Proceedings of 7th Global Business and Social Science Research Conference 13 - 14 June, 2013, Radisson Blu Hotel, Beijing, China, ISBN: 978-1-922069-26-9 The Effect of Ownership on the Prudential Behavior of Banks-The Case of Taiwan Ming-Chang Chen, Chien-Chi Lee, Hui-Chuan Wang, and Dun-Yi Chiou 1. Introduction Following the liberalization of the global economy, the effect of ownership has essentially changed. Almost every capitalism was involved in this trend; also included Taiwan. Because of the monitoring force became weaker than before, the private banks had surfaced more and more quickly. To have higher competitiveness, every banks need to Increase the operating efficiency. However, too many banks to overwhelm the financial quality; they had to delicate all their business in short performance which is like short loan and short deposit. As the result, the overdue loans and non-performing loan quality had been much worse since this happened. That’s why most recently literatures are attributed in the private bank performance. On the contrary, there are few studies focus in the way in which managerial risk taking. Furthermore, hardly papers use risk-taking behavior measures as long-term measures instead of short-term performance measures such as annual returns. And Jia (2009) is the first academic use the method to investigate the relationship between ownership and prudential behavior of banks in China. Following Jia (2009) study, we prefer to use Taiwan data and take advantage of this way to hypothesis that private banks have been more prudential than public banks after financial policy. Besides, whether the financial reform accurately make the financial system become more prudential in their risk-taking behavior. 2. Literature review There’re many papers concerning private bank performance and financial reform performance, but seldom financial journals used comprehensive views to examine it since 1994. _____________________________________________________ Ming-Chang Cheng, National Chung Cheng University, Taiwan. Email: bmamcc@ccu.edu.tw Chien-Chi Lee, National Chung Cheng University, Taiwan. Hui-Chuan Wang, Hsing Wu Institute of Technology, Taiwan. Dun-Yi Chiou, National Chung Cheng University, Taiwan. Proceedings of 7th Global Business and Social Science Research Conference 13 - 14 June, 2013, Radisson Blu Hotel, Beijing, China, ISBN: 978-1-922069-26-9 Berger et al.(2005) research the relationship between corporate-governance and bank performance Argentina, and find that banks did lend more prudently after privatization. Beck et. al (2005) wants to know that even in the unstable environment as Nigeria; whether privatization is still useful. And the research result concluded that after privatization, not only banks will lend prudently but also performance loan ratio gradually decreased. Cebenoyan et al.(1995) examines the relation between equity ownership composition and insolvency risk for savings and loans (S&Ls). Find that S&Ls with a high concentration of managerial stock ownership exhibit greater risk taking behavior than other S&Ls in 1988, a period of regulatory leniency and forbearance on S&L closures, but lower risk-taking behavior in 1991.Saunders at.ed. (1990) indicate that stockholder controlled banks exhibit significantly higher risk taking behavior than managerially controlled banks during the 1979-1982 period of relative deregulation(prudential behavior). Jia (2009) finds that shareholders and depositors gives joint-equity banks a better incentive than state-owned banks to engage in prudent lending. Furthermore, he thinks that the reform of the banking system has improve the incentive for state-owned banks to behave more prudently in their lending. Otherwise, other scholars didn’t think the privatization is a good way to enhance the efficiency and the risk-taking behavior of the banks. Bosnin et al. (1990) find that in east Europe, the private bank performance have been worse than which is just processed in Privatization recently. Clarke et al. (2005) find that privatization can’t always motivate the bank performance. The private bank performance even worse than the banks which is only invested in government bonds. And many evidence indicates that after privatization, the cost control efficiency doesn’t have significant improvement. Haber(2005) wants to find the reason why the failure of the financial reform in Mexico during 1997 to 2003.The results indicate that after privatization, the financial behavior will be easier. That is to say, privatization and prudential behavior have negative relationship. Ho et al. (2008) the academic in China also thinks that the financial reform by the government can’t only increase the financial efficiency, but also make other Proceedings of 7th Global Business and Social Science Research Conference 13 - 14 June, 2013, Radisson Blu Hotel, Beijing, China, ISBN: 978-1-922069-26-9 economic problems. Most of above literatures focus on private banks and maximizes firm value is a popular topic in corporate governance. However, it was not until scholars began to use prudential behavior as main way to investigate bank behavior and ownership. In addition, there’s no exactly definite about “the prudential behavior". Furthermore, it’s rarer to talk about the relationship between the ownership and prudential behavior of bank. This research purpose is discussed how the effect of ownership in the prudential behavior affects among different financial periods and it makes three main contributions. First, it’s the first paper to study how the ownership effects prudential behavior of bank using Taiwan as the background over 10 year periods. Second, this paper is the rare one to study bank’s ownership and prudence by using risk-taking behavior measure. Risk-taking behavior measure maybe better indicators of bank long-term improvement than short-term performance measures(Jia,2009).Third, according to the results, maybe we can judge whether the financial reform achieve the objective; that is, after financial reform, private banks and financial holding company are prudent than public banks. 3. Data and methodology This paper reports an annual panel data analysis. It compares four different ownerships of banks from 1994 to 2008 in Taiwan, which includes public period, private period, privatization period, and financial reform period. Moreover, all banks in these periods are considered in this analysis. To avoid Manual calculation leading to the biases by different sources, so all of them were come from TEJ financial system. In addition, because of some shortages in the each period, so we use an arithmetic mean which can calculate the figure. We then use these adjustments to replace the missing sample. Following the study of Jia (2009), we calculate three ratios of bank portfolio allocation as proxies for bank prudence: bank excess reserves ratio, loan/asset ratio, and deposit/loan ratio. If a bank operates more prudently, then it will have a higher excess Proceedings of 7th Global Business and Social Science Research Conference 13 - 14 June, 2013, Radisson Blu Hotel, Beijing, China, ISBN: 978-1-922069-26-9 reserves ratios and deposit/loan ratios and lower loan/asset ratio. Based on the annual data, Fig.1 shows the difference in bank excess reserves ratio, loan/asset, and deposit/loan ratio among the public banks, private banks, privatization of public banks, and financial holding company. The Fig.1.a shows that the private banks have higher bank excess reserves ratio than others regularly. And you can find that the bank excess reserves ratios sharp much higher from 2007 to 2008 which can be attributed to the financial crisis, when the FED raised require reserves, excess reserves ratio must go higher too(Table 1). The Fig.1.b shows that before that before 2002, public banks, privatization of public banks have higher Loan/Asset ratio than private banks. However, after 2002, private banks raise steep than others. During the financial reform, the quality banks were merged into the holding, therefore the leavings have weaker construction than before. The Fig.1.c shows that at any time, private banks are always higher Loan/asset ratio than others, but after 2002, they tend to be same. As a result, it can indicate that the private banks are prudent than the public banks which coincides with Jia (2009) conclusion. Nonetheless, contrary to expectation of the financial reform, we can’t find a significant evidence to support the positive relationship between financial reform and prudence of the banks. To test whether there’s difference in the level of prudence among different ownership, we use the basic regression mode by Jia (2007): Bank prudence measures = α+β1 * List dummy+β2 * GDP growth +β3 * Interest rate measures,+β4 *Bank fund source measures(short-term deposit,long- term deposit)+β5* Bank assets + Error term. The dependent variables are the bank prudence measures, that is bank excess reserves ratio, loan/asset ratio, and loan/asset ratio. Proceedings of 7th Global Business and Social Science Research Conference 13 - 14 June, 2013, Radisson Blu Hotel, Beijing, China, ISBN: 978-1-922069-26-9 Fig.1. Annual data on the difference in bank prudence. (a). Bank excess reserves ratio Private Public Privatization Holding 330 315 300 285 270 255 240 225 210 195 180 165 150 135 120 105 90 75 60 45 30 15 0 -15 -30 -45 -60 -75 -90 -105 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Loan/Asset Private Public Privatization Holding 0.98 0.96 0.94 0.92 0.90 0.88 0.86 0.84 0.82 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Proceedings of 7th Global Business and Social Science Research Conference 13 - 14 June, 2013, Radisson Blu Hotel, Beijing, China, ISBN: 978-1-922069-26-9 Deposit/loan Private Public Privatization Holding 0.95 0.90 0.85 0.80 0.75 0.70 0.65 0.60 0.55 0.50 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Table.1 (from Central Bank of Republic of China ) Reserves Requirements of Financial Institution Millions of N.T. dollars Year or month Excess reserves Borrowing at CBC Total reservable deposits Required reserves 92(2003) 17,225,781 93(2004) Actual reserves Total Deposit with DBC Deposit in Interbank funds with Transfer Accounts Cash in vaults 883,264 890,672 689,111 31,630 160,932 7,408 1,912 18,473,625 971,005 983,081 782,833 34,018 166,230 12,076 62 94(2005) 19,715,134 1,036,132 1,041,743 830,279 35,278 176,186 5,611 - 95(2006) 20,755,191 1,093,057 1,098,914 883,280 34,972 180,661 5,857 - 96(2007) 21,462,346 1,141,211 1,162,566 939,307 36,047 187,212 21,355 1,852 97(2008) 22,093,250 1,216,767 1,246,609 1,026,469 36,377 183,746 29,842 81 98(2009) 24,012,925 1,286,244 1,381,597 1,163,729 36,646 181,223 95,353 - Proceedings of 7th Global Business and Social Science Research Conference 13 - 14 June, 2013, Radisson Blu Hotel, Beijing, China, ISBN: 978-1-922069-26-9 4. Regression results. We use panel data from 1994 to 2008 with three depend variable to explain the portfolio characteristics of the prudential of banks which includes private banks, public banks, privatization of public banks, and financial reform corporation. In the bank excess reserves ratio regression, GDP growth and bank assets are significant at the 1% or 5% level. Moreover, there’re significant in almost every ownership of banks and they have the negative relationship in bank excess reserves ratio regression. This can be explained that during a macroeconomics growth, banks tend to hold less reserves and lend more. Entry to the WTO since 2001 seems to have no significant effect on excess reserves. As for the negative coefficient of banks assets suggests that smaller banks like private banks tend to hold greater excess reserves than big banks like public banks. In addition, you can find that the ratio short to long deposits is significant at the 1% level during 2th private bank periods. It can appear to explain private banks tend to loan less with more long-term deposits and less short-term deposits, which indicates that the smaller banks like private ones tend to be more prudent than big banks like public banks. And this result that is fit my hypothesis. In the loan/asset ratio regression, GDP growth and bank assets also seems to have power explanatory power. And we think it has the same reasons in the bank excess reserves ratio regression. However, it fails to explain from 3th:first financial reform periods and 4th:second financial reform periods(table.4 and 5). This may be suggested that the financial holdings corporations have variety of financial business which includes Insurance, securities investment trust and consulting, as the results, the assets of holdings raise highly than before. Nevertheless, according to our main research, we only use the assets of banks, not including others. In the deposit/loan ratio regression, almost all of the independent variables are not good Proceedings of 7th Global Business and Social Science Research Conference 13 - 14 June, 2013, Radisson Blu Hotel, Beijing, China, ISBN: 978-1-922069-26-9 explanatory variables. Even if you can find interest spread rates seem to have some explanatory power in 3th: first financial reform periods (table.4), but we still question the real of the explanatory power since deposit rates and loan rates are not the main business for financial holdings. Table.2 1st: Public banks periods Bank excess reserves ratio Private banks (from 1994 to 1997) Public&private banks Coefficient t-Statistic Coefficient t-Statistic C -1080.863 -2.991223*** -977.3374 -4.373936*** Bank list 15.99106 1.016034 15.99287 1.362786 GDP 4486.111 2.138903** 4875.835 3.017254** Rate spread -1.291432 -1.322932 -1.455095 -1.752029** Short deposit /long deposit -30.37265 -0.110144 -94.98839 -1.313021 Bank asset 80.30979 2.400106** 64.27273 3.552131*** 0.232403 0.246879 Adjusted 0.161330 0.203093 Prob(F-statistic) 3.269889 0.000153 n 60 92 model Random effects Random effects Proceedings of 7th Global Business and Social Science Research Conference 13 - 14 June, 2013, Radisson Blu Hotel, Beijing, China, ISBN: 978-1-922069-26-9 1st: Public banks periods Loan/asset Private banks (from 1994 to 1997) Public&private banks Coefficient t-Statistic Coefficient t-Statistic C -0.737878 -3.245410*** 0.132154 1.077176 Bank list 0.018344 1.223872 0.010168 1.027505 GDP 1.593515 2.916514*** 0.356713 1.002063 Rate spread 2.32E-05 0.115611 -6.63E-05 -0.375867 Short deposit /long deposit -0.481369 -2.844582*** 0.001772 0.049278 Bank asset 0.186487 7.901887*** 0.089124 7.181017*** 0.186487 7.901887*** Adjusted 0.548015 0.365323 Prob(F-statistic) 0.506164 0.328423 n 60 92 model Random effects Random effects 1st: Public banks periods Deposit/loan Private banks (from 1994 to 1997) Public&private banks Coefficient t-Statistic Coefficient t-Statistic C -0.433686 -0.214066 1.234871 1.144660 Bank list 0.071156 0.667232 -0.048063 -0.619783 GDP -8.473067 -1.276507 -8.420275 -2.077219** Rate spread Short deposit /long deposit Bank asset -5.44E-05 -0.018766 -0.000524 -0.248586 -1.351389 -0.820216 0.001663 0.004573 0.245897 1.179447 0.031815 0.297710 0.098949 0.061343 Adjusted 0.015518 0.006770 Prob(F-statistic) 0.328248 0.353790 n 60 92 model Random effects Random effects Proceedings of 7th Global Business and Social Science Research Conference 13 - 14 June, 2013, Radisson Blu Hotel, Beijing, China, ISBN: 978-1-922069-26-9 Table 3 2st: Private banks Bank excess reserves ratio periods Private banks Public&private banks Public&private&privatization banks (from 1998 to 2001) Coefficien t t-Statistic Coefficient t-Statistic Coefficient t-Statistic C 1204.706 7.213905*** 884.4716 7.058669*** 847.4587 8.015391*** Bank list -6.882400 -0.562502 -14.85439 -1.243844 -10.83147 -1.137511 GDP -293.0547 -2.058722** -295.1763 -2.237594** -271.9279 -2.363869** Rate spread 0.229202 0.935299 0.133336 0.565326 0.101065 0.463233 Short deposit /long deposit 763.8451 6.024228*** 484.0197 4.850101*** 478.0886 5.255160*** Bank asset -146.6237 -7.011759*** -104.5881 -6.728824*** -100.1510 -7.600994*** 0.307216 0.243408 0.253009 Adjusted 0.284123 0.220056 0.233352 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 n 156 168 196 model Random effects Random effects Random effects Private banks Public&private banks Public&private&privatization banks (from 1998 to 2001) Coefficien t t-Statistic Coefficient t-Statistic Coefficient t-Statistic C 0.814086 3.094213*** 0.766822 3.364062*** 0.693397 3.595753*** Bank list 0.004407 0.178581 0.001984 0.074366 0.009839 0.455865 GDP -0.272325 -4.825023*** -0.235773 -4.528690*** -0.199721 -4.396109*** Rate spread -7.24E-06 -0.066410 2.57E-06 0.024351 -4.17E-06 -0.042319 Short deposit /long deposit -0.535612 -4.210134*** -0.409633 -3.555122*** -0.365327 -3.458783*** Bank asset 0.017318 0.536157 0.022151 0.800470 0.030540 1.306727 2st: Private banks Loan/asset periods 0.168649 0.145792 0.124323 Adjusted 0.140938 0.119427 0.101279 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000037 0.000099 0.000116 n 156 168 196 model Random effects Random effects Random effects Proceedings of 7th Global Business and Social Science Research Conference 13 - 14 June, 2013, Radisson Blu Hotel, Beijing, China, ISBN: 978-1-922069-26-9 2st: Private banks Deposit/loan periods Private banks Public&private banks Public&private&privatization banks (from 1998 to 2001) Coefficient t-Statistic Coefficient t-Statistic Coefficient C 1.674744 3.469120*** 1.340479 3.284809*** 1.470365 3.824300*** Bank list -0.030444 -0.796065 -0.035742 -0.859712 -0.083835 -2.189222** GDP -0.013765 -0.080975 0.045539 0.290437 -0.031580 -0.230924 Rate spread 0.000452 1.366236 0.000521 1.631287 0.000557 1.866066* Short deposit /long deposit -0.521195 -1.701447* -0.245101 -0.900522 -0.251603 -0.942793 Bank asset -0.095913 -1.602245 -0.057381 -1.145389 -0.072329 -1.533694 0.074707 0.042812 0.070077 Adjusted 0.043864 0.013270 0.045606 Prob(F-statistic) 0.038198 0.209464 0.016177 n 156 168 196 model Random effects Random effects Random effects t-Statistic Table.4 3st: First financial Bank excess reserves ratio reform periods Private banks Public&private banks Public&private&reform banks (from 2002 to 2004) Coefficien t t-Statistic Coefficient t-Statistic Coefficient t-Statistic C 2261.001 10.50053*** 1478.643 9.278339*** 1293.392 5.653279*** Bank list 8.823882 0.604954 -23.73795 -1.475672 18.83354 0.712457 GDP -756.5375 -1.667208 -740.9426 -1.834732* -728.5729 -2.289177** Rate spread Short deposit /long deposit Bank asset 0.545564 0.859245 0.495197 0.790545 0.933744 1.580719 55.74310 0.515888 -148.0437 -1.282870 -337.0465 -2.156480** -257.3969 -9.425350*** -157.3048 -7.962032*** -132.8701 -4.681312** 0.675310 0.553001 0.297120 Adjusted 0.651781 0.524348 0.267082 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 n 75 84 123 model Random effects Random effects Random effects Proceedings of 7th Global Business and Social Science Research Conference 13 - 14 June, 2013, Radisson Blu Hotel, Beijing, China, ISBN: 978-1-922069-26-9 3st: First financial Loan/asset reform periods Private banks Public&private banks Public&private&privatization banks (from 2002 to 2004) Coefficient t-Statistic Coefficient t-Statistic Coefficient t-Statistic C 1.480861 2.067513** 1.322285 2.897993*** 1.051451 3.304405*** Bank list -0.056393 -0.947173 -0.064626 -1.266202 -0.073917 -1.828689** GDP -0.176494 -0.397560 -0.173144 -0.445128 -0.146981 -0.529400 Rate spread -5.85E-05 -0.080021 -0.000103 -0.154487 -0.000279 -0.528152 Short deposit /long deposit -0.022751 -0.076965 -0.049765 -0.190999 -0.041795 -0.231402 Bank asset -0.060252 -0.667376 -0.039955 -0.710726 -0.007558 -0.193022 0.035841 0.034222 0.039787 Adjusted -0.034025 -0.027687 -0.001247 Prob(F-statistic) 0.765526 0.735738 0.439424 n 75 84 123 model Random effects Random effects Random effects Private banks Public&private banks Public&private&privatization banks (from 2002 to 2004) Coefficient t-Statistic Coefficient t-Statistic Coefficient C 2.846818 4.893645*** 2.022290 5.141684*** 2.006419 4.642054*** Bank list 0.034821 0.709327 -0.008810 -0.200410 -0.114201 -1.901787* GDP -0.152038 -0.434763 -0.279234 -0.829273 -0.076971 -0.253609 Rate spread -0.002597 -4.509664*** -0.002250 -3.895874*** -0.002162` -3.736387*** Short deposit /long deposit 0.032337 0.136492 -0.090108 -0.400419 -0.372646 -1.733737* Bank asset -0.242586 -3.310114*** -0.136550 -2.817595*** -0.132365 -2.501162** 3st: First financial Deposit/loan reform periods 0.354509 0.264921 0.228153 Adjusted 0.307734 0.217800 0.195169 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000010 0.000178 0.000011 n 75 84 123 model Random effects Random effects Random effects t-Statistic Proceedings of 7th Global Business and Social Science Research Conference 13 - 14 June, 2013, Radisson Blu Hotel, Beijing, China, ISBN: 978-1-922069-26-9 Table.5 4st: Second financial reform periods Bank excess reserves ratio Private banks Public&private banks Public&private&reform banks (from 2005 to 2008) Coefficient t-Statistic Coefficient t-Statistic Coefficient t-Statistic C 1719.800 4.020202*** 1467.993 4.294200*** 1998.265 4.372530*** Bank list 53.93204 1.365475 41.39490 1.114907 87.23237 1.532380 GDP -3334.375 -6.002744*** -3120.391 -5.997616*** -3181.010 -5.957223*** Rate spread 0.694155 0.299959 -0.188697 -0.087472 -2.005317 -1.211620 Short deposit /long deposit 44.66677 0.157646 62.52945 0.240004 477.7668 2.487965** Bank asset -185.2222 -3.492142*** -154.5261 -3.698652*** -222.1813 -4.103442*** 0.370224 0.353961 0.224116 Adjusted 0.335236 0.321000 0.198925 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 n 96 104 160 model Random effects Random effects Random effects 4st: Second financial reform periods Loan/asset Private banks Public&private banks Public&private&privatization banks (from 2005 to 2008) Coefficient t-Statistic Coefficient t-Statistic Coefficient t-Statistic C 1.522833 6.734495*** 1.436350 7.793947*** 1.193341 7.501133*** Bank list -0.033001 -1.444015 -0.037011 -1.702501* -0.042356 -2.011434 GDP -0.157682 -0.952388 -0.155875 -1.012378 -0.094682 -0.896748** Rate spread 0.000148 0.198690 0.000113 0.163116 -6.00E-05 -0.171554 Short deposit /long deposit 0.016634 0.127569 0.003928 0.034051 -0.109804 -2.439778** Bank asset -0.065839 -2.369564** -0.054874 -2.465235*** -0.024797 -1.320737 0.102877 0.098198 0.039787 Adjusted 0.053037 0.052188 -0.001247 Prob(F-statistic) 0.077215 0.067625 0.439424 n 96 104 160 Proceedings of 7th Global Business and Social Science Research Conference 13 - 14 June, 2013, Radisson Blu Hotel, Beijing, China, ISBN: 978-1-922069-26-9 model Random effects Random effects Random effects 4st: Second financial reform periods Deposit/loan Private banks Public&private banks Public&private&privatization banks (from 2005 to 2008) Coefficient t-Statistic Coefficient t-Statistic Coefficient C 1.273851 5.765467*** 1.293547 6.832524*** 2.034123 5.325845*** Bank list -0.021903 -0.818957 -0.023947 -0.965987 -0.088745 -1.539986 GDP -0.219933 -2.140870** -0.239804 -2.246373** -0.447099 -2.825091*** Rate spread -0.000117 -0.246062 -1.38E-05 -0.028217 0.000336 0.628591 Short deposit /long deposit -0.155863 -1.533323 -0.104214 -1.114519 -0.074062 -1.035626 Bank asset -0.046923 -1.748611* -0.049717 -2.197425** -0.137411 -3.058853*** 0.124422 0.120625 0.146269 Adjusted 0.075778 0.075759 0.118551 Prob(F-statistic) 0.032735 0.025460 0.000167 n 96 104 160 model Random effects Random effects Random effects t-Statistic 5. Conclusion This paper focuses on the relationship between bank ownership and bank prudence in Taiwan. After consider several ways to evaluate the prudential behavior of banks, we regard three ratios of banks as proxies for bank prudence. According to the findings, the regression results are coincident with Jia (2009). It indicates that whether in Taiwan or China , private banks tend to have higher excess reserves, higher deposit/loan ratios, and lower loan/asset ratios. In other words, private banks are apparently more prudent than the public banks. However, there isn’t a significant evidence to support the financial holdings are become more prudent through financial reform. Proceedings of 7th Global Business and Social Science Research Conference 13 - 14 June, 2013, Radisson Blu Hotel, Beijing, China, ISBN: 978-1-922069-26-9 References 1. A.Sinan Cebenoyan, Elizabeth S. Cooperman and Charles A. Deregulation, Reregulation, Equity Ownership, and S&L Risk-Taking. 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