Development of a Multi-Modal Transport Centre for Sustainable Urban Transport - A Case Study in Colombo Metropolitan Area Hirohisa KAWAGUCHI1 Yoshihisa ASADA1 Shige SAKAKI2 Monyrath KOV1 Junya UMEMURA1 Masahiko FUJIMOTO1 Eiko WATATSU1 Kaoru YAMADA1 2 14th April 2015 Colombo LowofCarbon Urban Transport Study Ministry Transport Ministry of Transport 1 Oriental Consultants Global Co., Ltd. Outline 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Introduction Transport in Colombo Metropolitan Area Preliminary Development Plan of Multi-Modal Transport Centres Impact Analysis Implementation of Multi-Modal Transport Centres (MMC) Conclusion Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 1 1. Introduction Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 2 Increase of GHG Emission from Developing Countries • Rapid increase of greenhouse gas emission from developing countries • Transport sector is a dominant source of GHG emission in developing countries However… Financial constraint of the government Complex and slow administrative procedure Lack of connection among several public transport modes Lack of human resources Political intervention Complicated land acquisition process Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 3 Research Objectives Potentials of Multi-Modal Centre (MMC) in developing countries Railway network in urban areas in some developing countries which is usually not utilized fully Intensive bus and paratransit network However, those are not managed in an integrated manner Research Objectives to propose a multi-modal transport centre (MMC) development which is affordable, implementable, effective and socially acceptable to alleviate traffic congestion and to reduce emission of GHGs by integrating railway, bus, other public transport services and non-motorized transport to conduct a case study taking a railway station in Colombo Metropolitan Area (CMA) as a example to examine economic, financial social and environmental viabilities Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 4 2. Transport in Colombo Metropolitan Area Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 5 Colombo Metropolitan Area Western Province • Largest province in Sri Lanka including Colombo and the capital city of Sri Jayewardenepura • Population: 5.8 million • 3,694km2 • 44% of National GDP Colombo Metropolitan Area • Population: 3.68 million • 996km2 Colombo Municipal Council • 0.55 million, 40km2 Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 6 Road Transport in Colombo Morning Traffic Congestion School Traffic Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 7 Railway in Colombo Deteriorated train Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 8 Bus Transport in Colombo Bus Terminal School Bus Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 9 Population Growth Patterns Population is increasing in the areas to the east of CMC, while the growth rate is less in the CMC area This can be explained by the changes in land use – in CMC inner city area commercial activity is increasing and in the suburbs to the east, residential activity is increasing Annual Growth Rate 2001-2012 Negombo Avissawella Colombo and Coastal Area Decreasing Colombo Suburbs Increasing Source: DCS Calculated by CoMTrans Inner-Coastal area Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 10 Urban Development Plans/Projects Concentration of mixed development projects in Colombo center Relocation of government agencies and Defence complex in Battaramulla Colombo Concentration of Many Mixed Development Project Battaramulla Relocation of Government Offices Source: UDA Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 11 Motorization Unit: 1,000 Passengers per day, Both Direction 2,500 Historical data for passenger flow at CMC boundary (1985 – 2013) 2,066 2,000 Pubic Transport 1,679 1,697 (Bus and Railway) are losing their modal share. 1,500 1,061 1.5% 58 % 1,000 42% 33% Private Modes are significantly increasing. 500 33% 26% 4.2% 42% 0 1985 Average Annual Growth Ratio (AAGR) 1985-2013 1995 Private 2004 Bus Rail 2013* All modes: 2.2% * Total passengers at CMC boundary at all survey location was 2.1 million passengers per day (both direction). For the comparison purpose, survey locations surveyed in ‘85, ‘95 and ‘04 were selected. Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 12 Rapid Increase of Private Vehicles Number of Vehicles* in Western Province (in 1,000) AAGR = 8.0% The number of vehicles increased a factor of 2.5 in 12 years. Motorcycles and 3 wheelers showed significant surge in the number. *The number of motor vehicles with valid revenue licenses. Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 13 Travel Speed (Evening Peak Hour/ Outflow) Source: Travel Speed Survey by GPS tracking data (2012.12 – 2013.07) CoMTrans Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 14 Estimated Current GHG Emission CO2 Emission estimation in the Western Province Results of CO2 emission in 2013 estimated by developed model is almost same as one estimated from fuel consumption data, which is divided proportionally by number of vehicle. Model Estimation Model Estimation Note: Vehicle emission: Estimated based on the fuel consumption of whole Sri Lanka in transportation sector of SLSEA by using the ratio of vehicle registration number in whole Sri Lanka and the Western Province Railway emission : Estimated based on the fuel consumption of railway of whole Sri Lanka by using the ratio of travel distance of railway in whole Sri Lanka and the Western Province Number of hybrid vehicle: 15,561 (Dec. 2013) Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 15 Estimation on Future GHG Emission GHG emission reductions by low carbon scenario options Infrastructure development/improvement : C2 scenario (Intensive public transport system development with ERP) will achieve the lowest emission. (0.93 Mton CO2 reduction in 2035, 11.3% of BAU_SQ) Hybrid Vehicles: 0.38 Mton CO2 reduction in 2035 from above option results Fuel Switch : 0.66 Mton CO2 reduction in 2035 from above option results Bus/Truck regulation enforcement : 0.12 Mton CO2 reduction in 2035 from above option results CO2 emission by Transport Scenario 0.8 milion t-CO2/year 8.0 DN SQ A1 6.0 A2 C1 4.0 C2 2.0 2013 2020 2025 2035 milion t-CO2/year 10.0 CO2 reduction by Scenarios 0.6 Hybrid car promotion 0.4 Fuel switch promotion 0.2 Bus/Truck regulation enforcement 0.0 2020 2025 2035 Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 16 Colombo Urban Transport Master Plan (CoMTrans) with JICA Formulated Urban Transport Master Plan Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 17 Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study by the World Bank January, 22, 2014 September, 2014 Feb. – Sep. [A] Assessment of GHG emission [B] Mode Integration Pilot Project Current GHG Emission • Collection of Emission Factors Low Carbon Options/ Scenario • Communication with Stakeholders May, 28, 2014, - Sep. Selection of 2 Pilot Stations PreFeasibility Study Site Analysis Demand/Supply Analysis Layout Design Physical/Institutional Integration Dissemination Workshop Kick-off Workshop Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 18 Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study by the World Bank Ministry of Transport (MOT) is the focal agency for the study. Stakeholders, who are invited to this workshop, will be consulted individually or at workshops during the course of the study. Technical Assistance is implemented by the World Bank South Asia Transport Unit, supported by Oriental Consultants Co., Ltd. Global. Funding is provided by Energy Sector Management Assistance Program (ESMAP), a global knowledge and technical assistance program administered by the World Bank. Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 19 3. Preliminary Development Plan of Multi-Modal Transport Centres Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 20 Development Concept of MMC Mode Integration Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 21 Mode Integration Pilot Project Mode integration between Bus and Railway services will be studied at a station in order to promote public transport for low carbon transport scenario. Physical / Operational Integrations will be considered. Physical Integration Operational Integration Relocation of; - Bus departure/ arrival, waiting area, shelters - Walkways, - Sings and marking, - Railway Station facilities/entrance, Creation of; - Non-fare box revenue generation facilities - Drop-off/pick-up area for para-transit modes etc …. Coordination of; - Fare / ticket integration, - Coordinated time table and operation hours between bus and railway services, - Bus route rationalization (feeder services), - Passenger information provision etc…. Mode Integration (Bus-Rail) Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 22 Proposed Candidates for Pilot Stations Daily Passenger Flow (Both Direction) Ragama Moratuwa Panadura Gampaha Nos. Boarding Passengers Peak Hour (6:00-9:00 Count) 12 Hours (6:00-18:00 Count) Daily (Estimated by HVS) Source: University of Moratuwa (2009) Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 23 Pilot Stations [Ragama, Moratuwa] CoMTrans Urban Transport Master Plan Gampaha Border of Colombo Metropolitan Area, under developed by UDA Ragama Connects Puttalam line to Main Line Main Line Coastal Line Multi Modal Centre (MMC) Moratuwa Concept of MMC Multimodal Centre (MMC) is proposed with BRT, Railway, Feeder Bus Panadura 0 5km Low density, Less land to be developed as MMC, distance between railway station and bus terminal Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 24 Image of Mode Integration for Bus and Railway Services Railway Station Commercial Buildings Drop-off/ Pick-up area Bus Bay Plaza, Open Space Taxi Bay Railway Station Commercial Buildings Taxi Bay Parking JR Kitamoto Railway station Station Plaza Station square • Feeder bus terminal • Taxi, Kiss and Ride • Open Space, Landscape, Greenery Bus Bay JR Hitatchi Station Plaza Commercial Area Shelters for bus, taxi users Time table board (Bus, Railway) Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 25 Situation Analysis on Ragama Station [Main/Puttalam Line] Positive Features / Potentials Current Access Mode Share: Bus 43.7%, Walk 46.7% Intersection of Main Line and Puttalam Line Sri Lanka Railway’s lands are available. Potential for population growth Northern Expressway will be located nearby the city (Exact alignment: to be confirmed). The station is Located between Kandy Road and Negombo Road. UDA wish to development the city and around the station. Ragama Hospital is located nearby the station. Negative Features / Constraints Ragama Bus Terminal (For Colombo) Currently, only a small land is used for the bus terminal, and Bus Terminal for Colombo is 300 m away from the station It is necessary to find future bus passengers who use Ragama Station. Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 26 Ragama Station: Existing Condition Road in front of the Station Existing Railway Station Building Existing Bus Stand (Land surrounding the railway station is used for bus stand) Railway Facilities Bus Stop next to the Station Boundaries of Railway Land Station Market • Buses, Cars, and Pedestrians are mixed Existing Busthe Terminal around station and the roads. Park (for Colombo Direction) Pedestrian’s safety should be secured. 350m away from the Train Station Appropriate bus terminal and circulation should be introduced. Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 27 14 8 7 655 67 0 247 298 660 112 3 7 41 7 359 14 43 94 88 3 22 6 30 3 97 541 705 83 3 Kirillawala 1 24 18 36 74 5 121 1776 Kadawatha 38 25 952 826 540 597 634 1 283 buses/day Siyambalape 1 308Junction buses/day 105 455 1334 339 149: Ja-Ela 134: Colombo Peliyagoda 992 908 165 51 Sapugaskanda Kelaniya Kelaniya 53 26: Gampaha 462 105: Kadawatha 14: Kiribathgoda 146 approx. 14 41 14 14 95 36 5 Kelaniya 3162 approx. 134 9 97 Kiribathgoda 145 buses/day 47 249: Kadawatha74 59: Wattala 75 94 1 846 208 193 481 114 To Fort Kiribathgoda 2 240 162 1 17 28 Wanawasala Wanawasala 47 1 901 2 79 8 28 14 89 113 11 04 8 121 136 Udupila approx. 360 Mahara Hunupitiya Hunupitiya 437 Approx. 59 Kadawatha Ragama 1 30 191 75 14 25 5 Enderamulla 633 Enderamulla Enderamulla Wattala 469 1 3 Nedung 7 Weboda 9 93 23 964 140 3 92 16 682 46 224 17 228 813 1 8 28 46 Horape Horape Maggona Maggona 5 Kilometers 15 307 37 899 Walisara 2.5 60 83 18 57 17 Ragama 4 13 68 4 11 694 9 14 Ragama 128 Ragama 7 Ragama Paiyagala 308 Paiyagala 283 46 Maggona Maggona 5 Kilometers 154 306 3 22 57 > 20% 28 169 2.5 Peralanda Peralanda Kuda Paiyagala Paiyagala Kuda 899 15-20% 97 629 28 Paiyagala 7 Paiyagala > 20% 96 26 10-15% 140 2 9 9987 Kuda Paiyagala Paiyagala Kuda 15-20% Walpola Walpola 15 232 46 992 27 Handala 396 Kandana Kandana 103 2 5-10% Batuwatta Batuwatta 13 232 12 232 Ganemulla Ganemulla 43 397 41 7 Bulugahagoda Bulugahagoda 238 1153 995 995 13 Yagoda approx. 26 19 4 258 91 26 8 109 23 9 238 26 2-5% 2-5% 10-15% 7 25 2 Nagoda Nagoda 1-2% 1.25 159 4 21 Nagoda Nagoda 23 9 1-2% ToYagoda Gampaha 147 1425 159 < 1% 86 1244 29 Ratio to Zonal Trip Production Ja_Ela Ja-Ela Ja_Ela approx. 149 53 Kalutara South South Kalutara < 1% Bus operation Malwana 960 184 1 792 3 16 316 479 5459 95 43 Angoda 545 1259 173 Ministry of Transport 963 497 499 469 1827647 Dematagoda Dematagoda Colombo Low CarbonFort Urban Transport Study 331 Fort 09 81 65 229 14 26 81 78 667 Note: The percentage shown3 in figures above was calculated by dividing the number of daily passengers currently using the candidate stations 66 435 134 1 6 315 8 2 to the daily trip production from each traffic zone estimated using the data of CoMTrans Home Visit Survey 2013. Biyagama 53 1 1331 0 118 10 212 1425 3 21 1.25 15 8 412 1 Ratio CMC to Zonal Trip Production boundary 5-10% 644 Kalutara North North Kalutara CMA boundary 0 53 8 Kalutara5South 4South Kalutara 1 129 Legend Bus operation 73 831 Bus Route from/to Ragama Station, Service Coverage CMC boundary 2 710 959 3 498 147 268 9 25 9 160 67 212 232 3 21 0 46 Kaduwela 28 Estimation of Travel Demand 1. CoMTrans OD tables developed by JICA STRADA software 2. Identification of 3 types of potential users 3. Estimation of modal shift by 3 types of potential user using CoMTrans mode choice model Station Transfer User estimated by JICA-STRADA (w/o MMC) Expected Transfer User (modal shift) by mode integration Main Transport Mode of Potential Users: 2013 825 2035 estimation 1,650 1,055 230 2,140 490 Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 29 Requirement for Bus Bay Estimated Peak Hour Transfer Passenger (Bus to Rail) Item Current 1. Future Transfer User estimated by JICASTRADA (w/o MMC) 2035 est. 825 1,650 1,055 2. Expected Transfer User (modal shift) by mode integration 2,140 230 490 Peak Hour Bus Operation Station Ragama Current Operation 2035 est. 25 Buses/hour Route: 18 50 Buses/hour Bus operation is set in accordance with current bus operation (route, frequency), because there are some bus user with the destination around the station. e.g. 58 = 37 x 22/14 Min. Requirement of Nos. of Bus Bay Operational Requirements Arrival: 3 min. /bus/bay Departure: 10 min. /bus/bay Arrival 3 Bus bays 720/60 = 12<14 → 14 buses/hr. 1,280/60 = 22 buses/hr. Departure 8 Bus bays Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 30 Preliminary Layout Option 2 (1.5 ha) Proposed Bus Terminal Arrival: 4 bays Departure : 8 bays Proposed Station Bus Arrival Area 1 West - Station Building: Main Ticket Gate, Station Office, Waiting Room East Entrance: Ticket Gate (from Northern Direction): 1 bay Bus Arrival Area 2 (from Eastern Direction / Kadawatha. etc. ): 2 bay Bus Arrival Area 3 (from Western Direction / Colombo, etc.): 1 bay Bus Departure Area (to all directions; 8 bay) Parking Car Parking: 58 lots Bike Parking: 45lots Pedestrian Deck For Safe Transfer Image of Shops Commercial Facilities (Reference: Floating Market at Pettah) Public Plaza Shopping Mall Shops / Kiosks with Public Plaza Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 31 Comparison of Development Options Option 1: 1.8 ha Option 2: 1.5 ha Bus Bay Arr.: 4 bays / Dep.: 7 bays Arr.: 4 bays / Dep.: 8 bays Transfer Distance Bus Arr. > Station: 40 - 60 m Station > Bus Dep.: 60 - 85 m Taxi Bay > Station: 100 m Bus Arr. > Station: 50 - 75 m Station > Bus Dep.: 70 - 100 m Taxi Bay > Station: 60 m Other Features (+) Shorter transfer distance (+) Main railway station facilities: east side, close to the existing market and hospital (+) More parking space (+) Minimum land area with maximum usage (+) Main railway station facilities: west side, close to proposed commercial facility and bus terminal (+) Minimum damage to the existing railway land and facilities. Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 32 Construction Cost (Preliminary Estimation) Option 1 (1.8 ha) Item Unit Cost (USD/m2) No. of Floor Floor Area (m2) Pavement Bus Terminal / Bus Arrival Area Car Parking / Pick-up / Drop-off / Taxi Bay Internal Road Plaza / Sidewalk / Pedestrian Area Landscaping and Others Pedestrian Deck Shelter Roof No. of Floor Area Estimated Floor (m2) Cost (USD) 1,153,700 14,000 1,000,600 100 4,850 485,000 3,640 364,000 50 3,730 186,500 2,750 137,500 50 70 50 840 5,760 740 42,000 403,200 37,000 1,340 5,930 340 67,000 415,100 17,000 5,060 9,459,000 3,760 7,126,000 1,800 2 (GF+1F) 1,800 1(1F) 1,500 1 1,010 170 850 1,818,000 2 (GF+1F) 306,000 2 (GF+1F) 1,275,000 1 400 720 340 720,000 1,296,000 510,000 1,200 1,030 1,236,000 1,150 1,380,000 400 520 208,000 1,090 436,000 18,980 5,996,700 16,610 5,342,600 3,030 6,060,000 12,056,700 2,300 4,600,000 9,942,600 TOTAL Commercial Building*1 TOTAL incl. com. Bildg. Estimated Cost (USD) 15,920 Building Station Building (West) Station Building (East) Shops / Kiosks*2 Option 2 (1.5 ha) 2,000 4 22,010 4 18,910 *1 Commercial Building: Foot print area is 757.5m2 (Option 1) and 575.0m2 (Option 2). *2 Shops / Kiosks: is located at east area, which can provide the 53 shops (Option 1) and 21 shops (4m x 4m). Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 33 Bird View of Proposed MMC at Ragama Station Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 34 Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 35 Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 36 4. Impact Analysis Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 37 Economic Benefits of MMC Savings of Travel Time Cost (TTC) due to the reduction of access distance to Ragama Station for passengers from the western area by providing the new entrance of the railway station on the western side Savings of Travel Time Cost (TTC) due to the reduction of transfer time at Ragama Station Savings of Vehicle Operation Cost (VOC) due to modal shift to public transport Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 38 Cost and Benefit of MMCs Costs 6.0 mil. USD (Option 1) 5.3 mil. USD (Option 2) 12.1 incl. commercial building 9.9 incl. commercial building Benefits Quantitative • Reduction of Vehicle Operation Cost (VOC) by Modal shift benefits for from private modes of transport Economic Analysis • Reduction of Transfer Time by mode integration facilities Reduction of CO2 emission 18,000 ton-CO2 (equivalent to 52,137 trees) Others Profit of commercial facilities, Increase of land value, Reduction of traffic accidents, Improvement of landscape, Provision of urban amenities, Provision of evacuation site in case of a disaster … Economic Analysis Results (EIRR) For 20 years (2015-2035), calculated by the vehicle-km for modal shifted passengers’ due to MMC development, Carbon sequestration rate by tree: 17.5kg-CO2/year (Kottamba Tree) CO2 abatement with MMC at Ragama stations is 294 USD/ton-CO2 17.4 % (Option 1) 18.6 % (Option 2) Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 39 5. Implementation of MMCs Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 40 7. Implementation of MMC: Operational Elements Smooth Transfer Mode Integration for Bus and Railway Services • Coordinated Time Table between Bus and Railway • Common Tickets with IC-Card (NFC), Automatic-Vending Machine Safety • CCTV operation Mode Integration Comfortable Attractive NFC: Near Field Communication, CCTV: Surveillance Camera • Passenger Information System (Operation Status, Routes, Time Table…) • Discount Ticket for mode integration • Kiosk, shops’ opening hours in accordance with operation hours Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 41 8. Implementation of MMC Institutional Arrangements Shopping Mall Bus Terminal Station Building Existing Model Design of Transport Facilities (Service Standard) Supervised by MOT Investment by Private Sector Developed by MOT/SLR Developed by MODUD/UDA Open Space Integrated Development with Surrounding Area by MODUD/UDA Land Sub-division is not preferable. Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 42 5. Conclusions and Acknowledgements Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 43 Conclusions Conceptual development of MMC in urban areas in developing countries Proposal of proto-type MMC taking Ragama station as an example Methodological development in estimating demand and benefit of MMC Economic viability of MMC projects (EIRR of 18.6%) Significant reduction of CO2 (18,000 t-CO2) CO2 abatement with MMC at Ragama stations is 294 USD/ton-CO2 Proposal on operational and institutional arrangements Future Research Mechanism to enhance cross-sector government coordination Detail financial scheme to implement project by PPP Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 44 Acknowledgements This paper is based on experience with the “Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study” by the World Bank and the Ministry of Transport, Sri Lanka. The authors would like to express their gratitude to all the officers of the World Bank, the Ministry of Transport, other Sri Lankan government agencies and the Japan International Cooperation Agency involved in the Study; Dr. Thusitha Sugathapala, Director General of Sustainable Energy Authority; Professor J.M.S.J. Bandara, University of Moratuwa; and all the team members of the Study. Colombo Low Carbon Urban Transport Study Ministry of Transport 45