Enabling energy micro-management through ICT Fabrice Saffre Reducing the need for travel Reducing the need for “material goods” manufacturing and transport Demand Side Management (DSM) • Demand-side management (DSM) programs consist of the planning, implementing, and monitoring activities that are designed to encourage consumers to modify their level and pattern of electricity usage. 70,000 35,000 60,000 30,000 50,000 25,000 40,000 20,000 30,000 15,000 20,000 10,000 10,000 5,000 0 0 1989 1993 Energy Savings 1997 2001 Actual Peakload Reduction 2005 • Combines: – Energy Efficiency – Load Management Megawatts Million Kilowatthours Source: US Energy Information Administration • Needs new techniques and practices to reach full potential Load Management • Contractual agreement giving the utility system operator the power to shape consumer load at peak time, through direct or indirect control (applies primarily to commercial and industrial consumers) • Price incentives to move the flexible load to off-peak periods – Applicable to residential consumers but… – By definition, it requires that the end-user is informed of (and able to act upon) price differentials – This effectively limits DSM to simplistic, “coarse-grained” pricing strategies (e.g. “day-rate” vs. “night-rate”) – Mostly suitable to macro-management Demand-side macro-management Source: UK National Grid 50000 45000 35000 30000 25000 "Normal" load (real data 18-06-07) :0 0 :3 0 21 :0 0 :3 0 18 :0 0 :3 0 15 :0 0 :3 0 12 :0 0 :3 0 09 :0 0 06 :3 0 :0 0 :3 0 03 :3 0 :0 0 20000 00 Megawatt 40000 After DSM (hypothetical) Impact • Total demand on the grid is unchanged, but it is more homogeneously distributed over time • Can potentially contribute to reducing carbon emissions through downscaling and optimisation of the power generation infrastructure (currently designed to support peak-load) • Provides some opportunities for ICT, e.g. at the interface of smart metering and billing • However, it does not directly improve our ability to use micro-generation and/or unpredictable renewable sources Demand-side micro-management 4 3.5 3.5 3 3 Kilowatts 4 Alice's laundry Bob's laundry Carol's laundry Alice's laundry Bob's laundry :0 0 :3 0 21 18 :3 0 :0 0 :0 0 15 :3 0 :0 0 :3 0 12 :0 0 :3 0 09 :3 0 06 03 Base load :0 0 :0 0 :0 0 :3 0 :0 0 :3 0 21 18 :3 0 :0 0 :0 0 :3 0 15 :3 0 12 09 :3 0 :0 0 :3 0 06 :3 0 03 Base load :0 0 1.5 :0 0 1.5 :0 0 2 :0 0 2 :3 0 00 2.5 :3 0 2.5 00 Kilowatts • Fine-grained scheduling of individual energy-consuming processes • Potentially makes a big difference, if applied to local communities Carol's laundry But even better… • Demand-side micro-management makes it possible to shape the load so as to match the local energy supply • The output of (renewable) micro-generation can be factored in… 4 1 0.9 0.8 Kilowatts (supply) Kilowatts (supply) 3.5 3 2.5 2 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 Grid Alice's solar panels Bob's wind turbine Alice's solar panels :0 0 :0 0 :0 0 Bob's wind turbine 19 :0 0 :0 0 18 :0 0 :0 0 17 :0 0 16 :0 0 :0 0 :0 0 15 :0 0 :0 0 14 :0 0 :0 0 13 :0 0 :0 0 12 :0 0 :0 0 11 :0 0 :0 0 10 :0 0 :0 0 09 :0 0 08 21 :3 0 :0 0 :0 0 :3 0 18 :0 0 :3 0 15 :0 0 :3 0 12 :0 0 :3 0 09 :0 0 :3 0 06 :3 0 :0 0 0 03 00 :3 0 :0 0 1.5 But even better… 2 1.8 1.8 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.2 Kilowatts 2 1 0.8 1 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0 0 From Alice's solar panels From Bob's wind turbine From the grid 08 : 00 :0 0 09 :0 0: 00 10 :0 0: 00 11 :0 0: 00 12 :0 0: 00 13 :0 0: 00 14 :0 0: 00 15 :0 0: 00 16 :0 0: 00 17 :0 0: 00 18 :0 0: 00 19 :0 0: 00 0.6 00 :0 0 09 :0 0: 00 10 :0 0: 00 11 :0 0: 00 12 :0 0: 00 13 :0 0: 00 14 :0 0: 00 15 :0 0: 00 16 :0 0: 00 17 :0 0: 00 18 :0 0: 00 19 :0 0: 00 0.6 08 : Kilowatts • Demand-side micro-management makes it possible to shape the load so as to match the local energy supply • The output of (renewable) micro-generation can be factored in… From Alice's solar panels From Bob's wind turbine From the grid Implementation • ICT is a key enabler to any micro-scale combination of power generation and demand-side management • The whole concept relies upon the ability to – Collect and share information about the current and/or predicted output of local renewable sources – Identify and evaluate opportunities to redistribute the flexible load so as to maximise autonomy from the grid – Implement the preferred schedule by instructing “smart” appliances to start/pause/resume queuing processes • This can be done from a control centre using “brute force” to compute the optimal solution • Recent research suggests that a decentralised approach using negotiation between software agents is also feasible Alternatively… Ready! Sta nd by Bob Carol The Internet Alice Dave Alternatively… Bob Carol The Internet Alice Dave Conclusions • ICT offers obvious opportunities for substituting information transfer to physical movement • This is actually where we could make the biggest difference in the short to medium term • However, the war against climate change has to be fought on several fronts and over multiple timescales • In the long run, reducing our society’s appetite for energy may be unavoidable • Automated management of the flexible demand and an increased ability to tap into renewable sources could be the key to a soft landing… Thank you