Geomorphology 26 Ž1998. 139–150 Geoecology and mass movement in the Manaslu-Ganesh and Langtang-Jugal Himals, Nepal R.A. Marston b a,) , M.M. Miller b, L.P. Devkota c a UniÕersity of Wyoming, Laramie, WY 82071, USA Foundation for Glacier and EnÕironmental Research and UniÕersity of Idaho, Moscow, ID 83843, USA c Central Department of Meteorology, P.O. Box 127, Lalitpur, Nepal Received 15 May 1996; revised 10 December 1997; accepted 1 March 1998 Abstract This study describes and explains the spatial distribution of mass movement in the central Nepal Himalaya. Judgments were formulated on the origin and rates of mass movement using field evidence, topographic maps, geologic maps, and SPOT imagery. Mass movement scars were mapped in the field during a 240-km traverse of the Langtang-Jugal Himal and a 300-km traverse of the Manaslu-Ganesh Himal. Chi-square analyses revealed that the frequency of slope failures varies with slope aspect, and position aboverbelow the Main Central Thrust ŽMCT.. Human disturbance did not account for a statistically significant increase in mass movement, except in sites occupied by mid-slope roads and where excessively steep slopes, marginal for agriculture or grazing, have been deforested. q 1998 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved. Keywords: geoecology; mass movement; Nepal; Main Central Thrust 1. Introduction The geomorphic development of hillslopes in the middle mountain, high mountain, and high Himalaya physiographic regions of central Nepal has been dominated by ancient and modern mass movement coupled with dramatic incision by major rivers. Travel through these regions is difficult without being impressed by the extent of mass movement. Considerable debate rages among Himalayan scientists over the relative effect of human activities on the magnitude and frequency of mass movement. ) Corresponding author. Excellent summaries of this debate are provided by Carson Ž1985., Ives and Messerli Ž1989., Bruijnzeel and Bremmer Ž1989. and in papers presented at the 1995 Workshop on Landslide Hazard Management and Control in the Hindu Kush Himalaya in Kathmandu Že.g., Mool, 1995.. Very few engineering studies of slope stability have been reported, primarily because of the difficulty in acquiring adequate field data of the detail needed. In any case, engineering slope stability analyses often do not lead to a general understanding of controls on mass movement because of the difficulty in extrapolating from one field site to the next without an equivalent amount of detailed field data. Thus, we remain at a stage where 0169-555Xr98r$ - see front matter q 1998 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved. PII: S 0 1 6 9 - 5 5 5 X Ž 9 8 . 0 0 0 5 5 - 5 140 R.A. Marston et al.r Geomorphology 26 (1998) 139–150 inventories of mass movement are useful ŽMool, 1995.. The consequences of mass movement in the Himalaya are well documented. One set of consequences involves the loss of productive land for forestry, cultivation, or range use. This dimension of the hazard from mass movement is acknowledged by mountain villagers as a serious problem, but in many cases, supernatural causes are blamed. Johnson et al. Ž1982. have described the range of responses by mountain villagers to mass movement events, including preventive maintenance and repair for reuse at a lower land use intensity. A second consequence of mass movement involves the sedimentation impact on stream channels ŽFig. 1.. Aggradation promotes stream undercutting of slopes which triggers yet more mass movement and aggradation—a positive feedback not easily remedied by engineering works. In some cases, temporary dams are created across channels that cause catastrophic flooding upon failure in the manner described by Costa and Schuster Ž1988.. Damage to hydropower and irrigation projects is a major impact of this sedimentation ŽHMGr WESC, 1987.. Mass movement, and the channel shifting and flooding related to it, are considered by some to be another manifestation of the destruction of life support systems on the Ganges River Plain by the actions of subsistence farmers in the mountains ŽIves and Messerli, 1989.. This study evaluates the spatial distribution of mass movement in the central Nepal Himalaya. An attempt was made to formulate some judgments on the origin and rates of mass movement. On this later point, it is dangerous to try isolating triggering mechanisms. The processes that trigger mass movement operate on different time scales. For instance, contrast the long-term effect of progressive weathering along the soil–bedrock contact with the seasonal effect of fluctuating water tables and the sporadic effect of earthquakes. Moreover, it is difficult to identify the triggering mechanism of mass movement events from hundreds or thousands of years ago. As Fig. 1. Streamside mass movement and associated channel aggradation common to the central Nepal Himalaya. Located along unnamed tributary to the Malemchi Khola near Talamarang. R.A. Marston et al.r Geomorphology 26 (1998) 139–150 Fig. 2. Route through the Langtang-Jugal Himal and Manaslu-Ganesh Himal. All scars from mass movement within the viewshed along this route were surveyed. 141 R.A. Marston et al.r Geomorphology 26 (1998) 139–150 142 an alternative, it is more useful to focus on the intrinsic and more static elements of those landscapes prone to mass movement. 2. Methods Scars from mass movements were mapped in the field during a 240-km traverse of the Langtang-Jugal Himal and a 300-km traverse of the 1987 ManasluGanesh Himal ŽFig. 2.. Each scar from mass movement was mapped within the ‘ viewshed’ as long as the location and degree of vegetation disturbance could be evaluated. The surveys included portions of the middle mountain, high mountain and high Himalaya physiographic regions as described in HMGrWESC Ž1987. and in the work of Ives and Messerli Ž1989.. The middle mountain and high mountain physiographic regions are divided by the Main Central Thrust ŽMCT.. The MCT is a major lithologic, metamorphic, and structural discontinuity. Below the MCT occur low grade, argillaceous and calcareous metasediments. Above the MCT occur high grade arenaceous metasediments, but with an inverse metamorphic gradient. The MCT is the only indisputable thrust fault within the eastern Himalaya ŽSchelling, 1987.. In the field, kyanite is often found immediately above the MCT, and serves as an aid to mapping. Table 1 Frequency of 272 recorded slope failures by slope aspect, position aboverbelow the MCT, and whether natural or human-caused Aspect Aboverbelow MCT Cause Observed no. Žfor chi-square calculations. Expected no. Žfor chi-square calculations. N 14.9% below 4.1% natural 3.0% human 1.1% natural 7.0% human 3.8% natural 5.4% human 4.1% natural 3.5% human 0.2% natural 1.5% human 1.5% natural 5.2% human 2.0% natural 1.1% human 4.5% natural 5.8% human 4.0% natural 1.8% human 1.8% natural 8.0% human 2.3% natural 4.8% human 2.0% natural 2.6% human 1.1% natural 1.6% human 0.9% natural 5.3% human 1.4% natural 2.4% human 3.2% natural 6.3% human 3.5% 5 1 3 1 8 2 5 2 16 3 11 6 17 3 10 3 31 11 25 9 15 4 10 6 13 2 9 5 17 5 9 5 8 3 19 10 14 4 9 1 5 4 14 5 3 12 16 11 5 5 22 6 4 5 7 3 4 3 14 4 6 9 17 10 above 10.8% NE 10.5% below 6.8% above 3.7% E 10.2% below 3.0% above 7.2% SE 15.4% below 5.6% above 9.8% S 13.9% below 3.6% above 10.3% SW 10.5% below 6.8% above 3.7% W 9.2% below 2.5% above 6.7% NW 15.4% below 5.6% above 9.8% R.A. Marston et al.r Geomorphology 26 (1998) 139–150 143 Fig. 3. Debris slide of 75,000 m3 in undisturbed forest of the Middle Mountains below the Ganesh Himal. For scale, the waterfall at top right is 80 m high. Several characteristics at each site were recorded for a total of 272 scars from mass movement ŽTable 1.. Slope aspect was recorded, but slope gradient could not be measured accurately from a distance or from topographic maps. The lithologic–structural setting of each scar was noted, using direct observation where the scar could be inspected. Otherwise, reference was made to the 1:200,000 scale French geologic map ŽColchen et al., 1980. of the Annapurna–Manaslu-Ganesh region or the 1:1,000,000 scale map produced by the Nepal Department of Mines and Geology ŽHMGrDMG, 1980.. More detailed geologic maps of this region are not available. In terms of the origin of the scar, a simple classification as ‘natural’ or ‘human-caused’ was used, following the simple criteria of Laban Ž1979.. If the scar was located in a forest or was undercut by a river, it was placed in the natural class ŽFig. 3.. If the scar was located in cleared or cultivated land, or was directly attributed to road construction, it was classed as human-caused. This classification has some inherent ambiguity because natural mass movement can occur in disturbed areas, thereby possibly overstating the extent of mass movement triggered by humans. In the final analysis, however, results were not affected by this procedure. Meteorological variables were ignored in this study; Caine and Mool Ž1982. have noted that this is not a limiting factor. Poor seismicity records prevented analysis of earthquake activity as a control on the spatial distribution of mass movement, although in some portions of the Himalaya, this factor can be an important driving force for mass movement ŽSarkar et al., 1995.. 3. Results 3.1. The form and origin of scars from mass moÕement by physiographic region The middle mountain physiographic region of the Manaslu-Ganesh Himal is situated below the MCT, so the bedrock is dominated by phyllites, quartzites, and garnet mica schist. The combination of these lithologic units with the hot–wet climate and dense vegetation has led to deep weathering and a rounding of slope breaks by soil creep. Slope gradients range 144 R.A. Marston et al.r Geomorphology 26 (1998) 139–150 Fig. 4. Debris slide of 225,000 m3 on terraced hillslopes of Middle Mountains near the village of Linju. Note the breached dam and lacustrine deposits behind the former dam. Fig. 5. Debris slide of 900,000 m 3 in the Middle Mountains of the Helambu District, Langtang-Jugal Himal. The scale of this mass movement scar prohibits any rehabilitation. R.A. Marston et al.r Geomorphology 26 (1998) 139–150 up to 308. Stream undercutting is locally important as a trigger to debris slides along major rivers such as the Marsyandi and Buri Gandaki and their tributaries ŽFigs. 4 and 5.. The high mountain physiographic region of the Manaslu-Ganesh Himal is underlain by a medium- to coarse-textured augen gneiss. This lithology is structurally more competent, providing the framework for the prevailing cuestaform topography. The cuestas dip to the north, leading some to speculate that the topography is the surface expression of thrust sheets. Slope breaks are sharp between the dip slope and 145 scarp slopes. Irrigation drainage from the dip slopes, sometimes discharged onto the scarp slope, triggers debris slides ŽFig. 6.. The angle of dip increases from 108 to more than 308 as one moves from south to north. At higher elevations, the dip slopes become excessively steep, dipping up to 458, and soils are more shallow, with abundant evidence of ancient and modern debris slides. Deforestation does accelerate mass movement on steep slopes which are marginal for agriculture ŽBishop, 1990.. The middle mountain and high mountain physiographic regions of the Langtang-Jugal Himal are Fig. 6. Debris slide of 6000 m 3 in High Mountains of Manaslu-Ganesh Himal. This slide was caused by discharge of excess irrigation drainage from terraced fields onto a scarp slope in the loess mantled, cuestaform slopes. 146 R.A. Marston et al.r Geomorphology 26 (1998) 139–150 the largest slide in the world in crystalline rock has been reported by Heuberger et al. Ž1984. and Schramm et al., 1998, this issue. An estimated mass of 10 km3 was displaced along a fault plane. The sliding surface generated fused crystals. Quaternary age glaciers in Langtang have removed or buried 60 to 75% of the deposits from this event. 3.2. Statistical analyses of scars from mass moÕement The chi-square statistical procedure was used to test several hypotheses regarding the spatial distribution of the 272 scars from mass movement. In each test, the division between classes was normalized by the percent of the study area sampled that occurred in each class, a key procedure that was not followed in all past studies. The first hypothesis could be stated as follows. H o : No difference in the frequency of mass movement exists among slope aspects. Fig. 7. Debris slide of 5000 m3 in loess mantled slopes on ridge above Trisuli River. Note Hindu chortens along ridgetop trail in this Middle Mountain region of the Langtang-Jugal Himal. mantled with loess probably derived from the Tibetan Plateau. Deep-seated slides and slumps are the dominant form of mass movement in undisturbed situations. Deforestation and poor control of terrace drainage are more important here in triggering mass movement than in the Manaslu-Ganesh Himal ŽFig. 7.. In the high Himalaya physiographic region of the Manaslu-Ganesh and Langtang-Jugal Himals, frost action generates huge talus cones and felsenmeer Žsee Watanabe et al., 1998, this issue., especially along fractures. Slopes at elevations above 3000 m, oversteepened by glaciation, may have near vertical slopes with local relief in excess of 2000 m. A sheeting structure because of multiple joint sets was identified in gneissic and granitic bedrock which may contribute to massive block slides. What may be Fig. 8 illustrates the difference between the observed frequency of mass movement and the ‘expected’ frequency of mass movement Ži.e., the frequency if mass movement was distributed between Fig. 8. Expected and observed frequency of mass movement by slope aspect. R.A. Marston et al.r Geomorphology 26 (1998) 139–150 slopes of different aspects proportional to area sampled in each aspect.. The data in Table 1 reveal that mass movement on south-facing aspects was more frequent than expected. This aspect is on the windward side of summer monsoon storms and receives the most direct solar insolation. Therefore, soils may be subject to numerous wet–dry cycles which can contribute to mass movement. In addition, abandoned land on south-facing slopes is not as quick to revegetate. The calculated chi-square value was 71.78, greater than the critical chi-square value of 24.32 for df s 7 Ži.e., eight different slope aspects. at p - 0.001. Therefore, we rejected the first hypothesis and concluded that mass movement did vary with slope aspect. The second hypothesis regarding the spatial distribution of mass movement can be stated as follows. H o : No difference in the frequency of mass movement exists above and below the MCT. Fig. 9 illustrates that mass movement was more frequent than expected below the MCT and less frequent than expected above the MCT. The deeply weathered gneiss above the MCT appears to be more susceptible to piping and gullying than to mass movement, confirming the findings of Brunsden et al. Ž1981. from studies in eastern Nepal. The calculated chi-square value was 39.06, greater than the critical chi-square value of 10.83 for df s 1 at p 0.001. Therefore, we rejected the second hypothesis and concluded that mass wasting did vary with position above and below the MCT. No significant difference in mass movements could be discerned between the phyllites, shales, and schists below the MCT. Fig. 9. Expected and observed frequency of mass movement by position aboverbelow the MCT. 147 Fig. 10. Expected and observed frequency of mass movement in landscapes in a ‘natural’ condition and in landscapes disturbed by human activities. The third hypothesis can be stated as follows. H o : No difference in the frequency of mass movements exists between disturbed and undisturbed landscapes. Fig. 10 illustrates that mass movement was more frequent than expected in undisturbed Ž‘natural’. areas and less frequent than expected in disturbed Ž‘human-caused’. areas. The calculated chi-square value was 10.99, greater than the critical chi-square value of 10.83 for df s 1 at p - 0.001. Therefore, we rejected the third hypothesis and concluded that mass movement did vary with the degree of disturbance, but opposite to the trend often reported for other regions of the world. Does this finding mean the vegetation is unimportant? It is necessary to distinguish between shallow and deep-seated forms of mass movement. On unvegetated slopes, mass movements are smaller and more shallow. Larger, deeper slides occur independent of vegetation cover ŽFig. 11.. Moreover, human activities do account for a disproportionate share of mass movement in some settings, poor road construction, and trail disruption of slopes being the most notable ŽFig. 12.. Clearcutting or poor drainage from terraced fields onto loess-derived soils or steep slopes with shallow soils Žespecially in the cuestaform topography of the high Himalaya. also leads to accelerated mass movement. Nevertheless, these data help refute the broad assumption that human activities greatly increase sediment production from mountain regions of Nepal, a conclusion also reached by Ives and Messerli Ž1989. and Stevens Ž1993.. The notion that deforestation accelerates mass movement can be exemplified by 148 R.A. Marston et al.r Geomorphology 26 (1998) 139–150 Fig. 11. Deep-seated slump of 2,000,000 m3 west of Trisuli Bazar in the Middle Mountains. Fig. 12. Mass movement triggered by mid-slope road construction, near village of Tarkughat, Middle Mountains, Manaslu Himal. R.A. Marston et al.r Geomorphology 26 (1998) 139–150 studies of the effect of clearcutting around the Pacific Rim reviewed by Sidle et al. Ž1985.. They found that long-term rates of mass movement in clearcuts were 7.8 times greater than in forested areas. Also, mass movement from individual storm events was 17.1 times more frequent in clearcuts than in forested terrain. The combination of terrain variables in the Himalaya, however, are not found elsewhere in the world. Our observations were that terraces can serve to stabilize slopes, especially with ‘kari’ type terraces that include a berm on the outside edge of the terrace Ža bund. to control downslope water movement. This finding confirms the observations of Kienholz et al. Ž1984.. 149 Dr. David Wilson, Mission Director of US AID in Nepal; Lew McFarlane, Charge d’Affairs in the American Embassy in Kathmandu; and Major Robin Marston and Dr. Lute Jerstad of Mountain Travel Nepal. Support for the expedition was provided by the Foundation for Glacier and Environmental Research, Pacific Science Center, Seattle, WA; the University of Idaho via the Glaciological Institute and American–Nepal Education Foundation; and the Wyoming Water Resources Center and College of Arts and Sciences at the University of Wyoming. This manuscript was improved by the suggestions of John R. Giardino ŽTexas A & M University., Dr. Jean-Paul Bravard ŽUniversite´ Paris IV—Sorbonne., Dr. John F. Shroder, Jr., and anonymous reviewers. 4. Conclusions References This study has identified a few of the key terrain and land use variables that can explain the spatial distribution of scars from mass movements in the central Nepal Himalaya. Some indication has been provided of just how dominant mass movement is as a modern geomorphic process in the evolution of hillslopes in the region. The study demonstrates that human activities do not account for a disproportionate share of mass movement, contrary to a large number of references in the scientific literature and in the popular media linking deforestation with mass movement. Deforestation is occurring, although the style and extent varies from one region of Nepal to the next. At the same time, devastating mass movement is occurring, but the great leap in logic linking these two phenomena cannot be supported by the data in this study area. Acknowledgements Assisting in the liaison with the Nepal government and providing other help and advice scientifically and logistically were: Dr. Bidhur Upadhyay, Head of the Department of Meteorology, Tribhuvan University; Professor Suresh Chalise, Dean of Science at Tribhuvan University and currently a consultant to ICIMOD; Shailesh Chandra Singh, Executive Director of the National Council of Science and Technology in Nepal; Dr. Allen Bassett, geologist; Bishop, B.C., 1990. 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