Proceedings of 5th Asia-Pacific Business Research Conference 17 - 18 February, 2014, Hotel Istana, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, ISBN: 978-1-922069-44-3 Does Patent Predict Radical Innovation?- Focused on Pharmaceuticals Sooyune Jeon* and Wonjoon Kim** Because the rate of dependence of drugs is expected to increase continuously due to the aging society, the prospect of pharmaceutical industry is brighter than ever. Especially, radical innovations can lead to more tremendous value to firms than incremental innovation in Pharmaceutical industry. They offer opportunity to enter the new market and threat market positions of competitors at the same time. However, previous empirical research has simply assumed patent statistics as a proxy for innovative activities. Therefore, we cast doubts on the representativeness of patents as radical innovation indicators in pharmaceuticals because financial rewards of radical innovation are tied closely to firm’s resource base. Consequently, we investigate following questions: (1) Can patent predict radical innovation in pharmaceutical industry? (2) If so, what about the patterns of network among radical firms considering patent citation data? This paper examines that the relationship between patent and radical innovation in pharmaceuticals. Also, this article identifies the relations of pharmaceutical firms which conduct radical innovation using network analysis. We objectively measure the radical innovation from 2002 to 2012 according to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA)’s criteria of new molecular entity (advancement in technology) and receiving priority review (advancement in customer benefit), and collect data from USPTO and COMPUSTAT. The results show that patents predict radical innovation better than random guessing. Moreover, pharmaceutical firms have tendency of increasing technological breakthrough more than radical innovation. These results suggest more empirical evidence related to patent statistics. __________________ * Sooyune Jeon, Department of Business and Technology Management, KAIST, Republic of Korea Email : jsy-529@kaist.ac.kr ** Prof. Wonjoon Kim, Department of Business and Technology Management, KAIST, Republic of Korea Email: wonjoon.kim@kaist.edu