Proceedings of 11th Asian Business Research Conference 26-27 December, 2014, BIAM Foundation, Dhaka, Bangladesh, ISBN: 978-1-922069-68-9 Evaluating the Performance of Indian Mutual Funds Schemes: Macroeconomic Factors as Performance Indicators 1 Noor Basha Abdul and 2K.Sarvani Like any purchase decision, the selection of a mutual fund scheme should be based on the expectations of the investors and the funds' ability to fulfill these goals. Just like common stocks, the performance of equity mutual funds is affected by the macroeconomic factors as well as investor sentiment. The present study investigates the effect of macroeconomic variables on mutual fund schemes, in terms of returns and volatility of returns. Correlation technique is applied in order to find the correlation between select mutual funds annualized returns and macro economic factors like inflation rates, interest rates, GDP annual growth rate and Government 10 year Bond. The data used in the study was the yearly rates of different selected macroeconomic variables over the period October '04 - October '14. The yearly annualized returns of sample mutual fund schemes over the same period are considered for the analysis. Sharpe and Treynor ratios are applied to evaluate the benchmark characterisitics of a fund. This research would enable investors to understand the specific risk factors affecting their investments, so that they can take more informed investment decisions pertaining to mutual funds. The outcome of the research is that The outcome of the research is that the annualized returns of select mutual fund schemes are influenced by macro economic factors. The researchers found that there is both positive and negative correlation between the macro economic variables and annualized returns of select mutual fund schemes. We can conclude saying that by using Sharpe and Treynor ratios, it is found that many companies are able to minimize diversifiable and market risks. Key words: Macroeconomic variables, Performance Evaluation, Diversifiable risk, Market Risk. Introduction Mutual fund is a trust that pools the money of the investors and invests it in the marketable securities. The capital appreciation, thus generated is distributed among the unit holders in proportion of the units held by them. Through mutual funds, investors get the benefit of diversification, professional management of their money, convenient administration, low cost and many more. Like any purchase decision, the selection of a mutual fund scheme should be based on the expectations of the investors and the funds' ability to fulfill these goals. It is important to be clear about the investor’s investment objective before taking a buying decision. There are certain criteria on the basis of which the performance of a mutual fund can be assessed such as NAV, portfolio turnover, risk and return as well as various expense ratios like Sharpe ratio, Beta Ratio, etc. __________________________________________ 1 Dr. Noor Basha Abdul, Professor of Commerce, Acharya Nagarjuna University, Guntur, India K.Sarvani, Asst. Professor of Commerce, Maris Stella College, Vijayawada, India 2 Proceedings of 11th Asian Business Research Conference 26-27 December, 2014, BIAM Foundation, Dhaka, Bangladesh, ISBN: 978-1-922069-68-9 Performance of the mutual fund is measured by the Net Asset Value. Since market value of securities changes every day, NAV of a scheme also varies on day to day basis. The NAV per unit is the market value of securities of a scheme divided by the total number of units of the scheme on any particular date. Unlike stocks, where prices are moved by the supply and demand forces of the marketplace, fund prices are determined by the value of the underlying securities in the fund. It is also evident that, like common stocks, the performance of mutual funds is affected by the macroeconomic factors as well as investor sentiment. Since mutual funds are portfolios of stocks, they can minimize individual stock risk. This makes mutual funds very attractive to investors that do not have enough money to create their own portfolio of stocks. The performances of Mutual funds are influenced by the performance of the stock market as well as the economy as a whole. Equity Funds are influenced to a large extent by the stock market. The stock market in turn is influenced by the performance of the companies as well as the economy as a whole. The performance of the sector funds depends to a large extent on the companies within that sector. In fact, bond-funds are influenced by interest rates and credit quality. As interest rates rise, bond prices fall, and vice versa. Similarly, bond funds with higher credit ratings are less influenced by changes in the economy .All external and internal factors influences any day’s NAV. For a say, corporate actions get reflected in that day's NAV. So, the dividend from a company whose stock is in the portfolio gets factored in the NAV. Similarly, the change in daily price may be due to periodic dividend, bonus, rights, splits or the impact of a merger or a demerger which is reflected in the NAV the very day it gets into effect or is actualized. External factors like interest rates, inflation, GDP Annual growth rates, Government 10 year Bond, CNX nifty index, unemployment rate etc, influences the movements of daily NAV’S. Capital market theory provides a reasonable basis for measuring the performance of any investment organization. The performance of mutual funds may be evaluated by comparing the performance of funds vis-à-vis a benchmark portfolio. These measures provide methods of comparing the risk adjusted returns of a portfolio or with benchmarks (indices). In finance, standard deviation is applied to the annual rate of return of an investment to measure the investment's volatility. 2. OBJECTIVES OF STUDY On the basis of rationale of the study and literature review, objectives of present study are: 1. To study about the macro economic factors influencing the movements of select equity mutual fund schemes in India. 2. To investigate the most influencing macroeconomic factor affecting the performance of select equity mutual funds in India. 3. To appraise the performance of mutual funds with regard to risk-return adjustment, the model suggested by Sharpe and Treynor. 4. To identify whether the mutual funds are able to provide reward to variability and volatility and to rank the performance based on variability and volatility. Proceedings of 11th Asian Business Research Conference 26-27 December, 2014, BIAM Foundation, Dhaka, Bangladesh, ISBN: 978-1-922069-68-9 3. REVIEW OF LITERATURE: Michael C. Jensen (1967) derived a risk-adjusted measure of portfolio performance (Jensen’s alpha) that estimates how much a manager’s forecasting ability contributes to fund’s returns. Sharpe (1966) suggested a measure for the evaluation of portfolio performance. Drawing on results obtained in the field of portfolio analysis. Economist Jack L Treynor suggested a new predictor of mutual fund performance, one that differs from virtually all those used previously by incorporating the volatility of a funds return in a simple yet meaningful manner. Jensen (1967) derived a risk adjusted measure of portfolio performance (Jensen alpha) that estimates how much a manager’s forecasting ability contributes to a fund’s returns. Fama (1981, 1982) and many other research studies like Fama and Schwert (1977), Gallagher and Taylor (2002), Geske and Roll (1983) empirically found that stock returns are negatively affected by both expected and unexpected inflation. The changes in macro environment factors including a stronger rupee, shrinking current account deficit and a constructive view on Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation will also promote the fund’s performance. Campbell (1987), French et al (1987) Fama and French (1989), Balvers et al(1990),Been, Glosten and Jaganthan (1990) have showed empirical evidence that macro economic variables can predict the market returns. With both pulls and pressures on rates, markets are expected to be volatile. The objective of the researcher is to evaluate the effects of various economic factors influencing NAVs of Indian Mutual Funds. Burmeister et al (1986-88) used a set of multi index models based on a priori hypothesized set of macroeconomic variables .They found that five variables were sufficient to describe the return on securities. Along with the growth of GDP, if inflation also increases, then the real rate of growth of economy would be very little. The demand in the consumer product industry is significantly affected. Marshall (1992) also finds that negative effect of inflation on stock return is generated by real economic fluctuations, by monetary fluctuations or changes in both real and monetary variables Mohinder N. Kaura and Jayadev.M (1995), in their paper entitled, “Performance of Growth Oriented Mutual Funds: An Evaluation”, have empirically examined the performance of five growth oriented Mutual Funds during the accounting period 1993 to 1994. This paper used the methodology which was derived by Jensen, Treynor, Sharpe and Fama. The paper concluded that growth oriented Mutual Funds possibly Proceedings of 11th Asian Business Research Conference 26-27 December, 2014, BIAM Foundation, Dhaka, Bangladesh, ISBN: 978-1-922069-68-9 outperformed the market with respect to systematic risk and exceptionally demonstrate the superior performance in terms of total risk. Michael C. Jensen (2005) conducted a study on the performance of mutual funds. The study that estimates how much a manager's forecasting ability contributes to the fund's returns. The study is based on the theory of the pricing of capital assets by Sharpe, Linter and Treynor. The studies consist of 115 mutual funds as a sample. Ippolito (1989) finds that there is no significant relationship between performance, after expenses turnover and investment fees. Soumya Guha Deb Icfai University Press 2008 Vol.14 No.8 “performance of Indian equity Mutual funds Vis-a-Vis their style benchmarks” has suggested that in her evaluation of fund managers performance found that Indian equity fund managers have not been able to beat their style benchmarks (William Sharpe ratio) on the average and pointed out the weaknesses of fund managers. As per the recent study, Dash and Dinesh Kumar (2008) examined the impact of macroeconomic variables such as exchange rate, inflation rate, oil price, interest rate and market return by observing high volatility in Indian financial markets, the results indicated that return and variance of some of the funds return is affected by macroeconomic variables, and also 35.29% of the desired funds were not sensitive to any of the macroeconomic variables. The macroeconomic factors like unemployment factor also considered for evaluating the performance of mutual funds. Singh et al. (2011) in their study found that the unemployment rate, inflation and money supply have a negative relationship with stock return for all six portfolios of large and medium companies, and on the other hand, GDP and exchange rate have a positive relationship with stock return. The macro economic variables impact on performance of mutual funds varies as per the investment objective of the schemes. An equity mutual fund scheme is more influenced by economic factors like inflation rate, GDP, and exchange rates. Whereas macro economic factors like interest rates and money supply influences the performance of the debt mutual funds schemes. Sachchidanand Shukla (2011) has found a few macro economic variables to be more important than others. Expectedly, for Gilt, Liquid and Money market funds, money supply and interest rates have an important bearing on the result. Thus for Balanced growth funds the macro economic variables that are most important are Money supply, 10 year G-Sec and FII flows. Ravi Vyas and Suresh Chandra Moonat (2012) Indian Journal of Finance, Vol. 6 No. 8, “Perception and behavior of Mutual Funds Investors in Madhya Pradesh” concluded that Proceedings of 11th Asian Business Research Conference 26-27 December, 2014, BIAM Foundation, Dhaka, Bangladesh, ISBN: 978-1-922069-68-9 the highly volatile funds are risky and therefore the fund manager should collect all possible information before making an investment. A careful and reasonable diversification of investment in mutual funds should be done on the investor’s part to balance the risk involved in investment. And suggested that investors should inculcate the habit of saving regularly so, that the little savings will grow into a big returns. Prajapati & Patel (2012) studied on performance evaluation of mutual fund schemes of Indian companies is carried out through relative performance index, risk-return analysis, Treynor's ratio, Sharp's ratio, Sharp's measure, Jensen's measure, and Fama's measure.. The study found that that most of the mutual fund have given positive return during 2007 to 2011. Poonam M Lohana (2013) studied on performance evaluation of selected mutual funds of india based on risk-return relationship models and measures: Treynor ratio, Sharpe ratio, Jensen's alpha. The study found that Returns of all funds are more than market index returns, but not high. Therefore it is clear that analyzing the macro economic factors is essential to understand the behavior of the mutual fund unit prices. The economic variables like GDP, inflation ,interest rates, and Government 10 Year Bond rates were chosen by the researchers for the study to evaluate the performance of mutual funds using NAV’s and the macro economic factors. To evaluate the performance of mutual funds Sharpe Ratio and Treynor ratios are applied to find the reward to the volatility and risk to the mutual funds schemes. 4. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY: In India, there are 398 equity mutual funds listed in a stock exchange which includes diversified, sectoral and thematic funds. Out of these funds, randomly 24 fund schemes were chosen randomly for research using simplified random sampling .The fund category of the sample funds are open ended equity: Large cap, Large & Mid Cap, Mid & Small Cap and Tax Planning. The mutual fund schemes listed for the past 10 years i.e. from 2005 to 2014 were chosen for research. Sharpe and Treynor ratios were applied to find the relationship of select annualized returns of mutual fund schemes in terms of variability and volatility of returns. The macro economic variables selected for the research are inflation rates, interest rates, GDP annual growth rate and Government 10 year Bond. The annualized returns data of select mutual funds was collected from value research online website .The data relating to inflation rates, interest rates, GDP annual growth rate and Government 10 year Bond was collected from trading economics website. Karl Pearson’s correlation technique was applied to find out whether there is a correlation between macro economic factors and annualized returns of select mutual fund schemes. The relation between the variables was explained using the range as follows: Proceedings of 11th Asian Business Research Conference 26-27 December, 2014, BIAM Foundation, Dhaka, Bangladesh, ISBN: 978-1-922069-68-9 -1.0 to -0.8 -0.8 to -0.5 -0.5 to 0.0 0.0 to 0.5 0.5 to 0.8 0.8 to 1.0 : : : : : : Strong Negative Correlation Moderate Negative Correlation Weak Negative Correlation Weak Positive Correlations Moderate Positive Correlation Strong Positive Correlation ANALYSIS AND RESULTS: Table no : 1 : Macroeconomic factors affecting the performance of select Equity Mutual Funds in India. Correlation of Interest Rate Vs Returns Correlation of GDP Annual Growth Vs Returns Correlation of Govt. Bond 10 Yrs Vs Returns Name of the Fund Category Correlation of Inflation Vs Returns UTI Mastershare Fund Large Cap -0.108 -0.332 0.383 0.384 -0.128 -0.348 0.379 0.388 -0.060 -0.427 0.310 0.348 HDFC Long Term Advantage Fund Tax Planning Tax Planning BNP Paribas Equity Fund Large Cap -0.306 -0.185 0.478 0.402 HDFC Index Fund Sensex Plus Plan Large Cap -0.148 -0.394 0.427 0.329 UTI Equity Fund Large Cap -0.055 -0.401 0.330 0.355 Large Cap -0.182 -0.366 0.481 0.328 Large Cap -0.122 -0.415 0.419 0.329 SBI Magnum Equity Fund Large Cap -0.184 -0.348 0.481 0.342 Franklin India Prima Fund M&S Cap -0.083 -0.355 0.298 0.378 Large Cap -0.187 -0.340 0.435 0.357 L&M Cap -0.072 -0.391 0.331 0.358 Tata Tax Saving Fund Tata Pure Equity Fund Plan A Franklin India Bluechip Fund ICICI Prudential Top 100 Fund - Regular Plan HDFC Capital Builder Fund Proceedings of 11th Asian Business Research Conference 26-27 December, 2014, BIAM Foundation, Dhaka, Bangladesh, ISBN: 978-1-922069-68-9 Franklin India Taxshield Fund Franklin India Prima Plus Fund Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity Fund ICICI Prudential Tax Plan Regular Plan M&S Cap Tax Planning L&M Cap L&M Cap Tax Planning HDFC Top 200 Fund Large Cap SBI Emerging Businesses Fund Canara Robeco Equity Tax Saver Fund - Regular Plan SBI Magnum Multiplier Plus Scheme ICICI Prudential Dynamic Fund - Regular Plan M&S Cap Tax Planning L&M Cap L&M Cap M&S Cap UTI Mid Cap Fund SBI Magnum Global Fund ICICI Prudential Value Discovery Fund - Regular Plan M&S Cap -0.076 -0.333 0.201 0.382 -0.151 -0.338 0.360 0.377 -0.246 -0.298 0.435 0.358 -0.141 -0.381 0.440 0.324 -0.076 -0.453 0.321 0.309 -0.143 -0.454 0.391 0.269 -0.150 -0.354 0.464 0.327 -0.133 -0.411 0.415 0.316 -0.266 -0.368 0.486 0.294 -0.214 -0.383 0.454 0.310 -0.194 -0.394 0.423 0.337 -0.013 -0.467 0.237 0.304 6. DISCUSSION OF THE ANALYSIS: (a) Macroeconomic factors influencing the performance of select equity mutual funds in India. Out of 24 mutual fund schemes selected, correlation analysis is applied to examine the characteristics of observed phenomenon and to explore possible correlations among the phenomenon. Inflation measures the sustained increase in the general price level of goods and services. When inflation as a macroeconomic variable correlated with MF annualized returns of select schemes, there is weak positive correlation. The range of correlation is between -0.62907 to -0.82395.Hence it is proved, that there is negative correlation between inflation and MF annualized returns. The weak negative correlation established because of deficit monsoon due to which there is fillip to inflationary expectations and the optimistic expectations turned out to be unrealistic. Interest rates steadily increased from 6% in 2004 to 8% in 2014 .With both pulls and pressures on rates, funds annualized returns are expected to be volatile. The correlation between NAV and interest rate is within the range – 0.18 to -0.46. We can say there is weak correlation between the funds annualized returns of select funds and Proceedings of 11th Asian Business Research Conference 26-27 December, 2014, BIAM Foundation, Dhaka, Bangladesh, ISBN: 978-1-922069-68-9 interest rates. This satisfies the theoretical application that, there will be fall in NAV’S for every increase in the interest rates declared by RBI. GDP annual growth rate provides insight into the general direction and magnitude of growth for the overall economy. When GDP growth rate increases, there will be increase in occupancy rate and the savings & investment of the investors in turn reflects positively the stock market. The correlation between GDP growth rate and funds annualized returns is from the range 0.486 to 0.2.out of 24 schemes, 21 mutual funds correlation values are above.0.4. This signifies that in India, the GDP annual growth rate is positively correlated with mutual funds annualized returns. Govt. 10 year bond interest rate increased from 6.71% in 2004 to 8.45% in 2014. i.e. there is hike in risk free rate of interest. When Government 10 year bond is correlated with NAVs of select schemes, the r-value is in between 0.26 to 0.402. We can say there is moderate positive correlation between Govt. 10 year bond and of select MFs funds annualized returns. From the studies, it is clear that value of funds annualized returns have effect to the change in macroeconomic variables in the study. There is close positive relation between Govt. 10 year bond and GDP growth rate in India. Inflation and interest rates had weak negative correlation with of select annualized returns mutual fund schemes in the research. GRAPHS: Correlation of Inflation Vs Returns Correlation of Interest Rate Vs Returns 0.000 -0.050 0.000 0 10 20 30 -0.100 0 10 20 30 -0.100 -0.200 -0.150 -0.200 -0.250 -0.300 -0.300 -0.400 -0.500 -0.350 Correlation of GDP Annual Growth Rate Vs Returns Correlation of Govt. 10 Yrs Bond Vs Returns Proceedings of 11th Asian Business Research Conference 26-27 December, 2014, BIAM Foundation, Dhaka, Bangladesh, ISBN: 978-1-922069-68-9 0.600 0.450 0.400 0.350 0.300 0.250 0.200 0.150 0.100 0.050 0.000 0.500 0.400 0.300 0.200 0.100 0.000 0 10 20 0 30 10 20 30 (b) Evaluating the performance of select mutual funds with special reference to Sharpe ratio and Treynor Ratio. Table No : 2 - Open-ended and Equity: Large Cap Name of the Fund Rp Rf σ β Sharpe Ratio Rank Treynor Ratio Rank UTI Mastershare Fund 33.40 8.45 15.61 0.90 32.86 5 24.01 5 39.94 8.45 15.01 0.82 39.38 1 29.64 2 31.38 8.45 16.11 0.94 30.86 7 22.39 7 UTI Equity Fund 37.50 8.45 15.71 0.90 36.96 3 28.11 3 Tata Pure Equity Fund - Plan A 27.67 8.45 13.67 0.79 27.05 9 16.97 9 Franklin India Bluechip Fund 30.60 8.45 15.99 0.92 30.07 8 21.42 8 32.49 8.45 15.91 0.92 31.96 6 23.31 6 34.51 8.45 16.84 0.95 34.01 4 25.62 4 38.96 8.45 20.61 1.17 38.55 2 31.74 1 BNP Paribas Equity Fund HDFC Index Fund - Sensex Plus Plan SBI Magnum Equity Fund ICICI Prudential Top 100 Fund Regular Plan HDFC Top 200 Fund Proceedings of 11th Asian Business Research Conference 26-27 December, 2014, BIAM Foundation, Dhaka, Bangladesh, ISBN: 978-1-922069-68-9 Table No : 3 : Open-ended and Equity: Large & Mid Cap Name of the Fund HDFC Capital Builder Fund Franklin India Prima Plus Fund Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity Fund SBI Magnum Multiplier Plus Scheme ICICI Prudential Dynamic Fund Regular Plan Name of the Fund Franklin India Prima Fund Rp Rf σ β Sharpe Ratio Rank Treynor Ratio Rank 41.48 8.45 16.01 0.89 40.95 2 31.99 2 42.97 8.45 15.67 0.88 42.43 1 33.37 1 35.23 8.45 16.79 0.97 34.73 4 26.52 4 37.51 8.45 15.79 0.88 36.97 3 27.91 3 32.54 8.45 15.56 0.85 32.00 5 22.60 5 Treynor Ratio Rank Rp Table No : 4 Open-ended and Equity: Mid & Small Cap Rf σ β Sharpe Ratio Rank 56.34 8.45 17.42 0.88 55.85 3 46.74 3 UTI Mid Cap Fund 72.55 8.45 20.90 1.01 72.15 1 64.18 1 SBI Emerging Businesses Fund 42.54 8.45 17.05 0.79 42.04 5 31.84 5 48.73 8.45 15.48 0.74 48.18 4 37.31 4 60.79 8.45 19.13 0.98 60.35 2 52.17 2 SBI Magnum Global Fund ICICI Prudential Value Discovery Fund - Regular Plan Table no: 4 Open-ended and Equity: Tax Planning Name of the Fund Rp Rf σ β Sharpe Ratio Rank Treynor Ratio Rank Tata Tax Saving Fund 36.63 8.45 14.34 0.80 36.04 4 26.07 4 HDFC Long Term Advantage Fund 37.72 8.45 16.94 0.94 37.22 3 28.73 3 Franklin India Taxshield Fund 43.62 8.45 15.14 0.85 43.06 2 33.68 2 ICICI Prudential Tax Plan - Regular Plan 44.61 8.45 17.98 0.97 44.14 1 35.90 1 Canara Robeco Equity Tax Saver Fund Regular Plan 35.78 8.45 15.27 0.86 35.23 5 25.95 5 DISCUSSION OF THE ANALYSIS: Out of 24 Schemes selected, Sharpe and Treynor ratio is applied to investigate the reward to variability and reward to volatility and to rank the funds as per their fund characteristics. Proceedings of 11th Asian Business Research Conference 26-27 December, 2014, BIAM Foundation, Dhaka, Bangladesh, ISBN: 978-1-922069-68-9 The performance evaluation of select mutual funds was done by using the data of annualized returns (Rp), standard return (σ), Government 10 Year Bond return (Rf) and the systematic risk (β). Out of 9 Open-ended and Equity related Large Capital funds, the Sharpe ratio ranged from 39.38% to 27.05%. BNP Paribas Equity Fund scored highest value of 39.38% and Tata Pure Equity Fund - Plan A scored lowest 27.05%.Where as the Treynor ratio values ranged from 31.74 % to 16.97%. Higher the Treynor Ratio, the better the performance under analysis. Therefore the HDFC Top 200 Fund had a better performance adjusted for market risk. It can help an investor in ascertaining the returns that can be generated by funds over short term investments. From the five Open-ended and Equity of Large & Mid Cap funds, Franklin India Prima Plus Fund performed best with highest reward to variability and reward to volatility of 42.42%and 33.37% respectively. This survey proves that the Franklin India Prima plus Fund is able to cope up with the market risk and diversifiable risk. ICICI Prudential Dynamic Fund - Regular Plan ranked last out of the sample having 32% reward to variability and reward to volatility of 34.73% and 33.37% respectively. From the table: 4 , it is found that the Sharpe ratio is between 72.15% to 42.04 %.The Treynor ratio is in between 64.18% to 31.84%. UTI Mid Cap Fund performed best in this category with the highest value of Sharpe and Treynor ratios of 72.15 % and 64.18% respectively .It exhibits the fund manager capability in forecasting, investing and managing the systematic and unsystematic risks in the portfolio. SBI Emerging Businesses Fund had lowest values of Sharpe ratio and Treynor ratios of 42.04 % and 31.84 %. A high positive Treynor Ratio shows that the investment has added value in relation to its (scaled-to-market) risk and vice -versa. Out of 5 selected Open-ended and Equity Tax Planning mutual fund schemes, it is found that the Sharpe ratio is between 35.23% to 44.14 %.The Treynor ratio is in between 25.95% to 35.90%. This survey proves that the ICICI Prudential Tax Plan Regular Plan is able to cope up with the market risk and diversifiable risk. The Canara Robeco Equity Tax Saver Fund - Regular Plan ranked last out of the sample having reward to variability and reward to volatility of 35.23% and 25.95% respectively 7. CONCLUSION: When there is stable policy frame work, economy will automatically turn upwards and that is where an investor expects to find opportunity. And from the research it is analyzed that GDP annual growth rate had significant influence on the movements of Proceedings of 11th Asian Business Research Conference 26-27 December, 2014, BIAM Foundation, Dhaka, Bangladesh, ISBN: 978-1-922069-68-9 annualized returns of select mutual fund scheme. Though there is increase in GDP annual growth rate, investors savings were not attracted towards investment in mutual funds. Therefore, the AMC’S are advised to concentrate more on promoting the sales of mutual fund schemes at least in proportion to the hike in the GDP annual growth rate. To the surprise, when overnight hike in interest rates materialized, the fund’s NAV suffer reversal trend. From the research, it is clear that when there is hike in the interest, the performances of select mutual funds are negatively influenced. It is advised to the fund managers to work with Portfolio Duration Strategy to overcome from interest rate risk. The portfolio duration in recent months ranged from 6 – 7 years. A bad monsoon and geo political risk may lead to short term volatility but it is believed that rates will soften on the back of fiscal consolidation and inflation modernization over a period of time BNP Paribas Equity ranked first and HDFC Top 200 Fund ranked first among the selected mutual funds scheme using Sharpe and Treynor ratio respectively. Among Large and Middle Cap funds Franklin India Prima Plus ranked first in terms of Sharpe and Treynor ratios.UTI Mid Cap fund ranked first among the M&S cap funds. Among the Tax Planning funds selected, ICICI Prudential Tax Plan –Regular Plan scored first place for both Sharpe and Treynor ratios. From this analysis, it is clear that from the selected sample of funds the returns and volatility of the above funds are able to cope up with variability of returns. 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Journal of economics and international finance 2(4): 217-227 WEB SITES: www.valueresearchonline.com www.amfiindia.com www.mutualfudsindia.com www.sharekhan.com www.tardingeconomics.com ***