Assuring the Price is Right Online e S t r a t e g y B r i e f Assuring the price is right online Be clear on where competition is misplaced: In 1999, more than 300 Internet companies went don’t price in a manner that turns core public. While average revenues were about $18 channels into competitors. million, average costs were twice that amount, leading to losses of about $18 million. At first, investors assumed this was a good thing—that growth Size up the competition should be the primary objective, profits could be First, size up the competition. Analyze your generated later. But as losses grew worse, investors economics relative to theirs and understand industry grew skeptical. Stock prices of e-tailers plummeted: dynamics. If you determine competitors are CDnow dropped 44 percent in the second half of pricing below cost, you need to decide how long 1999; eToys fell 35 percent; Beyond.com, a whopping they can sustain it. If they have deep pockets—and 72 percent. Even the mighty Amazon lost 25 percent you do, too—you may have to match their prices, in the last two months of 1999. Investors demanded signaling that they can’t win with these tactics and evidence of a real business model, with real economic encouraging them to return margins to sane levels. value. And Buy.com, which built its brand on beating Or, in a branded industry, differentiate, price sanely any price on the Web—even if that meant selling and let the competition give away margin. If below cost—had to revise its proposition to go public. competitors can’t sustain the losses, you may let Then came Christmas 1999. The lesson: too many them implode and pick up the pieces afterwards. customers were happy with Internet prices. Almost Barnes & Noble bought Books.com, a foundering none were happy with service quality. The choice: cut-price e-tailer, and now sells online at only three should e-tailers raise prices to help fund the services percent below the offline price. Buy.com had to that customers are now demanding, or simply generate abandon its zero-margin approach to attract more bigger losses and hope somehow to survive or be financing; even with cut-throat pricing it couldn’t acquired? In a world where competitors are pricing achieve the scale necessary to survive on advertising below cost, should a traditional company match revenues alone. prices online (creating significant problems for its offline business), or build a sustainable business model and wait for its competitors to fall apart? These are life or death decisions, and many companies have inadequate experience dealing with them. Where to start? At the same time, be clear on where competition is misplaced: don’t price in a manner that turns core channels into competitors. Both Levi’s and Reebok have pulled out of the Internet in part because direct sales irritated distributors. 3Com Direct prices its Palm V almost 20 percent above low-price distributors like eCost.com and Buy.com. It’s not giving away profits; it’s providing visitors to its site an expected service—the ability to purchase—but at a price point that won’t alienate its existing channels. B a i n & C o m p a n y, I n c . Assuring the Price is Right Online 1 Introductory pricing or loss-leading works only where you can hook customers securely enough to cross-sell higher margin goods or ongoing services. And such a strategy is less likely to take in an environment where consumers can switch retailers with the click of a mouse and cherry pick free offers. Don’t bank on price increases Next, lead with your true value proposition. Use the Internet to create profitable customers. It may seem at first glance that loss-leading dominates Internet retail. Amazon offers 50 percent off all introduced a fee, subscribers dropped to 50,000, and then slowly climbed back to 150,000. Business Week, Fortune, The Economist, and TheStreet.com all are grappling with the same dilemma—how to convert freebies into profitable revenue streams? bestsellers; CDnow offers 30 percent off recent Introductory pricing or loss-leading works only top albums. The Internet does allow consumers where you can hook customers securely enough to to spot bargains and change retailers instantly, but cross-sell higher margin goods or ongoing services. so far price-based competition remains concentrated And such a strategy is less likely to take in an in commodity products like books, music, and environment where consumers can switch retailers consumer electronics. Meanwhile, the low-price with the click of a mouse and cherry pick free players, like Buy.com, Onsale, and Accompany, are offers. Witness last year’s fiasco over PC deals with bleeding losses. Their promise to achieve profits Internet sign-up. Microworkz of Seattle began through access to large customer bases is wearing thin. pitching a computer and Internet service deal for The fact is, early adopters of a new technology, like the Internet, are usually less price-sensitive and more convenience driven. Therefore, cut-price retailers are probably leaving money on the table. Penetrating a more typical slice of the population brings in lower incomes and greater price sensitivity. Just think of the price trajectories of cell phones, computers or broadband access—all straight down. $299 in the spring of 1999. By summer, its chief executive officer resigned amid customers’ complaints that they did not receive computers, and the Internet service provider ended its partnership. New Yorkbased Enchilada.com stopped accepting free orders for Internet sign up in July, and DirectWeb.com of New Jersey stopped shipping free PCs in October. FreeMac.com has promised 1 million free iMacs but has yet to give one away. It ended its free program Trials or temporary promotions with built-in in late November with one million people on its switching costs are one thing. Witness how AOL waiting list. Executives involved in such debacles has grown its 20 million customer base through blame the problem on scale. The bottom line offering one month’s free trial, at the end of which is that companies should invest in great online customers are reluctant to change their e-mail services at the outset, and price them accordingly. addresses. But changing price expectations is If you plan to raise prices later, then strategically another. Just ask the online publishers. The Wall test the waters now. Don’t just hypothesize a Street Journal signed up 600,000 subscribers for an pricing strategy—confirm it. introductory offer of free news online. When it B a i n & C o m p a n y, I n c . Assuring the Price is Right Online 2 Figure 1: Customer reasons for making Internet purchases 100 Shopping Enjoyment Product Information More Enjoyable Service 80 Product Information Better Quality Product Information Better Service 60 Wider Selection Percent (Total Customers) More Enjoyable Better Service Brands/ Products Convenience Convenience 40 Brands/ Products Selection Convenience 20 Lower Prices Lower Prices Lower Prices 0 Apparel Groceries Consumer Electronics Source: Bain & Company/ Mainspring Online Retailing Survey (n=2116), December 1999 Bolster your brand Indeed, bolstering brands through consistent pricing To get your value proposition right, understand gives bricks-and-mortar companies a tremendous what you stand for, and why. The message you advantage online. The sheer number of e-tailers send customers online and off should be consistent. is overwhelming to most consumers. Concerns Customers know that the Internet cuts costs for about transaction security and stories of goods some retailers. If you have a reputation for passing failing to appear mean that consumers are unsure on distribution savings to customers, for example of whom to trust. Many consider brand a key by selling financial services direct, then you need purchase criteria. (Figure 1) In response, pure- to offer discounts online. On the other hand, take play retailers are spending huge sums on brand Wal-Mart: its position is “Always Low Prices.” So building. Internet firms spent about $2 billion on what would the company be signaling if it went offline advertising in 1999, and only a handful are online with even lower prices? Would that suggest achieving their goal. Today, five percent of sites to customers that there is “fat” in the offline world experience 75 percent of hits. That gives street- and undermine its position? Or consider Neiman level retailers with trusted brands a head start in Marcus: it has built a brand around quality and cyberspace and strong rationale for integrated service. Competing online on price would only pricing. Consider Toys “R” Us. It launched its confuse customers and erode the brand. defensive Internet play in 1998, a year after the online leader, eToys, and experienced difficulties. B a i n & C o m p a n y, I n c . Assuring the Price is Right Online 3 By Christmas 1998, Toys “R” Us’s web sales had Pure plays with brand equity can position themselves barely blipped. Then the company neglected to upstream, too. For example, the overall price of books develop adequate order handling and fulfillment on the Internet varies 33 percent, and the most capabilities, generating widespread bad press. strongly branded online bookseller, Amazon, often Nonetheless, the company kept its pricing consistent prices higher than its competitors. Its prices are 3-13 and has closed on eToys fast: the 1999 battle for percent more than the likes of Kaboombooks, Books holiday traffic was fiercely fought, with eToys a Million, and Buy.com—and Amazon still enjoys emerging only just ahead. dominant share. By contrast, the market share of the former Books.com, whose prices were lower than Amazon’s 99 percent of the time, never exceeded two percent.1 (Figure 2) Clearly, consumers are Consistent pricing that bolsters brand willing to pay for a trusted, consistent brand. doesn’t mean all customers need to pay the same price. Rather, companies can use different selling vehicles and offerings to reach different types of customers. Figure 2: Market share vs. relative pricing 99% 100% 80% 80 60 Percent 40 20 2% 1% Books.com Amazon.com 0 Amazon.com Market Share Books.com Percent of Time Price was Lower Source: "Frictionless Commerce? A Comparison of Internet and Conventional Retailers," MIT Sloan School of Management, August 1998. 1Since the study, Books.com has been acquired by Barnes & Noble. B a i n & C o m p a n y, I n c . Assuring the Price is Right Online 4 Segment for premium pricing… (e.g., Procter & Gamble’s Reflect.com, which by or bargain hunting customizing health and beauty products can charge But consistent pricing that bolsters brand doesn’t mean all customers need to pay the same price. Rather, companies can use different selling vehicles and offerings to reach different types of customers. salon-like premiums); and third-party endorsements (e.g., Microsoft’s endorsement of Internet site hosting service providers), which enhance consumer trust. Service differentiation and trust in the brand allows Schwab to charge $29.99 per stock Some will want top-quality service, speed, ease of shopping, and rewards—and be willing to pay a premium. After all, such differentiation requires transaction—versus $8 at even cheaper discount brokerages—and still capture 70 percent of the pool of profits in online trading. investment. What has Amazon done with the $80to-$250 million it’s gained from its price premium? Besides building its brand, it prioritized investment in customer support, product selection, patents to protect its state-of-the-art “1-Click” shopping model, and order fulfillment—in short, top-quality service. Now it’s moving to reduce operating Such differentiation serves both to justify premiums and to protect them by effectively erecting switching costs. What satisfied customer wants the trouble of reconstituting shopping lists? Rewriting his or her personal profile? Setting up accounts with another broker? losses. And Amazon is not alone. Many others on the Web are achieving price premiums by building their brands—including awareness of their sites— and differentiating their services. Online grocers invest in tailoring refillable shopping lists and loyalty rewards. Companies such as Dell have invested in capabilities that are difficult to replicate, like superior inventory management Service differentiation and trust in the brand allows Schwab to charge $29.99 per stock transaction—versus $8 at even cheaper discount brokerages—and still and manufacturing. Other successful examples capture 70 percent of the pool of profits of premium-priced service differentiation include in online trading. enhanced delivery (e.g., Staples’ next-day delivery promise); online customer feedback and shopping assistance (e.g., Amazon’s customer-written book reviews and purchase suggestions); customization B a i n & C o m p a n y, I n c . Assuring the Price is Right Online 5 But some segments don’t care about speed or service; Develop a financial vision, not a pipe dream they want a bargain. The same company offering So how, in the end, do you know if your online high, fixed prices to its time-sensitive customers can pricing strategy is right? How do you know you offer bargains to price-sensitive customers through aren’t substituting fantasy for financial vision? So Internet auctions and other so-called “dynamic many hot Internet IPOs have missed targets by a pricing” vehicles. Indeed, the Web has struck a mile. Fashionmall’s losses have been 17 percent2 revival in dynamic pricing, where vendors adjust more than expected; Value America’s 1999 profits prices in real time, based on observed, rather than are expected to come in 33 percent below nine- estimated, supply and demand, as in the old farmer’s month-old forecasts. This, despite meeting revenue market or village bazaar. Today, these dynamic models targets. The list goes on. One has to ask whether most often are used for distressed or perishable these companies truly did their homework. Did they inventory, like clearance goods or airline tickets. include in their business models the fundamentals of These models not only allow retailers to perfectly intelligent financial planning? Did they assess price differentiate, but also allow consumers the conversion rates of browsers to shoppers? Retention thrill of the hunt. (Figure 3) The future sees firms rates of customers? The lifetime value of loyal increasingly using the Web to segment pricing customers? And did they understand what pricing according to different customer needs. strategy would correctly signal their value proposition Figure 3: Dynamic pricing models Overview Examples Ascending Auctions Goods are allocated through a bidding process that determines which customers are willing to pay the most. • eBay • Onsale • uBid Descending Auctions Goods are allocated to customers on a first-come, first-served basis as the price declines over a given period, or until the supply is exhausted. • Basement.com Reverse Auctions Sellers, rather than buyers, compete to offer the lowest price for goods. • eWanted • FreeMarkets • Nextag Customers make an offer to a seller or group of sellers for goods based on their estimate of the seller's lowest acceptable price. • Priceline • Expedia (on hotel reservations only) Sellers offer tiered pricing to ad hoc buying cooperatives in which the unit price declines as the quantity purchased increases. • Accompany • ActBig • Mercata Name Your Own Price Demand Aggregators Source: Bain & Company/ Mainspring Analysis 2Source: Gruntal & Co, 5/1999 B a i n & C o m p a n y, I n c . Assuring the Price is Right Online 6 and attract the right customers to begin with? Online success. Then ask, and answer, the full gamut of businesses, like bricks-and-mortar companies, need hard questions: how much should you invest in to do the research—to understand their customers’ price reductions versus service versus marketing needs and competitors’ cost structures relative to versus capabilities? Who are your most attractive their own—and price for profitability. customers and what is the right pricing model to After all, appropriate pricing is fundamental to getting go after them? your marketing mix right in any business. The The IRS distinguishes between a “business” and a Internet is a new channel—not a whole new ballgame. “hobby” based on whether the activity in question is For some companies, low prices will be the right designed to be profitable and achieves its design answer. But any company can drive customer traffic within a few years. From the numbers posted on last with unsustainable price cuts—just ask Caldor, Crazy year’s Internet IPOs, too many online operators are Eddie, 47th Street Photo, or any other defunct retailer. making a hobby of bad business. To be successful, Popular Internet metrics like “traffic,” “click-throughs,” you need the right pricing strategy—or you may go “eyeballs,” and just plain revenues are wrong- out of business altogether. minded. Look instead at the pricing strategies of retailers who are creating and keeping profitable, lifetime customers—The Gap, Dell—to measure Any company can drive customer traffic with unsustainable price cuts—just ask Caldor, Crazy Eddie, 47th Street Photo, or any other defunct retailer. Popular Internet metrics like “traffic,” “click-throughs,” “eyeballs,” and just plain revenues are wrong-minded. Look instead at the pricing strategies of retailers who are creating and keeping profitable, lifetime customers—The Gap, Dell—to measure success. B a i n & C o m p a n y, I n c . Assuring the Price is Right Online 7 Bain & Company: Mainspring Strategy for sustainable results eStrategy Consulting Bain is one of the world's leading global business Mainspring is the leading eStrategy consulting consulting firms. Its 2,500 professionals serve major firm that focuses exclusively on developing multinationals and other organizations through an actionable Internet strategies. It enables Fortune integrated network of 26 offices in 18 countries. 1000 companies to protect, evolve, and transform Its fact-based, "outside-in" approach is unique, and their business for sustained competitive advantage its immense experience base, developed over 27 by offering an integrated process of business, years, covers a complete range of critical business customer, and technology strategy planning. Its issues in every economic sector. Bain's entire proprietary process hinges on the following approach is based on two guiding principles: activities to help guide clients effectively through 1) working in true collaboration with clients to eStrategy development: craft and implement customized strategies that • Building the Business Model yield significant, measurable, and sustainable • Creating the Customer Experience results, and • Defining the Solution Architecture 2) developing processes that strengthen a client's • Commercializing the Business Plan organization and create lasting competitive Working with Mainspring, companies identify, advantage. The firm gauges its success solely define, and formulate a portfolio of strategic by its clients' achievements. Internet initiatives that are customized for their Bain & Company's global e-commerce practice helps businesses achieve outstanding results in the business and designed to create sustainable competitive advantage. new economy. We work with traditional companies Mainspring’s core services include eStrategy to launch and manage online operations, and with Consulting, eStrategy Direct, and the eStrategy pre-IPO clients to hone business models and accelerate Executive Council. These services are provided to market. We also work with entrepreneurs to to companies in the financial services; retail and incubate new ideas into viable businesses, in some consumer goods; technology, communications, and cases taking equity stakes through our bainlab media; and manufacturing industries. Mainspring subsidiary. Our e-commerce practice professionals was founded in 1996 and has offices in Cambridge, work around the globe in every major industry. Massachusetts and New York City. B a i n & C o m p a n y, I n c . Assuring the Price is Right Online 8 By Darrell Rigby and Sharad Rastogi of Bain & Company; Julian Chu of Mainspring BAIN & COMPANY, INC. 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