Committed to Connecting the World African Telecommunication/ICT Indicators 2008: At a Crossroads Vanessa Gray vanessa.gray@itu.int Market Information and Statistics Division Telecommunication Development Bureau International Telecommunication Union International Telecommunication Union Committed to Connecting the World Content Sector overview Universal service and access Enhancing the enabling environment Recommendations African Telecommunication/ICT Indicators (21 country/regional tables) African Telecommunication/ICT Organizations May 2008 2 Committed to Connecting the World Mobile: The African success story Even the most optimistic projections have been surpassed! Today Africa is home to more than one quarter billion mobile subscribers or more than one mobile for every four people. 100 300 Subscribers, millions 250 90 Subscribers per 100 people 80 Sub-Saharan 70 200 South Africa 60 50 150 South Africa 100 40 AFRICA 30 20 50 10 North Africa North Africa Sub-Saharan 0 0 2000 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 May 2008 2000 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 3 Committed to Connecting the World At a crossroads While there has been rapid expansion in access to ICTs, Africa must sustain and deepen growth and expand access, especially in Internet. 2 paths: ICT policy makers continue as is, with an unfinished liberalization framework. Additional use of ICT services needs to come from lower income segments. These customers are highly sensitive to pricing. Without deeper reform, it is unlikely that prices will drop sufficiently to sustain growth. Unleash fresh growth and investment by dealing with regulation, taxation and electricity issues that are hampering the sector’s development. This will lower costs and prices. May 2008 4 Committed to Connecting the World Mobile affordability Competition has been a key driver in reducing mobile prices across the region. ARPU has fallen in line with tariffs. There is plenty of scope for prices to come down even further, in order for mobile phone ownership to reach new customer segments among the broader population. Mobile ARPU, US$ $40 $35 Africa India $30 $25 $20 $15 $10 $5 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 20 07 $0 May 2008 5 Committed to Connecting the World Mobile – South Africa First African country to introduce mobile competition Has remained at forefront of mobile liberalization: Only African country to introduced Mobile Virtual Network Operator (June 2006) 1st to introduce mobile number portability (Nov. 2006) Highest mobile penetration in Africa and on target to reach 100% by end of this decade Highest number of 3G subscribers in Africa Monthly prepaid basket price is 3% of income, one of lowest in Africa May 2008 Mobile subscribers per 100 people Households with a mobile phone (%) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 31 92 73 20 19 10 0 2000 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 6 Committed to Connecting the World Fixed telephony Africa's dramatic growth in mobile communications has left fixed telephone lines behind. At the end of 2007, there were 35 million fixed lines on the continent, equivalent to an overall teledensity of 3.3 fixed telephone line subscribers per 100 inhabitants. This is up only slightly from 2.8 fixed lines per 100 inhabitants in 2002. Incumbents and new entrants are seeking to increase the popularity of fixed telephony through the expansion of fixed wireless networks. CDMA2000 1X has emerged as the de facto technology for fixed wireless in Africa with 31 countries deploying the technology. May 2008 7 Committed to Connecting the World Internet Africa has about 50 million Internet users = about one user among twenty persons. Over half of the region's Internet users are estimated to be located in North African and South Africa. Bandwidth is scarce and Internet access is relatively expensive in most countries Levels of international Internet connectivity are quite low in most African countries. Africa as a whole had in total around 40 Gbps of international bandwidth in 2007, of which over 90 percent was devoted to North African countries and South Africa. 50 40 30 Internet users as percentage of total population 45 38 31 2007 2004 30 20 18 10 9 0 Oceania Americas Europe Asia 3 5 Africa Fixed broadband subscribers by region (millions), 2007 Europe 112 Oceania 5.2 May 2008 42 41 Asia Africa 127 1.7 Americas 86 8 Committed to Connecting the World Wireless broadband 3G and WiMAX starting to emerge as viable broadband solution for Africa Provide promising alternative to shortage of fixed broadband options Countries with both wired and wireless broadband options have lower prices and higher broadband take-up May 2008 9 Committed to Connecting the World Broadband - Morocco Inter-modal competition between ADSL and 3G Broadband prices are the cheapest in Africa, at US$ 18 per month for a 256 kbps package Offers highest broadband speeds in Africa (20Mbps) The 4th highest broadband penetration in Africa and practically all Internet access through broadband First African country to launch IPTV May 2008 Share of Internet subscribers 100% 90% Fixed broadband subscribers 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% Dial-up 20% 10% 0% 2002 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 10 Committed to Connecting the World Payphones - Togo West Africa is a leader in the liberalization and spread of privately operated pay phones Togo has the highest ratio of public pay phones as a % of fixed lines Almost 25% of Togo's main lines are connected to private telephone cabins Togo's two mobile operators provide public telephony through GSM cabins which numbered over 10’000 in 2006 Average distance to reach a public telephone facility in the country is around 400 meters Private telephone cabins As % of main lines Thousands 30 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 25 20 15 10 5 0 2001 May 2008 '03 '05 11 Committed to Connecting the World Deepening reform Create fully independent and adequately resourced regulatory authority Only half of countries have private incumbents. More competition and lower prices through Infrastructure sharing Mobile termination MVNO & MNP to increases competition Internet Exchange Points VoIP Reduce licensing fees and unify licenses May 2008 12 Committed to Connecting the World Taxation • Import duties on IT equipment, VAT • • • Ghana Seychelles Burkina Faso Chad Cote d'Ivoire DRCongo Gabon Gambia Guinea Madagascar Senegal Cameroon Morocco Zimbabwe Tunisia Kenya Tanzania Zambia Rwanda Uganda • Mobile taxes 35% on goods and services and excise taxes on communications services 30% Excise raise prices, limit take-up and discouraging use. VAT 25% A 1% drop in the price of a handset in Africa could boost mobile 20% penetration by 2.4 per cent. 15% A 1% reduction in taxes could lead to an average increase in 10% penetration of 0.5 per cent. 5% “…elasticity of demand is estimated to be higher in Africa than 0% elsewhere, reflecting the potential for further marginal consumers, and hence to increase penetration greatly by a reduction in [mobile related taxes].“ Reduction in excise taxes can boost tax revenues for governments due to a larger number of users and spillover effects throughout the Source: GSM Association. economy. May 2008 13 Committed to Connecting the World Electricity North Africa Latin America Middle East Developing Asia Alternative sources of energy (wind, solar and biofuel powered base stations). Synergies between ICTs and electrical utilities ( fiber optic networks; broadband over electricity power lines) Tax rebates to offset high costs of energy such as import duty waivers and tax reductions for companies supplying renewable-based power and equipment to mobile operators. 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Africa Saharan Africa is a serious impediment to the development of ICT markets. Per cent of population with access to electricity, 2005 Sub-Saharan Africa The lack of electricity in Sub- Source: Adapted from World Energy Outlook 2006. May 2008 14 Committed to Connecting the World African Telecommunication/ICT Indicators 2008 includes: Recommendations Enhance liberalization and privatization and strengthen regulatory agencies Lower costs through license and spectrum efficiency, reducing telecom related taxes, infrastructure sharing and energy incentives Promote wireless broadband Incorporate mobile into universal access policies Expand public Internet access May 2008 Analytical section 21 regional tables covering telecommunication/ICT indicators (2006/2007) 53 individual country pages with a five year profile from 2002-2007 A complete list of telecommunication ministries, regulators and operators in the region 15