Introductory Lecture: The Touchstones of Finance • Purpose: Provide a framework for integrating the principles of finance into a conceptual whole Introductory Lecture: The Touchstones of Finance • Purpose: Provide a framework for integrating the principles of finance into a conceptual whole Market Efficiency NPV Option Pricing Portfolio Theory Value Additivity What is Finance? • Finance is the study of the market processes that allocate society’s savings to the most productive uses. • Finance is also concerned with how these market processes influence decision makers in business and government. • Much of this effort involves studying how security values are established in the marketplace What is Finance? • The dimensions of this task can be appreciated through the following definition of a security given by the Supreme Court: [A security is] a contract, transaction, or scheme whereby a person invests his money in a common enterprise and is led to expect profits solely from the efforts of the promoter or third party. • Key points: – Contract, transaction, or scheme – common enterprise – investor expects profits solely from other peoples’ efforts Other Peoples’ Money—Other Peoples’ Efforts How Does the Market Value a Company? • A firm’s physical assets – and the earning power derived from them • The valuation of its human capital – organizational capital – structure of the incentives offered to key decision makers • Sustainable competitive advantage What are the Value Drivers? • Market value of physical assets – Consider change in net worth when new assets and liabilities are included in the balance sheet • When would impact on net worth be neutral? … Negative? … Positive? – You may be able to stop here if neutral or positive • Added earning power derived from new assets – DCF methods focus on these earnings – You may be able to stop here, too • Option approaches continue from here – Value of new opportunities – Enhanced value of human capital • Stronger organizational capital via enhanced flexibility • New incentives offered to key decision makers – Enhanced technology – Enhanced competitive advantage Finance is a dynamic and important discipline: • Our knowledge is rapidly increasing. • The market processes are rapidly evolving. – Knowledge of these market processes is crucial to practical business executives who must make investment and financing decisions. • The role of institutional investors is rapidly evolving. • When the financial markets are functioning efficiently, financial resources are channeled to the optimal uses. What do we know about finance? The five paradigms (building blocks of finance) • Capital Market Efficiency • Net Present Value Rule • Asset Pricing Theory (includes Modern Portfolio Theory, the CAPM, and Arbitrage Pricing Theory) • Value Additivity Principle (VAP) • Option Pricing Theory (OPT) Market Efficiency NPV Option Pricing Portfolio Theory Value Additivity NPV What do we know about finance? The three separation principles • Fisher’s Separation Principle – The investment decisions of business firms are separate from the owners’ consumption decisions. • Managers can make the most productive use of resources – over the long term – without worrying about owners’ preferences concerning how much wealth to consume now and how much to invest toward future consumption. • This principle is important because it says – resource allocation decisions based on rational considerations – do not depend upon whether the firm is controlled by a prodigal or a miser. What do we know about finance? The three separation principles Portfolio Theory • Tobin’s Separation Principle – Investment decisions are separate from investors’ preferences concerning the risk/reward tradeoff. • In an uncertain world, investors can choose their portfolios of risky ventures purely on the basis of a rational evaluation of probable outcomes. • Choices need not depend upon the investor’s “nerve.” Given identical expectations, a very timid person can participate in the same investments that would be chosen by a very aggressive investor. – Conclusion: resource allocation decisions are based purely upon rational considerations What do we know about finance? The three separation principles Market Efficiency • M&M Separation Principle – In a perfect capital market, a firm’s investment decisions are separate from its financing decisions. – Packaging doesn’t matter. What does matter is the substance of the firm. – If we think packaging matters, we need to look for a reason why the way a thing is packaged could change its value. Financial tricks alone can’t made a dog into a princess, and vice versa. What do we know about finance? What major questions are still unresolved? • • • • • • • • • • How are decisions really made? How can we really measure NPV? Do we really understand risk and return? Are there important lapses in market efficiency? Why do initial public offerings seem to be undervalued? How are complex options valued? Does capital structure matter? Does dividend policy matter? What is the value of liquidity? Is corporate restructuring good or bad?