Israel Competitiveness Snapshot Professor Michael E. Porter Harvard Business School December 6, 2012 This presentation draws on ideas from Professor Porter’s articles and books, in particular, The Competitive Advantage of Nations (The Free Press, 1990), “Building the Microeconomic Foundations of Competitiveness,” in The Global Competitiveness Report (World Economic Forum), “Clusters and the New Competitive Agenda for Companies and Governments” in On Competition (Harvard Business School Press, 2008), and ongoing research on clusters and competitiveness. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means - electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise - without the permission of Michael E. Porter. Further information on Professor Porter’s work and the Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness is available at www.isc.hbs.edu Prosperity Performance OECD Countries PPP-Adjusted GDP per Capita, 2011 ($USD) $60,000 OECD Average: 4.06% Norway United States $50,000 Denmark Switzerland Netherlands Austria Ireland $40,000 Canada Iceland France Japan Belgium United Kingdom Sweden Australia Germany Finland OECD Average: $33,432 Spain $30,000 Italy South Korea Israel New Zealand Slovenia Czech Republic Greece Portugal Slovakia Estonia $20,000 Poland Hungary Chile Mexico Turkey $10,000 1.5% 2.5% 3.5% 4.5% 5.5% 6.5% 7.5% Growth in Real GDP per Capita (PPP-adjusted), CAGR, 2001-2011 Note: Luxembourg Excluded Source: EIU (2012), authors calculations 20121206—Israel Competitiveness Snapshot—FINAL 2 Copyright 2012 © Professor Michael E. Porter Labor Productivity Level and Growth OECD Countries Real GDP per Employee (1990 GK$), 2011 $65,000 OECD Average: 1.20% United States Austria $55,000 Netherlands Norway Belgium France Finland Canada Australia Sweden Italy Denmark U.K. Japan Israel Iceland Switzerland Ireland $45,000 Germany $35,000 Slovenia South Korea OECD Average: $39,773 Estonia New Zealand Spain Greece Chile Turkey $25,000 Portugal Slovakia Czech Republic Poland Mexico $15,000 -1.0% 0.0% Hungary 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% Growth in Real GDP per Employee, CAGR, 2001-2011 Note: Luxembourg omitted. Source: Groningen Growth and Development Centre, Total Economy Database (January 2012). GDP calculated using Geary Khamis calculation methodology. 20121206—Israel Competitiveness Snapshot—FINAL 3 Copyright 2012 © Professor Michael E. Porter Labor Productivity Growth vs. GDP Growth OECD Countries Growth in Real GDP per Employee , CAGR, 2001-2011 5.0% OECD Average: 4.06% Slovakia Turkey 4.0% Poland South Korea 3.0% Estonia Czech Republic Slovenia Sweden Finland 2.0% Netherlands Iceland 1.0% Japan France Greece 0.0% U.S. Denmark Chile Hungary Israel OECD Average: 1.20% Germany Norway Austria Australia Belgium Mexico U.K.Canada New Zealand Switzerland Ireland Portugal Italy Spain -1.0% 1.5% 2.5% 3.5% 4.5% 5.5% 6.5% 7.5% Growth in Real GDP per Capita (PPP-adjusted), CAGR, 2001-2011 Note: Luxembourg omitted. Source: Groningen Growth and Development Centre, Total Economy Database (January 2012); EIU Data (2012). 20121206—Israel Competitiveness Snapshot—FINAL 4 Copyright 2012 © Professor Michael E. Porter Workforce Participation OECD Countries Labor Force Participation (2011) 65.0% Declining Participation OECD Average: 1.59% Improving Participation Switzerland 60.0% Iceland 55.0% Canada Australia Germany New Zealand Norway Sweden Portugal Japan Denmark Finland 50.0% United States Czech Republic United Kingdom Slovakia France Spain South Korea OECD Average: 49.09% Belgium Ireland 45.0% Estonia Netherlands Slovenia Poland Chile Israel Austria Greece Mexico Hungary Italy 40.0% Turkey 35.0% -3.5% -2.5% -1.5% -0.5% 0.5% 1.5% 2.5% 3.5% 4.5% 5.5% 6.5% 7.5% Change in Labor Force Participation Rate, 2001-2011 Note: Luxembourg omitted. Source: EIU (2012), authors calculations 20121206—Israel Competitiveness Snapshot—FINAL 5 Copyright 2012 © Professor Michael E. Porter Unemployment Performance OECD Countries Unemployment Rate, 2011 (%) 18.0% OECD Average: 1.41% Greece Spain (11.10%, 21.65%) 16.0% Ireland 14.0% Slovakia Estonia Portugal Poland 12.0% Slovenia Hungary Czech Republic 10.0% Turkey France Italy 8.0% Finland Canada Chile Belgium Germany 6.0% Australia 2.0% -6.0% Austria Japan Improving Unemployment -4.0% OECD Average: 8.52% United Kingdom Sweden Iceland New Zealand Denmark Mexico Israel 4.0% United States Netherlands South Korea Norway -2.0% 0.0% Worsening Unemployment Switzerland 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% Change in Unemployment Rate in Percentage Points, 2001-2011 Note: Luxembourg omitted. Source: EIU (2012), authors calculations 20121206—Israel Competitiveness Snapshot—FINAL 6 Copyright 2012 © Professor Michael E. Porter Working Hours OECD Countries Hours Worked per Employee, 2011 2,200 South Korea (-1.28%; 2,204) OECD Average: -0.34% Mexico 2,100 Chile Poland Greece 2,000 Portugal Hungary Israel 1,900 Estonia Turkey Czech Republic Ireland 1,800 Slovakia Italy Japan 1,700 Australia Canada Austria Iceland OECD Average: 1,750 Spain United Kingdom Switzerland Sweden Slovenia New Zealand 1,600 United States Finland Belgium Denmark 1,500 France Germany 1,400 Norway Netherlands 1,300 Declining Working Hours 1,200 -0.9% -0.8% Longer Working Hours -0.7% -0.6% -0.5% -0.4% -0.3% -0.2% -0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% Change in Hours Worked per Employee, CAGR, 2001-2011 Note: Luxembourg omitted. Source: Groningen Growth and Development Centre and The Conference Board, 2012 20121206—Israel Competitiveness Snapshot—FINAL 7 Copyright 2012 © Professor Michael E. Porter Intermediate Indicators and Enablers of Productivity Productivity Domestic investment Exports Domestic innovation Imports Inbound foreign direct investment Outbound foreign direct investment Country Competitive Environment 20121206—Israel Competitiveness Snapshot—FINAL 8 Copyright 2012 © Professor Michael E. Porter Domestic Investment Performance OECD Countries Gross Fixed Investment (% of GDP), 2011 28.0% OECD Average: -2.34% Australia South Korea 26.0% Czech Republic 24.0% Chile Slovakia Estonia 22.0% Austria Mexico Belgium Japan Spain Turkey France Norway Poland Switzerland 20.0% Italy Finland Israel Slovenia 18.0% New Zealand Germany Denmark Hungary OECD Average: 19.47% Sweden Netherlands Portugal Canada 16.0% Greece United Kingdom 14.0% Iceland 12.0% United States Ireland (-12.27%, 10.09%) 10.0% -10.0% -8.0% -6.0% -4.0% -2.0% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% Change in Gross Fixed Investment (% of GDP), 2001-2011 Note: Includes inbound FDI; excludes Luxembourg. Source: EIU, 2012 20121206—Israel Competitiveness Snapshot—FINAL 9 Copyright 2012 © Professor Michael E. Porter Export Performance OECD Countries Exports of Goods and Services (% of GDP), 2011 120.0% OECD Average: 6.81% Ireland 100.0% Estonia Hungary Slovakia Belgium Netherlands 80.0% Czech Republic Slovenia 60.0% Denmark Sweden OECD Average: 49.10% Norway 40.0% New Zealand Switzerland Chile Israel France Portugal Spain Mexico U.K. Italy Turkey 20.0% Germany Iceland South Korea Poland Finland Canada Austria Greece Japan Australia United States 0.0% -15.0% -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% Change in Exports of Goods and Services (% of GDP), 2001-2011 Note: Luxembourg omitted Source: EIU (2012), authors calculations 20121206—Israel Competitiveness Snapshot—FINAL 10 Copyright 2012 © Professor Michael E. Porter Import Performance OECD Countries Imports of Goods and Services (% of GDP), 2011 100.0% OECD Average: 5.68% Estonia 90.0% Slovakia Ireland 80.0% Belgium Hungary Netherlands Slovenia Czech Republic 70.0% 60.0% Austria South Korea Denmark 50.0% Switzerland Portugal New Zealand 40.0% Greece Israel Spain 30.0% Finland Chile U.K. Germany Poland OECD Average: 46.81% Turkey Mexico Canada France Norway 20.0% Sweden Iceland Australia Italy Japan United States 10.0% 0.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% Change in Imports of Goods and Services (% of GDP), 2001-2011 Note: Luxembourg omitted Source: EIU (2012), authors calculations 20121206—Israel Competitiveness Snapshot—FINAL 11 Copyright 2012 © Professor Michael E. Porter Innovative Output Selected Countries Average U.S. patents per 1 million population, 2007-2009 400 350 Taiwan United States 300 Japan 250 200 Finland Israel Switzerland 150 Sweden South Korea Germany Canada 100 Netherlands UK France South Africa 0 -5% Singapore Denmark Belgium 50 Hong Kong Russia 0% Austria Norway New Zealand Italy Hungary Brazil Spain 5% Australia Ireland India 10% 15% CAGR of US-registered patents, 1999-2009 China (30.78%) 20% 25% 10,000 patents = Source: USPTO (2010), Groningen Growth and Development Centre, Total Economy Database (2010) 20121206—Israel Competitiveness Snapshot—FINAL 12 Copyright 2012 © Professor Michael E. Porter Inbound Foreign Investment Performance Stocks and Flows, OECD Countries Inward FDI Stocks as % of GDP, Average 20002010 80.0% Iceland (32.39%, 134.45%) OECD Average: 19.18% Ireland (39.24%, 107.90%) Belgium (94.53%, 132.93%) Netherlands Estonia 70.0% Chile Switzerland Hungary 60.0% Sweden New Zealand 50.0% Czech Republic Denmark Slovakia France Portugal 40.0% OECD Average: 44.75% United Kingdom Australia 30.0% Austria Norway United States 20.0% Slovenia Canada Poland Finland Israel Mexico Germany Greece 10.0% Spain Italy Turkey South Korea Japan 0.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% FDI Inflows as % of Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Average 2000-2010 Note: Luxembourg omitted Source: UNCTAD, World Investment Report (2012) 20121206—Israel Competitiveness Snapshot—FINAL 13 Copyright 2012 © Professor Michael E. Porter Outbound Foreign Investment Performance Stocks and Flows, OECD Countries Outward FDI Stocks as % of GDP, Average 2000-2010 80.0% Belgium (87.81%, 127.83%) Iceland (43.13%, 186.83%) Netherlands (50.66%, 104.05%) Switzerland (46.33%, 127.16%) OECD Average: 18.40% Ireland 70.0% United Kingdom 60.0% Sweden France Denmark 50.0% Finland OECD Average: 39.28% 40.0% Canada Germany Australia 30.0% Spain Norway United States Austria 20.0% Portugal New Zealand Greece Mexico Slovenia 10.0% Chile Estonia Italy Israel Japan Hungary South Korea Poland 0.0% 0.0% 5.0% Czech Republic Turkey Slovakia FDI 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% Outflows as % of Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Average 2000-2010 Note: Luxembourg omitted. Source: UNCTAD, World Investment Report (2012) 20121206—Israel Competitiveness Snapshot—FINAL 14 Copyright 2012 © Professor Michael E. Porter What Determines Competitiveness? Microeconomic Competitiveness Quality of the Business Environment State of Cluster Development Sophistication of Company Operations and Strategy Macroeconomic Competitiveness Sound Monetary and Fiscal Policies Human Development and Effective Political Institutions Endowments Productivity ultimately depends on improving the microeconomic capability of the economy and the sophistication of local competition revealed at the level of regions and clusters • Macroeconomic competitiveness sets the economy-wide context for productivity to emerge, but is not sufficient to ensure productivity • Endowments, including natural resources, geographical location, population, and country size, create a foundation for prosperity, but true prosperity arises from productivity in the use of endowments 20121206—Israel Competitiveness Snapshot—FINAL Copyright 2012 © Professor Michael E. Porter 15 • ISC Competitiveness Model Israel’s Competitiveness Profile, 2012 Country Competitiveness 29 Macroeconomic Competitiveness Microeconomic Competitiveness 30 23 Political Institutions 48 Macroeconomic Policy National Business Environment Company Operations and Strategy 58 27 13 Rule of Law 29 Israel’s GDP per capita rank is 25th versus 128 countries Human Development 26 Significant disadvantage Moderate disadvantage Neutral Moderate advantage Significant advantage Note: Rank versus 128 countries; *Color coding based on comparison relative to income; Source: Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard University (2012), based in part on survey data from the World Economic Forum; analysis prepared based on research findings by Scott Stern, Mercedes Delgado, and Christian Ketels. 20121206—Israel Competitiveness Snapshot—FINAL 16 Copyright 2012 © Professor Michael E. Porter ISC Competitiveness Model Israel’s Competitiveness Profile, 2012 Macroeconomic Competitiveness 30 Microeconomic Competitiveness 23 Political Institutions Effectiveness of law -making bodies Public trust of politicians (Low ) Wastefulness of government spending (Low ) Favoritism in decisions of government officials Government effectiveness in reducing poverty and inequality Transparency of government policymaking Decentralization of economic policymaking Freedom of the press Voice and Accountability (WB) 48 56 58 64 42 89 67 * 16 42 National Business Environm ent Factor (input) conditions - Logistical infrastructure - Communications infrastructure - Administrative infrastructure - Capital market infrastructure - Innovation infrastructure Demand conditions Supporting and related industries and clusters Context for strategy and rivalry 27 28 56 27 61 24 20 22 28 34 Rule of Law Safety Judicial independence Efficiency of legal framew ork Property rights (Low occurrence of) Diversion of public funds (Low occurrence of) Irregular payments by firms (Low ) Business costs of corruption Ethical behavior of firms Control of Corruption (WB) Rule of Law (WB) 29 39 18 50 29 23 26 * 29 35 32 Com pany Operations and Strategy Strategy and operational effectiveness Organizational practices Internationalization of firms 13 10 29 10 Hum an Developm ent Quality of primary education Quality of healthcare services Accessibility of healthcare services Health expenditure Life expectancy (Low ) Malaria incidence (Low ) Tuberculosis incidence (Low ) Infant mortality Primary enrollment Secondary enrollment (Low ) Gender inequality 26 67 24 36 47 8 1 9 19 38 1 22 Macroeconom ic Policy Government surplus/deficit Government debt Inflation 58 61 108 44 Note: Rank versus 128 countries; *Color coding based on comparison relative to income; Source: Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard University (2012), based in part on survey data from the World Economic Forum; analysis prepared based on research findings by Scott Stern, Mercedes Delgado, and Christian Ketels. 20121206—Israel Competitiveness Snapshot—FINAL 17 Copyright 2012 © Professor Michael E. Porter Corruption Perception Index OECD Countries Rank in Global Corruption Index, 2011 New Zealand Denmark Sweden Finland Switzerland Australia Austria Iceland United Kingdom United States France Spain Canada Norway Netherlands Low corruption Japan Germany Belgium Ireland Chile Estonia Portugal Israel Slovenia South Korea Poland Hungary Czech Republic Turkey Slovakia Italy Greece Mexico Worsening Improving High corruption Change in Rank, Global Corruption Report, 2011 versus 2006 Note: Methodology for comparison is based on adjusted rankings only for countries available in both years (161 countries total) Source: Global Corruption Report, 2011 20121206—Israel Competitiveness Snapshot—FINAL 18 Copyright 2012 © Professor Michael E. Porter Microeconomic Competitiveness Indicators Ease of Doing Business Rankings (Israel, 2013) Ranking, 2010 (vs. 183 countries) Favorable Unfavorable 140 120 100 80 60 40 Israel’s GDP per capita rank: 26 20 0 Ease of Doing Business Rank Protecting Investors Trading Across Borders Getting Credit Starting a Business Resolving Insolvency Paying Taxes Getting Electricity Enforcing Contracts Dealing with Construction Permits Registering Property Source: World Bank Report, Doing Business (2012). 20121206—Israel Competitiveness Snapshot—FINAL 19 Copyright 2012 © Professor Michael E. Porter Composition of Exports Israel’s Exports By Type of Good World Export Market Share (current USD) 1.80% Processed Goods Semi-processed Goods Unprocessed Goods Services TOTAL 1.60% 1.40% 1.20% 1.00% 0.80% 0.60% 0.40% 0.20% 0.00% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: Prof. Michael E. Porter, International Cluster Competitiveness Project, Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard Business School; Richard Bryden, Project Director. Underlying data drawn from the UN Commodity Trade Statistics Database and the IMF BOP statistics. 20121206—Israel Competitiveness Snapshot—FINAL Copyright 2012 © Professor Michael E. Porter 20 Israel’s National Cluster Export Portfolio 2000-2010 4.50% Change in Israel’s Overall World Export Share: -0.16% Jewelry, Precious Metals and Collectibles 4.00% World Export Market Share, 2010 3.50% 3.00% Communications Services 2.50% Aerospace Vehicles and Defense 2.00% Biopharmaceuticals 1.50% Chemical Products Medical Devices Business Services 1.00% Construction Services Analytical Instruments Plastics Textiles Communications Equipment 0.50% Israel’s Overall World Export Share: 0.47% 0.00% -4.00% Hospitality and Tourism Production Technology Processed Food -3.00% -2.00% Entertainment and Reproduction Equipment Metal Mining and Manufacturing Oil and Gas Products -1.00%Motor Driven 0.00% Products Automotive Change in World Export Market Share, 2000-2010 20121206—Israel Competitiveness Snapshot—FINAL 21 1.00% 2.00% = $1.5 billion Copyright 2012 © Professor Michael E. Porter Cluster Linkages and Economic Diversification Israel, 2010 World Market Share 0.25% - 0.46% Fishing & Fishing Products 0.47% - 1.00% > 1.00% Textiles Agricultural Products Processed Food Jewelry & Precious Metals Transportation & Logistics Distribution Services Business Services Financial Services Medical Devices Forest Products Power Generation Heavy Machinery Motor Driven Products Production Technology Tobacco Oil & Gas Aerospace Engines Leather & Related Products 20121206—Israel Competitiveness Snapshot—FINAL Construction Materials Heavy Construction Services Lightning & Electrical Equipment Communications Services and Equipment Plastics Footwear Building Aerospace Fixtures, Vehicles & Defense Equipment & Services Analytical Instruments Biopharmaceuticals Chemical Products Apparel Furniture Entertainment Information Tech. Education & Knowledge Creation Publishing & Printing Prefabricated Enclosures Hospitality & Tourism Mining & Metal Automotive Manufacturing Sporting & Recreation Goods 22 Copyright 2012 © Professor Michael E. Porter