Proceedings of 8th Annual London Business Research Conference Imperial College, London, UK, 8 - 9 July, 2013, ISBN: 978-1-922069-28-3 Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on Nigerian Banks Yusuf Bashir Maiwada This study examines the impact of the global financial crisis on Nigeria Banks. Part of the specific objectives of the study are; to assess the impact of financial crisis on the share price of banks and examines the impact of financial crisis on the capital adequacy of the banks, a total of 10 banks were randomly sampled from the 23 banks in the country. Analysis of variance and Scheffe multiple comparison test were used in testing the hypotheses. The result showed that there was significant difference in mean of average monthly share price of Nigerian banks, where the lowest mean was found to be during the post recession period. Based on this finding, it was concluded that the country only started feeling the impact of global financial crisis after it has already started in the developed and advanced economies of the world. It was further recommended that there is an urgent need for total overhaul of regulations and regulatory framework of the Central Bank of Nigeria. Keywords: Globalization; Financial Crisis; Nigerian Banks 1. Introduction The world economies were used to financial crisis in varying degrees. From the late 1920s to early 1930s the world economies were in a major depression. During this period, there was stoppage of capital that flowed in most economies and capital repatriation was the order of the day (Amedu, 2010). This was considered the greatest economic recession in which far reaching decisions were taken especially in the developed economies of that time. From this period up till late 1960s, there were economic challenges specific to different countries but not threatening to the international financial system. The economic crises of early 1970s happened to be the major economic disasters that shocked the world to it foundation which compelled the international financial system to change from the fixed exchange rate system to the floating exchange rate. These crises have their roots in local and international macroeconomic policies being pursued by the different countries and international financial institutions as at that time. The recent crisis which is based on the sub-prime mortgage lending, among other causes, can be traced to the United States of America (U.S.A) in 2007, (Amedu, 2010) which like wild fire quickly spread to world economics of both developed and developing nations. This economic meltdown affected all sectors of economies of nations, with the financial sector worst hit. Banks being the centre point of economic activities were the major casualties. In Nigeria, the capital market was enjoying its best of times. All the _________________ Dr. Yusuf Bashir Maiwada, Accounting and Finance Technology Program, School of Management Technology, Abubakar Tafawa-Balewa University Bauchi, Nigria, Ph.: +2348034480338, E-mail: surfirm@yahoo.co.uk 1 Proceedings of 8th Annual London Business Research Conference Imperial College, London, UK, 8 - 9 July, 2013, ISBN: 978-1-922069-28-3 market indices were pointing in the positive direction with the Nigerian Stock Market emerging as the world best performing stock market in 2007 with a return of 74.73% (Amedu, 2010). The banks were enjoying a good run, with their share prices soaring very high and their recapitalization mostly oversubscribed. Okereke (2007) observed that the banking subsector of the stock market recorded impressive performance; funds were flowing in from foreign sources to take advantage of the good times in the market especially the banking sub sector. Suddenly, everything took a dive for the worst. All market indicators were going down, price of share were falling, and new offers were not coming on board and instead of new capital coming in to the country from foreign sources capital repatriation was the order of the day (Okereke, 2009). The market experienced capital flight. All these coincided with the global financial crisis which happens to be a time when both the developed and developing economies were facing economic challenges of varying degrees. The major point of integration of the world‟s economy is the financial sector (Sanusi, 2010). Banks despite being the most regulated are also the most vulnerable, since they provide the mechanism of financial integration of economies. Soludo (2009) explained that Nigerian banks accounted for over 90% of financial system assets and dominated the stock market. Oteh (2010) reported that at its peak in 2008, the Nigerian banking sector made up more than 60% of total equity market capitalization. But, by the end of 2008, the banks share price were falling, banks were running to the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to access its discount window (Sanusi, 2010). The coming of the global financial crisis has ushered in a lot of challenges in the Nigerian Capital Market. This has manifested in the form of falling share prices, capital flight among other factors. Within the financial sector, a well functioning banking sector is regarded as the bedrock of a stable financial system. The financial sector in Nigeria was in disarray, due mainly to the global financial crises as exemplified by the happenings in the capital market. The extent of the challenges can better be viewed from the banking sector since it link the global economy with that of the country. The banking sector is the most regulated due to the growing internationalization and globalization of banking operations which was accelerated by deregulation, technology and globalization of banking processes and operations, which has increase the potentials for risk in the sector. According to Sanusi (2010), Nigeria like many developing countries particularly in Africa, did not feel the initial impact of the crises because Nigeria was not a major player in the global economy. He stated that the banking system was less integrated with the global financial market and the sound macroeconomic policies adopted by the country helped to cushion the effect of the crises, in addition, the banking system operated with simple financial products, but had strong capitalization as a result of the recapitalization exercise of 2005. However, as the recession in advanced countries deepened, Nigeria became affected as evidenced by some Nigerian Banks that showed serious liquidity strain and had to be given financial support by the Central Bank in the form of expanded discount window in October, 2008 (Sanusi, 2009). This study therefore aims at identifying the actual period 2 Proceedings of 8th Annual London Business Research Conference Imperial College, London, UK, 8 - 9 July, 2013, ISBN: 978-1-922069-28-3 that Nigerian banks felt the impact of the financial crisis. The study is limited to Nigerian banking industry, specifically the following commercial banks; First Bank, Zenith Bank, GTB, IBTC, Union Bank, Intercontinental Bank, Eco Bank, Fidelity Bank, Diamond Bank and FCMB. 1.1 Scope of the Study This study only focuses attention on the commercial banks in Nigeria operating under the universal banking licence. The Nigeria banking industry has been in existence for more than 100 years and has undergone a lot of changes from an unregulated era, to regulated arm chair banking era. With deregulation of the economy, the banking industry entered the era of aggressive marketing which was borne out of the stiff competition in the industry. Universal banking and consolidations in the industry brings about an unprecedented mergers and acquisition, which has currently defined the banking landscape in Nigeria. Most of the banks are public limited companies and are active participant in the stock market. Some of the banks have set up subsidiaries in close African countries in order to broaden their African reach. 1.2 Significance of the Study The study will assist policy makers in taking timely actions or decisions on banks in times of future crises and also to put in place measures of early warning detection system. A lot has been written on the global recession on the Nigerian financial sector as a whole, but little efforts have been put in place in terms of research on the impact of the recession on the banking sector as a centre piece of the financial institutions. This study bridges that gap and provides a basis for further research. 1.3 Objectives of the Study The main objective of this study is to assess the impact of the global financial crisis on banks in Nigerian. The specific objectives of the study are to: (i) assess the impact of financial crisis on share price of banks (pre during and post the crisis periods; (ii) evaluate the impact of financial crisis on capital adequacy of banks (pre during and post the crisis); (iii) evaluate the impact of financial crisis on asset quality of banks (pre during and post the financial crisis); and (iv) assess the impact of financial crisis on liquidity ratio of banks (pre during and post the financial crisis). 1.4 Hypothesis The following hypotheses were formulated in line with the research objectives: a) H0: There is no impact of the global financial crisis on the share price of Nigerian banks. b) H0: The global financial crisis has no impact on the banks capital adequacy. c) H0: The global financial crisis has no impact on the asset quality of the banks. 3 Proceedings of 8th Annual London Business Research Conference Imperial College, London, UK, 8 - 9 July, 2013, ISBN: 978-1-922069-28-3 d) H0: The global financial crisis has no impact on the liquidity level of the banks. 2. Literature Review Globalization is seen as the linking and integration of the world in to a single village. It is the existence of a global society where economic, political, environmental and cultural events in one part of the world readily affects people in other parts and is the aftermath of advancement in communication, transportation and information technology among others (Okeke and Onuorah 2010). Hausler (2002) defined globalization as the increasing liberalization and integration of economies in terms of trade and investment, which has transformed financial and capital markets during the past two decades. Baliro and Ubide (2000) were of the view that globalization of finance is associated with deregulation of banking activities within particular countries and consolidation of institutions and bank mergers that cross national borders. Leyshon (1995) shows that liberalized financial markets are not necessarily efficient and may increase inequalities in access to and distribution of financial resources. Adei (2004) also argues that globalization is not working for the benefits of the majority of Africans. Further, while globalization has increased opportunities for economic growth and development in some areas, there has been an increase in the disparities and inequalities experienced, especially in Africa. 2.1 Financial Crisis A financial crisis is a sudden wide-scale drop in the value of financial assets, or in the financial institutions managing those assets (and often in both). A financial crisis may be triggered by a variety of factors, but the situation is typically aggravated by negative investment sentiment, fear or panic. A financial crisis often sparks a vicious circle where an initial decline sparks fear by investors that other investors will pull their money out leading to redemptions and increasing declines. Financial crisis is applied broadly to a variety of situations in which some financial institutions or assets suddenly lose a large part of their value, (Adamu, 2010). Sanusi (2010) is of the opinion that it is a moment when financial networks and markets suddenly become markedly unable or strained to the point where it may collapse. Eichengreen and Portes (1987) have defined it as a sharp change in asset prices that lead to distress among financial market participants. Eichengreen (2004) noted that it is not very clear where to draw the line between sharp and moderate price changes or how to distinguish severe financial distress from financial pressure. This has remained a major challenge to economies and financial expert alike. Before the arrival of the current global financial crisis, a lot of scholars in the field of economics and finance have predicted the impeding economic doom. Notably among them was Minsky (1995) who was cited in Whalen (1999) to have noted that “Global financial integration is likely to characterize the next era of expansive capitalism. The problem of finance that will emerge is whether the financial and fiscal control and support institutions of national governments can contain both the consequences of global financial fragility and an international debt deflation”. Similarly, 4 Proceedings of 8th Annual London Business Research Conference Imperial College, London, UK, 8 - 9 July, 2013, ISBN: 978-1-922069-28-3 Warburton (2003, pp.165) reported that “Despite the Basel Capital Accord of 1988 and its planned successor, Central banks have effectively abdicated their roles as guardians of the credit and financial system. They have retained a role as trouble-shooters, and lifeboat providers, as shown in the rescue of Long Term Capital Management (LTCM) in 1998, but have lost the ability to influence the overall quality of private sector credit decisions, their well known commitment to preventing the perverse effect of emboldening risk-takers to take even larger risk”. Pettifor (2003) explained that as part of the financial sector expansion and growing dominance, it has fuelled and expanded credit. This has helped to create a vast “credit bubble” which has in turn, financed bubble in assets, stocks, shares, property and dot.com companies. The easy availability of credit encouraged consumers, corporations and governments to run up huge debts. Greenhill (2003) on his part opined that the huge growth in the finance sector and the abrogation of control by governments over the supply of credit have not happened by accident. Rather, they are the result of deliberate policy decisions of governments, particularly in the west. Financial globalization has taken place because it is the interests of a small elite of politically and economically dominant people who have done extremely well out of it while ordinary people have found themselves increasingly indebted. While the freedom to innovate has led to the rapid development of the financial markets in major industrialized countries and emerging markets, it has become clear that there is an inherent danger in the manner the markets were developing without proper supervision and moderation (Sanusi, 2010). 2.2 Causes of the Current Global Financial Crisis There are many causes of the current global financial crisis, which to a large extent were interwoven into each other. Stiglitz (2009) opined that the great recession of 2008 is both complex and simple. In some ways beneath the complexity of Credit Defaults Swaps (CDS), sub-prime mortgages, Collaterized Debt Obligations (CDO), and a host of new terms that have entered the lexicon is a run of the mill credit cycles. Argouleas (2008) enumerated the causes of the crisis as: breakdown in underwriting standards for subprime mortgages; flaws in credit rating agencies; assessments of subprime residential mortgage backed securities and other complex structured credit products especially CDO and other Asset Backed Securities (ABS); risk management weakness at some large U.S and European financial institutions; and regulatory policies, including capital and disclosure requirements that failed to mitigate risk management weakness. 2.3 Contagion Effects Contagion effects refer to the idea that financial crises will spread from one institution to other institutions or from one country to other countries which is based on some underlying linkages. Adamu (2009) observed that the world economies are integrated financially. Dudley (2010) opined that this financial crisis has exposed how important the 5 Proceedings of 8th Annual London Business Research Conference Imperial College, London, UK, 8 - 9 July, 2013, ISBN: 978-1-922069-28-3 inter connections are among the banking systems, Capital markets and payment and settlement systems. Minsky (1995) said that global financial integration is likely to characterize the next era of expensive capitalism. The level of contagion will depend a lot on the level of economic integration with the outside world and level of economic deregulation. These will have direct bearing on the level of development, economic exposure and insulation of the domestic market from the vagaries of the international economy. Sanusi (2010) summed it up that cross-border spillover intensified after the crisis started because financial institutions and markets across borders were closely linked and risks highly correlated. 2.4 The Nigerian Financial System The financial system of any country provides the catalyst through financial intermediation for productive activities to ensure economic growth and development. Thus, the state of any economy is often a reflection of state of its financial system. This correlation cut across the globe, being true in developed and developing economies alike (Olowe, 2008). Akinsulire (2008) added that the financial system consist of financial intermediaries, financial market, financial institutions, rules, conventions and norms that facilitates and regulate the flow of funds through the macro-economy. The financial system is controlled by the government through the agencies of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), which supervises the activities of financial intermediaries and monitors adherence to government‟s monetary and fiscal policies. The major types of financial intermediaries are commercial banks operating under universal banking license finance institutions, insurance companies, credit and saving institutions, micro finance institutions, investment trust, mortgage institutions and pension fund institutions. Sere-Ejembi (2008) observed that the stock market is a channel through which national economies received foreign capital flows that make their tendency towards the global economy easily visible. 2.5 The Banking System The Nigerian banking system comprises of the CBN been the apex bank, controlling the whole of the country‟s financial system, the commercial banks operating under the universal banking license (but with plan for reform by the CBN into specialized banks) and micro finance institutions. The CBN was established by Act of 1958 and commenced operation on July 1st 1959. The Act which has undergone some amendments was re-enacted as the CBN Act No. 24 of 1991. In addition, banks and other financial institutions Act No. 25 of 1991 was also promulgated. The two Acts with amendments up to 1999 gave CBN more flexibility in regulating and supervising the banking sector and licensing finance companies which initially were operating outside any regulatory framework. The CBN is the sole and principal regulator and supervisor in the money market as well as in the activities of specialized and developed finance institutions (including banks) and companies in Nigeria. 6 Proceedings of 8th Annual London Business Research Conference Imperial College, London, UK, 8 - 9 July, 2013, ISBN: 978-1-922069-28-3 3. Methodology The research design for this study is longitudinal design, an attempt is made by the researcher to study variables over a span of time (years) in order to observe changes. Olayiwola (2007) noted that a longitudinal research is a study where a particular group or sample is studied over an extended period of time. He stated further that it involves data gathering on same sample at different points in time. Alemayehu (2001) defined longitudinal research as the continuous long term study of an area or variable. This study made use of data from the selected samples of banks financial statements and monthly average share price from 2005 – 2010 obtained from the Nigerian Stock Exchange, this form the focal point of the study. The population of the study is made up of all commercial banks with a universal banking licence in Nigeria within the study period numbering twenty-three (23). A sample size was obtained using the formula of Israel, 1992, at 95% confidence level and 10% level of precision. Data was sourced from the Nigerian Stock Exchange in order to get the weekly average share price of the sampled banks and also the financial statements of banks where used to calculate asset quality, capital adequacy and liquidity ratios of the sampled banks. The analysis of variance usually referred to by the contraction Anova was used in testing for all the hypothesis of this study. While at the same time Scheffe multiple range test was used to test the results of the F test to determine actually where the difference lies in the periods under study for the research hypothesis where required. A statistical analysis package commonly known as SPSS (Statistical Packages for Social Science) was used in testing required for the study. 4. Findings and Discussion The finding of the study shows that the first hypothesis was tested using Anova and then the result of the different periods are tested again by using the Scheffe Multiple test range to determine the actual period when the crisis hit the banking industry. The second hypothesis was tested using capital adequacy ratios for the periods under review, Anova test was carried out. Capital Adequacy Ratio: (The standard as set by BOFIA is 10%, while the international standard is 8% BASEL). The third hypothesis was tested using asset quality of the banks review, Anova test was also carried out. Asset Quality Ratio: (Should not be less than 20%). The fourth hypothesis was tested using liquidity ratio under review, Anova test was also carried out. Liquidity Ratio: (40% is the standard while 20% is problematic). Source: Aborode, 2010. The entire hypothesis where composed based on the period of the recession period in the following order. Pre-recession period 2005–2006, during recession period, 2007 – 2008, post recession period, 2009 – 2010. Hypothesis one: H0: There is no impact of the global financial crisis on the average share price of Nigerian Banks. 7 Proceedings of 8th Annual London Business Research Conference Imperial College, London, UK, 8 - 9 July, 2013, ISBN: 978-1-922069-28-3 Table 1: ANOVA Table for Average Monthly Share Price For Pre, During and Post Recession Between groups Within groups Total Sum of squares Df 26652.261 81965.827 108618.088 2 717 719 Mean squares 13326.131 114.318 F 116.571 P .000 The table shows that the probability P is 0.000 which is less than the significant level (α = 0.05). Therefore the null hypothesis is to be rejected indicating that there is significant difference between the mean of the average share price of the 3 periods under study. Table 2: Scheffe Multiple Period Comparison I)period Pre Post During Post Post Post j)period Mean difference * During -11.17754 * 2.94783 * 11.17754 * 14.12537 * -2.94783 * -14.12537 Pre Pre Std.error Sig. .97604 .97604 .97604 .97604 .97604 .97604 .000 .011 .000 .000 .011 .000 95% confidence interval Lower Upper Bound -13.5716 -8.7834 .5537 5.3419 8.7834 13.5716 11.7313 16.5195 -5.3419 -.5537 -16.5195 -11.7313 *The mean difference is significant at the 0.05 level From table 2, the mean difference of all the 3 periods under review where compared, i.e. pre, during and post recession to ascertain where the difference actually lies. There is significant difference between pre recession and during recession, as well as post recession. There is also significant difference between during and post recession periods. All the above tests imply that there is significant difference in the periods under study. Table 3: Scheffe Period Ranking Period Post Pre During Sig. N 240 240 240 1 9.8093 Subset for alpha = 0.05 2 3 12.7571 1.000 1.000 23.9347 1.000 Means for groups in homogeneous subsets are displayed. 8 Proceedings of 8th Annual London Business Research Conference Imperial College, London, UK, 8 - 9 July, 2013, ISBN: 978-1-922069-28-3 a. uses Harmonic mean sample size = 240.000 b. The group sizes are unequal. The harmonic mean of the group sizes is used. The table shows that the 3 means of the periods under study are in different subsets which further emphasis that they are significantly different from each other. The ranking shows that post recession periods has the lowest mean with 9.8093, followed by the pre recession period with a value of 12.7571, while during recession had the highest mean with a value of 23.9347. Hypothesis two: H0: The global financial crisis has no impact on the Nigerian banks capital adequacy ratio Table 4: A Test of ANOVA on Capital Adequacy Ratio of Nigerian Banks for Pre, During and Post Recession Periods Between groups Within groups Total Sum squares 52.249 9519.149 9571.398 of Df Mean squares F P 2 57 59 26.125 167.003 .156 .856 The P value of 0.856 is greater than α =0.05, indicating the acceptance of the null hypothesis. Hypothesis three H0: The global financial crisis has no impact on Asset Quality Ratio of Nigerian Banks. Table 5: A Test of ANOVA on Asset Quality Ratio of Nigerian Banks for Pre, During and Post Recession Periods Between groups Within groups Total Sum squares 489.715 8274.576 8764.291 of Df 2 57 59 Mean squares 244.857 145.168 F 1.687 P .194 The P value of 0.194 is slightly greater than the α value of 0.05, indicating the acceptance of the null hypothesis and implying that there is no significant difference between the variables measured for the periods under study. Hypothesis four 9 Proceedings of 8th Annual London Business Research Conference Imperial College, London, UK, 8 - 9 July, 2013, ISBN: 978-1-922069-28-3 H0: The global financial crisis has no impact on the liquidity ratio of Nigerian Banks. Table 6: ANOVA Table for Liquidity Ratio of Nigerian Banks for Pre, During and Post Recession Periods Between groups Within groups Total Sum of squares Df 822.256 28961.733 29783.988 2 57 59 Mean squares 411.128 508.101 F .809 P .194 The P value of 0.194 is greater than α value; 0.05, indicating that there is no any significant difference between the periods under review. From hypothesis one, there is difference in the means of the period under study, which is the average monthly share prices of the banks sampled. The post recession period (2009 – 2010) shows the lowest mean, followed by the pre recession period (2005 – 2006) while during recession period (2007 – 2008) showed the highest mean. This basically coincided with the period of boom experienced by the banks in terms of appreciation of their share price. The post recession period shows the sudden continual fall in the share price of the sample banks. From hypothesis two, the global financial crisis has no impact on the Capital Adequacy of banks sampled for all the periods, since there is no any significant difference among the mean of the periods under review. Hypothesis three also shows that the global financial crisis has no impact on Asset Quality of the banks since there is no any significant change in the mean of the periods under review. Lastly, hypothesis four show that the global financial crisis has no impact on the Liquidity Ratio of Nigeria banks since there is no any significant difference in the periods under study. The analysis shows an increase in the mean from pre recession to during recession. This is due to the fact that the Nigerian economy is not sophisticated and has a low level of linkage with the developed global financial set up. This is in line with the position of Malik et al, (2009) that the financial institutions in the developing countries have not been affected by financial crises in developed countries due to usage of traditional financial system. Sere- Ejembi, (2008) also posited that with the comparative shallowness of the financial sector of African economies, including Nigeria, and the illiquid capital markets, the system is weakly linked to the international financial system. She also stated that the Banks inactivity in the derivative market and varied residual controls on capital accounts contributed to some insulation from severe contagion effects as witnessed in advanced countries. The Scheffe test also reveals that during the recession period, the mean was highest which collaborates with the claims of Amedu, (2010), that the Nigerian stock exchange emerged as the best performing stock market in 2007 with a return of 74.73%. The market continued on the bullish ways until mid 2008 when the market began to feel the impact of the recession, and banks being the most active sectors where not left behind. By December 31st, 2008, the stock market 10 Proceedings of 8th Annual London Business Research Conference Imperial College, London, UK, 8 - 9 July, 2013, ISBN: 978-1-922069-28-3 earned the unenviable record as one of the worlds‟ worst performing stock markets after losing about 5.7trillion naira in market capitalization and 46% in the Nigerian Stock Exchange All Share Index (Amedu, 2010). The Scheffe test lastly indicated the post recession period has the lowest mean, signifying the actual time when internal and external factors contributed to the fall in the shares of Nigerian banks. The external factors are the divestment by foreign investors in the stock market, of which the banking sector is one of the most active and highly capitalized, the drying up of further credit lines to the bank from international sources and the further fall in international trading activities witnessed globally. While on the other hand, the internal factors include; the issue of the margin loans granted by the banks to local investors, large exposure to the oil and gas sectors of the economy, over priced and overvalued stocks, where the stocks were far above their fair market value considering the basic economic fundamentals, and weak banking regulation regime. Also panic selling of shares by local investors could account for the sharp decrease in share price following recession. 5. Conclusion and Recommendation This study concludes that the global financial crisis was not felt by Nigerian Banks until after the immediate impact had been felt by the advanced and developed countries. It was only after the recession period that the banking sector of the economy started feeling the impact of the recession due to both internal and external factors earlier mentioned. The main cause has been paucity of funds to the banking sector (Sanusi, 2009). This study also proffers the following recommendations which are hoped will form panacea for the issue at stake. There is need for the regulatory authority to device new means of early detection of distress signs in the banking industry. The regulatory authority should enhance its remedial programmes to fix the core causes of crisis in the banking industry. The improvement, enhancement and total implementation of risk based supervision of banks to conform to the global best practice. There is an urgent need for the total overhaul of regulations and regulatory framework, in order to enhance both the on –site and off-site examination and supervision of the banks. There is the need for increased and enhanced provisions for consumer protection. There is also the need for the provision of a third tier capital by the Government where a bank has been discovered to have a marginal or terminal distress problem. The stock market regulators should try and find ways of minimizing speculation in the market and make sure that economic and market fundamentals are keys to share price appreciation. 11 Proceedings of 8th Annual London Business Research Conference Imperial College, London, UK, 8 - 9 July, 2013, ISBN: 978-1-922069-28-3 References Aborode, R 2010, „A Practical Approach to Advance Financial Accounting‟, 3rd Edition. Lagos El-Joda Ventures Adamu, A 2010, „The Effects of Global Financial Crisis on Nigerian Economy’, Retrieved from http://ssrn.com Adei, S 2004, „Impact of Globalization on Management: The African Perspective. Management in Nigeria. Vol. 39/40(21) Pages 20-25 Akinsulire, O 2008, „Financial Management’, 6th Edition. 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