Economic Contributions of IT Outsourcing: An Industry-Level Analysis Kunsoo Han Carlson School of Management University of Minnesota April 7, 2006 Background: IT Outsourcing Definition > Purchase of IT services such as systems design/development/ management, hardware/facilities management, and data processing services from third-party vendors IT outsourcing on the rise > Worldwide spending in IT outsourcing will rise from $191 billion in 2004 to $267 billion by 2009 (Gartner Group, 2005) > Growth of offshore outsourcing Reasons for IT outsourcing (ITtoolbox, 2004) > Cost savings (37.9%) > Need for special skills/services/equipment (20.9%) 1 1 Value of IT Outsourcing? IT outsourcing can create value > Reduced costs, effective use of staff, access to advanced technologies (Rao, et al., 1996) > Vendors’ efficiency based on complementary core competences (Levina and Ross, 2003) However… > Hidden transaction costs associated with transition to and management of IT outsourcing (Aubert et al., 1998) > The quality of outsourced services may be lower (Gorg, et al., 2004) 2 Research Questions How can we conceptualize and measure IT outsourcing at the industry level? Has IT outsourcing made positive contributions to US industries? Are there any systematic differences between industries with respect to the use and economic impact of IT outsourcing? 3 2 Production Function Framework Industry production function output = f( capital, labor, intermediate inputs ) IT capital non-IT capital IT services (IT outsourcing) non-IT services intermediate inputs 4 Data and Summary Statistics New data for 61 U.S. private industries from US Bureau of Economic Analysis for the 1998-2004 period IT outsourcing: services purchased from the two IT services industries > Computer Systems Design and Related Services > Information and Data Processing Services On the average, a US industry spent US$2 billion per year in IT outsourcing over the period There is huge variation in the spending in IT outsourcing (from $20 million to over $10 billion per year) 5 3 IT Outsourcing Trend (1998-2004) 140,000 130,000 Millions of 2000 USD 120,000 110,000 Computer Systems Design and Related Services Information and Data Processing Services Total IT Services 100,000 90,000 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Year Dot com crash 911 terrorist attack Y2K 6 Contributions of IT Outsourcing: Full Sample Total Output Contribution (Output Elasticity) 0.700 Marginal Contribution (Gross Marginal Product) 9 0.600 8 0.500 7 6 0.400 5 0.300 4 0.200 3 0.100 2 1 0.000 IT capital Non-IT capital Labor IT outsourcing other intermediate inputs 0 IT capital Non-IT capital IT outsourcing other intermediate inputs IT outsourcing has made a positive and significant contribution to industry output growth in the U.S. For a dollar spent in IT outsourcing, an industry earned about $8 on the average. 7 4 Contributions of IT Outsourcing: Goods vs. Services Industries Output Contribution Comparison 0.700 0.600 0.500 0.400 0.300 0.200 Goods 0.100 Services other intermediate inputs IT outsourcing Labor Non-IT capital IT capital 0.000 Services-producing industries use more IT outsourcing than goods-producing industries Contributions from IT outsourcing are greater in servicesproducing industries 8 5