Geographic Variation in Potential of Residential Solar Hot Water System Performance in the United States Authors Camilo E. Gil and Danny S. Parker Original Publication Gil, C. and Parker, D., "Geographic Variation in Potential of Residential Solar Hot Water System Performance in the United States", October 2009. Publication Number FSEC-CR-1817-09 Copyright Copyright © Florida Solar Energy Center/University of Central Florida 1679 Clearlake Road, Cocoa, Florida 32922, USA (321) 638-1000 All rights reserved. Disclaimer The Florida Solar Energy Center/University of Central Florida nor any agency thereof, nor any of their employees, makes any warranty, express or implied, or assumes any legal liability or responsibility for the accuracy, completeness, or usefulness of any information, apparatus, product, or process disclosed, or represents that its use would not infringe privately owned rights. Reference herein to any specific commercial product, process, or service by trade name, trademark, manufacturer, or otherwise does not necessarily constitute or imply its endorsement, recommendation, or favoring by the Florida Solar Energy Center/University of Central Florida or any agency thereof. The views and opinions of authors expressed herein do not necessarily state or reflect those of the Florida Solar Energy Center/University of Central Florida or any agency thereof. Geographic Variation in Potential of Residential Solar Hot Water System Performance in the United States Camilo E. Gil and Danny S. Parker Florida Solar Energy Center (FSEC) October 2009 Abstract This paper describes an assessment of residential solar water heater performance around the continental United States. We performed annual simulations using an hourly simulation model (EGUSA) for 212 TMY3 weather locations around the nation. The annual simulations show how standard hot water energy use for electric and gas systems vary geographically (kWh and therms) as well as the potential energy savings from solar water heaters. A key finding is that the energy necessary for water heating varies by 2:1 around the U.S. with implications for solar water heating system design and sizing. Our results provide information on expected water heater performance, solar systems savings and best configurations. Keywords: solar water heaters, energy savings, simulations, EnergyGauge USA, TRNSYS, BEopt. Page 2 of 65 Executive Summary Water heating accounts for a significant portion of the total annual energy consumption in a typical home in the United States. This paper describes a geographical assessment of residential solar hot water performance around the U.S. as a way of quantifying potential benefits and renewable energy contributions around the country. Using a detailed hourly energy simulation software EnergyGauge USA (EGUSA), we simulated annual hot water energy use under the ASHRAE hot water draw profile. The analysis was conducted for 212 TMY3 (Typical Meteorological Year version 3) weather sites on a two-story three bedroom home. A total of eight different water heating systems were evaluated, giving clear indication on how hot water production varies throughout the U. S. For each TMY3 location we simulated both natural gas and electric water heaters as the standard storage systems. Each of these standard systems was then simulated with a 32 ft2 integrated collector storage (ICS) solar water heating system, a 40 ft2 and 64 ft2 closed loop flat plate system respectively, for a total of eight systems (four with gas and four electric). Flat plate systems showed the highest level of savings; a 40 ft2 system with freeze protection showed the ability to meet 50 – 80% of energy requirements for water heating around most of the country (Figure E.1). The specific energy savings in EGUSA for the electric 40 ft2 system averaged 2132 kWh for a solar fraction of 58 % (varying from 1473 – 3051 kWh and 35 – 64%). For the 40 ft2 solar system with natural gas energy savings averaged 81.6 therms for a solar fraction of 40 % (varying from 54 – 113 therms and 24 – 43 %). For a larger electric 64 ft2 system of the same type, energy savings averaged 2621 kWh for a solar fraction of 71 % (varying from 2002 – 3875 kWh and 48 – 81 %). In the natural gas case, energy savings averaged 107.3 therms for a solar fraction of 53 % (varying from 78 – 154 therms and 34 – 59 %). Solar fractions and savings were lowest for ICS systems numbers. The specific energy savings in EGUSA for the electric 32 ft2 system averaged 1424 kWh for a solar fraction of 40 % (varying from 989 – 2001 kWh and 20 – 55 %). For the 32 ft2 solar system with natural gas energy savings averaged 49.9 therms for a solar fraction of 25 (varying from 34 – 71 therms and 12 – 42%). As a check on results we simulated annual hot water energy use for the same locations and configurations using the TRNSYS energy simulation software as implemented in BEopt. For the majority of the country, the discrepancies between both simulation programs are less than +10 % for a standard 40 gallons electric water heater combined with a 40ft2 flat plate closed loop solar water heater (E40FPCL). A key innovation in our analysis was that our annual simulations showed that standard energy requirements for water heating vary by more than 2:1 around the continental U. S because of varying inlet water temperatures. This has potential ramifications for both solar system performance, sizing and even optimal collector tilt—where greater energy loads in winter would Page 3 of 65 suggest higher collector tilts than otherwise justified. 1 We present data both for absolute savings, and solar fraction. As it is shown in Figures E.1 and E.2, for E40FPCL, the annual simulations show how potential absolute and fractional energy savings from solar water heaters vary geographically around the U. S. The most commonly invoked unit of merit, fractional savings tells the percentage of water heating energy provided with respect to the case of only having a regular water heater. In practical terms, and given a fixed energy price, absolute savings gives an indication of relative economics. In general, colder, sunnier climates showed most attractive savings. Our analysis gives designers and builders in a specific region an indication of expected water heater performance and best configurations. A more detailed analysis was done for the states of Florida and California given current levels of interest in solar water heating. Figure E.1: Annual fractional energy savings (%) for a standard 40 gallons electric water heater combined with a 40ft2 flat plate closed loop solar water heater Figure E.2: Annual absolute energy savings in kWh for a standard 40 gallons electric water heater combined with a 40ft2 flat plate closed loop solar water heater 1 Page 4 of 65 Introduction Water heating accounts for a significant portion of the total annual energy consumption in a regular home. Solar domestic water heating is an alternative to help meet the hot water energy demands in a household. In order to visualize the potential benefits and contributions of solar systems, an assessment of residential roof-top solar hot water performance around the continental United States is developed through the document. Using the energy simulation software EnergyGauge USA (EGUSA) [1] and TRNSYS [2] [3] as implemented in BEopt [6], we simulated annual hot water energy use in 212 TMY3 sites on a two-story three bedroom home for eight water heating systems, with the objective to learn how hot water system performance varies throughout the U. S. For each TMY3 location and software, we simulated both natural gas and electric water heaters as the standard storage systems. Each of these standard systems was then simulated with a 32 ft2 integrated collector storage (ICS) solar water heating system, a 40 ft2 and 64 ft2 closed loop flat plate system respectively, for a total of eight systems (four with gas and four electric). Note that although concerns have been expressed in the past for the adequacy of simulations for ICS systems, BEopt uses TRNSYS for their simulation and EGUSA has been shown to very successfully emulate this software in its own calculation of ICS performance [6]. Solar Hot Water Systems We choose the three solar water heating system as ones which are roughly representative of a large number of solar water heating installations being installed in the U.S. The integrated collector storage system reflects a popular batch type water heater with a series of water filled tubes filled with 40 gallons of water in an insulated structure under loss-heat loss glazing. These systems are popular in non freezing climates since the have no pumps, valves or moving parts and are considered very reliable. However, within the EGUSA simulation model, we assume the ICS systems were not available in any hour in which the temperature over the preceding day fell below freezing. No such limit is used within the BEopt program. A second configuration is perhaps the most popular solar water heating system in the U.S. This consists of a single glazed 4 x 10' flat plate collector with high transmittance low iron glass connected by insulated piping to an 80 gallon storage tank. A glycol loop is utilized to provide freeze protection and an integral heat exchanger in the storage tank. The glycol loop is pumped by a small variable speed DC pump and is PV driven. A similarly performing system would consist of a drainback collector, although typically a larger AC pump would be required for this application. These systems are among the most successful of all solar water heating systems in the field across climates [7]. The third solar system is similar to the 4 x 10' collector system save that two 4 x 8' collectors are used in tandem. This provides a larger heat collection area along with a 80 gallon tank. With electric resistance water heating as the auxiliary, 4500 Watt elements in the solar storage tanks provide back up heat in case the solar system cannot meet the load. For natural gas systems, Page 5 of 65 however, we assume that a two tank system with the auxiliary tank elevated to provide circulation from the solar tank via natural buoyancy. Building Simulation Analysis The simulations were performed on an hourly time step with results compiled on an annual basis (8,760 hours). Typical Meteorological Year Data (TMY3s) were used for all locations. A specific implementation of the software, EGUSA was used for the analysis. The analytical method used to predict hourly solar contributions in EGUSA is based on an hourly correlation of the TRNSYS simulation such that it could be implemented as a function within the DOE-2.E [6]. Further, we also used TRNSYS itself within the BEopt simulation to evaluate the performance of each electric solar system. Description of the Simulated Home Tables 1, 2 and 3 summarize the key specifications for the home used for our analysis. 2 Table 1. Site and Envelope Key Specifications Type: Occupancy: Draw profile: Shading: Weather Data: Attached Garage: Roof area: Roof slope: 2 stories, 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, 1800 ft2 Single Family ASHRAE [7] [8] [9] No shade trees, no adjacent buildings Typical Meteorological Year version 3 (TMY3) Yes 1007 ft2 6/12 inches Table 2. Standard Hot Water Systems Specifications Type: Efficiency: Location: Capacity: Daily Use: Set Temperature: Natural Gas 0.59 Garage 40 gallons 60 gallons 120 °F Electric 0.9 Garage 40 gallons 60 gallons 120 °F 2 Note that we assume a standard 6/12 roof pitch with a resulting 27 degree slope. Given the practical desirability from homeowners of good aesthetic appearance with flush-mounted collectors, this tilt was utilized in all locations. Page 6 of 65 Table 3. Solar Hot Water Systems Specifications Integrated Collector Storage (ICS) Cover area: Tilt: Azimuth: Tank loss coefficient: Transmittance absorptance product: Volumetric capacity: 30.1 ft2 27 ° 180 ° 17.06 Btu / hr · ° F 0.82 41.2 gallons Table 3. Solar Hot Water Systems Specifications (continuation) Flat plate (closed loop) Surface area: Tilt: Azimuth: Loss coefficient: Transmittance absorptance product: Storage tank volume: Transmittance correction: Storage tank U-value: Storage tank surface area: Heat exchanger correction factor: 40 ft2 27 ° 180 ° 0.734 Btu/ hr · ft2 · ° F 0.78 80 gallons 0.96 0.123 Btu/ hr · ft2 · ° F 25 ft2 0.88 64.1 ft2 27 ° 180 ° 0.734 Btu/ hr · ft2 · ° F 0.78 80 gallons 0.96 0.123 Btu/ hr · ft2 · ° F 25 ft2 0.88 Weather Data Hourly weather data used for the simulation was obtained from the Typical Meteorological Year version 3 (TMY3) derived from the 1976-2005 National Solar Radiation Data Base (NSRDB). TMY3 is a data set of hourly values of solar radiation and meteorological elements for a oneyear period. It consists of months statistically selected from individual years and concatenated to form a complete year. The intended use is for computer simulations of solar energy conversion systems and building systems [10]. Modeling Mains Water Temperature The inlet water temperature of a water heating system is a primary determinant of the energy requirement to bring the final delivery temperature to 120 °F. Commonly in the past, the mains water temperature has been assumed to be nearly fixed at the average well temperatures in a location. However, recently collated data from around the U.S. shows that water supply temperatures have a strong seasonal component since mains are not deeply buried. This seasonal variation has important implications for water heating systems—particularly for solar water heating systems where available insolation also varies such that lowest levels are available in Page 7 of 65 winter. 3 To address this important need, Hendron et al. [11] have summarized various data sources and produced a calculation method to estimate mains water temperature depending on location, weather data and time of year (Equation 1): ∆Tamb, max Tmains = (Tamb, avg + offset ) + ratio ⋅ 2 ⋅ sin (0.986 ⋅ (day# - 15 - lag) - 90 ) (1) where: Tmains = mains (supply) temperature to domestic hot water tank (°F) Tamb,avg = annual average ambient air temperature (°F) ∆Tamb, max = maximum difference between monthly average ambient temperatures (e.g., Tamb,avg,july – Tamb, avg, january) (°F) 0.986 day# offset ratio lag = degrees / day (360 / 365) = Julian day of the year (1 - 365) = 6 °F = 0.4 + 0.01 ⋅ (Tamb,avg - 44) = 35 – 1.0 ⋅ (Tamb,avg - 44) (°F) This equation is based on analysis by Craig Christensen and Jay Burch of the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) using data for multiple locations compiled by Abrams and Shedd [12], the Florida Solar Energy Center, Sandia National Laboratories, and others. When using this equation, a lower limit of 32 °F should be enforced for Tmains regardless of the local weather conditions. The offset, ratio and lag factors were determined by fitting a sinusoidal curve to the available data. The climate-specific ratio and lag factors reflect the practice of burying water pipes deeper in colder climates. For models that use average monthly mains temperature, Equation 2 is used to calculate day#. day# = 30 ⋅ month# - 15 (2) An example using Equation 2 to determine the monthly mains temperature profile for Chicago, Illinois, is shown in Figure 1. Average daily hot water usage (labeled DHW gal / day) was calculated using the equations in Table 4 based on cold water supplied at the mains temperature and hot water supplied at 120 °F. 3 We acknowledge that a changing mains water temperature will also likely lead to some change in hot water seasonal demand (e.g. see one study which showed a 27% seasonal change in hot water volume used by season in Florida: T. Merrigan and D. Parker, 1990 “Electrical Use, Efficiency, and Peak Demand of Electric Resistance, Heat Pump, Desuperheater, and Solar Hot Water Systems,” Proceedings of the 1990 ACEEE Summer Study on Energy Efficiency in Buildings, American Council for an Energy Efficient Economy, August 1990, Pacific Grove, CA) However, without evaluation of how this change in demand would vary around the U.S. we conducted this analysis assuming that the volume of water used would remain constant year round). Page 8 of 65 Figure 1. Mains temperature profile for Chicago Table 4. Domestic hot water consumption by end-use End-Use End-Use Water Temperature Clothes Washer N/A Dish-washer N/A Shower and Bath 105 °F Sinks 105 °F Water Usage 7.5 + 2.5 ⋅ Nbr1 gal / day (Hot Only) 2.5 + 0.833 ⋅ Nbr gal / day (Hot Only) 14 + 4.67 ⋅ Nbr gal / day (Hot + Cold) 10 + 3.33 ⋅ Nbr gal / day (Hot + Cold) 1 Nbr = number of bedrooms Simulation Results We evaluated the data from the simulations in all TMY3s locations summarizing by city and state. Appendix C shows the EGUSA simulated annual energy requirements for the standard systems (electric and gas), and savings for the remaining three water heaters in each case with respect to their respective standard system. In this simulation the ASHRAE draw profile distributed according to Figure 2 [7] [8] [9] is assumed. A daily hot water consumption of 60 gallons per day was assumed in EGUSA, however the specific consumption for shower and sink use in BEopt varies slightly with climate as shown in Table 4. Nevertheless, daily hot water consumption in BEopt is only slightly different from 60 gallons per day— although typically somewhat less. Appendix D shows a table with the BEopt simulated annual energy requirements for the standard systems (electric and gas), and savings for the remaining six water heaters with respect to their respective standard system. Page 9 of 65 Figure 2. Hot water use profile [7] The eight systems simulated are: E: E32ICS: E40FPCL: E64FPCL: Standard electric resistance storage tank Standard electric with a 32 ft2 integrated collector storage (ICS) system Standard electric with a 40 ft2flat plate closed loop system Standard electric with a 64 ft2flat plate closed loop system G: G32ICS: G40FPCL: G64FPCL: Standard natural gas storage tank Standard natural gas with a 32 ft2 integrated collector storage (ICS) system Standard natural gas with a 40 ft2flat plate closed loop system Standard natural gas with a 64 ft2flat plate closed loop system Annual absolute and fractional savings are listed to show how much the solar systems contribute in offsetting energy loads for each site. Absolute savings (AS) are shown in kWh or in therms depending on the system and fractional savings (FS) are shown in percentage (%). The EGUSA simulated systems produced 17 % to 95 % of the water heating needs around the continental U. S. for the electric case and 11 % to 77 % for the natural gas case. Geographic variation of energy requirements for standard water heaters Using data from the annual simulations we created contour plot graphic representations of the EGUSA estimated energy requirements for standard storage water heaters throughout the continental U. S. The resulting EGUSA performance contours are shown in Figures 3 and 4. Note that the energy consumption varies from 2,200 – 4,800 kWh for the electric resistance system and from 120 – 260 therms for the gas system around the U. S., a variation of more than 2:1. Lower energy requirements are found in the southern states with warmer inlet mains water temperatures. The highest energy requirements are seen tending towards the extreme North portion of the country where cold ground temperatures prevail. BEopt performance contours of the estimated energy requirements for the standard storage electric system are shown in Appendix E. Page 10 of 65 Figure 3. Annual energy consumption in kWh for a standard storage electric water heater Figure 4. Annual energy consumption in therms for a standard storage gas water heater Geographic variation of absolute and fractional energy savings for solar water heaters As before, we created contour plot graphic representations of the EGUSA estimated absolute and fractional energy savings for different combinations of standard storage water heaters with solar systems throughout the continental U. S. The resulting performance contours for E32ICS and E64FPCL are shown in Figures 5 through 8. The remaining electric and natural gas plots can be seen in appendices A and B respectively. Note that the energy savings varies from 1,000 – 3,200 kWh (20 - 78%) around the U.S. Lowest savings are from the ICS systems and the highest savings came from the larger close loop flat plate system. For the solar gas systems, energy savings varies from 35 – 130 therms (13 - 58 %) starting with G32ICS and ending with G64FPCL (see appendix B). Savings for solar systems with a 2-tank natural gas system are lower because of center flue and plumbing losses. Although, not simulated, much better results can be obtained with solar systems mated with a tankless gas water heater auxiliary system. Page 11 of 65 Figure 5. Annual absolute energy savings in kWh for E32ICS Figure 6. Annual fractional energy savings (%) for E32ICS Figure 7. Annual absolute energy savings in kWh for E64FPCL Page 12 of 65 Figure 8. Annual fractional energy savings (%) for E64FPCL Absolute Solar Savings vs. Solar Fraction Typically, the savings of solar systems are evaluated by the fraction of the overall water heating load that is served by the solar system element versus the system auxiliary heating system. "Solar fraction" was further popularized by the analytical F-chart method developed by Duffie and Beckman [13] and is commonly used to describe solar system performance. While this method is correct from an analytical standpoint, we show in our analysis that when evaluating performance of similar solar water heating systems around the U.S., the absolute energy savings in terms of kWh and therms represents a better indicator of the economic attractiveness of solar systems given a fixed energy price. This arises because the water heating load itself varies with geographic location in the United States. Generally, the colder regions of the country have the greater water heating loads due to lower ground and well water temperatures as well as piping losses in garages, basements and semi-conditioned utility rooms where tanks are commonly located. The end result, as shown later in our series of plots showing the absolute savings of solar water heating systems, is that the absolute energy savings of solar water heating systems is greatest in the colder, sunnier locations. Not surprisingly, as shown in Figures 9 and 10 for a 40 ft2 closed loop system (perhaps the most popular system type), the greatest absolute savings are seen in cold and clear southern Rocky Mountain area in northern New Mexico, Colorado and Utah (compare to fractional savings in Figures 11 and 12 respectively). However, our analysis clearly shows that significant energy savings are available around the United States—particularly for flat plate systems which often produce 50 - 80% of necessary water heating energy. Page 13 of 65 Figure 9. Annual absolute energy savings in kWh for E40FPCL Figure 10. Annual absolute energy savings in therms for G40FPCL Figure 11. Annual fractional energy savings (%) for E40FPCL Page 14 of 65 Figure 12. Annual fractional energy savings (%) for G40FPCL In practical terms, absolute savings gives you an indication of the amount of money (energy) that would be saved, while solar fraction indicates the percentage of annual water heating needs that are met. The greatest fractional savings are seen in the state of Florida, while the largest absolute savings are seen in Colorado and locations nearby. Although not done here, if the results were further modified by prevailing energy prices, one would find that systems look exceedingly attractive in the Northeastern U.S. and in California where higher energy prices tend to prevail. Comparison between EGUSA and BEopt simulations Comparing the same locations for both programs, we found the following results. The EGUSA simulated systems produced energy savings from 989 – 3,875 kWh (20 % – 81%) starting with E32ICS and ending with E64FPCL for the solar electric systems. For the solar gas systems, energy savings varies from 34 – 154 therms (12 % - 59 %) starting with G32ICS and ending with G64FPCL. The BEopt simulated systems produced energy savings from 1,239 – 3,997 kWh (30 % – 86%) starting with E32ICS and ending with E64FPCL for the solar electric systems. For the solar gas systems, energy savings varies from 50 – 191 therms (23% – 80 %) starting with G32ICS and ending with G64FPCL. A graphic comparison of the above quantities can be seen in Figure 13 where the averages shown are 2059 and 2242 kWh for the electric case and 80and 105 therms for the natural gas case. Page 15 of 65 Figure 13. BEopt and EGUSA ranges comparison for electric and gas systems In general, BEopt simulation results present more optimistic predictions, especially for natural gas systems. Figures 14 and 15 show detailed absolute savings ranges for each system. Here, we can see that for electric and natural gas systems BEopt still shows more optimistic predictions than EGUSA for all cases. For the electric systems, similar predictions are seen for flat plate closed loop systems and the bigger discrepancies are seen for the ICS system. The difference in the prediction for ICS systems is expected since EGUSA assumes these systems do not operate on days where the temperature is below freezing whereas BEopt does not assume this limitation. For the natural gas systems the variations in the prediction ranges are considerably bigger than the variations for the electric systems. This is not surprising since EGUSA assumes a two-tank system for natural gas leading to higher losses from the auxiliary tank center flue and associated piping. In the natural gas cases the biggest discrepancy is also seen in the ICS system (G32ICS). Table 6 shows the averages of the detailed absolute savings ranges for each system which are also indicated on Figures 14 and 15. Figure 14. BEopt and EGUSA detailed comparison for electric systems Page 16 of 65 Figure 15. BEopt and EGUSA detailed comparison for natural gas systems Table 6. Averages of the detailed absolute savings ranges for each system BEopt EGUSA E32ICS (kWh) 1728 1424 E40FPCL (kWh) 2270 2132 E64FPCL (kWh) 2728 2622 G32ICS (Therms) 72.8 49.9 G40FPCL (Therms) 106.7 81.6 G64FPCL (Therms) 135 107.3 The differences in prediction of absolute energy savings in BEopt with respect to EGUSA on a city by city basis are shown in Appendix I for all systems. As we stated before, in general BEopt presents more optimistic results. Again, for the electric systems the biggest discrepancy is seen in E32ICS where BEopt shows absolute energy savings between 2% and 60% higher than the predictions in EGUSA—an expected result given the differing assumptions of ICS availability in the EGUSA analsysi. The closest results are seen in E64FPCL where BEopt shows absolute energy savings between - 4 % and 14 % with respect to EGUSA. For the natural gas systems the biggest discrepancy is seen in G32ICS where BEopt shows absolute energy savings between 23% and 91% higher than the predictions in EGUSA. The closest results to EGUSA are seen in G64FPCL where BEopt shows absolute energy savings between 15% and 36% higher. Figure 16 shows how the differences between BEopt and EGUSA are geographically distributed for E40FPCL around the continental United States. It can be seen that for most of the country, the discrepancies between both simulation programs are less than +10 % for this type of system. Closed loop flat plate types are the most popular solar water heating systems in the U.S. Page 17 of 65 Figure 16. Geographically distributed differences of BEopt predictions vs. EGUSA for E40PFCL Conclusions We performed annual simulations for 212 TMY3 data locations throughout the continental United States on a two-story three bedroom two bathroom home with eight different water heaters under the ASHRAE draw profile. These annual simulations show how standard energy requirements for water heating vary by more than 2:1 around the continental U. S. Also potential energy savings from solar water heaters vary geographically around the U.S. Our analysis gives designers and builders in a specific region an indication of expected solar water heater savings. We presented data both for absolute savings, and solar fraction. Absolute savings are quite different from solar fraction since the variation in the magnitude of water heating loads alters the attractiveness of solar water heating. Flat plate systems showed the highest level of savings; a 40 ft2 system with freeze protection showed the ability to meet 50 – 80% of energy requirements for water heating around most of the country (Figure E.1). The specific energy savings in EGUSA for the electric 40 ft2 system averaged 2132 kWh for a solar fraction of 58 % (varying from 1473 – 3051 kWh and 35 – 64%). For the 40 ft2 solar system with natural gas energy savings averaged 81.6 therms for a solar fraction of 40 % (varying from 54 – 113 therms and 24 – 43 %). For the flat plate closed loop electric 64 ft2 system, energy savings averaged 2621 kWh for a solar fraction of 71 % (varying from 2002 – 3875 kWh and 48 – 81 %). In the natural gas case, energy savings averaged 107.3 therms for a solar fraction of 53 % (varying from 78 – 154 therms and 34 – 59 %). Solar fractions and savings were lowest for ICS systems numbers. The specific energy savings in EGUSA for the electric 32 ft2 system averaged 1424 kWh for a solar fraction of 40 % (varying from 989 – 2001 kWh and 20 – 55 %). For the 32 ft2 solar system with natural gas energy savings averaged 49.9 therms for a solar fraction of 25 (varying from 34 – 71 therms and 12 – 42%). Page 18 of 65 Better results could be accomplished by customizing the efficiency components of the water heating system to fit a particular location. For instance, as expected, we found ICS systems to work best in mild climates. Moreover, for the natural gas, we also determined that solar works best with tankless gas auxiliary systems due to center flue and piping losses in two-tank systems. Future evaluations might consider the best water heater designs by climate including prevailing energy costs. In our analysis we showed the absolute energy savings in terms of kWh and therms, best characterize the relative attractiveness of solar systems around the U.S. This arises since the water heating load itself strongly varies with climatic severity due to prevailing ground water temperatures. When this is considered, solar looks best in cold, clear areas such as Colorado when a fixed energy price is assumed. In general, BEopt simulation results suggest more optimistic predictions than EGUSA, especially for natural gas systems where EGUSA likely makes more pessimistic assumption relative to the thermal losses for two tank systems. However, for the majority of the country, the discrepancies between both simulations are less than +10 % in the E40FPCL case. Acknowledgements This work is sponsored by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, Building America Program under cooperative agreement number DEFC26-06NT42767. The support and encouragement of program managers Mr. George James, Mr. Terry Logee, Mr. Ed Pollock and Mr. William Haslebacher is gratefully acknowledged. This support does not constitute DOE endorsement of the views expressed in this paper. The authors appreciate the support of Scott Horowitz at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory who helped with documenting the assumptions used in BEopt’s TRNSYS model. References [1] Parker D, Broman P, Grant J, Gu L, Anello M, Vieira R, Henderson H. “EnergyGauge USA: A Residential Building Energy Design Tool”. Proceedings of Building Simulation ’99, Kyoto, Japan. International Building Performance Simulation Association, Organizing Committee for the 6th International IBPSA Conference, Department of Architecture Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas, September 1999. [2] Klein S A, Beckman W A, Mitchell J W, Duffie J A, Duffie N A, Freeman T L. “TRNSYS Reference Manual 2000”. Solar Energy Laboratory, University of Wisconsin, Madison, Wisconsin, 2000. [3] “TRaNsient SYStems Simulation Program (TRANSYS) version 16, 2006 ”. Solar Energy Laboratory, University of Winsconsin, Madison, Wisconsin, November 2006. Page 19 of 65 [4] Christensen C, Horowitz S, Givler T, Courtney A, Barker G. “BEopt: Software for Identifying Optimal Building Designs on the Path to Zero Net Energy”. NREL/CP – 550 – 37733. ISES 2005 Solar World Congress, Orlando, Florida, August 2005. [5] Lane T. “Solar Hot Water, Lessons Learned 1977 to Today”. Energy Conservation Services of North Florida, Gainesville, Florida, 2004. [6] Anello M. “Comparison of Solar Hot Water Systems Simulated in EnergyGauge USA and TRNSYS 15”. Technical Report, Florida Solar Energy Center (FSEC), Cocoa, Florida, November 2006. [7] American Society of Heating, Refrigeration, and Air Conditioning Engineers (ASHRAE) “HVAC Applications Handbook”. Atlanta, Georgia, 1999. [8] American Society of Heating, Refrigeration, and Air Conditioning Engineers (ASHRAE) “HVAC Applications Handbook”. Chapter 49: Service Water Heating, pp 49.9 – 49.10, Atlanta, Georgia, 2003. [9] American Society of Heating, Refrigeration, and Air Conditioning Engineers (ASHRAE) “ANSI / ASHRAE Standard 90.2-1993”, “Energy Efficient Design of Low-Rise Residential Buildings”, Section 8.9.4, “Hourly Domestic Hot Water Fraction” and Table 8-4, “Daily Domestic Hot Water Load Profile”, pp 53 – 54, Atlanta, Georgia, 1993. [10] Wilcox S, Marion W. “Users Manual for TMY3 Data Sets”. Technical Report, National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), Golden, Colorado, May 2008. [11] Hendron R, Anderson R, Christensen C, Eastment M, Reeves P. “Development of an Energy Savings Benchmark for All Residential End-Uses”. National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), Golden, Colorado, August 2004. [12] Abrams D. W, Shedd A. C. “Effect of Seasonal Changes in Use Patterns and Cold Inlet Water Temperature on Water Heating Load”. ASHRAE Transactions, AT – 96 – 18 – 3, Atlanta, Georgia, 1996. [13] Duffie J. A, Beckmann W. A. “Solar Engineering of Thermal Processes”. Wiley and Sons, New York, 1980. Page 20 of 65 Appendix A: EGUSA Auxiliary Electric Water Heaters Contour Plots Figure A1. Annual energy consumption in kWh for a standard storage electric water heater Figure A2. Annual absolute energy savings in kWh for E32ICS Figure A3. Annual fractional energy savings (%) for E32ICS Page 21 of 65 Figure A4. Annual absolute energy savings in kWh for E40FPCL Figure A5. Annual fractional energy savings (%) for E40FPCL Figure A6. Annual absolute energy savings in kWh for E64FPCL Page 22 of 65 Figure A7. Annual fractional energy savings (%) for E64FPCL Page 23 of 65 Appendix B: EGUSA Auxiliary Natural Gas Water Heaters Contour Plots Figure B1. Annual energy consumption in therms for a standard storage gas water heater Figure B2. Annual absolute energy savings in therms for G32ICS Figure B3. Annual fractional energy savings (%) for G32ICS Page 24 of 65 Figure B4. Annual absolute energy savings in therms for G40FPCL Figure B5. Annual fractional energy savings (%) for G40FPCL Figure B6. Annual absolute energy savings in therms for G64FPCL Page 25 of 65 Figure B7. Annual fractional energy savings (%) for G64FPCL Page 26 of 65 Appendix C: EGUSA Summary of Auxiliary Systems Simulation Results Table C1. EGUSA Summary of Auxiliary Electric Simulation Results EGUSA Simulated annual energy requirements for standard water heaters with absolute and fractional savings from the addition of solar water heaters State ALABAMA ARIZONA ARKANSAS CALIFORNIA COLORADO CONNECTICUT DELAWARE FLORIDA GEORGIA IDAHO ILLINOIS INDIANA IOWA City BIRMINGHAM HUNTSVILLE MOBILE MONTGOMERY FLAGSTAFF PHOENIX PRESCOTT TUCSON FORT SMITH LITTLE ROCK ARCATA BAKERSFIELD DAGGET FRESNO LONG BEACH LOS ANGELES SACRAMENTO SAN DIEGO SAN FRANCISCO SANTA MARIA ALAMOSA COLORADO SPRINGS EAGLE GRAND JUNCTION PUEBLO BRIDGEPORT HARTFORD WILMINGTON DAYTONA BEACH JACKSONVILLE MIAMI TALLAHASSEE TAMPA WEST PALM BEACH ATHENS ATLANTA AUGUSTA COLUMBUS MACON SAVANNAH BOISE POCATELLO CHICAGO MOLINE PEORIA ROCKFORD SPRINGFIELD EVANSVILLE FORT WAYNE INDIANAPOLIS SOUTH BEND DES MOINES MASON CITY SIOUX CITY E (kWh) 3151 3351 2838 3014 4422 2154 3638 2665 3337 3201 4038 2941 2754 3020 3104 3196 3314 3234 3617 3673 4780 4171 4647 3834 3890 3975 4073 3807 2566 2753 2127 2825 2424 2256 3201 3194 3106 2930 3037 2859 3957 4351 3924 4105 4087 4308 3876 3616 4166 3977 4032 4085 4488 4189 E32ICS AS (kWh) FS (%) 1592 50.5 1516 45.2 1559 54.9 1647 54.6 1736 39.3 1544 71.7 1986 54.6 1838 69.0 1540 46.1 1535 48.0 1441 35.7 1706 58.0 1845 67.0 1697 56.2 1849 59.6 1881 58.9 1738 52.4 1974 61.0 1803 49.8 2053 55.9 1653 34.6 1635 39.2 1464 31.5 1668 43.5 1812 46.6 1277 32.1 1183 29.0 1372 36.0 1645 64.1 1569 57.0 1514 71.2 1587 56.2 1635 67.5 1583 70.2 1597 49.9 1595 49.9 1665 53.6 1564 53.4 1609 53.0 1602 56.0 1540 38.9 1512 34.8 1214 30.9 1298 31.6 1335 32.7 1190 27.6 1372 35.4 1455 40.2 1170 28.1 1284 32.3 1188 29.5 1356 33.2 1193 26.6 1327 31.7 E40FPCL AS (kWh) FS (%) 2175 69.0 2158 64.4 2059 72.6 2185 72.5 2923 66.1 1905 88.4 2672 73.4 2269 85.1 2130 63.8 2045 63.9 1966 48.7 2124 72.2 2288 83.1 2120 70.2 2357 75.9 2405 75.3 2248 67.8 2572 79.5 2379 65.8 2739 74.6 3051 63.8 2581 61.9 2561 55.1 2514 65.6 2642 67.9 1985 49.9 1970 48.4 2087 54.8 2086 81.3 2056 74.7 1878 88.3 2080 73.6 2047 84.4 1975 87.5 2182 68.2 2189 68.5 2220 71.5 2074 70.8 2136 70.3 2099 73.4 2219 56.1 2386 54.8 1916 48.8 2138 52.1 2138 52.3 2050 47.6 2162 55.8 2107 58.3 1954 46.9 2053 51.6 1908 47.3 2237 54.8 2100 46.8 2207 52.7 E64FPCL AS (kWh) FS (%) 2564 81.4 2594 77.4 2367 83.4 2529 83.9 3616 81.8 2027 94.1 3132 86.1 2463 92.4 2542 76.2 2430 75.9 2599 64.4 2387 81.2 2519 91.5 2390 79.1 2718 87.6 2785 87.1 2545 76.8 2918 90.2 2882 79.7 3199 87.1 3875 81.1 3237 77.6 3320 71.4 3009 78.5 3166 81.4 2562 64.5 2557 62.8 2605 68.4 2301 89.7 2347 85.3 2011 94.5 2373 84.0 2217 91.5 2122 94.1 2567 80.2 2558 80.1 2575 82.9 2396 81.8 2471 81.4 2390 83.6 2667 67.4 2949 67.8 2419 61.6 2714 66.1 2696 66.0 2650 61.5 2680 69.1 2555 70.7 2509 60.2 2582 64.9 2429 60.2 2796 68.4 2745 61.2 2780 66.4 Page 27 of 65 EGUSA Simulated annual energy requirements for standard water heaters with absolute and fractional savings from the addition of solar water heaters State KANSAS KENTUCKY LOUISIANA MAINE MARYLAND MASSACHUSETTS MICHIGAN MINNESOTA MISSISSIPPI MISSOURI MONTANA NEBRASKA NEVADA NEW HAMPSHIRE NEW JERSEY NEW MEXICO City WATERLOO DODGE CITY GOODLAND TOPEKA WICHITA COVINGTON LEXINGTON LOUISVILLE BATON ROUGE LAKE CHARLES NEW ORLEANS SHREVEPORT CARIBOU PORTLAND BALTIMORE BOSTON WORCESTER ALPENA DETROIT FLINT GRAND RAPIDS HOUGHTON LAKE LANSING MUSKEGON SAULT STE. MARIE TRAVERSE CITY DULUTH INTERNATIONAL FALLS MINNEAPOLIS ROCHESTER SAINT CLOUD JACKSON MERIDIAN COLUMBIA KANSAS CITY SPRINGFIELD ST. LOUIS BILLINGS CUT BANK GLASGOW GREAT FALLS HELENA KALISPELL LEWISTON MILES CITY MISSOULA GRAND ISLAND NORFOLK NORTH PLATTE SCOTTSBLUFF ELKO ELY LAS VEGAS RENO TONOPAH WINNEMUCCA CONCORD ATLANTIC CITY NEWARK ALBUQUERQUE E (kWh) 4306 3751 4054 3731 3575 3871 3758 3518 2828 2805 2671 2998 4981 4497 3678 4047 4407 4621 4093 4315 4290 4572 4306 4325 4881 4496 4964 5050 4438 4617 4754 3046 3033 3836 3837 3683 3642 4284 4656 4577 4534 4521 4606 4633 4421 4474 4162 4229 4218 4226 4354 4479 2732 3974 3961 4091 4414 3840 3774 3612 E32ICS AS (kWh) FS (%) 1248 29.0 1652 44.0 1669 41.2 1438 38.5 1603 44.8 1307 33.8 1319 35.1 1221 34.7 1488 52.6 1531 54.6 1507 56.4 1516 50.6 869 17.4 1193 26.5 1414 38.4 1265 31.3 1156 26.2 1021 22.1 1101 26.9 1110 25.7 1163 27.1 995 21.8 1163 27.0 1151 26.6 989 20.3 1048 23.3 1037 20.9 993 19.7 1155 26.0 1130 24.5 1167 24.5 1612 52.9 1550 51.1 1449 37.8 1441 37.6 1463 39.7 1399 38.4 1410 32.9 1351 29.0 1277 27.9 1387 30.6 1305 28.9 1171 25.4 1255 27.1 1414 32.0 1271 28.4 1413 34.0 1365 32.3 1471 34.9 1486 35.2 1588 36.5 1503 33.6 1774 64.9 1814 45.6 1831 46.2 1687 41.2 1139 25.8 1411 36.7 1288 34.1 2001 55.4 E40FPCL AS (kWh) FS (%) 2116 49.1 2483 66.2 2616 64.5 2233 59.8 2321 64.9 1998 51.6 2013 53.6 1772 50.4 1956 69.2 2009 71.6 1964 73.5 2022 67.4 1763 35.4 2160 48.0 2113 57.4 2058 50.9 2094 47.5 1936 41.9 1779 43.5 1872 43.4 1895 44.2 1751 38.3 1900 44.1 1875 43.4 1931 39.6 1813 40.3 2001 40.3 1847 36.6 2094 47.2 1996 43.2 2154 45.3 2145 70.4 2071 68.3 2224 58.0 2275 59.3 2165 58.8 2126 58.4 2235 52.2 2274 48.8 2159 47.2 2185 48.2 2203 48.7 1907 41.4 2179 47.0 2291 51.8 1969 44.0 2361 56.7 2311 54.6 2431 57.6 2456 58.1 2587 59.4 2784 62.2 2258 82.7 2645 66.6 2782 70.2 2589 63.3 2033 46.1 2166 56.4 2032 53.8 2769 76.7 E64FPCL AS (kWh) FS (%) 2721 63.2 2970 79.2 3178 78.4 2747 73.6 2776 77.7 2518 65.0 2511 66.8 2228 63.3 2257 79.8 2310 82.4 2243 84.0 2347 78.3 2461 49.4 2847 63.3 2621 71.3 2637 65.2 2774 62.9 2578 55.8 2316 56.6 2453 56.8 2446 57.0 2345 51.3 2476 57.5 2411 55.7 2622 53.7 2411 53.6 2720 54.8 2538 50.3 2715 61.2 2643 57.2 2863 60.2 2491 81.8 2435 80.3 2733 71.2 2803 73.1 2639 71.7 2602 71.4 2810 65.6 2955 63.5 2771 60.5 2821 62.2 2838 62.8 2479 53.8 2856 61.6 2882 65.2 2542 56.8 2956 71.0 2897 68.5 3054 72.4 3068 72.6 3186 73.2 3486 77.8 2484 90.9 3147 79.2 3281 82.8 3112 76.1 2674 60.6 2723 70.9 2564 67.9 3187 88.2 Page 28 of 65 EGUSA Simulated annual energy requirements for standard water heaters with absolute and fractional savings from the addition of solar water heaters State NEW YORK NORTH CAROLINA NORTH DAKOTA OHIO OKLAHOMA OREGON PENNSYLVANIA RHODE ISLAND SOUTH CAROLINA SOUTH DAKOTA TENNESSEE TEXAS City TUCUMCARI ALBANY BINGHAMTON BUFFALO MASSENA NEW YORK CITY ROCHESTER SYRACUSE ASHEVILLE CAPE HATTERAS CHARLOTTE GREENSBORO RALEIGH WILMINGTON BISMARCK FARGO MINOT AKRON CLEVELAND COLUMBUS DAYTON MANSFIELD TOLEDO YOUNGSTOWN OKLAHOMA CITY TULSA ASTORIA BURNS EUGENE MEDFORD NORTH BEND PENDLETON PORTLAND REDMOND SALEM ALLENTOWN BRADFORD ERIE HARRISBURG PHILADELPHIA PITTSBURGH WILKES-BARRE WILLIAMSPORT PROVIDENCE CHARLESTON COLUMBIA GREENVILLE HURON PIERRE RAPID CITY SIOUX FALLS BRISTOL CHATTANOOGA KNOXVILLE MEMPHIS NASHVILLE ABILENE AMARILLO AUSTIN BROWNSVILLE E (kWh) 3589 4267 4374 4262 4542 3776 4209 4241 3740 3128 3287 3504 3388 3094 4640 4789 4758 4156 4082 3980 4029 4228 4202 4245 3373 3335 4026 4453 3966 3856 3972 3960 3825 4305 3897 3991 4635 4202 3912 3744 4049 4143 4029 4056 2945 3105 3457 4548 4303 4362 4420 3717 3323 3503 3138 3373 2829 3595 2661 2369 E32ICS AS (kWh) FS (%) 1843 51.4 1194 28.0 1073 24.5 1128 26.5 1090 24.0 1371 36.3 1133 26.9 1139 26.9 1559 41.7 1599 51.1 1615 49.1 1487 42.4 1561 46.1 1585 51.2 1307 28.2 1186 24.8 1158 24.3 1126 27.1 1041 25.5 1236 31.1 1218 30.2 1130 26.7 1252 29.8 1122 26.4 1534 45.5 1523 45.7 1118 27.8 1471 33.0 1291 32.6 1585 41.1 1468 37.0 1521 38.4 1221 31.9 1590 36.9 1288 33.1 1236 31.0 1057 22.8 1114 26.5 1275 32.6 1391 37.2 1184 29.2 1162 28.0 1169 29.0 1252 30.9 1614 54.8 1578 50.8 1436 41.5 1288 28.3 1397 32.5 1459 33.4 1291 29.2 1431 38.5 1502 45.2 1420 40.5 1540 49.1 1467 43.5 1761 62.2 1830 50.9 1465 55.1 1421 60.0 E40FPCL AS (kWh) FS (%) 2631 73.3 2029 47.6 1887 43.1 1868 43.8 1956 43.1 2028 53.7 1837 43.6 1897 44.7 2276 60.9 2134 68.2 2217 67.4 2156 61.5 2165 63.9 2119 68.5 2189 47.2 2130 44.5 1990 41.8 1799 43.3 1664 40.8 1923 48.3 1951 48.4 1874 44.3 1995 47.5 1770 41.7 2172 64.4 2181 65.4 1606 39.9 2399 53.9 1796 45.3 2149 55.7 2061 51.9 2102 53.1 1705 44.6 2339 54.3 1807 46.4 2005 50.2 1861 40.2 1786 42.5 2036 52.0 2090 55.8 1894 46.8 1911 46.1 1898 47.1 2031 50.1 2134 72.5 2119 68.2 2104 60.9 2248 49.4 2226 51.7 2424 55.6 2191 49.6 2128 57.3 2081 62.6 2100 59.9 2074 66.1 2095 62.1 2314 81.8 2574 71.6 1902 71.5 1815 76.6 E64FPCL AS (kWh) FS (%) 3075 85.7 2641 61.9 2511 57.4 2428 57.0 2606 57.4 2523 66.8 2384 56.6 2470 58.2 2824 75.5 2488 79.5 2627 79.9 2622 74.8 2604 76.9 2485 80.3 2825 60.9 2805 58.6 2643 55.5 2343 56.4 2178 53.4 2462 61.9 2490 61.8 2454 58.0 2572 61.2 2332 54.9 2553 75.7 2591 77.7 2139 53.1 2998 67.3 2250 56.7 2582 67.0 2631 66.2 2546 64.3 2148 56.2 2893 67.2 2267 58.2 2572 64.4 2530 54.6 2304 54.8 2596 66.4 2602 69.5 2433 60.1 2486 60.0 2461 61.1 2627 64.8 2460 83.5 2484 80.0 2557 74.0 2905 63.9 2817 65.5 3060 70.2 2818 63.8 2645 71.2 2507 75.4 2565 73.2 2422 77.2 2511 74.4 2550 90.1 3025 84.1 2172 81.6 2022 85.4 Page 29 of 65 EGUSA Simulated annual energy requirements for standard water heaters with absolute and fractional savings from the addition of solar water heaters State UTAH VERMONT VIRGINIA WASHINGTON WEST VIRGINIA WISCONSIN WYOMING City CORPUS CHRISTI EL PASO FORT WORTH HOUSTON LUBBOCK LUFKIN MIDLAND PORT ARTHUR SAN ANGELO SAN ANTONIO VICTORIA WACO WICHITA FALLS CEDAR CITY SALT LAKE CITY BURLINGTON LYNCHBURG NORFOLK RICHMOND ROANOKE WASHINGTON D.C. OLYMPIA QUILLAYUTE SEATTLE SPOKANE YAKIMA CHARLESTON ELKINS HUNTINGTON EAU CLAIRE GREEN BAY LA CROSSE MILWAUKEE CASPER CHEYENNE LANDER ROCK SPRINGS SHERIDAN E (kWh) 2499 3011 3045 2681 3369 2882 3092 2693 3036 2676 2638 2886 3092 4014 3866 4424 3584 3343 3471 3629 3550 4092 4189 3965 4182 4133 3744 4170 3719 4605 4491 4370 4394 4443 4480 4463 4618 4399 E32ICS AS (kWh) FS (%) 1437 57.5 1990 66.1 1575 51.7 1481 55.2 1796 53.3 1561 54.2 1848 59.8 1501 55.7 1767 58.2 1605 60.0 1511 57.3 1607 55.7 1666 53.9 1793 44.7 1551 40.1 1122 25.4 1538 42.9 1483 44.4 1515 43.6 1464 40.3 1358 38.3 1077 26.3 1022 24.4 1190 30.0 1259 30.1 1467 35.5 1346 36.0 1181 28.3 1337 36.0 1152 25.0 1120 24.9 1195 27.3 1185 27.0 1430 32.2 1460 32.6 1539 34.5 1453 31.5 1451 33.0 E40FPCL AS (kWh) FS (%) 1854 74.2 2544 84.5 2119 69.6 1943 72.5 2463 73.1 2048 71.1 2421 78.3 1951 72.4 2325 76.6 2061 77.0 1969 74.6 2127 73.7 2235 72.3 2767 68.9 2270 58.7 1897 42.9 2232 62.3 2110 63.1 2163 62.3 2175 59.9 2010 56.6 1556 38.0 1473 35.2 1676 42.3 1894 45.3 2117 51.2 2006 53.6 1884 45.2 1976 53.1 2078 45.1 2039 45.4 2071 47.4 2060 46.9 2513 56.6 2559 57.1 2651 59.4 2646 57.3 2332 53.0 E64FPCL AS (kWh) FS (%) 2099 84.0 2783 92.4 2456 80.7 2234 83.3 2855 84.7 2360 81.9 2723 88.1 2227 82.7 2629 86.6 2313 86.4 2233 84.6 2436 84.4 2573 83.2 3298 82.2 2735 70.7 2506 56.6 2709 75.6 2540 76.0 2628 75.7 2675 73.7 2468 69.5 2051 50.1 2002 47.8 2147 54.1 2353 56.3 2604 63.0 2512 67.1 2493 59.8 2486 66.8 2758 59.9 2690 59.9 2687 61.5 2693 61.3 3179 71.6 3284 73.3 3322 74.4 3363 72.8 2960 67.3 Page 30 of 65 Table C2. EGUSA Summary of Auxiliary Natural Gas Simulation Results EGUSA Simulated annual energy requirements for standard water heaters with absolute and fractional savings from the addition of solar water heaters State ALABAMA ARIZONA ARKANSAS CALIFORNIA COLORADO City BIRMINGHAM HUNTSVILLE MOBILE MONTGOMERY FLAGSTAFF PHOENIX PRESCOTT TUCSON FORT SMITH LITTLE ROCK ARCATA BAKERSFIELD DAGGET FRESNO LONG BEACH LOS ANGELES SACRAMENTO SAN DIEGO SAN FRANCISCO SANTA MARIA ALAMOSA COLORADO SPRINGS CONNECTICUT DELAWARE FLORIDA GEORGIA IDAHO ILLINOIS INDIANA IOWA KANSAS EAGLE GRAND JUNCTION PUEBLO BRIDGEPORT HARTFORD WILMINGTON DAYTONA BEACH JACKSONVILLE MIAMI TALLAHASSEE TAMPA WEST PALM BEACH ATHENS ATLANTA AUGUSTA COLUMBUS MACON SAVANNAH BOISE POCATELLO CHICAGO MOLINE PEORIA ROCKFORD SPRINGFIELD EVANSVILLE FORT WAYNE INDIANAPOLIS SOUTH BEND DES MOINES MASON CITY SIOUX CITY WATERLOO DODGE CITY GOODLAND G Therms 176 186 159 169 242 124 201 150 186 178 222 165 155 169 173 178 184 180 200 203 261 229 254 211 214 219 224 210 145 155 122 159 138 129 178 178 173 164 170 161 218 239 217 226 225 236 214 200 229 219 222 225 246 230 236 207 223 G32ICS AS (Therms) 56 53 54 58 60 58 70 67 55 54 50 62 67 62 64 65 62 69 62 71 57 57 51 59 63 44 41 47 58 55 53 56 59 56 56 56 58 55 57 57 54 53 43 45 47 41 48 51 41 45 41 47 41 46 43 58 58 FS (%) 31.8 28.5 34.0 34.3 24.8 46.8 34.8 44.7 29.6 30.3 22.5 37.6 43.2 36.7 37.0 36.5 33.7 38.3 31.0 35.0 21.8 24.9 20.1 28.0 29.4 20.1 18.3 22.4 40.0 35.5 43.4 35.2 42.8 43.4 31.5 31.5 33.5 33.5 33.5 35.4 24.8 22.2 19.8 19.9 20.9 17.4 22.4 25.5 17.9 20.5 18.5 20.9 16.7 20.0 18.2 28.0 26.0 G40FPCL AS (Therms) FS (%) 85 48.3 83 44.6 82 51.6 87 51.5 109 45.0 84 67.7 104 51.7 95 63.3 83 44.6 79 44.4 73 32.9 88 53.3 96 61.9 87 51.5 93 53.8 94 52.8 91 49.5 102 56.7 91 45.5 106 52.2 113 43.3 96 41.9 94 37.0 96 45.5 100 46.7 74 33.8 73 32.6 78 37.1 86 59.3 83 53.5 81 66.4 84 52.8 87 63.0 84 65.1 85 47.8 86 48.3 87 50.3 82 50.0 85 50.0 85 52.8 86 39.4 90 37.7 73 33.6 80 35.4 80 35.6 75 31.8 82 38.3 80 40.0 73 31.9 77 35.2 71 32.0 84 37.3 77 31.3 82 35.7 78 33.1 95 45.9 99 44.4 G64FPCL AS (Therms) FS (%) 108 61.4 107 57.5 102 64.2 109 64.5 147 60.7 95 76.6 132 65.7 111 74.0 106 57.0 101 56.7 103 46.4 104 63.0 112 72.3 104 61.5 117 67.6 120 67.4 109 59.2 127 70.6 120 60.0 136 67.0 154 59.0 130 56.8 131 51.6 124 58.8 130 60.7 102 46.6 101 45.1 105 50.0 103 71.0 102 65.8 93 76.2 104 65.4 101 73.2 98 76.0 108 60.7 109 61.2 110 63.6 103 62.8 106 62.4 104 64.6 110 50.5 120 50.2 97 44.7 108 47.8 108 48.0 104 44.1 109 50.9 105 52.5 99 43.2 104 47.5 97 43.7 112 49.8 108 43.9 111 48.3 107 45.3 123 59.4 130 58.3 Page 31 of 65 EGUSA Simulated annual energy requirements for standard water heaters with absolute and fractional savings from the addition of solar water heaters State KENTUCKY LOUISIANA MAINE MARYLAND MASSACHUSETTS MICHIGAN MINNESOTA City TOPEKA WICHITA COVINGTON LEXINGTON LOUISVILLE BATON ROUGE LAKE CHARLES NEW ORLEANS SHREVEPORT CARIBOU PORTLAND BALTIMORE BOSTON WORCESTER ALPENA DETROIT FLINT GRAND RAPIDS HOUGHTON LAKE LANSING MUSKEGON SAULT STE. MARIE TRAVERSE CITY DULUTH INTERNATIONAL FALLS MISSISSIPPI MISSOURI MONTANA NEBRASKA NEVADA NEW HAMPSHIRE NEW MEXICO NEW YORK MINNEAPOLIS ROCHESTER SAINT CLOUD JACKSON MERIDIAN COLUMBIA KANSAS CITY SPRINGFIELD ST. LOUIS BILLINGS CUT BANK GLASGOW GREAT FALLS HELENA KALISPELL LEWISTON MILES CITY MISSOULA GRAND ISLAND NORFOLK NORTH PLATTE SCOTTSBLUFF ELKO ELY LAS VEGAS RENO TONOPAH WINNEMUCCA CONCORD ATLANTIC CITY NEWARK ALBUQUERQUE TUCUMCARI ALBANY BINGHAMTON G Therms 206 198 241 208 195 159 158 151 168 272 246 203 223 242 253 225 237 235 250 236 237 266 246 271 275 243 253 260 170 169 212 212 204 202 235 255 250 248 247 252 253 242 245 229 232 232 232 238 245 154 219 218 225 242 212 209 200 199 234 240 G32ICS AS (Therms) 50 57 73 46 43 53 54 53 55 30 41 49 44 40 36 38 39 40 34 40 40 34 36 36 34 40 39 41 57 54 51 51 52 49 49 47 44 48 45 41 43 49 44 50 47 52 52 55 52 65 64 64 60 40 49 45 71 65 41 37 FS (%) 24.3 28.8 30.3 22.1 22.1 33.3 34.2 35.1 32.7 11.0 16.7 24.1 19.7 16.5 14.2 16.9 16.5 17.0 13.6 16.9 16.9 12.8 14.6 13.3 12.4 16.5 15.4 15.8 33.5 32.0 24.1 24.1 25.5 24.3 20.9 18.4 17.6 19.4 18.2 16.3 17.0 20.2 18.0 21.8 20.3 22.4 22.4 23.1 21.2 42.2 29.2 29.4 26.7 16.5 23.1 21.5 35.5 32.7 17.5 15.4 G40FPCL AS (Therms) FS (%) 85 41.3 90 45.5 103 42.7 76 36.5 67 34.4 78 49.1 81 51.3 80 53.0 81 48.2 64 23.5 79 32.1 80 39.4 77 34.5 77 31.8 71 28.1 66 29.3 69 29.1 70 29.8 64 25.6 70 29.7 69 29.1 70 26.3 66 26.8 73 26.9 67 24.4 77 31.7 73 28.9 79 30.4 85 50.0 81 47.9 85 40.1 86 40.6 83 40.7 81 40.1 83 35.3 84 32.9 79 31.6 81 32.7 81 32.8 71 28.2 80 31.6 85 35.1 73 29.8 89 38.9 86 37.1 91 39.2 92 39.7 97 40.8 103 42.0 95 61.7 102 46.6 107 49.1 99 44.0 75 31.0 82 38.7 77 36.8 109 54.5 103 51.8 75 32.1 69 28.8 G64FPCL AS (Therms) FS (%) 111 53.9 115 58.1 129 53.5 102 49.0 90 46.2 97 61.0 100 63.3 98 64.9 100 59.5 93 34.2 111 45.1 106 52.2 105 47.1 109 45.0 101 39.9 91 40.4 97 40.9 96 40.9 91 36.4 97 41.1 96 40.5 101 38.0 94 38.2 105 38.7 97 35.3 107 44.0 103 40.7 111 42.7 106 62.4 103 60.9 111 52.4 114 53.8 108 52.9 107 53.0 112 47.7 117 45.9 109 43.6 111 44.8 112 45.3 98 38.9 112 44.3 114 47.1 101 41.2 119 52.0 116 50.0 123 53.0 123 53.0 128 53.8 140 57.1 110 71.4 130 59.4 136 62.4 128 56.9 105 43.4 110 51.9 103 49.3 136 68.0 130 65.3 104 44.4 98 40.8 Page 32 of 65 EGUSA Simulated annual energy requirements for standard water heaters with absolute and fractional savings from the addition of solar water heaters State NORTH CAROLINA NORTH DAKOTA OHIO OKLAHOMA OREGON PENNSYLVANIA RHODE ISLAND SOUTH CAROLINA SOUTH DAKOTA TENNESSEE TEXAS City BUFFALO MASSENA NEW YORK CITY ROCHESTER SYRACUSE ASHEVILLE CAPE HATTERAS CHARLOTTE GREENSBORO RALEIGH WILMINGTON BISMARCK FARGO MINOT AKRON CLEVELAND COLUMBUS DAYTON MANSFIELD TOLEDO YOUNGSTOWN OKLAHOMA CITY TULSA ASTORIA BURNS EUGENE MEDFORD NORTH BEND PENDLETON PORTLAND REDMOND SALEM ALLENTOWN BRADFORD ERIE HARRISBURG PHILADELPHIA PITTSBURGH WILKES-BARRE WILLIAMSPORT PROVIDENCE CHARLESTON COLUMBIA GREENVILLE HURON PIERRE RAPID CITY SIOUX FALLS BRISTOL CHATTANOOGA KNOXVILLE MEMPHIS NASHVILLE ABILENE AMARILLO AUSTIN BROWNSVILLE CORPUS CHRISTI EL PASO FORT WORTH G Therms 234 249 209 231 233 207 175 183 194 188 173 254 262 260 228 225 219 222 232 231 233 188 186 222 244 218 212 219 218 211 236 215 220 253 231 216 207 223 228 222 223 165 173 192 249 236 239 242 205 185 194 175 187 159 199 150 135 142 168 170 G32ICS AS (Therms) 39 38 48 39 40 55 56 57 52 54 56 46 41 40 39 36 43 43 39 44 39 55 55 39 52 45 55 51 53 43 55 45 43 36 39 45 48 41 41 41 43 57 55 50 45 48 50 45 50 53 50 54 51 64 64 52 51 51 71 56 FS (%) 16.7 15.3 23.0 16.9 17.2 26.6 32.0 31.1 26.8 28.7 32.4 18.1 15.6 15.4 17.1 16.0 19.6 19.4 16.8 19.0 16.7 29.3 29.6 17.6 21.3 20.6 25.9 23.3 24.3 20.4 23.3 20.9 19.5 14.2 16.9 20.8 23.2 18.4 18.0 18.5 19.3 34.5 31.8 26.0 18.1 20.3 20.9 18.6 24.4 28.6 25.8 30.9 27.3 40.3 32.2 34.7 37.8 35.9 42.3 32.9 G40FPCL AS (Therms) FS (%) 69 29.5 72 28.9 77 36.8 68 29.4 70 30.0 86 41.5 84 48.0 86 47.0 82 42.3 83 44.1 84 48.6 81 31.9 78 29.8 73 28.1 66 28.9 62 27.6 72 32.9 73 32.9 69 29.7 74 32.0 65 27.9 85 45.2 86 46.2 60 27.0 90 36.9 67 30.7 83 39.2 78 35.6 81 37.2 64 30.3 88 37.3 69 32.1 75 34.1 67 26.5 66 28.6 76 35.2 79 38.2 71 31.8 71 31.1 71 32.0 75 33.6 85 51.5 83 48.0 81 42.2 83 33.3 83 35.2 90 37.7 81 33.5 80 39.0 81 43.8 80 41.2 82 46.9 81 43.3 96 60.4 100 50.3 77 51.3 76 56.3 76 53.5 104 61.9 84 49.4 G64FPCL AS (Therms) FS (%) 96 41.0 102 41.0 103 49.3 94 40.7 97 41.6 116 56.0 106 60.6 111 60.7 108 55.7 108 57.4 106 61.3 111 43.7 109 41.6 103 39.6 92 40.4 86 38.2 98 44.7 100 45.0 96 41.4 102 44.2 91 39.1 108 57.4 109 58.6 85 38.3 121 49.6 91 41.7 106 50.0 106 48.4 104 47.7 87 41.2 117 49.6 92 42.8 102 46.4 97 38.3 92 39.8 104 48.1 105 50.7 97 43.5 98 43.0 98 44.1 104 46.6 106 64.2 105 60.7 106 55.2 114 45.8 112 47.5 121 50.6 111 45.9 107 52.2 105 56.8 105 54.1 103 58.9 104 55.6 113 71.1 127 63.8 95 63.3 90 66.7 93 65.5 123 73.2 105 61.8 Page 33 of 65 EGUSA Simulated annual energy requirements for standard water heaters with absolute and fractional savings from the addition of solar water heaters State UTAH VERMONT VIRGINIA WASHINGTON WEST VIRGINIA WISCONSIN WYOMING City HOUSTON LUBBOCK LUFKIN MIDLAND PORT ARTHUR SAN ANGELO SAN ANTONIO VICTORIA WACO WICHITA FALLS CEDAR CITY SALT LAKE CITY BURLINGTON LYNCHBURG NORFOLK RICHMOND ROANOKE WASHINGTON D.C. OLYMPIA QUILLAYUTE SEATTLE SPOKANE YAKIMA CHARLESTON ELKINS HUNTINGTON EAU CLAIRE GREEN BAY LA CROSSE MILWAUKEE CASPER CHEYENNE LANDER ROCK SPRINGS SHERIDAN G Therms 151 187 162 173 152 170 151 149 162 173 221 213 242 198 186 193 201 197 225 230 218 229 227 207 229 205 252 246 240 241 243 245 244 252 241 G32ICS AS (Therms) 52 63 56 66 53 63 58 53 57 60 63 55 38 53 52 53 51 48 37 35 41 44 51 47 41 46 40 39 42 41 49 50 53 50 50 FS (%) 34.4 33.7 34.6 38.2 34.9 37.1 38.4 35.6 35.2 34.7 28.5 25.8 15.7 26.8 28.0 27.5 25.4 24.4 16.4 15.2 18.8 19.2 22.5 22.7 17.9 22.4 15.9 15.9 17.5 17.0 20.2 20.4 21.7 19.8 20.7 G40FPCL AS (Therms) FS (%) 78 51.7 97 51.9 82 50.6 98 56.6 79 52.0 94 55.3 85 56.3 80 53.7 86 53.1 90 52.0 106 48.0 87 40.8 69 28.5 85 42.9 81 43.5 83 43.0 83 41.3 77 39.1 58 25.8 54 23.5 63 28.9 71 31.0 80 35.2 76 36.7 69 30.1 74 36.1 76 30.2 75 30.5 77 32.1 76 31.5 93 38.3 94 38.4 99 40.6 97 38.5 87 36.1 G64FPCL AS (Therms) FS (%) 97 64.2 121 64.7 102 63.0 119 68.8 97 63.8 114 67.1 102 67.5 98 65.8 105 64.8 110 63.6 137 62.0 112 52.6 97 40.1 111 56.1 106 57.0 109 56.5 110 54.7 101 51.3 81 36.0 78 33.9 86 39.4 94 41.0 106 46.7 102 49.3 98 42.8 100 48.8 107 42.5 105 42.7 106 44.2 106 44.0 126 51.9 130 53.1 133 54.5 133 52.8 118 49.0 Page 34 of 65 Appendix D: BEopt Summary of Auxiliary Electric and Natural Gas Simulations Results Table D1. BEopt Summary of Auxiliary Electric Simulations Results BEopt Simulated annual energy requirements for standard water heaters with absolute and fractional savings from the addition of solar water heaters State ALABAMA ARIZONA ARKANSAS CALIFORNIA COLORADO CONNECTICUT DELAWARE FLORIDA GEORGIA IDAHO ILLINOIS INDIANA IOWA KANSAS City BIRMINGHAM MOBILE MONTGOMERY FLAGSTAFF PHOENIX PRESCOTT TUCSON FORT SMITH LITTLE ROCK ARCATA BAKERSFIELD FRESNO LONG BEACH LOS ANGELES SACRAMENTO SAN DIEGO SAN FRANCISCO ALAMOSA COLORADO SPRINGS EAGLE GRAND JUNCTION PUEBLO BRIDGEPORT HARTFORD WILMINGTON DAYTONA BEACH JACKSONVILLE MIAMI TALLAHASSEE TAMPA WEST PALM BEACH ATHENS ATLANTA AUGUSTA COLUMBUS MACON SAVANNAH BOISE POCATELLO CHICAGO MOLINE PEORIA ROCKFORD SPRINGFIELD EVANSVILLE FORT WAYNE INDIANAPOLIS SOUTH BEND DES MOINES MASON CITY SIOUX CITY WATERLOO DODGE CITY GOODLAND E (kWh) 3129 2836 2998 4293 2250 3575 2686 3304 3246 3933 2931 3009 3063 3146 3267 3033 3542 4626 4065 4506 3758 3806 3883 3973 3732 2573 2753 2159 2823 2442 2281 3180 3170 3084 2926 3022 2855 3870 4230 4025 4004 3990 4193 3797 3554 4062 3888 3934 3990 4356 4090 4191 3684 3955 E32ICS AS (kWh) FS (%) 1733 55.4 1675 59.1 1763 58.8 2298 53.5 1699 75.5 2221 62.1 2008 74.8 1773 53.7 1572 48.4 1624 41.3 1849 63.1 1835 61.0 1966 64.2 2006 63.8 1910 58.5 2064 68.1 1953 55.1 2472 53.4 2100 51.7 2087 46.3 2074 55.2 2174 57.1 1637 42.2 1577 39.7 1660 44.5 1741 67.7 1661 60.3 1603 74.2 1689 59.8 1746 71.5 1673 73.3 1751 55.1 1768 55.8 1786 57.9 1696 58.0 1727 57.1 1709 59.9 1827 47.2 1931 45.7 1604 39.9 1695 42.3 1708 42.8 1653 39.4 1727 45.5 1689 47.5 1582 38.9 1651 42.5 1531 38.9 1783 44.7 1693 38.9 1771 43.3 1694 40.4 2002 54.3 2088 52.8 E40FPCL AS (kWh) FS (%) 2230 71.3 2113 74.5 2240 74.7 3080 71.7 1938 86.1 2841 79.5 2350 87.5 2274 68.8 2067 63.7 2176 55.3 2183 74.5 2188 72.7 2463 80.4 2527 80.3 2327 71.2 2547 84.0 2543 71.8 3331 72.0 2801 68.9 2839 63.0 2666 70.9 2826 74.3 2179 56.1 2128 53.6 2217 59.4 2132 82.9 2122 77.1 1879 87.0 2155 76.3 2080 85.2 1979 86.8 2278 71.6 2267 71.5 2295 74.4 2147 73.4 2194 72.6 2171 76.0 2393 61.8 2587 61.2 2155 53.5 2280 56.9 2289 57.4 2237 53.4 2304 60.7 2218 62.4 2145 52.8 2213 56.9 2075 52.7 2381 59.7 2307 53.0 2386 58.3 2313 55.2 2636 71.6 2758 69.7 E64FPCL AS (kWh) FS (%) 2608 83.3 2419 85.3 2567 85.6 3702 86.2 2082 92.5 3209 89.8 2508 93.4 2653 80.3 2470 76.1 2795 71.1 2438 83.2 2440 81.1 2779 90.7 2846 90.5 2599 79.6 2811 92.7 2985 84.3 3997 86.4 3361 82.7 3490 77.5 3082 82.0 3260 85.7 2729 70.3 2679 67.4 2706 72.5 2332 90.6 2411 87.6 2022 93.7 2438 86.4 2245 91.9 2118 92.9 2653 83.4 2636 83.2 2627 85.2 2453 83.8 2523 83.5 2460 86.2 2797 72.3 3060 72.3 2663 66.2 2803 70.0 2791 69.9 2782 66.3 2795 73.6 2654 74.7 2651 65.3 2691 69.2 2556 65.0 2877 72.1 2885 66.2 2910 71.1 2863 68.3 3075 83.5 3255 82.3 Page 35 of 65 BEopt Simulated annual energy requirements for standard water heaters with absolute and fractional savings from the addition of solar water heaters State KENTUCKY LOUISIANA MAINE MARYLAND MASSACHUSETTS MICHIGAN MINNESOTA MISSISSIPPI MISSOURI MONTANA NEBRASKA NEVADA NEW HAMPSHIRE NEW JERSEY NEW MEXICO NEW YORK City TOPEKA WICHITA LEXINGTON LOUISVILLE BATON ROUGE LAKE CHARLES NEW ORLEANS SHREVEPORT PORTLAND BALTIMORE BOSTON WORCESTER ALPENA DETROIT FLINT GRAND RAPIDS HOUGHTON LAKE LANSING MUSKEGON SAULT STE. MARIE TRAVERSE CITY DULUTH INTERNATIONAL FALLS MINNEAPOLIS ROCHESTER JACKSON MERIDIAN COLUMBIA KANSAS CITY SPRINGFIELD ST. LOUIS BILLINGS CUT BANK GLASGOW GREAT FALLS HELENA KALISPELL LEWISTON MILES CITY MISSOULA GRAND ISLAND NORFOLK NORTH PLATTE SCOTTSBLUFF ELKO ELY LAS VEGAS RENO TONOPAH WINNEMUCCA CONCORD ATLANTIC CITY NEWARK ALBUQUERQUE TUCUMCARI ALBANY BINGHAMTON BUFFALO MASSENA NEW YORK CITY E (kWh) 3665 3521 3683 3470 2823 2803 2682 2970 4361 3610 3947 4278 4473 3995 4193 4174 4430 4185 4200 4711 4358 4786 4870 4313 4475 3031 3070 3755 3757 3614 3585 4168 4502 4439 4397 4386 4461 4482 4299 4340 4064 4122 4105 4115 4237 4343 2761 3885 3873 3992 4285 3758 3702 3551 3535 4153 4244 4145 4403 3696 E32ICS AS (kWh) FS (%) 1771 48.3 1874 53.2 1598 43.4 1422 41.0 1589 56.3 1634 58.3 1598 59.6 1708 57.5 1739 39.9 1660 46.0 1649 41.8 1662 38.8 1579 35.3 1446 36.2 1522 36.3 1545 37.0 1461 33.0 1539 36.8 1545 36.8 1587 33.7 1494 34.3 1653 34.5 1554 31.9 1682 39.0 1632 36.5 1895 62.5 1684 54.9 1772 47.2 1801 47.9 1746 48.3 1681 46.9 1801 43.2 1824 40.5 1759 39.6 1764 40.1 1772 40.4 1569 35.2 1751 39.1 1844 42.9 1603 36.9 1883 46.3 1849 44.9 1924 46.9 1949 47.4 2085 49.2 2202 50.7 1935 70.1 2129 54.8 2243 57.9 2093 52.4 1641 38.3 1700 45.2 1600 43.2 2255 63.5 2124 60.1 1619 39.0 1519 35.8 1522 36.7 1583 36.0 1616 43.7 E40FPCL AS (kWh) FS (%) 2344 64.0 2438 69.2 2144 58.2 1929 55.6 2005 71.0 2043 72.9 2001 74.6 2160 72.7 2331 53.5 2202 61.0 2187 55.4 2226 52.0 2161 48.3 1977 49.5 2068 49.3 2102 50.4 2024 45.7 2110 50.4 2093 49.8 2171 46.1 2040 46.8 2263 47.3 2159 44.3 2305 53.4 2244 50.1 2208 72.8 2182 71.1 2346 62.5 2388 63.6 2310 63.9 2201 61.4 2412 57.9 2482 55.1 2401 54.1 2408 54.8 2401 54.7 2145 48.1 2393 53.4 2469 57.4 2186 50.4 2534 62.4 2488 60.4 2606 63.5 2603 63.3 2748 64.9 2950 67.9 2279 82.5 2726 70.2 2867 74.0 2721 68.2 2223 51.9 2276 60.6 2135 57.7 2839 79.9 2717 76.9 2179 52.5 2047 48.2 2048 49.4 2144 48.7 2141 57.9 E64FPCL AS (kWh) FS (%) 2833 77.3 2869 81.5 2613 70.9 2405 69.3 2304 81.6 2342 83.6 2292 85.5 2495 84.0 2968 68.1 2681 74.3 2742 69.5 2863 66.9 2739 61.2 2492 62.4 2609 62.2 2606 62.4 2596 58.6 2640 63.1 2585 61.5 2808 59.6 2597 59.6 2928 61.2 2798 57.5 2893 67.1 2832 63.3 2540 83.8 2545 82.9 2807 74.8 2898 77.1 2761 76.4 2647 73.8 2931 70.3 3093 68.7 2949 66.4 2997 68.2 2963 67.6 2665 59.7 3006 67.1 2990 69.6 2695 62.1 3064 75.4 3018 73.2 3158 76.9 3135 76.2 3253 76.8 3556 81.9 2524 91.4 3178 81.8 3295 85.1 3183 79.7 2810 65.6 2806 74.7 2638 71.3 3230 91.0 3130 88.5 2746 66.1 2624 61.8 2560 61.8 2742 62.3 2619 70.9 Page 36 of 65 BEopt Simulated annual energy requirements for standard water heaters with absolute and fractional savings from the addition of solar water heaters State NORTH CAROLINA NORTH DAKOTA OHIO OKLAHOMA OREGON PENNSYLVANIA RHODE ISLAND SOUTH CAROLINA SOUTH DAKOTA TENNESSEE TEXAS City ROCHESTER SYRACUSE ASHEVILLE CAPE HATTERAS CHARLOTTE GREENSBORO RALEIGH WILMINGTON BISMARCK FARGO MINOT AKRON CLEVELAND COLUMBUS DAYTON MANSFIELD TOLEDO YOUNGSTOWN OKLAHOMA CITY TULSA ASTORIA BURNS EUGENE MEDFORD NORTH BEND PENDLETON PORTLAND REDMOND SALEM ALLENTOWN BRADFORD ERIE HARRISBURG PHILADELPHIA PITTSBURGH WILKES-BARRE WILLIAMSPORT PROVIDENCE CHARLESTON COLUMBIA PIERRE RAPID CITY SIOUX FALLS CHATTANOOGA KNOXVILLE MEMPHIS NASHVILLE ABILENE AMARILLO AUSTIN BROWNSVILLE CORPUS CHRISTI EL PASO FORT WORTH HOUSTON LUBBOCK LUFKIN MIDLAND PORT ARTHUR SAN ANGELO E (kWh) 4096 4123 3667 3103 3256 3457 3346 3067 4488 4618 4606 4039 3970 3879 3923 4115 4091 4127 3336 3305 3905 4320 3867 3773 3871 3869 3740 4183 3805 3901 4485 4090 3918 3672 3950 4036 3935 3958 2934 3088 4188 4237 4296 3285 3454 3120 3331 3114 3534 2674 2391 2517 2999 3029 2692 3328 2874 3071 2700 3025 E32ICS AS (kWh) FS (%) 1495 36.5 1532 37.2 1792 48.9 1723 55.5 1767 54.3 1717 49.7 1729 51.7 1649 53.8 1794 40.0 1730 37.5 1745 37.9 1357 33.6 1388 35.0 1456 37.5 1497 38.2 1521 37.0 1603 39.2 1449 35.1 1705 51.1 1769 53.5 1290 33.0 1931 44.7 1490 38.5 1765 46.8 1639 42.3 1730 44.7 1408 37.6 1889 45.2 1486 39.1 1587 40.7 1526 34.0 1482 36.2 1486 37.9 1662 45.3 1529 38.7 1529 37.9 1518 38.6 1614 40.8 1727 58.9 1708 55.3 1793 42.8 1929 45.5 1762 41.0 1650 50.2 1671 48.4 1691 54.2 1687 50.6 1934 62.1 2061 58.3 1568 58.6 1511 63.2 1527 60.7 2158 72.0 1722 56.9 1576 58.5 1997 60.0 1661 57.8 2004 65.3 1594 59.0 1927 63.7 E40FPCL AS (kWh) FS (%) 2018 49.3 2066 50.1 2413 65.8 2192 70.6 2302 70.7 2272 65.7 2273 67.9 2183 71.2 2506 55.8 2408 52.1 2410 52.3 1887 46.7 1935 48.7 2013 51.9 2061 52.5 2054 49.9 2181 53.3 1969 47.7 2274 68.2 2285 69.1 1769 45.3 2595 60.1 2016 52.1 2297 60.9 2178 56.3 2235 57.8 1886 50.4 2532 60.5 1986 52.2 2127 54.5 2072 46.2 1983 48.5 2027 51.7 2216 60.3 2061 52.2 2053 50.9 2053 52.2 2163 54.6 2195 74.8 2208 71.5 2426 57.9 2580 60.9 2404 56.0 2172 66.1 2204 63.8 2145 68.8 2190 65.7 2420 77.7 2677 75.7 1949 72.9 1830 76.5 1872 74.4 2582 86.1 2206 72.8 1986 73.8 2578 77.5 2090 72.7 2511 81.8 1974 73.1 2416 79.9 E64FPCL AS (kWh) FS (%) 2529 61.7 2608 63.3 2951 80.5 2543 82.0 2689 82.6 2724 78.8 2702 80.8 2598 84.7 3186 71.0 3105 67.2 3009 65.3 2461 60.9 2484 62.6 2594 66.9 2642 67.3 2607 63.4 2711 66.3 2509 60.8 2677 80.2 2683 81.2 2313 59.2 3119 72.2 2443 63.2 2701 71.6 2727 70.4 2654 68.6 2317 62.0 3018 72.1 2423 63.7 2648 67.9 2685 59.9 2472 60.4 2569 65.6 2698 73.5 2564 64.9 2586 64.1 2582 65.6 2738 69.2 2519 85.9 2560 82.9 2961 70.7 3146 74.3 2984 69.5 2594 79.0 2659 77.0 2495 80.0 2599 78.0 2733 87.8 3090 87.4 2240 83.8 2042 85.4 2116 84.1 2795 93.2 2540 83.9 2290 85.1 2954 88.8 2401 83.5 2783 90.6 2253 83.4 2683 88.7 Page 37 of 65 BEopt Simulated annual energy requirements for standard water heaters with absolute and fractional savings from the addition of solar water heaters State UTAH VERMONT VIRGINIA WASHINGTON WEST VIRGINIA WISCONSIN WYOMING City SAN ANTONIO VICTORIA WACO WICHITA FALLS CEDAR CITY SALT LAKE CITY BURLINGTON LYNCHBURG NORFOLK RICHMOND ROANOKE WASHINGTON D.C. OLYMPIA QUILLAYUTE SEATTLE SPOKANE YAKIMA CHARLESTON HUNTINGTON EAU CLAIRE GREEN BAY LA CROSSE MADISON MILWAUKEE CASPER CHEYENNE LANDER E (kWh) 2688 2646 2891 3082 3919 3783 4296 3530 3304 3424 3565 3399 3985 4072 3791 4190 4028 3676 3649 4464 4360 4256 4314 4267 4313 4340 4334 E32ICS AS (kWh) FS (%) 1708 63.5 1588 60.0 1726 59.7 1840 59.7 2209 56.4 1847 48.8 1552 36.1 1780 50.4 1677 50.8 1717 50.1 1715 48.1 1424 41.9 1296 32.5 1239 30.4 1348 35.6 1649 39.4 1730 42.9 1596 43.4 1559 42.7 1658 37.1 1638 37.6 1670 39.2 1661 38.5 1654 38.8 1983 46.0 1993 45.9 2091 48.2 E40FPCL AS (kWh) FS (%) 2089 77.7 1971 74.5 2138 74.0 2309 74.9 2878 73.4 2398 63.4 2090 48.6 2334 66.1 2196 66.5 2261 66.0 2277 63.9 1951 57.4 1778 44.6 1695 41.6 1803 47.6 2186 52.2 2305 57.2 2134 58.1 2088 57.2 2264 50.7 2224 51.0 2270 53.3 2255 52.3 2218 52.0 2660 61.7 2696 62.1 2810 64.8 E64FPCL AS (kWh) FS (%) 2340 87.1 2230 84.3 2452 84.8 2636 85.5 3327 84.9 2812 74.3 2666 62.1 2782 78.8 2605 78.8 2722 79.5 2756 77.3 2435 71.6 2265 56.8 2214 54.4 2260 59.6 2651 63.3 2752 68.3 2621 71.3 2578 70.6 2876 64.4 2820 64.7 2839 66.7 2802 65.0 2792 65.4 3223 74.7 3345 77.1 3407 78.6 Page 38 of 65 Table D2. BEopt Summary of Auxiliary Natural Gas Simulations Results BEopt Simulated annual energy requirements for standard water heaters with absolute and fractional savings from the addition of solar water heaters State ALABAMA ARIZONA ARKANSAS CALIFORNIA COLORADO CONNECTICUT DELAWARE FLORIDA GEORGIA IDAHO ILLINOIS INDIANA IOWA KANSAS KENTUCKY City BIRMINGHAM MOBILE MONTGOMERY FLAGSTAFF PHOENIX PRESCOTT TUCSON FORT SMITH LITTLE ROCK ARCATA BAKERSFIELD FRESNO LONG BEACH LOS ANGELES SACRAMENTO SAN DIEGO SAN FRANCISCO ALAMOSA COLORADO SPRINGS EAGLE GRAND JUNCTION PUEBLO BRIDGEPORT HARTFORD WILMINGTON DAYTONA BEACH JACKSONVILLE MIAMI TALLAHASSEE TAMPA WEST PALM BEACH ATHENS ATLANTA AUGUSTA COLUMBUS MACON SAVANNAH BOISE POCATELLO CHICAGO MOLINE PEORIA ROCKFORD SPRINGFIELD EVANSVILLE FORT WAYNE INDIANAPOLIS SOUTH BEND DES MOINES MASON CITY SIOUX CITY WATERLOO DODGE CITY GOODLAND TOPEKA WICHITA LEXINGTON G Therms 176 164 171 225 139 195 158 184 181 210 168 171 173 177 182 172 193 239 216 234 203 205 208 212 202 153 160 136 163 148 141 178 178 174 168 172 165 207 222 214 213 212 221 204 194 215 208 210 212 228 217 221 200 211 199 193 200 G32ICS AS (Therms) FS (%) 74 42.0 72 43.9 76 44.4 96 42.7 87 62.6 95 48.7 92 58.2 76 41.3 67 37.0 67 31.9 83 49.4 82 48.0 84 48.6 86 48.6 82 45.1 89 51.7 82 42.5 103 43.1 88 40.7 86 36.8 89 43.8 92 44.9 68 32.7 65 30.7 70 34.7 76 49.7 71 44.4 71 52.2 72 44.2 77 52.0 74 52.5 74 41.6 75 42.1 76 43.7 73 43.5 74 43.0 74 44.8 77 37.2 80 36.0 67 31.3 70 32.9 71 33.5 68 30.8 72 35.3 71 36.6 65 30.2 69 33.2 63 30.0 74 34.9 70 30.7 74 34.1 70 31.7 86 43.0 88 41.7 75 37.7 80 41.5 67 33.5 G40FPCL AS (Therms) FS (%) 106 60.2 104 63.4 109 63.7 138 61.3 115 82.7 136 69.7 130 82.3 111 60.3 99 54.7 98 46.7 118 70.2 117 68.4 120 69.4 120 67.8 120 65.9 124 72.1 117 60.6 148 61.9 128 59.3 127 54.3 128 63.1 134 65.4 99 47.6 97 45.8 102 50.5 110 71.9 104 65.0 102 75.0 107 65.6 111 75.0 105 74.5 108 60.7 110 61.8 111 63.8 106 63.1 109 63.4 108 65.5 114 55.1 118 53.2 98 45.8 104 48.8 104 49.1 101 45.7 106 52.0 104 53.6 97 45.1 102 49.0 95 45.2 109 51.4 104 45.6 109 50.2 104 47.1 125 62.5 128 60.7 110 55.3 117 60.6 99 49.5 G64FPCL AS (Therms) FS (%) 134 76.1 130 79.3 136 79.5 178 79.1 128 92.1 166 85.1 147 93.0 137 74.5 125 69.1 129 61.4 135 80.4 134 78.4 147 85.0 150 84.7 139 76.4 152 88.4 149 77.2 191 79.9 163 75.5 164 70.1 156 76.8 165 80.5 129 62.0 126 59.4 132 65.3 133 86.9 130 81.3 122 89.7 132 81.0 133 89.9 127 90.1 137 77.0 137 77.0 138 79.3 132 78.6 134 77.9 133 80.6 140 67.6 149 67.1 127 59.3 134 62.9 134 63.2 131 59.3 136 66.7 132 68.0 126 58.6 130 62.5 123 58.6 139 65.6 135 59.2 140 64.5 136 61.5 156 78.0 161 76.3 139 69.8 145 75.1 128 64.0 Page 39 of 65 BEopt Simulated annual energy requirements for standard water heaters with absolute and fractional savings from the addition of solar water heaters State LOUISIANA MAINE MARYLAND MASSACHUSETTS MICHIGAN MINNESOTA MISSISSIPPI MISSOURI MONTANA NEBRASKA NEVADA NEW HAMPSHIRE NEW JERSEY NEW MEXICO NEW YORK City LOUISVILLE BATON ROUGE LAKE CHARLES NEW ORLEANS SHREVEPORT PORTLAND BALTIMORE BOSTON WORCESTER ALPENA DETROIT FLINT GRAND RAPIDS HOUGHTON LAKE LANSING MUSKEGON SAULT STE. MARIE TRAVERSE CITY DULUTH INTERNATIONAL FALLS MINNEAPOLIS ROCHESTER JACKSON MERIDIAN COLUMBIA KANSAS CITY SPRINGFIELD ST. LOUIS BILLINGS CUT BANK GLASGOW GREAT FALLS HELENA KALISPELL LEWISTON MILES CITY MISSOULA GRAND ISLAND NORFOLK NORTH PLATTE SCOTTSBLUFF ELKO ELY LAS VEGAS RENO TONOPAH WINNEMUCCA CONCORD ATLANTIC CITY NEWARK ALBUQUERQUE TUCUMCARI ALBANY BINGHAMTON BUFFALO MASSENA NEW YORK CITY ROCHESTER SYRACUSE G Therms 190 163 163 158 170 228 196 211 225 233 213 221 220 231 221 221 243 228 246 G32ICS AS (Therms) FS (%) 59 31.1 68 41.7 71 43.6 70 44.3 74 43.5 72 31.6 69 35.2 69 32.7 69 30.7 65 27.9 60 28.2 62 28.1 63 28.6 60 26.0 64 29.0 63 28.5 65 26.7 61 26.8 67 27.2 G40FPCL AS (Therms) FS (%) 89 46.8 99 60.7 103 63.2 101 63.9 108 63.5 104 45.6 101 51.5 100 47.4 100 44.4 97 41.6 90 42.3 93 42.1 95 43.2 91 39.4 96 43.4 94 42.5 97 39.9 92 40.4 101 41.1 G64FPCL AS (Therms) FS (%) 116 61.1 123 75.5 127 77.9 125 79.1 133 78.2 137 60.1 130 66.3 130 61.6 132 58.7 127 54.5 118 55.4 122 55.2 123 55.9 119 51.5 125 56.6 123 55.7 128 52.7 120 52.6 132 53.7 250 63 25.2 97 38.8 127 50.8 226 233 172 174 203 203 197 195 220 234 231 230 229 232 233 225 227 215 218 217 218 223 227 161 208 207 212 225 203 200 194 193 219 223 219 230 200 217 218 69 67 75 72 75 76 74 71 75 75 72 73 73 64 72 76 66 78 77 80 82 87 92 92 90 95 88 68 71 67 97 91 66 62 63 65 67 62 63 30.5 28.8 43.6 41.4 36.9 37.4 37.6 36.4 34.1 32.1 31.2 31.7 31.9 27.6 30.9 33.8 29.1 36.3 35.3 36.9 37.6 39.0 40.5 57.1 43.3 45.9 41.5 30.2 35.0 33.5 50.0 47.2 30.1 27.8 28.8 28.3 33.5 28.6 28.9 103 100 108 105 109 112 108 103 110 111 108 109 108 97 107 112 99 116 114 119 120 127 133 125 131 137 128 100 104 98 138 130 98 92 93 96 99 92 93 45.6 42.9 62.8 60.3 53.7 55.2 54.8 52.8 50.0 47.4 46.8 47.4 47.2 41.8 45.9 49.8 43.6 54.0 52.3 54.8 55.0 57.0 58.6 77.6 63.0 66.2 60.4 44.4 51.2 49.0 71.1 67.4 44.7 41.3 42.5 41.7 49.5 42.4 42.7 135 132 134 132 139 142 137 131 141 144 139 141 140 125 140 143 127 148 145 152 152 159 170 143 159 166 157 131 135 126 167 160 128 120 121 126 127 119 122 59.7 56.7 77.9 75.9 68.5 70.0 69.5 67.2 64.1 61.5 60.2 61.3 61.1 53.9 60.1 63.6 55.9 68.8 66.5 70.0 69.7 71.3 74.9 88.8 76.4 80.2 74.1 58.2 66.5 63.0 86.1 82.9 58.4 53.8 55.3 54.8 63.5 54.8 56.0 Page 40 of 65 BEopt Simulated annual energy requirements for standard water heaters with absolute and fractional savings from the addition of solar water heaters State NORTH CAROLINA NORTH DAKOTA OHIO OKLAHOMA OREGON PENNSYLVANIA RHODE ISLAND SOUTH CAROLINA SOUTH DAKOTA TENNESSEE TEXAS City G Therms G32ICS AS (Therms) FS (%) G40FPCL AS (Therms) FS (%) G64FPCL AS (Therms) FS (%) ASHEVILLE 199 75 37.7 110 55.3 143 71.9 CAPE HATTERAS CHARLOTTE GREENSBORO RALEIGH WILMINGTON BISMARCK FARGO MINOT AKRON CLEVELAND COLUMBUS DAYTON MANSFIELD TOLEDO YOUNGSTOWN OKLAHOMA CITY TULSA ASTORIA BURNS EUGENE MEDFORD NORTH BEND PENDLETON PORTLAND REDMOND SALEM ALLENTOWN BRADFORD ERIE HARRISBURG PHILADELPHIA PITTSBURGH WILKES-BARRE WILLIAMSPORT PROVIDENCE 175 182 190 185 173 233 239 238 214 212 208 210 218 217 218 185 184 209 226 207 203 207 207 202 221 204 209 233 217 209 199 211 214 210 211 73 75 72 73 69 73 71 71 55 57 60 62 63 66 59 72 76 53 80 62 74 67 72 58 79 61 66 62 61 61 70 63 63 62 67 41.7 41.2 37.9 39.5 39.9 31.3 29.7 29.8 25.7 26.9 28.8 29.5 28.9 30.4 27.1 38.9 41.3 25.4 35.4 30.0 36.5 32.4 34.8 28.7 35.7 29.9 31.6 26.6 28.1 29.2 35.2 29.9 29.4 29.5 31.8 105 109 106 106 101 111 107 107 85 88 91 93 93 99 89 107 111 80 118 93 109 98 105 87 116 92 97 92 91 92 102 94 93 93 98 60.0 59.9 55.8 57.3 58.4 47.6 44.8 45.0 39.7 41.5 43.8 44.3 42.7 45.6 40.8 57.8 60.3 38.3 52.2 44.9 53.7 47.3 50.7 43.1 52.5 45.1 46.4 39.5 41.9 44.0 51.3 44.5 43.5 44.3 46.4 132 139 135 136 131 147 142 140 112 116 120 123 122 129 116 137 138 106 150 119 135 128 131 111 147 117 126 122 117 120 131 122 121 121 128 75.4 76.4 71.1 73.5 75.7 63.1 59.4 58.8 52.3 54.7 57.7 58.6 56.0 59.4 53.2 74.1 75.0 50.7 66.4 57.5 66.5 61.8 63.3 55.0 66.5 57.4 60.3 52.4 53.9 57.4 65.8 57.8 56.5 57.6 60.7 CHARLESTON 168 74 44.0 108 64.3 134 79.8 COLUMBIA PIERRE RAPID CITY SIOUX FALLS CHATTANOOGA KNOXVILLE MEMPHIS NASHVILLE ABILENE AMARILLO AUSTIN BROWNSVILLE CORPUS CHRISTI EL PASO FORT WORTH HOUSTON LUBBOCK LUFKIN MIDLAND PORT ARTHUR SAN ANGELO 175 221 223 225 183 190 176 185 176 193 157 145 151 171 172 158 185 166 174 158 172 73 75 81 73 70 70 73 72 85 87 69 66 67 96 74 68 86 72 87 69 84 41.7 33.9 36.3 32.4 38.3 36.8 41.5 38.9 48.3 45.1 43.9 45.5 44.4 56.1 43.0 43.0 46.5 43.4 50.0 43.7 48.8 107 111 118 108 103 103 106 104 122 128 101 97 98 135 109 100 126 105 127 100 122 61.1 50.2 52.9 48.0 56.3 54.2 60.2 56.2 69.3 66.3 64.3 66.9 64.9 78.9 63.4 63.3 68.1 63.3 73.0 63.3 70.9 134 142 150 140 131 132 131 132 147 158 122 118 119 156 136 123 154 129 151 123 146 76.6 64.3 67.3 62.2 71.6 69.5 74.4 71.4 83.5 81.9 77.7 81.4 78.8 91.2 79.1 77.8 83.2 77.7 86.8 77.8 84.9 Page 41 of 65 BEopt Simulated annual energy requirements for standard water heaters with absolute and fractional savings from the addition of solar water heaters State UTAH VERMONT VIRGINIA WASHINGTON WEST VIRGINIA WISCONSIN WYOMING City SAN ANTONIO VICTORIA WACO WICHITA FALLS CEDAR CITY SALT LAKE CITY BURLINGTON LYNCHBURG NORFOLK RICHMOND ROANOKE WASHINGTON D.C. OLYMPIA QUILLAYUTE SEATTLE SPOKANE YAKIMA CHARLESTON HUNTINGTON EAU CLAIRE GREEN BAY LA CROSSE MADISON MILWAUKEE CASPER CHEYENNE LANDER G Therms 158 156 166 174 209 204 225 193 184 189 195 188 212 216 204 221 214 199 198 232 228 224 226 224 226 227 227 G32ICS AS (Therms) FS (%) 76 48.1 69 44.2 76 45.8 80 46.0 93 44.5 78 38.2 63 28.0 75 38.9 71 38.6 73 38.6 72 36.9 60 31.9 53 25.0 50 23.1 55 27.0 68 30.8 72 33.6 66 33.2 65 32.8 68 29.3 67 29.4 69 30.8 68 30.1 68 30.4 82 36.3 83 36.6 87 38.3 G40FPCL AS (Therms) FS (%) 109 69.0 100 64.1 110 66.3 116 66.7 135 64.6 115 56.4 94 41.8 109 56.5 103 56.0 106 56.1 106 54.4 91 48.4 81 38.2 77 35.6 83 40.7 101 45.7 107 50.0 98 49.2 96 48.5 101 43.5 100 43.9 103 46.0 102 45.1 99 44.2 120 53.1 120 52.9 127 55.9 G64FPCL AS (Therms) FS (%) 131 82.9 121 77.6 132 79.5 140 80.5 167 79.9 142 69.6 123 54.7 139 72.0 132 71.7 135 71.4 136 69.7 118 62.8 105 49.5 101 46.8 107 52.5 128 57.9 135 63.1 126 63.3 124 62.6 132 56.9 130 57.0 133 59.4 132 58.4 130 58.0 154 68.1 157 69.2 163 71.8 Page 42 of 65 Appendix E: BEopt Auxiliary Electric Water Heaters Contour Plots Figure E1. Annual energy consumption in kWh for a standard storage electric water heater Figure E2. Annual absolute energy savings in kWh for E32ICS Figure E3. Annual fractional energy savings (%) for E32ICS Page 43 of 65 Figure E4. Annual absolute energy savings in kWh for E40FPCL Figure E5. Annual fractional energy savings (%) for E40FPCL Figure E6. Annual absolute energy savings in kWh for E64FPCL Page 44 of 65 Figure E7. Annual fractional energy savings (%) for E64FPCL Page 45 of 65 Appendix F: EGUSA Auxiliary Electric Water Heaters Contour Plots for California Figure F1. Annual energy consumption in kWh for a standard storage electric water heater Figure F2. Annual absolute energy savings in kWh for E32ICS Page 46 of 65 Figure F3. Annual fractional energy savings (%) for E32ICS Figure F4. Annual absolute energy savings in kWh for E40FPCL Page 47 of 65 Figure F5. Annual fractional energy savings (%) for E40FPCL Figure F6. Annual absolute energy savings in kWh for E64FPCL Page 48 of 65 Figure F7. Annual fractional energy savings (%) for E64FPCL Page 49 of 65 Appendix G: EGUSA Auxiliary Natural Gas Water Heaters Contour Plots for California Figure G1. Annual energy consumption in therms for a standard storage natural gas water heater Figure G2. Annual absolute energy savings in therms for G32ICS Page 50 of 65 Figure G3. Annual fractional energy savings (%) for G32ICS Figure G4. Annual absolute energy savings in therms for G40FPCL Page 51 of 65 Figure G5. Annual fractional energy savings (%) for G40FPCL Figure G6. Annual absolute energy savings in therms for G64FPCL Page 52 of 65 Figure G7. Annual fractional energy savings (%) for G64FPCL Page 53 of 65 Appendix H: EGUSA Auxiliary Electric Water Heaters Contour Plots for Florida Figure H1. Annual energy consumption in kWh for a standard storage electric water heater Figure H2. Annual absolute energy savings in kWh for E32ICS Page 54 of 65 Figure H3. Annual fractional energy savings (%) for E32ICS Figure H4. Annual absolute energy savings in kWh for E40FPCL Page 55 of 65 Figure H5. Annual fractional energy savings (%) for E40FPCL Figure H6. Annual absolute energy savings in kWh for E64FPCL Page 56 of 65 Figure H7. Annual fractional energy savings (%) for E64FPCL Page 57 of 65 Appendix I: Difference in prediction of absolute energy savings in BEopt with respect to EGUSA on a city by city basis Table I1. Electric Systems State ALABAMA ARIZONA ARKANSAS CALIFORNIA COLORADO CONNECTICUT DELAWARE FLORIDA GEORGIA IDAHO ILLINOIS INDIANA IOWA KANSAS City BIRMINGHAM MOBILE MONTGOMERY FLAGSTAFF PHOENIX PRESCOTT TUCSON FORT SMITH LITTLE ROCK ARCATA BAKERSFIELD FRESNO LONG BEACH LOS ANGELES SACRAMENTO SAN DIEGO SAN FRANCISCO ALAMOSA COLORADO SPRINGS EAGLE GRAND JUNCTION PUEBLO BRIDGEPORT HARTFORD WILMINGTON DAYTONA BEACH JACKSONVILLE MIAMI TALLAHASSEE TAMPA WEST PALM BEACH ATHENS ATLANTA AUGUSTA COLUMBUS MACON SAVANNAH BOISE POCATELLO CHICAGO MOLINE PEORIA ROCKFORD SPRINGFIELD EVANSVILLE FORT WAYNE INDIANAPOLIS SOUTH BEND DES MOINES MASON CITY SIOUX CITY WATERLOO DODGE CITY GOODLAND E32ICS BEopt-EG (kWh) 141 116 116 562 155 235 170 233 37 183 143 138 117 125 172 90 150 819 465 623 406 362 360 394 288 96 92 89 102 111 90 154 173 121 132 118 107 287 419 390 397 373 463 355 234 412 367 343 427 500 444 446 350 419 % 8.9 7.4 7.0 32.4 10.0 11.8 9.2 15.1 2.4 12.7 8.4 8.1 6.3 6.6 9.9 4.6 8.3 49.5 28.4 42.6 24.3 20.0 28.2 33.3 21.0 5.8 5.9 5.9 6.4 6.8 5.7 9.6 10.8 7.3 8.4 7.3 6.7 18.6 27.7 32.1 30.6 27.9 38.9 25.9 16.1 35.2 28.6 28.9 31.5 41.9 33.5 35.7 21.2 25.1 E40FPCL BEopt-EG (kWh) 55 54 55 157 33 169 81 144 22 210 59 68 106 122 79 -25 164 280 220 278 152 184 194 158 130 46 66 1 75 33 4 96 78 75 73 58 72 174 201 239 142 151 187 142 111 191 160 167 144 207 179 197 153 142 % 2.5 2.6 2.5 5.4 1.7 6.3 3.6 6.8 1.1 10.7 2.8 3.2 4.5 5.1 3.5 -1.0 6.9 9.2 8.5 10.9 6.0 7.0 9.8 8.0 6.2 2.2 3.2 0.1 3.6 1.6 0.2 4.4 3.6 3.4 3.5 2.7 3.4 7.8 8.4 12.5 6.6 7.1 9.1 6.6 5.3 9.8 7.8 8.8 6.4 9.9 8.1 9.3 6.2 5.4 E64FPCL BEopt-EG (kWh) 44 52 38 86 55 77 45 111 40 196 51 50 61 61 54 -107 103 122 124 170 73 94 167 122 101 31 64 11 65 28 -4 86 78 52 57 52 70 130 111 244 89 95 132 115 99 142 109 127 81 140 130 142 105 77 % 1.7 2.2 1.5 2.4 2.7 2.5 1.8 4.4 1.6 7.5 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.1 -3.7 3.6 3.1 3.8 5.1 2.4 3.0 6.5 4.8 3.9 1.3 2.7 0.5 2.7 1.3 -0.2 3.4 3.0 2.0 2.4 2.1 2.9 4.9 3.8 10.1 3.3 3.5 5.0 4.3 3.9 5.7 4.2 5.2 2.9 5.1 4.7 5.2 3.5 2.4 Page 58 of 65 State KENTUCKY LOUISIANA MAINE MARYLAND MASSACHUSETTS MICHIGAN MICHIGAN MINNESOTA MISSISSIPPI MISSOURI MONTANA NEBRASKA NEVADA NEW HAMPSHIRE NEW JERSEY NEW MEXICO NEW YORK NORTH CAROLINA City TOPEKA WICHITA LEXINGTON LOUISVILLE BATON ROUGE LAKE CHARLES NEW ORLEANS SHREVEPORT PORTLAND BALTIMORE BOSTON WORCESTER ALPENA DETROIT FLINT GRAND RAPIDS HOUGHTON LAKE LANSING MUSKEGON SAULT STE. MARIE TRAVERSE CITY DULUTH INTERNATIONAL FALLS MINNEAPOLIS ROCHESTER JACKSON MERIDIAN COLUMBIA KANSAS CITY SPRINGFIELD ST. LOUIS BILLINGS CUT BANK GLASGOW GREAT FALLS HELENA KALISPELL LEWISTON MILES CITY MISSOULA GRAND ISLAND NORFOLK NORTH PLATTE SCOTTSBLUFF ELKO ELY LAS VEGAS RENO TONOPAH WINNEMUCCA CONCORD ATLANTIC CITY NEWARK ALBUQUERQUE TUCUMCARI ALBANY BINGHAMTON BUFFALO MASSENA NEW YORK CITY ROCHESTER SYRACUSE ASHEVILLE E32ICS BEopt-EG (kWh) 333 271 279 201 101 103 91 192 546 246 384 506 558 345 412 382 466 376 394 598 446 616 561 527 502 283 134 323 360 283 282 391 473 482 377 467 398 496 430 332 470 484 453 463 497 699 161 315 412 406 502 289 312 254 281 425 446 394 493 245 362 393 233 % 23.2 16.9 21.2 16.5 6.8 6.7 6.0 12.7 45.8 17.4 30.4 43.8 54.7 31.3 37.1 32.8 46.8 32.3 34.2 60.5 42.6 59.4 56.5 45.6 44.4 17.6 8.6 22.3 25.0 19.3 20.2 27.7 35.0 37.7 27.2 35.8 34.0 39.5 30.4 26.1 33.3 35.5 30.8 31.2 31.3 46.5 9.1 17.4 22.5 24.1 44.1 20.5 24.2 12.7 15.2 35.6 41.6 34.9 45.2 17.9 32.0 34.5 14.9 E40FPCL BEopt-EG (kWh) 111 117 131 157 49 34 37 138 171 89 129 132 225 198 196 207 273 210 218 240 227 262 312 211 248 63 111 122 113 145 75 177 208 242 223 198 238 214 178 217 173 177 175 147 161 166 21 81 85 132 190 110 103 70 86 150 160 180 188 113 181 169 137 % 5.0 5.0 6.5 8.9 2.5 1.7 1.9 6.8 7.9 4.2 6.3 6.3 11.6 11.1 10.5 10.9 15.6 11.1 11.6 12.4 12.5 13.1 16.9 10.1 12.4 2.9 5.4 5.5 5.0 6.7 3.5 7.9 9.1 11.2 10.2 9.0 12.5 9.8 7.8 11.0 7.3 7.7 7.2 6.0 6.2 6.0 0.9 3.1 3.1 5.1 9.3 5.1 5.1 2.5 3.3 7.4 8.5 9.6 9.6 5.6 9.9 8.9 6.0 E64FPCL BEopt-EG (kWh) 86 93 102 177 47 32 49 148 121 60 105 89 161 176 156 160 251 164 174 186 186 208 260 178 189 49 110 74 95 122 45 121 138 178 176 125 186 150 108 153 108 121 104 67 67 70 40 31 14 71 136 83 74 43 55 105 113 132 136 96 145 138 127 % 3.1 3.4 4.1 7.9 2.1 1.4 2.2 6.3 4.3 2.3 4.0 3.2 6.2 7.6 6.4 6.5 10.7 6.6 7.2 7.1 7.7 7.6 10.2 6.6 7.2 2.0 4.5 2.7 3.4 4.6 1.7 4.3 4.7 6.4 6.2 4.4 7.5 5.3 3.7 6.0 3.7 4.2 3.4 2.2 2.1 2.0 1.6 1.0 0.4 2.3 5.1 3.0 2.9 1.3 1.8 4.0 4.5 5.4 5.2 3.8 6.1 5.6 4.5 Page 59 of 65 State NORTH DAKOTA OHIO OKLAHOMA OREGON PENNSYLVANIA PENNSYLVANIA RHODE ISLAND SOUTH CAROLINA SOUTH DAKOTA TENNESSEE TEXAS UTAH City CAPE HATTERAS CHARLOTTE GREENSBORO RALEIGH WILMINGTON BISMARCK FARGO MINOT AKRON CLEVELAND COLUMBUS DAYTON MANSFIELD TOLEDO YOUNGSTOWN OKLAHOMA CITY TULSA ASTORIA BURNS EUGENE MEDFORD NORTH BEND PENDLETON PORTLAND REDMOND SALEM ALLENTOWN BRADFORD ERIE HARRISBURG PHILADELPHIA PITTSBURGH WILKES-BARRE WILLIAMSPORT PROVIDENCE CHARLESTON COLUMBIA PIERRE RAPID CITY SIOUX FALLS CHATTANOOGA KNOXVILLE MEMPHIS NASHVILLE ABILENE AMARILLO AUSTIN BROWNSVILLE CORPUS CHRISTI EL PASO FORT WORTH HOUSTON LUBBOCK LUFKIN MIDLAND PORT ARTHUR SAN ANGELO SAN ANTONIO VICTORIA WACO WICHITA FALLS CEDAR CITY SALT LAKE CITY E32ICS BEopt-EG (kWh) 124 152 230 168 64 487 544 587 231 347 220 279 391 351 327 171 246 172 460 199 180 171 209 187 299 198 351 469 368 211 271 345 367 349 362 113 130 396 470 471 148 251 151 220 173 231 103 90 90 168 147 95 201 100 156 93 160 103 77 119 174 416 296 % 7.8 9.4 15.5 10.8 4.0 37.3 45.9 50.7 20.5 33.3 17.8 22.9 34.6 28.0 29.1 11.1 16.2 15.4 31.3 15.4 11.4 11.6 13.7 15.3 18.8 15.4 28.4 44.4 33.0 16.5 19.5 29.1 31.6 29.9 28.9 7.0 8.2 28.3 32.2 36.5 9.9 17.7 9.8 15.0 9.8 12.6 7.0 6.3 6.3 8.4 9.3 6.4 11.2 6.4 8.4 6.2 9.1 6.4 5.1 7.4 10.4 23.2 19.1 E40FPCL BEopt-EG (kWh) 58 85 116 108 64 317 278 420 88 271 90 110 180 186 199 102 104 163 196 220 148 117 133 181 193 179 122 211 197 -9 126 167 142 155 132 61 89 200 156 213 91 104 71 95 106 103 47 15 18 38 87 43 115 42 90 23 91 28 2 11 74 111 128 % 2.7 3.8 5.4 5.0 3.0 14.5 13.1 21.1 4.9 16.3 4.7 5.6 9.6 9.3 11.2 4.7 4.8 10.1 8.2 12.2 6.9 5.7 6.3 10.6 8.3 9.9 6.1 11.3 11.0 -0.4 6.0 8.8 7.4 8.2 6.5 2.9 4.2 9.0 6.4 9.7 4.4 5.0 3.4 4.5 4.6 4.0 2.5 0.8 1.0 1.5 4.1 2.2 4.7 2.1 3.7 1.2 3.9 1.4 0.1 0.5 3.3 4.0 5.6 E64FPCL BEopt-EG (kWh) 55 62 102 98 113 361 300 366 118 306 132 152 153 139 177 124 92 174 121 193 119 96 108 169 125 156 76 155 168 -27 96 131 100 121 111 59 76 144 86 166 87 94 73 88 183 65 68 20 17 12 84 56 99 41 60 26 54 27 -3 16 63 29 77 % 2.2 2.4 3.9 3.8 4.5 12.8 10.7 13.8 5.0 14.0 5.4 6.1 6.2 5.4 7.6 4.9 3.6 8.1 4.0 8.6 4.6 3.6 4.2 7.9 4.3 6.9 3.0 6.1 7.3 -1.0 3.7 5.4 4.0 4.9 4.2 2.4 3.1 5.1 2.8 5.9 3.5 3.7 3.0 3.5 7.2 2.1 3.1 1.0 0.8 0.4 3.4 2.5 3.5 1.7 2.2 1.2 2.1 1.2 -0.1 0.7 2.4 0.9 2.8 Page 60 of 65 State VERMONT VIRGINIA WASHINGTON WEST VIRGINIA WISCONSIN WYOMING City BURLINGTON LYNCHBURG NORFOLK RICHMOND ROANOKE WASHINGTON D.C. OLYMPIA QUILLAYUTE SEATTLE SPOKANE YAKIMA CHARLESTON HUNTINGTON EAU CLAIRE GREEN BAY LA CROSSE MILWAUKEE CASPER CHEYENNE LANDER E32ICS BEopt-EG (kWh) 430 242 194 202 251 66 219 217 158 390 263 250 222 506 518 475 469 553 533 552 % 38.3 15.7 13.1 13.3 17.1 4.9 20.3 21.2 13.3 31.0 17.9 18.6 16.6 43.9 46.3 39.7 39.6 38.7 36.5 35.9 E40FPCL BEopt-EG (kWh) 193 102 86 98 102 -59 222 222 127 292 188 128 112 186 185 199 158 147 137 159 % 10.2 4.6 4.1 4.5 4.7 -2.9 14.3 15.1 7.6 15.4 8.9 6.4 5.7 9.0 9.1 9.6 7.7 5.8 5.4 6.0 E64FPCL BEopt-EG (kWh) 160 73 65 94 81 -33 214 212 113 298 148 109 92 118 130 152 99 44 61 85 % 6.4 2.7 2.6 3.6 3.0 -1.3 10.4 10.6 5.3 12.7 5.7 4.3 3.7 4.3 4.8 5.7 3.7 1.4 1.9 2.6 Page 61 of 65 Table I2. Natural Gas Systems State City ALABAMA BIRMINGHAM MOBILE MONTGOMERY FLAGSTAFF PHOENIX PRESCOTT TUCSON FORT SMITH LITTLE ROCK ARCATA BAKERSFIELD FRESNO LONG BEACH LOS ANGELES SACRAMENTO SAN DIEGO SAN FRANCISCO ALAMOSA COLORADO SPRINGS EAGLE GRAND JUNCTION PUEBLO BRIDGEPORT HARTFORD WILMINGTON DAYTONA BEACH JACKSONVILLE MIAMI TALLAHASSEE TAMPA WEST PALM BEACH ATHENS ATLANTA AUGUSTA COLUMBUS MACON SAVANNAH BOISE POCATELLO CHICAGO MOLINE PEORIA ROCKFORD SPRINGFIELD EVANSVILLE FORT WAYNE INDIANAPOLIS SOUTH BEND DES MOINES MASON CITY SIOUX CITY WATERLOO DODGE CITY GOODLAND TOPEKA WICHITA LEXINGTON LOUISVILLE BATON ROUGE ARIZONA ARKANSAS CALIFORNIA COLORADO CONNECTICUT DELAWARE FLORIDA GEORGIA IDAHO ILLINOIS INDIANA IOWA KANSAS KENTUCKY LOUISIANA G32ICS BEopt-EG (Therms) 18 18 18 36 29 25 25 21 13 17 21 20 20 21 20 20 20 46 31 35 30 29 24 24 23 18 16 18 16 18 18 18 19 18 18 17 17 23 27 24 25 24 27 24 20 24 24 22 27 29 28 27 28 30 25 23 21 16 15 % 32.1 33.3 31.0 60.0 50.0 35.7 37.3 38.2 24.1 34.0 33.9 32.3 31.3 32.3 32.3 29.0 32.3 80.7 54.4 68.6 50.8 46.0 54.5 58.5 48.9 31.0 29.1 34.0 28.6 30.5 32.1 32.1 33.9 31.0 32.7 29.8 29.8 42.6 50.9 55.8 55.6 51.1 65.9 50.0 39.2 58.5 53.3 53.7 57.4 70.7 60.9 62.8 48.3 51.7 50.0 40.4 45.7 37.2 28.3 G40FPCL BEopt-EG (Therms) 21 22 22 29 31 32 35 28 20 25 30 30 27 26 29 22 26 35 32 33 32 34 25 24 24 24 21 21 23 24 21 23 24 24 24 24 23 28 28 25 24 24 26 24 24 24 25 24 25 27 27 26 30 29 25 27 23 22 21 % 24.7 26.8 25.3 26.6 36.9 30.8 36.8 33.7 25.3 34.2 34.1 34.5 29.0 27.7 31.9 21.6 28.6 31.0 33.3 35.1 33.3 34.0 33.8 32.9 30.8 27.9 25.3 25.9 27.4 27.6 25.0 27.1 27.9 27.6 29.3 28.2 27.1 32.6 31.1 34.2 30.0 30.0 34.7 29.3 30.0 32.9 32.5 33.8 29.8 35.1 32.9 33.3 31.6 29.3 29.4 30.0 30.3 32.8 26.9 G64FPCL BEopt-EG (Therms) 26 28 27 31 33 34 36 31 24 26 31 30 30 30 30 25 29 37 33 33 32 35 27 25 27 30 28 29 28 32 29 29 28 28 29 28 29 30 29 30 26 26 27 27 27 27 26 26 27 27 29 29 33 31 28 30 26 26 26 % 24.1 27.5 24.8 21.1 34.7 25.8 32.4 29.2 23.8 25.2 29.8 28.8 25.6 25.0 27.5 19.7 24.2 24.0 25.4 25.2 25.8 26.9 26.5 24.8 25.7 29.1 27.5 31.2 26.9 31.7 29.6 26.9 25.7 25.5 28.2 26.4 27.9 27.3 24.2 30.9 24.1 24.1 26.0 24.8 25.7 27.3 25.0 26.8 24.1 25.0 26.1 27.1 26.8 23.8 25.2 26.1 25.5 28.9 26.8 Page 62 of 65 State MAINE MARYLAND MASSACHUSETTS MICHIGAN MICHIGAN MINNESOTA MISSISSIPPI MISSOURI MONTANA NEBRASKA NEVADA NEW HAMPSHIRE NEW JERSEY NEW MEXICO NEW YORK NORTH CAROLINA City LAKE CHARLES NEW ORLEANS SHREVEPORT PORTLAND BALTIMORE BOSTON WORCESTER ALPENA DETROIT FLINT GRAND RAPIDS HOUGHTON LAKE LANSING MUSKEGON SAULT STE. MARIE TRAVERSE CITY DULUTH INTERNATIONAL FALLS MINNEAPOLIS ROCHESTER JACKSON MERIDIAN COLUMBIA KANSAS CITY SPRINGFIELD ST. LOUIS BILLINGS CUT BANK GLASGOW GREAT FALLS HELENA KALISPELL LEWISTON MILES CITY MISSOULA GRAND ISLAND NORFOLK NORTH PLATTE SCOTTSBLUFF ELKO ELY LAS VEGAS RENO TONOPAH WINNEMUCCA CONCORD ATLANTIC CITY NEWARK ALBUQUERQUE TUCUMCARI ALBANY BINGHAMTON BUFFALO MASSENA NEW YORK CITY ROCHESTER SYRACUSE ASHEVILLE CAPE HATTERAS CHARLOTTE GREENSBORO RALEIGH G32ICS BEopt-EG (Therms) 17 17 19 31 20 25 29 29 22 23 23 26 24 23 31 25 31 29 29 28 18 18 24 25 22 22 26 28 28 25 28 23 29 27 22 28 30 28 30 32 40 27 26 31 28 28 22 22 26 26 25 25 24 27 19 23 23 20 17 18 20 19 % 31.5 32.1 34.5 75.6 40.8 56.8 72.5 80.6 57.9 59.0 57.5 76.5 60.0 57.5 91.2 69.4 86.1 85.3 72.5 71.8 31.6 33.3 47.1 49.0 42.3 44.9 53.1 59.6 63.6 52.1 62.2 56.1 67.4 55.1 50.0 56.0 63.8 53.8 57.7 58.2 76.9 41.5 40.6 48.4 46.7 70.0 44.9 48.9 36.6 40.0 61.0 67.6 61.5 71.1 39.6 59.0 57.5 36.4 30.4 31.6 38.5 35.2 G40FPCL BEopt-EG (Therms) 22 21 27 25 21 23 23 26 24 24 25 27 26 25 27 26 28 30 26 27 23 24 24 26 25 22 27 27 29 28 27 26 27 27 26 27 28 28 28 30 30 30 29 30 29 25 22 21 29 27 23 23 24 24 22 24 23 24 21 23 24 23 % 27.2 26.3 33.3 31.6 26.3 29.9 29.9 36.6 36.4 34.8 35.7 42.2 37.1 36.2 38.6 39.4 38.4 44.8 33.8 37.0 27.1 29.6 28.2 30.2 30.1 27.2 32.5 32.1 36.7 34.6 33.3 36.6 33.8 31.8 35.6 30.3 32.6 30.8 30.4 30.9 29.1 31.6 28.4 28.0 29.3 33.3 26.8 27.3 26.6 26.2 30.7 33.3 34.8 33.3 28.6 35.3 32.9 27.9 25.0 26.7 29.3 27.7 G64FPCL BEopt-EG (Therms) 27 27 33 26 24 25 23 26 27 25 27 28 28 27 27 26 27 30 28 29 28 29 28 28 29 24 29 27 30 30 28 27 28 29 26 29 29 29 29 31 30 33 29 30 29 26 25 23 31 30 24 22 25 24 24 25 25 27 26 28 27 28 % 27.0 27.6 33.0 23.4 22.6 23.8 21.1 25.7 29.7 25.8 28.1 30.8 28.9 28.1 26.7 27.7 25.7 30.9 26.2 28.2 26.4 28.2 25.2 24.6 26.9 22.4 25.9 23.1 27.5 27.0 25.0 27.6 25.0 25.4 25.7 24.4 25.0 23.6 23.6 24.2 21.4 30.0 22.3 22.1 22.7 24.8 22.7 22.3 22.8 23.1 23.1 22.4 26.0 23.5 23.3 26.6 25.8 23.3 24.5 25.2 25.0 25.9 Page 63 of 65 State NORTH DAKOTA OHIO OKLAHOMA OREGON PENNSYLVANIA PENNSYLVANIA RHODE ISLAND SOUTH CAROLINA SOUTH DAKOTA TENNESSEE TEXAS UTAH VERMONT VIRGINIA City WILMINGTON BISMARCK FARGO MINOT AKRON CLEVELAND COLUMBUS DAYTON MANSFIELD TOLEDO YOUNGSTOWN OKLAHOMA CITY TULSA ASTORIA BURNS EUGENE MEDFORD NORTH BEND PENDLETON PORTLAND REDMOND SALEM ALLENTOWN BRADFORD ERIE HARRISBURG PHILADELPHIA PITTSBURGH WILKES-BARRE WILLIAMSPORT PROVIDENCE CHARLESTON COLUMBIA PIERRE RAPID CITY SIOUX FALLS CHATTANOOGA KNOXVILLE MEMPHIS NASHVILLE ABILENE AMARILLO AUSTIN BROWNSVILLE CORPUS CHRISTI EL PASO FORT WORTH HOUSTON LUBBOCK LUFKIN MIDLAND PORT ARTHUR SAN ANGELO SAN ANTONIO VICTORIA WACO WICHITA FALLS CEDAR CITY SALT LAKE CITY BURLINGTON LYNCHBURG NORFOLK G32ICS BEopt-EG (Therms) 13 27 30 31 16 21 17 19 24 22 20 17 21 14 28 17 19 16 19 15 24 16 23 26 22 16 22 22 22 21 24 17 18 27 31 28 17 20 19 21 21 23 17 15 16 25 18 16 23 16 21 16 21 18 16 19 20 30 23 25 22 19 % 23.2 58.7 73.2 77.5 41.0 58.3 39.5 44.2 61.5 50.0 51.3 30.9 38.2 35.9 53.8 37.8 34.5 31.4 35.8 34.9 43.6 35.6 53.5 72.2 56.4 35.6 45.8 53.7 53.7 51.2 55.8 29.8 32.7 56.3 62.0 62.2 32.1 40.0 35.2 41.2 32.8 35.9 32.7 29.4 31.4 35.2 32.1 30.8 36.5 28.6 31.8 30.2 33.3 31.0 30.2 33.3 33.3 47.6 41.8 65.8 41.5 36.5 G40FPCL BEopt-EG (Therms) 17 30 29 34 19 26 19 20 24 25 24 22 25 20 28 26 26 20 24 23 28 23 22 25 25 16 23 23 22 22 23 23 24 28 28 27 22 23 24 23 26 28 24 21 22 31 25 22 29 23 29 21 28 24 20 24 26 29 28 25 24 22 % 20.2 37.0 37.2 46.6 28.8 41.9 26.4 27.4 34.8 33.8 36.9 25.9 29.1 33.3 31.1 38.8 31.3 25.6 29.6 35.9 31.8 33.3 29.3 37.3 37.9 21.1 29.1 32.4 31.0 31.0 30.7 27.1 28.9 33.7 31.1 33.3 27.2 28.8 29.3 28.4 27.1 28.0 31.2 27.6 28.9 29.8 29.8 28.2 29.9 28.0 29.6 26.6 29.8 28.2 25.0 27.9 28.9 27.4 32.2 36.2 28.2 27.2 G64FPCL BEopt-EG (Therms) 25 36 33 37 20 30 22 23 26 27 25 29 29 21 29 28 29 22 27 24 30 25 24 25 25 16 26 25 23 23 24 28 29 30 29 29 26 27 28 28 34 31 27 28 26 33 31 26 33 27 32 26 32 29 23 27 30 30 30 26 28 26 % 23.6 32.4 30.3 35.9 21.7 34.9 22.4 23.0 27.1 26.5 27.5 26.9 26.6 24.7 24.0 30.8 27.4 20.8 26.0 27.6 25.6 27.2 23.5 25.8 27.2 15.4 24.8 25.8 23.5 23.5 23.1 26.4 27.6 26.8 24.0 26.1 24.8 25.7 27.2 26.9 30.1 24.4 28.4 31.1 28.0 26.8 29.5 26.8 27.3 26.5 26.9 26.8 28.1 28.4 23.5 25.7 27.3 21.9 26.8 26.8 25.2 24.5 Page 64 of 65 State WASHINGTON WEST VIRGINIA WISCONSIN WYOMING City RICHMOND ROANOKE WASHINGTON D.C. OLYMPIA QUILLAYUTE SEATTLE SPOKANE YAKIMA CHARLESTON HUNTINGTON EAU CLAIRE GREEN BAY LA CROSSE MILWAUKEE CASPER CHEYENNE LANDER G32ICS BEopt-EG (Therms) 20 21 12 16 15 14 24 21 19 19 28 28 27 27 33 33 34 % 37.7 41.2 25.0 43.2 42.9 34.1 54.5 41.2 40.4 41.3 70.0 71.8 64.3 65.9 67.3 66.0 64.2 G40FPCL BEopt-EG (Therms) 23 23 14 23 23 20 30 27 22 22 25 25 26 23 27 26 28 % 27.7 27.7 18.2 39.7 42.6 31.7 42.3 33.8 28.9 29.7 32.9 33.3 33.8 30.3 29.0 27.7 28.3 G64FPCL BEopt-EG (Therms) 26 26 17 24 23 21 34 29 24 24 25 25 27 24 28 27 30 % 23.9 23.6 16.8 29.6 29.5 24.4 36.2 27.4 23.5 24.0 23.4 23.8 25.5 22.6 22.2 20.8 22.6 Page 65 of 65