ADDRESSING THE WICKED PROBLEM OF WATER RESOURCE MANAGEMENT: AN ECOSYSTEM SERVICES APPROACH By E. Hearnshaw, J. Tompkins and R. Cullen Faculty of Commerce, Lincoln University INTRODUCTION Increasing water demand in Canterbury for irrigation Problem is water resources are scarce: Rivers have reached maximum allocation limits while maintaining acceptable minimum river flows Investment in large water storage projects the solution? Water storage provides gains to farmers, but can result in losses to in-stream values Gains and losses lead to stakeholder disputes Systematic assessment required to ascertain whether this solution is sustainable A SUSTAINABLE SOLUTION? ECOSYSTEM SERVICES Ecosystem services: Used to assess the many values from rivers The collection of goods and services provided by ecosystems (e.g. rivers) that provide human well-being Produced from ecological processes through ‚complex interactions between biotic and abiotic [factors]‛ (De Groot et al., 2002) ECOSYSTEM SERVICES Agriculture and water resource management HUMAN SYSTEM Internal ecological processes of river Ecosystem services provided by river RIVER SYSTEM External environmental processes Human well-being for stakeholder groups WICKED PROBLEMS Managing water resources in Canterbury is identified as a wicked problem (Frame & Russell, 2009) Wicked problems arise from: Stakeholders with conflicting preferences Incomplete and contradictory understanding of complex interactions between numerous factors Over-simplifying wicked problems leads to unsustainable solutions POST-NORMAL SCIENCE High Investment stakes Post-normal science Low PERSPECTIVE Consultancy Normal science Low Uncertainties High INTEGRATED MANAGEMENT Post-normal science recognizes the impossibility of transcending perspective to value-free objectivity Using many perspectives of ‘scientists’ improves objectivity towards a common ’factual’ perspective Integration between scientists and stakeholders required Integrated water resource management provides greatest promise for sustaining ecosystem services Lack of research with methods that aid integration and accommodate conflict/contradiction, yet remain quantitative ECOSYSTEM SERVICES INDEX Missing markets for ecosystem services leave them undervalued Problem usually tackled with non-market valuation But, these methods can be costly and time-consuming Despite difficulty monetizing ecosystem services, Boyd and Banzhaf (2007) recognize the need for ‚standardized units of account to measure the value of ecosystem services‛ Fortunately, ecosystem services can be assessed by a utility index; ESI = ∑wnsn Irrigation Other Water Supply Uses Spiritual Values Recreational Values Educational Values Conservation Values Regulating Ecosystem Services Aesthetic Values Water Regulation Water Purification Pest Regulation Natural Hazard Regulation Provisioning Ecosystem Services Erosion Control Disease Regulation Climate Regulation Water Supply Food Fibre Biological Products Abiotic Products MULTI-CRITERIA ANALYSIS Ecosystem Services Index Cultural Ecosystem Services tic Pr o du ct s Fi br e W Fo D a is ea ter od Su se N at Re pp ur Er l g al os ula y H az ion tion ar C o d Re ntr ol Pe g st ula W Re tio at er gul n a W Pur tio n i at er fica t A Reg ion e u s C on the lati t o se i rv c V n Ed ati alu uc on es a Re tio Val u n cr ea al V es tio al ue n Sp al s iri Va lu tu e al V s al ue s bi o A Preferential Weight PREFERENTIAL WEIGHTS 0.14 0.12 0.10 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.02 0.00 CONFLICT Stakeholder representatives placed into 4 groups: Steering Group Water Consumers Group Water Conservators Group Government Group Non-parametric statistical tests to be used to assess potential conflicts in preferential weights Friedman’s Q statistic 37.622 Significance <0.001 N 6 GRAPHS & CONTRADICTION GRAPH ANALYSIS & UTILITY SCORES Graph analysis with and without water storage project: Static graph analysis indicates utility scores by centrality index Centrality: Li = id(Ci) + od(Ci) Dynamic graph analysis indicates utility scores by simulated activation values a1 e1 e2 a2 n f INPUTS an j 1 a3 NODE e3 a4 e4 en OUTPUTS SUSTAINABILITY Weak sustainability: Indicated by non-declining ecosystem services index with water storage project Strong sustainability: ‚... minimum quantity of ecosystem processes ... required to maintain a well-functioning ecosystem‛ (Fisher et al., 2009) Indicated by targets met with water storage project e.g. native fish population shows no decrease (CWMS, 2010) Lexicographic method applied for assessment CONCLUSION Novel approach to address the wicked problem of water resource management Indicates conflicts in preferences and contradictions in understanding to aid integration Systematic assessment will indicate the sustainability of rivers impacted by water storage projects