Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
1921 Hurricane - Bayshore Blvd Seawall
November 30, 2011
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
in conjunction with
The Economic Development Administration
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Table of Contents
Introduction
Executive Summary
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I - Regional Description and Background Information
Regional Description
Regional Threats
Statewide Evacuation Study
Coastal Storms and Hurricanes
Freshwater Flooding
Wildfires
Hazardous Materials
Terrorism and Domestic Security
Nuclear Power Plants
Tsunami
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II - Detailed County Information
Introduction
Regional Employment
Hillsborough County
Manatee County
Pasco County
Pinellas County
II II II II II II -
III - Analysis
Introduction
Hurricane Phoenix Scenario
Damage Estimates
REMI
Input Assumptions
Employment Losses Estimates
Investment and Spending Estimates
Net Results
Summary
III III III III III III III III III -
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IV - Disaster Resiliency
Introduction
Local Mitigation Strategy
PDRP
COOP
Florida Business Disaster Kit
Business Continuity Plan
Mitigation Strategy
Input Form
IV IV IV IV IV IV IV IV -
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V - Appendix
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Introduction
The Tampa Bay Economic Development District partnered with the Economic
Development Administration to analyze the impacts and effects of a natural disaster
across the Tampa Bay area. The framework and methodology was developed to be
transferable to any area and to any event. The investment was two years in the making
and utilized a number or sources for inputs, information, and guidance.
The Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study is an economic study on the impacts of a
natural disaster. The study does not explore evacuation, safety, nor response actions.
Information regarding evacuation, safety, and response activities are thoroughly studied
and widely available.
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Executive Summary
Using the catastrophic scenario of Project Phoenix, we were able to test a worst case
scenario to the Tampa Bay Region. This category 5 hurricane would go through Pinellas
and Hillsborough Counties and be large enough to provide substantial damage to Pasco
and Manatee Counties. The doomsday scenario was modeled as a catastrophic planning
exercise in 2010. The probability of the exact scenario occurring is extremely low,
however the analysis provides scalability and transferability to any hazard. Like most
disaster scenarios, only the direct impacts were reported in the Project Phoenix scenario.
Our analysis took the direct impacts and then estimated the indirect and induced impacts.
The assumptions and timing of the event and reactions are what drives the results. The
main components are split into two main categories, economic losses associated with
losing employment and economic gains associated with reconstruction, cleaning, and
government spending. The employment losses drive a loss in production and wages due
to the employees being unable to actually get to work. The losses are spread over 7
years. The economic gains drive the economy back to positive results and are spread
over 10 years, as some home owners wait a long time to rebuild their houses. The shape
and distribution of the inputs are shown below in the chart. The blue line shows the
direct employment missing by year. The Green line shows the percentage of $136
Billion each year. The Red Line shows the percentage of $53.6 Billion in government
spending in each year.
After accounting for the negative losses and positive gains, the results show how
significant a loss of employment is to the region. Without government assistance and
reconstruction, the region never fully recovers. Additional funds could be input to
overcompensate for each year to show what the recovery would be, but the employment
that comes along with government spending (contractual, temporary, cleaning, etc)
disappears almost as quickly as the funds disappear. These jobs help the region look
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strong while it recovers, but the longer lasting impact is actual employment. The chart
below shows the effects on employment of all three scenarios. The Purple Line shows
the change in employment from only the positive economic impacts (reconstruction,
cleanup, and government spending). The Green Line shows the change in employment
change from only the negative economic impacts. The Blue Line shows the change in
employment from the net impact (both the negative and positive economic impacts).
The chart below shows the Net Impact of several Economic Indicators. All comparisons
are to the baseline forecast. The Green Line shows the impact to the Personal Income.
The Purple Line shows the Gross Domestic Product of the Tampa Bay Region. The Red
Line charts the change to the Net Value Added. The Blue Line displays the change to the
Output.
When looking at how to recover from a catastrophic event, employment was the largest
factor in our analysis. If more effort is spent on the prevention or reduction in damage
before the storm hits, the employment should be more resilient. Additionally, if some
disaster funds or initial tax revenues can be invested in the region to create more
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permanent jobs in the future, the economy could actually be in a better position in the
long run.
Investing in infrastructure to harden buildings to build stronger, more disaster resilient
buildings will help the economy be in better shape next time a disaster occurs by
allowing more employees access to their respective workplaces after the event. Investing
in economic development activities before and after the event will help retain and attract
employment to strengthen the economy. The PDRP (Post Disaster Redevelopment
Plan) is a planning process to identify policies, operational strategies, and roles and
responsibilities for implementation that will guide decisions that affect long-term
recovery and redevelopment of the community after a disaster. Recovery topics include
business resumption and economic redevelopment, housing repair and reconstruction,
infrastructure restoration and mitigation, short-term recovery actions that affect long-term
redevelopment, sustainable land use, environmental restoration, and financial
considerations as well as other long-term recovery issues identified by the community.
Despite the fact that the Project Phoenix impacts and the best assumptions based upon
previous hurricanes were used in this analysis, the exact scenario is highly unlikely to
occur. Instead each county can look at their own situation and disaster to evaluate what
needs to happen to return to sustainability. The scenario can even be a completely
different hazard. Estimating the damage, workforce displacement, reconstruction,
cleanup, and federal assistance will provide any of the counties with a likely estimate of
the indirect and induced impacts. If the county can only estimate the damage, they can
then determine what level of activity is needed to offset the losses. The appendices detail
the exact impact each category creates through each county the region. This level of
detail gives users and decision makers the tools and knowledge they need to respond
appropriately.
A hypothetical scenario could include a tornado touching down in the Feather Sound area
of St. Petersburg in Pinellas County. Local Pinellas County staff would be able to pull
out a map of the damage and identify the affected Traffic Evacuation Areas (TEAs). The
staff would then find the corresponding TEAs in Section 2 of this document and be able
to see how employment exists and in which industries. After examining the building
damage, an average of 6 months is the likely estimate until the workers can return to
work. Staff would be able to compare Feather Sound’s employment to all of Pinellas
County to see how many Pinellas workers would be displaced for 6 months. Determining
the factor between the tornado displaced employees versus the Project Phoenix displaced
employees would allow the staff to quickly divide the Pinellas County Impact to see the
negative impacts from the loss of employment. Knowing the negative side of the
equation will help the local area determine how much governmental aid and assistance is
needed by using the same factor.
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Disaster Response
The analysis and information contained in this report took over 2 years to create.
Expecting an entity to wait that long to gather the estimates and analyze the impacts
before responding isn’t likely. With the work and effort of this study, Tampa Bay
Regional Planning Council has found a way to streamline the analysis. Using the REMI
PI+ Model, and the existing data contained in the report, TBRPC can quickly assess the
indirect and induced impacts once the direct impacts are estimated.
TBRPC is developing a Data Collection Template to assist in performing an analysis to
estimate the total impacts to the region. The information below is the bare minimum
required, additional information would provide a more accurate depiction of the impacts.
Category
At Event
Geographic Location
Building Stock Damaged
Total Employment
Category
Building Stock
Reconstruction
Clean Up
Expenditures
Government Spending
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Actual Employment
Lost
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Part I – Regional Description
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Part I – Regional Description
1921 Hurricane – Bayshore Trolley Damage
Table of Contents
Regional Description
Regional Threats
Statewide Evacuation Study
Coastal Storms and Hurricanes
Freshwater Flooding
Wildfires
Hazardous Materials
Terrorism and Domestic Security
Nuclear Power Plants
Tsunami
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Part I – Regional Description
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Regional Description
The Tampa Bay Area is located on the west central area of Florida on the Gulf of
Mexico. Due to the various geographies and population centers in Florida, the Tampa
Bay region can be defined in a number of ways by utilizing or not utilizing neighboring
counties. In this study the boundaries of the Tampa Bay Area are defined as the Tampa
Bay Economic Development District (TBEDD). The region encompasses the
Hillsborough, Manatee, Pasco and Pinellas counties. Within these counties are the cities
of Tampa, Temple Terrace, Plant City, Anna Maria, Bradenton, Bradenton Beach,
Holmes Beach, Longboat Key, Palmetto,
Dade City, New Port Richey, Port Richey,
San Antonio, St. Leo, Zephyrhills,
Belleair, Belleair Beach, Belleair Shore,
Clearwater, Dunedin, Gulfport, Indian
Rocks Beach, Indian Shores, Kenneth
City, Largo, Madeira Beach, North
Redington Beach, Oldsmar, Pinellas Park,
Redington Beach, Redington Shores,
Safety Harbor, Seminole, South Pasadena,
St. Pete Beach, St. Petersburg, Tarpon
Springs, and Treasure Island.
The region is the 19th Largest
Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) in the
United States of America. The latest
Census put the region’s population at 2.9
million residents. That figure represents a 16% increase in population or just over
400,000 new residents for the decade 2000 – 2010. The largest county, Hillsborough,
recorded the largest raw population influx, a 23% increase to reach 1.3 residents in 2010.
The second largest county, Pinellas, actually saw a slight decrease, dropping 0.5% to
916,542 residents. This drop is most likely attributed to Pinellas County being essentially
built out and a lack of developable land to grow. Percentage-wise, Pasco County grew
the most, increasing 35% to 464,700 residents. Manatee County experienced a 22%
increase in population, growing to 322,833 residents. The growth the region experienced
is not abnormal to Florida, which grew at 17.6% over the same decade.
The Tampa Bay Area is a vital hub to Florida and the U.S. The region is the second most
populous metropolitan area and is the second largest economy in the state. As of 2010,
employment is estimated at 1.6 million workers within the region, which is lower than
years past due to the effects of the national recession. The region commanded $118
million in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 2010, roughly 17% of Florida’s total GDP
and 1% of the entire national GDP. The United States Central Command and the United
States Special Operations Command are located at MacDill Air Force Base in
Hillsborough County. The United States Coast Guard installation in Pinellas County is
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the largest air station in the country. The two seaports and three international commercial
airports provide access to goods and is an economic driver for the state.
The region’s growth and vitality are often attributed to its climate and location. Each
county has ample access to water. The entire region contains just over 2,800 square
miles of land and 818 square miles of water area with 900 miles of coastline. The humid
subtropical climate provides an average climate of 73°F and over 53 inches of rain
annually. Pinellas County lies on a peninsula between Tampa Bay and the Gulf of
Mexico, and much of the city of Tampa lies on a smaller peninsula jutting out into Tampa
Bay. This proximity to large bodies of water both moderates local temperatures and
introduces large amounts of humidity into the atmosphere. In general, the communities
furthest from the coast have more extreme temperature differences, both during a single
day and throughout the seasons of the year. Despite its tropical location and warm
reputation, the region has never recorded a temperature exceeding 100°F.
Naturally, the density of
population intensifies as it
approaches the biggest amenity,
the Gulf of Mexico and Tampa
Bay (the body of water as
opposed to the region). The
elevation in the area is typically
flat. The average altitude in the
region is not much higher than
sea level. The accompanied
image from the United States
Geological Survey demonstrates
the elevation changes of both
the land and sea. The dark red
areas reach up to 105 ft above
sea level and the dark blue up to
94 feet below sea level.
The proximately to water
coupled with the low elevation
creates a perfect scenario for
flooding and storm surge in the
rainy season. Hurricanes are the
most common storm the area is associated with, but the area is susceptible to a number of
hazards.
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Regional Threats
Naturally, the density of population intensifies as it approaches the biggest amenity, the
Gulf of Mexico and Tampa Bay (the body of water as opposed to the region). The
elevation in the area is typically flat. The average altitude in the region is not much
higher than sea level.
The image to the right from the United States Geological Survey demonstrates the
elevation changes of both the land and sea.
The dark red areas reach up to 105 ft above
sea level and the dark blue up to 94 feet
below sea level.
The proximity to water, coupled with the
low elevation, creates a perfect scenario for
flooding and storm surge in the rainy
season. Hurricanes are the most common
storm the area is associated with, but the
area is susceptible to a number of hazards.
Not all hazards are water related, but
having the entire western border of the
region adjacent to a gulf leaves one less
viable evacuation direction. Additionally
the state of Florida is narrow and only has
two interstates running north and south.
One is on the Atlantic side (I-95) and one
is on the Gulf of Mexico side (I-75),
making mass evacuations very difficult.
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The Statewide Regional Evacuation Study
Studies Program identified twelve major hazards that occur in the region. The
descriptions of hazards and a summary table are provided below detailing the Hazard,
Methodology of Identification, Significant Concerns, and Potential to Initiate a Regional
Evacuation.
Table: Hazards in Florida
Hazard
Floods
(including
related
potential
for dam
failure)
Coastal
Storms &
Hurricanes
Methodology of
Identifications
• Review of past
disaster
declarations.
• Review of Federal
Flood Insurance
Rate Maps (FIRMs)
• Input from state
floodplain manager.
• Identification of
NFIP repetitive loss
properties in the
state.
• Review of past
disaster
declarations.
• Review of
National Climatic
Data Center
(NCDC) Severe
Storms Database.
• National
Oceanographic and
Atmospheric
Association
(NOAA)
climatology data
• Research including
new media and the
Internet
Significant Concerns
• Florida is affected by flooding
nearly every year.
• Floods have caused extensive
damage and loss of life in the
state in the past.
• The most recent federally
declared disaster event (Feb 8
2007) in Florida included
flooding from severe storms.
• There are a number of dams in
the state that could impact the
nearby population.
• Hurricanes and coastal storms
affect Florida every year.
• Hurricanes have caused
extensive damage and loss of
life across the state for the last
50 years.
• 8 out of the last 10 federally
declared disaster events in
Florida were hurricanes.
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Potential to Initiate
a Regional
Evacuation
Yes; although more
difficult to determine
which areas are
vulnerable to a
particular event.
Yes; this hazard
requires the evacuation
of coastal areas and
mobile home residents,
even in minor tropical
storm events. Major
hurricanes can have
catastrophic impacts.
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• Review of past
disaster
declarations.
• Review of
National Climatic
Data Center
(NCDC) Severe
Storms Database.
• National Weather
Service input and
data.
• Public input
including
newspapers and
media.
• Florida experiences a tornado
nearly every year.
• Tornadoes have caused
extensive damage and loss of
life to county residents.
• The two most recent federally
declared disaster event in
Florida (Feb 8 and Feb 3 2007)
were a severe storm with
tornadoes.
No; these events
provide little to no
warning and the
specific areas cannot be
determined prior to the
event. Exceptions:
Tornado warnings can
send residents to safe
rooms or mobile home
parks community
centers, etc.
Wildfire
• Florida Division
of Forestry statistics
and input.
• USDA Forest
Service Fire, Fuel,
and WUI mapping.
• Input from FL
DEM about
wildfires and the
EOC activations. •
Public input
including
newspapers and
media.
• Florida experiences wildfires
every year.
• Development in much of the
state is occurring at the
Wildland-Urban Interface
(WUI).
• Cyclical drought patterns
result in increases of brush and
other dry materials. This
increases the overall risk for
significant fires.
• Fires in 2007 were significant
due to the number and
magnitude including closures to
the interstate system.
Yes; while we can
determine areas that
may be more
vulnerable and plan
accordingly, it is
difficult to predict
where a wildfire may
ignite.
Drought &
Extreme
Heat
• National Weather
Service data.
• National
Oceanographic and
Atmospheric
Association
(NOAA)
paleoclimatology
data.
• The US Drought
Monitor
• Keetch Byram
Drought Index
(KBDI)
• Agricultural
community
throughout the state.
• Significant drought trends
during the last 10 years
including moderate and severe
drought index conditions in2007
and 2008 for parts of the state.
• Drought has a severe
economic impact on the state
due to the large amounts of
citrus, agriculture and livestock.
No; this event does not
typically initiate an
evacuation.
Severe
Storms &
Tornadoes
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Winter
Storms
and
Freezes
• Review of past
disaster
declarations.
• Review of NCDC
Severe Storms
Database.
• National Weather
Service input and
data.
• Public input
including
newspapers and
media.
• Florida is affected by winter
storms cyclically
• Significant freezes particularly
during the 1980s that affected
the citrus industry
• 5 federally declared disasters
since 1971
• The population is unprepared
for cold weather with many
having inadequate heating
capabilities.
No; this event does not
typically initiate an
evacuation, although
cold weather shelters
may be opened for
homeless, special needs
or those with no power.
Erosion
• Coordination with
the Florida
Department of
Environmental
Protection – Bureau
of Beaches and
Coastal systems.
• Statewide Hazard
Mitigation Plan interview and input.
• Evaluation of
Erosion Hazards,
the report from the
Heinz Center that
was presented to
FEMA in April
2000.
• Public input
including
newspapers and
media.
• Due to the gradual, long-term
erosion, as many as one in four
houses along the coast, could
fall into the ocean in the next 60
years
• Eighty to 90 percent of the
nation's sandy beaches are
facing erosion problems.
• Significant economic impact
for the state due to property
damages, loss of actual beach
front real estate and affects on
tourism.
No; this event does not
typically initiate an
evacuation, but it may
result in a retreat from
the coast over long
period of time or
following a major
coastal storm.
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Sinkholes,
Landslides
and
Seismic
Events
Tsunamis
• Coordination with
the Florida
Geographical
Survey
• The Florida
Sinkhole Database
• Coordination with
the Florida
Department of
Transportation
• Input from the
Central United
States Earthquake
Consortium
• USGS Landslide
Hazard maps.
• Sinkholes are a common
feature of Florida's landscape.
• 2843 sinkholes have been
reported in the state since the
1970s.
• Growing issues as
development continues in high
risk areas.
• Impact on the roads and
physical infrastructure of the
state.
• Earthquake risk is considered
extremely low.
Earthquake is
considered very low
risk. Sinkholes, while
prevalent, will not
initiate an evacuation at
a regional scale.
• Input from the
NOAA Center for
Tsunami Research
• Coordination with
the Florida Division
of Emergency
Management • Input
from the United
States Geological
Survey
• Tsunamis are common events
that occur in large bodies of
water.
• Almost all perimeters of
Florida's boundaries are made
up of large bodies of water.
• Recent Tsunamis from around
the world have caused
widespread destruction.
• Residential and commercial
development along Florida’s
coastlines are at risk to the
effects of Tsunamis.
This event has an
extremely low
probability of
occurrence. If a
Cumbre Vieja tsunamis
event were to occur, it
could have a
catastrophic impact on
the east coast of
Florida. A maximum of
6 hours would be
available for
evacuations. Typically,
there is little to no
warning.
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Technological
Coordination with
the State
Emergency
Response
Commission
• Interaction with
the Local
Emergency
Planning
Committees
(LEPC)
• Coordination with
the Nuclear
Regulatory
Commission (NRC)
• Communications
with the FL
Department of
Environmental
Protection
• Numerous accidental
hazardous
material releases occur every
year
• Potential for human and
environmental impacts
• Threat of radiation from a
nuclear
related incident
Yes, these incidents
may initiate
evacuations, but it is
impossible to predict
precise location, extent
and timing.
Nuclear power plant
evacuation planning
conducted w/NRC
Terrorism
• Coordination with
FEMA and
Department of
Homeland Security
• Coordination with
the Florida
Department of Law
Enforcement
(FDLE)
• Interaction with
local law
enforcement
agencies
• National priority with federal
government requirements
• Potential for devastating
impacts to
life and infrastructure
• Protection for the citizens of
Florida
and the USA
Yes, these incidents
may initiate
evacuations, but it is
impossible to predict
precise location, extent
and timing.
Mass
Migration
• Coordination with
the US Citizens and
Immigration Service
(USCIS)
• Data from local
law enforcement
• Historic precedence for
migration to Florida by boat
• Large amounts of unpatrolled
coastlines
No; evacuation is not
the solution.
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Coastal Storms and Hurricanes
A hurricane is defined as a weather system with a closed circulation developing around a
low pressure center over tropical waters. The winds rotate counterclockwise in the
Northern Hemisphere (clockwise in the Southern Hemisphere). Tropical storms and
hurricanes act as safety valves that limit the build-up of heat and energy in the
tropical regions by maintaining the atmospheric heat and moisture balance between the
tropics and the pole-ward latitudes (Statewide Hazard Mitigation Plan (SHMP, 2009).
Tropical cyclones are named when their winds reach tropical storm strength (sustained 39
mph).
• Tropical Depression: The formative stages of a tropical cyclone in which the
maximum sustained (1-minute mean) surface wind is <39 mph.
• Tropical Storm: A warm core tropical cyclone in which the maximum sustained
surface wind (1-minute mean) ranges from 39 to <74 mph.
• Hurricane: A warm core tropical cyclone in which the maximum sustained
surface wind (1 minute mean) is at least 74 mph.
The table below displays the Saffir-Simpson Scale used to define and describe the
intensity of hurricanes. The central pressure of the hurricanes is measured in millibars or
inches. The wind speed is also a significant indicator in determining the category of the
storm. The wind speed is tied to both wind damage and potential storm surge and
resulting coastal flooding damages.
Table: Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale
Category
Wind Speeds
Potential Damage
Category 1
Sustained winds 74-95 mph
Very dangerous winds will produce
some damage
Category 2
Sustained winds 96-110 mph
Extremely dangerous winds will cause
extensive damage
Category 3
Sustained winds 111-130 mph
Devastating damage will occur
Category 4
Sustained winds 131-155 mph
Catastrophic damage will occur
Category 5
Sustained winds of 156 mph
and above
Catastrophic damage will occur
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Hurricane Hazards
The five major hazards produced by a hurricane are the storm surge, high winds,
tornadoes, and rainfall (freshwater flooding) and the potential for hazardous material
incidents.
The storm surge is the abnormal rise in water level caused by the wind and pressure
forces of a hurricane or tropical storm. Storm surge produces most of the flood damage
and drownings associated with storms that make landfall or that closely approach the
coastline. Of the hurricane hazards, the storm surge is considered to be the most
dangerous as nine out of ten hurricane-related deaths are caused by drowning.
The high winds also can have a devastating effect on persons outside, in mobile homes,
in unsound, substandard structures or in structures with unprotected windows or glass
exposures. Previous studies (TBRPC, 1986) have concluded that while a fully engineered
multi-story structure could withstand the storm surge of a major storm, without protection
on the windows and other cladding, occupants within any structure would be at serious
risk. This factor held true for all types of structures exposed to Hurricane Shelter
Alternative Study, TBRPC and USACOE, 1986 sustained winds in excess of 115 mph.
The winds of Hurricane Andrew (1992) caused major destruction in South Florida
throwing the insurance industry into a tailspin.
Rainfall associated with hurricanes varies with hurricane size, forward speed and other
meteorological factors. The rainfall associated with a hurricane is from 6-12 inches on
average, with higher amounts common.
Freshwater flooding has not historically been considered a life-threatening hazard. Over
the past 20 years, however, freshwater flooding had become the leading cause of death
related to hurricanes. This is due in part to the successful evacuation planning efforts in
the United States which had significantly reduced the number of deaths (in the U.S.)
related to storm surge. The freshwater flooding associated with a hurricane, may also
inundate potential evacuation routes and prevent people from evacuating areas vulnerable
to storm surge. Flooded roads and storm drains resulted in fatal accidents in the Bay Area
in the 1982 No-Name Storm and in flooding in September 1988. Hillsborough County
experienced excessive flooding in 1988 when I-4 near Plant City was cut off for several
days and numerous residences were flooded.
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Hurricanes can also
produce tornadoes
that add to the storm's
destructive power.
Tornadoes are most
likely to occur in the
right front quadrant of
the hurricane, but they
are also often found
elsewhere embedded
in the rain bands well
away from the center
of the hurricane. Some
hurricanes seem to
produce no tornadoes,
while others develop
multiple ones. Studies
have shown that more
than half of the land
falling hurricanes
produce at least one
tornado; Hurricane
Buelah (1967)
spawned 141
according to one study.
According to the
NOAA, Hurricane
Ivan (2004) spawned
117 tornadoes. Like
Murphy’s Law,
sometimes one
emergency event can
trigger another. Facilities which generate or store quantities of potentially hazardous
materials, propane storage facilities, natural gas pipeline terminals, fuel storage facilities
and tank farms all pose additional potential threats in a hurricane.
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Storm Surge: The SLOSH Model
The principal tool utilized in this study for analyzing the expected hazards from potential
hurricanes affecting the study area is the Sea, Lake and Overland Surges from Hurricane
(SLOSH) numerical storm surge prediction model. The SLOSH computerized model
predicts the storm surge heights that result from hypothetical hurricanes with selected
various combinations of pressure, size, forward speed, track and winds. Originally
developed for use by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) as a tool to give
geographically specific warnings of expected surge heights during the approach of
hurricanes, the SLOSH model is utilized in regional studies for several key hazard and
vulnerability analyses.
The SLOSH modeling system consists of the model source code and model basin or grid.
SLOSH model grids must be developed for each specific geographic coastal area
individually incorporating the unique local bay and river configuration, water depths,
bridges, roads and other physical features. In addition to open coastline heights, one of
the most valuable outputs of the SLOSH model for evacuation planning is its predictions
of surge heights over land which predicts the degree of propagation of the surge into
inland areas.
The first Tampa Bay SLOSH model basin was completed in 1979 and represented the
first application of SLOSH storm surge dynamics to a major coastal area of the United
States. The model was developed by the Techniques Development Lab of the National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) under the direction of the late Dr.
Chester P. Jelesnianski.
In December 1990 the National Hurricane Center updated the SLOSH model for the
Tampa Bay basin. A major improvement to the model was the incorporation of wind
speed degradation overland as the simulated storms moved inland. This duplicated the
pressure "filling" and increases in the radii of maximum winds (RMW) as the hurricanes
weaken after making landfall. The grid configuration also provided more detail and
additional information including storm surge projections for northern Pasco County (not
included in the 1979 basin). The model also included tropical storm scenarios.
The newest generation of the SLOSH model basin incorporated in the 2010 Statewide
Regional Evacuation Study reflects major improvements, including higher resolution
basin data and grid configurations. Faster computer speeds allowed additional
hypothetical storms to be run for creation of the MOMs (maximum potential storm surge)
values for each category of storm. Storm tracks were run in ten different directions. And
for each set of tracks in a specific direction storms were run at forward speeds of 5, 10,
15 and 25 mph. And, for each direction, at each speed, storms were run at two different
sizes (20 statute mile radius of maximum winds and 35 statute
miles radius of maximum winds.) Finally, each scenario was run at both mean tide and
high tide.
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Hurricane Wind Analysis
As discussed previously, hurricane winds are a devastating element of the hurricane
hazard. Based on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale (see Table II-2), hurricane
force winds range from sustained winds of 74 mph to more than 155 mph. The intensity
of a landfalling hurricane is expressed in terms of categories that relate wind speeds and
potential damage. According to the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, a Category 1
hurricane has lighter winds compared to storms in higher categories. A Category 4
hurricane would have winds between 131 and 155 mph and, on average, would usually be
expected to cause 100 times the damage of the Category 1 storm. Depending on
circumstances, less intense storms may still be strong enough to produce damage,
particularly in areas that have not prepared in advance. Tropical storm force winds are
strong enough to be dangerous to those caught in them. For this reason emergency
managers plan on having their evacuations complete and their personnel sheltered before
the onset of tropical storm force winds, not hurricane force winds.
Hurricane force winds can easily destroy poorly constructed buildings and mobile homes.
Debris such as signs, roofing material, and small items left outside become flying
missiles in hurricanes. Extensive damage to trees, towers, water and underground utility
lines (from uprooted trees), and fallen poles cause considerable disruption.
High-rise buildings are also vulnerable to hurricane force winds, particularly at the higher
levels since wind speed tends to increase with height. Recent research suggests you
should stay below the tenth floor but still above any floors at risk for flooding. It is not
uncommon for high-rise buildings to suffer a great deal of damage due to windows being
blown out. Consequently, the areas around these buildings can be very dangerous. The
strongest winds usually occur in the right side of the eyewall of the hurricane. Wind
speed usually decreases significantly within 12 hours after landfall. Nonetheless, winds
can stay above hurricane strength well inland.
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Tornadoes
In general, tornadoes associated with hurricanes are less intense than those that occur in
the Great Plains (see the Enhanced Fujita-Pearson Intensity Scale). Nonetheless, the
effects of tornadoes, added to storm surge and inland flooding and the larger area of
hurricane force winds, can produce substantial damage.
Sixty–nine percent of all tornadoes are weak tornadoes, EF0-EF2 sizes. Twenty-nine
percent of all tornadoes are strong and can last 20 minutes or longer. Two percent of all
tornadoes fall into the EF-4 and EF-5 categories. The most powerful tornadoes are
spawned by what are called supercell thunderstorms. These are storms that, under the
right conditions, are affected by horizontal wind shears (winds moving in different
directions at different altitudes.) These wind shears cause horizontal columns of air to
begin to rotate the storm. This horizontal rotation can be tilted vertically by violent
updrafts, and the rotation radius can shrink, forming a vertical column of very quickly
swirling air. This rotating air can eventually reach the ground, forming a tornado.
We have no way at present to predict exactly which storms will spawn tornadoes or
where they will touch down. The Doppler radar systems have greatly improved the
forecaster's warning capability, but the technology usually provides lead times from only
a few minutes up to about 30 minutes. Consequently, early warning systems and
preparedness actions are critical.
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Enhanced Fujita-Pearson Tornado Intensity Scale
The Enhanced F-scale is a set of wind estimates (not measurements) based on damage. It
uses three-second gusts estimated at the point of damage based on a judgment of 8 levels
of damage (listed at www.spc.noaa.gov/faq/tornado/efscale.html.) These estimates vary
with height and exposure. Important to note that the 3 second gust is not the same wind as
in standard surface observations. Standard measurements are taken by weather stations in
open exposures, using a directly measured, "one minute mile" speed.
• EF0 Gale Tornado 65-85 mph
Some damage to chimneys. Tree branches broken off. Shallow rooted trees uprooted.
• EF1 Moderate Tornado 86-110 mph
Peels surface off roofs. Mobile homes overturned. Moving autos pushed off roads.
• EF2 Significant Tornado 111-135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off frame houses. Large trees snapped or uprooted.
Light object missiles generated.
• EF3 Severe Tornado 136-165 mph
Severe damage. Roofs and some walls torn off well constructed homes. Trains
overturned. Most trees in forests uprooted. Heavy cars lifted off ground.
• EF4 Devastating Tornado 166-200 mph
Well-constructed houses leveled. Structures with weak foundations blown off some
distance. Cars thrown and large missiles generated.
• EF5 Incredible Tornado Over 200 mph
Strong frame houses lifted off foundations and disintegrated. Automobile-sized missiles
fly through the air in excess of 100 mph. Trees debarked.
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Hazardous Materials
One emergency event can trigger another. Facilities which generate or store quantities of
potentially hazardous materials, propane storage facilities, natural gas pipeline terminals,
fuel storage facilities and tank farms all pose an additional potential threat in a hurricane.
Identifying the location of these facilities is important to (1) provide additional
information to facility managers to secure their operation and protect the employees,
facility and inventory before the storm and (2) assist emergency responders in safe reentry into areas after the storm has passed. It may also serve to identify where mitigation
strategies should be implemented to reduce the risk to resident and the environment.
The Hazard Materials Information System (HMIS) database was accessed to identify the
current Extremely Hazardous Substances (EHS) facilities – also known as Section 302
facilities – in the Tampa Bay Region. The geo-coded inventory of the Section 302
facilities is included in the Critical Facility Inventory Data Base.
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Freshwater Flooding and the Inundation of Evacuation Routes
Inland riverine and freshwater flooding often becomes a significant factor as a result of
tropical storms and hurricanes. Typically the rainfall associated with, and in advance of, a
hurricane does not in itself necessitate the emergency evacuation of residents during the
passage of a hurricane unlike storm surge. Following a storm, however, the coastal
flooding and rainfall – particularly from slow moving storms - necessitates an evacuation
of flooded inland residents days after as swollen rivers and streams breach their bank or
levees.
As noted previously, due to Tropical Storm Fay’s very slow motion, total storm rainfall
amounts in some areas were staggering including a few locations in east-central Florida
that received more than two feet of rain. Fay's rain induced floods caused significant
damage and were directly responsible for numerous deaths in the Dominican Republic,
Haiti and Florida.
During a hurricane evacuation the rainfall may cause the early inundation of roadways
used as evacuation routes by vehicles attempting to escape from areas vulnerable to the
approaching storm surge. In addition, given Florida climatology and the normal summer
weather, flooding may occur as a disassociated event prior to the hurricane, flooding
evacuation routes and saturating the ground.
Those roadways known historically to be vulnerable from freshwater flooding have been
identified by the county and municipal emergency management/law
enforcement/emergency response personnel. Contingency plans including rerouting,
sandbagging and pumping will be coordinated with local and state law enforcement and
the State Department of Transportation. The impacts of road closures, rain and ambient
conditions on evacuation times are addressed in the transportation analysis. An
evacuation simulation of the closing of these major routes was modeled as part of the
transportation analysis to determine the impact on clearance times.
Rainwater inundation of evacuation routes must be addressed in an evacuation plan. The
planning strategy to address this problem is to plan for the passage of all vehicles over
such roadways before substantial rainfall from the hurricane was expected to arrive.
Hourly records of rainfall rates and accumulation for past hurricanes indicate that rates
high enough to surpass drainage capabilities normally parallel in time the arrival of
sustained tropical storm force winds. Using this as an assumption of the timing of
freshwater roadway inundation, the pre-landfall hazards time quantification for sustained
tropical storm force winds will also compensate for early rainfall inundation of
evacuation routes.
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History of Hurricanes in the Tampa Bay Region
Hurricanes are a natural yet very dangerous phenomenon, one for which the Tampa Bay
Region must always be prepared. Packing 74-200 mph winds and a storm surge, which
can exceed 35 feet in the back bay areas of the Tampa Bay region, hurricanes represent a
serious threat to the safety of residents and visitors and economic health of this
metropolitan region.
Emergency management and atmospheric scientists agree that global weather patterns
have moved back into a period of increased tropical storm activity and of increased
frequency of major hurricanes, a category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane
Wind Scale particularly in the state of Florida. An analysis of hurricane activity since the
1920's demonstrates that hurricane activity appears cyclical and that, after a period of
relative inactivity since the early 1960's, the state of Florida and Tampa Bay are in a more
active period.
Until the 1840's Florida hurricanes were only experienced in the cities and ports along the
east coast, the northwest panhandle and the Keys. But the new settlements along the
southwest coast soon began to confront devastating hurricanes. In 1848 the “small
village” of Tampa was hit by a major hurricane causing the tide in the bay to rise fifteen
feet above normal. The massive flood completely inundated Fort Brooke as well as the
stores and homes along Tampa Bay. “After the hurricane, Tampa was a scene of
devastation. Magnificent old oaks were toppled by the hurricane’s winds. At Fort Brooke
the barracks, horse shed, and other structures were gone. The pine forest north of the
garrison was filled with wreckage and debris. The hurricane’s powerful surge had shifted
sand all along the coast and reshaped many of the keys near Tampa Bay.
Navigation routes were filled in and closed, making charts of the area produced before
1848 almost useless after the hurricane. In terms of intensity and destruction, the 1848
storm remains perhaps the greatest in Tampa’s history.” (Barnes, 1999) Two weeks later,
another storm made landfall along the west coast. Its effects were felt from Cape San
Blas to Tampa Bay. Fort Brooke again experienced approximately 10 feet of storm surge.
Historians identify a flurry of major hurricane activity in the late 20's, the 1930's and
1940's. In the 1920's, a time characterized by economic prosperity and growth in the
resort areas of Florida, the Tampa Bay area was just beginning to feel the effects of
“Florida fever” when it experienced its worst hurricane in over seventy years in October
of 1921. The hurricane of 1921 produced a storm surge of 10.5 feet which was the
highest recorded since the hurricanes of 1848. Locally it created both Longboat Pass
(which now separates the City of Bradenton Beach and Longboat Key) and Hurricane
Pass in Dunedin. Passage Key, located between Egmont Key and Anna Maria Island,
before the storm, was the home to a fishing village and fresh water lake. Following the
storm and continuing today, Passage Key is a sand bar with little vegetation and a
National Bird Sanctuary.
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This was the last major hurricane (a category three on the Saffir Simpson Scale when it
hit the coast) to actually make landfall in the Tampa Bay Region. At that time there were
160,000 residents in the 4-county region, most of whom lived in communities on high
ground. (Today there are almost 4 million residents in the region most of whom live
along the coast and low-lying areas or in manufactured housing.)
Although they did not directly affect Tampa Bay, it should be noted the 1920's were
forever marked with tragedy. There was the devastating hurricane in 1926 that made
landfall in Miami and the 1928 storm which caused the banks of Lake Okeechobee to rise
15 feet and drown 1200 people. The September 1926 hurricane is the most costly
hurricane in U.S. history. The hurricane of September 1928 remains Florida’s “single
greatest tragedy”, with an official death toll of 2500 (Barnes, 1998 and Blake, 2007).
Florida and the Gulf coast states were hit hard in the 1930's by both the Great Depression
and hurricanes. Many seniors still remember the horrifying storm of 1935 that swept
across the Florida Keys killing 400 people. In the 1940's, Florida was the target of seven
major hurricanes, although none made a direct hit as a major storm in Tampa Bay. The
October 18-19, 1944 hurricane, later known as the Havana-Florida hurricane, tracked
over the Dry Tortugas after destroying entire villages in Cuba and Grand Cayman Island.
Warnings from the new weather forecast office, which later would become the National
Hurricane Center, helped to evacuate low-lying areas along the coast and were credited
with saving many lives. The storm was extremely large and felt over much of the state as
it moved up the Gulf coast and inland near Sarasota. Tampa and Orlando reported wind
gusts over 100 mph and Miami experienced winds of 65 mph. While not a major
hurricane when it made landfall on the Florida coast near Bradenton, the hurricane of
October 7, 1946, caused significant damage (approximately $5 million) especially to
Florida’s citrus crop. In 1950 Hurricane Easy parked itself over the west coast of Florida
drenching residents with record-breaking rains. “Its remarkable doubleloop track caused
it to strike the same region of the Florida coast (Tampa Bay) twice in the same day!”
According to an Associated Press report, “Tides from six and a half to eight feet above
normal swept the pretty resort area from Clearwater to Sarasota, washing out roads,
toppling beachfront houses, sinking a few small boats, putting a tug in distress and piling
sea water like lakes around homes and hotels.” (Barnes, 1999)
In the 1950's the pattern shifted with hurricanes directing their fury on the eastern
Atlantic coast. Hurricane Donna (1960) was the only major hurricane to make landfall in
Florida in a decade. The brunt of the hurricane was felt in the Keys, Collier and Lee
counties; however, gusts were recorded at 120 mph in Manatee County. In the 1960's and
1970's hurricane activity was decreased and concentrated along the western Gulf coast of
Texas, Louisiana and Mississippi. Even with hurricanes David (a glancing blow along the
east coast) and Frederic (the most costly hurricane up to that time) -- both of which made
landfall in 1979 -- the 1970's still had the lowest number of hurricanes (12) and the
lowest number of major hurricanes (4) to make landfall in the United States of any
decade in the twentieth century (Barnes, 1999). Meanwhile the state and the region were
experiencing explosive population growth along the coast. In the 1980's again the state
of Florida was spared the direct hit of a major hurricane, although 1985 had the most
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named storms to hit the U.S. since 1916 -- a total of six hurricanes and two tropical
storms.
On Labor Day weekend 1985, Hurricane Elena threatened the Tampa Bay region and
approached within 80 miles of the coast. Evacuations in Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama
and Florida were of unprecedented proportions. Almost 1 million residents and visitors
were affected in the initial evacuation orders in the Florida panhandle and coastal region
of Alabama, Mississippi and Louisiana. Then, as the storm turned and the warnings
shifted, ten additional Florida counties including those in Tampa Bay were ordered to
evacuate. The threat of Elena initiated an evacuation which forced over 500,000 to leave
vulnerable areas in the Tampa Bay region and seek shelter. Many sought shelter in the
homes of friends and relatives in inland areas of Florida and Georgia. Others went to
hotels and motels filling every room (and lobby) in the state particularly along the I-75
and I-4 corridors. More than 300,000 sought public shelter in the Tampa Bay Region
alone - one of the largest evacuations and shelter operations in U.S. history. After stalling
off the coast for two days Hurricane Elena turned toward the Florida Panhandle again
forcing the evacuation of thousands of coastal residents just returning after the earlier
round of evacuations, ultimately making landfall near Biloxi, Mississippi.
Although Hurricane Elena remained more than 80 miles offshore, Elena did produce
gusty winds up to 80 mph and constant rainfall. While sustained hurricane-force winds
(>74 mph) were not experienced in the region, over $118 million in damage was caused
in Pinellas County, mostly by the 6-7 foot storm surge, which hammered the coastal areas
along the Gulf and Tampa Bay. Although it did not affect Tampa Bay, the 1985 season
Hurricane Kate, a rare landfalling November storm, was considered the first direct hit of
a hurricane in Florida in ten years.
The 1990's went down in history as an extremely costly and deadly decade of hurricane
activity. The last decade of the millennium brought Tampa Bay several flooding events
including Tropical Storm Josephine (1996) and the 1998 evacuation from Hurricane
Georges (which did not ultimately affect the region). Other areas of Florida and the
Caribbean were not as lucky. Hurricane Andrew struck the east coast near Homestead on
August 24, 1992 and Hurricane Opal struck the panhandle in 1995 - two costly storms.
Hurricane Mitch (1998) made landfall in Honduras and killed tens of thousands. While
Hurricane Andrew did not directly strike the Tampa Bay region, it did however, affect the
entire state in many ways. Only two other hurricanes in history, both category 5 storms the Labor Day storm of 1935, Camille in 1969 - were stronger than Hurricane Andrew
when they made landfall in the United States. It struck South Florida with a storm surge
of over 16 feet and winds which gusted over 175 mph. The scale of the disaster was
enormous and the massive recovery that ultimately ensued was of epic proportions. The
damages were staggering -- surpassing $50 billion – affecting emergency management
policies and procedures, the insurance industry and land development regulations
including the statewide building code).
Hurricane forecasters and scientists had warned with Hurricane Hugo (1989) that the
strengthening of El Nino and rainfall patterns in the African Sahel desert were signaling
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increased patterns of hurricane activity. The 1995 hurricane season certainly gave
credence to those predictions. Two tropical storms and two hurricanes struck the state of
Florida, the most since 1953 -- Hurricanes Opal (October) and Erin (August) and
Tropical Storms Jerry (August) and Allison (June). Hurricane activity has indeed
increased but it has been in the last five years that the deadly predictions have come to
fruition and while the Tampa Bay Region has been spared the direct hit of a major
hurricane, the region has experienced both evacuations and impacts from exiting storms.
In addition the experiences in other parts of Florida as well as the other states have
resulted in a greater awareness of the challenges and obstacles facing this metropolitan
region.
The 2004 Hurricane Season
In 2004 the State of Florida was hit by an unprecedented four (4) hurricanes:
Charley, Frances, Ivan, and Jeanne.
August 9 – 14, 2004 - Hurricane Charley strengthened rapidly just before striking the
southwestern coast of Florida as a Category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane
Wind Scale. Charley was the strongest hurricane to hit the United States since Andrew in
1992 and, although small in size, it caused catastrophic wind damage in Charlotte
County, Florida. Serious damage occurred well inland over the Florida peninsula. In the
Tampa Bay Region, dead center for the 24 hour forecast track, evacuations were ordered
in all four counties. Charley was directly responsible for ten deaths – primarily from
flying debris and fallen trees. There were an additional 20 indirect deaths.
August 25 – Sept. 8, 2004 – Hurricane Frances was a Cape Verde-type hurricane that
reached a peak intensity of category 4 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. It
affected the Bahamas as a category 3 hurricane and the Florida east coast as a category 2
hurricane. The Tampa Bay Region experienced tropical storm and minimal hurricane
force winds with some coastal and more extensive inland flooding caused by more than
10 inches of rainfall. Frances is directly responsible for seven deaths -- five in Florida,
one in the Bahamas, and one in Ohio. Three deaths were caused by wind, two by storm
surge, one by freshwater flooding, and one by lightning. The hurricane is indirectly
responsible for 42 deaths -- 32 in Florida, 8 in Georgia, 1 in the Bahamas, and 1 in Ohio.
September 2- 24, 2004 – Hurricane Ivan was a classical, long-lived Cape Verde
hurricane that reached Category 5 strength on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale
(SSHS) three times. It was also the strongest hurricane on record that far south east of the
Lesser Antilles. Ivan caused considerable damage and loss of life as it passed through the
Caribbean Sea. Despite the unfavorable environmental conditions, the presence of cooler
shelf water just offshore and eyewall replacement cycles, Ivan weakened only slowly and
made landfall as a 105 kt hurricane (category 3 on the SSHS) on September 16th, just
west of Gulf Shores, Alabama. By this time the eye diameter had increased to 40-50
nautical miles, which resulted in some of the strongest winds occurring over a narrow
area near the southern Alabama-western Florida panhandle border. The forces of Ivan
were directly responsible for 92 deaths. In the United States 14 deaths occurred in
Florida, 8 in North Carolina, 2 in Georgia, and 1 in Mississippi. The breakdown of U.S.
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deaths by cause is as follows: tornado (7), storm surge (5), fresh water floods (4), mud
slides (4), wind (3), and surf (2). Ivan was also indirectly responsible for 32 deaths in the
United States.
Ivan caused extensive damage to coastal and inland areas of the United States. Portions
of the Interstate 10 bridge system across Pensacola Bay, Florida were severely damaged
in several locations as a result of severe wave action on top of the 10-15 ft storm surge.
As much as a quarter-mile of the bridge collapsed into the bay. The U.S Highway 90
Causeway across the northern part of the bay was also heavily damaged. To the south of
Pensacola, Florida, Perdido Key bore the brunt of Ivan's fury and was essentially leveled.
In addition, extensive beach erosion caused severe damage to or the destruction of
numerous beachfront homes, as well as apartment and condominium buildings.
Thousands of homes in the three-county coastal area of Baldwin, Escambia, and Santa
Rosa were damaged or destroyed. Cleanup efforts alone in Escambia County resulted in
debris piles that were more than three-quarters of a mile long and 70 feet high. In all,
Ivan was the most destructive hurricane to affect this area in more than 100 years. Strong
winds also spread well inland damaging homes and downing trees and power lines. At
one point more than 1.8 million people were without power in nine states.
September 13 – 28, 2004 – Hurricane Jeanne produced heavy rain over Guadeloupe,
Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic and caused an estimated 3000 or more deaths in
Haiti, from torrential rainfall flooding. Finally, Jeanne hit the northern Bahamas and then
the central Florida east coast as a category three hurricane. Jeanne moved across central
Florida while weakening and began to recurve around the western periphery of the
migratory ridge. The hurricane weakened to a tropical storm while centered about 30
nautical miles north of Tampa September 26th and then weakened to a tropical
depression about 24 hours later while moving northward across central Georgia
accompanied by heavy rain. Winds were somewhat higher in the Tampa Bay Region for
Hurricane Jeanne than Hurricane Frances resulting in wind damage and minimal coastal
flooding. Areas still flooded from Frances (three weeks before) received additional flood
waters.
The impact of the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season and the resulting death, injury,
destruction, and population displacement were unprecedented in U.S. history. During
2005, 15 tropical storms became hurricanes. For the first time four major hurricanes
made landfall in the United States; three of those reached Category 5 intensity.
The worst effects were felt from Hurricanes Katrina and Rita. These storms did not
seriously impact the state of Florida, however, they have had a significant impact on
emergency management and hurricane planning at the national, state and local levels.
On August 29, Hurricane Katrina struck the U.S. Gulf Coast, causing severe damage
from a two-story storm surge, powerful winds, and heavy rains. Approximately 80% of
New Orleans was flooded after the surge from the Gulf of Mexico forced breaks in a
levee, releasing water from Lake Pontchartrain into the city. Katrina became the deadliest
U.S. hurricane since 1928 and likely the costliest natural disaster on record in the United
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States. On September 24, response and recovery activities in the wake of Katrina were
interrupted when Hurricane Rita struck the Gulf Coast. Rita rendered more homes
uninhabitable and thousands more seeking shelter elsewhere. More than 200,000 persons
were displaced by the hurricanes and dispersed to evacuee shelters in 18 states. The
economic and health consequences of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita extended far beyond
the Gulf region and ultimately affected states and communities throughout the United
States.
Hurricane Katrina – August 23 -30, 2005 Katrina was a large and intense hurricane
that struck a portion of the United States coastline along the northern Gulf of Mexico that
is particularly vulnerable to storm surge, leading to loss of life and property damage of
immense proportions. The scope of human suffering inflicted by Hurricane Katrina in the
United States has been greater than that of any hurricane to strike this country in several
generations.
The total number of fatalities known, as of this writing, to be either directly or indirectly
related to Katrina is 1336, based on reports to date from state and local officials in five
states: 1090 fatalities in Louisiana, 228 in Mississippi, 14 in Florida, 2 in Georgia, and 2
in Alabama. The number of direct fatalities is highly uncertain and the true number might
not ever be known, especially for Louisiana and Mississippi.
Presumably, most of the deaths in Louisiana were directly caused by the widespread
storm surge-induced flooding and its miserable aftermath in the New Orleans area. The
vast majority of the fatalities in Mississippi were probably directly caused by the storm
surge in the three coastal counties. In Florida three of the direct fatalities were caused by
downed trees in Broward County, and the three others were due to drowning in MiamiDade County. Two deaths were also reported in Georgia with one directly caused by a
tornado and the other occurring in a car accident indirectly related to the storm. Alabama
reported two indirect fatalities in a car accident during the storm. Despite the fact that
inland fresh water floods produced the majority of fatalities due to tropical cyclones
during the past few decades, Katrina provides a grim reminder that storm surge poses the
greatest potential cause for large loss of life in a single hurricane in this
country.
Where Katrina ranks among the deadliest hurricanes on record in the United States is
somewhat uncertain due to the unknown number of fatalities caused directly by this
hurricane and by some others in the past. Katrina is surpassed by the Galveston, Texas
hurricane in 1900 that claimed at least 8000 lives, and it appears to be surpassed by the
1928 Lake Okeechobee, Florida hurricane with over 2500 fatalities. If the assumption is
correct that most of the Katrina related fatalities were caused directly by the storm, then
Katrina ranks as the third deadliest hurricane in the United States since 1900 and the
deadliest in 77 years. However, two hurricanes in 1893 might each have been directly
responsible for more fatalities in the United States than Katrina. One of these struck the
southeastern Louisiana barrier island of Cheniere Caminanda and killed about 2000
people, while another struck Georgia and South Carolina and claimed somewhere
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between 1000 and 2000 lives. As a result, Katrina ranks fourth or fifth on the list of the
deadliest hurricanes on record in the United States.
The extent, magnitude, and impacts of the damage caused by Katrina are staggering and
are well beyond the scope of this report to fully describe. Thousands of homes and
businesses throughout entire neighborhoods in the New Orleans metropolitan area were
destroyed by flood. Strong winds also caused damage in the New Orleans area, including
downtown where windows in some high rise buildings were blown out and the roof of the
Louisiana Superdome was partially peeled away. The storm surge of Katrina struck the
Mississippi coastline with such ferocity that entire coastal communities were obliterated,
some left with little more than the foundations on which homes, businesses, government
facilities, and other historical buildings once stood. Despite being more distant from the
eye of Katrina, the storm surge over Dauphin Island, Alabama destroyed or damaged
dozens of beachfront homes and cut a new canal through the island’s western end.
Many of the most severely impacted areas along the northern Gulf coast could take years
to completely rebuild. Katrina’s heavy rains in southern Florida flooded some
neighborhoods, primarily in Miami-Dade County. Many other structures from Florida
and Georgia westward to Louisiana that avoided surge or fresh water floods, including
some areas well inland, were damaged by strong winds and tornadoes. Considerable
damage to some homes and agricultural facilities was caused by several tornadoes in
Georgia. Strong winds caused significant tree damage throughout much of Mississippi
and Alabama. Combining all of the areas it impacted, Katrina left about three million
people without electricity, some for several weeks.
The economic and environmental ramifications of Katrina have been widespread and
could in some respects be long-lasting due to impacts on large population and tourism
centers, the oil and gas industry, and transportation. The hurricane severely impacted or
destroyed workplaces in New Orleans and other heavily populated areas of the northern
Gulf coast, resulting in thousands of lost jobs and millions of dollars in lost tax revenues
for the impacted communities and states.
Along the Mississippi coast several large casinos on floating barges were damaged or
destroyed when the surge pushed them onshore. Large numbers of evacuees did not
return home, producing a shortage of workers for those businesses that reopened. Major
beach erosion occurred along the tourism dependent Mississippi and Alabama coasts. A
significant percentage of United States oil refining capacity was disrupted after the storm
due to flooded refineries, crippled pipelines, and several oil rigs and platforms damaged,
adrift or capsized. An oil rig under construction along the Mobile River in Alabama was
dislodged, floated 1.5 miles northward, and struck the Cochrane Bridge just north of
downtown Mobile. An offshore oil rig washed up near the beach of Dauphin Island,
Alabama. Several million gallons of oil were spilled from damaged facilities scattered
throughout southeastern Louisiana. While several facilities have since resumed
operations, as of this writing oil and natural gas production and refining capacity in the
northern Gulf of Mexico region remains less than that prior to Katrina. Key transportation
arteries were disrupted or cut off by the hurricane. Traffic along the Mississippi River
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was below normal capacity for at least two weeks following the storm. Major highways
into and through New Orleans were blocked by floods. Major bridges along the northern
Gulf coast were destroyed including several in Mississippi and the Interstate 10 Twin
Span Bridge connecting New Orleans and Slidell, Louisiana.
Estimates of the insured property losses caused by Katrina vary considerably and range
between about $20 billion and $60 billion. The American Insurance Services Group
(AISG) estimates that Katrina is responsible for $38.1 billion of insured losses in the
United States. A preliminary estimate of the total damage cost of Katrina is assumed to
be roughly twice the insured losses (using the AISG estimate), or about $75 billion. This
figure would make Katrina the costliest hurricane in United States history by far. Even
after adjusting for inflation, the estimated total damage cost of Katrina is roughly double
that of Hurricane Andrew (1992). Normalizing for inflation and for increases in
population and wealth, only the 1926 hurricane that struck southern Florida surpasses
Katrina in terms of damage cost. However, this would not be the case if the values on the
higher end of the range of Katrina estimates are later found to be the most accurate. The
Insurance Information Institute reports that, mostly due to Katrina but combined with
significant impacts from the other hurricanes striking the United States this year, 2005
was by a large margin the costliest year ever for insured catastrophic losses in this
country.
Data provided by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) indicate that
over 1.2 million people along the northern Gulf coast from southeastern Louisiana to
Alabama were under some type of evacuation order, but it is not clear how many people
actually evacuated. Media reports indicate that many displaced residents have moved
either temporarily or permanently to other areas in the United States. A large number of
these people might never return to live in their pre-Katrina homes or cities. Thousands of
people are still living in hotels and temporary shelters.
Hurricane Rita, September 18-26, 2005 Rita was an intense hurricane that reached
Category 5 strength (on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale) over the central Gulf
of Mexico, where it had the fourth-lowest central pressure on record in the Atlantic basin.
Although it weakened prior to making landfall as a Category 3 hurricane near the
Texas/Louisiana border, Rita produced significant storm surge that devastated coastal
communities in southwestern Louisiana, and its winds, rain, and tornadoes caused
fatalities and a wide swath of damage from eastern Texas to Alabama. Rita also caused
floods due to storm surge in portions of the Florida Keys.
The approach of Rita provoked one the largest evacuations in U. S. history. Just weeks
after the country watched in horror the devastation of Hurricane Katrina, media reports
indicate that the number of evacuees in Texas could have exceeded two million.
Additional evacuations involving smaller numbers took place in Louisiana.
Hurricane Wilma - October 15-25, 2005 Wilma formed and became an extremely
intense hurricane over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. It had the alltime lowest central
pressure for an Atlantic basin hurricane and it devastated the northeastern Yucatan
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Peninsula as a category 4 hurricane. Wilma also inflicted extensive damage over southern
Florida.
Despite the strong shear in its surroundings, Wilma strengthened over the southeastern
Gulf of Mexico and its winds reached about 110 kt as it approached Florida. Maximum
sustained winds were estimated to be near 105 kt (category 3 intensity) when landfall of
the center occurred in southwestern Florida near Cape Romano October 24th. Continuing
to accelerate and now moving at a forward speed of 20 to 25 kt, the hurricane crossed the
southern Florida peninsula in 4.5 hours with the center emerging into the Atlantic just
southeast of Jupiter. Maximum winds had decreased to near 95 kt (category 2) during the
crossing of Florida. Twenty-two deaths have been directly attributed to Wilma: 12 in
Haiti, 1 in Jamaica, 4 in Mexico, and 5 in Florida.
Damage was reported to have been very severe in portions of the northeastern Yucatan
Peninsula, where Wilma dealt a major blow to the tourist industry in that area. In
southern Florida, damage was unusually widespread, including numerous downed trees,
substantial crop losses, downed power lines and poles, broken windows, extensive roof
damage, and destruction of mobile homes. Wilma caused the largest disruption to
electrical service ever experienced in Florida. A preliminary amount of total insured
damage compiled by the Property Claims Service is $6.1 billion. Using a doubling of
insured losses to obtain the total damage gives a current estimate of Wilma’s U.S.
damage to be $12.2 billion.
The 2006, 2007 and 2008 Seasons
The 2006 Hurricane season was a much quieter season for the state of Florida, with only
one hurricane affecting the state, Hurricane Ernesto, which was actually a tropical storm
when it impacted Florida. Tropical Storm Alberto also crossed the eastern Florida
panhandle. The 2007 Hurricane Season was also a relatively quite season, with no
hurricanes directly affecting the State of Florida. The 2008 Atlantic Hurricane Season
marked the end of a season that produced a record number of consecutive storms to strike
the United States and ranks as one of the more active seasons in the 64 years since
comprehensive records began. Overall, the season is tied as the fourth most active in
terms of named storms (16) and major hurricanes (5), and is tied as the fifth most active
in terms of hurricanes (8) since 1944, which was the first year aircraft missions flew into
tropical storms and hurricanes.
For the first time on record, six consecutive tropical cyclones (Dolly, Edouard, Fay,
Gustav, Hanna and Ike) made landfall on the U.S. mainland and a record three major
hurricanes (Gustav, Ike and Paloma) struck Cuba. This is also the first Atlantic season to
have a major hurricane (Category 3) form in five consecutive months (July: Bertha,
August: Gustav, September: Ike, October: Omar, November: Paloma).
The National Hurricane Center attributes the 2008 above-normal season to conditions
that include:
• An ongoing multi-decadal signal. This combination of ocean and atmospheric
conditions has spawned increased hurricane activity since 1995.
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• Lingering La Niña effects. Although the La Niña that began in the Fall of 2007 ended in
June, its influence of light wind shear lingered.
• Warmer tropical Atlantic Ocean temperatures. On average, the tropical Atlantic was
about 1.0 degree Fahrenheit above normal during the peak of the season.
In 2008 Tropical Storm Fay made history as the only storm on record to make landfall
four times in the state of Florida and to prompt tropical storm and hurricane watches and
warnings for the state’s entire coastline (at various times during its August lifespan).
Though Florida was spared a direct hit from a major hurricane, Floridians saw major
flooding throughout the State from Tropical Storm Fay. Fay came ashore in the Florida
Keys August 18 and continued northward up the Florida Peninsula. Fay made records as
the first storm to make four landfalls in one state impacting the Florida Keys, South
Florida, exiting off the east coast and coming back inland near Flagler Beach and exiting
off the Gulf Coast and making landfall again near Carrabelle. The slow-moving storm
also caused record rainfall and flooding throughout the state with some areas getting as
much as 25 inches of rain. Millions of dollars in damage and 15 deaths were caused in
Florida by Fay.
Hurricane Gustav brought tropical storm force winds to the Florida Keys and storm surge
and severe thunderstorms to the Florida Panhandle. As Gustav headed for the Louisiana
coast, many residents evacuated to Florida to escape the storm. Many Florida counties, in
conjunction with the American Red Cross, opened shelters throughout the state for
evacuees.
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Probability of Future Hurricane Events
The Table below provides the number of direct hits on the mainland U.S. coastline (19002006) for individual states. Florida is divided into four sections. The Tampa Bay Region
is located in the Southwest area. (Please note that the Florida Keys are also included in
the SW area.)
The following Table provides the total of major hurricane direct hits on the mainland
(1900-2006) by month. Most major hurricanes occur in the later part of the hurricane
season in September, October and November. Category one and two hurricanes tend to
“spring up” in the Caribbean affecting the southwest Florida area in the early part of the
season. Storms can affect more than one area in the state. Therefore, the total number of
storms affecting Florida is less than the total number affecting all regions.
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Major Hurricane Direct Hits on the U.S. Coastline 1851-2006 by Month
U.S. (Texas to Maine)
Texas
(North)
(Central)
(South)
Louisiana
Mississippi
Alabama
Florida
(Northwest)
(Northeast)
(Southwest)
(Southeast)
Georgia
South Carolina
North Carolina
Virginia
Maryland
Delaware
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
New York
Connecticut
Rhode Island
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
Maine
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Jun
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
I-30
Jul
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Aug
30
10
3
2
5
7
4
1
6
1
0
2
4
1
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
Sep
44
7
2
2
3
8
4
4
19
7
1
5
8
1
2
8
1
0
0
0
0
4
2
3
3
0
0
Oct
16
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
10
3
0
6
3
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
All
96
19
7
4
8
20
9
6
37
13
1
13
15
3
6
13
1
0
0
0
0
5
3
4
3
0
0
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Freshwater Flooding: The 100-Year Flood Plain
Inland /Riverine Flooding Profile
Flooding refers to the general or temporary conditions of partial or complete inundation
of normally dry land areas by surface water runoff from any source (Statewide Hazard
Mitigation Plan, 2009). The State of Florida and the Tampa Bay Region are affected by a
large number of weather systems which result in flooding.
Flooding can be divided into two major categories: Coastal and Riverine. As indicated
previously, interrelated hazards, such as hurricanes and severe storms, can result in both
types of flooding, sometimes in difference locations. Many areas of Florida are
susceptible to flooding from both storm surge and watershed runoff.
Coastal flooding is usually the result of a severe weather system such as a tropical
cyclone, hurricane, tropical storm or “northeaster” which contains the element of wind.
The damaging effects of coastal floods are caused by a combination of higher water
levels of the storm surge, the winds, rains, erosion and battering by debris. Loss of life
and property damage are often more severe since it involves velocity wave action and
accompanying winds.
Riverine flooding is associated with a river’s watershed, which is the natural drainage
basin that conveys water runoff from rain. Riverine flooding occurs when the flow of
runoff is greater than the carrying capacities of the natural drainage systems. Rainwater
that is not absorbed by soil or vegetation seeks surface drainage lines following natural
topography lines. These lines merge to form a hierarchical system of rills, creeks, streams
and rivers. Generally, floods can be slow or fast rising depending on the size of the river
or stream. The rivers in north Florida drain portions of Alabama and Georgia and
excessive rainfall in those states often causes flood conditions in Florida.
Flash floods are much more dangerous and flow much faster than riverine floods. They
can result from tropical storms, dam failures or excessive rain and snow. Flash floods
pose more significant safety risks because of the rapid onset, the high water velocity, the
potential for channel scour and the debris load.
The variations of flooding including severe thunderstorms, hurricanes, seasonal rain and
other weather related conditions are a natural part of the earth’s hydrologic system;
however, when buildings and infrastructure are constructed within the natural drainage
system, there are significant losses. Based on frequency, floods are the most destructive
category of natural hazards in the United States. The loss of life, property, crops, business
facilities, utilities and transportation are major impacts of flooding. Economic losses from
impacts to major transportation routes and modes, public health and other environmental
hazards are key factors in long-term recovery. (Statewide Hazard Mitigation Plan, 2009)
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Probability of Flooding: FIRM Maps
The probability of freshwater flooding has been quantified by the Federal Emergency
Management Agency (FEMA) through the National Flood Insurance Program. Areas
subject to flooding, the Velocity Zone, 100-year flood plain and the 500-year floodplain,
have been delineated on Flood Insurance Rate Maps (FIRMs) for every jurisdiction in the
region. Moderate to low risk areas include zones B, C and X. High risk areas include
zones A, AE, AH, AO, and AR. High risk coastal areas include the Velocity zones
(Zones V, VE, V1-V30 and undetermined risk areas (Zone D).
Definitions of NFIP Zones
AE
Areas with a 1% annual chance of flooding and a 26% chance of flooding over
the life of a 30-year mortgage. In most instances base flood elevations (BFEs) derived
from detailed analyses are shown at selected intervals within these zones.
X500 An area inundated by 500-year flooding; an area inundated by 100-year flooding
with average depths of less than 1 foot or with drainage areas less than 1 square mile; or
an area protected by levees from the 100-year flooding.
X
Areas outside the 1-% annual chance floodplain, areas of 1% annual chance sheet
flow flooding where average depths are less than 1 foot, areas of 1% annual chance
stream flooding where the contributing drainage area is less than 1 square mile, or areas
protected from the 1% annual chance flood by levees. No Base Flood Elevations or
depths are shown within this zone. Insurance purchase is not required in these zones.
A
Flood zone area with a 1% annual chance of flooding and a 26% chance of
flooding over the life of a 30-year mortgage. Because detailed analyses are not
performed for such areas, no depths of base flood elevations are shown within these
zones.
ANI An area that is located within a community or county that is not mapped on any
published FIRM.
IN
An area designated as within a “Special Flood Hazard Area” (of SFHA) on a
FIRM. This is an area inundated by 100-year flooding for which no BFEs or velocity
may have been determined. No distinctions are made between the different flood hazard
zones that may be included within the SFHA. These may include Zones A, AE, AO, AH,
AR, A99, V, or VE.
VE
Coastal areas with a 1% or greater chance of flooding and an additional hazard
associated with storm waves. These areas have a 26% chance of flooding over the life of
a 30-year mortgage. Base flood elevations derived from detailed analyses are shown at
selected intervals within these zones.
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UNDES
A body of open water, such as a pond, lake, ocean, etc., located within a
community’s jurisdictional limits that has no defined flood hazard.
AO
River or stream flood hazard areas and areas with a 1% or greater chance of
shallow flooding each year, usually in the form of sheet flow, with an average depth
ranging from 1 to 3 feet. These areas have a 26% chance of flooding over the life of a
30-year mortgage. Average flood depths derived from detailed analyses are shown
within these zones.
D
Areas with
possible but
undetermined
flood hazards. No
flood hazard
analysis has been
conducted. Flood
insurance rates are
commensurate
with the
uncertainty of the
flood risk.
AH
Areas with
a 1% annual
chance of shallow
flooding, usually
in the form of a
pond, with an
average depth
ranging from 1 to
3 feet. These areas
have a 26%
chance of flooding
over the life of a
30-year mortgage.
Base flood
elevations derived
from detailed
analyses are
shown at selected
intervals within
these zones.
V
Coastal
areas with a 1% or
greater chance of
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flooding and an additional hazard associated with storm waves. These areas have a 26%
chance of flooding over the life of a 30-year mortgage. No base flood elevations are
shown within these zones.
100IC An area where the 100-year flooding is contained within the channel banks and
the channel is too narrow to show to scale. An arbitrary channel width of 3 meters is
shown. BFEs are not shown in this area, although they may be reflected on the
corresponding profile.
The model used to determine the flood plain, like the SLOSH MEOWs or MOMs and the
Inland Wind model, is a cumulative model. In other words, it is based on several storm
events; no one storm will inundate all the areas within the flood zone. In addition,
because there is a return interval (1% or greater chance of flooding in any given year)
associated with the flood level, there is a basis for planning and cost-benefit analysis.
While the 6-12 inches of rain typically associated with a hurricane is not considered lifethreatening, freshwater flooding along rivers and streams can and does cause significant
property damage and has the potential of causing personal injury and deaths. Hurricane
Floyd (September 1999) caused billions of dollars in property damage in North Carolina
alone. Over the past two decades, freshwater flooding has become a leading cause of
death in hurricane events with most of those deaths the result of driving or walking in
flood waters.
In order to identify the potential magnitude of inland flooding, the 100-year flood plain
was delineated using FEMA’s most recent digital files. Within the flood zone it is
recognized that there are properties which have sustained repeated damage from flooding
and are extremely susceptible to flood damage. These local neighborhoods should be
warned prior to hurricane events that flooding is very probable.
The total acreage within the flood plain by county is presented below. It was calculated
using the total acreage as determined by the Soil Conservation Service and the FEMA
FIRM Maps as of 2009.
County
Total Acreage
Hillsborough
Manatee
Pasco
Pinellas
665,600
466,640
475,000
179,200
Flood Plain
Acreage
227,681
94,386
165,540
73,967
Percent of Acreage
in Flood Plain
34.2%
20.2%
35.1%
41.3%
Source: Soil Conservation Service (Total Acreage); FEMA (Digital Inventory of Flood
Plain Acreage)
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Dam Failure
A flood event may also trigger a dam failure. The dam impounds water in the reservoir or
upstream area. The amount of water impounded is measured in acre-feet. Dam failures
are not routine but the results can be significant. Two factors influence the potential
severity of a dam failure: (1) the amount of water impounded and (2) the density, type
and value of the development downstream. (Statewide Hazard Mitigation Plan, 2009)
The “dam hazard” is a term indicating the potential hazard to the downstream area
resulting from failure or mis-operation of the dam or facilities. According to the USGS
National Inventory of Dams, there are 149 major dams in the state of Florida which have
been identified by a hazard risk of low, significant and high.



Low hazard: A dam where failure or mis-operation results in no probable loss
of human life and low economic and/or environmental loss. Losses are principally
limited to the owner’s property.
Significant hazard: A dam where failure or mis-operation results in no
probable loss of human life but can cause economic loss, environmental damage,
disruption of lifeline facilities or impact other concerns. These dams are often
located in predominantly rural or agricultural area but could be located in areas
with population and significant infrastructure.
High – A dam where failure or mis-operation will probably cause loss of
human life. (Statewide Hazard Mitigation Plan, 2009)
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Dams in the Tampa Bay Region
DAM NAME
LAKE
MANATEE
DAM
PINEY
POINT(1)
PINEY
POINT(2)
PINEY
POINT(3)
PINEY
POINT(4)
PINEY
POINT(6)
MANATEE
COOLING
WATER
RESERVOIR
PINEY
POINT(5)
BIG FOUR
MINE BF-1
CLAY
SETTLING
AREA AL
GYPSUM
FIELD DIKE
EXISTING
STACK
GIBSONTON
EXISTING
STACK
GIBSONTON
(SW2)
GIBSONTON
(SW1)
GIBSONTON
(SE)
GIBSONTON
(S)
GIBSONTON
(NE)
NID
ID
FL00
280
FL10
038
FL10
039
FL10
040
FL10
041
FL10
043
FL00
642
FL10
042
FL00
613
FL00
611
FL00
174
FL10
026
FL10
030
FL10
035
FL10
036
FL10
033
FL10
034
FL10
037
LONG
LAT
COUNTY
RIVER
HAZ
ARD
-82.33
27.49
MANATEE
MANATEE
RIVER
H
-82.53
27.62
MANATEE
S
-82.53
27.62
MANATEE
S
-82.53
27.62
MANATEE
S
-82.52
27.62
MANATEE
S
-82.52
27.62
MANATEE
S
LITTLE
MANATEE
RIVER
-82.32
27.62
MANATEE
-82.52
27.63
MANATEE
-82.08
27.75
HILLS
LAKE BRANCH
ALAFIA RIVER
L
-82.10
27.76
HILLS
SOUTH PRONG
ALAFIA RIVER
L
-82.39
27.87
HILLS
SEE REMARKS
L
-82.38
27.87
HILLS
ARCHIE CREEK
S
-82.38
27.87
HILLS
S
-82.38
27.87
HILLS
S
-82.38
27.87
HILLS
S
-82.37
27.87
HILLS
S
-82.37
27.87
HILLS
S
-82.37
27.87
HILLS
S
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DAM NAME
EDWARD
MEDARD
RESERVOIR
DAM/PLEAS
ANT GROVE
STRUCTURE
160/BLUE
CYPRESS
STRUCTURE
162
STRUCTURE
161
CITY OF
TAMPA
WATERWOR
KS DAM
STRUCTURE
159/L-112
STRUCTURE
551
STRUCTURE
155/L-112
TEMPLE
TERRACE
(SW)
INACTIVE
GYPSUM
DIKE
NID
ID
LONG
LAT
COUNTY
RIVER
HAZ
ARD
FL00
434
-82.16
27.91
HILLS
LITTLE
ALAFIA RIVER
H
-82.36
27.98
HILLS
-82.35
27.98
HILLS
CANAL 135
PALM RIVER
SIX MILE
CREEK
-82.37
28.01
HILLS
CANAL 136
H
-82.43
28.02
HILLS
HILLSBOROUG
H RIVER
H
-82.34
28.04
HILLS
-82.70
28.05
PINE
-82.35
28.08
HILLS
FL10
029
-82.13
28.15
HILLS
FL10
107
-82.13
28.15
HILLS
FL00
173
FL00
442
FL00
640
FL00
169
FL12
001
FL00
168
FL12
000
CANAL 135
C-531 (LAKE
TARPON
CANAL)
HILLSBOROUG
H RIVER
L
S
H
L
H
S
BIG DITCH-OS
L
Source: US Army Corps of Engineers, (2009)
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History of Inland Flooding
Based on data collected by the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), there were 993
flooding events in Florida between 1950 and 2009, for an average of 16.83 flooding
events per year. Total property damages were estimated at $1.43 billion with an
additional $972.01M in crop related damages. Below is a summary of the major flooding
events in the Tampa Bay Region from 1993-2008:
March 1998, El Nino Effect: On March 1st, Alachua, Baker, Bradford, Citrus, Clay,
Columbia, DeSoto, Duval, Flagler, Gilchrist, Hamilton, Hillsborough, Marion, Nassau,
Pasco, Putnam, St. Johns, Suwannee, and Union Counties were flooded. More than 2,800
homes and over 175 businesses were destroyed and property damage totaled $25.5
million. Flooding was claimed to be related to El Nino.
September 2001, Tropical Storm Gabrielle: Heavy rainfall of six to eight inches with
isolated pockets in excess of nine inches associated with Tropical Storm Gabrielle
occurred over most of Manatee and southern portions of Pinellas and Hillsborough
counties. Widespread road, home and business flooding occurred over large portions of
Manatee County, mainly from Anna Maria east across Bradenton to Parrish. Minor to
moderate road and home flooding occurred over southern Pinellas and Hillsborough
counties mainly along the coast and low lying areas. In Pasco County rainfall of five to
eight inches occurred over a broad portion of the county with most of the road and
residential flooding occurring along the U.S. Highway 301 corridor from Dade City south
to Zephyrhills. The overall property damage estimate was $26 million.
June 23, 2003: A series of severe thunderstorms swept through southwest Central Florida
during June 21-24, 2007. Precipitation associated with these storms resulted in flooding
in parts of several Florida counties including Charlotte, Citrus, DeSoto, Dixie, Hardee,
Levy, Manatee, Sarasota, and Taylor. Floodwater from these thunderstorms caused
damage to public and private property amounting to more than $11 million and damaged
or destroyed more than 100 homes.
A federal disaster declaration allowed the affected state and local governments to apply
for aid. The relief aid would pay up to 75 percent of the approved costs for debris
removal, emergency services related to the disaster, and the repair or replacement of
damaged public facilities. The aid was authorized under a major disaster declaration
issued by President Bush following a review of FEMA's analysis of the state's request for
federal relief. The declaration covers damage to public property from severe storms and
flooding beginning on June 13.
June 23, 2003, Dam Failure: The Manatee River flooded on June 23, 2003 in Manatee
County, Florida in conjunction with complications of a dam malfunction. More than a
foot of rain fell in Manatee County and two of its neighboring counties which led to
complications. During several days of rain two of the dam's spillways were opened but
the third spillway jammed, prompting emergency officials to order hundreds of homes
evacuated as water approached the top of the 50-foot high dam. Two homes collapsed
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during the deluge and many others were completely inundated. Red Cross shelters in
Arcadia and Sarasota housed more than 230 evacuees from the 600 homes that were
threatened in Manatee County's riverside and lakeside communities. An additional shelter
opened at Port Charlotte to house local families displaced by the continuous flooding
conditions.
February 03, 2006, Flash Floods: The combination of tropical moisture flowing into a
line of thunderstorms and an approaching upper level disturbance allowed a train of
intense thunderstorms to repeatedly cross over parts of the Tampa Bay area. Between
eight and more than 11 inches of rain fell in roughly a five-hour period in a five-mile
wide stripe extending from Madeira Beach northeast through Pinellas Park, then across
Old Tampa Bay to west Tampa, including Tampa International Airport. The area of
heaviest rain was so concentrated that downtown St. Petersburg, less than 10 miles away,
recorded less than an inch of rain during the same period. The torrential rains caused
flash flooding in the areas where more than eight inches fell. The flash flooding prompted
the mayor of St. Petersburg to term the event a "hundred year flood." In Lealman an
entire mobile home community was evacuated, and at least 60 of the homes were
flooded. A partial roof collapse was reported at a big box store in St. Petersburg. Water
pouring into the store washed out several cash register stands and injured one employee
as he was washed into the parking lot. Another roof collapsed at Treasure Island.
Hundreds of vehicles were stranded by the flood waters. Total property damage was
estimated at $2.0 million. Pinellas County Rain Reports Pinellas Park (Upper Highlands
Canal): 11.17 inches. Saint Petersburg/Clearwater International Airport: 8.20 inches;
Seminole: 7.01 inches; Largo: 6.44 inches; Clearwater: 5.81 inches. Hillsborough County
Rain Reports Tampa International Airport: 8.24 inches; Citrus Park: 6.90 inches; and
Thonotosassa: 4.35 inches.
Repetitive Loss Areas
The location of repetitive loss structures1 helps to identify specific areas in the
community where flooding continues to be a problem and where mitigation efforts should
be concentrated. For many of these floodprone areas, mitigation will involve significant
property owner investment and will probably be delayed until redevelopment/
reconstruction occurs. New construction or significant remodeling will require adherence
to current floodplain management regulations. In regards to evacuation planning, these
areas are important to consider as they represent the most vulnerable areas subject to
flooding from significant rainfall and minor tropical storm activity. In addition, these
areas may not be coastal or reside in hurricane evacuation areas. Therefore, the residents
in these areas may constitute additional evacuation impacts. A breakdown of the
properties by structure type is provided in the table below.
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Repetitive Loss Properties
Community Name
Hillsborough County
Tampa
Temple Terrace
Plant City
Manatee County
Anna Maria
Bradenton
Bradenton Beach
Holmes Beach
Longboat Key
Palmetto
Pasco County
New Port Richey
Port Richey
St. Leo
Zephyrhills
Dade City
San Antonio
Belleair Beach
Belleair
Clearwater
Dunedin
Gulfport
Indian Rocks Beach
Indian Shores
Kenneth City
Largo
Madeira Beach
North Redington Beach
Oldsmar
Pinellas County
Pinellas Park
Redington Beach
Redington Shores
Safety Harbor
South Pasadena
St. Pete Beach
Repetitive
Loss
Structures
215
210
1
1
93
42
59
31
60
80
7
465
29
134
0
0
0
0
86
6
87
98
16
33
18
0
13
171
6
5
89
21
90
21
3
2
75
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SF
2-4
Family
Other
Res
Condo
Assoc.
NonRes.
192
179
1
1
59
32
54
16
30
67
7
436
28
132
0
0
0
0
27
6
64
97
6
30
5
0
11
121
3
4
69
19
87
14
0
1
42
13
7
0
0
0
5
3
0
13
3
0
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
12
0
1
0
2
9
4
0
0
35
0
1
8
0
0
5
1
1
7
0
3
0
0
8
2
2
13
10
5
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
34
0
11
1
2
0
7
0
1
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
6
2
3
0
0
24
0
0
0
1
3
0
8
0
1
0
0
0
0
9
0
3
0
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
3
0
2
0
0
0
3
8
18
0
0
2
2
0
2
6
2
0
10
1
1
0
0
0
0
4
0
8
0
4
1
1
0
1
10
1
0
9
1
0
1
2
0
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Community Name
St. Petersburg
Tarpon Springs
Treasure Island
Repetitive
Loss
Structures
395
69
141
SF
2-4
Family
Other
Res
Condo
Assoc.
NonRes.
371
55
77
4
6
36
3
0
10
3
1
4
14
7
14
Source: Local Mitigation Strategy Plans for Hillsborough, Manatee, Pasco and Pinellas
Counties, Florida Division of Emergency Management, NFIP (Numbers based on latest
Repetitive Loss List dated 06/30/09)
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Wildfires and the Urban Interface
Florida is home to millions of residents who enjoy the state's beautiful scenery and warm
climate. But few people realize that these qualities also create severe wildfire conditions.
Each year, thousands of acres of wildland and many homes are destroyed by fires that can
erupt at any time of the year from a variety of causes, including arson, lightning and
debris burning. Adding to the fire hazard is the growing number of people living in new
communities built in areas that were once wildland. This growth places even greater
pressure on the state's wildland firefighters. As a result of this growth, fire protection
becomes everyone's responsibility.
Wildfire Hazard Profile
A wildfire is any fire occurring in the wildlands (i.e., grasslands, forest, brushland, etc).
Wildfires have burned across the woodlands of Florida for centuries and are part of the
natural management of much of Florida’s ecosystems. (Statewide Hazard Mitigation
Plan, 2009) There are four types of forest fires:




Surface fires are the most common type of wildfire burns along the floor of the
forest, moving slowly killing or damaging trees.
Ground fires (muck fires) are usually started by carelessness, burn on or below
the forest floor. These fires are hard to detect and even harder to extinguish.
Crown fires are spread rapidly by the wind and move fastest of all types of fires
by jumping along the tops of trees.
Wildland-Urban Interface (WUI) fires are in a geographical area where structures
and other human development meet or intermingle with wildlands or vegetative
fuels.
Florida’s typical fire season is from January to May. During relatively dry months the
potential for wildfires increases dramatically. The driest months, combined with low
humidity and high wind, have the highest number of fires reported (January, February
and March). During these months, fine fuels (i.e., grass, leaves, pine needles) are in
optimal burning condition. The largest number of fires caused by lighting occur in July
coinciding with the peak of the thunderstorm season.
Each wildfire, especially near development, can threaten human life, structures and
natural resources. Urban development has moved into wildland areas where the hazard is
more severe and fire control is more difficult.
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Hstory of Wildfire in the Region
Florida’s typical forest fire season is the dry portion of the year between January and
May. The largest number of naturally caused fires occurs in July due to lightning and
coincides with the height of the thunderstorm season. However, lightning accounts for
only 11.7% of the fires started during 1974 - 1990. Other sources are manmade, including
arson, carelessness, debris/trash burning, and operating equipment which may emit
sparks. Because so much of the region is comprised of timber lands, a major portion of
the region is vulnerable to forest fires, although the threat to the population at large is not
considered significant.
In the spring of 1985 a drought which had been underway in the state since August 1984
created numerous spot fires around the state. On May 16, 1985, a wildfire was discovered
west of the Palm Coast Development in Flagler County. Palm Coast is a 42,000 acre
planned community situated in the coastal plain flat woods along the East Coast of
Florida. A wildfire burned through Palm Coast and destroyed 100 homes, damaged 200
more and burned 13,000 acres. This disaster was a mixed wildland urban interface fire
associated with urban sprawl type development where the hydro-period is drastically
altered and cuts the land into many unmanaged tracts of fire vulnerable wildlands.
In 1989 there were a record number of acres burned (645,326) as a result of 7,291 fires. A
large percentage of the acres burned were located in the Everglades. A record number of
wildfires occurred in 1981, with 14,042 fires that burned 587,400 acres as a result of a
drought that started in July of 1980 and continued throughout 1981. In 1985, another
drought stricken year, there were 8,261 fires that burned 443,811 acres.
From 1981 through 1996, an average of 6,080 wildfires occurred per year, burning
219,725 acres. Because of changing weather conditions, the yearly figures range from a
low of 3,985 wildfires (86,944 acres burned) in 1991 to a record high of 14,042 wildfires
(587,400 acres burned) in 1981. Florida experienced a record high (645,326 acres
burned) in 1989 as a result of drought conditions around the state.
The beginning months of 1998 brought widespread flooding. After the rain stopped
severe drought conditions developed and lasted from April through June of 1998. As a
result of the extreme drought conditions, high temperatures and buildup of flammable
wildland fuels, the 1998 wildfires began. The first fire broke out on May 25th in the
Apalachicola National Forest. In a two-month period almost 500,000 acres of the state
had burned in approximately 2,300 separate wildfires. The cost of this event reached over
$160 million. The wildfires of 1998 damaged or destroyed over 300 homes and the value
of lost timber exceeded $300 million.
Spring/Summer 2007 - The wildfires that put much of Florida in a several weeks-long
smoky haze were started May 5 by a lightning strike on Bugaboo Island in Georgia's
Okefenokee National Wildlife Refuge. Thick smoke from area wildfires forced officials
to close stretches of I-75 and I-10 in northern Florida. A section of I-95 in Duval County,
from Pecan Park to State Road A1A, was also closed due to smoke, as was a section of I-
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75 in Broward County near fire-ravaged Collier County in southern Florida. The fires
scorched at least 212,000 acres, according to the joint information center, a coalition of
state and federal agencies. Of those acres, 101,000 were in Florida and about 111,000
were in Georgia. Interstate 75 was closed from Valdosta, Georgia south to Lake City,
Florida and Interstate 10 was closed from Sanderson, Florida, eastward to Live Oak.
June 2007 – The Florida Division of Forestry produced the map below to show the active
wildfires in the state. There were 17 wildfires burning with over 300 acres and a much
larger number of smaller fires.
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Wildland-Urban Interface (WUI)
The Florida Division of Forestry (DOF) provides risk maps for wildfire. The
web-based risk system produces maps for Level of Concern (LOC), Fuels, Wildland Fire
Susceptibility Index (WFSI), and the likelihood of the number of fires per 1000 acres per
year (FOA). Unfortunately, the website does not offer a vulnerability output in terms of
dollars lost and the data was last updated in 2005. Data layers are in the process of being
updated and for the release of DOF’s new web-based mapping risk assessment program,
due out in late 2009 or early 2010.
Methodology
The Wildland Fire
Risk Assessment
System (FRAS)
combines indices
of Wildland Fire
Susceptibility and
Fire Effects to
generate a “Level
of Concern” map.
Data layers used
to develop the
Wildland Fire
Susceptibility
Index include:
fuel and crown
closure
classifications and
non-burnable
areas from
Landsat TM data,
and topographic
and fire weather
data from existing
data sets.
The Fire Effects
Index uses data
layers derived
from a variety of
existing data sets.
These data
included location
of critical
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facilities, forest plantations, utility corridors, urban interface areas, roads, and firefighting
resource locations; as well as, suppression cost--based on soil and fuel types.
The Levels of Concern (LOC) were computed by multiplying the Wildland Fire
Susceptibility Indices by the Fire Effects Indices. The LOC values were then assigned to
nine categories of risk and mapped for each Florida Division of Forestry District.
Another component of FRAS is the Fire Response Accessibility Index (FRAI). The FRAI
is a relative measure of travel time from the nearest fire station to reach a particular
mapped cell. Values are assigned into one of six categories of time ranging from class 1
(greater than 120 minutes) to class 6 (0-14 minutes). Accessibility is based on the
location of roads and wildland firefighting resource dispatch stations. The Fire Response
Accessibility Index is coupled with the Levels of Concern data on District maps.
The fire behavior model, FlamMap is used in FRAS. FlamMap calculates the behavior of
a fire occurring in each 30x30 meter cell under defined weather conditions given
topographic, fuels, and crown closure data. The accompanied map illustrates the risk for
wildfire within the region using the data provided by the Florida Division of Forestry.
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Hazardous Material Incidents
A hazardous material is generally considered as any item or agent (biological, chemical,
physical) which has the potential to cause harm to humans, animals or the environment,
either by itself or through interaction with other factors. Almost every community deals
with hazardous materials on a daily basis through transport, use, storage and/or disposal.
The benefits Chemicals bring into our lives through their designed uses have become
vital to our standard of living. Although major chemical emergencies are extremely rare,
there always remains a chance that one will occur. In the State of Florida, the county
emergency management agencies plan for hazardous material incidents and coordinate
regionally for response through the Local Emergency Planning Committees (LEPCs)
History of the Local Emergency Planning Committees (LEPCs)
Public awareness of the potential danger from accidental releases of hazardous
substances has increased over the years as serious chemical accidents have occurred
around the world, including a significant release in Bhopal, India in 1984 which killed
thousands and a more localized event in Institute, West Virginia. In response to this
public concern and the hazards that exist, EPA began its Chemical Emergency
Preparedness Program (CEPP) in 1985. CEPP was a voluntary program to encourage
state and local authorities to identify hazards in their areas and to plan for potential
chemical emergencies. This local planning complemented emergency response planning
carried out at the national and regional levels by the National Response Team and
Regional Response Teams organized by EPA, the U.S. Coast Guard, and the National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The following year Congress enacted many of the elements of CEPP in the Emergency
Planning and Community Right-to-Know Act of 1986 (EPCRA), also known as Title III
of the Superfund Amendments and Reauthorization Act of 1986 (SARA). This law
required states to establish State Emergency Response Commissions and Local
Emergency Planning Committees to develop emergency response plans for each
community. EPCRA also required facilities to make information available to the public
on the hazardous chemicals they have on site. EPCRA’s reporting requirements foster a
valuable dialogue between industry and local communities on hazards to help citizens
become more informed about the presence of hazardous chemicals that might affect
public health and the environment. According to OSHA requirements, workers on site
also have a right to know about the hazardous chemicals to which they could be exposed.
The Tampa Bay LEPC was created in 1988 to help the public and emergency responders
address hazardous materials public safety issues. The focus of the committee is on
planning, regional coordination, education and awareness. Every state has an LEPC. In
Florida the LEPCs are organized in conjunction with the eleven Regional Planning
Councils which provide staff support with funding from the Florida Division of
Emergency Management. District VIII, which incorporates the counties of Hillsborough,
Manatee, Pasco and Pinellas counties and their respective jurisdictions, meets quarterly
beginning in February of each year. LEPC members are appointed by the State
Emergency Response Commission for Hazardous Materials (SERC), a policy board
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appointed by the Governor, which administers the hazardous materials (HAZMAT) laws
for the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) at the Florida level and at the local
level, through the 11 LEPCs statewide. The Chairman of the SERC is the Secretary of the
Department of Community Affairs and the Alternate Chairman is the Director of the
Division of Emergency Management. Membership of the LEPC represents 18
occupational categories as follows: Elected State Official, Elected Local Official,
Emergency Management, Firefighting, First Aid (EMS), Health Organizations, Law
Enforcement, Local Environmental, Hospital, Transportation, Broadcast media, Print
Media, Community Groups (i.e. Red Cross, etc), Facility Owners, Facility Operators,
Non-Elected Local Officials, Water Management District Rep (SWFWMD), and
Interested Citizen.
Hazards Analysis of Hazardous Materials
Any facility, public or private, that has at any given time during the year, extremely
hazardous materials at or above established threshold amounts is required to report
annually. It is termed a Section 302 facility (relating to the clause in EPCRA which
pertains to Extremely Hazardous Substances facilities). A hazards analysis on the facility
is usually performed by the county in which the facility is located. The map below
shows the general location of Section 302 facilities in the region.
The hazard analysis looks at the amounts of materials present, the risk to the surrounding
community, public facilities vulnerable to potential release such as schools, hospitals, etc.
Evacuation routes are determined based on a vulnerable zone radius from a “worst-case”
release scenario. In addition, site plans are created to show first responders exactly where
the hazardous materials are stored within the facility. The data is entered in a database
suite called Computer Aided Management of Emergency Operations (CAMEO). The
CAMEO system is a combination of three programs which work independently or in
conjunction to give hazardous materials planners and first responders the tools to plan for
and respond to hazardous materials releases.
Additionally, any facility which possesses in excess of 10,000 pounds, a hazardous
material for which the Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) requires
the facility to keep a Material Safety Data Sheet is also required to render the annual
report.
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While the number of hazardous substance facilities continues to increase as awareness of
the law reaches various segments of the community, EPCRA has been successful in
reducing, over the years, facilities possessing extremely hazardous substances (EHSs) by
encouraging that they seek alternative products which do not require reporting and thus,
payment of
the reporting
fee. The
reporting
deadline each
year is March
1st. Within
District VIII,
there are 519
Section 302
(EHS)
facilities
reporting in
2008 and
1501
facilities
reporting
under
Sections
311/312.
District VIII
possesses
slightly less
than half (48
percent) of
the total
Section 302
chemicals by
weight and
volume in the
State of Florida. District VIII had the second highest number of hazardous material
incidents for 2007, 323 total, this was only 15 percent of the total of 2,125 incidents
statewide. This is attributed to the safety commitments of the district=s largest facilities
and their outstanding safety records. It must be pointed out that many of these releases
involved anhydrous ammonia and most of these from the foreign vessels delivering the
ammonia. Additionally, some of the ammonia releases were from attempted thefts of
anhydrous ammonia, an essential ingredient in the manufacture of methamphetamines.
District VIII’s reported ten top Section 302 chemicals for 2007 are as follows:
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District VIII Top Ten Section 302 Chemicals
Chemical
Anhydrous Ammonia
Sulfuric Acid
Bromomethane (Methyl
Bromide)
Chlorine
Vanadium pentoxide
Nitric acid
Sulfur dioxide
Hydrogen Peroxide
Aldicarb
Fenamiphos
2007
Maximum
Inventory (lbs)
280,353,750
131,053,883
11,307,098
6,695,313
Percent of StateWide Inventory
85.9%
32.1%
9.3%
32.6%
1,547,216
100% ?
1,041,662
3.7%
524,776
19.3%
31.7%
358,047
284,151
11.7%
**
256,232
Source, SERC for Hazardous Materials, Annual Report 2008
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CAMEOfm, MARPLOT and ALOHA Update
Accidental releases involving hazardous chemicals occur frequently in the United States.
Therefore, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and firefighters collaborated to develop the
Computer Aided Management of Emergency Operations (CAMEO) software system
more than twenty years ago. The CAMEO system is a combination of three programs
which work independently or in conjunction to give hazardous materials planners and
first responders the tools to plan for and respond to hazardous materials releases. As
technology has advanced, numerous revisions have been made to the software. The most
recent update was released in February 2006.
One of the programs, CAMEO filemaker (CAMEOfm), contains a chemical library
which provides planners and responders with important information on a multitude of
chemicals and chemical mixtures. The program also allows the user to create a chemical
information database for individual facilities that have hazardous materials on site.
CAMEOfm can automatically calculate a vulnerable zone for a simulated or actual
chemical release based on specific data entered by the user. The Chemical Library was
also updated with the latest Acute Exposure Guideline Levels (AEGLs). The AEGLs are
Toxic Levels of Concern that can be used to predict the area in which a toxic gas
concentration may be high enough to harm people. Finally, minor changes were made to
the Reactivity Report that is used to predict possible reactions that might occur when two
or more chemicals are mixed.
The second program, Mapping Application for Response and Planning of Local
Operational Tasks (MARPLOT), is a typical Geographic Information System (GIS) with
multiple layers which allow the user to view major roads, secondary roads, water bodies,
railroads, and other features on selected maps. It also allows the user to plot features like
chemical facilities and critical facilities (schools, hospitals, day care centers, etc.) and
identify evacuation routes on the maps. MARPLOT may be used in conjunction with
CAMEOfm to map a vulnerable zone around a release point and identify populations
within the zone that may be affected by a chemical release. The upgraded version of
MARPLOT correctly displays multiple plume footprints.
The third program, Arial Locations of Hazardous Atmospheres (ALOHA), was
developed to allow the user to model dispersion of a hazardous chemical release.
ALOHA gives emergency planners and responders the capability to model chemical
plumes. The user chooses from a variety of criteria such as, location, date, time,
atmospheric conditions, type/size of container, assorted hole sizes and shapes, source
(puddle, gas pipeline etc.) to plot a footprint. In the updated version of ALOHA, users
can now estimate the hazards associated with jet fires (flares), pool fires, vapor cloud
explosions, Boiling Liquid Expanding Vapor Explosions (BLEVEs), and flammable
regions (flashfires) as well as downwind toxic threats.
Over the years, CAMEO has become the most widely used hazardous materials
emergency planning and response tool in Florida and the United States. In fact, Florida
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now requires electronic submission of hazards analyses in CAMEOfm format from local
emergency planners.
Potential hazards were identified in the Tampa Bay Hazardous Material Emergency Plan
to consider all potential acute health hazards within the Tampa Bay LEPC area and to
identify which hazards are of high priority and should be addressed in the emergency
response planning process The hazards analysis for the Tampa Bay LEPC area consists
of the following three components:
(1).
Hazards Identification - provides specific information on situations that have the
potential for causing injury to life or damage to property.
A hazards identification includes information about:
1)
Chemical identities;
2)
The location of facilities that use, produce, process, or store hazardous materials;
3)
The type and design of chemical container or vessel;
4)
The quantity of material that could be involved in an airborne release; and
5)
The nature of the hazard (e.g., airborne toxic vapors or mists which are the
primary focus of this guide; also other hazards such as fire, explosion, large quantities
stored or processed, handling conditions) most likely to accompany hazardous materials
spills or releases.
(2).
Vulnerability Analysis - identifies areas in the community that may be affected or
exposed, individuals in the community who may be subject to injury or death from
certain specific hazardous materials, and what facilities, property, or environment may be
susceptible to damage should a hazardous materials release occur. A comprehensive
vulnerability analysis provides information on:
(a)
The extent of the vulnerable zones (i.e., an estimation of the area that may be
affected in a significant way as a result of a spill or release of a known quantity of a
specific chemical under defined conditions);
(b)
The population, in terms of numbers, density, and types of individuals that could
be within a vulnerable zone;
(c)
The private and public property that may be damaged, including essential support
systems and transportation facilities and corridors; and
(d)
The environment that may be affected, and the impact of a release on sensitive
natural areas and endangered species.
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(3).
Risk Analysis - is an assessment by the community of the likelihood (probability)
of an accidental release of a hazardous material and the actual consequences that might
occur, based on the estimated vulnerable zones. The risk analysis is a judgment of
probability and severity of consequences based on the history of previous incidents, local
experience, and the best available current technological information. It provides an
estimation of:
(a)
The likelihood (probability) of an accidental release based on the history of
current conditions and controls at the facility, consideration of any unusual environmental
conditions, or the possibility of simultaneous emergency incidents;
(b)
Severity of consequences of human injury that may occur, the number of possible
injuries and deaths, and the associated high-risk groups; and
(c)
Severity of consequences of damage to critical facilities, property, and the
environment.
The hazards analyses summaries for 504 facilities in the Tampa Bay LEPC area, updated
or in the process of updating for FY in 2008-09, that have reported to the State
Emergency Response Commission in compliance with Sections 302 and 303 of EPCRA
are provided in the Regional Hazardous Material Emergency Response Plan.
Emergencies involving hazardous materials can be postulated as ranging from a minor
emergency with no off-site effects to a major emergency that may result in an off-site
release of hazardous/toxic materials. The overall objective of chemical emergency
response planning and preparedness is to minimize exposure for a spectrum of
emergencies that could produce off-site levels of contamination in excess of Levels of
Concern (LOCs) established by the US Environmental Protection Agency. Minimizing
this exposure will reduce the consequences of an emergency to persons in the area nearby
facilities that manufacture, store or process hazardous materials.
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Terrorism and Domestic Security
Terrorism is the use of force or violence against persons or property in violation of the
criminal laws of the United States for purposes of intimidation, coercion, or ransom.
Terrorists often use threats to create fear among the public, try to convince citizens that
their government is powerless to prevent terrorism, and/or get immediate publicity for
their causes.
Acts of terrorism include threats of terrorism; assassinations; kidnappings; hijackings;
bomb scares and bombings; cyber attacks (computer-based); and the use of chemical,
biological, nuclear and radiological weapons.
High-risk targets for acts of terrorism include military and civilian government facilities,
international airports, large cities, and high-profile landmarks. Terrorists might also target
large public gatherings, water and food supplies, utilities, and corporate centers. Further,
terrorists are capable of spreading fear by sending explosives or chemical and biological
agents through the mail.
Examples of techniques employed by a terrorist attack may include explosions, biological
threats, chemical threats, nuclear blast, and radiological dispersion devices. There have
been no terrorist events in recent history in the Tampa Bay Region.
The Regional Domestic Security Task Forces (RDSTFs) in the state are in the process of
identifying critical infrastructure and key resources (CI/KR) as defined by Department of
Homeland Security (DHS) in the National Infrastructure Protection Plan (NIPP). This
information will allow for county and regional profiles to be developed outlining risk
versus vulnerabilities. Once complied, the region will use a tiering methodology
developed by DHS and modified to support regional needs to prioritize the identified
CI/KR and vulnerability assessment will be completed to support mitigation efforts.
Emergency Operating Plans have been developed and validated to respond to emergency
events ensuring the citizens of Florida are protected and safe when responding to
emergency events.
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Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Nuclear Power Plant Incidents
Florida is home to five commercial nuclear reactors located at three sites. Two additional
reactors are located in Alabama near the State line.
 Crystal River Nuclear Power Plant (NW of CR)
 St. Lucie Nuclear Power Plant (SE of FT. Pierce)
 Turkey Point Nuclear Power Plant ( S of Miami)
 Farley Nuclear Power Plant (SE of Dothan, Alabama)
The Nuclear/Radiological Incident Annex provides an organized and integrated
capability for a timely, coordinated response by Federal agencies to terrorist incidents
involving nuclear or radioactive materials (Incidents of National Significance), and
accidents or incidents involving such material that may or may not rise to the level of an
Incident of National Significance.
Tsunami
Tsunamis, also called seismic sea waves or, incorrectly, tidal waves, generally are caused
by earthquakes, less commonly by submarine landslides, infrequently by submarine
volcanic eruptions and very rarely by a large meteorite impact in the ocean. Submarine
volcanic eruptions have the potential to produce truly awesome tsunami waves.
The possibility of a tsunami impacting the Atlantic or Gulf Coasts of Florida is
considered to be remote. This is because most tsunamis are associated with major
earthquakes. The Atlantic Ocean basin is not ringed by large faults as is the Pacific,
which is associated both with earthquakes and tsunamis. It is thought that rare underwater
landslides would pose a greater risk in the Atlantic Ocean. The Caribbean region has a
history of both earthquakes and tsunamis. They do not appear to have impacted Florida’s
coastlines. However because of the horrific tsunami that impacted South East Asia in
December 2004 and Japan in 2011and in recognition of the fact that a tsunami occurrence
is possible, the Federal government has decided to expand its warning system to include
the Atlantic and Gulf Coasts of the United States.
There is no history of significant tsunami activity in the region.
Although it is highly unlikely that a tsunami will impact Florida, it is not impossible. It is
vital to know (and instruct children) that if the ocean suddenly recedes from the shore do
not stand and stare. It is necessary immediately to run uphill or away from the shore and
go to the highest location possible which may mean up the stairs of a substantial building.
Everyone should be aware that no matter where in the world they are, if the sea is
observed to recede from the shore, they should immediately run for high ground.
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Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Part II – County Descriptions
Detailed County Descriptions of each county in the study. Employment is provided by
the Quarterly Census Employment and Wages (QCEW).
Table of Contents
Introduction
Regional Employment
Hillsborough County
Manatee County
Pasco County
Pinellas County
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Introduction
The following section is a breakdown of each county, by employment sector, number of
jobs, and wages. Each county is divided among the Traffic Evacuation Zones (TEAs).
TEAs are a commonly used geographic zoning designation. There are over 100 TEAs in
the four county region.
The data is from the Quarterly Census Employment and Wages (QCEW). The QCEW
program collects the number of employers or reporting units, monthly employment,
average employment, total wages, and average wages by the North American Industry
Classification System (NAICS). The count covers 98% of U.S> jobs available by
industry at the county, Metropolitan Statistical Areas, state and national levels; by major
industry or by detailed industry categories.
The QCEW program derives data from quarterly tax reports submitted tot eh State of
Florida by employers subject to state Unemployment Insurance (UI) laws. Multiestablishment employers also provide individual worksite data. These reports provided
information on the number of people employed and the wages paid to the employees each
quarter. The QCEW/ES-202 program obtains information on the location and industrial
activity of each reported establishment, and assigns location and North American
Industry Classification System (NAICS) codes. These dats are then aggregated by
industry and geographical area and published according to state and federal
confidentiality guidelines.
TBRPC has a contract with Florida Agency of Workforce Innovation (AWI), now located
within the Florida Department of Economic Opportunity. The data within this report is
from the 3rd quarter of 2009. Sector data will not add up to TEA totals because of data
suppression required to maintain confidentiality standards.
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Part II – County Descriptions
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
TAMPA BAY REGION POPULATION, EMPLOYMENT AND WAGES
COUNTY
Hillsborough
Manatee
Pasco
Pinellas
TOTAL
TOTAL
POPULATION
Population in
Site‐Built
Homes
Population
in Mobile
Homes
1,301,519 1,236,201 65,318
380,900
356,362 24,538
530,240
461,989 68,251
986,297
941,948 44,349
3,198,956 2,996,500 202,456
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EMPLOYMENT2
QUARTERLY
WAGES2
559,836 $5,984,272,485
104,491
885,785,115
95,106
711,471,690
387,710
3,681,462,753
1,147,143 $11,262,992,043
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
TAMPA BAY REGION FINANCE AND INSURANCE SECTOR EMPLOYMENT
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TAMPA BAY REGION MANUFACTURING SECTOR EMPLOYMENT
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TAMPA BAY REGION HEALTH AND SOCIAL SERVICES SECTOR EMPLOYMENT
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TAMPA BAY REGION PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES SECTOR
EMPLOYMENT2
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TAMPA BAY REGION RETAIL SECTOR EMPLOYMENT
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Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY INDEX MAP
1.
KEYSTONE‐ NORTHDALE‐
CHEVAL
2. LUTZ
3. USF – NEW TAMPA
4. HILLSBOROUGH RIVER
STATE PARK AREA
5. RURAL NORTHEAST
HILLSBOROUGH
6. WESTCHASE
7. CITRUS PARK
8. LAKE MAGDALENE –
UNIVERSITY
9. TOWN ‘N’ COUNTRY
10. EGYPT LAKE
11. LOWERY PARK – FOREST
HILLS
12. NORTH TAMPA
13. TEMPLE TERRACE
14. SULPHUR SPRINGS –
TEMPLE CREST
15. EAST LAKE – ORIENT
PARK
16. MANGO – SEFFNER –
THONOTOSASSA
17. ROCKY POINT
18. TAMPA AIRPORT
19. WEST TAMPA – HEIGHTS
20. WESTSHORE
21. PORT TAMPA
22. SOUTH TAMPA
23. MACDILL AFB
24. BAYSHORE
25. DAVIS ISLANDS –
HARBOUR ISLAND
Economic Development Administration
II-9
26.
27.
28.
29.
30.
31.
32.
33.
34.
35.
36.
37.
38.
39.
DOWNTOWN TAMPA
YBOR CITY
EAST TAMPA
PALMETTO BEACH –
PORT OF TAMPA
BRANDON – VALRICO
TURKEY CREEK –
KEYSVILLE
PLANT CITY
PALM RIVER
PROGRESS VILLAGE
GIBSONTON
RIVERVIEW – FISH HAWK
RUSKIN
WIMAUMA
RURAL SOUTHEAST
HILLSBOROUGH
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
1. KEYSTONE‐NORTHDALE‐CHEVAL
Population1
Population: 63,851
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
63,851
144
$62,434,091
7,342
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
$10,267,495
RETAIL TRADE
1479
CONSTRUCTION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
1002
RETAIL TRADE
8,762,240
10,027,937
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
972
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
8,199,261
CONSTRUCTION
819
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
4,994,648
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
703
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
3,790,651
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
584
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
2,668,816
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
330
WHOLESALE TRADE
2,660,715
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
302
2,241,469
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
257
WHOLESALE TRADE
197
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
2,167,523
OTHER SERVICES
180
MANUFACTURING
1,995,906
MANUFACTURING
149
OTHER SERVICES
1,266,523
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
107
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
1,175,819
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
743,512
INFORMATION
632,358
78
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
476,800
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
48
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
361,618
INFORMATION
45
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
Economic Development Administration
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Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
2. LUTZ
Population1
Population: 40,165
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Total quarterly wages:
Employment and Wages
Number of employees:
38,811
1,354
$66,922,986
2
By employment sector:
7,838
RETAIL TRADE
By employment sector:
$12,671,382
CONSTRUCTION
7,908,272
RETAIL TRADE
1838
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
7,400,015
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
1005
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
7,198,100
CONSTRUCTION
956
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
4,460,824
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
814
4,402,420
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
684
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
445
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
4,282,348
OTHER SERVICES
300
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
2,877,077
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
259
WHOLESALE TRADE
2,806,771
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
241
INFORMATION
2,758,327
WHOLESALE TRADE
208
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
2,587,562
INFORMATION
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
206
OTHER SERVICES
2,018,878
MANUFACTURING
1,331,792
192
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
1,209,794
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
171
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
1,198,574
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
158
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
897,273
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
128
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
874,202
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
125
MANUFACTURING
105
Economic Development Administration
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Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
3. USF‐NEW TAMPA
Population1
Population: 40,969
In site‐built homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
26,214
Economic Development Administration
$325,078,601
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
RETAIL TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL
SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND
RECREATION
OTHER SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
INFORMATION
CONSTRUCTION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
40,969
6709
5076
4282
2462
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL
SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
WHOLESALE TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
INFORMATION
CONSTRUCTION
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
2097
2031
1311
495
405
400
370
128
126
118
98
88
15
II-12
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
92,915,622
74,745,124
61,312,171
32,210,577
19,790,681
14,934,468
6,963,157
6,868,595
5,944,619
2,704,073
1,509,217
1,405,159
1,330,296
905,422
776,683
682,778
71,194
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
4. HILLSBOROUGH RIVER STATE PARK
Population1
Population: 22,466
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
3,705
Economic Development Administration
$36,553,605
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
INFORMATION
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
WHOLESALE TRADE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
21,055
1,411
726
612
423
361
307
275
216
206
150
147
67
62
50
50
16
8
4
INFORMATION
RETAIL TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL
CONSTRUCTION
OTHER SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
MANUFACTURING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
II-13
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$14,758,266
3,554,415
2,946,272
2,702,334
2,211,274
2,020,480
1,801,655
1,741,782
1,613,860
1,223,191
528,933
454,957
344,450
283,119
155,608
98,127
41,157
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
5. RURAL NORTHEAST HILLSBOROUGH
Population1
Population: 28,905
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
2,291
Total quarterly wages:
By employment sector:
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
CONSTRUCTION
WHOLESALE TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
MANUFACTURING
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
Economic Development Administration
22,526
6,379
$17,142,429
By employment sector:
864
277
207
201
149
142
129
121
92
43
21
15
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
OTHER SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
MANUFACTURING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
II-14
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$4,526,849
2,980,684
2,522,733
1,979,092
1,050,581
1,033,013
975,616
701,676
639,850
363,814
73,926
58,224
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
6. WESTCHASE
Population1
Population: 22,518
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
4,817
Total quarterly wages:
Economic Development Administration
$50,224,985
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
OTHER SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
INFORMATION
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
22,146
372
690
689
632
529
457
379
292
285
274
186
128
109
76
33
16
10
II-15
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
WHOLESALE TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
OTHER SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
INFORMATION
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$9,168,122
6,401,439
6,283,371
5,808,419
3,444,524
3,406,146
3,340,934
2,875,588
2,560,813
2,356,723
2,119,670
697,391
563,598
419,988
138,769
133,722
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
7. CITRUS PARK – CARROLLWOOD
Population1
Population: 60,754
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
18,017
Economic Development Administration
$158,476,661
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
WHOLESALE TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
INFORMATION
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
59,335
1,419
4496
2553
1884
1748
1515
1223
893
720
591
568
436
386
261
195
179
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
MANUFACTURING
OTHER SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
INFORMATION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
8
II-16
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$31,195,459
24,588,497
21,026,600
17,241,697
9,856,612
9,780,705
8,642,144
6,796,897
5,467,953
5,129,301
4,610,961
4,316,319
2,157,885
2,026,982
611,669
230,889
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
8. LAKE MAGDALENE ‐ UNIVERSITY
Population1
Population: 45,783
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
18,839
Economic Development Administration
$210,164,665
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL
SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
OTHER SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
WHOLESALE TRADE
INFORMATION
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
MANUFACTURING
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
43,844
1,939
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL
SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
INFORMATION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
WHOLESALE TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
MANUFACTURING
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND
RECREATION
11788
2505
1215
680
522
495
345
314
275
229
181
146
73
28
21
18
II-17
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$160,823,580
16,045,964
5,168,341
4,763,459
4,278,729
3,633,448
3,511,242
2,667,905
2,436,399
2,094,302
1,805,918
1,350,902
946,838
312,974
146,448
118,843
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
9. TOWN ‘N’ COUNTRY
Population1
Population: 46,853
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
10,160
Economic Development Administration
$98,616,117
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
INFORMATION
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
CONSTRUCTION
MANUFACTURING
WHOLESALE TRADE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
OTHER SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
46,078
775
2047
1363
1216
945
848
751
667
570
409
361
288
260
178
162
45
II-18
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
INFORMATION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
WHOLESALE TRADE
MANUFACTURING
CONSTRUCTION
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$19,242,082
15,381,098
12,590,165
8,393,264
8,333,182
6,553,202
5,384,756
4,389,212
4,315,665
4,005,505
3,775,201
3,680,054
783,447
579,307
549,670
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
10. EGYPT LAKE
Population1
Population: 71,722
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
37,546
Total quarterly wages:
Economic Development Administration
$407,987,478
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
RETAIL TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
MANUFACTURING
CONSTRUCTION
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
INFORMATION
OTHER SERVICES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
71,657
65
6273
5002
4215
4200
3697
3615
2483
1817
1609
1341
1060
821
572
494
115
69
47
II-19
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
MANUFACTURING
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
INFORMATION
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$89,137,563
47,766,725
47,183,315
42,120,478
40,246,130
32,572,424
29,546,320
24,565,095
14,834,642
10,467,601
9,920,892
5,889,132
5,280,168
4,134,043
1,335,323
489,679
454,439
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
11. LOWERY PARK – FOREST HILLS
Population1
Population: 36,336
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
7,258
Economic Development Administration
$57,680,807
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
RETAIL TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
INFORMATION
OTHER SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
MANUFACTURING
36,125
211
2300
663
471
451
393
362
282
256
240
226
217
198
183
157
63
II-20
RETAIL TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL
ASSISTANCE
CONSTRUCTION
WHOLESALE TRADE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND
RECREATION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE
SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL
SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
INFORMATION
TRANSPORTATION AND
WAREHOUSING
OTHER SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND
LEASING
MANUFACTURING
$19,636,01
2
5,245,102
2,860,308
2,852,831
2,810,258
2,704,685
2,486,201
2,354,596
2,182,024
2,004,094
1,401,374
1,243,671
1,200,687
1,131,935
522,927
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
12. NORTH TAMPA
Population1
Population: 27,082
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
13,834
Economic Development Administration
$111,747,531
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
MANUFACTURING
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
INFORMATION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
WHOLESALE TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
27,050
32
4269
2319
1130
1024
926
851
756
504
464
391
358
274
159
150
141
83
34
II-21
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND
RECREATION
MANUFACTURING
CONSTRUCTION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL
SERVICES
INFORMATION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
RETAIL TRADE
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$25,486,510
18,940,736
16,061,745
9,952,659
6,912,302
6,903,365
5,371,491
5,040,170
3,809,217
3,771,759
3,303,017
1,975,365
1,280,449
1,234,510
990,613
443,392
264,231
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
13. TEMPLE TERRACE
Population1
Population: 31,669
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
7,838
Total quarterly wages:
Economic Development Administration
$103,943,018
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
INFORMATION
MANUFACTURING
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
WHOLESALE TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
30,501
1,168
1855
941
826
815
588
522
516
370
256
249
230
204
154
120
114
76
II-22
INFORMATION
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
MANUFACTURING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
CONSTRUCTION
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
OTHER SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$37,320,217
17,351,057
9,029,874
8,776,037
5,908,306
4,166,834
3,908,998
3,459,499
2,643,621
2,553,451
2,468,887
2,254,388
1,351,614
1,008,595
918,834
815,631
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
14. SULPHUR SPRINGS – TEMPLE CREST
Population1
Population: 34,881
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
3,707
Economic Development Administration
$26,751,920
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
MANUFACTURING
CONSTRUCTION
OTHER SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
INFORMATION
34,855
26
732
726
542
387
289
266
176
119
99
79
69
67
59
36
11
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
MANUFACTURING
RETAIL TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL
SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE
SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND
LEASING
TRANSPORTATION AND
WAREHOUSING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND
RECREATION
INFORMATION
II-23
$5,931,56
7
3,539,725
3,350,031
3,050,756
2,774,638
2,300,785
1,445,156
742,101
626,864
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
604,917
559,933
556,095
474,137
238,792
76,774
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
15. EAST LAKE – ORIENT PARK
Population1
Population: 16,060
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
16,163
Economic Development Administration
$170,822,166
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
RETAIL TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
INFORMATION
OTHER SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
MANUFACTURING
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
16,012
48
3253
2553
1594
1227
1193
1049
853
780
735
653
551
479
372
128
111
109
II-24
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
RETAIL TRADE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
INFORMATION
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
OTHER SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$29,858,714
28,386,478
17,923,060
17,259,099
12,293,788
10,515,611
8,531,802
8,371,396
6,014,303
5,353,739
5,076,178
4,190,677
3,736,241
1,398,813
1,124,965
833,783
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
17. MANGO – SEFFNER ‐ THONOTOSASSA
Population1
Population: 44,324
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
22,744
Economic Development Administration
$268,742,735
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
RETAIL TRADE
MANUFACTURING
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
CONSTRUCTION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
INFORMATION
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
OTHER SERVICES
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
34,765
9,559
5405
2517
1777
1684
1607
1579
1513
1509
1473
991
935
470
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
RETAIL TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
MANUFACTURING
CONSTRUCTION
INFORMATION
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
321
283
192
161
133
II-25
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$81,664,776
23,585,742
20,286,194
19,905,828
19,244,080
18,593,274
17,774,244
17,641,137
17,173,941
11,874,199
4,594,796
4,487,751
4,007,002
2,306,206
1,902,990
618,499
398,912
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
18. ROCKY POINT
Population1
Population: 3,813
In site‐built homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
6,357
Economic Development Administration
$132,632,118
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
INFORMATION
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
CONSTRUCTION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
OTHER SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
3,813
2349
1169
897
665
317
155
155
153
148
109
98
41
40
36
23
II-26
INFORMATION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
CONSTRUCTION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$42,884,840
34,079,029
26,009,129
6,882,351
5,097,594
4,311,746
2,672,990
2,628,416
2,458,751
2,124,270
1,624,769
578,182
563,376
475,993
159,901
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
19. TAMPA AIRPORT
Population1
Population: 7,662
In site‐built homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
33,689
Total quarterly wages:
Economic Development Administration
$458,981,558
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
RETAIL TRADE
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
INFORMATION
CONSTRUCTION
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
MANUFACTURING
OTHER SERVICES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
7,662
4552
4448
4036
3980
2970
2718
1796
1607
1598
1520
1220
840
744
670
455
420
111
II-27
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
RETAIL TRADE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
INFORMATION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
MANUFACTURING
OTHER SERVICES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$87,080,800
56,472,780
52,491,964
33,060,632
30,583,279
26,857,236
26,627,200
26,038,845
24,735,411
23,006,884
19,662,892
18,428,566
10,174,032
9,325,297
8,870,978
4,520,274
1,035,721
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
20. WEST TAMPA – HEIGHTS AREA
Population1
Population: 53,018
In site‐built homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
29,498
Total quarterly wages:
By employment sector:
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
INFORMATION
OTHER SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
CONSTRUCTION
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
MANUFACTURING
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
WHOLESALE TRADE
Economic Development Administration
53,018
$359,636,541
By employment sector:
9319
3261
2055
1992
1870
1485
1446
1299
1221
1124
1026
971
762
709
605
343
II-28
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL
SERVICES
INFORMATION
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
CONSTRUCTION
OTHER SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$120,826,503
66,650,113
28,777,347
23,777,931
19,416,308
18,497,085
16,447,838
13,647,670
12,396,293
12,321,642
7,279,375
5,321,313
5,059,907
4,664,004
2,951,461
1,527,070
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
21. WESTSHORE
Population1
Population: 13,666
In site‐built homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
23,299
Total quarterly wages:
Economic Development Administration
$303,758,302
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
WHOLESALE TRADE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
INFORMATION
OTHER SERVICES
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
MANUFACTURING
13,666
4905
3531
2970
1877
1722
1634
1421
1353
983
723
646
545
317
310
199
84
74
II-29
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
WHOLESALE TRADE
INFORMATION
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
OTHER SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$82,677,034
52,598,589
25,697,929
24,695,013
23,386,025
16,788,957
14,930,730
11,591,244
11,096,520
9,729,095
9,663,884
8,332,321
5,123,545
3,531,435
2,540,732
695,969
630,279
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
22. PORT TAMPA
Population1
Population: 21,252
In site‐built homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
3,166
Economic Development Administration
$31,077,733
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
MANUFACTURING
CONSTRUCTION
RETAIL TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
INFORMATION
WHOLESALE TRADE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
21,252
564
492
437
319
227
224
221
155
111
96
96
77
62
55
24
CONSTRUCTION
MANUFACTURING
RETAIL TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE
SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL
SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND
WAREHOUSING
WHOLESALE TRADE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
INFORMATION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND
LEASING
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND
RECREATION
II-30
$5,206,58
0
4,781,330
3,500,105
2,949,180
2,558,643
2,202,674
1,944,406
1,558,503
1,201,439
1,128,162
1,059,567
1,000,686
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
861,822
827,803
237,223
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
23. SOUTH TAMPA
Population1
Population: 38,672
In site‐built homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
14,112
Economic Development Administration
$138,345,653
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
CONSTRUCTION
WHOLESALE TRADE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
INFORMATION
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
38,672
2363
2274
1578
1435
1421
1107
920
557
511
392
372
359
341
332
77
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
RETAIL TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
INFORMATION
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
71
II-31
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$28,518,643
22,519,485
15,686,226
14,022,899
10,065,712
7,220,410
6,617,133
6,141,682
5,660,154
5,614,870
5,526,282
2,913,035
2,892,466
2,565,592
1,565,427
798,385
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
24. MACDILL AFB
Population1
Population: 2,392
In site‐built homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
2,104
Economic Development Administration
$25,885,748
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
2,392
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL
SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE
SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL
ASSISTANCE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
461
387
308
227
174
21
II-32
$10,949,87
3
4,874,045
4,675,534
1,662,282
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
773,071
174,644
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Population1
Population: 16,366
In site‐built homes:
25. BAYSHORE
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
5,427
Economic Development Administration
$101,391,652
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
INFORMATION
OTHER SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
WHOLESALE TRADE
MANUFACTURING
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
16,366
1089
933
607
584
539
327
285
227
220
209
179
134
54
18
CONSTRUCTION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
INFORMATION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
WHOLESALE TRADE
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
MANUFACTURING
11
11
II-33
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$38,452,956
18,427,946
15,568,588
7,359,038
4,341,253
3,357,333
3,077,685
2,667,707
1,972,309
1,808,531
1,262,659
1,228,950
1,174,002
248,520
239,740
204,435
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
26. DAVIS ISLANDS – HARBOUR ISLAND
Population1
Population: 8,982
In site‐built homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
11,095
Total quarterly wages:
Economic Development Administration
$146,586,261
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
OTHER SERVICES
INFORMATION
RETAIL TRADE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
CONSTRUCTION
WHOLESALE TRADE
8,982
6369
853
533
519
170
136
110
104
101
80
40
37
28
II-34
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL
ASSISTANCE
TRANSPORTATION AND
WAREHOUSING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL
SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
INFORMATION
RETAIL TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE
SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND
RECREATION
WHOLESALE TRADE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND
LEASING
CONSTRUCTION
$87,714,98
6
18,998,359
10,445,505
3,092,206
2,640,959
2,336,170
1,501,380
1,430,762
1,360,908
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
656,172
469,337
399,368
398,695
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
27. DOWNTOWN TAMPA
Population1
Population: 2,244
In site‐built homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
57,329
Economic Development Administration
$591,927,709
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
INFORMATION
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
UTILITIES
OTHER SERVICES
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
WHOLESALE TRADE
RETAIL TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
MANUFACTURING
2,244
28473
13122
4943
2005
1788
1634
1127
1057
610
460
454
450
303
249
238
180
126
101
II-35
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL
SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
INFORMATION
UTILITIES
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
WHOLESALE TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
RETAIL TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
MANUFACTURING
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$178,578,806
157,590,249
106,633,143
43,350,147
21,822,276
15,836,845
11,977,018
8,731,409
8,570,959
8,566,308
7,132,609
5,815,653
4,949,595
4,125,364
3,280,178
2,170,266
1,394,648
1,328,338
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
28. YBOR CITY
Population1
Population: 14,110
In site‐built homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
10,362
Economic Development Administration
$128,567,909
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
OTHER SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
INFORMATION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
14,110
1343
999
808
586
523
431
308
246
206
191
168
151
150
51
23
II-36
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL
SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
MANUFACTURING
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
INFORMATION
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$20,135,384
11,807,889
8,268,280
6,032,896
5,403,191
3,594,491
3,536,468
2,729,349
2,089,595
2,057,307
1,804,289
1,551,736
1,066,494
480,471
147,810
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
29. EAST TAMPA
Population1
Population: 23,251
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
7,632
Economic Development Administration
$76,399,187
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
WHOLESALE TRADE
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
CONSTRUCTION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
RETAIL TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
INFORMATION
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
22,826
425
1179
1124
916
801
771
638
485
354
309
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
WHOLESALE TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
RETAIL TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
MANUFACTURING
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
INFORMATION
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
277
258
242
112
61
52
30
21
II-37
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$14,102,074
13,675,009
10,267,373
8,332,568
5,725,040
4,632,743
4,171,525
3,446,517
3,057,107
2,552,674
2,350,351
1,584,959
1,410,055
377,638
367,240
208,282
101,682
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
30. PALMETTO BEACH – PORT OF TAMPA
Population1
Population: 6,550
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
10,032
Total quarterly wages:
Economic Development Administration
$104,360,500
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
MANUFACTURING
WHOLESALE TRADE
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
CONSTRUCTION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
INFORMATION
6,174
376
2441
2124
1834
1065
770
422
383
259
257
256
68
55
13
II-38
MANUFACTURING
WHOLESALE TRADE
TRANSPORTATION AND
WAREHOUSING
CONSTRUCTION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE
SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL
SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND
LEASING
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL
ASSISTANCE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
INFORMATION
$27,301,74
4
24,103,756
18,095,715
12,467,260
6,095,497
3,758,944
3,281,114
2,864,080
2,706,215
1,236,321
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
696,165
626,322
131,376
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
30. BRANDON ‐ VALRICO
Population1
Population: 168,753
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
38,972
Total quarterly wages:
Economic Development Administration
$325,990,418
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
RETAIL TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
MANUFACTURING
OTHER SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
INFORMATION
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
166,096
2,657
10196
5608
4699
3452
3098
1959
1829
1803
1755
1191
800
745
672
555
363
150
95
II-39
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
CONSTRUCTION
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
OTHER SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
INFORMATION
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$62,409,340
60,605,200
40,533,424
22,767,222
22,610,737
22,207,687
20,341,939
18,886,789
18,809,502
7,699,765
7,654,920
6,892,097
6,513,139
2,912,188
2,869,865
1,448,701
812,868
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
31. TURKEY CREEK ‐ KEYSVILLE
Population1
Population: 21,418
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
1,673
Economic Development Administration
$10,915,858
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
CONSTRUCTION
RETAIL TRADE
WHOLESALE TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
MANUFACTURING
OTHER SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
16,261
5,157
838
377
88
62
55
50
44
42
22
12
10
CONSTRUCTION
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
WHOLESALE TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL
SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
MANUFACTURING
OTHER SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE
SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND
LEASING
TRANSPORTATION AND
WAREHOUSING
II-40
$3,094,95
6
2,726,559
1,398,490
906,170
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
495,372
493,242
337,070
272,478
91,597
83,005
79,632
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
32. PLANT CITY
Population1
Population: 53,620
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
49,366
4,254
$126,597,625
15,220
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
MANUFACTURING
RETAIL TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
WHOLESALE TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
OTHER SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
INFORMATION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
Economic Development Administration
MANUFACTURING
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
WHOLESALE TRADE
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
INFORMATION
OTHER SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
2508
2328
1850
1676
1370
1143
787
594
553
514
320
306
286
212
142
37
14
II-41
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$28,493,008
17,714,473
15,937,196
12,926,719
8,590,237
5,812,213
5,742,307
5,341,035
4,768,640
4,369,041
3,594,241
2,402,180
2,062,047
1,147,301
932,185
694,769
109,982
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
33. PALM RIVER
Population1
Population: 7,845
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
7,103
842
$58.436,192
4,530
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
WHOLESALE TRADE
MANUFACTURING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
CONSTRUCTION
RETAIL TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
MINING
Economic Development Administration
1574
1103
581
367
275
156
104
75
63
58
22
II-42
WHOLESALE TRADE
MANUFACTURING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
CONSTRUCTION
RETAIL TRADE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL
SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
MINING
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$21,064,318
16,225,879
7,167,623
3,639,605
2,363,844
1,480,215
1,319,138
1,044,891
560,930
533,363
126,687
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
34. PROGRESS VILLAGE
Population1
Population: 26,785
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
8,636
Economic Development Administration
$94,205,433
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
WHOLESALE TRADE
RETAIL TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
CONSTRUCTION
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
UTILITIES
INFORMATION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
25,739
1,046
1319
1057
1001
856
842
715
575
423
390
352
265
241
182
169
118
II-43
WHOLESALE TRADE
MANUFACTURING
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
RETAIL TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
UTILITIES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
INFORMATION
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
OTHER SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$15,538,273
10,872,329
10,029,005
9,326,002
8,748,471
8,537,227
7,140,549
5,146,769
4,393,244
4,054,043
3,605,452
2,203,786
2,115,879
1,109,215
570,893
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
35. GIBSONTON
Population1
Population: 27,572
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
2,671
Economic Development Administration
$20,951,218
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
RETAIL TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
WHOLESALE TRADE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
MANUFACTURING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
22,041
5,531
772
436
400
233
189
148
141
69
66
63
57
54
25
15
CONSTRUCTION
RETAIL TRADE
WHOLESALE TRADE
MANUFACTURING
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND
RECREATION
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND
WAREHOUSING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL
SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE
SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
OTHER SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND
LEASING
II-44
$4,724,03
7
4,412,392
3,919,114
1,465,781
1,452,161
1,114,440
771,091
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
732,242
567,976
509,782
477,537
437,330
208,017
119,798
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
36. RIVERVIEW – FISH HAWK
Population1
Population: 62,408
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
4,587
Economic Development Administration
$34,756,410
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
RETAIL TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
OTHER SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
MANUFACTURING
WHOLESALE TRADE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
55,590
6,818
1202
766
675
610
235
182
158
131
127
118
102
92
75
70
20
CONSTRUCTION
RETAIL TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
MANUFACTURING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL
SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
TRANSPORTATION AND
WAREHOUSING
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE
SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND
LEASING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND
RECREATION
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
II-45
$7,237,02
3
6,664,821
5,118,577
3,959,609
2,493,647
2,139,701
1,366,516
1,282,971
1,176,863
1,087,928
719,517
631,192
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
391,309
222,496
98,543
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
37. RIVERVIEW – FISH HAWK
Population1
Population: 62,408
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
4,587
Economic Development Administration
$34,756,410
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
RETAIL TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
OTHER SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
MANUFACTURING
WHOLESALE TRADE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
55,590
6,818
1202
766
675
610
235
182
158
131
127
118
102
92
75
70
20
CONSTRUCTION
RETAIL TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
MANUFACTURING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL
SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
TRANSPORTATION AND
WAREHOUSING
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE
SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND
LEASING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND
RECREATION
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
II-46
$7,237,02
3
6,664,821
5,118,577
3,959,609
2,493,647
2,139,701
1,366,516
1,282,971
1,176,863
1,087,928
719,517
631,192
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
391,309
222,496
98,543
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
38. RUSKIN
Population1
Population: 46,104
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
7,857
Total quarterly wages:
By employment sector:
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
UTILITIES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
CONSTRUCTION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
OTHER SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
INFORMATION
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
Economic Development Administration
41,760
4,344
$64,049,946
By employment sector:
1839
1367
846
604
554
509
342
302
285
283
255
253
137
126
104
27
12
11
II-47
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
UTILITIES
RETAIL TRADE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
INFORMATION
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$18,045,064
10,308,906
7,262,644
3,422,102
3,395,327
3,130,156
2,986,925
2,532,668
2,517,349
2,357,317
2,204,288
1,838,986
1,410,953
1,075,844
927,763
229,657
201,094
157,103
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Population1
Population: 29,002
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
38. WIMAUMA
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
22,505
6,597
Total quarterly wages:
$11,554,947
1,754
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
MANUFACTURING
462
260
194
182
158
148
107
46
38
35
32
30
27
19
10
Economic Development Administration
II-48
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
CONSTRUCTION
RETAIL TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
OTHER SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
MANUFACTURING
$4,331,616
1,196,747
1,112,378
1,035,602
966,129
722,228
414,817
413,937
241,147
230,282
215,409
190,996
185,144
173,367
48,319
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Hillsborough
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
39. RURAL SOUTHEAST HILLSBOROUGH
Population1
Population: 11,552
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
1,737
Economic Development Administration
$18,375,801
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
CONSTRUCTION
RETAIL TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
MINING
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
OTHER SERVICES
9,083
2,469
603
550
85
84
82
81
66
45
45
35
21
13
10
II-49
CONSTRUCTION
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
MINING
WHOLESALE TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
OTHER SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
$10,172,784
2,223,160
1,362,721
891,475
808,416
735,087
502,791
384,164
336,260
280,651
269,223
134,449
46,785
22,852
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions - Manatee
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
MANATEE COUNTY INDEX MAP
1.
2.
3.
PORT MANATEE
VALROY – GILLETTE
MEMPHIS – TERRA
CEIA
4. PALMETTO
5. ELLENTON (NORTH)
6. PARRISH
7. FORT HAMER – RYE
8. FOXBROOK
9. DUETTE
10. ANNA MARIA –
HOLMES BEACH
11. BRADENTON BEACH
12. LONGBOAT KEY
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
Economic Development Administration
PERICO
WEST BRADENTON
CORTEZ
BRADENTON
(SOUTHWEST)
SOUTH BRADENTON
– BAYSHORE
GARDENS (WEST)
SARASOTA BAY
BRADENTON
(CENTRAL & EAST)
RIVERDALE –
TROPICAL SHORES –
BRADEN RIVER LAKE
II-50
21. SAMOSET
22. WHITFIELD –
BAYSHORE
GARDENS (EAST)
23. BRADEN RIVER EAST
24. EASTGATE –
TALLEVAST –
UNIVERSITY PARK
25. FOXLEIGH –
WATERBURY
26. LAKEWOOD RANCH
27. MYAKKA CIITY
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions - Manatee
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
1. PORT MANATEE
Population1
Population: 1,378
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
1,374
4
627
Total quarterly wages:
$5,090,729
By employment sector:
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
MANUFACTURING
CONSTRUCTION
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
Economic Development Administration
By employment sector:
204
139
114
38
TRANSPORTATION AND
WAREHOUSING
MANUFACTURING
CONSTRUCTION
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD
SERVICES
II-1
$1,766,61
9
1,650,351
717,117
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
208,269
Part II – County Descriptions - Manatee
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
2. VALROY ‐ GILLETTE
Population1
Population: 5,310
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
70
Total quarterly wages:
By employment sector:
$456,194
By employment sector:
CONSTRUCTION
31
OTHER SERVICES
22
Economic Development Administration
4,445
865
CONSTRUCTION
OTHER SERVICES
II-52
$261,153
113,453
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions - Manatee
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
3. MEMPHIS – TERRA CEIA
Population1
Population: 8,354
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
1,010
Economic Development Administration
$8,056,907
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
CONSTRUCTION
WHOLESALE TRADE
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
OTHER SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
8,229
125
209
162
114
94
77
77
67
62
30
28
25
17
II-53
CONSTRUCTION
WHOLESALE TRADE
RETAIL TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL
SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$2,051,069
1,580,428
990,502
592,078
484,345
425,854
394,065
298,748
288,295
270,145
189,387
Part II – County Descriptions - Manatee
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
4. PALMETTO
Population1
Population: 21,648
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
4,617
Total quarterly wages:
By employment sector:
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
RETAIL TRADE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
OTHER SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
Economic Development Administration
20,457
1,191
$33,918,207
By employment sector:
863
855
795
351
259
230
215
207
176
150
142
126
95
51
39
38
22
II-54
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
RETAIL TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
MANUFACTURING
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
OTHER SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$7,325,489
5,211,624
3,400,279
2,825,058
2,507,411
2,459,783
1,991,742
1,952,258
1,202,076
1,200,793
1,011,124
831,667
767,064
562,257
342,057
206,532
107,151
Part II – County Descriptions - Manatee
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
5. ELLENTON (NORTH)
Population1
Population: 9,268
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
1,873
Economic Development Administration
$19,149,622
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
WHOLESALE TRADE
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
CONSTRUCTION
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
MANUFACTURING
OTHER SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
7,629
1,639
624
243
195
157
142
138
111
85
79
21
21
II-55
WHOLESALE TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
MANUFACTURING
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$10,244,519
1,979,680
1,203,054
977,868
814,939
803,979
792,918
748,177
596,793
211,067
158,506
Part II – County Descriptions - Manatee
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
6. PARRISH
Population1
Population: 22,677
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
2,597
Total quarterly wages:
By employment sector:
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
WHOLESALE TRADE
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
Economic Development Administration
18,817
3,860
$15,376,476
By employment sector:
1,130
340
313
221
91
78
72
61
47
46
45
35
34
27
24
22
II-56
RETAIL TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
MANUFACTURING
OTHER SERVICES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
WHOLESALE TRADE
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$5,030,836
3,717,363
1,136,767
965,757
813,298
639,079
493,390
487,316
486,724
263,149
248,422
228,930
228,570
223,928
218,599
53,957
Part II – County Descriptions - Manatee
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
7. FORT HAMER ‐ RYE
Population1
Population: 12,505
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
1,053
Economic Development Administration
$7,759,281
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
CONSTRUCTION
OTHER SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
12,077
428
307
212
126
112
62
58
52
41
21
18
17
17
II-57
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
CONSTRUCTION
WHOLESALE TRADE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
OTHER SERVICES
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$2,200,968
1,753,688
791,801
622,679
567,952
481,432
435,465
305,992
195,155
116,280
115,700
81,812
Part II – County Descriptions - Manatee
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
8. FOXBROOK
Population1
Population: 1,628
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
116
Total quarterly wages:
By employment sector:
CONSTRUCTION
Economic Development Administration
1,618
10
$524,722
By employment sector:
CONSTRUCTION
19
II-58
$161,681
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions - Manatee
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
9. DUETTE
Population1
Population: 1,283
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
324
Total quarterly wages:
By employment sector:
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
CONSTRUCTION
RETAIL TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
Economic Development Administration
1,067
216
$3,268,874
By employment sector:
173
20
12
11
II-59
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
CONSTRUCTION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$537,285
332,697
68,266
61,602
Part II – County Descriptions - Manatee
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
10. ANNA MARIA – HOLMES BEACH
Population1
Population: 7,276
In site‐built homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
1,153
Economic Development Administration
$8,441,526
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
CONSTRUCTION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
OTHER SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
7,276
376
280
95
80
72
51
41
36
34
29
26
10
II-60
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
CONSTRUCTION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
WHOLESALE TRADE
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$2,077,971
1,839,872
1,282,241
679,161
545,274
434,683
420,337
275,726
237,203
188,717
120,893
119,078
Part II – County Descriptions - Manatee
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
11. BRADENTON BEACH
Population1
Population: 1,674
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
437
Total quarterly wages:
By employment sector:
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
RETAIL TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
Economic Development Administration
1,621
53
$2,723,214
By employment sector:
214
123
31
17
II-61
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
RETAIL TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$1,467,263
571,911
133,681
60,972
Part II – County Descriptions - Manatee
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
12. LONGBOAT KEY
Population1
Population: 2,876
In site‐built homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
535
Total quarterly wages:
By employment sector:
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
RETAIL TRADE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
Economic Development Administration
2,876
$5,424,176
By employment sector:
154
80
79
55
35
14
14
12
12
II-62
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
OTHER SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$1,042,534
657,739
598,025
494,336
279,886
195,104
173,227
166,282
141,036
116,392
Part II – County Descriptions - Manatee
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
13. PERICO
Population1
Population: 1,463
In site‐built homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
13
Total quarterly wages:
By employment sector:
1,463
$124,351
By employment sector:
**NO REPORTABLE DATA BY SECTOR**
TOO FEW ESTABLISHMENTS TO MAINTAIN
CONFIDENTIALITY STANDARDS
Economic Development Administration
II-63
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions - Manatee
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
14. WEST BRADENTON
Population1
Population: 16,477
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
2,122
Economic Development Administration
$16,432,244
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
WHOLESALE TRADE
MANUFACTURING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
15,276
1,201
559
451
184
178
150
112
105
78
63
52
52
33
28
19
II-64
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
OTHER SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
CONSTRUCTION
WHOLESALE TRADE
MANUFACTURING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$5,535,172
2,500,798
1,897,437
1,356,271
964,786
605,989
540,592
534,111
512,402
509,134
429,796
320,355
236,321
149,948
Part II – County Descriptions - Manatee
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
15. CORTEZ
Population1
Population: 8,072
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
405
By employment sector:
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
CONSTRUCTION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
Economic Development Administration
7,454
618
$2,934,477
By employment sector:
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
61
57
53
50
48
34
33
21
12
12
II-65
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$488,735
426,341
374,364
343,540
258,654
257,003
247,721
139,014
97,474
59,466
Part II – County Descriptions - Manatee
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
16. BRADENTON (SOUTHWEST)
Population1
Population: 42,841
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
8,996
Total quarterly wages:
By employment sector:
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
OTHER SERVICES
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
INFORMATION
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
MANUFACTURING
Economic Development Administration
37,473
5,368
$85,171,116
By employment sector:
4,155
1,203
918
448
401
354
298
264
240
222
139
109
97
53
49
40
II-66
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
RETAIL TRADE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
WHOLESALE TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
INFORMATION
MANUFACTURING
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$45,179,778
7,932,359
7,420,099
5,837,828
4,606,227
3,246,873
2,272,907
1,425,695
1,402,794
1,317,458
1,176,567
1,174,089
851,655
509,020
486,332
288,865
Part II – County Descriptions - Manatee
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
17. SOUTH BRADENTON –
BAYSHORE GARDENS (WEST)
Population1
Population: 25,150
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
6,977
Economic Development Administration
$51,024,409
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
RETAIL TRADE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
OTHER SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
MANUFACTURING
INFORMATION
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
23,440
1,710
2,332
1,356
921
911
255
240
140
136
125
112
100
95
85
51
43
14
II-67
RETAIL TRADE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
WHOLESALE TRADE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
OTHER SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
MANUFACTURING
INFORMATION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$14,915,780
11,380,911
8,947,167
3,371,166
2,312,075
1,786,669
1,774,652
932,312
876,494
810,026
686,997
614,214
580,300
570,849
384,661
91,606
Part II – County Descriptions - Manatee
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
18. SARASOTA BAY
Population1
Population: 8,346
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
1,183
Total quarterly wages:
By employment sector:
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
Economic Development Administration
6,424
1,922
$7,323,964
By employment sector:
318
231
166
138
85
63
48
37
25
17
16
15
10
II-68
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
OTHER SERVICES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
WHOLESALE TRADE
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$1,887,836
1,841,879
742,285
641,229
587,082
543,991
291,494
227,087
139,964
108,954
97,110
67,773
60,413
Part II – County Descriptions - Manatee
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
19. BRADENTON (CENTRAL & EAST)
Population1
Population: 20,784
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
16,339
Economic Development Administration
$166,992,154
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
MANUFACTURING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
OTHER SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
INFORMATION
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
20,782
2
5,519
3,495
3,010
1,354
522
319
312
308
275
256
240
197
176
163
103
53
II-69
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
MANUFACTURING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
INFORMATION
CONSTRUCTION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
OTHER SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$40,949,720
37,011,734
31,981,920
22,031,045
8,375,897
5,371,030
3,778,206
3,208,713
3,094,238
2,307,178
2,180,745
2,034,888
1,918,838
1,068,440
986,464
320,826
Part II – County Descriptions - Manatee
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
20. RIVERDALE – TROPICAL SHORES –
BRADEN RIVER LAKE
Population1
Population: 7,850
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
1,254
Economic Development Administration
$11,058,934
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
INFORMATION
RETAIL TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
CONSTRUCTION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
7,841
9
271
244
180
100
92
75
69
64
64
31
22
22
12
II-70
INFORMATION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
WHOLESALE TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$3,060,004
1,184,628
1,142,942
1,113,988
969,925
848,350
838,049
832,644
480,376
218,858
187,973
103,969
21,591
Part II – County Descriptions - Manatee
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
21. SAMOSET
Population1
Population: 31,154
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
7,815
Economic Development Administration
$64,145,906
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
RETAIL TRADE
MANUFACTURING
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
CONSTRUCTION
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
OTHER SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
WHOLESALE TRADE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
INFORMATION
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
27,911
3,243
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
RETAIL TRADE
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
MANUFACTURING
CONSTRUCTION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
OTHER SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
INFORMATION
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
1,514
1,474
775
756
702
684
425
290
288
224
149
135
117
111
105
27
II-71
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$13,766,492
9,260,786
8,720,035
7,467,498
7,332,338
2,862,693
2,784,516
2,524,006
2,399,051
1,514,443
1,302,866
1,259,367
1,101,759
826,583
494,707
130,409
Part II – County Descriptions - Manatee
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
22. WHITFIELD – BAYSHORE GARDENS
Population1
Population: 33,644
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
8,208
Economic Development Administration
$86,555,808
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
MANUFACTURING
RETAIL TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
OTHER SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
UTILITIES
INFORMATION
32,253
1,391
2,240
1,026
876
804
748
673
499
375
253
201
145
137
123
46
12
II-72
MANUFACTURING
RETAIL TRADE
WHOLESALE TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
UTILITIES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
INFORMATION
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$35,140,124
7,967,493
7,441,771
7,091,709
6,087,947
5,800,447
5,667,608
2,987,752
2,791,769
1,394,231
1,205,268
920,556
869,434
727,275
96,886
Part II – County Descriptions - Manatee
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
23. BRADEN RIVER EAST
Population1
Population: 7,675
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
1,876
Total quarterly wages:
By employment sector:
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
OTHER SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
WHOLESALE TRADE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
Economic Development Administration
7,666
9
$11,071,671
By employment sector:
588
492
211
119
105
67
51
50
49
24
22
22
16
II-73
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$3,446,753
1,749,598
1,145,899
831,199
783,640
783,137
578,593
343,349
258,915
233,523
225,171
165,620
97,721
Part II – County Descriptions - Manatee
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
24. EASTGATE – TALLEVAST – UNIVERSITY
Population1
Population: 29,611
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
7,315
Economic Development Administration
$59,807,777
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
MANUFACTURING
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
OTHER SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
INFORMATION
29,348
263
1,601
1,285
933
758
596
521
298
272
213
189
182
169
165
63
27
11
II-74
MANUFACTURING
CONSTRUCTION
RETAIL TRADE
WHOLESALE TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
INFORMATION
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$15,257,284
7,359,414
7,111,613
6,487,064
5,822,471
3,746,803
2,542,401
2,479,327
2,418,041
1,573,187
1,534,224
1,306,905
1,116,186
689,088
169,962
105,209
Part II – County Descriptions - Manatee
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
25. FOXLEIGH ‐ WATERBURY
Population1
Population: 21,650
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
1,214
Economic Development Administration
$10,378,500
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
CONSTRUCTION
RETAIL TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
OTHER SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
MANUFACTURING
21,595
55
223
183
179
138
89
88
66
53
49
40
28
21
21
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
RETAIL TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
OTHER SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
MANUFACTURING
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
II-75
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$1,760,721
1,711,271
964,051
917,704
814,868
783,922
676,928
609,154
550,605
526,231
226,299
172,138
99,749
Part II – County Descriptions - Manatee
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
26. LAKEWOOD RANCH
Population1
Population: 21,499
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
4,684
Total quarterly wages:
By employment sector:
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
INFORMATION
MANUFACTURING
Economic Development Administration
21,495
4
$58,391,272
By employment sector:
841
719
548
493
340
291
242
209
165
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
CONSTRUCTION
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
RETAIL TRADE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
INFORMATION
MANUFACTURING
160
147
121
119
92
70
55
43
29
II-76
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$13,438,576
7,702,513
6,099,344
5,854,791
3,790,415
3,236,644
3,155,248
2,613,101
2,571,592
2,061,770
2,049,868
1,451,159
1,223,441
925,004
877,274
572,358
484,881
283,293
Part II – County Descriptions - Manatee
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
27. MYAKKA CITY
Population1
Population: 6,413
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
1,219
By employment sector:
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
MANUFACTURING
CONSTRUCTION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICE
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
OTHER SERVICES
Economic Development Administration
6,061
352
$6,772,373
By employment sector:
826
131
88
50
29
18
17
14
12
MANUFACTURING
CONSTRUCTION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
OTHER SERVICES
II-77
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$2,062,047
464,496
338,166
188,320
174,823
151,986
112,524
78,595
Part II – County Descriptions - Manatee
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Economic Development Administration
II-78
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Pasco
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
PASCO COUNTY INDEX MAP
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
HUDSON BEACH
(NORTH) – ARIPEKA
HERITAGE PINES –
HUDSON (EAST)
SHADY HILLS
GREENFIELD – FIVAY
PASCO – DARBY
BLANTON – TRILBY
SAN ANTONIO – SAINT
LEO
DADE CITY
LACOOCHEE – GREEN
SWAMP
10. HUDSON BEACH
(SOUTH) – SALT SPRINGS
11. HUDSON
12. BAYONET POINT –
JASMINE ESTATES
13. MOON LAKE – HIDDEN
LAKE
14. CONNER PRESERVE
15. PORT RICHEY
16. NEW PORT RICHEY
17. NEW PORT RICHEY
(EAST)
Economic Development Administration
II-78
18. HOLIDAY (WEST)
BEACON SQUARE
19. ELFERS – TROUBLE
CREEK
20. HOLIDAY (EAST)
21. ODESSA – TRINITY –
STARKEY WILDERNESS
22. LAND O’ LAKES
23. WESLEY CHAPEL
24. PASADENA HILS
25. ZEPHYRHILLS
26. CRYSTAL SPRINGS
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Pasco
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
1. HUDSON BEACH (NORTH) – ARIPEKA
Population1
Population: 6,560
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
680
Economic Development Administration
$7,056,711
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
WHOLESALE TRADE
MANUFACTURING
OTHER SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
5,608
952
138
129
123
63
47
40
35
23
23
22
17
12
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
II-79
$3,644,834
875,916
491,368
436,912
280,281
266,253
241,055
180,668
172,873
140,743
139,337
131,574
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Pasco
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
2. HERITAGE PINES – HUDSON (EAST)
Population1
Population: 13,772
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
1,098
Economic Development Administration
$7,502,751
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
CONSTRUCTION
RETAIL TRADE
MANUFACTURING
OTHER SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
10,302
3,470
CONSTRUCTION
MANUFACTURING
RETAIL TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
WHOLESALE TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL
SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
249
220
143
112
108
56
41
31
31
27
26
16
14
II-80
$1,814,019
1,392,155
1,110,964
817,114
659,784
328,463
274,232
188,494
174,402
173,236
126,259
114,107
53,974
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Pasco
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
3. SHADY HILLS
Population1
Population: 18,315
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
546
Economic Development Administration
$3,824,357
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
CONSTRUCTION
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
MANUFACTURING
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
12,725
5,590
121
98
88
57
57
38
29
26
12
CONSTRUCTION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
MANUFACTURING
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
II-81
$905,124
800,241
601,061
352,391
307,135
290,650
249,480
210,246
31,543
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Pasco
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
4. GREENFIELD ‐ FIVAY
Population1
Population: 4,719
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
284
Total quarterly wages:
By employment sector:
CONSTRUCTION
MANUFACTURING
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
RETAIL TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
Economic Development Administration
3,644
1,075
$2,138,264
By employment sector:
106
57
18
17
14
14
11
CONSTRUCTION
MANUFACTURING
WHOLESALE TRADE
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
II-82
$1,069,541
300,771
100,115
99,692
97,367
72,381
55,134
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Pasco
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
5. PASCO ‐ DARBY
Population1
Population: 3,606
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
361
Economic Development Administration
$2,577,178
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
CONSTRUCTION
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
3,016
590
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
CONSTRUCTION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
208
48
37
29
17
II-83
$1,375,989
443,575
259,914
237,539
93,623
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Pasco
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
6. BLANTON ‐ TRILBY
Population1
Population: 6,425
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
566
Economic Development Administration
$4,904,659
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
MANUFACTURING
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
CONSTRUCTION
WHOLESALE TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
5,391
1,034
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
MANUFACTURING
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
WHOLESALE TRADE
RETAIL TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL
SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
OTHER SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
121
92
64
61
45
39
34
27
24
19
17
15
II-84
$1,164,551
1,144,650
485,249
420,953
312,250
288,249
259,246
250,555
209,075
113,758
106,359
103,514
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Pasco
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
7. SAN ANTONIO – SAINT LEO
Population1
Population: 4,452
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
1,331
Economic Development Administration
$12,363,391
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
3,967
485
536
157
140
127
38
36
36
18
17
15
12
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
II-85
$6,477,436
1,199,829
1,069,308
552,996
360,195
340,677
325,793
181,305
118,197
116,534
115,346
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Pasco
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
8. DADE CITY
Population1
Population: 14,521
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
13,112
1,409
$39,278,680
4,501
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
UTILITIES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
WHOLESALE TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
INFORMATION
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
Economic Development Administration
1105
733
707
692
217
202
173
139
91
85
82
76
43
35
34
29
28
15
14
II-86
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
UTILITIES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL
SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
OTHER SERVICES
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
INFORMATION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
MANUFACTURING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
$10,426,998
6,558,051
6,332,123
4,669,940
3,313,307
1,958,674
1,369,042
787,295
731,836
684,212
550,241
499,335
395,387
310,576
302,002
157,102
133,628
53,300
40,109
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Pasco
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
9. LACOOCHEE – GREEN SWAMP
Population1
Population: 3,953
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
298
Economic Development Administration
$1,988,407
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
RETAIL TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
3,332
621
110
41
37
35
15
14
8
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
$692,995
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
375,044
RETAIL TRADE
227,173
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
173,844
CONSTRUCTION
172,637
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
II-87
60,512
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Pasco
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
10. HUDSON BEACH– SALT SPRINGS
Population1
Population: 7,922
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
2,293
Economic Development Administration
$14,382,941
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
OTHER SERVICES
INFORMATION
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
WHOLESALE TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
6,180
1,742
1338
207
166
127
105
75
51
50
47
37
25
22
II-88
RETAIL TRADE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
CONSTRUCTION
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
INFORMATION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
WHOLESALE TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
$7,622,500
1,558,580
1,160,388
938,372
750,551
450,842
345,820
284,421
271,625
205,047
148,498
90,997
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Pasco
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
11. HUDSON
Population1
Population: 23,343
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
5,080
Economic Development Administration
$46,397,071
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
OTHER SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
WHOLESALE TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
MANUFACTURING
18,869
4,474
2972
1190
204
195
98
91
88
66
54
45
27
26
II-89
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
$33,123,428
6,991,727
1,921,342
732,267
682,750
622,387
440,043
420,426
375,812
284,657
242,012
147,758
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Pasco
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
12. BAYONET POINT – JASMINE ESTATES
Population1
Population: 34,623
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
4,147
Economic Development Administration
$24,065,631
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
INFORMATION
WHOLESALE TRADE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
MANUFACTURING
34,157
466
1273
901
381
321
205
157
153
142
141
58
53
44
19
14
II-90
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
INFORMATION
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
MANUFACTURING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
$6,450,547
3,424,515
2,940,751
2,049,695
1,335,270
1,319,146
969,598
909,196
714,275
482,318
461,876
293,118
99,907
89,100
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Pasco
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
13. MOON LAKE – HIDDEN LAKE
Population1
Population: 26,996
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
2,969
Economic Development Administration
$28,366,912
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
MANUFACTURING
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
OTHER SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
21,845
5,151
MANUFACTURING
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
OTHER SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
451
352
327
265
191
182
90
67
59
48
14
II-91
$6,678,109
4,449,401
2,996,367
1,736,010
1,207,136
889,666
723,203
488,588
335,958
261,023
108,606
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Pasco
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
14. CONNER PRESERVE
Population1
Population: 5,985
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
483
Economic Development Administration
$3,326,864
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
RETAIL TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
CONSTRUCTION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
5,910
75
158
92
67
46
26
25
24
11
10
RETAIL TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
II-92
$945,230
657,150
357,379
348,359
245,888
221,894
192,667
89,458
74,991
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Pasco
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
15. PORT RICHEY
Population1
Population: 3,116
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
1,860
Economic Development Administration
$14,076,731
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
OTHER SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
MANUFACTURING
RETAIL TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
3,069
47
588
195
176
163
163
144
133
90
54
52
51
32
18
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
MANUFACTURING
CONSTRUCTION
OTHER SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
II-93
$2,143,918
2,075,414
1,877,294
1,677,992
1,441,265
1,174,333
1,058,227
805,049
688,973
333,109
318,213
317,490
89,293
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Pasco
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
16. NEW PORT RICHEY
Population1
Population: 27,971
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
8,021
Economic Development Administration
$74,207,899
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
UTILITIES
MANUFACTURING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
INFORMATION
25,425
2,546
4015
582
510
348
346
326
307
226
208
194
169
155
110
106
87
72
II-94
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
OTHER SERVICES
UTILITIES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
MANUFACTURING
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
INFORMATION
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
WHOLESALE TRADE
$46,188,476
3,652,749
2,983,364
2,934,128
2,561,687
2,304,151
2,106,288
1,541,603
1,469,041
1,133,376
1,102,843
1,032,732
807,300
771,865
753,264
743,762
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Pasco
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
17. NEW PORT RICHEY (EAST)
Population1
Population: 11,021
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
1,999
Economic Development Administration
$14,486,721
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
WHOLESALE TRADE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
OTHER SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
9,429
1,592
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
OTHER SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
827
319
294
146
111
108
67
39
29
29
II-95
$7,275,098
1,936,754
1,455,363
1,023,564
1,018,879
552,605
434,789
364,782
216,130
101,604
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Pasco
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
18. HOLIDAY (WEST) – BEACON SQUARE
Population1
Population: 30,212
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
2,293
By employment sector:
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
OTHER SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
WHOLESALE TRADE
MANUFACTURING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
Economic Development Administration
28,504
1,708
$19,032,972
By employment sector:
859
393
245
219
195
142
131
123
62
50
36
28
13
RETAIL TRADE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
WHOLESALE TRADE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
MANUFACTURING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
II-96
$6,511,166
2,858,145
2,366,506
1,397,290
1,378,258
1,054,094
792,444
774,867
565,210
424,676
271,995
238,156
72,168
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Pasco
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
19. ELFERS – TROUBLE CREEK
Population1
Population: 11,696
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
2,957
Economic Development Administration
$20,928,851
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
RETAIL TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
OTHER SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
WHOLESALE TRADE
11,398
298
1093
567
358
144
134
111
90
87
84
49
10
10
II-97
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
CONSTRUCTION
OTHER SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
MANUFACTURING
$5,554,100
5,494,708
1,289,183
1,199,735
1,037,032
740,787
685,833
615,275
497,185
320,377
83,384
65,511
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Pasco
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
20. HOLIDAY (EAST)
Population1
Population: 33,329
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
4,703
Economic Development Administration
$39,167,733
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
32,226
1,103
854
724
554
437
321
319
316
316
295
200
199
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
MANUFACTURING
RETAIL TRADE
WHOLESALE TRADE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
CONSTRUCTION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
64
57
17
17
II-98
$8,146,871
4,404,612
4,302,759
3,782,488
3,017,077
2,864,677
2,733,842
2,101,317
2,065,653
1,878,435
1,790,681
1,348,623
435,756
113,346
91,915
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Pasco
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
21. ODESSA – TRINITY – STARKEY
WILDERNESS
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Population1
Population: 34,158
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Total quarterly wages:
8,208
By employment sector:
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
INFORMATION
Economic Development Administration
33,735
423
$86,555,808
By employment sector:
3280
1113
957
669
409
401
360
327
210
202
174
149
104
27
22
II-99
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
RETAIL TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
MANUFACTURING
WHOLESALE TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
OTHER SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
INFORMATION
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
$35,907,278
5,937,643
5,696,483
4,107,845
4,078,143
3,395,453
3,134,837
2,622,281
2,146,560
1,440,640
1,316,358
1,239,917
976,714
184,198
159,057
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Pasco
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
22. LAND O’ LAKES
Population1
Population: 48,663
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
15,166
Economic Development Administration
$74,270,134
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
WHOLESALE TRADE
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
MANUFACTURING
INFORMATION
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
46,310
2,353
10138
1362
829
546
530
362
278
254
225
189
130
103
94
84
27
13
II-100
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
CONSTRUCTION
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
OTHER SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
MANUFACTURING
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
INFORMATION
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
$40,299,314
7,736,334
5,242,915
5,050,286
2,997,898
2,629,965
2,011,503
1,992,676
1,576,623
1,465,850
939,628
797,200
578,552
544,215
345,065
55,545
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Pasco
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
23. WESLEY CHAPEL
Population1
Population: 79,072
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
7,957
Total quarterly wages:
By employment sector:
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
INFORMATION
OTHER SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
MANUFACTURING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
Economic Development Administration
74,002
5,070
$52,534,114
By employment sector:
3010
1752
657
501
331
309
253
229
176
146
140
122
108
86
62
41
22
II-101
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
INFORMATION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
WHOLESALE TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
$18,135,914
7,466,740
6,780,376
4,815,017
3,255,321
2,228,896
1,901,026
1,547,413
1,203,024
1,086,871
1,072,519
898,863
855,660
463,147
394,909
155,436
118,097
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Pasco
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
24. PASADENA HILLS
Population1
Population: 14,728
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
601
Economic Development Administration
$4,423,042
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
RETAIL TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
CONSTRUCTION
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
OTHER SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
MANUFACTURING
9,826
4,902
154
138
86
32
30
29
23
23
23
18
15
14
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
II-102
$1,182,758
1,120,617
586,980
200,399
197,260
188,670
176,166
157,062
142,389
137,539
126,780
60,016
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Pasco
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
25. ZEPHYRHILLS
Population1
Population: 32,230
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
7,188
Economic Development Administration
$63,615,737
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
CONSTRUCTION
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
INFORMATION
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
22,606
9,624
2329
1514
718
405
363
291
233
199
166
153
126
121
105
66
55
22
II-103
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
MANUFACTURING
CONSTRUCTION
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
INFORMATION
WHOLESALE TRADE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
$28,980,793
8,435,631
4,396,117
4,058,233
3,097,781
2,471,584
2,338,459
1,299,559
967,821
921,177
916,324
668,435
604,145
586,881
364,038
253,459
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Pasco
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
26. CRYSTAL SPRINGS
Population1
Population: 28,852
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
939
By employment sector:
RETAIL TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
MANUFACTURING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
Economic Development Administration
17,401
11,451
$6,018,083
By employment sector:
CONSTRUCTION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
MANUFACTURING
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
201
193
172
105
60
58
33
21
20
18
13
II-104
$1,585,326
1,386,535
1,048,601
355,157
305,002
301,639
259,456
132,988
117,157
113,076
75,182
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
PINELLAS COUNTY INDEX MAP
1.
GREATER TARPON
SPRINGS AREA
2. EAST LAKE AREA
3. BROOKER CREEK AREA
4. PALM HARBOR AREA
5. GREATER DUNEDIN
6. GREATER CLEARWATER
(WEST)
7. GREATER CLEARWATER
(EAST)
8. GREATER SAFETY
HARBOR AREA
9. GREATER OLDSMAR
AREA
10. BELLEAIR – BELLEAIR
BLUFFS AREA
11. GREATER LARGO AREA
(WEST)
12. GREATER LARGO AREA
(EAST)
13. FEATHER SOUND –
HIGHPOINT AREA
14. GREATER SEMINOLE
AREA (WEST)
15. GREATER SEMINOLE
AREA (EAST)
16. CROSS BAYOU AREA
17. GREATER PINELLAS PARK
AREA
18. KENNETH CITY –
LEALMAN AREA
19. GREATER ST.
PETERSBURG (NORTH)
20. GREATER ST.
PETERSBURG (WEST)
21. GREATER ST.
PETERSBURG
(CENTRAL & SOUTH)
22. SOUTH PASADENA –
GULFPORT AREA
Economic Development Administration
II-105
23. BAYWAY AREA
24. CALEDESI ISLAND –
HONEYMOON ISLAND
25. CLEARWATER BEACH
26. BELLEAIR SHORE –
BELLEAIR BEACH
27. INDIAN ROCKS BEACH
28. INDIAN SHORES
29. NORTH REDINGTON
BEACH AND REDINGTON
SHORES
30. REDINGTON BEACH
31. MADEIRA BEACH
32. TREASURE ISLAND
33. ST. PETE BEACH
34. TIERRA VERDE – FORT
DESOTO
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
1. GREATER TARPON SPRINGS AREA
Population1
Population: 29,209
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
6,876
Economic Development Administration
$62,162,136
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
OTHER SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
INFORMATION
27,793
1,416
1444
1442
992
634
330
283
272
204
180
142
142
131
116
113
103
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
OTHER SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
INFORMATION
II-106 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$16,750,708
9,791,180
3,903,522
6,954,534
3,662,466
2,745,288
1,647,331
2,009,480
1,583,212
1,026,237
1,492,687
1,352,336
3,465,874
558,264
1,619,293
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
2. EAST LAKE AREA
Population1
Population: 12,649
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
1,460
Economic Development Administration
$11,956,064
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
RETAIL TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
CONSTRUCTION
WHOLESALE TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
INFORMATION
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
MANUFACTURING
12,635
14
431
180
162
132
98
89
89
83
52
33
33
32
18
14
10
RETAIL TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
CONSTRUCTION
WHOLESALE TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
INFORMATION
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
MANUFACTURING
II-107 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$2,248,853
2,813,167
611,235
850,905
1,130,052
1,233,419
956,749
319,624
498,501
546,583
167,592
167,482
232,095
83,935
51,615
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
3. BROOKER CREEK AREA
Population1
Population: 20,814
In site‐built homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
1,695
Total quarterly wages:
By employment sector:
RETAIL TRADE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
CONSTRUCTION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
INFORMATION
WHOLESALE TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
Economic Development Administration
20,814
$13,232,650
By employment sector:
290
279
214
186
154
114
101
88
79
73
64
41
RETAIL TRADE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
CONSTRUCTION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
INFORMATION
WHOLESALE TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
II-108 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$1,431,199
1,259,988
674,514
3,167,291
1,468,331
792,317
829,551
789,980
368,781
1,416,342
330,668
592,066
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
4. PALM HARBOR AREA
Population1
Population: 64,458
In site‐built homes: 63,027
In mobile homes:
1,431
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
11,850
Total quarterly wages:
By employment sector:
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
OTHER SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
INFORMATION
WHOLESALE TRADE
MANUFACTURING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
Economic Development Administration
$98,080,710
By employment sector:
2624
1960
1817
1399
714
518
462
406
372
356
297
269
194
192
176
22
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
OTHER SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
INFORMATION
WHOLESALE TRADE
MANUFACTURING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
II-109 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$25,066,790
8,206,488
10,655,575
17,966,038
4,727,321
4,375,962
2,801,606
4,891,330
4,400,331
4,422,868
3,535,224
1,801,450
805,465
1,227,336
1,833,113
147,369
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
5 GREATER DUNEDIN
Population1
Population: 43,035
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
10,011
Total quarterly wages:
By employment sector:
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
MANUFACTURING
INFORMATION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
WHOLESALE TRADE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
Economic Development Administration
40,921
2,114
$94,156,187
By employment sector:
2612
1240
957
850
504
441
418
323
318
299
248
243
226
156
137
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
MANUFACTURING
INFORMATION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
WHOLESALE TRADE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
II-110 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$25,527,750
7,372,433
3,616,142
12,035,346
4,338,214
5,379,843
3,564,079
1,287,351
2,597,406
1,866,249
4,498,571
2,480,539
2,084,733
860,885
1,429,302
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
6. GREATER CLEARWATER (WEST)
Population1
Population: 59,972
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
27,832
Economic Development Administration
$296,245,604
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
RETAIL TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
CONSTRUCTION
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
INFORMATION
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
59,703
269
7204
5484
2437
1753
1703
1622
1526
1417
1007
791
755
560
444
343
312
284
157
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
RETAIL TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
CONSTRUCTION
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
INFORMATION
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
II-111 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$92,852,992
63,530,120
18,859,513
21,406,197
16,579,027
17,312,474
6,358,934
9,395,541
14,015,140
7,854,934
4,944,199
4,675,833
4,708,465
2,711,905
4,200,274
3,842,301
2,905,288
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
7. GREATER CLEARWATER (EAST)
Population1
Population: 70,680
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
28,113
Total quarterly wages:
By employment sector:
RETAIL TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
CONSTRUCTION
OTHER SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
INFORMATION
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
Economic Development Administration
66,479
4,201
$219,495,951
By employment sector:
6362
4901
3914
2718
2176
1880
1677
1126
807
563
522
391
373
288
131
112
RETAIL TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
CONSTRUCTION
OTHER SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
INFORMATION
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
II-112 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$39,404,925
24,837,787
40,271,490
10,890,358
28,857,778
24,971,971
6,050,331
9,301,054
6,452,893
3,876,661
7,822,324
4,111,179
3,452,676
4,035,674
1,413,052
1,294,965
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
8. GREATER SAFETY HARBOR AREA
Population1
Population: 20,438
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
6,437
Total quarterly wages:
By employment sector:
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
MANUFACTURING
OTHER SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
RETAIL TRADE
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
INFORMATION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
Economic Development Administration
19,215
1,223
$63,978,328
By employment sector:
2620
1008
581
354
352
334
257
255
112
110
69
67
62
52
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
MANUFACTURING
OTHER SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
RETAIL TRADE
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
INFORMATION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
II-113 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$30,570,391
6,154,274
2,242,754
3,902,545
3,664,177
2,124,889
3,305,859
3,711,894
2,272,698
608,671
901,467
493,330
962,423
669,919
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
9. GREATER OLDSMAR AREA
Population1
Population: 15,988
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
11,670
Economic Development Administration
$109,601,726
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
CONSTRUCTION
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
OTHER SERVICES
INFORMATION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
15,329
659
3183
1568
1118
1067
944
925
814
563
371
353
198
123
113
80
57
25
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
CONSTRUCTION
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
OTHER SERVICES
INFORMATION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
II-114 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$32,795,869
18,430,524
10,751,741
11,391,766
3,792,894
5,099,988
6,140,134
6,420,852
3,581,650
2,721,741
1,620,914
964,273
1,592,818
1,281,240
1,061,218
134,818
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
10. BELLEAIR – BELLEAIR BLUFFS AREA
Population1
Population: 11,047
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
2,079
Economic Development Administration
$19,164,445
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
OTHER SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
WHOLESALE TRADE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
9.961
1,086
780
285
248
156
124
86
84
66
54
37
33
24
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
OTHER SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
WHOLESALE TRADE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
II-115 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$8,775,801
1,484,409
1,357,903
1,067,987
1,675,173
1,267,450
992,875
354,266
439,622
228,070
465,292
133,682
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
11. GREATER LARGO AREA (WEST)
Population1
Population: 36,653
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
28,240
Economic Development Administration
$201,337,477
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
WHOLESALE TRADE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
INFORMATION
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
33,876
2,777
16727
3838
3539
1545
616
393
308
288
241
163
132
126
118
83
64
34
21
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
WHOLESALE TRADE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
INFORMATION
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
II-116 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$84,687,415
47,980,769
42,238,982
8,282,034
2,015,679
3,623,534
2,612,140
1,498,411
1,728,439
1,642,610
1,503,590
715,327
724,675
1,060,639
293,116
375,652
324,910
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
12. GREATER LARGO AREA (EAST)
Population1
Population: 60,124
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
15,748
Total quarterly wages:
By employment sector:
RETAIL TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
MANUFACTURING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
OTHER SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
INFORMATION
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
Economic Development Administration
49,344
10,780
$116,926,799
By employment sector:
3171
2484
1981
1858
999
985
884
754
569
480
392
376
275
216
166
127
RETAIL TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
MANUFACTURING
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
INFORMATION
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
II-117 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$22,372,016
19,244,349
10,624,157
10,212,011
9,326,039
9,018,658
7,638,394
6,583,459
5,824,058
3,886,685
3,098,802
3,013,467
1,907,416
1,745,917
1,628,802
458,010
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
13. FEATHER SOUND – HIGHPOINT AREA
Population1
Population: 21,869
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
19,874
Economic Development Administration
$244,795,787
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
MANUFACTURING
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
RETAIL TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
CONSTRUCTION
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
INFORMATION
OTHER SERVICES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
20,652
1,217
4105
2643
2611
1708
1648
1501
1346
1051
946
647
332
286
207
200
152
21
MANUFACTURING
WHOLESALE TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
RETAIL TRADE
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
INFORMATION
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
II-118 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$64,806,191
40,991,790
27,356,209
23,888,233
16,225,377
16,029,046
15,076,771
9,346,054
7,573,111
5,300,574
4,097,621
3,419,480
2,142,488
1,705,412
1,653,023
117,327
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
14. GREATER SEMINOLE AREA (WEST)
Population1
Population: 43,881
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
8,161
Economic Development Administration
$86,879,630
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
OTHER SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
INFORMATION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
MANUFACTURING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
43,806
795
3759
1026
862
453
346
322
303
258
208
178
151
87
75
63
32
15
12
11
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
RETAIL TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
INFORMATION
CONSTRUCTION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
OTHER SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
MANUFACTURING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
II-119 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$50,000,882
13,851,829
4,705,450
3,476,764
2,516,745
2,302,942
2,042,634
1,742,807
1,479,366
1,471,799
1,002,600
831,035
668,834
245,553
220,584
172,066
78,922
68,818
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
15. GREATER SEMINOLE AREA (CENTRAL)
Population1
Population: 23,874
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
4,496
Total quarterly wages:
By employment sector:
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
CONSTRUCTION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
MANUFACTURING
INFORMATION
WHOLESALE TRADE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
Economic Development Administration
21,703
2,171
$31,469,842
By employment sector:
1489
1173
354
293
194
191
168
129
107
100
76
70
53
53
33
12
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
INFORMATION
MANUFACTURING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
WHOLESALE TRADE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
II-120 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$10,646,759
6,451,201
2,278,872
2,206,040
1,933,464
1,828,152
1,304,240
1,265,782
843,250
563,498
559,167
510,658
384,126
329,357
323,002
40,474
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
16. CROSS BAYOU AREA
Population1
Population: 20,189
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
2,434
Total quarterly wages:
By employment sector:
RETAIL TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
WHOLESALE TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
MANUFACTURING
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
Economic Development Administration
20,161
28
$18,399,013
By employment sector:
531
374
329
218
177
168
106
91
73
54
36
23
10
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
CONSTRUCTION
OTHER SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
II-121 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$3,434,976
3,367,628
2,117,089
1,302,900
1,127,417
816,556
744,165
662,695
641,696
582,273
545,833
126,950
32,667
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
17. GREATER PINELLAS PARK AREA
Population1
Population: 59,773
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
46,057
Total quarterly wages:
By employment sector:
MANUFACTURING
RETAIL TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
OTHER SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
INFORMATION
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
UTILITIES
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
Economic Development Administration
55,978
3,795
$445,383,477
By employment sector:
12690
4568
4400
3960
3696
3032
2539
2497
2255
1496
1485
1187
641
572
560
255
194
16
14
MANUFACTURING
CONSTRUCTION
RETAIL TRADE
WHOLESALE TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
OTHER SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
INFORMATION
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
UTILITIES
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
II-122 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$151,505,165
43,909,990
34,755,144
33,605,994
33,526,984
29,217,285
28,452,545
22,771,088
14,208,436
11,491,020
9,370,967
8,910,117
7,760,046
7,438,186
4,576,312
2,948,579
681,084
172,101
82,434
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
18. KENNETH CITY – LEALMAN AREA
Population1
Population: 42,319
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
8,928
Total quarterly wages:
By employment sector:
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
MANUFACTURING
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
WHOLESALE TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
INFORMATION
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
Economic Development Administration
35,794
6,525
$80,690,633
By employment sector:
2530
1468
1237
785
606
420
418
366
322
219
145
109
105
94
51
24
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
MANUFACTURING
RETAIL TRADE
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
OTHER SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
INFORMATION
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
II-123 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$26,537,094
17,916,029
7,405,809
4,746,606
4,023,763
3,661,500
3,636,717
2,861,424
2,562,550
2,204,220
988,883
943,206
914,787
886,118
844,583
233,943
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
19. GREATER ST. PETERSBURG (NORTH)
Population1
Population: 71,827
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
34,819
Economic Development Administration
$440,585,475
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
RETAIL TRADE
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
MANUFACTURING
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
INFORMATION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
OTHER SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
69,527
2,300
7048
4175
3905
3164
2823
2614
2439
2193
1674
1123
845
670
629
544
524
302
146
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
MANUFACTURING
RETAIL TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
INFORMATION
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
II-124 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$108,570,144
64,526,819
50,090,161
35,776,136
34,658,152
33,371,878
28,169,167
21,456,955
17,336,416
11,013,944
6,682,468
6,618,158
6,233,662
5,150,886
4,906,541
4,187,441
1,832,247
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
20. GREATER ST. PETERSBURG (WEST)
Population1
Population: 67,808
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
15,256
Total quarterly wages:
By employment sector:
RETAIL TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
OTHER SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
WHOLESALE TRADE
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
INFORMATION
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
Economic Development Administration
67,660
148
$118,214,439
By employment sector:
4445
2752
1847
1169
952
779
774
577
387
361
355
286
278
144
80
70
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
MANUFACTURING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
CONSTRUCTION
WHOLESALE TRADE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
INFORMATION
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
II-125 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$26,909,636
24,711,551
12,714,156
11,652,964
10,016,920
7,111,653
5,072,992
3,464,529
3,421,279
3,188,440
2,915,161
2,773,815
2,404,129
665,896
627,768
563,550
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
21. GREATER ST. PETERSBURG
Population1
Population: 103,774
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
(CENTRAL / SOUTH)
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
43,780
Economic Development Administration
$509,023,891
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
INFORMATION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
MANUFACTURING
OTHER SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
CONSTRUCTION
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
103,076
698
12406
4475
3704
3402
3244
2538
1908
1673
1521
1515
1508
1206
1185
857
819
754
740
12
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
INFORMATION
RETAIL TRADE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
MANAGEMENT OF COMPANIES AND
ENTERPRISES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
WHOLESALE TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
FORESTRY FISHING FARMING
II-126 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$154,643,747
50,252,009
47,191,600
41,673,808
31,912,217
24,614,312
21,572,927
21,439,494
21,310,726
15,334,271
12,844,648
11,879,303
11,866,744
11,330,284
9,717,235
9,236,485
6,771,808
92,005
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
22. SOUTH PASADENA – GULFPORT AREA
Population1
Population: 24,674
In site‐built homes:
In mobile homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
4,985
Economic Development Administration
$38,378,199
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
CONSTRUCTION
WHOLESALE TRADE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
INFORMATION
MANUFACTURING
23,972
702
1736
733
538
490
235
172
152
146
138
113
101
87
68
58
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
RETAIL TRADE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
CONSTRUCTION
INFORMATION
WHOLESALE TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
MANUFACTURING
II-127 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$16,091,962
4,364,402
3,953,390
2,186,134
2,172,694
1,079,820
1,005,494
992,060
893,670
880,700
827,953
827,948
590,433
372,266
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
23. BAYWAY AREA
Population1
Population: 9,121
In site‐built homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
2,970
Economic Development Administration
$26,556,137
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
RETAIL TRADE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
OTHER SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
9,121
885
732
479
344
153
138
77
36
35
35
28
21
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
II-128 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$9,135,258
5,244,993
3,641,786
3,548,424
1,268,293
958,157
588,378
535,996
504,127
377,742
373,987
200,825
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
24. CALEDESI & HONEYMOON ISLANDS
Population1
Population: 0
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
247
Total quarterly wages:
By employment sector:
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
Economic Development Administration
$908,903
By employment sector:
149
22
20
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
II-129 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$434,174
145,434
69,369
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
25. CLEARWATER BEACH
Population1
Population: 10,230
In site‐built homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
3,139
Total quarterly wages:
By employment sector:
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
WHOLESALE TRADE
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
CONSTRUCTION
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
Economic Development Administration
10,230
$21,680,805
By employment sector:
2070
332
154
124
95
84
76
58
48
25
22
21
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
OTHER SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
CONSTRUCTION
II-130 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$12,363,637
1,921,887
1,701,330
1,081,262
879,791
725,146
679,741
675,212
380,353
314,874
284,648
234,809
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
26. BELLEAIR SHORE & BELLEAIR BEACH
Population1
Population: 1,443
In site‐built homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
80
Total quarterly wages:
By employment sector:
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
Economic Development Administration
1,443
$820,329
By employment sector:
20
16
10
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
II-131 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$247,406
72,248
43,637
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
27. INDIAN ROCKS BEACH
Population1
Population: 4,305
In site‐built homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
383
Economic Development Administration
$2,983,079
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
OTHER SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
WHOLESALE TRADE
4,305
163
31
28
25
15
15
11
10
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
RETAIL TRADE
II-132 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$916,751
417,236
294,262
211,065
193,224
107,048
80,926
78,816
70,447
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
28. INDIAN SHORES
Population1
Population: 2,632
In site‐built homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
861
Total quarterly wages:
By employment sector:
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
RETAIL TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
Economic Development Administration
2,632
$5,416,635
By employment sector:
526
101
36
17
14
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
RETAIL TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
OTHER SERVICES
II-133 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$2,607,077
598,434
229,888
136,557
76,739
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
29. NORTH REDINGTON BEACH &
REDINGTON SHORES
Population1
Population: 3,705
In site‐built homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
539
Economic Development Administration
$3,312,716
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
OTHER SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
3,705
319
66
42
36
25
11
10
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
OTHER SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
II-134 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$1,703,772
348,432
338,336
185,360
153,905
143,741
101,727
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
30. REDINGTON BEACH
Population1
Population: 1,306
In site‐built homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
58
By employment sector:
Total quarterly wages:
1,306
$491,793
By employment sector:
**NO REPORTABLE DATA**
Employment by sector cannot be reported
because of confidentiality standards.
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Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
31. MADEIRA BEACH
Population1
Population: 4,629
In site‐built homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
961
Economic Development Administration
$6,369,498
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
WHOLESALE TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
4,629
284
245
71
47
38
29
28
25
24
24
15
RETAIL TRADE
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
OTHER SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
MANUFACTURING
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
II-136 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$1,259,625
956,046
673,010
670,039
373,058
359,632
195,309
189,784
164,325
139,578
95,358
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
32. TREASURE ISLAND
Population1
Population: 8,605
In site‐built homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
1,465
Economic Development Administration
$10,796,262
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
OTHER SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
8,605
679
193
127
66
60
46
42
39
30
15
13
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
RETAIL TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
CONSTRUCTION
OTHER SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
II-137 Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
$3,118,470
1,587,088
1,214,145
510,691
413,388
282,847
270,173
192,771
191,736
118,666
100,153
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
33. ST. PETE BEACH
Population1
Population: 12,511
In site‐built homes:
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total quarterly wages:
12,511
$26,928,877
3,891
By employment sector:
By employment sector:
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
WHOLESALE TRADE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
CONSTRUCTION
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
INFORMATION
Economic Development Administration
2505
402
132
117
108
88
82
75
58
50
48
37
23
17
II-138
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
RETAIL TRADE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL
SERVICES
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
TRANSPORTATION AND WAREHOUSING
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
OTHER SERVICES
WHOLESALE TRADE
EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
INFORMATION
ARTS ENTERTAINMENT AND
RECREATION
$14,479,133
2,370,867
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
2,145,220
936,809
851,867
799,969
653,932
593,632
534,699
393,076
228,522
221,314
178,768
152,913
Part II – County Descriptions – Pinellas
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Population1
Population: 2,755
In site‐built homes:
34. TIERRA VERDE – FORT DESOTO
Employment and Wages2
Number of employees:
Total Quarterly Wages:
473
By employment sector:
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
RETAIL TRADE
CONSTRUCTION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
Economic Development Administration
2,755
$4,007,733
By employment sector:
127
73
63
46
44
36
29
26
10
II-139
HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL SERVICES
ACCOMODATION AND FOOD SERVICES
REAL ESTATE AND RENTAL AND LEASING
ADMINISTRATION AND WASTE SERVICES
OTHER SERVICES
CONSTRUCTION
FINANCE AND INSURANCE
RETAIL TRADE
$843,929
720,406
484,852
408,450
393,974
309,032
211,986
180,850
168,900
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part III – Analysis
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Part III - Analysis
1921 Hurricane – “Safe N Sane” Run Aground at Rail Line in Tampa
Table of Contents
Introduction
Hurricane Phoenix Scenario
Damage Estimates
REMI
Input Assumptions
Employment Losses Estimates
Investment and Spending Estimates
Net Results
Summary
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3
16
18
19
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Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Introduction
The study was confined to the four county region of the Tampa Bay Area, including the
counties of Hillsborough, Manatee, Pasco, and Pinellas. The hurricane modeled was
from Project Phoenix. Project Phoenix is a catastrophic Category 5 Hurricane created to
asses the catastrophic planning abilities in the region.
Project Phoenix was created as a product of The Tampa Bay Catastrophic Plan, which
addressed the challenges of response and recovery during a catastrophic event in the
Tampa Bay area. A catastrophic incident is defined as “any natural or manmade incident
including terrorism that results in extraordinary levels of mass casualties, damage, or
disruption severely affecting the population, infrastructure, environment, economy,
national morale and/or government functions.” It requires fully integrated inter and intra
governmental actions, combined capacities, communication, coordination and
synchronization.
A large catastrophic incident could result in sustained widespread impacts over a
prolonged period of time; almost immediately exceeding state, local and private sector
resources in the impacted area. It will significantly interrupt governmental operations
including emergency services and threaten public safety and national security. These
factors drive the urgency for coordinated planning to ensure accelerated federal and state
assistance.
The Tampa Bay Catastrophic Plan focused on the procedures, communication channels
and coordination strategies necessary to rapidly request and receive critical resources post
event. The Disaster Resiliency Study focuses on the economic and long term impacts
after the incident has occurred.
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Part III – Analysis
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
The Hurricane Phoenix Scenario
Hurricane Phoenix is a
fictitious storm created to
simulate the effects of a
worst case scenario. With
input from Tampa Bay area
emergency
management
agencies and the local
office of the National
Weather Service (NWS), a
simulated
storm
was
developed with a track and
intensity
that
would
devastate the entire Tampa
Bay region. The NWS
generated
National
Hurricane
Center
advisories, local hurricane
statements, and data files that simulate the hurricane’s location and intensity from its
formation in the Caribbean Sea, through landfall in Pinellas County, to the hurricane’s
exit from the east coast of Florida into the Atlantic Ocean. The maps, assumptions, and
information used to estimate damage and recovery rates are based upon this simulated
storm.
The simulated parameters of Hurricane Phoenix were input into HAZUS MH, the risk
assessment tool that uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) standard
methodology to measure the effects of real and simulated hazard events like hurricane
winds and flooding. As one might expect, a storm of the size and strength of Hurricane
Phoenix would create almost unthinkable damage to the area’s homes, businesses,
infrastructure, overall economy, and social systems that are currently in place. The goal
of this study is to identify the extent of the indirect and induced damage and develop
strategies that will help the Tampa Bay region to recover and rebuild after such a
devastating catastrophe. The Project Phoenix scenario includes vulnerability maps and
damage estimates.
Project Phoenix studied at an 8 county region which make up the Regional Domestic
Security Task Force (RDSTF) and Florida Division of Emergency Management Area 4
plus Manatee County which lies within the TBRPC boundaries. Therefore, the study
region of Project Phoenix included the following counties:
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Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part III – Analysis
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Citrus
Hardee
Hernando
Hillsborough
Manatee
Pasco
Pinellas
Polk
Sumter
Citrus, Sumter, Hernando, Pasco, Pinellas, Hillsborough, Manatee, Polk and Hardee
Counties represent an area of 7,249 square miles with 749 Census Tracks and a
population (2000) of more than 3,342,291. The Disaster Resiliency Study parceled out
the four counties in the study where possible.
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Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part III – Analysis
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Project Phoenix Path
Hurricane Phoenix was created as a simulation, including forecasts, warnings, and
responses. The maps below show the forecast path on the days leading up to impact.
This hurricane map is approximately 5 days before impact. It shows the hurricane
following the common hurricane path up through the Gulf of Mexico.
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Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part III – Analysis
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
This hurricane path is approximately 1 day from impact and shows the hurricane has
increased speed and altered course. It is now heading for a direct impact at a Category 5
for the Tampa Bay Area.
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Part III – Analysis
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
This hurricane map is on the eve of impact. The cone of certainty is painting a dim
picture for the region. The current path would cause the greatest impact to the region and
the hurricane is expected to hit at a full Category 5.
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Part III – Analysis
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
This map shows the storm surge flood depths that will occur at each county from
Hurricane Phoenix. Tampa Bay (the actual bay of water, not the region) causes
significant damage to the adjacent areas.
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Part III – Analysis
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
The picture below demonstrates the wind speed experienced in the area from the
hurricane. While the thin line dictating the path of the hurricane does not touch Manatee
County, Hurricane Phoenix wrecks havoc upon the county. Wind speeds surpassing 180
miles per hour are experienced in every county in the 4 county Tampa Bay Region.
As expected, the region experiences significant capital stock damage. The map below
shows the severity of the impact.
Infrastructure remaining after the event is questionable. TABLE 2
NUMBER OF BUILDINGS BY STORM SURGE DAMAGE CATEGORY
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Part III – Analysis
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE
Transportation Facilities
Interstate 75 (I-75), Interstate 275 (I-275), and Interstate 4 (I-4) are expected to be the
primary routes used to transport goods and people into and out of the affected zone
during a response and recovery effort within the nine-county West Central Florida
area. Interstates and major highways generally have a wide right-of way and trees about
50–100 feet away from the shoulders, so most of the debris on these roads would consist
of poles, signs, and small vegetative debris.
According to Florida Department of Transportation (FDOT) engineers, noninterstate/
turnpike evacuation routes in the nine-county area are generally at-grade with the
surrounding ground. As such, routes shown on maps depicting flooding due to storm
surge can generally be assumed to be flooded if the adjacent land is inundated.
Interstates are the Florida Department of Transportation’s top priority for debris
clearance; FDOT plans to reopen major roads within 8–24 hours after the hurricane has
passed, provided all bridges are operating at full or near capacity. Significant impacts on
the region’s bridges - especially the approaches - are expected on all causeways including
the Courtney Campbell Causeway, Howard Frankland Bridge, Gandy Bridge and the
Skyway Bridge. Bridges and roads subject to additional flooding due to the storm will
have to be inspected before reopening. This is of particular concern on the three
causeways connecting Hillsborough and Pinellas County, the bridges connecting the
barrier island communities as well as those connecting downtown with Harbor Island,
Davis Island and the 22nd St. Bridge providing access to the Port of Tampa. Bridges over
the Manatee River in Manatee and the Pithlachascotee River in Pasco will also require
engineering survey.
FDOT could impose a vehicle weight restriction or use a temporary bridge if the bridges
are damaged. FDOT typically has 10,000 linear feet of such bridges available in
nonemergency times.
Runaway barges and other large debris could be a threat to bridges during the storm,
Intracoastal Waterway were damaged in this way during Hurricane Wilma. As a result,
these bridges had to be closed to motor-vehicle traffic.
Train services in Tampa Bay, East Central Florida and Northeast Florida may not be
available because of debris on the railways.
The Florida Department of Transportation’s goal is to open (with at least one lane
available for emergency vehicles) all State roads to traffic one day after the hurricane has
passed.
Hurricane Phoenix will destroy traffic control devices (lights, signs), resulting in
dangerous uncontrolled intersections post-landfall.
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Part III – Analysis
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Many of the buses and other public transit vehicles left in the storm’s path will be
destroyed and unavailable post-landfall.
Ports
Florida’s sea- and airports are essential resources for providing goods and services to
residents and critical economic engines that generate millions of dollars and thousands of
jobs for local communities. The state contains two of the top twenty importing and four
of the top twenty exporting seaports in the United States, and Tampa International
Airport is one of the busiest in the world. As a result, ports will likely be vital to response
and recovery efforts following a catastrophic hurricane in Tampa Bay.
The Tampa International Airport serves 21 passenger air carriers and nine cargo-only
airlines. It manages over 18 million passengers per year and 108,000 tons of cargo,
including 12,000 tons of mail per year. The estimated replacement cost of the airport’s
land and facilities is $2.3 billion.41 The St. Petersburg-Clearwater International Airport is
located 10 miles east of Tampa International and serves as a charter destination for
several air carriers, including a few from Canada. The airport provides over 3,000 jobs
and contributes an economic benefit of $400 million annually to the Tampa Bay area.
The Port of Tampa is the largest of the Florida ports, as measured by tonnage, and
handles approximately 50 million tons of cargo per year. The Tampa Bay region is the
largest metropolitan market in Florida, and it is the 10th largest consumer market in the
U.S., with nearly 7 million people within 100 miles of the port. The port contributes to
the creation of 96,000 jobs in the region and generates a regional annual economic impact
of nearly $8 billion. Tampa is also the closest full service U.S. port to the Panama Canal.
Port Manatee is among Florida’s largest deepwater seaports. The port oversees over 9.3
million tons of shipping, and is Fresh Del Monte Produce’s second largest U.S. port
facility, used for importing Central American fruit and exporting fruit from Florida. It is
also the southeast’s leading forestry product import facility.
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Part III – Analysis
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Electricity Infrastructure
Generation Capacity
The local power plants in the nine-county areas are located along the coast in areas
vulnerable to storm surge. All facilities would have been impacted by the sustained 160180 mph winds. Therefore; it is assumed all local generation operations would be
suspended until the damage is assessed and repairs could be made. Once the distribution
systems start coming back online, most generation would be purchased from outside of
the affected region.
Residential Impacts
Weatherheads, which
connect homes to the
electrical lines, are often
damaged and need to be
repaired by an
electrician.
Approximately 5,000
weatherheads were
damaged following
Hurricane Wilma. This
figure could easily
exceed 50,000 for a
storm like Phoenix.
Electricians would be
required from outside of
the state to handle the
demand after this type
of emergency.
Electrical repairs
normally need county
inspection before
reconnection, but this
requirement is
sometimes waived.
Transmission
Infrastructure
Distribution facility damage throughout the nine counties would be extensive.
Customers are approximately 88% residential, 11% commercial, and 1% industrial.
The transmission infrastructure disruption could cause an effect on casualties. Residents
could be electrocuted by downed power lines. Residents could also potentially suffer
asphyxiation due to improper use of portable generators
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Part III – Analysis
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
The analysis conducted to determine shelter requirements estimates that 840,000
households will be displaced due to the modeled storm. (Displacement includes
households evacuated from within or very near to the impacted area and may not be a
direct reflection of residential building damage within a particular census block.)
Assuming a regional average of 2.32 persons per household, more than 58% of the
individual persons within the region would be impacted (out of a total population of 3.3
million people). Approximately 220,000 of those would seek temporary shelter in public
shelter facilities.
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Part III – Analysis
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Medical
Casualties
The number of casualties was estimated based on the following assumptions:
Non-evacuation of certain portions of the population-at-risk in storm surge vulnerable
evacuation zones and mobile homes. Based on the 2006 behavioral surveys, up to 30%
of the vulnerable population would not evacuate even with the threat of a catastrophic
hurricane. Approximately 10% of the population on the barrier islands has indicated that
they feel safe in a major storm.
A number of post-hurricane related deaths are known to occur, examples include
drowning, electrocution, crushing, head trauma, and natural causes exacerbated by the
storm (storm stressinduced heart attack). Improper use of portable generators has led to
excess morbidity and mortality following hurricanes. During the period of power outages
related to the four major Florida hurricanes in 2004, 167 persons were treated for
accidental carbon monoxide poisoning as a result of improper use of portable generators.
Six deaths were reported.
Approximately 1,957,000 people will be affected by this catastrophic storm scenario. Of
these residents, approximately 1,957 (.001) could loose their lives as a direct result of the
storm (primarily due to non-evacuation of storm surge vulnerable areas and mobile
homes). An additional 200 additional people (.0001) could loose their lives following the
storm.
Injuries
Injuries and illnesses
observed in previous
Florida hurricane
events include blunt
trauma, lacerations,
muscle strains and
pulls, insect and animal
bites, puncture wounds,
burns, infections,
gastrointestinal
illnesses, sunburns,
exposure, psychosocial
distress, and carbon
monoxide exposure.
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Part III – Analysis
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Environmental Health
Storm surge can inundate extant water systems, including wells and water mains, causing
breakage and contamination. Loss of electricity will prevent water and sewage pumping
in much of Tampa Bay. All water for human and pet use will require boiling. Public
health authorities will have to coordinate public notification of boil water notices. Excess
gastrointestinal illnesses may be observed if contaminated water is consumed.
While stressful and disturbing, the presence of corpses in floodwaters or in storm debris
does not create a risk of infectious disease epidemics in flood- or storm-affected areas.
However, according to the World Health Organization, should dead bodies enter the
water supply there is a small risk of contamination that could lead to gastrointestinal
infections. Health officials must work with the media to educate the public on these
issues.
Loss of medical records resulting in patient treatment challenges is likely as a result of
hurricane events. To facilitate patient treatment, Health Insurance Portability and
Accountability Act elements will be suspended or modified as provided for within the
act’s policy. There may be confusion about what elements of the act must be maintained
in an emergency.
Although access to traditional prescription drug outlets will be disrupted, access to
prescription drugs will be provided by emergency response teams, mobile medical units,
and private/voluntary organizations such as AmeriCares and others that focus on
distributing prescription drugs and medical equipment following disasters.
Drugs may have been lost in the event or left behind while evacuating. People will have
difficulty refilling prescriptions and collecting the cost of replacing them from their
insurance companies. Special needs patients on multiple medications may have difficulty
recalling specific medications and doses. Lack of accessible medical records will make it
difficult to look up medication information for patients. Medical intervention will be
required to determine patients’ prescription needs.
Following all hurricane events, members of the affected population will experience some
level of distress. While most people return to normal levels of psychological functioning,
some will exhibit symptoms of Post Traumatic Stress Disorder, depression, or other
illnesses. Psychosocial support will be one of the most lasting needs.
Planned and spontaneous medical volunteers, including doctors and nurses, will require
reciprocal licensing. This will be an urgent need.
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Part III – Analysis
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Damage Estimates
Hurricane Phoenix is a Category 5 Hurricane with peak wind gusts of 191 mph which
makes landfall at Indian Rocks Beach producing storm surge of 11-16 feet along the Gulf
Coast and 23-26 feet in Tampa Bay. The following tables show the destruction.
General Building Stock Exposure (2000)
Occupancy
Building Count
Dollar Exposure ($M)
Residential
Commercial
Other
Total
1,438,227
85,481
42,218
1,565,927
$182,816
$43,372
19,628
245,816
Number of Buildings Damaged
Damage State
Residential
120,000
Minor
170,000
Moderate
320,000
Severe
470,000
Destroyed
1,100,000
Total
Damage Severity by County
Total
Structures
405,461
Hillsborough
132,349
Manatee
183,387
Pasco
425,113
Pinellas
TBRPC
Total
Commercial
4,900
9,400
44,000
10,000
68,000
Other
2,800
4,300
22,000
3,600
32,000
Total
130,000
180,000
390,000
480,000
1,200,000
Minor
Damage
67
19
7
70
Moderate
Damage
42,678
19,470
11,653
85,265
Severe or
Destroyed
38,252
9,271
6,626
36,979
163
159,066
91,128
1,146,310
Damage by County (Part 1)
Hillsborough
Manatee
Pasco
Pinellas
TBRPC Total
Pre-Storm
Building
Stock Value
($M)
78,949
20,681
23,006
70,489
193,125
Total
Structural
Damage
from Winds
($M)
48,276
12,900
10,715
54,287
126,178
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Percent of
Pre-storm
Building
Stock Value
Loss from
Wind
61.10%
62.40%
46.60%
77.00%
Total
Structural
Damage
from Storm
Surge ($M)
10,893
2,620
1,789
12,824
28,126
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part III – Analysis
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Damage by County (Part 2)
Percent of PreStorm Building
tock Value Loss
from Storm Surge
13.80%
Hillsborough
12.70%
Manatee
7.80%
Pasco
18.20%
Pinellas
TBRPC Total
Total Combined
Structural Damage
($M)
52,508
13,886
11,671
57,235
135,300
Total Combined
Percent of PreStorm Building
Stock Value Loss
66.50%
67.10%
50.70%
81.20%
Tons of Debris, by type
Brick,
Reinforced Eligible
Wood and Concrete
Tree
Other
and Steel
Debris
Total
1,399,417
894,284 13,565,636
Hillsborough 11,271,935
3,785,148
568,359
190,620 4,544,127
Manatee
3,272,094
472,985
298,409 4,043,488
Pasco
15,529,750
2,161,617
737,575 18,428,942
Pinellas
TBRPC
Total
33,858,927
4,602,378
2,120,888 40,582,193
Transmission and power issues, by county
Number
of
Customers Total
Initial W/O
W/O
(Res and
Structures Power Power 3- Power 7Comm)
Affected
Outage 7 Days
15 Days
Hillsborough
405,461
388,798
90%
388,798
356,095
Manatee
132,349
129,637
20%
129,637
121,930
Pasco
183,387
150,589
98%
150,589
126,109
Pinellas
425,113
424,291
100%
424,291
418,725
TBRPC
Total
1,146,310
1,093,315
Economic Development Administration
W/O
Power
15-30
Days
287,859
99,887
93,305
382,165
W/O
Power
30-60
Days
151,185
54,459
50,738
224,994
1,093,315 1,022,859 863,216 481,376
III - 17
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part III – Analysis
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
REMI Model –
All modeling was done using the REMI PI+ Model. TBRPC has maintained its
agreement to use REMI in the region and state for almost 15 consecutive years. The
custom calibrated model includes 23 industry sectors for every county in the state of
Florida. REMI PI+ 1.2.6 build 2335 was utilized for all of the runs.
REMI Policy Insight® is a structural economic forecasting and policy analysis model. It
integrates input-output, computable general equilibrium, econometric and economic
geography methodologies. The model is dynamic, with forecasts and simulations
generated on an annual basis and behavioral responses to wage, price, and other
economic factors. It consists of thousands of simultaneous equations within a structure
that is relatively straightforward. The exact number of equations used varies depending
on the extent of industry, demographic, and regional detail in the specific model being
used. The overall structure of the model can be summarized in five major blocks: (1)
Output, (2) Labor and Capital Demand, (3) Population and Labor Supply, (4) Wages,
Prices, and Costs, and (5) Market Shares.
Policy Insight’s unique power is to generate realistic year-by-year estimates of the total
regional effects of any specific policy initiative. A wide range of policy variables allows
the user to represent the policy being evaluated, while the explicit structure in the model
helps the user to interpret the predicted economic and demographic effects. The model is
calibrated to many sub-national areas for policy analysis and forecasting and is available
in single- and multi-area configurations. Each calibrated area (or region) has both
economic and demographic variables so that any policy that affects a local economy can
be tested. Users can also see the total economic impacts of each region using Policy
Insight.
Policy Insight is used by government agencies (including local, state, and Federal),
consulting firms, nonprofit institutions, universities, and public utilities. The model’s
simulations estimate comprehensive economic and demographic effects in wide-ranging
initiatives such as economic impact analysis; policies and programs for economic
development, transportation, infrastructure, environment, energy and natural resources;
and state and local tax changes. Articles about the model equations and research findings
have been published in professional journals such as the American Economic Review, The
Review of Economic Statistics, the Journal of Regional Science, and the International
Regional Science Review.
Economic Development Administration
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Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part III – Analysis
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Economic Development Administration
III - 19
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part III – Analysis
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Detailed Assumptions and Inputs
The employment numbers between the the QCEW and the REMI model were significant
enough that they could not be merged. The REMI model allows further customization of
employment levels, however, due to the extended forecast timeline, TBRPC opted against
that modification and decided to only use the REMI estimates for the purpose of
modeling. TBRPC has every intention of getting the figures as precise as possible, but in
reality the chances of being 100% accurate are not high. The intent of this study is to
provide estimates that guide progress. The ultimate question is: Are the county, region,
state, and/or federal governments doing enough to circumvent the potential consequences
of the disaster?
When modeling the effects of an event, it is important to think about the impacts the
model will return. Ensuring that direct impacts are only counted once is vital to the
integrity of the report. For instance, when modeling a new business coming to town, new
sales and new employment are often modeled together. If modeled together improperly
as two separate events, the two impacts would look like two new business coming to
town creating twice the impact that should be estimated. The two events need to be put
against each other to assure the model that the new sales are directly caused by the new
employment.
When calculating the inputs, it is essential to only model the direct impacts. In the same
scenario as above - an employment gain - the new direct employees will create indirect
new employment, who in turn create induced new employment. These new direct
employees will relocate from other areas and some will bring families, some will buy
houses, and other ripple effects. If we modeled everything (population gain, consumer
spending, residential capital stock increase, etc.) then the indirect and induced would be
counted twice and the impact would be inaccurate.
These points are critical to convey when discussing modeling a huge event with an
unquantifiable number of events happening simultaneously. This event was simplified to
modeling the drivers of the anticipated loss of employment against the reconstruction and
repair of area capital stock. Most of the indirect/induced or double counting activities
occur within these two phenomenona. Other activities are likely offset by substitute
activities. Below is a list of most assumptions and the associated use.
Economic Development Administration
III - 20
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part III – Analysis
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Modeling Assumptions Regarding Substitute Effects and Double Counting
Decrease in Tourism (Accomodations and Food and Beverages) – Offset by Increase in
Temporary workers.
Decrease in Property Tax Collections – Offset by Increase in Sales Receipts Collections
Decrease in Consumer Discretionary Income (To pay deductibles or minor repairs,
increased insurance costs, higher temporary retail prices) – Offset by property repairs,
thus delaying future purchases to replace or update items, government assistance, and
delayed purchase activity for luxury or nonessential items.
Decrease in Population – Offset by Employment Losses
Decrease in Business Production/Sales – Offset by Employment Losses
Increase in Cost of Doing Business (Gas prices, road closures, etc) - Offset by a decrease
in Business Activity.
Decrease in Residential and Commercial stock – Population decrease is Offset by
Employment Losses. Actual home equity is accounted for by Private and Public
Insurance, Government Assistance, and existing land values.
Increase in Cleanup, Repairs and Construction are accounted for by an increase to the
Government Spending and an Increase to the Residential, Commercial, and Infrastructure
Capital.
Loss of Employment was factored by discecting each employment industry and factoring
a return to work rate in which the employees would be able to start working again.
Economic Development Administration
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Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part III – Analysis
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Modeled Inputs by County
Impacts were modeled regionally and were input by county. Estimates are reported by
county and region.
Each scenario and data set was looked at from three perspectives – employment impacts,
spending impacts, and net impacts. The results are very sensitive to the government
spending amounts and the employment production. One should consider the situation if
more or less federal aid were available. A benefit of this modeling effort is that it
provides a benchmark for how much federal and state assistance would be needed to
bring about a full recovery to anticipated pre-event levels.
For each scenario and data variable analyzed, the baseline forecast is shown. Also, the
current level for that data set (for example employment) is shown. The data variables
analyzed for each scenario is employment, gross regional product, output, population,
and fiscal (revenues).
It is important to remember that we are measuring our impacts and recovery rates against
where we would have been in five years or so, not where we were when the event
occurred.
The following chart shows the return to rate factor of the local employment under the
conservative approach. Due to the impacts proximity to employment centers, each
county was treated identically, percentage-wise.
Year
Percent
1
33%
2
24%
3
18%
4
13%
5
10%
6
5%
7
3%
8
1.5%
9
1%
10
0.5%
Hillsborough County – Employment Losses
The table below provides the baseline forecast for employment by industry for the future
of Hillsborough County. The amount of aid provided should attempt to catch up to where
the area should be 5-7 years down the road, as opposed to where the region was at the
time of the event.
Economic Development Administration
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Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part III – Analysis
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Hillsborough Employment by Industry Baseline Forecast (In Thousands)
Industry
Year
1
Year
2
Year
3
Year
4
Year
5
Year
6
Year
7
Year
8
Year
9
Year
10
3.011
3.046
3.063
3.068
3.063
3.046
3.025
3.005
3.086
3.155
0.465
2.736
44.68
28.39
33.39
75.93
0.480
2.747
50.35
29.03
34.28
77.47
0.484
2.747
52.47
29.19
34.61
78.30
0.484
2.736
54.36
29.2
34.79
78.82
0.483
2.719
56.11
29.11
34.90
79.19
0.480
2.690
57.64
28.92
34.90
79.32
0.476
2.654
58.98
28.68
34.84
79.28
0.472
2.615
60.31
28.45
34.8
79.33
0.475
2.575
61.35
28.35
34.89
79.60
0.482
2.523
62.49
28.19
35.03
80.32
22.37
23.15
23.59
23.93
24.22
24.42
24.57
24.72
24.98
25.22
20.33
20.51
20.84
21.18
21.52
21.85
22.19
22.62
22.78
22.81
61.66
62.53
63.58
64.33
64.91
65.27
65.45
65.65
66.18
66.68
31.99
33.28
34.20
34.97
35.66
36.21
36.65
37.10
37.53
37.84
68.30
71.71
74.84
77.71
80.46
82.98
85.36
87.79
89.22
90.45
7.069
7.225
7.308
7.357
7.381
7.383
7.375
7.364
7.348
7.381
78.84
80.99
83.10
84.88
86.46
87.77
88.88
90.02
91.25
92.33
13.74
14.31
14.85
15.30
15.71
16.06
16.34
16.62
16.99
17.14
75.00
76.70
80.14
83.29
86.32
89.11
91.67
94.32
96.69
98.80
17.78
18.17
18.54
18.82
19.05
19.21
19.31
19.40
19.54
19.70
52.90
54.20
55.27
56.06
56.67
57.02
57.18
57.31
57.64
58.40
Forestry, Fishing,
Related Activities,
and Other
Mining
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation and
Warehousing
Information
Finance and
Insurance
Real Estate and
Rental and Leasing
Professional and
Technical Services
Management of
Companies and
Enterprises
Administrative and
Waste Services
Educational
Services
Health Care and
Social Assistance
Arts,
Entertainment, and
Recreation
Accommodation
and Food Services
Other Services,
except Public
Administration
State and Local
Federal Civilian
Federal Military
Farm
44.06
45.34
46.51
47.44
48.26
48.89
49.37
49.87
50.45
50.94
62.93
14.67
8.413
9.570
62.81
14.63
8.109
9.526
64.27
14.56
8.264
9.454
65.66
14.47
8.416
9.380
67.02
14.38
8.564
9.296
68.34
14.28
8.712
9.211
69.54
14.17
8.852
9.125
70.72
14.06
8.990
9.039
71.88
14.05
9.017
8.949
72.91
14.01
8.932
8.833
Total
778.2
800.6
820.2
836.6
851.4
863.7
874.0
884.6
894.9
904.6
Actual employment losses by industry for Hillsborough County are shown below.
Hillsborough Employment Losses by Industry (In Thousands)
Industry
Year
Year
Year
Economic Development Administration
Year
Year
III - 23
Year
Year
Year
Year
Year
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part III – Analysis
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Forestry, Fishing,
Related Activities,
and Other
Mining
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation and
Warehousing
Information
Finance and
Insurance
Real Estate and
Rental and Leasing
Professional and
Technical Services
Management of
Companies and
Enterprises
Administrative and
Waste Services
Educational
Services
Health Care and
Social Assistance
Arts,
Entertainment, and
Recreation
Accommodation
and Food Services
Other Services,
except Public
Administration
State and Local
Federal Civilian
Federal Military
Farm
Total
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
-0.99
-0.72
-0.54
-0.39
-0.30
-0.15
-0.09
-0.05
-0.03
-0.02
-0.15
-0.90
-14.7
-9.37
-11.0
-25.1
-0.11
-0.66
-10.7
-6.81
-8.01
-18.2
-0.08
-0.49
-8.04
-5.11
-6.01
-13.7
-0.06
-0.36
-5.81
-3.69
-4.34
-9.87
-0.05
-0.27
-4.47
-2.84
-3.34
-7.59
-0.02
-0.14
-2.23
-1.42
-1.67
-3.80
-0.01
-0.08
-1.34
-0.85
-1.00
-2.28
-0.01
-0.04
-0.67
-0.43
-0.50
-1.14
0.00
-0.03
-0.45
-0.28
-0.33
-0.76
0.00
-0.01
-0.22
-0.14
-0.17
-0.38
-7.38
-5.37
-4.03
-2.91
-2.24
-1.12
-0.67
-0.34
-0.22
-0.11
-6.71
-4.88
-3.66
-2.64
-2.03
-1.02
-0.61
-0.30
-0.20
-0.10
-20.4
-14.8
-11.1
-8.02
-6.17
-3.08
-1.85
-0.92
-0.62
-0.31
-10.6
-7.68
-5.76
-4.16
-3.20
-1.60
-0.96
-0.48
-0.32
-0.16
-22.5
-16.4
-12.3
-8.88
-6.83
-3.42
-2.05
-1.02
-0.68
-0.34
-2.33
-1.70
-1.27
-0.92
-0.71
-0.35
-0.21
-0.11
-0.07
-0.04
-26.0
-18.9
-14.2
-10.3
-7.88
-3.94
-2.37
-1.18
-0.79
-0.39
-4.53
-3.30
-2.47
-1.79
-1.37
-0.69
-0.41
-0.21
-0.14
-0.07
-24.8
-18.0
-13.5
-9.75
-7.50
-3.75
-2.25
-1.13
-0.75
-0.38
-5.87
-4.27
-3.20
-2.31
-1.78
-0.89
-0.53
-0.27
-0.18
-0.09
-17.5
-12.7
-9.52
-6.88
-5.29
-2.65
-1.59
-0.79
-0.53
-0.26
-14.5
-10.6
-7.93
-5.73
-4.41
-2.20
-1.32
-0.66
-0.44
-0.22
-20.8
-4.84
-2.78
-3.16
-15.1
-3.52
-2.02
-2.30
-11.3
-2.64
-1.51
-1.72
-8.18
-1.91
-1.09
-1.24
-6.29
-1.47
-0.84
-0.96
-3.15
-0.73
-0.42
-0.48
-1.89
-0.44
-0.25
-0.29
-0.94
-0.22
-0.13
-0.14
-0.63
-0.15
-0.08
-0.10
-0.31
-0.07
-0.04
-0.05
-257
-187
-140
-101
-77.8
-38.9
-23.4
-11.7
-7.78
-3.89
Manatee County – Employment Losses
The table below provides the baseline forecast for employment by industry for the future
of Manatee County. The amount of aid provided should attempt to catch up to where the
area should be 5-7 years down the road, as opposed to where the region was at the time of
the event.
Economic Development Administration
III - 24
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part III – Analysis
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Manatee Employment by Industry Baseline Forecast (In Thousands)
Industry
Forestry, Fishing,
Related Activities,
and Other
Mining
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation and
Warehousing
Information
Finance and
Insurance
Real Estate and
Rental and Leasing
Professional and
Technical Services
Management of
Companies and
Enterprises
Administrative and
Waste Services
Educational
Services
Health Care and
Social Assistance
Arts,
Entertainment, and
Recreation
Accommodation
and Food Services
Other Services,
except Public
Administration
State and Local
Federal Civilian
Federal Military
Farm
Total
Year
1
Year
2
Year
3
Year
4
Year
5
Year
6
Year
7
Year
8
Year
9
Year
10
2.2
2.2
2.2
2.2
2.2
2.2
2.2
2.2
2.2
2.2
0.1
0.2
10.3
9.5
4.3
17.3
0.1
0.2
12.0
9.7
4.5
17.7
0.1
0.2
12.7
9.7
4.5
17.9
0.1
0.2
13.2
9.7
4.5
18.0
0.1
0.2
13.7
9.6
4.5
18.1
0.1
0.2
14.1
9.6
4.5
18.1
0.1
0.2
14.5
9.5
4.5
18.1
0.1
0.2
14.8
9.4
4.5
18.1
0.1
0.2
15.1
9.4
4.5
18.1
0.1
0.2
10.3
9.5
4.3
17.3
2.5
2.6
2.7
2.7
2.7
2.7
2.8
2.8
2.8
2.5
1.4
1.4
1.4
1.4
1.4
1.4
1.4
1.4
1.4
1.4
7.2
7.3
7.5
7.6
7.8
7.8
7.9
8.0
8.0
7.2
12.8
13.3
13.7
13.9
14.2
14.4
14.5
14.6
14.8
12.8
9.8
10.3
10.8
11.2
11.6
12.0
12.3
12.7
12.9
9.8
3.1
3.1
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.1
3.1
3.1
3.1
18.8
19.2
19.6
19.8
20.0
20.2
20.3
20.4
20.5
18.8
1.9
2.0
2.1
2.1
2.2
2.2
2.2
2.3
2.3
1.9
16.4
16.8
17.6
18.3
18.9
19.5
20.1
20.7
21.1
16.4
5.1
5.2
5.3
5.4
5.5
5.5
5.6
5.6
5.6
5.1
10.7
10.9
11.1
11.2
11.3
11.3
11.3
11.3
11.4
10.7
10.6
11.0
11.3
11.6
11.8
12.0
12.1
12.3
12.4
10.6
11.2
1.0
0.7
4.4
11.2
1.0
0.6
4.4
11.4
1.0
0.7
4.3
11.6
1.0
0.7
4.3
11.8
1.0
0.7
4.3
12.0
1.0
0.7
4.2
12.2
1.0
0.7
4.2
12.3
1.0
0.7
4.1
12.5
0.9
0.7
4.1
11.2
1.0
0.7
4.4
161
167
171
174
177
179
181
183
184
161
Actual employment losses by industry for Manatee County are shown below.
Economic Development Administration
III - 25
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part III – Analysis
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Manatee Employment Losses by Industry (In Thousands)
Industry
Forestry, Fishing,
Related Activities,
and Other
Mining
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation and
Warehousing
Information
Finance and
Insurance
Real Estate and
Rental and Leasing
Professional and
Technical Services
Management of
Companies and
Enterprises
Administrative and
Waste Services
Educational
Services
Health Care and
Social Assistance
Arts,
Entertainment, and
Recreation
Accommodation
and Food Services
Other Services,
except Public
Administration
State and Local
Federal Civilian
Federal Military
Farm
Total
Year
1
Year
2
Year
3
Year
4
Year
5
Year
6
Year
7
Year
8
Year
9
Year
10
-0.73
-0.53
-0.40
-0.29
-0.22
-0.11
-0.07
-0.03
-0.02
-0.01
-0.03
-0.08
-3.41
-3.13
-1.43
-5.70
-0.02
-0.06
-2.48
-2.28
-1.04
-4.14
-0.02
-0.04
-1.86
-1.71
-0.78
-3.11
-0.01
-0.03
-1.34
-1.23
-0.56
-2.24
-0.01
-0.02
-1.03
-0.95
-0.43
-1.73
-0.01
-0.01
-0.52
-0.47
-0.22
-0.86
0.00
-0.01
-0.31
-0.28
-0.13
-0.52
0.00
0.00
-0.16
-0.14
-0.06
-0.26
0.00
0.00
-0.10
-0.09
-0.04
-0.17
0.00
0.00
-0.05
-0.05
-0.02
-0.09
-0.83
-0.60
-0.45
-0.33
-0.25
-0.13
-0.08
-0.04
-0.03
-0.01
-0.47
-0.34
-0.26
-0.19
-0.14
-0.07
-0.04
-0.02
-0.01
-0.01
-2.37
-1.73
-1.29
-0.93
-0.72
-0.36
-0.22
-0.11
-0.07
-0.04
-4.22
-3.07
-2.30
-1.66
-1.28
-0.64
-0.38
-0.19
-0.13
-0.06
-3.22
-2.34
-1.76
-1.27
-0.98
-0.49
-0.29
-0.15
-0.10
-0.05
-1.01
-0.74
-0.55
-0.40
-0.31
-0.15
-0.09
-0.05
-0.03
-0.02
-6.22
-4.52
-3.39
-2.45
-1.88
-0.94
-0.57
-0.28
-0.19
-0.09
-0.63
-0.46
-0.34
-0.25
-0.19
-0.10
-0.06
-0.03
-0.02
-0.01
-5.40
-3.93
-2.95
-2.13
-1.64
-0.82
-0.49
-0.25
-0.16
-0.08
-1.70
-1.23
-0.92
-0.67
-0.51
-0.26
-0.15
-0.08
-0.05
-0.03
-3.52
-2.56
-1.92
-1.39
-1.07
-0.53
-0.32
-0.16
-0.11
-0.05
-3.49
-2.54
-1.90
-1.37
-1.06
-0.53
-0.32
-0.16
-0.11
-0.05
-3.69
-0.33
-0.22
-1.45
-2.68
-0.24
-0.16
-1.05
-2.01
-0.18
-0.12
-0.79
-1.45
-0.13
-0.09
-0.57
-1.12
-0.10
-0.07
-0.44
-0.56
-0.05
-0.03
-0.22
-0.34
-0.03
-0.02
-0.13
-0.17
-0.01
-0.01
-0.07
-0.11
-0.01
-0.01
-0.04
-0.06
0.00
0.00
-0.02
-53.3
-38.8
-29.1
-21.0
-16.1
-8.1
-4.8
-2.4
-1.6
-0.8
Economic Development Administration
III - 26
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part III – Analysis
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Pasco County – Employment Losses
The table below provides the baseline forecast for employment by industry for the future
of Pasco County. The amount of aid provided should attempt to catch up to where the
area should be 5-7 years down the road, as opposed to where the region was at the time of
the event.
Pasco Employment by Industry Baseline Forecast (In Thousands)
Industry
Forestry, Fishing,
Related Activities,
and Other
Mining
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation and
Warehousing
Information
Finance and
Insurance
Real Estate and
Rental and Leasing
Professional and
Technical Services
Management of
Companies and
Enterprises
Administrative and
Waste Services
Educational
Services
Health Care and
Social Assistance
Arts,
Entertainment, and
Recreation
Accommodation
and Food Services
Other Services,
except Public
Administration
State and Local
Federal Civilian
Federal Military
Farm
Total
Year
1
Year
2
Year
3
Year
4
Year
5
Year
6
Year
7
Year
8
Year
9
Year
10
0.77
0.78
0.79
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.79
0.79
0.81
0.83
0.20
0.78
10.7
3.63
2.47
20.2
0.20
0.80
12.3
3.78
2.53
20.6
0.20
0.82
12.9
3.84
2.55
20.9
0.20
0.83
13.4
3.89
2.57
21.1
0.20
0.84
13.8
3.93
2.58
21.2
0.20
0.84
14.3
3.94
2.58
21.3
0.20
0.84
14.6
3.95
2.58
21.4
0.20
0.85
15.0
3.95
2.58
21.5
0.20
0.85
15.3
3.97
2.60
21.6
0.20
0.85
15.7
3.97
2.61
21.8
2.51
2.60
2.66
2.70
2.73
2.76
2.78
2.80
2.83
2.86
1.01
1.00
1.01
1.02
1.03
1.03
1.04
1.06
1.05
1.05
5.35
5.44
5.55
5.64
5.72
5.77
5.82
5.87
5.92
5.96
7.63
7.92
8.15
8.33
8.50
8.64
8.74
8.85
8.99
9.08
6.80
7.15
7.47
7.77
8.07
8.34
8.61
8.88
9.08
9.23
0.41
0.41
0.42
0.42
0.42
0.42
0.42
0.42
0.42
0.43
9.4
9.6
9.8
9.9
10.0
10.1
10.2
10.3
10.4
10.5
2.33
2.44
2.53
2.62
2.69
2.76
2.82
2.87
2.94
2.97
17.7
18.1
18.9
19.7
20.5
21.2
21.8
22.5
23.2
23.7
2.77
2.82
2.89
2.94
2.99
3.02
3.04
3.07
3.10
3.14
11.5
11.8
12.1
12.4
12.6
12.7
12.8
12.9
13.0
13.3
10.4
10.7
11.0
11.3
11.5
11.7
11.8
12.0
12.2
12.3
16.0
0.90
0.95
1.39
16.0
0.90
0.92
1.38
16.4
0.90
0.94
1.37
16.8
0.89
0.95
1.36
17.2
0.89
0.97
1.35
17.6
0.88
0.99
1.34
17.9
0.87
1.00
1.33
18.3
0.87
1.02
1.31
18.6
0.87
1.02
1.30
19.0
0.86
1.01
1.28
136
140
144
147
151
153
155
158
160
163
Economic Development Administration
III - 27
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part III – Analysis
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Actual employment losses by industry for Hillsborough County are shown below.
Pasco Employment Losses by Industry (In Thousands)
Industry
Forestry, Fishing,
Related Activities,
and Other
Mining
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation and
Warehousing
Information
Finance and
Insurance
Real Estate and
Rental and Leasing
Professional and
Technical Services
Management of
Companies and
Enterprises
Administrative and
Waste Services
Educational
Services
Health Care and
Social Assistance
Arts,
Entertainment, and
Recreation
Accommodation
and Food Services
Other Services,
except Public
Administration
State and Local
Federal Civilian
Federal Military
Farm
Total
Year
1
Year
2
Year
3
Year
4
Year
5
Year
6
Year
7
Year
8
Year
9
Year
10
-0.25
-0.19
-0.14
-0.10
-0.08
-0.04
-0.02
-0.01
-0.01
0.00
-0.07
-0.26
-3.52
-1.20
-0.81
-6.66
-0.05
-0.19
-2.56
-0.87
-0.59
-4.85
-0.04
-0.14
-1.92
-0.65
-0.44
-3.64
-0.03
-0.10
-1.38
-0.47
-0.32
-2.63
-0.02
-0.08
-1.07
-0.36
-0.25
-2.02
-0.01
-0.04
-0.53
-0.18
-0.12
-1.01
-0.01
-0.02
-0.32
-0.11
-0.07
-0.61
0.00
-0.01
-0.16
-0.05
-0.04
-0.30
0.00
-0.01
-0.11
-0.04
-0.02
-0.20
0.00
0.00
-0.05
-0.02
-0.01
-0.10
-0.83
-0.60
-0.45
-0.33
-0.25
-0.13
-0.08
-0.04
-0.03
-0.01
-0.33
-0.24
-0.18
-0.13
-0.10
-0.05
-0.03
-0.02
-0.01
-0.01
-1.77
-1.28
-0.96
-0.70
-0.54
-0.27
-0.16
-0.08
-0.05
-0.03
-2.52
-1.83
-1.37
-0.99
-0.76
-0.38
-0.23
-0.11
-0.08
-0.04
-2.24
-1.63
-1.22
-0.88
-0.68
-0.34
-0.20
-0.10
-0.07
-0.03
-0.13
-0.10
-0.07
-0.05
-0.04
-0.02
-0.01
-0.01
0.00
0.00
-3.11
-2.26
-1.69
-1.22
-0.94
-0.47
-0.28
-0.14
-0.09
-0.05
-0.77
-0.56
-0.42
-0.30
-0.23
-0.12
-0.07
-0.04
-0.02
-0.01
-5.84
-4.25
-3.19
-2.30
-1.77
-0.89
-0.53
-0.27
-0.18
-0.09
-0.91
-0.67
-0.50
-0.36
-0.28
-0.14
-0.08
-0.04
-0.03
-0.01
-3.78
-2.75
-2.06
-1.49
-1.15
-0.57
-0.34
-0.17
-0.11
-0.06
-3.45
-2.51
-1.88
-1.36
-1.04
-0.52
-0.31
-0.16
-0.10
-0.05
-5.27
-0.30
-0.31
-0.46
-3.83
-0.22
-0.23
-0.33
-2.88
-0.16
-0.17
-0.25
-2.08
-0.12
-0.12
-0.18
-1.60
-0.09
-0.10
-0.14
-0.80
-0.05
-0.05
-0.07
-0.48
-0.03
-0.03
-0.04
-0.24
-0.01
-0.01
-0.02
-0.16
-0.01
-0.01
-0.01
-0.08
0.00
0.00
-0.01
-44.8
-32.6
-24.4
-17.6
-13.6
-6.8
-4.1
-2.0
-1.4
-0.7
Economic Development Administration
III - 28
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part III – Analysis
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Pinellas County – Employment Losses
The table below provides the baseline forecast for employment by industry for the future
of Pinellas County.
Pinellas Employment by Industry Baseline Forecast (In Thousands)
Industry
Forestry, Fishing,
Related Activities,
and Other
Mining
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation and
Warehousing
Information
Finance and
Insurance
Real Estate and
Rental and Leasing
Professional and
Technical Services
Management of
Companies and
Enterprises
Administrative and
Waste Services
Educational
Services
Health Care and
Social Assistance
Arts,
Entertainment, and
Recreation
Accommodation
and Food Services
Other Services,
except Public
Administration
State and Local
Federal Civilian
Federal Military
Farm
Total
Year
1
Year
2
Year
3
Year
4
Year
5
Year
6
Year
7
Year
8
Year
9
Year
10
0.63
0.64
0.64
0.64
0.64
0.64
0.64
0.63
0.64
0.65
0.54
0.56
29.8
35.5
17.5
59.8
0.53
0.56
33.8
36.1
18.0
60.7
0.53
0.56
35.2
36.4
18.2
61.1
0.53
0.55
36.4
36.6
18.3
61.1
0.52
0.54
37.5
36.7
18.3
61.1
0.51
0.54
38.6
36.9
18.4
61.0
0.49
0.53
39.6
37.4
18.5
60.8
0.48
0.52
40.6
37.9
18.6
60.6
0.47
0.51
41.3
37.7
18.7
60.5
8.94
9.23
9.39
9.52
9.62
9.70
9.75
9.81
9.90
9.32
9.39
9.53
9.66
9.80
9.95
10.1
2
10.3
2
10.3
4
0.46
0.50
42.0
37.5
18.8
60.8
10.0
0
10.3
2
34.2
34.7
35.3
35.8
36.2
36.5
36.7
36.9
37.1
37.5
33.4
34.5
35.3
35.9
36.5
37.0
37.3
37.7
38.0
38.2
45.3
47.3
49.2
50.8
52.4
53.8
55.3
56.8
57.6
58.4
11.3
11.5
11.6
11.6
11.7
11.7
11.6
11.6
11.6
11.6
56.8
58.1
59.4
60.4
61.3
62.0
62.6
63.3
63.9
64.4
9.5
9.9
10.2
10.5
10.7
10.9
11.0
11.2
11.4
11.4
73.3
74.8
77.8
80.5
83.0
85.4
87.7
90.0
91.8
93.4
12.4
12.6
12.8
12.9
13.0
13.1
13.1
13.1
13.1
13.2
41.2
41.8
42.3
42.6
42.7
42.7
42.6
42.5
42.5
42.8
36.1
37.2
38.2
38.9
39.5
40.0
40.4
40.9
41.2
41.6
38.6
7.23
3.03
0.15
38.5
7.21
2.92
0.15
39.3
7.17
2.98
0.15
40.0
7.13
3.03
0.15
40.8
7.09
3.09
0.15
41.6
7.04
3.14
0.15
42.4
6.98
3.19
0.14
43.2
6.93
3.24
0.14
43.9
6.92
3.25
0.14
44.4
6.90
3.22
0.14
565
580
593
603
613
621
629
637
643
648
Economic Development Administration
III - 29
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part III – Analysis
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Actual employment losses by industry for Pinellas County are shown below.
Pinellas Employment Losses by Industry (In Thousands)
Industry
Forestry, Fishing,
Related Activities,
and Other
Mining
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation and
Warehousing
Information
Finance and
Insurance
Real Estate and
Rental and Leasing
Professional and
Technical Services
Management of
Companies and
Enterprises
Administrative and
Waste Services
Educational
Services
Health Care and
Social Assistance
Arts,
Entertainment, and
Recreation
Accommodation
and Food Services
Other Services,
except Public
Administration
State and Local
Federal Civilian
Federal Military
Farm
Total
Year
1
Year
2
Year
3
Year
4
Year
5
Year
6
Year
7
Year
8
Year
9
Year
10
-0.21
-0.15
-0.11
-0.08
-0.06
-0.03
-0.02
-0.01
-0.01
0.00
-0.18
-0.19
-9.82
-11.7
-5.79
-19.7
-0.13
-0.13
-7.14
-8.51
-4.21
-14.3
-0.10
-0.10
-5.36
-6.39
-3.16
-10.8
-0.07
-0.07
-3.87
-4.61
-2.28
-7.77
-0.05
-0.06
-2.98
-3.55
-1.75
-5.98
-0.03
-0.03
-1.49
-1.77
-0.88
-2.99
-0.02
-0.02
-0.89
-1.06
-0.53
-1.79
-0.01
-0.01
-0.45
-0.53
-0.26
-0.90
-0.01
-0.01
-0.30
-0.35
-0.18
-0.60
0.00
0.00
-0.15
-0.18
-0.09
-0.30
-2.95
-2.15
-1.61
-1.16
-0.89
-0.45
-0.27
-0.13
-0.09
-0.04
-3.07
-2.24
-1.68
-1.21
-0.93
-0.47
-0.28
-0.14
-0.09
-0.05
-11.3
-8.21
-6.16
-4.45
-3.42
-1.71
-1.03
-0.51
-0.34
-0.17
-11.0
-8.01
-6.00
-4.34
-3.34
-1.67
-1.00
-0.50
-0.33
-0.17
-14.9
-10.9
-8.15
-5.89
-4.53
-2.26
-1.36
-0.68
-0.45
-0.23
-3.72
-2.70
-2.03
-1.46
-1.13
-0.56
-0.34
-0.17
-0.11
-0.06
-18.8
-13.6
-10.2
-7.39
-5.68
-2.84
-1.70
-0.85
-0.57
-0.28
-3.15
-2.29
-1.72
-1.24
-0.95
-0.48
-0.29
-0.14
-0.10
-0.05
-24.2
-17.9
-13.2
-9.53
-7.33
-3.67
-2.20
-1.10
-0.73
-0.37
-4.08
-2.97
-2.23
-1.61
-1.24
-0.62
-0.37
-0.19
-0.12
-0.06
-13.6
-9.88
-7.41
-5.35
-4.12
-2.06
-1.23
-0.62
-0.41
-0.21
-11.9
-8.66
-6.50
-4.69
-3.61
-1.80
-1.08
-0.54
-0.36
-0.18
-12.8
-2.38
-1.00
-0.05
-9.28
-1.73
-0.73
-0.04
-6.96
-1.30
-0.55
-0.03
-5.02
-0.94
-0.39
-0.02
-3.86
-0.72
-0.30
-0.02
-1.93
-0.36
-0.15
-0.01
-1.16
-0.22
-0.09
0.00
-0.58
-0.11
-0.05
0.00
-0.39
-0.07
-0.03
0.00
-0.19
-0.04
-0.02
0.00
-186
-136
-102
-73.4
-56.5
-28.2
-16.9
-8.47
-5.65
-2.82
Economic Development Administration
III - 30
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part III – Analysis
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Tampa Bay – Employment Losses
The table below provides the baseline forecast for employment by industry for the future
of the Tampa Bay Area. The amount of aid provided should attempt to catch up to where
the area should be 5-7 years down the road, as opposed to where the region was at the
time of the event.
Tampa Bay Employment by Industry Baseline Forecast (In Thousands)
Industry
Forestry, Fishing,
Related Activities,
and Other
Mining
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation and
Warehousing
Information
Finance and
Insurance
Real Estate and
Rental and Leasing
Professional and
Technical Services
Management of
Companies and
Enterprises
Administrative and
Waste Services
Educational
Services
Health Care and
Social Assistance
Arts,
Entertainment, and
Recreation
Accommodation
and Food Services
Other Services,
except Public
Administration
State and Local
Federal Civilian
Federal Military
Farm
Total
Year
1
Year
2
Year
3
Year
4
Year
5
Year
6
Year
7
Year
8
Year
9
Year
10
6.6
6.7
6.7
6.7
6.7
6.7
6.7
6.6
6.8
6.9
1.3
4.3
95
77.0
57.7
173
1.3
4.3
108
78.6
59.3
176
1.3
4.4
113
79.1
59.8
178
1.3
4.4
117
79.4
60.1
179
1.3
4.3
121
79.4
60.3
180
1.3
4.3
125
79.4
60.4
180
1.3
4.3
128
79.5
60.4
180
1.3
4.2
131
79.7
60.4
180
1.3
4.2
133
79.4
60.7
180
1.2
4.1
136
79.0
60.9
181
36.3
37.6
38.3
38.8
39.3
39.6
39.9
40.1
40.5
40.9
32.1
32.3
32.8
33.3
33.8
34.3
34.8
35.4
35.6
35.6
108
110
112
113
115
115
116
116
117
118
85.8
89.1
91.4
93.2
94.9
96.2
97.2
98.3
99.3
100.
0
130
137
142
148
153
157
162
166
169
171
21.8
22.3
22.5
22.6
22.6
22.6
22.6
22.6
22.5
22.6
164
168
172
175
178
180
182
184
186
188
27.5
28.6
29.7
30.5
31.3
31.9
32.4
33.0
33.6
33.9
182
186
194
202
209
215
221
227
233
237
38.1
38.8
39.6
40.1
40.5
40.8
41.0
41.1
41.4
41.7
116
119
121
122
123
124
124
124
125
126
101
104
107
109
111
113
114
115
116
117
129
23.8
13.1
15.5
128
23.7
12.6
15.4
131
23.6
12.8
15.3
134
23.5
13.1
15.2
137
23.3
13.3
15.1
140
23.2
13.5
14.9
142
23.0
13.8
14.8
145
22.8
14.0
14.6
147
22.8
14.0
14.5
149
22.7
13.9
14.3
1,640
1,688
1,728
1,762
1,792
1,817
1,839
1,862
1,882
1,901
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Actual employment losses by industry for the Tampa Bay Region are shown below.
Tampa Bay Employment Losses by Industry (In Thousands)
Chart 1 - Employment Losses by County
Industry
Forestry, Fishing,
Related Activities,
and Other
Mining
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation and
Warehousing
Information
Finance and
Insurance
Real Estate and
Rental and Leasing
Professional and
Technical Services
Management of
Companies and
Enterprises
Administrative and
Waste Services
Educational
Services
Health Care and
Social Assistance
Arts,
Entertainment, and
Recreation
Accommodation
and Food Services
Other Services,
except Public
Administration
State and Local
Federal Civilian
Federal Military
Farm
Total
Year
1
Year
2
Year
3
Year
4
Year
5
Year
6
Year
7
Year
8
Year
9
Year
10
-2
-0.4
-1
-31
-25
-19
-57
-2
-0.3
-1
-23
-18
-14
-42
-1
-0.2
-1
-17
-14
-10
-31
-1
-0.2
-1
-12
-10
-8
-23
-0.7
-0.1
-0.4
-9.5
-7.7
-5.8
-17.3
-0.3
-0.1
-0.2
-4.8
-3.9
-2.9
-8.7
-0.2
0.0
-0.1
-2.9
-2.3
-1.7
-5.2
-0.10
-0.02
-0.06
-1.43
-1.16
-0.87
-2.60
-0.07
-0.01
-0.04
-0.95
-0.77
-0.58
-1.73
-0.03
-0.01
-0.02
-0.48
-0.39
-0.29
-0.87
-12
-11
-9
-8
-7
-6
-5
-4
-3.6
-3.2
-1.8
-1.6
-1.1
-1.0
-0.54
-0.48
-0.36
-0.32
-0.18
-0.16
-36
-26
-20
-14
-10.8
-5.4
-3.3
-1.63
-1.08
-0.54
-28
-21
-15
-11
-8.6
-4.3
-2.6
-1.29
-0.86
-0.43
-43
-31
-23
-17
-13.0
-6.5
-3.9
-1.95
-1.30
-0.65
-7
-5
-4
-3
-2.2
-1.1
-0.7
-0.33
-0.22
-0.11
-54
-39
-30
-21
-16.4
-8.2
-4.9
-2.46
-1.64
-0.82
-9
-7
-5
-4
-2.8
-1.4
-0.8
-0.41
-0.28
-0.14
-60
-44
-33
-24
-18.2
-9.1
-5.5
-2.74
-1.82
-0.91
-13
-9
-7
-5
-3.8
-1.9
-1.1
-0.57
-0.38
-0.19
-38
-28
-21
-15
-11.6
-5.8
-3.5
-1.74
-1.16
-0.58
-33
-42
-8
-4
-5
-24
-31
-6
-3
-4
-18
-23
-4
-2
-3
-13
-17
-3
-2
-2
-10.1
-12.9
-2.4
-1.3
-1.6
-5.1
-6.4
-1.2
-0.7
-0.8
-3.0
-3.9
-0.7
-0.4
-0.5
-1.52
-1.93
-0.36
-0.20
-0.23
-1.01
-1.29
-0.24
-0.13
-0.16
-0.51
-0.64
-0.12
-0.07
-0.08
-541
-394
-295
-213
-164
-82
-49
-25
-16
-8
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Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
The Construction and Clean up Gains were estimated on rebuilding the residential and
non residential capital stock and the Federal Assistance provided to New Orleans in
Hurricane Katrina. Federal Assistance was dispersed using a per capita approach to each
county. The capital stock figures used were from the Project Phoenix scenario.
Residential and Nonresidential estimates were similar and the amounts were split evenly
in the rebuilding phases. A total of almost $136 Billion would be spent over 10 years,
creating a significant economic driver. Additionally, the Federal Government would
contribute over $53 Billion in government spending. Total activity would equal almost
$190 Billion into the local economy over 10 years. The tables below show the
investment amount and type in the four county region. Numbers are in Billions of $2010
Type
Residential
Construction
NonResidential
Construction
Government
Spending
TOTAL
SPENDING
TOTAL
1
2
3
4
5
$67.9
$10.2
$12.2
$13.6
$12.2
$6.8
$67.9
$10.2
$12.2
$13.6
$12.2
$6.8
$53.6
$8.0
$10.7
$10.7
$10.7
$5.4
$189.5
$28.4
$35.2
$37.9
$35.2
$19.0
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Type
Residential
Construction
TOTAL
6
7
8
9
10
$67.9
$4.8
$3.4
$2.7
$1.4
$0.7
$67.9
$4.8
$3.4
$2.7
$1.4
$0.7
Government
Spending
$53.6
$3.8
$2.7
$1.6
$0
$0
TOTAL
SPENDING
$189.5
$13.3
$9.5
$7.0
$2.7
$1.4
NonResidential
Construction
The information provided in the previous table is shown graphically below.
Chart 2 - Investment and Spending Activity by County
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Scenario Inputs
Chart 3 - Disaster Resiliency Scenario Inputs
The inputs of the scenario are show above in a percentage graphic to demonstrate the
timing of the impacts. The negative impacts, the direct loss of employment, peaks at
30% of the regional workforce being unable to work. The positive impacts, the
reconstruction and government spending, are spread over 8 and 10 years, the respective
percent of the total spending is graphed.
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Results
The results presented in this section are predominately in chart format. The goal is
understand the concept and see if enough federal governmental assistance is being
provided. These results are intended to be looked at from a bird’s eye view, not to the nth
decimal place. Ensuring that the proper amount of government aid and assistance is
administered to get back to the forecast pattern is more crucial than the actual number of
jobs. The ultimate goal should be to be targeted in the correct direction and judged on a
pass/fail grade. These estimates are provided to ballpark a local scenario.
A hypothetical scenario could include a controlled burn going awry and turning into a
devastating inferno in the Westchase Traffic Evacuation Areas (TEAs) of Tampa in
Hillsborough County. Local Hillsborough County staff would be able to pull out a map
of the damage and identify the affected Traffic Evacuation Areas (TEAs). The staff
would then find the corresponding TEAs in Section 2 of this document and be able to see
how employment exists and in which industries. After examining the building damage,
an average of 3 months is the likely estimate until the workers can return to work. Staff
would be able to compare Westchase’s employment to all of Hillsborough County to see
how many Hillsborough employees would be displaced for 3 months. Utilizing the data
in the appendix, staff would then determine the factor between the wildfire displaced
employees versus the Project Phoenix displaced employees would allow the staff to
quickly divide the Hillsborough County Impact to see the negative impacts from the loss
of employment. Knowing the negative side of the equation will help the local area
determine how much governmental aid and assistance is needed by using the same factor.
After compensating government assistance with the reconstruction of the destroyed areas,
the net result eventually turns positive. Most indicators turn positive towards the fifth
year, but considering how far they drop, a number of successful years are needed in order
to accrue some productivity. When talking about the status of an area in future years, it is
important to remember that the area is constantly progressing. Florida has a stronger
growth rate than most states and it would be unfair to assume it would stay at the levels
when the incident occurs. To demonstrate the point, the next two charts (Charts 4 and 5)
show the same employment changes from the scenario. Chart 4 compares employment
change to the current level, showing the forecast. Chart 5 shows the new scenario
compared to the forecast. In Chart 4, the region has a significant increase compared to
the current level, even when comparing only the negative impacts. Chart 5 shows how
important knowing your projected levels is in order to gauge how well the area
responded.
The forecasts utilized are provided in the appendix. It is not essential for the forecasts to
be precisely accurate, what we are measuring is the difference from the forecast based
upon the assumed change in the new scenario.
The damage from the Negative Loss of Employment (Lime Green Line) demonstrates
how critical the employment is to the entire region. The Positive Impact of Government
Spending, Cleaning, and Reconstruction (Purple Line) show how much government
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assistance can aid a community in need. The Net Impact from both events (Blue Line) is
a gauge to see if the federal and local assistance meets the needs.
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Net Impacts on Employment
Chart 4 - Net Impacts on Employment vs Current Level
Chart 5 - Net Impacts on Employment vs Baseline
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Industry Impacts from Employment Losses
Chart 6 - Industry Impact from Employment Losses
The Negative Impacts from the Employment Loss are shown above. The graph shows
the losses by industry by year. The construction industry automatically benefits from the
employees returning to work, even without the positive impacts modeled. This scenario
will only work with a normal workforce recovery rate. Any delays in getting employees
to work caused by prolonged power outages, segmented succession plans, business
exodus, etc would cause severe negative impacts.
The Administrative and Waste services, which covers a number of occupations including
all temporary employment, shows the most employment decrease. This is expected since
it is the region’s largest employer.
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Industry Impact from Spending and Construction
Chart 7 - Industry Impact from Spending and Construction
Looking at the industry impact from the positive inputs, provided below, an increase is
felt in all sectors. The government and construction sectors see the biggest boost, as
expected. Once the spending and reconstruction slows down, a dip is experienced in
most of the sectors, as businesses start to downsize and become more efficient.
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Industry Impact from Net Employment
Chart 8 - Industry Impact from Net Employment
The net employment impact of the event is shown on the graph below. It incorporates the
Positive and Negative impacts. The biggest benefactors are government employment and
construction. The surge in employment is enough to bring up the other sectors and offset
their losses.
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Employment, Population, and Labor Force Impacts of All Scenarios
Chart 9 - Employment, Population, and Labor Force Impacts
The change in Employment, Population, and Labor Force for the positive, negative, and
net scenarios are shown in a graph below. The population and labor force are less elastic
than the employment and typically has a slight lag effect, often due to the reluctance of
someone to permanently move themselves and their family to a new place. Notice that
without government assistance and reconstruction, the region never returns to the pre
event forecast in Employment, Population, or Labor Force.
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Net Impact to Economic Indicators
Chart 10 - Net Impact to Economic Indicators
With the swings in employment, it is important to look at how the local economy handles
the changes. The Net Impacts are shown in the graph below, demonstrating how long it
takes for the economy to rebound even with the surge in activity. The Output never
reaches its pre event forecast until year 6, meaning the region lost an enormous amount of
Output over the first 6 years of the recovery.
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Net Impact to Exports
Chart 11 - Net Impact to Exports
When a region is devastated, it must rely upon other regions to import essentials until the
business are back up and running. Then when the region is back at full capacity, it will
gain steam from all of the activity happening within itself while it rebuilds. This
behavior is shown in the charts below.
Chart 11 shows the Net Impacts decrease in Exports associated with the inability to
produce materials.
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Net Impact to Imports
Chart 12 - Net Impact to Imports
Unable to produce the required needs of the community, the region must import goods.
Chart 12 shows the increase as well as the location of the import. Producing more things
in your region is better than having income from residents leaving the region to support
other regions.
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Impacts to Self Supply of All Scenarios
Chart 13 - Impacts to Self Supply of All Scenarios
The Impacts to the Self Supply of the region are shown above. The Red Line indicates
the positive economic aspects (Reconstruction, Clean Up, and Government Spending).
The Green Line displays the impacts from the negative factors (Employment Losses).
The Blue Line shows the Net Impact of both scenarios. It takes approximately 3 years to
return to the forecast.
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Summary
Using the catastrophic scenario of Project Phoenix, we were able to test a worst case
scenario to the Tampa Bay Region. This category 5 hurricane would go through Pinellas
and Hillsborough Counties and be large enough to provide substantial damage to Pasco
and Manatee Counties. The doomsday scenario was modeled as a catastrophic planning
exercise in 2010. The probability of the exact scenario occurring is extremely low,
however the analysis provides scalability and transferability to any hazard. Like most
disaster scenarios, only the direct impacts were reported in the Project Phoenix scenario.
Our analysis took the direct impacts and then estimated the indirect and induced impacts.
The assumptions and timing of the event and reactions are what drives the results. The
main components are split into two main categories, economic losses associated with
losing employment and economic gains associated with reconstruction, cleaning, and
government spending. The employment losses drive a loss in production and wages due
to the employees being unable to actually get to work. The losses are spread over 7
years. The economic gains drive the economy back to positive results and are spread
over 10 years, as some home owners wait a long time to rebuild their houses. The shape
and distribution of the inputs are shown below in the chart. The blue line shows the
direct employment missing by year. The Green line shows the percentage of $136
Billion each year. The Red Line shows the percentage of $53.6 Billion in government
spending in each year.
After accounting for the negative losses and positive gains, the results show how
significant a loss of employment is to the region. Without government assistance and
reconstruction, the region never fully recovers. Additional funds could be input to
overcompensate for each year to show what the recovery would be, but the employment
that comes along with government spending (contractual, temporary, cleaning, etc)
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disappears almost as quickly as the funds disappear. These jobs help the region look
strong while it recovers, but the longer lasting impact is actual employment. The chart
below shows the effects on employment of all three scenarios. The Purple Line shows
the change in employment from only the positive economic impacts (reconstruction,
cleanup, and government spending). The Green Line shows the change in employment
change from only the negative economic impacts. The Blue Line shows the change in
employment from the net impact (both the negative and positive economic impacts).
The chart below shows the Net Impact of several Economic Indicators. All comparisons
are to the baseline forecast. The Green Line shows the impact to the Personal Income.
The Purple Line shows the Gross Domestic Product of the Tampa Bay Region. The Red
Line charts the change to the Net Value Added. The Blue Line displays the change to the
Output.
When looking at how to recover from a catastrophic event, employment was the largest
factor in our analysis. If more effort is spent on the prevention or reduction in damage
before the storm hits, the employment should be more resilient. Additionally, if some
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Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
disaster funds or initial tax revenues can be invested in the region to create more
permanent jobs in the future, the economy could actually be in a better position in the
long run.
Investing in infrastructure to harden buildings to build stronger, more disaster resilient
buildings will help the economy be in better shape next time a disaster occurs by
allowing more employees access to their respective workplaces after the event. Investing
in economic development activities before and after the event will help retain and attract
employment to strengthen the economy. The PDRP (Post Disaster Redevelopment
Plan) is a planning process to identify policies, operational strategies, and roles and
responsibilities for implementation that will guide decisions that affect long-term
recovery and redevelopment of the community after a disaster. Recovery topics include
business resumption and economic redevelopment, housing repair and reconstruction,
infrastructure restoration and mitigation, short-term recovery actions that affect long-term
redevelopment, sustainable land use, environmental restoration, and financial
considerations as well as other long-term recovery issues identified by the community.
Despite the fact that the Project Phoenix impacts and the best assumptions based upon
previous hurricanes were used in this analysis, the exact scenario is highly unlikely to
occur. Instead each county can look at their own situation and disaster to evaluate what
needs to happen to return to sustainability. The scenario can even be a completely
different hazard. Estimating the damage, workforce displacement, reconstruction,
cleanup, and federal assistance will provide any of the counties with a likely estimate of
the indirect and induced impacts. If the county can only estimate the damage, they can
then determine what level of activity is needed to offset the losses. The appendices detail
the exact impact each category creates through each county the region. This level of
detail gives users and decision makers the tools and knowledge they need to respond
appropriately.
A hypothetical scenario could include a tornado touching down in the Feather Sound area
of St. Petersburg in Pinellas County. Local Pinellas County staff would be able to pull
out a map of the damage and identify the affected Traffic Evacuation Areas (TEAs). The
staff would then find the corresponding TEAs in Section 2 of this document and be able
to see how employment exists and in which industries. After examining the building
damage, an average of 6 months is the likely estimate until the workers can return to
work. Staff would be able to compare Feather Sound’s employment to all of Pinellas
County to see how many Pinellas workers would be displaced for 6 months. Determining
the factor between the tornado displaced employees versus the Project Phoenix displaced
employees would allow the staff to quickly divide the Pinellas County Impact to see the
negative impacts from the loss of employment. Knowing the negative side of the
equation will help the local area determine how much governmental aid and assistance is
needed by using the same factor.
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Part IV – Resiliency Strategies
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Part IV – Resiliency Strategies
1921 Hurricane – Hyde Park Flooding
Table of Contents
Introduction
Local Mitigation Strategy
PDRP
COOP
Florida Business Disaster Kit
Business Continuity Plan
Input Form
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Introduction
The importance of preparedness planning and mitigation is critical to the ultimate
recovery of a region after a disaster. The main goal of hazard mitigation planning is to
create a safer community while minimizing the loss from potential hazards. FEMA has
estimated that for every $1 you spend in mitigating, it saves $4 in the future (Rose 2007).
The results of this study showcased the importance of retaining employment and
continuing to grow the economy into the future. Unless assistance is provided, the
economy never rebounds to the pre-event forecast. In order to ensure these employees
are able to get back to work after an event, business continuity planning is critical.
Creating strategies and plans to facilitate the return of employees to work as quickly as
possible should be a major goal of preparedness and recovery. Planning for every
possible scenario would be nearly impossible; instead, the focus on returning employees
to work should be primary economic objectives. Additional objectives revolve around
targeting which businesses will need the most help and identifying how to help the
business plan.
Strategies include:
™ Hazard and Resiliency Planning (LMS, COOPs, PDRP, etc.)
™ Structure Hardening (Hurricane Shutters, Hurricane Roof clips, Tornado
Safe rooms, Building Elevation, Flood proofing buildings, etc.)
™ Business Continuity Plans (Education and Outreach, Succession Plans,
Insurance Education, Business Continuity Planning, Offsite backups, etc.)
™ Infrastructure Improvements and Redundancy. (Stormwater/Drainage
Improvements, Evacuation Route and Notification Improvements, Building
Hardening, etc.)
™ Funding Identification (SBA, FEMA, EDA, etc.)
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Local Mitigation Strategies
Every county in Florida has a Local Mitigation Strategy (LMS) in place. The LMS
analyzes potential hazards to the county, noting the probability and possible damage
impacts. The LMS identifies a prioritized mitigation projects list that the community has
identified as a cost-effective approach to reduce its
vulnerability. These projects are often reflected in
the Local Government Comprehensive Plan
Capital Improvement Plan. Some are identified for
future funding as funds become available. If hazard
mitigation funds do become available in a postdisaster event, these projects would be ready to
implement. These lists must be maintained and
remain up to date and appropriate.
When a disaster occurs, mitigation funds will
funnel into the community. These funds are used
to pay for public projects on the project list or to
enhance infrastructure repairs to not only complete
repairs but mitigate future losses. These lists are
critical to ensure community resiliency goals are
furthered in the post-disaster environment.
The format of an LMS includes: Assessing the risks, Identifying strategies to reduce risk,
Actions, and recovery and rebuilding operations. Assessing the risk identifies every risk
that has been identified and provides details regarding the fallout of such a scenario.
Strategies to reduce risk are ways to mitigate or become more resilient. These strategies
include policies, procedures and regulations to ensure that the recovery leaves the
community more resilient, more sustainable and economically sound.
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Post Disaster Redevelopment Plans
A Post‐Disaster Redevelopment Plan (PDRP) is a requirement for all Florida coastal
counties and municipalities and is encouraged for inland communities. The Plan
identifies policies, operational strategies, and roles and responsibilities for
implementation that will guide decisions that affect long‐term recovery and
redevelopment of the community after a disaster. It emphasizes seizing opportunities for
hazard mitigation and community improvement consistent with the goals of the local
comprehensive plan and with full participation of the citizens.
Recovery topics addressed include sustainable land use, housing repair and
reconstruction, business resumption and economic redevelopment, infrastructure
restoration and mitigation, long‐term health and social services support, environmental
restoration, financial considerations, and short‐term recovery actions that affect long term
redevelopment as well as other long‐term recovery issues identified by the community.
A - Hillsborough County Post Disaster Redevelopment Plan
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Benefits of a Post-Disaster Redevelopment Plan
There are three principal benefits to having a well‐developed Plan:
1) Faster and More Efficient Recovery
Without a comprehensive, long‐term recovery plan, ad hoc efforts in the aftermath of a
significant disaster will delay the return of community stability. Creating a process to
make smart post‐disaster decisions and prepare for long‐term recovery requirements
enables a community to do more than react, prompting post‐disaster action rather than
time‐consuming debate. By identifying appropriate planning mechanisms, financial
assistance, and agency roles and responsibilities beforehand, a community begins the
road to recovery more quickly. Being able to show efficient and effective use of taxpayer
dollars after a disaster is incredibly important for the public’s perception of the recovery.
2) Opportunity to Build Back Better
A disaster, while tragic, can also create opportunities to fix past mistakes or leap forward
with plans for community improvements. In the immediate aftermath of a disaster, local
officials are under significant pressure to restore the community to its pre‐disaster
condition. Without a guiding vision, short‐term decisions may inadvertently restrict
long‐term, sustainable redevelopment and overlook opportunities to surpass the status
quo. A Post‐Disaster Redevelopment Plan strengthens the recovery process, and
communities benefit from assessing their risk levels and crafting a long‐term
redevelopment plan under “blue skies.” local officials and the public can thoughtfully
analyze and debate issues, linking redevelopment goals with other important community
plans. Careful thought and planning achieves a more sustainable and resilient outcome
than decisions made under emergency circumstances, compromised budgets, and political
pressures.
3) Local Control over Recovery
Developing a PDRP provides local government officials, residents, and businesses the
opportunity to determine long‐term redevelopment goals and develop policies and
procedures that will guide redevelopment before well‐intended outside agencies and
non‐government organizations rush to aid the community. While outside
resources are needed and welcomed in a major or catastrophic disaster, a locally
developed Plan will best channel those resources to effectively meet the community’s
specific needs and goals. A Post‐Disaster Redevelopment Plan will show outside
agencies and donors that the community is prepared to play an active role in the recovery
process and promote its capabilities to wisely use donated and loaned resources. There
will always be rules and, occasionally, strings attached to external sources of funding, but
a community that has researched the allowable uses of Federal and State assistance can
better work within their boundaries in an effort to fund projects that further local
redevelopment goals.
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Disaster Phases and the PDRP
Disaster management is typically viewed as a cycle with overlapping phases: 1)
pre‐disaster mitigation and emergency management preparedness; 2) emergency
response; 3) short-term recovery; and 4) long-term recovery and redevelopment. The
disaster management cycle and major plan interaction is depicted in the graphic below.
.
B - Post Disaster Redevelopmetn Planning Guide - www.floridadisaster.com
The Plan has an implementation role in pre‐ and post‐disaster phases, but the intent of all
Plan implementation activities is to improve the community’s ability for long‐term
recovery and redevelopment.
Pre-Disaster Phase – Initial Plan development occurs during the pre‐disaster phase
(except if a community is struck by a disaster before a Plan has been drafted). Once the
Plan is adopted, preparatory activities detailed in the Plan should be implemented on an
on‐going basis during normal operations, which are sometimes referred to as “blue
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skies.” The Plan should also be exercised prior to a disaster event so that all stakeholders
with a post‐disaster implementation role are familiar with their responsibilities.
Emergency Response Phase – The Post‐Disaster Redevelopment Plan does not address
this phase. Emergency response activities are addressed in the CEMP and include
immediate actions to save lives, protect property, and meet basic human needs. This is
the shortest phase of the cycle, lasting only a few days in minor disaster conditions.
Short-Term Recovery Phase – The role of the Plan during the short‐term recovery phase
is to begin organizing for long‐term redevelopment activities and guide short‐term
recovery decisions that may have long‐term implications (e.g., placement of temporary
housing or debris sites). Short‐term recovery operations are addressed in the CEMP, but
the Post‐Disaster Redevelopment Plan can provide direction for transitioning to
long‐term redevelopment during this phase. The short‐term recovery phase begins as the
emergency response phase is winding down and will continue until critical services are
restored. The duration of the short‐term recovery phase depends on the severity of the
disaster and the level of community preparedness; it could range from several weeks to
one year to complete this phase.
Long-Term Recovery and Redevelopment Phase – The Plan is used most during this
phase. long‐term recovery and redevelopment include efforts to reconstruct and enhance
the built environment as well as recover the economy, environment, and social systems.
This phase begins as short‐term recovery activities are accomplished and can last from a
couple years for a minor disaster to five or more years for a major or catastrophic
disaster.
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Interaction with Other Plans
The objective of the Post‐Disaster Redevelopment Plan is to guide the redevelopment
decision‐making process following a disaster in a manner consistent with local
comprehensive plans (especially the Future Land Use and Coastal Management
Elements, where applicable), the local Mitigation Strategy, the Comprehensive
Emergency Management Plan, and other relevant plans or codes such as the long‐Range
Transportation Plan, land development regulations, and economic development and
redevelopment plans. Each of these plans, and potentially others, has pre‐existing policies
or procedures that affect post‐disaster redevelopment. For instance, the comprehensive
plan has many policies that determine where and to what extent redevelopment can occur.
Ultimately, the PDRP acts as a guide for utilizing the policies and procedures found in
other documents when making post‐disaster redevelopment decisions. The planning
process provides an opportunity to examine how local plans and codes will impact
redevelopment and to recommend changes that could result in a faster and
more sustainable recovery.
Implementation of the Post‐Disaster Redevelopment Plan will overlap with
implementation of other plans that also address some of the same topics, such as housing
or infrastructure. The focus on long-term post‐disaster redevelopment, however, is unique
to the Plan and its implementation strategy should include specific actions for integrating
long‐term redevelopment considerations into other local plans, as applicable.
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Approaches to Plan Development
State requirements for the Post‐Disaster Redevelopment Plan are general, providing
communities some flexibility in how they approach planning for and implementing their
Plan.
1. Stand-Alone PDRP Integrated with Other Local Plans
The best practice for developing a PDRP is for a county and its municipalities to
collaboratively create a new countywide document through a planning process dedicated
to the subject of post‐disaster redevelopment. A stand‐alone Plan provides a single
reference for guiding action and decision‐making during the difficult disaster recovery
period and detailing actions that can be taken before a disaster strikes to speed the
recovery process.
By itself, a stand-alone Plan is not adequate for successful post-disaster redevelopment.
The Plan provides the strategy and action plan, but other local plans must support the
Post‐Disaster Redevelopment Plan strategy through policy, regulations, procedures, and
projects. The approaches below for integrating the Plan into other local plans can be used
in combination with the stand‐alone approach.
2. Adopt a Post-Disaster Redevelopment Ordinance
Every jurisdiction should adopt a post‐disaster redevelopment ordinance. This can be the
result of developing a comprehensive, stand‐alone Plan or it can be a first step in
preparing for long‐term redevelopment after a disaster. At a minimum, a post‐disaster
redevelopment ordinance should address temporary regulations (such as building
moratoria and repair permitting) and the establishment of a redevelopment task force or
advisory body. A redevelopment ordinance was the foundation of Hillsborough County’s
Plan.
3. Integrate Post-Disaster Redevelopment Issues into the Comprehensive Plan
It is critical that any community working on post‐disaster redevelopment issues integrate
data, analysis, and policies into their comprehensive plan to guide long‐term
redevelopment after disaster. A community can choose to address integration into the
comprehensive plan through three major processes: 1) as a component of developing a
stand‐alone PDRP; 2) during the comprehensive plan Evaluation and Appraisal Report
(EAR) process; or 3) as part of any comprehensive plan amendment cycle.
Redevelopment topics, such as land use and infrastructure, are essential to address in the
comprehensive plan. Not all issues, particularly the operational aspects of
the Post‐Disaster Redevelopment Plan, will be a good fit for integration into the
comprehensive plan. Simply addressing post-disaster redevelopment through the
comprehensive plan is a good place for a community to start, but the Plan should be
combined with other approaches described in this section for best results.
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4. Integrate Post-Disaster Redevelopment Issues into the LMS
Hazard mitigation increases the disaster resilience of a community, thereby decreasing
post‐disaster redevelopment issues. Integrating post disaster redevelopment goals,
analysis, and projects into the local Mitigation Strategy is a natural fit. Each of the six
pilot counties has taken advantage of the overlap between the LMS and PDRP to
maximize efficient resource use by pairing pre‐disaster implementation and plan
maintenance processes of the PDRP with similar LMS. The scope of the PostDisaster Redevelopment Plan, however, is more comprehensive than that of the LMS,
and some communities may encounter limitations in implementing post‐disaster actions
using the LMS structure alone without modification.
5. Expand the Recovery Annex of the CEMP to Address Post-Disaster Redevelopment
Issues
Transitioning between short‐term recovery operations (led by the County Emergency
Operations Center) and long‐term redevelopment, which is not emergency‐based and is
often concentrated around community planning issues, can be difficult. An advantage of
integrating long term, post‐disaster redevelopment issues into the Comprehensive
Emergency Management Plan is that it can better facilitate this transition. A county can
expand its CEMP Recovery Annex to address long term redevelopment issues in addition
to short‐term recovery procedures. The disadvantage to addressing post-disaster
redevelopment issues solely through this method is that the CEMP is primarily an
operational plan and the ability to address redevelopment policy and public input
may be limited.
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COOP
Continuity of Operations (COOP) plans are developed by (primarily) public and not for
profit agencies to facilitate their preparedness and ability to operate after a disaster.
COOP plans are required for critical local government agencies; however, many local
governments have found that government operations are reliant on each other and that
they will need “all hands on deck” and have expanded the required COOPs to include all
departments.
Non-profits also have requirements regarding their
COOP plans. Business primarily focuses on Business
Continuity Planning (BCP). These are very similar;
although the primary focus of the BCP is to minimize
downtime and ensure business critical functions can be
maintained. BUSINESS CONTINUITY PLANNING PROCESS
Business owners invest their blood, sweat, and tears into their businesses often without
thought of the possibility of a disaster occurring. Every year emergencies take their toll
on business and industry, in lives and dollars. But something can be done. Business and
industry can limit injuries and damages and return more quickly to normal operations.
The Florida Business Disaster Kit (www.fldisasterkit.org) was designed to provide the
basic knowledge necessary to help protect businesses from the adverse effects of
disasters, large or small. In-depth knowledge of emergency management or business
continuity management is not required. The commitment and authority from the highest
level of management to make emergency management part of your corporate culture is
all that is needed.
Business Continuity Planning (BCP) is the act of anticipating incidents which will affect
mission critical functions of the company and ensuring that the business and its
employees respond to any emergency in a safe, planned and rehearsed manner. BCP is
not just about disaster recovery, crisis management, insurance or Information Technology
(IT). It is a business issue. It presents you with an opportunity to review the way your
organization performs its processes, to improve procedures and practices and increase
resilience to interruption and loss.
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Florida Business Disaster Toolkit
Comprehensive Emergency Management consists of
four phases:
Figure C
Comprehensive Emergency Management
Response
Preparedness
Recovery
Mitigation
•
Preparedness requires understanding the
effects of disasters or emergencies, the
actions that must be taken to respond to and
recover from these events, as well as what
can be done to mitigate future losses.
Preparedness is taking the steps to ensure
your business and employees are ready for
the “unexpected” and know what needs to be
done in an emergency situation.
•
Mitigation involves taking the steps to prevent an emergency or disaster or, at
least reduce your business’ vulnerability.
•
Response is handling the threat or the occurrence of an emergency or disaster.
•
Recovery is restoring all aspects of business operations damaged or interrupted
by an event.
Top Level Commitment
Management must be committed at the highest level for the plan to be successful. The
plan must be part of the strategic business plan and the company must budget
appropriately and separately for the program. A top-level policy statement should be
issued that affirms the value of planning, acknowledges and accepts the associated costs,
documents management responsibilities and includes the goals and expectations of the
plan, as well as any organizational assumptions or parameters.
Building the Planning and Management Team
The first step in your Continuity Planning Process
is to build a Planning and Management Team.
This team is responsible for creating,
implementing, updating and maintaining the plan.
To demonstrate management’s commitment and
promote cooperation, a statement authorizing the
planning team to take steps necessary to develop
the plan should be issued. A team leader should be selected and a clear line of authority
between the group members and group leader should be established. Team members
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should also be prepared to view this task as a continual process, rather than a one-time
event.
The size of your team depends on the size of your business. The team should be
representative of the entire organization. Planning cannot be accomplished in a vacuum.
You will need the feedback from every department, as well as their support in the
development and implementation of the plan. If appropriate, the team should be
comprised of key management employees from each business unit. Once the team is
formed, it is important to set up a work schedule and deadlines. Some items to consider
are:
•
•
•
•
Timeline for key deliverables,
Budget,
Assignment of specific tasks, and
Formation of an Emergency Management/Crisis Management Team.
The team should conduct an analysis of the operational aspects of the business and
determine what is critical for continuance. When identifying your critical products,
services and operations you should distinguish the following:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
What are the key business objectives of the organization? What is this business
about?
What are the products and services of the business?
Who is involved (both internally and externally) in the achievement of the
business objectives?
What facilities and equipment are needed to produce our products and services?
What administrative operations, equipment and personnel are vital to the
continued functioning of the business?
What products and services are provided by suppliers, especially sole source
vendors?
What are the necessary lifeline services such as electrical power, water, sewer,
gas, telecommunications and transportation?
Remember to identify those key internal (i.e. personnel, IT, etc.) and external groups and
resources (i.e. customers, suppliers, etc.) upon which the business objectives rely.
Consider external influences that may impact on the critical processes and functions.
Input from these groups or individuals can greatly enhance the planning process.
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The purpose of this exercise is to determine the mission essential functions for your
business, those activities necessary for your business to operate. It is worthwhile to begin
the selection process with the mission statement, organizational charts, list of daily
responsibilities and activities, and staff rosters. The following are steps necessary for the
selection of “Mission Essential Functions”:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
List all organizational functions;
Determine criteria for selecting critical activities;
Identify Mission Critical Activities;
Determine minimum acceptable level you need to operate to provide
mission critical activities to stay in business;
Prioritize those Activities and Functions;
Identify minimum personnel needed to complete those functions based
on skills and knowledge;
Assess alternate facility capacity and resource needs based on
functions and personnel; and
Determine requisite resources and equipment needed.
The following form was developed to assist you define your companies “mission
essential functions”, the critical time period for the operation, minimum staff
requirements, special equipment or supplies necessary, space needs and the contact
person for each operation.
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Table 1 Mission Essential Functions
1
Mission Essential
Function
2
Time Period
3
Min. Staff
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Space Needs
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Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment
The next step is to identify hazards and assess the risk. This step entails gathering
information about current capabilities and possible hazards and emergencies, and
conducting an analysis to determine your capacity to handle them.
To identify the potential hazards/emergencies
faced, list all the hazards/emergencies that could
affect your business. (Your local Emergency
Management Agency can assist you). Typically
these fall into one of three categories; natural
hazards, technological hazards, and other types of
hazards. Be imaginative. Consider all
emergencies that could occur in your community,
areas adjacent to your facility and those that could
occur in your facility. If you determine some
hazards do not present a threat to your business,
you can eliminate them in the process. Other factors to consider are below:
•
•
•
Historical – What types of events have occurred in the past?
Human Error – What emergencies can be caused by employee error? Are
employees trained to work safely? Do they know what to do in an emergency?
Physical – What types of emergencies could result from the design or construction
of the facility? Are there adequate and appropriate facilities for storing
combustibles? Are evacuation routes and exits clearly identified and free of
obstructions?
Once you have identified all the possible hazards, you need to rate the probability of the
events considering the frequency and severity. When rating the hazards, use a simple
system such as low, medium or high, or a scoring system of 1 to 5.
For the next part of the analysis you need to evaluate and rate the potential human
impact, property impact and business impact of each of the identified hazards, taking into
account any capabilities, resources, plans, policies or procedures you already have in
place. When evaluating the human impact you are considering the possibility of injury
or death to your employees, customers, clients or suppliers. The property impact
involves the potential loss or damage to the physical structure and equipment, taking into
consideration the costs to replace, repair or lease/rent facilities and equipment. Finally,
when reviewing the business impact you need to evaluate the impact of the event to your
critical operations and functions (i.e., employees unable to report to work, customers
unable to reach the facility, interruption of critical supplies or product distribution,
imposition of fines, penalties or legal costs, etc.). The Hazards and Vulnerability Analysis
Form is provided to assist you in your risk assessment.
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Table 2
HAZARDS & VULNERABILITY ANALYSIS
HAZARD
Probability
Low probability 1 -
Human
Property
Business
Impact
Impact
Impact
Low Impact 1 – High Impact 5
TOTAL
High probability 5
Tropical Storm
Category 1-2
Hurricane
Category 3-5
Hurricane
Flooding
Thunderstorm,
Lightning, Hail
Tornado
Wildfire
Sinkhole
Drought
Extreme Heat
Emergency Water
Shortage
Winter Storms &
Extreme Cold
Agricultural
Disease & Pests
Hazardous
Materials
Building Fire
Power Service
Disruption
Environmental
Health
Pandemic Flu
Terrorism
Bomb Threat
Explosions &
Detonation
Building System
Failure /Collapse
Bio Terrorism
Cyber-Attack
Radiological
Emergencies
Violence in the
Workplace
Sabotage, Fraud
and Theft
Loss of key staff
Civil Unrest
Workforce
Disruption
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HAZARD
Probability
Low probability 1 -
Human
Property
Business
Impact
Impact
Impact
Low Impact 1 – High Impact 5
TOTAL
High probability 5
Adjacent Hazards
Other
Now that you have identified the hazards your business could face and ranked your
vulnerability, you know for which hazards you need to plan and you can prioritize your
planning efforts based upon your vulnerability.
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Mitigation Strategy
Once you have completed your analysis and
identified those areas where your business
is most at risk, decisions have to be made.
What can be done to protect the business
operation? Eliminate as many of the
hazards as possible or mitigate the effects
of hazards that cannot be eliminated.
This is your Mitigation Strategy. There are
many possibilities, so it is likely that any strategy adopted will have a number of
approaches. Some items may be completed through memos, policy changes or training.
Other items may involve expenditures that must be budgeted for over time. Whichever is
chosen, there are certain considerations to bear in mind. Benefits to businesses from
mitigation are not limited to a reduction in facility damages. The truly cost-effective
benefits include:
•
•
•
•
•
•
Increased life safety for employees and customers,
Reduced down-time in productions,
Protected information systems,
Reduced damages to facilities and nonstructural components,
Reduced damages to vital equipment, and
Enhanced insurance coverage or reduced insurance deductibles.
The benefits and elements in a Mitigation Strategy including the following:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Human Resources Policy and Procedures: Awareness and Reporting Policies;
Employee Training;
Employee/ Family Preparedness Programs;
Security Issues
Protection of your Facilities/ Physical Property from Water, Wind or Fire
Damage;
6. Protection of Data – Backups, Software and Policies; and
7. Business Insurance
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Recovery Strategy
This section focuses on re-entry and your advance recovery team, the restoration of
mission essential functions, the implementation of the crisis communications plan, safety
measures and immediate repairs.
Continuity of Operations
Both the public and the private sector are confronting what has been termed the “new
paradigm of preparedness@ for employees and organizations in the wake of the September
11th tragedy. Traditionally, we have spent time and resources preparing to get employees
out of a building or area that may be in danger. This is the first step -- a critical one -- in
preparing a Business Continuity Plan. There is now a critical second step; how to
continue a level of productivity to meet customer/client needs after a disaster.
Imagine that the alarms are sounding and your employees are exiting the building due to
some emergency (bomb scare, hazardous material incident, anthrax scare, security
breach, etc.). As you gather at your designated area safely outside the building, you are
informed that the building is inaccessible for 48 hours, or 72 hours or indefinitely.
Following a hurricane you may not be able to get back into the area for several weeks.
Are your employees prepared to accomplish work when the workplace is not available?
Typically, the Aplan@ is to send employees home. However, depending on the length of
time and your business demands, this business disruption could be devastating.
According to “Smart Business Magazine”, two out of every five companies hit by a large
disaster go out of business within five years. This statistic can be managed if employees
and business teams are prepared with a “Plan B” to resume a level of productivity.
While the purpose of the Business Continuity Plan is to provide an overview, emergency
procedures and checklists necessary to respond to an emergency, the Continuity of
Operations (COOP Plan) defines how to respond to an emergency that directly affects
your ability to continue normal operations. The consequence of a major emergency such
as a hurricane, terrorist attack, or nuclear attack, could severely disrupt your ability to
function. In addition, a small-localized emergency such as a fire, explosion, or
contamination could make a building unusable for an extended period of time.
The COOP plan describes how you will resume business operations after a crisis or loss
of resource. The capability of an organization to continue essential operations and
reconstitute those operations prior to, during, and after an emergency that limits
occupancy of the building or disrupts normal services, drives the successful recovery of
the business as well as the local economy and entire community. This should be a key
part of your Recovery Strategy.
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Developing a Business Continuity Plan
A comprehensive Business Continuity Plan will include the following:
1. The Strategic Plan which will define the vision, mission, goals and objectives
of the program.
2. Emergency Operations/ Response - identify the procedures which spell out
how you will respond to emergencies. Whenever possible develop them as a
series of checklists that can be quickly located. The plan should also list the
roles and responsibilities of internal and external agencies, organizations,
departments and individuals. This shall also include an organization chart
which will establish the line of authority for agency, organization,
departments, and individuals.
3. The Mitigation Strategy which shall establish interim and long-term actions
to eliminate hazards or to reduce the impact of those hazards that cannot be
eliminated.
4. A Recovery Strategy which shall identify the short-term and long-term
priorities, processes, vital resources, acceptable time frames and procedures
for restoration of services, facilities, programs, and infrastructure. The
Recovery Strategy should address the possibility of loosing access to one or
more workplaces/facilities. This Continuity of Operations Plan identifies the
critical and time-sensitive applications, processes and functions to be
recovered and continued, as well as the personnel, resources and procedures
necessary to do so.
Each component will have common elements. These elements are the foundation for the
procedures that will be followed to protect personnel and equipment and resume
operations. These core elements of emergency management are:
●
Direction & Control – Someone must be in charge in an emergency. The
system for managing resources, analyzing information and making
decisions in an emergency is called direction and control.
●
Life Safety – Procedures for protecting the health and safety of everyone
during an emergency (i.e., evacuation planning, routes and exits, assembly
areas, sheltering, etc.)
●
Property Protection – Procedures for protecting facilities, equipment and
vital records (i.e., fighting fires, containing material spills, shutting
equipment down, moving equipment to a safe location, etc.)
●
Communications – Specific methods and equipment will be needed to
report emergencies, warn personnel and customers of the danger, keep
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employees and families informed about what’s happening, coordinate
response actions and keep in contact with customers and suppliers,
keeping in mind that the normal communications systems could be
unavailable.
●
Community Outreach – You may involve outside organizations in your
emergency management plan. This section should include a plan for
public information and media relations.
●
Recovery & Restoration – This section should include your critical
operations and the plans for resuming operations, continuity of
management and protection of the chain of command, insurance coverage,
contracts and claim requirements, and employee support.
●
Administration & Logistics - This section provides direction for the
creation and maintenance of complete and accurate records to ensure a
more efficient emergency response and recovery, keeping in mind that
certain records may be required by your insurance carrier(s) or prove
valuable in the case of legal action after an incident.
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Writing the Plan
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Identify Existing Plans and Procedures - Chances are, there are existing plans
and procedures which address disaster planning already in existence. It is
possible all that is necessary is to pull these documents together into a
comprehensive plan. At a minimum, there are probably procedures already
incorporated into the business practice which address many of the hazards
your company may face. The challenge is bringing this information together,
identifying what may be missing or incomplete and writing a clear, concise
and viable plan.
Support Documents – The committee will need access to any documents that
could be needed in an emergency such as:
• Emergency call lists for employees, clients, vendors and suppliers,
contractors, insurance agent/companies, emergency response agencies
• Floor plans, Building and site maps that indicate utility shut-offs, water
lines, gas lines, electrical cut-offs, electrical sub stations, hazardous
materials (including cleaning supplies) storage, sewer lines, fire
extinguishers, exits and designated escape routes, assembly areas, and
restricted or high security areas.
• Local government plans for community disasters (Evacuation Zones,
procedures for re-entry, etc.)
• Insurance information and inventories
• Vital Records (paper and electronic formats, software, data bases) and the
procedures for backup and protection
Team Members to discuss and complete the (1) Strategic Plan (purpose, goals,
objectives and policies), (2) Hazard and Vulnerability Assessment and (2)
Mission Essential Functions Table (each department).
Use the BCP Template to generate a draft plan
Assign each member of the planning team a section to review. Establish
specific goals and milestones as well as an appropriate format. Ideally a
schedule should be set for:
• First draft,
• Review,
• Second draft,
• Table-top Exercise,
• Review of plan in relation to the exercise,
• Final draft,
• Printing,
• Distribution and
• Training and Testing schedules.
Once the plan is ready for distribution employees will need to be informed about the plan
and the scheduled training.
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Implementing the Plan
Implementing a plan is more than simply
exercising the plan during an emergency.
It means acting on recommendations made
during the planning process, integrating the
plan into company operations, training
employees, exercising and evaluating the
plan.
Emergency planning must become part of
the business culture. Look for
opportunities beyond employee orientation
to build awareness. Educate and train
personnel, test procedures, and make
emergency management a part of what
employees do on a daily basis. Use
opportunities already available, such as
Florida Hazardous Weather Awareness
Week, National Hurricane Awareness
Week or National Fire Prevention Week to
conduct training sessions or exercises.
All employees will require some form of
education and training. General training for all employees should address:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Individual roles and responsibilities
Information about threats, hazards and protective actions
Notification, warning and communications procedures
Personal/family emergency plans
Emergency response procedures
Evacuation, shelter and accountability procedures
Location and use of common equipment
Emergency shutdown procedures
Keep in mind that training needs to be a continual effort. For the plan to be efficient and
effective, employees need to be knowledgeable about the policies and procedures
outlined in the plan as well as their roles and responsibilities.
Plan Testing, Evaluation and Maintenance
No matter how well conceived a plan is, it is almost impossible to consider all of the
events and possibilities that can be encountered in a real emergency or disaster. Deciding
to create a plan is an important step toward ensuring the survival of your business after a
disaster. But simply writing the plan is not enough. Turning thoughts into action is not
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an exact science. In order to be considered reliable, your plan must be tested. A proven
plan increases your confidence in its workability and avoids having a false sense of
security in a plan that may look good on paper but is deficient in reality. Testing also
assists in training the participants and familiarizing them with their roles. It lowers the
stress during the emergency and reduces the possibility of panic since people will have a
basic familiarity with their roles.
In order to test your plan, you will need to think of scenarios in which you would have to
put the plan, or components of the plan, into action. Basically, the threat scenario should
be based on those items identified in your risk assessment. Some suggested scenarios
include fire, loss of services (including water, wastewater and power), tornado, tropical
weather, hazardous materials release and computer virus. You may also want to consider
testing re-entry and recovery procedures after the emergency.
Test Levels
Testing the plan can be as simple or complicated as you wish. While you may not want
to conduct a full-scale exercise, orientation sessions and tabletop exercises can be very
effective. The key is to always evaluate your plan after each training session or
implementation and make the necessary changes from lessons learned.
There are seven types of exercises defined within the U.S. Department of Homeland
Security (DHS) Exercise Guidance each of which is either discussions-based or
operations-based.
Discussions-based Exercises familiarize participants with current plans, policies,
agreements and procedures, or may be used to develop new plans, policies, agreements,
and procedures. Types of Discussion-based Exercises include:
•
Seminar. A seminar is an informal discussion, designed to orient participants to
new or updated plans, policies, or procedures (e.g., a seminar to review a new
Evacuation Standard Operating Procedure).
•
Workshop. A workshop resembles a seminar, but is employed to build specific
products, such as a draft plan or policy.
•
Tabletop Exercise (TTX). A tabletop exercise involves key personnel discussing
simulated scenarios in an informal setting. TTXs can be used to assess plans,
policies, and procedures. It is an exercise that simulates an emergency situation in
an informal, stress-free environment. The participants, usually people on a
decision-making level, gather around a table to discuss general problems and
procedures in the context of an emergency scenario. The focus is on training and
familiarization with roles, procedures, or responsibilities. While this type of
exercise lacks realism and provides only a superficial exercise of plans,
procedures, and staff capabilities, it requires only a modest commitment in terms
of time, cost and resources. It is a good way to acquaint key personnel with
emergency responsibilities, procedures, and one another.
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Part IV – Resiliency Strategies
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
•
Games. A game is a simulation of operations that often involves two or more
teams, usually in a competitive environment, using rules, data, and procedure
designed to depict an actual or assumed real-life situation.
Operations-based Exercises validate plans, policies, agreements and procedures, clarify
roles and responsibilities, and identify resource gaps in an operational environment.
Types of Operations-based Exercises include:
•
Drill. A drill is a coordinated, supervised activity usually employed to test a
single, specific operation or function within a single entity (e.g., a fire drill).
• Functional Exercise (FE). A functional exercise examines and/or validates the
coordination, command, and control between various multiagency/division/company coordination centers, if appropriate. The functional
exercise simulates an emergency in the most realistic manner possible, short of
moving real people and equipment to an actual site. As the name suggests, its
goal is to test or evaluate the capability of one or more functions in the context of
an emergency event. Players practice their response to an emergency by
responding in a realistic way to carefully planned and sequenced messages given
to them by simulators. All decisions and actions by players occur in real time and
generate real responses and consequences from other players. The guiding
principle is to imitate reality. The atmosphere is stressful and tense due to realtime action and the realism of the problems. While this type of an exercise can
test the same functions and responses as in a full-scale exercise without high costs
or safety risks, it is lengthy and complex, requires careful scripting, careful
planning, and attention to detail.
• Full-Scale Exercises (FSE). A full-scale exercise is as close to the real thing as
possible; it replicates the disaster to the smallest detail. It is a lengthy exercise
which takes place on location, using, as far as possible, the equipment and
personnel that would be called upon in a real event. It differs from a functional
exercise or “drill” in that a drill focuses on a single operation. Scenarios often
include surprise events to test responses of the participants and to achieve realism
as much as possible. (For example, people posing as casualties may be made up
with wounds to test the reactions of the participants to events they may actually
encounter in a disaster.) Full simulations normally are used by the military,
police, fire/rescue and emergency management organizations and businesses with
high exposure.
Ideally, everyone in your business and third parties (vendors, suppliers, customers,
governmental agencies, etc.) who could possibly be involved in the event of a disaster
should participate in the test. Obviously, this is not always practical or even possible,
especially the third parties. Even if interested parties are unable to participate, they
Economic Development Administration
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Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part IV – Resiliency Strategies
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
should be informed of their expected role in your plan and the team should simulate
activities assigned to third parties unable to participate. Try to work with the third party
in advance to find out how they intend to respond in a disaster. It is important to
thoroughly document this portion of the exercise in case the third party’s planned
response is determined to be inadequate during the exercise. This documentation will be
important when you present your results to them and ask for changes. If such an
occasion arises, it will likely illustrate the need for the third party’s active participation in
subsequent exercises.
The building-block approach focuses on exposing participants to a cycle of training and
exercises that escalates in complexity, with each exercise designed to build upon the last,
in terms of scale and subject matter. For example, a building-block series of exercises
may include a seminar, which leads to a tabletop exercise (TTX), which leads to a fullscale exercise (FSE).
The plan should be tested at least annually. More frequent exercises may be required for
high-risk operations. Seasonal exercises should be considered. These should be
conducted far enough in advance of the season to incorporate revisions and possibly
retest.
After an exercise, consider the lessons learned and make certain any necessary changes to
the plan are incorporated into the document. Major changes may require another
exercise. Occasionally, the results of an exercise may warrant not only another exercise.
You may also discover a higher level of testing than originally thought was needed. For
instance, a business that originally decided that a walkthrough was a sufficient exercise
may discover that a partial or full simulation is now needed because the walkthrough was
inadequate to thoroughly test the plan.
It is extremely important to document each exercise. The tests should have a script that
describes each situation or scenario, who should participate, how it is to be conducted,
the expected results, and a place to record the actual results. The expected results are
compared to the actual results at the conclusion of the exercise. The extent to which the
expected results match the actual results determines the level of success of the exercise.
Every business can encounter an emergency situation that could disrupt or cease
operations. By taking the time and making the commitment to plan for the unexpected,
you are not only protecting your business, employees and customers, you are helping to
protect your community and local economy.
Economic Development Administration
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Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part V – Appendix
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Part V – Appendix
1921 Hurrricane – Starbuck Remilling Company
Table of Contents
Data Collection Template
Negative Economic Inputs
Positive Economic Inputs
Negative Economic Impacts
Positive Economic Impacts
Net Impacts of a Catastrophic Event
Economic Development Administration
IV IV IV IV IV IV -
IV-1
2
6
7
12
42
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Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part V – Appendix
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Economic Development Administration
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Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part V – Appendix
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Data Collection Template
TBRPC is developed a Data Collection Template to assist in performing an analysis to estimate
the total impacts to the region. The information below is the bare minimum required, additional
information would provide a more accurate depiction of the impacts.
Damage Estimates
Category
Geographic Location
At Event
Building Stock Damaged
Total Employment
Reconstruction Estimates
Category
Building Stock
Reconstruction
Clean Up Expenditures
Government Spending
Year 1
Economic Development Administration
Year 2
IV-3
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part V – Appendix
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
Actual Employment Lost by Year
NAICS
113-114
115
211
212
213
22
23
321
327
331
332
333
334
335
3361-3363
3364-3369
337
339
311
312
313
314
315
316
322
323
324
325
326
42
44-45
481
482
483
484-492
485
486
487, 488
493
511
512
518,519
515,517
Category
Forestry and logging; Fishing
Agriculture and forestry support
Oil and gas extraction
Mining (except oil and gas)
Support activities for mining
Utilities
Construction
Wood product manufacturing
Nonmetallic mineral
manufacturing
Primary metal manufacturing
Fabricated metal manufacturing
Machinery manufacturing
Computer and electronic manu
Electrical equip/appliance manu
Motor vehicles, manufacturing
Other trans equip manufacturing
Furniture manufacturing
Miscellaneous manufacturing
Food manufacturing
Beverage and tobacco manu
Textile mills
Textile product mills
Apparel manufacturing
Leather and allied manufacturing
Paper manufacturing
Printing and related support
Petroleum and coal manu
Chemical manufacturing
Plastics and rubber manu
Wholesale trade
Retail trade
Air transportation
Rail transportation
Water transportation
Truck transportation; Couriers
Transit and ground trans
Pipeline transportation
Scenic and sightseeing
Warehousing and storage
Publishing industries, no Internet
Motion picture and sound
Internet publishing/broadcasting
Broadcasting, except Internet;
Economic Development Administration
IV-4
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Part V – Appendix
Tampa Bay Disaster Resiliency Study
NAICS
521,522,525
523
524
531
532,533
54
55
561
562
61
621
622
623
624
711
712
713
721
722
811
812
813
111,112
Category
Monetary authorities
Securities, investments
Insurance carriers
Real estate
Rental and leasing services
Professional and technical
Management of companies
Administrative and support
Waste management
Educational services
Ambulatory health care services
Hospitals
Nursing and residential care
Social assistance
Performing arts and sports
Museums, zoos, parks
Amusement, gambling, rec
Accommodation
Food services and drinking
Repair and maintenance
Personal and laundry
Membership associations
State Government
Local Government
Federal Civilian
Federal Military
Farm
ALL
Total Employment
Economic Development Administration
IV-5
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council
Negative Economic Inputs: Actual Employment Losses by Industry and County
Industry
Forestry, Fishing, and Other
Mining
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation, Warehousing
Information
Finance and Insurance
Real Estate and Leasing
Professional and Tech
Management of Companies
Admin and Waste Services
Educational Services
Healthcare Social Assist
Arts, Entertainment, Rec
Accommodation, Food Services
Other Services
State and Local
Federal Civilian
Federal Military
Farm
County
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Hillsborough
Unit
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Total Hillsborough Employment Loss
HillsboroughThousands
Industry
Forestry, Fishing, and Other
Mining
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation, Warehousing
Information
Finance and Insurance
Real Estate and Leasing
Professional and Tech
Management of Companies
Admin and Waste Services
Educational Services
Healthcare Social Assist
Arts, Entertainment, Rec
Accommodation, Food Services
Other Services
State and Local
Federal Civilian
Federal Military
Farm
County
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Manatee
Unit
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Total Manatee Employment Loss
Manatee
Thousands
Year 1
-0.99
-0.15
-0.90
-14.74
-9.37
-11.02
-25.06
-7.38
-6.71
-20.35
-10.56
-22.54
-2.33
-26.02
-4.53
-24.75
-5.87
-17.46
-14.54
-20.77
-4.84
-2.78
-3.16
Year 2
-0.72
-0.11
-0.66
-10.72
-6.81
-8.01
-18.22
-5.37
-4.88
-14.80
-7.68
-16.39
-1.70
-18.92
-3.30
-18.00
-4.27
-12.70
-10.58
-15.11
-3.52
-2.02
-2.30
Year 3
-0.54
-0.08
-0.49
-8.04
-5.11
-6.01
-13.67
-4.03
-3.66
-11.10
-5.76
-12.29
-1.27
-14.19
-2.47
-13.50
-3.20
-9.52
-7.93
-11.33
-2.64
-1.51
-1.72
Year 4
-0.39
-0.06
-0.36
-5.81
-3.69
-4.34
-9.87
-2.91
-2.64
-8.02
-4.16
-8.88
-0.92
-10.25
-1.79
-9.75
-2.31
-6.88
-5.73
-8.18
-1.91
-1.09
-1.24
Year 5
-0.30
-0.05
-0.27
-4.47
-2.84
-3.34
-7.59
-2.24
-2.03
-6.17
-3.20
-6.83
-0.71
-7.88
-1.37
-7.50
-1.78
-5.29
-4.41
-6.29
-1.47
-0.84
-0.96
Year 6
-0.15
-0.02
-0.14
-2.23
-1.42
-1.67
-3.80
-1.12
-1.02
-3.08
-1.60
-3.42
-0.35
-3.94
-0.69
-3.75
-0.89
-2.65
-2.20
-3.15
-0.73
-0.42
-0.48
Year 7
-0.09
-0.01
-0.08
-1.34
-0.85
-1.00
-2.28
-0.67
-0.61
-1.85
-0.96
-2.05
-0.21
-2.37
-0.41
-2.25
-0.53
-1.59
-1.32
-1.89
-0.44
-0.25
-0.29
Year 8
-0.05
-0.01
-0.04
-0.67
-0.43
-0.50
-1.14
-0.34
-0.30
-0.92
-0.48
-1.02
-0.11
-1.18
-0.21
-1.13
-0.27
-0.79
-0.66
-0.94
-0.22
-0.13
-0.14
Year 9
-0.03
0.00
-0.03
-0.45
-0.28
-0.33
-0.76
-0.22
-0.20
-0.62
-0.32
-0.68
-0.07
-0.79
-0.14
-0.75
-0.18
-0.53
-0.44
-0.63
-0.15
-0.08
-0.10
Year 10
-0.02
0.00
-0.01
-0.22
-0.14
-0.17
-0.38
-0.11
-0.10
-0.31
-0.16
-0.34
-0.04
-0.39
-0.07
-0.38
-0.09
-0.26
-0.22
-0.31
-0.07
-0.04
-0.05
-256.82
-186.78
-140.09
-101.17
-77.83
-38.91
-23.35
-11.67
-7.78
-3.89
Year 1
-0.73
-0.03
-0.08
-3.41
-3.13
-1.43
-5.70
-0.83
-0.47
-2.37
-4.22
-3.22
-1.01
-6.22
-0.63
-5.40
-1.70
-3.52
-3.49
-3.69
-0.33
-0.22
-1.45
Year 2
-0.53
-0.02
-0.06
-2.48
-2.28
-1.04
-4.14
-0.60
-0.34
-1.73
-3.07
-2.34
-0.74
-4.52
-0.46
-3.93
-1.23
-2.56
-2.54
-2.68
-0.24
-0.16
-1.05
Year 3
-0.40
-0.02
-0.04
-1.86
-1.71
-0.78
-3.11
-0.45
-0.26
-1.29
-2.30
-1.76
-0.55
-3.39
-0.34
-2.95
-0.92
-1.92
-1.90
-2.01
-0.18
-0.12
-0.79
Year 4
-0.29
-0.01
-0.03
-1.34
-1.23
-0.56
-2.24
-0.33
-0.19
-0.93
-1.66
-1.27
-0.40
-2.45
-0.25
-2.13
-0.67
-1.39
-1.37
-1.45
-0.13
-0.09
-0.57
Year 5
-0.22
-0.01
-0.02
-1.03
-0.95
-0.43
-1.73
-0.25
-0.14
-0.72
-1.28
-0.98
-0.31
-1.88
-0.19
-1.64
-0.51
-1.07
-1.06
-1.12
-0.10
-0.07
-0.44
Year 6
-0.11
-0.01
-0.01
-0.52
-0.47
-0.22
-0.86
-0.13
-0.07
-0.36
-0.64
-0.49
-0.15
-0.94
-0.10
-0.82
-0.26
-0.53
-0.53
-0.56
-0.05
-0.03
-0.22
Year 7
-0.07
0.00
-0.01
-0.31
-0.28
-0.13
-0.52
-0.08
-0.04
-0.22
-0.38
-0.29
-0.09
-0.57
-0.06
-0.49
-0.15
-0.32
-0.32
-0.34
-0.03
-0.02
-0.13
Year 8
-0.03
0.00
0.00
-0.16
-0.14
-0.06
-0.26
-0.04
-0.02
-0.11
-0.19
-0.15
-0.05
-0.28
-0.03
-0.25
-0.08
-0.16
-0.16
-0.17
-0.01
-0.01
-0.07
Year 9
-0.02
0.00
0.00
-0.10
-0.10
-0.04
-0.17
-0.03
-0.01
-0.07
-0.13
-0.10
-0.03
-0.19
-0.02
-0.16
-0.05
-0.11
-0.11
-0.11
-0.01
-0.01
-0.04
Year 10
-0.01
0.00
0.00
-0.05
-0.05
-0.02
-0.09
-0.01
-0.01
-0.04
-0.06
-0.05
-0.02
-0.09
-0.01
-0.08
-0.03
-0.05
-0.05
-0.06
0.00
0.00
-0.02
-53.29
-38.76
-29.07
-20.99
-16.15
-8.07
-4.84
-2.42
-1.61
-0.81
Page 6
Negative Economic Inputs: Actual Employment Losses by Industry and County
Industry
Forestry, Fishing, and Other
Mining
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation, Warehousing
Information
Finance and Insurance
Real Estate and Leasing
Professional and Tech
Management of Companies
Admin and Waste Services
Educational Services
Healthcare Social Assist
Arts, Entertainment, Rec
Accommodation, Food Services
Other Services
State and Local
Federal Civilian
Federal Military
Farm
County
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Pasco
Unit
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Year 1
-0.25
-0.07
-0.26
-3.52
-1.20
-0.81
-6.66
-0.83
-0.33
-1.77
-2.52
-2.24
-0.13
-3.11
-0.77
-5.84
-0.91
-3.78
-3.45
-5.27
-0.30
-0.31
-0.46
Year 2
-0.19
-0.05
-0.19
-2.56
-0.87
-0.59
-4.85
-0.60
-0.24
-1.28
-1.83
-1.63
-0.10
-2.26
-0.56
-4.25
-0.67
-2.75
-2.51
-3.83
-0.22
-0.23
-0.33
Year 3
-0.14
-0.04
-0.14
-1.92
-0.65
-0.44
-3.64
-0.45
-0.18
-0.96
-1.37
-1.22
-0.07
-1.69
-0.42
-3.19
-0.50
-2.06
-1.88
-2.88
-0.16
-0.17
-0.25
Year 4
-0.10
-0.03
-0.10
-1.38
-0.47
-0.32
-2.63
-0.33
-0.13
-0.70
-0.99
-0.88
-0.05
-1.22
-0.30
-2.30
-0.36
-1.49
-1.36
-2.08
-0.12
-0.12
-0.18
Year 5
-0.08
-0.02
-0.08
-1.07
-0.36
-0.25
-2.02
-0.25
-0.10
-0.54
-0.76
-0.68
-0.04
-0.94
-0.23
-1.77
-0.28
-1.15
-1.04
-1.60
-0.09
-0.10
-0.14
Year 6
-0.04
-0.01
-0.04
-0.53
-0.18
-0.12
-1.01
-0.13
-0.05
-0.27
-0.38
-0.34
-0.02
-0.47
-0.12
-0.89
-0.14
-0.57
-0.52
-0.80
-0.05
-0.05
-0.07
Year 7
-0.02
-0.01
-0.02
-0.32
-0.11
-0.07
-0.61
-0.08
-0.03
-0.16
-0.23
-0.20
-0.01
-0.28
-0.07
-0.53
-0.08
-0.34
-0.31
-0.48
-0.03
-0.03
-0.04
Year 8
-0.01
0.00
-0.01
-0.16
-0.05
-0.04
-0.30
-0.04
-0.02
-0.08
-0.11
-0.10
-0.01
-0.14
-0.04
-0.27
-0.04
-0.17
-0.16
-0.24
-0.01
-0.01
-0.02
Year 9
-0.01
0.00
-0.01
-0.11
-0.04
-0.02
-0.20
-0.03
-0.01
-0.05
-0.08
-0.07
0.00
-0.09
-0.02
-0.18
-0.03
-0.11
-0.10
-0.16
-0.01
-0.01
-0.01
Year 10
0.00
0.00
0.00
-0.05
-0.02
-0.01
-0.10
-0.01
-0.01
-0.03
-0.04
-0.03
0.00
-0.05
-0.01
-0.09
-0.01
-0.06
-0.05
-0.08
0.00
0.00
-0.01
Total Pasco Employment Loss
Pasco
Thousands
-44.54
-32.40
-24.30
-17.55
-13.50
-6.75
-4.05
-2.02
-1.35
-0.67
Industry
Forestry, Fishing, and Other
Mining
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation, Warehousing
Information
Finance and Insurance
Real Estate and Leasing
Professional and Tech
Management of Companies
Admin and Waste Services
Educational Services
Healthcare Social Assist
Arts, Entertainment, Rec
Accommodation, Food Services
Other Services
State and Local
Federal Civilian
Federal Military
Farm
County
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Pinellas
Unit
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Year 1
-0.21
-0.18
-0.19
-9.82
-11.71
-5.79
-19.72
-2.95
-3.07
-11.29
-11.01
-14.94
-3.72
-18.75
-3.15
-24.19
-4.08
-13.58
-11.91
-12.75
-2.38
-1.00
-0.05
Year 2
-0.15
-0.13
-0.13
-7.14
-8.51
-4.21
-14.34
-2.15
-2.24
-8.21
-8.01
-10.87
-2.70
-13.64
-2.29
-17.59
-2.97
-9.88
-8.66
-9.28
-1.73
-0.73
-0.04
Year 3
-0.11
-0.10
-0.10
-5.36
-6.39
-3.16
-10.76
-1.61
-1.68
-6.16
-6.00
-8.15
-2.03
-10.23
-1.72
-13.19
-2.23
-7.41
-6.50
-6.96
-1.30
-0.55
-0.03
Year 4
-0.08
-0.07
-0.07
-3.87
-4.61
-2.28
-7.77
-1.16
-1.21
-4.45
-4.34
-5.89
-1.46
-7.39
-1.24
-9.53
-1.61
-5.35
-4.69
-5.02
-0.94
-0.39
-0.02
Year 5
-0.06
-0.05
-0.06
-2.98
-3.55
-1.75
-5.98
-0.89
-0.93
-3.42
-3.34
-4.53
-1.13
-5.68
-0.95
-7.33
-1.24
-4.12
-3.61
-3.86
-0.72
-0.30
-0.02
Year 6
-0.03
-0.03
-0.03
-1.49
-1.77
-0.88
-2.99
-0.45
-0.47
-1.71
-1.67
-2.26
-0.56
-2.84
-0.48
-3.67
-0.62
-2.06
-1.80
-1.93
-0.36
-0.15
-0.01
Year 7
-0.02
-0.02
-0.02
-0.89
-1.06
-0.53
-1.79
-0.27
-0.28
-1.03
-1.00
-1.36
-0.34
-1.70
-0.29
-2.20
-0.37
-1.23
-1.08
-1.16
-0.22
-0.09
0.00
Year 8
-0.01
-0.01
-0.01
-0.45
-0.53
-0.26
-0.90
-0.13
-0.14
-0.51
-0.50
-0.68
-0.17
-0.85
-0.14
-1.10
-0.19
-0.62
-0.54
-0.58
-0.11
-0.05
0.00
Year 9
-0.01
-0.01
-0.01
-0.30
-0.35
-0.18
-0.60
-0.09
-0.09
-0.34
-0.33
-0.45
-0.11
-0.57
-0.10
-0.73
-0.12
-0.41
-0.36
-0.39
-0.07
-0.03
0.00
Year 10
0.00
0.00
0.00
-0.15
-0.18
-0.09
-0.30
-0.04
-0.05
-0.17
-0.17
-0.23
-0.06
-0.28
-0.05
-0.37
-0.06
-0.21
-0.18
-0.19
-0.04
-0.02
0.00
Total Pinellas Employment Loss
Pinellas
Thousands
-186.45
-135.60
-101.70
-73.45
-56.50
-28.25
-16.95
-8.47
-5.65
-2.82
Page 7
Negative Economic Inputs: Actual Employment Losses by Industry and County
Industry
Forestry, Fishing, and Other
Mining
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation, Warehousing
Information
Finance and Insurance
Real Estate and Leasing
Professional and Tech
Management of Companies
Admin and Waste Services
Educational Services
Healthcare Social Assist
Arts, Entertainment, Rec
Accommodation, Food Services
Other Services
State and Local
Federal Civilian
Federal Military
Farm
Region
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
TBRPC
Unit
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Thousands
Total Hillsborough Employment Loss
TBRPC
Thousands
Year 1
-2.19
-0.43
-1.42
-31.49
-25.41
-19.05
-57.14
-11.99
-10.59
-35.77
-28.31
-42.95
-7.20
-54.10
-9.09
-60.19
-12.56
-38.34
-33.38
-42.49
-7.85
-4.31
-5.12
0.00
-541.36
Year 2
-1.59
-0.31
-1.04
-22.90
-18.48
-13.85
-41.55
-8.72
-7.70
-26.02
-20.59
-31.24
-5.23
-39.34
-6.61
-43.77
-9.14
-27.88
-24.28
-30.90
-5.71
-3.14
-3.72
0.00
-393.72
Page 8
Year 3
-1.19
-0.24
-0.78
-17.18
-13.86
-10.39
-31.17
-6.54
-5.78
-19.51
-15.44
-23.43
-3.93
-29.51
-4.96
-32.83
-6.85
-20.91
-18.21
-23.18
-4.28
-2.35
-2.79
0.00
-295.29
Year 4
-0.86
-0.17
-0.56
-12.40
-10.01
-7.50
-22.51
-4.72
-4.17
-14.09
-11.15
-16.92
-2.84
-21.31
-3.58
-23.71
-4.95
-15.10
-13.15
-16.74
-3.09
-1.70
-2.02
0.00
-213.26
Year 5
-0.66
-0.13
-0.43
-9.54
-7.70
-5.77
-17.31
-3.63
-3.21
-10.84
-8.58
-13.02
-2.18
-16.39
-2.75
-18.24
-3.81
-11.62
-10.12
-12.88
-2.38
-1.31
-1.55
0.00
-164.05
Year 6
-0.33
-0.07
-0.22
-4.77
-3.85
-2.89
-8.66
-1.82
-1.60
-5.42
-4.29
-6.51
-1.09
-8.20
-1.38
-9.12
-1.90
-5.81
-5.06
-6.44
-1.19
-0.65
-0.78
0.00
-82.02
Year 7
-0.20
-0.04
-0.13
-2.86
-2.31
-1.73
-5.19
-1.09
-0.96
-3.25
-2.57
-3.90
-0.65
-4.92
-0.83
-5.47
-1.14
-3.49
-3.04
-3.86
-0.71
-0.39
-0.47
0.00
-49.21
Year 8
-0.10
-0.02
-0.06
-1.43
-1.16
-0.87
-2.60
-0.54
-0.48
-1.63
-1.29
-1.95
-0.33
-2.46
-0.41
-2.74
-0.57
-1.74
-1.52
-1.93
-0.36
-0.20
-0.23
0.00
-24.61
Year 9
-0.07
-0.01
-0.04
-0.95
-0.77
-0.58
-1.73
-0.36
-0.32
-1.08
-0.86
-1.30
-0.22
-1.64
-0.28
-1.82
-0.38
-1.16
-1.01
-1.29
-0.24
-0.13
-0.16
0.00
-16.40
Year 10
-0.03
-0.01
-0.02
-0.48
-0.39
-0.29
-0.87
-0.18
-0.16
-0.54
-0.43
-0.65
-0.11
-0.82
-0.14
-0.91
-0.19
-0.58
-0.51
-0.64
-0.12
-0.07
-0.08
0.00
-8.20
Positive Economic Inputs: Construction, Government Spending
Variable
Residential Capital (amount)
Residential Capital (amount)
Residential Capital (amount)
Residential Capital (amount)
County
Hillsborough
Manatee
Pasco
Pinellas
Units
2010 Fixed Local $ (B)
2010 Fixed Local $ (B)
2010 Fixed Local $ (B)
2010 Fixed Local $ (B)
Year 1
-4.275
-1.12
-1.613
-3.18
Year 2
-5.13
-1.344
-1.935
-3.816
Year 3
-5.7
-1.494
-2.15
-4.241
Year 4
-5.13
-1.344
-1.935
-3.816
Year 5
-2.85
-0.747
-1.075
-2.12
Year 6
-1.995
-0.523
-0.753
-1.484
Year 7
-1.425
-0.373
-0.538
-1.06
Year 8
-1.14
-0.299
-0.43
-0.848
Year 9
-0.57
-0.149
-0.215
-0.424
Year 10
-0.285
-0.075
-0.108
-0.212
Total Residential Capital
TBRPC
2010 Fixed Local $ (B)
-10.188
-12.225
-13.585
-12.225
-6.792
-4.755
-3.396
-2.717
-1.358
-0.68
Variable
Non-Residential Capital (amount)
Non-Residential Capital (amount)
Non-Residential Capital (amount)
Non-Residential Capital (amount)
County
Hillsborough
Manatee
Pinellas
Pasco
Units
2010 Fixed Local $ (B)
2010 Fixed Local $ (B)
2010 Fixed Local $ (B)
2010 Fixed National $ (B)
Year 1
-4.275
-1.12
-3.18
-1.613
Year 2
-5.13
-1.344
-3.816
-1.935
Year 3
-5.7
-1.494
-4.241
-2.15
Year 4
-5.13
-1.344
-3.816
-1.935
Year 5
-2.85
-0.747
-2.12
-1.075
Year 6
-1.995
-0.523
-1.484
-0.753
Year 7
-1.425
-0.373
-1.06
-0.538
Year 8
-1.14
-0.299
-0.848
-0.43
Year 9
-0.57
-0.149
-0.424
-0.215
Year 10
-0.285
-0.075
-0.212
-0.108
Total NonResidential Capital
TBRPC
2010 Fixed National $ (B)
-10.188
-12.225
-13.585
-12.225
-6.792
-4.755
-3.396
-2.717
-1.358
-0.68
Variable
Government Spending (amount)
Government Spending (amount)
Government Spending (amount)
Government Spending (amount)
County
Hillsborough
Manatee
Pasco
Pinellas
Units
2010 Chained National $ (B)
2010 Chained National $ (B)
2010 Chained National $ (B)
2010 Chained National $ (B)
Year 1
3.375
0.884
1.273
2.511
Year 2
4.5
1.179
1.697
3.348
Year 3
4.5
1.179
1.697
3.348
Year 4
4.5
1.1792
1.6974
3.3478
Year 5
2.25
0.5896
0.8487
1.6739
Year 6
1.575
0.4127
0.5941
1.1717
Year 7
1.125
0.2948
0.4243
0.8369
Year 8
0.675
0.1769
0.2546
0.5022
Year 9
0
0
0
0
Year 10
0
0
0
0
Total Government Spending
TBRPC
2010 Chained National $ (B)
8.043
10.724
10.724
10.7244
5.3622
3.7535
2.681
1.6087
0
0
Variable
Construction (amount)
Construction (amount)
Construction (amount)
Construction (amount)
County
Hillsborough
Manatee
Pasco
Pinellas
Units
2010 Fixed Local $ (B)
2010 Fixed Local $ (B)
2010 Fixed Local $ (B)
2010 Fixed Local $ (B)
Year 1
8.55
2.24
3.225
6.361
Year 2
10.26
2.689
3.87
7.633
Year 3
11.4
2.987
4.3
8.481
Year 4
10.26
2.689
3.87
7.633
Year 5
5.7
1.494
2.15
4.241
Year 6
3.99
1.046
1.505
2.968
Year 7
2.85
0.747
1.075
2.12
Year 8
2.28
0.597
0.86
1.696
Year 9
1.14
0.299
0.43
0.848
Year 10
0.57
0.149
0.215
0.424
Total Construction
TBRPC
2010 Fixed Local $ (B)
20.376
24.452
27.168
24.452
13.585
9.509
6.792
5.433
2.717
1.358
Variable
Total Economic Gains
Total Economic Gains
Total Economic Gains
Total Economic Gains
County
Hillsborough
Manatee
Pasco
Pinellas
Units
2010 Chained National $ (B)
2010 Chained National $ (B)
2010 Chained National $ (B)
2010 Chained National $ (B)
Year 1
11.925
3.124
4.498
8.872
Year 2
14.76
3.868
5.567
10.981
Year 3
15.9
4.166
5.997
11.829
Year 4
14.76
3.8682
5.5674
10.9808
Year 5
7.95
2.0836
2.9987
5.9149
Year 6
5.565
1.4587
2.0991
4.1397
Year 7
3.975
1.0418
1.4993
2.9569
Year 8
2.955
0.7739
1.1146
2.1982
Year 9
1.14
0.299
0.43
0.848
Year 10
0.57
0.149
0.215
0.424
Total Government Spending
TBRPC
2010 Chained National $ (B)
28.419
35.176
37.892
35.1764
18.9472
13.2625
9.473
7.0417
2.717
1.358
Page 9
Negative Economic Impact: Employment Losses
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
-188.091
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
-188.091
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
-174.284
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-12.442
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-13.101
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.012
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-7.446
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-5.667
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-4.571
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-1.544
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-1.793
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-1.234
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-27.292
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-16.218
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
-7.389
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
-7.272
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-6.105
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
-0.654
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-16.946
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-4.41
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
0
Year 2
-140.761
-140.761
-130.503
-10.021
-9.466
0.038
-5.315
-4.19
-3.841
-1.329
-1.477
-1.035
-20.847
-12.376
-6.109
-6.295
-4.888
-1.328
-12.918
-3.567
0
Year 3
-106.259
-106.259
-98.249
-8.106
-7.006
0.062
-3.886
-3.182
-3.227
-1.133
-1.226
-0.869
-16.18
-9.604
-5.087
-5.437
-3.968
-1.374
-10.028
-2.96
0
Year 4
-75.634
-75.634
-69.636
-6.22
-4.891
0.082
-2.677
-2.295
-2.594
-0.931
-0.969
-0.694
-11.92
-7.076
-4.006
-4.511
-3.136
-1.274
-7.393
-2.364
0
Year 5
-56.145
-56.145
-51.427
-4.948
-3.606
0.095
-1.949
-1.752
-2.166
-0.796
-0.793
-0.576
-9.207
-5.468
-3.226
-3.836
-2.575
-1.099
-5.718
-1.974
0
Year 6
-25.508
-25.508
-22.919
-2.731
-1.399
0.101
-0.708
-0.791
-1.381
-0.529
-0.499
-0.353
-4.471
-2.651
-1.777
-2.492
-1.573
-0.847
-2.789
-1.247
0
Year 7
-12.731
-12.731
-11.067
-1.697
-0.54
0.1
-0.234
-0.406
-1.007
-0.401
-0.357
-0.249
-2.452
-1.451
-1.026
-1.783
-1.111
-0.574
-1.54
-0.929
0
Year 8
-3.758
-3.758
-2.784
-0.908
0.082
0.094
0.108
-0.12
-0.714
-0.295
-0.251
-0.168
-0.94
-0.552
-0.417
-1.2
-0.748
-0.357
-0.604
-0.684
0
Year 9
-1.257
-1.257
-0.528
-0.603
0.214
0.083
0.176
-0.045
-0.572
-0.238
-0.2
-0.134
-0.467
-0.274
-0.142
-0.922
-0.603
-0.192
-0.313
-0.599
0
Year 10
0.864
0.864
1.37
-0.338
0.344
0.07
0.245
0.029
-0.442
-0.183
-0.157
-0.102
-0.034
-0.018
0.09
-0.681
-0.473
-0.073
-0.045
-0.511
0
Year 11
2.767
2.767
3.063
-0.101
0.48
0.058
0.318
0.104
-0.324
-0.132
-0.12
-0.071
0.379
0.225
0.293
-0.47
-0.359
0.017
0.209
-0.429
0
Year 12
1.704
1.704
2.014
-0.127
0.369
0.047
0.254
0.068
-0.299
-0.115
-0.115
-0.069
0.242
0.138
0.294
-0.452
-0.362
0.074
0.121
-0.434
0
Year 13
0.609
0.609
0.942
-0.176
0.27
0.037
0.199
0.034
-0.289
-0.104
-0.116
-0.069
0.093
0.045
0.262
-0.473
-0.377
0.103
0.027
-0.445
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
-1.044
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.186
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.709
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
-11.201
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
-9.866
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
-7.671
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
-14.46
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
-7.758
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
-6.42
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
-21.939
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
-7.29
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
-18.683
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
-2.523
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
-21.64
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
-4
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
-13.727
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
-5.095
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
-9.292
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
-10.782
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
-13.807
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
0
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
0
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
0
Year 2
-0.75
-0.139
-0.521
-11.501
-7.17
-5.717
-10.87
-5.597
-4.626
-15.837
-5.355
-13.692
-1.797
-15.547
-2.959
-9.814
-3.688
-7.078
-7.845
-10.258
0
0
0
Year 3
-0.549
-0.105
-0.395
-9.933
-5.321
-4.324
-8.239
-4.108
-3.419
-11.636
-3.95
-10.139
-1.292
-11.317
-2.264
-7.216
-2.737
-5.526
-5.778
-8.011
0
0
0
Year 4
-0.382
-0.074
-0.288
-7.586
-3.768
-3.129
-5.939
-2.858
-2.411
-8.086
-2.707
-7.053
-0.872
-7.73
-1.673
-4.998
-1.938
-4.149
-3.994
-5.999
0
0
0
Year 5
-0.282
-0.055
-0.222
-5.494
-2.827
-2.392
-4.496
-2.103
-1.804
-5.929
-1.913
-5.136
-0.62
-5.545
-1.312
-3.667
-1.455
-3.284
-2.892
-4.719
0
0
0
Year 6
-0.119
-0.024
-0.118
-2.692
-1.306
-1.215
-2.242
-0.887
-0.824
-2.45
-0.705
-2.075
-0.223
-2.105
-0.711
-1.503
-0.676
-1.872
-1.173
-2.59
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.057
-0.011
-0.075
-0.87
-0.709
-0.737
-1.329
-0.419
-0.442
-1.106
-0.215
-0.862
-0.078
-0.794
-0.463
-0.732
-0.373
-1.281
-0.514
-1.664
0
0
0
Year 8
-0.014
-0.002
-0.043
0.434
-0.279
-0.394
-0.691
-0.088
-0.169
-0.159
0.115
-0.027
0.019
0.095
-0.28
-0.225
-0.157
-0.848
-0.069
-0.974
0
0
0
Year 9
-0.003
0
-0.033
1.084
-0.156
-0.28
-0.517
-0.007
-0.094
0.061
0.186
0.154
0.033
0.265
-0.221
-0.205
-0.1
-0.711
0.015
-0.729
0
0
0
Year 10
0.007
0.003
-0.023
1.462
-0.036
-0.172
-0.358
0.073
-0.022
0.278
0.237
0.313
0.049
0.421
-0.163
-0.167
-0.044
-0.584
0.096
-0.505
0
0
0
Year 11
0.018
0.005
-0.014
1.681
0.084
-0.07
-0.212
0.153
0.048
0.493
0.279
0.464
0.067
0.576
-0.108
-0.122
0.012
-0.463
0.172
-0.296
0
0
0
Year 12
0.013
0.004
-0.014
1.621
0.057
-0.081
-0.273
0.116
0.025
0.37
0.208
0.315
0.047
0.403
-0.112
-0.289
-0.008
-0.474
0.086
-0.31
0
0
0
Year 13
0.008
0.003
-0.015
1.459
0.033
-0.093
-0.333
0.083
0.004
0.26
0.139
0.178
0.03
0.249
-0.117
-0.439
-0.025
-0.487
0.006
-0.333
0
0
0
Page 10
Negative Economic Impact: Employment Losses
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 14
Category
Units
-0.421
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.421
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.062
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
-0.237
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.184
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.028
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.152
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.004
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.287
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.096
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.12
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.07
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.053
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.047
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.209
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
-0.518
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
-0.4
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.114
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
-0.066
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.461
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 15
-1.31
-1.31
-0.929
-0.296
0.113
0.02
0.113
-0.021
-0.289
-0.091
-0.125
-0.072
-0.183
-0.128
0.148
-0.576
-0.424
0.114
-0.149
-0.474
0
Year 16
-2.035
-2.035
-1.637
-0.348
0.056
0.015
0.083
-0.042
-0.291
-0.087
-0.13
-0.074
-0.293
-0.196
0.083
-0.642
-0.448
0.108
-0.218
-0.485
0
Year 17
-2.586
-2.586
-2.178
-0.39
0.012
0.01
0.059
-0.057
-0.294
-0.084
-0.134
-0.076
-0.379
-0.249
0.022
-0.708
-0.47
0.098
-0.272
-0.49
0
Year 18
-2.98
-2.98
-2.57
-0.421
-0.022
0.006
0.041
-0.069
-0.294
-0.082
-0.136
-0.076
-0.443
-0.289
-0.033
-0.772
-0.488
0.087
-0.312
-0.489
0
Year 19
-3.241
-3.241
-2.835
-0.441
-0.047
0.004
0.027
-0.077
-0.293
-0.081
-0.136
-0.076
-0.488
-0.316
-0.082
-0.833
-0.503
0.077
-0.339
-0.484
0
Year 20
-3.399
-3.399
-3.001
-0.453
-0.064
0.002
0.017
-0.083
-0.291
-0.079
-0.136
-0.075
-0.518
-0.335
-0.125
-0.892
-0.517
0.067
-0.357
-0.477
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 14
Category
Units
0.004
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
0.003
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.015
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
1.254
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
0.012
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.106
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.389
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
0.055
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
-0.014
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
0.165
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
0.076
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
0.056
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
0.017
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
0.116
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.121
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
-0.571
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
-0.04
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
-0.498
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
-0.067
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
-0.359
Thousands (Jobs)
0
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
0
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
0
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 15
0.001
0.002
-0.015
1.04
-0.004
-0.116
-0.434
0.033
-0.028
0.087
0.022
-0.044
0.006
0.007
-0.125
-0.679
-0.052
-0.503
-0.127
-0.382
0
0
0
Year 16
-0.001
0.001
-0.016
0.836
-0.016
-0.124
-0.467
0.015
-0.038
0.025
-0.021
-0.123
-0.001
-0.078
-0.127
-0.762
-0.062
-0.502
-0.175
-0.399
0
0
0
Year 17
-0.003
0.001
-0.015
0.654
-0.025
-0.129
-0.488
0.002
-0.045
-0.024
-0.053
-0.183
-0.007
-0.141
-0.128
-0.821
-0.067
-0.495
-0.209
-0.408
0
0
0
Year 18
-0.005
0
-0.015
0.496
-0.031
-0.131
-0.497
-0.008
-0.049
-0.06
-0.076
-0.226
-0.011
-0.186
-0.127
-0.86
-0.07
-0.481
-0.232
-0.41
0
0
0
Year 19
-0.006
0
-0.014
0.366
-0.036
-0.131
-0.498
-0.016
-0.052
-0.086
-0.091
-0.254
-0.014
-0.216
-0.126
-0.882
-0.071
-0.464
-0.246
-0.406
0
0
0
Year 20
-0.006
0
-0.014
0.259
-0.038
-0.129
-0.493
-0.021
-0.052
-0.105
-0.099
-0.272
-0.015
-0.234
-0.124
-0.893
-0.07
-0.443
-0.252
-0.398
0
0
0
Page 11
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
-22.33
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
-10.618
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-1.923
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-2.385
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-2.152
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-3.784
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
-3.351
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-10.366
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
-6.056
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
-10.102
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
-14.19
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-58.825
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.756
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-9.744
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-8.037
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-9.78
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-13.692
Year 2
-16.555
-7.813
-1.415
-1.726
-1.569
-2.783
-2.439
-7.493
-4.452
-7.611
-10.326
-43.352
-0.547
-9.299
-6.145
-7.164
-10.071
Year 3
-12.415
-5.833
-1.063
-1.273
-1.165
-2.112
-1.809
-5.561
-3.391
-5.874
-7.647
-32.358
-0.404
-7.833
-4.69
-5.332
-7.5
Year 4
-8.779
-4.112
-0.755
-0.883
-0.817
-1.538
-1.272
-3.897
-2.46
-4.349
-5.345
-22.827
-0.284
-5.914
-3.357
-3.764
-5.282
Year 5
-6.49
-3.042
-0.564
-0.644
-0.601
-1.186
-0.944
-2.886
-1.878
-3.398
-3.929
-16.884
-0.211
-4.306
-2.48
-2.798
-3.904
Year 6
-2.844
-1.315
-0.252
-0.266
-0.261
-0.605
-0.418
-1.236
-0.93
-1.851
-1.679
-7.536
-0.093
-2.092
-1.13
-1.261
-1.738
Year 7
-1.35
-0.623
-0.127
-0.124
-0.125
-0.371
-0.212
-0.624
-0.537
-1.217
-0.805
-3.774
-0.047
-0.745
-0.536
-0.648
-0.866
Year 8
-0.298
-0.136
-0.038
-0.028
-0.031
-0.202
-0.067
-0.211
-0.254
-0.757
-0.202
-1.15
-0.015
0.217
-0.116
-0.214
-0.255
Year 9
-0.017
-0.014
-0.016
-0.014
-0.008
-0.155
-0.03
-0.163
-0.17
-0.621
-0.073
-0.472
-0.006
0.672
0.017
-0.096
-0.089
Year 10
0.228
0.096
0.004
0.001
0.013
-0.109
0.003
-0.108
-0.093
-0.495
0.048
0.133
0.002
0.946
0.121
0.014
0.06
Year 11
0.454
0.201
0.024
0.015
0.032
-0.064
0.036
-0.051
-0.02
-0.373
0.165
0.697
0.01
1.115
0.207
0.119
0.199
Year 12
0.322
0.134
0.012
-0.006
0.019
-0.077
0.018
-0.158
-0.043
-0.397
0.066
0.371
0.006
1.064
0.163
0.077
0.133
Year 13
0.191
0.071
0.001
-0.026
0.007
-0.09
0.002
-0.256
-0.066
-0.422
-0.026
0.055
0.003
0.947
0.113
0.037
0.069
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Labor Force
Thousands
-38.611
Total Migrants
Thousands
-40.874
Economic Migrants
Thousands
-40.874
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
0
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
-41.353
College Population
Thousands
0
Year 2
-52.96
-19.722
-19.722
-41.353
-62.258
0
Year 3
-57.407
-9.793
-9.793
-62.258
-73.565
0
Year 4
-55.81
-2.904
-2.904
-73.565
-78.103
0
Year 5
-51.901
0.706
0.706
-78.103
-79.017
0
Year 6
-43.851
5.768
5.768
-79.018
-74.749
0
Year 7
-36.232
6.91
6.91
-74.749
-69.142
0
Year 8
-29.172
7.394
7.394
-69.142
-62.834
0
Year 9
-23.616
6.75
6.75
-62.833
-56.955
0
Year 10
-19.039
6.193
6.193
-56.955
-51.431
0
Year 11
-15.195
5.709
5.709
-51.431
-46.2
0
Year 12
-12.47
4.77
4.77
-46.2
-41.731
0
Year 13
-10.521
3.989
3.989
-41.731
-37.889
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Ages 0-4
Thousands
-4.343
Ages 5-9
Thousands
-3.22
Ages 10-14
Thousands
-2.566
Ages 15-19
Thousands
-2.69
Ages 20-24
Thousands
-6.498
Ages 25-29
Thousands
-5.943
Ages 30-34
Thousands
-4.341
Ages 35-39
Thousands
-3.233
Ages 40-44
Thousands
-2.828
Ages 45-49
Thousands
-2.057
Ages 50-54
Thousands
-1.526
Ages 55-59
Thousands
-1.127
Ages 60-64
Thousands
-0.982
Ages 65-69
Thousands
0
Ages 70-74
Thousands
0
Ages 75-79
Thousands
0
Ages 80-84
Thousands
0
Ages 85+
Thousands
0
Year 2
-6.728
-4.915
-3.927
-3.668
-9.042
-9.091
-6.737
-4.956
-4.277
-3.189
-2.349
-1.713
-1.509
-0.155
0
0
0
0
Year 3
-8.163
-5.897
-4.729
-4.008
-9.554
-10.89
-8.246
-6.001
-5.064
-3.898
-2.848
-2.065
-1.804
-0.397
0
0
0
0
Year 4
-8.886
-6.361
-5.133
-4.061
-8.588
-11.694
-9.127
-6.581
-5.372
-4.308
-3.118
-2.261
-1.915
-0.698
0
0
0
0
Year 5
-9.204
-6.516
-5.324
-4.103
-6.931
-11.782
-9.638
-6.928
-5.439
-4.547
-3.27
-2.383
-1.914
-1.04
0
0
0
0
Year 6
-8.43
-6.735
-5.196
-3.974
-4.652
-10.793
-9.553
-6.91
-5.188
-4.511
-3.247
-2.378
-1.78
-1.402
0
0
0
0
Year 7
-7.466
-6.775
-4.989
-3.814
-2.731
-9.071
-9.284
-6.836
-4.926
-4.337
-3.199
-2.334
-1.648
-1.59
-0.142
0
0
0
Year 8
-6.377
-6.689
-4.735
-3.643
-1.251
-6.822
-8.858
-6.737
-4.686
-4.069
-3.141
-2.271
-1.535
-1.657
-0.364
0
0
0
Year 9
-5.316
-6.542
-4.49
-3.512
-0.373
-4.285
-8.377
-6.693
-4.537
-3.77
-3.11
-2.217
-1.468
-1.625
-0.638
0
0
0
Year 10
-4.289
-6.352
-4.225
-3.394
-0.002
-1.726
-7.694
-6.647
-4.461
-3.473
-3.084
-2.176
-1.437
-1.522
-0.948
0
0
0
Year 11
-3.338
-5.573
-4.435
-3.272
0.031
0.549
-6.685
-6.547
-4.441
-3.213
-3.042
-2.148
-1.432
-1.379
-1.275
0
0
0
Year 12
-2.497
-4.788
-4.614
-3.193
-0.126
2.136
-5.213
-6.456
-4.518
-3.068
-2.955
-2.162
-1.444
-1.263
-1.445
-0.126
0
0
Year 13
-1.755
-3.991
-4.761
-3.14
-0.387
3.079
-3.388
-6.332
-4.667
-3.025
-2.834
-2.209
-1.47
-1.183
-1.504
-0.321
0
0
Page 12
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 14
Category
Units
0.07
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
0.015
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
-0.009
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.044
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.004
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.102
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
-0.013
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.342
-0.088
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
-0.443
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
-0.108
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
-0.231
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
0
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
0.803
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
0.062
Thousands (Jobs)
0.002
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
0.011
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 15
-0.033
-0.031
-0.017
-0.059
-0.013
-0.111
-0.025
-0.413
-0.106
-0.458
-0.175
-0.471
-0.002
0.654
0.017
-0.028
-0.039
Year 16
-0.116
-0.068
-0.024
-0.07
-0.021
-0.118
-0.034
-0.468
-0.12
-0.465
-0.228
-0.662
-0.004
0.514
-0.022
-0.051
-0.078
Year 17
-0.181
-0.096
-0.029
-0.079
-0.026
-0.122
-0.04
-0.507
-0.13
-0.465
-0.266
-0.802
-0.005
0.39
-0.052
-0.069
-0.107
Year 18
-0.228
-0.116
-0.032
-0.084
-0.029
-0.125
-0.045
-0.533
-0.136
-0.457
-0.291
-0.898
-0.006
0.284
-0.076
-0.081
-0.128
Year 19
-0.26
-0.13
-0.034
-0.087
-0.031
-0.125
-0.047
-0.548
-0.138
-0.444
-0.305
-0.958
-0.007
0.198
-0.092
-0.089
-0.142
Year 20
-0.282
-0.138
-0.035
-0.089
-0.033
-0.125
-0.048
-0.555
-0.138
-0.428
-0.312
-0.991
-0.007
0.127
-0.103
-0.093
-0.15
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 14
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
-9.125
Total Migrants
Thousands
3.337
Economic Migrants
Thousands
3.337
-37.889
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
-34.565
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
0
College Population
Thousands
Year 15
-8.126
2.804
2.804
-34.565
-31.663
0
Year 16
-7.407
2.373
2.373
-31.662
-29.103
0
Year 17
-7.023
2.079
2.079
-29.103
-26.771
0
Year 18
-6.721
1.841
1.841
-26.771
-24.633
0
Year 19
-6.475
1.652
1.652
-24.633
-22.662
0
Year 20
-6.238
1.492
1.492
-22.662
-20.848
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 14
Category
Units
-1.098
Ages 0-4
Thousands
-3.223
Ages 5-9
Thousands
-4.85
Ages 10-14
Thousands
-3.094
Ages 15-19
Thousands
-0.687
Ages 20-24
Thousands
3.42
Ages 25-29
Thousands
-1.278
Ages 30-34
Thousands
-6.156
Ages 35-39
Thousands
-4.871
Ages 40-44
Thousands
-3.072
Ages 45-49
Thousands
-2.682
Ages 50-54
Thousands
-2.283
Ages 55-59
Thousands
-1.507
Ages 60-64
Thousands
-1.147
Ages 65-69
Thousands
-1.475
Ages 70-74
Thousands
-0.562
Ages 75-79
Thousands
0
Ages 80-84
Thousands
0
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 15
-0.524
-2.491
-4.894
-3.025
-0.983
3.257
0.852
-5.779
-5.073
-3.193
-2.533
-2.362
-1.555
-1.148
-1.381
-0.831
0
0
Year 16
-0.035
-1.832
-4.352
-3.426
-1.247
2.763
2.698
-5.08
-5.219
-3.369
-2.421
-2.426
-1.614
-1.176
-1.253
-1.112
0
0
Year 17
0.373
-1.227
-3.757
-3.76
-1.476
2.18
3.939
-3.863
-5.328
-3.605
-2.395
-2.426
-1.699
-1.215
-1.149
-1.258
-0.105
0
Year 18
0.693
-0.675
-3.114
-4.03
-1.666
1.58
4.606
-2.247
-5.364
-3.881
-2.444
-2.375
-1.8
-1.261
-1.078
-1.309
-0.268
0
Year 19
0.92
-0.167
-2.466
-4.215
-1.811
1.013
4.734
-0.305
-5.315
-4.183
-2.563
-2.281
-1.916
-1.313
-1.046
-1.282
-0.465
0
Year 20
1.053
0.291
-1.828
-4.335
-1.892
0.512
4.407
1.691
-5.039
-4.461
-2.738
-2.178
-2.027
-1.372
-1.047
-1.201
-0.684
0
Page 13
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
Year 11
Year 12
Year 13
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.772629 -0.638137 -0.541038 -0.44423 -0.380092 -0.258897 -0.202697 -0.156915 -0.136689 -0.116716 -0.097826 -0.092728 -0.088952
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.331369 -0.014322 -0.237818 -0.398535 -0.489408 -0.580611 -0.588614 -0.573162 -0.531818 -0.489456 -0.448768 -0.402353 -0.361812
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.05341
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.262997
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.082457
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.022798
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.059721
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.030883
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.056579
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.055296
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.000174
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.148313
Year 2
-0.079806
-0.20108
-0.063044
-0.017431
0
-0.043147
-0.024773
-0.045387
-0.044357
-0.000139
0
-0.118973
Year 3
-0.093218
-0.160127
-0.050204
-0.013881
0
-0.032152
-0.020301
-0.037194
-0.03635
-0.000114
0
-0.097497
Year 4
-0.097777
-0.123421
-0.038696
-0.010699
0
-0.022634
-0.016012
-0.029335
-0.02867
-0.00009
0
-0.076897
Year 5
-0.097651
-0.101268
-0.03175
-0.008779
0
-0.016909
-0.01312
-0.024038
-0.023493
-0.000074
0
-0.063011
Year 6
-0.091166
-0.061359
-0.019238
-0.005319
0
-0.007051
-0.007928
-0.014524
-0.014195
-0.000045
0
-0.038073
Year 7
-0.083122
-0.045727
-0.014337
-0.003964
0
-0.003367
-0.005533
-0.010137
-0.009907
-0.000031
0
-0.026572
Year 8
-0.074428
-0.033795
-0.010596
-0.00293
0
-0.000701
-0.003655
-0.006695
-0.006544
-0.000021
0
-0.017551
Year 9
-0.06802
-0.029362
-0.009206
-0.002545
0
-0.000203
-0.0029
-0.005314
-0.005193
-0.000016
0
-0.013929
Year 10
-0.061621
-0.024571
-0.007704
-0.00213
0
0.000338
-0.00223
-0.004085
-0.003992
-0.000013
0
-0.010708
Year 11
-0.055522
-0.019782
-0.006202
-0.001715
0
0.000914
-0.001645
-0.003015
-0.002946
-0.000009
0
-0.007902
Year 12
-0.050265
-0.019354
-0.006068
-0.001678
0
0.000406
-0.001672
-0.003063
-0.002994
-0.000009
0
-0.00803
Year 13
-0.045745
-0.018985
-0.005952
-0.001646
0
-0.000033
-0.001759
-0.003223
-0.00315
-0.00001
0
-0.008449
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.076572
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.352949
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.002576
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.011637
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.023623
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.001543
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.008952
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.006821
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.000651
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.009913
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.004658
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.020697
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.000289
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.146351
Year 2
-0.113269
0.165476
-0.00381
-0.017215
-0.034945
-0.002283
-0.013242
-0.01009
-0.000963
-0.014663
-0.00689
-0.030616
-0.000428
0
0.068615
Year 3
-0.136135
0.04294
-0.004579
-0.02069
-0.042
-0.002744
-0.015915
-0.012127
-0.001157
-0.017623
-0.008281
-0.036797
-0.000514
0
0.017805
Year 4
-0.146932
-0.053931
-0.004943
-0.022331
-0.045331
-0.002962
-0.017177
-0.013089
-0.001249
-0.019021
-0.008938
-0.039715
-0.000555
0
-0.022363
Year 5
-0.151
-0.111861
-0.005079
-0.022949
-0.046586
-0.003044
-0.017653
-0.013451
-0.001283
-0.019548
-0.009185
-0.040815
-0.00057
0
-0.046383
Year 6
-0.145052
-0.185552
-0.004879
-0.022045
-0.044751
-0.002924
-0.016958
-0.012922
-0.001233
-0.018778
-0.008823
-0.039207
-0.000548
0
-0.07694
Year 7
-0.136089
-0.205105
-0.004578
-0.020683
-0.041985
-0.002743
-0.01591
-0.012123
-0.001157
-0.017617
-0.008278
-0.036784
-0.000514
0
-0.085047
Year 8
-0.125384
-0.210779
-0.004218
-0.019056
-0.038683
-0.002527
-0.014658
-0.011169
-0.001066
-0.016232
-0.007627
-0.033891
-0.000473
0
-0.0874
Year 9
-0.114602
-0.198268
-0.003855
-0.017417
-0.035356
-0.00231
-0.013398
-0.010209
-0.000974
-0.014836
-0.006971
-0.030976
-0.000433
0
-0.082212
Year 10
-0.103832
-0.18502
-0.003493
-0.015781
-0.032034
-0.002093
-0.012139
-0.00925
-0.000882
-0.013442
-0.006316
-0.028065
-0.000392
0
-0.076719
Year 11
-0.093565
-0.172174
-0.003147
-0.01422
-0.028866
-0.001886
-0.010938
-0.008335
-0.000795
-0.012112
-0.005692
-0.02529
-0.000353
0
-0.071392
Year 12
-0.084717
-0.153083
-0.00285
-0.012875
-0.026136
-0.001708
-0.009904
-0.007547
-0.00072
-0.010967
-0.005153
-0.022899
-0.00032
0
-0.063476
Year 13
-0.077106
-0.136223
-0.002594
-0.011719
-0.023788
-0.001554
-0.009014
-0.006869
-0.000655
-0.009982
-0.00469
-0.020841
-0.000291
0
-0.056485
Page 14
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 14
Year 15
Year 16
Year 17
Year 18
Year 19
Year 20
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.086177 -0.083831 -0.081739 -0.079614 -0.077391 -0.07508 -0.072806
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.326315 -0.295237 -0.268194 -0.244267 -0.222832 -0.203522 -0.186109
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 14
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.041821
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.018689
-0.00586
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.00162
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.000409
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.001885
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.003454
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.003375
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.000011
0
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.009053
Year 15
-0.038381
-0.01836
-0.005756
-0.001592
0
-0.000709
-0.002018
-0.003697
-0.003614
-0.000011
0
-0.009692
Year 16
-0.035354
-0.017976
-0.005636
-0.001558
0
-0.000938
-0.00215
-0.003939
-0.00385
-0.000012
0
-0.010326
Year 17
-0.032614
-0.017514
-0.005491
-0.001518
0
-0.001101
-0.002266
-0.004152
-0.004058
-0.000013
0
-0.010884
Year 18
-0.030102
-0.01698
-0.005324
-0.001472
0
-0.001207
-0.002365
-0.004334
-0.004235
-0.000013
0
-0.01136
Year 19
-0.027785
-0.016392
-0.005139
-0.001421
0
-0.001267
-0.002447
-0.004483
-0.004381
-0.000014
0
-0.011752
Year 20
-0.025645
-0.015795
-0.004952
-0.001369
0
-0.001294
-0.002519
-0.004614
-0.00451
-0.000014
0
-0.012095
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 14
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.070501
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.121371
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.002372
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.010715
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.02175
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.001421
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.008242
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.00628
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.000599
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.009127
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.004289
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.019056
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.000266
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars -0.050327
Year 15
-0.064709
-0.10838
-0.002177
-0.009835
-0.019964
-0.001304
-0.007565
-0.005764
-0.00055
-0.008377
-0.003936
-0.017491
-0.000244
0
-0.04494
Year 16
-0.059611
-0.097169
-0.002005
-0.00906
-0.018391
-0.001202
-0.006969
-0.00531
-0.000507
-0.007717
-0.003626
-0.016112
-0.000225
0
-0.040291
Year 17
-0.054998
-0.087405
-0.00185
-0.008359
-0.016968
-0.001109
-0.00643
-0.004899
-0.000467
-0.00712
-0.003346
-0.014866
-0.000208
0
-0.036243
Year 18
-0.050767
-0.078813
-0.001708
-0.007716
-0.015662
-0.001023
-0.005935
-0.004522
-0.000431
-0.006572
-0.003088
-0.013722
-0.000192
0
-0.03268
Year 19
-0.046864
-0.071214
-0.001576
-0.007122
-0.014458
-0.000945
-0.005479
-0.004175
-0.000398
-0.006067
-0.002851
-0.012667
-0.000177
0
-0.029529
Year 20
-0.04326
-0.064492
-0.001455
-0.006575
-0.013346
-0.000872
-0.005057
-0.003854
-0.000368
-0.0056
-0.002631
-0.011693
-0.000163
0
-0.026742
Page 15
Negative Economic Impact: Employment Losses
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Employment Losses
Category
Units
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 1
-37.91765
-37.91763
-35.65321
-1.392043
-2.030523
0.0015
-1.201517
-0.830506
-1.310099
-0.311612
-0.493197
-0.505289
-3.76584
-2.115885
-1.01321
-1.292234
-1.074233
-0.448952
-2.240482
-0.787515
0
Year 2
-28.10782
-28.10783
-26.44968
-1.120254
-1.474243
0.004405
-0.863703
-0.614945
-1.101122
-0.265551
-0.399187
-0.436385
-2.860247
-1.604458
-0.830593
-1.116233
-0.858739
-0.820938
-1.695773
-0.633349
0
Year 3
-21.13356
-21.13355
-19.84819
-0.906714
-1.106007
0.00705
-0.642599
-0.470457
-0.928167
-0.226149
-0.331109
-0.370909
-2.220029
-1.244868
-0.688778
-0.965463
-0.696037
-0.856621
-1.315716
-0.521832
0
Year 4
-15.03793
-15.03793
-14.07889
-0.697423
-0.790352
0.009142
-0.455532
-0.343962
-0.749944
-0.186369
-0.264537
-0.299037
-1.644071
-0.922002
-0.54162
-0.803257
-0.550863
-0.796654
-0.974919
-0.414445
0
Year 5
-11.18266
-11.18266
-10.42926
-0.554953
-0.599306
0.01056
-0.343102
-0.266764
-0.631226
-0.160614
-0.22057
-0.250042
-1.279814
-0.718021
-0.437042
-0.686701
-0.454765
-0.688545
-0.759638
-0.345711
0
Year 6
-5.135666
-5.135681
-4.721695
-0.313396
-0.263302
0.011163
-0.146488
-0.127978
-0.40487
-0.107745
-0.142192
-0.154933
-0.642212
-0.36072
-0.242386
-0.451859
-0.281726
-0.526703
-0.383616
-0.217863
0
Year 7
-2.596024
-2.596024
-2.32991
-0.196433
-0.130626
0.011004
-0.069741
-0.071888
-0.29897
-0.082739
-0.105361
-0.110869
-0.368101
-0.206924
-0.142184
-0.3291
-0.202936
-0.354942
-0.221664
-0.163198
0
Year 8
-0.795151
-0.795166
-0.639664
-0.107064
-0.03181
0.010306
-0.012776
-0.029339
-0.215017
-0.061955
-0.076922
-0.076139
-0.160347
-0.09024
-0.060649
-0.227758
-0.141284
-0.2146
-0.098868
-0.121537
0
Year 9
-0.257919
-0.25795
-0.14299
-0.069556
-0.005897
0.009102
0.001764
-0.016764
-0.17511
-0.05055
-0.062924
-0.061636
-0.090244
-0.051018
-0.023318
-0.178827
-0.116454
-0.107773
-0.057443
-0.10817
0
Year 10
0.201462
0.201462
0.279282
-0.037812
0.020198
0.007724
0.016588
-0.004114
-0.136743
-0.039359
-0.049824
-0.04756
-0.025217
-0.014587
0.008753
-0.135553
-0.093658
-0.030167
-0.01895
-0.093276
0
Year 11
0.618958
0.618927
0.661743
-0.00982
0.047449
0.006348
0.032196
0.008905
-0.100594
-0.028632
-0.037818
-0.034142
0.03763
0.020348
0.037437
-0.096945
-0.073256
0.0298
0.017941
-0.079162
0
Year 12
0.447098
0.447098
0.490387
-0.010264
0.036149
0.005044
0.02551
0.005595
-0.092949
-0.024836
-0.035065
-0.033048
0.025881
0.013146
0.03905
-0.093109
-0.073565
0.068695
0.010703
-0.080484
0
Year 13
0.262741
0.262741
0.308319
-0.014317
0.025949
0.003875
0.019634
0.002439
-0.088814
-0.022033
-0.033724
-0.033057
0.011633
0.004474
0.036384
-0.095825
-0.075811
0.088943
0.001892
-0.082836
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
-0.750017
-0.043766
-0.074457
-2.459747
-3.203467
-1.053229
-2.835071
-0.848955
-0.472888
-2.453923
-2.944835
-3.175806
-1.051355
-5.421419
-0.607701
-2.566591
-1.516635
-1.697411
-2.475944
-2.264408
0
0
0
Year 2
-0.53845
-0.032365
-0.054531
-2.538187
-2.315604
-0.770813
-2.08494
-0.611441
-0.342291
-1.771445
-2.140936
-2.320886
-0.749577
-3.843377
-0.445459
-1.772621
-1.09032
-1.261655
-1.764789
-1.658154
0
0
0
Year 3
-0.395737
-0.024034
-0.041112
-2.20624
-1.715201
-0.579427
-1.565418
-0.449781
-0.254272
-1.307488
-1.588488
-1.72556
-0.543569
-2.777763
-0.336987
-1.272043
-0.806583
-0.973766
-1.28472
-1.285356
0
0
0
Year 4
-0.276786
-0.016711
-0.029775
-1.694973
-1.213463
-0.41921
-1.125332
-0.314752
-0.180636
-0.918114
-1.113061
-1.213984
-0.372964
-1.894066
-0.245638
-0.866177
-0.571247
-0.7284
-0.883606
-0.959052
0
0
0
Year 5
-0.205436
-0.01208
-0.022847
-1.233037
-0.911324
-0.322171
-0.854515
-0.233354
-0.136177
-0.682545
-0.814592
-0.897978
-0.27146
-1.363205
-0.190259
-0.629923
-0.429986
-0.577714
-0.640665
-0.753392
0
0
0
Year 6
-0.089461
-0.004963
-0.011708
-0.618455
-0.418983
-0.165261
-0.430365
-0.101442
-0.063647
-0.299139
-0.35159
-0.387785
-0.108582
-0.528131
-0.098291
-0.250355
-0.201245
-0.331788
-0.260503
-0.413979
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.044951
-0.002
-0.007109
-0.209096
-0.225989
-0.102158
-0.260105
-0.050318
-0.035129
-0.14938
-0.16118
-0.183846
-0.0481
-0.212425
-0.061208
-0.119123
-0.111988
-0.229832
-0.115981
-0.266104
0
0
0
Year 8
-0.01316
-0.000033
-0.003762
0.085606
-0.086287
-0.056213
-0.140213
-0.013791
-0.014394
-0.041699
-0.027982
-0.039873
-0.006117
0.003929
-0.033707
-0.03264
-0.047553
-0.15449
-0.017277
-0.155519
0
0
0
Year 9
-0.004932
0.000588
-0.002629
0.237188
-0.045888
-0.040512
-0.106247
-0.004129
-0.008338
-0.013374
0.008222
-0.003147
0.002452
0.049513
-0.025132
-0.03067
-0.029336
-0.129453
0.002823
-0.114941
0
0
0
Year 10
0.003386
0.001019
-0.001646
0.326419
-0.006203
-0.025187
-0.07387
0.005308
-0.002527
0.014572
0.038108
0.030219
0.011565
0.092638
-0.016563
-0.023554
-0.011188
-0.106094
0.022883
-0.077832
0
0
0
Year 11
0.011635
0.001411
-0.000629
0.380037
0.033461
-0.010304
-0.042994
0.014889
0.003321
0.042525
0.064717
0.062566
0.021174
0.136065
-0.008138
-0.013996
0.006857
-0.083226
0.042369
-0.042808
0
0
0
Year 12
0.008631
0.001163
-0.000713
0.371719
0.025142
-0.0108
-0.051893
0.01157
0.001988
0.032848
0.046936
0.044214
0.015202
0.100527
-0.008873
-0.041758
0.002707
-0.083797
0.025569
-0.04328
0
0
0
Year 13
0.006019
0.000919
-0.000806
0.339537
0.017859
-0.011574
-0.060949
0.008654
0.000793
0.024186
0.029078
0.026884
0.010202
0.069136
-0.009601
-0.066378
-0.001043
-0.08455
0.009947
-0.045577
0
0
0
Page 16
Negative Economic Impact: Employment Losses
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Employment Losses
Category
Units
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 14
0.085373
0.085388
0.133911
-0.020135
0.017084
0.002865
0.014641
-0.000422
-0.086884
-0.019977
-0.033238
-0.033669
-0.00305
-0.004436
0.031085
-0.1028
-0.079256
0.098236
-0.007194
-0.085708
0
Year 15
-0.071274
-0.071289
-0.020004
-0.026268
0.009658
0.002017
0.010518
-0.002877
-0.085926
-0.01842
-0.033126
-0.034379
-0.016611
-0.012636
0.024483
-0.11202
-0.082952
0.100311
-0.015559
-0.088222
0
Year 16
-0.202789
-0.202789
-0.149368
-0.032031
0.00362
0.001322
0.007198
-0.0049
-0.085388
-0.017231
-0.033165
-0.034992
-0.02841
-0.019745
0.01739
-0.122713
-0.086704
0.097702
-0.022806
-0.090124
0
Year 17
-0.306763
-0.306778
-0.252121
-0.036857
-0.001163
0.000763
0.00457
-0.006497
-0.084751
-0.01632
-0.033134
-0.035297
-0.038019
-0.0255
0.010562
-0.13356
-0.090069
0.09343
-0.028645
-0.091
0
Year 18
-0.385635
-0.385666
-0.330597
-0.040623
-0.004875
0.000319
0.002521
-0.007716
-0.083811
-0.015616
-0.032939
-0.035255
-0.045498
-0.029948
0.004279
-0.144073
-0.092979
0.088608
-0.033127
-0.090916
0
Year 19
-0.442551
-0.442535
-0.387894
-0.043324
-0.0077
-0.00003
0.000942
-0.008612
-0.082464
-0.015024
-0.032554
-0.034886
-0.051022
-0.033208
-0.00134
-0.154125
-0.095387
0.083572
-0.03638
-0.090073
0
Year 20
-0.482269
-0.482254
-0.428589
-0.045198
-0.009833
-0.000303
-0.000263
-0.009267
-0.080961
-0.014531
-0.032118
-0.034313
-0.055031
-0.035548
-0.006332
-0.164078
-0.097593
0.078979
-0.038675
-0.08872
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 14
0.003818
0.000694
-0.000893
0.296726
0.011701
-0.012409
-0.069267
0.006171
-0.000226
0.016706
0.012485
0.011444
0.006132
0.042454
-0.010239
-0.088045
-0.004297
-0.085061
-0.003983
-0.048528
0
0
0
Year 15
0.002021
0.000498
-0.000965
0.251202
0.006673
-0.013116
-0.076012
0.004114
-0.001049
0.010473
-0.001821
-0.001578
0.002917
0.020632
-0.010742
-0.105762
-0.006932
-0.084921
-0.015646
-0.051267
0
0
0
Year 16
0.000593
0.000333
-0.001012
0.207233
0.002674
-0.013639
-0.081039
0.002454
-0.001683
0.005438
-0.013454
-0.012179
0.000445
0.003372
-0.01108
-0.119947
-0.008934
-0.083966
-0.024983
-0.053429
0
0
0
Year 17
-0.000515
0.000193
-0.001032
0.167269
-0.000436
-0.013939
-0.084206
0.00114
-0.002146
0.001457
-0.02215
-0.020487
-0.001409
-0.009821
-0.011256
-0.130451
-0.010294
-0.082039
-0.031986
-0.054676
0
0
0
Year 18
-0.001357
0.000081
-0.001032
0.132263
-0.002799
-0.014027
-0.085741
0.000115
-0.002466
-0.001617
-0.028263
-0.02681
-0.002767
-0.019623
-0.011306
-0.137833
-0.011116
-0.079347
-0.036962
-0.05505
0
0
0
Year 19
-0.001983
-0.000008
-0.001015
0.102863
-0.00455
-0.013926
-0.085928
-0.000673
-0.002673
-0.003963
-0.032209
-0.031428
-0.003731
-0.026701
-0.011261
-0.142796
-0.011512
-0.076105
-0.040292
-0.054646
0
0
0
Year 20
-0.002435
-0.000076
-0.000986
0.078241
-0.005849
-0.013702
-0.085203
-0.001273
-0.002798
-0.005736
-0.034443
-0.034733
-0.004399
-0.031633
-0.011107
-0.146038
-0.011574
-0.072452
-0.042382
-0.053664
0
0
0
Page 17
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
-4.180593
-1.88331
-0.367584
-0.509407
-0.369776
-0.648892
-0.589514
-1.976626
-1.222261
-1.980229
-3.416613
-11.10941
-0.433188
-2.137985
-1.815453
-2.662775
-2.614013
Year 2
-3.085452
-1.378944
-0.268384
-0.360245
-0.268146
-0.469817
-0.426521
-1.389684
-0.883593
-1.456299
-2.44758
-8.109467
-0.311498
-2.043531
-1.374029
-1.930119
-1.904531
Year 3
-2.31372
-1.029167
-0.200993
-0.261575
-0.199247
-0.351491
-0.315894
-1.012218
-0.663688
-1.109139
-1.796156
-6.034706
-0.229392
-1.728435
-1.045505
-1.429429
-1.412784
Year 4
-1.642294
-0.728506
-0.143134
-0.179799
-0.140618
-0.252086
-0.222652
-0.700695
-0.476223
-0.815391
-1.250701
-4.263744
-0.160817
-1.310521
-0.748972
-1.007447
-0.994344
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 1
-7.057693
-6.974286
-6.974287
0
-7.072052
0
Year 2
-9.786896
-3.320033
-3.320033
-7.072052
-10.63348
0
Year 3
-10.565
-1.600965
-1.600967
-10.63351
-12.54327
0
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
Year 11
Year 12
-10.21597 -9.447342 -7.931076 -6.498779 -5.18869 -4.160934 -3.320038 -2.617325 -2.123932
-0.433434 0.166684 1.012256 1.190491 1.259581 1.140815 1.041929 0.959644 0.801699
-0.433439 0.166676 1.012244 1.190475 1.259561 1.140792 1.041905 0.959618 0.801672
-12.5433 -13.31015 -13.47449 -12.76886 -11.84555 -10.80969 -9.849457 -8.947723 -8.089783
-13.31015 -13.47446 -12.76886 -11.84555 -10.80966 -9.849487 -8.947693 -8.089844 -7.354309
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Year 13
-1.775009
0.672577
0.67255
-7.354309
-6.716553
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 1
-0.753132
-0.549444
-0.437815
-0.459151
-1.109062
-1.014441
-0.740986
-0.551968
-0.48292
-0.351446
-0.260826
-0.192797
-0.168056
0
0
0
0
0
Year 2
-1.185787
-0.835398
-0.667461
-0.623368
-1.536924
-1.546108
-1.146072
-0.843305
-0.727894
-0.543236
-0.400528
-0.292557
-0.258167
-0.026684
0
0
0
0
Year 3
-1.462523
-0.997604
-0.799963
-0.6774
-1.614759
-1.843948
-1.397051
-1.016949
-0.858402
-0.661798
-0.48423
-0.351864
-0.30822
-0.068569
0
0
0
0
Year 4
-1.621838
-1.071833
-0.865028
-0.683357
-1.442469
-1.972858
-1.541327
-1.111765
-0.907686
-0.729694
-0.529148
-0.385078
-0.32729
-0.120775
0
0
0
0
Year 13
-0.339865
-0.847973
-0.877594
-0.523008
-0.061152
0.535568
-0.555157
-1.066755
-0.790867
-0.513811
-0.485834
-0.384983
-0.262083
-0.212683
-0.271427
-0.058958
0
0
Year 5
-1.220783
-0.542703
-0.107547
-0.130825
-0.104514
-0.191973
-0.165888
-0.516157
-0.360828
-0.63605
-0.92024
-3.167088
-0.119596
-0.956938
-0.555202
-0.750607
-0.735723
Year 5
-1.713657
-1.094469
-0.894426
-0.688348
-1.155834
-1.981613
-1.623779
-1.168018
-0.916941
-0.76893
-0.554602
-0.405933
-0.327431
-0.18047
0
0
0
0
Page 18
Year 6
-0.550095
-0.242093
-0.049088
-0.053367
-0.047143
-0.093379
-0.074685
-0.217466
-0.174332
-0.345139
-0.395331
-1.443138
-0.052597
-0.473263
-0.255747
-0.338227
-0.330591
Year 6
-1.605192
-1.142254
-0.870455
-0.665163
-0.766866
-1.808947
-1.606245
-1.163132
-0.872963
-0.762112
-0.550644
-0.405582
-0.305164
-0.244137
0
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.272018
-0.120848
-0.025639
-0.024614
-0.024105
-0.054532
-0.038761
-0.108845
-0.098324
-0.227087
-0.192382
-0.744946
-0.026757
-0.172637
-0.122995
-0.174889
-0.16665
Year 7
-1.443762
-1.177704
-0.833931
-0.637293
-0.442004
-1.513428
-1.558655
-1.149689
-0.828362
-0.732304
-0.542931
-0.398981
-0.283575
-0.277645
-0.02528
0
0
0
Year 8
-0.073793
-0.034322
-0.008789
-0.005081
-0.007836
-0.026443
-0.013227
-0.035004
-0.043555
-0.141038
-0.050806
-0.252655
-0.008282
0.043343
-0.028425
-0.058211
-0.051044
Year 8
-1.24818
-1.201029
-0.790203
-0.608061
-0.194267
-1.130447
-1.48563
-1.133053
-0.788151
-0.686981
-0.533936
-0.389233
-0.265621
-0.290075
-0.064817
0
0
0
Year 9
-0.016001
-0.010517
-0.004203
-0.001919
-0.003402
-0.018898
-0.00644
-0.026452
-0.027201
-0.114612
-0.017807
-0.115646
-0.003426
0.148973
0.003007
-0.025395
-0.018008
Year 9
-1.04904
-1.218309
-0.748663
-0.58604
-0.049611
-0.700426
-1.404198
-1.126202
-0.76403
-0.63665
-0.529825
-0.381433
-0.25573
-0.285419
-0.113895
0
0
0
Year 10
Year 11
Year 12
Year 13
0.034637 0.081665 0.062387 0.042431
0.011283 0.032351 0.023429 0.01481
0.000113
0.00434 0.002622 0.000979
0.001529 0.005043 0.001079 -0.002534
0.000641 0.004525 0.002851 0.00124
-0.011283 -0.003735 -0.00601 -0.00815
0.000038 0.006393 0.003839 0.00145
-0.015577 -0.003567 -0.021313 -0.037292
-0.012048 0.002545 -0.001516 -0.005646
-0.089578 -0.064993 -0.068274 -0.071486
0.013965 0.045235 0.025862 0.008026
0.007813 0.123947
0.07468 0.025513
0.001445 0.006266 0.004568 0.003075
0.213236 0.253984 0.246295 0.223078
0.027923
0.0492 0.041051 0.031171
0.005701 0.036162 0.026638 0.017753
0.011619 0.039566 0.028913 0.018314
Year 10
-0.850601
-1.228416
-0.703876
-0.566135
0.009209
-0.268103
-1.288439
-1.119335
-0.752541
-0.586948
-0.526619
-0.375668
-0.252239
-0.268284
-0.16972
0
0
0
Year 11
-0.662411
-1.122509
-0.753057
-0.545666
0.011778
0.114796
-1.117012
-1.102921
-0.750404
-0.543612
-0.520445
-0.37215
-0.252943
-0.244339
-0.228909
0
0
0
Year 12
-0.492397
-0.993317
-0.813997
-0.532223
-0.016542
0.379803
-0.866283
-1.087822
-0.764694
-0.520155
-0.506256
-0.375818
-0.256388
-0.225155
-0.26001
-0.02306
0
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 14
0.023615
0.007021
-0.000499
-0.005734
-0.000207
-0.010055
-0.000667
-0.051437
-0.009455
-0.074203
-0.007689
-0.019814
0.001806
0.193139
0.021077
0.009902
0.00858
Year 15
0.007111
0.000385
-0.001747
-0.008387
-0.001423
-0.01162
-0.002431
-0.063082
-0.012673
-0.075986
-0.020723
-0.058537
0.000768
0.161744
0.011772
0.003316
0.000222
Year 16
-0.006702
-0.005053
-0.002759
-0.010509
-0.002402
-0.012832
-0.003834
-0.072418
-0.015222
-0.0767
-0.031078
-0.09
-0.000057
0.131704
0.003692
-0.002008
-0.006621
Year 17
-0.017693
-0.009326
-0.003536
-0.012092
-0.003147
-0.013682
-0.004883
-0.079361
-0.017053
-0.076208
-0.038782
-0.113937
-0.000695
0.104615
-0.002914
-0.006147
-0.011936
Year 18
-0.026131
-0.012578
-0.004109
-0.013213
-0.00369
-0.014227
-0.005627
-0.084257
-0.018253
-0.074741
-0.044226
-0.131218
-0.001175
0.081057
-0.008111
-0.009261
-0.015903
Year 19
-0.032331
-0.014952
-0.004509
-0.013964
-0.00406
-0.014531
-0.006122
-0.087549
-0.018926
-0.072545
-0.047832
-0.142849
-0.001528
0.061401
-0.012013
-0.011516
-0.018714
Year 20
-0.036781
-0.016646
-0.004776
-0.014443
-0.004299
-0.014634
-0.006424
-0.089676
-0.019192
-0.069796
-0.050041
-0.150192
-0.001777
0.045058
-0.014882
-0.013116
-0.02063
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 14
-1.529282
0.5666
0.566573
-6.716553
-6.157654
0
Year 15
-1.352753
0.479717
0.47969
-6.157593
-5.662537
0
Year 16
-1.227631
0.409593
0.409566
-5.662567
-5.219147
0
Year 17
-1.168457
0.364497
0.36447
-5.219147
-4.806976
0
Year 18
-1.128464
0.329569
0.329542
-4.806946
-4.420593
0
Year 19
-1.096985
0.301817
0.301789
-4.420593
-4.057648
0
Year 20
-1.066849
0.27832
0.278292
-4.057648
-3.718628
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 14
-0.20282
-0.698046
-0.934315
-0.514841
-0.111292
0.590183
-0.195606
-1.036209
-0.82593
-0.522799
-0.459917
-0.398594
-0.269417
-0.207844
-0.266951
-0.103218
0
0
Year 15
-0.081223
-0.548153
-0.983372
-0.502434
-0.160004
0.560337
0.166895
-0.970854
-0.860279
-0.544079
-0.434364
-0.412914
-0.278542
-0.20945
-0.250984
-0.153145
0
0
Year 16
0.023727
-0.407961
-0.916231
-0.583267
-0.203043
0.475655
0.480164
-0.849812
-0.884516
-0.574654
-0.41507
-0.424257
-0.28966
-0.215786
-0.228857
-0.205589
0
0
Year 17
0.112473
-0.276226
-0.817978
-0.669245
-0.239523
0.377872
0.689682
-0.639511
-0.901829
-0.615026
-0.41074
-0.424137
-0.304953
-0.223745
-0.211208
-0.23307
-0.019817
0
Year 18
0.183338
-0.153816
-0.69702
-0.752439
-0.269001
0.278694
0.80183
-0.360453
-0.906284
-0.661734
-0.419407
-0.414894
-0.323219
-0.23299
-0.199799
-0.242975
-0.050415
0
Year 19
0.23457
-0.040077
-0.565979
-0.824295
-0.290451
0.186426
0.822803
-0.025928
-0.895525
-0.712667
-0.439949
-0.397736
-0.343824
-0.243021
-0.195448
-0.238766
-0.087757
0
Year 20
0.264597
0.063805
-0.430458
-0.884872
-0.300701
0.105751
0.76754
0.317427
-0.845329
-0.759071
-0.469942
-0.378912
-0.363449
-0.254076
-0.197041
-0.224535
-0.129362
0
Page 19
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
Year 11
Year 12
Year 13
-0.135246 -0.112183 -0.095489 -0.079015 -0.068256 -0.047513 -0.037876 -0.029979 -0.026328 -0.022654 -0.019128 -0.018038 -0.017193
0.012081
0.00285 -0.003017 -0.007321 -0.009787 -0.012567 -0.013054 -0.012949 -0.012115 -0.011258 -0.010435 -0.009401 -0.00849
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
-0.009135
-0.047985
-0.015045
-0.00416
0
-0.007499
-0.005453
-0.00999
-0.009763
-0.000031
0
-0.026186
Year 2
-0.013632
-0.037054
-0.011618
-0.003212
0
-0.005461
-0.004369
-0.008005
-0.007823
-0.000025
0
-0.020984
Year 3
-0.015896
-0.0298
-0.009343
-0.002583
0
-0.004115
-0.003579
-0.006557
-0.006408
-0.00002
0
-0.017187
Year 4
-0.016664
-0.023355
-0.007322
-0.002025
0
-0.002963
-0.00283
-0.005184
-0.005067
-0.000016
0
-0.013589
Year 5
-0.016653
-0.019516
-0.006119
-0.001692
0
-0.00227
-0.002334
-0.004275
-0.004178
-0.000013
0
-0.011207
Year 6
-0.015575
-0.012386
-0.003883
-0.001074
0
-0.001063
-0.001435
-0.002629
-0.002569
-0.000008
0
-0.006891
Year 7
-0.014242
-0.009549
-0.002994
-0.000828
0
-0.000592
-0.001025
-0.001879
-0.001836
-0.000006
0
-0.004925
Year 8
-0.012806
-0.007346
-0.002303
-0.000637
0
-0.000242
-0.000705
-0.001291
-0.001262
-0.000004
0
-0.003384
Year 9
-0.011764
-0.006421
-0.002013
-0.000557
0
-0.000151
-0.000575
-0.001053
-0.001029
-0.000003
0
-0.002761
Year 10
-0.010721
-0.005407
-0.001695
-0.000469
0
-0.000058
-0.000456
-0.000836
-0.000817
-0.000003
0
-0.002192
Year 11
-0.009723
-0.004384
-0.001374
-0.00038
0
0.000039
-0.000351
-0.000642
-0.000628
-0.000002
0
-0.001684
Year 12
-0.008859
-0.004174
-0.001309
-0.000362
0
-0.000001
-0.000353
-0.000648
-0.000633
-0.000002
0
-0.001697
Year 13
-0.00811
-0.003992
-0.001252
-0.000346
0
-0.000038
-0.000366
-0.000671
-0.000656
-0.000002
0
-0.001759
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
-0.001737
0.011232
-0.000058
-0.000264
-0.000536
-0.000035
-0.000203
-0.000155
-0.000015
-0.000225
-0.000106
-0.000469
-0.000007
0
0.004658
Year 2
-0.002566
0.005993
-0.000086
-0.00039
-0.000792
-0.000052
-0.0003
-0.000229
-0.000022
-0.000332
-0.000156
-0.000694
-0.00001
0
0.002485
Year 3
-0.003079
0.00264
-0.000104
-0.000468
-0.00095
-0.000062
-0.00036
-0.000274
-0.000026
-0.000399
-0.000187
-0.000832
-0.000012
0
0.001095
Year 4
-0.003321
-0.000026
-0.000112
-0.000505
-0.001025
-0.000067
-0.000388
-0.000296
-0.000028
-0.00043
-0.000202
-0.000898
-0.000013
0
-0.000011
Year 5
-0.003415
-0.001624
-0.000115
-0.000519
-0.001054
-0.000069
-0.000399
-0.000304
-0.000029
-0.000442
-0.000208
-0.000923
-0.000013
0
-0.000673
Year 6
-0.003286
-0.003789
-0.000111
-0.000499
-0.001014
-0.000066
-0.000384
-0.000293
-0.000028
-0.000425
-0.0002
-0.000888
-0.000012
0
-0.001571
Year 7
-0.003092
-0.004434
-0.000104
-0.00047
-0.000954
-0.000062
-0.000362
-0.000275
-0.000026
-0.0004
-0.000188
-0.000836
-0.000012
0
-0.001839
Year 8
-0.002861
-0.004718
-0.000096
-0.000435
-0.000883
-0.000058
-0.000334
-0.000255
-0.000024
-0.00037
-0.000174
-0.000773
-0.000011
0
-0.001956
Year 9
-0.002629
-0.004489
-0.000088
-0.000399
-0.000811
-0.000053
-0.000307
-0.000234
-0.000022
-0.00034
-0.00016
-0.00071
-0.00001
0
-0.001861
Year 10
-0.002396
-0.004244
-0.000081
-0.000364
-0.000739
-0.000048
-0.00028
-0.000213
-0.00002
-0.00031
-0.000146
-0.000648
-0.000009
0
-0.00176
Year 11
-0.002173
-0.004008
-0.000073
-0.00033
-0.00067
-0.000044
-0.000254
-0.000194
-0.000018
-0.000281
-0.000132
-0.000587
-0.000008
0
-0.001662
Year 12
-0.00198
-0.003576
-0.000067
-0.000301
-0.000611
-0.00004
-0.000231
-0.000176
-0.000017
-0.000256
-0.00012
-0.000535
-0.000007
0
-0.001483
Year 13
-0.001813
-0.003191
-0.000061
-0.000276
-0.000559
-0.000037
-0.000212
-0.000161
-0.000015
-0.000235
-0.00011
-0.00049
-0.000007
0
-0.001323
Page 20
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 14
Year 15
Year 16
Year 17
Year 18
Year 19
Year 20
-0.016528 -0.015955 -0.015448 -0.014958 -0.014469 -0.013975 -0.013505
-0.007684 -0.00697 -0.006341 -0.005774 -0.005256 -0.004781 -0.004346
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 14
-0.007451
-0.003837
-0.001203
-0.000333
0
-0.00007
-0.000385
-0.000706
-0.00069
-0.000002
0
-0.001851
Year 15
-0.006865
-0.003691
-0.001157
-0.00032
0
-0.000097
-0.000406
-0.000743
-0.000726
-0.000002
0
-0.001948
Year 16
-0.006341
-0.003551
-0.001113
-0.000308
0
-0.000118
-0.000426
-0.00078
-0.000763
-0.000002
0
-0.002045
Year 17
-0.005857
-0.003414
-0.001071
-0.000296
0
-0.000133
-0.000444
-0.000813
-0.000795
-0.000002
0
-0.002132
Year 18
-0.005402
-0.003278
-0.001028
-0.000284
0
-0.000143
-0.00046
-0.000842
-0.000823
-0.000003
0
-0.002207
Year 19
-0.004975
-0.003139
-0.000984
-0.000272
0
-0.00015
-0.000472
-0.000865
-0.000846
-0.000003
0
-0.002269
Year 20
-0.004575
-0.003008
-0.000943
-0.000261
0
-0.000153
-0.000484
-0.000887
-0.000867
-0.000003
0
-0.002324
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 14
-0.001666
-0.002849
-0.000056
-0.000253
-0.000514
-0.000034
-0.000195
-0.000148
-0.000014
-0.000216
-0.000101
-0.00045
-0.000006
0
-0.001181
Year 15
-0.001535
-0.002547
-0.000052
-0.000233
-0.000474
-0.000031
-0.000179
-0.000137
-0.000013
-0.000199
-0.000093
-0.000415
-0.000006
0
-0.001056
Year 16
-0.001418
-0.002284
-0.000048
-0.000215
-0.000437
-0.000029
-0.000166
-0.000126
-0.000012
-0.000184
-0.000086
-0.000383
-0.000005
0
-0.000947
Year 17
-0.00131
-0.002051
-0.000044
-0.000199
-0.000404
-0.000026
-0.000153
-0.000117
-0.000011
-0.00017
-0.00008
-0.000354
-0.000005
0
-0.000851
Year 18
-0.001208
-0.001842
-0.000041
-0.000184
-0.000373
-0.000024
-0.000141
-0.000108
-0.00001
-0.000156
-0.000074
-0.000327
-0.000005
0
-0.000764
Year 19
-0.001113
-0.001654
-0.000037
-0.000169
-0.000343
-0.000022
-0.00013
-0.000099
-0.000009
-0.000144
-0.000068
-0.000301
-0.000004
0
-0.000686
Year 20
-0.001023
-0.001485
-0.000034
-0.000156
-0.000316
-0.000021
-0.00012
-0.000091
-0.000009
-0.000132
-0.000062
-0.000277
-0.000004
0
-0.000616
Page 21
Negative Economic Impact: Employment Losses
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 1
-29.15784
-29.15785
-26.16703
-1.027287
-1.310905
0.000797
-0.723892
-0.58781
-1.26204
-0.227187
-0.334336
-0.700517
-2.484746
-1.470227
-0.746716
-1.686538
-1.357236
-0.511513
-1.615489
-0.983957
0
Year 2
-22.08584
-22.08585
-19.83554
-0.857213
-0.948756
0.002477
-0.517485
-0.433748
-1.097855
-0.203599
-0.294628
-0.599627
-1.918783
-1.133432
-0.629628
-1.485737
-1.111971
-0.972046
-1.24282
-0.810865
0
Year 3
-16.93082
-16.9308
-15.14511
-0.714656
-0.705018
0.004023
-0.379717
-0.329324
-0.95474
-0.180296
-0.259186
-0.515258
-1.507175
-0.890724
-0.533276
-1.30841
-0.922482
-1.01683
-0.977607
-0.691897
0
Year 4
-12.3336
-12.3336
-10.96497
-0.568078
-0.497087
0.005269
-0.263939
-0.238418
-0.798112
-0.154749
-0.219428
-0.423936
-1.130681
-0.669475
-0.428452
-1.1108
-0.750997
-0.949257
-0.736133
-0.574788
0
Year 5
-9.367172
-9.367142
-8.266823
-0.464474
-0.370758
0.00614
-0.194256
-0.182643
-0.690111
-0.137671
-0.190923
-0.361516
-0.887534
-0.527081
-0.351002
-0.966118
-0.635071
-0.823662
-0.580731
-0.499364
0
Year 6
-4.720428
-4.720428
-4.065323
-0.288454
-0.155128
0.006558
-0.075932
-0.085754
-0.480623
-0.100876
-0.139853
-0.239895
-0.470713
-0.281395
-0.207386
-0.664133
-0.41918
-0.635704
-0.313376
-0.348899
0
Year 7
-2.692291
-2.692307
-2.238953
-0.198235
-0.070043
0.006534
-0.030149
-0.046427
-0.377495
-0.082367
-0.113068
-0.18206
-0.285172
-0.172269
-0.129401
-0.502684
-0.317508
-0.432617
-0.194435
-0.282475
0
Year 8
-1.240067
-1.240082
-0.939255
-0.128628
-0.007871
0.006195
0.00306
-0.017126
-0.295341
-0.06674
-0.092342
-0.13626
-0.14529
-0.089746
-0.065291
-0.368494
-0.236814
-0.266876
-0.104478
-0.230606
0
Year 9
-0.768723
-0.768723
-0.527374
-0.096996
0.007508
0.00553
0.010629
-0.008651
-0.253128
-0.056927
-0.08013
-0.116071
-0.095524
-0.060602
-0.033747
-0.303627
-0.203253
-0.138977
-0.072504
-0.211625
0
Year 10
-0.382675
-0.38266
-0.194687
-0.071061
0.022392
0.004754
0.018103
-0.000465
-0.21349
-0.047392
-0.069201
-0.096897
-0.051757
-0.034699
-0.007378
-0.246532
-0.172583
-0.045609
-0.044
-0.191194
0
Year 11
-0.048187
-0.048218
0.091095
-0.049343
0.037448
0.003975
0.025838
0.007635
-0.177378
-0.038502
-0.059806
-0.079071
-0.011894
-0.011214
0.015147
-0.196732
-0.145723
0.026123
-0.018129
-0.17207
0
Year 12
-0.163101
-0.163086
-0.02655
-0.048077
0.028715
0.003231
0.020652
0.004831
-0.167286
-0.034513
-0.056204
-0.076569
-0.019361
-0.01592
0.017593
-0.191139
-0.14418
0.07283
-0.022719
-0.171016
0
Year 13
-0.300613
-0.300629
-0.162994
-0.05051
0.020719
0.002563
0.016078
0.002079
-0.161654
-0.031559
-0.054226
-0.07587
-0.029791
-0.022372
0.01574
-0.195368
-0.145977
0.09729
-0.029251
-0.171622
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
-0.263724
-0.069759
-0.213358
-2.405595
-1.227737
-0.569942
-3.445797
-0.847502
-0.325724
-1.830383
-1.699509
-2.065278
-0.138056
-2.560353
-0.716686
-2.888477
-0.816006
-1.719525
-2.363625
-2.990812
0
0
0
Year 2
-0.189567
-0.051333
-0.156182
-2.52071
-0.887898
-0.422147
-2.578911
-0.609633
-0.235353
-1.320042
-1.251053
-1.504047
-0.097712
-1.828691
-0.525541
-2.051434
-0.589962
-1.311898
-1.703428
-2.250297
0
0
0
Year 3
-0.139267
-0.03852
-0.118335
-2.215325
-0.657133
-0.320525
-1.964554
-0.447433
-0.174632
-0.972482
-0.942099
-1.114273
-0.07004
-1.328871
-0.398315
-1.509708
-0.439301
-1.043622
-1.25067
-1.785711
0
0
0
Year 4
-0.097243
-0.027485
-0.086616
-1.727367
-0.463884
-0.23536
-1.440226
-0.31209
-0.123915
-0.680951
-0.675241
-0.78124
-0.04717
-0.912913
-0.291624
-1.063875
-0.314167
-0.813242
-0.870358
-1.368629
0
0
0
Year 5
-0.072033
-0.020616
-0.067298
-1.278944
-0.347295
-0.183307
-1.11462
-0.230567
-0.093483
-0.504382
-0.506494
-0.575609
-0.033569
-0.661557
-0.227182
-0.801193
-0.23908
-0.671235
-0.638354
-1.100327
0
0
0
Year 6
-0.031028
-0.009586
-0.036269
-0.679652
-0.15781
-0.10009
-0.600252
-0.098831
-0.043803
-0.218081
-0.244084
-0.248531
-0.012062
-0.268353
-0.119932
-0.372395
-0.117155
-0.431423
-0.275989
-0.655088
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.015281
-0.005058
-0.023465
-0.273068
-0.083559
-0.065904
-0.389524
-0.047924
-0.024372
-0.106377
-0.133186
-0.117864
-0.004257
-0.117745
-0.076688
-0.219931
-0.069135
-0.328554
-0.137056
-0.453346
0
0
0
Year 8
-0.004019
-0.001871
-0.014123
0.023849
-0.030131
-0.040904
-0.239584
-0.011653
-0.01017
-0.026582
-0.053885
-0.026628
0.001018
-0.014491
-0.04475
-0.118601
-0.034464
-0.249778
-0.042487
-0.300829
0
0
0
Year 9
-0.001083
-0.000853
-0.010813
0.181958
-0.015209
-0.03187
-0.194942
-0.002347
-0.006121
-0.006084
-0.029506
-0.003937
0.001821
0.008155
-0.034802
-0.113029
-0.024391
-0.22099
-0.023344
-0.241327
0
0
0
Year 10
0.001726
0.000119
-0.007832
0.277264
-0.000729
-0.023323
-0.154789
0.00686
-0.002088
0.013921
-0.009336
0.015934
0.002781
0.028676
-0.025025
-0.104534
-0.01453
-0.194567
-0.005213
-0.187994
0
0
0
Year 11
0.004628
0.001066
-0.005049
0.335133
0.013852
-0.015287
-0.117456
0.016004
0.001787
0.033897
0.008038
0.034467
0.003711
0.048461
-0.015371
-0.094711
-0.004745
-0.16893
0.011603
-0.139309
0
0
0
Year 12
0.003482
0.000905
-0.005175
0.332308
0.010026
-0.015081
-0.127323
0.012401
0.000871
0.02588
0.000454
0.021274
0.002653
0.031344
-0.016344
-0.126177
-0.006752
-0.165983
-0.00532
-0.136541
0
0
0
Year 13
0.002463
0.000737
-0.005359
0.304411
0.006659
-0.015148
-0.137583
0.009231
0.000049
0.018692
-0.007883
0.008647
0.001762
0.01579
-0.017334
-0.154551
-0.00862
-0.163809
-0.02116
-0.137617
0
0
0
Page 22
Negative Economic Impact: Employment Losses
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 14
-0.441391
-0.441391
-0.300812
-0.055029
0.013705
0.001985
0.012187
-0.000467
-0.159029
-0.029426
-0.053322
-0.07628
-0.041323
-0.029463
0.011014
-0.206451
-0.150108
0.108398
-0.036516
-0.173376
0
Year 15
-0.569504
-0.569504
-0.425797
-0.060178
0.007808
0.0015
0.00898
-0.002671
-0.157812
-0.02784
-0.052948
-0.077024
-0.05237
-0.036218
0.004678
-0.22131
-0.154984
0.110611
-0.043454
-0.1751
0
Year 16
-0.678787
-0.678772
-0.532516
-0.065248
0.00303
0.001105
0.006418
-0.004492
-0.157291
-0.026654
-0.052862
-0.077774
-0.062218
-0.042212
-0.002458
-0.238903
-0.160326
0.106918
-0.049606
-0.176418
0
Year 17
-0.764694
-0.764709
-0.617126
-0.06961
-0.000698
0.000791
0.004421
-0.005909
-0.1567
-0.025747
-0.052782
-0.078171
-0.070307
-0.047101
-0.009643
-0.257412
-0.165432
0.100433
-0.054593
-0.176733
0
Year 18
-0.828171
-0.828171
-0.680588
-0.073073
-0.00351
0.000548
0.002903
-0.00696
-0.155762
-0.025101
-0.052542
-0.078118
-0.076582
-0.050866
-0.016531
-0.275997
-0.170126
0.092682
-0.058389
-0.176052
0
Year 19
-0.871231
-0.871231
-0.724869
-0.075568
-0.005555
0.000362
0.001779
-0.007696
-0.154343
-0.024597
-0.052123
-0.077622
-0.081123
-0.053566
-0.022935
-0.294361
-0.174295
0.084671
-0.06106
-0.174629
0
Year 20
-0.897995
-0.89801
-0.75386
-0.077278
-0.006997
0.000225
0.000971
-0.008193
-0.152678
-0.024201
-0.051646
-0.076831
-0.084276
-0.055419
-0.02883
-0.313004
-0.178335
0.077164
-0.062836
-0.172628
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 14
0.001586
0.000573
-0.005568
0.264297
0.003794
-0.015348
-0.147293
0.006545
-0.000655
0.012464
-0.016101
-0.002697
0.001035
0.002273
-0.018236
-0.179773
-0.010276
-0.16199
-0.035433
-0.140589
0
0
0
Year 15
0.000855
0.000422
-0.005752
0.220125
0.001446
-0.01553
-0.155172
0.004327
-0.00122
0.007265
-0.023385
-0.012321
0.000462
-0.008876
-0.018954
-0.200621
-0.011611
-0.159832
-0.047419
-0.143709
0
0
0
Year 16
0.000264
0.00029
-0.005862
0.176437
-0.000417
-0.01564
-0.16091
0.002557
-0.001653
0.003064
-0.029345
-0.020138
0.000025
-0.017703
-0.019454
-0.217331
-0.012595
-0.157098
-0.05701
-0.146267
0
0
0
Year 17
-0.000199
0.000167
-0.00587
0.136063
-0.001857
-0.015625
-0.164209
0.001173
-0.001965
-0.000239
-0.033666
-0.026183
-0.000296
-0.024309
-0.019722
-0.22962
-0.013194
-0.153515
-0.064061
-0.147579
0
0
0
Year 18
-0.000553
0.000068
-0.005822
0.100327
-0.002929
-0.015481
-0.165344
0.000121
-0.002168
-0.002766
-0.036483
-0.030631
-0.000523
-0.029012
-0.019806
-0.238047
-0.013453
-0.149234
-0.068847
-0.147591
0
0
0
Year 19
-0.000816
-0.00001
-0.005711
0.070406
-0.003696
-0.015225
-0.16474
-0.000664
-0.002292
-0.004657
-0.037972
-0.033705
-0.000674
-0.032139
-0.019758
-0.243437
-0.013453
-0.144512
-0.071809
-0.146379
0
0
0
Year 20
-0.001005
-0.00007
-0.00556
0.045309
-0.004239
-0.014893
-0.162827
-0.001232
-0.002361
-0.006057
-0.038417
-0.035712
-0.000768
-0.034034
-0.019558
-0.246422
-0.013233
-0.139411
-0.073371
-0.144138
0
0
0
Page 23
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
-2.89056
-1.199817
-0.26334
-0.501681
-0.275505
-0.704672
-0.400141
-2.045491
-1.102232
-1.865177
-2.398427
-8.683056
-0.166692
-1.993652
-1.419595
-1.343068
-1.904746
Year 2
-2.172865
-0.886541
-0.194052
-0.36009
-0.201745
-0.515045
-0.29163
-1.471593
-0.819323
-1.406455
-1.742137
-6.44812
-0.120509
-1.959474
-1.100331
-0.985508
-1.410429
Year 3
-1.657099
-0.667919
-0.147266
-0.264946
-0.152092
-0.389326
-0.21759
-1.096003
-0.63617
-1.10246
-1.296867
-4.876125
-0.089173
-1.686226
-0.853563
-0.736822
-1.061165
Year 4
-1.199499
-0.478144
-0.106786
-0.185534
-0.109466
-0.283331
-0.154922
-0.782189
-0.475488
-0.843014
-0.920917
-3.518593
-0.062845
-1.303228
-0.625385
-0.524475
-0.759781
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 1
-11.03185
-12.41489
-12.41489
0
-12.56342
0
Year 2
-15.95804
-7.160233
-7.160233
-12.56342
-20.10504
0
Year 3
-17.89632
-4.261638
-4.261642
-20.10504
-24.88202
0
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
Year 11
Year 12
Year 13
-17.95718 -17.1953 -15.10123 -12.96602 -10.89383 -9.186249 -7.731415 -6.470673 -5.532166 -4.825989
-2.043719 -0.716997 1.135935 1.775272 2.160095
2.12325 2.065729 1.996262 1.742754 1.509624
-2.043729 -0.717016 1.135906 1.775234 2.160048 2.123195 2.065668 1.996199 1.742687 1.509555
-24.8819 -27.51013 -28.8346 -28.28839 -27.05402 -25.37268 -23.66071 -21.9386 -20.21808 -18.68536
-27.51007 -28.8346 -28.28839 -27.05402 -25.37268 -23.66071 -21.93854 -20.21808 -18.68536 -17.32501
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 1
-1.318399
-0.978071
-0.779358
-0.817247
-1.973995
-1.80555
-1.318783
-0.9823
-0.859325
-0.625252
-0.463882
-0.342703
-0.298538
0
0
0
0
0
Year 2
-2.165995
-1.585617
-1.266657
-1.191744
-2.933889
-2.933189
-2.172089
-1.599213
-1.381203
-1.028778
-0.758335
-0.553673
-0.487474
-0.047176
0
0
0
0
Year 3
-2.746864
-1.989975
-1.594994
-1.37101
-3.278379
-3.676582
-2.777363
-2.024277
-1.712955
-1.314133
-0.961544
-0.698122
-0.610229
-0.125551
0
0
0
0
Year 4
-3.108002
-2.231663
-1.79895
-1.44972
-3.130091
-4.10743
-3.188908
-2.304436
-1.892925
-1.507313
-1.093567
-0.794193
-0.675667
-0.227249
0
0
0
0
Year 5
-0.906113
-0.359391
-0.081628
-0.137638
-0.082965
-0.219021
-0.116576
-0.594503
-0.374086
-0.683774
-0.691253
-2.666878
-0.046944
-0.969835
-0.472672
-0.393244
-0.570626
Year 5
-3.330299
-2.36528
-1.927319
-1.510597
-2.70829
-4.292999
-3.473766
-2.502403
-1.985462
-1.641441
-1.184319
-0.863541
-0.701761
-0.347092
0
0
0
0
Page 24
Year 6
-0.442246
-0.168916
-0.040508
-0.06154
-0.040788
-0.112952
-0.055153
-0.28652
-0.208
-0.418406
-0.325264
-1.327396
-0.021109
-0.514013
-0.237982
-0.184597
-0.275031
Year 6
-3.194107
-2.495667
-1.942234
-1.505358
-2.025082
-4.104008
-3.551956
-2.570618
-1.960789
-1.680061
-1.21249
-0.888062
-0.679497
-0.478416
0
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.241862
-0.090091
-0.023573
-0.032988
-0.023385
-0.070616
-0.030669
-0.172126
-0.136132
-0.307192
-0.181225
-0.769543
-0.011029
-0.221114
-0.129249
-0.099823
-0.151684
Year 7
-2.959732
-2.562027
-1.916874
-1.480482
-1.393703
-3.638668
-3.54641
-2.603714
-1.914719
-1.663845
-1.224274
-0.894806
-0.650146
-0.560951
-0.043688
0
0
0
Year 8
-0.097881
-0.033772
-0.011353
-0.013622
-0.010978
-0.039935
-0.013273
-0.093944
-0.082996
-0.22371
-0.08032
-0.372757
-0.003797
-0.007487
-0.05086
-0.039436
-0.063961
Year 8
-2.654175
-2.578743
-1.863754
-1.443724
-0.865526
-2.955521
-3.469151
-2.61557
-1.8619
-1.606236
-1.226299
-0.890152
-0.62151
-0.604412
-0.116026
0
0
0
Year 9
-0.05172
-0.01736
-0.007779
-0.01047
-0.007293
-0.031374
-0.008566
-0.083616
-0.064445
-0.195475
-0.055904
-0.253952
-0.001823
0.102208
-0.022216
-0.021886
-0.037042
Year 9
-2.331745
-2.569256
-1.804268
-1.414314
-0.512676
-2.133404
-3.356564
-2.635262
-1.829762
-1.528728
-1.23243
-0.885071
-0.604237
-0.613441
-0.20953
0
0
0
Year 10
-0.013164
-0.002973
-0.004537
-0.007293
-0.004023
-0.023015
-0.004187
-0.07241
-0.047755
-0.16938
-0.033256
-0.150887
0.000043
0.170156
-0.000175
-0.006099
-0.013718
Year 10
-1.999794
-2.539276
-1.731308
-1.384819
-0.320934
-1.258072
-3.166023
-2.648991
-1.816315
-1.44318
-1.237423
-0.880882
-0.597267
-0.595085
-0.319183
0
0
0
Year 11
0.020795
0.010264
-0.001492
-0.004219
-0.001004
-0.014845
-0.000034
-0.06093
-0.032372
-0.14409
-0.011787
-0.05759
0.001929
0.213187
0.017756
0.008813
0.007405
Year 11
-1.675442
-2.324009
-1.796272
-1.351418
-0.247391
-0.434082
-2.857948
-2.641064
-1.818417
-1.362244
-1.235168
-0.878941
-0.597874
-0.559093
-0.438698
0
0
0
Year 12
0.009208
0.004719
-0.002576
-0.008334
-0.002066
-0.017154
-0.001793
-0.079622
-0.033749
-0.143984
-0.02531
-0.091171
0.001268
0.210317
0.012856
0.0037
0.000595
Year 12
-1.37421
-2.088829
-1.86068
-1.329582
-0.252426
0.195877
-2.387932
-2.631889
-1.851532
-1.313671
-1.217567
-0.889359
-0.604557
-0.526348
-0.513741
-0.038933
0
0
Year 13
-0.004266
-0.001004
-0.0037
-0.012126
-0.003179
-0.019414
-0.003495
-0.096832
-0.035958
-0.144396
-0.038215
-0.127155
0.000661
0.190885
0.005761
-0.001416
-0.006774
Year 13
-1.096588
-1.837593
-1.920448
-1.315674
-0.307243
0.623558
-1.781948
-2.60994
-1.909813
-1.29673
-1.186783
-0.910492
-0.616493
-0.502617
-0.553089
-0.103123
0
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 14
-0.01785
-0.0064
-0.004763
-0.015524
-0.00423
-0.021492
-0.005044
-0.112324
-0.038433
-0.144897
-0.049935
-0.161938
0.000127
0.16347
-0.002097
-0.006165
-0.013898
Year 15
-0.030195
-0.011106
-0.00568
-0.018357
-0.005135
-0.023216
-0.006348
-0.125223
-0.040658
-0.144788
-0.059766
-0.192211
-0.000321
0.133556
-0.009644
-0.010251
-0.020166
Year 16
-0.040754
-0.015003
-0.006428
-0.020625
-0.005867
-0.024552
-0.007385
-0.135595
-0.042449
-0.143855
-0.067586
-0.216869
-0.000682
0.104176
-0.016362
-0.013592
-0.025352
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 14
-4.293671
1.299718
1.299647
-17.32501
-16.11951
0
Year 15
-3.892029
1.118252
1.11818
-16.11951
-15.04675
0
Year 16
Year 17
Year 18
Year 19
Year 20
-3.58493 -3.383942 -3.223236 -3.090149 -2.969543
0.962879 0.847013 0.751245 0.673508 0.608292
0.962809 0.84694 0.750939 0.672823 0.607127
-15.04675 -14.08832 -13.21246 -12.40747 -11.66339
-14.08832 -13.2124 -12.40747 -11.66339 -10.97559
0
0
0
0
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 14
-0.840225
-1.584721
-1.966358
-1.304573
-0.388863
0.848412
-1.059387
-2.568703
-1.988762
-1.310661
-1.143864
-0.941124
-0.632607
-0.491383
-0.561081
-0.185577
0
0
Year 15
-0.605885
-1.33392
-2.001244
-1.286457
-0.479984
0.891525
-0.301163
-2.46225
-2.071323
-1.351341
-1.098904
-0.974915
-0.653011
-0.49197
-0.544353
-0.281536
0
0
Year 16
-0.396687
-1.099346
-1.858276
-1.411118
-0.569023
0.801743
0.392056
-2.248604
-2.139351
-1.41404
-1.063148
-1.005013
-0.678066
-0.502289
-0.511871
-0.385248
0
0
Year 17
-0.049173
-0.01804
-0.006987
-0.022291
-0.00641
-0.025462
-0.008141
-0.143227
-0.043624
-0.141847
-0.073239
-0.235126
-0.000961
0.077209
-0.021899
-0.016152
-0.029333
Year 17
-0.21312
-0.876202
-1.686035
-1.527081
-0.651928
0.655006
0.908409
-1.861595
-2.196259
-1.499741
-1.05365
-1.015896
-0.711678
-0.517345
-0.482445
-0.450264
-0.032673
0
Year 18
-0.055527
-0.020281
-0.007373
-0.023427
-0.006778
-0.026003
-0.008644
-0.148445
-0.04421
-0.138927
-0.076969
-0.247498
-0.001167
0.053504
-0.026237
-0.018003
-0.032192
Year 18
-0.059086
-0.664894
-1.488289
-1.630432
-0.725777
0.480137
1.239868
-1.326969
-2.230545
-1.602577
-1.069607
-1.009659
-0.752216
-0.536232
-0.461231
-0.484114
-0.085884
0
Page 25
Year 19
-0.059994
-0.021818
-0.007609
-0.024138
-0.006996
-0.026252
-0.00894
-0.151731
-0.044272
-0.135376
-0.079133
-0.254776
-0.001314
0.033809
-0.029399
-0.019244
-0.03406
Year 19
0.06221
-0.463425
-1.279716
-1.712315
-0.786751
0.299377
1.385456
-0.66433
-2.236061
-1.718246
-1.110409
-0.987473
-0.798595
-0.557842
-0.451305
-0.490704
-0.153305
0
Year 20
-0.062952
-0.022802
-0.007725
-0.024519
-0.007093
-0.026246
-0.009072
-0.153494
-0.043903
-0.131297
-0.080061
-0.258087
-0.001411
0.017432
-0.031623
-0.02001
-0.035147
Year 20
0.148193
-0.273861
-1.065063
-1.776489
-0.827431
0.127548
1.364365
0.044449
-2.168175
-1.83065
-1.172646
-0.959679
-0.845032
-0.582382
-0.452057
-0.47612
-0.23053
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
Year 11
Year 12
Year 13
-0.144369 -0.129203 -0.117737 -0.104392 -0.095175 -0.074389 -0.063742 -0.054435 -0.049719 -0.044887 -0.040243 -0.038064 -0.036302
0.009866 -0.000189 -0.007214 -0.012522 -0.01586 -0.019083 -0.019843 -0.01978 -0.018843 -0.017747 -0.016615 -0.015263 -0.014044
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
-0.01625
-0.039768
-0.012468
-0.003447
0
-0.005123
-0.007138
-0.013077
-0.01278
-0.00004
0
-0.034278
Year 2
-0.02581
-0.031728
-0.009947
-0.00275
0
-0.003755
-0.005855
-0.010726
-0.010483
-0.000033
0
-0.028116
Year 3
-0.031576
-0.026469
-0.008299
-0.002295
0
-0.002854
-0.004904
-0.008984
-0.00878
-0.000028
0
-0.02355
Year 4
-0.034491
-0.021666
-0.006793
-0.001878
0
-0.00208
-0.003975
-0.007282
-0.007117
-0.000022
0
-0.019088
Year 5
-0.035687
-0.018799
-0.005894
-0.00163
0
-0.001613
-0.003346
-0.00613
-0.005991
-0.000019
0
-0.016068
Year 6
-0.034552
-0.013234
-0.004149
-0.001147
0
-0.000804
-0.002174
-0.003983
-0.003893
-0.000012
0
-0.010441
Year 7
-0.032572
-0.010993
-0.003446
-0.000953
0
-0.000487
-0.001621
-0.002971
-0.002903
-0.000009
0
-0.007787
Year 8
-0.030099
-0.00923
-0.002894
-0.0008
0
-0.000252
-0.001183
-0.002168
-0.002119
-0.000007
0
-0.005683
Year 9
-0.028299
-0.008421
-0.00264
-0.00073
0
-0.000192
-0.001001
-0.001833
-0.001792
-0.000006
0
-0.004805
Year 10
-0.026324
-0.007536
-0.002363
-0.000653
0
-0.00013
-0.000836
-0.001531
-0.001496
-0.000005
0
-0.004013
Year 11
-0.024333
-0.006652
-0.002085
-0.000577
0
-0.000069
-0.000692
-0.001268
-0.001239
-0.000004
0
-0.003324
Year 12
-0.02254
-0.006389
-0.002003
-0.000554
0
-0.000097
-0.000687
-0.001259
-0.00123
-0.000004
0
-0.0033
Year 13
-0.020948
-0.006162
-0.001932
-0.000534
0
-0.000123
-0.0007
-0.001283
-0.001254
-0.000004
0
-0.003363
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
-0.001985
0.010051
-0.000067
-0.000302
-0.000612
-0.00004
-0.000232
-0.000177
-0.000017
-0.000257
-0.000121
-0.000537
-0.000007
0
0.004168
Year 2
-0.003121
0.004705
-0.000105
-0.000474
-0.000963
-0.000063
-0.000365
-0.000278
-0.000027
-0.000404
-0.00019
-0.000844
-0.000012
0
0.001951
Year 3
-0.003929
0.000992
-0.000132
-0.000597
-0.001212
-0.000079
-0.000459
-0.00035
-0.000033
-0.000509
-0.000239
-0.001062
-0.000015
0
0.000411
Year 4
-0.004416
-0.002005
-0.000149
-0.000671
-0.001362
-0.000089
-0.000516
-0.000393
-0.000038
-0.000572
-0.000269
-0.001194
-0.000017
0
-0.000832
Year 5
-0.004702
-0.003922
-0.000158
-0.000715
-0.001451
-0.000095
-0.00055
-0.000419
-0.00004
-0.000609
-0.000286
-0.001271
-0.000018
0
-0.001626
Year 6
-0.004684
-0.006227
-0.000158
-0.000712
-0.001445
-0.000094
-0.000548
-0.000417
-0.00004
-0.000606
-0.000285
-0.001266
-0.000018
0
-0.002582
Year 7
-0.004544
-0.006982
-0.000153
-0.000691
-0.001402
-0.000092
-0.000531
-0.000405
-0.000039
-0.000588
-0.000276
-0.001228
-0.000017
0
-0.002895
Year 8
-0.00432
-0.007284
-0.000145
-0.000657
-0.001333
-0.000087
-0.000505
-0.000385
-0.000037
-0.000559
-0.000263
-0.001168
-0.000016
0
-0.00302
Year 9
-0.004063
-0.007022
-0.000137
-0.000617
-0.001253
-0.000082
-0.000475
-0.000362
-0.000035
-0.000526
-0.000247
-0.001098
-0.000015
0
-0.002912
Year 10
-0.003779
-0.006686
-0.000127
-0.000574
-0.001166
-0.000076
-0.000442
-0.000337
-0.000032
-0.000489
-0.00023
-0.001022
-0.000014
0
-0.002772
Year 11
-0.003494
-0.006329
-0.000118
-0.000531
-0.001078
-0.00007
-0.000408
-0.000311
-0.00003
-0.000452
-0.000213
-0.000944
-0.000013
0
-0.002624
Year 12
-0.003237
-0.005771
-0.000109
-0.000492
-0.000999
-0.000065
-0.000378
-0.000288
-0.000028
-0.000419
-0.000197
-0.000875
-0.000012
0
-0.002393
Year 13
-0.003009
-0.005263
-0.000101
-0.000457
-0.000928
-0.000061
-0.000352
-0.000268
-0.000026
-0.000389
-0.000183
-0.000813
-0.000011
0
-0.002182
Page 26
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 14
Year 15
Year 16
Year 17
Year 18
Year 19
Year 20
-0.03488 -0.03366 -0.032606 -0.03164 -0.030727 -0.029854 -0.029042
-0.012951 -0.011975 -0.011116 -0.010355 -0.009672 -0.009057
-0.0085
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 14
-0.019532
-0.005971
-0.001872
-0.000518
0
-0.000146
-0.000725
-0.001329
-0.001299
-0.000004
0
-0.003484
Year 15
-0.018267
-0.005794
-0.001817
-0.000502
0
-0.000166
-0.000754
-0.001382
-0.001351
-0.000004
0
-0.003623
Year 16
-0.01714
-0.005627
-0.001764
-0.000488
0
-0.000181
-0.000785
-0.001439
-0.001406
-0.000004
0
-0.003772
Year 17
-0.01612
-0.005461
-0.001712
-0.000473
0
-0.000192
-0.000814
-0.001492
-0.001458
-0.000005
0
-0.003912
Year 18
-0.015184
-0.005296
-0.00166
-0.000459
0
-0.000198
-0.000841
-0.00154
-0.001506
-0.000005
0
-0.004038
Year 19
-0.014321
-0.00513
-0.001609
-0.000445
0
-0.000201
-0.000864
-0.001583
-0.001547
-0.000005
0
-0.004149
Year 20
-0.013521
-0.004974
-0.001559
-0.000431
0
-0.000202
-0.000886
-0.001623
-0.001586
-0.000005
0
-0.004255
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 14
-0.002806
-0.004806
-0.000094
-0.000426
-0.000866
-0.000057
-0.000328
-0.00025
-0.000024
-0.000363
-0.000171
-0.000758
-0.000011
0
-0.001993
Year 15
-0.002624
-0.004397
-0.000088
-0.000399
-0.00081
-0.000053
-0.000307
-0.000234
-0.000022
-0.00034
-0.00016
-0.000709
-0.00001
0
-0.001823
Year 16
-0.002462
-0.00404
-0.000083
-0.000374
-0.00076
-0.00005
-0.000288
-0.000219
-0.000021
-0.000319
-0.00015
-0.000666
-0.000009
0
-0.001675
Year 17
-0.002316
-0.003729
-0.000078
-0.000352
-0.000715
-0.000047
-0.000271
-0.000206
-0.00002
-0.0003
-0.000141
-0.000626
-0.000009
0
-0.001546
Year 18
-0.002182
-0.003454
-0.000073
-0.000332
-0.000673
-0.000044
-0.000255
-0.000194
-0.000019
-0.000282
-0.000133
-0.00059
-0.000008
0
-0.001432
Year 19
-0.002058
-0.003211
-0.000069
-0.000313
-0.000635
-0.000041
-0.000241
-0.000183
-0.000017
-0.000266
-0.000125
-0.000556
-0.000008
0
-0.001332
Year 20
-0.001943
-0.002996
-0.000065
-0.000295
-0.0006
-0.000039
-0.000227
-0.000173
-0.000017
-0.000252
-0.000118
-0.000525
-0.000007
0
-0.001242
Page 27
Negative Economic Impact: Employment Losses
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 1
-128.1746
-128.1747
-120.1942
-7.530149
-7.061731
0.008203
-4.255723
-2.814211
-3.512026
-1.184591
-1.014689
-1.312745
-15.98598
-8.951418
-4.405975
-5.17786
-4.345745
-0.621819
-9.367981
-3.166161
0
Year 2
-96.51968
-96.51968
-90.55151
-6.072559
-5.140707
0.024816
-3.065012
-2.100511
-2.925735
-1.005102
-0.855658
-1.064975
-12.29937
-6.896454
-3.665512
-4.511452
-3.476917
-1.216751
-7.208241
-2.544403
0
Year 3
-73.19666
-73.19672
-68.50787
-4.929508
-3.847967
0.040013
-2.273081
-1.6149
-2.440096
-0.849896
-0.719074
-0.871126
-9.624584
-5.405014
-3.066855
-3.903145
-2.812748
-1.266716
-5.650185
-2.087421
0
Year 4
-52.32825
-52.32831
-48.79114
-3.79908
-2.73032
0.052032
-1.59846
-1.183891
-1.945013
-0.692842
-0.573622
-0.67855
-7.165409
-4.030766
-2.423105
-3.23521
-2.213135
-1.17482
-4.2159
-1.641535
0
Year 5
-38.97394
-38.97394
-36.17242
-3.036797
-2.051233
0.060101
-1.192043
-0.919291
-1.612232
-0.589818
-0.47122
-0.551193
-5.596619
-3.153061
-1.956436
-2.74152
-1.808697
-1.01181
-3.299862
-1.349094
0
Year 6
-17.81757
-17.81757
-16.25104
-1.68235
-0.853745
0.063408
-0.479046
-0.438108
-0.995712
-0.381823
-0.298705
-0.315185
-2.799904
-1.583183
-1.075256
-1.757061
-1.081528
-0.772705
-1.665375
-0.807882
0
Year 7
-8.979126
-8.979065
-7.952271
-1.054352
-0.385521
0.062198
-0.203535
-0.244184
-0.7078
-0.284178
-0.214409
-0.209211
-1.604012
-0.910187
-0.619778
-1.236305
-0.750462
-0.5177
-0.964138
-0.575397
0
Year 8
-2.780151
-2.780212
-2.156921
-0.574322
-0.041656
0.057862
-0.00145
-0.098072
-0.483337
-0.20414
-0.15202
-0.127176
-0.701172
-0.401192
-0.250999
-0.809155
-0.492611
-0.313332
-0.43399
-0.399075
0
Year 9
-1.10614
-1.106018
-0.627808
-0.393608
0.036438
0.050591
0.04344
-0.057592
-0.382854
-0.163247
-0.123279
-0.096327
-0.416016
-0.241142
-0.088667
-0.609207
-0.394173
-0.159897
-0.266502
-0.346588
0
Year 10
0.34375
0.34375
0.68811
-0.231789
0.116001
0.042474
0.089952
-0.016423
-0.287937
-0.123434
-0.097792
-0.066711
-0.146057
-0.089085
0.049351
-0.436523
-0.305183
-0.051567
-0.107391
-0.288239
0
Year 11
1.649963
1.649902
1.868408
-0.085209
0.200623
0.034509
0.139956
0.026155
-0.201042
-0.085696
-0.076487
-0.038859
0.115402
0.056927
0.170418
-0.286308
-0.227333
0.030121
0.045273
-0.235065
0
Year 12
0.878357
0.878418
1.101868
-0.104008
0.147732
0.027071
0.109039
0.011623
-0.190365
-0.075236
-0.074627
-0.040502
0.043724
0.014011
0.166059
-0.282639
-0.236961
0.080917
0.002041
-0.248615
0
Year 13
0.088684
0.088562
0.323303
-0.136806
0.100948
0.020532
0.082354
-0.001939
-0.188808
-0.068316
-0.07634
-0.044153
-0.035858
-0.033657
0.142319
-0.306564
-0.254177
0.104401
-0.046265
-0.265755
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
-0.23897
-0.20382
-0.182095
-6.799772
-12.22835
-3.73846
-9.44799
-3.122509
-3.013297
-12.07364
-6.444391
-12.5864
-3.968999
-15.05945
-2.669996
-11.43332
-3.224398
-6.282902
-7.475367
-7.980602
0
0
0
Year 2
-0.173271
-0.151056
-0.134973
-7.399632
-8.862757
-2.8185
-7.192101
-2.258096
-2.188223
-8.728773
-4.902491
-9.320274
-2.827177
-10.84427
-1.986049
-8.11895
-2.348099
-4.851292
-5.445559
-5.96817
0
0
0
Year 3
-0.128124
-0.113498
-0.102491
-6.532635
-6.564161
-2.145127
-5.490551
-1.660615
-1.629195
-6.423716
-3.756527
-6.990536
-2.037329
-7.90976
-1.530667
-5.904701
-1.753589
-3.825752
-4.008926
-4.688766
0
0
0
Year 4
-0.089845
-0.080865
-0.074784
-5.046587
-4.630758
-1.560116
-3.981701
-1.157325
-1.158481
-4.47331
-2.704582
-4.947479
-1.37992
-5.421661
-1.141559
-4.024323
-1.250044
-2.901878
-2.765877
-3.537151
0
0
0
Year 5
-0.066454
-0.060388
-0.057505
-3.653805
-3.458031
-1.196012
-3.023842
-0.852481
-0.873247
-3.28616
-2.016579
-3.672535
-0.988452
-3.905972
-0.902767
-2.901093
-0.943917
-2.315624
-1.997543
-2.801559
0
0
0
Year 6
-0.028711
-0.02775
-0.029966
-1.803505
-1.56329
-0.609282
-1.513737
-0.360191
-0.408389
-1.365505
-0.934425
-1.600609
-0.366957
-1.51149
-0.501331
-1.050072
-0.447456
-1.345169
-0.783188
-1.566563
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.014079
-0.014396
-0.018516
-0.545139
-0.820881
-0.370396
-0.900471
-0.170485
-0.225595
-0.622467
-0.474277
-0.769768
-0.140587
-0.603127
-0.334753
-0.412025
-0.253421
-0.93676
-0.325123
-1.02676
0
0
0
Year 8
-0.003762
-0.004893
-0.010255
0.354542
-0.291016
-0.199173
-0.474377
-0.036774
-0.094555
-0.098873
-0.152454
-0.188866
0.011909
0.011593
-0.210506
0.000168
-0.1156
-0.636169
-0.017906
-0.623222
0
0
0
Year 9
-0.001166
-0.002062
-0.007544
0.810925
-0.149593
-0.143854
-0.363853
-0.004415
-0.058405
0.021717
-0.066669
-0.049702
0.036405
0.125031
-0.169639
-0.014786
-0.080253
-0.540131
0.030205
-0.478294
0
0
0
Year 10
0.001311
0.00053
-0.005015
1.067883
-0.011116
-0.090403
-0.258167
0.027585
-0.023116
0.143089
0.001877
0.077991
0.063224
0.233772
-0.129381
0.000343
-0.044576
-0.451366
0.083591
-0.344368
0
0
0
Year 11
0.003898
0.003005
-0.002636
1.210014
0.127365
-0.039364
-0.160831
0.059902
0.011627
0.263687
0.060493
0.201187
0.092697
0.343658
-0.09073
0.024834
-0.009343
-0.365257
0.134155
-0.218449
0
0
0
Year 12
0.00282
0.002385
-0.002828
1.163967
0.084248
-0.04591
-0.206459
0.044414
0.00078
0.196087
0.014038
0.117157
0.064035
0.226219
-0.092478
-0.138618
-0.022382
-0.372551
0.066936
-0.223465
0
0
0
Year 13
0.001882
0.001793
-0.003046
1.043301
0.046757
-0.053421
-0.251469
0.030875
-0.00885
0.135895
-0.033146
0.038017
0.040258
0.122124
-0.09495
-0.283257
-0.034311
-0.380302
0.005203
-0.234776
0
0
0
Page 28
Negative Economic Impact: Employment Losses
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 14
-0.655334
-0.655273
-0.407104
-0.176121
0.061188
0.014996
0.060137
-0.013947
-0.193104
-0.064059
-0.080175
-0.048866
-0.114929
-0.081078
0.106815
-0.348198
-0.275932
0.112152
-0.094452
-0.28537
0
Year 15
-1.294556
-1.294495
-1.03479
-0.214291
0.028721
0.010452
0.04221
-0.023938
-0.199291
-0.061393
-0.084436
-0.053462
-0.185562
-0.123394
0.066486
-0.39814
-0.297852
0.110016
-0.137447
-0.303051
0
Year 16
-1.81073
-1.81073
-1.542847
-0.247696
0.00312
0.006829
0.028172
-0.031878
-0.205444
-0.059694
-0.088343
-0.057406
-0.244576
-0.158657
0.025623
-0.452301
-0.318836
0.102112
-0.17321
-0.317005
0
Year 17
-2.200195
-2.200134
-1.928345
-0.274113
-0.016449
0.003999
0.01742
-0.037868
-0.210274
-0.058587
-0.091345
-0.060346
-0.290565
-0.185993
-0.012268
-0.505219
-0.337048
0.092316
-0.200817
-0.326042
0
Year 18
-2.476563
-2.476501
-2.204956
-0.29335
-0.030952
0.001832
0.00935
-0.042136
-0.213348
-0.057878
-0.093239
-0.062232
-0.32431
-0.205921
-0.04623
-0.555405
-0.352451
0.081955
-0.220802
-0.330471
0
Year 19
-2.658203
-2.658203
-2.390198
-0.306034
-0.04137
0.000197
0.003412
-0.044981
-0.214661
-0.057331
-0.094147
-0.063181
-0.347397
-0.21944
-0.076008
-0.602493
-0.365208
0.072159
-0.234177
-0.331425
0
Year 20
-2.767151
-2.76709
-2.505371
-0.313705
-0.048645
-0.001009
-0.000856
-0.04678
-0.214836
-0.056902
-0.094471
-0.063462
-0.362358
-0.228069
-0.101959
-0.647881
-0.37632
0.063049
-0.242546
-0.329784
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 14
0.001094
0.001271
-0.003237
0.890884
0.01548
-0.060949
-0.293533
0.019415
-0.016966
0.08387
-0.077133
-0.031944
0.021156
0.033447
-0.097346
-0.4104
-0.044885
-0.386635
-0.050716
-0.2481
0
0
0
Year 15
0.000457
0.00084
-0.003355
0.733097
-0.009388
-0.067272
-0.327785
0.010068
-0.023263
0.040974
-0.113991
-0.089897
0.006352
-0.038162
-0.099149
-0.514832
-0.053265
-0.389156
-0.097084
-0.259666
0
0
0
Year 16
-0.00004
0.000502
-0.003405
0.583946
-0.028385
-0.071999
-0.353088
0.002679
-0.027828
0.00676
-0.142265
-0.135494
-0.004706
-0.093452
-0.10002
-0.596436
-0.059246
-0.386997
-0.133369
-0.267952
0
0
0
Year 17
-0.000415
0.000252
-0.00339
0.451252
-0.042397
-0.075026
-0.36927
-0.003006
-0.030826
-0.019634
-0.161148
-0.169521
-0.012699
-0.133919
-0.099913
-0.656563
-0.062784
-0.379726
-0.159599
-0.271778
0
0
0
Year 18
-0.000688
0.000055
-0.003299
0.337574
-0.052181
-0.076469
-0.37746
-0.007267
-0.032532
-0.039398
-0.17207
-0.19355
-0.018247
-0.16214
-0.099079
-0.698227
-0.064237
-0.368519
-0.177216
-0.271561
0
0
0
Year 19
-0.000878
-0.000097
-0.003164
0.244423
-0.058628
-0.076656
-0.379635
-0.010379
-0.033266
-0.053879
-0.176384
-0.209167
-0.021893
-0.180511
-0.097785
-0.725571
-0.064065
-0.354679
-0.188015
-0.267948
0
0
0
Year 20
-0.001004
-0.000211
-0.002998
0.168396
-0.062717
-0.075949
-0.37735
-0.012607
-0.033344
-0.064354
-0.175625
-0.218689
-0.024125
-0.191444
-0.095761
-0.742523
-0.06268
-0.338627
-0.193798
-0.261719
0
0
0
Page 29
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
-15.11392
-7.369911
-1.3426
-1.778512
-1.420194
-2.578015
-2.086843
-8.109268
-3.807595
-6.862701
-9.818634
-38.41644
-0.266162
-6.121368
-5.467648
-9.400387
-8.21451
Year 2
-11.27047
-5.450087
-0.99357
-1.284236
-1.04353
-1.900681
-1.530606
-5.833134
-2.811417
-5.227039
-7.174305
-28.54085
-0.195347
-6.07497
-4.233599
-6.867992
-6.087839
Year 3
-8.493561
-4.090899
-0.750169
-0.942843
-0.781363
-1.446245
-1.143267
-4.294827
-2.145984
-4.067116
-5.328671
-21.43547
-0.146129
-5.204391
-3.262701
-5.105154
-4.557892
Year 4
-6.037952
-2.904295
-0.536888
-0.649739
-0.553979
-1.05582
-0.810053
-2.974682
-1.56167
-3.035732
-3.73526
-15.2169
-0.103841
-3.967367
-2.357298
-3.601162
-3.225624
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 1
-26.57178
-26.79525
-26.79525
0
-27.08014
0
Year 2
-36.49045
-12.25011
-12.2501
-27.08014
-40.02814
0
Year 3
-39.22708
-5.538942
-5.53895
-40.02814
-46.44959
0
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
Year 11
Year 12
Year 13
-37.74948 -34.70645 -28.83164 -23.3746 -18.41443 -14.58594 -11.49057 -8.971893 -7.265961 -6.106842
-1.134951 1.029623 4.068937 4.581429 4.705903 4.160162 3.717052
3.36568 2.754201 2.267289
-1.134971 1.029586 4.068883 4.581359 4.705819 4.160067 3.716949 3.365572
2.75409 2.267177
-46.44959 -48.52692 -48.42365 -45.20587 -41.36157 -37.27081 -33.60712 -30.27698 -27.19434 -24.62738
-48.52686 -48.42358 -45.20587 -41.36151 -37.27081 -33.60718 -30.27692 -27.19434 -24.62738 -22.46234
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 1
-2.806583
-2.110973
-1.682087
-1.763969
-4.260761
-3.897217
-2.846611
-2.120399
-1.855064
-1.349907
-1.001694
-0.74012
-0.644726
0
0
0
0
0
Year 2
-4.200962
-3.169792
-2.532661
-2.361496
-5.823643
-5.865688
-4.348606
-3.199062
-2.760506
-2.060452
-1.518623
-1.108147
-0.976479
-0.101997
0
0
0
0
Year 3
-4.923721
-3.742992
-3.001789
-2.532631
-6.032043
-6.916576
-5.243187
-3.814857
-3.217518
-2.482254
-1.815033
-1.316986
-1.150475
-0.259483
0
0
0
0
Year 4
-5.181122
-3.982456
-3.21505
-2.527161
-5.303532
-7.326473
-5.73151
-4.131264
-3.366943
-2.711105
-1.963905
-1.426758
-1.206779
-0.452827
0
0
0
0
Year 5
-4.485573
-2.165501
-0.404222
-0.470976
-0.412596
-0.816368
-0.604749
-2.176598
-1.195807
-2.387199
-2.752579
-11.31149
-0.077742
-2.890692
-1.754436
-2.67729
-2.390141
Year 5
-5.196667
-4.033051
-3.298409
-2.526901
-4.170547
-7.292694
-5.992683
-4.307686
-3.371628
-2.834763
-2.041862
-1.491776
-1.19397
-0.670979
0
0
0
0
Page 30
Year 6
-1.995983
-0.962955
-0.184996
-0.183156
-0.186684
-0.417658
-0.273337
-0.857529
-0.596081
-1.320137
-1.177177
-5.122345
-0.035609
-1.414671
-0.816139
-1.196812
-1.076317
Year 6
-4.575676
-4.108593
-3.188553
-2.429008
-2.687603
-6.593185
-5.888733
-4.263107
-3.185741
-2.790508
-2.01355
-1.48008
-1.100945
-0.900604
0
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.972923
-0.479349
-0.096944
-0.077664
-0.095953
-0.258208
-0.142497
-0.382828
-0.348936
-0.881058
-0.568581
-2.620224
-0.018885
-0.483818
-0.397993
-0.61042
-0.54277
Year 7
-3.941048
-4.017807
-3.040649
-2.319691
-1.481613
-5.452454
-5.686813
-4.197327
-3.008743
-2.66626
-1.976509
-1.448441
-1.01532
-1.013878
-0.094971
0
0
0
Year 8
-0.252113
-0.137817
-0.034338
-0.007444
-0.032529
-0.142969
-0.050585
-0.06707
-0.171059
-0.562614
-0.150444
-0.875839
-0.007037
0.180664
-0.102558
-0.19632
-0.170135
Year 8
-3.295631
-3.830742
-2.873657
-2.210629
-0.588821
-4.007641
-5.402824
-4.128963
-2.857105
-2.490501
-1.939262
-1.408379
-0.947083
-1.048485
-0.2411
0
0
0
Year 9
-0.062073
-0.051067
-0.018556
-0.000438
-0.016355
-0.112372
-0.028
-0.050747
-0.119263
-0.469627
-0.068668
-0.435745
-0.003866
0.499557
-0.009586
-0.088665
-0.07058
Year 9
-2.711014
-3.607853
-2.720917
-2.132446
-0.094646
-2.409092
-5.098339
-4.104351
-2.771938
-2.301884
-1.923748
-1.378281
-0.911453
-1.021477
-0.419731
0
0
0
Year 10
Year 11
Year 12
Year 13
0.107368 0.264656 0.174667 0.08551
0.029524
0.1073 0.064671 0.024273
-0.003549 0.011076 0.003304 -0.004061
0.008981 0.018554 -0.000335 -0.017366
-0.001439 0.012829 0.005147 -0.002156
-0.081223 -0.050981 -0.061036 -0.070746
-0.006169 0.015018 0.003717 -0.006762
-0.019482 0.015965 -0.083439 -0.172417
-0.070856 -0.02459 -0.039267 -0.054218
-0.381962 -0.296741 -0.314781 -0.332203
0.013035 0.092743 0.018578 -0.049442
-0.032776 0.342758 0.120422 -0.095123
-0.000857 0.002138
0.00101 -0.000033
0.686497 0.797516 0.759403 0.672825
0.063778 0.124962 0.093512 0.05714
0.013809 0.114021 0.071899 0.033302
0.019032 0.102676 0.060909 0.020061
Year 10
-2.172302
-3.368755
-2.560299
-2.065025
0.074722
-0.825043
-4.672241
-4.084351
-2.738132
-2.121113
-1.913982
-1.357933
-0.901077
-0.951225
-0.620155
0
0
0
Year 11
-1.688938
-2.801819
-2.677013
-1.997215
0.038509
0.553543
-4.042248
-4.031174
-2.741371
-1.968513
-1.894485
-1.347527
-0.906815
-0.859421
-0.829815
0
0
0
Year 12
-1.26984
-2.320614
-2.708405
-1.956852
-0.102745
1.475246
-3.117775
-3.985611
-2.807064
-1.893562
-1.845463
-1.365143
-0.922684
-0.788635
-0.933029
-0.085121
0
0
Year 13
-0.901733
-1.884583
-2.689743
-1.932728
-0.294895
1.984486
-1.974377
-3.919113
-2.916946
-1.883705
-1.774124
-1.403744
-0.946701
-0.744873
-0.964081
-0.215469
0
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 14
0.003395
-0.011692
-0.01063
-0.032546
-0.008633
-0.079541
-0.01603
-0.251053
-0.068068
-0.34726
-0.109802
-0.291733
-0.000949
0.566303
0.020599
-0.000378
-0.0172
Year 15
-0.066559
-0.041603
-0.016073
-0.045059
-0.013958
-0.086692
-0.023585
-0.315842
-0.079508
-0.357399
-0.159264
-0.456131
-0.001699
0.457527
-0.012201
-0.027935
-0.048515
Year 16
-0.122993
-0.065239
-0.020326
-0.054832
-0.018085
-0.091933
-0.029364
-0.366524
-0.088165
-0.361805
-0.197384
-0.585159
-0.002278
0.355736
-0.039696
-0.049419
-0.073318
Year 17
-0.165871
-0.082916
-0.023435
-0.06195
-0.02106
-0.095262
-0.033429
-0.403809
-0.093861
-0.360157
-0.224442
-0.679062
-0.002697
0.266029
-0.06118
-0.065334
-0.09169
Year 18
-0.196861
-0.09544
-0.025555
-0.066793
-0.023046
-0.097014
-0.036037
-0.429535
-0.097002
-0.353695
-0.242104
-0.742355
-0.002978
0.189896
-0.077093
-0.076439
-0.104462
Year 19
-0.217781
-0.103657
-0.026859
-0.069858
-0.024212
-0.09759
-0.03748
-0.446251
-0.098055
-0.343819
-0.2523
-0.780884
-0.003146
0.12809
-0.088093
-0.083683
-0.112614
Year 20
-0.231064
-0.108704
-0.027557
-0.071611
-0.024779
-0.097068
-0.038063
-0.456367
-0.097509
-0.3312
-0.256901
-0.800659
-0.003231
0.078167
-0.095263
-0.088074
-0.117241
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 14
-5.335999
1.879536
1.879421
-22.46234
-20.61108
0
Year 15
-4.830597
1.576277
1.576161
-20.61115
-19.00031
0
Year 16
-4.499847
1.339906
1.339788
-19.00037
-17.57526
0
Year 17
-4.380402
1.193461
1.193342
-17.57532
-16.25818
0
Year 18
-4.275848
1.071678
1.071523
-16.25812
-15.03607
0
Year 19
-4.184845
0.974995
0.974788
-15.03601
-13.89502
0
Year 20
-4.09549
0.896415
0.896146
-13.89514
-12.82703
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 14
-0.571739
-1.495895
-2.624432
-1.912247
-0.498882
2.120029
-0.658272
-3.818169
-3.059059
-1.930763
-1.683395
-1.4589
-0.976494
-0.730377
-0.938816
-0.373684
0
0
Year 15
-0.276962
-1.142296
-2.53434
-1.874714
-0.689526
1.951172
0.657799
-3.58527
-3.196167
-2.022106
-1.595352
-1.516014
-1.012497
-0.73983
-0.87455
-0.549664
0
0
Year 16
-0.019939
-0.835949
-2.110703
-2.107895
-0.852905
1.593208
1.778168
-3.142151
-3.292934
-2.146011
-1.531925
-1.56118
-1.055603
-0.766296
-0.791206
-0.731941
0
0
Year 17
0.201553
-0.553665
-1.740288
-2.228725
-0.988628
1.203773
2.500504
-2.363518
-3.363346
-2.304878
-1.525574
-1.562702
-1.114208
-0.798027
-0.727249
-0.821354
-0.071835
0
Year 18
0.380531
-0.290588
-1.389339
-2.278606
-1.098362
0.821533
2.857174
-1.333351
-3.386116
-2.486141
-1.567986
-1.530762
-1.183887
-0.833817
-0.687943
-0.847542
-0.180862
0
Year 19
0.512486
-0.040123
-1.065094
-2.265274
-1.179039
0.473938
2.877827
-0.10416
-3.35313
-2.682098
-1.65411
-1.470505
-1.262165
-0.871964
-0.675186
-0.82468
-0.311783
0
Year 20
0.595112
0.194946
-0.75988
-2.214321
-1.218273
0.175655
2.623508
1.145966
-3.171982
-2.859543
-1.774296
-1.405762
-1.336456
-0.913536
-0.684135
-0.768486
-0.455486
0
Page 31
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
Year 11
Year 12
Year 13
-0.535694 -0.440158 -0.370402 -0.301386 -0.255704 -0.16975 -0.130533
-0.099 -0.085811 -0.07265 -0.060217 -0.057847 -0.05629
0.099664 0.024224 -0.023529 -0.058516 -0.07819 -0.101139 -0.104658 -0.103352 -0.095944 -0.088644 -0.081805 -0.073241 -0.065828
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
-0.034999
-0.189172
-0.059311
-0.016399
0
-0.030008
-0.021823
-0.039981
-0.039075
-0.000123
0
-0.104805
Year 2
-0.051345
-0.144018
-0.045154
-0.012484
0
-0.02205
-0.017507
-0.032075
-0.031347
-0.000098
0
-0.084078
Year 3
-0.058899
-0.114085
-0.035769
-0.00989
0
-0.016737
-0.014317
-0.02623
-0.025635
-0.000081
0
-0.068758
Year 4
-0.060792
-0.08742
-0.027409
-0.007578
0
-0.012089
-0.01125
-0.020611
-0.020144
-0.000063
0
-0.054029
Year 5
-0.059883
-0.071392
-0.022383
-0.006189
0
-0.009282
-0.00918
-0.016819
-0.016437
-0.000052
0
-0.044087
Year 6
-0.055172
-0.042137
-0.013211
-0.003653
0
-0.004298
-0.005437
-0.009962
-0.009736
-0.000031
0
-0.026113
Year 7
-0.049759
-0.030841
-0.00967
-0.002674
0
-0.002403
-0.003731
-0.006836
-0.006681
-0.000021
0
-0.017919
Year 8
-0.044178
-0.022269
-0.006982
-0.00193
0
-0.001003
-0.0024
-0.004398
-0.004298
-0.000013
0
-0.011528
Year 9
-0.040164
-0.01936
-0.00607
-0.001678
0
-0.000702
-0.001891
-0.003465
-0.003386
-0.000011
0
-0.009083
Year 10
-0.0363
-0.016045
-0.00503
-0.001391
0
-0.00036
-0.001434
-0.002627
-0.002568
-0.000008
0
-0.006887
Year 11
-0.032704
-0.012682
-0.003976
-0.001099
0
0.000002
-0.001035
-0.001896
-0.001853
-0.000006
0
-0.004969
Year 12
-0.029684
-0.012623
-0.003958
-0.001094
0
-0.000207
-0.00109
-0.001997
-0.001952
-0.000006
0
-0.005236
Year 13
-0.027138
-0.012565
-0.003939
-0.001089
0
-0.000388
-0.001184
-0.00217
-0.002121
-0.000007
0
-0.005689
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
-0.015452
0.094406
-0.00052
-0.002348
-0.004767
-0.000311
-0.001806
-0.001376
-0.000131
-0.002
-0.00094
-0.004176
-0.000058
0
0.039146
Year 2
-0.022441
0.051914
-0.000755
-0.003411
-0.006923
-0.000452
-0.002624
-0.001999
-0.000191
-0.002905
-0.001365
-0.006066
-0.000085
0
0.021526
Year 3
-0.026488
0.024432
-0.000891
-0.004026
-0.008172
-0.000534
-0.003097
-0.00236
-0.000225
-0.003429
-0.001611
-0.00716
-0.0001
0
0.010131
Year 4
-0.028132
0.002248
-0.000946
-0.004276
-0.008679
-0.000567
-0.003289
-0.002506
-0.000239
-0.003642
-0.001711
-0.007604
-0.000106
0
0.000932
Year 5
-0.028515
-0.011065
-0.000959
-0.004334
-0.008797
-0.000575
-0.003334
-0.00254
-0.000242
-0.003691
-0.001735
-0.007708
-0.000108
0
-0.004588
Year 6
-0.027032
-0.029586
-0.000909
-0.004108
-0.00834
-0.000545
-0.00316
-0.002408
-0.00023
-0.003499
-0.001644
-0.007307
-0.000102
0
-0.012268
Year 7
-0.025087
-0.035089
-0.000844
-0.003813
-0.00774
-0.000506
-0.002933
-0.002235
-0.000213
-0.003248
-0.001526
-0.006781
-0.000095
0
-0.01455
Year 8
-0.022918
-0.037528
-0.000771
-0.003483
-0.007071
-0.000462
-0.002679
-0.002042
-0.000195
-0.002967
-0.001394
-0.006195
-0.000087
0
-0.015561
Year 9
-0.020838
-0.035516
-0.000701
-0.003167
-0.006429
-0.00042
-0.002436
-0.001856
-0.000177
-0.002698
-0.001268
-0.005632
-0.000079
0
-0.014727
Year 10
-0.018836
-0.03346
-0.000634
-0.002863
-0.005811
-0.00038
-0.002202
-0.001678
-0.00016
-0.002438
-0.001146
-0.005091
-0.000071
0
-0.013874
Year 11
-0.016971
-0.031516
-0.000571
-0.002579
-0.005236
-0.000342
-0.001984
-0.001512
-0.000144
-0.002197
-0.001032
-0.004587
-0.000064
0
-0.013068
Year 12
-0.015406
-0.027889
-0.000518
-0.002341
-0.004753
-0.000311
-0.001801
-0.001372
-0.000131
-0.001994
-0.000937
-0.004164
-0.000058
0
-0.011564
Year 13
-0.014086
-0.024695
-0.000474
-0.002141
-0.004346
-0.000284
-0.001647
-0.001255
-0.00012
-0.001824
-0.000857
-0.003807
-0.000053
0
-0.01024
Page 32
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 14
Year 15
Year 16
Year 17
Year 18
Year 19
Year 20
-0.055326 -0.054544 -0.053807 -0.052947 -0.051936 -0.050801 -0.049622
-0.059369 -0.053733 -0.048838 -0.044486 -0.040579 -0.03705 -0.033838
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 14
-0.024955
-0.012536
-0.00393
-0.001087
0
-0.000543
-0.001301
-0.002384
-0.00233
-0.000007
0
-0.006251
Year 15
-0.023048
-0.012461
-0.003907
-0.00108
0
-0.000667
-0.001419
-0.002599
-0.00254
-0.000008
0
-0.006814
Year 16
-0.021365
-0.012321
-0.003863
-0.001068
0
-0.000758
-0.00153
-0.002804
-0.00274
-0.000009
0
-0.007349
Year 17
-0.01982
-0.012118
-0.003799
-0.00105
0
-0.000819
-0.001627
-0.00298
-0.002912
-0.000009
0
-0.007812
Year 18
-0.018387
-0.011848
-0.003715
-0.001027
0
-0.000855
-0.001708
-0.003129
-0.003058
-0.00001
0
-0.008201
Year 19
-0.017048
-0.011534
-0.003616
-0.001
0
-0.000869
-0.001774
-0.003251
-0.003177
-0.00001
0
-0.008522
Year 20
-0.015789
-0.011203
-0.003512
-0.000971
0
-0.000869
-0.001832
-0.003356
-0.00328
-0.00001
0
-0.008798
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 14
-0.012955
-0.021884
-0.000436
-0.001969
-0.003997
-0.000261
-0.001515
-0.001154
-0.00011
-0.001677
-0.000788
-0.003502
-0.000049
0
-0.009074
Year 15
-0.011966
-0.019433
-0.000403
-0.001819
-0.003692
-0.000241
-0.001399
-0.001066
-0.000102
-0.001549
-0.000728
-0.003234
-0.000045
0
-0.008058
Year 16
-0.011093
-0.017325
-0.000373
-0.001686
-0.003422
-0.000224
-0.001297
-0.000988
-0.000094
-0.001436
-0.000675
-0.002998
-0.000042
0
-0.007184
Year 17
-0.010292
-0.01549
-0.000346
-0.001564
-0.003175
-0.000207
-0.001203
-0.000917
-0.000087
-0.001332
-0.000626
-0.002782
-0.000039
0
-0.006423
Year 18
-0.009549
-0.013881
-0.000321
-0.001451
-0.002946
-0.000192
-0.001116
-0.000851
-0.000081
-0.001236
-0.000581
-0.002581
-0.000036
0
-0.005756
Year 19
-0.008855
-0.012463
-0.000298
-0.001346
-0.002732
-0.000178
-0.001035
-0.000789
-0.000075
-0.001146
-0.000539
-0.002393
-0.000033
0
-0.005168
Year 20
-0.008202
-0.011204
-0.000276
-0.001247
-0.00253
-0.000165
-0.000959
-0.000731
-0.00007
-0.001062
-0.000499
-0.002217
-0.000031
0
-0.004646
Page 33
Negative Economic Impact: Employment Losses
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 1
-383.341
-383.341
-356.298
-26.101
-19.795
0.022
-13.627
-6.19
-6.946
-3.267
-3.635
-0.044
-49.529
-28.755
-13.555
-15.428
-12.882
-0.598
-30.17
-9.348
0
Year 2
-287.474
-287.474
-267.34
-20.945
-14.156
0.07
-9.761
-4.465
-6.092
-2.803
-3.027
-0.262
-37.926
-22.01
-11.235
-13.409
-10.335
-1.182
-23.065
-7.555
0
Year 3
-217.52
-217.52
-201.75
-16.939
-10.384
0.113
-7.182
-3.315
-5.269
-2.389
-2.535
-0.344
-29.532
-17.145
-9.376
-11.614
-8.399
-1.228
-17.971
-6.261
0
Year 4
-155.334
-155.334
-143.471
-13.017
-7.176
0.148
-4.995
-2.329
-4.355
-1.965
-2.027
-0.363
-21.86
-12.698
-7.399
-9.661
-6.651
-1.141
-13.32
-4.995
0
Year 5
-115.669
-115.669
-106.295
-10.388
-5.244
0.172
-3.678
-1.737
-3.716
-1.684
-1.676
-0.356
-16.971
-9.866
-5.971
-8.23
-5.474
-0.985
-10.358
-4.168
0
Year 6
-53.182
-53.182
-47.957
-5.76
-1.926
0.182
-1.41
-0.698
-2.517
-1.12
-1.08
-0.318
-8.384
-4.877
-3.302
-5.365
-3.355
-0.757
-5.151
-2.622
0
Year 7
-26.998
-26.998
-23.589
-3.616
-0.655
0.179
-0.537
-0.298
-1.92
-0.85
-0.79
-0.281
-4.709
-2.741
-1.917
-3.852
-2.382
-0.512
-2.92
-1.95
0
Year 8
-8.573
-8.573
-6.52
-1.979
0.261
0.168
0.097
-0.003
-1.447
-0.628
-0.572
-0.247
-1.946
-1.133
-0.794
-2.606
-1.619
-0.315
-1.241
-1.435
0
Year 9
-3.39
-3.39
-1.826
-1.354
0.442
0.148
0.232
0.062
-1.193
-0.509
-0.467
-0.218
-1.069
-0.627
-0.288
-2.014
-1.317
-0.165
-0.709
-1.266
0
Year 10
1.027
1.027
2.142
-0.8
0.624
0.125
0.37
0.129
-0.959
-0.393
-0.374
-0.192
-0.257
-0.157
0.141
-1.499
-1.044
-0.058
-0.216
-1.084
0
Year 11
4.988
4.987
5.685
-0.3
0.82
0.103
0.516
0.201
-0.748
-0.285
-0.294
-0.169
0.52
0.291
0.516
-1.05
-0.806
0.023
0.254
-0.916
0
Year 12
2.866
2.866
3.579
-0.354
0.647
0.082
0.409
0.155
-0.685
-0.25
-0.281
-0.154
0.293
0.149
0.517
-1.019
-0.817
0.075
0.111
-0.934
0
Year 13
0.66
0.66
1.411
-0.456
0.496
0.063
0.317
0.115
-0.65
-0.226
-0.28
-0.143
0.039
-0.007
0.456
-1.07
-0.853
0.1
-0.047
-0.965
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
-2.297
-0.503
-1.178
-22.866
-26.525
-13.033
-30.189
-12.577
-10.232
-38.297
-18.379
-36.51
-7.681
-44.681
-7.995
-30.615
-10.652
-18.992
-23.097
-27.043
0
0
0
Year 2
-1.651
-0.374
-0.867
-23.96
-19.237
-9.729
-22.726
-9.076
-7.392
-27.657
-13.65
-26.837
-5.471
-32.064
-5.916
-21.757
-7.716
-14.503
-16.759
-20.134
0
0
0
Year 3
-1.213
-0.281
-0.657
-20.888
-14.258
-7.369
-17.26
-6.666
-5.477
-20.339
-10.237
-19.97
-3.943
-23.333
-4.53
-15.902
-5.736
-11.369
-12.322
-15.77
0
0
0
Year 4
-0.846
-0.199
-0.479
-16.055
-10.076
-5.343
-12.486
-4.642
-3.874
-14.159
-7.2
-13.996
-2.672
-15.959
-3.352
-10.953
-4.073
-8.592
-8.514
-11.864
0
0
0
Year 5
-0.626
-0.148
-0.37
-11.659
-7.544
-4.093
-9.489
-3.42
-2.907
-10.402
-5.25
-10.282
-1.914
-11.475
-2.633
-7.999
-3.068
-6.849
-6.168
-9.374
0
0
0
Year 6
-0.268
-0.066
-0.196
-5.794
-3.446
-2.09
-4.786
-1.447
-1.34
-4.332
-2.236
-4.312
-0.71
-4.413
-1.43
-3.176
-1.442
-3.98
-2.492
-5.225
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.132
-0.033
-0.124
-1.897
-1.839
-1.276
-2.879
-0.687
-0.727
-1.984
-0.984
-1.934
-0.271
-1.727
-0.936
-1.483
-0.807
-2.776
-1.092
-3.41
0
0
0
Year 8
-0.035
-0.009
-0.071
0.898
-0.686
-0.69
-1.546
-0.151
-0.288
-0.326
-0.119
-0.282
0.025
0.096
-0.569
-0.376
-0.354
-1.889
-0.147
-2.054
0
0
0
Year 9
-0.01
-0.002
-0.054
2.314
-0.366
-0.496
-1.182
-0.018
-0.167
0.064
0.098
0.097
0.074
0.447
-0.451
-0.364
-0.234
-1.601
0.025
-1.563
0
0
0
Year 10
0.014
0.004
-0.037
3.133
-0.054
-0.311
-0.845
0.112
-0.05
0.449
0.268
0.437
0.127
0.776
-0.334
-0.294
-0.114
-1.336
0.198
-1.116
0
0
0
Year 11
0.038
0.01
-0.022
3.606
0.259
-0.135
-0.533
0.244
0.065
0.833
0.412
0.762
0.184
1.104
-0.222
-0.206
0.004
-1.08
0.36
-0.697
0
0
0
Year 12
0.028
0.009
-0.023
3.489
0.176
-0.152
-0.658
0.184
0.028
0.625
0.269
0.498
0.129
0.762
-0.23
-0.596
-0.034
-1.097
0.173
-0.713
0
0
0
Year 13
0.019
0.007
-0.024
3.146
0.104
-0.173
-0.783
0.132
-0.004
0.439
0.127
0.251
0.082
0.456
-0.239
-0.943
-0.069
-1.115
0
-0.751
0
0
0
Page 34
Negative Economic Impact: Employment Losses
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 14
-1.432
-1.432
-0.636
-0.58
0.368
0.048
0.239
0.082
-0.634
-0.21
-0.287
-0.137
-0.212
-0.162
0.358
-1.175
-0.905
0.11
-0.204
-1.005
0
Year 15
-3.246
-3.246
-2.409
-0.701
0.264
0.034
0.175
0.054
-0.627
-0.198
-0.296
-0.133
-0.438
-0.3
0.243
-1.308
-0.96
0.11
-0.345
-1.041
0
Year 16
-4.728
-4.728
-3.861
-0.809
0.181
0.024
0.125
0.032
-0.624
-0.191
-0.304
-0.129
-0.628
-0.417
0.124
-1.456
-1.014
0.104
-0.464
-1.068
0
Year 17
-5.857
-5.857
-4.976
-0.894
0.116
0.016
0.086
0.015
-0.622
-0.185
-0.311
-0.126
-0.778
-0.508
0.011
-1.605
-1.062
0.095
-0.556
-1.084
0
Year 18
-6.67
-6.67
-5.786
-0.957
0.067
0.009
0.056
0.002
-0.619
-0.181
-0.314
-0.123
-0.889
-0.576
-0.092
-1.748
-1.104
0.086
-0.624
-1.087
0
Year 19
-7.213
-7.213
-6.338
-0.998
0.03
0.004
0.033
-0.007
-0.613
-0.178
-0.315
-0.12
-0.967
-0.623
-0.183
-1.884
-1.138
0.076
-0.671
-1.081
0
Year 20
-7.546
-7.546
-6.689
-1.022
0.003
0.001
0.017
-0.014
-0.606
-0.175
-0.314
-0.117
-1.019
-0.654
-0.263
-2.017
-1.169
0.068
-0.701
-1.068
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 14
0.011
0.005
-0.025
2.706
0.043
-0.194
-0.899
0.088
-0.032
0.278
-0.005
0.033
0.045
0.194
-0.247
-1.249
-0.1
-1.131
-0.157
-0.796
0
0
0
Year 15
0.004
0.004
-0.026
2.244
-0.005
-0.212
-0.993
0.051
-0.053
0.146
-0.117
-0.148
0.016
-0.02
-0.254
-1.5
-0.124
-1.137
-0.287
-0.836
0
0
0
Year 16
-0.001
0.003
-0.026
1.804
-0.042
-0.225
-1.063
0.023
-0.069
0.04
-0.206
-0.291
-0.006
-0.186
-0.258
-1.696
-0.142
-1.131
-0.39
-0.866
0
0
0
Year 17
-0.004
0.001
-0.026
1.408
-0.07
-0.233
-1.106
0.001
-0.08
-0.042
-0.27
-0.399
-0.022
-0.309
-0.259
-1.838
-0.154
-1.11
-0.465
-0.882
0
0
0
Year 18
-0.007
0.001
-0.025
1.066
-0.089
-0.237
-1.126
-0.015
-0.087
-0.103
-0.312
-0.477
-0.033
-0.397
-0.257
-1.934
-0.159
-1.078
-0.515
-0.884
0
0
0
Year 19
-0.009
0
-0.024
0.784
-0.102
-0.237
-1.128
-0.027
-0.09
-0.148
-0.337
-0.528
-0.04
-0.455
-0.255
-1.994
-0.16
-1.039
-0.546
-0.875
0
0
0
Year 20
-0.011
-0.001
-0.023
0.551
-0.111
-0.234
-1.118
-0.036
-0.091
-0.181
-0.348
-0.561
-0.045
-0.491
-0.25
-2.028
-0.158
-0.993
-0.562
-0.857
0
0
0
Page 35
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
-44.515
-21.071
-3.897
-5.175
-4.218
-7.716
-6.428
-22.497
-12.188
-20.81
-29.824
-117.034
-1.622
-19.997
-16.74
-23.186
-26.425
Year 2
-33.084
-15.529
-2.871
-3.731
-3.082
-5.669
-4.688
-16.187
-8.967
-15.701
-21.69
-86.451
-1.174
-19.377
-12.853
-16.948
-19.474
Year 3
-24.88
-11.621
-2.161
-2.742
-2.297
-4.3
-3.486
-11.964
-6.836
-12.153
-16.069
-64.704
-0.869
-16.452
-9.852
-12.603
-14.532
Year 4
-17.659
-8.223
-1.542
-1.898
-1.621
-3.129
-2.46
-8.354
-4.974
-9.043
-11.252
-45.826
-0.611
-12.495
-7.089
-8.897
-10.262
Year 5
-13.102
-6.109
-1.158
-1.384
-1.201
-2.413
-1.831
-6.173
-3.809
-7.105
-8.293
-34.03
-0.455
-9.124
-5.263
-6.619
-7.6
Year 6
-5.832
-2.689
-0.527
-0.564
-0.535
-1.229
-0.821
-2.598
-1.908
-3.935
-3.577
-15.429
-0.202
-4.494
-2.44
-2.981
-3.42
Year 7
-2.837
-1.313
-0.273
-0.259
-0.268
-0.755
-0.423
-1.288
-1.121
-2.632
-1.747
-7.909
-0.104
-1.623
-1.186
-1.533
-1.727
Year 8
-0.722
-0.342
-0.093
-0.055
-0.082
-0.411
-0.144
-0.407
-0.552
-1.685
-0.483
-2.651
-0.034
0.433
-0.298
-0.508
-0.54
Year 9
-0.147
-0.093
-0.047
-0.027
-0.035
-0.318
-0.073
-0.324
-0.381
-1.401
-0.215
-1.278
-0.016
1.423
-0.012
-0.232
-0.215
Year 10
0.357
0.134
-0.004
0.004
0.008
-0.224
-0.007
-0.215
-0.223
-1.136
0.042
-0.042
0.002
2.016
0.212
0.027
0.077
Year 11
0.821
0.35
0.038
0.035
0.048
-0.134
0.058
-0.1
-0.074
-0.878
0.291
1.106
0.02
2.38
0.399
0.278
0.349
Year 12
0.568
0.227
0.015
-0.014
0.025
-0.161
0.024
-0.343
-0.117
-0.924
0.085
0.475
0.013
2.28
0.311
0.179
0.223
Year 13
0.315
0.109
-0.006
-0.058
0.002
-0.188
-0.007
-0.563
-0.162
-0.97
-0.106
-0.141
0.007
2.034
0.207
0.087
0.1
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 1
-83.272
-87.059
-87.059
0
-88.069
0
Year 2
-115.195
-42.452
-42.452
-88.069
-133.025
0
Year 3
-125.095
-21.194
-21.194
-133.025
-157.44
0
Year 4
-121.733
-6.516
-6.516
-157.439
-167.45
0
Year 5
-113.25
1.186
1.186
-167.45
-169.75
0
Year 6
-95.715
11.985
11.985
-169.75
-161.012
0
Year 7
-79.071
14.457
14.457
-161.012
-149.403
0
Year 8
-63.669
15.52
15.52
-149.403
-136.287
0
Year 9
-51.549
14.174
14.174
-136.287
-124.072
0
Year 10
-41.581
13.017
13.017
-124.072
-112.594
0
Year 11
-33.255
12.031
12.031
-112.594
-101.702
0
Year 12
-27.392
10.069
10.068
-101.702
-92.398
0
Year 13
-23.228
8.439
8.439
-92.398
-84.393
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 1
-9.221
-6.858
-5.465
-5.73
-13.841
-12.66
-9.247
-6.888
-6.025
-4.384
-3.253
-2.403
-2.093
0
0
0
0
0
Year 2
-14.281
-10.506
-8.394
-7.845
-19.336
-19.436
-14.404
-10.598
-9.146
-6.822
-5.027
-3.668
-3.232
-0.331
0
0
0
0
Year 3
-17.297
-12.628
-10.125
-8.589
-20.48
-23.327
-17.664
-12.857
-10.853
-8.357
-6.109
-4.432
-3.873
-0.851
0
0
0
0
Year 4
-18.797
-13.647
-11.012
-8.722
-18.464
-25.101
-19.589
-14.128
-11.539
-9.257
-6.704
-4.867
-4.125
-1.499
0
0
0
0
Year 5
-19.445
-14.008
-11.444
-8.829
-14.965
-25.349
-20.728
-14.906
-11.713
-9.792
-7.051
-5.144
-4.137
-2.238
0
0
0
0
Year 6
-17.805
-14.482
-11.197
-8.573
-10.131
-23.299
-20.6
-14.907
-11.207
-9.744
-7.024
-5.151
-3.865
-3.025
0
0
0
0
Year 7
-15.811
-14.533
-10.78
-8.251
-6.048
-19.675
-20.076
-14.786
-10.678
-9.4
-6.943
-5.076
-3.597
-3.443
-0.306
0
0
0
Year 8
-13.575
-14.299
-10.262
-7.905
-2.9
-14.915
-19.215
-14.615
-10.193
-8.853
-6.84
-4.958
-3.369
-3.6
-0.786
0
0
0
Year 9
-11.407
-13.938
-9.764
-7.645
-1.03
-9.528
-18.236
-14.559
-9.902
-8.237
-6.796
-4.862
-3.239
-3.546
-1.381
0
0
0
Year 10
-9.312
-13.488
-9.221
-7.41
-0.239
-4.077
-16.82
-14.5
-9.768
-7.624
-6.762
-4.791
-3.188
-3.336
-2.057
0
0
0
Year 11
-7.365
-11.822
-9.661
-7.167
-0.166
0.783
-14.702
-14.322
-9.751
-7.087
-6.692
-4.747
-3.19
-3.042
-2.772
0
0
0
Year 12
-5.633
-10.19
-9.997
-7.012
-0.497
4.187
-11.585
-14.161
-9.941
-6.796
-6.525
-4.793
-3.228
-2.803
-3.151
-0.273
0
0
Year 13
-4.093
-8.561
-10.249
-6.911
-1.05
6.223
-7.699
-13.928
-10.285
-6.719
-6.28
-4.909
-3.295
-2.644
-3.293
-0.699
0
0
Page 36
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 14
0.08
0.004
-0.025
-0.098
-0.017
-0.213
-0.035
-0.757
-0.204
-1.01
-0.276
-0.704
0.001
1.725
0.102
0.005
-0.012
Year 15
-0.122
-0.084
-0.041
-0.131
-0.034
-0.233
-0.057
-0.917
-0.239
-1.036
-0.415
-1.178
-0.003
1.407
0.007
-0.063
-0.107
Year 16
-0.287
-0.154
-0.053
-0.156
-0.047
-0.247
-0.074
-1.043
-0.266
-1.048
-0.524
-1.554
-0.007
1.106
-0.074
-0.116
-0.183
Year 17
-0.414
-0.207
-0.063
-0.175
-0.056
-0.257
-0.087
-1.134
-0.285
-1.043
-0.602
-1.83
-0.009
0.838
-0.138
-0.156
-0.24
Year 18
-0.507
-0.245
-0.069
-0.187
-0.063
-0.262
-0.095
-1.195
-0.295
-1.024
-0.654
-2.019
-0.011
0.609
-0.187
-0.184
-0.281
Year 19
-0.571
-0.27
-0.073
-0.195
-0.067
-0.264
-0.1
-1.234
-0.299
-0.996
-0.684
-2.137
-0.013
0.421
-0.222
-0.203
-0.307
Year 20
-0.612
-0.286
-0.075
-0.199
-0.069
-0.263
-0.102
-1.255
-0.298
-0.96
-0.699
-2.2
-0.013
0.268
-0.245
-0.214
-0.323
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 14
-20.284
7.083
7.083
-84.393
-77.453
0
Year 15
-18.201
5.979
5.978
-77.453
-71.372
0
Year 16
-16.719
5.086
5.085
-71.372
-65.985
0
Year 17
-15.956
4.484
4.484
-65.985
-61.049
0
Year 18
-15.348
3.994
3.993
-61.049
-56.497
0
Year 19
-14.847
3.602
3.601
-56.497
-52.278
0
Year 20
-14.37
3.275
3.274
-52.278
-48.369
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 14
-2.713
-7.002
-10.375
-6.826
-1.686
6.979
-3.191
-13.579
-10.745
-6.836
-5.969
-5.082
-3.385
-2.577
-3.242
-1.224
0
0
Year 15
-1.488
-5.515
-10.413
-6.689
-2.312
6.66
1.375
-12.797
-11.201
-7.11
-5.662
-5.266
-3.499
-2.589
-3.051
-1.816
0
0
Year 16
-0.428
-4.176
-9.237
-7.529
-2.872
5.633
5.348
-11.32
-11.536
-7.504
-5.431
-5.416
-3.638
-2.66
-2.785
-2.435
0
0
Year 17
0.473
-2.933
-8.001
-8.185
-3.356
4.417
8.037
-8.728
-11.789
-8.025
-5.385
-5.428
-3.829
-2.754
-2.569
-2.763
-0.23
0
Year 18
1.197
-1.784
-6.688
-8.692
-3.759
3.16
9.505
-5.267
-11.887
-8.631
-5.501
-5.33
-4.06
-2.864
-2.427
-2.883
-0.585
0
Year 19
1.73
-0.711
-5.377
-9.017
-4.068
1.973
9.82
-1.1
-11.8
-9.296
-5.768
-5.137
-4.321
-2.986
-2.368
-2.836
-1.018
0
Year 20
2.061
0.276
-4.083
-9.21
-4.238
0.921
9.162
3.199
-11.225
-9.91
-6.155
-4.922
-4.572
-3.122
-2.38
-2.67
-1.499
0
Page 37
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
-1.588
0.453
Year 2
-1.32
0.013
Year 3
-1.125
-0.272
Year 4
-0.929
-0.477
Year 5
-0.799
-0.593
Year 6
-0.551
-0.713
Year 7
-0.435
-0.726
Year 8
-0.34
-0.709
Year 9
-0.299
-0.659
Year 10
-0.257
-0.607
Year 11
-0.217
-0.558
Year 12
-0.207
-0.5
Year 13
-0.199
-0.45
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
-0.114
-0.54
-0.169
-0.047
0
-0.102
-0.065
-0.12
-0.117
0
0
-0.314
Year 2
-0.171
-0.414
-0.13
-0.036
0
-0.074
-0.053
-0.096
-0.094
0
0
-0.252
Year 3
-0.2
-0.33
-0.104
-0.029
0
-0.056
-0.043
-0.079
-0.077
0
0
-0.207
Year 4
-0.21
-0.256
-0.08
-0.022
0
-0.04
-0.034
-0.062
-0.061
0
0
-0.164
Year 5
-0.21
-0.211
-0.066
-0.018
0
-0.03
-0.028
-0.051
-0.05
0
0
-0.134
Year 6
-0.196
-0.129
-0.04
-0.011
0
-0.013
-0.017
-0.031
-0.03
0
0
-0.082
Year 7
-0.18
-0.097
-0.03
-0.008
0
-0.007
-0.012
-0.022
-0.021
0
0
-0.057
Year 8
-0.162
-0.073
-0.023
-0.006
0
-0.002
-0.008
-0.015
-0.014
0
0
-0.038
Year 9
-0.148
-0.064
-0.02
-0.006
0
-0.001
-0.006
-0.012
-0.011
0
0
-0.031
Year 10
-0.135
-0.054
-0.017
-0.005
0
0
-0.005
-0.009
-0.009
0
0
-0.024
Year 11
-0.122
-0.043
-0.014
-0.004
0
0.001
-0.004
-0.007
-0.007
0
0
-0.018
Year 12
-0.111
-0.043
-0.013
-0.004
0
0
-0.004
-0.007
-0.007
0
0
-0.018
Year 13
-0.102
-0.042
-0.013
-0.004
0
-0.001
-0.004
-0.007
-0.007
0
0
-0.019
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
-0.096
0.469
-0.003
-0.015
-0.03
-0.002
-0.011
-0.009
-0.001
-0.012
-0.006
-0.026
0
0
0.194
Year 2
-0.141
0.228
-0.005
-0.021
-0.044
-0.003
-0.017
-0.013
-0.001
-0.018
-0.009
-0.038
-0.001
0
0.095
Year 3
-0.17
0.071
-0.006
-0.026
-0.052
-0.003
-0.02
-0.015
-0.001
-0.022
-0.01
-0.046
-0.001
0
0.029
Year 4
-0.183
-0.054
-0.006
-0.028
-0.056
-0.004
-0.021
-0.016
-0.002
-0.024
-0.011
-0.049
-0.001
0
-0.022
Year 5
-0.188
-0.128
-0.006
-0.029
-0.058
-0.004
-0.022
-0.017
-0.002
-0.024
-0.011
-0.051
-0.001
0
-0.053
Year 6
-0.18
-0.225
-0.006
-0.027
-0.056
-0.004
-0.021
-0.016
-0.002
-0.023
-0.011
-0.049
-0.001
0
-0.093
Year 7
-0.169
-0.252
-0.006
-0.026
-0.052
-0.003
-0.02
-0.015
-0.001
-0.022
-0.01
-0.046
-0.001
0
-0.104
Year 8
-0.155
-0.26
-0.005
-0.024
-0.048
-0.003
-0.018
-0.014
-0.001
-0.02
-0.009
-0.042
-0.001
0
-0.108
Year 9
-0.142
-0.245
-0.005
-0.022
-0.044
-0.003
-0.017
-0.013
-0.001
-0.018
-0.009
-0.038
-0.001
0
-0.102
Year 10
-0.129
-0.229
-0.004
-0.02
-0.04
-0.003
-0.015
-0.011
-0.001
-0.017
-0.008
-0.035
0
0
-0.095
Year 11
-0.116
-0.214
-0.004
-0.018
-0.036
-0.002
-0.014
-0.01
-0.001
-0.015
-0.007
-0.031
0
0
-0.089
Year 12
-0.105
-0.19
-0.004
-0.016
-0.032
-0.002
-0.012
-0.009
-0.001
-0.014
-0.006
-0.028
0
0
-0.079
Year 13
-0.096
-0.169
-0.003
-0.015
-0.03
-0.002
-0.011
-0.009
-0.001
-0.012
-0.006
-0.026
0
0
-0.07
Page 38
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 14
-0.193
-0.406
Year 15
-0.188
-0.368
Year 16
-0.184
-0.334
Year 17
-0.179
-0.305
Year 18
-0.175
-0.278
Year 19
-0.17
-0.254
Year 20
-0.165
-0.233
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 14
-0.094
-0.041
-0.013
-0.004
0
-0.001
-0.004
-0.008
-0.008
0
0
-0.021
Year 15
-0.087
-0.04
-0.013
-0.003
0
-0.002
-0.005
-0.008
-0.008
0
0
-0.022
Year 16
-0.08
-0.039
-0.012
-0.003
0
-0.002
-0.005
-0.009
-0.009
0
0
-0.023
Year 17
-0.074
-0.039
-0.012
-0.003
0
-0.002
-0.005
-0.009
-0.009
0
0
-0.025
Year 18
-0.069
-0.037
-0.012
-0.003
0
-0.002
-0.005
-0.01
-0.01
0
0
-0.026
Year 19
-0.064
-0.036
-0.011
-0.003
0
-0.002
-0.006
-0.01
-0.01
0
0
-0.027
Year 20
-0.06
-0.035
-0.011
-0.003
0
-0.003
-0.006
-0.01
-0.01
0
0
-0.027
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 14
-0.088
-0.151
-0.003
-0.013
-0.027
-0.002
-0.01
-0.008
-0.001
-0.011
-0.005
-0.024
0
0
-0.063
Year 15
-0.081
-0.135
-0.003
-0.012
-0.025
-0.002
-0.009
-0.007
-0.001
-0.01
-0.005
-0.022
0
0
-0.056
Year 16
-0.075
-0.121
-0.003
-0.011
-0.023
-0.002
-0.009
-0.007
-0.001
-0.01
-0.005
-0.02
0
0
-0.05
Year 17
-0.069
-0.109
-0.002
-0.01
-0.021
-0.001
-0.008
-0.006
-0.001
-0.009
-0.004
-0.019
0
0
-0.045
Year 18
-0.064
-0.098
-0.002
-0.01
-0.02
-0.001
-0.007
-0.006
-0.001
-0.008
-0.004
-0.017
0
0
-0.041
Year 19
-0.059
-0.089
-0.002
-0.009
-0.018
-0.001
-0.007
-0.005
-0.001
-0.008
-0.004
-0.016
0
0
-0.037
Year 20
-0.054
-0.08
-0.002
-0.008
-0.017
-0.001
-0.006
-0.005
0
-0.007
-0.003
-0.015
0
0
-0.033
Page 39
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
73.802
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
73.802
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
43.289
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
3.829
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.761
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.005
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.462
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.304
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
2.386
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.618
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.193
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.576
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
5.59
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
3.373
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
1.92
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
3.133
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
2.603
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
0.288
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
4.984
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.957
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
0
Year 2
98.303
98.303
57.672
5.367
2.109
-0.02
0.46
1.669
2.851
0.729
1.41
0.712
7.476
4.52
2.811
4.614
3.596
0.753
6.666
2.694
0
Year 3
101.585
101.585
60.963
5.891
2.068
-0.039
0.407
1.7
2.593
0.633
1.277
0.683
7.96
4.809
3.245
5.232
3.831
1.048
6.956
2.901
0
Year 4
101.785
101.785
61.355
6.297
1.762
-0.06
0.216
1.606
2.156
0.477
1.06
0.619
8.059
4.877
3.51
5.716
4.016
1.234
7.016
3.041
0
Year 5
57.749
57.749
37.109
4.191
0.52
-0.078
-0.134
0.731
0.276
-0.062
0.135
0.203
4.711
2.829
2.43
3.917
2.534
1.191
3.922
1.925
0
Year 6
45.185
45.185
30.494
3.661
0.069
-0.09
-0.287
0.446
-0.332
-0.24
-0.164
0.072
3.731
2.234
2.087
3.386
2.131
1.014
3.014
1.647
0
Year 7
36.541
36.541
25.833
3.225
-0.227
-0.097
-0.382
0.253
-0.735
-0.355
-0.362
-0.018
2.999
1.793
1.809
2.983
1.827
0.878
2.362
1.45
0
Year 8
28.049
28.049
21.265
2.706
-0.435
-0.101
-0.424
0.09
-1.077
-0.448
-0.531
-0.097
2.272
1.352
1.515
2.54
1.512
0.742
1.713
1.244
0
Year 9
15.965
15.965
14.897
1.982
-0.691
-0.099
-0.47
-0.122
-1.42
-0.531
-0.702
-0.187
1.291
0.745
1.069
1.797
1.024
0.585
0.803
0.9
0
Year 10
15.664
15.664
14.639
1.938
-0.678
-0.094
-0.471
-0.113
-1.275
-0.477
-0.634
-0.164
1.26
0.731
0.982
1.703
0.988
0.453
0.786
0.886
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
0.024
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
0.014
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
0.148
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
13.349
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
0.732
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
2.001
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
3.577
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
0.387
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
0.759
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
1.848
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
1.168
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
4.168
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
0.083
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
4.642
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
0.614
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
3.836
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
0.51
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
2.148
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
3.281
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
30.513
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
0
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
0
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
0
Year 2
0.023
0.021
0.197
20.033
0.713
2.338
4.45
0.446
0.779
2.312
1.659
4.933
0.076
5.96
0.854
4.953
0.657
2.963
4.303
40.63
0
0
0
Year 3
0.015
0.024
0.205
25.003
0.452
1.978
4.144
0.371
0.545
2.19
1.836
4.325
0.036
5.749
0.902
5.028
0.649
3.167
4.343
40.622
0
0
0
Year 4
0.011
0.027
0.213
28.284
0.156
1.48
3.651
0.283
0.29
2.018
1.994
3.426
-0.008
5.392
0.929
5.012
0.63
3.293
4.275
40.43
0
0
0
Year 5
Year 6
0.004
0.021
0.134
23.346
-0.596
-0.575
0.506
-0.083
-0.509
0.458
1.346
-1.007
-0.118
1.23
0.445
2.038
0.256
1.831
1.766
14.692
0
0
0
Year 7
0.009
0.019
0.125
22.081
-0.662
-0.868
0.097
-0.12
-0.587
0.272
1.264
-1.635
-0.129
0.634
0.37
1.692
0.221
1.624
1.424
10.708
0
0
0
Year 8
0.013
0.017
0.113
20.365
-0.684
-1.073
-0.22
-0.141
-0.628
0.12
1.152
-2.098
-0.131
0.113
0.297
1.359
0.187
1.409
1.096
6.784
0
0
0
Year 9
0.016
0.015
0.094
17.577
-0.692
-1.22
-0.562
-0.165
-0.659
-0.09
0.977
-2.595
-0.13
-0.571
0.196
0.828
0.136
1.101
0.639
1.068
0
0
0
Year 10
0.022
0.014
0.091
15.979
-0.595
-1.056
-0.367
-0.126
-0.557
-0.006
0.966
-2.278
-0.114
-0.429
0.197
0.958
0.158
1.11
0.671
1.025
0
0
0
0
0.022
0.146
24.284
-0.433
-0.073
1.207
-0.004
-0.336
0.787
1.449
0.062
-0.092
2.185
0.555
2.61
0.324
2.133
2.283
20.64
0
0
0
Page 40
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 11
Category
Units
15.119
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
15.119
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
14.139
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
1.869
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.655
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.088
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.467
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.1
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-1.119
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.42
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.559
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.14
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.215
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.708
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.909
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
1.63
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
0.947
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.372
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
0.761
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.865
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 12
14.887
14.887
13.926
1.81
-0.578
-0.081
-0.429
-0.067
-0.926
-0.351
-0.467
-0.107
1.232
0.724
0.879
1.605
0.927
0.314
0.776
0.856
0
Year 13
14.395
14.395
13.464
1.722
-0.509
-0.075
-0.392
-0.041
-0.767
-0.294
-0.392
-0.081
1.213
0.717
0.848
1.582
0.904
0.272
0.768
0.842
0
Year 14
13.8
13.8
12.905
1.626
-0.446
-0.069
-0.358
-0.019
-0.631
-0.246
-0.327
-0.058
1.18
0.702
0.819
1.566
0.882
0.24
0.75
0.827
0
Year 15
13.17
13.17
12.312
1.53
-0.389
-0.064
-0.325
0
-0.514
-0.204
-0.271
-0.039
1.141
0.682
0.795
1.555
0.86
0.217
0.729
0.812
0
Year 16
12.536
12.536
11.717
1.438
-0.338
-0.059
-0.296
0.017
-0.412
-0.167
-0.222
-0.023
1.1
0.661
0.775
1.552
0.841
0.199
0.706
0.796
0
Year 17
11.912
11.912
11.131
1.351
-0.293
-0.054
-0.27
0.031
-0.325
-0.137
-0.178
-0.01
1.057
0.638
0.758
1.554
0.824
0.186
0.681
0.779
0
Year 18
11.305
11.305
10.562
1.268
-0.254
-0.05
-0.247
0.043
-0.249
-0.112
-0.139
0.002
1.014
0.615
0.742
1.56
0.808
0.175
0.656
0.76
0
Year 19
10.737
10.737
10.031
1.193
-0.22
-0.046
-0.226
0.053
-0.18
-0.088
-0.104
0.012
0.973
0.593
0.73
1.572
0.795
0.166
0.632
0.742
0
Year 20
10.183
10.183
9.513
1.12
-0.19
-0.043
-0.208
0.061
-0.121
-0.067
-0.075
0.021
0.931
0.569
0.719
1.587
0.782
0.159
0.607
0.722
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 11
Category
Units
0.027
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
0.013
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
0.088
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
14.264
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.5
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.892
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.183
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.091
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
-0.458
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
0.065
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
0.939
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
-1.957
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
-0.097
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
-0.297
Thousands (Jobs)
0.199
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
1.052
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
0.176
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
1.11
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
0.68
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
0.98
Thousands (Jobs)
0
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
0
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
0
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 12
0.031
0.012
0.084
12.744
-0.404
-0.715
0.017
-0.056
-0.359
0.136
0.907
-1.597
-0.08
-0.154
0.204
1.148
0.193
1.115
0.699
0.962
0
0
0
Year 13
0.034
0.012
0.08
11.266
-0.325
-0.568
0.175
-0.028
-0.278
0.192
0.868
-1.297
-0.066
-0.04
0.208
1.218
0.204
1.108
0.702
0.931
0
0
0
Year 14
0.037
0.011
0.076
9.896
-0.259
-0.445
0.302
-0.004
-0.21
0.236
0.826
-1.044
-0.053
0.053
0.209
1.272
0.212
1.094
0.697
0.895
0
0
0
Year 15
0.039
0.01
0.072
8.661
-0.204
-0.342
0.403
0.015
-0.154
0.27
0.783
-0.828
-0.043
0.129
0.21
1.314
0.217
1.074
0.688
0.857
0
0
0
Year 16
0.04
0.009
0.067
7.565
-0.159
-0.256
0.483
0.03
-0.108
0.296
0.742
-0.645
-0.033
0.189
0.209
1.345
0.22
1.049
0.675
0.819
0
0
0
Year 17
0.041
0.008
0.063
6.601
-0.121
-0.185
0.544
0.042
-0.071
0.316
0.701
-0.491
-0.026
0.237
0.206
1.367
0.22
1.019
0.659
0.781
0
0
0
Year 18
0.041
0.007
0.059
5.757
-0.09
-0.125
0.589
0.052
-0.041
0.33
0.661
-0.36
-0.019
0.274
0.203
1.379
0.219
0.986
0.641
0.743
0
0
0
Year 19
0.041
0.006
0.055
5.021
-0.063
-0.075
0.624
0.06
-0.016
0.34
0.622
-0.248
-0.014
0.302
0.199
1.385
0.216
0.953
0.621
0.706
0
0
0
Year 20
0.041
0.006
0.051
4.379
-0.041
-0.034
0.647
0.066
0.004
0.345
0.585
-0.154
-0.01
0.322
0.195
1.383
0.211
0.916
0.6
0.669
0
0
0
Page 41
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
7.995
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
3.295
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
1.004
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
0.686
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
1.171
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
1.381
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
0.739
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
4.207
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
8.123
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
2.464
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
4.289
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
17.824
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
0.133
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
10.893
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
3.596
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
2.108
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
3.892
Year 2
10.561
4.166
1.302
0.896
1.515
1.849
0.912
5.495
10.81
3.341
5.626
23.104
0.168
15.96
4.898
2.641
5.059
Year 3
10.731
3.98
1.27
0.906
1.474
1.878
0.847
5.512
10.809
3.495
5.628
22.893
0.159
19.194
5.252
2.523
5.034
Year 4
10.611
3.662
1.215
0.895
1.405
1.882
0.756
5.446
10.745
3.568
5.521
22.027
0.15
21.297
5.424
2.321
4.86
Year 5
5.614
1.347
0.526
0.472
0.595
1.005
0.235
2.722
5.452
2.161
2.805
10.667
0.064
17.282
3.464
0.926
2.414
Year 6
4.163
0.643
0.318
0.364
0.35
0.75
0.084
1.985
3.866
1.788
2.048
7.382
0.042
16.247
2.931
0.524
1.699
Year 7
3.187
0.202
0.184
0.295
0.193
0.582
-0.004
1.518
2.808
1.54
1.558
5.262
0.029
15.137
2.54
0.278
1.231
Year 8
2.249
-0.18
0.06
0.228
0.05
0.418
-0.078
1.07
1.768
1.291
1.093
3.323
0.017
13.743
2.129
0.067
0.8
Year 9
0.922
-0.672
-0.11
0.132
-0.15
0.181
-0.171
0.403
0.255
0.937
0.44
0.733
0
11.537
1.512
-0.21
0.226
Year 10
0.948
-0.564
-0.09
0.144
-0.127
0.189
-0.134
0.494
0.26
0.961
0.501
1.026
0.005
10.497
1.431
-0.147
0.271
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Labor Force
Thousands
15.173
Total Migrants
Thousands
14.63
Economic Migrants
Thousands
14.63
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
0
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
14.802
College Population
Thousands
0
Year 2
29.867
16.475
16.475
14.802
31.81
0
Year 3
41.096
14.709
14.709
31.81
47.411
0
Year 4
49.786
12.833
12.833
47.411
61.444
0
Year 5
47.458
2.462
2.462
61.444
65.261
0
Year 6
44.441
0.078
0.078
65.26
66.691
0
Year 7
40.979
-1.482
-1.482
66.691
66.507
0
Year 8
36.971
-2.856
-2.856
66.507
64.857
0
Year 9
31.66
-4.862
-4.862
64.857
61.068
0
Year 10
27.98
-4.063
-4.063
61.068
57.929
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Ages 0-4
Thousands
1.554
Ages 5-9
Thousands
1.152
Ages 10-14
Thousands
0.918
Ages 15-19
Thousands
0.963
Ages 20-24
Thousands
2.326
Ages 25-29
Thousands
2.127
Ages 30-34
Thousands
1.554
Ages 35-39
Thousands
1.157
Ages 40-44
Thousands
1.012
Ages 45-49
Thousands
0.736
Ages 50-54
Thousands
0.546
Ages 55-59
Thousands
0.404
Ages 60-64
Thousands
0.352
Ages 65-69
Thousands
0
Ages 70-74
Thousands
0
Ages 75-79
Thousands
0
Ages 80-84
Thousands
0
Ages 85+
Thousands
0
Year 2
3.408
2.501
1.997
1.933
4.733
4.623
3.411
2.519
2.182
1.616
1.192
0.873
0.767
0.055
0
0
0
0
Year 3
5.179
3.768
3.015
2.718
6.561
6.961
5.211
3.816
3.259
2.465
1.809
1.317
1.153
0.178
0
0
0
0
Year 4
6.827
4.934
3.964
3.391
7.754
9.095
6.936
5.046
4.224
3.278
2.391
1.739
1.499
0.367
0
0
0
0
Year 5
7.432
5.314
4.303
3.454
7.002
9.714
7.662
5.535
4.491
3.618
2.619
1.904
1.591
0.622
0
0
0
0
Year 6
7.581
5.672
4.503
3.519
5.814
9.818
8.141
5.879
4.606
3.844
2.774
2.023
1.611
0.907
0
0
0
0
Year 7
7.416
5.982
4.611
3.585
4.541
9.388
8.437
6.141
4.647
3.967
2.887
2.107
1.596
1.151
0.051
0
0
0
Year 8
6.985
6.21
4.632
3.615
3.352
8.395
8.542
6.327
4.639
3.983
2.965
2.157
1.564
1.327
0.163
0
0
0
Year 9
6.231
6.287
4.519
3.532
2.211
6.75
8.366
6.38
4.542
3.852
2.98
2.152
1.507
1.424
0.336
0
0
0
Year 10
5.56
6.314
4.429
3.508
1.58
4.952
8.141
6.496
4.541
3.719
3.028
2.166
1.494
1.432
0.568
0
0
0
Page 42
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 11
Category
Units
0.953
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
-0.457
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
-0.071
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
0.152
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.104
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
0.195
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
-0.1
Thousands
(Jobs)
0.566
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
0.262
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
0.975
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
0.546
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
1.268
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
0.009
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
9.379
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
1.331
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.09
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
0.305
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 12
0.989
-0.335
-0.049
0.161
-0.077
0.204
-0.064
0.642
0.272
0.995
0.598
1.569
0.013
8.393
1.251
-0.026
0.352
Year 13
0.993
-0.238
-0.031
0.166
-0.056
0.209
-0.034
0.699
0.275
1.001
0.632
1.769
0.017
7.43
1.16
0.021
0.379
Year 14
0.982
-0.158
-0.017
0.169
-0.038
0.213
-0.011
0.744
0.275
0.998
0.654
1.908
0.02
6.538
1.07
0.058
0.396
Year 15
0.962
-0.091
-0.005
0.171
-0.024
0.215
0.009
0.779
0.272
0.988
0.667
2.001
0.022
5.732
0.983
0.087
0.404
Year 16
0.937
-0.037
0.005
0.171
-0.012
0.215
0.024
0.805
0.268
0.972
0.673
2.058
0.023
5.016
0.903
0.108
0.406
Year 17
0.908
0.008
0.013
0.171
-0.002
0.213
0.037
0.824
0.262
0.951
0.673
2.087
0.024
4.386
0.829
0.124
0.404
Year 18
0.876
0.044
0.02
0.169
0.006
0.211
0.046
0.837
0.254
0.926
0.669
2.093
0.025
3.833
0.761
0.136
0.399
Year 19
0.845
0.074
0.025
0.167
0.012
0.208
0.054
0.845
0.247
0.899
0.661
2.086
0.025
3.352
0.699
0.145
0.392
Year 20
0.813
0.098
0.029
0.164
0.018
0.204
0.06
0.846
0.238
0.869
0.649
2.062
0.026
2.93
0.642
0.151
0.383
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 11
Category
Units
25.083
Labor Force
Thousands
-3.616
Total Migrants
Thousands
-3.616
Economic Migrants
Thousands
57.929
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
55.1
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
0
College Population
Thousands
Year 12
22.844
-3.201
-3.201
55.1
52.557
0
Year 13
21.005
-2.923
-2.923
52.557
50.169
0
Year 14
19.436
-2.713
-2.713
50.169
47.875
0
Year 15
18.069
-2.541
-2.541
47.875
45.643
0
Year 16
16.861
-2.392
-2.392
45.643
43.461
0
Year 17
15.832
-2.277
-2.277
43.461
41.306
0
Year 18
14.917
-2.18
-2.18
41.306
39.174
0
Year 19
14.097
-2.093
-2.093
39.174
37.069
0
Year 20
13.341
-2.017
-2.017
37.07
34.996
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 11
Category
Units
4.914
Ages 0-4
Thousands
6.128
Ages 5-9
Thousands
4.512
Ages 10-14
Thousands
3.509
Ages 15-19
Thousands
1.31
Ages 20-24
Thousands
3.161
Ages 25-29
Thousands
7.746
Ages 30-34
Thousands
6.614
Ages 35-39
Thousands
4.604
Ages 40-44
Thousands
3.597
Ages 45-49
Thousands
3.081
Ages 50-54
Thousands
2.194
Ages 55-59
Thousands
1.509
Ages 60-64
Thousands
1.395
Ages 65-69
Thousands
0.827
Ages 70-74
Thousands
0
Ages 75-79
Thousands
0
Ages 80-84
Thousands
0
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 12
4.299
5.798
4.684
3.523
1.286
1.599
7.062
6.726
4.729
3.517
3.117
2.242
1.544
1.341
1.047
0.045
0
0
Year 13
3.71
5.351
4.894
3.538
1.395
0.392
6.034
6.802
4.902
3.49
3.12
2.308
1.589
1.292
1.207
0.144
0
0
Year 14
3.163
4.788
5.124
3.549
1.549
-0.401
4.672
6.826
5.113
3.523
3.085
2.392
1.64
1.264
1.294
0.296
0
0
Year 15
2.635
4.252
5.258
3.547
1.698
-0.787
3.076
6.742
5.34
3.613
3.021
2.486
1.693
1.268
1.301
0.499
0
0
Year 16
2.134
3.715
5.159
3.7
1.836
-0.862
1.45
6.462
5.548
3.748
2.954
2.578
1.752
1.296
1.268
0.724
0
0
Year 17
1.665
3.182
4.895
3.925
1.956
-0.739
0.012
5.867
5.727
3.926
2.915
2.642
1.823
1.338
1.22
0.915
0.038
0
Year 18
1.24
2.66
4.502
4.178
2.057
-0.514
-1.096
4.915
5.857
4.141
2.922
2.668
1.906
1.388
1.177
1.053
0.12
0
Year 19
0.868
2.168
3.983
4.443
2.139
-0.262
-1.807
3.618
5.927
4.386
2.98
2.654
2.003
1.442
1.153
1.128
0.246
0
Year 20
0.559
1.687
3.485
4.608
2.199
-0.032
-2.126
2.081
5.884
4.642
3.092
2.609
2.109
1.497
1.157
1.134
0.413
0
Page 43
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.299
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.158
Year 2
0.383
-0.11
Year 3
0.384
0.006
Year 4
0.369
0.127
Year 5
0.175
0.346
Year 6
0.119
0.418
Year 7
0.079
0.46
Year 8
0.043
0.488
Year 9
0
0.509
Year 10
0.01
0.482
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.019
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.104
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.033
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.009
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.01
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.013
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.024
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.024
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.063
Year 2
0.041
0.113
0.035
0.01
0
0.012
0.018
0.033
0.033
0
0
0.088
Year 3
0.06
0.09
0.028
0.008
0
0.012
0.02
0.036
0.035
0
0
0.094
Year 4
0.077
0.062
0.019
0.005
0
0.011
0.021
0.038
0.037
0
0
0.099
Year 5
0.081
-0.023
-0.007
-0.002
0
0.005
0.013
0.024
0.023
0
0
0.062
Year 6
0.081
-0.049
-0.015
-0.004
0
0.003
0.011
0.02
0.02
0
0
0.052
Year 7
0.08
-0.065
-0.02
-0.006
0
0.002
0.009
0.017
0.017
0
0
0.045
Year 8
0.077
-0.077
-0.024
-0.007
0
0.001
0.008
0.014
0.014
0
0
0.037
Year 9
0.073
-0.086
-0.027
-0.007
0
-0.001
0.005
0.009
0.009
0
0
0.025
Year 10
0.069
-0.075
-0.024
-0.007
0
0
0.005
0.009
0.009
0
0
0.024
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.027
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.154
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.001
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.004
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.008
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.001
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.003
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.002
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.004
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.002
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.007
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.064
Year 2
0.058
-0.168
0.002
0.009
0.018
0.001
0.007
0.005
0
0.007
0.004
0.016
0
0
-0.069
Year 3
0.088
-0.131
0.003
0.013
0.027
0.002
0.01
0.008
0.001
0.011
0.005
0.024
0
0
-0.055
Year 4
0.116
-0.089
0.004
0.018
0.036
0.002
0.014
0.01
0.001
0.015
0.007
0.031
0
0
-0.037
Year 5
0.125
0.051
0.004
0.019
0.038
0.003
0.015
0.011
0.001
0.016
0.008
0.034
0
0
0.021
Year 6
0.129
0.095
0.004
0.02
0.04
0.003
0.015
0.012
0.001
0.017
0.008
0.035
0
0
0.039
Year 7
0.131
0.122
0.004
0.02
0.04
0.003
0.015
0.012
0.001
0.017
0.008
0.035
0
0
0.051
Year 8
0.129
0.144
0.004
0.02
0.04
0.003
0.015
0.012
0.001
0.017
0.008
0.035
0
0
0.06
Year 9
0.123
0.169
0.004
0.019
0.038
0.002
0.014
0.011
0.001
0.016
0.007
0.033
0
0
0.07
Year 10
0.117
0.159
0.004
0.018
0.036
0.002
0.014
0.01
0.001
0.015
0.007
0.032
0
0
0.066
Page 44
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 11
Category
Units
0.02
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.459
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 12
0.032
0.436
Year 13
0.042
0.416
Year 14
0.05
0.398
Year 15
0.056
0.379
Year 16
0.06
0.362
Year 17
0.064
0.344
Year 18
0.067
0.327
Year 19
0.069
0.311
Year 20
0.07
0.294
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 11
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.066
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.065
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.02
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.006
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.005
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.009
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.008
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.023
Year 12
0.063
-0.054
-0.017
-0.005
0
0
0.005
0.008
0.008
0
0
0.022
Year 13
0.061
-0.044
-0.014
-0.004
0
0.001
0.005
0.008
0.008
0
0
0.022
Year 14
0.058
-0.036
-0.011
-0.003
0
0.001
0.004
0.008
0.008
0
0
0.021
Year 15
0.055
-0.029
-0.009
-0.003
0
0.001
0.004
0.008
0.008
0
0
0.021
Year 16
0.053
-0.023
-0.007
-0.002
0
0.001
0.004
0.008
0.007
0
0
0.02
Year 17
0.05
-0.018
-0.006
-0.002
0
0.001
0.004
0.008
0.007
0
0
0.02
Year 18
0.048
-0.014
-0.004
-0.001
0
0.001
0.004
0.007
0.007
0
0
0.019
Year 19
0.045
-0.011
-0.003
-0.001
0
0.001
0.004
0.007
0.007
0
0
0.019
Year 20
0.043
-0.007
-0.002
-0.001
0
0.001
0.004
0.007
0.007
0
0
0.019
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 11
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.112
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.151
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.004
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.017
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.034
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.002
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.013
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.01
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.001
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.014
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.007
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.03
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.063
Year 12
0.107
0.143
0.004
0.016
0.033
0.002
0.012
0.01
0.001
0.014
0.006
0.029
0
0
0.059
Year 13
0.102
0.136
0.003
0.016
0.031
0.002
0.012
0.009
0.001
0.013
0.006
0.028
0
0
0.056
Year 14
0.098
0.13
0.003
0.015
0.03
0.002
0.011
0.009
0.001
0.013
0.006
0.026
0
0
0.054
Year 15
0.093
0.123
0.003
0.014
0.029
0.002
0.011
0.008
0.001
0.012
0.006
0.025
0
0
0.051
Year 16
0.089
0.118
0.003
0.014
0.027
0.002
0.01
0.008
0.001
0.012
0.005
0.024
0
0
0.049
Year 17
0.085
0.112
0.003
0.013
0.026
0.002
0.01
0.008
0.001
0.011
0.005
0.023
0
0
0.046
Year 18
0.081
0.106
0.003
0.012
0.025
0.002
0.009
0.007
0.001
0.01
0.005
0.022
0
0
0.044
Year 19
0.077
0.101
0.003
0.012
0.024
0.002
0.009
0.007
0.001
0.01
0.005
0.021
0
0
0.042
Year 20
0.073
0.095
0.002
0.011
0.022
0.001
0.008
0.006
0.001
0.009
0.004
0.02
0
0
0.039
Page 45
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Employment Losses
Category
Units
Year 1
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
26.067
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
26.067
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
12.948
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.795
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.32
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.001
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.125
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.196
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.093
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.196
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.497
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.401
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.115
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.659
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
0.407
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
1.072
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.897
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
0.284
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.381
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.683
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
0
Year 2
34.902
34.902
17.421
1.158
0.356
-0.004
0.129
0.231
1.375
0.238
0.608
0.528
1.515
0.899
0.606
1.572
1.246
0.717
1.862
0.949
0
Year 3
36.247
36.247
18.807
1.321
0.35
-0.007
0.123
0.234
1.317
0.215
0.57
0.532
1.671
0.992
0.719
1.773
1.325
0.993
1.953
1.02
0
Year 4
36.519
36.519
19.162
1.466
0.277
-0.011
0.084
0.204
1.196
0.176
0.502
0.519
1.743
1.038
0.793
1.936
1.391
1.168
1.996
1.068
0
Year 5
21.039
21.039
12.212
1.082
0.069
-0.014
0.002
0.081
0.376
0.011
0.127
0.238
1.151
0.683
0.58
1.299
0.866
1.124
1.17
0.659
0
Year 6
16.283
16.283
10.025
0.984
-0.013
-0.016
-0.032
0.035
0.116
-0.044
0.004
0.157
0.971
0.577
0.506
1.106
0.715
0.962
0.923
0.549
0
Year 7
12.936
12.936
8.394
0.894
-0.066
-0.018
-0.053
0.005
-0.058
-0.081
-0.079
0.102
0.828
0.494
0.443
0.963
0.604
0.832
0.745
0.473
0
Year 8
9.737
9.737
6.884
0.785
-0.096
-0.018
-0.063
-0.015
-0.215
-0.111
-0.15
0.046
0.689
0.412
0.378
0.807
0.491
0.7
0.57
0.396
0
Year 9
5.072
5.072
4.704
0.61
-0.136
-0.018
-0.075
-0.043
-0.396
-0.143
-0.232
-0.022
0.474
0.281
0.273
0.539
0.311
0.548
0.301
0.267
0
Year 10
4.634
4.634
4.295
0.57
-0.141
-0.017
-0.078
-0.046
-0.354
-0.131
-0.214
-0.009
0.429
0.255
0.239
0.503
0.295
0.418
0.274
0.259
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 2
0.005
0.006
0.021
7.868
0.154
0.381
1.365
0.032
0.059
0.211
0.79
0.974
0.009
1.717
0.118
1.45
0.175
0.791
1.296
17.481
0
0
0
Year 3
-0.002
0.006
0.021
9.599
0.092
0.326
1.285
0.023
0.041
0.194
0.854
0.848
-0.009
1.626
0.122
1.459
0.172
0.847
1.302
17.44
0
0
0
Year 4
-0.006
0.006
0.022
10.615
0.019
0.247
1.144
0.011
0.022
0.17
0.894
0.663
-0.027
1.499
0.124
1.439
0.166
0.883
1.272
17.357
0
0
0
Year 5
-0.011
0.004
0.014
8.817
-0.124
-0.007
0.387
-0.016
-0.027
0.043
0.583
-0.013
-0.053
0.55
0.069
0.696
0.082
0.572
0.647
8.827
0
0
0
Year 6
-0.009
0.003
0.011
8.215
-0.168
-0.092
0.149
-0.026
-0.042
0.001
0.483
-0.244
-0.062
0.249
0.051
0.499
0.06
0.482
0.467
6.258
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.007
0.002
0.01
7.559
-0.186
-0.143
0.006
-0.031
-0.049
-0.022
0.408
-0.384
-0.066
0.064
0.039
0.377
0.047
0.42
0.348
4.542
0
0
0
Year 8
-0.004
0.001
0.008
6.847
-0.191
-0.178
-0.103
-0.033
-0.053
-0.038
0.334
-0.484
-0.065
-0.089
0.028
0.267
0.036
0.36
0.241
2.853
0
0
0
Year 9
-0.002
0
0.006
5.679
-0.192
-0.206
-0.224
-0.034
-0.056
-0.058
0.238
-0.593
-0.062
-0.291
0.014
0.097
0.021
0.273
0.092
0.369
0
0
0
Year 10
0.002
0
0.006
5.014
-0.167
-0.182
-0.178
-0.03
-0.049
-0.048
0.228
-0.537
-0.055
-0.254
0.014
0.134
0.026
0.271
0.098
0.339
0
0
0
Year 1
0.009
0.004
0.016
5.477
0.161
0.323
1.076
0.029
0.056
0.169
0.561
0.821
0.017
1.343
0.085
1.118
0.135
0.569
0.979
13.119
0
0
0
Page 46
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Employment Losses
Category
Units
Year 11
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
4.147
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
4.147
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
3.84
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.524
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.143
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.016
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.079
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.048
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.308
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.119
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.194
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.005
0.38
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.226
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
0.206
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
0.473
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.277
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
0.335
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.243
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.249
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
0
Year 12
3.945
3.945
3.654
0.49
-0.128
-0.014
-0.072
-0.042
-0.252
-0.102
-0.165
0.015
0.361
0.215
0.19
0.461
0.269
0.274
0.231
0.246
0
Year 13
3.713
3.713
3.439
0.453
-0.114
-0.013
-0.066
-0.036
-0.205
-0.087
-0.14
0.023
0.339
0.202
0.176
0.452
0.261
0.23
0.217
0.242
0
Year 14
3.482
3.482
3.225
0.418
-0.101
-0.012
-0.059
-0.03
-0.166
-0.075
-0.119
0.028
0.316
0.189
0.164
0.445
0.253
0.197
0.203
0.238
0
Year 15
3.261
3.261
3.02
0.384
-0.089
-0.011
-0.053
-0.025
-0.131
-0.064
-0.1
0.033
0.295
0.176
0.153
0.441
0.247
0.172
0.19
0.234
0
Year 16
3.056
3.056
2.83
0.354
-0.079
-0.01
-0.048
-0.021
-0.102
-0.055
-0.084
0.037
0.275
0.165
0.144
0.439
0.241
0.154
0.178
0.23
0
Year 17
2.865
2.865
2.654
0.326
-0.069
-0.009
-0.043
-0.017
-0.076
-0.047
-0.069
0.04
0.257
0.155
0.137
0.439
0.236
0.14
0.167
0.226
0
Year 18
2.688
2.688
2.49
0.301
-0.06
-0.008
-0.038
-0.014
-0.054
-0.04
-0.056
0.042
0.24
0.145
0.13
0.44
0.231
0.129
0.156
0.221
0
Year 19
2.526
2.526
2.341
0.278
-0.053
-0.007
-0.034
-0.011
-0.034
-0.033
-0.044
0.044
0.225
0.136
0.125
0.444
0.228
0.12
0.147
0.216
0
Year 20
2.373
2.373
2.2
0.257
-0.046
-0.007
-0.031
-0.009
-0.017
-0.028
-0.034
0.045
0.21
0.127
0.12
0.448
0.224
0.113
0.138
0.211
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 12
0.009
0
0.006
3.836
-0.115
-0.132
-0.08
-0.021
-0.034
-0.027
0.208
-0.406
-0.041
-0.172
0.016
0.194
0.035
0.268
0.109
0.291
0
0
0
Year 13
0.012
0
0.006
3.377
-0.093
-0.109
-0.035
-0.017
-0.028
-0.018
0.198
-0.344
-0.034
-0.133
0.017
0.22
0.039
0.267
0.115
0.274
0
0
0
Year 14
0.014
0
0.005
2.955
-0.074
-0.089
0.002
-0.014
-0.022
-0.01
0.189
-0.29
-0.028
-0.1
0.018
0.243
0.042
0.263
0.12
0.257
0
0
0
Year 15
0.016
0
0.005
2.577
-0.059
-0.073
0.033
-0.011
-0.018
-0.003
0.18
-0.242
-0.023
-0.07
0.018
0.262
0.044
0.259
0.123
0.241
0
0
0
Year 16
0.018
0
0.005
2.244
-0.045
-0.058
0.059
-0.008
-0.014
0.003
0.172
-0.201
-0.018
-0.045
0.019
0.278
0.046
0.253
0.125
0.226
0
0
0
Year 17
0.019
0
0.005
1.951
-0.034
-0.046
0.08
-0.006
-0.011
0.007
0.164
-0.165
-0.015
-0.024
0.019
0.291
0.047
0.246
0.126
0.211
0
0
0
Year 18
0.02
0
0.005
1.696
-0.025
-0.036
0.097
-0.004
-0.008
0.011
0.155
-0.135
-0.011
-0.007
0.019
0.301
0.047
0.239
0.126
0.198
0
0
0
Year 19
0.02
0
0.004
1.475
-0.017
-0.028
0.11
-0.002
-0.006
0.015
0.147
-0.108
-0.009
0.008
0.019
0.309
0.047
0.23
0.125
0.185
0
0
0
Year 20
0.021
0
0.004
1.283
-0.01
-0.02
0.12
-0.001
-0.004
0.017
0.139
-0.085
-0.006
0.019
0.019
0.314
0.047
0.221
0.124
0.173
0
0
0
Year 11
0.006
0
0.006
4.314
-0.141
-0.159
-0.134
-0.025
-0.042
-0.038
0.217
-0.478
-0.048
-0.215
0.015
0.162
0.031
0.268
0.1
0.308
0
0
0
Page 47
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
2.776
1.002
0.363
0.202
0.42
0.448
0.193
1.444
3.418
0.703
1.435
5.843
0.049
4.467
1.336
0.667
1.303
Year 2
3.702
1.297
0.478
0.265
0.554
0.597
0.248
1.898
4.554
0.958
1.891
7.69
0.061
6.317
1.822
0.852
1.718
Year 3
3.795
1.269
0.471
0.266
0.546
0.599
0.239
1.896
4.544
1
1.883
7.719
0.056
7.442
1.958
0.83
1.734
Year 4
3.794
1.209
0.459
0.261
0.533
0.595
0.225
1.869
4.519
1.021
1.841
7.543
0.053
8.09
2.022
0.782
1.704
Year 5
2.079
0.528
0.214
0.13
0.247
0.303
0.092
0.909
2.285
0.609
0.913
3.844
0.021
6.341
1.289
0.341
0.895
Year 6
1.55
0.313
0.139
0.093
0.159
0.215
0.051
0.632
1.612
0.488
0.634
2.699
0.013
5.772
1.065
0.205
0.643
Year 7
1.185
0.173
0.089
0.069
0.101
0.157
0.025
0.454
1.163
0.408
0.453
1.934
0.008
5.226
0.898
0.119
0.474
Year 8
0.836
0.048
0.043
0.047
0.047
0.102
0.003
0.286
0.722
0.332
0.286
1.238
0.004
4.648
0.733
0.045
0.317
Year 9
0.33
-0.123
-0.024
0.017
-0.032
0.021
-0.027
0.039
0.075
0.222
0.052
0.278
-0.002
3.723
0.481
-0.057
0.099
Year 10
0.301
-0.111
-0.021
0.02
-0.028
0.022
-0.023
0.061
0.071
0.225
0.064
0.284
0
3.287
0.434
-0.046
0.093
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 1
4.689
4.191
4.191
0
4.25
0
Year 2
9.173
4.692
4.692
4.25
9.125
0
Year 3
12.586
4.225
4.225
9.125
13.657
0
Year 4
15.238
3.729
3.729
13.657
17.802
0
Year 5
14.532
0.817
0.817
17.802
19.092
0
Year 6
13.617
0.11
0.11
19.092
19.681
0
Year 7
12.554
-0.355
-0.355
19.681
19.79
0
Year 8
11.334
-0.753
-0.753
19.79
19.474
0
Year 9
9.689
-1.357
-1.357
19.474
18.511
0
Year 10
8.514
-1.177
-1.177
18.511
17.678
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 1
0.453
0.33
0.263
0.276
0.666
0.61
0.445
0.332
0.29
0.211
0.157
0.116
0.101
0
0
0
0
0
Year 2
1.004
0.714
0.57
0.552
1.352
1.321
0.975
0.72
0.624
0.462
0.342
0.25
0.22
0.016
0
0
0
0
Year 3
1.551
1.078
0.863
0.778
1.879
1.994
1.493
1.094
0.934
0.708
0.52
0.379
0.333
0.052
0
0
0
0
Year 4
2.083
1.417
1.138
0.975
2.231
2.615
1.994
1.452
1.216
0.945
0.69
0.503
0.435
0.107
0
0
0
0
Year 5
2.331
1.535
1.243
1
2.034
2.811
2.217
1.603
1.302
1.05
0.762
0.556
0.467
0.182
0
0
0
0
Year 6
2.441
1.654
1.307
1.024
1.705
2.856
2.367
1.711
1.343
1.122
0.812
0.595
0.477
0.267
0
0
0
0
Year 7
2.443
1.773
1.343
1.047
1.348
2.747
2.463
1.795
1.362
1.164
0.85
0.624
0.477
0.342
0.015
0
0
0
Year 8
2.348
1.884
1.355
1.059
1.011
2.475
2.505
1.857
1.367
1.175
0.878
0.643
0.472
0.397
0.049
0
0
0
Year 9
2.138
1.965
1.326
1.038
0.682
2.01
2.463
1.879
1.344
1.142
0.887
0.646
0.459
0.43
0.101
0
0
0
Year 10
1.93
2.037
1.302
1.031
0.492
1.492
2.403
1.916
1.346
1.107
0.904
0.653
0.457
0.436
0.171
0
0
0
Page 48
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 11
0.268
-0.098
-0.018
0.022
-0.024
0.023
-0.018
0.08
0.067
0.226
0.073
0.284
0.002
2.83
0.383
-0.036
0.086
Year 12
0.26
-0.078
-0.013
0.025
-0.019
0.025
-0.013
0.102
0.067
0.23
0.088
0.329
0.004
2.518
0.352
-0.021
0.089
Year 13
0.248
-0.061
-0.01
0.028
-0.015
0.027
-0.008
0.121
0.066
0.232
0.1
0.359
0.006
2.219
0.321
-0.009
0.09
Year 14
0.236
-0.046
-0.007
0.03
-0.012
0.028
-0.004
0.137
0.065
0.232
0.11
0.38
0.007
1.944
0.291
0
0.089
Year 15
0.224
-0.034
-0.004
0.031
-0.009
0.03
0
0.15
0.064
0.231
0.118
0.395
0.009
1.697
0.264
0.008
0.088
Year 16
0.212
-0.024
-0.002
0.033
-0.006
0.03
0.002
0.162
0.062
0.228
0.124
0.405
0.01
1.479
0.24
0.015
0.087
Year 17
0.201
-0.015
0
0.034
-0.004
0.031
0.005
0.171
0.06
0.224
0.128
0.411
0.01
1.288
0.217
0.02
0.085
Year 18
0.19
-0.007
0.001
0.034
-0.002
0.031
0.007
0.178
0.059
0.218
0.131
0.412
0.011
1.122
0.198
0.024
0.082
Year 19
0.18
-0.001
0.003
0.035
-0.001
0.031
0.008
0.184
0.057
0.212
0.132
0.411
0.011
0.977
0.18
0.027
0.08
Year 20
0.171
0.004
0.004
0.035
0.001
0.031
0.009
0.188
0.054
0.205
0.132
0.407
0.012
0.851
0.164
0.029
0.077
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 11
7.553
-1.09
-1.09
17.678
16.885
0
Year 12
6.806
-0.983
-0.983
16.885
16.154
0
Year 13
6.191
-0.909
-0.909
16.154
15.453
0
Year 14
5.671
-0.851
-0.851
15.453
14.767
0
Year 15
5.219
-0.802
-0.802
14.767
14.091
0
Year 16
4.825
-0.758
-0.758
14.091
13.422
0
Year 17
4.497
-0.725
-0.725
13.422
12.754
0
Year 18
4.211
-0.697
-0.697
12.754
12.085
0
Year 19
3.961
-0.673
-0.673
12.085
11.418
0
Year 20
3.735
-0.652
-0.652
11.418
10.756
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 11
1.716
2.039
1.332
1.03
0.4
0.968
2.288
1.951
1.364
1.072
0.92
0.662
0.463
0.429
0.251
0
0
0
Year 12
1.503
1.981
1.402
1.032
0.38
0.504
2.088
1.983
1.399
1.048
0.932
0.678
0.474
0.416
0.321
0.014
0
0
Year 13
1.293
1.87
1.498
1.034
0.4
0.14
1.787
2.004
1.447
1.039
0.933
0.698
0.489
0.404
0.372
0.044
0
0
Year 14
1.093
1.704
1.615
1.035
0.436
-0.108
1.388
2.009
1.507
1.046
0.923
0.723
0.505
0.398
0.403
0.091
0
0
Year 15
0.899
1.529
1.714
1.032
0.473
-0.239
0.918
1.982
1.572
1.071
0.904
0.752
0.522
0.4
0.409
0.155
0
0
Year 16
0.713
1.344
1.738
1.081
0.509
-0.278
0.436
1.899
1.631
1.108
0.884
0.779
0.54
0.41
0.402
0.226
0
0
Year 17
0.537
1.154
1.699
1.165
0.541
-0.257
0.006
1.723
1.682
1.158
0.871
0.799
0.562
0.423
0.391
0.288
0.012
0
Year 18
0.376
0.962
1.603
1.274
0.568
-0.204
-0.332
1.442
1.719
1.219
0.871
0.807
0.588
0.439
0.38
0.334
0.038
0
Year 19
0.234
0.778
1.449
1.401
0.589
-0.14
-0.557
1.059
1.737
1.29
0.887
0.803
0.618
0.457
0.374
0.361
0.078
0
Year 20
0.114
0.597
1.285
1.508
0.603
-0.079
-0.668
0.604
1.722
1.363
0.918
0.789
0.65
0.475
0.377
0.367
0.132
0
Page 49
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
0.097
-0.008
Year 2
0.127
-0.007
Year 3
0.13
-0.002
Year 4
0.129
0.002
Year 5
0.067
0.012
Year 6
0.048
0.015
Year 7
0.035
0.017
Year 8
0.023
0.019
Year 9
0.008
0.02
Year 10
0.009
0.019
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
0.005
0.034
0.011
0.003
0
0.002
0.005
0.008
0.008
0
0
0.022
Year 2
0.012
0.039
0.012
0.003
0
0.002
0.006
0.012
0.011
0
0
0.03
Year 3
0.017
0.033
0.01
0.003
0
0.002
0.007
0.012
0.012
0
0
0.033
Year 4
0.022
0.026
0.008
0.002
0
0.002
0.007
0.013
0.013
0
0
0.034
Year 5
0.024
0
0
0
0
0.001
0.004
0.008
0.008
0
0
0.021
Year 6
0.024
-0.008
-0.003
-0.001
0
0.001
0.004
0.007
0.007
0
0
0.018
Year 7
0.024
-0.013
-0.004
-0.001
0
0.001
0.003
0.006
0.006
0
0
0.015
Year 8
0.023
-0.017
-0.005
-0.001
0
0.001
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.012
Year 9
0.022
-0.021
-0.007
-0.002
0
0
0.002
0.003
0.003
0
0
0.008
Year 10
0.021
-0.019
-0.006
-0.002
0
0
0.001
0.003
0.003
0
0
0.007
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
0.001
-0.007
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
-0.003
Year 2
0.002
-0.008
0
0
0.001
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.001
0
0
-0.003
Year 3
0.003
-0.007
0
0.001
0.001
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.001
0
0
-0.003
Year 4
0.004
-0.005
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0
0
0.001
0
0.001
0
0
-0.002
Year 5
0.005
0.001
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0
0
0.001
0
0.001
0
0
0
Year 6
0.005
0.003
0
0.001
0.002
0
0.001
0
0
0.001
0
0.001
0
0
0.001
Year 7
0.005
0.004
0
0.001
0.002
0
0.001
0
0
0.001
0
0.001
0
0
0.002
Year 8
0.005
0.005
0
0.001
0.002
0
0.001
0
0
0.001
0
0.001
0
0
0.002
Year 9
0.005
0.007
0
0.001
0.002
0
0.001
0
0
0.001
0
0.001
0
0
0.003
Year 10
0.005
0.006
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0
0
0.001
0
0.001
0
0
0.003
Page 50
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.011
0.019
Year 12
0.013
0.018
Year 13
0.015
0.017
Year 14
0.017
0.016
Year 15
0.018
0.016
Year 16
0.019
0.015
Year 17
0.02
0.014
Year 18
0.021
0.013
Year 19
0.021
0.013
Year 20
0.021
0.012
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.02
-0.016
-0.005
-0.001
0
0
0.001
0.003
0.002
0
0
0.007
Year 12
0.019
-0.014
-0.004
-0.001
0
0
0.001
0.002
0.002
0
0
0.007
Year 13
0.019
-0.011
-0.004
-0.001
0
0
0.001
0.002
0.002
0
0
0.006
Year 14
0.018
-0.009
-0.003
-0.001
0
0
0.001
0.002
0.002
0
0
0.006
Year 15
0.017
-0.008
-0.002
-0.001
0
0
0.001
0.002
0.002
0
0
0.006
Year 16
0.016
-0.006
-0.002
-0.001
0
0
0.001
0.002
0.002
0
0
0.006
Year 17
0.016
-0.005
-0.002
0
0
0
0.001
0.002
0.002
0
0
0.006
Year 18
0.015
-0.004
-0.001
0
0
0
0.001
0.002
0.002
0
0
0.006
Year 19
0.014
-0.003
-0.001
0
0
0
0.001
0.002
0.002
0
0
0.005
Year 20
0.013
-0.002
-0.001
0
0
0
0.001
0.002
0.002
0
0
0.005
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.005
0.006
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0
0
0.001
0
0.001
0
0
0.003
Year 12
0.004
0.006
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0
0
0.001
0
0.001
0
0
0.002
Year 13
0.004
0.006
0
0.001
0.001
0
0
0
0
0.001
0
0.001
0
0
0.002
Year 14
0.004
0.005
0
0.001
0.001
0
0
0
0
0.001
0
0.001
0
0
0.002
Year 15
0.004
0.005
0
0.001
0.001
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.001
0
0
0.002
Year 16
0.004
0.005
0
0.001
0.001
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.001
0
0
0.002
Year 17
0.003
0.005
0
0.001
0.001
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.001
0
0
0.002
Year 18
0.003
0.004
0
0.001
0.001
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.001
0
0
0.002
Year 19
0.003
0.004
0
0
0.001
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.001
0
0
0.002
Year 20
0.003
0.004
0
0
0.001
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.001
0
0
0.002
Page 51
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Year 1
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
54.966
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
54.965
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
21.463
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.285
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.488
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.001
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.178
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.311
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
2.367
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.373
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.963
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.031
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.774
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.053
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
0.683
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
2.245
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.827
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
0.494
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
2.68
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.395
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
0
Year 2
73.383
73.383
28.85
1.868
0.548
-0.004
0.187
0.365
3.11
0.483
1.22
1.407
2.417
1.437
1.025
3.305
2.555
1.205
3.602
1.938
0
Year 3
75.353
75.353
30.938
2.108
0.554
-0.007
0.182
0.379
3.128
0.469
1.188
1.47
2.662
1.579
1.213
3.714
2.713
1.655
3.74
2.076
0
Year 4
75.519
75.519
31.315
2.323
0.457
-0.011
0.129
0.339
3.049
0.431
1.113
1.504
2.781
1.651
1.333
4.058
2.857
1.936
3.804
2.184
0
Year 5
42.534
42.534
19.964
1.692
0.167
-0.014
0.016
0.165
1.438
0.15
0.443
0.845
1.859
1.091
0.975
2.695
1.78
1.871
2.191
1.369
0
Year 6
32.468
32.468
16.427
1.516
0.045
-0.016
-0.032
0.093
0.949
0.059
0.228
0.661
1.56
0.914
0.853
2.299
1.476
1.625
1.697
1.161
0
Year 7
25.551
25.551
13.879
1.365
-0.038
-0.018
-0.062
0.042
0.62
-0.001
0.085
0.536
1.327
0.777
0.753
2.012
1.258
1.425
1.348
1.023
0
Year 8
18.886
18.886
11.511
1.191
-0.084
-0.018
-0.077
0.011
0.309
-0.053
-0.042
0.404
1.107
0.648
0.651
1.7
1.034
1.22
1.009
0.88
0
Year 9
8.881
8.881
7.853
0.903
-0.154
-0.018
-0.096
-0.039
-0.11
-0.12
-0.209
0.219
0.75
0.431
0.475
1.147
0.671
0.98
0.482
0.629
0
Year 10
7.988
7.988
7.06
0.833
-0.174
-0.017
-0.102
-0.055
-0.073
-0.109
-0.193
0.229
0.66
0.379
0.414
1.086
0.64
0.772
0.425
0.615
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 2
0.003
0.005
0.109
13.446
0.091
0.471
2.758
0.038
0.064
0.226
0.868
1.234
-0.002
2.545
0.225
2.704
0.213
1.585
2.268
44.533
0
0
0
Year 3
-0.001
0.004
0.11
16.028
0.052
0.421
2.616
0.019
0.047
0.197
0.881
1.074
-0.008
2.435
0.232
2.689
0.211
1.689
2.24
44.415
0
0
0
Year 4
-0.002
0.004
0.113
17.3
0
0.345
2.377
-0.005
0.029
0.157
0.865
0.842
-0.014
2.276
0.234
2.646
0.206
1.769
2.173
44.204
0
0
0
Year 5
Year 6
0.002
0.001
0.064
12.451
-0.119
-0.02
0.552
-0.058
-0.03
-0.017
0.39
-0.261
-0.022
0.524
0.101
0.973
0.09
1.003
0.803
16.042
0
0
0
Year 7
0.002
0.001
0.055
11.204
-0.125
-0.067
0.329
-0.06
-0.035
-0.029
0.328
-0.413
-0.022
0.275
0.082
0.773
0.077
0.892
0.611
11.672
0
0
0
Year 8
0.002
0
0.047
9.989
-0.125
-0.103
0.145
-0.059
-0.038
-0.039
0.263
-0.529
-0.022
0.053
0.064
0.586
0.065
0.776
0.435
7.375
0
0
0
Year 9
0.003
0
0.034
7.96
-0.123
-0.139
-0.091
-0.057
-0.041
-0.053
0.168
-0.671
-0.02
-0.261
0.038
0.283
0.045
0.597
0.182
1.028
0
0
0
Year 10
0.005
0
0.034
6.847
-0.106
-0.121
-0.015
-0.049
-0.035
-0.038
0.17
-0.615
-0.018
-0.233
0.039
0.351
0.049
0.599
0.195
0.928
0
0
0
Year 1
0.005
0.003
0.082
9.502
0.093
0.385
2.151
0.039
0.06
0.187
0.643
1.032
0.001
1.973
0.164
2.105
0.163
1.141
1.733
33.503
0
0
0
0
0.001
0.075
13.786
-0.094
0.064
0.95
-0.048
-0.018
0.017
0.492
0.007
-0.019
0.93
0.131
1.309
0.113
1.165
1.101
22.57
0
0
0
Page 52
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Year 11
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
7.027
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
7.027
6.202
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.756
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.191
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.016
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.105
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.07
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.031
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.097
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.174
0.241
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.564
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.325
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
0.356
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
1.031
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.606
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
0.634
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.366
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.596
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
0
Year 12
6.714
6.714
5.933
0.707
-0.175
-0.015
-0.097
-0.062
0.029
-0.077
-0.139
0.245
0.532
0.308
0.33
1.011
0.59
0.531
0.347
0.589
0
Year 13
6.375
6.375
5.638
0.657
-0.158
-0.014
-0.088
-0.056
0.077
-0.06
-0.109
0.245
0.499
0.29
0.308
0.997
0.575
0.455
0.327
0.58
0
Year 14
6.044
6.044
5.348
0.61
-0.143
-0.013
-0.08
-0.049
0.115
-0.046
-0.083
0.244
0.467
0.273
0.291
0.988
0.561
0.398
0.308
0.571
0
Year 15
5.73
5.73
5.072
0.567
-0.128
-0.012
-0.072
-0.043
0.148
-0.033
-0.06
0.241
0.439
0.258
0.276
0.983
0.548
0.355
0.291
0.562
0
Year 16
5.44
5.44
4.818
0.528
-0.114
-0.011
-0.065
-0.038
0.176
-0.022
-0.04
0.238
0.413
0.244
0.265
0.986
0.538
0.324
0.276
0.553
0
Year 17
5.171
5.171
4.582
0.493
-0.102
-0.01
-0.059
-0.033
0.2
-0.013
-0.021
0.235
0.39
0.232
0.256
0.994
0.531
0.3
0.262
0.545
0
Year 18
4.919
4.919
4.361
0.461
-0.092
-0.01
-0.054
-0.029
0.221
-0.005
-0.005
0.231
0.369
0.221
0.25
1.007
0.525
0.283
0.249
0.536
0
Year 19
4.685
4.685
4.156
0.433
-0.082
-0.009
-0.049
-0.025
0.24
0.002
0.01
0.227
0.35
0.211
0.245
1.023
0.521
0.271
0.238
0.527
0
Year 20
4.459
4.459
3.958
0.406
-0.074
-0.008
-0.044
-0.022
0.255
0.009
0.022
0.223
0.332
0.201
0.241
1.044
0.518
0.262
0.227
0.517
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 12
0.008
0
0.033
5.055
-0.073
-0.081
0.143
-0.034
-0.022
-0.01
0.175
-0.478
-0.014
-0.165
0.044
0.472
0.056
0.599
0.221
0.781
0
0
0
Year 13
0.01
0
0.033
4.449
-0.059
-0.062
0.214
-0.027
-0.016
0.002
0.177
-0.408
-0.012
-0.13
0.047
0.525
0.059
0.598
0.236
0.737
0
0
0
Year 14
0.011
0.001
0.032
3.897
-0.047
-0.046
0.274
-0.021
-0.012
0.012
0.178
-0.346
-0.01
-0.098
0.049
0.571
0.061
0.595
0.248
0.696
0
0
0
Year 15
0.012
0.001
0.032
3.404
-0.036
-0.033
0.322
-0.016
-0.008
0.02
0.178
-0.29
-0.008
-0.07
0.05
0.609
0.063
0.588
0.257
0.657
0
0
0
Year 16
0.013
0.001
0.031
2.97
-0.028
-0.022
0.361
-0.012
-0.005
0.027
0.178
-0.242
-0.007
-0.046
0.051
0.641
0.064
0.578
0.264
0.622
0
0
0
Year 17
0.014
0.001
0.03
2.592
-0.02
-0.013
0.392
-0.008
-0.002
0.032
0.176
-0.199
-0.006
-0.025
0.052
0.668
0.064
0.567
0.268
0.589
0
0
0
Year 18
0.014
0.001
0.029
2.263
-0.014
-0.005
0.415
-0.005
0
0.036
0.173
-0.162
-0.005
-0.008
0.052
0.689
0.064
0.553
0.27
0.558
0
0
0
Year 19
0.014
0.001
0.028
1.977
-0.009
0.002
0.433
-0.002
0.002
0.04
0.168
-0.13
-0.004
0.007
0.052
0.706
0.063
0.539
0.271
0.529
0
0
0
Year 20
0.015
0
0.027
1.729
-0.005
0.007
0.444
0
0.003
0.042
0.163
-0.103
-0.003
0.018
0.051
0.716
0.062
0.523
0.269
0.501
0
0
0
Year 11
0.007
0
0.033
5.694
-0.089
-0.103
0.057
-0.041
-0.028
-0.024
0.171
-0.555
-0.016
-0.204
0.041
0.408
0.053
0.596
0.202
0.825
0
0
0
Page 53
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
6.003
2.085
0.85
0.366
0.98
1.048
0.362
3.167
8.564
1.428
2.844
12.12
0.106
8.374
2.719
1.24
2.707
Year 2
8.002
2.735
1.125
0.476
1.301
1.392
0.472
4.158
11.393
1.946
3.741
15.97
0.138
11.653
3.674
1.63
3.578
Year 3
8.144
2.707
1.116
0.472
1.294
1.391
0.463
4.139
11.372
2.022
3.711
15.968
0.135
13.324
3.866
1.628
3.602
Year 4
8.13
2.633
1.1
0.46
1.279
1.383
0.445
4.091
11.32
2.072
3.637
15.641
0.132
14.124
3.935
1.587
3.549
Year 5
4.414
1.266
0.541
0.231
0.627
0.709
0.205
2.041
5.771
1.258
1.838
8.068
0.067
10.44
2.387
0.797
1.875
Year 6
3.28
0.846
0.372
0.169
0.429
0.51
0.134
1.46
4.099
1.034
1.311
5.796
0.047
9.146
1.91
0.559
1.366
Year 7
2.509
0.571
0.261
0.13
0.299
0.378
0.089
1.087
2.981
0.885
0.969
4.306
0.034
8.05
1.57
0.405
1.027
Year 8
1.762
0.312
0.152
0.094
0.172
0.25
0.047
0.728
1.88
0.734
0.644
2.903
0.022
6.982
1.238
0.26
0.705
Year 9
0.643
-0.063
-0.007
0.04
-0.017
0.061
-0.014
0.182
0.249
0.506
0.17
0.863
0.003
5.259
0.724
0.047
0.235
Year 10
0.57
-0.06
-0.006
0.046
-0.016
0.062
-0.01
0.22
0.227
0.513
0.181
0.833
0.004
4.525
0.641
0.045
0.213
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 1
9.744
9.874
9.874
0
9.993
0
Year 2
19.772
12.335
12.335
9.993
22.71
0
Year 3
27.814
12.085
12.085
22.71
35.466
0
Year 4
34.404
11.421
11.421
35.467
47.833
0
Year 5
33.678
4.033
4.033
47.833
52.983
0
Year 6
32.238
1.892
1.892
52.983
56.044
0
Year 7
30.376
0.372
0.373
56.044
57.589
0
Year 8
28.084
-0.966
-0.966
57.589
57.761
0
Year 9
24.792
-2.85
-2.849
57.761
55.972
0
Year 10
22.347
-2.683
-2.683
55.972
54.251
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 1
1.049
0.778
0.62
0.65
1.57
1.436
1.049
0.781
0.683
0.497
0.369
0.273
0.237
0
0
0
0
0
Year 2
2.428
1.784
1.424
1.385
3.389
3.299
2.433
1.797
1.558
1.153
0.851
0.624
0.547
0.038
0
0
0
0
Year 3
3.859
2.814
2.251
2.048
4.95
5.201
3.888
2.85
2.438
1.841
1.352
0.986
0.863
0.125
0
0
0
0
Year 4
5.289
3.832
3.076
2.663
6.142
7.068
5.373
3.915
3.289
2.542
1.857
1.352
1.168
0.266
0
0
0
0
Year 5
5.992
4.297
3.474
2.834
5.905
7.872
6.167
4.463
3.647
2.916
2.116
1.54
1.295
0.465
0
0
0
0
Year 6
6.348
4.713
3.753
2.976
5.237
8.257
6.757
4.886
3.869
3.195
2.311
1.687
1.361
0.695
0
0
0
0
Year 7
6.44
5.078
3.946
3.103
4.398
8.204
7.188
5.229
4.013
3.388
2.467
1.802
1.391
0.909
0.035
0
0
0
Year 8
6.298
5.374
4.06
3.194
3.537
7.68
7.454
5.501
4.101
3.491
2.588
1.888
1.4
1.08
0.116
0
0
0
Year 9
5.863
5.544
4.053
3.186
2.637
6.59
7.478
5.652
4.101
3.467
2.654
1.924
1.382
1.196
0.246
0
0
0
Year 10
5.431
5.658
4.041
3.205
2.058
5.281
7.427
5.826
4.149
3.42
2.731
1.965
1.387
1.242
0.428
0
0
0
Page 54
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 11
0.493
-0.058
-0.005
0.05
-0.014
0.064
-0.006
0.251
0.204
0.515
0.188
0.791
0.005
3.766
0.552
0.042
0.189
Year 12
0.472
-0.04
-0.001
0.057
-0.009
0.068
0
0.29
0.197
0.523
0.207
0.846
0.006
3.348
0.511
0.051
0.188
Year 13
0.449
-0.025
0.002
0.062
-0.006
0.071
0.005
0.324
0.19
0.528
0.223
0.882
0.007
2.951
0.47
0.057
0.186
Year 14
0.426
-0.013
0.005
0.066
-0.002
0.073
0.009
0.352
0.183
0.529
0.236
0.907
0.008
2.589
0.432
0.061
0.182
Year 15
0.404
-0.001
0.008
0.07
0.001
0.075
0.013
0.376
0.176
0.526
0.246
0.924
0.009
2.265
0.397
0.064
0.178
Year 16
0.384
0.008
0.01
0.073
0.003
0.076
0.016
0.396
0.17
0.521
0.254
0.934
0.009
1.981
0.365
0.067
0.173
Year 17
0.365
0.016
0.011
0.075
0.006
0.077
0.018
0.413
0.163
0.514
0.26
0.937
0.01
1.733
0.336
0.069
0.168
Year 18
0.348
0.023
0.013
0.077
0.007
0.077
0.02
0.426
0.157
0.505
0.263
0.935
0.01
1.517
0.31
0.07
0.163
Year 19
0.331
0.029
0.014
0.078
0.009
0.077
0.022
0.436
0.151
0.494
0.264
0.928
0.01
1.329
0.286
0.07
0.158
Year 20
0.315
0.033
0.015
0.078
0.01
0.077
0.023
0.442
0.145
0.481
0.264
0.915
0.01
1.165
0.265
0.07
0.153
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 11
20.301
-2.675
-2.675
54.251
52.436
0
Year 12
18.682
-2.525
-2.525
52.436
50.668
0
Year 13
17.32
-2.413
-2.413
50.668
48.908
0
Year 14
16.139
-2.314
-2.314
48.908
47.144
0
Year 15
15.095
-2.22
-2.22
47.144
45.372
0
Year 16
14.15
-2.13
-2.13
45.372
43.594
0
Year 17
13.316
-2.057
-2.056
43.594
41.802
0
Year 18
12.557
-1.988
-1.987
41.802
39.999
0
Year 19
11.861
-1.921
-1.921
39.999
38.195
0
Year 20
11.211
-1.861
-1.859
38.195
36.397
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 11
4.97
5.608
4.127
3.229
1.725
3.875
7.217
5.987
4.229
3.359
2.804
2.01
1.409
1.247
0.639
0
0
0
Year 12
4.5
5.437
4.276
3.261
1.592
2.561
6.772
6.134
4.35
3.317
2.863
2.065
1.443
1.231
0.834
0.031
0
0
Year 13
4.026
5.159
4.459
3.291
1.586
1.462
6.042
6.25
4.509
3.306
2.894
2.133
1.487
1.21
0.99
0.103
0
0
Year 14
3.563
4.772
4.666
3.316
1.644
0.648
5.021
6.323
4.699
3.337
2.894
2.214
1.536
1.199
1.095
0.218
0
0
Year 15
3.098
4.38
4.812
3.331
1.722
0.144
3.773
6.313
4.906
3.411
2.866
2.304
1.588
1.207
1.137
0.379
0
0
Year 16
2.641
3.967
4.8
3.448
1.811
-0.102
2.44
6.154
5.105
3.522
2.83
2.394
1.645
1.233
1.143
0.563
0
0
Year 17
2.198
3.538
4.662
3.624
1.898
-0.161
1.188
5.753
5.287
3.671
2.809
2.466
1.712
1.271
1.129
0.733
0.026
0
Year 18
1.779
3.102
4.414
3.832
1.979
-0.1
0.144
5.065
5.434
3.853
2.817
2.51
1.789
1.316
1.111
0.869
0.086
0
Year 19
1.397
2.673
4.054
4.061
2.051
0.019
-0.618
4.084
5.536
4.065
2.864
2.523
1.878
1.366
1.101
0.96
0.181
0
Year 20
1.063
2.24
3.688
4.228
2.109
0.154
-1.076
2.872
5.553
4.292
2.953
2.508
1.975
1.419
1.11
0.997
0.312
0
Page 55
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
0.197
-0.009
Year 2
0.27
-0.005
Year 3
0.288
0.003
Year 4
0.299
0.013
Year 5
0.185
0.028
Year 6
0.153
0.034
Year 7
0.13
0.038
Year 8
0.107
0.041
Year 9
0.074
0.042
Year 10
0.074
0.041
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
0.013
0.065
0.021
0.006
0
0.003
0.01
0.017
0.017
0
0
0.046
Year 2
0.029
0.08
0.025
0.007
0
0.003
0.013
0.024
0.024
0
0
0.064
Year 3
0.045
0.074
0.023
0.006
0
0.003
0.014
0.026
0.026
0
0
0.069
Year 4
0.06
0.066
0.021
0.006
0
0.003
0.015
0.028
0.027
0
0
0.073
Year 5
0.066
0.02
0.006
0.002
0
0.002
0.009
0.017
0.017
0
0
0.045
Year 6
0.068
0.007
0.002
0.001
0
0.001
0.008
0.014
0.014
0
0
0.037
Year 7
0.069
-0.002
-0.001
0
0
0.001
0.007
0.012
0.012
0
0
0.032
Year 8
0.069
-0.009
-0.003
-0.001
0
0.001
0.005
0.01
0.01
0
0
0.026
Year 9
0.067
-0.018
-0.006
-0.002
0
0
0.003
0.006
0.006
0
0
0.016
Year 10
0.065
-0.016
-0.005
-0.001
0
0
0.003
0.006
0.006
0
0
0.016
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
0.002
-0.009
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
-0.004
Year 2
0.004
-0.009
0
0.001
0.001
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.001
0
0
-0.004
Year 3
0.006
-0.006
0
0.001
0.002
0
0.001
0
0
0.001
0
0.002
0
0
-0.003
Year 4
0.008
-0.003
0
0.001
0.002
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0
0.002
0
0
-0.001
Year 5
0.009
0.007
0
0.001
0.003
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0.001
0.002
0
0
0.003
Year 6
0.009
0.01
0
0.001
0.003
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0.001
0.003
0
0
0.004
Year 7
0.01
0.012
0
0.001
0.003
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0.001
0.003
0
0
0.005
Year 8
0.01
0.013
0
0.001
0.003
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0.001
0.003
0
0
0.006
Year 9
0.01
0.015
0
0.001
0.003
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0.001
0.003
0
0
0.006
Year 10
0.009
0.015
0
0.001
0.003
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0.001
0.003
0
0
0.006
Page 56
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.074
0.04
Year 12
0.076
0.038
Year 13
0.077
0.037
Year 14
0.078
0.036
Year 15
0.078
0.034
Year 16
0.078
0.033
Year 17
0.078
0.032
Year 18
0.077
0.03
Year 19
0.076
0.029
Year 20
0.075
0.028
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.063
-0.013
-0.004
-0.001
0
0
0.003
0.006
0.006
0
0
0.015
Year 12
0.061
-0.01
-0.003
-0.001
0
0
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.014
Year 13
0.059
-0.007
-0.002
-0.001
0
0
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.014
Year 14
0.057
-0.004
-0.001
0
0
0
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.014
Year 15
0.055
-0.002
-0.001
0
0
0
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.013
Year 16
0.053
-0.001
0
0
0
0
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.013
Year 17
0.051
0.001
0
0
0
0
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.013
Year 18
0.049
0.002
0.001
0
0
0
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.013
Year 19
0.047
0.003
0.001
0
0
0
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.013
Year 20
0.045
0.004
0.001
0
0
0
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.012
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.009
0.014
0
0.001
0.003
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0.001
0.002
0
0
0.006
Year 12
0.009
0.014
0
0.001
0.003
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0.001
0.002
0
0
0.006
Year 13
0.008
0.013
0
0.001
0.003
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0.001
0.002
0
0
0.005
Year 14
0.008
0.013
0
0.001
0.003
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0
0.002
0
0
0.005
Year 15
0.008
0.012
0
0.001
0.002
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0
0.002
0
0
0.005
Year 16
0.008
0.012
0
0.001
0.002
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0
0.002
0
0
0.005
Year 17
0.007
0.011
0
0.001
0.002
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0
0.002
0
0
0.005
Year 18
0.007
0.011
0
0.001
0.002
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0
0.002
0
0
0.004
Year 19
0.007
0.01
0
0.001
0.002
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0
0.002
0
0
0.004
Year 20
0.006
0.01
0
0.001
0.002
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0
0.002
0
0
0.004
Page 57
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Year 1
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
63.809
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
63.809
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
35.425
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
2.936
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.687
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.004
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.161
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.531
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.987
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.487
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.952
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.548
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
3.623
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
2.167
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
1.302
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
2.808
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
2.34
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
0.325
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
3.648
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.771
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
0
Year 2
85.676
85.676
47.854
4.112
0.776
-0.016
0.14
0.652
2.437
0.583
1.151
0.702
4.889
2.939
1.938
4.158
3.245
0.83
4.915
2.448
0
Year 3
88.155
88.155
50.434
4.483
0.705
-0.031
0.097
0.638
2.238
0.504
1.054
0.681
5.189
3.131
2.235
4.69
3.427
1.154
5.104
2.607
0
Year 4
88.781
88.781
51.241
4.797
0.531
-0.047
0.003
0.576
1.934
0.388
0.908
0.638
5.329
3.235
2.438
5.131
3.593
1.358
5.2
2.723
0
Year 5
49.48
49.48
30.43
3.126
0
-0.06
-0.143
0.204
0.343
-0.05
0.164
0.229
3.127
1.918
1.657
3.429
2.192
1.305
2.916
1.638
0
Year 6
37.654
37.654
24.165
2.684
-0.202
-0.069
-0.211
0.078
-0.17
-0.198
-0.077
0.105
2.482
1.54
1.379
2.895
1.792
1.104
2.247
1.349
0
Year 7
29.33
29.33
19.562
2.317
-0.332
-0.074
-0.25
-0.007
-0.517
-0.297
-0.239
0.019
1.985
1.249
1.144
2.481
1.488
0.945
1.762
1.139
0
Year 8
21.176
21.176
15.08
1.887
-0.416
-0.076
-0.265
-0.074
-0.829
-0.381
-0.383
-0.065
1.472
0.945
0.895
2.027
1.175
0.784
1.265
0.923
0
Year 9
9.93
9.93
9.194
1.293
-0.505
-0.074
-0.274
-0.157
-1.154
-0.459
-0.536
-0.158
0.788
0.524
0.543
1.295
0.703
0.599
0.563
0.584
0
Year 10
9.54
9.54
8.839
1.252
-0.478
-0.069
-0.263
-0.146
-1.043
-0.419
-0.489
-0.135
0.774
0.513
0.466
1.194
0.67
0.445
0.55
0.571
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 2
0.009
0.017
0.048
14.799
0.921
1.346
4.107
0.212
0.479
1.518
2.172
4.013
0.115
5.236
0.721
5.142
0.618
2.478
3.904
37.821
0
0
0
Year 3
0.006
0.019
0.049
18.998
0.564
1.111
3.819
0.172
0.336
1.418
2.411
3.46
0.04
5.016
0.759
5.126
0.611
2.623
3.896
37.721
0
0
0
Year 4
0.003
0.02
0.049
22.476
0.141
0.798
3.36
0.119
0.175
1.268
2.586
2.702
-0.041
4.68
0.778
5.034
0.587
2.699
3.807
37.541
0
0
0
Year 5
-0.004
0.014
0.03
20.33
-0.741
-0.155
0.992
-0.038
-0.231
0.386
1.773
-0.112
-0.188
1.777
0.455
2.326
0.276
1.664
1.878
19.049
0
0
0
Year 6
-0.006
0.011
0.025
19.894
-1.045
-0.482
0.235
-0.095
-0.362
0.097
1.505
-1.047
-0.238
0.855
0.352
1.614
0.182
1.344
1.326
13.489
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.007
0.008
0.021
18.947
-1.203
-0.677
-0.231
-0.127
-0.43
-0.079
1.287
-1.608
-0.259
0.272
0.28
1.17
0.123
1.121
0.953
9.768
0
0
0
Year 8
-0.007
0.006
0.016
17.468
-1.286
-0.812
-0.591
-0.146
-0.471
-0.215
1.064
-2.023
-0.263
-0.226
0.212
0.761
0.073
0.908
0.612
6.096
0
0
0
Year 9
-0.007
0.004
0.011
15.1
-1.31
-0.907
-0.965
-0.162
-0.5
-0.372
0.787
-2.454
-0.259
-0.857
0.123
0.162
0.011
0.628
0.162
0.736
0
0
0
Year 10
-0.006
0.003
0.011
13.703
-1.163
-0.81
-0.82
-0.146
-0.442
-0.326
0.74
-2.203
-0.228
-0.742
0.12
0.309
0.023
0.625
0.191
0.701
0
0
0
Year 1
0.009
0.012
0.037
9.324
0.954
1.155
3.254
0.183
0.459
1.214
1.504
3.395
0.132
4.059
0.517
3.991
0.474
1.792
2.96
28.385
0
0
0
Page 58
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Year 11
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
8.985
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
8.985
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
8.322
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.193
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.447
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.063
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.25
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.133
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.924
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.377
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.437
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.11
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.746
0.492
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
0.403
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
1.115
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.633
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
0.35
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.528
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.551
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
0
Year 12
8.77
8.77
8.124
1.152
-0.389
-0.058
-0.225
-0.106
-0.783
-0.325
-0.372
-0.086
0.764
0.499
0.375
1.08
0.616
0.282
0.534
0.545
0
Year 13
8.382
8.382
7.761
1.092
-0.335
-0.052
-0.2
-0.083
-0.667
-0.281
-0.318
-0.067
0.757
0.491
0.349
1.052
0.598
0.234
0.525
0.535
0
Year 14
7.951
7.951
7.357
1.027
-0.287
-0.047
-0.178
-0.062
-0.567
-0.244
-0.272
-0.051
0.741
0.479
0.327
1.031
0.581
0.198
0.511
0.526
0
Year 15
7.521
7.521
6.955
0.964
-0.244
-0.042
-0.157
-0.045
-0.48
-0.211
-0.231
-0.038
0.721
0.464
0.311
1.018
0.566
0.171
0.495
0.517
0
Year 16
7.104
7.104
6.565
0.904
-0.205
-0.037
-0.139
-0.029
-0.404
-0.182
-0.195
-0.026
0.699
0.449
0.298
1.012
0.554
0.151
0.478
0.508
0
Year 17
6.706
6.706
6.194
0.847
-0.172
-0.033
-0.122
-0.016
-0.338
-0.158
-0.163
-0.017
0.676
0.433
0.288
1.011
0.543
0.136
0.461
0.499
0
Year 18
6.329
6.329
5.844
0.795
-0.142
-0.03
-0.108
-0.004
-0.28
-0.137
-0.135
-0.008
0.652
0.417
0.28
1.014
0.534
0.123
0.444
0.488
0
Year 19
5.988
5.988
5.528
0.747
-0.116
-0.027
-0.095
0.006
-0.227
-0.117
-0.109
-0.001
0.631
0.402
0.275
1.022
0.526
0.113
0.428
0.477
0
Year 20
5.656
5.656
5.222
0.702
-0.094
-0.024
-0.084
0.014
-0.182
-0.1
-0.086
0.005
0.607
0.387
0.27
1.033
0.52
0.105
0.411
0.465
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 12
-0.004
0.002
0.01
10.862
-0.86
-0.6
-0.509
-0.111
-0.322
-0.23
0.64
-1.648
-0.166
-0.505
0.124
0.54
0.046
0.625
0.231
0.646
0
0
0
Year 13
-0.003
0.001
0.009
9.575
-0.729
-0.508
-0.371
-0.095
-0.27
-0.186
0.591
-1.398
-0.138
-0.401
0.127
0.632
0.056
0.623
0.246
0.621
0
0
0
Year 14
-0.002
0.001
0.009
8.389
-0.616
-0.428
-0.254
-0.081
-0.226
-0.147
0.544
-1.183
-0.114
-0.311
0.128
0.71
0.064
0.619
0.257
0.594
0
0
0
Year 15
-0.001
0
0.008
7.323
-0.52
-0.36
-0.154
-0.069
-0.187
-0.113
0.501
-0.997
-0.093
-0.234
0.129
0.776
0.071
0.61
0.264
0.566
0
0
0
Year 16
-0.001
0
0.008
6.38
-0.437
-0.302
-0.071
-0.059
-0.155
-0.083
0.462
-0.837
-0.075
-0.169
0.129
0.831
0.076
0.599
0.269
0.539
0
0
0
Year 17
Year 18
Year 19
Year 20
0.001
-0.001
0.006
3.659
-0.211
-0.141
0.141
-0.029
-0.068
0
0.329
-0.39
-0.027
0.001
0.123
0.957
0.081
0.526
0.265
0.435
0
0
0
Year 11
-0.005
0.002
0.01
12.188
-1.014
-0.71
-0.676
-0.129
-0.383
-0.281
0.688
-1.943
-0.197
-0.63
0.12
0.422
0.034
0.62
0.204
0.663
0
0
0
Page 59
0
0
0.007
5.552
-0.368
-0.252
-0.002
-0.049
-0.128
-0.057
0.426
-0.7
-0.06
-0.114
0.129
0.877
0.079
0.584
0.272
0.512
0
0
0
0
0
0.007
4.829
-0.307
-0.21
0.055
-0.042
-0.104
-0.035
0.391
-0.582
-0.047
-0.068
0.127
0.912
0.081
0.566
0.271
0.485
0
0
0
0
-0.001
0.007
4.203
-0.255
-0.172
0.103
-0.035
-0.084
-0.016
0.36
-0.478
-0.036
-0.03
0.125
0.939
0.082
0.547
0.269
0.46
0
0
0
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
6.901
2.811
0.904
0.649
1.048
1.26
0.617
4.108
7.533
2.131
3.926
15.441
0.11
8.088
3.053
1.966
3.264
Year 2
9.178
3.568
1.175
0.849
1.361
1.688
0.773
5.363
10.037
2.895
5.176
20.218
0.142
12.313
4.219
2.427
4.292
Year 3
9.292
3.391
1.142
0.847
1.321
1.704
0.723
5.327
10.011
2.998
5.151
20.025
0.137
15.037
4.521
2.25
4.277
Year 4
9.226
3.122
1.093
0.829
1.263
1.701
0.652
5.226
9.95
3.03
5.039
19.362
0.13
17.271
4.722
1.998
4.166
Year 5
4.799
1.102
0.465
0.398
0.532
0.881
0.204
2.443
5.007
1.733
2.446
9.202
0.055
14.565
3.008
0.584
2.056
Year 6
3.447
0.461
0.271
0.278
0.307
0.634
0.064
1.654
3.517
1.338
1.668
6.062
0.032
13.88
2.508
0.133
1.4
Year 7
2.518
0.05
0.144
0.199
0.162
0.47
-0.023
1.146
2.522
1.068
1.153
3.972
0.017
12.993
2.127
-0.147
0.958
Year 8
1.628
-0.305
0.028
0.127
0.029
0.311
-0.095
0.671
1.544
0.816
0.678
2.074
0.003
11.769
1.727
-0.378
0.55
Year 9
0.405
-0.751
-0.13
0.028
-0.156
0.088
-0.183
-0.011
0.124
0.483
0.039
-0.379
-0.014
9.861
1.15
-0.641
0.02
Year 10
0.409
-0.666
-0.114
0.041
-0.138
0.094
-0.159
0.085
0.127
0.493
0.085
-0.205
-0.012
8.952
1.068
-0.558
0.039
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 1
12.809
11.567
11.567
0
11.69
0
Year 2
25.082
12.61
12.61
11.69
24.679
0
Year 3
34.041
10.762
10.762
24.679
36.066
0
Year 4
40.844
9.15
9.15
36.066
46.047
0
Year 5
38.147
0.941
0.941
46.047
47.914
0
Year 6
34.945
-0.818
-0.818
47.914
48.007
0
Year 7
31.457
-1.896
-1.896
48.007
46.973
0
Year 8
27.59
-2.825
-2.825
46.973
44.937
0
Year 9
22.708
-4.229
-4.229
44.937
41.399
0
Year 10
19.37
-3.415
-3.415
41.399
38.568
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 1
1.212
0.911
0.726
0.762
1.839
1.682
1.229
0.915
0.801
0.583
0.432
0.32
0.278
0
0
0
0
0
Year 2
2.58
1.945
1.553
1.501
3.678
3.597
2.655
1.96
1.699
1.258
0.929
0.681
0.598
0.044
0
0
0
0
Year 3
3.799
2.878
2.303
2.069
4.994
5.319
3.985
2.918
2.491
1.888
1.386
1.01
0.884
0.14
0
0
0
0
Year 4
4.877
3.718
2.987
2.545
5.801
6.858
5.237
3.809
3.186
2.479
1.81
1.318
1.135
0.286
0
0
0
0
Year 5
5.113
3.933
3.187
2.54
5.088
7.192
5.692
4.11
3.328
2.693
1.952
1.421
1.185
0.481
0
0
0
0
Year 6
5.02
4.121
3.281
2.545
4.071
7.133
5.956
4.301
3.355
2.82
2.038
1.49
1.181
0.696
0
0
0
0
Year 7
4.741
4.24
3.308
2.556
3.029
6.676
6.086
4.434
3.334
2.87
2.095
1.535
1.153
0.875
0.041
0
0
0
Year 8
4.322
4.266
3.275
2.543
2.087
5.805
6.075
4.515
3.283
2.841
2.127
1.554
1.115
0.998
0.13
0
0
0
Year 9
3.714
4.154
3.145
2.448
1.211
4.461
5.86
4.499
3.17
2.704
2.115
1.533
1.062
1.058
0.265
0
0
0
Year 10
3.224
4.002
3.044
2.408
0.759
3.043
5.623
4.542
3.143
2.575
2.133
1.532
1.047
1.049
0.445
0
0
0
Page 60
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 11
0.402
-0.579
-0.098
0.05
-0.119
0.099
-0.135
0.162
0.128
0.501
0.121
-0.052
-0.01
7.965
0.973
-0.477
0.054
Year 12
0.428
-0.478
-0.079
0.061
-0.097
0.107
-0.107
0.246
0.136
0.519
0.17
0.172
-0.008
7.104
0.899
-0.386
0.084
Year 13
0.434
-0.394
-0.064
0.069
-0.079
0.113
-0.085
0.312
0.14
0.528
0.205
0.331
-0.006
6.268
0.819
-0.312
0.102
Year 14
0.431
-0.322
-0.051
0.075
-0.064
0.118
-0.065
0.368
0.142
0.534
0.233
0.454
-0.005
5.496
0.742
-0.25
0.114
Year 15
0.424
-0.261
-0.039
0.081
-0.051
0.122
-0.049
0.416
0.142
0.534
0.256
0.552
-0.003
4.803
0.671
-0.198
0.122
Year 16
0.414
-0.209
-0.029
0.085
-0.04
0.124
-0.035
0.455
0.141
0.531
0.274
0.628
-0.002
4.189
0.606
-0.154
0.127
Year 17
0.403
-0.166
-0.021
0.088
-0.031
0.125
-0.024
0.488
0.139
0.524
0.287
0.685
-0.001
3.649
0.548
-0.117
0.131
Year 18
0.39
-0.128
-0.014
0.091
-0.023
0.125
-0.014
0.514
0.136
0.513
0.295
0.727
-0.001
3.178
0.495
-0.086
0.132
Year 19
0.378
-0.096
-0.008
0.092
-0.017
0.125
-0.006
0.535
0.133
0.5
0.301
0.759
0
2.77
0.448
-0.06
0.133
Year 20
0.365
-0.068
-0.004
0.093
-0.011
0.124
0
0.549
0.129
0.485
0.302
0.777
0.001
2.415
0.406
-0.038
0.132
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 11
16.809
-2.937
-2.937
38.568
36.119
0
Year 12
14.892
-2.522
-2.522
36.119
33.997
0
Year 13
13.367
-2.234
-2.234
33.997
32.08
0
Year 14
12.131
-2.021
-2.021
32.08
30.297
0
Year 15
11.1
-1.852
-1.852
30.297
28.609
0
Year 16
10.233
-1.713
-1.713
28.609
26.994
0
Year 17
9.525
-1.61
-1.61
26.994
25.424
0
Year 18
8.918
-1.524
-1.524
25.424
23.891
0
Year 19
8.381
-1.447
-1.447
23.891
22.396
0
Year 20
7.896
-1.381
-1.381
22.396
20.938
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 11
2.78
3.711
3.07
2.39
0.596
1.672
5.268
4.593
3.171
2.462
2.158
1.544
1.055
1.006
0.643
0
0
0
Year 12
2.376
3.365
3.131
2.386
0.623
0.513
4.699
4.644
3.25
2.388
2.171
1.572
1.08
0.955
0.806
0.037
0
0
Year 13
2.002
2.988
3.188
2.385
0.745
-0.344
3.879
4.67
3.369
2.36
2.16
1.617
1.113
0.911
0.919
0.116
0
0
Year 14
1.659
2.574
3.233
2.382
0.895
-0.865
2.819
4.659
3.517
2.381
2.121
1.676
1.151
0.886
0.974
0.236
0
0
Year 15
1.326
2.222
3.192
2.37
1.031
-1.067
1.602
4.566
3.675
2.448
2.061
1.743
1.191
0.889
0.965
0.396
0
0
Year 16
1.008
1.886
2.988
2.467
1.151
-1.035
0.389
4.324
3.817
2.549
2.003
1.808
1.234
0.91
0.927
0.569
0
0
Year 17
0.709
1.562
2.707
2.581
1.25
-0.864
-0.652
3.841
3.935
2.682
1.969
1.85
1.287
0.944
0.88
0.712
0.031
0
Year 18
0.438
1.25
2.38
2.679
1.33
-0.629
-1.417
3.089
4.014
2.842
1.972
1.861
1.349
0.983
0.841
0.81
0.098
0
Year 19
0.202
0.957
2.007
2.757
1.393
-0.389
-1.865
2.084
4.046
3.024
2.018
1.841
1.423
1.024
0.819
0.857
0.198
0
Year 20
0.008
0.665
1.688
2.743
1.436
-0.179
-2.008
0.914
3.989
3.21
2.105
1.798
1.501
1.067
0.822
0.85
0.329
0
Page 61
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
0.25
-0.054
Year 2
0.323
-0.05
Year 3
0.323
-0.025
Year 4
0.313
0
Year 5
0.145
0.061
Year 6
0.095
0.08
Year 7
0.059
0.09
Year 8
0.024
0.097
Year 9
-0.016
0.104
Year 10
-0.009
0.097
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
0.015
0.084
0.026
0.007
0
0.006
0.012
0.022
0.021
0
0
0.056
Year 2
0.032
0.093
0.029
0.008
0
0.008
0.016
0.03
0.029
0
0
0.078
Year 3
0.046
0.075
0.023
0.006
0
0.008
0.017
0.032
0.031
0
0
0.084
Year 4
0.058
0.053
0.017
0.005
0
0.008
0.018
0.034
0.033
0
0
0.088
Year 5
0.059
-0.016
-0.005
-0.001
0
0.003
0.011
0.02
0.02
0
0
0.054
Year 6
0.059
-0.037
-0.012
-0.003
0
0.002
0.009
0.017
0.016
0
0
0.044
Year 7
0.057
-0.051
-0.016
-0.004
0
0.002
0.008
0.014
0.014
0
0
0.036
Year 8
0.053
-0.062
-0.019
-0.005
0
0.001
0.006
0.011
0.011
0
0
0.029
Year 9
0.049
-0.071
-0.022
-0.006
0
0
0.004
0.006
0.006
0
0
0.017
Year 10
0.046
-0.062
-0.02
-0.005
0
0
0.003
0.006
0.006
0
0
0.016
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
0.007
-0.049
0
0.001
0.002
0
0.001
0.001
0
0.001
0
0.002
0
0
-0.02
Year 2
0.014
-0.057
0
0.002
0.004
0
0.002
0.001
0
0.002
0.001
0.004
0
0
-0.024
Year 3
0.021
-0.05
0.001
0.003
0.006
0
0.002
0.002
0
0.003
0.001
0.006
0
0
-0.021
Year 4
0.027
-0.041
0.001
0.004
0.008
0.001
0.003
0.002
0
0.003
0.002
0.007
0
0
-0.017
Year 5
0.028
0
0.001
0.004
0.009
0.001
0.003
0.003
0
0.004
0.002
0.008
0
0
0
Year 6
0.029
0.012
0.001
0.004
0.009
0.001
0.003
0.003
0
0.004
0.002
0.008
0
0
0.005
Year 7
0.028
0.019
0.001
0.004
0.009
0.001
0.003
0.003
0
0.004
0.002
0.008
0
0
0.008
Year 8
0.028
0.026
0.001
0.004
0.009
0.001
0.003
0.002
0
0.004
0.002
0.007
0
0
0.011
Year 9
0.026
0.034
0.001
0.004
0.008
0.001
0.003
0.002
0
0.003
0.002
0.007
0
0
0.014
Year 10
0.024
0.031
0.001
0.004
0.007
0
0.003
0.002
0
0.003
0.001
0.006
0
0
0.013
Page 62
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
-0.003
0.091
Year 12
0.006
0.085
Year 13
0.013
0.08
Year 14
0.019
0.076
Year 15
0.024
0.072
Year 16
0.028
0.068
Year 17
0.031
0.064
Year 18
0.034
0.06
Year 19
0.036
0.056
Year 20
0.037
0.053
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.043
-0.055
-0.017
-0.005
0
0
0.003
0.006
0.006
0
0
0.015
Year 12
0.041
-0.046
-0.014
-0.004
0
0.001
0.003
0.006
0.005
0
0
0.015
Year 13
0.039
-0.039
-0.012
-0.003
0
0.001
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.014
Year 14
0.037
-0.032
-0.01
-0.003
0
0.001
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.014
Year 15
0.035
-0.027
-0.008
-0.002
0
0.001
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.013
Year 16
0.033
-0.022
-0.007
-0.002
0
0.001
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.013
Year 17
0.031
-0.019
-0.006
-0.002
0
0.001
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.013
Year 18
0.029
-0.015
-0.005
-0.001
0
0.001
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.013
Year 19
0.027
-0.012
-0.004
-0.001
0
0.001
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.012
Year 20
0.026
-0.01
-0.003
-0.001
0
0.001
0.003
0.005
0.005
0
0
0.012
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.023
0.029
0.001
0.003
0.007
0
0.003
0.002
0
0.003
0.001
0.006
0
0
0.012
Year 12
0.021
0.027
0.001
0.003
0.007
0
0.002
0.002
0
0.003
0.001
0.006
0
0
0.011
Year 13
0.02
0.026
0.001
0.003
0.006
0
0.002
0.002
0
0.003
0.001
0.005
0
0
0.011
Year 14
0.019
0.024
0.001
0.003
0.006
0
0.002
0.002
0
0.002
0.001
0.005
0
0
0.01
Year 15
0.018
0.023
0.001
0.003
0.006
0
0.002
0.002
0
0.002
0.001
0.005
0
0
0.009
Year 16
0.017
0.021
0.001
0.003
0.005
0
0.002
0.002
0
0.002
0.001
0.005
0
0
0.009
Year 17
0.016
0.02
0.001
0.002
0.005
0
0.002
0.001
0
0.002
0.001
0.004
0
0
0.008
Year 18
0.015
0.019
0.001
0.002
0.005
0
0.002
0.001
0
0.002
0.001
0.004
0
0
0.008
Year 19
0.014
0.018
0
0.002
0.004
0
0.002
0.001
0
0.002
0.001
0.004
0
0
0.007
Year 20
0.013
0.017
0
0.002
0.004
0
0.002
0.001
0
0.002
0.001
0.004
0
0
0.007
Page 63
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Year 1
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
218.644
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
218.644
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
113.125
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
10.269
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.831
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.012
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.926
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.917
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
6.408
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.674
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
3.604
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.13
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
12.102
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
7.252
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
4.313
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
9.257
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
7.667
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
0.346
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
12.693
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
5.806
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
0
Year 2
292.264
292.264
151.798
14.379
1.916
-0.044
0.916
1.044
7.899
2.034
4.389
1.476
16.297
9.796
6.381
13.648
10.642
0.861
17.045
8.03
0
Year 3
301.341
301.341
161.141
15.688
1.791
-0.085
0.809
1.067
7.391
1.82
4.089
1.481
17.482
10.511
7.412
15.409
11.295
1.187
17.753
8.604
0
Year 4
302.605
302.605
163.072
16.724
1.186
-0.129
0.432
0.883
6.495
1.471
3.583
1.44
17.912
10.801
8.073
16.842
11.857
1.391
18.016
9.017
0
Year 5
170.801
170.801
99.715
10.948
-0.101
-0.166
-0.259
0.324
1.576
0.049
0.869
0.658
10.848
6.52
5.642
11.341
7.372
1.329
10.2
5.59
0
Year 6
131.591
131.591
81.111
9.407
-0.663
-0.191
-0.562
0.09
0.001
-0.423
-0.009
0.432
8.745
5.264
4.824
9.685
6.114
1.133
7.881
4.706
0
Year 7
104.358
104.358
67.667
8.16
-1.021
-0.207
-0.748
-0.066
-1.048
-0.734
-0.594
0.28
7.139
4.312
4.149
8.439
5.177
0.979
6.217
4.085
0
Year 8
77.848
77.848
54.74
6.73
-1.19
-0.214
-0.828
-0.148
-1.971
-0.993
-1.106
0.128
5.54
3.356
3.439
7.073
4.211
0.824
4.558
3.444
0
Year 9
39.848
39.848
36.647
4.7
-1.397
-0.209
-0.915
-0.273
-2.991
-1.253
-1.679
-0.06
3.302
1.981
2.36
4.777
2.709
0.644
2.149
2.379
0
Year 10
37.826
37.826
34.833
4.541
-1.418
-0.197
-0.913
-0.307
-2.693
-1.137
-1.53
-0.026
3.123
1.878
2.101
4.486
2.593
0.494
2.035
2.331
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 2
0.04
0.049
0.374
56.146
1.88
4.536
12.68
0.728
1.381
4.267
5.49
11.154
0.198
15.458
1.918
14.249
1.663
7.817
11.77
140.466
0
0
0
Year 3
0.019
0.054
0.385
69.628
1.159
3.835
11.865
0.585
0.97
4
5.983
9.707
0.059
14.826
2.016
14.302
1.643
8.326
11.781
140.199
0
0
0
Year 4
0.006
0.058
0.397
78.674
0.316
2.869
10.532
0.408
0.515
3.613
6.339
7.634
-0.09
13.846
2.065
14.132
1.589
8.644
11.527
139.532
0
0
0
Year 5
-0.015
0.041
0.264
67.216
-1.392
-0.171
3.536
-0.107
-0.611
1.233
4.297
-0.055
-0.353
5.441
1.211
6.941
0.796
5.534
5.909
71.086
0
0
0
Year 6
-0.009
0.035
0.234
63.907
-1.928
-1.169
1.442
-0.262
-0.942
0.539
3.724
-2.56
-0.44
2.857
0.949
5.124
0.589
4.66
4.362
50.48
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.002
0.03
0.211
59.792
-2.176
-1.755
0.2
-0.336
-1.101
0.141
3.287
-4.039
-0.475
1.245
0.771
4.012
0.468
4.058
3.336
36.691
0
0
0
Year 8
0.005
0.024
0.185
54.669
-2.287
-2.167
-0.769
-0.379
-1.191
-0.172
2.813
-5.134
-0.48
-0.15
0.601
2.974
0.361
3.453
2.384
23.108
0
0
0
Year 9
0.01
0.019
0.145
46.316
-2.317
-2.472
-1.841
-0.418
-1.257
-0.573
2.17
-6.313
-0.472
-1.98
0.37
1.37
0.214
2.599
1.076
3.201
0
0
0
Year 10
0.023
0.018
0.142
41.543
-2.03
-2.169
-1.381
-0.351
-1.082
-0.418
2.105
-5.634
-0.415
-1.657
0.37
1.752
0.257
2.605
1.154
2.993
0
0
0
Year 1
0.047
0.034
0.282
37.651
1.941
3.864
10.058
0.638
1.335
3.417
3.876
9.416
0.234
12.018
1.38
11.051
1.282
5.649
8.954
105.519
0
0
0
Page 64
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Year 11
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
35.278
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
35.278
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
32.503
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
4.327
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-1.422
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.183
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.902
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.337
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-2.367
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-1.013
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-1.364
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.01
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
2.906
1.752
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary DisbursementsBillions of Current Dollars
1.874
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
4.248
Real Disposable Personal IncomeBillions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
2.462
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
0.401
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.898
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
2.261
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
0
Year 12
34.316
34.317
31.636
4.184
-1.295
-0.169
-0.823
-0.303
-1.955
-0.855
-1.143
0.042
2.889
1.745
1.775
4.157
2.402
0.333
1.887
2.236
0
Year 13
32.865
32.865
30.302
3.979
-1.172
-0.155
-0.747
-0.27
-1.617
-0.723
-0.959
0.065
2.807
1.7
1.681
4.082
2.337
0.284
1.836
2.2
0
Year 14
31.276
31.276
28.834
3.76
-1.056
-0.141
-0.675
-0.24
-1.327
-0.61
-0.8
0.083
2.704
1.642
1.601
4.03
2.278
0.247
1.772
2.163
0
Year 15
29.682
29.682
27.36
3.545
-0.949
-0.129
-0.608
-0.212
-1.076
-0.512
-0.662
0.098
2.596
1.58
1.535
3.997
2.222
0.22
1.705
2.125
0
Year 16
28.135
28.136
25.93
3.339
-0.852
-0.117
-0.548
-0.187
-0.857
-0.427
-0.54
0.109
2.487
1.519
1.483
3.988
2.174
0.2
1.637
2.087
0
Year 17
26.655
26.655
24.561
3.146
-0.766
-0.107
-0.494
-0.165
-0.668
-0.355
-0.431
0.118
2.38
1.458
1.439
3.998
2.133
0.184
1.571
2.048
0
Year 18
25.241
25.241
23.257
2.965
-0.689
-0.098
-0.447
-0.145
-0.502
-0.293
-0.335
0.126
2.276
1.398
1.403
4.022
2.098
0.172
1.505
2.006
0
Year 19
23.937
23.937
22.056
2.8
-0.621
-0.089
-0.405
-0.127
-0.352
-0.236
-0.248
0.132
2.179
1.342
1.375
4.06
2.069
0.162
1.444
1.962
0
Year 20
22.672
22.672
20.893
2.642
-0.562
-0.082
-0.368
-0.112
-0.222
-0.186
-0.173
0.137
2.08
1.285
1.35
4.111
2.044
0.155
1.382
1.915
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other
Thousands
(Jobs)
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social Assistance
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 12
0.045
0.015
0.133
32.497
-1.451
-1.527
-0.429
-0.222
-0.737
-0.131
1.931
-4.129
-0.301
-0.996
0.388
2.353
0.331
2.607
1.26
2.68
0
0
0
Year 13
0.053
0.013
0.128
28.667
-1.205
-1.247
-0.017
-0.167
-0.592
-0.011
1.834
-3.448
-0.25
-0.704
0.398
2.595
0.359
2.597
1.299
2.563
0
0
0
Year 14
0.06
0.012
0.123
25.137
-0.996
-1.009
0.324
-0.12
-0.47
0.09
1.737
-2.863
-0.206
-0.456
0.404
2.796
0.38
2.571
1.322
2.442
0
0
0
Year 15
0.065
0.01
0.117
21.965
-0.819
-0.808
0.604
-0.081
-0.367
0.173
1.643
-2.358
-0.167
-0.245
0.408
2.961
0.395
2.531
1.332
2.322
0
0
0
Year 16
0.07
0.009
0.111
19.158
-0.669
-0.638
0.832
-0.048
-0.282
0.242
1.554
-1.925
-0.134
-0.07
0.408
3.095
0.405
2.479
1.333
2.206
0
0
0
Year 17
0.073
0.008
0.106
16.696
-0.543
-0.496
1.014
-0.021
-0.211
0.299
1.466
-1.555
-0.106
0.074
0.405
3.203
0.41
2.416
1.325
2.093
0
0
0
Year 18
0.075
0.007
0.1
14.545
-0.436
-0.376
1.156
0.002
-0.153
0.343
1.38
-1.239
-0.083
0.191
0.401
3.281
0.41
2.344
1.308
1.985
0
0
0
Year 19
0.076
0.006
0.094
12.677
-0.344
-0.273
1.271
0.021
-0.104
0.378
1.297
-0.964
-0.063
0.287
0.395
3.339
0.407
2.269
1.286
1.881
0
0
0
Year 20
0.077
0.005
0.089
11.049
-0.267
-0.188
1.353
0.036
-0.065
0.404
1.215
-0.732
-0.046
0.36
0.388
3.37
0.401
2.186
1.257
1.778
0
0
0
Year 11
0.035
0.016
0.137
36.46
-1.744
-1.863
-0.935
-0.286
-0.91
-0.277
2.014
-4.932
-0.358
-1.346
0.375
2.043
0.293
2.594
1.186
2.775
0
0
0
Page 65
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
23.675
9.193
3.121
1.903
3.62
4.136
1.911
12.927
27.637
6.727
12.494
51.229
0.397
31.822
10.704
5.981
11.166
Year 2
31.443
11.765
4.079
2.487
4.731
5.527
2.405
16.914
36.795
9.14
16.434
66.982
0.508
46.242
14.613
7.55
14.648
Year 3
31.961
11.346
3.999
2.49
4.635
5.573
2.272
16.874
36.737
9.516
16.373
66.605
0.488
54.997
15.597
7.23
14.647
Year 4
31.762
10.626
3.868
2.444
4.48
5.56
2.078
16.633
36.533
9.691
16.038
64.573
0.465
60.783
16.104
6.687
14.279
Year 5
16.906
4.243
1.747
1.23
1.999
2.898
0.736
8.115
18.516
5.761
8.002
31.781
0.206
48.627
10.148
2.648
7.239
Year 6
12.439
2.264
1.099
0.903
1.245
2.11
0.333
5.731
13.094
4.648
5.661
21.938
0.134
45.045
8.415
1.422
5.109
Year 7
9.399
0.997
0.678
0.692
0.756
1.587
0.086
4.205
9.473
3.902
4.133
15.475
0.089
41.406
7.135
0.655
3.691
Year 8
6.475
-0.125
0.283
0.496
0.297
1.08
-0.124
2.755
5.915
3.173
2.702
9.538
0.047
37.141
5.826
-0.006
2.373
Year 9
2.3
-1.61
-0.27
0.217
-0.355
0.351
-0.395
0.613
0.703
2.148
0.701
1.494
-0.014
30.379
3.868
-0.861
0.58
Year 10
2.228
-1.401
-0.231
0.251
-0.308
0.367
-0.326
0.86
0.685
2.192
0.83
1.938
-0.004
27.261
3.574
-0.706
0.616
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 1
42.414
40.263
40.263
0
40.734
0
Year 2
83.894
46.111
46.111
40.734
88.324
0
Year 3
115.536
41.781
41.781
88.324
132.601
0
Year 4
140.272
37.134
37.134
132.601
173.125
0
Year 5
133.814
8.253
8.253
173.125
185.25
0
Year 6
125.242
1.262
1.262
185.25
190.423
0
Year 7
115.366
-3.361
-3.361
190.423
190.859
0
Year 8
103.978
-7.4
-7.4
190.859
187.03
0
Year 9
88.849
-13.298
-13.297
187.03
176.951
0
Year 10
78.21
-11.339
-11.338
176.951
168.426
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 1
4.267
3.172
2.527
2.65
6.402
5.855
4.277
3.186
2.787
2.028
1.504
1.111
0.968
0
0
0
0
0
Year 2
9.42
6.945
5.544
5.371
13.153
12.84
9.475
6.997
6.063
4.489
3.315
2.428
2.132
0.153
0
0
0
0
Year 3
14.389
10.538
8.433
7.614
18.385
19.474
14.577
10.679
9.122
6.901
5.068
3.693
3.234
0.494
0
0
0
0
Year 4
19.076
13.902
11.165
9.575
21.927
25.636
19.541
14.222
11.915
9.245
6.748
4.912
4.237
1.025
0
0
0
0
Year 5
20.868
15.08
12.207
9.828
20.028
27.588
21.737
15.711
12.769
10.276
7.449
5.421
4.539
1.749
0
0
0
0
Year 6
21.389
16.159
12.843
10.065
16.828
28.064
23.22
16.778
13.173
10.98
7.935
5.794
4.63
2.565
0
0
0
0
Year 7
21.039
17.073
13.208
10.29
13.316
27.015
24.174
17.599
13.355
11.389
8.299
6.068
4.617
3.275
0.142
0
0
0
Year 8
19.954
17.734
13.322
10.411
9.987
24.356
24.576
18.2
13.39
11.489
8.558
6.242
4.551
3.803
0.458
0
0
0
Year 9
17.945
17.95
13.043
10.204
6.741
19.811
24.168
18.411
13.157
11.164
8.636
6.254
4.41
4.108
0.947
0
0
0
Year 10
16.146
18.012
12.816
10.152
4.89
14.768
23.593
18.78
13.18
10.821
8.795
6.316
4.386
4.159
1.613
0
0
0
Page 66
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Management, business, financial Thousands
occupations(Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,
media occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving relatedThousands
occupations(Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, Thousands
service occupations
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 11
2.116
-1.192
-0.192
0.274
-0.261
0.38
-0.259
1.058
0.66
2.217
0.927
2.292
0.006
23.94
3.239
-0.561
0.634
Year 12
2.149
-0.931
-0.143
0.303
-0.203
0.404
-0.184
1.281
0.672
2.267
1.064
2.915
0.016
21.363
3.013
-0.383
0.713
Year 13
2.124
-0.717
-0.103
0.324
-0.156
0.42
-0.122
1.456
0.672
2.289
1.16
3.341
0.024
18.868
2.771
-0.243
0.757
Year 14
2.074
-0.539
-0.069
0.341
-0.116
0.433
-0.071
1.601
0.665
2.293
1.233
3.65
0.03
16.566
2.535
-0.13
0.781
Year 15
2.014
-0.388
-0.041
0.353
-0.083
0.441
-0.028
1.721
0.654
2.28
1.287
3.872
0.036
14.497
2.315
-0.038
0.792
Year 16
1.947
-0.262
-0.017
0.362
-0.055
0.445
0.007
1.818
0.641
2.253
1.325
4.025
0.04
12.665
2.114
0.036
0.794
Year 17
1.876
-0.157
0.003
0.368
-0.032
0.446
0.035
1.897
0.625
2.213
1.348
4.12
0.043
11.056
1.93
0.095
0.788
Year 18
1.804
-0.069
0.019
0.371
-0.012
0.445
0.058
1.955
0.607
2.162
1.357
4.167
0.045
9.65
1.763
0.143
0.777
Year 19
1.735
0.006
0.033
0.371
0.004
0.442
0.077
1.999
0.588
2.106
1.358
4.184
0.047
8.428
1.614
0.182
0.763
Year 20
1.664
0.067
0.044
0.37
0.017
0.436
0.091
2.025
0.566
2.041
1.347
4.161
0.048
7.362
1.477
0.212
0.744
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 11
69.746
-10.319
-10.318
168.426
160.54
0
Year 12
63.224
-9.23
-9.229
160.54
153.376
0
Year 13
57.883
-8.479
-8.479
153.376
146.61
0
Year 14
53.376
-7.899
-7.899
146.61
140.082
0
Year 15
49.483
-7.415
-7.415
140.082
133.715
0
Year 16
46.069
-6.993
-6.993
133.715
127.472
0
Year 17
43.169
-6.669
-6.668
127.472
121.286
0
Year 18
40.603
-6.389
-6.388
121.286
115.15
0
Year 19
38.3
-6.135
-6.134
115.15
109.079
0
Year 20
36.184
-5.911
-5.91
109.079
103.087
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 11
14.38
17.485
13.04
10.158
4.031
9.676
22.519
19.146
13.367
10.49
8.964
6.41
4.436
4.077
2.36
0
0
0
Year 12
12.678
16.581
13.493
10.202
3.881
5.177
20.621
19.488
13.728
10.268
9.083
6.557
4.541
3.943
3.008
0.127
0
0
Year 13
11.032
15.369
14.04
10.248
4.126
1.65
17.742
19.726
14.227
10.195
9.107
6.756
4.678
3.818
3.489
0.408
0
0
Year 14
9.477
13.837
14.638
10.281
4.524
-0.727
13.9
19.817
14.835
10.287
9.022
7.005
4.831
3.746
3.766
0.842
0
0
Year 15
7.957
12.383
14.976
10.279
4.923
-1.949
9.368
19.603
15.492
10.543
8.852
7.286
4.994
3.765
3.813
1.429
0
0
Year 16
6.495
10.911
14.685
10.696
5.306
-2.277
4.715
18.839
16.101
10.927
8.671
7.559
5.173
3.849
3.739
2.083
0
0
Year 17
5.109
9.435
13.962
11.296
5.645
-2.021
0.553
17.184
16.631
11.437
8.563
7.757
5.383
3.975
3.62
2.648
0.107
0
Year 18
3.833
7.974
12.899
11.963
5.934
-1.446
-2.7
14.51
17.024
12.056
8.582
7.847
5.633
4.126
3.508
3.066
0.342
0
Year 19
2.701
6.575
11.493
12.663
6.172
-0.771
-4.848
10.846
17.246
12.765
8.75
7.821
5.922
4.289
3.446
3.307
0.702
0
Year 20
1.744
5.189
10.145
13.087
6.347
-0.135
-5.878
6.471
17.147
13.506
9.068
7.703
6.236
4.458
3.466
3.347
1.186
0
Page 67
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
0.842
-0.229
Year 2
1.104
-0.172
Year 3
1.124
-0.017
Year 4
1.109
0.143
Year 5
0.572
0.448
Year 6
0.414
0.548
Year 7
0.303
0.606
Year 8
0.198
0.645
Year 9
0.065
0.676
Year 10
0.084
0.639
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
0.053
0.287
0.09
0.025
0
0.02
0.039
0.071
0.07
0
0
0.187
Year 2
0.113
0.324
0.102
0.028
0
0.025
0.054
0.099
0.097
0
0
0.261
Year 3
0.168
0.272
0.085
0.024
0
0.025
0.058
0.107
0.104
0
0
0.28
Year 4
0.217
0.207
0.065
0.018
0
0.024
0.061
0.112
0.11
0
0
0.294
Year 5
0.229
-0.019
-0.006
-0.002
0
0.011
0.038
0.07
0.068
0
0
0.183
Year 6
0.232
-0.087
-0.027
-0.008
0
0.008
0.031
0.058
0.056
0
0
0.151
Year 7
0.23
-0.13
-0.041
-0.011
0
0.005
0.027
0.049
0.048
0
0
0.128
Year 8
0.222
-0.165
-0.052
-0.014
0
0.003
0.022
0.04
0.039
0
0
0.104
Year 9
0.211
-0.196
-0.061
-0.017
0
0
0.014
0.025
0.024
0
0
0.066
Year 10
0.202
-0.172
-0.054
-0.015
0
0.001
0.013
0.024
0.023
0
0
0.063
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
0.037
-0.219
0.001
0.006
0.011
0.001
0.004
0.003
0
0.005
0.002
0.01
0
0
-0.091
Year 2
0.077
-0.242
0.003
0.012
0.024
0.002
0.009
0.007
0.001
0.01
0.005
0.021
0
0
-0.1
Year 3
0.117
-0.194
0.004
0.018
0.036
0.002
0.014
0.01
0.001
0.015
0.007
0.032
0
0
-0.08
Year 4
0.154
-0.138
0.005
0.023
0.048
0.003
0.018
0.014
0.001
0.02
0.009
0.042
0.001
0
-0.057
Year 5
0.166
0.059
0.006
0.025
0.051
0.003
0.019
0.015
0.001
0.022
0.01
0.045
0.001
0
0.024
Year 6
0.172
0.12
0.006
0.026
0.053
0.003
0.02
0.015
0.001
0.022
0.01
0.047
0.001
0
0.05
Year 7
0.174
0.158
0.006
0.026
0.054
0.004
0.02
0.016
0.001
0.023
0.011
0.047
0.001
0
0.066
Year 8
0.172
0.189
0.006
0.026
0.053
0.003
0.02
0.015
0.001
0.022
0.01
0.047
0.001
0
0.078
Year 9
0.163
0.225
0.005
0.025
0.05
0.003
0.019
0.015
0.001
0.021
0.01
0.044
0.001
0
0.093
Year 10
0.155
0.212
0.005
0.024
0.048
0.003
0.018
0.014
0.001
0.02
0.009
0.042
0.001
0
0.088
Page 68
Positive Economic Impacts: Construction, Government Spending
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
State Revenues at State AverageBillions
Rates of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Rates
Billions
of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.102
0.608
Year 12
0.128
0.578
Year 13
0.148
0.551
Year 14
0.164
0.525
Year 15
0.176
0.501
Year 16
0.186
0.477
Year 17
0.193
0.454
Year 18
0.198
0.431
Year 19
0.202
0.409
Year 20
0.203
0.387
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.193
-0.149
-0.047
-0.013
0
0.001
0.012
0.023
0.022
0
0
0.059
Year 12
0.185
-0.123
-0.038
-0.011
0
0.001
0.012
0.022
0.022
0
0
0.058
Year 13
0.177
-0.101
-0.032
-0.009
0
0.002
0.012
0.021
0.021
0
0
0.056
Year 14
0.17
-0.082
-0.026
-0.007
0
0.002
0.011
0.021
0.02
0
0
0.055
Year 15
0.162
-0.066
-0.021
-0.006
0
0.002
0.011
0.02
0.02
0
0
0.053
Year 16
0.155
-0.053
-0.017
-0.005
0
0.002
0.011
0.02
0.019
0
0
0.052
Year 17
0.148
-0.041
-0.013
-0.004
0
0.002
0.011
0.019
0.019
0
0
0.051
Year 18
0.141
-0.031
-0.01
-0.003
0
0.002
0.01
0.019
0.019
0
0
0.05
Year 19
0.134
-0.023
-0.007
-0.002
0
0.002
0.01
0.019
0.018
0
0
0.049
Year 20
0.127
-0.015
-0.005
-0.001
0
0.002
0.01
0.019
0.018
0
0
0.049
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.148
0.201
0.005
0.022
0.046
0.003
0.017
0.013
0.001
0.019
0.009
0.04
0.001
0
0.083
Year 12
0.141
0.19
0.005
0.021
0.044
0.003
0.016
0.013
0.001
0.018
0.009
0.038
0.001
0
0.079
Year 13
0.135
0.18
0.005
0.02
0.042
0.003
0.016
0.012
0.001
0.017
0.008
0.036
0.001
0
0.075
Year 14
0.129
0.172
0.004
0.02
0.04
0.003
0.015
0.011
0.001
0.017
0.008
0.035
0
0
0.071
Year 15
0.123
0.163
0.004
0.019
0.038
0.002
0.014
0.011
0.001
0.016
0.007
0.033
0
0
0.068
Year 16
0.117
0.155
0.004
0.018
0.036
0.002
0.014
0.01
0.001
0.015
0.007
0.032
0
0
0.064
Year 17
0.112
0.148
0.004
0.017
0.034
0.002
0.013
0.01
0.001
0.014
0.007
0.03
0
0
0.061
Year 18
0.106
0.14
0.004
0.016
0.033
0.002
0.012
0.009
0.001
0.014
0.006
0.029
0
0
0.058
Year 19
0.101
0.133
0.003
0.015
0.031
0.002
0.012
0.009
0.001
0.013
0.006
0.027
0
0
0.055
Year 20
0.095
0.125
0.003
0.015
0.029
0.002
0.011
0.008
0.001
0.012
0.006
0.026
0
0
0.052
Page 69
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
-114.289
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
-114.289
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
-130.995
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-8.613
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-11.34
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.007
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-6.984
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-4.363
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-2.185
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.926
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.6
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.658
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-21.702
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-12.845
Wage and Salary Disbursements Billions of Current Dollars
-5.469
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
-4.139
Real Disposable Personal Income Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-3.502
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
-0.366
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-11.962
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-2.453
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
0
Year 2
-42.458
-42.458
-72.831
-4.654
-7.357
0.018
-4.855
-2.521
-0.99
-0.6
-0.067
-0.323
-13.371
-7.856
-3.298
-1.681
-1.292
-0.575
-6.252
-0.873
0
Year 3
-4.674
-4.674
-37.286
-2.215
-4.938
0.023
-3.479
-1.482
-0.634
-0.5
0.051
-0.186
-8.22
-4.795
-1.842
-0.205
-0.137
-0.326
-3.072
-0.059
0
Year 4
26.151
26.151
-8.281
0.077
-3.129
0.022
-2.461
-0.689
-0.438
-0.454
0.091
-0.075
-3.861
-2.199
-0.496
1.205
0.88
-0.04
-0.377
0.677
0
Year 5
1.604
1.604
-14.318
-0.757
-3.086
0.017
-2.083
-1.021
-1.89
-0.858
-0.658
-0.373
-4.496
-2.639
-0.796
0.081
-0.041
0.092
-1.796
-0.049
0
Year 6
19.677
19.677
7.575
0.93
-1.33
0.011
-0.995
-0.345
-1.713
-0.769
-0.663
-0.281
-0.74
-0.417
0.31
0.894
0.558
0.167
0.225
0.4
0
Year 7
23.81
23.81
14.766
1.528
-0.767
0.003
-0.616
-0.153
-1.742
-0.756
-0.719
-0.267
0.547
0.342
0.783
1.2
0.716
0.304
0.822
0.521
0
Year 8
24.291
24.291
18.481
1.798
-0.353
-0.007
-0.316
-0.03
-1.791
-0.743
-0.782
-0.265
1.332
0.8
1.098
1.34
0.764
0.385
1.109
0.56
0
Year 9
14.708
14.708
14.369
1.379
-0.477
-0.016
-0.294
-0.167
-1.992
-0.769
-0.902
-0.321
0.824
0.471
0.927
0.875
0.421
0.393
0.49
0.301
0
Year 10
16.528
16.528
16.009
1.6
-0.334
-0.024
-0.226
-0.084
-1.717
-0.66
-0.791
-0.266
1.226
0.713
1.072
1.022
0.515
0.38
0.741
0.375
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other(Jobs)
Thousands
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste ServicesThousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social AssistanceThousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 2
-0.727
-0.118
-0.324
8.532
-6.457
-3.379
-6.42
-5.151
-3.847
-13.525
-3.696
-8.759
-1.721
-9.587
-2.105
-4.861
-3.031
-4.115
-3.542
30.372
0
0
0
Year 3
-0.534
-0.081
-0.19
15.07
-4.869
-2.346
-4.095
-3.737
-2.874
-9.446
-2.114
-5.814
-1.256
-5.568
-1.362
-2.188
-2.088
-2.359
-1.435
32.611
0
0
0
Year 4
-0.371
-0.047
-0.075
20.698
-3.612
-1.649
-2.288
-2.575
-2.121
-6.068
-0.713
-3.627
-0.88
-2.338
-0.744
0.014
-1.308
-0.856
0.281
34.431
0
0
0
Year 5
-0.282
-0.033
-0.076
18.79
-3.26
-2.465
-3.289
-2.107
-2.14
-5.142
-0.464
-5.074
-0.712
-3.36
-0.757
-1.057
-1.131
-1.151
-0.609
15.921
0
0
0
Year 6
-0.115
-0.003
0.016
20.654
-1.902
-1.79
-1.736
-0.97
-1.333
-1.992
0.641
-3.082
-0.341
-0.875
-0.266
0.535
-0.42
-0.041
0.593
12.102
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.048
0.008
0.05
21.211
-1.371
-1.605
-1.232
-0.539
-1.029
-0.834
1.049
-2.497
-0.207
-0.16
-0.093
0.96
-0.152
0.343
0.91
9.044
0
0
0
Year 8
-0.001
0.015
0.07
20.799
-0.963
-1.467
-0.911
-0.229
-0.797
-0.039
1.267
-2.125
-0.112
0.208
0.017
1.134
0.03
0.561
1.027
5.81
0
0
0
Year 9
0.013
0.015
0.061
18.661
-0.848
-1.5
-1.079
-0.172
-0.753
-0.029
1.163
-2.441
-0.097
-0.306
-0.025
0.623
0.036
0.39
0.654
0.339
0
0
0
Year 10
0.029
0.017
0.068
17.441
-0.631
-1.228
-0.725
-0.053
-0.579
0.272
1.203
-1.965
-0.065
-0.008
0.034
0.791
0.114
0.526
0.767
0.52
0
0
0
Year 1
-1.02
-0.172
-0.561
2.148
-9.134
-5.67
-10.883
-7.371
-5.661
-20.091
-6.122
-14.515
-2.44
-16.998
-3.386
-9.891
-4.585
-7.144
-7.501
16.706
0
0
0
Page 70
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 11
Category
Units
17.886
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
17.886
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
17.202
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
1.768
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.175
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.03
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.149
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.004
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-1.443
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.552
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.679
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
-0.211
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.594
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.933
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
1.202
Wage and Salary Disbursements Billions of Current Dollars
1.16
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
0.588
Real Disposable Personal Income Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.389
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
0.97
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0.436
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
0
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 12
16.591
16.591
15.94
1.683
-0.209
-0.034
-0.175
0.001
-1.225
-0.466
-0.582
-0.176
1.474
0.862
1.173
1.153
0.565
0.388
0.897
0.422
0
Year 13
15.004
15.004
14.406
1.546
-0.239
-0.038
-0.193
-0.007
-1.056
-0.398
-0.508
-0.15
1.306
0.762
1.11
1.109
0.527
0.375
0.795
0.397
0
Year 14
13.379
13.379
12.843
1.389
-0.262
-0.041
-0.206
-0.015
-0.918
-0.342
-0.447
-0.128
1.127
0.655
1.028
1.048
0.482
0.354
0.684
0.366
0
Year 15
11.86
11.86
11.383
1.234
-0.276
-0.044
-0.212
-0.021
-0.803
-0.295
-0.396
-0.111
0.958
0.554
0.943
0.979
0.436
0.331
0.58
0.338
0
Year 16
10.501
10.501
10.08
1.09
-0.282
-0.044
-0.213
-0.025
-0.703
-0.254
-0.352
-0.097
0.807
0.465
0.858
0.91
0.393
0.307
0.488
0.311
0
Year 17
9.326
9.326
8.953
0.961
-0.281
-0.044
-0.211
-0.026
-0.619
-0.221
-0.312
-0.086
0.678
0.389
0.78
0.846
0.354
0.284
0.409
0.289
0
Year 18
8.325
8.325
7.992
0.847
-0.276
-0.044
-0.206
-0.026
-0.543
-0.194
-0.275
-0.074
0.571
0.326
0.709
0.788
0.32
0.262
0.344
0.271
0
Year 19
7.496
7.496
7.196
0.752
-0.267
-0.042
-0.199
-0.024
-0.473
-0.169
-0.24
-0.064
0.485
0.277
0.648
0.739
0.292
0.243
0.293
0.258
0
Year 20
6.784
6.784
6.512
0.667
-0.254
-0.041
-0.191
-0.022
-0.412
-0.146
-0.211
-0.054
0.413
0.234
0.594
0.695
0.265
0.226
0.25
0.245
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 11
Category
Units
0.045
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other(Jobs)
Thousands
0.018
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
0.074
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
15.945
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.416
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.962
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.395
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
0.062
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
-0.41
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
0.558
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
1.218
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
-1.493
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
-0.03
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste ServicesThousands (Jobs)
0.279
0.091
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social AssistanceThousands (Jobs)
0.93
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
0.188
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
0.647
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
0.852
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
0.684
Thousands (Jobs)
0
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
0
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
0
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 12
0.044
0.016
0.07
14.365
-0.347
-0.796
-0.256
0.06
-0.334
0.506
1.115
-1.282
-0.033
0.249
0.092
0.859
0.185
0.641
0.785
0.652
0
0
0
Year 13
0.042
0.015
0.065
12.725
-0.292
-0.661
-0.158
0.055
-0.274
0.452
1.007
-1.119
-0.036
0.209
0.091
0.779
0.179
0.621
0.708
0.598
0
0
0
Year 14
0.041
0.014
0.061
11.15
-0.247
-0.551
-0.087
0.051
-0.224
0.401
0.902
-0.988
-0.036
0.169
0.088
0.701
0.172
0.596
0.63
0.536
0
0
0
Year 15
0.04
0.012
0.057
9.701
-0.208
-0.458
-0.031
0.048
-0.182
0.357
0.805
-0.872
-0.037
0.136
0.085
0.635
0.165
0.571
0.561
0.475
0
0
0
Year 16
0.039
0.01
0.051
8.401
-0.175
-0.38
0.016
0.045
-0.146
0.321
0.721
-0.768
-0.034
0.111
0.082
0.583
0.158
0.547
0.5
0.42
0
0
0
Year 17
0.038
0.009
0.048
7.255
-0.146
-0.314
0.056
0.044
-0.116
0.292
0.648
-0.674
-0.033
0.096
0.078
0.546
0.153
0.524
0.45
0.373
0
0
0
Year 18
0.036
0.007
0.044
6.253
-0.121
-0.256
0.092
0.044
-0.09
0.27
0.585
-0.586
-0.03
0.088
0.076
0.519
0.149
0.505
0.409
0.333
0
0
0
Year 19
0.035
0.006
0.041
5.387
-0.099
-0.206
0.126
0.044
-0.068
0.254
0.531
-0.502
-0.028
0.086
0.073
0.503
0.145
0.489
0.375
0.3
0
0
0
Year 20
0.035
0.006
0.037
4.638
-0.079
-0.163
0.154
0.045
-0.048
0.24
0.486
-0.426
-0.025
0.088
0.071
0.49
0.141
0.473
0.348
0.271
0
0
0
Page 71
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Management, business, financial occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-14.335
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
-7.323
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.919
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-1.699
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.981
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-2.403
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,Thousands
media occupations
(Jobs)
-2.612
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-6.159
Protective service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
2.067
Food preparation, serving related occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-7.638
Building, grounds, personal care, service
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
-9.901
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-41.001
Farm, fishing, forestry occupationsThousands (Jobs)
-0.623
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
1.149
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-4.441
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-7.672
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-9.8
Year 2
-5.994
-3.647
-0.113
-0.83
-0.054
-0.934
-1.527
-1.998
6.358
-4.27
-4.7
-20.248
-0.379
6.661
-1.247
-4.523
-5.012
Year 3
-1.684
-1.853
0.207
-0.367
0.309
-0.234
-0.962
-0.049
7.418
-2.379
-2.019
-9.465
-0.245
11.361
0.562
-2.809
-2.466
Year 4
1.832
-0.45
0.46
0.012
0.588
0.344
-0.516
1.549
8.285
-0.781
0.176
-0.8
-0.134
15.383
2.067
-1.443
-0.422
Year 5
-0.876
-1.695
-0.038
-0.172
-0.006
-0.181
-0.709
-0.164
3.574
-1.237
-1.124
-6.217
-0.147
12.976
0.984
-1.872
-1.49
Year 6
1.319
-0.672
0.066
0.098
0.089
0.145
-0.334
0.749
2.936
-0.063
0.369
-0.154
-0.051
14.155
1.801
-0.737
-0.039
Year 7
1.837
-0.421
0.057
0.171
0.068
0.211
-0.216
0.894
2.271
0.323
0.753
1.488
-0.018
14.392
2.004
-0.37
0.365
Year 8
1.951
-0.316
0.022
0.2
0.019
0.216
-0.145
0.859
1.514
0.534
0.891
2.173
0.002
13.96
2.013
-0.147
0.545
Year 9
0.905
-0.686
-0.126
0.118
-0.158
0.026
-0.201
0.24
0.085
0.316
0.367
0.261
-0.006
12.209
1.529
-0.306
0.137
Year 10
1.176
-0.468
-0.086
0.145
-0.114
0.08
-0.131
0.386
0.167
0.466
0.549
1.159
0.007
11.443
1.552
-0.133
0.331
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 1
-23.438
-26.244
-26.244
0
-26.551
0
Year 2
-23.093
-3.247
-3.247
-26.551
-30.448
0
Year 3
-16.311
4.916
4.916
-30.448
-26.154
0
Year 4
-6.024
9.929
9.929
-26.154
-16.659
0
Year 5
-4.443
3.168
3.168
-16.659
-13.756
0
Year 6
0.59
5.846
5.846
-13.758
-8.058
0
Year 7
4.747
5.428
5.428
-8.058
-2.635
0
Year 8
7.799
4.538
4.538
-2.635
2.023
0
Year 9
8.044
1.888
1.888
2.024
4.113
0
Year 10
8.941
2.13
2.13
4.113
6.498
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Ages 0-4
Thousands
-2.789
Ages 5-9
Thousands
-2.068
Ages 10-14
Thousands
-1.648
Ages 15-19
Thousands
-1.727
Ages 20-24
Thousands
-4.172
Ages 25-29
Thousands
-3.816
Ages 30-34
Thousands
-2.787
Ages 35-39
Thousands
-2.076
Ages 40-44
Thousands
-1.816
Ages 45-49
Thousands
-1.321
Ages 50-54
Thousands
-0.98
Ages 55-59
Thousands
-0.723
Ages 60-64
Thousands
-0.63
Ages 65-69
Thousands
0
Ages 70-74
Thousands
0
Ages 75-79
Thousands
0
Ages 80-84
Thousands
0
Ages 85+
Thousands
0
Year 2
-3.32
-2.414
-1.93
-1.735
-4.309
-4.468
-3.326
-2.437
-2.095
-1.573
-1.157
-0.84
-0.742
-0.1
0
0
0
0
Year 3
-2.984
-2.129
-1.714
-1.29
-2.993
-3.929
-3.035
-2.185
-1.805
-1.433
-1.039
-0.748
-0.651
-0.219
0
0
0
0
Year 4
-2.059
-1.427
-1.169
-0.67
-0.834
-2.599
-2.191
-1.535
-1.148
-1.03
-0.727
-0.522
-0.416
-0.331
0
0
0
0
Year 5
-1.772
-1.202
-1.021
-0.649
0.071
-2.068
-1.976
-1.393
-0.948
-0.929
-0.651
-0.479
-0.323
-0.418
0
0
0
0
Year 6
-0.849
-1.063
-0.693
-0.455
1.162
-0.975
-1.412
-1.031
-0.582
-0.667
-0.473
-0.355
-0.169
-0.495
0
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.05
-0.793
-0.378
-0.229
1.81
0.317
-0.847
-0.695
-0.279
-0.37
-0.312
-0.227
-0.052
-0.439
-0.091
0
0
0
Year 8
0.608
-0.479
-0.103
-0.028
2.101
1.573
-0.316
-0.41
-0.047
-0.086
-0.176
-0.114
0.029
-0.33
-0.201
0
0
0
Year 9
0.915
-0.255
0.029
0.02
1.838
2.465
-0.011
-0.313
0.005
0.082
-0.13
-0.065
0.039
-0.201
-0.302
0
0
0
Year 10
1.271
-0.038
0.204
0.114
1.578
3.226
0.447
-0.151
0.08
0.246
-0.056
-0.01
0.057
-0.09
-0.38
0
0
0
Page 72
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 11
Category
Units
1.407
Management, business, financial occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.256
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
-0.047
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
0.167
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
-0.072
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
0.131
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,Thousands
media occupations
-0.064
(Jobs)
0.515
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
0.242
Protective service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving related occupations
0.602
Thousands (Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, service
occupations
0.711
Thousands
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
1.965
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupationsThousands (Jobs)
0.019
Construction, extraction occupations
10.494
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
1.538
Thousands (Jobs)
0.029
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
0.504
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 12
1.311
-0.201
-0.037
0.155
-0.058
0.127
-0.046
0.484
0.229
0.598
0.664
1.94
0.019
9.457
1.414
0.051
0.485
Year 13
1.184
-0.167
-0.03
0.14
-0.049
0.119
-0.032
0.443
0.209
0.579
0.606
1.824
0.02
8.377
1.273
0.058
0.448
Year 14
1.052
-0.143
-0.026
0.125
-0.042
0.111
-0.024
0.402
0.187
0.555
0.546
1.677
0.02
7.341
1.132
0.06
0.407
Year 15
0.929
-0.122
-0.022
0.112
-0.037
0.104
-0.016
0.366
0.166
0.53
0.492
1.53
0.02
6.386
1
0.059
0.365
Year 16
0.821
-0.105
-0.019
0.101
-0.033
0.097
-0.01
0.337
0.148
0.507
0.445
1.396
0.019
5.53
0.881
0.057
0.328
Year 17
0.727
-0.088
-0.016
0.092
-0.028
0.091
-0.003
0.317
0.132
0.486
0.407
1.285
0.019
4.776
0.777
0.055
0.297
Year 18
0.648
-0.072
-0.012
0.085
-0.023
0.086
0.001
0.304
0.118
0.469
0.378
1.195
0.019
4.117
0.685
0.055
0.271
Year 19
0.585
-0.056
-0.009
0.08
-0.019
0.083
0.007
0.297
0.109
0.455
0.356
1.128
0.018
3.55
0.607
0.056
0.25
Year 20
0.531
-0.04
-0.006
0.075
-0.015
0.079
0.012
0.291
0.1
0.441
0.337
1.071
0.019
3.057
0.539
0.058
0.233
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 11
Category
Units
9.888
Labor Force
Thousands
2.093
Total Migrants
Thousands
2.093
Economic Migrants
Thousands
6.498
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
8.9
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
0
College Population
Thousands
Year 12
10.374
1.569
1.569
8.9
10.826
0
Year 13
10.484
1.066
1.066
10.826
12.28
0
Year 14
10.311
0.624
0.624
12.28
13.31
0
Year 15
9.943
0.263
0.263
13.31
13.98
0
Year 16
9.454
-0.019
-0.019
13.981
14.358
0
Year 17
8.809
-0.198
-0.198
14.358
14.535
0
Year 18
8.196
-0.339
-0.339
14.535
14.541
0
Year 19
7.622
-0.441
-0.441
14.541
14.407
0
Year 20
7.103
-0.525
-0.525
14.408
14.148
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 11
Category
Units
1.576
Ages 0-4
Thousands
0.555
Ages 5-9
Thousands
0.077
Ages 10-14
Thousands
0.237
Ages 15-19
Thousands
1.341
Ages 20-24
Thousands
3.71
Ages 25-29
Thousands
1.061
Ages 30-34
Thousands
0.067
Ages 35-39
Thousands
0.163
Ages 40-44
Thousands
0.384
Ages 45-49
Thousands
0.039
Ages 50-54
Thousands
0.046
Ages 55-59
Thousands
0.077
Ages 60-64
Thousands
0.016
Ages 65-69
Thousands
-0.448
Ages 70-74
Thousands
0
Ages 75-79
Thousands
0
Ages 80-84
Thousands
0
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 12
1.802
1.01
0.07
0.33
1.16
3.735
1.849
0.27
0.211
0.449
0.162
0.08
0.1
0.078
-0.398
-0.081
0
0
Year 13
1.955
1.36
0.133
0.398
1.008
3.471
2.646
0.47
0.235
0.465
0.286
0.099
0.119
0.109
-0.297
-0.177
0
0
Year 14
2.065
1.565
0.274
0.455
0.862
3.019
3.394
0.67
0.242
0.451
0.403
0.109
0.133
0.117
-0.181
-0.266
0
0
Year 15
2.111
1.761
0.364
0.522
0.715
2.47
3.928
0.963
0.267
0.42
0.488
0.124
0.138
0.12
-0.08
-0.332
0
0
Year 16
2.099
1.883
0.807
0.274
0.589
1.901
4.148
1.382
0.329
0.379
0.533
0.152
0.138
0.12
0.015
-0.388
0
0
Year 17
2.038
1.955
1.138
0.165
0.48
1.441
3.951
2.004
0.399
0.321
0.52
0.216
0.124
0.123
0.071
-0.343
-0.067
0
Year 18
1.933
1.985
1.388
0.148
0.391
1.066
3.51
2.668
0.493
0.26
0.478
0.293
0.106
0.127
0.099
-0.256
-0.148
0
Year 19
1.788
2.001
1.517
0.228
0.328
0.751
2.927
3.313
0.612
0.203
0.417
0.373
0.087
0.129
0.107
-0.154
-0.219
0
Year 20
1.612
1.978
1.657
0.273
0.307
0.48
2.281
3.772
0.845
0.181
0.354
0.431
0.082
0.125
0.11
-0.067
-0.271
0
Page 73
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
State Revenues at State Average Rates
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.47363
State Expenditures at State Average
Ratesof Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.173369
Billions
Year 2
-0.25514
-0.12432
Year 3
-0.15704
-0.23182
Year 4
-0.07523
-0.27154
Year 5
-0.20509
-0.14341
Year 6
-0.1399
-0.16261
Year 7
-0.1237
-0.12861
Year 8
-0.11392
-0.08516
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.03441
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.159
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.04946
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.0138
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.04972
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.01788
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.03258
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.0313
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.00017
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.08531
Year 2
-0.03881
-0.08808
-0.02804
-0.00743
0
-0.03115
-0.00677
-0.01239
-0.01136
-0.00014
0
-0.03097
Year 3
Year 4
-0.03322 -0.02078
-0.07013 -0.06142
-0.0222
-0.0197
-0.00588
-0.0057
0
0
-0.02015 -0.01163
-0.0003 0.004988
-0.00119 0.008665
-0.00135 0.00833
-0.00011 -0.00009
0
0
-0.0035 0.022103
Year 5
-0.01665
-0.12427
-0.03875
-0.01078
0
-0.01191
-0.00012
-3.8E-05
-0.00049
-7.4E-05
0
-0.00101
Year 6
-0.01017
-0.11036
-0.03424
-0.00932
0
-0.00405
0.003072
0.005476
0.005805
-4.5E-05
0
0.013927
Year 7
-0.00312
-0.11073
-0.03434
-0.00996
0
-0.00137
0.003467
0.006863
0.007093
-3.1E-05
0
0.018428
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
0.002572 0.00498 0.007379
-0.1108 -0.11536 -0.09957
-0.0346 -0.03621
-0.0317
-0.00993 -0.00955 -0.00913
0
0
0
0.000299
-0.0012 0.000338
0.004345
0.0021 0.00277
0.007305 0.003686 0.004915
0.007456 0.003807 0.005008
-2.1E-05 -1.6E-05 -1.3E-05
0
0
0
0.019449 0.011071 0.013292
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 1
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.04957
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.198949
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.00158
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.00764
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.01562
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.00054
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.00595
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.00482
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.00065
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.00591
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.00266
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.0137
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.00029
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.082351
Year 2
-0.05527
-0.00252
-0.00181
-0.00822
-0.01695
-0.00128
-0.00624
-0.00509
-0.00096
-0.00766
-0.00289
-0.01462
-0.00043
0
-0.00039
Year 3
-0.04814
-0.08806
-0.00158
-0.00769
-0.015
-0.00074
-0.00592
-0.00413
-0.00016
-0.00662
-0.00328
-0.0128
-0.00051
0
-0.0372
Year 5
-0.026
-0.06086
-0.00108
-0.00395
-0.00859
-4.4E-05
-0.00265
-0.00245
-0.00028
-0.00355
-0.00119
-0.00681
-0.00057
0
-0.02538
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
-0.01605 -0.00509 0.003616 0.008398 0.013168
-0.09055 -0.08311 -0.06678 -0.02927 -0.02602
-0.00088 -0.00058 -0.00022 0.000145 0.000507
-0.00205 -0.00068 0.000944 0.001583 0.002219
-0.00475 -0.00199 0.001317 0.002644 0.003966
7.6E-05 0.000257 0.000473 -0.00031 -9.3E-05
-0.00196 -0.00091 0.000342 0.000602 0.001861
-0.00092 -0.00012 0.000831 0.000791 0.00075
-0.00023 -0.00016 -6.6E-05 0.000026 0.000118
-0.00178 -0.00062 0.000768 0.001164 0.001558
-0.00082 -0.00028 0.000373
2.9E-05 0.000684
-0.00421 -0.00178 0.001109 0.002024 0.003935
-0.00055 -0.00051 -0.00047 -0.00043 -0.00039
0
0
0
0
0
-0.03794 -0.03405
-0.0274 -0.01221 -0.01072
Year 4
-0.03093
-0.14293
-0.00094
-0.00433
-0.00933
-0.00096
-0.00318
-0.00309
-0.00025
-0.00402
-0.00194
-0.00872
-0.00056
0
-0.05936
Page 74
Year 9
-0.13669
-0.02282
Year 10
-0.10672
-0.00746
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Year 11
Year 12
Year 13
Year 14
Year 15
Year 16
Year 17
Year 18
Year 19
Year 20
Category
Units
-0.07783 -0.06073 -0.04695 -0.03618 -0.02783 -0.02174 -0.01561 -0.01039 -0.00608 -0.00281
State Revenues at State Average Rates
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Ratesof Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.010232 0.033647 0.054188 0.071685 0.083763 0.093806 0.099733 0.104168 0.107478 0.107891
Billions
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 11
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.010478
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.08478
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.0262
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.00772
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.000914
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.003355
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.005985
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.005054
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-9E-06
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.015098
Year 12
0.012735
-0.07335
-0.02307
-0.00668
0
0.000406
0.003328
0.004937
0.005006
-9E-06
0
0.01397
Year 13
0.015255
-0.06299
-0.01995
-0.00565
0
0.000967
0.003241
0.004777
0.00485
-0.00001
0
0.013551
Year 14
0.016179
-0.05469
-0.01686
-0.00462
0
0.000591
0.002115
0.004546
0.004625
-1.1E-05
0
0.011947
Year 15
0.016619
-0.04736
-0.01476
-0.00459
0
0.000291
0.001982
0.004303
0.004386
-1.1E-05
0
0.011308
Year 16
0.017646
-0.04098
-0.01264
-0.00356
0
0.000062
0.00185
0.004061
0.00315
-1.2E-05
0
0.009674
Year 17
0.017386
-0.03551
-0.01149
-0.00352
0
-0.0001
0.001734
0.003848
0.002942
-1.3E-05
0
0.009116
Year 18
0.017898
-0.03098
-0.00932
-0.00247
0
-0.00021
0.001635
0.002666
0.002765
-1.3E-05
0
0.00764
Year 19
0.017215
-0.02739
-0.00814
-0.00242
0
-0.00027
0.001553
0.002517
0.002619
-1.4E-05
0
0.007248
Year 20
0.017355
-0.0228
-0.00695
-0.00237
0
-0.00029
0.001481
0.002386
0.00249
-1.4E-05
0
0.006905
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Hillsborough County
Category
Units
Year 11
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.018435
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.02117
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.000853
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.00278
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.005134
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.000114
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.002062
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.001665
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.000205
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.001888
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars 0.001308
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0.00471
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.00035
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
0
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
-0.00839
Year 12
0.022283
-0.01008
0.00115
0.003125
0.006864
0.000292
0.002096
0.002453
0.00028
0.003033
0.000847
0.006101
-0.00032
0
-0.00448
Year 13
0.024894
-0.00022
0.000406
0.004281
0.007212
0.000446
0.002986
0.002131
0.000345
0.003018
0.00131
0.007159
-0.00029
0
-0.00048
Year 14
0.027499
0.008629
0.000628
0.004285
0.00825
0.000579
0.002758
0.00272
0.000401
0.003873
0.001711
0.006944
-0.00027
0
0.003673
Year 15
0.028291
0.01462
0.000823
0.004165
0.009036
0.000696
0.003435
0.002236
0.00045
0.003623
0.002064
0.007509
-0.00024
0
0.00606
Year 16
0.029389
0.020831
0.000995
0.00494
0.008609
0.000798
0.003031
0.00269
0.000493
0.004283
0.001374
0.007888
-0.00023
0
0.008709
Year 17
0.030002
0.024595
0.00115
0.004641
0.009032
0.000891
0.00357
0.003101
0.000533
0.00388
0.001654
0.008134
-0.00021
0
0.009757
Year 18
0.030233
0.027187
0.001292
0.004284
0.009338
0.000977
0.003065
0.002478
0.000569
0.003428
0.001912
0.008278
-0.00019
0
0.01132
Year 19
0.030136
0.029786
0.001424
0.004878
0.009542
0.001055
0.003521
0.002825
0.000602
0.003933
0.002149
0.008333
-0.00018
0
0.012471
Year 20
0.02974
0.030508
0.000545
0.004425
0.008654
0.000128
0.002943
0.002146
0.000632
0.0034
0.001369
0.008307
-0.00016
0
0.012258
Page 75
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Employment Losses
Category
Units
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary Disbursements Billions of Current Dollars
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
Real Disposable Personal Income Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 1
-11.8506
-9.58621
11.55596
-1.23552
0.3215
-1.20252
-0.70551
-1.1141
0.781388
-0.2972
-0.00829
-3.36484
-1.00089
-0.35421
-0.88523
-0.00223
0.448048
-1.95648
0.593485
0.683
0
Year 2
6.794166
8.452323
16.30075
-0.31624
0.360405
-0.8677
-0.48595
-0.87012
1.109449
-0.16119
0.171615
-2.33225
-0.08946
0.068407
-0.51023
0.713261
0.425062
-0.97877
1.228651
0.949
0
Year 3
15.11346
16.39881
17.90029
0.214993
0.35705
-0.6496
-0.34746
-0.69417
1.090851
-0.11611
0.199091
-1.68803
0.426132
0.303222
-0.24646
1.076963
0.468379
-0.32272
1.431168
1.02
0
Year 4
21.48107
22.44011
18.46458
0.675648
0.286142
-0.46653
-0.25996
-0.54594
1.009631
-0.08854
0.202963
-1.12507
0.820998
0.49638
-0.01026
1.385137
0.594346
0.193081
1.581555
1.068
0
Year 5
9.856337
10.60974
11.65705
0.482694
0.07956
-0.3571
-0.26476
-0.55023
0.215386
-0.20957
-0.12304
-1.04181
0.432979
0.245958
-0.1067
0.844235
0.177455
0.364362
0.824289
0.659
0
Year 6
11.14732
11.56131
9.711604
0.720698
-0.00184
-0.16249
-0.15998
-0.36987
0.008255
-0.18619
-0.15093
-0.48521
0.61028
0.334614
0.054141
0.824274
0.188297
0.578384
0.705137
0.549
0
Year 7
10.33998
10.60609
8.197567
0.763374
-0.055
-0.08774
-0.12489
-0.29397
-0.14074
-0.18636
-0.18987
-0.2661
0.621076
0.351816
0.1139
0.760064
0.249058
0.610336
0.581802
0.473
0
Year 8
8.941834
9.097336
6.776936
0.75319
-0.08569
-0.03078
-0.09234
-0.23002
-0.27696
-0.18792
-0.22614
-0.11435
0.59876
0.351351
0.150242
0.665716
0.2764
0.601132
0.448463
0.396
0
Year 9
4.81405
4.92901
4.634444
0.604103
-0.1269
-0.01624
-0.09176
-0.21811
-0.44655
-0.20592
-0.29364
-0.11224
0.422982
0.257682
0.094173
0.422546
0.203227
0.490557
0.19283
0.267
0
Year 10
4.835462
4.913282
4.257188
0.590198
-0.13328
-0.00041
-0.08211
-0.18274
-0.39336
-0.18082
-0.26156
-0.03422
0.414413
0.263753
0.103447
0.409342
0.264833
0.39905
0.180724
0.259
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other(Jobs)
Thousands
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste ServicesThousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social AssistanceThousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
-0.03477
-0.07046
-2.44375
2.273533
-0.89223
-2.51207
0.227045
-0.44389
-2.39792
-2.77584
-2.61481
-0.23036
-5.40442
0.735299
-2.48159
-0.39864
-1.56241
-1.90694
-1.28541
13.119
0
0
0
Year 2
-0.02737
-0.04853
-2.51719
5.552396
-0.61681
-1.70394
0.753559
-0.31029
-1.71245
-1.92994
-1.53089
0.224423
-3.83438
1.271541
-1.65462
0.35968
-1.08666
-0.97379
-0.36215
17.481
0
0
0
Year 3
-0.02603
-0.03511
-2.18524
7.883799
-0.48743
-1.23942
0.835219
-0.23127
-1.26649
-1.39449
-0.87156
0.304431
-2.78676
1.289013
-1.15004
0.652417
-0.80177
-0.43772
0.016644
17.44
0
0
0
Year 4
-0.02271
-0.02378
-1.67297
9.401537
-0.40021
-0.87833
0.829248
-0.16964
-0.89611
-0.94306
-0.31998
0.290036
-1.92107
1.253362
-0.74218
0.867753
-0.5624
-0.00061
0.312948
17.357
0
0
0
Year 5
-0.02308
-0.01885
-1.21904
7.905676
-0.44617
-0.86152
0.153646
-0.15218
-0.70955
-0.77159
-0.31498
-0.28446
-1.41621
0.359741
-0.56092
0.266014
-0.49571
-0.06867
-0.10639
8.827
0
0
0
Year 6
-0.01396
-0.00871
-0.60746
7.796017
-0.33326
-0.52237
0.047558
-0.08965
-0.34114
-0.35059
0.095215
-0.35258
-0.59013
0.150709
-0.19936
0.297755
-0.27179
0.221497
0.053021
6.258
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.009
-0.00511
-0.1991
7.333011
-0.28816
-0.40311
-0.04432
-0.06613
-0.19838
-0.18318
0.224154
-0.4321
-0.27843
0.002792
-0.08012
0.265012
-0.18283
0.304019
0.081896
4.542
0
0
0
Year 8
-0.00403
-0.00276
0.093606
6.760713
-0.24721
-0.31821
-0.11679
-0.04739
-0.0947
-0.06598
0.294127
-0.49012
-0.06107
-0.12271
-0.00464
0.219447
-0.11849
0.342723
0.085481
2.853
0
0
0
Year 9
-0.00141
-0.00263
0.243188
5.633112
-0.23251
-0.31225
-0.22813
-0.04234
-0.06937
-0.04978
0.234853
-0.59055
-0.01249
-0.31613
-0.01667
0.067664
-0.10845
0.275823
-0.02294
0.369
0
0
0
Year 10
0.003019
-0.00165
0.332419
5.007797
-0.19219
-0.25587
-0.17269
-0.03253
-0.03443
-0.00989
0.258219
-0.52544
0.037638
-0.27056
-0.00955
0.122812
-0.08009
0.293883
0.020168
0.339
0
0
0
Page 76
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Employment Losses
Category
Units
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary Disbursements Billions of Current Dollars
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
Real Disposable Personal Income Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 11
4.765927
4.808743
3.83018
0.571449
-0.13665
0.016196
-0.0701
-0.14859
-0.33663
-0.15682
-0.22814
0.04263
0.400348
0.263437
0.109055
0.399744
0.3068
0.352941
0.163838
0.249
0
Year 12
4.392098
4.435387
3.643736
0.526149
-0.12296
0.01151
-0.06641
-0.13495
-0.27684
-0.13707
-0.19805
0.040881
0.374146
0.25405
0.096891
0.387435
0.337695
0.284703
0.150516
0.246
0
Year 13
3.975741
4.021319
3.424683
0.478949
-0.11013
0.006634
-0.06356
-0.12481
-0.22703
-0.12072
-0.17306
0.034633
0.343474
0.238384
0.080175
0.376189
0.349943
0.231892
0.134164
0.242
0
Year 14
3.567388
3.615911
3.204865
0.435084
-0.09814
0.002641
-0.05942
-0.11688
-0.18598
-0.10824
-0.15267
0.02495
0.311564
0.220085
0.0612
0.365744
0.351236
0.189806
0.117292
0.238
0
Year 15
3.189711
3.240996
2.993732
0.393658
-0.08698
-0.00048
-0.05588
-0.11093
-0.14942
-0.09713
-0.13438
0.016389
0.282364
0.200483
0.04098
0.358048
0.347311
0.156441
0.101778
0.234
0
Year 16
2.853211
2.906632
2.797969
0.35762
-0.07768
-0.0028
-0.0529
-0.10639
-0.11923
-0.08817
-0.11899
0.00859
0.255255
0.18239
0.021287
0.352296
0.338702
0.131194
0.087876
0.23
0
Year 17
2.558222
2.612879
2.617143
0.324837
-0.06824
-0.00443
-0.0495
-0.10175
-0.09232
-0.08013
-0.1043
0.001981
0.2315
0.165562
0.00344
0.348931
0.32943
0.111355
0.076
0.226
0
Year 18
2.302334
2.357403
2.449377
0.296125
-0.05968
-0.00548
-0.04572
-0.09781
-0.06962
-0.07294
-0.09126
-0.0035
0.210052
0.149279
-0.01407
0.347021
0.319608
0.095873
0.065084
0.221
0
Year 19
2.083465
2.138106
2.297676
0.2703
-0.05303
-0.00606
-0.04261
-0.09346
-0.04902
-0.06555
-0.07889
-0.00702
0.191792
0.13466
-0.02913
0.348613
0.311572
0.08362
0.056927
0.216
0
Year 20
1.890746
1.944411
2.154802
0.247167
-0.0463
-0.00726
-0.04027
-0.08996
-0.03153
-0.06012
-0.06831
-0.01003
0.174452
0.120668
-0.04408
0.350407
0.302979
0.074325
0.04928
0.211
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other(Jobs)
Thousands
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste ServicesThousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social AssistanceThousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 11
0.007411
-0.00063
0.386037
4.347461
-0.1513
-0.20199
-0.11911
-0.02168
0.000525
0.026717
0.279566
-0.45683
0.088065
-0.22314
0.001004
0.168857
-0.05223
0.310369
0.057192
0.308
0
0
0
Year 12
0.010163
-0.00071
0.377719
3.861142
-0.1258
-0.18389
-0.06843
-0.01901
-0.00115
0.019936
0.252214
-0.3908
0.059527
-0.18087
-0.02576
0.196707
-0.0488
0.293569
0.06572
0.291
0
0
0
Year 13
0.012919
-0.00081
0.345537
3.394859
-0.10457
-0.16995
-0.02635
-0.01621
-0.00381
0.011078
0.224884
-0.3338
0.035136
-0.1426
-0.04938
0.218957
-0.04555
0.276947
0.069423
0.274
0
0
0
Year 14
0.014694
-0.00089
0.301726
2.966701
-0.08641
-0.15827
0.008171
-0.01423
-0.00529
0.002485
0.200444
-0.28387
0.014454
-0.11024
-0.07005
0.238703
-0.04306
0.259017
0.071472
0.257
0
0
0
Year 15
0.016498
-0.00097
0.256202
2.583673
-0.07212
-0.14901
0.037114
-0.01205
-0.00753
-0.00482
0.178422
-0.23908
-0.00237
-0.08074
-0.08776
0.255068
-0.04092
0.243354
0.071733
0.241
0
0
0
Year 16
0.018333
-0.00101
0.212233
2.246674
-0.05864
-0.13904
0.061454
-0.00968
-0.00856
-0.01045
0.159821
-0.20056
-0.01463
-0.05608
-0.10095
0.269066
-0.03797
0.228017
0.071571
0.226
0
0
0
Year 17
0.019193
-0.00103
0.172269
1.950564
-0.04794
-0.13021
0.08114
-0.00815
-0.00954
-0.01515
0.143513
-0.16641
-0.02482
-0.03526
-0.11145
0.280706
-0.03504
0.214014
0.071324
0.211
0
0
0
Year 18
0.020081
-0.00103
0.137263
1.693201
-0.03903
-0.12174
0.097115
-0.00647
-0.00962
-0.01726
0.12819
-0.13777
-0.03062
-0.01831
-0.11883
0.289884
-0.03235
0.202038
0.07095
0.198
0
0
0
Year 19
0.019992
-0.00102
0.106863
1.47045
-0.03093
-0.11393
0.109327
-0.00467
-0.00996
-0.01721
0.115572
-0.11173
-0.0357
-0.00326
-0.1238
0.297488
-0.02911
0.189708
0.070354
0.185
0
0
0
Year 20
0.020924
-0.00099
0.082241
1.277151
-0.0237
-0.1052
0.118727
-0.0038
-0.00974
-0.01744
0.104267
-0.0894
-0.03763
0.007893
-0.12704
0.302426
-0.02545
0.178618
0.070336
0.173
0
0
0
Page 77
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,Thousands
media occupations
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving related occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, service
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupationsThousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
0.89269
0.634416
-0.14641
-0.16778
-0.22889
-0.14151
-1.78363
0.221739
1.437771
-2.71361
-9.67441
5.409812
-2.08899
2.651547
-1.32678
-1.94701
1.303
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
-2.28529 5.852967 10.98504 14.80457 14.69868 14.62926 13.74449 12.59358 10.82982 9.555929
-2.78329 1.371967 2.624033 3.295561 0.983676 1.122244 0.835475 0.506561 -0.21621
-0.1351
4.191 -2.38005 -6.40851
-8.8143 -12.4932 -13.3645 -13.1239 -12.5986 -12.1667 -11.0265
-7.07205 -6.38348 -3.41827 0.34685 4.327543 6.32314 7.835449 8.980338 9.624513 9.563307
4.25
9.125
13.657
17.802
19.092
19.681
19.79
19.474
18.511
17.678
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 1
-0.09644
-0.10782
-0.19615
-0.83306
-0.34844
-0.13099
-0.10697
-0.15092
-0.06145
-0.04983
-0.0358
-0.05206
0.101
0
0
0
0
0
Year 2
2.323056
1.028616
0.117755
-0.00315
0.084183
0.170479
-1.14168
1.014407
3.097701
-1.48958
-6.21847
7.378502
-1.98253
4.942971
-0.10812
-1.05253
1.718
Year 2
0.168602
0.046539
-0.05337
-0.98492
-0.19411
0.174928
0.131695
-0.00789
0.080764
0.061472
0.049443
-0.00817
0.193316
0.016
0
0
0
0
Year 3
2.765833
1.068007
0.209425
0.066753
0.194509
0.283106
-0.77322
1.232312
3.434861
-0.79616
-4.15171
7.489608
-1.67244
6.396495
0.528571
-0.58278
1.734
Year 3
0.553396
0.278037
0.1856
-0.83676
0.035052
0.596949
0.476051
0.235598
0.272202
0.22377
0.168136
0.07078
0.264431
0.052
0
0
0
0
Year 4
3.065494
1.065866
0.279201
0.120382
0.280914
0.372348
-0.4757
1.392777
3.703609
-0.2297
-2.42274
7.382183
-1.25752
7.341028
1.014553
-0.21234
1.704
Year 4
1.011167
0.551972
0.454643
-0.46747
0.258142
1.073673
0.882235
0.544314
0.486306
0.415852
0.304922
0.17571
0.314225
0.107
0
0
0
0
Page 78
Year 5
1.536297
0.420453
0.083175
0.025486
0.055027
0.137112
-0.42416
0.548172
1.64895
-0.31124
-2.25409
3.724404
-0.93594
5.785798
0.538393
-0.39472
0.895
Year 5
1.236531
0.640574
0.554652
-0.15583
0.052387
1.187221
1.048982
0.686059
0.53307
0.495398
0.356067
0.228569
0.28653
0.182
0
0
0
0
Year 6
1.307907
0.263912
0.085633
0.045857
0.065621
0.140315
-0.16647
0.457668
1.266861
0.092669
-0.80914
2.646403
-0.46026
5.516253
0.726773
-0.12559
0.643
Year 6
1.298746
0.783545
0.641837
0.257134
-0.10395
1.249755
1.203868
0.838037
0.580888
0.571356
0.406418
0.289836
0.232863
0.267
0
0
0
0
Year 7
1.064152
0.147361
0.064386
0.044895
0.046468
0.118239
-0.08385
0.355676
0.935913
0.215618
-0.29195
1.907243
-0.16464
5.103005
0.723111
-0.04765
0.474
Year 7
1.265296
0.939069
0.705707
0.604996
-0.16543
1.188345
1.313311
0.966638
0.629696
0.621069
0.451019
0.340425
0.199355
0.31672
0.015
0
0
0
Year 8
0.801678
0.039211
0.037919
0.039164
0.020557
0.088773
-0.032
0.242445
0.580962
0.281194
0.033345
1.229718
0.047343
4.619575
0.674789
-0.00604
0.317
Year 8
1.146971
1.093797
0.746939
0.864733
-0.11945
0.98937
1.371947
1.068849
0.680019
0.641064
0.488767
0.377379
0.181925
0.332183
0.049
0
0
0
Year 9
0.319483
-0.1272
-0.02592
0.013598
-0.0509
0.01456
-0.05345
0.011799
-0.03961
0.204193
-0.06365
0.274574
0.146973
3.726007
0.455605
-0.07501
0.099
Year 9
0.919691
1.216337
0.73996
0.988389
-0.01843
0.605802
1.336798
1.11497
0.70735
0.612175
0.505567
0.39027
0.173581
0.316105
0.101
0
0
0
Year 10
0.312283
-0.11089
-0.01947
0.020641
-0.03928
0.022038
-0.03858
0.048952
-0.01858
0.238965
0.071813
0.285445
0.213236
3.314923
0.439701
-0.03438
0.093
Year 10
0.701584
1.333124
0.735865
1.040209
0.223897
0.203561
1.283665
1.163459
0.759052
0.580381
0.528332
0.400761
0.188716
0.26628
0.171
0
0
0
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,Thousands
media occupations
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving related occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, service
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupationsThousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 11
0.300351
-0.09366
-0.01296
0.026525
-0.02774
0.029393
-0.02157
0.082545
0.002007
0.271235
0.196947
0.290266
0.255984
2.8792
0.419162
0.003566
0.086
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 11
Year 12
Year 13
Year 14
Year 15
Year 16
Year 17
Year 18
Year 19
Year 20
8.512644 7.607699 6.863577
6.2376 5.698717 5.234593 4.861497 4.540569 4.262817 4.01332
-0.13038 -0.18133 -0.23645 -0.28443 -0.32231 -0.34843 -0.36053 -0.36746 -0.37121 -0.37371
-10.0377 -9.07278 -8.26331 -7.56755 -6.95959 -6.42057 -5.94415 -5.50395 -5.09359 -4.70965
9.588156 9.530691 9.437447 9.295346 9.104463 8.871853 8.615024 8.333407 8.027352 7.699372
16.885
16.154
15.453
14.767
14.091
13.422
12.754
12.085
11.418
10.756
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 11
0.593491
1.285943
0.786334
1.041778
0.514796
-0.14901
1.185079
1.200596
0.820388
0.551555
0.54785
0.409057
0.218661
0.200091
0.251
0
0
0
Year 12
0.283429
-0.07538
-0.01192
0.027851
-0.02501
0.028839
-0.03431
0.100484
-0.00127
0.255862
0.16268
0.333568
0.250295
2.559051
0.378638
0.007913
0.089
Year 12
0.509683
1.167003
0.869777
1.015458
0.759803
-0.36228
1.000178
1.218306
0.878845
0.541744
0.556182
0.421612
0.248845
0.15599
0.29794
0.014
0
0
Year 13
0.26281
-0.06002
-0.01253
0.02924
-0.02315
0.02845
-0.04529
0.115354
-0.00549
0.240026
0.125513
0.362075
0.229078
2.250171
0.338753
0.009314
0.09
Year 13
0.445027
0.992406
0.974992
0.972848
0.935568
-0.41516
0.720245
1.213133
0.933189
0.553166
0.548017
0.435917
0.276317
0.132573
0.313042
0.044
0
0
Year 14
0.243021
-0.0465
-0.01273
0.029793
-0.02206
0.027333
-0.05544
0.127545
-0.0092
0.224311
0.090186
0.381806
0.200139
1.965077
0.300902
0.00858
0.089
Year 14
0.394954
0.769685
1.100159
0.923708
1.026183
-0.30361
0.351791
1.18307
0.984201
0.586083
0.524406
0.453583
0.297156
0.131049
0.299782
0.091
0
0
Page 79
Year 15
0.224385
-0.03575
-0.01239
0.029577
-0.02062
0.027569
-0.06308
0.137327
-0.01199
0.210277
0.059463
0.395768
0.170744
1.708772
0.267316
0.008222
0.088
Year 15
0.350847
0.545628
1.211566
0.871996
1.033337
-0.07211
-0.05285
1.121721
1.027921
0.636636
0.491086
0.473458
0.31255
0.149016
0.255855
0.155
0
0
Year 16
0.206947
-0.02676
-0.01251
0.030598
-0.01883
0.026166
-0.07042
0.146778
-0.0147
0.196922
0.034
0.404943
0.141704
1.482692
0.237992
0.008379
0.087
Year 16
0.305039
0.427769
1.154733
0.877957
0.984655
0.202164
-0.41381
1.014484
1.056346
0.69293
0.459743
0.48934
0.324214
0.181143
0.196411
0.226
0
0
Year 17
0.191674
-0.01854
-0.01209
0.030853
-0.01768
0.026117
-0.07436
0.153947
-0.01621
0.185218
0.014063
0.410305
0.114615
1.285086
0.210853
0.008064
0.085
Year 17
0.260774
0.336022
1.029755
0.925477
0.918872
0.432682
-0.63351
0.821171
1.066974
0.74726
0.446863
0.494047
0.338255
0.211792
0.15793
0.268183
0.012
0
Year 18
0.177422
-0.01111
-0.01221
0.03031
-0.01623
0.025373
-0.07726
0.159747
-0.01574
0.173774
-0.00022
0.410825
0.092057
1.113889
0.188739
0.008097
0.082
Year 18
0.222184
0.26498
0.850561
1.004999
0.846694
0.59783
-0.69245
0.535716
1.057266
0.799593
0.456106
0.483781
0.35501
0.239201
0.137025
0.283585
0.038
0
Year 19
0.165048
-0.00551
-0.01096
0.03094
-0.01553
0.024878
-0.07955
0.165074
-0.01555
0.164168
-0.01085
0.409472
0.072401
0.964987
0.168484
0.008286
0.08
Year 19
0.193923
0.212021
0.624705
1.110549
0.775426
0.682803
-0.58293
0.163475
1.024333
0.850051
0.489264
0.459176
0.374979
0.261552
0.135234
0.273243
0.078
0
Year 20
0.154354
-0.00078
-0.01044
0.030701
-0.01363
0.024576
-0.08068
0.168808
-0.0158
0.154959
-0.01819
0.405223
0.057058
0.836118
0.150884
0.00837
0.077
Year 20
0.177805
0.166542
0.400128
1.207299
0.708751
0.68854
-0.35057
-0.24133
0.962929
0.893058
0.539088
0.425551
0.395924
0.277959
0.152465
0.237638
0.132
0
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State Average Rates
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Ratesof Fixed (2010) Dollars
Billions
Year 1
0.109081
-0.008
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
-0.04299
0.018955
0.00684
0.003
-0.0075
-0.00345
-0.00499
-0.00176
0.007969
0
-0.02619
0.022
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
0.012232 0.007993 0.00564 0.003974 0.003376 0.001211
-0.00706 -0.00809
-0.0071 -0.00511 0.000885 0.002889
-0.00026 -0.00039 -0.00047 -0.00051 -0.00052
-0.0005
-0.00054 -0.00079 0.00005 -2.5E-05 -5.4E-05 -1.4E-05
-3.5E-05 0.000948 0.000938 0.000933 0.000931 0.001934
-0.0002
-0.0003 -0.00036 -0.00039
-0.0004 -0.00038
-0.00016 -0.00023 -0.00027 0.000704 0.000696 0.000707
-1.5E-05 -2.2E-05 -2.6E-05 -2.8E-05 -2.9E-05 -2.8E-05
-0.00023 -0.00033
-0.0004 -0.00043 -0.00044 -0.00043
-0.00011 -0.00016 -0.00019 0.000798 0.000792
0.0008
-0.00047 -0.00069 -0.00083
-0.0009 -0.00092 -0.00089
-7E-06 0.00099 0.000988 0.000987 0.000987 0.000988
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.004658 0.002485 0.001095 -1.1E-05 -0.00067 -0.00157
-0.003
-0.003
-0.003
-0.002
0
0.001
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
0.12985 0.126983 0.121679 0.057213 0.035433 0.021946 0.010051
-0.007
-0.002
0.002
0.012
0.015
0.017
0.019
Year 2
-0.02505
0.027382
0.008788
0.003
-0.00546
-0.00237
-0.00201
0.004177
0.010975
0
-0.02098
0.03
Year 3
-0.0128
0.023657
0.007417
0.003
-0.00412
-0.00158
0.000443
0.005592
0.01198
0
-0.01719
0.033
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
-0.00136 0.004484 0.011614 0.014451 0.015654
0.018678 -0.00612 -0.01188 -0.01599
-0.0193
0.005975 -0.00169 -0.00407 -0.00483 -0.00564
0.002
0
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
-0.00296 -0.00227 -0.00106 -0.00059 -0.00024
-0.00083 -0.00133 -0.00044 -2.5E-05 0.000295
0.001816 -0.00028 0.001371 0.001121 0.001709
0.007933 0.003822 0.004431 0.004164 0.003738
0.012984 0.007987 0.006992 0.005994 0.004996
0
0
0
0
0
-0.01359 -0.01121 -0.00689 -0.00493 -0.00338
0.034
0.021
0.018
0.015
0.012
Page 80
Year 7
0.000566
0.003896
-0.00047
0.000046
0.001938
-0.00036
0.000725
-2.6E-05
-0.0004
0.000812
-0.00084
0.000988
0
-0.00184
0.002
Year 8
0.000282
0.004904
-0.00044
0.000117
0.001942
-0.00033
0.000745
-2.4E-05
-0.00037
0.000826
-0.00077
0.000989
0
-0.00196
0.002
Year 9
-0.00412
0.02
Year 10
-0.00226
0.019
Year 9
0.015579
-0.02301
-0.00756
-0.002
-0.00015
-0.00058
0.000947
0.001971
0.002997
0
-0.00276
0.008
Year 10
0.015593
-0.0207
-0.00647
-0.002
-5.8E-05
-0.00046
0.000164
0.002183
0.002997
0
-0.00219
0.007
Year 9
0.000511
0.006912
-0.0004
0.000189
0.001947
-0.00031
0.000766
-2.2E-05
-0.00034
0.00084
-0.00071
0.00099
0
-0.00186
0.003
Year 10
0.000756
0.005919
-0.00036
0.000261
0.000952
-0.00028
0.000787
-0.00002
-0.00031
0.000854
-0.00065
0.000991
0
-0.00176
0.003
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State Average Rates
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Ratesof Fixed (2010) Dollars
Billions
Year 11
Year 12
0.000565 0.003599
0.019
0.018
Year 13
Year 14
0.00651 0.009316
0.017
0.016
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.015616
-0.01737
-0.00538
-0.001
0.000039
-0.00035
0.000358
0.002372
0.001998
0
-0.00168
0.007
Year 12
0.014826
-0.01531
-0.00436
-0.001
-1E-06
-0.00035
0.000352
0.001367
0.001998
0
-0.0017
0.007
Year 13
Year 14
Year 15
Year 16
Year 17
0.015008 0.014163 0.013309 0.012449 0.012586
-0.01225
-0.0102 -0.00916 -0.00711 -0.00607
-0.00435 -0.00333 -0.00232 -0.00231
-0.0023
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
0
-3.8E-05 -0.00007 -9.7E-05 -0.00012 -0.00013
-0.00037 -0.00039 -0.00041 -0.00043 -0.00044
0.000329 0.000294 0.000257 0.00022 0.000187
0.001344 0.00131 0.001274 0.001237 0.001205
0.001998 0.001998 0.001998 0.001998 0.001998
0
0
0
0
0
-0.00176 -0.00185 -0.00195 -0.00205 -0.00213
0.006
0.006
0.006
0.006
0.006
Year 18
0.011722
-0.00503
-0.00128
0
-0.00014
-0.00046
0.000158
0.001177
0.001997
0
-0.00221
0.006
Year 19
0.010861
-0.00398
-0.00127
0
-0.00015
-0.00047
0.000135
0.001154
0.001997
0
-0.00227
0.005
Year 20
0.009992
-0.00294
-0.00126
0
-0.00015
-0.00048
0.000113
0.001133
0.001997
0
-0.00232
0.005
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Manatee County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.000992
0.005927
-0.00033
0.00033
0.000956
-0.00025
0.000806
-1.8E-05
-0.00028
0.000868
-0.00059
0.000992
0
-0.00166
0.003
Year 12
0.000424
0.005933
-0.0003
0.000389
0.00096
-0.00023
0.000824
-1.7E-05
-0.00026
0.00088
-0.00054
0.000993
0
-0.00148
0.002
Year 13
0.000809
0.005939
-0.00028
0.000441
0.000963
-0.00021
-0.00016
-1.5E-05
-0.00024
0.00089
-0.00049
0.000993
0
-0.00132
0.002
Year 18
0.001158
0.003959
-0.00018
0.000627
0.000976
-0.00014
-0.00011
-0.00001
-0.00016
-7.4E-05
-0.00033
0.000995
0
-0.00076
0.002
Year 19
0.001346
0.003963
-0.00017
-0.00034
0.000978
-0.00013
-9.9E-05
-9E-06
-0.00014
-6.8E-05
-0.0003
0.000996
0
-0.00069
0.002
Year 20
0.001515
0.003966
-0.00016
-0.00032
0.000979
-0.00012
-9.1E-05
-9E-06
-0.00013
-6.2E-05
-0.00028
0.000996
0
-0.00062
0.002
Year 14
0.001151
0.004944
-0.00025
0.000486
0.000966
-0.0002
-0.00015
-1.4E-05
-0.00022
0.000899
-0.00045
0.000994
0
-0.00118
0.002
Page 81
Year 15
Year 16
Year 17
Year 18
Year 19
Year 20
0.01103 0.012659 0.014226 0.015744 0.016219 0.016654
0.016
0.015
0.014
0.013
0.013
0.012
Year 15
0.001453
0.004948
-0.00023
0.000526
0.000969
-0.00018
-0.00014
-1.3E-05
-0.0002
-9.3E-05
-0.00042
0.000994
0
-0.00106
0.002
Year 16
0.001716
0.004952
-0.00022
0.000563
0.000971
-0.00017
-0.00013
-1.2E-05
-0.00018
-8.6E-05
-0.00038
0.000995
0
-0.00095
0.002
Year 17
0.000949
0.004956
-0.0002
0.000596
0.000974
-0.00015
-0.00012
-1.1E-05
-0.00017
-0.00008
-0.00035
0.000995
0
-0.00085
0.002
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary Disbursements Billions of Current Dollars
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
Real Disposable Personal Income Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 1
25.80816
25.80715
-4.70403
0.257713
-0.82291
-0.0002
-0.54589
-0.27681
1.10496
0.145813
0.628664
0.330483
-0.71075
-0.41723
-0.06372
0.558462
0.469764
-0.01751
1.064511
0.411043
0
Year 2
51.29716
51.29715
9.014459
1.010787
-0.40076
-0.00152
-0.33049
-0.06875
2.012145
0.279401
0.925372
0.807373
0.498217
0.303568
0.395372
1.819263
1.443029
0.232954
2.35918
1.127135
0
Year 3
58.42218
58.4222
15.79289
1.393344
-0.15102
-0.00298
-0.19772
0.049676
2.17326
0.288704
0.928814
0.954742
1.154825
0.688276
0.679724
2.40559
1.790518
0.63817
2.762393
1.384103
0
Year 4
63.1854
63.1854
20.35003
1.754922
-0.04009
-0.00573
-0.13494
0.100582
2.250888
0.276251
0.893572
1.080064
1.650319
0.981525
0.904548
2.9472
2.106003
0.986743
3.067867
1.609212
0
Year 5
33.16683
33.16686
11.69718
1.227526
-0.20376
-0.00786
-0.17826
-0.01764
0.747889
0.012329
0.252077
0.483484
0.971466
0.563919
0.623998
1.728882
1.144929
1.047338
1.610269
0.869636
0
Year 6
27.74757
27.74757
12.36168
1.227546
-0.11013
-0.00944
-0.10793
0.007246
0.468377
-0.04188
0.088147
0.421105
1.089287
0.632605
0.645614
1.634867
1.05682
0.989296
1.383624
0.812101
0
Year 7
22.85871
22.85869
11.64005
1.166765
-0.10804
-0.01147
-0.09215
-0.00443
0.242505
-0.08337
-0.02807
0.35394
1.041828
0.604731
0.623599
1.509316
0.940492
0.992383
1.153565
0.740525
0
Year 8
17.64593
17.64592
10.57175
1.062372
-0.09187
-0.01181
-0.07394
-0.00613
0.013659
-0.11974
-0.13434
0.26774
0.96171
0.558254
0.585709
1.331506
0.797186
0.953124
0.904522
0.649394
0
Year 9
8.112277
8.112277
7.325626
0.806004
-0.14649
-0.01247
-0.08537
-0.04765
-0.36313
-0.17693
-0.28913
0.102929
0.654476
0.370398
0.441253
0.843373
0.467747
0.841023
0.409496
0.417375
0
Year 10
7.605325
7.60534
6.865313
0.761939
-0.15161
-0.01225
-0.0839
-0.05547
-0.28649
-0.15639
-0.2622
0.132103
0.608243
0.344301
0.406622
0.839468
0.467417
0.726391
0.381
0.423806
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other(Jobs)
Thousands
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste ServicesThousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social AssistanceThousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
-0.25872
-0.06676
-0.13136
7.096405
-1.13474
-0.18494
-1.2948
-0.8085
-0.26572
-1.64338
-1.05651
-1.03328
-0.13706
-0.58735
-0.55269
-0.78348
-0.65301
-0.57853
-0.63063
30.51219
0
0
0
Year 2
-0.18657
-0.04633
-0.04718
10.92529
-0.7969
0.048853
0.179089
-0.57163
-0.17135
-1.09404
-0.38305
-0.27005
-0.09971
0.716309
-0.30054
0.652566
-0.37696
0.273102
0.564572
42.2827
0
0
0
Year 3
-0.14027
-0.03452
-0.00834
13.81268
-0.60513
0.100475
0.651446
-0.42843
-0.12763
-0.77548
-0.0611
-0.04027
-0.07804
1.106129
-0.16632
1.179292
-0.2283
0.645378
0.98933
42.62929
0
0
0
Year 4
-0.09924
-0.02349
0.026384
15.57263
-0.46388
0.10964
0.936774
-0.31709
-0.09492
-0.52395
0.189759
0.06076
-0.06117
1.363087
-0.05762
1.582125
-0.10817
0.955758
1.302642
42.83537
0
0
0
Year 5
-0.07203
-0.01962
0.007702
12.50706
-0.4413
-0.11931
-0.16462
-0.27857
-0.11148
-0.48738
-0.01449
-0.56861
-0.05257
0.268443
-0.09618
0.507807
-0.12608
0.493765
0.462646
21.46967
0
0
0
Year 6
-0.02903
-0.00859
0.027731
11.77135
-0.27681
-0.12009
-0.04825
-0.15683
-0.0738
-0.23508
0.145916
-0.50953
-0.03406
0.255647
-0.01893
0.600605
-0.02716
0.571577
0.527011
15.38691
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.01328
-0.00406
0.031535
10.93093
-0.20856
-0.1329
-0.06052
-0.10792
-0.05937
-0.13538
0.194814
-0.53086
-0.02626
0.157255
0.005312
0.553069
0.007865
0.563446
0.473944
11.21865
0
0
0
Year 8
-0.00202
-0.00187
0.032877
10.01285
-0.15513
-0.1439
-0.09458
-0.07065
-0.04817
-0.06558
0.209115
-0.55563
-0.02098
0.038509
0.01925
0.467399
0.030536
0.526222
0.392513
7.074171
0
0
0
Year 9
0.001917
-0.00085
0.023187
8.141958
-0.13821
-0.17087
-0.28594
-0.05935
-0.04712
-0.05908
0.138494
-0.67494
-0.01818
-0.25285
0.003198
0.169971
0.020609
0.37601
0.158656
0.786673
0
0
0
Year 10
0.006726
0.000119
0.026168
7.124264
-0.10673
-0.14432
-0.16979
-0.04214
-0.03709
-0.02408
0.160664
-0.59907
-0.01522
-0.20432
0.013975
0.246466
0.03447
0.404433
0.189787
0.740006
0
0
0
Page 82
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary Disbursements Billions of Current Dollars
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
Real Disposable Personal Income Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 11
6.978813
6.978782
6.293095
0.706657
-0.15355
-0.01203
-0.07916
-0.06237
-0.20838
-0.1355
-0.23381
0.161929
0.552106
0.313786
0.371147
0.834268
0.460277
0.660123
0.347871
0.42393
0
Year 12
6.550899
6.550914
5.90645
0.658923
-0.14629
-0.01177
-0.07635
-0.05717
-0.13829
-0.11151
-0.1952
0.168431
0.512639
0.29208
0.347593
0.819861
0.44582
0.60383
0.324281
0.417984
0
Year 13
6.074387
6.074371
5.475006
0.60649
-0.13728
-0.01144
-0.07192
-0.05392
-0.08465
-0.09156
-0.16323
0.16913
0.469209
0.267628
0.32374
0.801632
0.429023
0.55229
0.297749
0.408378
0
Year 14
5.602609
5.602609
5.047188
0.554971
-0.1293
-0.01102
-0.06781
-0.04947
-0.04403
-0.07543
-0.13632
0.16772
0.425677
0.243537
0.302014
0.781549
0.410892
0.506398
0.271484
0.397624
0
Year 15
5.160496
5.160496
4.646203
0.506822
-0.12019
-0.0105
-0.06302
-0.04567
-0.00981
-0.06084
-0.11295
0.163976
0.38663
0.221782
0.280678
0.76169
0.393016
0.465611
0.247546
0.3869
0
Year 16
4.761213
4.761228
4.285484
0.462752
-0.11097
-0.0099
-0.05858
-0.04249
0.018709
-0.04865
-0.09286
0.160226
0.350782
0.201788
0.262542
0.747097
0.377674
0.430918
0.226394
0.376582
0
Year 17
4.406306
4.406291
3.964874
0.42339
-0.1027
-0.00921
-0.05458
-0.03891
0.0433
-0.03875
-0.07378
0.156829
0.319693
0.184899
0.246357
0.736588
0.365568
0.400433
0.207407
0.368267
0
Year 18
4.090829
4.090829
3.680412
0.387927
-0.09551
-0.00945
-0.0511
-0.03596
0.065238
-0.0301
-0.05754
0.152882
0.292418
0.170134
0.233469
0.731003
0.354874
0.375682
0.190611
0.359948
0
Year 19
3.813769
3.813769
3.431131
0.357432
-0.08756
-0.00864
-0.04722
-0.0327
0.085657
-0.0226
-0.04212
0.149378
0.268877
0.157434
0.222065
0.728639
0.346705
0.355671
0.17694
0.352371
0
Year 20
3.561005
3.56099
3.20414
0.328722
-0.081
-0.00778
-0.04303
-0.03019
0.102322
-0.0152
-0.02965
0.146169
0.247724
0.145581
0.21217
0.730996
0.339665
0.339164
0.164164
0.344372
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other(Jobs)
Thousands
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste ServicesThousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social AssistanceThousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 11
0.011628
0.001066
0.027951
6.029133
-0.07515
-0.11829
-0.06046
-0.025
-0.02621
0.009897
0.179038
-0.52053
-0.01229
-0.15554
0.025629
0.313289
0.048255
0.42707
0.213603
0.685691
0
0
0
Year 12
0.011482
0.000905
0.027825
5.387308
-0.06297
-0.09608
0.015677
-0.0216
-0.02113
0.01588
0.175454
-0.45673
-0.01135
-0.13366
0.027656
0.345823
0.049248
0.433017
0.21568
0.644459
0
0
0
Year 13
0.012463
0.000737
0.027641
4.753411
-0.05234
-0.07715
0.076417
-0.01777
-0.01595
0.020692
0.169117
-0.39935
-0.01024
-0.11421
0.029666
0.370449
0.05038
0.434191
0.21484
0.599383
0
0
0
Year 14
0.012586
0.001573
0.026432
4.161297
-0.04321
-0.06135
0.126707
-0.01446
-0.01266
0.024464
0.161899
-0.3487
-0.00897
-0.09573
0.030764
0.391227
0.050724
0.43301
0.212567
0.555411
0
0
0
Year 15
0.012855
0.001422
0.026248
3.624125
-0.03455
-0.04853
0.166828
-0.01167
-0.00922
0.027265
0.154615
-0.30232
-0.00754
-0.07888
0.031046
0.408379
0.051389
0.428168
0.209581
0.513291
0
0
0
Year 16
0.013264
0.00129
0.025138
3.146437
-0.02842
-0.03764
0.20009
-0.00944
-0.00665
0.030064
0.148655
-0.26214
-0.00698
-0.0637
0.031546
0.423669
0.051405
0.420902
0.20699
0.475733
0
0
0
Year 17
0.013801
0.001167
0.02413
2.728063
-0.02186
-0.02863
0.227791
-0.00683
-0.00397
0.031761
0.142334
-0.22518
-0.0063
-0.04931
0.032278
0.43838
0.050806
0.413485
0.203939
0.441421
0
0
0
Year 18
0.013447
0.001068
0.023178
2.363327
-0.01693
-0.02048
0.249656
-0.00488
-0.00217
0.033234
0.136517
-0.19263
-0.00552
-0.03701
0.032194
0.450953
0.050547
0.403766
0.201153
0.410409
0
0
0
Year 19
0.013184
0.00099
0.022289
2.047406
-0.0127
-0.01323
0.26826
-0.00266
-0.00029
0.035343
0.130028
-0.16371
-0.00467
-0.02514
0.032242
0.462563
0.049547
0.394488
0.199191
0.382621
0
0
0
Year 20
0.013995
-0.00007
0.02144
1.774309
-0.00924
-0.00789
0.281173
-0.00123
0.000639
0.035943
0.124583
-0.13871
-0.00377
-0.01603
0.031442
0.469578
0.048767
0.383589
0.195629
0.356862
0
0
0
Page 83
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,Thousands
media occupations
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving related occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, service
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupationsThousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
3.11244
0.885183
0.58666
-0.13568
0.704495
0.343328
-0.03814
1.121509
7.461768
-0.43718
0.445573
3.436944
-0.06069
6.380348
1.299405
-0.10307
0.802254
Year 2
5.829135
1.848459
0.930948
0.11591
1.099255
0.876955
0.18037
2.686407
10.57368
0.539545
1.998863
9.52188
0.017491
9.693526
2.573669
0.644492
2.167571
Year 3
6.486901
2.039081
0.968734
0.207054
1.141908
1.001674
0.24541
3.042997
10.73583
0.91954
2.414133
11.09188
0.045827
11.63777
3.012437
0.891178
2.540835
Year 4
6.930501
2.154856
0.993214
0.274466
1.169534
1.099669
0.290078
3.308811
10.84451
1.228986
2.716083
12.12241
0.069155
12.82077
3.309615
1.062525
2.789219
Year 5
3.507887
0.906609
0.459372
0.093362
0.544035
0.489979
0.088424
1.446497
5.396914
0.574226
1.146747
5.401122
0.020056
9.470165
1.914328
0.403756
1.304374
Year 6
2.837754
0.677084
0.331492
0.10746
0.388212
0.397048
0.078847
1.17348
3.891
0.615594
0.985736
4.468604
0.025891
8.631987
1.672018
0.374403
1.090969
Year 7
2.267138
0.480909
0.237427
0.097012
0.275615
0.307384
0.058331
0.914874
2.844868
0.577808
0.787775
3.536457
0.022971
7.828886
1.440751
0.305177
0.875316
Year 8
1.664119
0.278228
0.140647
0.080378
0.161022
0.210065
0.033727
0.634056
1.797004
0.51029
0.56368
2.530243
0.018203
6.974513
1.18714
0.220564
0.641039
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 1
-1.28785
-2.54089
-2.54089
0
-2.57042
0
Year 2
3.813962
5.174767
5.174767
-2.57042
2.604958
0
Year 3
9.917683
7.823362
7.823358
2.604958
10.58398
0
Year 4
16.44682
9.377281
9.377271
10.5851
20.32293
0
Year 5
16.4827
3.316003
3.315984
20.32287
24.14841
0
Year 6
17.13677
3.027935
3.027906
24.14841
27.75561
0
Year 7
17.40998
2.147272
2.148234
27.75561
30.53498
0
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
17.19017 15.60575 14.61559
1.194095 -0.72675 -0.61727
1.194048 -0.72581 -0.61733
30.53498 32.38832 32.31129
32.38832 32.31129 32.31246
0
0
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 1
-0.2694
-0.20007
-0.15936
-0.16725
-0.404
-0.36955
-0.26978
-0.2013
-0.17633
-0.12825
-0.09488
-0.0697
-0.06154
0
0
0
0
0
Year 2
0.262005
0.198383
0.157343
0.193256
0.455111
0.365811
0.260911
0.197787
0.176797
0.124222
0.092665
0.070327
0.059526
-0.00918
0
0
0
0
Year 3
1.112136
0.824025
0.656006
0.67699
1.671621
1.524418
1.110637
0.825723
0.725045
0.526867
0.390456
0.287878
0.252771
-0.00055
0
0
0
0
Year 4
2.180998
1.600337
1.27705
1.21328
3.011909
2.96057
2.184092
1.610564
1.396075
1.034687
0.763433
0.557807
0.492333
0.038751
0
0
0
0
Year 5
2.661701
1.93172
1.546681
1.323403
3.19671
3.579001
2.693234
1.960597
1.661538
1.274559
0.931681
0.676459
0.593239
0.117908
0
0
0
0
Year 6
3.153893
2.217333
1.810766
1.470642
3.211918
4.152992
3.205044
2.315382
1.908211
1.514939
1.09851
0.798938
0.681503
0.216584
0
0
0
0
Year 7
3.480268
2.515973
2.029126
1.622518
3.004297
4.565332
3.64159
2.625286
2.098281
1.724155
1.242726
0.907194
0.740854
0.348049
-0.00869
0
0
0
Year 8
3.643825
2.795257
2.196246
1.750276
2.671474
4.724479
3.984849
2.88543
2.2391
1.884764
1.361701
0.997848
0.77849
0.475588
-2.6E-05
0
0
0
Page 84
Year 9
0.59128
-0.08036
-0.01478
0.02953
-0.02429
0.029626
-0.02257
0.098384
0.184555
0.310525
0.114096
0.609048
0.001177
5.361208
0.701784
0.025114
0.197958
Year 9
3.531255
2.974744
2.248732
1.771686
2.124324
4.456596
4.121436
3.016738
2.271238
1.938272
1.42157
1.038929
0.777763
0.582559
0.03647
0
0
0
Year 10
0.556836
-0.06297
-0.01054
0.038707
-0.02002
0.038985
-0.01419
0.14759
0.179245
0.34362
0.147744
0.682113
0.004043
4.695156
0.640825
0.038901
0.199282
Year 10
3.431206
3.118724
2.309692
1.820181
1.737066
4.022928
4.260977
3.177009
2.332685
1.97682
1.493577
1.084118
0.789733
0.646915
0.108817
0
0
0
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,Thousands
media occupations
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving related occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, service
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupationsThousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 11
0.513795
-0.04774
-0.00649
0.045781
-0.015
0.049155
-0.00603
0.19007
0.171628
0.37091
0.176213
0.73341
0.006929
3.979187
0.569756
0.050813
0.196405
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 11
Year 12
Year 13
Year 14
Year 15
Year 16
Year 17
Year 18
Year 19
Year 20
13.83033 13.14983 12.49401 11.84533 11.20297 10.56507 9.932058 9.333764 8.770851 8.241457
-0.67874 -0.78225 -0.90338 -1.01428 -1.10175 -1.16712 -1.20999 -1.23676 -1.24749 -1.25271
-0.6788 -0.78231 -0.90345 -1.01435 -1.10182 -1.16719 -1.20906 -1.23606 -1.24818 -1.25187
32.3124 32.21792 31.98264 31.58299 31.02449 30.32525 29.50568 28.58954 27.59153 26.53161
32.21792 31.98264 31.58299 31.02449 30.32525 29.50568 28.5896 27.59153 26.53161 25.42141
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 11
3.294558
3.283991
2.330728
1.877582
1.477609
3.440918
4.359052
3.345936
2.410583
1.996756
1.568832
1.131059
0.811126
0.687907
0.200302
0
0
0
Year 12
0.481208
-0.03528
-0.00358
0.048666
-0.01107
0.050846
-0.00179
0.210378
0.163251
0.379016
0.18169
0.754829
0.007268
3.558317
0.523856
0.0547
0.188595
Year 12
3.12579
3.348171
2.41532
1.931418
1.339574
2.756877
4.384068
3.502111
2.498468
2.003329
1.645433
1.175641
0.838443
0.704652
0.320259
-0.00793
0
0
Year 13
0.444734
-0.026
-0.0017
0.049874
-0.00918
0.051586
0.001505
0.227168
0.154042
0.383604
0.184785
0.754845
0.007661
3.141885
0.475761
0.055584
0.179226
Year 13
2.929412
3.321407
2.538552
1.975326
1.278757
2.085558
4.260052
3.64006
2.599187
2.00927
1.707217
1.222508
0.870507
0.707383
0.436911
-0.00012
0
0
Year 14
0.40815
-0.0194
0.000237
0.050476
-0.00623
0.051508
0.003956
0.239676
0.144567
0.384103
0.186065
0.745062
0.008127
2.75247
0.429903
0.054835
0.168102
Year 14
2.722775
3.187279
2.699642
2.011427
1.255137
1.496412
3.961613
3.754297
2.710238
2.026339
1.750136
1.272876
0.903393
0.707617
0.533919
0.032423
0
0
Page 85
Year 15
0.373805
-0.01211
0.00232
0.051643
-0.00414
0.051784
0.006652
0.250777
0.135342
0.381212
0.186234
0.731789
0.008679
2.398556
0.387356
0.053749
0.157834
Year 15
2.492115
3.04608
2.810756
2.044543
1.242016
1.035525
3.471837
3.85075
2.834677
2.059659
1.767096
1.329085
0.934989
0.71503
0.592647
0.097464
0
0
Year 16
0.343246
-0.007
0.003572
0.052375
-0.00287
0.051448
0.008615
0.260405
0.127551
0.377145
0.186414
0.717131
0.008318
2.085176
0.348638
0.053408
0.147648
Year 16
2.244313
2.867654
2.941724
2.036882
1.241977
0.699743
2.832056
3.905396
2.965649
2.10796
1.766852
1.388987
0.966934
0.730711
0.631129
0.177752
0
0
Year 17
0.315827
-0.00204
0.004013
0.052709
-0.00041
0.051538
0.009859
0.269773
0.119376
0.372153
0.186761
0.701874
0.009039
1.810209
0.314101
0.052848
0.138667
Year 17
1.98488
2.661798
2.975965
2.096919
1.246072
0.494006
2.096409
3.891405
3.090741
2.171259
1.75535
1.450104
1.000322
0.753655
0.646555
0.282736
-0.00667
0
Year 18
0.292473
0.002719
0.005627
0.053573
0.000222
0.050997
0.011356
0.277555
0.11279
0.366073
0.186031
0.687502
0.008833
1.570504
0.283763
0.051997
0.130808
Year 18
1.719914
2.437106
2.925711
2.201568
1.253223
0.380137
1.383868
3.738031
3.203455
2.250423
1.747393
1.500341
1.036784
0.779768
0.649769
0.384886
0.000116
0
Year 19
0.271006
0.007182
0.006391
0.053862
0.002004
0.050748
0.01306
0.284269
0.106728
0.358624
0.184867
0.673224
0.008686
1.362809
0.256601
0.050756
0.12394
Year 19
1.45921
2.209575
2.774284
2.348685
1.264249
0.318377
0.767456
3.41967
3.299939
2.346754
1.753591
1.535527
1.079405
0.808158
0.649695
0.469296
0.027695
0
Year 20
0.252048
0.010198
0.007275
0.053481
0.002907
0.050754
0.013928
0.288506
0.101097
0.349703
0.183939
0.656913
0.008589
1.182432
0.233377
0.04999
0.117853
Year 20
1.211193
1.966139
2.622937
2.451511
1.281569
0.281548
0.288365
2.916449
3.384825
2.46135
1.780354
1.548321
1.129968
0.836618
0.657943
0.52088
0.08147
0
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State Average Rates
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Ratesof Fixed (2010) Dollars
Billions
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
0.052631 0.140797 0.170263 0.194608 0.089825 0.078611 0.066258 0.052565 0.024281 0.029113
0.000866 -0.00519 -0.00421 0.000478 0.01214 0.014917 0.018157 0.02122 0.023157 0.023253
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
-0.00325
0.025232
0.008532
0.002553
0
-0.00212
0.002862
0.003923
0.00422
-0.00004
0
0.011722
Year 2
0.00319
0.048272
0.015053
0.00425
0
-0.00076
0.007145
0.013274
0.013517
-3.3E-05
0
0.035884
Year 3
0.013424
0.047531
0.014701
0.003705
0
0.000146
0.009096
0.017016
0.01722
-2.8E-05
0
0.04545
Year 4
0.025509
0.044334
0.014207
0.004122
0
0.00092
0.011025
0.020718
0.019883
-2.2E-05
0
0.053912
Year 5
0.030313
0.001201
0.000106
0.00037
0
0.000387
0.005654
0.01087
0.011009
-1.9E-05
0
0.028932
Year 6
0.033448
-0.00623
-0.00215
-0.00015
0
0.000196
0.005826
0.010017
0.010107
-1.2E-05
0
0.026559
Year 7
0.036428
-0.01299
-0.00445
-0.00095
0
0.000513
0.005379
0.009029
0.009097
-9E-06
0
0.024213
Year 8
0.038901
-0.01823
-0.00589
-0.0018
0
0.000748
0.003817
0.007832
0.007881
-7E-06
0
0.020317
Year 9
0.038701
-0.02642
-0.00864
-0.00273
0
-0.00019
0.001999
0.004167
0.004208
-6E-06
0
0.011195
Year 10
0.038676
-0.02354
-0.00736
-0.00165
0
-0.00013
0.002164
0.004469
0.004504
-5E-06
0
0.011987
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
1.5E-05
0.001051
-6.7E-05
-0.0003
-0.00061
-0.00004
-0.00023
-0.00018
-1.7E-05
-0.00026
-0.00012
-0.00054
-7E-06
0
0.000168
Year 2
0.000879
-0.0043
-0.00011
0.000526
0.000037
-6.3E-05
-0.00037
-0.00028
-2.7E-05
-0.0004
-0.00019
0.000156
-1.2E-05
0
-0.00205
Year 3
0.002071
-0.00501
-0.00013
0.000403
0.000788
-7.9E-05
0.000541
-0.00035
-3.3E-05
0.000491
-0.00024
0.000938
-1.5E-05
0
-0.00259
Year 4
0.003584
-0.00501
-0.00015
0.000329
0.000638
-8.9E-05
0.000484
0.000607
-3.8E-05
0.000428
-0.00027
0.000806
-1.7E-05
0
-0.00183
Year 5
0.004298
0.003078
-0.00016
0.000285
0.001549
-9.5E-05
0.00045
0.000581
-0.00004
0.000391
0.000714
0.000729
-1.8E-05
0
0.001374
Year 6
0.004316
0.003773
-0.00016
0.000288
0.001555
-9.4E-05
0.000452
0.000583
-0.00004
0.000394
0.000715
0.001734
-1.8E-05
0
0.001418
Year 7
0.005456
0.005018
-0.00015
0.000309
0.001598
-9.2E-05
0.000469
0.000595
-3.9E-05
0.000412
0.000724
0.001772
-1.7E-05
0
0.002105
Year 8
0.00568
0.005716
-0.00015
0.000343
0.001667
-8.7E-05
0.000495
0.000615
-3.7E-05
0.000441
0.000737
0.001832
-1.6E-05
0
0.00298
Year 9
0.005937
0.007978
-0.00014
0.000383
0.001747
-8.2E-05
0.000525
0.000638
-3.5E-05
0.000474
0.000753
0.001902
-1.5E-05
0
0.003088
Year 10
0.005221
0.008314
-0.00013
0.000426
0.001834
-7.6E-05
0.000558
0.000663
-3.2E-05
0.000511
0.00077
0.001978
-1.4E-05
0
0.003228
Page 86
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State Average Rates
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Ratesof Fixed (2010) Dollars
Billions
Year 11
Year 12
Year 13
Year 14
Year 15
Year 16
Year 17
Year 18
Year 19
Year 20
0.033757 0.037936 0.040698 0.04312 0.04434 0.045394 0.04636 0.046273 0.046146 0.045958
0.023385 0.022737 0.022956 0.023049 0.022025 0.021884 0.021645 0.020328 0.019943
0.0195
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
Year 12
Year 13
Year 14
Year 15
0.038667 0.03846 0.038052 0.037468 0.036733
-0.01965 -0.01639 -0.01316 -0.00997 -0.00779
-0.00609
-0.005 -0.00393 -0.00287 -0.00282
-0.00158 -0.00155 -0.00153 -0.00052
-0.0005
0
0
0
0
0
-6.9E-05 -9.7E-05 -0.00012 -0.00015 -0.00017
0.002308 0.002313
0.0023 0.002275 0.002246
0.004732 0.003741 0.003717 0.003671 0.003618
0.004761 0.00377 0.003746 0.003701 0.003649
-4E-06
-4E-06
-4E-06
-4E-06
-4E-06
0
0
0
0
0
0.011676
0.0107 0.010637 0.010516 0.009377
Year 16
0.03586
-0.00663
-0.00176
-0.00049
0
-0.00018
0.002215
0.003561
0.003594
-4E-06
0
0.009228
Year 17
0.03488
-0.00446
-0.00171
-0.00047
0
-0.00019
0.002186
0.003508
0.003542
-5E-06
0
0.009088
Year 18
0.033816
-0.0033
-0.00066
-0.00046
0
-0.0002
0.002159
0.00346
0.003494
-5E-06
0
0.008962
Year 19
0.032679
-0.00213
-0.00061
-0.00045
0
-0.0002
0.002136
0.003417
0.003453
-5E-06
0
0.008851
Year 20
0.031479
-0.00097
-0.00056
-0.00043
0
-0.0002
0.002114
0.003377
0.003414
-5E-06
0
0.007745
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pasco County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.005506
0.007671
-0.00012
0.000469
0.001922
-0.00007
0.000592
0.000689
-0.00003
0.000548
0.000787
0.001056
-1.3E-05
0
0.003376
Year 16
0.005538
0.00796
-8.3E-05
0.000626
0.00124
-0.00005
0.000712
0.000781
-2.1E-05
0.000681
-0.00015
0.001334
-9E-06
0
0.003325
Year 17
0.004684
0.007271
-7.8E-05
0.000648
0.001285
-4.7E-05
0.000729
0.000794
-0.00002
0.0007
-0.00014
0.001374
-9E-06
0
0.003454
Year 18
0.004818
0.007546
-7.3E-05
0.000668
0.001327
-4.4E-05
0.000745
0.000806
-1.9E-05
0.000718
-0.00013
0.00141
-8E-06
0
0.002568
Year 19
0.004942
0.006789
-6.9E-05
0.000687
0.001365
-4.1E-05
0.000759
0.000817
-1.7E-05
0.000734
-0.00013
0.001444
-8E-06
0
0.002668
Year 20
0.004057
0.007004
-6.5E-05
0.000705
0.0014
-3.9E-05
0.000773
0.000827
-1.7E-05
0.000748
-0.00012
0.001475
-7E-06
0
0.002758
Year 12
0.005763
0.008229
-0.00011
0.000508
0.002001
-6.5E-05
0.000622
0.000712
-2.8E-05
0.000581
0.000803
0.001125
-1.2E-05
0
0.003607
Year 13
0.004991
0.007737
-0.0001
0.000543
0.002072
-6.1E-05
0.000648
0.000732
-2.6E-05
0.000611
0.000817
0.001187
-1.1E-05
0
0.002818
Year 14
0.005194
0.008194
-9.4E-05
0.000574
0.002134
-5.7E-05
0.000672
0.00075
-2.4E-05
0.000637
-0.00017
0.001242
-1.1E-05
0
0.003007
Page 87
Year 15
0.005376
0.007603
-8.8E-05
0.000601
0.00119
-5.3E-05
0.000693
0.000766
-2.2E-05
0.00066
-0.00016
0.001291
-0.00001
0
0.003177
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary Disbursements Billions of Current Dollars
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
Real Disposable Personal Income Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
-64.3656 -10.8437 14.95835 36.45275 10.50606 19.83643 20.35087 18.39585
-64.3657 -10.8437 14.95828 36.45269 10.50606 19.83643 20.35094 18.39579
-84.7692 -42.6975 -18.0739 2.449862 -5.74242 7.913962 11.60973 12.92308
-4.59415 -1.96056 -0.44651 0.99792 0.089203 1.00165 1.262648 1.312678
-6.37473 -4.36471 -3.14297 -2.19932 -2.05123 -1.05575 -0.71752 -0.45766
0.004203 0.008816 0.009013 0.005032 0.000101 -0.00559
-0.0118 -0.01814
-4.09472 -2.92501 -2.17608 -1.59546 -1.33504 -0.69005 -0.45354 -0.26645
-2.28321 -1.44851
-0.9769 -0.60789 -0.71529 -0.36011 -0.25118 -0.17207
-1.52503 -0.48874
-0.2021 -0.01101 -1.26923 -1.16571
-1.2248 -1.31234
-0.69759
-0.4221
-0.3459 -0.30484 -0.63982 -0.57982 -0.58118 -0.58514
-0.06269 0.295342 0.334926 0.334378 -0.30722 -0.37571 -0.45341 -0.53502
-0.76475 -0.36298 -0.19013 -0.04055 -0.32219 -0.21019 -0.19021 -0.19218
-12.363 -7.41037 -4.43558 -1.83641 -2.46962
-0.3179 0.380988 0.770828
-6.78442 -3.95745 -2.27401 -0.79577 -1.23506 -0.04318 0.338813 0.543808
-3.10398 -1.72751 -0.83186 0.014895 -0.29944 0.303744 0.524222 0.644001
-2.36986 -0.35345 0.786855 1.89579 0.68748 1.137939 1.244695 1.217845
-2.00575 -0.23192 0.614252 1.379865 0.383303 0.710472 0.737538 0.682389
-0.29682 -0.38675 -0.11272 0.18318 0.29319 0.331295
0.4273 0.470668
-5.71998 -2.29324 -0.54618
0.9841 -0.38386 0.581625 0.797862 0.83101
-1.39516
-0.0964 0.519579 1.081465 0.288906 0.541118 0.563603 0.523925
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Year 9
8.82386
8.823982
8.566192
0.899392
-0.46856
-0.02341
-0.23056
-0.21459
-1.53685
-0.62225
-0.65928
-0.25433
0.371984
0.282858
0.454333
0.685793
0.308827
0.439103
0.296498
0.237412
0
Year 10
9.88375
9.88375
9.52711
1.020211
-0.362
-0.02653
-0.17305
-0.16242
-1.33094
-0.54243
-0.58679
-0.20171
0.627943
0.423915
0.515351
0.757477
0.364817
0.393433
0.442609
0.282761
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other(Jobs)
Thousands
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste ServicesThousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social AssistanceThousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
-0.22997 -0.16427 -0.12212
-0.19182 -0.13406
-0.0945
-0.1451 -0.08697 -0.05349
2.524228 7.399368 12.46537
-11.2743 -7.94176 -6.00016
-2.58346
-1.4725 -1.03413
-6.19399
-3.0851 -1.67155
-2.93951
-2.0461 -1.48862
-2.5543 -1.70922
-1.2932
-10.8596 -7.21077 -5.00572
-4.94039 -2.73049 -1.34553
-9.1914 -5.30727 -3.53054
-3.837 -2.71218 -1.99733
-11.0004 -5.60827 -2.89376
-2.153 -1.26505 -0.77167
-7.44232 -2.97695
-0.7787
-2.7504
-1.7301 -1.14259
-4.4909 -2.37329 -1.20275
-4.51537 -1.54156 -0.11293
20.4044 31.85283 33.03223
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Year 9
-0.00817
0.001938
0.003456
15.91093
-1.45959
-1.05085
-1.32885
-0.16642
-0.55841
-0.35028
0.720331
-2.5037
-0.2226
-0.73197
-0.04664
0.147214
-0.06925
0.087869
0.192205
0.257706
0
0
0
Year 10
-0.00469
0.00353
0.005985
14.77088
-1.17412
-0.9004
-1.07817
-0.11842
-0.46512
-0.18291
0.741877
-2.12501
-0.16478
-0.50823
-0.00938
0.309343
-0.02158
0.173634
0.274591
0.356632
0
0
0
Year 4
Year 5
-0.08685 -0.07045
-0.06087 -0.04639
-0.02578 -0.02751
17.42941 16.6762
-4.48976 -4.19903
-0.76212 -1.35101
-0.6217 -2.03184
-1.03833 -0.89048
-0.98348 -1.10425
-3.20531 -2.90016
-0.11858 -0.24358
-2.24548 -3.78454
-1.42092 -1.17645
-0.74166 -2.12897
-0.36356 -0.44777
1.009677 -0.57509
-0.66304 -0.66792
-0.20288 -0.65162
1.041123 -0.11954
34.00385 16.24744
0
0
0
0
0
0
Page 88
Year 6
-0.03471
-0.01675
-0.00497
18.0905
-2.60829
-1.09128
-1.27874
-0.45519
-0.77039
-1.26851
0.570575
-2.64761
-0.60496
-0.65649
-0.14933
0.563928
-0.26546
-0.00117
0.542812
11.92244
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.02108
-0.0064
0.002484
18.40186
-2.02388
-1.0474
-1.13147
-0.29749
-0.6556
-0.70147
0.812723
-2.37777
-0.39959
-0.33113
-0.05475
0.757975
-0.13042
0.18424
0.627877
8.74124
0
0
0
Year 8
-0.01076
0.001107
0.005745
17.82254
-1.57702
-1.01117
-1.06538
-0.18277
-0.56556
-0.31387
0.911546
-2.21187
-0.25109
-0.21441
0.001494
0.761168
-0.0426
0.271831
0.594094
5.472778
0
0
0
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary Disbursements Billions of Current Dollars
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
Real Disposable Personal Income Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 11
10.63496
10.6349
10.19041
1.107791
-0.24638
-0.02849
-0.11004
-0.10685
-1.12504
-0.4627
-0.51349
-0.14886
0.861402
0.548927
0.573418
0.828692
0.405667
0.380121
0.573273
0.315935
0
Year 12
9.648357
9.648418
9.225868
1.047992
-0.24127
-0.03093
-0.11596
-0.09438
-0.97337
-0.40024
-0.44663
-0.1265
0.807724
0.513011
0.541059
0.797361
0.379039
0.362917
0.536041
0.296385
0
Year 13
8.470684
8.470562
8.084303
0.955194
-0.23405
-0.03147
-0.11765
-0.08494
-0.85581
-0.34932
-0.39434
-0.11115
0.721142
0.457343
0.491319
0.745436
0.343823
0.338401
0.478735
0.269245
0
Year 14
7.295666
7.295727
6.949896
0.850879
-0.22581
-0.032
-0.11786
-0.07595
-0.7601
-0.30806
-0.35218
-0.09987
0.626071
0.397922
0.433815
0.682802
0.305068
0.310152
0.416548
0.24063
0
Year 15
6.226444
6.226505
5.92021
0.749709
-0.21528
-0.03155
-0.11479
-0.06894
-0.67929
-0.27239
-0.31544
-0.09146
0.535438
0.340606
0.377486
0.61986
0.268148
0.281016
0.357553
0.213949
0
Year 16
5.29327
5.29327
5.022153
0.656304
-0.20188
-0.03017
-0.11083
-0.06088
-0.60944
-0.24169
-0.28334
-0.08341
0.454424
0.290343
0.323623
0.559699
0.235164
0.253112
0.30479
0.190995
0
Year 17
4.505805
4.505866
4.265655
0.572887
-0.18845
-0.029
-0.10458
-0.05387
-0.54827
-0.21659
-0.25435
-0.07735
0.385435
0.247007
0.275732
0.505781
0.205952
0.228316
0.260183
0.172958
0
Year 18
3.852437
3.852499
3.639044
0.50165
-0.17295
-0.02817
-0.09865
-0.04614
-0.49335
-0.19488
-0.22824
-0.07023
0.32769
0.211079
0.23377
0.458595
0.181549
0.204955
0.223198
0.157529
0
Year 19
3.329797
3.329797
3.137802
0.440966
-0.15737
-0.0268
-0.09159
-0.03898
-0.44166
-0.17433
-0.20315
-0.06418
0.283603
0.18256
0.198992
0.419507
0.160792
0.185159
0.193823
0.145575
0
Year 20
2.888849
2.88891
2.716629
0.388295
-0.14265
-0.02501
-0.08486
-0.03278
-0.39684
-0.1569
-0.18047
-0.05846
0.244642
0.158931
0.168041
0.385119
0.14368
0.168049
0.168454
0.135216
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other(Jobs)
Thousands
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste ServicesThousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social AssistanceThousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 11
-0.0011
0.005005
0.007364
13.39801
-0.88664
-0.74936
-0.83683
-0.0691
-0.37137
-0.01731
0.748493
-1.74181
-0.1043
-0.28634
0.02927
0.446834
0.024657
0.254743
0.338155
0.444551
0
0
0
Year 12
-0.00118
0.004385
0.007172
12.02597
-0.77575
-0.64591
-0.71546
-0.06659
-0.32122
-0.03391
0.654038
-1.53084
-0.10197
-0.27878
0.031522
0.401382
0.023618
0.252449
0.297936
0.422535
0
0
0
Year 13
-0.00112
0.002793
0.005954
10.6183
-0.68224
-0.56142
-0.62247
-0.06413
-0.27885
-0.05011
0.557854
-1.35998
-0.09774
-0.27888
0.03205
0.348743
0.021689
0.242698
0.251203
0.386224
0
0
0
Year 14
-0.00091
0.002271
0.005763
9.279884
-0.60052
-0.48895
-0.54753
-0.06159
-0.24297
-0.06313
0.466867
-1.21494
-0.09284
-0.27755
0.030654
0.2996
0.019115
0.232365
0.206284
0.3459
0
0
0
Year 15
-0.00054
0.00084
0.004645
8.056097
-0.52939
-0.42727
-0.48179
-0.05893
-0.21026
-0.07203
0.387009
-1.0869
-0.08665
-0.27216
0.029851
0.261168
0.017735
0.220844
0.166916
0.306334
0
0
0
Year 16
-0.00104
0.000502
0.004595
6.963946
-0.46539
-0.374
-0.42409
-0.05632
-0.18283
-0.07624
0.319735
-0.97249
-0.07971
-0.26245
0.02898
0.234564
0.016754
0.212003
0.135631
0.271048
0
0
0
Year 17
-0.00042
0.000252
0.00361
6.003252
-0.4104
-0.32703
-0.37127
-0.05201
-0.15883
-0.07663
0.264852
-0.86952
-0.0727
-0.24792
0.029087
0.220437
0.016216
0.204274
0.112401
0.240222
0
0
0
Year 18
-0.00069
0.000055
0.003701
5.166574
-0.35918
-0.28647
-0.32246
-0.04927
-0.13653
-0.0744
0.21893
-0.77555
-0.06525
-0.23014
0.027921
0.213773
0.016763
0.197481
0.093784
0.213439
0
0
0
Year 19
-0.00088
-0.0011
0.003836
4.447423
-0.31363
-0.24866
-0.27664
-0.04538
-0.11727
-0.06988
0.183616
-0.68717
-0.05789
-0.21051
0.027215
0.213429
0.017935
0.192321
0.080985
0.192052
0
0
0
Year 20
-4E-06
-0.00121
0.003002
3.827396
-0.27372
-0.21695
-0.23635
-0.04161
-0.10134
-0.06435
0.153375
-0.60869
-0.05113
-0.19044
0.027239
0.214477
0.01832
0.187373
0.071202
0.173281
0
0
0
Page 89
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,Thousands
media occupations
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving related occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, service
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupationsThousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
-8.21292 -2.09247 0.798439 3.188048
-4.55891 -1.88209
-0.6999 0.217705
-0.4386 0.18143 0.391831 0.556112
-1.12951 -0.43524 -0.09584 0.179261
-0.37219 0.31747 0.539637 0.709021
-1.31802 -0.21268 0.257755 0.64518
-1.46984 -0.75761 -0.42027 -0.15805
-4.00127 -0.47013 1.032173 2.251318
3.725405 7.225583 7.865016 8.38833
-4.7317 -2.33204 -1.06912 -0.00573
-5.89263 -1.99831 -0.17767 1.30374
-22.9754 -8.32285 -1.41047 4.145096
-0.15616 -0.05335 -0.00913 0.026159
1.966632 6.23803 9.832609 13.30363
-2.41465
-0.0146 1.258299 2.364702
-7.43439 -4.44099 -2.85515 -1.60316
-4.95051 -1.79584 -0.28089 0.940376
Year 9
0.342927
-0.80207
-0.14856
0.027562
-0.17236
-0.02437
-0.211
-0.06175
0.004737
0.013373
-0.02967
-0.81475
-0.01787
10.36056
1.140414
-0.72967
-0.05058
Year 10
0.516368
-0.63648
-0.11755
0.049981
-0.13944
0.012777
-0.16517
0.065518
0.056144
0.111038
0.098035
-0.23778
-0.01286
9.638497
1.131778
-0.54419
0.058032
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
-13.7628 -11.4084 -5.18608 3.094519 3.440549 6.113365 8.082397 9.175571 8.122062
-15.2282 0.359895 5.223058 8.015049 1.970623 3.250937 2.685429 1.880903 -0.06884
-15.2283 0.359896 5.22305 8.015029 1.970586 3.250883 2.685359 1.880819 -0.06893
0 -15.3901 -15.3491 -10.3836 -2.47992 -0.50964 2.801128 5.611428 7.666187
-15.3901 -15.3491 -10.3836 -2.47986 -0.50958 2.801128 5.611489 7.666187 7.791822
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Year 10
7.87943
0.302052
0.301949
7.791883
8.291083
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 1
-1.59458
-1.19997
-0.95609
-1.00197
-2.42176
-2.21522
-1.61761
-1.2054
-1.05406
-0.76691
-0.56969
-0.42012
-0.36673
0
0
0
0
0
Year 2
-1.62096
-1.22479
-0.97966
-0.8605
-2.14564
-2.26869
-1.69361
-1.23906
-1.06151
-0.80245
-0.58962
-0.42715
-0.37848
-0.058
0
0
0
0
Year 5
0.313427
-1.0635
0.060778
-0.07298
0.119404
0.064632
-0.40075
0.266402
3.811193
-0.6542
-0.30658
-2.10949
-0.02274
11.67431
1.253564
-2.09329
-0.33414
Year 6
1.451017
-0.50196
0.086004
0.094844
0.120316
0.216342
-0.20934
0.796471
2.920919
0.017863
0.490823
0.939655
-0.00361
12.46533
1.691861
-1.06381
0.323683
Year 7
1.545077
-0.42935
0.047056
0.121336
0.066047
0.211792
-0.1655
0.763172
2.173064
0.186942
0.584419
1.351776
-0.00189
12.50918
1.729007
-0.75742
0.41523
Year 8
1.375887
-0.44282
-0.00634
0.119556
-0.00353
0.168031
-0.14559
0.60393
1.372941
0.253386
0.527556
1.198161
-0.00404
11.94966
1.624442
-0.57432
0.379865
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
-1.12472 -0.30412 -0.08367 0.444324 0.799952 1.026369 1.002986 1.051698
-0.86499 -0.26446 -0.10005 0.012407 0.222193 0.435258 0.546147 0.633245
-0.69879 -0.22805 -0.11141 0.092447 0.267351 0.401343 0.424083 0.483701
-0.46363 0.017839 0.013099 0.115992 0.236309 0.332371 0.315554 0.342975
-1.03804 0.497468 0.917453 1.383397 1.547387 1.498179 1.116354 0.833722
-1.59758 -0.46847 -0.10069 0.539815 1.223546 1.797359 2.051908 2.217957
-1.25819 -0.49451 -0.30068 0.067267 0.399187 0.672176 0.761661 0.950759
-0.89686 -0.32226 -0.19769 0.037893 0.236673 0.386037 0.394649 0.457649
-0.72652 -0.18094 -0.04363 0.169259 0.325257 0.425895 0.398062 0.404868
-0.59425 -0.23211 -0.14176 0.029492 0.20374 0.350499 0.402116 0.453887
-0.42903 -0.15391 -0.08986 0.02445 0.118491 0.187738 0.191252 0.219018
-0.30699 -0.10876 -0.07078 0.00992 0.086559 0.145621 0.154719 0.174067
-0.26648 -0.07178 -0.00897 0.080055 0.13768 0.167917 0.150547 0.145923
-0.11948 -0.16683 -0.18998
-0.2046 -0.13888 -0.05048 0.036523 0.097775
0
0
0
0 -0.05397
-0.1111 -0.15473 -0.17516
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Page 90
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Management, business, financial occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,Thousands
media occupations
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving related occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, service
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupationsThousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 11
0.666656
-0.4717
-0.08692
0.068554
-0.10617
0.048019
-0.11998
0.177965
0.10341
0.204259
0.213743
0.290758
-0.00786
8.762516
1.097962
-0.36298
0.156676
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 11
Year 12
Year 13
Year 14
Year 15
Year 16
Year 17
Year 18
Year 19
Year 20
7.837107 7.626039 7.260158 6.795001 6.269403 5.733153 5.144598 4.642152 4.196155 3.80051
0.42868 0.232201 0.033289 -0.14146 -0.27572 -0.37309 -0.41654 -0.45232 -0.47201 -0.48459
0.428572 0.23209 0.033177 -0.14158 -0.27584 -0.37321 -0.41666 -0.45248 -0.47221 -0.48485
8.291022 8.924664 9.36962 9.617659 9.685855 9.608634 9.418683 9.165882 8.854989 8.500858
8.924664 9.36962 9.617659 9.685916 9.608695 9.418744 9.165821 8.854928 8.50098 8.110974
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 11
1.091062
0.909181
0.392987
0.392785
0.634509
2.225543
1.225752
0.561826
0.429629
0.493487
0.263515
0.196473
0.148185
0.146579
-0.18682
0
0
0
Year 12
0.602667
-0.41333
-0.0757
0.060665
-0.09185
0.045964
-0.10328
0.162561
0.096733
0.204219
0.188578
0.292422
-0.00699
7.863403
0.992512
-0.3141
0.144909
Year 12
1.10616
1.044386
0.422595
0.429148
0.520255
1.988246
1.581225
0.658389
0.442936
0.494438
0.325537
0.206857
0.157316
0.166365
-0.12703
-0.04812
0
0
Year 13
0.51951
-0.36973
-0.06806
0.051634
-0.08116
0.042254
-0.09176
0.139583
0.085782
0.195797
0.155558
0.235877
-0.00603
6.940825
0.87614
-0.2787
0.122061
Year 13
1.100267
1.103417
0.498257
0.452272
0.450105
1.640486
1.904623
0.750887
0.452054
0.476295
0.385876
0.213256
0.166299
0.166127
-0.04508
-0.09947
0
0
Year 14
0.434395
-0.33369
-0.06163
0.042454
-0.07263
0.038459
-0.08103
0.116947
0.073932
0.18674
0.123198
0.162267
-0.00595
6.062303
0.762599
-0.25038
0.0968
Year 14
1.087261
1.078105
0.608568
0.469753
0.396118
1.255029
2.160728
0.840831
0.457941
0.450237
0.437605
0.2171
0.174506
0.155623
0.035184
-0.13768
0
0
Page 91
Year 15
0.357441
-0.3026
-0.05507
0.035941
-0.06496
0.035308
-0.07259
0.100158
0.062492
0.176601
0.096736
0.095869
-0.0047
5.260527
0.658799
-0.22594
0.073485
Year 15
1.049038
1.079704
0.65766
0.495286
0.341474
0.884172
2.259799
0.98073
0.478833
0.425894
0.465648
0.226986
0.178503
0.14917
0.09045
-0.15366
0
0
Year 16
0.291007
-0.27424
-0.04933
0.030168
-0.05809
0.032067
-0.06436
0.088476
0.052835
0.169195
0.076616
0.042841
-0.00428
4.544736
0.566304
-0.20342
0.053682
Year 16
0.988061
1.050051
0.877297
0.359105
0.298095
0.558208
2.167168
1.181849
0.524066
0.402989
0.471075
0.24682
0.178397
0.143704
0.135794
-0.16294
0
0
Year 17
0.237129
-0.24892
-0.04444
0.02605
-0.05206
0.029738
-0.05743
0.084191
0.045139
0.163843
0.062558
0.005938
-0.0037
3.915029
0.48682
-0.18233
0.03931
Year 17
0.910553
1.008335
0.966712
0.352275
0.261372
0.339773
1.848504
1.477482
0.571654
0.377122
0.443426
0.287298
0.172792
0.145973
0.152751
-0.10935
-0.04084
0
Year 18
0.193139
-0.22344
-0.03956
0.024207
-0.04605
0.027986
-0.05004
0.084465
0.038998
0.159305
0.052896
-0.01536
-0.00398
3.367896
0.417907
-0.16244
0.027538
Year 18
0.818531
0.959412
0.990661
0.400394
0.231638
0.192533
1.440174
1.755649
0.627884
0.355859
0.404014
0.330238
0.165113
0.149183
0.153057
-0.03754
-0.08286
0
Year 19
0.160219
-0.19966
-0.03486
0.022142
-0.04121
0.02741
-0.04348
0.088749
0.034945
0.156181
0.0487
-0.02188
-0.00315
2.89809
0.359907
-0.14368
0.020386
Year 19
0.714486
0.916877
0.941906
0.491726
0.213961
0.084938
1.012827
1.97984
0.69287
0.341902
0.36389
0.370495
0.160835
0.152036
0.143814
0.03232
-0.11378
0
Year 20
0.133936
-0.1767
-0.03156
0.021389
-0.03578
0.026932
-0.03806
0.092633
0.031491
0.1538
0.045099
-0.02366
-0.00223
2.493167
0.310737
-0.12607
0.014759
Year 20
0.603112
0.859946
0.92812
0.528679
0.217727
-0.00334
0.615508
2.059966
0.817018
0.350457
0.330704
0.392238
0.164544
0.153464
0.137865
0.081514
-0.12649
0
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State Average Rates
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Ratesof Fixed (2010) Dollars
Billions
Year 1
-0.28569
0.045664
Year 2
-0.11716
-0.02578
Year 6
-0.07475
-0.02114
Year 7
-0.07153
-0.01466
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
-0.075 -0.10181 -0.08165
-0.00635 0.008056 0.008356
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
-0.02
-0.10517
-0.03331
-0.0094
0
-0.02401
-0.00982
-0.01798
-0.01808
-0.00012
0
-0.04881
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
-0.01935
-0.0129 -0.00279 -0.00088 0.003828
-0.05102 -0.03909 -0.03442 -0.08739 -0.07914
-0.01615 -0.01277 -0.01041 -0.02738 -0.02521
-0.00448 -0.00389 -0.00258 -0.00719 -0.00665
0
0
0
0
0
-0.01405 -0.00874 -0.00409 -0.00628
-0.0023
-0.00151 0.002683 0.00675 0.00182 0.003563
-0.00208 0.00577 0.013389 0.003181 0.007038
-0.00235 0.005365 0.012856 0.003563 0.006264
-9.8E-05 -8.1E-05 -6.3E-05 -5.2E-05 -3.1E-05
0
0
0
0
0
-0.00608 0.015242 0.033971 0.009913 0.017887
Year 7
0.007241
-0.08184
-0.02567
-0.00667
0
-0.0004
0.004269
0.007164
0.007319
-2.1E-05
0
0.018081
Year 8
0.008822
-0.08427
-0.02598
-0.00693
0
-3E-06
0.0036
0.006602
0.006702
-1.3E-05
0
0.017472
Year 9
0.008836
-0.09036
-0.02807
-0.00768
0
-0.0007
0.002109
0.002535
0.002614
-1.1E-05
0
0.007917
Year 10
0.0097
-0.07805
-0.02503
-0.00639
0
-0.00036
0.001566
0.003373
0.003432
-8E-06
0
0.009113
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
-0.00845
0.045406
-0.00052
-0.00135
-0.00277
-0.00031
-0.00081
-0.00038
-0.00013
-0.001
-0.00094
-0.00218
-5.8E-05
0
0.019146
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
-0.00844 -0.00549 -0.00113 -0.00051 0.001968 0.002913
-0.00509 -0.02557 -0.03875 -0.01107 -0.01759 -0.01609
-0.00076 0.000109 0.000054 0.000041 0.000091 0.000156
-0.00141 -0.00103 -0.00028 -0.00033 -0.00011 0.000187
-0.00292 -0.00217 -0.00068 0.000203 0.00066 0.00126
-0.00045 -0.00053 0.000433 0.000425 0.000455 0.000494
-0.00062
-0.0011 -0.00029 -0.00033 -0.00016
6.7E-05
-0.001 -0.00036 -0.00051 0.00046 0.000592 0.000765
-0.00019 -0.00023 -0.00024 -0.00024 -0.00023 -0.00021
-0.00091 -0.00043 -0.00064 0.000309 0.000501 0.000752
-0.00037 -0.00061 0.000289 0.000265 0.000356 0.000474
-0.00207 -0.00116
-0.0006 0.000292 0.000693 0.001219
-8.5E-05
-0.0001 -0.00011 -0.00011
-0.0001 -9.5E-05
0
0
0
0
0
0
-0.00247 -0.01087 -0.01607 -0.00459 -0.00727 -0.00655
Year 8
0.005082
-0.01153
0.000229
0.000517
0.001929
0.000538
0.000321
-4.2E-05
-0.0002
0.001033
0.000606
0.000805
-8.7E-05
0
-0.00456
Year 9
0.005162
-0.00152
0.000299
0.000833
0.001571
0.00058
0.000564
0.000144
-0.00018
0.000302
0.000732
0.001368
-7.9E-05
0
-0.00073
Year 10
0.005164
-0.00246
0.000366
0.001137
0.001189
-0.00038
0.000798
0.000322
-0.00016
0.000562
-0.00015
0.000909
-7.1E-05
0
-0.00087
Year 3
Year 4
-0.0474 0.011614
-0.04853 -0.05852
Page 92
Year 5
-0.1107
-0.01719
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
State Revenues at State Average Rates
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Ratesof Fixed (2010) Dollars
Billions
Year 11
Year 12
Year 13
Year 14
Year 15
Year 16
Year 17
Year 18
-0.06322 -0.05185 -0.04329 -0.03633 -0.03054 -0.02581 -0.02195 -0.01794
0.009195 0.011759 0.014172 0.016631 0.018267 0.019162 0.019514 0.019421
Year 19
Year 20
-0.0148 -0.01262
0.01895 0.019162
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.010296
-0.06768
-0.02098
-0.0061
0
0.000002
0.001965
0.004104
0.004147
-6E-06
0
0.010031
Year 12
0.011316
-0.05862
-0.01796
-0.00509
0
0.000793
0.00191
0.004003
0.003048
-6E-06
0
0.009764
Year 13
0.011862
-0.05157
-0.01594
-0.00409
0
0.000612
0.001816
0.00283
0.002879
-7E-06
0
0.008311
Year 14
0.012045
-0.04454
-0.01393
-0.00409
0
0.000457
0.001699
0.002616
0.00267
-7E-06
0
0.007749
Year 15
0.011952
-0.03946
-0.01191
-0.00308
0
0.000333
0.001581
0.002401
0.00246
-8E-06
0
0.006186
Year 16
0.011635
-0.03432
-0.01086
-0.00307
0
0.000242
0.00147
0.002196
0.00226
-9E-06
0
0.005651
Year 17
0.01118
-0.03112
-0.0098
-0.00305
0
0.000181
0.001373
0.00202
0.002088
-9E-06
0
0.005188
Year 18
0.010613
-0.02685
-0.00872
-0.00203
0
0.000145
0.001292
0.001871
0.001942
-0.00001
0
0.004799
Year 19
0.009952
-0.02353
-0.00762
-0.002
0
0.000131
0.001226
0.001749
0.001823
-0.00001
0
0.003478
Year 20
0.010211
-0.0212
-0.00651
-0.00197
0
0.000131
0.001168
0.001644
0.00172
-0.00001
0
0.003202
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on Pinellas County
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.006029
-0.00252
0.000429
0.000421
0.001764
-0.00034
0.001016
0.000488
-0.00014
0.000803
-3.2E-05
0.001413
-6.4E-05
0
-0.00107
Year 12
0.005594
-0.00089
0.000482
0.000659
0.002247
-0.00031
0.000199
0.000628
-0.00013
0.001006
0.000063
0.001836
-5.8E-05
0
-0.00056
Year 13
0.005914
0.001305
0.000526
0.000859
0.001654
-0.00028
0.000353
0.000745
-0.00012
0.001176
0.000143
0.001193
-5.3E-05
0
0.00076
Year 14
0.006045
0.002116
0.000564
0.001031
0.002003
-0.00026
0.000485
0.000846
-0.00011
0.000323
0.000212
0.001498
-4.9E-05
0
0.000926
Year 15
0.006034
0.003567
0.000597
0.001181
0.002308
-0.00024
0.000601
0.000934
-0.0001
0.000451
0.000272
0.001766
-4.5E-05
0
0.000942
Year 16
0.005907
0.003675
0.000627
0.001314
0.001578
-0.00022
0.000703
0.001012
-9.4E-05
0.000564
0.000325
0.002002
-4.2E-05
0
0.001816
Year 17
0.005708
0.00451
0.000654
0.000436
0.001825
-0.00021
0.000797
8.3E-05
-8.7E-05
0.000668
0.000374
0.001218
-3.9E-05
0
0.001577
Year 18
0.005451
0.005119
0.000679
0.000549
0.002054
-0.00019
0.000884
0.000149
-8.1E-05
0.000764
0.000419
0.001419
-3.6E-05
0
0.002244
Year 19
0.005145
0.005537
-0.0003
0.000654
0.001268
-0.00018
0.000965
0.000211
-7.5E-05
0.000854
0.000461
0.001607
-3.3E-05
0
0.001832
Year 20
0.004798
0.005796
-0.00028
0.000753
0.00147
-0.00017
0.001041
0.000269
-0.00007
0.000938
0.000501
0.001783
-3.1E-05
0
0.002354
Page 93
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary Disbursements Billions of Current Dollars
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
Real Disposable Personal Income Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 1
-164.697
-164.697
-243.173
-15.832
-17.964
0.01
-12.701
-5.273
-0.538
-1.593
-0.031
1.086
-37.427
-21.503
-9.242
-6.171
-5.215
-0.252
-17.477
-3.542
0
Year 2
4.79
4.79
-115.542
-6.566
-12.24
0.026
-8.845
-3.421
1.807
-0.769
1.362
1.214
-21.629
-12.214
-4.854
0.239
0.307
-0.321
-6.02
0.475
0
Year 3
83.821
83.821
-40.609
-1.251
-8.593
0.028
-6.373
-2.248
2.122
-0.569
1.554
1.137
-12.05
-6.634
-1.964
3.795
2.896
-0.041
-0.218
2.343
0
Year 4
147.271
147.271
19.601
3.707
-5.99
0.019
-4.563
-1.446
2.14
-0.494
1.556
1.077
-3.948
-1.897
0.674
7.181
5.206
0.25
4.696
4.022
0
Year 5
55.132
55.132
-6.58
0.56
-5.345
0.006
-3.937
-1.413
-2.14
-1.635
-0.807
0.302
-6.123
-3.346
-0.329
3.111
1.898
0.344
-0.158
1.422
0
Year 6
78.409
78.409
33.154
3.647
-2.589
-0.009
-1.972
-0.608
-2.516
-1.543
-1.089
0.114
0.361
0.387
1.522
4.32
2.759
0.376
2.73
2.084
0
Year 7
77.36
77.36
44.078
4.544
-1.676
-0.028
-1.285
-0.364
-2.968
-1.584
-1.384
-0.001
2.43
1.571
2.232
4.587
2.795
0.467
3.297
2.135
0
Year 8
69.275
69.275
48.22
4.751
-0.929
-0.046
-0.731
-0.151
-3.418
-1.621
-1.678
-0.119
3.594
2.223
2.645
4.467
2.592
0.509
3.317
2.009
0
Year 9
36.458
36.458
34.821
3.346
-0.955
-0.061
-0.683
-0.211
-4.184
-1.762
-2.146
-0.278
2.233
1.354
2.072
2.763
1.392
0.479
1.44
1.113
0
Year 10
38.853
38.853
36.975
3.741
-0.794
-0.072
-0.543
-0.178
-3.652
-1.53
-1.904
-0.218
2.866
1.721
2.242
2.987
1.549
0.436
1.819
1.247
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other(Jobs)
Thousands
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste ServicesThousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social AssistanceThousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
-2.25
-0.469
-0.896
14.785
-24.584
-9.169
-20.131
-11.939
-8.897
-34.88
-14.503
-27.094
-7.447
-32.663
-6.615
-19.564
-9.37
-13.343
-14.143
78.476
0
0
0
Year 2
-1.611
-0.325
-0.493
32.186
-17.357
-5.193
-10.046
-8.348
-6.011
-23.39
-8.16
-15.683
-5.273
-16.606
-3.998
-7.508
-6.053
-6.686
-4.989
120.332
0
0
0
Year 3
-1.194
-0.227
-0.272
48.74
-13.099
-3.534
-5.395
-6.081
-4.507
-16.339
-4.254
-10.263
-3.884
-8.507
-2.514
-1.6
-4.093
-3.043
-0.541
124.429
0
0
0
Year 4
-0.84
-0.141
-0.082
62.619
-9.76
-2.474
-1.954
-4.234
-3.359
-10.546
-0.861
-6.362
-2.762
-2.113
-1.287
3.179
-2.484
0.052
3.013
127.668
0
0
0
Year 5
-0.641
-0.107
-0.106
55.557
-8.936
-4.264
-5.953
-3.527
-3.518
-9.169
-0.953
-10.337
-2.267
-6.034
-1.422
-1.058
-2.272
-1.315
-0.259
61.712
0
0
0
Year 6
-0.277
-0.031
0.038
58.113
-5.374
-3.259
-3.344
-1.709
-2.282
-3.793
1.488
-6.872
-1.15
-1.556
-0.481
1.948
-0.853
0.68
1.87
45.255
0
0
0
Year 7
-0.134
-0.003
0.087
57.895
-4.015
-3.031
-2.679
-1.023
-1.828
-1.843
2.303
-5.973
-0.746
-0.482
-0.165
2.529
-0.339
1.282
2.244
33.281
0
0
0
Year 8
-0.03
0.015
0.114
55.567
-2.973
-2.857
-2.315
-0.53
-1.479
-0.498
2.694
-5.416
-0.455
-0.054
0.032
2.598
0.007
1.564
2.237
21.054
0
0
0
Year 9
Year 10
0.037
0.022
0.105
44.676
-2.084
-2.48
-2.226
-0.239
-1.132
0.031
2.373
-5.197
-0.288
-0.881
0.036
1.458
0.143
1.269
1.352
1.877
0
0
0
Page 94
0
0.017
0.091
48.63
-2.683
-2.968
-3.023
-0.436
-1.424
-0.509
2.268
-6.216
-0.398
-1.533
-0.081
1.006
-0.02
0.998
1.101
1.638
0
0
0
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Total Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Employment by Occupation
Thousands (Jobs)
Private Non-Farm Employment Thousands (Jobs)
Self Supply
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Exports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Exports to Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total Imports
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of World
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Rest of Nation
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Imports from Multiregions
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Output
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Value-Added
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Wage and Salary Disbursements Billions of Current Dollars
Personal Income
Billions of Current Dollars
Real Disposable Personal Income Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
PCE-Price Index
2005=100 (Nation)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Billions of Fixed (2005) Dollars
Total National Deflator
2005=1 (Nation)
Year 11
40.266
40.265
38.188
4.027
-0.602
-0.08
-0.386
-0.136
-3.115
-1.298
-1.658
-0.159
3.426
2.043
2.39
3.198
1.656
0.424
2.152
1.345
0
Year 12
37.182
37.183
35.215
3.83
-0.648
-0.087
-0.414
-0.148
-2.64
-1.105
-1.424
-0.112
3.182
1.894
2.292
3.138
1.585
0.408
1.998
1.302
0
Year 13
33.525
33.525
31.713
3.523
-0.676
-0.092
-0.43
-0.155
-2.267
-0.949
-1.239
-0.078
2.846
1.693
2.137
3.012
1.484
0.384
1.789
1.235
0
Year 14
29.844
29.844
28.198
3.18
-0.688
-0.093
-0.436
-0.158
-1.961
-0.82
-1.087
-0.054
2.492
1.48
1.959
2.855
1.373
0.357
1.568
1.158
0
Year 15
26.436
26.436
24.951
2.844
-0.685
-0.095
-0.433
-0.158
-1.703
-0.71
-0.958
-0.035
2.158
1.28
1.778
2.689
1.262
0.33
1.36
1.084
0
Year 16
23.407
23.408
22.069
2.53
-0.671
-0.093
-0.423
-0.155
-1.481
-0.618
-0.844
-0.02
1.859
1.102
1.607
2.532
1.16
0.304
1.173
1.019
0
Year 17
20.798
20.798
19.585
2.252
-0.65
-0.091
-0.408
-0.15
-1.29
-0.54
-0.742
-0.008
1.602
0.95
1.45
2.393
1.071
0.279
1.015
0.964
0
Year 18
18.571
18.571
17.471
2.008
-0.622
-0.089
-0.391
-0.143
-1.121
-0.474
-0.649
0.003
1.387
0.822
1.311
2.274
0.994
0.258
0.881
0.919
0
Year 19
16.724
16.724
15.718
1.802
-0.591
-0.085
-0.372
-0.134
-0.965
-0.414
-0.563
0.012
1.212
0.719
1.192
2.176
0.931
0.238
0.773
0.881
0
Year 20
15.126
15.126
14.204
1.62
-0.559
-0.081
-0.351
-0.126
-0.828
-0.361
-0.487
0.02
1.061
0.631
1.087
2.094
0.875
0.223
0.681
0.847
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Forestry, Fishing, Related Activities,
and Other(Jobs)
Thousands
Mining
Thousands (Jobs)
Utilities
Thousands (Jobs)
Construction
Thousands (Jobs)
Manufacturing
Thousands (Jobs)
Wholesale Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Retail Trade
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation and Warehousing Thousands (Jobs)
Information
Thousands (Jobs)
Finance and Insurance
Thousands (Jobs)
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Thousands (Jobs)
Professional and Technical Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Thousands (Jobs)
Administrative and Waste ServicesThousands (Jobs)
Educational Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Health Care and Social AssistanceThousands (Jobs)
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Thousands (Jobs)
Accommodation and Food Services
Thousands (Jobs)
Other Services, except Public Administration
Thousands (Jobs)
State and Local Government Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Civilian Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Federal Military Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm Employment
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 11
0.073
0.026
0.115
40.066
-1.485
-1.998
-1.468
-0.042
-0.845
0.556
2.426
-4.17
-0.174
-0.242
0.153
1.837
0.297
1.514
1.546
2.078
0
0
0
Year 12
0.073
0.024
0.11
35.986
-1.275
-1.679
-1.087
-0.038
-0.709
0.494
2.2
-3.631
-0.172
-0.234
0.158
1.757
0.297
1.51
1.433
1.967
0
0
0
Year 13
0.072
0.02
0.104
31.813
-1.101
-1.42
-0.8
-0.035
-0.596
0.428
1.961
-3.197
-0.168
-0.248
0.159
1.652
0.29
1.482
1.299
1.812
0
0
0
Year 14
0.071
0.017
0.098
27.843
-0.953
-1.203
-0.575
-0.032
-0.502
0.368
1.732
-2.83
-0.161
-0.262
0.157
1.547
0.28
1.44
1.165
1.646
0
0
0
Year 15
0.069
0.014
0.091
24.209
-0.824
-1.02
-0.389
-0.03
-0.42
0.319
1.526
-2.506
-0.151
-0.265
0.154
1.461
0.271
1.394
1.045
1.486
0
0
0
Year 16
0.069
0.012
0.085
20.962
-0.711
-0.863
-0.231
-0.025
-0.351
0.282
1.348
-2.216
-0.14
-0.256
0.15
1.399
0.263
1.348
0.943
1.34
0
0
0
Year 17
0.069
0.009
0.08
18.104
-0.613
-0.729
-0.092
-0.02
-0.291
0.257
1.196
-1.954
-0.128
-0.235
0.146
1.365
0.256
1.306
0.86
1.211
0
0
0
Year 18
0.068
0.008
0.075
15.611
-0.525
-0.613
0.03
-0.013
-0.24
0.24
1.068
-1.716
-0.116
-0.206
0.144
1.347
0.251
1.266
0.793
1.101
0
0
0
Year 19
0.067
0.006
0.07
13.461
-0.446
-0.51
0.143
-0.006
-0.194
0.23
0.96
-1.492
-0.103
-0.168
0.14
1.345
0.247
1.23
0.74
1.006
0
0
0
Year 20
0.066
0.004
0.066
11.6
-0.378
-0.422
0.235
0
-0.156
0.223
0.867
-1.293
-0.091
-0.131
0.138
1.342
0.243
1.193
0.695
0.921
0
0
0
Page 95
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Management, business, financial occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,Thousands
media occupations
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving related occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, service
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupationsThousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 1
-20.84
-11.878
-0.776
-3.272
-0.598
-3.58
-4.517
-9.57
15.449
-14.083
-17.33
-65.805
-1.225
11.825
-6.036
-17.205
-15.259
Year 2
-1.641
-3.764
1.208
-1.244
1.649
-0.142
-2.283
0.727
27.828
-6.561
-5.256
-19.469
-0.666
26.865
1.76
-9.398
-4.826
Year 3
7.081
-0.275
1.838
-0.252
2.338
1.273
-1.214
4.91
29.901
-2.637
0.304
1.901
-0.381
38.545
5.745
-5.373
0.115
Year 4
14.103
2.403
2.326
0.546
2.859
2.431
-0.382
8.279
31.559
0.648
4.786
18.747
-0.146
48.288
9.015
-2.21
4.017
Year 5
3.804
-1.866
0.589
-0.154
0.798
0.485
-1.095
1.942
14.707
-1.344
-0.291
-2.249
-0.249
39.503
4.885
-3.971
-0.361
Year 6
6.607
-0.425
0.572
0.339
0.71
0.881
-0.488
3.133
11.186
0.713
2.084
6.509
-0.068
40.551
5.975
-1.559
1.689
Year 7
6.562
-0.316
0.405
0.433
0.488
0.832
-0.337
2.917
8.352
1.27
2.386
7.566
-0.015
39.783
5.949
-0.878
1.964
Year 8
5.753
-0.467
0.19
0.441
0.215
0.669
-0.268
2.348
5.363
1.488
2.219
6.887
0.013
37.574
5.528
-0.514
1.833
Year 9
2.153
-1.703
-0.317
0.19
-0.39
0.033
-0.468
0.289
0.322
0.747
0.486
0.216
-0.03
31.802
3.856
-1.093
0.365
Year 10
2.585
-1.267
-0.235
0.255
-0.3
0.143
-0.333
0.645
0.462
1.056
0.872
1.896
-0.002
29.277
3.786
-0.679
0.693
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 1
-40.858
-46.796
-46.796
0
-47.335
0
Year 2
-31.301
3.659
3.659
-47.335
-44.701
0
Year 3
-9.559
20.587
20.587
-44.701
-24.839
0
Year 4
18.539
30.618
30.618
-24.838
5.675
0
Year 5
20.564
9.439
9.439
5.675
15.5
0
Year 6
29.527
13.247
13.247
15.5
29.411
0
Year 7
36.295
11.096
11.096
29.411
41.456
0
Year 8
40.309
8.12
8.12
41.456
50.743
0
Year 9
37.3
0.876
0.877
50.743
52.879
0
Year 10
36.629
1.678
1.679
52.879
55.832
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 1
-4.954
-3.686
-2.938
-3.08
-7.439
-6.805
-4.97
-3.702
-3.238
-2.356
-1.749
-1.292
-1.125
0
0
0
0
0
Year 2
-4.861
-3.561
-2.85
-2.474
-6.183
-6.596
-4.929
-3.601
-3.083
-2.333
-1.712
-1.24
-1.1
-0.178
0
0
0
0
Year 3
-2.908
-2.09
-1.692
-0.975
-2.095
-3.853
-3.087
-2.178
-1.731
-1.456
-1.041
-0.739
-0.639
-0.357
0
0
0
0
Year 4
0.279
0.255
0.153
0.853
3.463
0.535
-0.048
0.094
0.376
-0.012
0.044
0.045
0.112
-0.474
0
0
0
0
Year 5
1.423
1.072
0.763
0.999
5.063
2.239
1.009
0.805
1.056
0.484
0.398
0.277
0.402
-0.489
0
0
0
0
Year 6
3.584
1.677
1.646
1.492
6.697
4.765
2.62
1.871
1.966
1.236
0.911
0.643
0.765
-0.46
0
0
0
0
Year 7
5.228
2.54
2.428
2.039
7.268
7.34
4.098
2.813
2.677
1.989
1.356
0.992
1.02
-0.168
-0.164
0
0
0
Year 8
6.379
3.435
3.06
2.506
7.087
9.441
5.361
3.585
3.197
2.636
1.718
1.284
1.182
0.203
-0.328
0
0
0
Year 9
6.538
4.012
3.279
2.559
5.711
10.283
5.932
3.852
3.255
2.927
1.84
1.392
1.171
0.562
-0.434
0
0
0
Year 10
6.834
4.524
3.595
2.742
4.651
10.691
6.773
4.28
3.412
3.197
2.033
1.525
1.198
0.823
-0.444
0
0
0
Page 96
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Management, business, financial occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Computer, math, architect, engineer
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Life, physical, social science occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Community, social service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Legal occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Education, training, library occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Arts, design, entertainment, sports,Thousands
media occupations
(Jobs)
Healthcare occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Protective service occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Food preparation, serving related occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Building, grounds, personal care, service
occupations
Thousands
(Jobs)
Sales, office, administrative occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Farm, fishing, forestry occupationsThousands (Jobs)
Construction, extraction occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Installation, maintenance, repair occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Production occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Transportation, material moving occupations
Thousands (Jobs)
Year 11
2.937
-0.842
-0.154
0.309
-0.213
0.246
-0.201
0.958
0.586
1.339
1.218
3.398
0.026
26.32
3.638
-0.283
0.983
Year 12
2.717
-0.704
-0.128
0.289
-0.178
0.243
-0.16
0.938
0.555
1.343
1.149
3.39
0.029
23.643
3.324
-0.204
0.936
Year 13
2.439
-0.608
-0.109
0.266
-0.154
0.232
-0.129
0.893
0.51
1.319
1.054
3.2
0.031
20.902
2.978
-0.156
0.857
Year 14
2.154
-0.535
-0.094
0.243
-0.133
0.22
-0.106
0.844
0.461
1.283
0.957
2.946
0.031
18.291
2.637
-0.125
0.769
Year 15
1.892
-0.472
-0.082
0.222
-0.117
0.208
-0.085
0.804
0.415
1.244
0.872
2.694
0.033
15.904
2.322
-0.101
0.685
Year 16
1.66
-0.416
-0.07
0.206
-0.102
0.198
-0.067
0.775
0.375
1.205
0.801
2.471
0.033
13.771
2.04
-0.08
0.611
Year 17
1.462
-0.364
-0.06
0.193
-0.088
0.189
-0.052
0.763
0.34
1.17
0.746
2.29
0.034
11.894
1.792
-0.061
0.548
Year 18
1.297
-0.314
-0.05
0.184
-0.075
0.183
-0.037
0.76
0.312
1.138
0.703
2.148
0.034
10.259
1.576
-0.041
0.496
Year 19
1.164
-0.264
-0.04
0.176
-0.063
0.178
-0.023
0.765
0.289
1.11
0.674
2.047
0.034
8.849
1.392
-0.021
0.456
Year 20
1.052
-0.219
-0.031
0.171
-0.052
0.173
-0.011
0.77
0.268
1.081
0.648
1.961
0.035
7.63
1.232
-0.002
0.421
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Labor Force
Thousands
Total Migrants
Thousands
Economic Migrants
Thousands
Population (Last Year's)
Thousands
Population 5 Year Cohorts)
Thousands
College Population
Thousands
Year 11
36.491
1.712
1.713
55.832
58.838
0
Year 12
35.832
0.839
0.839
58.838
60.978
0
Year 13
34.655
-0.04
-0.04
60.978
62.217
0
Year 14
33.092
-0.816
-0.816
62.217
62.629
0
Year 15
31.282
-1.436
-1.437
62.629
62.343
0
Year 16
29.35
-1.907
-1.908
62.343
61.487
0
Year 17
27.213
-2.185
-2.184
61.487
60.237
0
Year 18
25.255
-2.395
-2.395
60.237
58.653
0
Year 19
23.453
-2.533
-2.533
58.653
56.801
0
Year 20
21.814
-2.636
-2.636
56.801
54.718
0
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Ages 0-4
Thousands
Ages 5-9
Thousands
Ages 10-14
Thousands
Ages 15-19
Thousands
Ages 20-24
Thousands
Ages 25-29
Thousands
Ages 30-34
Thousands
Ages 35-39
Thousands
Ages 40-44
Thousands
Ages 45-49
Thousands
Ages 50-54
Thousands
Ages 55-59
Thousands
Ages 60-64
Thousands
Ages 65-69
Thousands
Ages 70-74
Thousands
Ages 75-79
Thousands
Ages 80-84
Thousands
Ages 85+
Thousands
Year 11
7.015
5.663
3.379
2.991
3.865
10.459
7.817
4.824
3.616
3.403
2.272
1.663
1.246
1.035
-0.412
0
0
0
Year 12
7.045
6.391
3.496
3.19
3.384
9.364
9.036
5.327
3.787
3.472
2.558
1.764
1.313
1.14
-0.143
-0.146
0
0
Year 13
6.939
6.808
3.791
3.337
3.076
7.873
10.043
5.798
3.942
3.476
2.827
1.847
1.383
1.174
0.196
-0.291
0
0
Year 14
6.764
6.835
4.263
3.455
2.838
6.252
10.709
6.238
4.09
3.451
3.053
1.923
1.446
1.169
0.524
-0.382
0
0
Year 15
6.469
6.868
4.563
3.59
2.611
4.711
10.743
6.806
4.291
3.433
3.19
2.02
1.495
1.176
0.762
-0.387
0
0
Year 16
6.067
6.735
5.448
3.167
2.434
3.356
10.063
7.519
4.565
3.423
3.24
2.143
1.535
1.189
0.954
-0.352
0
0
Year 17
5.582
6.502
5.961
3.111
2.289
2.396
8.59
8.456
4.842
3.412
3.178
2.329
1.554
1.221
1.051
-0.115
-0.123
0
Year 18
5.03
6.19
6.211
3.271
2.175
1.714
6.805
9.243
5.137
3.425
3.081
2.517
1.573
1.262
1.081
0.183
-0.243
0
Year 19
4.431
5.864
6.116
3.646
2.104
1.202
4.972
9.746
5.446
3.469
2.982
2.684
1.601
1.303
1.078
0.471
-0.316
0
Year 20
3.805
5.465
6.062
3.877
2.109
0.786
3.284
9.67
5.922
3.596
2.913
2.781
1.664
1.336
1.086
0.677
-0.313
0
Page 97
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
State Revenues at State Average Rates
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Ratesof Fixed (2010) Dollars
Billions
Year 1
-0.746
0.224
Year 2
-0.216
-0.159
Year 3
-0.001
-0.289
Year 4
0.18
-0.334
Year 5
-0.227
-0.145
Year 6
-0.137
-0.165
Year 7
-0.132
-0.12
Year 8
-0.142
-0.064
Year 9
-0.234
0.017
Year 10
-0.173
0.032
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
-0.061
-0.253
-0.079
-0.022
0
-0.082
-0.026
-0.049
-0.047
0
0
-0.127
Year 2
-0.058
-0.09
-0.028
-0.008
0
-0.049
0.001
0.003
0.003
0
0
0.009
Year 3
-0.032
-0.058
-0.019
-0.005
0
-0.031
0.015
0.028
0.027
0
0
0.073
Year 4
0.007
-0.049
-0.015
-0.004
0
-0.016
0.027
0.05
0.049
0
0
0.13
Year 5
0.019
-0.23
-0.072
-0.02
0
-0.019
0.01
0.019
0.018
0
0
0.049
Year 6
0.036
-0.216
-0.067
-0.019
0
-0.005
0.014
0.027
0.026
0
0
0.069
Year 7
0.05
-0.227
-0.071
-0.019
0
-0.002
0.015
0.027
0.027
0
0
0.071
Year 8
0.06
-0.238
-0.075
-0.02
0
0.001
0.014
0.025
0.025
0
0
0.066
Year 9
0.063
-0.26
-0.081
-0.023
0
-0.001
0.008
0.013
0.013
0
0
0.035
Year 10
0.067
-0.226
-0.071
-0.02
0
0.001
0.008
0.015
0.014
0
0
0.039
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 1
-0.059
0.25
-0.002
-0.009
-0.019
-0.001
-0.007
-0.006
-0.001
-0.007
-0.004
-0.016
0
0
0.103
Year 2
-0.064
-0.014
-0.002
-0.009
-0.02
-0.001
-0.008
-0.006
0
-0.008
-0.004
-0.017
-0.001
0
-0.005
Year 3
-0.053
-0.123
-0.002
-0.008
-0.016
-0.001
-0.006
-0.005
0
-0.007
-0.003
-0.014
-0.001
0
-0.051
Year 4
-0.029
-0.192
-0.001
-0.005
-0.008
-0.001
-0.003
-0.002
-0.001
-0.004
-0.002
-0.007
0
0
-0.079
Year 5
-0.022
-0.069
0
-0.004
-0.007
-0.001
-0.003
-0.002
-0.001
-0.002
-0.001
-0.006
0
0
-0.029
Year 6
-0.008
-0.105
0
-0.001
-0.003
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
-0.002
0
0
-0.043
Year 7
0.005
-0.094
0
0
0.002
0.001
0
0.001
0
0.001
0.001
0.001
0
0
-0.038
Year 8
0.017
-0.071
0.001
0.002
0.005
0
0.002
0.001
0
0.002
0.001
0.005
0
0
-0.03
Year 9
0.021
-0.02
0
0.003
0.006
0
0.002
0.002
0
0.003
0.001
0.006
0
0
-0.009
Year 10
0.026
-0.017
0.001
0.004
0.008
0
0.003
0.003
0
0.003
0.001
0.007
0.001
0
-0.007
Page 98
Net Impacts of Catastrophic Event
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
State Revenues at State Average Rates
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
State Expenditures at State Average
Ratesof Fixed (2010) Dollars
Billions
Year 11
-0.115
0.05
Year 12
-0.079
0.078
Year 13
-0.051
0.101
Year 14
-0.029
0.119
Year 15
-0.012
0.133
Year 16
0.002
0.143
Year 17
0.014
0.149
Year 18
0.023
0.153
Year 19
0.032
0.155
Year 20
0.038
0.154
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Intergovernmental Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
General Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Selective Sales Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
License Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Individual Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Corporate Income Tax
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other Taxes
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Current Charges
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Miscellaneous General Revenue Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Revenue
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.071
-0.192
-0.061
-0.017
0
0.002
0.008
0.016
0.015
0
0
0.041
Year 12
0.074
-0.166
-0.051
-0.015
0
0.001
0.008
0.015
0.015
0
0
0.04
Year 13
0.075
-0.143
-0.045
-0.013
0
0.001
0.008
0.014
0.014
0
0
0.037
Year 14
0.076
-0.123
-0.039
-0.011
0
0.001
0.007
0.013
0.012
0
0
0.034
Year 15
0.075
-0.106
-0.034
-0.009
0
0
0.006
0.012
0.012
0
0
0.031
Year 16
0.075
-0.092
-0.029
-0.008
0
0
0.006
0.011
0.01
0
0
0.029
Year 17
0.074
-0.08
-0.025
-0.007
0
0
0.006
0.01
0.01
0
0
0.026
Year 18
0.072
-0.068
-0.022
-0.006
0
0
0.005
0.009
0.009
0
0
0.024
Year 19
0.07
-0.059
-0.018
-0.005
0
0
0.004
0.009
0.008
0
0
0.022
Year 20
0.067
-0.05
-0.016
-0.004
0
-0.001
0.004
0.009
0.008
0
0
0.022
Differences from Baseline of TBRPC Impact on TBRPC
Category
Units
Education
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Public Welfare
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Hospitals
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Health
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Highways
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Police Protection
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Correction
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Natural Resources
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Parks and Recreation
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Government Administration
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Interest on General Debt
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Other and Unallocable
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Utility Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Liquor Store Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Insurance Trust Expenditure
Billions of Fixed (2010) Dollars
Year 11
0.032
-0.013
0.001
0.004
0.01
0.001
0.003
0.003
0
0.004
0.002
0.009
0.001
0
-0.006
Year 12
0.036
0
0.001
0.005
0.012
0.001
0.004
0.004
0
0.004
0.003
0.01
0.001
0
0
Year 13
0.039
0.011
0.002
0.005
0.012
0.001
0.005
0.003
0
0.005
0.002
0.01
0.001
0
0.005
Year 14
0.041
0.021
0.001
0.007
0.013
0.001
0.005
0.003
0
0.006
0.003
0.011
0
0
0.008
Year 15
0.042
0.028
0.001
0.007
0.013
0
0.005
0.004
0
0.006
0.002
0.011
0
0
0.012
Year 16
0.042
0.034
0.001
0.007
0.013
0
0.005
0.003
0
0.005
0.002
0.012
0
0
0.014
Year 17
0.043
0.039
0.002
0.007
0.013
0.001
0.005
0.004
0
0.005
0.003
0.011
0
0
0.016
Year 18
0.042
0.042
0.002
0.006
0.013
0.001
0.005
0.003
0
0.006
0.002
0.012
0
0
0.017
Year 19
0.042
0.044
0.001
0.006
0.013
0.001
0.005
0.004
0
0.005
0.002
0.011
0
0
0.018
Year 20
0.041
0.045
0.001
0.007
0.012
0.001
0.005
0.003
0.001
0.005
0.003
0.011
0
0
0.019
Page 99