OF COIVIIVfERCE . ··L~'J~~Y ' 'H"!/r~ r(~-\ -L P.CI BOX Hi? CHRiSTCHUHCi-i, NEVi ZEALAND The vielNt expressc:i in this Bulletin ere I'lt{! Vle-W9 of !ke cu:hor lind not nccc'ssaril)' those 0/ the Chc;,-noer of Commerce. BULLETIN No. 577 3/1974 VERSY by PROFESSOR OWEN MCCARTHY, M.AGR.SC., PH.D., Head; Department of Agricultural Economics &.l'vlarketing, Lincoln College A. IN'fRo»uCTION The most controversial topic In the wool industry over the last 5-10 years has been marketing reform, in particular the question of wool acquisition. Briefly, acquisition means the setting up by legislation of an authority to acquire compul:oori:ly and market all New Zealand wool. Although tl;(~rc are many interpretations of precisely whatfun;:;tions the aut.~ority would undertake, the key proposal is that it assumes ownership of the wool at an early stage in the marketing process. Similar marketing reform schemes for wool have been under scrutiny in South Africa and Australia. However, in both these countries the agony seems over and action has been approved by t110 majority of those involved in the industry. This paper is mainly concerned with outlining the cases for and against acquisition. IThe irst seetio:! provides background on t.1C structure and organization of the wool industry in New Zealand and traces the recent nro~~ress of wool marketing and reform. The second 'section briefly describes the world textile market of which wool forms a relatively smaH part, examines the competitive position of woo! in this market and outlines an ideal marketirlg system for wool withil1 such a context. The third section describes and comments on various wool market rdonn proposals and puts the case for non-acquisition, that is, the status quo, with minor variations. . B. BACKGROUND 1. Structure and Organization of the New Zealand Woollndusfr}' Annual N.Z.· woo] production averages around 300,000-330,000 wnnes from about 60 million sheep. The present value of production is about. $400 million. 111erc are about 38,000 wool growing farmers but wool and sheep meats are the major source of revenue for only about half the farmers. Most New Zealand wool is of the coarser crossbred type mainly used for household or industrial purposes in contrast to finer Australian \vools 11sed mostly for apparel. The sheep farmer has the option of two major avenucs of disposal. He m.ay seU at auction or to private buyers. About 80 per cent is auctioned (mostiy in New Zealand but a little is shipped to the u.K.) and the remainder is sold to private buyers. These perce11tages do not .include wool from she~p and hlmb$ slaughtered :.. ""'lew Zealand (known as sEpe wool) hut disposed of outside the auction system by freezing companies and amounting to about 0.3 million bales of a total dip of 2 million bales. If the auction option is preferred the wool is delivered to brokers' stores at one of the eight wool selling ccntres. '.ole broker's fUIlction is to prepare and display wool to best advantage for inspection by buyers (acting as agents for local and overseas users) who then bid for it at auction. Buyers pay for wool usually within 18 days of sale and brokers then pay net proceeds to farmers. Buyers may have wool scoured prior to overseas shipment. About 40 per cent of wool exported in 1972/3 had been scoured. TIle New Zealand Wool Marketing Corporation which is the statutory Marketing Authority in the industry has a floor price scheme for wool under which it vIm buy in or supplement the price reached at auction up to a conservative level. The Corporation 1s also charged with improving the marketing system although as yet it has only made t:mid steps' in reform. The New Zealand Wool Board is the policy making body for producers. It is dominated by grower members who are elected by an Electoral Committee made up of 25 growers, in turn chosen o.~ a district basis by farmers with 100 or more sheep. The electoral committee also elects grower members to the Meat Board. On the buying and processing side the brokers and buyers each have an Association to represent their views. There are also a Wool Merchants' Federation and a \Vool SCOUTers' Association. 2. Marketing progress and reform A precedent for acquisition, a1beit dubious, can be fmmd in the primllry produce inter-Governmental bulk purchase contracts of World War n. In the case of wool the New Zealand-United Kingdom contract covered the clip for the duration of the war and one clip thereafter. Prices paid were in general those niling before the war. Because of thi'. dislocation of: normal trading conditions substantial stocks of U.K. Government owned wool had accumulated by the end of the wac. To dispose of these stocks with minimum disturbance to future supplies the Governments of the United Kingdom, Australia, New Zealand and South Africa fomled a private company called Joint Organization. Its New Zealand subsidiary was the New Zealand Wool Disposal Commission established under a 1945 Act. As well as disposing of the accumulated wool at auct:ons (which had recommenced after the war) the Commission established floor prices and was prepared to buy all \\"0] \\],ich did not reach these prices. By mid 1951 all New ZC~11aild Joint Or;!:mizatioll wool had been sold at a profit of arollnd S>1Z40 million. In J.9S1 a new Wool Commission repbccd the old. Its major function was to administer an expanded reserve price scheme. The reserve fund consisted of the Joint Organization profits plus S13 million oj industry funds. The Commission appraised all wool sold and set a floor price for each lot, at which it was prepared to buy in jf not bought by a commercial buyer. (In 1967 a further support price procedure was added. Instead of buying itself, the Commission could wpplement the auction price for wool bought by others up to the floor price. And in 1969 a third option was adopted to permit the Conmlission to buy in below the iloor price.) Naturally the average floor price tended 10 be conservative. For example, in 1952 it averaged 24d compared \vith average auction realisations of 40cl and in 1957 the corresponding figures were 30d and 55cl. It was not until the 1966/67 and 1967/68 seasons that, due to falling demand, the Commission was forced to buy or supplement substantial quantities of wool. In mid 1966 the Commission's capital was $74million. By November 1967 this was completely exhausted, the Commission meantime having had to buy in around 700,000 bales. In addition a further $9 million borrowed from the Reserve Bank had been sp(',nt on supplementation. Subsequently although wool prices did not rise substantialJy Ull.til 1972-3 only about 20,000 bales had to be bought in by the Commission. All stocks had been disposed of by the end of 1972. From commencement in 1951 until the end of its operations in 1972 the Commission bought 835,000 bales and supplemented 987,000 bales at a cost of $10 million out of a throughput of approximately 28 million bales. ·d~ Meantjme back in 1964 the Wool Board and Wool Commission had set up a study group of wool motiv~ atcd expclis to examine the causes of wool price fluctuations, to seek their minimisation and to report on methods of wool marketing. 111e group presented its final report in November 1967. It recommended that an appraisal and purchase system be instituted under which all \vooJ would be bought by an authority through existing channels. The Board and Commission then l;et up a "practical" group to examine the fmdings and to make further recommendations. Its Report of November ] 968 rejected an acquisition authority but recommended lesser changes. Controversy on wool marketing was by this time at its height ~jth wool prices at the lowest level for 20 years. After further discussion the Wool Board in December 1970 commissioned the Battelle Institute of Ohio, U.S.A. to make yet another detailed study of all aspects of the wool industry. The rationale was that a dispassionate objective study by an outside group was required. Its report became available in August 1971 and recommended major changes in the marketing system designed to reduce fragmentatiOll and provide more centralist:"i decision making. The Board and Government then set up the Wool Marketing Establishment Company to determine the most desirable form of marketilH~ or~::anization. After discussions in New Zealand ~md "ove;seas the Company recomme~(kd a grower contro1led Marketing Corporation WhICh would acquire all shorn wool from July 1973 and other wools at a later date. The plan was approved by the Electoral Committee and the Meat & W00l Section Comleil of Federated Farmers. At this stage vocal groups of dissident fanners sprang up around the c()Untr~T and joined together to form the Wool Action Cornnllttce. As a resalt, legislation setting up the Cor- poration was delayed because the Government CuHsidered wool grower support was not strong enough. After some hesitation the Wool Board then proposed to Government that the acquisition clauses of the Dill be deferred pending a referendum of grmvcrs. Accordingly the Corporation, which also absorbed the Wool Commission, came into being in December 1972 but without the power of acquisition. Subsequently the Labour Party became the Government and repealed the referendum clause. Nevertheless the advent of acquisition is still uncertain. The Corporation requires a 12 month planning period, a majority on the newly elected Electoral Committee do not support it, and the Wool Board has said that acquisition would come only with the approval of a clear majority of the latter Committee and the Meat & Wool Section of Federated Farmers . C. AN IDEAL MARKETING SYSTEM FOR WOOL 1. General The numerous proposals that have been put forward over the years for marketing reform can oIlly be properly evaluated in terms of needs in the market place. This requires examination of the world textile market of which wool forms a relatively minor part and is in direct competition with synthetic fibres. (a) Supply and price trends for fibres: 1973/4 estimates are that total world fibre production is around 25,500 million kilograms, of which synthetics account for 11,400 M, cotton 12,700 M and wool 1425 M. Thus wool is under 5 per cent of the total. Although wool production has been relatively steady since 1960 and cotton production has only increased slightly, synthetics have increased by 500 per cent and are continuing to capture a larger share of the expanding market. Wool is being seriously challenged because of its relative inelasticity of supply. Further, prices :..or wool fiuctuate widely and erratically compared with man-made fibres or even cotton. Consider the ten year period 1963/4 to 1972/3. New Zealand wool at auction averaged $1.01 per kg. gr~asy in 1963/4, dropped to a low of 50 cents in 1967/8, rose to 62 cents in 1968/9, dropped again to 53 cents in 1970/71 and rose to $1.44 in 1972/3. Nylon started at SUS2.73 per kg., fell steadily to $2.12 in 1967/8 and has remained at that list price at least until recently. Similarly, polyester started at $US2.51 per kg., dropped to $1.34 in 1968/9 and has remained there. Even cotton has fluctuated only within a range of from US63 cents to 88 cents. In summary, wool to a textile user is relatively scarce and relatively price unstable. It has of course other advantages which may compensate. (b) Fibre marketing systems: (i) Wool . New Zealand wool is produced by 38,000 independent producers. If sold by auction it is transported to 8 different selling centres. There in warehouses operated by wool brokers (23 throughout New Zealand), it is visually classed into some hundreds of types and displayed for subjective valuation by up to 80 buyers plus floor price appraisers. Post auction, the brokers acting under instruction from buyers, may arrange for dumping (compressing two or three bales into one) at one of a number of facilities and transport to stora:c.c at dispersed loc:lti()J1~ until export. i( soid privately, wool mcrcilants process their wool through some of these stages. As the bulk: of miction wool is sold between September ~Ind June and mills require wool throughout the ye:tr, they need to provii:e stOfCtgC. Further, users are located far from New Zealand. Our main 1lSers arc the E.E.C., followed by U.S.A., Japan and Russia. Promotion, market and product research and development and technical services are provided by a wide range of organizations of varying competence, including the \Vool Board and Corporation, the Wool Research Organization and the International \Vool Secretariat. IvIarl~eti!1g strategies arc usually widely publicized and debated before being put into operation. Wool marketing operations are thus complex and costly with responsibility for preparing and moving the clip fragmented among many groups. The variabJe quality and price flows unevenly to the user. (ii) Synthetics marketing system Synthetic fibres arc produced and sold by a small number of large firms direct to the user. Production plants are located relatively close to users. When demand exceeds supply (and hence is likely to affect price), users can be rated and given priority on the basis of present and future requirements and reliability. Price is set by the producer based on competition and long term marketing strategy. Decisions on promotion and market research and development are made within indi"idual organizations so that competitive ajvantage is retained. (iii) COttOIl marketing system After ginning, cotton is generally sold by farmers' agents direct to spinning mills at a negotiated price. The relative stability of world cotton prices is partly due to the ability of producers to respond quickly to price changes (the production period is short) and partly to the price stabilisation policy of the (..l.S.A. Government which involve~ stockholding. 2. The performance of wool in fibre competition The competitivenE'ss of wool in the world textile market is influenced by a number of factors including the following: (i) Fibre properties: Cl-irical fibre properties include utility and processing dbility. By utility is meant the characteristics imparted to the end product. It is here that vi001 continues to retain its relative advantage. However in processing, wool is inferior to synthetics. Disadvantages include the number o[ primary processing stagcs necessary before it is rcaely for spinlling, its relative weakness necessitating slow processing speeds, iis high specific gravity and hence lower output and the fairly bigh degree of waste. (ii) Fibre availability: Wool is generally more inflexible in supply than synthetics and the location of supply is distant from countries. the major textile producing (iii) Price: Price fluctuates widely due mostly to fluctuating demand occasioned by the general level of economic activity and to inelastic supply. (iv) Spcci{icafioll: Without objectivc measurcment accurate specification of' quality (and hence a repeatable product over time) is not possible. (v) Handling and distribution: Unlike synthelics wool does not provide prompt delivery time in clean and homogeneolls packages which are easy to handle and store. (vi) M ark.ct information and development: Detailed, up-to-date information, readily available to all, on user requirements and a coordinated world-wide strategy for market development, is not provided by the present wool marketing system, although the I.W.S. should be doing this. On balance these factors are resulting in continuing erosion of wool's competitive position in the world fibre market place. Therefore some change in the present wool marketing system is imperative. 3. An ideal wool marketing system On the basis of the considerations discussed, criteria fo,: an ideal wool marketing system include: (i) Provide users with wool of a specified and repeatabie type at the required place and time, uniformly packaged and at a stable price. (ii) Ensure a favourable production environment for wool growers by stabilising prices. (iii) Increase the efficiency of the wool handling, selling and distribution system so that associated costs are as low as possible. (iv) Ensure an improved information flow between user and producer. (v) Undei"take further market development. However, unless central and direct management and control can be exercised in assembly, sale and disposal, it is not possible to satisfy all the above criteria. In essence this is the justification for wool acquisition. D. MAJOR NEW ZEALAND MARKETING REFORM PROPOSALS 1. The Wool Board/Wool Marketing Corporation Plan Recall, the question of acquisition is still unresolved. However, the functions and powers of the Corporation were set out in a major policy statement by the Wool Board in May 1972. These are: To acquire wool and market it in any manner thought best within and outside New Zealand. To develop greater efficiency in preparation, handling, processing, distribution, shipping and selling. The Corporation may itself engage in these activities. To develop existing and new markets, to provide information on market requirements and to encourage production of wool suited to these requirements. To administer a minimum prices scheme. At the same time the Corporation's method of operation was rather vaguely outlined. Presumably the vagueness was intentional. The Corporation was not then in existence and its flexibility and competitive advantage could have been compromised. Also no doubt detailed operating procedures just were not known. ~)t~tlcnh';; '"rLc L(;C!L;l~' t)I( l"~J_ rccej\:c \voul. i~:~'i '" j.~" :,~:.~ SL!i;~:-!;(:d to th(.~ intention to ] . ././,:::.; fr{'{~d()1n.: 1 h\~.; lS tIie. rn:ljo;' ;lrgunh:nt of gl u\\'crs ~'tnd lh(~ \\'0<..11 ;\ction Conlfnittcc ar~~UIllCJlt. :Frccdn!11 js th:.:: ri~'.ht of the l)fOduccr to (;jl()J~:c. to \ . . h\)li~ L1~\~ \\'"001 ;;hould be. so]d~ in \vhal j'c;rrn, ;:lL \\'hat linit.: and at \vhat pricc'. }-10\\"CVCL th(~ CXi~~tl~H~ systcrn doC's not perlllit cumplete r;'ccdol11 of C~h(JlcC in (.;·.:~l]~L~ j L \\';,":::1.,: to (let on its b~">.h~.:dr to then b:.; ~:Pi)rai~:cd and the pro- ducers paid p~'Oi~~;~~~y \in "ibis b.:1Si:;, SubSCqUC;il;Y ~i; ':!' uisiticlH Ji~:~: reduced the Corp:->ration to the :-,t::l:.~:-' p~lp'2r tirl:r. II is nov/ jn ihc ~,(;('()nd :yc;:-ir of j;s c.\i~.:tcI1cC and jl:l:) been (:fTcc!lvcly jnefl'c-ctua1. ]~o si~I.;·iif~c.t11it cbanzc;; jn n'!arketing have uecn rnadc. !\. scLt:!llc. for co!n~")inlng slnaJI lots has been announced all these matters. 2. ~~nc1 the: C\)rpnration is buying slnall ('L,:;tntitics (')f n'c)c,J frij- "..'~1:1f J"L c,",'ji, ·"1"'J'l;.f,\oI.l !·;-j0 1 b ~eYl'v~r;no. ...... i11cntS. Pians for (:~qui~1jti()n ;~re a :little 1110re definite. 'l.<~ ~ . l .~.. "}" ~., '1'1 ~~~ , .• -' l ' 1 .1le aucuon sys,(';n \\'OUJU con ll!H;C 1 " .11 (,1. ., .~ \Vltn ......... ~ i L1C \.....orporarl sole vendur, picduccrs havj;;g delivered their wool through the nis!iIlg channel:;. Froducers would receive a SChCC1liL.: price Flus ]'o::;~,ib!y an cnd-of-season p(~ylnenr. Pri \'(1 tc. buyers 3.nd co-operatives could buy ~~fcas. The Siod< (fur! S!(iiioll Agents' Plan This group in;;\'ck:'; th': Tn:ljor handling and selling agents ~ind h~tS ~I:,)Cut S2.5 Ir;il}iou invested in \voal storc~ and play!. '. . ,. . Bnefly It lS ;;gamsl acqulSll!O!l but m favour of handlifig econcllnii:":. An Authority would be established to mate imnlCf.blc. payments 10 farmers on the , d vaWl;, ' ;:; appr,<llse., Oir " Inei)' \':00"1 to cant rot1 woo.1 ,jaws on to the mark~~t. tq JnlrOQuce \vool standards and to participate v.'ilh [he industry in improvements 1.11 handling ,md selling, Later, a marketing Corporation might be set up to b,lY and sell wool 1.11 o~en can retition. 2. 3. The W'col Buyers' Association Plan AcqLlisiticJJl is favoured. BO\vcver, the authority \vonld dispose Crt \-'-.'001 at Clllctjon or at auction deter- 111:ned pr-jces~ tLr\.lugh the ex.isting buyer structure (accredited e;',pcJ; leE-). The (iutllc1ritv would not trade in wool itself e>;c~p'~ tllIOUgh a E121:kcting unit mainly COficemcd witll J);:\V product development. 4. The Fcde:'afioJI of New Zcai([)W~ Wool f.,1erchants' [-)lan r1 (r.-:~.pPGS?u ) to a~y I8:!.-171 ?.!: acqulSI~iJon. Ule \'1001 CC;liTl'.!~SIOn would become a 0 ft ••• . tradmg org:o:riization v;:ilh Fo\\'cr to purcbase wool and sell direct to world m;'rb:ts or as otherwise seen fit. It yvou1d thus be ~·r!211~ii;.:~r \vith lJSer rcquirelnents, and in a position to ,'f;C;.:;'[::;ke market development. 5. Assesstnent of ]1iU17S Comider these T,b:1S on the basis of needs for wool i~1 the \vorld .t,~::.\ii,~ m::rket place: .The Board/Corpo~a­ tlOn proposal b U~C only one \\'HlCh has all the maJor elements required, The \Vcoi Buyers' plan is thoughtful. The alterm,tives T:1!JctlY rct1ect the protection of special ii1tcr~st )';roup~ i.h~\\c:v~r iegitim:ttc ,this may be). They al;;o 1,1Olcate Jtl~,t 1;;.1'/ mtractable ttw problems are. I~. "fHE .P. . NTI-/~\ t.\~tl1':\IT10N R(~form ARCl)~\.'lENTS prop,,:,etls involving acqUISItIon by an organization aC1irl'c. under 1cc'islative authority have becI" mrlinly cri: ic;;~.,:~d on the folio\ving grounds: Incthod: bCCi1 operating by and Jar[~e s~lcccssfully over a lonrr period, to cficctivcl:/ di:;posc of the \\'001 clil)': Further, it is con';lantly :.mdcrgoi;l[~ change' Cl;ld improvement as the market place: (;ic!z:tes, tiOil 8S great. activity in thess S'li/CS Jt is claimed tlwt the present method has .1..1 wool from lhe CC';pur:;tiun. To contain price fiuctualiens the sellini', ~;c:",;un would be extended and a buffer stockpile wouJcf lv: created. Sale by sample would be cxtcndl'G and the ]11:m ber of type's Standardized. So 1111lch for tbe plans. Given llon-acqui:;i(icIl, the Corporation should be putting ll1ajor eflurt::., jnto rn2rket research (e.g. user nc:x:ds) (tnd dc\,( L ';';<lC,iL bUl GOCS not show signs of C:hongiu,,"-: n prO~'C!l 3. Cost effectiveness: The setti!1~~ un of vel another or['aniz2.tion in the marketing ~ d;ain 11wst increase ~ c('s1.s. Fmthermore, it will be large, bureaucratic and cmploy salaried starr \vithout a stake in the product. Hencc it must operate inefiiciently. 4. GOFcrnmcllt control: The Authority is set up under Government legislation, has Government nomir:ees on its Board and would be supported by Government funds if necessary. It is thus under the influence of Government and m8V Dot have the necessary commercial o:'jentalion. 'Also, at some later stat::;', Government could decide to nationalise ihc industry, the groundwork: having already been laid. ' / ' . .. 5. Interfering with suppJy and demand in tile martet place ,md disrupting trading channels. This was basical1v a vic\v pnt f'of\vard bv cxistin~ traders. In f8ct aC(111isi'~ ion ('ould discourage the continuing involvement of commercial on:anizations with their capital and expertise and contact's with users. F. SUM"lARY Reform in the marketing cd' \\'001 has been under intense discussion for the -last 2-3 veal's. The most controycrsial and far-reaching element' 0;: reform is the setting up of an authority 1.0 acquire and market 0.11 woo1. This paper has examined the cc\mpetitive position of wool in the world textile market in order to establish criteria for a marketing system best suited to enhance wool's competitive abiiity, The conclusion is that a single authOlity participating in and exercising control in selling, handling and transport and engaging in market research is necessary. There are some valid objections to such a system but from the point of view of the economy as a whole potentiai benefits exceed potential costs. Meafit;me the Ne\v Zealand \\1001 Marketing Corporation has had to open,te ,vithout acquisition and is making nil progress in reform. It is unlikely that the present members of the Electoral Committee will agree to acquisition so the Corporation will continue to be ineffectual and a target for "told you so's". A substantial fall in wo"l prices \\'ould cause 'producer intransigence to collapse but such a drop is unlikely in the ncar future. A record of commercial success by the proposed Australian or South African Corporations could rally gro\ver support here but results may not be apparent for some time. Accordingly the great New Zealand wool debate will drag on for some time yet with a wool marketing system of bygone days teetering precariously on an antiquated but all so venerable foundation. Cpr' Ie., of !hi:::' :R'-"!i,·!i.: !.~:.y be (,btained frc"lln tb:: Se.:::retn.ry. C:mterbury Chamber of Cc.'mmerl'c, P.O. Box 187. Christchurch. Annual Subscription $5.00. Single c(\pics 3{k c~ch. Hu lk copies S1.~O 3. dOl.cn, ---------"------,------_.. _-_.,------,---- PRINTED BY WHrrCOUU..'l Ll;'IlTED-33150