COLD-ACCLIMATION IN SEEDLING DOUGLAS-FIR RELATED TO PHENOLOGY AND PROVENANCE' ROBERT K. CAMPBELL AND FRANK C. SORENSEN Forestry Sciences Laboratory, Pacific Northiwsest Forest and Range Experiment Station Forest Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Corvallis, Oregon 97331 Abstract. In October 1969, 1-year seedlings from 10 provenances growing at Corvallis were severely damaged by frost. Provenances came from eastern and western slopes of the Coast Ranges in western Washington and Oregon. In the earliest provenance, bud set preceded frost by 5 weeks; in the latest, by 2.75 weeks. For each additional week by which bud set preceded frost, the proportion of frost-damaged seedlings decreased by 25 %. For provenances setting buds in identical weeks, southern sources were more sensitive, the proportion damaged increasing by 4% per degree of decreasing latitude. Since southern sources generally set buds later and were at the same time more sensitive, they were much more severely damaged. The southernmost coastal source (Coos Bay) suffered 78% damage, the northernmost coastal (Soleduck) 10%. INTRODUCTION Genetic differentiation in cold-acclimation among infra-specific populations of forest trees has been tested directly in terms of the effect of frost on plant tissues (Schdnbach 1959, Ching and Bever 1960, Schober 1963, Bialobok and Mejnartowicz 1970Pseudotsuga menziesii; Eiche 1966--Pin us silvestris) and indirectly in terms of indices of supposed frost hardiness, such as percentage dry matter (Langlet 1936-Pinus silvestris), cambial growth cessation abies), and cessation of (Dietrichson 1964-Picea height growth or bud set (Irgens-Moller 1958, Sweet menziesii; Roche 1969-Picea 1965-Pseudotsuga sp.). Frost tests are subject to many limitations and pitfalls (Parker 1963, Alden and Hermann 1971). Some tests include hundreds or thousands of plants, representing collections obtained with considerable difficulty. Furthermore, tests usually rely on destructive sampling, giving rise to sacrifices that many investigators cannot accept. Therefore, in some types of ecological study, indices of hardiness are almost a necessity. An easily scored index, such as bud set, is of particular utility. Unfortunately, the reliability of bud set as a predictor of cold hardiness or winter rest is not known (Perry 1971). For Douglas-fir, quantitative evidence on this point is given by Bialobok and Mejnartowicz (1970), who found statistically significant relationships between a measure of growth termination and fall-plus-winter frost damage. Other evidence indicates that bud set usually precedes development of hardiness (van den Driessche 1969) in Douglas-fir, which follows the pattern discovered in other woody plant species (Weiser 1970). 1 Received September 8, 1972; accepted February 5, 1973. In mid-October 1969 a severe frost damaged seedlings in our cold frames in Corvallis, Oregon. It provided an opportunity to examine seedling populations derived from 10 seed collections in respect to the following questions, not treated in previous reports: (1) Is frost sensitivity related to time of bud set among individual seedlings within seed sources and among seed sources in western Oregon and Washington? (2) What proportion of differences in frost sensitivity among seed sources can be attributed to differences in bud-set date? (3) What proportion of differences in frost damage can be attributed to differences in frost sensitivity at the stage of bud set? (4) Can differences in frost sensitivity among seedlings be related to location or climate of their origin? MATERIALS Plants scored for frost damage came from collections made at five points along two latitudinal transects extending from northern Washington to southern Oregon. The West Coastal transect (WC) followed the Pacific Coast along the 1240 meridian; the East Coastal transect (EC) was about 1 (approximately 80 km) further inland and generally skirted the east side of the Pacific Coast mountain ranges. Along the transects a collection (source) of openpollinated seed was made from 10 trees in each of five stands. The stands were separated by approximately 1? increments from 430 N to 48? N. From north to south, sources in WC transect were Soleduck, Raymond, Hebo, Mapleton, Coos Bay; in EC transect, Quilcene, PeEll, Salem, Eugene, Roseburg. Elevation of collections averaged 240 m, ranging from 120 to 366. Each source was tested by 90 seedlings, nine seedlings per row plot, plots being randomly assigned. The damaging frost occurred during the night of Late Summer 1973 COLD-ACCLIMATION IN SEEDLING October 13-14, 1969. A maximum-minimum thermometer located I m above the seedling and 6 m away registered -3.3 ?C. Most surrounding weather stations recorded -2.20C. Corvallis weather station records for the preceding 22 years indicate that a low temperature of -2.20C at this date has a probability of less than .04. September and early October temperatures had been normal. Rainfall had occurred in all but 3 of the 30 days preceding the frost, accumulating more than twice the normal precipitation for that period at Corvallis. Maximum temperatures in the days following the frost reached 150 to 18'C. Frost did not occur again until late November, so the damage reported here is a response to a single event. Plants were examined for newly formed buds every 7 days from approximately the first of August. Terminal bud set only was recorded. A seedling was considered to have set bud when scales could be first seen in the terminal growing point. Under this criterion. the seedlings had finished their first growing season at the time of the frost: 98% had set bud. some as much as 8 weeks before the frost. Symptoms of damage began to appear the day after the frost and were fully developed within I to 2 weeks. Each seedling was scored for damage a month after the frost by this scale: (0) no damage, (1) yellowed needles. (2) dead needles, (3) terminal bud and stem damage. We settled on four damage classes because finer discriminations became highly subjective. METHODS AND RESULTS Frost-damaged seedlings appeared to be differentially frost sensitive on a continuous scale. If so, physiological damage sustained by a plant should be related by regression to our arbitrary damage classes. As a test, height and diameter of five randomly selected seedlings from each damage class-source combination were measured in November 1970, 1 year after the frost. Highly significant linear regressions of height and diameter on score indicated that injured seedlings had grown less than uninjured seedlings. The loss in growth was directly related to score. For each increase in score by one class, 2-year heights were shorter by 1.7 and 1.3 cm, respectively, in EC and WC sources; for diameters, corresponding decreases were .15 and .16 mm. On the average, score 3 seedlings were about 11 % smaller in diameter and 12% shorter than score 0 seedlings. We concluded that each seedling population included an array of internal states of sensitivity to frost, and that the array had been subjectively divided into four classes by our scoring system. If we assume that individual seedlings are differentially sensitive to a given degree of frost, a priori DOUGLAS-FIR 1149 we might expect the frequency distribution of seedling sensitivities to follow the normal curve, as do many other biological traits. The probit transformation is often applied to discontinuous data that by deduction are thought to be underlain by continuous variation (Bliss 1935). This variation is supposedly measured on a hypothetical scale that makes its distribution normal. The unit of measurement is the standard deviation of the distribution coded to probits for convenience. Falconer (1960) describes general properties of the transformation. The probit analysis we used is analogous to regression methods used for dosage mortality curves (Bliss 1935) as described by Fisher and Yates (1949). The analysis required that the four damage classes be reordered into two categories. To get sufficient numbers of plants in the two classes, seedlings with score 0 and 1 were combined into one class. scores 2 and 3 into a second class. The first analysis was to determine if frost sensitivity was related to time of bud set among individual seedlings within seed sources. For each source population, probits generated by the above two categories in each bud-set class (i.e., seedlings setting bud within a 1-week interval) were regressed on average date of bud set, in weeks before frost. Among sources, the 10 regression coefficients of bud-set date on probit ranged from -.37 to -.59 and all differed significantly from zero. Coefficients of determination ranged from .49 to .96, averaging .74. This indicates a fairly strong association of frost sensitivity and bud set. Regression coefficients did not differ among sources and so were averaged to -.48. The inference is that frost sensitivity distributions of all sources had retreated along the hypothetical sensitivity scale by about one-half probit per week for each week that bud set preceded frost. The relationship between weeks from bud set and probits was linear. Therefore, the process by which seedlings become frost resistant probably proceeded at nearly the same rate for several weeks. Our main objective was to evaluate the extent to which frost sensitivity of a population is related to its date of average bud set. To this end, the arithmetic mean bud-set week of sources was regressed against probit transformations of percentage seedlings frosted per source. In Fig. 1. source averages are plotted with the retransformed regression line. Ninety percent of the variation in frost damage among sources was related to week of mean bud set, a very close relationship indeed. The four southernmost sources, Coos Bay and Mapleton in the WC transect and Roseburg and Eugene in the EC transect. determine the position of the upper part of the curve. A second objective was to determine if seedlings Ecology, Vol. 54, No. 5 ROBERT K. CAMPBELL AND FRANK C. SORENSEN 1150 * CoosBay .7- .8 .8 Mapeton se0 z 3 *Roseburg \ .5 - \ * Eugene .7 o .4 z 2 .3 _ \ u~.6 Ell 0 Quilcene .2 Raymond Salem CD Hebo Soleduck 2.75 3.00 3.25 3.50 BUD SET--WEEKS 3.75 4.00 4.25 4.50 Coos Bay LLB 4.75 u-.4 BEFORE FROST 1. Proportion of seedling damaged by frost as related to mean date of bud set of source. Regression line is a retransformation to proportions from probits. Vertical line is 95 % confidence limits at overall mean bud set. FIG. from the various sources suffered equivalent damage if frosted at an equivalent stage of bud development. Seedlings within source populations set buds over a period of several weeks, so some seedlings of every source set buds within the same week. If, in any bud-set cohort, some sources sustained more damage than others, we may infer that they were more frost sensitive. A visual comparison related to this point can be made in Fig. 2. For seedlings that set buds at approximately 3.5 weeks before frost, the Coos Bay source suffered damage to approximately 70%, Soleduck and Raymond sources to 11-30%. The EC transect behaved similarly. Roseburg and Eugene in particular were considerably more sensitive than northern sources. Thus, normal fall frost acclimation of the sources appears to have two components. The first can be closely tied to bud set. Although rate of development toward frost resistance seems to be similar for sources, frost sensitivity at points in time measured from a phenological checkpoint need not be. The second component accounts for these discrepancies in sensitivity. This latter effect appears to be a function of latitude of the seed source. To examine its influence on frost sensitivity, average bud-set dates and latitudes of sources were regressed on proportions of seedlings damaged. The resulting equation is Y=1.5604-.04105X1-.25473X2 where Y XI X., z .5 proportion of seedlings in frost scores 2 and 3 north latitude of source origin, in degrees mean bud-set date in weeks before frost. That is, for each week by which sources differed in average bud set, the proportion of frost damaged z ~ H 0 0 ~ ~ ~ Hb \ 3 3l Mapleton .2 Raymond .1 H-ebo Soleduck 0 3 1 4 2 FROST BEFORE BUDSET--WEEKS 5 FIG. 2 Curves were drawn from regression equations relating profits to bud-set dates within sources in the WC transect, after probits had been retransformed to proportions. Vertical lines represent 95% confidence limits at mean bud-set dates. Mean bud sets are weighted according to requirements of the probit transformation and differ somewhat from means in Fig. 1. seedlings differed by .25. Also, for sources setting buds in identical weeks, the proportion damaged decreased by .04 per degree of increasing latitude. The equation accurately predicted damage, 98% of variation in proportions of seedlings frosted being explained by bud set and latitude. Further, the contribution of each variable to the regression sums of squares was statistically highly significant. Mean bud set was about twice as effective as latitude in predicting frost damage; i.e., standard partial regression coefficients were -.33 and -.75 for latitude and bud set, respectively. In spite of the close relationship between bud-set date and frost hardiness, a significant part of the sensitivity among sources was independent of bud-set date. For example, (Fig. 2) about 5 weeks were required after first appearance of bud scales for seedlings from northern WC sources to become 90% resistant, compared with 7-8 weeks for the Coos Bay source. (The latter number was obtained by projecting the curve for Coos Bay.) This differential Late Summer 1973 COLD-ACCLIMATION IN SEEDLING sensitivity complicates any attempt to correlate bud set with frost resistance. When grown in a common environment, seedlings of sources from the southern Willamette ValleyPuget Sound trough were more frost sensitive than those from further north. Southern Oregon coastal sources were most sensitive of any tested. These observations confirm data by Ching and Bever (1960) and Bialobok and Mejnartowicz (1970). Our frost damage was considerably more severe than reported by either. From least to most damaged sources, percentage damage ranged from 4 to 36 (Ching and Bever 1960), from 0 to 43 (Bialobok and Mejnartowicz 1970) and 9 to 77 (this paper). Considering plants at the same stage of bud development, for each degree of latitude separating sources, percentage of plants frosted differed by 4% in our sample and by 2% in re-analyzed Ching and Bever data. Our data also agreed with that of Ching and Bever (1960) by showing frost damage to have been more related to latitude than was bud set. Simple correlation coefficients between latitude and bud set, and between latitude and frost damage percent, were .19, .62. and -.66, -.80, for reworked Ching and Bever data and ours, respectively. Hagner (1970) found similar relationships in Pinus silvestris. Effects related to latitude of sources are usually ascribed to photoperiodic control which has developed as an adaptational mechanism to synchronize developmental periodicity with annual climatic cycles (Heslop-Harrison 1964). In Douglas-fir, photoperiod is one of several factors that influence bud set (Lavender et al. 1968) as well as development towards cold hardiness (van den Driessche 1970). The independent effect of latitude is therefore not surprising. To advance two of many possibilities, this effect could result from (1) a relatively tighter photoperiodic control of hardiness in comparison to its control of growth cessation, or (2) different adaptational strategies among sources for hardiness and growth cessation, both based on a photoperiod timer but using different critical daylengths. LITERATURE CITED Alden, J., and R. K. Hermann. 1971. Aspects of the coldhardiness mechanism in plants. Bot. Rev. 37: 37-142. Bialobok, S., and L. Mejnartowicz. 1970. 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