -0.26645 -2.28321 -1.44851 -0.9769 -0.60789 -0.71529 -0.36011 -0.25118 -0.17207 -1.52503 -0.48874 -0.2021 -0.01101 -1.26923 -1.16571 -1.2248 -1.31234 -0.69759 -0.4221 -0.3459 -0.30484 -0.63982 -0.57982 -0.58118 -0.58514 -0.06269 0.295342 0.334926 0.334378 -0.30722 -0.37571 -0.45341 -0.53502 -0.76475 -0.36298 -0.19013 -0.04055 -0.32219 -0.21019 -0.19021 -0.19218 -12.363 -7.41037 -4.43558 -1.83641 -2.46962 -0.3179 0.380988 0.770828 -6.78442 -3.95745 -2.27401 -0.79577 -1.23506 -0.04318 0.338813 0.543808 -3.10398 -1.72751 -0.83186 0.014895 -0.29944 0.303744 0.524222 0.644001 -2.36986 -0.35345 0.786855 1.89579 0.68748 1.137939 1.244695 1.217845 -2.00575 -0.23192 0.614252 1.379865 0.383303 0.710472 0.737538 0.682389 -0.29682 -0.38675 -0.11272 0.18318 0.29319 0.331295 0.4273 0.470668 -5.71998 -2.29324 -0.54618 0.9841 -0.38386 0.581625 0.797862 0.83101 -1.39516 -0.0964 0.519579 1.081465 0.288906 0.541118 0.563603 0.523925 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Year 9 8.82386 8.823982 8.566192 0.899392 -0.46856 -0.02341 -0.23056 -0.21459 -1.53685 -0.62225 -0.65928 -0.25433 0.371984 0.282858 0.454333 0.685793 0.308827 0.439103 0.296498 0.237412 0 Year 10 9.88375 9.88375 9.52711 1.020211 -0.362 -0.02653 -0.17305 -0.16242 -1.33094 -0.54243 -0.58679 -0.20171 0.627943 0.423915 0.515351 0.757477 0.364817 0.393433 0.442609 0.282761 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities, and Other(Jobs) Thousands Mining Thousands (Jobs) Utilities Thousands (Jobs) Construction Thousands (Jobs) Manufacturing Thousands (Jobs) Wholesale Trade Thousands (Jobs) Retail Trade Thousands (Jobs) Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs) Information Thousands (Jobs) Finance and Insurance Thousands (Jobs) Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Thousands (Jobs) Professional and Technical Services Thousands (Jobs) Management of Companies and Enterprises Thousands (Jobs) Administrative and Waste ServicesThousands (Jobs) Educational Services Thousands (Jobs) Health Care and Social AssistanceThousands (Jobs) Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Thousands (Jobs) Accommodation and Food Services Thousands (Jobs) Other Services, except Public Administration Thousands (Jobs) State and Local Government Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Civilian Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Military Employment Thousands (Jobs) Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 -0.22997 -0.16427 -0.12212 -0.19182 -0.13406 -0.0945 -0.1451 -0.08697 -0.05349 2.524228 7.399368 12.46537 -11.2743 -7.94176 -6.00016 -2.58346 -1.4725 -1.03413 -6.19399 -3.0851 -1.67155 -2.93951 -2.0461 -1.48862 -2.5543 -1.70922 -1.2932 -10.8596 -7.21077 -5.00572 -4.94039 -2.73049 -1.34553 -9.1914 -5.30727 -3.53054 -3.837 -2.71218 -1.99733 -11.0004 -5.60827 -2.89376 -2.153 -1.26505 -0.77167 -7.44232 -2.97695 -0.7787 -2.7504 -1.7301 -1.14259 -4.4909 -2.37329 -1.20275 -4.51537 -1.54156 -0.11293 20.4044 31.85283 33.03223 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Year 9 -0.00817 0.001938 0.003456 15.91093 -1.45959 -1.05085 -1.32885 -0.16642 -0.55841 -0.35028 0.720331 -2.5037 -0.2226 -0.73197 -0.04664 0.147214 -0.06925 0.087869 0.192205 0.257706 0 0 0 Year 10 -0.00469 0.00353 0.005985 14.77088 -1.17412 -0.9004 -1.07817 -0.11842 -0.46512 -0.18291 0.741877 -2.12501 -0.16478 -0.50823 -0.00938 0.309343 -0.02158 0.173634 0.274591 0.356632 0 0 0 Year 4 Year 5 -0.08685 -0.07045 -0.06087 -0.04639 -0.02578 -0.02751 17.42941 16.6762 -4.48976 -4.19903 -0.76212 -1.35101 -0.6217 -2.03184 -1.03833 -0.89048 -0.98348 -1.10425 -3.20531 -2.90016 -0.11858 -0.24358 -2.24548 -3.78454 -1.42092 -1.17645 -0.74166 -2.12897 -0.36356 -0.44777 1.009677 -0.57509 -0.66304 -0.66792 -0.20288 -0.65162 1.041123 -0.11954 34.00385 16.24744 0 0 0 0 0 0 Page 88 Year 6 -0.03471 -0.01675 -0.00497 18.0905 -2.60829 -1.09128 -1.27874 -0.45519 -0.77039 -1.26851 0.570575 -2.64761 -0.60496 -0.65649 -0.14933 0.563928 -0.26546 -0.00117 0.542812 11.92244 0 0 0 Year 7 -0.02108 -0.0064 0.002484 18.40186 -2.02388 -1.0474 -1.13147 -0.29749 -0.6556 -0.70147 0.812723 -2.37777 -0.39959 -0.33113 -0.05475 0.757975 -0.13042 0.18424 0.627877 8.74124 0 0 0 Year 8 -0.01076 0.001107 0.005745 17.82254 -1.57702 -1.01117 -1.06538 -0.18277 -0.56556 -0.31387 0.911546 -2.21187 -0.25109 -0.21441 0.001494 0.761168 -0.0426 0.271831 0.594094 5.472778 0 0 0 Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Total Employment Thousands (Jobs) Employment by Occupation Thousands (Jobs) Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Self Supply Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total Exports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total Imports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Output Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Value-Added Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Wage and Salary Disbursements Billions of Current Dollars Personal Income Billions of Current Dollars Real Disposable Personal Income Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars PCE-Price Index 2005=100 (Nation) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Personal Consumption Expenditures Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total National Deflator 2005=1 (Nation) Year 11 10.63496 10.6349 10.19041 1.107791 -0.24638 -0.02849 -0.11004 -0.10685 -1.12504 -0.4627 -0.51349 -0.14886 0.861402 0.548927 0.573418 0.828692 0.405667 0.380121 0.573273 0.315935 0 Year 12 9.648357 9.648418 9.225868 1.047992 -0.24127 -0.03093 -0.11596 -0.09438 -0.97337 -0.40024 -0.44663 -0.1265 0.807724 0.513011 0.541059 0.797361 0.379039 0.362917 0.536041 0.296385 0 Year 13 8.470684 8.470562 8.084303 0.955194 -0.23405 -0.03147 -0.11765 -0.08494 -0.85581 -0.34932 -0.39434 -0.11115 0.721142 0.457343 0.491319 0.745436 0.343823 0.338401 0.478735 0.269245 0 Year 14 7.295666 7.295727 6.949896 0.850879 -0.22581 -0.032 -0.11786 -0.07595 -0.7601 -0.30806 -0.35218 -0.09987 0.626071 0.397922 0.433815 0.682802 0.305068 0.310152 0.416548 0.24063 0 Year 15 6.226444 6.226505 5.92021 0.749709 -0.21528 -0.03155 -0.11479 -0.06894 -0.67929 -0.27239 -0.31544 -0.09146 0.535438 0.340606 0.377486 0.61986 0.268148 0.281016 0.357553 0.213949 0 Year 16 5.29327 5.29327 5.022153 0.656304 -0.20188 -0.03017 -0.11083 -0.06088 -0.60944 -0.24169 -0.28334 -0.08341 0.454424 0.290343 0.323623 0.559699 0.235164 0.253112 0.30479 0.190995 0 Year 17 4.505805 4.505866 4.265655 0.572887 -0.18845 -0.029 -0.10458 -0.05387 -0.54827 -0.21659 -0.25435 -0.07735 0.385435 0.247007 0.275732 0.505781 0.205952 0.228316 0.260183 0.172958 0 Year 18 3.852437 3.852499 3.639044 0.50165 -0.17295 -0.02817 -0.09865 -0.04614 -0.49335 -0.19488 -0.22824 -0.07023 0.32769 0.211079 0.23377 0.458595 0.181549 0.204955 0.223198 0.157529 0 Year 19 3.329797 3.329797 3.137802 0.440966 -0.15737 -0.0268 -0.09159 -0.03898 -0.44166 -0.17433 -0.20315 -0.06418 0.283603 0.18256 0.198992 0.419507 0.160792 0.185159 0.193823 0.145575 0 Year 20 2.888849 2.88891 2.716629 0.388295 -0.14265 -0.02501 -0.08486 -0.03278 -0.39684 -0.1569 -0.18047 -0.05846 0.244642 0.158931 0.168041 0.385119 0.14368 0.168049 0.168454 0.135216 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities, and Other(Jobs) Thousands Mining Thousands (Jobs) Utilities Thousands (Jobs) Construction Thousands (Jobs) Manufacturing Thousands (Jobs) Wholesale Trade Thousands (Jobs) Retail Trade Thousands (Jobs) Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs) Information Thousands (Jobs) Finance and Insurance Thousands (Jobs) Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Thousands (Jobs) Professional and Technical Services Thousands (Jobs) Management of Companies and Enterprises Thousands (Jobs) Administrative and Waste ServicesThousands (Jobs) Educational Services Thousands (Jobs) Health Care and Social AssistanceThousands (Jobs) Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Thousands (Jobs) Accommodation and Food Services Thousands (Jobs) Other Services, except Public Administration Thousands (Jobs) State and Local Government Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Civilian Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Military Employment Thousands (Jobs) Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Year 11 -0.0011 0.005005 0.007364 13.39801 -0.88664 -0.74936 -0.83683 -0.0691 -0.37137 -0.01731 0.748493 -1.74181 -0.1043 -0.28634 0.02927 0.446834 0.024657 0.254743 0.338155 0.444551 0 0 0 Year 12 -0.00118 0.004385 0.007172 12.02597 -0.77575 -0.64591 -0.71546 -0.06659 -0.32122 -0.03391 0.654038 -1.53084 -0.10197 -0.27878 0.031522 0.401382 0.023618 0.252449 0.297936 0.422535 0 0 0 Year 13 -0.00112 0.002793 0.005954 10.6183 -0.68224 -0.56142 -0.62247 -0.06413 -0.27885 -0.05011 0.557854 -1.35998 -0.09774 -0.27888 0.03205 0.348743 0.021689 0.242698 0.251203 0.386224 0 0 0 Year 14 -0.00091 0.002271 0.005763 9.279884 -0.60052 -0.48895 -0.54753 -0.06159 -0.24297 -0.06313 0.466867 -1.21494 -0.09284 -0.27755 0.030654 0.2996 0.019115 0.232365 0.206284 0.3459 0 0 0 Year 15 -0.00054 0.00084 0.004645 8.056097 -0.52939 -0.42727 -0.48179 -0.05893 -0.21026 -0.07203 0.387009 -1.0869 -0.08665 -0.27216 0.029851 0.261168 0.017735 0.220844 0.166916 0.306334 0 0 0 Year 16 -0.00104 0.000502 0.004595 6.963946 -0.46539 -0.374 -0.42409 -0.05632 -0.18283 -0.07624 0.319735 -0.97249 -0.07971 -0.26245 0.02898 0.234564 0.016754 0.212003 0.135631 0.271048 0 0 0 Year 17 -0.00042 0.000252 0.00361 6.003252 -0.4104 -0.32703 -0.37127 -0.05201 -0.15883 -0.07663 0.264852 -0.86952 -0.0727 -0.24792 0.029087 0.220437 0.016216 0.204274 0.112401 0.240222 0 0 0 Year 18 -0.00069 0.000055 0.003701 5.166574 -0.35918 -0.28647 -0.32246 -0.04927 -0.13653 -0.0744 0.21893 -0.77555 -0.06525 -0.23014 0.027921 0.213773 0.016763 0.197481 0.093784 0.213439 0 0 0 Year 19 -0.00088 -0.0011 0.003836 4.447423 -0.31363 -0.24866 -0.27664 -0.04538 -0.11727 -0.06988 0.183616 -0.68717 -0.05789 -0.21051 0.027215 0.213429 0.017935 0.192321 0.080985 0.192052 0 0 0 Year 20 -4E-06 -0.00121 0.003002 3.827396 -0.27372 -0.21695 -0.23635 -0.04161 -0.10134 -0.06435 0.153375 -0.60869 -0.05113 -0.19044 0.027239 0.214477 0.01832 0.187373 0.071202 0.173281 0 0 0 Page 89 Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Management, business, financial occupations Thousands (Jobs) Computer, math, architect, engineer occupations Thousands (Jobs) Life, physical, social science occupations Thousands (Jobs) Community, social service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Legal occupations Thousands (Jobs) Education, training, library occupations Thousands (Jobs) Arts, design, entertainment, sports,Thousands media occupations (Jobs) Healthcare occupations Thousands (Jobs) Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Food preparation, serving related occupations Thousands (Jobs) Building, grounds, personal care, service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Sales, office, administrative occupations Thousands (Jobs) Farm, fishing, forestry occupationsThousands (Jobs) Construction, extraction occupations Thousands (Jobs) Installation, maintenance, repair occupations Thousands (Jobs) Production occupations Thousands (Jobs) Transportation, material moving occupations Thousands (Jobs) Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 -8.21292 -2.09247 0.798439 3.188048 -4.55891 -1.88209 -0.6999 0.217705 -0.4386 0.18143 0.391831 0.556112 -1.12951 -0.43524 -0.09584 0.179261 -0.37219 0.31747 0.539637 0.709021 -1.31802 -0.21268 0.257755 0.64518 -1.46984 -0.75761 -0.42027 -0.15805 -4.00127 -0.47013 1.032173 2.251318 3.725405 7.225583 7.865016 8.38833 -4.7317 -2.33204 -1.06912 -0.00573 -5.89263 -1.99831 -0.17767 1.30374 -22.9754 -8.32285 -1.41047 4.145096 -0.15616 -0.05335 -0.00913 0.026159 1.966632 6.23803 9.832609 13.30363 -2.41465 -0.0146 1.258299 2.364702 -7.43439 -4.44099 -2.85515 -1.60316 -4.95051 -1.79584 -0.28089 0.940376 Year 9 0.342927 -0.80207 -0.14856 0.027562 -0.17236 -0.02437 -0.211 -0.06175 0.004737 0.013373 -0.02967 -0.81475 -0.01787 10.36056 1.140414 -0.72967 -0.05058 Year 10 0.516368 -0.63648 -0.11755 0.049981 -0.13944 0.012777 -0.16517 0.065518 0.056144 0.111038 0.098035 -0.23778 -0.01286 9.638497 1.131778 -0.54419 0.058032 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Labor Force Thousands Total Migrants Thousands Economic Migrants Thousands Population (Last Year's) Thousands Population 5 Year Cohorts) Thousands College Population Thousands Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 -13.7628 -11.4084 -5.18608 3.094519 3.440549 6.113365 8.082397 9.175571 8.122062 -15.2282 0.359895 5.223058 8.015049 1.970623 3.250937 2.685429 1.880903 -0.06884 -15.2283 0.359896 5.22305 8.015029 1.970586 3.250883 2.685359 1.880819 -0.06893 0 -15.3901 -15.3491 -10.3836 -2.47992 -0.50964 2.801128 5.611428 7.666187 -15.3901 -15.3491 -10.3836 -2.47986 -0.50958 2.801128 5.611489 7.666187 7.791822 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Year 10 7.87943 0.302052 0.301949 7.791883 8.291083 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Ages 0-4 Thousands Ages 5-9 Thousands Ages 10-14 Thousands Ages 15-19 Thousands Ages 20-24 Thousands Ages 25-29 Thousands Ages 30-34 Thousands Ages 35-39 Thousands Ages 40-44 Thousands Ages 45-49 Thousands Ages 50-54 Thousands Ages 55-59 Thousands Ages 60-64 Thousands Ages 65-69 Thousands Ages 70-74 Thousands Ages 75-79 Thousands Ages 80-84 Thousands Ages 85+ Thousands Year 1 -1.59458 -1.19997 -0.95609 -1.00197 -2.42176 -2.21522 -1.61761 -1.2054 -1.05406 -0.76691 -0.56969 -0.42012 -0.36673 0 0 0 0 0 Year 2 -1.62096 -1.22479 -0.97966 -0.8605 -2.14564 -2.26869 -1.69361 -1.23906 -1.06151 -0.80245 -0.58962 -0.42715 -0.37848 -0.058 0 0 0 0 Year 5 0.313427 -1.0635 0.060778 -0.07298 0.119404 0.064632 -0.40075 0.266402 3.811193 -0.6542 -0.30658 -2.10949 -0.02274 11.67431 1.253564 -2.09329 -0.33414 Year 6 1.451017 -0.50196 0.086004 0.094844 0.120316 0.216342 -0.20934 0.796471 2.920919 0.017863 0.490823 0.939655 -0.00361 12.46533 1.691861 -1.06381 0.323683 Year 7 1.545077 -0.42935 0.047056 0.121336 0.066047 0.211792 -0.1655 0.763172 2.173064 0.186942 0.584419 1.351776 -0.00189 12.50918 1.729007 -0.75742 0.41523 Year 8 1.375887 -0.44282 -0.00634 0.119556 -0.00353 0.168031 -0.14559 0.60393 1.372941 0.253386 0.527556 1.198161 -0.00404 11.94966 1.624442 -0.57432 0.379865 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 -1.12472 -0.30412 -0.08367 0.444324 0.799952 1.026369 1.002986 1.051698 -0.86499 -0.26446 -0.10005 0.012407 0.222193 0.435258 0.546147 0.633245 -0.69879 -0.22805 -0.11141 0.092447 0.267351 0.401343 0.424083 0.483701 -0.46363 0.017839 0.013099 0.115992 0.236309 0.332371 0.315554 0.342975 -1.03804 0.497468 0.917453 1.383397 1.547387 1.498179 1.116354 0.833722 -1.59758 -0.46847 -0.10069 0.539815 1.223546 1.797359 2.051908 2.217957 -1.25819 -0.49451 -0.30068 0.067267 0.399187 0.672176 0.761661 0.950759 -0.89686 -0.32226 -0.19769 0.037893 0.236673 0.386037 0.394649 0.457649 -0.72652 -0.18094 -0.04363 0.169259 0.325257 0.425895 0.398062 0.404868 -0.59425 -0.23211 -0.14176 0.029492 0.20374 0.350499 0.402116 0.453887 -0.42903 -0.15391 -0.08986 0.02445 0.118491 0.187738 0.191252 0.219018 -0.30699 -0.10876 -0.07078 0.00992 0.086559 0.145621 0.154719 0.174067 -0.26648 -0.07178 -0.00897 0.080055 0.13768 0.167917 0.150547 0.145923 -0.11948 -0.16683 -0.18998 -0.2046 -0.13888 -0.05048 0.036523 0.097775 0 0 0 0 -0.05397 -0.1111 -0.15473 -0.17516 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Page 90 Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Management, business, financial occupations Thousands (Jobs) Computer, math, architect, engineer occupations Thousands (Jobs) Life, physical, social science occupations Thousands (Jobs) Community, social service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Legal occupations Thousands (Jobs) Education, training, library occupations Thousands (Jobs) Arts, design, entertainment, sports,Thousands media occupations (Jobs) Healthcare occupations Thousands (Jobs) Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Food preparation, serving related occupations Thousands (Jobs) Building, grounds, personal care, service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Sales, office, administrative occupations Thousands (Jobs) Farm, fishing, forestry occupationsThousands (Jobs) Construction, extraction occupations Thousands (Jobs) Installation, maintenance, repair occupations Thousands (Jobs) Production occupations Thousands (Jobs) Transportation, material moving occupations Thousands (Jobs) Year 11 0.666656 -0.4717 -0.08692 0.068554 -0.10617 0.048019 -0.11998 0.177965 0.10341 0.204259 0.213743 0.290758 -0.00786 8.762516 1.097962 -0.36298 0.156676 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Labor Force Thousands Total Migrants Thousands Economic Migrants Thousands Population (Last Year's) Thousands Population 5 Year Cohorts) Thousands College Population Thousands Year 11 Year 12 Year 13 Year 14 Year 15 Year 16 Year 17 Year 18 Year 19 Year 20 7.837107 7.626039 7.260158 6.795001 6.269403 5.733153 5.144598 4.642152 4.196155 3.80051 0.42868 0.232201 0.033289 -0.14146 -0.27572 -0.37309 -0.41654 -0.45232 -0.47201 -0.48459 0.428572 0.23209 0.033177 -0.14158 -0.27584 -0.37321 -0.41666 -0.45248 -0.47221 -0.48485 8.291022 8.924664 9.36962 9.617659 9.685855 9.608634 9.418683 9.165882 8.854989 8.500858 8.924664 9.36962 9.617659 9.685916 9.608695 9.418744 9.165821 8.854928 8.50098 8.110974 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Ages 0-4 Thousands Ages 5-9 Thousands Ages 10-14 Thousands Ages 15-19 Thousands Ages 20-24 Thousands Ages 25-29 Thousands Ages 30-34 Thousands Ages 35-39 Thousands Ages 40-44 Thousands Ages 45-49 Thousands Ages 50-54 Thousands Ages 55-59 Thousands Ages 60-64 Thousands Ages 65-69 Thousands Ages 70-74 Thousands Ages 75-79 Thousands Ages 80-84 Thousands Ages 85+ Thousands Year 11 1.091062 0.909181 0.392987 0.392785 0.634509 2.225543 1.225752 0.561826 0.429629 0.493487 0.263515 0.196473 0.148185 0.146579 -0.18682 0 0 0 Year 12 0.602667 -0.41333 -0.0757 0.060665 -0.09185 0.045964 -0.10328 0.162561 0.096733 0.204219 0.188578 0.292422 -0.00699 7.863403 0.992512 -0.3141 0.144909 Year 12 1.10616 1.044386 0.422595 0.429148 0.520255 1.988246 1.581225 0.658389 0.442936 0.494438 0.325537 0.206857 0.157316 0.166365 -0.12703 -0.04812 0 0 Year 13 0.51951 -0.36973 -0.06806 0.051634 -0.08116 0.042254 -0.09176 0.139583 0.085782 0.195797 0.155558 0.235877 -0.00603 6.940825 0.87614 -0.2787 0.122061 Year 13 1.100267 1.103417 0.498257 0.452272 0.450105 1.640486 1.904623 0.750887 0.452054 0.476295 0.385876 0.213256 0.166299 0.166127 -0.04508 -0.09947 0 0 Year 14 0.434395 -0.33369 -0.06163 0.042454 -0.07263 0.038459 -0.08103 0.116947 0.073932 0.18674 0.123198 0.162267 -0.00595 6.062303 0.762599 -0.25038 0.0968 Year 14 1.087261 1.078105 0.608568 0.469753 0.396118 1.255029 2.160728 0.840831 0.457941 0.450237 0.437605 0.2171 0.174506 0.155623 0.035184 -0.13768 0 0 Page 91 Year 15 0.357441 -0.3026 -0.05507 0.035941 -0.06496 0.035308 -0.07259 0.100158 0.062492 0.176601 0.096736 0.095869 -0.0047 5.260527 0.658799 -0.22594 0.073485 Year 15 1.049038 1.079704 0.65766 0.495286 0.341474 0.884172 2.259799 0.98073 0.478833 0.425894 0.465648 0.226986 0.178503 0.14917 0.09045 -0.15366 0 0 Year 16 0.291007 -0.27424 -0.04933 0.030168 -0.05809 0.032067 -0.06436 0.088476 0.052835 0.169195 0.076616 0.042841 -0.00428 4.544736 0.566304 -0.20342 0.053682 Year 16 0.988061 1.050051 0.877297 0.359105 0.298095 0.558208 2.167168 1.181849 0.524066 0.402989 0.471075 0.24682 0.178397 0.143704 0.135794 -0.16294 0 0 Year 17 0.237129 -0.24892 -0.04444 0.02605 -0.05206 0.029738 -0.05743 0.084191 0.045139 0.163843 0.062558 0.005938 -0.0037 3.915029 0.48682 -0.18233 0.03931 Year 17 0.910553 1.008335 0.966712 0.352275 0.261372 0.339773 1.848504 1.477482 0.571654 0.377122 0.443426 0.287298 0.172792 0.145973 0.152751 -0.10935 -0.04084 0 Year 18 0.193139 -0.22344 -0.03956 0.024207 -0.04605 0.027986 -0.05004 0.084465 0.038998 0.159305 0.052896 -0.01536 -0.00398 3.367896 0.417907 -0.16244 0.027538 Year 18 0.818531 0.959412 0.990661 0.400394 0.231638 0.192533 1.440174 1.755649 0.627884 0.355859 0.404014 0.330238 0.165113 0.149183 0.153057 -0.03754 -0.08286 0 Year 19 0.160219 -0.19966 -0.03486 0.022142 -0.04121 0.02741 -0.04348 0.088749 0.034945 0.156181 0.0487 -0.02188 -0.00315 2.89809 0.359907 -0.14368 0.020386 Year 19 0.714486 0.916877 0.941906 0.491726 0.213961 0.084938 1.012827 1.97984 0.69287 0.341902 0.36389 0.370495 0.160835 0.152036 0.143814 0.03232 -0.11378 0 Year 20 0.133936 -0.1767 -0.03156 0.021389 -0.03578 0.026932 -0.03806 0.092633 0.031491 0.1538 0.045099 -0.02366 -0.00223 2.493167 0.310737 -0.12607 0.014759 Year 20 0.603112 0.859946 0.92812 0.528679 0.217727 -0.00334 0.615508 2.059966 0.817018 0.350457 0.330704 0.392238 0.164544 0.153464 0.137865 0.081514 -0.12649 0 Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units State Revenues at State Average Rates Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars State Expenditures at State Average Ratesof Fixed (2010) Dollars Billions Year 1 -0.28569 0.045664 Year 2 -0.11716 -0.02578 Year 6 -0.07475 -0.02114 Year 7 -0.07153 -0.01466 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 -0.075 -0.10181 -0.08165 -0.00635 0.008056 0.008356 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Intergovernmental Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars General Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Selective Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars License Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Individual Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Corporate Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Current Charges Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 1 -0.02 -0.10517 -0.03331 -0.0094 0 -0.02401 -0.00982 -0.01798 -0.01808 -0.00012 0 -0.04881 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 -0.01935 -0.0129 -0.00279 -0.00088 0.003828 -0.05102 -0.03909 -0.03442 -0.08739 -0.07914 -0.01615 -0.01277 -0.01041 -0.02738 -0.02521 -0.00448 -0.00389 -0.00258 -0.00719 -0.00665 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01405 -0.00874 -0.00409 -0.00628 -0.0023 -0.00151 0.002683 0.00675 0.00182 0.003563 -0.00208 0.00577 0.013389 0.003181 0.007038 -0.00235 0.005365 0.012856 0.003563 0.006264 -9.8E-05 -8.1E-05 -6.3E-05 -5.2E-05 -3.1E-05 0 0 0 0 0 -0.00608 0.015242 0.033971 0.009913 0.017887 Year 7 0.007241 -0.08184 -0.02567 -0.00667 0 -0.0004 0.004269 0.007164 0.007319 -2.1E-05 0 0.018081 Year 8 0.008822 -0.08427 -0.02598 -0.00693 0 -3E-06 0.0036 0.006602 0.006702 -1.3E-05 0 0.017472 Year 9 0.008836 -0.09036 -0.02807 -0.00768 0 -0.0007 0.002109 0.002535 0.002614 -1.1E-05 0 0.007917 Year 10 0.0097 -0.07805 -0.02503 -0.00639 0 -0.00036 0.001566 0.003373 0.003432 -8E-06 0 0.009113 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Education Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Public Welfare Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Hospitals Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Health Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Highways Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Police Protection Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Correction Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Natural Resources Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Parks and Recreation Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Government Administration Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Interest on General Debt Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other and Unallocable Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 1 -0.00845 0.045406 -0.00052 -0.00135 -0.00277 -0.00031 -0.00081 -0.00038 -0.00013 -0.001 -0.00094 -0.00218 -5.8E-05 0 0.019146 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 -0.00844 -0.00549 -0.00113 -0.00051 0.001968 0.002913 -0.00509 -0.02557 -0.03875 -0.01107 -0.01759 -0.01609 -0.00076 0.000109 0.000054 0.000041 0.000091 0.000156 -0.00141 -0.00103 -0.00028 -0.00033 -0.00011 0.000187 -0.00292 -0.00217 -0.00068 0.000203 0.00066 0.00126 -0.00045 -0.00053 0.000433 0.000425 0.000455 0.000494 -0.00062 -0.0011 -0.00029 -0.00033 -0.00016 6.7E-05 -0.001 -0.00036 -0.00051 0.00046 0.000592 0.000765 -0.00019 -0.00023 -0.00024 -0.00024 -0.00023 -0.00021 -0.00091 -0.00043 -0.00064 0.000309 0.000501 0.000752 -0.00037 -0.00061 0.000289 0.000265 0.000356 0.000474 -0.00207 -0.00116 -0.0006 0.000292 0.000693 0.001219 -8.5E-05 -0.0001 -0.00011 -0.00011 -0.0001 -9.5E-05 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.00247 -0.01087 -0.01607 -0.00459 -0.00727 -0.00655 Year 8 0.005082 -0.01153 0.000229 0.000517 0.001929 0.000538 0.000321 -4.2E-05 -0.0002 0.001033 0.000606 0.000805 -8.7E-05 0 -0.00456 Year 9 0.005162 -0.00152 0.000299 0.000833 0.001571 0.00058 0.000564 0.000144 -0.00018 0.000302 0.000732 0.001368 -7.9E-05 0 -0.00073 Year 10 0.005164 -0.00246 0.000366 0.001137 0.001189 -0.00038 0.000798 0.000322 -0.00016 0.000562 -0.00015 0.000909 -7.1E-05 0 -0.00087 Year 3 Year 4 -0.0474 0.011614 -0.04853 -0.05852 Page 92 Year 5 -0.1107 -0.01719 Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units State Revenues at State Average Rates Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars State Expenditures at State Average Ratesof Fixed (2010) Dollars Billions Year 11 Year 12 Year 13 Year 14 Year 15 Year 16 Year 17 Year 18 -0.06322 -0.05185 -0.04329 -0.03633 -0.03054 -0.02581 -0.02195 -0.01794 0.009195 0.011759 0.014172 0.016631 0.018267 0.019162 0.019514 0.019421 Year 19 Year 20 -0.0148 -0.01262 0.01895 0.019162 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Intergovernmental Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars General Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Selective Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars License Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Individual Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Corporate Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Current Charges Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 11 0.010296 -0.06768 -0.02098 -0.0061 0 0.000002 0.001965 0.004104 0.004147 -6E-06 0 0.010031 Year 12 0.011316 -0.05862 -0.01796 -0.00509 0 0.000793 0.00191 0.004003 0.003048 -6E-06 0 0.009764 Year 13 0.011862 -0.05157 -0.01594 -0.00409 0 0.000612 0.001816 0.00283 0.002879 -7E-06 0 0.008311 Year 14 0.012045 -0.04454 -0.01393 -0.00409 0 0.000457 0.001699 0.002616 0.00267 -7E-06 0 0.007749 Year 15 0.011952 -0.03946 -0.01191 -0.00308 0 0.000333 0.001581 0.002401 0.00246 -8E-06 0 0.006186 Year 16 0.011635 -0.03432 -0.01086 -0.00307 0 0.000242 0.00147 0.002196 0.00226 -9E-06 0 0.005651 Year 17 0.01118 -0.03112 -0.0098 -0.00305 0 0.000181 0.001373 0.00202 0.002088 -9E-06 0 0.005188 Year 18 0.010613 -0.02685 -0.00872 -0.00203 0 0.000145 0.001292 0.001871 0.001942 -0.00001 0 0.004799 Year 19 0.009952 -0.02353 -0.00762 -0.002 0 0.000131 0.001226 0.001749 0.001823 -0.00001 0 0.003478 Year 20 0.010211 -0.0212 -0.00651 -0.00197 0 0.000131 0.001168 0.001644 0.00172 -0.00001 0 0.003202 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County Category Units Education Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Public Welfare Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Hospitals Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Health Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Highways Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Police Protection Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Correction Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Natural Resources Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Parks and Recreation Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Government Administration Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Interest on General Debt Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other and Unallocable Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 11 0.006029 -0.00252 0.000429 0.000421 0.001764 -0.00034 0.001016 0.000488 -0.00014 0.000803 -3.2E-05 0.001413 -6.4E-05 0 -0.00107 Year 12 0.005594 -0.00089 0.000482 0.000659 0.002247 -0.00031 0.000199 0.000628 -0.00013 0.001006 0.000063 0.001836 -5.8E-05 0 -0.00056 Year 13 0.005914 0.001305 0.000526 0.000859 0.001654 -0.00028 0.000353 0.000745 -0.00012 0.001176 0.000143 0.001193 -5.3E-05 0 0.00076 Year 14 0.006045 0.002116 0.000564 0.001031 0.002003 -0.00026 0.000485 0.000846 -0.00011 0.000323 0.000212 0.001498 -4.9E-05 0 0.000926 Year 15 0.006034 0.003567 0.000597 0.001181 0.002308 -0.00024 0.000601 0.000934 -0.0001 0.000451 0.000272 0.001766 -4.5E-05 0 0.000942 Year 16 0.005907 0.003675 0.000627 0.001314 0.001578 -0.00022 0.000703 0.001012 -9.4E-05 0.000564 0.000325 0.002002 -4.2E-05 0 0.001816 Year 17 0.005708 0.00451 0.000654 0.000436 0.001825 -0.00021 0.000797 8.3E-05 -8.7E-05 0.000668 0.000374 0.001218 -3.9E-05 0 0.001577 Year 18 0.005451 0.005119 0.000679 0.000549 0.002054 -0.00019 0.000884 0.000149 -8.1E-05 0.000764 0.000419 0.001419 -3.6E-05 0 0.002244 Year 19 0.005145 0.005537 -0.0003 0.000654 0.001268 -0.00018 0.000965 0.000211 -7.5E-05 0.000854 0.000461 0.001607 -3.3E-05 0 0.001832 Year 20 0.004798 0.005796 -0.00028 0.000753 0.00147 -0.00017 0.001041 0.000269 -0.00007 0.000938 0.000501 0.001783 -3.1E-05 0 0.002354 Page 93 Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Total Employment Thousands (Jobs) Employment by Occupation Thousands (Jobs) Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Self Supply Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total Exports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total Imports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Output Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Value-Added Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Wage and Salary Disbursements Billions of Current Dollars Personal Income Billions of Current Dollars Real Disposable Personal Income Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars PCE-Price Index 2005=100 (Nation) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Personal Consumption Expenditures Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total National Deflator 2005=1 (Nation) Year 1 -164.697 -164.697 -243.173 -15.832 -17.964 0.01 -12.701 -5.273 -0.538 -1.593 -0.031 1.086 -37.427 -21.503 -9.242 -6.171 -5.215 -0.252 -17.477 -3.542 0 Year 2 4.79 4.79 -115.542 -6.566 -12.24 0.026 -8.845 -3.421 1.807 -0.769 1.362 1.214 -21.629 -12.214 -4.854 0.239 0.307 -0.321 -6.02 0.475 0 Year 3 83.821 83.821 -40.609 -1.251 -8.593 0.028 -6.373 -2.248 2.122 -0.569 1.554 1.137 -12.05 -6.634 -1.964 3.795 2.896 -0.041 -0.218 2.343 0 Year 4 147.271 147.271 19.601 3.707 -5.99 0.019 -4.563 -1.446 2.14 -0.494 1.556 1.077 -3.948 -1.897 0.674 7.181 5.206 0.25 4.696 4.022 0 Year 5 55.132 55.132 -6.58 0.56 -5.345 0.006 -3.937 -1.413 -2.14 -1.635 -0.807 0.302 -6.123 -3.346 -0.329 3.111 1.898 0.344 -0.158 1.422 0 Year 6 78.409 78.409 33.154 3.647 -2.589 -0.009 -1.972 -0.608 -2.516 -1.543 -1.089 0.114 0.361 0.387 1.522 4.32 2.759 0.376 2.73 2.084 0 Year 7 77.36 77.36 44.078 4.544 -1.676 -0.028 -1.285 -0.364 -2.968 -1.584 -1.384 -0.001 2.43 1.571 2.232 4.587 2.795 0.467 3.297 2.135 0 Year 8 69.275 69.275 48.22 4.751 -0.929 -0.046 -0.731 -0.151 -3.418 -1.621 -1.678 -0.119 3.594 2.223 2.645 4.467 2.592 0.509 3.317 2.009 0 Year 9 36.458 36.458 34.821 3.346 -0.955 -0.061 -0.683 -0.211 -4.184 -1.762 -2.146 -0.278 2.233 1.354 2.072 2.763 1.392 0.479 1.44 1.113 0 Year 10 38.853 38.853 36.975 3.741 -0.794 -0.072 -0.543 -0.178 -3.652 -1.53 -1.904 -0.218 2.866 1.721 2.242 2.987 1.549 0.436 1.819 1.247 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities, and Other(Jobs) Thousands Mining Thousands (Jobs) Utilities Thousands (Jobs) Construction Thousands (Jobs) Manufacturing Thousands (Jobs) Wholesale Trade Thousands (Jobs) Retail Trade Thousands (Jobs) Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs) Information Thousands (Jobs) Finance and Insurance Thousands (Jobs) Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Thousands (Jobs) Professional and Technical Services Thousands (Jobs) Management of Companies and Enterprises Thousands (Jobs) Administrative and Waste ServicesThousands (Jobs) Educational Services Thousands (Jobs) Health Care and Social AssistanceThousands (Jobs) Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Thousands (Jobs) Accommodation and Food Services Thousands (Jobs) Other Services, except Public Administration Thousands (Jobs) State and Local Government Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Civilian Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Military Employment Thousands (Jobs) Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Year 1 -2.25 -0.469 -0.896 14.785 -24.584 -9.169 -20.131 -11.939 -8.897 -34.88 -14.503 -27.094 -7.447 -32.663 -6.615 -19.564 -9.37 -13.343 -14.143 78.476 0 0 0 Year 2 -1.611 -0.325 -0.493 32.186 -17.357 -5.193 -10.046 -8.348 -6.011 -23.39 -8.16 -15.683 -5.273 -16.606 -3.998 -7.508 -6.053 -6.686 -4.989 120.332 0 0 0 Year 3 -1.194 -0.227 -0.272 48.74 -13.099 -3.534 -5.395 -6.081 -4.507 -16.339 -4.254 -10.263 -3.884 -8.507 -2.514 -1.6 -4.093 -3.043 -0.541 124.429 0 0 0 Year 4 -0.84 -0.141 -0.082 62.619 -9.76 -2.474 -1.954 -4.234 -3.359 -10.546 -0.861 -6.362 -2.762 -2.113 -1.287 3.179 -2.484 0.052 3.013 127.668 0 0 0 Year 5 -0.641 -0.107 -0.106 55.557 -8.936 -4.264 -5.953 -3.527 -3.518 -9.169 -0.953 -10.337 -2.267 -6.034 -1.422 -1.058 -2.272 -1.315 -0.259 61.712 0 0 0 Year 6 -0.277 -0.031 0.038 58.113 -5.374 -3.259 -3.344 -1.709 -2.282 -3.793 1.488 -6.872 -1.15 -1.556 -0.481 1.948 -0.853 0.68 1.87 45.255 0 0 0 Year 7 -0.134 -0.003 0.087 57.895 -4.015 -3.031 -2.679 -1.023 -1.828 -1.843 2.303 -5.973 -0.746 -0.482 -0.165 2.529 -0.339 1.282 2.244 33.281 0 0 0 Year 8 -0.03 0.015 0.114 55.567 -2.973 -2.857 -2.315 -0.53 -1.479 -0.498 2.694 -5.416 -0.455 -0.054 0.032 2.598 0.007 1.564 2.237 21.054 0 0 0 Year 9 Year 10 0.037 0.022 0.105 44.676 -2.084 -2.48 -2.226 -0.239 -1.132 0.031 2.373 -5.197 -0.288 -0.881 0.036 1.458 0.143 1.269 1.352 1.877 0 0 0 Page 94 0 0.017 0.091 48.63 -2.683 -2.968 -3.023 -0.436 -1.424 -0.509 2.268 -6.216 -0.398 -1.533 -0.081 1.006 -0.02 0.998 1.101 1.638 0 0 0 Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Total Employment Thousands (Jobs) Employment by Occupation Thousands (Jobs) Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Self Supply Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total Exports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Exports to Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total Imports Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Rest of World Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Rest of Nation Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Imports from Multiregions Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Output Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Value-Added Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Wage and Salary Disbursements Billions of Current Dollars Personal Income Billions of Current Dollars Real Disposable Personal Income Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars PCE-Price Index 2005=100 (Nation) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Personal Consumption Expenditures Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars Total National Deflator 2005=1 (Nation) Year 11 40.266 40.265 38.188 4.027 -0.602 -0.08 -0.386 -0.136 -3.115 -1.298 -1.658 -0.159 3.426 2.043 2.39 3.198 1.656 0.424 2.152 1.345 0 Year 12 37.182 37.183 35.215 3.83 -0.648 -0.087 -0.414 -0.148 -2.64 -1.105 -1.424 -0.112 3.182 1.894 2.292 3.138 1.585 0.408 1.998 1.302 0 Year 13 33.525 33.525 31.713 3.523 -0.676 -0.092 -0.43 -0.155 -2.267 -0.949 -1.239 -0.078 2.846 1.693 2.137 3.012 1.484 0.384 1.789 1.235 0 Year 14 29.844 29.844 28.198 3.18 -0.688 -0.093 -0.436 -0.158 -1.961 -0.82 -1.087 -0.054 2.492 1.48 1.959 2.855 1.373 0.357 1.568 1.158 0 Year 15 26.436 26.436 24.951 2.844 -0.685 -0.095 -0.433 -0.158 -1.703 -0.71 -0.958 -0.035 2.158 1.28 1.778 2.689 1.262 0.33 1.36 1.084 0 Year 16 23.407 23.408 22.069 2.53 -0.671 -0.093 -0.423 -0.155 -1.481 -0.618 -0.844 -0.02 1.859 1.102 1.607 2.532 1.16 0.304 1.173 1.019 0 Year 17 20.798 20.798 19.585 2.252 -0.65 -0.091 -0.408 -0.15 -1.29 -0.54 -0.742 -0.008 1.602 0.95 1.45 2.393 1.071 0.279 1.015 0.964 0 Year 18 18.571 18.571 17.471 2.008 -0.622 -0.089 -0.391 -0.143 -1.121 -0.474 -0.649 0.003 1.387 0.822 1.311 2.274 0.994 0.258 0.881 0.919 0 Year 19 16.724 16.724 15.718 1.802 -0.591 -0.085 -0.372 -0.134 -0.965 -0.414 -0.563 0.012 1.212 0.719 1.192 2.176 0.931 0.238 0.773 0.881 0 Year 20 15.126 15.126 14.204 1.62 -0.559 -0.081 -0.351 -0.126 -0.828 -0.361 -0.487 0.02 1.061 0.631 1.087 2.094 0.875 0.223 0.681 0.847 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities, and Other(Jobs) Thousands Mining Thousands (Jobs) Utilities Thousands (Jobs) Construction Thousands (Jobs) Manufacturing Thousands (Jobs) Wholesale Trade Thousands (Jobs) Retail Trade Thousands (Jobs) Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs) Information Thousands (Jobs) Finance and Insurance Thousands (Jobs) Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Thousands (Jobs) Professional and Technical Services Thousands (Jobs) Management of Companies and Enterprises Thousands (Jobs) Administrative and Waste ServicesThousands (Jobs) Educational Services Thousands (Jobs) Health Care and Social AssistanceThousands (Jobs) Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Thousands (Jobs) Accommodation and Food Services Thousands (Jobs) Other Services, except Public Administration Thousands (Jobs) State and Local Government Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Civilian Employment Thousands (Jobs) Federal Military Employment Thousands (Jobs) Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs) Year 11 0.073 0.026 0.115 40.066 -1.485 -1.998 -1.468 -0.042 -0.845 0.556 2.426 -4.17 -0.174 -0.242 0.153 1.837 0.297 1.514 1.546 2.078 0 0 0 Year 12 0.073 0.024 0.11 35.986 -1.275 -1.679 -1.087 -0.038 -0.709 0.494 2.2 -3.631 -0.172 -0.234 0.158 1.757 0.297 1.51 1.433 1.967 0 0 0 Year 13 0.072 0.02 0.104 31.813 -1.101 -1.42 -0.8 -0.035 -0.596 0.428 1.961 -3.197 -0.168 -0.248 0.159 1.652 0.29 1.482 1.299 1.812 0 0 0 Year 14 0.071 0.017 0.098 27.843 -0.953 -1.203 -0.575 -0.032 -0.502 0.368 1.732 -2.83 -0.161 -0.262 0.157 1.547 0.28 1.44 1.165 1.646 0 0 0 Year 15 0.069 0.014 0.091 24.209 -0.824 -1.02 -0.389 -0.03 -0.42 0.319 1.526 -2.506 -0.151 -0.265 0.154 1.461 0.271 1.394 1.045 1.486 0 0 0 Year 16 0.069 0.012 0.085 20.962 -0.711 -0.863 -0.231 -0.025 -0.351 0.282 1.348 -2.216 -0.14 -0.256 0.15 1.399 0.263 1.348 0.943 1.34 0 0 0 Year 17 0.069 0.009 0.08 18.104 -0.613 -0.729 -0.092 -0.02 -0.291 0.257 1.196 -1.954 -0.128 -0.235 0.146 1.365 0.256 1.306 0.86 1.211 0 0 0 Year 18 0.068 0.008 0.075 15.611 -0.525 -0.613 0.03 -0.013 -0.24 0.24 1.068 -1.716 -0.116 -0.206 0.144 1.347 0.251 1.266 0.793 1.101 0 0 0 Year 19 0.067 0.006 0.07 13.461 -0.446 -0.51 0.143 -0.006 -0.194 0.23 0.96 -1.492 -0.103 -0.168 0.14 1.345 0.247 1.23 0.74 1.006 0 0 0 Year 20 0.066 0.004 0.066 11.6 -0.378 -0.422 0.235 0 -0.156 0.223 0.867 -1.293 -0.091 -0.131 0.138 1.342 0.243 1.193 0.695 0.921 0 0 0 Page 95 Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Management, business, financial occupations Thousands (Jobs) Computer, math, architect, engineer occupations Thousands (Jobs) Life, physical, social science occupations Thousands (Jobs) Community, social service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Legal occupations Thousands (Jobs) Education, training, library occupations Thousands (Jobs) Arts, design, entertainment, sports,Thousands media occupations (Jobs) Healthcare occupations Thousands (Jobs) Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Food preparation, serving related occupations Thousands (Jobs) Building, grounds, personal care, service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Sales, office, administrative occupations Thousands (Jobs) Farm, fishing, forestry occupationsThousands (Jobs) Construction, extraction occupations Thousands (Jobs) Installation, maintenance, repair occupations Thousands (Jobs) Production occupations Thousands (Jobs) Transportation, material moving occupations Thousands (Jobs) Year 1 -20.84 -11.878 -0.776 -3.272 -0.598 -3.58 -4.517 -9.57 15.449 -14.083 -17.33 -65.805 -1.225 11.825 -6.036 -17.205 -15.259 Year 2 -1.641 -3.764 1.208 -1.244 1.649 -0.142 -2.283 0.727 27.828 -6.561 -5.256 -19.469 -0.666 26.865 1.76 -9.398 -4.826 Year 3 7.081 -0.275 1.838 -0.252 2.338 1.273 -1.214 4.91 29.901 -2.637 0.304 1.901 -0.381 38.545 5.745 -5.373 0.115 Year 4 14.103 2.403 2.326 0.546 2.859 2.431 -0.382 8.279 31.559 0.648 4.786 18.747 -0.146 48.288 9.015 -2.21 4.017 Year 5 3.804 -1.866 0.589 -0.154 0.798 0.485 -1.095 1.942 14.707 -1.344 -0.291 -2.249 -0.249 39.503 4.885 -3.971 -0.361 Year 6 6.607 -0.425 0.572 0.339 0.71 0.881 -0.488 3.133 11.186 0.713 2.084 6.509 -0.068 40.551 5.975 -1.559 1.689 Year 7 6.562 -0.316 0.405 0.433 0.488 0.832 -0.337 2.917 8.352 1.27 2.386 7.566 -0.015 39.783 5.949 -0.878 1.964 Year 8 5.753 -0.467 0.19 0.441 0.215 0.669 -0.268 2.348 5.363 1.488 2.219 6.887 0.013 37.574 5.528 -0.514 1.833 Year 9 2.153 -1.703 -0.317 0.19 -0.39 0.033 -0.468 0.289 0.322 0.747 0.486 0.216 -0.03 31.802 3.856 -1.093 0.365 Year 10 2.585 -1.267 -0.235 0.255 -0.3 0.143 -0.333 0.645 0.462 1.056 0.872 1.896 -0.002 29.277 3.786 -0.679 0.693 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Labor Force Thousands Total Migrants Thousands Economic Migrants Thousands Population (Last Year's) Thousands Population 5 Year Cohorts) Thousands College Population Thousands Year 1 -40.858 -46.796 -46.796 0 -47.335 0 Year 2 -31.301 3.659 3.659 -47.335 -44.701 0 Year 3 -9.559 20.587 20.587 -44.701 -24.839 0 Year 4 18.539 30.618 30.618 -24.838 5.675 0 Year 5 20.564 9.439 9.439 5.675 15.5 0 Year 6 29.527 13.247 13.247 15.5 29.411 0 Year 7 36.295 11.096 11.096 29.411 41.456 0 Year 8 40.309 8.12 8.12 41.456 50.743 0 Year 9 37.3 0.876 0.877 50.743 52.879 0 Year 10 36.629 1.678 1.679 52.879 55.832 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Ages 0-4 Thousands Ages 5-9 Thousands Ages 10-14 Thousands Ages 15-19 Thousands Ages 20-24 Thousands Ages 25-29 Thousands Ages 30-34 Thousands Ages 35-39 Thousands Ages 40-44 Thousands Ages 45-49 Thousands Ages 50-54 Thousands Ages 55-59 Thousands Ages 60-64 Thousands Ages 65-69 Thousands Ages 70-74 Thousands Ages 75-79 Thousands Ages 80-84 Thousands Ages 85+ Thousands Year 1 -4.954 -3.686 -2.938 -3.08 -7.439 -6.805 -4.97 -3.702 -3.238 -2.356 -1.749 -1.292 -1.125 0 0 0 0 0 Year 2 -4.861 -3.561 -2.85 -2.474 -6.183 -6.596 -4.929 -3.601 -3.083 -2.333 -1.712 -1.24 -1.1 -0.178 0 0 0 0 Year 3 -2.908 -2.09 -1.692 -0.975 -2.095 -3.853 -3.087 -2.178 -1.731 -1.456 -1.041 -0.739 -0.639 -0.357 0 0 0 0 Year 4 0.279 0.255 0.153 0.853 3.463 0.535 -0.048 0.094 0.376 -0.012 0.044 0.045 0.112 -0.474 0 0 0 0 Year 5 1.423 1.072 0.763 0.999 5.063 2.239 1.009 0.805 1.056 0.484 0.398 0.277 0.402 -0.489 0 0 0 0 Year 6 3.584 1.677 1.646 1.492 6.697 4.765 2.62 1.871 1.966 1.236 0.911 0.643 0.765 -0.46 0 0 0 0 Year 7 5.228 2.54 2.428 2.039 7.268 7.34 4.098 2.813 2.677 1.989 1.356 0.992 1.02 -0.168 -0.164 0 0 0 Year 8 6.379 3.435 3.06 2.506 7.087 9.441 5.361 3.585 3.197 2.636 1.718 1.284 1.182 0.203 -0.328 0 0 0 Year 9 6.538 4.012 3.279 2.559 5.711 10.283 5.932 3.852 3.255 2.927 1.84 1.392 1.171 0.562 -0.434 0 0 0 Year 10 6.834 4.524 3.595 2.742 4.651 10.691 6.773 4.28 3.412 3.197 2.033 1.525 1.198 0.823 -0.444 0 0 0 Page 96 Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Management, business, financial occupations Thousands (Jobs) Computer, math, architect, engineer occupations Thousands (Jobs) Life, physical, social science occupations Thousands (Jobs) Community, social service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Legal occupations Thousands (Jobs) Education, training, library occupations Thousands (Jobs) Arts, design, entertainment, sports,Thousands media occupations (Jobs) Healthcare occupations Thousands (Jobs) Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Food preparation, serving related occupations Thousands (Jobs) Building, grounds, personal care, service occupations Thousands (Jobs) Sales, office, administrative occupations Thousands (Jobs) Farm, fishing, forestry occupationsThousands (Jobs) Construction, extraction occupations Thousands (Jobs) Installation, maintenance, repair occupations Thousands (Jobs) Production occupations Thousands (Jobs) Transportation, material moving occupations Thousands (Jobs) Year 11 2.937 -0.842 -0.154 0.309 -0.213 0.246 -0.201 0.958 0.586 1.339 1.218 3.398 0.026 26.32 3.638 -0.283 0.983 Year 12 2.717 -0.704 -0.128 0.289 -0.178 0.243 -0.16 0.938 0.555 1.343 1.149 3.39 0.029 23.643 3.324 -0.204 0.936 Year 13 2.439 -0.608 -0.109 0.266 -0.154 0.232 -0.129 0.893 0.51 1.319 1.054 3.2 0.031 20.902 2.978 -0.156 0.857 Year 14 2.154 -0.535 -0.094 0.243 -0.133 0.22 -0.106 0.844 0.461 1.283 0.957 2.946 0.031 18.291 2.637 -0.125 0.769 Year 15 1.892 -0.472 -0.082 0.222 -0.117 0.208 -0.085 0.804 0.415 1.244 0.872 2.694 0.033 15.904 2.322 -0.101 0.685 Year 16 1.66 -0.416 -0.07 0.206 -0.102 0.198 -0.067 0.775 0.375 1.205 0.801 2.471 0.033 13.771 2.04 -0.08 0.611 Year 17 1.462 -0.364 -0.06 0.193 -0.088 0.189 -0.052 0.763 0.34 1.17 0.746 2.29 0.034 11.894 1.792 -0.061 0.548 Year 18 1.297 -0.314 -0.05 0.184 -0.075 0.183 -0.037 0.76 0.312 1.138 0.703 2.148 0.034 10.259 1.576 -0.041 0.496 Year 19 1.164 -0.264 -0.04 0.176 -0.063 0.178 -0.023 0.765 0.289 1.11 0.674 2.047 0.034 8.849 1.392 -0.021 0.456 Year 20 1.052 -0.219 -0.031 0.171 -0.052 0.173 -0.011 0.77 0.268 1.081 0.648 1.961 0.035 7.63 1.232 -0.002 0.421 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Labor Force Thousands Total Migrants Thousands Economic Migrants Thousands Population (Last Year's) Thousands Population 5 Year Cohorts) Thousands College Population Thousands Year 11 36.491 1.712 1.713 55.832 58.838 0 Year 12 35.832 0.839 0.839 58.838 60.978 0 Year 13 34.655 -0.04 -0.04 60.978 62.217 0 Year 14 33.092 -0.816 -0.816 62.217 62.629 0 Year 15 31.282 -1.436 -1.437 62.629 62.343 0 Year 16 29.35 -1.907 -1.908 62.343 61.487 0 Year 17 27.213 -2.185 -2.184 61.487 60.237 0 Year 18 25.255 -2.395 -2.395 60.237 58.653 0 Year 19 23.453 -2.533 -2.533 58.653 56.801 0 Year 20 21.814 -2.636 -2.636 56.801 54.718 0 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Ages 0-4 Thousands Ages 5-9 Thousands Ages 10-14 Thousands Ages 15-19 Thousands Ages 20-24 Thousands Ages 25-29 Thousands Ages 30-34 Thousands Ages 35-39 Thousands Ages 40-44 Thousands Ages 45-49 Thousands Ages 50-54 Thousands Ages 55-59 Thousands Ages 60-64 Thousands Ages 65-69 Thousands Ages 70-74 Thousands Ages 75-79 Thousands Ages 80-84 Thousands Ages 85+ Thousands Year 11 7.015 5.663 3.379 2.991 3.865 10.459 7.817 4.824 3.616 3.403 2.272 1.663 1.246 1.035 -0.412 0 0 0 Year 12 7.045 6.391 3.496 3.19 3.384 9.364 9.036 5.327 3.787 3.472 2.558 1.764 1.313 1.14 -0.143 -0.146 0 0 Year 13 6.939 6.808 3.791 3.337 3.076 7.873 10.043 5.798 3.942 3.476 2.827 1.847 1.383 1.174 0.196 -0.291 0 0 Year 14 6.764 6.835 4.263 3.455 2.838 6.252 10.709 6.238 4.09 3.451 3.053 1.923 1.446 1.169 0.524 -0.382 0 0 Year 15 6.469 6.868 4.563 3.59 2.611 4.711 10.743 6.806 4.291 3.433 3.19 2.02 1.495 1.176 0.762 -0.387 0 0 Year 16 6.067 6.735 5.448 3.167 2.434 3.356 10.063 7.519 4.565 3.423 3.24 2.143 1.535 1.189 0.954 -0.352 0 0 Year 17 5.582 6.502 5.961 3.111 2.289 2.396 8.59 8.456 4.842 3.412 3.178 2.329 1.554 1.221 1.051 -0.115 -0.123 0 Year 18 5.03 6.19 6.211 3.271 2.175 1.714 6.805 9.243 5.137 3.425 3.081 2.517 1.573 1.262 1.081 0.183 -0.243 0 Year 19 4.431 5.864 6.116 3.646 2.104 1.202 4.972 9.746 5.446 3.469 2.982 2.684 1.601 1.303 1.078 0.471 -0.316 0 Year 20 3.805 5.465 6.062 3.877 2.109 0.786 3.284 9.67 5.922 3.596 2.913 2.781 1.664 1.336 1.086 0.677 -0.313 0 Page 97 Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units State Revenues at State Average Rates Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars State Expenditures at State Average Ratesof Fixed (2010) Dollars Billions Year 1 -0.746 0.224 Year 2 -0.216 -0.159 Year 3 -0.001 -0.289 Year 4 0.18 -0.334 Year 5 -0.227 -0.145 Year 6 -0.137 -0.165 Year 7 -0.132 -0.12 Year 8 -0.142 -0.064 Year 9 -0.234 0.017 Year 10 -0.173 0.032 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Intergovernmental Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars General Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Selective Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars License Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Individual Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Corporate Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Current Charges Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 1 -0.061 -0.253 -0.079 -0.022 0 -0.082 -0.026 -0.049 -0.047 0 0 -0.127 Year 2 -0.058 -0.09 -0.028 -0.008 0 -0.049 0.001 0.003 0.003 0 0 0.009 Year 3 -0.032 -0.058 -0.019 -0.005 0 -0.031 0.015 0.028 0.027 0 0 0.073 Year 4 0.007 -0.049 -0.015 -0.004 0 -0.016 0.027 0.05 0.049 0 0 0.13 Year 5 0.019 -0.23 -0.072 -0.02 0 -0.019 0.01 0.019 0.018 0 0 0.049 Year 6 0.036 -0.216 -0.067 -0.019 0 -0.005 0.014 0.027 0.026 0 0 0.069 Year 7 0.05 -0.227 -0.071 -0.019 0 -0.002 0.015 0.027 0.027 0 0 0.071 Year 8 0.06 -0.238 -0.075 -0.02 0 0.001 0.014 0.025 0.025 0 0 0.066 Year 9 0.063 -0.26 -0.081 -0.023 0 -0.001 0.008 0.013 0.013 0 0 0.035 Year 10 0.067 -0.226 -0.071 -0.02 0 0.001 0.008 0.015 0.014 0 0 0.039 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Education Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Public Welfare Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Hospitals Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Health Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Highways Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Police Protection Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Correction Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Natural Resources Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Parks and Recreation Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Government Administration Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Interest on General Debt Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other and Unallocable Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 1 -0.059 0.25 -0.002 -0.009 -0.019 -0.001 -0.007 -0.006 -0.001 -0.007 -0.004 -0.016 0 0 0.103 Year 2 -0.064 -0.014 -0.002 -0.009 -0.02 -0.001 -0.008 -0.006 0 -0.008 -0.004 -0.017 -0.001 0 -0.005 Year 3 -0.053 -0.123 -0.002 -0.008 -0.016 -0.001 -0.006 -0.005 0 -0.007 -0.003 -0.014 -0.001 0 -0.051 Year 4 -0.029 -0.192 -0.001 -0.005 -0.008 -0.001 -0.003 -0.002 -0.001 -0.004 -0.002 -0.007 0 0 -0.079 Year 5 -0.022 -0.069 0 -0.004 -0.007 -0.001 -0.003 -0.002 -0.001 -0.002 -0.001 -0.006 0 0 -0.029 Year 6 -0.008 -0.105 0 -0.001 -0.003 -0.001 -0.001 -0.001 -0.001 -0.001 -0.001 -0.002 0 0 -0.043 Year 7 0.005 -0.094 0 0 0.002 0.001 0 0.001 0 0.001 0.001 0.001 0 0 -0.038 Year 8 0.017 -0.071 0.001 0.002 0.005 0 0.002 0.001 0 0.002 0.001 0.005 0 0 -0.03 Year 9 0.021 -0.02 0 0.003 0.006 0 0.002 0.002 0 0.003 0.001 0.006 0 0 -0.009 Year 10 0.026 -0.017 0.001 0.004 0.008 0 0.003 0.003 0 0.003 0.001 0.007 0.001 0 -0.007 Page 98 Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units State Revenues at State Average Rates Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars State Expenditures at State Average Ratesof Fixed (2010) Dollars Billions Year 11 -0.115 0.05 Year 12 -0.079 0.078 Year 13 -0.051 0.101 Year 14 -0.029 0.119 Year 15 -0.012 0.133 Year 16 0.002 0.143 Year 17 0.014 0.149 Year 18 0.023 0.153 Year 19 0.032 0.155 Year 20 0.038 0.154 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Intergovernmental Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars General Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Selective Sales Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars License Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Individual Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Corporate Income Tax Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other Taxes Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Current Charges Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 11 0.071 -0.192 -0.061 -0.017 0 0.002 0.008 0.016 0.015 0 0 0.041 Year 12 0.074 -0.166 -0.051 -0.015 0 0.001 0.008 0.015 0.015 0 0 0.04 Year 13 0.075 -0.143 -0.045 -0.013 0 0.001 0.008 0.014 0.014 0 0 0.037 Year 14 0.076 -0.123 -0.039 -0.011 0 0.001 0.007 0.013 0.012 0 0 0.034 Year 15 0.075 -0.106 -0.034 -0.009 0 0 0.006 0.012 0.012 0 0 0.031 Year 16 0.075 -0.092 -0.029 -0.008 0 0 0.006 0.011 0.01 0 0 0.029 Year 17 0.074 -0.08 -0.025 -0.007 0 0 0.006 0.01 0.01 0 0 0.026 Year 18 0.072 -0.068 -0.022 -0.006 0 0 0.005 0.009 0.009 0 0 0.024 Year 19 0.07 -0.059 -0.018 -0.005 0 0 0.004 0.009 0.008 0 0 0.022 Year 20 0.067 -0.05 -0.016 -0.004 0 -0.001 0.004 0.009 0.008 0 0 0.022 Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC Category Units Education Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Public Welfare Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Hospitals Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Health Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Highways Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Police Protection Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Correction Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Natural Resources Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Parks and Recreation Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Government Administration Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Interest on General Debt Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Other and Unallocable Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Utility Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Liquor Store Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Insurance Trust Expenditure Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars Year 11 0.032 -0.013 0.001 0.004 0.01 0.001 0.003 0.003 0 0.004 0.002 0.009 0.001 0 -0.006 Year 12 0.036 0 0.001 0.005 0.012 0.001 0.004 0.004 0 0.004 0.003 0.01 0.001 0 0 Year 13 0.039 0.011 0.002 0.005 0.012 0.001 0.005 0.003 0 0.005 0.002 0.01 0.001 0 0.005 Year 14 0.041 0.021 0.001 0.007 0.013 0.001 0.005 0.003 0 0.006 0.003 0.011 0 0 0.008 Year 15 0.042 0.028 0.001 0.007 0.013 0 0.005 0.004 0 0.006 0.002 0.011 0 0 0.012 Year 16 0.042 0.034 0.001 0.007 0.013 0 0.005 0.003 0 0.005 0.002 0.012 0 0 0.014 Year 17 0.043 0.039 0.002 0.007 0.013 0.001 0.005 0.004 0 0.005 0.003 0.011 0 0 0.016 Year 18 0.042 0.042 0.002 0.006 0.013 0.001 0.005 0.003 0 0.006 0.002 0.012 0 0 0.017 Year 19 0.042 0.044 0.001 0.006 0.013 0.001 0.005 0.004 0 0.005 0.002 0.011 0 0 0.018 Year 20 0.041 0.045 0.001 0.007 0.012 0.001 0.005 0.003 0.001 0.005 0.003 0.011 0 0 0.019 Page 99 Part V – Appendix Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study Economic Development Administration IV-2 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council Part V – Appendix Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study Data Collection Template TBRPC is developed a Data Collection Template to assist in performing an analysis to estimate the total impacts to the region. The information below is the bare minimum required, additional information would provide a more accurate depiction of the impacts. Damage Estimates Category Geographic Location At Event Building Stock Damaged Total Employment Reconstruction Estimates Category Building Stock Reconstruction Clean Up Expenditures Government Spending Year 1 Economic Development Administration Year 2 IV-3 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council Part V – Appendix Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study Actual Employment Lost by Year NAICS 113-114 115 211 212 213 22 23 321 327 331 332 333 334 335 3361-3363 3364-3369 337 339 311 312 313 314 315 316 322 323 324 325 326 42 44-45 481 482 483 484-492 485 486 487, 488 493 511 512 518,519 515,517 Category Forestry and logging; Fishing Agriculture and forestry support Oil and gas extraction Mining (except oil and gas) Support activities for mining Utilities Construction Wood product manufacturing Nonmetallic mineral manufacturing Primary metal manufacturing Fabricated metal manufacturing Machinery manufacturing Computer and electronic manu Electrical equip/appliance manu Motor vehicles, manufacturing Other trans equip manufacturing Furniture manufacturing Miscellaneous manufacturing Food manufacturing Beverage and tobacco manu Textile mills Textile product mills Apparel manufacturing Leather and allied manufacturing Paper manufacturing Printing and related support Petroleum and coal manu Chemical manufacturing Plastics and rubber manu Wholesale trade Retail trade Air transportation Rail transportation Water transportation Truck transportation; Couriers Transit and ground trans Pipeline transportation Scenic and sightseeing Warehousing and storage Publishing industries, no Internet Motion picture and sound Internet publishing/broadcasting Broadcasting, except Internet; Economic Development Administration IV-4 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council Part V – Appendix Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study NAICS 521,522,525 523 524 531 532,533 54 55 561 562 61 621 622 623 624 711 712 713 721 722 811 812 813 111,112 Category Monetary authorities Securities, investments Insurance carriers Real estate Rental and leasing services Professional and technical Management of companies Administrative and support Waste management Educational services Ambulatory health care services Hospitals Nursing and residential care Social assistance Performing arts and sports Museums, zoos, parks Amusement, gambling, rec Accommodation Food services and drinking Repair and maintenance Personal and laundry Membership associations State Government Local Government Federal Civilian Federal Military Farm ALL Total Employment Economic Development Administration IV-5 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council