Global Climate Change Politics SIS 620 Monday 5:30-8pm Location: TBD Instructor: Professor Sikina Jinnah Office: 302 SIS Email: Jinnah@american.edu Phone: 202-885-1819 Office hours: Monday 4:00-5:00pm and Friday 10am-11am (by appointment, see Google doc) Course Description: Although the science surrounding climate change is becoming increasingly clear, the ethical, social and political discussions surrounding how to address it remain as contested as ever. While the industrialized world has been historically responsible for causing the problem over the last 150 years, scientific evidence suggests that we cannot avoid the dangerous effects of climate change without reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from both developed and some rapidly growing developing countries (e.g. India and China). This fundamental inequity is what underlies most political debates on climate change in international relations. This course will begin to explore the terrain of these debates in the context of the upcoming 21st Conference of the Parties (COP21) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) due to take place in 30 November – 11 December 2015 in Paris, France. This course will explore some of the tough questions that governments are currently debating on the global stage, including: should developing countries be required to reduce their GHG emissions; if so, what mechanisms are available for doing so, who should pay for it, and should all developing countries be treated equally; and if not, what are the alternative problem solving tools and what would those entail from the developed world? No prior experience with climate politics is required, however students with an interest in international relations, international law, global environmental policy, and/or sustainable development will benefit most from this course. While we will briefly review the major biological/ecological impacts of climate change, students are expected to have a basic understanding of climate change science. If you feel uncertain about your familiarity with climate change science please see me for some recommended readings and/or upcoming lectures on campus to fill the gap. 1 The course will be taught in a seminar format. Students are expected to come to class having read the material carefully and ready to discuss it. I will lecture and invite guest speakers from time to time, but this course relies heavily on direct student engagement with the course material. There are many ways you can participate, including through: small and large group discussions of reading material, in-class simulations, written and oral presentations, and peer review. Course Objectives: If you do the reading carefully, come to class prepared to discuss them, and take your assignments seriously, by the end of the semester you will: • Be professionally conversant in global-level climate policy; • Understand and be able to comprehensively discuss the political dynamics and diverse interests that make climate change such a difficult problem to solve politically; • Be an expert in the domestic level policy initiatives in one country, and be able to roughly compare those initiatives to what is going on in other countries; • Develop your skills in critical thinking, analytical research and writing, public speaking, creative thinking, and team building. Assignments and Grading: Participation and Attendance (20%): Participation and attendance in class are required. Please show up to class on time and ready to discuss the reading material. As is typical for a graduate seminar there is a fair amount of reading for this course. Please read the material carefully and arrive to class prepared to have a thoughtful discussion about it with your peers. Think about the “In class discussion” questions for each week before coming to class. Mock Negotiations (50%) We will have our own mock negotiation session in class on November 9 (Week 11). Each student will represent a country at the negotiations, assigned by me taking your preferences into account. I will assign the precise topic that we will discuss approximately 3 weeks prior to the mock negotiations. You will be graded on the basis of how well prepared you are for the mock negotiation session and how well you represent your countries’ interests at the session. I will post more detailed instructions on BB closer to the time. Climate and … Project (20%) Proposal (Abstract and Title)– 5% (due Week 3) Peer Review Comments – 5% (due Week 7) 2 Final Presentation – 40% (Weeks 13 and 14) Research Paper -50% (due Week 15) Climate change impacts and concerns can be linked to virtually every issue on the political spectrum. It has implications for everything from water availability, biodiversity, and agriculture, to development, gender, and security. While in some cases there is an obvious and logical link between climate change and a specific issue (e.g. climate change and coral reef conservation), in others, the link is less obvious and perhaps warrants some explanation (e.g. climate change and indigenous rights). This assignment gives you the opportunity to explore the links between climate change and an issue of your choice. Some examples of topics you might chose, include “climate and…”: women, agriculture, land use, forests, biodiversity, the aviation industry, the shipping industry, refugees, development, security, water, oceans, cities, peatlands, biochar, buildings, biofuels, indigenous rights, etc. Your paper must have a central thesis/argument. That is, it must go beyond mere description to make an argument about the issue you are exploring. It must also be cited properly throughout. I don’t care which citation style you use, as long as it is recognized and standardized throughout the paper. It should be 8-10 pages double-spaced, not including references, 11-12 point font, with 1-inch margins. Final Class Response (10%) In preparation for the last day of class I will ask you to post a 2-2.5 page response to a specific prompt on BB. This response will be reflective about the future trajectory about climate politics and ask you to assess how your thoughts have evolved on this topic over the course of the semester. Grading Scale: 97-100 – A(+) 94-97 – A 90 -93 – A- 87-89 – B+ 84-86 – B 80-83 – B- 77-79 – C+ 74-78 – C 70-73 – C- 67-69 – D+ 64-68 - D 60-63 – D- <60 - F Late Policy: You are strongly urged to hand in work on time as indicated on the syllabus. Unless otherwise indicated, late assignments will incur the following penalties: a 1/3 grade drop per day (i.e. an A becomes an A- starting immediately after the due date/time). Assignments more than 3 days late will not receive any credit. Course Website: I have set up a course web page on Blackboard. You will find the syllabus there as well as other resources for class. Academic Integrity: All students are expected to abide by AU’s Academic Integrity Code (available at: http://www.american.edu/academics/integrity/code.htm). All violations will be forwarded directly to the Dean’s office. 3 Emergency Preparedness: In the event of a declared pandemic (influenza or other communicable disease), American University will implement a plan for meeting the needs of all members of the university community. Should the university be required to close for a period of time, we are committed to ensuring that all aspects of our educational programs will be delivered to our students. These may include altering and extending the duration of the traditional term schedule to complete essential instruction in the traditional format and/or use of distance instructional methods. Specific strategies will vary from class to class, depending on the format of the course and the timing of the emergency. Faculty will communicate class-specific information to students via AU email and Blackboard, while students must inform their faculty immediately of any absence due to illness. Students are responsible for checking their AU e-mail regularly and keeping themselves informed of emergencies. In the event of a declared pandemic or other emergency, students should refer to the AU Web site (www. prepared. american.edu) and the AU information line at (202) 885-1100 for general university-wide information, as well as contact their faculty and/or respective dean’s office for course and school/ college-specific information. Topics and Readings: Required Readings: All required readings for class are available on Blackboard (*) or as indicated on the syllabus. Week 1 (Aug 31): Introduction to Course and International Relations and Climate Change Readings: *O’Neill, Kate. 2009. “Introduction: The environment and international relations,” in The Environment and International Relations. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. pages1-23. IPCC AR5 Summary for Policy Makers Available at: http://www.climatechange2013.org/images/report/WG1AR5_SPM_FINAL.pdf *Grubb, Michael. 2015. “From Lima and Paris, Part I: The Lima Hangover” Climate Policy. 15(3): 299-301 In class discussion: What role do you expect the international community to play in addressing climate change? What role should the UN play? Bilateral agreements? Regional ones? How should this compare to what individual countries, cities, municipalities and/or local communities are doing? What is your hope for the future of 4 climate change policy in a global context? What do you hope to do to address this problem in your own life? Week 2 (September 7): University Closed for Labor Day No reading but start thinking about which country you’d like to represent for the mock negotiations and start thinking about your research paper topic and collecting readings that might be useful in your research. Week 3 (September 14): Intro to Global Climate Policy AND Proposal Presentations Mock Negotiations: Top 3 country preferences due at the beginning of class. Assignments confirmed at end of class Climate &…Project abstracts due in class (HARD COPY) Readings: Explore the UNFCCC website, available at: www.unfccc.int Read at least 4 articles/book sections of your choice to enable you to submit well informed abstract of your proposed research project. Each student will briefly present their proposal and we will discuss them as a group. Please bring a hard copy of your proposed title and abstract to class to turn into me. Proposal instructions: Proposals should summarize the issue you wish to research and clearly state and explain the central thesis. It’s ok if the thesis changes as you do your research, but it’s a good idea to start from a point of argument rather than one of description. Please also include a working title and a list of at least 10 references (properly cited) that you have found to inform your research. Per the instructions above, you should have identified at least 4 readings that are useful enough to read closely by now (for every 10 you find, expect 2 or 3 to actually be useful!). You should read the abstracts and/or skim the rest of the articles on your reference list before coming to class. Please don’t just list the first 10 things that come up when you search Google scholar, but put some time into finding articles that are useful and will actually help you to write a graduate-level research paper. Proposal abstracts should be no more than 1 page, not including reference lists. In class discussion: Proposal presentations (2-3 min per student, plus questions) Week 4 (September 21): Equity in Global Climate Politics: What’s Fair? What’s Necessary? What’s Realistic? 5 Note: Most important lecture for the mock tonight. Warning: It’s a bit long. Readings: *Jinnah, Sikina. Draft manuscript in preparation. “Beyond the Blame Game: Emerging Powers and Normative Contestation over Climate Change” *Bell, Derik. (2011) “Climate Duties, Human Rights, and Historic Emissions.” in Harris, Paul. (ed.) China’s Responsibility for Climate Change. Bristol: The Policy Press. pgs 2446 *Agarwal, Anil and Sunita Narain. 2015. “Environmental Colonialism: The Perverse Politics of Climate Change.” Except reproduced in Global Environmental Politics: From Person to Planet. Simon Nicholson and Paul Wapner (eds.) Boulder, London: Paradigm Publishers. Pages233-237. Assignment: Explore the WRI CAIT Equity Explorer to compare your country and 2-3 others represented in the negotiations. Come to class prepared to discuss any interesting findings/data that you found. The tool is available here: http://cait.wri.org/equity/?countries=%5B%5D&indicators=%5B%5D In class discussion: What are the central equity issues in global climate politics? Given the climate impacts we discussed in class last week, how important are issues of equity to developing climate policy? How likely are we do develop climate policies in the absence of robust equity considerations? Where do you stand on China’s responsibility for climate mitigation? Week 5 (September 28): Equity Continued… Peer Review Groups Assigned for Research Papers Reference List Instructions: Please submit a properly formatted updated references list for your research paper in HARD COPY in class today. You should have collected at least 20 sources by now that you think will be helpful in writing your paper. At least half of them should be from scholarly sources (i.e. NOT white papers, NGOs opinion pieces, websites, etc.). Please put your name and the title of your paper at the top. Readings: Watch The Island President (on reserve in library and available on Netflix) before coming to class today. Post a 1-3 paragraph response to the film on BB and come to class ready to discuss. 6 Be sure you’ve read all of the scholarly sources identified on your reference list to date. Consider this goal your assigned reading for this week. Assignment: (1) Choose two countries’ INDCs to read. Write a brief 1-page summary summarizing and comparing them. Come to class prepared to discuss and analyze your findings. You can find INDCs here: http://unfccc.int/focus/indc_portal/items/8766.php (2) Explore the WRI CAIT Equity Explorer to compare your country and 2-3 others (can be the ones you looked at for part 1 of this assignment) represented in the negotiations. Write a brief 1/2 –1 page summary of your findings. Come to class prepared to discuss any interesting findings/data that you found. The tool is available here: http://cait.wri.org/equity/?countries=%5B%5D&indicators=%5B%5D (3) Research your country’s emissions data – historic, current, AND projected. Based on this data, what is a reasonable commitment for your country in the UNFCCC? Write a ½1 page summary and analysis of this information and be prepared to discuss in class. Post write ups to BB discussion forum, “Working with Country Commitments” before coming to class on Friday In class discussion: How do countries’ INDCs vary? What problems does this present? Based on your analysis of equity dimensions should countries INDCs vary? Why, why not? How could they be improved? In class video: The Climate Game and the World’s Poor (IIED, 45 min) Week 6 (October 5): Key Negotiating Issues on the Road to Paris Rough Drafts of Research Papers due to your Peer Review Groups Today via Email Readings: *Peter A. Minang and Meine Van Noordwijk. 2014. “The Political Economy of Readiness for REDD+” Climate Policy. 14(6):677-684 Remi Moncel, Paul Joffe, Kelly Levin and Kevin McCal (WRI). 2011. “Building The Climate Change Regime: Survey and Analysis of Approaches” Available here: http://wri.org/sites/default/files/building_the_climate_change_regime.pdf Special Class Today! I am organizing a conference on campus today, entitled “Climate Governance on the Road to Paris.” I will be hosting 7-10 speakers from various NGOs, governments, and universities, on two panels throughout the day. Your attendance is required at the keynote address, which by design, overlaps with the timing for our class. 7 You are also invited and encouraged, but not required, to attend the two panels, which will run from 1pm to 5pm that day. The first panel is entitled “Climate Governance in the US and Canada: Carbon Markets and Beyond.” The second panel may be especially interesting to you, it is entitled “Negotiating a Post-2020 Climate Deal: What to Expect from Paris.” I will send more details closer to the time. You can also follow the conference updates and full program, including times for the panels, here: www.auclimateconference.weebly.com The conference will take place in the SIS Founder’s Room. Week 7 (October 12): Climate Finance AND Peer Review Group Discussions First half of class (5:30-6:30pm): Group discussions of rough drafts. Please bring written comments for all members of your group (or email them before class). Be prepared to verbally critique the 2 papers you were assigned to peer review. Second Half of Class (6:45-8pm): Guest lecture on Climate Finance, Joe Thwaites, World Resources Institute (and GEP Alumnus!) Readings: *Luis Gomez-Echeverri. 2013. “The Changing Geopolitics of Climate Change Finance” Climate Policy. 13(5): 632-648. *Asa Persson & Elise Remling. 2014. “Equity and Efficiency in Adaptation Finance: Initial Experiences of the Adpatation Fund” Climate Policy 14(4): 488-506 *Vanderheiden, Steven. 2015. “Justice and Climate Finance: Differentiating Responsibility in the Green Climate Fund” The International Spectator” 50(1): 3145. Check out the Climate Funds Update website, here: http://www.climatefundsupdate.org/ Week 8 (October 19): Inside a UN Climate Meeting AND Mock Coordination Readings: **Jinnah, Sikina. Manuscript in preparation ““Why Govern the Climate?” in Why Govern? Amitav Acharya (ed.) Under review at Cambridge University Press. IISD (2014) Earth Negotiations Bulletin Summary and Analysis of the COP20, Lima, Peru. Available at: http://www.iisd.ca/download/pdf/enb12619e.pdf (“A Brief Analysis” at the end ONLY) 8 Eco Newsletters from Lima COP-20 (2014). Available here: http://www.climatenetwork.org/eco-newsletters?field_event_nid=4613 Choose 2-3 side event video clips (~5min each) to watch from the Lima COP, available here: http://www.iisd.ca/videos/climate/cop20/ Come to class prepared to explain what you watched/learned. In class discussion: What has the UNFCCC accomplished in terms of solving climate change? What are the benefits of UNFCCC negotiations beyond problem-solving? Why are these negotiations particularly important for developing countries? What about for emerging economies? Is it worth “governing the climate” through the UNFCCC? In class workshop: You will have some time at the end of class today to coordinate within negotiating groups in preparation for the mock prep next week. Please read the instructions for the Mock Prep BEFORE coming to class so you can work efficiently within groups to strategize your approach for next week’s formal preparatory exercise. Week 9 (October 26): Mock Negotiations Preparatory Exercise See Instructions on BB Week 10 (November 2): Mock Negotiations Opening Statements See instructions on BB. Any remaining class time after opening statements will be used to coordinate in negotiating groups for the mock negotiation next week. Please come prepared to use this time efficiently (i.e. bring draft proposals, etc.) Readings: Assuming it’s available as expected on November 1, read the Secretariat’s report on aggregate impacts of INDCs received to date. Should be available on the UNFCCC website and/or through a basic google search. Week 11 (November 9): Mock Negotiations No reading – research packets due at the beginning of class Week 12 (November 16): Debrief of Negotiations AND Climate Linkages: Climate Change & Trade AND AU Climate Activities Debrief due to BB Discussion Forum by 5:30pm today 9 Guest lecture: Megan Zanella-Litke, AU Sustainability Manager (6:15-7:00pm) Readings: *Chasek, Pam, Lynn Wagner, and I. William Zartman. 2015. “Six Ways to Make the Climate Negotiations More Effective” Centre for International Governance Innovation (CICGI) Fixing Climate Governance Policy Brief Series. No. 3 June 2015. *Green, Andrew. 2005. Climate Change, Regulatory Policy and the WTO How Constraining Are Trade Rules? Journal of International Economic Law. 8 (1):143-189. *Brewer, Thomas. 2010. “Trade Policies and Climate Change Policies: A Rapidly Expanding Joint Agenda” The World Economy 33(6): 799–809 In class Discussion: Mock negotiations debrief Week 13 (November 23): Final Paper Presentations (First ~4) AND Geoengineering Guest Lecture: Simon Nicholson, GEP Program Director, 5:30-7p Readings: **Nicholson, Simon and Wil Burns. Forthcoming 2016. “Governing Climate Engineering: Promise or Peril?” in New Earth Politics. Simon Nicholson and Sikina Jinnah (eds.) Cambridge, MA: MIT Press Week 14 (November 30): Final Paper Presentations (Remaining) No reading. Work on Final Papers Week 15 (December 7): Pot Luck, Discussion of the Way Forward, AND Evaluations Final Day Reflection: Due to BB by Monday, December 7 at 10am Readings: *Michele Betsill, et. al. 2015. “Building Productive Links between the UNFCCC and the Broader Global Climate Governance Landscape” Global Environmental Politics 15(2):1-10. 10 *Weischer, Lutz, Morgan, Jennifer, Patel, Milap. 2007 “Climate Clubs: Can Small Groups of Countries make a Big Difference in Addressing Climate Change?” Review of European Community & International Environmental Law 21(3): 14679388 *Andresen, Steinar. 2015. “International Climate Negotiations: Top-down, Bottom-up or a Combination of Both?” The International Spectator. 50(1): 15-30 Final Day Reflection Instructions: Please post a 2-2.5 page response (not including references) to the prompt below. We discussed several of these questions on the first day of class. Your reflection should clearly indicate how your thoughts on these issues have evolved over the course of the semester. You should draw on at least 5 readings in writing your response, including those assigned for today’s class. Cited properly please Prompt: What role do you expect the international community to play in addressing climate change? What role should the UN play? Bilateral agreements? Regional ones? Climate Clubs? How can we build more productive links between levels of governance countries, cities, municipalities and local communities? What is your hope for the future of climate change policy in a global context? What do you hope to do to address this problem in your own life? How has your answer to these questions evolved over the course of the semester? 11 Key Dates and Deadlines Assignment Mock Negotiation Country Preferences Due Date/Week Week 3, Sept. 14 Climate &….Proposals Rough Drafts of Research Paper for Peer Review Peer Review Comments Due on 2 papers assigned to you Week 3, Sept. 14 Week 6, Oct. 5 Mock Prep Exercise Week 9, Oct. 26 Opening Statements Week 10, Nov. 2 Mock Negotiation Week 11, Nov. 9 Mock Debrief Week 12, Nov. 16 Final Presentations Week 13 and 14, Nov. 23 and 30 Final Class Reflection Week 15, Dec. 7, 10am to BB Discussion Board Final Papers Week 15, THURSDAY Dec. 3 at 5pm Week 7, Oct. 12 12 Comments I’ll ask you in class to write down your top 3 preferences from the country list on BB to turn in. HARD COPY in Class Due to 2 peer reviewers (assigned by me) via email Due in hard copy or via email to paper authors before class. Come to class prepared to explain your critiques Nothing due in class but you will be graded on how well prepared you are for this exercise based on your participation in class. Nothing due in class. Grade will be included in research packet grade. Research Packets due in HARD COPY at the end of class. Due to BB before coming to class I’ll let you know which day you’ll be presenting. It will be assigned randomly by theme. Due to BB discussion forum. Note due before class HARD COPY to my office. Note: not due in class but happy to accept papers early